News Bureau of Labor Statistics Technical information: Media contact: (202) 691-6467 http://www.bls.gov/bdm/ 691-5902 1 United States Department of Labor Washington, D.C. 20212 USDL 07-1790 For release: 10:00 A.M. EST Friday, November 16, 2007 BUSINESS EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS: FIRST QUARTER 2007 From December 2006 to March 2007, the number of job gains from opening and expanding private sector establishments was 7.5 million, and the number of job losses from closing and contracting establishments was 7.1 million, according to data released today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Changes to Business Employment Dynamics Data Beginning with the release of first quarter 2007 Business Employment Dynamics (BED) data, state level series are included as a regular feature of the news release. Additionally, all historical BED series back to third quarter 1992 have been revised, for both seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted series to incorporate updated and improved input data. In the future, annual revisions to BED series will be published each year with the release of first quarter data. Those revisions will cover the last four quarters of not seasonally adjusted data and 5 years of seasonally adjusted data. In addition, beginning with this release, BED data have been revised to the 2007 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS 2007). The conversion to NAICS 2007 resulted in minor changes to the data. For further information on the NAICS 2007 revision and its effect on BED data, see the note on page 8 and the U.S. Census Bureau Web site at http://www.census.gov/epcd/naics07/index.html. 2 Table A. Three-month private sector gross job gains and losses, seasonally adjusted 3 months ended Category March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 Levels (in thousands) Gross job gains ........................................ At expanding establishments ....... At opening establishments .......... 7,679 6,261 1,418 7,811 6,292 1,519 7,473 6,032 1,441 7,809 6,271 1,538 7,509 6,158 1,351 Gross job losses ....................................... At contracting establishments ..... At closing establishments ............ 6,905 5,633 1,272 7,395 6,015 1,380 7,462 6,110 1,352 7,297 5,943 1,354 7,071 5,796 1,275 774 416 11 512 438 Net employment change 1..…................... Rates (percent) Gross job gains ........................................ At expanding establishments ....... At opening establishments .......... 6.9 5.6 1.3 6.9 5.6 1.3 6.7 5.4 1.3 7.0 5.6 1.4 6.6 5.4 1.2 Gross job losses ....................................... At contracting establishments ..... At closing establishments ............ 6.1 5.0 1.1 6.5 5.3 1.2 6.6 5.4 1.2 6.5 5.3 1.2 6.2 5.1 1.1 Net employment change 1 .....….............. .8 .4 .1 .5 .4 1 The net employment change is the difference between total gross job gains and total gross job losses. See the Technical Note for further information. U.S. Department of Labor. (See charts 1 and 2 and table 3.) Over this period, firms with 1,000 or more employees accounted for the largest share of gross job gains (16.5 percent) and firms with 1 to 4 employees had the largest share of gross job losses (16.7 percent). (See tables D and 4 and charts 3 and 4.) The Business Employment Dynamics (BED) data series include gross job gains and gross job losses at the establishment level by major industry sector and for the 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands, as well as gross job gains and gross job losses at the firm level by employer size class. The change in the number of jobs over time is the net result of increases and decreases in employment that occur at all businesses in the economy. BED statistics track these changes in employment at private business units from the third month of one quarter to the third month of the next. Gross job gains are the sum of increases in employment from expansions at existing units and the addition of new jobs at opening units. Gross job losses are the result of contractions in employment at existing units and the loss of jobs at closing units. The difference between the number of gross jobs gained and the number of gross jobs lost is the net change in employment. (See the Technical Note for more information.) Private Sector Establishment-Level Gross Job Gains and Job Losses Opening and expanding private sector business establishments gained 7.5 million jobs in the first quarter of 2007, a decrease of 300,000 from the previous quarter. Over this quarter, expanding establishments added 6.2 million jobs while opening establishments added 1.4 million jobs. 3 Table B. Three-month private sector gross job gains and losses by industry, seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Gross job gains (3 months ended) Industry Total private 1 .......................................... Goods-producing ................................. Natural resources and mining ....... Construction ..................................... Manufacturing .................................. Service-providing 1 …......................... Wholesale trade ................................ Retail trade ........................................ Transportation and warehousing . Utilities ............................................... Information ........................................ Financial activities ........................... Professional and business services ...................................... Education and health services ...... Leisure and hospitality ................... Other services ................................... 1 Mar. 2006 June 2006 7,679 1,737 283 924 530 5,942 315 1,056 240 11 143 429 7,811 1,692 293 838 561 6,119 332 1,062 247 15 150 457 1,329 791 1,226 298 1,438 787 1,210 313 Gross job losses (3 months ended) Dec. 2006 Mar. 2007 Mar. 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 Mar. 2007 7,473 1,572 269 791 512 5,901 311 1,030 241 15 148 446 7,809 1,636 287 825 524 6,173 322 1,081 269 19 167 457 7,509 1,629 279 850 500 5,880 314 1,087 224 11 138 421 6,905 1,572 277 757 538 5,333 290 986 230 11 149 419 7,395 1,667 268 841 558 5,728 292 1,100 232 13 144 442 7,462 1,739 263 868 608 5,723 305 1,085 224 15 171 445 7,297 1,719 266 845 608 5,578 303 1,004 225 18 146 444 7,071 1,682 287 816 579 5,389 296 971 245 11 132 418 1,335 784 1,180 295 1,427 795 1,223 299 1,276 799 1,165 292 1,202 662 1,064 283 1,287 713 1,182 287 1,279 674 1,184 305 1,313 692 1,105 291 1,242 655 1,096 278 Sept. 2006 Includes unclassified sector, not shown separately. Gross job losses totaled 7.1 million, a decrease of 226,000 from the previous quarter. During the quarter, contracting establishments lost 5.8 million jobs while closing establishments lost 1.3 million jobs. (See tables A, 1, and 3, and chart 2.) The difference between the number of gross jobs gained and the number of gross jobs lost yielded a net change of 438,000 jobs in the private sector for first quarter 2007. From December 2006 to March 2007, gross job gains represented 6.6 percent of private sector employment while gross job losses represented 6.2 percent of private sector employment. (See tables A and 2.) These gross job gain and loss statistics demonstrate that a sizable number of jobs appear and disappear in the relatively short time frame of one quarter. Major Industry Sector Gross Job Gains and Gross Job Losses Goods-producing. Expanding and opening establishments in the goods-producing sector accounted for 1,629,000 jobs gained, and contracting and closing establishments accounted for 1,682,000 jobs lost. The net loss of 53,000 jobs was the third consecutive quarter of net loss in this sector. (See tables B and 3.) Construction. In construction, gross job gains from December 2006 to March 2007 increased to 850,000 and gross job losses fell to 816,000, resulting in a net gain of 34,000 jobs. This was the first net gain in this industry since the first quarter of 2006. Manufacturing. Gross job gains in manufacturing decreased to a level of 500,000 jobs in the first quarter of 2007 and gross job losses fell to 579,000, resulting in a net loss of 79,000 jobs. 4 Table C. Number of private sector establishments by direction of employment change, seasonally adjusted (In thousands) 3 months ended Category March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 Establishments gaining jobs ..................... Expanding establishments ................. Opening establishments .................... 1,950 1,586 364 1,923 1,559 364 1,891 1,535 356 1,954 1,562 392 1,935 1,577 358 Establishments losing jobs ........................ Contracting establishments ................ Closing establishments ....................... 