BEFORE THE POSTAL RATE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20268B0001 POSTAL RATE AND FEE CHANGES PURSUANT TO PUBLIC LAW 108-18 Postal Rate Commission Submitted 7/15/2005 4:14 pm Filing ID: 46083 Accepted 7/15/2005 Docket No. R2005B1 REPLY COMMENTS OF THE UNITED STATES POSTAL SERVICE IN RESPONSE TO RULING NO. R2005-1/38 REGARDING DESIGNATION PROCEDURES (July 15, 2005) The Postal Service hereby offers its reply comments in response to Presiding Officer’s Ruling No. R2005-1/38 (June 29, 2005), on the topic of appropriate procedures for the designation into the record of written cross-examination. The Postal Service first raised concerns about partial designations of interrogatory responses on June 27, 2005.1 In this pleading, the Postal Service replies to the initial comments of Valpak and ABA/NAPM, both filed on July 8 (although the latter set of comments was dated July 7). Both Valpak and ABA/NAPM take issue with a matter that the Postal Service did not even consider to be on the table – the opportunity for a party to counter-designate subparts of a discovery response of its own witness, if those subparts have been excluded from the designations of other parties. Both sets of comments conclude that such counter-designations should not be allowed. The Postal Service is in agreement with them only to the extent that, since the Postal Service is of the view that partial designations should not be allowed, no need should arise for such counterdesignations. If partial designations are allowed, however, the Postal Service would 1 Request of the United States Postal Service for Ruling to Clarify the Practice of Designating Parts of Interrogatories (June 27, 2005). very strongly disagree with any suggestion that counter-designations of omitted subparts (by the same witness) not be permitted as a matter of right. Failure to permit routine counter-designations under these circumstances would violate fundamental principles of fairness and due process. For starters, it may be useful to discuss the status quo. Valpak is apparently of the view that partial designations are allowed, because on page 1 of its comments, it refers to the consequences “if ‘partial-designations’ are continued to be allowed.” For what it is worth, the collective recollection of postal counsel is to the contrary, that partial designations have not been routinely allowed in the past. Perhaps both recollections are correct with respect to different cases at different points in time. Regardless of whether there has or has not been a consistent practice in the past, however, it does seem that some clarification is warranted. Valpak, however, is clearly in error on one point. In an effort to buttress its position that counter-designations should not be allowed, Valpak argues that the principal result of allowing counter-designations would be that what are currently filed as subparts would instead be filed as separate interrogatories. Valpak opines that “[s]urely this is not a result that should be desired.” Valpak Comments at 2. In fact, however, if partial designations are going to be allowed, as suggested by the Postal Service’s initial comments, this would be tantamount to changing the unit of response from interrogatory to interrogatory subpart. If subparts were to be the unit of response, and could be individually designated or individually omitted, then the current requirement of Rule 26(b), that the responses to each interrogatory start on a separate page, would make no -2- sense. The rule should then be changed to require response to each subpart start on a separate page. In effect, this would create exactly the situation which Valpak claims to be undesirable – each subpart might as well be submitted as a separate question, as the responses would not appear on the same page anyway. In truth, therefore, the circumstances which Valpak would view as “surely” undesirable would be a manifestation not of the practice of allowing counter-designations in response to partial designations, but a manifestation of the problems inherent in allowing partial designations in the first place. Valpak indicates on page 1 that it would oppose a “general rule” allowing a party to counter-designate undesignated responses of its own witnesses. It is distinctly unclear whether Valpak’s comments in this respect are directed at a rule regarding undesignated and omitted subparts (which the Postal Service believes to be the subject at hand), or whether Valpak is referring