Poverty Dyamics Among MatureWomen: Evidencefrom the NationalLongitudinal Surveys 1967-1989 Donald The O. Parsons Ohio State Universi~ [email protected] Jmuq 1995 ~s paperwm tided by theU.S.Dep-at ofLahr, Bweau ofLabor Statiadcs molarstil pmchase order. The viewsewressadhereae thox &the authorsaad do notnec=stilyreflect thetiem ofthe U.S.Dq_ent ofhhr. . . . ..-. tive sma~ &ecu Massive program and reduced among trasfer the population average to Disuatch, At the rent reduction to achieve orighs the same confront on increased sion later first come. such possibility outside resolvable tem. long life The of these retirement second with as a broader is among (CQlumhus wom~ to secure C= the be cw- it is possible tool. it is i~orcant Without “Is aged or a husb=d, redistribution aqeement policy and in the desire of the cmrent m extenshocks or death? is unlikely distribution and rely expanded wealth s dis~ility problem the of muse an pri=rily of negative on the appropriate insurance plmers through poverty ~estion to how an mderstanding perhaps or is .it tie result a social changes Aqing 70 perc~t men. “ these the is not Select ‘tWomen are U.S. than of poverty of whether the aged, to the aged, a divorce is a basic issues, age women. Lrnsfers condition rate in the less a House rewired Westion policy to poverty caah was than s~ly poverty persons to ask how ewenditmes a second the incidence in poverty kve cheaply. as the otiy poverty of a life resolved lead tirecr program, in among tkt raises goal more either of poverty the processes SS1 in poverty all reported, It is natual the huge 1959 Citing metier retirement of The however. time, In retirement system, [1989) the rate population, 25, 1992) same later secu=ity into= that 14.2%) their September helped. than a sdcomittee spend social security (12. 4% versus report, Mely years the Americans. greater Thirty the agtig subcommittee aged of 5?% 22.4%) . across TO was especially SUPP 1 emental levels 65+ (35.2% versus more related the poverty persons eqal program, is social The to be of in- potentially insm~ce sys- The set Nat ional for e~lortig this information on in the first year ewlore retire sample. respondents Major into analysis were Su~ey Offering 5000 dmatics on of of the ~lysis Women a Tarter of a respondents provides midlife the retirement 52 to 66 years findings from focuses of Mature femle (1967) , the NLS panel h The issue. approtimtely income family sqle Longitudinal period the to tie provides century of a valuable eve of period of age opportunity to for the retirement stiset at which &ta detailed 30 to 44 years for a stist=tial 1967-1989 a rich of the time the age. include: 1) poverty dynamics are quite stable. Over much of this time, Specifically an income model with a permaent coqonent =d a white noise component has the “fits” the &ta rather well . This structure implication that the ent~ into -d exit from poverty are independat of the intemwing time inte~al. The exit rate from poverty, for example , will be the same over twenty years as over five. The exit md entry rates are especially st~le over time intervals exceeding five years. poverty entv ?nd retention rates do appear to ti~=ge with age, however, increasing si~ifi~tly as respondents approach retirement age. 2) Three quarters of The overall level of poverty persistence is high. all aged females in poverty come from families with low incomes (less than twice the poverty threshold) in midlife. Forty pert-t come from The aged poor families that were in poverty themselves at midlife. problem is much more tb a social insurance problem. Most also had low incomes in midlife. 3) The persistence of poverty was especially high for black women Two thirds of aged poor black women were also poor two decades before. Ninety percent of the aged black poor kd low incomes (less than twice the poverty threshold) two decades before. 4) in midlife , the Despite the large fraction or aged poor who were poor social insurance problem is not inconsequential. Approximately one Warcer of the poor in 19S 9 had family incomes that were more than twice the poverty level in 1967. The majority of these e~er+enced a marital disnption. Most intact families t~t reported a ~tas trophic de c 1 ine in income reported the l~or force with&awal of the hush=d. %parently private. ad p~lic insur-ce mechanisms failed to protect women in these situati~ns from major declines in economic status ii 5) the daughters were much better In the retched mother-daughter sa~le, They were only half as likely to be h poverty at off economically. Pzalleltig the lives of their mothers, the sae age as their mothers. however, poor daughters were primarily draw from families that were =most one half the poor daughters had poor mothers, themselves poor. almost 80 percent had low income mothers (less tti twice the poverty ttieshold] . iii I. Introduction Massive program and reduced among transfer the related the poverty persons 65+ especially programs, supplemental levels of 57% greater was 1 Thirty the population average (12.4% versus e~al across the agtig sbcomittee report, more to likely Disuatch, helped. rent At the to achieve the same goal either 0 f poverty that on direct SS1 program, of benefit. (cncial to moral standing of primrily an extension tive the weal th shocks or death? The poverty policy h The in the rate was of a House than how rewired U. S . less than poverty 70 Agtig (Colufius women to see-e of whether is percent men. 1, these rate the Select Z, WOme D are in poverty ~estion sharp lY the poverty incidence to ask have persons Citing can the be cur- it is possible issues , it i.s importut Without age women. among the aged, to the aged, tool. Even the hehvior processes condition is a basic 1 know plmers through mut of rely consequences earlier without in the life an Is aged or a nub-d, redistribution “the an eqmded or is it the result 1if e such as a divorce possibility to an wderstmding fidirect are ~ow~le socio -economic long policy perhaps tha on recipient Westions) of a life later first levels tizard underlying all 1959 retirement cheaply. “cash transfers SS1 of reported, a second to poverty only In e~enditures retirement as the increased cycle more of these lead metier the huge . however. It is natural raises among the processes increased time, 2 security sys t em, (1989) later retirement 1992) in poverty To confront o r i gins 25, same reduction population, their that 14.2%) a sticomittee spend Septefier years social income Americans than 22.4%) not security aged versus (35.2% the underpoverty of nega- s dis~ility question and is unlike lY to be resolved tribution of potentially surmce income. resolv~le Nat ional this inf ormat ion on in the year first plore family entire sawle second with ctiqes on the appropriate insurance in the desi~ into analyses the aged problem of the. current of stresses a ten year of dis - and is social this in- and italics] Conversely that most poverty. will At have Bane persistence, than same very of long two. of one than As poor and of age to ex- for the of the at which year many of people before who of (1984) , for out of poverry found tnose years. ,, stnck cone lude tive discussion are individuals will to of (1986) are they of program “Only a Ii ctle one-half over among poverty 2 period Ducm findings, and Ellwood the ~jority spells s–dset design into in poor who ever become time, the in dispute. his less especially a year opportunity to the general in poverty persistently of those the living considerably remain more for individuals As he sumarizes .perience poverty for of detailed 30 to 44 years 1967-1989 data of age. issue much the poverty on the poverty, flows of fox a s~stantial information an a rich to the eve of retirement from midlife will provides a rich provi~s contributes poor of poverty pmel respondents the =alysis of the itiitiduals levels female 52 to 66 years period. (p .3) of a century foas the large next, a ~arter to follow one-half in Women period were poverty, of Mature the retirement value persistence example, 5000 (1967) , the ~S the respond=ts reduce time agreem-t a social Offering issue. approximately -d Beyond fomd is Suney income”””dwamics- The sample. over The Longitudinal set for ~loring the a broader system. The time outside only to be who ~- [author, by s the high who remain in their study, ,SWe a short are poor they over escape. stay in at a given “ (P .21) Wowing the would ing proportion be helpful of the measures to poliq or ig ins are likely the persistently rely focuses , ones on five neglecting study 19s9. each might s cohort reflects Mature The design aggregate 8. 7% in 1981 in the NLS preceding Mature the sumey) to and for a understand- --appropriate e PO1 icy poor important and study for both independent the oversawling agati blacks with of well, Table from average in the in NLS from 19S1. the rate Aout thee of poverty rates b income the years, In “the A. 13. 9% in 1966 in Mature later 1, Panel for the declines tO .14.2% respondents (family collected the S2 -19s 7- of blacks attrition to 13. 