Occupational Employment Employment outlook: 2000–10 Occupational employment projections to 2010 Occupations requiring a postsecondary vocational award or an academic degree, which accounted for 29 percent of all jobs in 2000, will account for 42 percent of total job growth from 2000 to 2010 Daniel E. Hecker Daniel E. Hecker is an economist in the Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections, Bureau of Labor Statistics. E-mail: [email protected] T otal employment is projected to increase by 22.2 million jobs over the 2000–10 period, rising to 167.8 million, according to the latest projections of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This increase represents about a million more jobs than were added over the previous 10-year period (1990–2000). The projected 15.2-percent increase, however, is less than the 17.1-percent increase of the previous 10-year period.1 Self employed is projected to grow from 11.5 to 11.7 million, or 1.7 percent. The economy will continue generating jobs for workers at all levels of education and training, although growth rates are projected to be faster, on average, for occupations generally requiring a postsecondary award (a vocational certificate or other award or an associate or higher degree), than for occupations requiring less education or training. Most new jobs, however, will arise in occupations that require only workrelated training (on-the-job training or work experience in a related occupation), even though these occupations are projected to grow more slowly, on average. This reflects the fact that these occupations accounted for about 7 out of 10 jobs in 2000. This article discusses a number of aspects of the 2000–2010 projections along with related information: • • • • changes in the structure of employment at the major occupational group level; the detailed occupations that are projected to grow fastest as well as those with the largest numerical increases and decreases, along with their current educational or training requirements and earnings; the total job openings projected to occur due to growth in the economy and the net replacement needs resulting from workers who leave the labor force or transfer to other occupations; and the distribution of employment in 2000 and projected 2000–10 job openings by level of education or training. In this article, projected employment is analyzed from two perspectives—percent change and numerical change—because one can be large and the other small, depending on the size of employment in the base year. The following example, using data for two occupations generally requiring the same level of education— a bachelor’s degree—serves to illustrate the importance of viewing job outlook from both perspectives. Employment of physician assistants numbered only 58,000 in 2000, and despite rapid projected growth over the 2000–10 period (53.5 percent), this occupation will add only 31,000 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 57 Occupational Employment jobs. In contrast, employment of elementary school teachers, except special education, was 1,532,000 in 2000; while employment is expected to grow by only 13 percent, the number of new jobs over the 2000–10 period will total 202,000— nearly 7 times as many as for physician assistants. Major occupational groups Among the major occupational groups, employment in the two largest in 2000—professional and related occupations and service occupations—will increase the fastest and add the most jobs from 2000 to 2010. (See table 1.) These major groups, which are on opposite ends of the educational attainment and earnings spectrum, are expected to provide more than half of the total job growth from 2000 to 2010. Employment in transportation and material moving occupations is projected to grow as fast as overall employment; management, business, and financial occupations; construction and extraction occupations; sales and related occupations; and installation, maintenance, and repair occupations will grow somewhat more slowly. The three slowest growing groups, all under 10 percent, are office and administrative support occupations; production occupations; and farming, fishing, and forestry occupations. As a result of the different growth rates among the major occupational groups, the occupational distribution of total employment will change somewhat by the year 2010, but the relative ranking of the groups by employment size is not expected to change. Professional and related occupations will continue to rank first, while farming, fishing, and forestry occupations will continue to rank last. Only two groups will increase their relative share of employment—professional and related occupations and service occupations. (See table 1.) The growth of occupational groups (and occupations) is determined, in large part, by growth in the industries in which they are concentrated. For example, professional occupations are projected to grow the fastest, in large part because they are concentrated in some fast-growing services industries, while production occupations are projected to grow more slowly than overall employment, largely because nearly 3 out of 4 are in the slow growing manufacturing sector.2 The number of management, business, and financial workers is projected to grow by 2.1 million from 2000 to 2010. Nearly a quarter of all job growth will be in business services industries, where these occupations should grow the fastest. About 354,000 new jobs are projected for rapidly growing engineering and management services and 238,000 for finance, insurance, and real estate. Slow growth is projected for government, except State and local education and hospitals, and for manufacturing, with relatively few new jobs in each—60,000 and 104,000, respectively.3 Overall pro58 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 jected growth among management, business, and financial workers also is affected by the decline of farmers and ranchers by 328,000. (See table 2.) Almost all farmers and ranchers are self-employed, causing self-employment in this major occupational group to decline. However, because of growing self-employment in other management, business, and financial occupations, the overall decline in self-employed is expected to be only 97,000. Excluding farmers and ranchers, management, business, and financial occupations are projected to increase 17.2 percent; the self-employed, excluding farmers and ranchers, is projected to increase 14.6 percent. Employment in professional and related occupations is projected to grow faster and add more workers (7 million) than any other major group. In terms of employment share, professional and related occupations are expected to experience the largest increase, rising from 18.4 percent of total employment in 2000 to 20.1 percent in 2010. Three industry groups—business services; education, public and private; and health services—each will account for about a fifth of all growth. Another fifth is projected for the rest of services, including engineering and management, social, and legal services. Relatively slow growth is projected for government, except State and local education and hospitals, and for manufacturing, with 235,000 and 176,000 new jobs, respectively. Nearly three-quarters of the job growth for professional and related is projected for three subgroups—computer and mathematical occupations; health care practitioners and technical occupations; and education, training, and library occupations. A 10.3-percent increase is projected for self-employed professional and related occupations. Most growth among selfemployed is projected for two subgroups—arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations; and computer and mathematical occupations. Computer and mathematical occupations are projected to add the most jobs, 2 million, and grow the fastest among the eight professional and related occupations subgroups. (See table 2.) The demand for computer-related occupations will continue to increase as a result of the rapid advances in computer technology and the continuing demand for new computer applications, including those for the Internet and intranets. Three out of five new jobs will be in the rapidly growing business services industries—primarily in computer and data processing services, where employment of computer and mathematical occupations is projected to more than double. In addition, in almost all industries, employment of these workers is projected to grow significantly faster than the average for all occupations. Self-employed workers are expected to increase 51.2 percent. Health care practitioners and technical occupations are projected to add 1.6 million jobs, as the demand for health Occupational classification and title changes These projections reflect the 2000 Standard Occupational Classification system. The titles and content of major occupational groups and many detailed occupations in this article are substantially different than those used in the 1998–2008 projections presented in the November 1999 issue of the Review. Some major groups have been renamed, combined, or reorganized. For example, executive, administrative, and managerial occupations has been renamed management, business, and financial occupations. Technicians have become part of professional and related occupations, while two major groups—precision production, craft, and repair; and operators, fabricators, and laborers—have been reorganized into four groups—construction and extraction; installation, maintenance, and repair; production; and transportation and material moving occupations. Some individual occupations also have been renamed or classified within different major groups. For example, farmers and farm managers, formerly in agriculture, forestry, fishing, and related occupations, now are classified as agricultural managers within management, business, and financial occupations. Aircraft pilots and flight engineers, and air traffic controllers, both formerly in technicians and related support occupations, are classified under transportation and material moving occupations. Teacher assistants, formerly in administrative support, including clerical occupations, now fall under education, training, and library occupations. Landscape, care services continues to grow rapidly. Nearly 3 out of 4 new jobs for workers in these occupations should be in the health services industry. Growth will be slower in government, except State and local education and hospitals. Registered nurses, by far the largest occupation in this group, should account for more than a third of all new jobs. The number of self-employed workers in this group is projected to decline somewhat. Self-employed physicians, dentists, and optometrists are expected to decline, mainly due to the shift of employment into incorporated group practices, while self-employed chiropractors, registered nurses, and therapists are projected to grow. Education, training, and library occupations are projected to add 1.6 million jobs. This group is projected to grow, as the school-age population increases, a greater proportion of students are provided with special education, and classes become smaller. Four out of five new jobs are projected for public and private educational services. The fast- groundskeeping, nursery, greenhouse, and lawn service occupations, formerly within agriculture, forestry, fishing, and related occupations, now are classified as landscaping and groundskeeping workers within services occupations, under building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations. Many occupations were added to the 2000 SOC. Table 2 includes nearly 700 detailed occupations, compared with more than 500 in the previous projections. Some occupations—such as network and computer systems administrators, and meeting and convention planners, are new. Other occupations have been split into more detailed components. For example, engineering, natural science, and computer and information systems managers, in the 1998–2008 projections, comprise three separate management occupations in the 2000–10 projections. Similarly, special education teachers have been split into three components, according to the level of school in which they teach—secondary school; middle school; and preschool, kindergarten, and elementary school. Because of these changes, occupations and occupational groups are not comparable to those in earlier analyses. The 1998–2008 projections were accompanied by data for the previous 10-year period, 1988–98, showing employment changes for comparable major occupational groups. For these 2000–10 projections, it is not possible to calculate comparable occupational employment changes for the 1990–2000 period. est growth (35.6 percent) and 1 new job in 10 is projected for social services industries. Community and social services occupations are projected to add 529,000 jobs and have the second fastest growth among professional and related occupations. Continued rapid growth should result, as the elderly population increases rapidly and as greater efforts are made to provide services for the disabled, the sick, and individuals and families in crisis. More than 2 out of 5 new jobs should be in the social services industry. About 93,000 new jobs will be in health services. Relatively slow growth is projected for government, except State and local education and hospitals; and in religious organizations, with 85,000 and 58,000 new jobs, respectively. Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations are projected to add 493,000 jobs. About one-fifth of new jobs are projected for very rapidly growing business services, which includes advertising and computer and data processing services. One job in eight is projected for amusement Monthly Labor Review November 2001 59 Occupational Employment Table 1. Employment by major occupational group, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Occupational group Number Change Percent distribution 2000 2010 2000 Total, all occupations .................................................................... 145,594 167,754 100.0 Management, business, and financial occupations ........................... Professional and related occupations ................................................ Service occupations ........................................................................... Sales and related occupations ........................................................... Office and administrative support occupations .................................. Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations ........................................ Construction and extraction occupations ........................................... Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations ............................. Production occupations ..................................................................... Transportation and material moving occupations .............................. 