to a broader rule regarding as well answers of the same witness to entirely separate interrogatories. If the latter is the source of Valpak’s concerns (page 2) that the Postal Service could thereby insert “virtually anything” into the record through the vehicle of counter designation, Valpak is knocking down the proverbial strawman. To the best of its knowledge, neither the Postal Service nor any other party is advocating at this time that parties be allowed to counterdesignate responses to anything other than omitted subparts. Nevertheless, as discussed below, there may be certain instances with respect to other materials covering the same subject matter in which such a result could be considered consistent with the minimum standards of fundamental fairness and due process. -3- Valpak asserts (page 1) a belief that the problems which the Postal Service claims will occur if partial designations are allowed are “overstated.” To illustrate why Valpak is in error in this belief, it is necessary to go into the details of specific circumstances in this case, a step that the Postal Service would have preferred to have been able to avoid. The circumstance which triggered the Postal Service’s instant request for clarification was designations by GCA of certain subparts of responses by witness Thress, and omission of other subparts. Although the problems were not limited to GCA/USPS-T7-3, that question will suffice for purposes of discussion. (In order to make it more convenient to follow the discussion, the full response submitted by witness Thress to that question is attached to this pleading, and also appears at Tr. 3/301-04.) GCA 3 inquired about the matter of stationarity, which is a fairly academic topic, even for econometricians. The question and response consisted of five subparts, a through e. In response to subpart a, witness Thress had to explain the limits of a general principle regarding stationarity postulated by GCA. In subpart e, witness Thress explained exactly why there was no evidence of a problem with stationarity in his work. In between, in subparts b and c, witness Thress confirmed that, if present, nonstationarity can create econometric issues. In subpart d, witness Thress presented the numerical results of statistical tests regarding stationarity that he had conducted, but presented no interpretation of those results. Instead, his interpretation was contained in subpart e. On June 27, however, GCA chose to designate only subparts b-d of GCA 3, and -4- to omit subparts a and e. In practical terms, therefore, GCA designated those portions of the response confirming that, in theory, non-stationarity can create problems, but omitted those portions of the response demonstrating why, in practice, non-stationarity was not a legitimate basis to question the results provided by witness Thress. These circumstances illustrate exactly the type of unsavory situations to which the allowance of pick-and-choose partial designations can lead, and demonstrate forcefully that the concerns expressed by the Postal Service are not overstated. Examining the full response of witness Thress to GCA 3, it is beyond cavil that, if GCA were to be allowed to omit portions of that response, even under the most rudimentary notions of fairness and due process, the Postal Service would need to be allowed to counter-designate the other portions. GCA opened the door on stationarity by asking the questions it presented in GCA 3. Witness Thress did nothing more than answer the questions he was asked. If GCA wanted to close the door on stationarity, it could have simply omitted any designation of interrogatories on the topic (e.g., GCA 3). But having left the door open by designating witness Thress’ responses to certain questions, GCA would be in no position to complain if the Postal Service wanted the record on stationarity to be complete and counter-designated the response to the questions presented in the other subparts. (And to its credit, when the Postal Service did counter-designate those subparts, GCA neither complained nor objected.) On the other hand, if the Postal Service were prevented from counterdesignation, in accordance with the views stated by Valpak and ABA/NAPM, there -5- would be a clear violation of the due process rights of the Postal Service.2 A record in which a witness is required to confirm that something might be a problem in theory, but is prevented from explaining why it is not a problem in reality, does not meet the