6% in 19S6 was In particular with Y 1967- 19S 9, 1967-1972-1977-19 conducted rate declines POvert the...analysis period status. for The mtional and year experience rather term to ret+rernent, the years were 10n9 poverty Women, s Suney similar tr..ulY differential trends increasing whites provide in income adjust increasing . that populatiofi and Ellwood the twenty-two over average 11.8 % in 1976 before for over the poverty before reasOn the B-e from midlife inte~iews poverty Women, s cohors, and anal YZin9 stretch tr-sitions . the. poverty is iqortant should fluctuations , weighted research NLS in for the occasionally study Of face-to-face years poverty different transitions poverty of these origi=l tion t~t zxtended Women, of objective tem types of poverty. the shorter measures female from the year these fOr the same The Dmca of the persistence processes Of pl=ers to be wite &ta Reflecting each o f aged poor. on the PSID; evidence of to a low info-- calendar year 14. 7% ti 1966 The patterns times greater to are for blacks. The sharper the natio-1 cross decline-. and sectional recovev data presumbly 3 reflects life in the NLS cycle th- phenomena. in In particular moved into families they initially Moreover creasing the and the retirement The lives age these status individual poverty mtrices vals. I consider, among transit ions ing family the life cycle. I then origi= poor this 1989. income tum they question, Poverty I>hs process, and in Section of poverty or are other among older the victims I e~loit persistence a the and husbads, trend frequency and l~or as the home earnings =d of force ea=ings, of inmarital participation especially respondents portion of effect, section the ii) the st~ility issue we those reached and special events later full twenty- two years in on estimates of at of inter- poverty tr~sitions primarily in of &ta the year concern poor look of the. .~derly- of poverty of the poverty we must twenty stnceme during life implications the aged high however, fifteen, i) late I report for the stochastic 4 this as less i.ncOme shOcks ten, issues, is strikingly earnings negative of this of adverse own respondent declined. tbt women. The in om process 111 to the B- families dispropor- and rewired of lost income and matured health five, panel growing In the next over ages Of fsetttig impact respondent respondents, grotih explain time. tr=sition of vawing in the the suggests the masitude over 1, dominant family respondents records Table was The the pattern To qantify ages, the declining average 1 i f e cycle of time becomes and younger experience. over tbt at force--children and spouse. husband, reveal poverty e~erienced in time, of the respondent of trends growth accumulated importance age later labor respondents of dis solut ion at ewerienced to a result out p“overty returned care. of surveys, disproportionately tionately as within life? betwe- demographic over here, the life-long TO answer 1967 group ad in ques?ion, part i cularly aPPrczimtely surv*7 forty (1989) suf f icien~ly also close not help ck~ slide women grow process in economically c lder . Past poverc.f? In Section of the h~sb~d, 0 f thes ~ faciors study between of these impqrtant ability their ,Iaughters pe~lts a more I first review long of . for major p lay no are that loss precede hus- into ~d into dismption the in family as they entry of mrital lead of movements e~lore ro l“e to the con- and threats declines programs into poverty disnption I then incomes ial way. risks the d~amics 22 years i=urmce in +laining this is rewired is ~ite in midlife twin of had shocks uninsured “ith&a”al processes in family economic status question. the Yomg Or leSS income at two points = si~ifibmt b term economic individ~l empirical tO match these force income marital do many in a Stistmt result, years e~lmation of social families one of the suney the evidence i~ort~t r=~sitions 1 inka~e the same above, last 1967, that little just fKportance economic status period. ~ntergener=~ional generational an s l~or in Redesig tbt ~e extent ~, poor the major suggest in accowting the 1967-1989 The with noted the year that negative situated marriage To what Out Ot poverty. over ; as studies within line in first of the aged poor indicate well sample who were not It is ““natural to ask what band, s incOme and facts To cite respondents. in the into poverty. the ~ jority poverty trary, in poverty to the poverty :l~ne of these in blacks of the total respondents for C?.eir gentle would percent were before: ‘-of thse among P=eciSe stiset i* &lmost in time, A valuable age match 5 status surelj but how feature of the mature Women, s Sumey. suggests me between women timing the a co~arison . The 100ser much of the inter- tti so that remains MS respondents is the with of the two suneys mO=herS in the firSt survey &ta year (1967) pemits pairs with long internal and some concluding Female How vals? The develop tions over 1967, 1972, sights income tions 1977, income those for these V. This mother- processes Section VI offers 1982, process, c~le lengths and Mature The study contained matrices the structure ii) the stability of poverty hy the suney, time us tr=si - underlying transitions the in- family of poverty essentially years importmt the to tr-si- generate of it inter- survey provide i) the impli=tions is poverty that be h permits measures within will likely same Women stochastic covered HOW these of the processes I consider the of in poverty twenty? so over These 1989. is not or remin Survey stmcture for who fif teen will 1987 and section Intenals questions. of various income into in the sentially unchanged hve and out of poverty and 2) in the location interested chmges (1988) . over period the from to retirement. Movements family stiey mobility Section woman Longitudinal lengths of the life a mture in poverty to this Long ten years, the stochastic of varying midlife later, woman over that it intenals In family part is answer into later of intergenerational in processes D~mics National an a comparison life qcle five years a mature in. a much of intergenerational therefore Poverty that daughters remrks. likely poverty the the measurement daughter II. and fomer. ac-ulated in Although real tem over time. are a function of the poverty the official since poverty its inception, To mximize 6 line. miformity of changes 1) in We are especially line has been es- a variety of mimr of poverty the definition tion, across was used =1 rect and for t~les initiaL the romding nutier error necessarily of entries ber exiting races are after the by are most likely removed, it ,tiillbe useful clusive and POOR , = POOR, sification, defined exhaust POOR md to raw POOR. and OTHER in leave group from POOR as follows : 7 NOT noc even be of the t o t al num - riutier of other ad white in the swey, not frequencies weighted. into time to time. OR not addition the total poverty I will of The in the black vicinity families Occasionally (NEAR the e w i 11 the sum small race add to the and to partition NOT the of each need is not some Because a t~l matrices, are appropriately enter categories and fremencies nutiers by for tD give be close. total blacks, in the various &ta. within exit poverty incomes ive the adjusting groups with t~le to COr- of frequencies the inf la- on CPI-U-X1. weights reported transition the weighted for both respondents to is based for oversampling they should who The statistics raw nutiers threshold whites the ~ the fremencies SUM adjusted pOPulatiOn f re~enc$es weighted after because nutiers. Because ad even normalized the weighted the of blacks suney, not by ~S mdeqiming ions, will in adjustment population of obsemations poverty, in the tables to the origiml example, report ed rider The attrition. t+les of POVertY, including to” the “total, although across For close. desip, in the cowutat sum inflation are weighted sawling differential of The in this paper are nomalized idea the 1988 def titi”on in all years. t~les for the years, of poverty than are” those mare three mutually ex- The disc-s POOR) . the =tegories a two The way are: clas - categories are Respondents in families poverty ttieshold; PoOR N2AR NOT Other POOR Race Race Race = 1 = 2 = 3 Race. white Race black Other races will fOUr , and ?2-a2, twenty-year who in a later be poor 2 for into averages The ten year for sumey intervals poverty POOR changes intenals, those varying five year the entw already these not poor OV- still as the obse~ation rate in poverty into poverty is 38%. 8 will the POOR are tier 6. 5% fifteen in matrices The entry period of the NOT approximately fifty five years. intewal is in respondent trasition after be tabulated five percent poor ten- [67-S2, in the initial Conversely be the probability in the appendix) --a little later. the to as thee survey statistics from the full can be fowd themselves little ~nsider .t~t five years times traditions the prob~ility were times transitions first who two 82-a71 , as well in length tti two k 1967 ti 1967 in 1967- the intenal find 30-34 35-39 40-44 [67-a71 as well: respondents (47% ) of the POOR story svey one -d more five-year 77-a2, poverty mtrices of themselves in the official include: of tr=sition and also of tr-sition 72-77, between income who were who were who were a n~er at or below 77-87] , two fifteen-year is not in the later 5. 