1,852 1,506 346 1,899 1,554 345 1,909 1,558 351 1,892 1,542 350 1,900 1,545 355 Net establishment change 1 .....…............. 18 19 5 42 3 1 The net establishment change is the difference between the number of opening establishments and the number of closing establishments. See the Technical Note for further information. Service-providing. In the service-providing sector, gross job gains totaled 5,880,000 and gross job losses totaled 5,389,000 in the first quarter of 2007, resulting in a net gain of 491,000 jobs. Retail trade. Gross job gains in retail trade inched up to 1,087,000 and gross job losses fell to 971,000, resulting in a net gain of 116,000 jobs. This was the second consecutive quarter that this sector had a net gain. Leisure and hospitality. The leisure and hospitality sector gained 1,165,000 jobs and lost 1,096,000 jobs in the first quarter of 2007, for a net gain of 69,000. Number of Establishments Gaining and Losing Employment Another way to look at the dynamics of business activities is to monitor the number and proportion of business units that are growing and declining. In the first quarter of 2007, the number of establishments gaining jobs exceeded the number of establishments losing jobs. Out of 6.9 million active private-sector establishments, a total of 1,935,000 establishments gained jobs from December 2006 to March 2007. (See table C.) Of these, 1,577,000 were expanding establishments and 358,000 were opening establishments. During the quarter, 1,545,000 establishments contracted and 355,000 establishments closed, resulting in 1,900,000 establishments losing jobs. Overall, the number of active private sector establishments increased by 3,000 during the first quarter. This change was the difference between the number of opening establishments and the number of closing establishments. Firm-Level Gross Job Gains and Gross Job Losses by Size Class From December 2006 to March 2007, firms with 1,000 or more employees accounted for the largest share of gross job gains (16.5 percent) and firms with 1- 4 employees had the largest share of gross job losses (16.7 percent). (See tables D and 4 and charts 3 and 4.) In the first quarter of 2007, firms with 500 or more employees represented 21.0 percent of gross job gains and 20.7 percent of gross job losses. (See table D.) From September 1992 through March 2007, firms with 500 or more employees, on average, have accounted for 35.5 percent of quarterly net employment growth. (See table E.) 5 1 Table D. Three-month private sector share of gross job gains and losses by firm size, seasonally adjusted (Percent) Share of gross job gains (3 months ended) Firm size Mar. 2006 June 2006 15.9 12.3 12.6 14.9 9.2 9.7 5.7 4.5 15.2 15.2 11.9 12.3 14.6 9.1 9.8 5.9 4.8 16.4 Total .................................. 100.0 100.0 1 - 4 employees. .................... 5 - 9 employees ..................... 10 - 19 employees ................. 20 - 49 employees ................. 50 - 99 employees ................. 100 - 249 employees ............. 250 - 499 employees ............. 500 - 999 employees ............. 1,000 or more employees ..... 1 Share of gross job losses (3 months ended) Dec. 2006 Mar. 2007 Mar. 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 15.6 12.1 12.3 14.4 9.1 9.3 5.8 4.6 16.8 15.8 11.6 11.7 13.8 8.7 9.2 5.5 4.5 19.2 15.7 12.3 12.5 14.6 9.0 9.4 5.5 4.5 16.5 16.9 12.9 12.9 14.4 8.7 8.8 5.1 4.0 16.3 15.9 12.5 12.6 14.4 8.9 9.1 5.4 4.4 16.8 15.8 12.2 12.4 14.5 8.9 9.3 5.5 4.5 16.9 15.9 12.4 12.4 14.4 8.9 9.3 5.8 4.6 16.3 16.7 12.6 12.5 14.4 8.8 9.0 5.3 4.1 16.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 Mar. 2007 Share measures the percent of the category represented by firm size. Table E. Average percentage share 1 of gross job gains and losses by firm size, third quarter 1992– first quarter 2007, seasonally adjusted (Percent) Firm size (number of employees) Category Total 1-4 5-9 10 - 19 20 - 49 50 - 99 100 - 249 250 - 499 500 - 999 1,000 or more Gross job gains ............................... Expanding firms ......................... Opening firms ............................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 14.5 7.1 53.1 11.6 10.7 16.1 12.0 12.1 11.5 14.3 15.2 9.6 9.1 10.1 4.1 9.8 11.1 2.8 5.9 6.8 1.2 4.8 5.6 .7 18.0 21.3 .9 Gross job losses ............................. Contracting firms ....................... Closing firms .............................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 14.8 7.6 50.7 12.0 11.2 15.6 12.3 12.4 11.5 14.5 15.4 10.0 9.1 10.0 4.6 9.6 10.8 3.7 5.8 6.6 1.6 4.7 5.5 1.1 17.2 20.5 1.2 Net change ...................................... 100.0 9.6 6.4 8.1 12.2 9.3 11.6 7.3 6.2 29.3 Cumulative share of net change .. – 9.6 16.0 24.1 36.3 45.6 57.2 64.5 70.7 100.0 1 Share measures the percent of the category represented by firm size. Firms with 1- 4 employees continued to have the largest shares of both job gains at opening firms and job losses at closing firms, with 60.4 and 60.6 percent respectively, in the first quarter of 2007. (See table 4.) 6 Chart 4. Cumulative share of total quarterly gross job gains and losses by firm size, December 2006-March 2007, seasonally adjusted Chart 3. Share of total quarterly gross job gains and losses by firm size, December 2006-March 2007, seasonally adjusted 100 18 90 16 80 Cumulative Percent 14 Percent 12 10 8 6 70 60 50 40 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-49 50-99 100-249 250-499 500-999 1,000 or more 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-49 50-99 100-249 250-499 500-999 1,000 or more Firm Size - Number of Employees Firm Size - Number of Employees Share of gross job gains Share of gross job losses Share of gross job gains Share of gross job losses Gross Job Gains and Losses by State Over the quarter, Alaska had the highest rate of gross job gains (10.3 percent) and gross job losses (9.5 percent). Connecticut had the lowest rate of gross job gains (5.3 percent ) and Hawaii and the District of Columbia had the lowest rates of gross job losses (5.2 percent each). (See table 6.) Gross job gains exceeded gross job losses in 39 states and the District of Columbia. In 11 states, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands, gross job losses were greater than gross job gains resulting in net losses in total employment. (See table 5.) More Information Additional information on gross job gains and gross job losses are available at the Business Employment Dynamics Web page on the BLS Web site at http://www.bls.gov/bdm. This information includes data on the levels and rates of gross job gains and gross job losses by firm size, the not seasonally adjusted data and other seasonally adjusted time series not presented in this release, charts of gross job gains and gross job losses by industry and firm size, and frequently asked questions on firm-size data. Additional information about the Business Employment Dynamics data can be found in the Technical Note of this release or may be obtained by e-mailing [email protected]. 7 Comparing Business Employment Dynamics Data with Current Employment Statistics and Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Data The net change in employment from Business Employment Dynamics (BED) data series will not match the net change in employment from the monthly Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey. The CES estimates are based on monthly surveys from a sample of establishments, while gross job gains and gross job losses are based on a quarterly census of administrative records. In addition, the CES has a different coverage, excluding the agriculture sector but including establishments not covered by the unemployment insurance program. The net over-the-quarter changes derived by aggregating component series in the BED data may be different from the net employment change estimated from the CES seasonally adjusted total employment series. The intended use of the BED statistics is to show the dynamic labor market flows that underlie the net changes in aggregate employment levels; data users who want to track net changes in aggregate employment levels over time should refer to CES data. BED data have a more limited scope than the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data. The data in this release, in contrast to the QCEW data, exclude government employees, private households (NAICS 814110), and establishments with zero employment. See the Technical Note for further information. 