15,519 26,758 26,075 15,513 23,882 1,429 7,451 5,820 13,060 10,088 17,635 33,709 31,163 17,365 26,053 1,480 8,439 6,482 13,811 11,618 10.7 18.4 17.9 10.7 16.4 1.0 5.1 4.0 9.0 6.9 Number Percent 100.0 22,160 15.2 10.5 20.1 18.6 10.4 15.5 .9 5.0 3.9 8.2 6.9 2,115 6,952 5,088 1,852 2,171 51 989 662 750 1,530 13.6 26.0 19.5 11.9 9.1 3.6 13.3 11.4 5.7 15.2 2010 NOTE: Detail may not equal total or 100 percent due to rounding. and recreation services. Nearly a quarter of all growth should be for self-employed workers (a 16.5-percent increase). Self-employed writers and authors, photographers, graphic designers, and musicians and singers should experience the largest increases. Legal occupations are projected to add 216,000 jobs. Most growth is projected for the legal services industry, where these occupations should increase by 38.4 percent. Nearly a quarter of these workers were employed in government, except State and local education and hospitals in 2000, in which growth should be much slower, creating only 31,000 new jobs. Paralegals and legal assistants are projected to grow the fastest, while lawyers should add the most jobs, 123,000. The number of self-employed workers in this group is projected to decline, all among lawyers, reflecting the difficulty in establishing new legal practices. Architecture and engineering jobs are projected to increase by 325,000, or 12.5 percent, the slowest growth among the eight professional and related subgroups. Nearly 3 out of 5 new jobs are projected for the rapidly growing engineering and management services industry. In the business services industry, more than 1 new job in 4 is projected, and even faster growth. In manufacturing industries—which employed 37 percent of these workers in 2000—very slow growth is expected, with only 35,000 new jobs. A small decline is projected in government, except State and local education and hospitals. Engineers, the largest occupational subgroup, is expected to grow 9.4 percent. Life, physical, and social scientists are projected to add 223,000 jobs. Two out of five new jobs are projected for the engineering and management services industry, with 42.2 percent growth. This industry includes research and testing 60 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 services. Few new jobs and slow growth are projected in government and manufacturing, where about 2 out of 5 of these workers were employed in 2000. Self-employed psychologists are projected to add 10,000 jobs. Employment in service occupations is projected to increase by 5.1 million, the second largest numerical gain and second highest rate of growth among the major occupational groups. More than half of the projected growth through 2010 is in the rapidly growing services industry, primarily in health, business, and social services. Nearly 30 percent of new jobs will arise in retail trade, primarily in eating and drinking places. The number of self- employed service workers is projected to increase slowly, with most growth projected for personal care and service occupations. Of the subgroups making up service occupations, food preparation and serving related occupations was the largest in 2000, providing more than 10 million jobs. It also is projected to add the most jobs, about 1.6 million. Nearly 9 of 10 new jobs are projected for retail trade, including eating and drinking places. Employment should grow more slowly in health services, and decline slightly in education. Healthcare support occupations are projected to add 1.1 million jobs, growing the fastest of the services subgroups. Close to 7 out of 10 new jobs are projected for the health services industry. Approximately 149,00 new jobs are projected for the social services industry, where growth should be fastest, at 47.8 percent. Protective service occupations are expected to grow rapidly, adding 809,000 jobs. Half of all growth and a 55-percent increase is projected for business services, primarily in miscellaneous business services, which includes detective and guard services. Two out of 5 new jobs should be in government, but here growth should be much slower. Personal care and service occupations are projected to add 856,000 jobs. One-third of the new jobs for workers in these jobs, and the fastest growth (55.9 percent) are projected in social services. Fourteen percent of new jobs, and very fast growth are projected for health services. Overall growth is retarded by a 25-percent decline in the private household sector, where 7 percent of these workers were employed in 2000 and by slow growth among the self-employed, who made up a quarter of all workers in this group in 2000. Of the 75,000 projected new jobs among the self-employed, most should be for hairdressers, hairstylists, and cosmetologists and child care workers. Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations are projected to add 779,000 jobs with the slowest growth of the services occupation subgroups. Almost a quarter of new jobs and 42.5-percent growth is projected for the agriculture, forestry, and fishing services industry, which includes landscape and horticultural services. Another quarter of new jobs is projected for business services (including building cleaning and maintenance services and personnel supply services). Slow growth and relatively few new jobs are projected for education and manufacturing, and little or no growth is projected for the self-employed, who made up 8 percent of this group in 2000. A 25-percent decline is projected in the private household sector, where 10 percent of these workers were employed in 2000. Self-employed first-line supervisors/ managers of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers are projected to increase 32.3 percent, while selfemployed maids and housekeeping cleaners and janitors and cleaners should decline. Employment in sales and related occupations is projected to increase by 1.9 million workers from 2000 to 2010. The below-average job growth for sales workers is attributable, in part, to the increased use of automated sales systems, including those related to electronic business, which decrease the overall demand for labor.4 More than half of new sales jobs are projected for the retail trade industry. One of six new jobs is projected for business services, where employment is projected to grow rapidly (42.1 percent). Much slower growth, but 147,000 new jobs for sales workers, is expected in wholesale trade. The number of self-employed sales and related workers, who made up 13 percent of the group in 2000, is projected to drop slightly. Self-employed securities, commodities, and services sales agents; retail estate sales agents; and insurance sales agents are projected to increase, while retail salespersons; door-to-door sales workers, news and street vendors, and related workers; and telemarketers are projected to decline. Employment in office and administrative support occupations is projected to increase by 2.2 million, but grow slowly. Business services should have close to half of all job growth, with a 39.2-percent increase. This sector includes personnel supply services,, which provides temporary employees to other industries on a contract or fee basis,, and computer and data processing services. Another 40 percent of new jobs are projected for the rest of the services industries, primarily health, engineering and management, and legal services. In almost all industries, however, employment of these workers is projected to grow more slowly than overall employment, due to continued office automation, including that related to electronic business; and as organizations make greater use of temporary workers employed by the personnel supply industry, raising employment in that sector.5 In government, except State and local education and hospitals; manufacturing; and education, which together employed onequarter of office and administrative support workers in 2000, employment is projected to decline. Many occupations with the largest projected job declines, including tellers and word processors and typists, are in this group. (See table 4.) However, a number of occupations that involve a great deal of contact with people, such as hotel, motel, and resort desk clerks and customer service representatives, are less affected by changing technology, and are projected to grow rapidly. Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations are projected to grow by 51,000 jobs. The self-employed are projected to decline 9.1 percent. Self-employed first-line supervisors/managers/contractors of farming, fishing, and forestry workers are projected to increase, but fishers and related fishing workers and farm workers are projected to decline. The construction and extraction occupations major group is projected to add 989,000 jobs, a 13.3-percent increase. More than 3 out of 5 new jobs are projected for the construction industry. The fastest growth (58.4 percent) is projected for business services, which should account for almost 10 percent of new jobs. Most of these jobs are in personnel supply services. A decline of 18,000 is projected for the mining industry—mostly for extraction workers. Self-employed construction and extraction workers are projected to increase 9.4 percent. Most new jobs among the self-employed are for firstline supervisors/managers of construction trades and extraction workers and for painters, construction and maintenance. Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations are projected to add 662,000 jobs. A 25.3-percent growth rate, or approximately 1 new job in 5, is projected for the automotive repair, services, and parking industry. Most growth, however, is projected to occur in a wide range of other industries. Selfemployed workers in this group are projected to decline slightly. Self-employed heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers are projected to increase, but self-employed automotive body repairers and industrial machinery mechanics are projected to decline. Monthly Labor Review November 2001 61 Occupational Employment Production occupations are expected to add about 750,000 jobs, a small increase. In 2000, nearly 3 out of 4 production workers were employed in manufacturing, but only about a quarter of new jobs and very slow growth are projected for this industry. More than half of new jobs are projected for the business services industry (most in personnel supply services), with growth at 43.5 percent expected. Self-employed production occupations are projected to decline 13.3 percent. Tailors, dressmakers, and sewers; welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers; and cabinetmakers and bench carpenters should experience the largest declines. Transportation and material moving occupations are projected to add 1.5 million jobs. More than 1 out of 3 new jobs should be in transportation and public utilities, and nearly 3 out of 10 new jobs, and growth of 50.1 percent, should occur in business services (primarily personnel supply services). Slower growth is projected for wholesale trade and retail trade, 166,000 and 95,000 jobs, respectively. Little change in employment is projected for these workers in manufacturing, where 1 out of 6 were employed in 2000. Water transportation occupations are projected to grow slowly, while railroad occupations will continue their long-term decline. Nearly 2 out of 5 new jobs should be for truck drivers and driver/sales workers. A small increase in self-employed jobs is projected; mostly for taxi drivers and chauffeurs and driver/salesworkers. Detailed occupations This section focuses in occupations that are the fastest growing, have the largest numeric increases, and have the largest numeric declines. Data on numeric and percent growth for nearly 700 detailed occupations are presented in table 2. The growth rates for detailed occupations range from an increase of 100 percent for computer software engineers, applications, to a decline of 61 percent for railroad brake, signal, and switch operators. Numeric growth ranges from 673,000 additional jobs for combined food preparation and service occupations, including fast food, to a decline of 328,000 farmers and ranchers. The 30 occupations with the largest numeric increases account for nearly half of the 22.2 million total increase over the 2000–10 period. (See table 4.) The 30 occupations that are projected as the fastest growing have growth rates of 36 percent or greater, more than twice the average for all occupations or faster. (See table 3.) Eight occupations (five computer-related and three healthrelated) are included in both groups—computer software engineers, application; computer software engineers, systems software; computer support specialists; network and computer systems administrators; computer systems analysts; personal and home care aides; medical assistants; and home health aides. (See table 4.) 