most basic objectives of fairness.3 In fact, as a hypothetical, the Postal Service would be prepared to argue that, even if subparts a through e of GCA 3 had instead been submitted as five separate interrogatories, due process would militate in favor of allowing counter-designation of any of the five responses that were omitted, if any were designated.4 As long as the omitted questions were on the same subject matter as the Valpak (page 2) erroneously claims that the Postal Service’s ability to file rebuttal testimony is somehow relevant to this discussion. First of all, contrary to Valpak’s assertion, the ability to submit rebuttal testimony is open to all parties, not just the Postal Service. Valpak can file a second round of testimony rebutting the testimony of other intervenors to the exact same extent as can the Postal Service. Second, rebuttal testimony is not a way “to insert potentially extraneous matters into the record,” as rebuttal testimony is limited by the scope of intervenor direct testimony. Thus, to return to our stationarity example, if GCA could open the door on stationarity as an abstract concern, but prevent the Postal Service from counter-designating responses that demonstrate its inapplicability in this instance, and if GCA were not to file any direct testimony on the matter, the Postal Service would have no opportunity to file rebuttal testimony covering the same ground as the previously submitted responses to subparts a and e. The ability to offer rebuttal testimony in no way obviates the legitimate concerns of the Postal Service, Valpak’s gratuitous comments notwithstanding. 3 In concluding that a District Court had unfairly abused its discretion by allowing opposing counsel to question the author of a letter about some parts of the letter, but refusing to allow his own counsel to question him about other parts of the letter, the Supreme Court cited both the common-law “rule of completeness,” and Federal Rule of Evidence 106. Beech Aircraft Corp v Rainey, 488 US 153, 170-72 (1988). That Rule reads: 2 When a writing or recorded statement or part thereof is introduced by a party, an adverse party may require the introduction at that time of any other part or any other writing or record statement which ought in fairness to be considered contemporaneously with it. 4 The common law “rule of completeness” referred to by the Supreme Court in the Beech case focuses on content in terms of subject matter: -6- designated questions, the designating party would have opened the door on that topic, and any responsive answers by the witness on that topic should be fair game for counter-designation. Fortunately, we are not faced with that hypothetical in this instance, since the questions are all subparts of the same interrogatory, which, under the current rules as understood by the Postal Service, constitutes the unit of response. The above example demonstrates, however, how the current process may not sufficiently protect the due process rights of the answering party, which is most often the Postal Service. If GCA had posed its five questions on stationarity as five separate interrogatories, the Postal Service would have had no discernible way to get all of those responses into the record if some were designated and other were not. Perhaps the remedy should be to allow a party to conduct redirect examination on any question posed to its witnesses, if the response to the question is entered into the record as written or oral testimony. Thus, intervenors who did not wish to pursue a subject upon which discovery had been posed could shut the door by omitting all responses on that subject from their designations, but once they chose to designate a written response [M]erely by reason of the fact that the first party has introduced a part, [the opposing party] has the right to introduce the remainder of the writing, recording, statement, former testimony, or conversation relating to the same subject matter. . . . [T]he common law right applies so long as the other passage is logically relevant to the same topic as the part the proponent offers. McCormick on Evidence, 5th Ed. (1999), Vol. 1 at 252. Both the Federal Rule and the common law rule constitute implicit acknowledgement of the prejudice that could be imposed on parties in the absence of a such a policy, and both address concerns which must be equally shared by this Commission, regardless of whether the Federal Rules of Evidence or the federal common law formally