5% over find percent rate [67-77, one (the cowlete POOR [67-72, with metiers metiers me~ers pemit in faCt a respondent Table rate su~eys incomes to follow Cohort Cohort Cohort 1967-1989 poverty the tales =1 =2 =3 tr=sitions 72-a7] h Age Age Age estimated, that used incomes in families with ctiestild; ad Respondents in families pov~rty threshold. definitions The year Respoti-ts the poverty POOR with l~gth~s. and year the over retention inte~als the figures are respectively Apparently among the there NOT POOR poverty push of threshold Even in pOverty The movements the into the stnctme and and relationships Lillar”d and very Willis simple relatively husbad, tion, and productivity proximately to income ad six be identical ten, the lifi ory the in poverty, c 10S e to de.cities to there stmcture is a great in poverty of family Because one. in both transition for -ample of family average such individual region of =e Wwletely stability income levels of will entry length, an process with co~onent =d 2) based on or absences of income is presumably as presence cbracterfitics residence -d rates ..of.differing component characteristics, income of the is the sum of 1) a pem=ent intenals across between e 1 ement are such [Neither stale, ,,pem-ent’! 1) . will these but of any be &iven might earnings weli In such the pe-ent co~onent t~t relatively intenals years and ftid for exawle, ..(1978, Fi~re wi~l level especially are not income stnctue rates, Consider factors Willis, year stmcture transit that 35%. they as nor may a educa ~riad be ap- sol . Lillard five stochastic st~le and and status, of the tidividuals is a close The permanent on relatively intellei.gence, start 8% later. between family years extraordi-~ third of tr-sition component. stable wobse~ed the (197S) . incomes the stocbstic stmctw.e--tico.me a white..noise one years threshold, who Y in poverty have require of poverty detemine exit than between and out poverty would twenty relationship of whom for those More twent of st~ility mmy and 3 6% , over and deal respondents, stability. 1967 were of is. a great tito poverty. deal 7% a model, length; shrink over by such a stockstic the transition whether two years only by the distributions co~onent 9 fitted correlations matrix apart of or the [although. at the practi-1 as the int-val lengthens] . Lillard and processes income these Willis across do not short inte~als do ==1 dissipate tem processes, noise decoqosition ent~ rates with the ent~ over rate fifteen tion rate of the original 30% over The Survey t~le of the shv as year poor in our to The analysis five yeirs cycle. the rate of ent~ reaches ten pewent annual i~act of of earning to fifteen component is otiy a. modest time inte~al. ugward The is 5. 5%, over same c= the exit rate from poverty) . remains across age into poverty traditional no in chmge in ten on the last period. process in the may 1987 thse not be as the following and of ret-tion retirem~t share five years, of age to 15% among is correct; 6. 5%, ret~- The e f f ect in the md &ift for the categories the trmsition suggestion 10 have in poverty 50 to 54 years that be said poor ‘is 47% over intenals remin rates The to The who in poverty respondent shocks to the next. internals additional B) suggest the There that 1, Pmel indicates, increases of poor respondents in the life that wderlying 8.1%. 10% among (T&le late first m five year twwty ten years, increases -- from 60 to 64 stable After over (or conversely population ten. percentage over frm of the intenening into poverty in poverty with of income. the length 7. O% -d implies is limited rates consist-t “bite which autoregressive longer. of tr=sition are broadly a mOr,e cOmplex, from one year however, -d for &ta, cowletely of five years twenty evidence eanings The progression ad find ages: in poverty =TES 1~0 -Y TOTZ RET-ION IN POmTY 9.2% 35. 9% AGE 52-56 in 1989 6.9% 33 .5% AGE 57-61 in 1989 8.o% 34.2% AGE 62-66 in 1989 12.8% 40.1% rates into poverty -t~ 6.9% md to as 12.8%, 62-66 more five to 7.4% entq 9.3%. The is reported Overall sitions are parameters five year entq whise noise pattern is evident almost dotiles matrix increase patten from which from in is evident as 4. 9% in 1967-1972 the last period, transitions, ages, these , tbough For the sa~le 2. coming as the cohort as the fram 4 .9 percent estimates the belief by a set to. the eve of retirement. , with are also broadly income as the AS the respondents the with characterized trmsitions Persistence cycle in Table entry rate sw enter into of Poverty among 11 of are derived Over the much Women trm- transition of the period, with retirement and poverty fixed of a pemment poverty Matme t~t consistent increase. The increases in the ten-year are consistent well midlife shift; earlier from to the oldest--52-56 also life double, 3. reasonably element. age group A similar reported almost in poverty r“ates into poverty estimates process 1967-1989 the yowgest of retention trmsition in Tdle poverty income parameters full the interval with all of the increase poverty from term poverty year into from parameters The same rate move the 33. 5% to 40.1%. in 19 S2-1987, 1982-1987. over The rate modestly--from a whole, to we in 1989. in the transition III OF: PO~RTY a simple component long and a period, the retention rate the in In this section femle poverty, period 1967 some at 13 return focusing h percent The persistence (48%) of the in the 1967 1967 blacks were 76% w=e of either low poor income or is in poverty strong or POOR women were the locked for the later su(only timost 1989 one-half For I“n 1989. sampie that was hong poor blacks in 1989. By poor. years full that, who heqa in poverty Of the total NEAR aged “over the reveal for blacks. also of at the time of the is 29%. near black trmsitions twenty-two in 1967 were fi~e antecedents Of those in midlife. in total POOR the parameters in pOVertY in poverty either Of on poverty is especially mrresponding 57% ma jority begins of the population ). issue transition 36% remined suney whites the The 3. aged poverty poverty, to our disassion to 1989, Table least, vey period we age of 30-44, the poor in great into a lifeti”me of 10WT in- come. To from need answer the long to was possible 211) earlier of the the poor ence was were poor far poor near or =e backwards also poor in the poor rather in 1967? 1989” were among than aged poor of negative forwards . Refomulatinq are draw late-life the poor Of the data in the also poor with sample, in 1967, Table 66 percent in 1967. negligible--thirty total 2ven among percent primrily shocks in 1989, this fract ion of the aged poor For blacks, also poor the the product that a large in 1989 from whether life cycle. strong in of way, were wbt it is in poverty 41 percenc 3. The persistence (111/ 167) or whites goverEy (35 / 115 ) of , we the (87 of two- thirds poor persistin 1989 in 1967. The bulk were question to conclude is especially of tem look fraction much the of the poor in remininq 1967 In poor total in 1989 were three ~rters 12 drawn from (160/211) families that of the poor in 1989 were dram in 1989 among alternatives tive about they to aged less than twice (149/”167) or almost (POOR is more greater or than share From large NEAR the poverty 9 out of 10 of the POOR) simply of families all .ag.:d poor pa~ents (SOCial of long problem WOU1 d seem a failure 22 of years seem life to rewire conce~ soc”Lal “femles a policy perspective--this transfer the sttiborn poor income is 71%” (82/115): were-aged. to confront the aged The policy income the fi~re programs. before wi”th 1967 89 percent low the decades will in whites Poverty surance blacks were For before. families mong threshold. poor from in- “were poor suggests Security that ad SSI) poverty--concern about the. not-aged poor. IV. of Large , Late-Life Sources One need are not work tird poor at midlife stability of the .eaming structure the in over 19S9 poor 1967? parently shocks e~lain Put of were ad to develop also poor note differently, “is suffici=t. would be although .of the Poor PO~ in family these in 1989, in 1967. the There transition - 95 -2 theories family neither and to of why women who retirement age. The members But. what , private valuable Status approach (ttit is, were 13 1*685 they cycle that, the NOT as individual respondents share plausible of not poor it in Economic power the large” declines large shre life these faile@ reason~ly POOR . who For I should small the are Declines of family of the 25 percent POOR social know and nor NEAR insurance what of POOR) have negative “’ ap- economic income. ,,insurance *out are from 25%, failures-{ they ]ust MY NOT POOR are a are a relatively more NOT (income POOR th= more than dotile more the poverty than were (5. 