62 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 Fastest growing occupations. Of the 30 fastest growing occupations, 17 are health-related and 10 are computer-related occupations. (See table 3.) The others are special education teachers, preschool, kindergarten, and elementary school; fitness trainers and aerobics instructors; and social and human services assistants. The increasing demand for computer-related occupations reflects the rapid advances in computer technology and the continuing development of new computer applications, including the Internet and intranets. Overall, computer specialists, a component of computer and mathematical occupations, is projected to grow 68.6 percent, and computer and information systems managers, classified within management, business, and financial occupations, is projected to grow 47.9 percent. (See table 2.) Five computer-related occupations also are among the occupations with the largest projected numerical job growth. The two healthcare groups discussed in the previous section—healthcare practitioners and technical occupations, and —have a combined growth healthcare support occupations— rate of 27.9 percent. Rapid growth among health-related occupations reflects an aging population that requires more health care, a wealthier population that can afford better health care, and advances in medical technology that permit an increasing number of health problems to be treated more aggressively. However, job growth among health-related occupations will be limited by efforts to stem the rapid growth of spending on health care, both by private medical insurers and by government—to restrict the growth of medicare and medicaid reimbursements. Even so, continued efforts to control health care costs should stimulate some health-related occupations on this list (mostly technicians, aides and assistants) to grow even more rapidly than overall health employment. They will assume some duties formerly done by more highly paid healthcare workers, such as dentists, pharmacists, physicians, and therapists. These occupations include physician assistants, physical therapist assistants and aides, occupational therapist assistants and aides, dental assistants, dental hygienists, and pharmacy technicians. Some healthcare occupations also will grow more rapidly than overall healthcare employment, because they are more likely to provide services to the rapidly growing older population. These include some listed above, such as physical and occupational therapist assistants and aides and pharmacy technicians, as well as audiologists and speech-language pathologists. Employment of medical assistants should grow rapidly, because they are concentrated in rapidly growing outpatient care facilities. The number of medical records and health information technicians employed also is expected to grow rapidly due to the need to maintain records for an increasing number of medical tests, treatments, and procedures that will undergo increasing scrutiny by third-party payers, courts, and consumers. Employment of home health aides and of personal and home care aides (included in this discussion of healthrelated occupations but classified as a personal service occupation in table 2) also should be stimulated, as the older population grows and as efforts to contain healthcare costs continue. The older population is more likely to need inhome health care, as well as personal care and housekeeping services that these workers provide. In addition, patients of all ages are being discharged from hospitals and nursing facilities as early as possible. These aides also provide care to this rapidly growing group of patients. Employment of mental health and substance abuse social workers (classified as a community and social services occupation in table 2) is projected to grow rapidly because of greater efforts to treat drug abusers and people with mental health problems. Employment of veterinary technologists and technicians and veterinary assistants and laboratory animal caretakers, also classified as healthcare occupations, are projected to grow rapidly as pet owners spend more on animal care services, including day and overnight boarding, surgery, and intensive care. Three other occupations also should be among the fastest growing. Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors are projected to grow rapidly, due to rising interest in personal training and other fitness activities. Special education teachers, preschool, kindergarten, and elementary school are projected to grow rapidly due to the growing number of students requiring special education and due to legislation emphasizing training and employment for individuals with disabilities. Social and human service assistants also are projected to grow rapidly as employers attempt to control costs. Social service agencies are restructuring services and hiring more lowerpaid social and human service assistants instead of social workers, making these assistants the fastest growing community and social services occupation. Occupations with the largest job growth. Very large occupations with average or even below-average growth rates provide many job openings, as do very fast growing ones with smaller base-year employment. These 30 occupations are from a much broader range of occupational groups than are the 30 fastest growing. Five are computer-related and five are health-related. Four each are in education, training, and library and in transportation and material moving major occupation groups, three fall under the category of office and administrative support, and two each in sales and related, and in management, business, and financial occupations. Five are service occupations other than those related to health, including two in building and grounds cleaning and mainte- nance occupations and two in food service. Twenty on the list had employment of at least 1 million in 2000. Of the 10 that had employment of less than a million, all except accountants and landscaping and groundskeeping workers have projected growth at least three times as fast as the 15.2-percent average for all occupations. Five are computer-related occupations; the largest is computer support specialists, with 2000 employment of 505,000. (Computer programmers, the largest computer occupation in 2000, but with only 16 percent growth, is not on the list.) Six occupations on the list, all with employment of 1.5 million or more, are projected to grow more slowly than 15.2 percent. Registered nurses and nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants, by far the two largest health-related occupations in 2000, also are projected to have more numerical growth than any other health-related occupations. Home health aides, medical assistants, and personal and home care aides, all among the 30 fastest growing, are also on this list. The four largest education, training, and library occupations in 2000— postsecondary teachers; teacher assistants; elementary school teachers, except special education; and secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education—are projected to have large numbers of job openings. Elementary teachers, except special education is the only one with below average employment growth. Of the four transportation and material moving occupations, laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand is the only one with below average employment growth. Packers and packagers; truck drivers, heavy and tractor trailer; and truck drivers, light and delivery services are projected to grow approximately 20 percent. Both sales and related occupations—retail salespersons and cashiers, except gaming— are projected to have below average growth, but in 2000, each one had employment of more than 3 million. The two food service occupations—combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food and waiters and waitresses—have large base-year employment and faster than average growth rates. General and operations managers should grow at about the same rate as the total for all occupations, while security guards is projected to grow 35.2 percent, making it the fastest growing occupation of the 30 on this list that is not computer or health related. Among building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations, janitors and cleaners is projected to have more openings than landscaping and groundskeeping workers, although growth of janitors is much slower than landscaping and groundskeeping workers, because employment in 2000 was much larger. Of the three office and administrative support occupations on the list, customer service representatives and receptionists and information clerks are projected to grow rapidly, while office Text continues on page 78. Monthly Labor Review November 2001 63 Occupational Employment Table 2. Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number Percent 100.0 22,160 15.2 57,932 10.7 10.5 2,115 13.6 5,109 7.3 .2 7.1 .3 1,270 74 12.0 20.4 3,330 133 936 135 701 246 455 101 1,144 179 965 641 463 358 513 305 780 535 32 5 2,761 246 271 61 75 330 45 26 331 125 160 179 1,074 5,801 3,320 .5 .1 .4 .1 .2 .1 1.0 .1 .9 .4 .2 .2 .3 .2 .5 .3 .0 .0 1.6 .2 .2 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .2 .1 .1 .1 .7 3.4 2.0 .6 .1 .4 .1 .3 .1 .7 .1 .6 .4 .3 .2 .3 .2 .5 .3 .0 .0 1.6 .1 .2 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .2 .1 .1 .1 .6 3.5 2.0 229 34 168 55 112 27 -318 10 -328 94 150 50 61 23 122 70 1 1 363 28 16 7 6 81 3 1 61 -7 32 30 93 845 479 32.4 34.3 31.5 29.1 32.8 36.3 -21.7 6.0 -25.4 17.2 47.9 16.3 13.4 8.0 18.5 15.0 3.0 30.0 15.2 12.7 6.2 12.7 9.3 32.3 7.6 2.5 22.7 -5.5 24.8 20.2 9.5 17.1 16.8 331 49 244 83 162 38 103 30 74 266 203 100 178 69 223 125 6 2 767 66 57 24 14 123 11 5 105 41 56 55 267 1,779 1,053 17 404 20 237 148 207 194 13 22 424 23 266 135 238 223 15 .0 .3 .0 .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .3 .0 .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 5 20 3 29 -13 31 29 2 27.9 4.8 16.8 12.3 -8.7 15.0 15.1 14.3 8 128 7 76 45 54 51 3 140 211 10 490 87 199 204 501 34 827 2,115 976 57 70 60 145 25 107 265 29 152 246 12 578 100 234 244 646 42 960 2,481 1,157 67 80 70 182 27 109 281 33 .1 .1 .0 .3 .1 .1 .1 .3 .0 .6 1.5 .7 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .2 .0 .1 .1 .0 .3 .1 .1 .1 .4 .0 .6 1.5 .7 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .2 .0 12 35 2 88 14 35 40 145 8 133 367 181 10 10 10 37 3 2 16 5 8.9 16.5 18.1 18.0 15.7 17.6 19.4 28.9 23.3 16.1 17.3 18.5 18.0 14.6 16.0 25.5 10.2 2.0 6.1 16.0 48 81 5 183 30 73 79 189 14 343 726 326 26 24 22 57 7 18 69 10 2000 2010 2000 2010 Total, all occupations ..................................................................... 145,594 167,754 100.0 Management, business, and financial occupations ........................... 15,519 17,635 Management occupations ................................................................ Administrative services managers ................................................. Advertising, marketing, promotions, public relations, and sales managers ............................................................................... Advertising and promotions managers ........................................ Marketing and sales managers .................................................... Marketing managers .................................................................. Sales managers ......................................................................... Public relations managers ........................................................... Agricultural managers .................................................................... Farm, ranch, and other agricultural managers ............................. Farmers and ranchers ................................................................. Chief executives ............................................................................ Computer and information systems managers .............................. Construction managers .................................................................. Education administrators ............................................................... Engineering managers ................................................................... Financial managers ....................................................................... Food service managers ................................................................. Funeral directors ............................................................................ Gaming managers ......................................................................... General and operations managers ................................................ Human resources managers ......................................................... Industrial production managers ..................................................... Legislators ..................................................................................... Lodging managers ......................................................................... Medical and health services managers ......................................... Natural sciences managers ........................................................... Postmasters and mail superintendents .......................................... Property, real estate, and community association managers ........ Purchasing managers .................................................................... Social and community service managers ...................................... Transportation, storage, and distribution managers ...................... All other managers ......................................................................... Business and financial operations occupations ............................... Business operations specialists ..................................................... Agents and business managers of artists, performers, and athletes .................................................................................. Buyers and purchasing agents .................................................... Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products .......................... Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products Wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products ................... Claims adjusters, appraisers, examiners, and investigators ........ Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators ........................ Insurance appraisers, auto damage .......................................... Compliance officers, except agriculture, construction, health and safety, and transportation ...................................................... Cost estimators ............................................................................ Emergency management specialists ........................................... Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists ......... Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists ................ Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists ................ Training and development specialists ........................................ Management analysts .................................................................. Meeting and convention planners ................................................ All other business operations specialists ..................................... Financial specialists ....................................................................... Accountants and auditors ............................................................ Appraisers and assessors of real estate ...................................... Budget analysts ........................................................................... Credit analysts ............................................................................. Financial analysts ........................................................................ Financial examiners ..................................................................... Insurance underwriters ................................................................ Loan counselors and officers ....................................................... Loan counselors ........................................................................ 10,564 362 11,834 436 707 100 533 190 343 74 1,462 169 1,294 547 313 308 453 282 658 465 32 4 2,398 219 255 54 68 250 42 25 270 132 128 149 981 4,956 2,841 64 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 Loan officers .............................................................................. Personal financial advisors .......................................................... Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents .......................... Tax preparers .............................................................................. All other financial specialists ........................................................ 