apply in these proceedings. -7- pertaining to a particular subject, the Postal Service could conduct redirect examination on that subject, just as it can with respect to any subject raised during oral crossexamination.5 It is possible that the current rules would allow redirect examination on such grounds, but it certainly is not common under current practice. In any event, the Postal Service does not agree with Valpak’s claim (page 1) that a right to counter-designation “would shift much control of the process of written crossexamination to the party being cross-examined.” As long as the party conducting the cross-examination has the ability to determine which of the subjects it has broached in written cross-examination will be pursued on the record (via designation), it maintains all of the control to which it is entitled. Under normal standards of due process, a party that has, on the record, opened the door on a subject with a witness is not entitled to place limits on the ability of that witness to address that subject. The door can be opened or shut, but a wedge cannot be inserted halfway to allow the questioning party to get in what it wants and keep out what it does not want. The stationarity example is a concrete illustration of the perils of how such an approach could be exploited. As the above discussion demonstrates, there are significant fairness and due process issues at stake in this controversy. But there are administrative and practical 5 The potential denial of due process inherent in any contrary conclusion is shown in sharp relief when one considers the analogous situation of GCA conducting its examination of stationarity orally instead of in writing. If GCA had orally asked witness Thress the questions posed in subparts b-d, there is no doubt that the Presiding Officer would have permitted the Postal Service, on redirect, to explore the topic of stationarity further and elicit the responses provided in a and e. It would be a clear violation of due process to prohibit such redirect. It would be no less a violation of due process to prohibit the Postal Service from providing its complete answers to written interrogatories. -8- concerns to be considered as well. As noted repeatedly, if the unit of response is to be the subpart (i.e., partial designations are to be allowed), it makes no sense to continue to set the requirement for separate responses at the full question level. Yet, we can once again examine the stationarity example to show that the structure initially chosen by GCA – separate subparts in a question addressing one relatively discrete topic – seems to provide the most natural and appropriate way to organize a record. Parties tend to ask questions on one subject within the same interrogatory, and introduce questions on another subject in a separate interrogatory. Treating complete interrogatories as the unit of response provides an adequate (if not perfect) means of separating questions by subject, in accordance with the above point that due process rights essentially operate by subject. Administratively, the current process has worked well, up until the point that parties began to designate some subparts and omit others. This practice created problems for the Commission’s Docket Section, and for counsel trying to keep track of what has been designated and what actually appears in the cross-examination packet. And as long as the Postal Service is afforded its due process right to counter-designate, and affirms its intent to exercise that right by routinely counter-designating any omitted subparts, the counterproductive aspects of allowing partial designations quickly become obvious. The comments of ABA/NAPM express concern (page 2) that parties may attempt to “improve” the direct testimony of their witnesses “by injecting into interrogatory responses self-serving statements which are not responsive to the interrogatory.” -9- Valpak never articulates its concerns so directly, but the tenor of its comments suggest that its concerns are similar. Neither party cites any concrete examples of this practice, and it certainly is not the intent of the Postal Service to employ such a transparently troubling strategy. Even if there were any basis to assert that this type of concern were well-founded, however, there is no reason to believe that changing the unit of response from complete interrogatory to interrogatory subpart would likely remedy such behavior. Witnesses intent on such a practice can