1%) this of large, possible sources marital disruption, and passtig over fimly that of the husb~d are in the Mature Comon Certainly spouse cent who percent, black percenc among black both whites across sample from respondents NEAR come death force . this period. mrital as from e~erienced in percentages m~ied were spanning a fall POOR ticome stmctures, two t“o mind: the hush-d; of b FOr immediately Both Five category. family of PmR pronounced. e~erienced of respondents reported themselves stire. divorced respondents larger, the che or interval 5. i% of the 1967 NOT traditional shocks states their By 1989 that statistic reported an -d these L) 2) the phenomenon Women, s cobrt. over present. h the. l~or standpoint the of blacks divorce status of Only the titemediate from .of respondents 84 percent over race differences income is even sa~le, 16.2% the marital income tribution total entrenched of negative withdrawal is rare, again whites rather cohort, family In the in 19S 9, although percent this to POOR two decades. POOR status level) widowed and percentage 84 percent to points, to _.68.. percent. from from the 1967, with The per- 3 percent Both although to 19 white “and the decline for blacks. 64 percent a dis - married tiong was blacks to 43 percent, By 1989, 26 percent as widowed. Both the widowed 70 percent themselves as from In 19S 9. perc&t. trends, fell and status tiopped 11 adversely 4, I report in 1967 increased adverse present In T&le marital 5 percent. to these wit”h spouse report had shifted of ad all the ,... divorced are these ~eri~ced economically mjor a dismption vtilnerable, declines” & emnomic in a long s o these status. 14 Eer”ti economic activities surely partnership precede-d some and of The female decline in family would both also 1967 do ad reported sag For it. in Ttile available The only in year, zero otherwise. suney week measure categorical labor those who reported 1 ess force k The device, force that comfortable who were ing less percent. Of ad to with 40 more of the labor are 1989; the in the previous with the stndard in Table CPS As 6.. ~L<rn,~lar to the WOWING.. ,., Only force in 1989. Of those reported that were who a st-- 4 percent in 19 E8,{t.he..pr:vi0us they are neces - is Wite weeks activity provides spouse the is force an one of poverty. weeks course retirement we~s in .of year) , worked in the labor weeg. life than or in 19s 8, 12 percent period mrried for those 1989 variable for. 1967 =d reported measure present @estions statu”s of this measure worked 40 force is spouse activity 40 or more status the. spouse in 1967: and constricted worked especially in l~or family”” f in.antes plmed the weeks were out suney decline force working they the 1967-1989 labor week labor was the husband measure, 40 weeks the So a dmy witi statuses CPS su~ey A comparison of reported than if force a catastrophic condition”” in are ma=ied of” the” usual 1989. to one who s l~or sta&rd to suffer of a dis~ltig respondents the hush-d, 5. from her husbmd the onset “construction is e~al dard not separate income; 1989, for the duw need present a year . iwact alternative In 1967 reported By 1989 typically only that 15 from 6 percent their s labor of respondents husbands the same force over a financially were figure” had””incrZased of the ue~ectetiess not. have is stistmtial path t~t of the husband, a function will of the hush-d workto 44 withdrawal of the withdrawal. econotic conse~ences on A as the early onset tributes to of a disabling catastrophic xow condition. declines in family much this meti~ism incomes an is con- empirical ~estion. Eow many of the processes --marital tbt structed separately status The . by in both results e~erienced 1989, to spouse present another band, s work accomted for result are income fomd b . economic few ~ses shock. among which women conclusion these were economic arred prior to the initial su~ey from poverty in 1967 POOR) path in 1989 is not consewences similarly to POOR between of. 51 1967 “(11) rewined mmied with adverse i-n––the hus - shift 51) of all tises in 1989 adverse of these two ftim status md Indeed sources cases are “in either disnption be is largely events. decline present marital cm The descent spouse, s work large spouse majority spouse economically with force with in the one married “0,.f the . from tirried (41 of by con- s labor the vast in 1967 to poverty not married The n~ative The = of the remaining 1989. for those is wafii~tius. are not preceded majority who eleven percent were processes POOR status ion or a” chage against The 86 matrices husband, two two -- e-lain? Apparently from NOT e~erienced “circumstance disnpt insurance but The 7. these with~awal ad, in these Another” In total this way. trmsitions .in marital 3 the period of tiital inadequate there over by a tr-sition a change transition in Table can declines force transitions explained category. status a comfortable the are 3.3 e~erienced present by are reported respondents and poverty status years, cases status and husband, s l~or marital of” lirge-dec”line who incorn% 1967-19.89 ~estion, present family dis~ption To awwer spouse large my of to 1967 have b“e or oc- year. well to being defined. 16 comf ort~ly out Forty-four of poverty percent of (NOT the respondents were at least paths into mamiedare tti from all to poor in ing the. great The OE Even not between =j ority Economic int e xvals status covered the National 30 to 65 years additional econorn”ic mobility NLS had preretiremenr respondents for consequence, daughter matrices mtrices population pairs, in the is possible pemitting same way [the tr-sition *“eights] . The town a Ck9e to working, .raritY Of each. in =rital present status tO married a husbad with reentering factors must, be sought st~le sa~le desi~ an : young and cohorts to men among Su=ey comparison, To economize men. the different it husband socio-economic Longitudi.Ml of age. four’ cohorts aged successes to be extremely proxi-tely original The of the tht eqlain- elsewhere. ~rends appears by to (4/1 05 ) , involve 1989. of the large Intergenerational invOlve incomes spouse-present Of the relatiV% with. spOuse 4 percent 1967 -d fatily Reversals 7. not working because married fewer, Tale 2 ) husbti impact r=ched 1) not married-with- (18 of 105 or 17%) categories force above, md limited had by 1989 ttieshold, described in five present. 1967 the poverty have one labor IV. twice poverty likely spouse were with-spouse-present Less the who draw construct from a sample that constmcted matrices are In particular mature aP - permits an one”. The by it is possible life the of to co~are - mothkr t.rans>tio? cycle 1967 and poss~le family. composed age W?men, whenever the same the women, intergenerational weighted 17 of the” ~S costs, of have of Matug? women, construction we in intergenerational on su=eying were women tr~sition Mature Women the economic a - statm the 6f the Mature poverty status The of age. Mature 34 the following cycle, cent to poverty fell fram The at ion the from mother, true of -ng ~ was true the relatively limiting We i~ose of age with 34 to 44 years the analysis that to restriction in only tb two times across shift the mother tem to point is sig- in the pairs, were 19 perat 24 percent the poverty for of threshold. The poverty the generations 1 if e in poverty but only for blacks. in poverty ow the the in 1967, 9 percent advantaged b blacks, rates. rate from POOR daughters. class 18 is across the more in 9. gener- chage POOR The in ‘-posit ive,, Eve~ in. economic the generations. 1989, (in 19S8 rare the The mother-daughter poverty were be in T&le daughters 13 percent across rates, will poverty were k their of their NOT trasition are reported reduction of rates daughter, trmsition Wtrices 1S percent mothers at the same pronomced in 196”7, 35 perc~t only of the daughters of the &ughters the inte~enerational to status foE whites. tr-sition POOR of by of the mothers less especially s long mothers was they were of 695 mother -hughter (47) percent to 24 percent tkt contributed the POOR -act mothers sa~le intergenerational status tergenerational class are to 6 percent large of their family_ incomes gains guar=tees economic than tid even 63 percent 14 percent 30 to 44 years 1988 wh- economic but ofi y 8 percent Forty-s the &ughters tht the In the -tched 8. 34-44. The h of age in 1967. sample, th- of the mthers age Worn= be made more 44 years matched better T*le cm they were malysis. this nific=tly in 1967 when of the Yowg age pairing Women In Women but to be in 19S9, fall for but the Of same precise) . the same into poverty from either mother or daughter; fered 6 percent a declfie Looked look different th”e mother” HerseIf. across percentage. =most from do mothers. term daughters half notdiff”er.. tithough antecedent pov=ty in poverty Four from status who came the &ughters out of five which were signific=tly the daughters long on past . ID P“art%cu>%r. from poverty POOR” or those off .fa@lies. a “familiar =AR One, the -melY in These of aged .mot hers, POvertY is who POOR. for the origins than on term (42 o“f 54) of th”e &ughters are better of .poye”rty” is the .in pove,rty” had mothers either from record .is dependent as well “as. acrg~s”.1.