Postal Rate and Fee Changes, 2001
Docket No. R2001-1
)
OFFICE OF THE CONSUMER ADVOCATE
INTERROGATORY
TO WILLIAM P. TAYMAN, JR.
(OCA/USPS-TG-57)
December 10.2001
Pursuant
Commission,
requests
to Rules 25 through
28 of the Rules of Practice
the Office of the Consumer
for production
OCA/USPS-1-21
of documents.
dated September
Advocate
Instructions
hereby submits an interrogatory
submitted,
Acting Director
Office of the Consumer Advocate
KENNETH
Attorney
1333 H Street, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20268-0001
(202) 789-6830; Fax (202) 789-6819
and
included with OCA interrogatories
28, 2001, are hereby incorporated
Respectfully
of the Postal Rate
E. RICHARDSON
by reference.
Docket No. R2001-1
-2-
OCAIUSPS-TG-57.
Please refer to your testimony
you discuss economic
risks.
Presumably
costs, and the need for a contingency.
at 53, lines 19-30, wherein
these risks can potentially
For purposes
of responding
subparts asking for the impact of adjusting a basic assumption,
other facts and assumptions
(4
forecasts
of a need for a contingency
produced
understanding
the date(s)
testimony
to the following
please assume that all
would remain constant, i.e., ceteris pa&us.
Please confirm that the underlying
projections
affect revenues,
in June of 2001
economic
supporting
was based on DRI-WEFA
and, therefore,
of the economy as of that date.
of the forecast(s)
information
based
economic
on DRI-WEFA’s
If you do not confirm, please state
used by you and any other witnesses
you rely as well as which underlying
the
economic
on whose
data series correspond
to which forecast dates.
(b)
How would your estimate of a need for a contingency
GDP growth estimate
that was one percent
higher than originally
each of the years in your forecast through 2003, the test year?
reasoning
Cc)
be impacted
projected
by a
for
Please explain all
and calculations.
How would your estimate of a need for a contingency
be impacted
by a
GDP that was one percent lower than originally projected for each of the years in
your forecast
through
2003, the test year?
Please explain all reasoning
and
calculations.
(4
Please state the assumptions
for inflation in the forecast you used and
then explain how the need for a contingency
rate that was one percent higher than originally
would be impacted
by an inflation
projected for each of the years in
-3.
Docket No. R2001-1
your forecast through
2003, the test year.
Please
explain
all reasoning
and
calculations.
(e)
Please state the assumptions
for inflation
then explain how the need for a contingency
in the forecast
you used and
would be impacted
by an inflation
rate that was one percent lower than originally projected for each of the years in
your forecast
through
2003, the test year?
Please explain
all reasoning
and
calculations.
(9
Please state the assumptions
for the index of consumer
confidence
forecast you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
in the
would be
impacted by an index that was five points higher than originally projected each of
the years
in your forecast
reasoning and calculations.
(9)
through
2003, the test year.
Please explain all reasoning
Please state the assumptions
Please
explain
all
and calculations.
for the index of consumer
confidence
forecast you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
in the
would be
impacted by an index that was five points lower than originally
projected for each
of the years in your forecast
Please explain all
through
2003, the test year.
reasoning and calculations.
(h)
Please state the assumptions
for the unemployment
you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
an unemployment
rate in the forecast
would be impacted by
rate that was one percent higher than originally
each of the years in your forecast through 2003, the test year.
reasoning and calculations.
projected for
Please explain all
-4.
Docket No. R2001-1
(9
Please state the assumptions
for the unemployment
you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
an unemployment
rate that was one percent
rate in the forecast
would be impacted by
lower than originally
each of the years in your forecast through 2003, the test year.
reasoning
(3
for
Please explain all
and calculations.
Please state the assumptions
forecast
projected
on the level of business
investment
you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
impacted
by a level of investment
projected
for each of the years
that was 10 percent
in your forecast
through
in the
would be
higher than originally
2003, the test year.
Please explain all reasoning and calculations.
(W
Please state the assumptions
forecast
on the level of business
investment
you used and then explain how the need for a contingency
impacted
by a level of investment
projected
in each of the years
that was 10 percent
in your forecast
Please explain all reasoning and calculations,
through
in the
would be
lower than originally
2003, the test year.
CERTIFICATE
OF SERVICE
I hereby certify that I have this date served the foregoing
participants
of record
in this proceeding
practice
Washington, D.C. 20268-0001
December IO,2001
in accordance
document
upon all
with Rule 12 of the rules of