236 94 79 69 169 248 126 86 81 216 0.2 .1 .1 .0 .1 0.1 .1 .1 .0 .1 12 32 7 12 47 4.9 34.0 8.3 17.4 28.0 59 43 28 26 81 Professional and related occupations ................................................ 26,758 33,709 18.4 20.1 6,952 26.0 12,160 Computer and mathematical occupations ....................................... Computer specialists ..................................................................... Computer programmers ............................................................... Computer scientists and systems analysts .................................. Computer and information scientists, research ......................... Computer systems analysts ....................................................... Computer software engineers ...................................................... Computer software engineers, applications ............................... Computer software engineers, systems software ...................... Computer support specialists ...................................................... Database administrators .............................................................. Network and computer systems administrators ........................... Network systems and data communications analysts ................. All other computer specialists ...................................................... Mathematical science occupations ................................................ Mathematical scientists and technicians ...................................... Actuaries .................................................................................... Mathematicians .......................................................................... Operations research analysts .................................................... Statisticians ................................................................................ Miscellaneous mathematical science occupations ...................... Architecture and engineering occupations ....................................... Architects, surveyors, and cartographers ...................................... Architects, except naval ............................................................... Architects, except landscape and naval .................................... Landscape architects ................................................................. Surveyors, cartographers, and photogrammetrists ...................... Cartographers and photogrammetrists ...................................... Surveyors ................................................................................... All other architects, surveyors, and cartographers ...................... Engineers ....................................................................................... Aerospace engineers ................................................................... Agricultural engineers .................................................................. Biomedical engineers .................................................................. Chemical engineers ..................................................................... Civil engineers ............................................................................. Computer hardware engineers .................................................... Electrical and electronics engineers ............................................ Electrical engineers ................................................................... Electronics engineers, except computer .................................... Environmental engineers ............................................................. Industrial engineers, including health and safety ......................... Health and safety engineers, except mining safety engineers and inspectors ....................................................................... Industrial engineers ................................................................... Marine engineers and naval architects ........................................ Materials engineers ..................................................................... Mechanical engineers .................................................................. Mining and geological engineers, including mining safety engineers ............................................................................... Nuclear engineers ........................................................................ Petroleum engineers .................................................................... All other engineers ....................................................................... Drafters, engineering, and mapping technicians ........................... Drafters ........................................................................................ Architectural and civil drafters .................................................... Electrical and electronics drafters .............................................. Mechanical drafters ................................................................... Engineering technicians, except drafters ..................................... Aerospace engineering and operations technicians .................. Civil engineering technicians ..................................................... Electrical and electronic engineering technicians ...................... 2,993 2,903 585 459 28 431 697 380 317 506 106 229 119 203 89 85 14 4 47 19 5 2,605 196 124 102 22 65 7 58 6 1,465 50 2 7 33 232 60 288 157 130 52 198 4,988 4,894 680 729 39 689 1,361 760 601 996 176 416 211 326 95 90 15 4 51 20 5 2,930 229 150 121 29 71 8 63 8 1,603 57 3 9 34 256 75 319 175 144 66 210 2.1 2.0 .4 .3 .0 .3 .5 .3 .2 .3 .1 .2 .1 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 1.8 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 1.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .2 .1 .1 .0 .1 3.0 2.9 .4 .4 .0 .4 .8 .5 .4 .6 .1 .2 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 1.7 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 1.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .2 .1 .1 .0 .1 1,996 1,991 95 269 11 258 664 380 284 490 70 187 92 123 5 5 1 0 4 0 0 325 33 26 19 7 6 1 5 2 138 7 0 2 1 24 15 31 18 14 14 12 66.7 68.6 16.2 58.6 40.3 59.7 95.4 100.0 89.7 97.0 65.9 81.9 77.5 60.7 5.7 5.9 5.4 -1.9 8.0 2.3 2.7 12.5 17.1 20.7 18.5 31.1 9.2 18.5 8.1 28.5 9.4 13.9 14.8 31.4 4.1 10.2 24.9 10.9 11.3 10.4 26.0 5.9 2,285 2,259 217 309 14 296 711 406 306 512 74 197 97 141 26 25 3 0 19 3 1 868 61 33 25 8 26 3 22 2 432 22 1 4 7 60 23 84 47 37 24 45 44 154 5 33 221 49 161 5 35 251 .0 .1 .0 .0 .2 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 5 7 0 2 29 10.9 4.5 2.1 5.3 13.1 12 33 1 9 94 6 14 9 253 944 213 102 41 70 519 21 94 233 6 14 8 254 1,098 255 123 51 81 582 22 105 258 .0 .0 .0 .2 .6 .1 .1 .0 .0 .4 .0 .1 .2 .0 .0 .0 .2 .7 .2 .1 .0 .0 .3 .0 .1 .2 0 0 -1 1 154 42 21 10 11 62 1 11 25 -1.3 1.8 -7.2 .4 16.3 19.5 20.8 23.3 15.4 12.0 5.6 11.9 10.8 1 3 2 51 375 106 52 22 32 167 5 30 72 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 65 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Electro-mechanical technicians ................................................. Environmental engineering technicians ..................................... Industrial engineering technicians ............................................. Mechanical engineering technicians .......................................... Surveying and mapping technicians ............................................ All other drafters, engineering, and mapping technicians ............ Life, physical, and social science occupations ................................ Life scientists ................................................................................. Agricultural and food scientists .................................................... Biological scientists ...................................................................... Conservation scientists and foresters .......................................... Conservation scientists .............................................................. Foresters .................................................................................... Medical scientists ......................................................................... All other life scientists .................................................................. Physical scientists .......................................................................... Astronomers and physicists ......................................................... Atmospheric and space scientists ............................................... Chemists and materials scientists ............................................... Chemists .................................................................................... Materials scientists .................................................................... Environmental scientists and geoscientists ................................. Environmental scientists and specialists, including health ........ Geoscientists, except hydrologists and geographers ................ Hydrologists ............................................................................... All other physical scientists .......................................................... Social scientists and related occupations ...................................... Economists .................................................................................. Market and survey researchers ................................................... Market research analysts ........................................................... Survey researchers .................................................................... Psychologists ............................................................................... Social scientists, other ................................................................. Urban and regional planners ....................................................... All other social scientists and related workers ............................. Life, physical, and social science technicians ................................ Agricultural and food science technicians .................................... Biological technicians .................................................................. Chemical technicians ................................................................... Geological and petroleum technicians ......................................... Nuclear technicians ..................................................................... Other life, physical, and social science technicians ..................... Environmental science and protection technicians, including health ..................................................................................... Forensic science technicians ..................................................... Forest and conservation technicians ......................................... All other life, physical, and social science technicians ............... Community and social services occupations ................................... Counselors ..................................................................................... Educational, vocational, and school counselors .......................... Marriage and family therapists ..................................................... Mental health counselors ............................................................. Rehabilitation counselors ............................................................. Substance abuse and behavioral disorder counselors ................ Miscellaneous community and social service specialists .............. Health educators .......................................................................... Probation officers and correctional treatment specialists ............ Social and human service assistants ........................................... Religious workers .......................................................................... Clergy .......................................................................................... Directors, religious activities and education ................................. Social workers ............................................................................... Child, family, and school social workers ...................................... Medical and public health social workers .................................... Mental health and substance abuse social workers .................... All other counselors, social, and religious workers ........................ Legal occupations ............................................................................ Judges, magistrates, and other judicial workers ............................ Administrative law judges, adjudicators, and hearing officers ..... Arbitrators, mediators, and conciliators ....................................... 66 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 43 18 52 58 55 156 1,164 184 17 73 29 16 12 37 28 239 10 7 92 84 8 97 64 25 8 33 410 22 113 90 23 182 15 30 49 330 18 41 73 10 3 184 50 24 57 66 70 192 1,386 218 19 88 31 18 13 47 33 283 11 8 110 100 9 118 78 30 10 36 492 26 142 112 30 214 17 35 58 393 20 52 84 11 4 221 0.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .8 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 0.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .8 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 6 5 5 8 14 36 223 33 2 15 2 1 1 10 4 44 1 1 18 16 2 21 14 5 2 3 82 4 30 22 8 33 3 5 8 63 3 11 11 1 1 37 14.5 29.1 10.1 13.9 25.3 23.2 19.1 18.1 8.8 21.0 7.7 8.3 7.0 26.5 15.9 18.3 10.5 17.1 19.2 19.1 19.8 21.5 22.3 18.1 25.7 9.4 20.1 18.5 26.4 24.4 34.5 18.1 17.2 16.4 17.1 19.0 15.2 26.4 15.0 6.5 20.7 20.0 15 9 16 20 32 70 559 93 7 42 12 7 5 18 15 124 4 3 47 43 4 52 35 13 5 17 178 9 55 42 13 75 6 12 20 164 7 21 28 3 2 104 27 6 18 133 1,869 465 205 21 67 110 61 398 43 84 271 293 171 121 468 281 104 83 244 1,119 43 14 4 34 7 19 161 2,398 585 257 27 82 136 82 575 53 105 418 338 197 141 609 357 136 116 290 1,335 44 14 6 .0 .0 .0 .1 1.3 .3 .1 .0 .0 .1 .0 .3 .0 .1 .2 .2 .1 .1 .3 .2 .1 .1 .2 .8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 1.4 .3 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .3 .0 .1 .2 .2 .1 .1 .4 .2 .1 .1 .2 .8 .0 .0 .0 7 1 1 29 529 120 52 6 15 26 21 177 10 20 147 45 26 19 141 76 33 33 46 216 2 0 1 24.5 13.0 3.2 21.7 28.3 25.8 25.3 29.9 21.7 23.6 35.0 44.5 23.5 23.8 54.2 15.4 15.0 15.9 30.1 26.9 31.6 39.1 18.8 19.3 3.8 1.1 27.2 17 3 7 77 846 215 94 11 28 49 34 236 17 33 187 112 73 40 193 107 44 42 89 304 14 4 2 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Judges, magistrate judges, and magistrates ............................... Lawyers ......................................................................................... Paralegals and legal assistants ..................................................... Miscellaneous legal support workers ............................................. Court reporters ............................................................................. Law clerks .................................................................................... Title examiners, abstractors, and searchers ................................ All other legal and related workers ................................................ Education, training, and library occupations .................................... Postsecondary teachers ................................................................ Primary, secondary, and special education teachers .................... Preschool and kindergarten teachers .......................................... Preschool teachers, except special education ........................... Kindergarten teachers, except special education ...................... Elementary and middle school teachers ...................................... Elementary school teachers, except special education ............. Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education ............................................................................... Vocational education teachers, middle school ........................... Secondary school teachers ......................................................... Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education ............................................................................... Vocational education teachers, secondary school ..................... Special education teachers .......................................................... Special education teachers, preschool, kindergarten, and elementary school .................................................................. Special education teachers, middle school ................................ Special education teachers, secondary school .......................... Other teachers and instructors ...................................................... Adult literacy, remedial education, and GED teachers and instructors .............................................................................. Self-enrichment education teachers ............................................ All other teachers, primary, secondary, and adult ....................... Library, museum, training, and other education occupations ........ Archivists, curators, and museum technicians ............................. Librarians ..................................................................................... Library technicians ....................................................................... Teacher assistants ....................................................................... Other education, training, library, and museum workers ............. Audio-visual collections specialists ............................................ Farm and home management advisors ..................................... Instructional coordinators ........................................................... All other library, museum, training, and other education workers .................................................................................. Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations ........... Art and design occupations ........................................................... Artists and related workers .......................................................... Art directors ............................................................................... Fine artists, including painters, sculptors, and illustrators ......... Multi-media artists and animators .............................................. Designers ..................................................................................... Commercial and industrial designers ......................................... Fashion designers ..................................................................... Floral designers ......................................................................... Graphic designers ...................................................................... Interior designers ....................................................................... Merchandise displayers and window trimmers .......................... Set and exhibit designers .......................................................... All other art and design workers .................................................. Entertainers and performers, sports and related occupations ....... Actors, producers, and directors .................................................. Actors ......................................................................................... Producers and directors ............................................................. Athletes, coaches, umpires, and related workers ........................ Athletes and sports competitors ................................................ Coaches and scouts .................................................................. Umpires, referees, and other sports officials ............................. Dancers and choreographers ...................................................... Dancers ..................................................................................... Choreographers ......................................................................... 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 24 681 188 98 18 31 48 109 8,260 1,344 4,284 597 423 175 2,122 1,532 24 803 251 106 21 35 49 131 9,831 1,659 4,995 707 507 200 2,381 1,734 0.0 .5 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 5.7 .9 2.9 .4 .3 .1 1.5 1.1 0.0 .5 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 5.9 1.0 3.0 .4 .3 .1 1.4 1.0 0 123 62 8 3 4 0 22 1,571 315 711 110 85 25 260 202 1.1 18.0 33.2 7.7 16.2 13.2 1.0 20.2 19.0 23.5 16.6 18.4 20.0 14.5 12.2 13.2 7 168 74 17 5 7 5 32 3,356 682 1,663 184 137 47 742 551 570 20 1,113 625 22 1,314 .4 .0 .8 .4 .0 .8 55 3 201 9.6 13.1 18.1 184 7 540 1,004 109 453 1,190 123 592 .7 .1 .3 .7 .1 .4 187 15 140 18.6 13.4 30.9 492 48 197 234 96 123 901 320 119 153 1,076 .2 .1 .1 .6 .2 .1 .1 .6 86 23 30 175 36.8 24.4 24.6 19.4 116 35 46 266 67 186 648 1,731 21 149 109 1,262 190 11 11 81 80 220 776 2,101 24 160 130 1,562 225 13 11 101 .0 .1 .4 1.2 .0 .1 .1 .9 .1 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .5 1.3 .0 .1 .1 .9 .1 .0 .0 .1 13 34 128 370 3 10 21 301 35 2 1 20 19.4 18.5 19.7 21.4 11.9 7.0 19.5 23.9 18.2 13.6 6.1 25.0 20 53 193 745 7 41 70 565 62 3 2 32 87 2,371 750 147 47 31 69 492 50 16 102 190 46 76 12 112 626 158 99 58 129 18 99 11 26 15 11 99 2,864 903 176 56 35 85 596 62 19 118 241 54 88 15 130 763 200 126 74 153 22 117 14 30 18 12 .1 1.6 .5 .1 .0 .0 .0 .3 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .1 .4 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 1.7 .5 .1 .0 .0 .1 .4 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .1 .5 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 12 493 153 29 10 4 15 104 12 3 15 51 8 12 3 19 136 42 26 16 24 4 17 3 4 3 2 14.0 20.8 20.3 20.0 21.1 13.4 22.2 21.2 23.8 20.3 14.9 26.7 17.4 15.9 27.0 16.8 21.8 26.9 26.7 27.1 18.7 22.5 17.6 22.7 16.3 17.3 14.9 25 947 251 60 19 10 30 154 17 5 26 70 13 20 4 37 257 73 46 27 50 7 37 5 9 6 4 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 67 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Musicians, singers, and related workers ...................................... Music directors and composers ................................................. Musicians and singers ............................................................... All other entertainers and performers, sports and related workers .................................................................................. Media and communication occupations ......................................... Announcers .................................................................................. News analysts, reporters and correspondents ............................ Public relations specialists ........................................................... Writers and editors ....................................................................... Editors ........................................................................................ Technical writers ........................................................................ Writers and authors ................................................................... Miscellaneous media and communications workers .................... Interpreters and translators ........................................................ All other media and communication workers ............................. Media and communication equipment occupations ....................... Broadcast and sound engineering technicians and radio operators ................................................................................ Audio and video equipment technicians .................................... Broadcast technicians ................................................................ Radio operators ......................................................................... Sound engineering technicians .................................................. Photographers ............................................................................. Television, video, and motion picture camera operators and editors .................................................................................... Camera operators, television, video, and motion picture ........... Film and video editors ................................................................ All other media and communication equipment workers ............. Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations ........................ Health diagnosing and treating practitioners ................................. Chiropractors ............................................................................... Dentists ........................................................................................ Dietitians and nutritionists ............................................................ Optometrists ................................................................................ Pharmacists ................................................................................. Physicians and surgeons ............................................................. Physician assistants .................................................................... Podiatrists .................................................................................... Registered nurses ........................................................................ Therapists .................................................................................... Audiologists ............................................................................... Occupational therapists ............................................................. Physical therapists ..................................................................... Radiation therapists ................................................................... Recreational therapists .............................................................. Respiratory therapists ................................................................ Speech-language pathologists .................................................. Veterinarians ................................................................................ All other health diagnosing and treating practitioners .................. Other health professionals and technicians ................................... Clinical laboratory technologists and technicians ........................ Medical and clinical laboratory technologists ............................. Medical and clinical laboratory technicians ................................ Dental hygienists ......................................................................... Diagnostic related technologists and technicians ........................ Cardiovascular technologists and technicians ........................... Diagnostic medical sonographers .............................................. Nuclear medicine technologists ................................................. Radiologic technologists and technicians .................................. Emergency medical technicians and paramedics ........................ Health diagnosing and treating practitioner support technicians Dietetic technicians .................................................................... Pharmacy technicians ................................................................ Psychiatric technicians .............................................................. Respiratory therapy technicians ................................................ Surgical technologists ................................................................ Veterinary technologists and technicians .................................. Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses ...................... Medical records and health information technicians .................... 68 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 240 50 191 285 56 229 0.2 .0 .1 0.2 .0 .1 45 6 38 18.7 13.1 20.1 90 16 74 74 703 71 78 137 305 122 57 126 112 22 90 291 95 856 68 80 186 385 149 74 162 137 27 110 342 .1 .5 .0 .1 .1 .2 .1 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .2 .1 .5 .0 .0 .1 .2 .1 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .2 21 153 -4 2 49 80 27 17 36 25 5 20 51 28.3 21.8 -5.5 2.8 36.1 26.3 22.6 29.6 28.4 22.4 23.8 22.1 17.5 35 315 11 27 73 158 67 34 57 47 9 37 124 87 37 36 3 11 131 99 43 40 3 13 153 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 12 6 4 0 2 22 14.0 16.8 10.2 6.2 19.0 17.0 38 17 14 1 5 48 43 27 16 31 6,379 3,921 50 152 49 31 217 598 58 18 2,194 439 13 78 132 16 29 83 88 59 57 2,457 295 148 147 147 257 39 33 18 167 172 417 26 190 54 27 71 49 700 136 53 33 20 36 7,978 4,888 62 161 56 37 270 705 89 20 2,755 584 19 105 176 19 32 112 122 77 71 3,090 348 174 175 201 322 52 41 22 206 226 551 33 259 59 36 96 69 842 202 .0 .0 .0 .0 4.4 2.7 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 .4 .0 .0 1.5 .3 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 1.7 .2 .1 .1 .1 .2 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .3 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .5 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 4.8 2.9 .0 .1 .0 .0 .2 .4 .1 .0 1.6 .3 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 1.8 .2 .1 .1 .1 .2 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .3 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .5 .1 11 7 4 6 1,599 966 12 9 7 6 53 107 31 3 561 145 6 27 44 4 2 29 34 19 14 633 53 25 28 54 65 14 9 4 39 54 134 7 69 5 9 25 19 142 66 25.8 25.8 25.8 18.1 25.1 24.6 23.4 5.7 15.2 18.7 24.3 17.9 53.5 14.2 25.6 33.2 44.7 33.9 33.3 22.8 8.6 34.8 39.2 31.8 24.8 25.7 18.0 17.0 19.0 37.1 25.2 34.9 26.1 22.4 23.1 31.3 32.2 27.6 36.4 8.5 34.6 34.7 39.3 20.3 49.0 19 12 7 19 2,995 1,773 21 43 21 12 118 196 43 6 1,004 255 9 46 77 7 10 50 57 29 26 1,222 122 60 62 76 121 22 16 8 75 97 242 14 118 19 16 43 32 322 97 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 Opticians, dispensing ................................................................... Other health practitioners and technical workers ......................... Athletic trainers .......................................................................... Occupational health and safety specialists and technicians ...... Orthotists and prosthetists ......................................................... All other health practitioners and technical workers .................. 