>fe. (24 of 54) families so very pres-t gener?tioqs. in @ovaty themselves statistics long of one came suf - of this ma~itude. does not status, poor of the daughters of poverty .. poverty poverty 3 percent the intergenerational of were only perspective, record large. ad at from $ differat the origins the of the mothers the in the past. v. Conclusion The National ins ights 30 =d 1) into the ““Longitudinal “SUNeY long tem poverty of mture dparnics Women offers of feml.es a wide betw~eq rage ..the ages of of 66 years: “ over much of this time, the poverty d~amics are quite stable. specifically an income mode I. with a permanent component and a white noise component ‘mfi”ts” the data rather well. This stmctme has the i~liCatiOn “tht the entw into ad exit from poverty are independent The ex:.t rate from poverty, for exof the intem-tig time int=al. a~le, will be the same over twenty years as over five . The data suggests a process not mlike this is in operation. Especially after the first five year” tite~al, the exit and entv rates are Wite st~le across greater time intervals . Poverty entw =d retmtion rates & increasing significantly”” as the appear to c~ge with age, however, respondent approaches r.etirem=t age. 19 2) Three quarters of The overall level of poverty persistence is high. all aged females in poverty come from families with low incomes (less Forty percent” come from t~ twice the poverty tfieshold) in midlife. The aged poor families that were in poverty themselves at miflife. problem is much more tti a socw fisurance problem. Most also had low &comes “in”midlife. 3) Twofie persistmce of poverty was. especially high fOr black women. thirds of. the aged poor were also poor two de-des h the past. Ninety percent of the aged black poor had low incomes (less than twice the poverty threshold) two decades .befo.re.. 4) Despite the brge fraction of aged poor who were poor in midlife, the social insurance problem is not inconsequenti.a.l. APPrOtiately one ~ar.ter ..of. “the_poor in 1989 &d family incomes” ttit were ar least twice The m jor.ity of these e~eri-ced a mrital the poverty level in 1967. disnption. Most intact fatiilies that reported a catastrophe c decline in income reported the labor force withdrawal of the husband. Apparently Pfivate .-d P*lic insur=ce mechanisms these women from - jor decities h emnomic status. Hopefully the -alpis from work exit from poverty. the period Social to security terns over survey, oldest the third has evidence a major appears is a large low last protect income of total families, decades. were have traditional o f married in the U.S.). respondmts only have By the time of and is also family 52 to 66 years into i~ortmt ad beta-e McGar~ (1992) in retirement”, ~ite in real the 1989 stable at the time of of age, so tbt ages study transition of ent~ income it has been retirement the st~ility, Unfortwately respondents reached trmsition the cu~ent that on the rate to be one of uusual fraction several suggests impact The work/retirement among the the v.a.lue. of extending 1967-1989 retirement fOllowing especially demowtrates The to 1992 and beyond. tom to In the matched mother-daughter sa~le, the &ughters were much better off economically. They were only half as likely to be in poverty at Paralleling the lives of their mothers, the same age as their mothers. however, poor daughters were pri-rily draw from fatilies that were had poor mothers , timost one tilf the pOOr&ughters the~elves poor. almost 80 percent had low income mothers (less tti twice the poverty ttieshold) . 5) share ftiled (although husbm- of tht age, the 1992 smey, the respond~ts given o~y the a larger m~iage cus were 5s 20 I to 69 ment, years ad of age, so ttit all. would the mj ority ..would have have reached 21 reached traditional the..age of e=ly retire- ret irern_e.nt_ages B-e, Mary Jo, D~amics 23. Dmc~, ,fS~iPPing Into -d Out ‘of Poverty: The and David T. Ellwood, of Spells, “ Jou~al of Human Resources 21 (Winter >986) : 1- Greg, Years of POVertV, Years of Plenty: The Chanqinq Economic FQrtnes of ~erican Workers and Families. tibor, MI: ~iversity of Michigm, 1984. Lilliard, Lee A. and Robert Mobility, ,’Economecrica, McGarq, J. 46 s, DYnamic .Aspect S Of Willis, (Septetiex 1.978): 985-1012- Ea?nin9s Measurement Error, Povertv Transitions and PrQqram Kathleen. Participation: A Studv of Povertv Wonu the Elderly. Ph.D. dissertation, SW StOUy Brook, Auwst 1992. 22 ___ TABLE Poverty Rates, National -d 1 ~S Mature Women, s C6hort 1966-1988a P-L ~b Total NATIO~ TOT= White ~ Black Total mTuRs White 12.2% 41.8% 13.9% 10.1% 14.7% 1966 A 1971 12.5. 9.9 30.9 10.9 1976 11.8 9.1 31.1 8.9 19B1 14.0 11.1 34.2 1986 13.6 11.0 1988** 13.0 10.1 o-34 15.7* 1967 1.972 1977 35-39 a =1 &ta Income sumey. are Black 43 .2%. -7.5 .36.9 28.4 0 ..7 :6..2 — 31.0 31.1 .12.6 9.7. 37.1 31.3 13.6 40-44 AGE 45-49 3.6.1 ‘1O.9 SO-54 55-59 13.7% 12.7% 12.4% 10.4% 10.2% 9.4% 7.0% 10.2% 8.0% 7.7* 10.4* .10 .2% 12.4% 1987 SO~CES: National years ) ; ~ Matwe Wom 6.5. 1982 b NLs : Statistical Abstract of the Unites States, Women: Parsons (1994, ,’ Poverty status,, ) 6Q-64 15.0% (various wtighted. in fo~tion for the tiS Mature Women is for Ages in P=el E are as of s=ey &te. 23 the year precedfig the “ TAS~ Rates Time of -t W InteHals into Poverty of Five, Ten, 2 -d Retent iOU Fifte- =d ~=ty mms in Poverty Years, 1967-1989= or: ~ION 2N P~~ (In Poverty in Initial Year) ~Y =0 Pomm (out of Poverty in Initial Year) FIVE at = WSITIONS 44.9* 1967-1972 4.9%. ,. 1972-1977 4.6% 39.3% 1977-1982 5.0% 51.2% 1982-1987 ?.4% 52.4% 47. 0% 5.5* dV~GE T~ = ~SITZONS 1967-1377 4.9% 33.3% 1972-1382 5.4% 38.7% 1977-1387 9.3% 41.5% AVF&GE 37. 8+ 6.5* . FI~ _ ~SITIONS 1967-1982 5.3% 29.9% 1972 -1?87 8.8% 41.5% 7.0* A=GE 35. 7% ~ 1967-1907 _ 34.6% 8.1% ~-m 1967-1989 SO~CE: a N1 ~SITIONS - 35.9% 9.2% parsons data are (1994, ‘rPoverty =SITIONS S2atw -i) weighted. 24 T~LE Poverty Tr=sitions, 3 1967 -19S9, BY Age =d Race Unweightid Nat Pmr F!.qww Pa 557 251 123 N=r Fcq_ Pd Pwr Fmmw All M F,- =7 1585 577 277 105 1M9 75.8 6~.4 43.1 66.8 185 107 51 315 1a.5 22.5 20.9 19.9 51 73 a7 211 S.7 16.1 3s.9 13.3 892 4s2 243 1585 5.5 14 219 172 225 133 83.6 72.8 31 32 11.3 17.6 14 I7 S.1 s.a 54 Im 41.6 ia.3 154 % 49 406 52.9 74.6 13 ?5 13.5 13.8 31 ~ 33.5 11.4 269 183 93 545 16.3 2a.2 2a.3 22.5 13 26 52 91 5.2 17.4 40S 17.2 252 149 127 528 243 m 32 365 79.4 62.0 41.1 69.1 46 36 !9 101 15.0 24.8 24.7 19.1 47 19 26 82 S.5. 13.1 34.2 11.8 m 145 77 79 X 31 146 28.7 27.5 29.2 2a.5 19 40 51 110 6.a 30.5 48.1 21.5 275 131 106 512 207 55 z 2aa w. 1 44.3 34.0 56.2 87 .27,6 33 26.6 20 x 6.4 29.1 18 25.5 139. 27.1 2a 86 40.4 16.7 314 125 72 512 66.6 120 66 21 209 18.5 21.9 16.4 *9.2 33 48 40 ?27 5.1 15.5 31.3 11.1 646 310 128 1066 ~ 1% 64 766 76.8 63.4 53a 70.4 119 = 21 20s 18.1 21.5 17.3 19,0 34 47 36 115 5.1 15.1 29.1 10.6 306 119 1067 60.5 %.5 21.3 33.3 24 41 74 139 27.9 30.4 29.1 29.3 10 42 lza I 7a 11.6 31.1 49.6 37.5 as 13s 2% 475 63 61 56 laO 59.5 44.0 24.2 37.6 26 39 64 729 24.3 28.3 27.7 27.1 ?7 33 111 167 16.2 27.6 46.1 35.1 lffi 139 m 47s 74.7 55.5 31.8 58,7 1 182 83.1 115 66.9 39 60 357 65.5 2 198 76.6 81 54.4 3a 30.7 318 60.2 3 177 84.4 42 55 24 22.6 m 256 145 111 97 19.4 24.6 25.1 353 22.3 44 93 167 301 5.9 19.9 43.2 19 25 33 11.4 19.2 12 24. 30 aa 19.5 16. I 41 42 36 119 746 52a 1 495 194 67 2 52 52 = 158 7s.4 63.6 52.3 25 659 T~LE Marl Cal Status in 1967 4 md Maribl Unweigh-d N MSA MSP Pet N P& 19S9, BY Age Race in 1967 Stitis W3dMed N Pti =d Dvorced N Pet Sep-ted N P& Nwer Mti& N P* All N All Age 4064 80.0 46 0.9 145 2.9 262 5.0 285 5.6 2m 5.? 5062 1 2 3 Race 1 2 3 1273 1310 1481 79.0 80.5 80.3 15 12 1Q. 0.9 0.7 1.3 3.0 4.1 7S 4.8 1.0 21 48 76 m % 4.9 5.2 lW 95 w 6.2 5.8 4.9 125 83 82 7.8 5.1 4.5 1844 3112 879 73 86.3 S3.2 83.9 20 16 2 0.s 1.2 2.3 61 83 1 1.7 6.0 12 15S 8s 5 4.4 6.4 5.8 72 211 2 2.0 152 2.3 174 112 4 4.8 8.1 4.6 36s6 13s0 87 Mafil N All MSP Pd M* N Pd Stitis WdMed N P& in 1967 ~vorced NPti Sepmtid Never Married N Pet N Pet All N 4271 S4.0 41 0.s 103 2.0 234 4.6 173 3.4 260 5.1 1320 1430 1522 63.5 m.6 84.0 14 10 <? 0.9 0.6 1.0 14 35 53 0.9 2.1 29 74 65 * 4.7 3.9 5.3 62 5s 53 3.9 3.5 29 9a 91 71 6.2 5,4 3.9 1812 3868 247 57 86.4 84.1 S?.5 34 7 1 0.7 1.3 0.8 73 29 0 1.6 54 0.0 19? 35 3 4.4 8.5 3.9 89 82 3 20 15.1 3.9 217 41 3 4,8 7.6 3.9 4477 541 65 Age 1 2 3 Race 2 3 Mari6zl S&tis N MSP P& in 19S9 Al! N Sepamted Nw= Married Pd N Pet N MSA P& N 1581 1927 62.3 9 0.3 569 19.0 m 10.9 104 3.4 126 4.1 - 3 680 649 5ss 65.6 85.0 56.5 3 3 3 0.3 0.3 0.3 IW 181 m 9.6 16.1 29.1 1% 67 101 14.5 S.7 9.6 ~ 43 11 4.8 4.3 1.0 54 25 37 5.2 35 3.5 996 lm 2 3 1576 328 2s 70.5 40.2 59.0 8 1 0 0.4 0,1 0.0 343 239 7 15.3 29.3 1s.0 214 118 6 9.6 14.4 15.4 26 77 1 1.2 9.4 2.8 70 64 2 3.1 6.6 5.1 22s7 817 38 Matil S-as Pd All N All 2 W.ighti N MSP P& N M3A P& in 1989 Dlwed NPti Wdwed N P& se~~ NPti Nww ~d N 1= 3.4 2088 67.5 11 0.4 505 16.3 322 10.4 62 2.0 2 3 734 ?22 6s3 72.* 70.8 W.o 4 4 3 0.4 0.4 0.3 72 l= 2S2 7.2 14.7 26.7 .140 SS * 13.8 8.2 9.3 29 26 6 2.9 2.8 0.8 37 35 32 3.7 3.4 3.1 1 2 3 lm i 32 20 70.4 42.9 62.1 10 1 0 0.4 0.3 0.0 421 79 5 15.3 25.7 14.6 267 ~ 6 9.7 16.1 17.5 32 28 1 1.2 9.1 3.9 85 1s 1 3.1 5.9 1.9 Age 1 hce 26 I T=LE Husband, s Labor 5 Force Status in 1967 By Age and Race Husband’s and Lsbor Force S&tus 1989, in 1967 Unwighted Not Woting N Pst Mtghted All Wotiw N Pet N 269 7.39 33?+ 92.6 3M0 77 70 122 6.67 5.98 9.27 1077 1100 1194 93.3 94 90.7 1170 1316 1 167 5.96 26W 94 2801 2 95 7 12.2 12.3 87.9 87.7 782 57 ALL Not WorkW N Working Pet N Pcr All N 218 6.0 Mzz 94.0 3640 60 58 5.3 4.8 1080 94.7 1140 101 7.9 1160 1182 95.2 92.1 Izla ~2a3 182 5.5 3128 94.5 3310 32 11.3 4 10.2 255 39 88.7 89a 2a7 43 Age 1 2 3 Ilw Race 3 687. 