8 Industry Changes to Business Employment Dynamics (BED) Data In an effort to enhance the comparability of industrial employment and wage statistics across Mexico, Canada, and the United States, and reflect economic activities within industries more accurately, the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is revised periodically. In conjunction with its counterparts in Mexico and Canada, the U.S. Office of Management and Budget developed NAICS 2007. The conversion to NAICS 2007 resulted in minor revisions reflecting content changes within the Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting sector and the Manufacturing sector; the restructuring of the Telecommunications subsector; the elimination of the Real estate and investment trusts industry within the Finance and insurance sector; and minor content changes within the Professional, scientific, and technical services sector. Several industry titles and descriptions also were updated. This revision was introduced by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) with the release of first quarter 2007 QCEW data, which is the source data used to derive the BED data. This revision had a minimal impact on QCEW data. Approximately 1 percent of both employment and establishments were reclassified into different industries as a result of the revision. With the introduction of this revision, some industries were directly transferred to new industries while others were split into two or more industries, with the original industry often retaining a portion of the establishments and employment. Of the 1,179 industries used by BLS under NAICS 2002, 8 industries were directly moved to new industries created by the NAICS 2007 revision. Involved in these direct transfers were 41,821 establishments and 829,263 employees. In addition, 13 industries were split into 2 or more industries. In all, 27,457 establishments and 662,125 employees changed industries via these split transfers. Since BED data are published at the NAICS 2-digit sector level, the impact of this conversion is not significant. All figures cited are preliminary and all employment figures cited reflect March 2007 data. For further information on the NAICS 2007 revision, see the U.S. Census Bureau Web site at http://www.census.gov/epcd/naics07/index.html. More information on the NAICS 2007 revision, including the implementation schedules of other BLS programs, will be posted on the BLS Web site as it becomes available. Technical Note The Business Employment Dynamics (BED) data are a product of a federal-state cooperative program known as Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), or the ES-202 program. The BED data are compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from existing quarterly state unemployment insurance (UI) records. Most employers in the U.S. are required to file quarterly reports on the employment and wages of workers covered by UI laws, and to pay quarterly UI taxes. The quarterly UI reports are sent by the State Workforce Agencies (SWAs) to BLS and form the basis of the BLS establishment universe sampling frame. These reports also are used to produce the quarterly QCEW data on total employment and wages and the longitudinal BED data on gross job gains and losses. Other important BLS uses of the UI reports are in the Current Employment Statistics (CES) program. (See table below for differences between QCEW, CES, and BED.) In the BED program, the quarterly UI records are linked across quarters to provide a longitudinal history for each establishment. The linkage process allows the tracking of net employment changes at the establishment level, which in turn allows the estimation of jobs gained at opening and expanding establishments and jobs lost at closing and contracting establishments. Differences between QCEW, BED, and CES employment measures The BLS publishes three different establishment-based employment measures for any given quarter. Each of these measures—QCEW, BED, and CES—makes use of the quarterly Summary of Major Differences between QCEW, BED, and CES Employment Measures QCEW BED CES Source • Count of UI administrative records submitted by 8.9 million establishments • Count of longitudinally-linked UI • Sample survey: 400,000 establishadministrative records submitted by ments 6.9 million private sector employers Coverage • UI and UCFE coverage, including all employers subject to state and federal UI laws Nonfarm wage and salary jobs: • UI coverage, excluding government, private households, and estab- • UI coverage, excluding agriculture, lishments with zero employment private households, and self-employed workers • Other employment, including railroads, religious organizations, and other non-UI-covered jobs Publication frequency • Quarterly - 7 months after the end of each quarter • Quarterly - 8 months after the end of each quarter • Monthly - Usually first Friday of following month Use of UI file • Directly summarizes and publishes each new quarter of UI data • Links each new UI quarter to longitudinal database and directly summarizes gross job gains and losses • Uses UI file as a sampling frame and annually realigns (benchmarks) sample estimates to first quarter UI levels Principal products • Provides quarterly employer dynamics data on establishment openings, closings, expansions, and contractions at the national level by NAICS supersectors at the state private-sector total level, and by size of firm • Future expansions will include data with greater industry detail and data at the county and MSA level • Provides current monthly estimates of employment, hours, and earnings at the MSA, state, and national level by industry Principal uses • Major uses include: - Detailed locality data - Periodic universe counts for benchmarking sample survey estimates - Sample frame for BLS establishment surveys • Major uses include: - Business cycle analysis - Analysis of employer dynamics underlying economic expansions and contractions - Analysis of employment expansion and contractions by size of firm • Major uses include: - Principal national economic indicator - Official time series for employment change measures - Input into other major economic • indicators Program Web sites • www.bls.gov/bdm/ • Provides a quarterly and annual universe count of establishments, employment, and wages at the county, MSA, state, and national levels by detailed industry • www.bls.gov/cew/ www.bls.gov/ces/ UI employment reports in producing data; however, each measure has a somewhat different universe coverage, estimation procedure, and publication product. Differences in coverage and estimation methods can result in somewhat different measures of over-the-quarter employment change. It is important to understand program differences and the intended uses of the program products. (See table on previous page.) Additional information on each program can be obtained from the program Web sites shown in the table. Coverage Employment and wage data for workers covered by state UI and Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE) laws are compiled from quarterly contribution reports submitted to the SWAs by employers. In addition to the quarterly contribution reports, employers who operate multiple establishments within a state complete a questionnaire, called the “Multiple Worksite Report,” which provides detailed information on the location of their establishments. These reports are based on place of employment rather than place of residence. UI and UCFE coverage is broad and basically comparable from state to state. Major exclusions from UI coverage are self-employed workers, religious organizations, most agricultural workers on small farms, all members of the Armed Forces, elected officials in most states, most employees of railroads, some domestic workers, most student workers at schools, and employees of certain small nonprofit organizations. Gross job gains and gross job losses in this release are derived from longitudinal histories of over 6.9 million private sector employer reports out of 8.9 million total reports of employment and wages submitted by states to BLS in the first quarter of 2007. Gross job gains and gross job losses data in this release do not report estimates for government employees or private households (NAICS 814110), and do not include establishments with zero employment in both previous and current quarters. Data from Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands also are excluded from the national data. As an illustration, the table below shows, in millions of establishments, the number of establishments excluded from Number of active establishments included in state Business Employment Dynamics data Millions Total establishments QCEW program ................. 8.9 Excluded: Public sector .................................. 0.3 Private households ....................... 0.6 Zero employment ......................... 1.0 Establishments in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands ...................... 