just as easily insert nonresponsive material into each subpart answer as they can into a unified answer to the whole interrogatory. Ultimately, unless parties are willing to engage in far more procedural wrangling than possibly seems warranted, they will simply have to rely on the Commission’s ability to sort out the more relevant from the less relevant, and the more responsive from the less responsive. There certainly is no basis to assert that, to date, the Commission has not been up to that task. ABA/NAPM (page 2) concludes that the Commission should not allow partial designations if responsive counter-designations are allowed. Given the Postal Service’s view that due process and fundamental fairness would in fact require the ability to counter-designate, the Postal Service reaches the same conclusion – partial designations should not be allowed. Maintaining that policy (or adopting that policy, as the case may be) allows avoidance of any need to counter-designate. Administratively, it generates less work for the Docket Section staff, less work for the attorneys in the hearing room, and less opportunity for confusion and a transcript which does not include all of the materials which the parties understood to have been admitted. Any - 10 - particularly egregious examples of non-responsive answers, which for now appear to be an entirely hypothetical possibility, can much more efficiently be dealt with on an ad hoc basis. Respectfully submitted, UNITED STATES POSTAL SERVICE By its attorneys: Daniel J. Foucheaux, Jr. Chief Counsel, Ratemaking ______________________________ Eric P. Koetting 475 L'Enfant Plaza West, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20260-1137 (202) 268-2992, Fax -5402 July 15, 2005 - 11 - RESPONSE OF POSTAL SERVICE WITNESS THRESS TO INTERROGATORIES OF GCA GCA/USPS-T7-3 Please refer to your testimony USPS-T-7, Section III., starting at p. 254. a) b) c) d) e) Please confirm that it is a required condition in your regression analysis that variables be stationary. Please confirm that if variables are non-stationary, the results may be spurious. Please confirm that if the regression result is spurious, the estimated coefficients may not be correct. Please confirm that you have conducted the appropriate tests for the stationary character of the variables. If confirmed, please provide those tests. If not confirmed, please conduct the tests and provide the tests results. Please confirm you have corrected for the non-stationary character of the data if present. If confirmed, please explain how you accomplished that. If not confirmed, then explain on what basis you conducted your regressions. RESPONSE a) Not confirmed. The properties of Generalized Least Squares should be satisfied so long as some stationary linear relationship exists between variables. It is a sufficient condition, therefore, to have stationary dependent variables. The Generalized Least Squares assumptions may be satisfied even with nonstationary variables, however, so long as a stationary linear relationship exists between the dependent and independent variables using in the equation. In such a case, the true residuals in the regression specification should be stationary. b) Confirmed. c) Confirmed. d) Confirmed. I have performed stationarity tests on the data which I use in my demand analysis on several occasions in the past. Results of investigating the stationarity of mail volumes using a Dickey-Fuller test which were conducted in the fall of 2004 are presented below. A more comprehensive investigation of RESPONSE OF POSTAL SERVICE WITNESS THRESS TO INTERROGATORIES OF GCA possible stationarity and co-integration issues was conducted by my staff in 2002. RESPONSE OF POSTAL SERVICE WITNESS THRESS TO INTERROGATORIES OF GCA Dickey-Fuller Test of Unit Root (Volume variable only) Starting Date Constant and Trend Test Critical t-Statistic Values Constant and no Trend Test Critical t-Statistic Values No Constant no Trend Test Critical t-Statistic Values FIRST-CLASS MAIL First-Class Letters & Flats -- Single-Piece -- Workshared First-Class Cards -- Single-Piece -- Workshared Priority Mail Express Mail Mailgrams 1970:1 1970:1 1976:1 1970:1 1970:1 1976:1 1970:1 1977:1 1974:4 -8.7004 -9.8483 -5.5570 -4.8732 -4.6343 -9.3641 -3.1121 -4.2688 -4.1088 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4508 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4508 -3.4427 * -3.4512 -3.4480 -5.0723 -4.3528 -6.6716 -2.5708 -4.4955 -3.6390 -1.3124 -7.7846 -0.7004 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.8877 -2.8824 * -2.8824 -2.8877 -2.8824 * -2.8879 -2.8859 * -1.6284 -4.2629 -7.2127 -0.4168 0.2011 -1.4649 -0.8010 -4.0479 0.9002 -1.9432 * -1.9432 -1.9437 -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9437 * -1.9432 * -1.9438 -1.9435 * PERIODICAL MAIL Within County Nonprofit Classroom Classroom and Nonprofit Regular Rate 1970:1 1970:1 1970:1 1970:1 1970:1 -3.3855 -7.0748 -7.9730 -6.8543 -6.0134 -3.4427 * -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4427 -0.9144 -2.7774 -6.9952 -2.6355 -3.3244 -2.8824 * -2.8824 * -2.8824 -2.8824 * -2.8824 1.4071 0.3635 -0.1735 0.3980 0.6131 -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * 1970:1 1993:1 1993:1 1979:2 1993:1 1993:1 -3.1386 -4.2457 -3.9919 -5.9155 -2.9320 -6.2134 -3.4427 * -3.5107 -3.5107 -3.4549 -3.5107 * -3.5107 -1.3964 -1.8553 -3.6527 -6.6924 -2.5089 -4.3347 -2.8824 * -2.9266 * -2.9266 -2.8903 -2.9266 * -2.9266 -1.0240 -0.8357 -0.5430 -4.3511 -0.4549 -0.3698 -1.9432 * -1.9481 * -1.9481 * -1.9440 -1.9481 * -1.9481 * 1970:1 1993:1 1993:1 1980:3 1993:1 1993:1 -8.5504 -8.3013 -5.4841 -6.6764 -4.7210 -3.8398 -3.4427 -3.5107 -3.5107 -3.4573 -3.5107 -3.5107 -6.3978 -8.3914 -4.2095 -6.5317 -3.5663 -1.7962 -2.8824 -2.9266 -2.9266 -2.8919 -2.9266 -2.9266 * -0.5999 -0.1453 -0.0956 -1.7707 -0.9662 -0.4224 -1.9432 * -1.9481 * -1.9481 * -1.9442 * -1.9481 * -1.9481 * PACKAGE SERVICES Parcel Post Non-Destination Entry Destination Entry Bound Printed Matter Media Mail Library Rate Media Mail and Library Rate 1970:1 1970:1 1991:2 1970:1 1970:1 1970:1 1970:1 -4.0578 -7.1372 -3.9801 -14.0523 -4.4472 -5.6592 -6.3774 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4970 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.4427 -3.9722 -2.9272 -4.4542 -5.7088 -2.2023 -3.4052 -2.3755 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.9177 -2.8824 -2.8824 * -2.8824 -2.8824 * 0.0013 0.3877 -2.1577 -0.8554 0.4633 0.0998 0.4023 -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9471 -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * Postal Penalty Free-for-the-Blind 1988:1 1970:1 -6.2140 -10.4610 -3.4794 -3.4427 -4.0298 -6.6492 -2.9062 -2.8824 -0.0206 -0.5139 -1.9458 * -1.9432 * -0.0482 -4.0626 -2.2587 -0.2569 -4.6965 -2.2071 -6.6799 -3.1235 -2.4179 -4.0488 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.8824 -2.8824 -3.0124 -2.9266 -2.8824 -2.9266 1.7457 0.1121 -0.9805 1.8375 -0.1878 0.7204 -3.2418 0.1902 0.6065 -0.0034 -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9432 * -1.9581 -1.9481 * -1.9432 * -1.9481 * STANDARD MAIL Regular Rate Bulk Regular -- Basic ECR Letters -- Basic ECR Nonletters Enhanced Carrier-Route High Density/Saturation Letters High Density/Saturation Nonletters Nonprofit Rate Bulk Nonprofit -- Basic ECR Letters -- Basic ECR Nonletters Nonprofit ECR High Density/Saturation Letters High Density/Saturation Nonletters Registered Mail 1970:1 -3.4053 -3.4427 * Insurance 1970:1 -5.8137 -3.4427 Certificated Mail 1970:1 -6.1692 -3.4427 COD 1970:1 -3.7933 -3.4427 Return Receipts 1970:1 -4.6968 -3.4427 Money Orders 1970:1 -2.1205 -3.4427 * Delivery and Signature Confirmation 1999:2 -8.3619 -3.6450 Post-Office Boxes 1993:1 -3.9806 -3.5107 Stamped Cards 1970:1 -3.5371 -3.4427 Stamped Envelopes 1993:1 -4.0725 -3.5107 (*) Unit root hypothesis is not rejected at 5% Asymptotic critical values for unit root test by Davison and MacKinon: %5 critical value t_ct -3.4100 t_c -2.8600 t_nc -1.9400 * * * * * RESPONSE OF POSTAL SERVICE WITNESS THRESS TO INTERROGATORIES OF GCA e) The results of the reports cited in my response to d above suggested that stationarity did not appear to be a particular concern in the analysis of mail volume demand equations. In addition, Dickey-Fuller tests on the residuals from my regressions indicate the presence of no unit roots. Hence, to the extent some of the dependent variables may appear non-stationary, there appears to nevertheless exist a stationary linear relationship between the dependent and independent variables in every case here. REVISED: JUNE 23, 2005 CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I hereby certify that I have this date served the foregoing document in accordance with Section 12 of the Rules of Practice and Procedure. ________________________ Eric P. Koetting 475 L'Enfant Plaza West, S.W. Washington, D.C. 20260B1137 (202) 268-2992, FAX: -5402 July 15, 2005 - 12 -
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