50 Husband’s NoI Worting Pet N ALL Unweigl!ted Worting Pet N Labor Force Status in 1989 All N Not Worting Pet N Wsigllted Working N Pet All N a31 46,4 960 53.6 1791 79a 44.5 993 55.5 1791 184 26a 379 2a 45 70.5 473 32a 159 72 55 29.6 657 596 53a 172 260 366 26.4 42.3 69.6 480 354 160 73.6 57.7 30.4 651 614 528 655 166 10 44.1 5a 47.6 a29 120 55.9 42 14a4 2a6 730 4,xa 56.6 39.6 937 47 56.2 43.4 1667 61 6 10 60,4 16 Age 1 2 3 Race 1 2 3 11 52.4. 21 27 I oa TMLE Husband’s Work Status by Weeks Worked ~d Survey By Age and Race Activi~ The Number of Weks Worked 40+ Not Woting Worting Not Wotina N Pci 725 34 88.1 3.62 759 43.1 132 9 141 6 Most of Suwey Wting N NI Pa Week Activity, 1969, Nek Not Woting N N Pet Worting N Pc! All N 98 11.9 823 691 87.7 97 12.3 788 904 1~2 96.4 56.9 9ss 1761 36 727 3.7 41.3 937 96.3 973 7761 ?1.7 52 28.3 98.1 78.4 124 10 21.6 461 513 Iw 470 .71.8 1.91 654 135 2.2 20.6 239 21 260 90.2 6.65 44.8 26 295 321 9.81 93.4 55.3 265 316 581 220 20 88.4 5.9 29 11.6 313 94.1 239 41.2 342 58.8 wOrtdnQ 354 4 94.7 2.63 20 148 5.35 97.4 374 152 S.6 358 66.1 168 .31.9 526 94.8 .3.4 67.5 152 All 349 5 355 177 32.6 369 157 526 561 87.4 81 12.6 642 30 790 96.4 870 59.6 819 1461 All Age=l Not Worting WOrting All Age=2 Not Woting Worting Al I 10X 58.7 28.2 173 .470 97.8 519 79.4 481 654 49 249 332 581 Age=3 Not Woting 19 5.2 Race=l Not Worting 567 87.5 81 12.5 648 WOrting 30 597 3.69 40.9 783 864 96.3 59.1 6i3 1461 591 3.6 40.4 150 4 154 W.9 3.48 55 15 111 126 9.W %.5 45 165 115 280 149 6 155 91.9 5.5 55.4 All Race=2 Nol Woting WOrting All 28 13 8.7 112 94.5 125 44.6 162 118 280 .--” ._. . TmLE By 7 ?Overty Trmsitions, 1967-1989 Marital Status and Husband, s Activity POve~ in IUW POv* in T*S7 Unweighed Near Pmr NotPoor All F,-v Pti .Fr.-q Pti F,q.Pti F,m- tti P* t* P* Pw M 557 251 123 931 74.7 55.5 31.8 58.7 14s i11 97 353 19.4 24.6 25.1 22.3 MSP67mSPC# w Pw 390 t-P* 185 P54 . 6W 79.9 66.5 41.s 70.3 84 49 34 167 17.2 19.8 26.2 19.3 14 % 42 90 56.7 35.7 2s> 42.8 52 39 20 111 28.9 31.0 Zo 28.0 26 42 48 118 70.6 78,6 5s.7 65.6 4 3 8 15 23.5 21.4 26.7 24.6 5 8.2 20 31.3 35 25.7 80 23.0 MSP671NMSPE9 ,,d Pw 102 ,,.” P* 45 Pw 23 Ml ;0 44 5.9 90 19.9 167 43.2 301 19.0 Not P-r tilkd Pd F,w- Weightid Near .-lkti F,.q_ lM 75.9 746 4S2 3a7 iS8S 676 277 61,2 !0s 43.5 1ffi865.8 Pe 18.4 All Pwr -,ltid F,w_ Pd a .,m,l.m F,m”mv 5.7 891 102 22.5 ~ 20.8 316 20.0 ~4 16.3 86 35.7 210 13.3 452 242 158s 533 248 2,s 13.7 3Z3 10.4 488 248 130 S66 433 in 46 856 81.3 71.4 53.8 75.8 87 16.3 43 17.3 18 21.2 148 17.1 13 2.4 28 11.3 21 25.0 62 7.2 866 14.4 33.3 52.8 29.2 180 126 91 397 129 47 19 195 57.9 39.3 34,8 49.1 80 37 lt 108 27.1 30.9 19.7 2?,3 33 38 24 94 15.0 29.8 45.S 23.6 222 121 54 397 5.9 76 11 1s 45 71.9 75.1 75.1 73.9 8. 26.2 4 24.9 3 13.5 13 21.0 0 0 ..1.9 0.0 5 1S.7 6 9.8 17 14 so 61 3 11.4 3 5.1 23 15 24 61 3 4.9 14 21,9 72 52.9 89 34.1 61 64 T38 261 80 35 2S 143 S5.S 52.0 27.8 54.7 8 8.4 21 31,2 23 23:0 62 19.8 6 6.1 11 18,8 49 49.2 W 25,4 14 2.9 34 13.7 42 323 90 10.4 488 248 130 866 433 177 46 666 81.3 71.4 63.8 75.8 223 115 52 390 220 942 2 1.7 6 11.5 a 2.1 26.6 30.7 So.o za.z 11 4.6 29 25.4 23 46.0 63 1S.6 241 114 50 405 189 5s a 250 11.1 2 22.2 2 Z.O 1 16.7 9 a a 23 6 6 4 17 65.9 87.4 77.4 74.6 is 13 7 2 22 62.2 57.6 11.0 45.2 1 85 NMSP07,NM~p*9 Me P* N.., PM, “m AI! S3. S6.9 30 46.9 29 21.3 112 42.9 84 49 34 167 HLFP67=I,HLFPaS=t w Pm 209 93.7 N,,, P104 W.4 Pw 36 67.3 NI 348 89.2 ~LFP67=IIHLFPss=0 N&Pw 166 68.9 N.., ,*, 50 43.9 Pw 12 24.0 N 228 55.3 HLFp@7=oiHLFP09*I NM6 88.? N.” P5 62S P5 a3.3 M 16 69a HLFP67.oIHLFPsg=o NM* -m.o N.., Pm 6 54a -9 Pw M 2 9.1 17 35.4 17.2 19.3 28.2 19.3 14 6.3 9 7.8 11 21.2 34 8.7 64 35 15 114 1 1 12.5 0 0.o2 8.? 5 333 4 35.4 8 36.4 17 35.4 0 5 0.0 21.7 6.7 1 9.1 12 54.6 14 29.2 1 10S 92.4 31 77.S 359 92.0 11 22 4a 29 , 70.6 47.4 31.0 61.7 87 43 1s 148 16.3 t7.3 21.2 17,? 14 5.8 7 S.8 5 11,5 25.._6.4 8a 25.2 33 30.0 9 35.0 110 27.2 2 13.7 0 4.a 0 0.0 2 82 7 26.2 4 31.6 5 33.6 .1s U.2 13 2.4 28 11.3 21 25.o 62 7.2 0 0.0 2 1.8 4 10.7 6 1.6 4.1 11 25 27 9 34.0 45 11.2 2 20.4 i 7.a t 22.6 4 o 17.2 1.6 1 10.8 8 SS.4 10 20.7 94 87 lW 261 533 248 85 866 2s3 116 40 380 ?71 26 4W 11 7 5 23 20 13 15 4a Tale The Economic S-tus of NLS Mothers ML Income Not Xear Mothers Status Poor Poor Poor Near Poor Poor Poor Near Weighted Sample (1994, sizes 75.9% 27.9 16.3 19.1 7.8 in 1988. 1988 (462) 58.2% 79,3% 28.1 14.9 13.6 5.8 ,, Poverty h Daughters 53.0% (22.4) 47.6% 28.4 24.0 62.9 Parsons their Daughters 29.0 Poor and (695) 8.5% Poor. Poor SO~CE: 1967 196? BMCK Not k ~T_S ~ITS Not 8 Status 0,) Parentheses. 30 ~ Poverty Trasitians NotPmr N N-r PPw NI Age - * N& Pmr N= Pwr Pm, N{ Age = 2 Not Pwr Nem PW Poor Al Ag. E 3 Not Pwr Near Pmr Pwr Al Race = 1 Not P-r Near Pwr Pmr Al Rse = 2 Not Pwr New Pw Pwr NI Pti 245 85.1 lW 72.8 102 45.7 4S1 69.2 14 82.4 3 42.9 4 33.3 2? S8.3 Between Mothers New Pw Pa N Pw NW 32 11.s 28 15.2 63 30.5 129 18.6 10 3.47 22 12 53 23.8 66 12.2 (1967) -d All N 3 2 5 10 ~7.7 za~ 4i.7 2?.8 2 3 5 28.6 25 13.9 2a8 264 Z3 695 17 7 12 36 Nti Pw P& N 313 Iu 71 528 N.m P& NW as.o 74,4 53.0 76.9 43 32 39 113 11.6 1a.3 29.1 16.3 20 az4 1 al 1 19.6 23 63.1 4 2 17.6 =.6 4 10 =3 2a.3 P- All Pti N 3.3 9.3 17.9 7.a 36a 194 133 Q 0,0 2 39.3 i 7a.i 3 8.6 25 5 6 36 N 12 1s 24 54 03.9 74.9 =.3 74a Ta 12.0 16 16.0 la 28.3 62 1s.5 6 9 12 27 4.1 9.0 19.4 a.7 151 102 62 375 166 862 66 37 269 7K3 56.3 7a. t 21 13 la 52 10.7 1s.5 27.7 1s.0 6 7 11 24 3.1 a.2 16.6 a.9 +63 86 65 344 263 133 66 462 229 W 39 366 84.9 76.2 61.7 79.3 32 11.7 21 76.5 16 2S.5 69 14,9 9 ?0 a 27 3.4 7.3 12.s 6.8 19 Sf 7* 224 Ie 39 S2 107 a4.1 60.6 =.a 4?.6 3 9 54 * 0 16 37 34 0.0 26.o 26.6 24.0 97 65 50 212 m.s 70.7 46.7 67,3 i4 Is 22 61 12.1 !6.3 293 19,4 5 ?2 26 42 4.31 13 23.4 13.3 316 124 66 48 248 86.5 ~.7 46.2 72.1 16 10.3 11 12.9 31 26.8 50 76.9 s 8 = 38 3.22 9.41 24 11.1 155 6s Iw 344 223 102 40 365 84.8 76.7 60.6 79 30 21 i7 m 11.4 15.8 25.8 14.7 10 3.8 10 7.62 9 13.6 S 6.26 T6 84.2 32 =8 60 39 108 48.2 3 7 S1 61 15.8 t3.7 33.1 27.2 72 23.5 43 27.9 56 24.6 31 ● Daughters. (196s ) Ila 92 107 f27 76 32 23S 16.9 14.4 36.S 2a.4 19 65 141 224 L pers~n 2 persons (Unrelated Individual (HOusehOlder ~der waler $6,155 7,9S8 9,436 12,092 14,305 16,149 18,248 20,279 24,133 65) 65) 3 Persons 4 5 6 7 8 9 Persons Persas Persons Persons PerSo= Persons souce: or More Stati ~ tical Wstra nited States 199 , p .43o Pael B CP1-U-X1 1966-1992 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 19.?6 1977 1978 1.979 1980 1981 19s2 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 3S.2 36.3 37.7 .39.4 41.3 ..43.1 44.4 47.2 51.9 56.2 59.4 63.2. 67.5 74.0 82.3 90.1 95.6 99.6 103.9 107.6 109-6 113.6 118.3 124.0 130.7 136.2 140.3 I 32 FOO~O~S 1. ~ 2. statistical =stract the United States 19s5, Tale 76x. of the United States 1993, Tale 73g me data are weighted to 3. Recall t-t these are fictional respondmts. adjust for” avers~~li?g .~n the orig~l saWlin9 desi~ -d” for .di.f ferent ial attrition, so the XUbrs & not rePekSent specific respondents. 33 0 w PoW Un~hti New N@ PF—WF— 1 2 3 in 1667 W~hN Pm WF— All NW N&P- ~F— w N— - N— 56.3 Fw_ 1128 27.8 % N-l& F,_ 13.9 4056 203 187 178 15.7 !3.7 12.7 lm 1359 ?403 m 165 10.1 &z 12 21.4 = 450 57 49.9 1146 28.3 866 21.8 _ 582 629 804 45.2 47.9 s,+ 406 365 = 31.2 26.3 24.6 310 26a 277 23.6 =7 16.3 1311 1312 97 779 %5 57.3 410 393 31.8 29.0 1433 904 64.5 320 =8 1706 280 37 60.7 24 =.7 763 334 19 20.2 28.6 26 315 553 77 11.2 47.4 233 2818 1167 73 2215 1= 28 62.4 27.0 50.0 977 1s 16 2?.5 26.7 26.6 178! 59.8 1 2 3 Race 1 2 3 678 =8 519 77.4 2976 448 53.6 219 W7 m 613 63.7 217 21.9 242 21.1 170 203 167 16.6 iaz ~s.a 836 631 1149 z 20.6 62.5 402 267 9 170 340 9 Zon a53 46 Is 246 m 26.1 19.4 31.3 ~0.a 6.2 33.9 *8.6 M Fw- 2025 F— All Me All Pm NF— 2365 F- Zmz 68.9 602 202 325 10.9 2676 m3 61.9 727 70.9 8~9 72.2 ~ 191 2m 25.6 18.6 101 125 107 10.5 116 102 ai3 1024 464 la.9 197a 110 24 73.5 33.3 66.7 17.6 197 122 6 96 29.7 6 16.7 1135 7.5 36.9 2331 16.7 36 W=shW Nd Pwr N- m F— 1593 All i 3 66.5 340 66.5 511 66.7 532 64.5 459 19.3 339 14.2 f52 145 18.7 19.5 120 w 14.a ti.a 163 19.6 131 15.9 247 203 3 119 218 2 2=1 Pm N- All -N—WN- NF— F— F— 1796 76.5 371 15.6 212 8.9 2361 744 a25 610 mz 566 75.5 77.4 73.7 121 121 ~26 15.0 15.6 16.2 76 s 81 9.4 7.0 10.2 607 776 ~ 1675 666 37 1= 110 26 ~.6 4Z2 64.6 283 .. ...76 2 14.0 =.4 7.7 136 74 2 6.5 26.4 7.7 2066 26o 31 812 R1 2 3 13m 242 32 7a.i 3.2 ae.s 14.7 31.2 6.1 7.1 32.6 5.4 35 Wa@hM Umhti Nd P= All Pm Nw FvrnFm_B N& N— F—WF— W 1 14.2 12.6 13.2 16.2 854 627 a85 670 660 ml S02 76.4 73.0 98 721 11.7 7%9 67 67 a.o 7,7 a34 aa7 144 16.6 W 10.4 8ffi 122 6.7 1821 235 3 =.3 7.7 706 m 1843 105 26 al.z 40.5 a3.3 287 74 3 126 26.7 a~ 141 80 3 62 ~.? 83 Z2m 259 3T 609 m a 71.3 70 64.3 ~37 139 173 16 16.6 19.5 108 1~ 143 Zm 211 3 12.9 29.6 7.7 80.4 Pm in F— N~ Pm ml Pm P* - wF- 12476 416 3= PU N— All - F— F— NF— 421 20.6 373 18.2 2046 1444 70.5 346 16.9 258 12.6 68.5 62.2 52.9 lW 129 185 15.4 19.3 27 112 124 137 16.1 ia.5 20 = = 684 537 a 412 76.4 77.7 61.3 78 111 1W 11.4 15.9 23.8 70 86 Im 70.2 ?2.4 74.9 231 Iaa 4 16.1 31.a 15.4 la 221 2 10.4 37.8 7.7 1437 565 26 74.9 3.0 ala 278 68 2 15.4 =2 9.1 176 w 2 9.7 36a 9.1 lalo 12al 67.3 366 19.1 = 13.6 1874 1T77 15 70.8 3.0 S7 = !8.3 E9 25.0 180 73 2 10.9 36.7 8.3 1=1 2= 1056 73.5 2 3 178 20 w.4 76.9 PO~ 1111 N- 61.2 1 2 3 hce 1 All 4, - Pw N- F— All Me a.7 WmbhM N- F—F=F—w = 1637 un~m Nd P- F— 364 3m S.8 84.6 F— N— 77.1 17.5 2~ 33 All Pa 1976 446 1464 N— 2566 66.5 2 3 Pa 14 17W 2 3 Race 1 N— F— F— All Age Pm N- 59.2 21.3 s 19.5 1876 183 17.7 23 ~ 619 =7 418 a8.3 379 61.2 3%4 m.1 97 134 169 j5.4 21.6 27 115 ~06 144 1 2 3 911 781 19 w.a 242 ~53 5 la.5 28.7 192 152 11.6 21? 