0.1 Total establishments included in state Business Employment Dynamics data............................ 7.0 the gross job gains and gross job losses data in the first quarter of 2007: Unit of analysis Establishments are used in the tabulation of the BED statistics by industry and firms are used in the tabulation of the BED size-class statistics. An establishment is defined as an economic unit that produces goods or services, usually at a single physical location, and engages in one or predominantly one activity. A firm is a legal business, either corporate or otherwise, and may consist of several establishments. Firmlevel data are compiled based on an aggregation of establishments under common ownership by a corporate parent using employer tax identification numbers. The firmlevel aggregation, which is consistent with the role of corporations as the economic decision makers, is used for the measurement of the BED data elements by size class. Because of the difference in the unit of analysis, total gross job gains and gross job losses by size class are lower than total gross job gains and gross job losses by industry, as some establishment gains and losses within a firm are offset during the aggregation process. However, the total net changes in employment are the same for not seasonally adjusted data and are similar for seasonally adjusted data. Concepts and methodology The Business Employment Dynamics data measure the net change in employment at the establishment or firm level. These changes come about in one of four ways. A net increase in employment can come from either opening units or expanding units. A net decrease in employment can come from either closing units or contracting units. Gross job gains include the sum of all jobs added at either opening or expanding units. Gross job losses include the sum of all jobs lost in either closing or contracting units. The net change in employment is the difference between gross job gains and gross job losses. The formal definitions of employment changes are as follows: Openings. These are either units with positive third-month employment for the first time in the current quarter, with no links to the prior quarter, or with positive third-month employment in the current quarter following zero employment in the previous quarter. Expansions. These are units with positive employment in the third month in both the previous and current quarters, with a net increase in employment over this period. Closings. These are units with positive third-month employment in the previous quarter, with no employment or zero employment reported in the current quarter. Contractions. These are units with positive employment in the third month in both the previous and current quarters, with a net decrease in employment over this period. All establishment-level employment changes are measured from the third month of each quarter. Not all establishments and firms change their employment levels. Units with no change in employment count towards estimates of total employment, but not for levels of gross job gains and gross job losses. Gross job gains and gross job losses are expressed as rates by dividing their levels by the average of employment in the current and previous quarters. This provides a symmetric growth rate. The rates are calculated for the components of gross job gains and gross job losses and then summed to form their respective totals. These rates can be added and subtracted just as their levels can. For instance, the difference between the gross job gains rate and the gross job losses rate is the net growth rate. Linkage methodology Prior to the measurement of gross job gains and gross job losses, QCEW records are linked across two quarters. The linkage process matches establishments’ unique SWA identification numbers (SWA-ID). Between 95 to 97 percent of establishments identified as continuous from quarter to quarter are matched by SWA-ID. The rest are linked in one of three ways. The first method uses predecessor and successor information, identified by the states, which relates records with different SWA-IDs across quarters. Predecessor and successor relations can come about for a variety of reasons, including a change in ownership, a firm restructuring, or a UI account restructuring. If a match cannot be attained in this manner, a probability-based match is used. This match attempts to identify two establishments with different SWA-IDs as continuous. The match is based upon comparisons such as the same name, address, and phone number. Third, an analyst examines unmatched records individually and makes a possible match. In order to ensure the highest possible quality of data, SWAs verify with employers and update, if necessary, the industry, location, and ownership classification of all establishments on a 3-year cycle. Changes in establishment classification codes resulting from the verification process are introduced with the data reported for the first quarter of the year. Changes resulting from improved employer reporting also are introduced in the first quarter. Sizing methodology The method of dynamic sizing is used in calculations for the BED size-class data series. Dynamic sizing allocates each firm’s employment gain or loss during a quarter to each respective size class in which the change occurred. For example, if a firm grew from 2 employees in quarter 1 to 38 employees in quarter 2, then, of the 36-employee increase, 2 would be allocated to the first size class, 5 to the size class 5 to 9, 10 to size class 10 to 19, and 19 to size class 20 to 49. Dynamic sizing provides symmetrical firm-size estimates and eliminates any systematic effects which may be caused by the transitory and reverting changes in firms’ sizes over time. Additionally, it allocates each job gain or loss to the actual size class where it occurred. Seasonal adjustment Over the course of a year, the levels of employment and the associated job flows undergo sharp fluctuations due to such seasonal events as changes in the weather, reduced or expanded production, harvests, major holidays, and the opening and closing of schools. The effect of such seasonal variation can be very large. Because these seasonal events follow a more or less regular pattern each year, their influence can be eliminated by adjusting these statistics from quarter to quarter. These adjustments make nonseasonal developments, such as declines in economic activity, easier to recognize. For example, the large number of youths taking summer jobs is likely to obscure other changes that have taken place in June relative to March, making it difficult to determine if the level of economic activity has risen or declined. However, because the effect of students finishing school in previous years is known, the statistics for the current year can be adjusted to allow for a comparable change. The adjusted figures provide a more useful tool with which to analyze changes in economic activity. The employment data series for opening, expanding, closing, and contracting units are independently seasonally adjusted; net changes are calculated based on the difference between gross job gains and gross job losses. Similarly, for industry data, the establishment counts data series for opening, expanding, closing, and contracting establishments are independently adjusted, and the net changes are calculated based on the difference between the number of opening and closing establishments. Additionally, establishment and employment levels are i n d e p e n d e n t l y s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d t o calculate the seasonally adjusted rates. Concurrent seasonal adjustment is run using X-12 ARIMA. Seasonally adjusted data series for the total private sector are calculated by summing the seasonally adjusted data for all sectors, including the unclassified sector, which is not published separately. The employment data series for opening, expanding, closing, and contracting units for each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia are seasonally adjusted at the total private level only. The sum of the state series for opening, expanding, closing, and contracting units will not necessarily be equal to the national total private series because of the independent seasonal adjustment of these series. The net over-the-quarter change derived by summing the BED component series will differ from the net employment change estimated from the seasonally adjusted total private employment series from the CES program. The intended use of BED statistics is to show the dynamic labor market changes that underlie the net employment change statistic. As such, data users interested particularly in the net employment change and not in the gross job flows underlying this change should refer to CES data for over-the-quarter net employment