POSTAL RATE AND FEE CHANGES, i 1 2000 Docket No. R2000-1 NOTICE OF MAGAZINE PUBLISHERS OF AMERICA, INC. ALLIANCE OF NONPROFIT MAILERS AMERICAN BUSINESS MEDIA COALITION OF RELIGIOUS PRESS ASSOCIATION DOW JONES & CO., INC. THE MCGRAW-HILL COMPANIES, INC. NATIONAL NEWSPAPER ASSOCIATION TIME WARNER INC. CONCERNING ERRATA TO TESTIMONY OF WITNESS COHEN (MPA-T-l) (ERRATUM) (MAY 31,200O) Pursuant to the Commission’s Rules of Practice, Magazine Publishers of America, et al., hereby provide notice of the filing of a second erratum to the testimony Witness Cohen’s developed of witness Cohen testimony (MPA-T-1). regarding This erratum transportation concerns cost figures by Witness Nelson (MPA-T-3). The revisions to Witness Cohen’s testimony reflect late changes made to Witness Nelson’s testimony, which were made corrections after Witness Cohen’s are to transportation testimony had been filed. The costs and to all cost figures that use or incorporate transportation costs. The revisions can be found on page 4 (at Table 2), page 32 (at line 9), and page 34 (at Table 3). The revisions appear in boldface reference. type The attached in the attachment corrected to this notice, pages replace for ease of the original pages 4, 32 and 34, filed as part of MPA-T-1 on May 22, 2000. Respectfully submitted, I James R. Cregan Anne R. Noble Counsel Magazine Publishers of America, Suite 610 1211 Connecticut Avenue NW Washington DC 20036 (202) 296 7277 Inc. CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that I have this date served the foregoing document upon all participants of record in this proceeding in accordance with the Commission’s Rules of Practice. Anne R. Noble Washington DC May 31,200O 2 3 1 methodologies. This review continued in a cooperative 2 effort was completed. 3 changes proposed by the Postal Service in its direct case that were encouraged 4 by this cooperative effort. 5 mail processing 6 operational 7 further data collection. 8 of mail processing 9 witness Stralberg In this section, I review a number of methodological I also explain the need for further improvements cost attribution and distribution considerations methodologies and propose appropriate My testimony supports and incorporates costs to classes and subclasses (TW-T-1) and discussed presented 11 attribution 12 T-4) analysis of the new method. 13 their testimonies, 14 the Commission 15 improvements 16 methodology 17 In total, the costing methodology 18 Year Periodicals and witnesses Crowder’s As witnesses witness Raymond’s the distribution by Time Warner Further, city carrier street time (ADVO-T-1) and Hay’s (MPA- Crowder and Hay will describe in carrier street time study is defective, and should not accept it. Finally, I discuss several methodological MPA witness Nelson (MPA-T-3) and adjustments makes to transportation to rural carrier costs presented changes costs (without piggybacks) costing by witness Glick. I propose and advocate reduce Base by $293 million. Table 2. 19 Periodicals 20 Cost Attribution and Distribution 21 Improvements 22 Without Piggybacks 23 (in millions of dollars, BY) $127 Mail Processing City Carriers $57 Rural Carriers $13 Purchased $96 Transportation $293 Total 25 based on by witness Glick (MPA-T-2). in this section I discuss the Postal Service’s proposed methodology in interim solutions pending 10 24 manner after the field In Section IV, I estimate Test Year After Rates (TYAR) costs based upon the aforementioned cost reduction programs, the more accurate variability -4- the Postal Service’s own description practices and, consequently, costs. of highway transportation significantly Witness Nelson demonstrates principal contributing attributed decrease overstates the true variability of these that this incorrect model specification factor to the rapid increase in the transportation to periodicals Correcting operating is a costs in recent years. witness Bradley’s highway models leads to a significant in the variability of these costs. The revised model is included in witness Nelson’s testimony and leads to a decrease in Periodicals Base Year costs of $88 million. 10 The Postal Service’s 11 Incorrect 12 Distribution Of Costs For Amtrak There is a new type of transportation Roadrailers Is cost in this case, namely the use of 13 “roadrailers” 14 is not part of the current TRACS sampling system, so the Postal Service has no 15 data on the precise composition 16 as part of the Amtrak rail service. Movement of mail by roadrailers of mail moving by this mode of transportation. To distribute these costs to classes and subclasses, the Postal Service 17 uses the distribution 18 However, as discussed 19 analogous 20 movements 21 costs from the pool of accrued Amtrak costs and distribute it to classes and 22 subclasses using the inter-SCF distribution 23 Periodicals Base Year costs by $3 million. 24 The Distribution 25 the Use Of Rail To Transport 26 key for the portion of Amtrak that is sampled by TRACS. by witness Nelson, roadrailer service is more likely to be to inter-SCF highway transportation with respect to the types of for which it is used. Witness Nelson proposes to remove roadrailers of Costs for Empty As discussed key. His proposal Equipment Equipment reduces Movements Via Rail Ignores Of All Types by witness Nelson, the Postal Service transports 27 equipment for many modes of transportation, 28 via rail. The method proposed 29 costs of empty equipment 30 freight rail and Amtrak. including highway transportation, by the Postal Service incorrectly shipments empty distributes the solely on the basis of volumes moving on Witness Nelson corrects the distribution -32- of these costs, Table 3. TYAR Costs by Subclass 1 (in Thousands I Subclass Letters & Parcels Presort Letters & Parcels Private Pos+~~r~= ,L”Yl “U /Presort Private Postcards /All of Dollars) MPA USPS Attributable Cost Attributable Cost $12,736,959 $13437,357 $4,640,108 $5,019,464 ‘E539,919 $525,446 I $156.354 1 ;168,9581 _ .__,__. $2,717,012 $3,064,062 1 - 1Rf-lQRdI $A31 -882 <,,““,“I,” %iodicals _. .,__. Route $2,471,864 1 a? 831 !a?? I $208,577 1 $1,320,611 1 $1,052,15$479,204 5301 ,I 95-, $47,444 540,346 51,429,916 $1,539,113 I kdard (A) IPa Is Zone Hate i Printed Matter vry-,y, ,tandard Library Rate All All All 2 V. RATE CONSIDERATIONS 3 A. Overall 4 $1845 $l,lr _ , - _ _, _ _ $1,456,111( Rate Increase The Postal Service in this case has proposed that, by its own admission, a rate increase for 5 periodicals 6 increase of 6.4 percent. 7 average rate increase proposed for outside county periodicals 8 USPS-T-32 9 T -, - - -, - v”,“-“,“““, I is at least twice the overall average rate As stated by witnesses at 32; USPS-T-38 Mayes and Taufique, the at 6. In fact, however, the situation faced by periodicals 10 than described 11 county periodicals 12 Postal Service, averaging 13 American 14 responding is 12.7 percent. mailers is even worse in the Postal Service’s direct case. The rate increase that outside mailers are facing is, in fact, much higher than stated by the Business Media. 15 percent for Periodicals Attachment providing input to MPA and A contains a coded list of magazines to MPA’s most recent postal survey and the rate increase each will -34-
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