2 m.? 7.7 72 18 m4 ~ 672 217 23 in 1989 ~ 1 2 3 l= Z= ~2 n.1 1S 545 2a 36 53 6 z 567 257 123 93* % 74.7 55.s 31.8 56.7 Iaz 83.7 7?5 66.9 m36 =7 65.5 2 196 ~.6 al 39 3ia 3 Tn 54.4 30.7 w.2 64.4 55 42 24 22.6 Zwm 1 496 76.4 194 63.6 145 111 97 19.4 24.6 25.1 353 =3 25 33 11,4 19.2 m aa 4 80 167 301 5.9 19.9 ~ 19 51 73 a7 5.7 16.1 35.9 211 13.3 14 !7 31 62 5.1 9.6 33.5 il.4 63 545 24.6 24.7 19.1 17 19 26 = 5.5 13.1 ~.2 If.a m 145 n 526 27.6 26.6 255 27.1 20 36 29 86 6.4 29.1 40.4 16.7 314 125 72 512 Ia.1 96 21.5 5.1 15.1 W.1 10.6 s m 119 162 27.6 43.1 35.1 Im 1= Ia.s 101 =5 677 2~ 103 1= 75.8 61.4 43.1 66.8 51 315 20.9 19.9 225 1= 46 4W 63.6 ~8 G9 74.6 31 = 13 75 11.3 17.6 13.5 m 146 127 243 60 32 s 76.4 QO 41.1 69.1 36 19 101 746 462 %7 1665 219 172 154 19.s 16.1 12 24 64 lW 5.s 14 41,6 18.3 41 42 36 119 16.3 28.2 28.3 22.5 13 26 62 91 17.4 40.s 17.2 79 36 31 146 28.7 27.S 26.2 za.s 19 40 51 110 6,9 30.s 46.1 21.5 275 131 lW 512 207 s 25 2W ~. 1 44.3 34.0 %2 87 33 18 136 120 18S 33 46 40 121 5.1 15.5 31.3 11.1 646 310 128 1066 = 1w 64 755 76.8 =.4 53.6 70.4 119 21 .s 16.4 192 21 2m 77.3 19.0 M 47 s 115 27.9 m.4 26.1 26.3 10 42 126 775 11.6 31.1 46.6 37.5 86 135 254 475 63 61 = 160 *.5 44.0 24.2 37a 26 39 64 129 243 28.3 27.7 27.1 17 36 111 167 67 ?S %3 66.6 66 21 206 2 52 62 54 166 W5 335 21.3 33.3 24 41 74 136 5.2 546 37 13.a 46 15.0 892 462 243 1565 269 163 ?39 230 475 P-in 1972 Unwbhti Nm N&P- PM ‘—~F—~F— 1021 380 72 1473 All P*F— 88.7 Si. + 12 58.9 101 8.7 263 36.7 197 as 591 23.2 37 m 32a 446 3.2 10.8 5 17.8 743 568 2mo 7210 425 70 aa.a 56.9 17.9 17m 86.9 49.8 13.1 53.4 2a 64 59 Ial 7 32 114 153 26 12.7 S.3 21.3 267 2s1 166 717 a9.4 55.4 11 59.6 27 7.2 92 =.9 75 =.9 134 m 13 19 111 143 3.4 7.6 S. I 17.1 m 248 2m a7.a 46.1 121 62.4 46 a.9 97 36.9 63 33.2 2= 21.7 17 2a 104 Im >3 78 7.9 177 82 42: 341 19.9 22 103 lW 231 662 115 25a 145 518 8.4 34.4 372 20.7 276 144 22 445 86a 54.3 18.9 al 35 84 49 176 11.0 35.4 37.2 24.8 722 27 10.3 60 46.9 64 13.1 26s 13? 777 401 1s1 23 89.1 59.2 17.5 575 83.8 34 66 51 171 7.6 33.7 36.6 20.5 15 18 5 86 3.3 7.2 428 10.7 4m = ?29 w 9.7 15.8 515 243 190 646 530 126 26 634 a9.6 57.1 19.6 72.1 48 7a 45 169 ?.9 34.5 %.1 17.a IS 19 61 96 26 a.4 46.4 10.1 562 236 131 946 26 = 72 137 2.6 7.5 33.5 a 663 518 215 1716 aaa W7 * 1254 89.3 58.9 24.3 73.1 62 159 64 333 8.2 32.8 42.6 19.4 26 33 6s 129 2.6 7.4 33.0 7.s lm7 S13 167 1716 10 41 251 mz 65 19.2 67.3 40.8 153 214 373 740 140 77 f7 76.4 34.2 5.0 31.6 26 102 m 221 +4.7 4s.4 27.9 =.9 10 46 za 264 5.9 20.4 67.4 Z.4 176 m m m 11s6 3 6s 1n 276 z.a a.7 44.9 11.1 1 232 125 28 363 2 337 I= 23 4% 3 452 777 23 -z 10.5 37.5 29.6 252 11.9 1 a79 a9,4 3m 565 51 23.7 7236 72.1 2 121 63 78 207 n.f 31.a 4.8 2a 14.4 46.1 27.9 312 38 234 Wxhti N&P= —WN— WN— F- 889 206 41 1136 1 243 79 17 33a 2 3m m 14 332 3 347 66 10 41? 1 766 la z 936 2 1m m 18 176 All Pm NW ~N— F— F— F- 317 ?719 Im 217 36 l= 91.5 56.1 18.0 76.o 70 113 81 26a 6.1 30.4 42.0 15.5 28 24 43 11.5 76 36.3 146 8.5 1152 373 193 1719 260 142 106 511 262 66 12 393 86.8 =3 18.6 76.9 6 s 29 69 1.8 14.6 46.6 15.9 25.1 43.4 13.6 7 2.3 16 11.6 25 %.0 4a 9.5 % 341 66 5t2 10 14 44 66 3 10.8 46.3 12.1 m l= 85 m ~ 66 13 W.8 67.6 23.7 432 77.3 24 41 24 a8 al 34.8 44.3 15.8 ~2 32 9 7.6 71 320 39 6.9 366 116 54 ~ 40 10.2 64 37.5 42 37.2 136 21 10 24 61 % 2.6 16.7 54 14.7 361 144 113 646 408 61 10 460 893 51.9 14.3 74.1 41 36 9.1 32.0 26 106 3.3 16.7 8 1.7 19 16.0 34 46.4 m 9.2 e 117 73 646 91.3 565 23.4 79.2 =9 75 26.8 46 48.9 171 14.4 23 27 26 76 27 10.7 27.7 6.4 836 262 64 1166 781 1~ 91.7 61.4 23 664 25.7 80.5 51 70 40 161 6.0 26.5 46.9 13.6 20 2.4 25 10.1 25 26.4 70 5.9 652 26 66 1lG 822 329 8.2 34.8 47 74 72 163 6 32 126 167 4.7 20.3 =.9 33 126 166 219 s 132 % 18 204 86.4 36.4 8.7 40.3 16 67 72 la 103 44.4 35.6 30.6 60.2 a 12.9 66.2 146 SB 120 37.9 337 19.6 26 = 156 2.9 14.2 46.2 244 14.2 93s S.e 15.6 663 8 3.1 42 =.6 41 37.6 91 !7.8 9 21 S1 81 91 48.5 14.7 =.2 20 6 63 40.8 37 33.9 110 19.6 87.2 45.8 6.8 =.4 66 6.9 132 46.6 32.9 322 3.s 666 39 532132 26 192 114 ~.8 147 26.1 1* 204 s PO- in i 982 Nd W N- W I F— 1~ 119 35 1160 1 366 4 14 424 2 329 m 9 376 37 12 2 119 44 13 176 31 88.3 36.7 15.1 66.4 96 1s % 289 8.6 47.7 24.1 ~7.1 35 70 141 246 21.6 60.8 14.5 82.4 40.7 16.5 72 20 42 22 M 5.1 %.9 25.9 14.3 10 22 46 8* 2.5 20.4 67.6 13.8 88.7 36.5 15 70.3 31 44 10 85 8.4 423 ?6.7 15.9 11 22 41 74 3 212 63.3 13.8 33 13.8 63 47 46 24 120 12.6 43.7 27.6 21 14 26 51 91 90.8 44.4 293 80.4 m 66 21 153 6.9 38.1 26 728 72.6 28.6 8.4 37.2 31 66 s 134 18.9 44.2 Z6 28.3 1166 112 a W.4 42.3 20.7 92 107 = 7.1 40.4 2a.o 1%7 772 237 14.0 z 46 ?1 148 25 17.3 57.2 8.a 1262 264 139 1663 64.7 46.6 19.0 81.6 75 3.4 31 15 61 363 m.a 10.4 9 13 26 47 1.9 15.1 512 a.o 454 86 49 =9 371 Iw m 636 372 80.4 37 43.4 7 20.0 417 .76.0 m 34 8 72 7.3 40.3 21.4 13.5 10 14 22 45 2.3 16.4 =.6 as 412 85 37 635 3.8 232 =.6 1s.9 3Z 112 67 571 365 m 11 406 65.8 3.4 20.4 715 47 40 17 Iffi 11.1 43.5 X3 ia.4 13 19 25 = 3.1 21.1 47.3 10.1 425 62 63 571 21 28 32 81 2.2 16.6 42.7 6.8 a lW 75 1164 876 75 19 971 91.2 46.7 28.1 81.4 64 66 21 1= 6.7 3s 31.6 72.6 20 24 27 72 2.1 14.5 40.4 6.0 661 166 s 1183 14 42 107 163 8.5 27.3 w 34,5 1154 1s 473 1= 46 9 193 74.6 37.4 6.8 40.8 26 ~ 34 125 15.5 41.6 24.2 26.5 *a 41 66 Is 9.a n.o =.9 Z7 lm 152 Is 473 426 42 9 461 40 In* 667 Pow m 8Z5 92 30.6 26 11.5 1021 =9 1 m 89.1 w n7 8 11.4 =1 70.5 2 282 B3 36 37.1 11 1s.1 m =.9 3 25a 74.4 26 22.6 7 8.3 291 53.3 1 766 86.1 57 37.3 14 18.9 857 7s.3 2 m 36.8 35 24.1 *2 7.9 137 30.4 I 070 64 23 a5.7 35.4 16.5 1175 72.4 366 415 91.4 a9 70 23 a 446 36.s 18.7 ao.3 5.1 247 56.9 IU 352 97 73 522 34a 34 6 86.6 42.% 19.S 366 74.5 26 32 47 105 7.5 27a 56 19.2 347 115 64 % m 26 6 340 T.9 26.4 11.3 =3 32.4 15.6 37 32 35 lffi 4 20.9 46.6 9.1 624 153 74 1151 a13 S 15 863 =9 37a 21.3 76.7 26.1 42a 26s Z4 23 4a 68 167 15 =.1 63.2 37.1 153 97 44 10 150 56.1 26s 72 33.4 132 121 126 42.9 mm ~ 20.3 60 60 l= 273 5.5 26.6 m.6 16.6 27 %8 35 36.3 19 27.1 8% 74.6 16 24 43 83 4 27 61.4 15 42 37 19 86 11.9 33.1 26 18.8 18 24 43 a5 63 57 30 1~ 18.2 46.6 35.7 27.5 91 64 9.8 4+.8 24 176 40 62 44 746 301 227 1623 41 122 W 54 71 laz 4.6 24 51.a 11.2 101 9.a 4Z 44 266 3t.a 16.4 23 25 9 57 5.0 41.7 27 103 16 3.5 12 24 52 19.4 66.7 9.4 453 m 42 555 39 28 13 79 9.7 35.1 =3 152 14 1a 22 54 3.5 Z. I 51.2 10.3 396 m 43 521 61 47 15.4 463 402 23.7 6.6 Z.3 46.5 14.0 s 21 12a 26 25 26 76 97 63 w 86 61 92 41.7 36 30 B s 3.8 20.5 47.5 a.6 s 146 70 1151 32 45 83 1W 19.4 305 60.7 35.6 167 146 137 450 =..31.1 1= 14.7 36 59 44 140 =6 =.5 =1 31.0 124a 236 136 1623 671 75 m 776 1 272 21 10 303 2 234 22 9 2= 3 165 32 11 2~ 1 = 52 16 ~ 2 ?9 22 14 112 al.4 28.6 11.7 57.8 121 ila 61 14.7 443 23.8 263222 32 71 163 3.a 27.f 64.5 a24 2Q 266 20 1342 763 75 27 864 83.0 34a 15.7 66.6 132 91 42 f3.a 422 24.4 2= 19s s 216 170 31 a Ioz f83 32 23.0 59a 13.6 1342 87.2 333 12 66.2 27 m 16 73 a.7 4?.8 16.3 15.9 13 12 57 a2 4.2 19 66.7 17.9 312 63 83 =4 20 7 362 a9.6 423 152 7a.a 23 20 10 s 8.0 423 21.0 1= 9 7 24 15.4 m 4a 31 47 63.8 10s 4a w 82.4 2a.9 ~o.a 59a 43 33 25 101 1s.1 43.4 =.1 22a 7 25 21 27.6 46s 77 37.4 264 76 83 443 275 23 7 % 64.7 =.4 122 -.7 43 27 77 87 132 4~.7 31.7 19.6 7 1s 31 52 20 22a %1 11.7 325 84 % 443 72.4 26 122 47.2 51 s 20 124 22.4 43.1 222 23.1 12 33 W 106 53 =.9 66.6 24.7 22a 123 164 33 12 236 72.1 31.1 ~a.3 =.0 m 45 14 119 Z3 429 20.3 27.0 15 27 41 64 5.6 2s.1 61.4 19.0 269 106 67 441 a3.a 36.6 16.2 66.6 = ~ 24 178 13.6 423 24.2 19.1 17 30 56 106 2.4 21.1 ~.a 11.3 666 142 66 637 * 52 15 861 64.1 37.6 162 7&5 s = 22 774 13.4 41.6 24.2 38.6 ~a a = 102 = 20A =.6 10.9 ?= 140 63 =7 67.3 7a.6 8.9 289 22 S 37 114 195 46.6 a.a 26.4 15 41 1s 152 133 34.7 67.5 44a t %3 IIa Is 386 a? W. I 24 19 130 22? 13.3 33.6 24 48 36 106 la~ U.6 24.7 28.% 22 16.6 =332 m 620 146 363 13 Im 146 333 % 441 42 673 ai.3 2a5 sa.s 1ta 27.3 1076 61.6 1 231 88.2 131 73.2 m 33.1 415 68.1 2 216 82.4 66 593 41 26.5 ~ 61 3 226 74.3 5840 24 20.5 m 54.4 1 = 83.5 226 56.1 65 45.8 %1 74.2 2 56 629 51 38.3 49 17.2 1S =.a lffi 115 133 12.8 23.7 =.8 354 20.3 46 66 lal 31a 5.9 77.7 41.a 18.1 626 466 432 1746 824 314 103 1241 282 la 6.1 44 476 45.4 79.2 23 23 s 127 23.3 10.9 267 107 36 411 84.2 64.0 333 70.9 32 40 22 64 274 = 22 7.7 43.9 2as = 62.7 = 63.9 17 &5 2a 46 91 15.6 23a 15.1 14 20 61 65 5.3 112 33.1 15.a 262 176 160 601 29 41 41 111 11.1 25.3 26.5 192 77 26 73 115 a.5 15.4 47.1 19.9 263 I= 1s m m la.7 46 46 152 31.7 363 26.9 la 4+ 47 106 s.a 2a.3 40.2 78.7 a3 75 35 163 1?.4 27.7 24.6 ls.a 37 42 42 121 5. f 122 26.6 10 1215 21 3a 23 T57 23.6 28a 34.4 31 12 44 136 194 13.5 32.1 46.4 36.3 66 133 285 w 14 117 s 72a 345 142 43 a3.7 W.5 =.6 7J, I 8a.o 146 60.2 22a a7.4 64 =.0 ala 75.6 63 55 4a 64.2 3.1 qa.q 167 32a S 65 63 213 5.6 13.3 34.6 122 16 13 31 59 4.a 7.1 313 9.9 317 185 102 23.9 23.5 16.3 la 20 36 5.a 12.1 33.3 74 Iza 318 167 64 576 56 45 27 la 1s.7 33.5 35.6 23.3 22 31 26 m 62 26 34a 14.0 m 135 75 w al 73 ~ la6 10.9 21.5 23.6 15.3 36 38 34 111 5.2 11.1 26.4 a.1 74a 336 12a 1215 la 41 89 146 18.7 26.0 =.1 292 17 45 ?31 192 f7.1 31.9 46A 373 * 141 266 507 112 108 72 113 222 26a 263 16.7 437 267 1746 68 601 Nd Pm N— - F— 910 414 133 1457 1 278 173 54 w 2 m 1% 43 464 3 326 103 36 466= 1 877 319 n ~207 2 80 85 B 218 8.7 Ia.1 31.4 14.5 43 58 aa 166 3.5 9.4 26s a.7 als 294 2<43 90.4 81.6 43.3 80.5 24 w 26 81 6.3 !2? 