changes. Reliability of the data Since the data series on Business Employment Dynamics are based on administrative rather than sample data, there are no issues related to sampling error. Nonsampling error, however, still exists. Nonsampling errors can occur for many reasons, such as the employer submitting corrected employment data after the end of the quarter or typographical errors made by businesses when providing information. Such errors, however, are likely to be distributed randomly throughout the dataset. Changes in administrative data sometimes create complications for the linkage process. This can result in overstating openings and closings while understating expansions and contractions. The BLS continues to refine methods for improving the linkage process to alleviate the effects of these complications. The BED data series are subject to periodic minor changes based on corrections in QCEW records, updates on predecessors and successors information, and seasonal adjustment revisions. Additional statistics and other information Several other programs within BLS produce closely related information. The QCEW program, also known as the ES-202 program, provides both quarterly and annual estimates of employment by state, county, and detailed industry. News releases on quarterly county employment and wages are available upon request from the Division of Administrative Statistics and Labor Turnover, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Washington, DC 20212; telephone 202-691-6567; (http://www.bls.gov/cew/); (e-mail : [email protected]). The CES program produces monthly estimates of employment, its net change, and earnings by detailed industry. These estimates are part of the Employment Situation report put out monthly by BLS. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) program provides monthly measures of job openings, as well as employee hires and separations. Information in this release will be made available to sensory impaired individuals upon request. Voice phone: 202-691-5200; TDD message referral number: 1-800-877-8339. Table 1. Private sector gross job gains and losses, seasonally adjusted (In thousands) Gross job gains Year 1 3 months ended Net change 1 Total Expanding establishments Gross job losses Opening establishments Total Contracting establishments Closing establishments 1992 September ………………...…….. 599 December …………………...……… 123 7,329 6,986 5,688 5,452 1,641 1,534 6,730 6,863 5,308 5,484 1,422 1,379 1993 March ………………..……………. 288 June …………………..…….. 734 September ……………….…….. 965 December …………………….…… 603 7,117 7,275 7,539 7,375 5,404 5,782 5,926 5,822 1,713 1,493 1,613 1,553 6,829 6,541 6,574 6,772 5,364 5,155 5,265 5,411 1,465 1,386 1,309 1,361 1994 March ………………..……………. 559 June …………………..…….. 905 September ……………….……..1,288 December …………………….…… 460 7,381 7,709 8,002 7,535 5,800 6,041 6,277 5,978 1,581 1,668 1,725 1,557 6,822 6,804 6,714 7,075 5,401 5,315 5,426 5,642 1,421 1,489 1,288 1,433 1995 March ………………..……………. 758 June …………………..…….. 358 September ……………….…….. 845 December …………………….…… 378 7,787 7,666 7,983 7,830 6,124 6,006 6,341 6,140 1,663 1,660 1,642 1,690 7,029 7,308 7,138 7,452 5,652 5,840 5,645 5,929 1,377 1,468 1,493 1,523 1996 March ………………..……………. 457 June …………………..…….. 631 September ……………….…….. 704 December …………………….…… 816 7,933 8,051 8,177 8,206 6,179 6,282 6,373 6,396 1,754 1,769 1,804 1,810 7,476 7,420 7,473 7,390 5,967 5,903 5,942 5,875 1,509 1,517 1,531 1,515 1997 March ………………..……………. 784 June …………………..…….. 584 September ……………….…….. 901 December …………………….…… 708 8,214 8,055 8,515 8,617 6,407 6,330 6,718 6,697 1,807 1,725 1,797 1,920 7,430 7,471 7,614 7,909 5,886 5,931 5,927 6,024 1,544 1,540 1,687 1,885 1998 March ………………..……………. 711 June …………………..…….. 610 September ……………….…….. 742 December …………………….…… 768 8,648 8,629 8,508 8,475 6,599 6,552 6,607 6,737 2,049 2,077 1,901 1,738 7,937 8,019 7,766 7,707 6,077 6,224 6,093 6,025 1,860 1,795 1,673 1,682 1999 March ………………..……………. 353 June …………………..…….. 644 September ……………….…….. 588 December …………………….…… 1,005 8,585 8,539 8,571 8,749 6,626 6,661 6,734 6,956 1,959 1,878 1,837 1,793 8,232 7,895 7,983 7,744 6,395 6,210 6,250 6,076 1,837 1,685 1,733 1,668 2000 March ………………..……………. 789 June …………………..…….. 492 September ……………….…….. 296 December …………………….…… 295 8,792 8,499 8,506 8,400 6,924 6,814 6,728 6,702 1,868 1,685 1,778 1,698 8,003 8,007 8,210 8,105 6,341 6,387 6,483 6,433 1,662 1,620 1,727 1,672 2001 March ………………..……………. -156 June …………………..…….. -792 September ……………….……..-1,184 December …………………….…… -960 8,436 8,009 7,608 7,591 6,694 6,319 5,917 5,932 1,742 1,690 1,691 1,659 8,592 8,801 8,792 8,551 6,717 7,050 6,991 6,858 1,875 1,751 1,801 1,693 2002 March ………………..…………….-39 June …………………..…….. -38 September ……………….…….. -171 December …………………….…… -198 8,049 7,890 7,608 7,522 6,259 6,164 6,015 5,960 1,790 1,726 1,593 1,562 8,088 7,928 7,779 7,720 6,424 6,290 6,248 6,171 1,664 1,638 1,531 1,549 2003 March ………………..……………. -420 June …………………..…….. -96 September ……………….…….. 180 December …………………….…… 332 7,423 7,415 7,369 7,560 5,901 5,944 5,898 6,027 1,522 1,471 1,471 1,533 7,843 7,511 7,189 7,228 6,306 6,040 5,828 5,792 1,537 1,471 1,361 1,436 2004 March ………………..…..…………. 439 June …………………..…….. 636 September ……………….…….. 182 December …………………….…… 797 7,669 7,771 7,612 7,883 6,174 6,251 6,036 6,268 1,495 1,520 1,576 1,615 7,230 7,135 7,430 7,086 5,796 5,651 5,889 5,655 1,434 1,484 1,541 1,431 2005 March ………………..……………. 352 June …………………..…….. 590 September ……………….…….. 651 December …………………….…… 539 7,578 7,796 7,943 7,846 6,107 6,248 6,362 6,278 1,471 1,548 1,581 1,568 7,226 7,206 7,292 7,307 5,800 5,789 5,846 5,936 1,426 1,417 1,446 1,371 2006 March ………………..……………. 774 June …………………..…….. 416 September ……………….…….. 11 December …………………….…… 512 7,679 7,811 7,473 7,809 6,261 6,292 6,032 6,271 1,418 1,519 1,441 1,538 6,905 7,395 7,462 7,297 5,633 6,015 6,110 5,943 1,272 1,380 1,352 1,354 2007 March ……………...….... 438 7,509 6,158 1,351 7,071 5,796 1,275 Net change is the difference between total gross job gains and total gross job losses. Table 2. Private sector gross job gains and losses as a percent of employment, (Percent) 1 seasonally adjusted Gross job gains Year 3 months ended Net change 2 Total Expanding establishments Gross job losses Opening establishments Total Contracting establishments Closing establishments 1992 September ………………...…….. 0.7 December …………………...……….2 8.2 7.8 6.4 6.1 1.8 1.7 7.5 7.6 5.9 6.1 1.6 1.5 1993 March ………………..……………. .3 June …………………..…….. .8 September ……………….…….. 1.1 December …………………….…… .6 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.0 6.0 6.4 6.5 6.3 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.7 7.6 7.2 7.2 7.4 6.0 5.7 5.8 5.9 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.5 1994 March ………………..……………. .7 June …………………..…….. 1.0 September ……………….…….. 1.3 December …………………….…… .5 8.0 8.3 8.4 7.9 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.4 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.5 1995 March ………………..……………. .8 June …………………..…….. .3 September ……………….…….. .9 December …………………….…… .3 8.1 7.9 8.2 8.0 6.4 6.2 6.5 6.3 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 7.3 7.6 7.3 7.7 5.9 6.1 5.8 6.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1996 March ………………..……………. .5 June …………………..…….. .7 September ……………….…….. .7 December …………………….…… .8 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.2 6.3 6.4 6.4 6.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.4 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1997 March ………………..……………. .9 June …………………..…….. .6 September ……………….…….. 1.0 December …………………….…… .8 8.2 7.9 8.4 8.4 6.4 6.2 6.6 6.5 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.9 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 1998 March ………………..……………. .7 June …………………..…….. .6 September ……………….…….. .7 December …………………….…… .7 8.4 8.3 8.1 8.0 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.4 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.6 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.3 5.9 6.0 5.8 5.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 1999 March ………………..……………. .3 June …………………..…….. .6 September ……………….…….. .6 December …………………….……1.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.1 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.4 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 7.7 7.4 7.4 7.1 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.5 2000 March ………………..……………. .7 June …………………..…….. .4 September ……………….…….. .2 December …………………….…… .3 8.0 7.7 7.7 7.6 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.5 7.3 7.3 7.5 7.3 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.8 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 2001 March ………………..