68 266 15 35 5 212 81 317 17 40 6 253 0.0 .2 .0 .0 .0 .1 0.0 .2 .0 .0 .0 .2 13 50 3 5 1 42 19.0 19.0 18.5 15.0 17.3 19.7 25 119 6 14 2 96 Service occupations ........................................................................... 26,075 31,163 17.9 18.6 5,088 19.5 13,505 Healthcare support occupations ...................................................... Dental assistants ........................................................................... Massage therapists ........................................................................ Nursing, psychiatric, and home health aides ................................. Home health aides ....................................................................... Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants ..................................... Psychiatric aides .......................................................................... Occupational therapist assistants and aides ................................. Occupational therapist assistants ................................................ Occupational therapist aides ....................................................... Physical therapist assistants and aides ......................................... Physical therapist assistants ........................................................ Physical therapist aides ............................................................... Medical assistants and other healthcare support occupations ...... Medical assistants ....................................................................... Medical equipment preparers ...................................................... Medical transcriptionists .............................................................. Pharmacy aides ........................................................................... Veterinary assistants and laboratory animal caretakers .............. All other healthcare support workers ........................................... Protective service occupations ........................................................ First-line supervisors/managers, protective service workers ......... First-line supervisors/managers of correctional officers .............. First-line supervisors/managers of fire fighting and prevention workers .................................................................................. First-line supervisors/managers of police and detectives ............ First-line supervisors/managers of protective service workers, except police, fire and corrections ......................................... Fire fighters .................................................................................... Fire inspectors ............................................................................... Law enforcement workers .............................................................. Bailiffs, correctional officers, and jailers ....................................... Bailiffs ........................................................................................ Correctional officers and jailers ................................................. Detectives and criminal investigators .......................................... Fish and game wardens .............................................................. Parking enforcement workers ...................................................... Police and sheriff"s patrol officers ............................................... Transit and railroad police ........................................................... Other protective service workers ................................................... Animal control workers ................................................................ Crossing guards ........................................................................... Private detectives and investigators ............................................ Security guards and gaming surveillance officers ....................... Gaming surveillance officers and gaming investigators ............. Security guards .......................................................................... All other protective service workers ............................................. Food preparation and serving related occupations .......................... Supervisors, food preparation and serving workers ...................... Chefs and head cooks ................................................................. First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers .................................................................................. Cooks and food preparation workers ............................................. Cooks ........................................................................................... Cooks, fast food ......................................................................... Cooks, institution and cafeteria .................................................. Cooks, private household .......................................................... Cooks, restaurant ...................................................................... Cooks, short order ..................................................................... Food preparation workers ............................................................ Food and beverage serving workers ............................................. 3,196 247 34 2,053 615 1,373 65 25 17 9 80 44 36 757 329 33 102 57 55 181 3,087 273 30 4,264 339 45 2,676 907 1,697 73 35 23 12 116 64 53 1,052 516 39 132 68 77 219 3,896 319 38 2.2 .2 .0 1.4 .4 .9 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .5 .2 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 2.1 .2 .0 2.5 .2 .0 1.6 .5 1.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .6 .3 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 2.3 .2 .0 1,067 92 10 623 291 323 9 10 7 4 36 20 17 295 187 6 30 11 22 38 809 46 9 33.4 37.2 30.4 30.4 47.3 23.5 13.2 41.5 39.7 45.2 45.5 44.8 46.3 39.0 57.0 18.2 29.8 19.5 39.8 21.1 26.2 16.7 29.6 1,612 136 18 885 370 498 17 18 11 6 60 33 27 496 274 15 57 26 37 86 1,677 122 14 62 121 66 136 .0 .1 .0 .1 4 16 7.2 13.1 24 48 61 258 13 1,150 427 14 414 93 8 9 607 6 1,394 9 74 39 1,117 11 1,106 156 10,140 788 139 78 280 15 1,445 563 15 548 108 9 10 748 7 1,837 10 81 48 1,509 13 1,497 190 11,717 882 151 .0 .2 .0 .8 .3 .0 .3 .1 .0 .0 .4 .0 1.0 .0 .1 .0 .8 .0 .8 .1 7.0 .5 .1 .0 .2 .0 .9 .3 .0 .3 .1 .0 .0 .4 .0 1.1 .0 .0 .0 .9 .0 .9 .1 7.0 .5 .1 17 23 2 295 136 2 134 15 1 1 141 1 443 1 6 9 393 2 391 34 1,577 95 12 27.1 8.9 15.1 25.6 31.8 12.5 32.4 16.4 11.4 13.2 23.2 16.5 31.8 12.8 8.7 23.5 35.2 16.8 35.4 21.7 15.6 12.1 9.0 35 90 5 551 240 5 235 36 2 2 269 2 910 8 32 20 698 5 693 153 6,256 301 55 649 2,709 1,864 522 465 5 668 205 844 5,201 731 3,041 2,054 518 500 4 813 219 988 6,384 .4 1.9 1.3 .4 .3 .0 .5 .1 .6 3.6 .4 1.8 1.2 .3 .3 .0 .5 .1 .6 3.8 83 333 190 -4 35 -1 145 14 143 1,182 12.7 12.3 10.2 -.7 7.6 -18.0 21.7 6.8 16.9 22.7 246 1,193 725 148 167 1 335 72 469 4,218 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 69 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Bartenders ................................................................................... Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food ........................................................................................ Counter attendants, cafeteria, food concession, and coffee shop Food servers, nonrestaurant ........................................................ Waiters and waitresses ................................................................ Other food preparation and serving related workers ..................... Dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers ...... Dishwashers ................................................................................ Hosts and hostesses, restaurant, lounge, and coffee shop ......... All other food preparation and serving related workers ............... Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations ........ Supervisors, building and grounds cleaning and maintenance workers .................................................................................. First-line supervisors/managers of housekeeping and janitorial workers .................................................................................. First-line supervisors/managers of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers ................................................. Building cleaning workers .............................................................. Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners ................................................................................. Maids and housekeeping cleaners .............................................. Grounds maintenance workers ...................................................... Landscaping and groundskeeping workers ................................. Pesticide handlers, sprayers, and applicators, vegetation ........... Tree trimmers and pruners .......................................................... Pest control workers ...................................................................... All other building and grounds cleaning and maintenance workers Personal care and service occupations ........................................... First-line supervisors/managers of personal service workers ........ Animal care and service workers ................................................... Animal trainers ............................................................................. Nonfarm animal caretakers .......................................................... Child care workers ......................................................................... Entertainment attendants and related workers ............................. Motion picture projectionists ........................................................ Ushers, lobby attendants, and ticket takers ................................. Miscellaneous entertainment attendants and related workers ..... Amusement and recreation attendants ...................................... Costume, locker room and other attendants .............................. Funeral service workers ................................................................. Embalmers ................................................................................... Funeral attendants ....................................................................... Gaming occupations ...................................................................... First-line supervisors/managers, gaming workers ....................... Gaming supervisors ................................................................... Slot key persons ........................................................................ Gaming services workers ............................................................ Gaming and sports book writers and runners ............................ Gaming dealers ......................................................................... All other gaming service workers ................................................. Personal appearance workers ....................................................... Barbers ........................................................................................ Hairdressers, hairstylists, and cosmetologists ............................. Miscellaneous personal appearance workers .............................. Manicurists and pedicurists ....................................................... Shampooers .............................................................................. Skin care specialists .................................................................. Personal and home care aides ...................................................... Recreation and fitness workers ..................................................... Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors ..................................... Recreation workers ...................................................................... Residential advisors ....................................................................... Transportation, tourism, and lodging attendants ........................... Baggage porters, bellhops, and concierges ................................ Baggage porters and bellhops ................................................... Concierges ................................................................................. Tour and travel guides ................................................................. Transportation attendants ............................................................ Flight attendants ........................................................................ 70 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 387 439 0.3 0.3 52 13.4 204 2,206 421 205 1,983 1,442 431 525 343 143 5,549 2,879 482 238 2,347 1,410 402 483 388 137 6,328 1.5 .3 .1 1.4 1.0 .3 .4 .2 .1 3.8 1.7 .3 .1 1.4 .8 .2 .3 .2 .1 3.8 673 61 34 364 -33 -29 -42 45 -7 779 30.5 14.4 16.4 18.3 -2.3 -6.7 -8.0 13.0 -4.6 14.0 2,023 387 124 1,479 543 145 197 147 54 1,912 378 441 .3 .3 63 16.7 131 219 250 .2 .1 31 14.2 91 159 3,981 191 4,381 .1 2.7 .1 2.6 32 400 20.1 10.1 41 1,179 2,348 1,633 973 894 27 52 58 159 4,103 125 145 15 131 1,193 344 11 112 221 197 24 33 7 26 167 46 31 14 100 12 88 21 790 73 636 81 40 20 21 414 427 158 269 44 259 68 51 18 44 147 124 2,665 1,716 1,245 1,154 30 61 71 190 4,959 144 176 17 159 1,319 421 8 124 289 260 28 38 7 31 211 55 37 18 131 15 116 25 880 64 718 97 51 22 24 672 545 222 323 55 300 78 57 20 48 174 147 1.6 1.1 .7 .6 .0 .0 .0 .1 2.8 .1 .1 .0 .1 .8 .2 .0 .1 .2 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 .5 .0 .4 .1 .0 .0 .0 .3 .3 .1 .2 .0 .2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 1.6 1.0 .7 .7 .0 .0 .0 .1 3.0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .8 .3 .0 .1 .2 .2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 .5 .0 .4 .1 .0 .0 .0 .4 .3 .1 .2 .0 .2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 317 83 272 260 4 8 13 31 856 19 31 3 28 127 77 -3 12 68 64 5 5 0 5 44 9 6 3 31 3 28 4 90 -8 82 16 11 3 3 258 118 64 54 11 41 9 6 3 4 27 23 13.5 5.1 27.9 29.0 13.6 16.3 22.1 19.6 20.9 15.1 21.2 18.4 21.6 10.6 22.5 -27.0 11.0 30.9 32.4 19.1 13.8 -.6 17.8 26.5 20.0 18.4 23.3 31.1 21.6 32.4 18.7 11.4 -11.5 13.0 19.8 26.5 13.2 13.3 62.5 27.6 40.3 20.1 24.0 15.7 13.4 12.6 15.7 9.5 18.6 18.4 741 438 516 484 10 22 24 63 2,047 53 61 5 56 531 247 3 102 142 130 13 12 2 11 98 22 15 7 65 7 59 11 294 21 238 36 21 7 8 322 206 97 110 21 128 33 24 9 18 78 65 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 Transportation attendants, except flight attendants and baggage porters ..................................................................... All other personal care and service workers .................................. 