27.3 11.3 12 15 3t 56 33 m 29.3 az 371 233 107 714 359 14a = 544 88.6 73.4 39.5 77s 37 36 29 ?02 9.1 17.6 za 14.6 922 +a 9.0 25 27.9 G 73 406 W2 m W6 W3 104 31 527 852 *.2 =6 n.1 47 46 34 726 102 27.1 35.7 T7.5 27 24 = 76 4.a 13.a 3~.a 10.4 46? i 75 64 731 827 a8.7 75.0 46.5 81.0 ~ 75 4$ 192 a.z 77.6 28.4 728 28 32 32 63 3.~ 7.4 Z% 62 632 427 l= la 67.6 51.5 18.s 39.1 29 41 115 ~az 20.2 =6 =.1 30. I 16 47 123 186 l= 263 420 =.9 126 132 263 W4 129 162 W6 9.3 21.2 35 ~8.2 43 66 4.1 10.8 6W 188 297 36.9 fz9 463 2143 89.4 77.2 30.2 70.7 21 X 69 115 6.8 16.1 32.4 16.1 12 15 67 % 3.9 6.7 37.4 13.2 311 224 179 714 m 1= 46 = 88.! 66.7 27.6 69.3 32 41 52 125 9.3 20.7 332 17.9 9 19 61 89 2.6 9.6 36.1 12.8 344 Is 155 W6 a3. 1 55.1 24.3 45 52 52 ?46 11,4 27.8 =.1 20.4 22 32 w 114 5.6 17.1 40.5 15.6 396 187 146 731 88.7 74 46.7 80.3 738 61 78,8 44 27.8 186 132 30 31 37 * 3.3 ?.2 23.4 6.5 914 431 156 1= 320 71 1217 ~ =.9 16.6 36.2 23 47 Iia lea 13 = 146 197 11.2 21 46.6 32.7 116 167 320 603 87 m s 2W 96 19.8 =.1 36.9 31.2 1236 107 IT I 62 3~ 1 1066 446 86.6 m 27.5 6a 87.9 72.5 114 =.7 1= 76.8 154 56 866 1 166 67 21 26? 2 Zla % 77 291 3 238 31 76.3 45.7 19.8 59.8 114 106 96 315 f3.8 31.5 3.6 21.8 88.1 ~6 20.6 66 77 24 7.5 24 30 71 29.4 16.3 a 26 36 13.9 26.4 36.8 81.0 542 2a.3 66.9 126 a7 s 266 240 76 17 332 89.9 70.2 27.3 7a.3 6.4 n 226 107 la 435 17 15 w ~7.7 19 ia 52 17.3 26a 11.9 18 25 43 aa 6.6 =7 43.9 77a 274 110 66 462 2al 61 14 W6 af.4 56.2 25.0 w.a 42 2S z 60 327 120 83 5W 262 32 14 a 74.5 32.8 27.3 62.1 266 18.4 10 4.4 16 51 667 310 771 1447 58 s 71 6.0 f7.a 41.5 182 12.6 10 13 3.7 12.5 2a 51 46.0 71.a 106 60 435 132 24.4 37.5 ia.6 T7 5.4 77 16.4 22 37.s % 11.6 321 lW 56 462 66 42 t7 126 17.5 43.0 =3 23.7 w 24 21 75 8.0 24.2 40.4 44.2 376 63 S2 531 13.0 2a.o 32.2 18.5 267 l= 21.8 73.~ 25.8 2~.7 54,3 % 63 27 139 18 442 =6 26.2 29 8.9 S30 36 45.8 103 19.4 72.2 62 55 24 171 13 25.9 28.9 17.1 41 36 m 107 5.a t7 36.1 10.7 706 2?2 63 lW1 566 121 27 734 8~.8 66.5 34a 73.4 92 53 24 168 129 25.6 30.a 16.8 36 ~ 27 96 5.3 15.6 34.6 9.8 716 207 7a lm 66.7 25.6 %2.8 29.9 21 e 77 141 19.4 m.5 36.2 33.2 16 41 100 157 14.8 33.9 51 36.s 106 121 166 426 76 37 26 136 62.0 m.7 14.3 32.6 23 46 67 137 38.8 40.0 36.2 322 23 3 91 1= 192 26.3 46.5 SZ 122 119 164 426 34.9 31 25 127 763 166 46 -7 6.9 Z8 46.6 76.6 =.9 17.3 60.4 18 286 1 81.2 m 121 57.1 2 7! 827 m 2a3 1447 57 77 1~ 45 833 87.S 335 65.7 106 22.s 1326 ffi.S 1 263 88.4 146 66s 33 22.5 45266 2 272 w.? 129 =3 35 =6 436 W.7 3 263 W.9 110 56.8 35 22.7 433 64.1 1 722 a8.5 %7 72.4 64 =.8 1093 7a 2 w at.a n 46.2 41 132 m 352 7.5 26.1 35.6 19.6 4 4a 200 262 4.6 az 41.8 14.5 w 476 2012 7.3 22 4623 s 34.3 126 la.a 13 la 73 104 4.3 a.s 43.2 152 x 213 166 66s 316 170 32 518 a9z 752 30.7 75.6 300 169 323 141 2a 463 W3 723 31.0 76.6 361 112 =.7 36.6 s 497 329 7za 33322 113 16.6 a.a 36 34.9 72 10.6 71 753 170 364 646 m 425 s Is 66.4 71.5 31.8 75.0 aO 135 l= 320 7.2 =7 36.1 15.9 m 34 39 163 4.5 s.a 33.1 9.1 26 44 6.9 19.4 14 12 3.9 55 34 103 32.7 15.0 s 64 36.7 9.4 23 6.3 43222 37 40.a l= 16.0 72 10 26 4a 3.4 5.0 262 7.4 25 a.2 f8 6 47 64 126 24.9 41.3 20 10 13 s 7a 3.3 6.9 Z6.q 123 31 57 ~ 136 9 31 31.2 19.9 21 77 71 lm 6.1 9.2 al 16 164 1% m S7 w 52 207 221 323 14.8 37 4.5 19 4.5 4526 Tol 7.2 a16 424 161 1401 741 = 62 7111 w 73.8 423 76.3 m 91 4a 166 72 2i.a 327 14.1 3a 18 36 62 4.4 25.0 6.6 73 % 116 164 11.8 35.3 37.3 31.9 7 29 154 Iw 110 136 311 m 772 64 33 230 azs =.0 1= 36.9 13 9.4 54322 lm =7 176 =.5 10 = 131 171 7.7 17.a 46.0 26.7 6.4 18.6 46.5 329 644 345 46 23 47 az 27.9 12 4.5 Nti - N~ * F— 642 217 74 1233 ~ m 91 28 375 2 327 67 27 421 3 ma 5a 19 437 1 830 1s 62 257 310 aa 902 73.3 21 42a 3.8 10.5 =.2 9.7 344 135 30.6 76.7 13 14 26 53 mz 362 70 20 472 m.7 a.! 31.5 76.4 29 34 la a~ 6.9 29.5 27.8 73.5 10 12 26 4a 2.4 10.4 40.7 a.f 21.7 49.1 15.a 41a 143 112 674 427 67 15 496 a7.6 46.9 23.9 74.1 44 44 24 113 9.1 Z6.i 33.0 16.7 16 22 24 62 3.3 la.o 36.0 9.2 2a 26 29 a3 3 10.4 31.2 6.6 625 24a s 1267 640 I= 33 103I 90.0 63a 3.2 al.4 87 ~ 29 7.2 25.5 =.a 1= 12.5 27 27 24 n 2.a 10.7 27.9 a.1 13 41 12a la3 9.a 27.5 53.1 34s .1= 14 243 524 3* I 63 3a 2m 72.9 =.6 17.0 36.7 29 52 70 f4a 17.2 =.5 31.0 282 15 41 1~7 1n 10.0 a.o QO 33.0 8.2 31.7 23.7 16.3 10 i9 54 83 27 15.1 49.5 13.8 w 12s lW 85.7 41.3 i? -.6 41 s 33 132 e.a 37.1 33.9 19.a 19 31 55 I= 4.5 a9.7 =5 67 S 2a 160 7.2 26.1 m. I 126 26 5 77 1% 19.7 36.9 31.7 302 36 36.7 I024 ao.a 2 93 70.5 53 36.6 37 15.2 163 34.9 29.2 76.s a.o 162 30.9 11.6 30 40 2a 66 89.7 532 24.8 69.9 % Im 21 22 21 63 294 136 116 646 23 28 36 80 7.5 26a 32.1 14.1 4.1 12 %7 125 51 432 aO 14.7 aa 66.9 23.7 a3.a 95 Im 12s 373 163 la21 7.9 20.6 3.1 16.5 8.7 29.9 31 17.6 a93 m.o 3.2 13.2 36.7 9.0 1077 4m 33a 1821 64 121 105 320 1120 224 40 49 75 l= 16.5 47.2 ~4.7 a7.5 53.S 21.8 67.7 41 67 1m 266 3.8 ,/ 47 67 M 421 tla a5 602 423 W~hti N—-— 724 92 34 Em 79.8 33.8 16.6 61 S 1 287 87.S % 18 m 38.5 24 68.6 2 232 81.? 3636 7 11.1 274 &.4 3 211 m.s 22 9 242 24.2 13.4 52.6 1 644 83.6 65 45.5 19 31.1 728 2 66 2? Is 110 veq in 1 113 101 ?t 12.5 36.s 34.6 2= 25.6 71.7 6.3 =6 41.5 11.9 114 1=7 m.a 46.7 34.4 79.1 21 26 12 56 5.8 3 15 336 3S2 26.7 12.1 13 13 3.4 Ian 3M 73 17 43 38s 8.8 44 467 276 35 6 64.4 6.8 2a.2 32 23 I7 67 9.a 31.0 33.8 753 19 17 16 52 5.7 z 4.1 11.8 m 75 34 439 256 73.8 7 286 16.1 41.1 41.0 ZO 10.1 30.4 20.5 62.7 W m 15 101 33 z 21 14 M 26.5 36.s 15.3 =1 73 26 w 770 143 61 974 666 G 1a 747 64.5 47.9 33.3 7a.7 ~ 46 17 142 9.6 %.7 31.5 14.6 45 22 19 5.7 16.4 S2 133 53 65 0.7 674 123 126 la 3m 74 27 1? ~la 56,5 20,4 13.1 26s 3 47 47 124 22.4 35.7 X6 31.5 30 58 a 153 Z1 43.8 %.3 S.7 134 la 130 23 33 23 79 7.2 %.3 %.7 162 77 23 34 74 5.3 25.3 45.3 152 321 91 ?5 467 32 3t 21 64 11.3 33.7 33.3 19.1 20 26 35 81 7 263 65.6 ~a.s 264 % 63 436 56 37 27 122 19.2 40.7 40.3 26.5 n 32 31 96 10.9 =2 46.3 20.9 m2 91 a7 m 466 28 19.6 21 34,4 * 9.a 24 52 76 1% la.5 40.3 %.5 3 1051 220 67 ~ 47 165 20.6 31 25.2 m 38.8 %s 131 332 875 10.4 S.8 as 16.4 m7 274 2M 1386 S.3 20.9 10.5 27.8 F- lm 76 37 227 7.7 29.6 46.8 18.7 ?4.? All =N— 667 70 61 Im 251 80 10.4 50s 21 34.4 151 15.5 WN— F— F— F— PO Pwr NW Nti W 48 9? a3z 41.5 29 695 S mm 395 National Longitudinal Suneys (~S) Discussion Paper Series m ~ 01 MichaelR Pergmit How the Federal Govement Uses Data horn the National Longimdfial Sumeys 02 Nomm M. Bradbum M~in R. F~el Regfiald P. B&er Michael R. Pergmit A Comptision of Computer-Assisted Pemonal htemiews (CAPI)””withPaper-ad Pencil hterviews @API) h tie National Longitidtial Sumey ofYouth 03 Saul Schwtiz Mbefl Hutchens George Jtibson Dynaic Modck of the Joht Detemtiation of Labor Supply md Fmily Stictie 04 A. Coti Cmeron R. Mmk Griti Thorn= MaCwdy The effecti of Unemploflent Compensation on the Unemployment of Youth 05 Hew Evaluattig Compethg Theories of Worker Mobility 06 Frd L. Mott Paula B&er Evaluation of the 1989 Child-cme Supplement h the National LongiWdinal Sumey of Yo”tb 07 Au&ey Light Mmuelita Ureta Gender Differences k the Quit Behavior of Yomg Workers 08 LisaM. Lynch The hpact of Private Sector Tag on Race ad Gender Wage Differential md the Caeer Patternsof Young Workers 09 Evagelos M. Faltis H. Eli=betbPetms Responses of FemaIe Labor Supply ad Fefiility to the Demographic Cycle 10 Ame Hifl Jme E. ONeill A Stidy of Intercohoti Chmge h Women’s Work Patternsmd Emtigs 11 &leen Leibowiti Jacob Alex Klemm Lkda Waite Women’s Employment Durkg Pre~nmcy ad Followtig Bti 12 Lee A. Lfflad Work Experience, Job Tenure, Job Sepwation, md Wage Growth 13 Joseph G. Altonji Thomas A. DD Fmily Backgound md Labor Mmket Outcomes S. Faber 14 George J. Borjw Stephen G. Bronms Stephen J. Trejo SeM-Selection md InternalMi~tioi United Staks 15 Jmes J. Hectim StephenV. Cmeron PeterZ.Schochet The Detemtims md Consequent= of Wblic Sector md Private Sector Tmfihg 16 R. Mak Gtiti Thomm MaCmdy P~icipation ti Low-Wage Labor Makes Yowg Men 17 Alm L. Gus~an Thomas L. Stetieier Retkementh a Fmily ContexC A Stic~al Mdel for Husbmds md Wives 18. Au&ey Light Tmsitions from School to Work A Smey of Reseach Uskg the National Longimdmal Smeys 19. Ctil_opherJ.Ruh High School Emplowenb hv=ment 20. Mmk Lowenskh Jmes Spletzer hfomal Tmhtig A Review of Existig Data md Some New Evidence 21. Jacob Alex Klemm Ch-cterifig NLSY Data 22. Jacob Alex Klemm kleen Leibowitz Emplo~ent D. Stephen G. Bronms tiol Moore kcentive Pay, Information, md Eaings Evidmce from the National Longimdhal Suwey of Youth 24. Donald O. Pmons me Evolvhg S~tis of Female Work Activities Evidence from the National Longi~dinal Sweys of Matie Women SWey, 1967-1989 25. Donald O. Pasons Pove@ D~aics bong Maine Women Evidence ~om the National Longitidmal Suweys, 1967-1989 U.S. ~— by Consumption or Leave for Mateti@ Continui& kong PW~lNG k the WF1@: Modehg the New Mothem 1995 - l@-685
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