…………….-.1 June …………………..…….. -.8 September ……………….…….. -1.2 December …………………….……-.9 7.7 7.2 6.9 7.0 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 7.8 8.0 8.1 7.9 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.3 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 2002 March ………………..……………. .0 June …………………..…….. .0 September ……………….…….. -.1 December …………………….…… .0 7.5 7.3 7.1 7.1 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 7.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.7 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 2003 March ………………..…………….-.4 June …………………..…….. -.1 September ……………….…….. .1 December …………………….…… .3 6.9 7.0 6.9 7.0 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 7.3 7.1 6.8 6.7 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 2004 March ………………..……………. .4 June …………………..…….. .6 September ……………….…….. .3 December …………………….…… .8 7.1 7.2 7.1 7.3 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.8 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 6.7 6.6 6.8 6.5 5.4 5.2 5.4 5.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 2005 March ………………..……………. .3 June …………………..…….. .5 September ……………….…….. .6 December …………………….…… .6 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.1 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.7 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.5 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 2006 March ………………..……………. .8 June …………………..…….. .4 September ……………….…….. .1 December …………………….…… .5 6.9 6.9 6.7 7.0 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 6.1 6.5 6.6 6.5 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 2007 March ….……..……….. 6.6 5.4 1.2 6.2 5.1 1.1 .4 1 The rates measure gross job gains and gross job losses as a percentage of the average of the previous and current employment. 2 See footnote 1, table 1. Table 3. Private sector gross job gains and losses by industry, seasonally adjusted Gross job gains and losses (in thousands) (3 months ended) Category March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 Total private 1 Gross job gains …………………………… 7,679 7,811 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 6,261 6,292 At opening establishments ………………….. 1,418 1,519 Gross job losses …………………………… 6,905 7,395 At contracting establishments …………………… 5,633 6,015 At closing establishments ………………. 1,272 1,380 Net employment change ………….. 774 416 7,473 6,032 1,441 7,462 6,110 1,352 11 Goods-producing Gross job gains …………………………… 1,737 1,692 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 1,469 1,438 At opening establishments ………………….. 268 254 Gross job losses …………………………… 1,572 1,667 At contracting establishments …………………… 1,320 1,390 At closing establishments ……………….252 277 Net employment change ………….. 165 25 Gross job gains and losses as a percent of employment (3 months ended) March 2007 March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 7,809 6,271 1,538 7,297 5,943 1,354 512 7,509 6,158 1,351 7,071 5,796 1,275 438 6.9 5.6 1.3 6.1 5.0 1.1 .8 6.9 5.6 1.3 6.5 5.3 1.2 .4 6.7 5.4 1.3 6.6 5.4 1.2 .1 7.0 5.6 1.4 6.5 5.3 1.2 .5 6.6 5.4 1.2 6.2 5.1 1.1 .4 1,572 1,329 243 1,739 1,463 276 -167 1,636 1,381 255 1,719 1,452 267 -83 1,629 1,398 231 1,682 1,421 261 -53 7.3 6.2 1.1 6.7 5.6 1.1 .6 7.2 6.1 1.1 7.1 5.9 1.2 .1 6.6 5.6 1.0 7.4 6.2 1.2 -.8 7.0 5.9 1.1 7.3 6.2 1.1 -.3 6.9 5.9 1.0 7.1 6.0 1.1 -.2 Natural resources and mining Gross job gains ……………………………283 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 241 At opening establishments ………………….. 42 Gross job losses ……………………………277 At contracting establishments …………………… 236 At closing establishments ………………. 41 Net employment change ………….. 6 293 250 43 268 229 39 25 269 230 39 263 223 40 6 287 245 42 266 230 36 21 279 241 38 287 248 39 -8 16.0 13.6 2.4 15.6 13.3 2.3 .4 16.5 14.1 2.4 15.1 12.9 2.2 1.4 15.1 12.9 2.2 14.8 12.5 2.3 .3 15.9 13.6 2.3 14.7 12.7 2.0 1.2 15.3 13.2 2.1 15.6 13.5 2.1 -.3 Construction Gross job gains ……………………………924 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 746 At opening establishments ………………….. 178 Gross job losses ……………………………757 At contracting establishments …………………… 605 At closing establishments ……………….152 Net employment change ………….. 167 838 679 159 841 676 165 -3 791 636 155 868 702 166 -77 825 663 162 845 683 162 -20 850 699 151 816 655 161 34 12.1 9.8 2.3 9.9 7.9 2.0 2.2 10.9 8.8 2.1 10.9 8.8 2.1 .0 10.3 8.3 2.0 11.4 9.2 2.2 -1.1 10.8 8.7 2.1 11.1 9.0 2.1 -.3 11.1 9.1 2.0 10.6 8.5 2.1 .5 Manufacturing Gross job gains ……………………………530 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 482 At opening establishments ………………….. 48 Gross job losses ……………………………538 At contracting establishments …………………… 479 At closing establishments ………………. 59 Net employment change ………….. -8 561 509 52 558 485 73 3 512 463 49 608 538 70 -96 524 473 51 608 539 69 -84 500 458 42 579 518 61 -79 3.7 3.4 .3 3.8 3.4 .4 -.1 4.0 3.6 .4 3.9 3.4 .5 .1 3.6 3.3 .3 4.3 3.8 .5 -.7 3.8 3.4 .4 4.3 3.8 .5 -.5 3.6 3.3 .3 4.1 3.7 .4 -.5 Service-providing 1 Gross job gains …………………………… 5,942 6,119 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 4,792 4,854 At opening establishments ………………….. 1,150 1,265 Gross job losses …………………………… 5,333 5,728 At contracting establishments …………………… 4,313 4,625 At closing establishments ………………. 1,020 1,103 Net employment change ………….. 609 391 5,901 4,703 1,198 5,723 4,647 1,076 178 6,173 4,890 1,283 5,578 4,491 1,087 595 5,880 4,760 1,120 5,389 4,375 1,014 491 6.7 5.4 1.3 6.1 4.9 1.2 .6 6.9 5.5 1.4 6.4 5.2 1.2 .5 6.6 5.3 1.3 6.4 5.2 1.2 .2 6.9 5.5 1.4 6.2 5.0 1.2 .7 6.5 5.3 1.2 6.0 4.9 1.1 .5 311 253 58 305 238 67 6 322 262 60 303 236 67 19 314 256 58 296 230 66 18 5.4 4.5 .9 4.9 3.8 1.1 .5 5.7 4.6 1.1 4.9 3.8 1.1 .8 5.3 4.3 1.0 5.1 4.0 1.1 .2 5.4 4.4 1.0 5.1 4.0 1.1 .3 5.3 4.3 1.0 5.0 3.9 1.1 .3 Wholesale trade Gross job gains ……………………………315 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 261 At opening establishments ………………….. 54 Gross job losses ……………………………290 At contracting establishments …………………… 224 At closing establishments ………………. 66 Net employment change ………….. 25 See footnote at end of table. 332 270 62 292 226 66 40 Table 3. Private sector gross job gains and losses by industry, seasonally adjusted—Continued Gross job gains and losses (in thousands) (3 months ended) Category March 2006 June 2006 Retail trade Gross job gains …………………………… 1,056 1,062 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 901 876 At opening establishments ………………….. 155 186 Gross job losses ……………………………986 1,100 At contracting establishments …………………… 840 942 At closing establishments ……………….146 158 Net employment change ………….. 70 -38 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 1,030 850 180 1,085 923 162 -55 Gross job gains and losses as a percent of employment (3 months ended) March 2007 March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 1,081 898 183 1,004 857 147 77 1,087 941 146 971 827 144 116 6.8 5.8 1.0 6.3 5.4 .9 .5 6.9 5.7 1.2 7.1 6.1 1.0 -.2 6.7 5.5 1.2 7.0 6.0 1.0 -.3 7.0 5.8 1.2 6.5 5.5 1.0 .5 7.0 6.1 .9 6.2 5.3 .9 .8 Transportation and warehousing Gross job gains ……………………………240 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 204 At opening establishments ………………….. 36 Gross job losses ……………………………230 At contracting establishments …………………… 195 At closing establishments ………………. 35 Net employment change ………….. 10 247 207 40 232 191 41 15 241 207 34 224 186 38 17 269 231 38 225 185 40 44 224 192 32 245 211 34 -21 5.8 4.9 .9 5.4 4.6 .8 .4 5.8 4.9 .9 5.5 4.5 1.0 .3 5.7 4.9 .8 5.3 4.4 .9 .4 6.3 5.4 .9 5.2 4.3 .9 1.1 5.2 4.5 .7 5.7 4.9 .8 -.5 Utilities Gross job gains …………………………… 11 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 10 At opening establishments ………………….. 1 Gross job losses …………………………… 11 At contracting establishments …………………… 9 At closing establishments ………………. 2 Net employment change ………….. 0 15 13 2 13 11 2 2 15 14 1 15 13 2 0 19 13 6 18 13 5 1 11 10 1 11 10 1 0 2.0 1.8 .2 2.0 1.6 .4 .0 2.8 2.4 .4 2.4 2.0 .4 .4 2.8 2.6 .2 2.8 2.4 .4 .0 3.5 2.4 1.1 3.3 2.4 .9 .2 2.0 1.8 .2 2.0 1.8 .2 .0 Information Gross job gains ……………………………143 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 122 At opening establishments ………………….. 21 Gross job losses ……………………………149 At contracting establishments …………………… 121 At closing establishments ………………. 28 Net employment change ………….. -6 150 124 26 144 116 28 6 148 123 25 171 142 29 -23 167 138 29 146 114 32 21 138 118 20 132 108 24 6 4.7 4.0 .7 4.9 4.0 .9 -.2 5.0 4.1 .9 4.7 3.8 .9 .3 4.8 4.0 .8 5.6 4.7 .9 -.8 5.5 4.5 1.0 4.7 3.7 1.0 .8 4.6 3.9 .7 4.4 3.6 .8 .2 Financial activities Gross job gains ……………………………429 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 342 At opening establishments ………………….. 87 Gross job losses ……………………………419 At contracting establishments …………………… 324 At closing establishments ………………. 95 Net employment change ………….. 10 457 353 104 442 342 100 15 446 350 96 445 343 102 1 457 347 110 444 338 106 13 421 335 86 418 320 98 3 5.3 4.2 1.1 5.2 4.0 1.2 .1 5.6 4.3 1.3 5.4 4.2 1.2 .2 5.5 4.3 1.2 5.4 4.2 1.2 .1 5.5 4.2 1.3 5.4 4.1 1.3 .1 5.1 4.1 1.0 5.1 3.9 1.2 .0 Professional and business services Gross job gains …………………………… 1,329 1,438 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 1,088 1,164 At opening establishments ………………….. 241 274 Gross job losses …………………………… 1,202 1,287 At contracting establishments …………………… 969 1,006 At closing establishments ……………….233 281 Net employment change ………….. 127 151 1,335 1,093 242 1,279 1,029 250 56 1,427 1,149 278 1,313 1,057 256 114 1,276 1,064 212 1,242 996 246 34 7.7 6.3 1.4 6.9 5.6 1.3 .8 8.3 6.7 1.6 7.3 5.7 1.6 1.0 7.6 6.2 1.4 7.3 5.9 1.4 .3 8.1 6.5 1.6 7.4 6.0 1.4 .7 7.2 6.0 1.2 7.0 5.6 1.4 .2 784 665 119 674 561 113 110 795 666 129 692 558 134 103 799 678 121 655 540 115 144 4.7 4.0 .7 3.9 3.2 .7 .8 4.7 3.9 .8 4.2 3.5 .7 .5 4.6 3.9 .7 4.0 3.3 .7 .6 4.7 3.9 .8 4.1 3.3 .8 .6 4.6 3.9 .7 3.8 3.1 .7 .8 Education and health services Gross job gains ……………………………791 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 670 At opening establishments ………………….. 121 Gross job losses ……………………………662 At contracting establishments …………………… 544 At closing establishments ……………….118 Net employment change ………….. 129 See footnote at end of table. 787 659 128 713 595 118 74 Table 3. Private sector gross job gains and losses by industry, seasonally adjusted—Continued Gross job gains and losses (in thousands) (3 months ended) Category March 2006 June 2006 Leisure and hospitality Gross job gains …………………………… 1,226 1,210 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 938 925 At opening establishments ………………….. 288 285 Gross job losses …………………………… 1,064 1,182 At contracting establishments …………………… 855 958 At closing establishments ……………….209 224 Net employment change ………….. 162 28 Other services Gross job gains ……………………………298 At expanding establishments ……………………….. 240 At opening establishments ………………….. 58 Gross job losses ……………………………283 At contracting establishments …………………… 220 At closing establishments ………………. 63 Net employment change ………….. 15 1 Includes unclassified sector, not shown separately. 313 248 65 287 225 62 26 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 1,180 896 284 1,184 959 225 -4 295 235 60 305 240 65 -10 Gross job gains and losses as a percent of employment (3 months ended) March 2007 March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 1,223 932 291 1,105 892 213 118 1,165 903 262 1,096 902 194 69 9.4 7.2 2.2 8.2 6.6 1.6 1.2 9.3 7.1 2.2 9.0 7.3 1.7 .3 9.1 6.9 2.2 9.0 7.3 1.7 .1 9.3 7.1 2.2 8.4 6.8 1.6 .9 8.8 6.8 2.0 8.3 6.8 1.5 .5 299 238 61 291 228 63 8 292 239 53 278 217 61 14 7.8 6.3 1.5 7.4 5.8 1.6 .4 8.1 6.4 1.7 7.4 5.8 1.6 .7 7.7 6.1 1.6 7.9 6.2 1.7 -.2 7.8 6.2 1.6 7.5 5.9 1.6 .3 7.6 6.2 1.4 7.2 5.6 1.6 .4 Table 4. Private sector percentage share 1 of gross job gains and losses, seasonally adjusted (Percent) 3 months ended Category March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 Total private Gross job gains ………………………...……..100.0 Expanding firms ……………….…………...100.0 Opening firms ………………….……….. 100.0 Gross job losses …………………..……...…...100.0 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 100.0 100.0 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Firm size 1 - 4 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 15.9 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 7.4 58.8 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 16.9 8.4 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 59.6 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 15.2 7.2 57.0 15.9 8.0 58.2 15.6 7.5 58.6 15.8 7.8 58.8 15.8 7.2 60.6 15.9 8.0 58.5 15.7 7.4 60.4 16.7 8.2 60.6 Firm size 5 - 9 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 12.3 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 11.5 16.8 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 12.9 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 12.3 16.1 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 11.9 11.1 16.6 12.5 11.8 16.3 12.1 11.3 16.6 12.2 11.5 16.0 11.6 10.8 15.8 12.4 11.7 16.1 12.3 11.5 16.6 12.6 11.9 15.9 Firm size 10 - 19 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 12.6 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 12.9 11.1 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 12.9 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 13.4 10.6 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 12.3 12.4 11.4 12.6 13.0 10.7 12.3 12.5 11.0 12.4 12.7 10.6 11.7 12.0 10.3 12.4 12.8 10.6 12.5 12.8 10.8 12.5 12.9 10.3 Firm size 20 - 49 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 14.9 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 16.2 7.9 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 14.4 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 15.7 7.9 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 14.6 15.8 8.6 14.4 15.6 8.3 14.4 15.6 8.3 14.5 15.7 8.1 13.8 14.9 7.9 14.4 15.6 8.0 14.6 15.9 7.7 14.4 15.7 7.5 Firm size 50 - 99 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 9.2 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 10.5 2.7 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 8.7 9.8 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 3.0 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 9.1 10.3 3.2 8.9 9.9 3.3 9.1 10.2 3.1 8.9 9.9 3.1 8.7 9.8 3.0 8.9 10.0 3.1 9.0 10.2 2.5 8.8 10.0 2.9 See footnote at end of table. Table 4. Private sector percentage share 1 of gross job gains and losses, seasonally adjusted—Continued (Percent) 3 months ended Category March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 Firm size 100 - 249 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 9.7 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 11.3 1.4 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 8.8 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 10.2 1.8 Closing firms ………………………....….…..… 9.8 11.3 1.7 9.1 10.4 2.1 9.3 10.8 1.5 9.3 10.7 2.0 9.2 10.6 1.5 9.3 10.6 1.9 9.4 11.0 1.0 9.0 10.5 1.7 Firm size 250 - 499 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 5.7 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 6.7 .5 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 5.1 6.0 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... Closing firms ………………………....….…..….6 5.9 6.9 .4 5.4 6.2 .7 5.8 6.8 .4 5.5 6.4 .7 5.5 6.4 .5 5.8 6.8 .6 5.5 6.4 .3 5.3 6.3 .5 Firm size 500 - 999 employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 4.5 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 5.4 .3 Opening firms ………………….……….. Gross job losses …………………..……...…... 4.0 4.7 Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... Closing firms ………………………....….…..….2 4.8 5.6 .2 4.4 5.2 .3 4.6 5.4 .4 4.5 5.3 .2 4.5 5.4 .2 4.6 5.3 .4 4.5 5.3 .2 4.1 4.8 .3 Firm size 1,000 or more employees Gross job gains ………………………...…….. 15.2 Expanding firms ……………….…………... 18.1 .5 Opening firms ………………….……….. 16.3 Gross job losses …………………..……...…... Contracting firms ……………..…...…...... 19.5 Closing firms ………………………....….…..….2 16.4 19.4 .9 16.8 19.9 .1 16.8 19.9 .1 16.9 20.0 .5 19.2 22.9 .2 16.3 19.2 .8 16.5 19.5 .5 16.6 19.7 .3 1 Share measures the percent of the category represented by each firm size class. Table 5. Private sector gross job gains and losses by state, seasonally adjusted Gross job gains (3 months ended) State March 2006 June 2006 1 United States …………………..……..…. 7,679,000 7,811,000 Gross job losses (3 months ended) Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 7,473,000 7,809,000 7,509,000 6,905,000 7,395,000 7,462,000 7,297,000 7,071,000 Alabama ………………… 103,596 Alaska ………………………...………. 26,202 Arizona …………………. 172,977 Arkansas …………………… 63,662 California …………………….. 935,087 Colorado ………………….. 137,903 Connecticut ……………………. 79,072 Delaware ……………………..25,605 District of Columbia ……………………… 25,795 Florida ………………………………. 487,572 100,840 28,861 170,647 59,654 955,811 149,241 87,841 28,310 29,069 526,449 100,446 22,123 174,546 58,160 910,172 142,546 81,794 23,470 27,044 508,541 106,892 25,702 161,693 62,275 982,478 150,220 85,126 26,159 25,599 501,285 112,765 24,244 156,804 60,704 947,540 146,688 75,957 29,733 28,423 464,050 93,285 22,112 128,109 53,032 914,176 127,514 75,076 24,123 23,511 413,474 100,349 23,040 154,963 60,404 926,329 132,280 80,456 26,663 26,424 495,061 103,700 26,742 152,200 63,784 927,374 142,570 82,496 27,718 25,381 493,363 104,477 26,432 165,067 58,778 907,888 138,889 77,497 23,392 26,443 522,827 89,364 22,400 153,133 52,796 912,613 131,774 81,107 28,414 23,213 451,580 Georgia ……………………… 252,674 Hawaii ……………………. 27,726 Idaho …………………….. 47,870 Illinois ………………………… 282,837 Indiana ………………………….. 153,735 Iowa ………………………………… 78,930 Kansas ………………………………. 70,596 Kentucky …………………………………. 100,762 Louisiana ………………………………… 151,997 Maine …………………………………… 35,790 257,404 29,136 46,245 306,757 149,946 79,031 72,012 88,851 123,125 40,612 247,388 28,211 45,061 278,177 148,107 75,093 78,985 92,740 120,127 35,951 263,872 27,446 47,395 293,431 153,325 79,518 85,024 106,958 123,095 40,832 249,091 27,483 48,396 281,177 145,342 72,577 78,808 101,623 121,990 37,283 222,660 25,165 38,960 265,446 139,656 70,936 62,938 83,028 108,712 37,017 233,395 24,918 42,628 263,652 151,845 73,192 72,548 94,323 112,380 37,701 251,362 26,129 41,378 288,515 154,760 74,910 74,864 96,675 108,558 39,975 252,232 26,250 40,019 281,099 148,985 73,886 68,067 90,552 104,159 37,567 227,479 26,630 40,735 268,855 140,603 73,448 67,661 95,549 99,462 37,189 Maryland …………………………….. 142,555 Massachusetts ………………………….. 158,389 Michigan ………………………. 217,382 Minnesota ………………………….. 150,980 Mississippi ………………………….. 69,320 Missouri ………………………… 147,042 Montana ……………………… 32,383 Nebraska ………………………. 45,650 Nevada ………………………….. 83,071 New Hampshire …………………………. 39,074 136,710 181,498 246,077 155,378 63,581 150,269 30,383 45,693 79,576 41,230 131,708 167,647 226,583 138,439 68,823 137,786 27,503 47,050 73,442 37,381 136,491 166,346 229,109 146,430 67,302 151,637 32,922 47,973 80,115 39,715 130,873 154,124 216,604 140,915 60,198 148,426 32,066 44,773 79,439 36,043 124,678 157,177 240,704 139,748 57,864 133,236 26,344 40,465 65,159 36,571 136,422 158,219 237,059 150,512 66,289 143,796 27,899 45,424 72,527 39,132 136,408 169,849 255,227 165,270 62,884 142,506 29,606 44,754 76,814 40,708 130,083 163,458 261,024 147,210 58,428 144,042 26,893 45,236 77,068 37,503 125,994 157,024 234,035 133,393 62,486 133,861 26,215 41,131 70,468 37,188 New Jersey ……………………………….. 220,345 238,571 New Mexico ……………………………. 50,814 56,728 New York ……………………………… 453,399 497,341 North Carolina ………………………… 230,967 230,531 North Dakota …………………………. 21,355 19,942 Ohio ……………………………… 276,942 280,652 Oklahoma ……………………………… 86,999 86,252 Oregon …………………………… 107,378 103,093 Pennsylvania …………………… 294,436 292,189 Rhode Island ……………………………….. 25,198 29,960 217,626 46,361 451,199 228,819 19,561 266,494 85,999 103,167 281,640 28,749 226,397 49,483 491,296 271,718 19,077 273,486 87,109 107,374 286,900 28,621 200,823 45,658 439,880 238,694 19,613 259,261 85,616 104,745 282,273 25,073 201,996 40,539 450,140 195,552 17,434 268,183 72,308 95,893 266,079 25,959 228,241 46,459 450,660 216,862 19,436 279,071 86,973 97,275 277,751 25,774 230,836 46,285 454,776 222,867 17,615 286,805 80,220 94,670 278,525 28,340 221,251 45,992 436,426 209,905 18,029 285,789 80,850 97,684 278,568 28,374 216,208 39,391 450,887 203,669 17,877 260,711 73,657 96,037 266,506 27,137 South Carolina …………………………………….. 112,697 112,410 South Dakota ………………………………. 22,210 21,897 Tennessee ……………………………… 146,716 149,007 Texas ……………………………… 556,703 555,610 Utah ……………………………………… 83,821 78,264 Vermont ………………………….. 17,022 19,375 Virginia ……………………………… 194,262 196,604 Washington ……………………….. 177,761 187,676 West Virginia …………………………… 43,348 38,485 Wisconsin …………………………….. 142,738 151,415 124,764 21,559 143,225 545,573 77,218 16,515 181,450 176,707 37,841 143,515 109,561 22,548 156,388 566,668 79,960 18,861 193,009 184,842 40,697 146,759 113,532 21,003 148,938 542,825 80,804 16,966 192,908 190,639 38,687 144,613 97,125 20,193 127,034 451,599 63,988 18,312 168,421 158,900 35,457 135,231 110,062 19,443 152,368 508,951 65,772 17,694 193,525 161,486 39,828 143,378 103,809 20,198 143,136 480,295 68,620 18,832 196,437 170,405 40,489 146,137 97,192 19,873 157,013 476,908 64,989 18,099 181,525 166,948 36,849 143,350 98,842 19,153 144,012 461,745 62,978 18,899 174,760 154,634 37,621 141,179 20,984 50,294 2,727 22,692 56,039 2,358 22,362 43,159 2,091 16,596 54,363 1,899 18,839 55,110 2,287 19,491 56,054 2,766 16,482 47,988 1,980 18,199 55,059 2,501 Wyoming ……………………………… 23,117 Puerto Rico ………………………… 48,421 Virgin Islands …………………………… 2,492 19,438 46,809 2,243 1 The sum of the states will not necessarily add to the U.S. total because of the independent seasonal adjustment of each state. NOTE: Totals for the United States do not include data for Puerto Rico or the Virgin Islands. Table 6. Private sector gross job gains and losses as a percent of total employment by state, seasonally adjusted State Gross job gains as a percent of employment (3 months ended) Gross job losses as a percent of employment (3 months ended) March June Sept. Dec. March 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 March 2006 June 2006 Sept. 2006 Dec. 2006 March 2007 United States …………………..……..…. 6.9 6.9 6.7 7.0 6.6 6.1 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.2 Alabama ………………………..……… 6.6 6.4 Alaska ………………………...………. 11.5 12.3 Arizona ……………………….……….7.9 7.7 Arkansas …………………...…………6.5 6.1 California …………………………...……….. 7.2 7.4 Colorado …………………...……….. 7.3 7.9 Connecticut ……………………. 5.6 6.2 Delaware ……………………………...……….. 7.0 7.7 District of Columbia ……………………… 5.9 6.7 Florida ………………………………. 7.2 7.7 6.4 9.4 7.8 5.9 7.1 7.5 5.7 6.5 6.2 7.4 6.8 11.0 7.2 6.4 7.6 7.9 6.0 7.2 5.9 7.3 7.1 10.3 7.0 6.2 7.3 7.6 5.3 8.1 6.4 6.7 5.9 9.7 5.8 5.5 7.1 6.8 5.3 6.6 5.4 6.0 6.3 9.9 6.9 6.1 7.1 7.0 5.6 7.3 6.1 7.2 6.6 1.5 6.7 6.6 7.2 7.5 5.8 7.6 5.8 7.1 6.7 11.4 7.3 6.0 7.0 7.3 5.4 6.4 6.0 7.5 5.7 9.5 6.8 5.4 7.0 6.8 5.7 7.7 5.2 6.6 Georgia …………………………….……… 7.5 Hawaii ……………………….………. 5.6 Idaho ………………………...………..9.1 Illinois ……………………..…………… 5.7 Indiana ………………………….. 6.2 Iowa ………………………………… 6.4 Kansas ………………………………. 6.6 Kentucky …………………………………. 6.8 Louisiana ………………………………… 10.5 Maine ……………………..…………………… 7.2 7.6 5.8 8.7 6.1 5.9 6.4 6.7 6.0 8.4 8.1 7.3 5.6 8.5 5.5 5.9 6.1 7.3 6.3 8.1 7.2 7.8 5.4 8.7 5.8 6.1 6.4 7.8 7.2 8.2 8.2 7.3 5.5 8.8 5.5 5.8 5.8 7.1 6.8 8.0 7.4 6.7 5.1 7.5 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.6 7.6 7.5 7.0 4.9 8.0 5.2 6.0 6.0 6.7 6.3 7.7 7.5 7.4 5.1 7.7 5.8 6.2 6.1 6.9 6.6 7.4 8.1 7.4 5.2 7.4 5.6 6.0 5.9 6.2 6.1 7.0 7.5 6.7 5.2 7.4 5.4 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.5 7.4 Maryland ………………………..……..6.9 Massachusetts ……..…………………….. 5.7 Michigan ……………..…………. 6.0 Minnesota ………………………….. 6.6 Mississippi ………………………….. 7.9 Missouri ………………………… 6.5 Montana …………………….…… 9.4 Nebraska ……………...…………. 6.1 Nevada ………………………….. 7.5 New Hampshire …………………………. 7.3 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 7.1 6.7 8.7 6.1 7.1 7.6 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.1 7.7 6.1 7.9 6.3 6.5 6.9 6.6 6.0 6.4 6.4 7.5 6.6 9.4 6.4 7.1 7.3 6.3 5.6 6.1 6.1 6.7 6.5 9.0 6.0 6.9 6.6 6.0 5.7 6.6 6.0 6.5 5.9 7.7 5.4 5.8 6.7 6.6 5.7 6.5 6.6 7.4 6.4 8.1 6.0 6.5 7.2 6.5 6.1 7.0 7.2 7.0 6.3 8.5 6.0 6.8 7.5 6.3 5.8 7.2 6.4 6.5 6.3 7.7 6.0 6.8 6.9 6.1 5.6 6.5 5.8 7.0 5.8 7.4 5.4 6.2 6.8 New Jersey ……………………………….. 6.6 New Mexico ……………………………. 8.3 New York ……………………………… 6.5 North Carolina …………………………7.1 North Dakota ………………………….7.9 Ohio ……………………………… 6.0 Oklahoma ……………………………… 7.3 Oregon …………………………… 7.5 Pennsylvania …………………… 6.0 Rhode Island ……………………………….. 6.0 7.1 9.1 7.1 7.0 7.3 6.1 7.2 7.2 5.9 7.2 6.5 7.3 6.5 7.0 7.2 5.8 7.2 7.2 5.7 6.9 6.8 7.9 7.0 8.1 7.0 6.0 7.2 7.4 5.8 6.8 6.0 7.1 6.2 7.1 7.0 5.7 7.0 7.1 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.6 6.4 6.1 6.5 5.8 6.1 6.8 5.4 6.2 6.8 7.5 6.4 6.6 7.2 6.1 7.3 6.8 5.7 6.2 6.9 7.3 6.5 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.7 6.6 5.7 6.8 6.6 7.3 6.2 6.3 6.6 6.3 6.8 6.8 5.7 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.3 6.1 6.5 5.7 6.1 6.5 5.4 6.4 South Carolina …………………………………….. 7.5 7.4 South Dakota ………………………………. 7.1 7.0 Tennessee ……………………………… 6.4 6.3 Texas ……………………………… 6.9 6.8 Utah ……………………………………… 8.7 8.1 Vermont ………………………….. 6.8 7.7 Virginia ……………………………… 6.6 6.6 Washington ……………………….. 7.8 8.1 West Virginia …………………………… 7.7 6.8 Wisconsin ……………………………..6.0 6.4 8.2 6.9 6.1 6.6 7.8 6.6 6.1 7.6 6.7 6.0 7.1 7.1 6.7 6.8 8.0 7.6 6.5 7.9 7.2 6.2 7.3 6.5 6.4 6.4 8.0 6.8 6.5 8.0 6.8 6.0 6.4 6.5 5.5 5.6 6.7 7.3 5.6 6.9 6.3 5.7 7.3 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.7 7.0 6.4 7.0 7.0 6.0 6.8 6.5 6.1 5.8 7.0 7.5 6.6 7.4 7.1 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.7 5.7 6.5 7.3 6.1 7.1 6.5 6.0 6.3 5.9 6.1 5.5 6.2 7.6 5.9 6.5 6.6 5.9 10.1 6.7 8.3 10.7 7.5 7.1 10.2 5.8 6.4 8.1 7.2 5.8 9.1 7.3 7.0 9.4 7.5 8.4 7.8 6.4 6.0 8.4 7.4 7.6 Wyoming ……………………………… 11.3 Puerto Rico ………………………… 6.4 Virgin Islands …………………………… 7.6 9.4 6.2 6.8 NOTE: Totals for the United States do not include data for Puerto Rico or the Virgin Islands.
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