23 163 27 198 0.0 .1 0.0 .1 5 35 20.0 21.7 12 72 Sales and related occupations ........................................................... 15,513 17,365 10.7 10.4 1,852 11.9 6,712 Advertising sales agents .................................................................. Cashiers ........................................................................................... Cashiers, except gaming ............................................................... Gaming change persons and booth cashiers ................................ Counter and rental clerks ................................................................. Door-to-door sales workers, news and street vendors, and related workers .................................................................................. Insurance sales agents .................................................................... Models, demonstrators, and product promoters .............................. Demonstrators and product promoters .......................................... Models ........................................................................................... Parts salespersons .......................................................................... Real estate brokers and sales agents ............................................. Real estate brokers ........................................................................ Real estate sales agents ............................................................... Retail salespersons ......................................................................... Sales engineers ............................................................................... Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing ..................... Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, technical and scientific products ........................................................... Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products ............................................ Securities, commodities, and financial services sales agents ......... Supervisors, sales workers .............................................................. First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers ................. First-line supervisors/managers of non-retail sales workers .......... Telemarketers .................................................................................. Travel agents ................................................................................... All other sales and related workers .................................................. 155 3,363 3,325 38 423 196 3,851 3,799 52 506 .1 2.3 2.3 .0 .3 .1 2.3 2.3 .0 .3 41 488 474 14 82 26.3 14.5 14.2 36.1 19.4 72 2,013 1,982 31 274 166 378 121 118 4 260 432 93 339 4,109 85 1,821 156 390 152 147 5 248 473 102 371 4,619 100 1,932 .1 .3 .1 .1 .0 .2 .3 .1 .2 2.8 .1 1.3 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .1 .3 .1 .2 2.8 .1 1.2 -10 13 30 29 1 -12 41 9 32 510 15 111 -6.2 3.3 24.9 24.9 26.0 -4.4 9.5 9.6 9.5 12.4 17.7 6.1 42 109 70 68 2 77 116 25 91 2,073 37 606 396 426 .3 .3 30 7.5 137 1,425 367 2,504 2,072 432 572 135 621 1,507 449 2,697 2,240 457 699 139 758 1.0 .3 1.7 1.4 .3 .4 .1 .4 .9 .3 1.6 1.3 .3 .4 .1 .5 82 82 193 168 25 127 4 137 5.7 22.3 7.7 8.1 5.8 22.2 3.2 22.0 469 112 556 467 89 244 37 273 Office and administrative support occupations .................................. 23,882 26,053 16.4 15.5 2,171 9.1 7,667 First-line supervisors/managers of office and administrative support workers ..................................................................... Communications equipment operators ............................................ Switchboard operators, including answering service ..................... Telephone operators ...................................................................... All other communications equipment operators ............................. Financial, information, and record clerks ......................................... Financial clerks .............................................................................. Bill and account collectors ........................................................... Billing and posting clerks and machine operators ....................... Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks ............................. Gaming cage workers .................................................................. Payroll and timekeeping clerks .................................................... Procurement clerks ...................................................................... Tellers .......................................................................................... Information and record clerks ........................................................ Brokerage clerks .......................................................................... Correspondence clerks ................................................................ Court, municipal, and license clerks ............................................ Credit authorizers, checkers, and clerks ...................................... Customer service representatives ............................................... Eligibility interviewers, government programs ............................. File clerks ..................................................................................... Hotel, motel, and resort desk clerks ............................................ Human resources assistants, except payroll and timekeeping .... Interviewers, except eligibility and loan ....................................... Library assistants, clerical ............................................................ Loan interviewers and clerks ....................................................... New accounts clerks .................................................................... Order clerks ................................................................................. Receptionists and information clerks ........................................... Reservation and transportation ticket agents and travel clerks ... 1,392 339 259 54 26 9,006 3,696 400 506 1,991 22 201 76 499 5,099 70 38 105 86 1,946 117 288 177 177 154 98 139 87 348 1,078 191 1,522 273 218 35 20 10,178 3,821 502 549 2,030 27 206 67 440 6,105 69 42 117 90 2,577 106 314 236 211 205 118 101 89 277 1,334 219 1.0 .2 .2 .0 .0 6.2 2.5 .3 .3 1.4 .0 .1 .1 .3 3.5 .0 .0 .1 .1 1.3 .1 .2 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 .7 .1 .9 .2 .1 .0 .0 6.1 2.3 .3 .3 1.2 .0 .1 .0 .3 3.6 .0 .0 .1 .1 1.5 .1 .2 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 .8 .1 130 -65 -41 -19 -6 1,172 126 101 43 39 6 5 -9 -59 1,006 -1 3 13 4 631 -11 26 59 34 51 19 -38 2 -71 256 28 9.4 -19.3 -15.7 -35.3 -21.8 13.0 3.4 25.3 8.5 2.0 25.2 2.3 -12.2 -11.8 19.7 -1.4 9.1 12.0 4.1 32.4 -9.3 9.1 33.4 19.3 33.4 19.7 -27.6 2.7 -20.4 23.7 14.5 399 101 77 16 9 3,237 1,121 201 167 417 15 63 17 240 2,047 9 15 29 11 796 34 118 136 74 84 63 9 21 74 493 79 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 71 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 All other financial, information, and record clerks .......................... Material recording, scheduling, dispatching, and distributing occupations ............................................................................ Cargo and freight agents ............................................................... Couriers and Messengers .............................................................. Dispatchers .................................................................................... Dispatchers, except police, fire, and ambulance ......................... Police, fire, and ambulance dispatchers ...................................... Meter readers, utilities ................................................................... Postal service workers ................................................................... Postal service clerks .................................................................... Postal service mail carriers .......................................................... Postal service mail sorters, processors, and processing machine operators ................................................................. Production, planning, and expediting clerks .................................. Shipping, receiving, and traffic clerks ............................................ Stock clerks and order fillers .......................................................... Weighers, measurers, checkers, and samplers, recordkeeping .... All other material recording, scheduling, dispatching, and distributing workers ................................................................ Secretaries, administrative assistants, and other office support occupations ............................................................................ Computer operators ....................................................................... Data entry and information processing workers ............................ Data entry keyers ......................................................................... Word processors and typists ....................................................... Desktop publishers ........................................................................ Insurance claims and policy processing clerks .............................. Mail clerks and mail machine operators, except postal service ..... Office clerks, general ..................................................................... Office machine operators, except computer .................................. Proofreaders and copy markers .................................................... Secretaries and administrative assistants ..................................... Executive secretaries and administrative assistants ................... Legal secretaries ......................................................................... Medical secretaries ...................................................................... Secretaries, except legal, medical, and executive ....................... Statistical assistants ...................................................................... All other secretaries, administrative assistants, and other office support workers ..................................................................... 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 211 252 0.1 0.2 41 19.3 69 4,238 60 141 254 168 86 49 688 74 324 4,579 65 135 304 206 98 36 683 76 332 2.9 .0 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .5 .1 .2 2.7 .0 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .4 .0 .2 341 5 -5 50 37 12 -13 -5 2 8 8.1 8.3 -3.9 19.6 22.2 14.5 -26.0 -.7 2.4 2.4 1,530 17 38 92 65 27 12 187 18 106 289 332 890 1,679 83 275 391 973 1,821 98 .2 .2 .6 1.2 .1 .2 .2 .6 1.1 .1 -14 60 83 142 15 -4.9 17.9 9.3 8.5 17.9 63 115 262 740 35 63 73 .0 .0 10 15.5 32 8,908 194 806 509 297 38 289 188 2,705 84 35 3,902 1,445 279 314 1,864 21 9,500 161 774 534 240 63 231 207 3,135 68 33 4,167 1,612 336 373 1,846 22 6.1 .1 .6 .3 .2 .0 .2 .1 1.9 .1 .0 2.7 1.0 .2 .2 1.3 .0 5.7 .1 .5 .3 .1 .0 .1 .1 1.9 .0 .0 2.5 1.0 .2 .2 1.1 .0 592 -33 -32 25 -57 25 -58 19 430 -16 -2 265 167 57 60 -18 0 6.6 -17.1 -3.9 4.9 -19.1 66.7 -20.2 9.9 15.9 -18.8 -5.5 6.8 11.5 20.3 19.0 -1.0 2.1 2,400 35 165 106 60 32 50 74 949 29 13 946 412 104 113 317 2 645 639 .4 .4 -6 -.9 104 Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations ........................................ 1,429 1,480 1.0 .9 51 3.6 485 First-line supervisors/managers/contractors of farming, fishing, and forestry workers .............................................................. Agricultural workers ......................................................................... Agricultural inspectors ................................................................... Farmworkers .................................................................................. Graders and sorters, agricultural products .................................... Fishers and fishing vessel operators ............................................... Forest, conservation, and logging workers ...................................... Forest and conservation workers ................................................... Logging workers ............................................................................ Fallers .......................................................................................... Logging equipment operators ...................................................... Log graders and scalers .............................................................. All other farming, fishing, and forestry workers ................................ 100 987 15 909 63 53 90 21 69 13 47 8 199 113 1,024 16 939 69 46 88 22 66 12 46 8 209 .1 .7 .0 .6 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .6 .0 .6 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 13 37 1 30 6 -6 -2 1 -2 -1 -1 0 10 13.0 3.7 6.6 3.3 9.1 -12.2 -1.8 3.9 -3.5 -8.7 -2.0 -4.0 4.9 21 359 5 334 20 17 19 6 13 3 9 2 70 Construction and extraction occupations ........................................... 7,451 8,439 5.1 5.0 989 13.3 2,469 First-line supervisors/managers of construction trades and extraction workers .................................................................. Construction trades and related workers ......................................... Boilermakers .................................................................................. Brickmasons, blockmasons, and stonemasons ............................. Brickmasons and blockmasons ................................................... Stonemasons ............................................................................... Carpenters ..................................................................................... Carpet, floor, and tile installers and finishers ................................. Carpet installers ........................................................................... 792 6,466 27 158 144 14 1,204 167 76 923 7,328 28 179 162 17 1,302 189 84 .5 4.4 .0 .1 .1 .0 .8 .1 .1 .6 4.4 .0 .1 .1 .0 .8 .1 .1 131 862 1 21 18 3 98 22 8 16.5 13.3 2.1 13.2 12.5 20.8 8.2 13.2 10.5 311 2,086 8 50 45 5 302 50 21 72 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Floor layers, except carpet, wood, and hard tiles ........................ Floor sanders and finishers ......................................................... Tile and marble setters ................................................................ Cement masons, concrete finishers, and terrazzo workers ........... Cement masons and concrete finishers ...................................... Terrazzo workers and finishers .................................................... Construction laborers ..................................................................... Construction equipment operators ................................................. Operating engineers and other construction equipment operators ................................................................................ Paving, surfacing, and tamping equipment operators ................. Pile-driver operators .................................................................... Drywall installers, ceiling tile installers, and tapers ........................ Drywall and ceiling tile installers .................................................. Tapers .......................................................................................... Electricians .................................................................................... Glaziers .......................................................................................... Insulation workers .......................................................................... Painters, construction and maintenance ........................................ Paperhangers ................................................................................ Pipelayers, plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters ........................ Pipelayers .................................................................................... Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters ........................................ Plasterers and stucco masons ....................................................... Reinforcing iron and rebar workers ................................................ Roofers .......................................................................................... Sheet metal workers ...................................................................... Structural iron and steel workers ................................................... Helpers, construction trades .......................................................... Helpers-Brickmasons, blockmasons, stonemasons, and tile and marble setters ........................................................................ Helpers-Carpenters ..................................................................... Helpers-Electricians ..................................................................... Helpers-Painters, paperhangers, plasterers, and stucco masons Helpers-Pipelayers, plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters ........ Helpers-Roofers ........................................................................... All other helpers, construction trades .......................................... Other construction and related workers ......................................... Construction and building inspectors ........................................... Elevator installers and repairers .................................................. Fence erectors ............................................................................. Hazardous materials removal workers ........................................ Highway maintenance workers .................................................... Rail-track laying and maintenance equipment operators ............. Septic tank servicers and sewer pipe cleaners ............................ All other construction and related workers ................................... Extraction workers ........................................................................... Derrick, rotary drill, and service unit operators, oil, gas, and mining .................................................................................... Derrick operators, oil and gas ...................................................... Rotary drill operators, oil and gas ................................................ Service unit operators, oil, gas, and mining ................................. Earth drillers, except oil and gas .................................................... Explosives workers, ordnance handling experts, and blasters ...... Helpers-Extraction workers ............................................................ Mining machine operators ............................................................. Continuous mining machine operators ........................................ Miscellaneous mining machine operators .................................... Roustabouts, oil and gas ............................................................... All other extraction workers ........................................................... Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations ............................. First-line supervisors/managers of mechanics, installers, and repairers ................................................................................. Electrical and electronic equipment mechanics, installers, and repairers ................................................................................. Avionics technicians ...................................................................... Computer, automated teller, and office machine repairers ............ Electric motor, power tool, and related repairers ........................... 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 23 14 54 166 162 3 791 416 27 16 62 171 167 4 926 450 0.0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .5 .3 0.0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .6 .3 4 2 8 5 5 0 135 34 15.8 14.7 15.6 3.0 3.0 2.0 17.0 8.1 8 4 17 19 19 0 207 123 357 55 4 188 143 44 698 49 53 491 27 568 65 503 54 27 158 224 84 450 382 63 5 205 157 48 819 56 60 585 32 627 73 554 61 32 188 275 99 510 .2 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .5 .0 .0 .3 .0 .4 .0 .3 .0 .0 .1 .2 .1 .3 .2 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .5 .0 .0 .3 .0 .4 .0 .3 .0 .0 .1 .2 .1 .3 25 8 1 17 13 4 120 7 7 94 5 59 8 51 6 5 31 51 15 60 6.9 15.5 14.0 9.1 9.4 8.3 17.3 14.8 13.6 19.1 20.2 10.4 11.9 10.2 11.9 17.5 19.4 23.0 18.4 13.3 103 19 1 35 27 8 251 16 23 180 10 153 19 134 16 8 67 98 24 283 58 101 114 27 86 23 41 465 75 23 29 37 151 12 15 123 193 66 108 129 30 96 28 53 534 86 27 30 49 159 9 18 156 189 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 8 7 15 3 10 5 12 69 11 4 1 12 8 -3 3 33 -4 14.1 6.6 13.3 12.9 11.5 19.3 29.1 14.8 15.0 17.2 4.6 32.8 5.2 -26.1 16.5 26.7 -2.1 37 57 72 17 53 16 32 162 28 11 6 23 31 3 6 54 72 45 16 18 11 24 5 37 22 10 12 41 19 44 16 17 11 27 5 38 19 8 11 40 17 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -2 0 -1 0 3 0 1 -3 -1 -2 -2 -2 -3.5 .1 -8.0 -1.2 12.6 1.9 2.4 -12.9 -13.4 -12.5 -4.2 -10.7 16 6 6 4 8 2 18 8 3 4 14 7 5,820 6,482 4.0 3.9 662 11.4 1,944 442 513 .3 .3 71 16.0 186 683 16 172 37 726 17 197 40 .5 .0 .1 .0 .4 .0 .1 .0 43 2 24 3 6.3 9.8 14.2 7.9 178 5 43 11 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 73 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Electrical and electronics installers and repairers, transportation equipment .............................................................................. Electrical and electronics repairers, industrial and utility ............... Electrical and electronics repairers, commercial and industrial equipment .............................................................................. Electrical and electronics repairers, powerhouse, substation, and relay ................................................................................ Electronic equipment installers and repairers, motor vehicles ....... Electronic home entertainment equipment installers and repairers Radio and telecommunications equipment installers and repairers ................................................................................. Radio mechanics ......................................................................... Telecommunications equipment installers and repairers, except line installers .......................................................................... Security and fire alarm systems installers ..................................... All other electrical and electronic equipment mechanics, installers, and repairers ......................................................... Vehicle and mobile equipment mechanics, installers, and repairers Aircraft mechanics and service technicians ................................... Automotive body and related repairers .......................................... Automotive glass installers and repairers ...................................... Automotive service technicians and mechanics ............................ Bus and truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists ................ Heavy vehicle and mobile equipment service technicians and mechanics .............................................................................. Farm equipment mechanics ........................................................ Mobile heavy equipment mechanics, except engines ................. Rail car repairers ......................................................................... Small engine mechanics ................................................................ Motorboat mechanics .................................................................. Motorcycle mechanics ................................................................. Outdoor power equipment and other small engine mechanics .... Miscellaneous vehicle and mobile equipment mechanics, installers, and repairers ......................................................... Bicycle repairers .......................................................................... Recreational vehicle service technicians ..................................... Tire repairers and changers ......................................................... All other vehicle and mobile equipment mechanics, installers, and repairers .......................................................................... Other installation, maintenance, and repair occupations ................. Coin, vending, and amusement machine servicers and repairers Control and valve installers and repairers ..................................... Control and valve installers and repairers, except mechanical door ........................................................................................ Mechanical door repairers ........................................................... Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers ................................................................................. Helpers-Installation, maintenance, and repair workers .................. Home appliance repairers .............................................................. Industrial machinery mechanics .................................................... Line installers and repairers ........................................................... Electrical power-line installers and repairers ............................... Telecommunications line installers and repairers ........................ Locksmiths and safe repairers ....................................................... Maintenance and repair workers, general ..................................... Maintenance workers, machinery .................................................. Manufactured building and mobile home installers ........................ Millwrights ...................................................................................... Precision instrument and equipment repairers .............................. Camera and photographic equipment repairers .......................... Medical equipment repairers ....................................................... Musical instrument repairers and tuners ...................................... Watch repairers ........................................................................... All other precision instrument and equipment repairers .............. Riggers .......................................................................................... All other installation, maintenance, and repair workers ................. Production occupations ..................................................................... 74 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 14 108 15 116 0.0 .1 0.0 .1 2 8 13.6 7.3 4 30 90 98 .1 .1 8 9.2 26 18 13 37 18 15 30 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 0 2 -7 -2.3 15.6 -17.9 4 5 7 196 7 188 5 .1 .0 .1 .0 -7 -2 -3.8 -24.2 37 1 189 44 183 54 .1 .0 .1 .0 -6 10 -3.1 23.4 36 18 48 1,931 158 199 22 840 285 54 2,218 184 219 24 991 326 .0 1.3 .1 .1 .0 .6 .2 .0 1.3 .1 .1 .0 .6 .2 6 286 26 20 2 151 40 13.4 14.8 16.7 10.2 10.5 18.0 14.2 17 778 60 69 8 349 114 185 41 130 14 73 25 14 33 203 42 148 13 79 27 16 36 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 17 0 18 -1 6 2 1 3 9.4 .9 14.0 -7.6 8.6 9.0 8.6 8.2 66 11 52 4 24 9 5 11 170 9 12 89 192 10 15 95 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 22 2 3 6 13.2 17.7 25.4 6.8 87 5 8 40 60 2,764 37 46 72 3,026 44 48 .0 1.9 .0 .0 .0 1.8 .0 .0 12 262 7 2 19.6 9.5 18.5 5.2 35 802 15 17 34 11 35 13 .0 .0 .0 .0 1 1 2.7 12.7 12 5 243 145 43 198 263 99 164 23 1,251 114 17 72 63 7 28 7 5 15 20 228 297 172 46 205 317 108 209 25 1,310 120 20 75 69 7 33 8 6 16 22 254 .2 .1 .0 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .9 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .2 .1 .0 .1 .2 .1 .1 .0 .8 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 54 27 3 7 54 9 45 2 59 7 3 3 6 0 4 1 0 1 2 26 22.3 18.5 6.2 3.4 20.7 9.3 27.6 8.7 4.7 5.8 19.1 3.9 9.7 -2.1 14.9 9.4 6.2 6.8 10.1 11.5 79 101 11 60 118 41 76 10 221 37 7 25 22 2 11 2 2 5 6 73 13,060 13,811 9.0 8.2 750 5.7 3,932 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 First-line supervisors/managers of production and operating workers .................................................................................. Assemblers and fabricators ............................................................. Aircraft structure, surfaces, rigging, and systems assemblers ...... Electrical, electronics, and electromechanical assemblers ............ Coil winders, tapers, and finishers ............................................... Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers .......................... Electromechanical equipment assemblers .................................. Engine and other machine assemblers ......................................... Structural metal fabricators and fitters ........................................... Miscellaneous assemblers and fabricators .................................... Fiberglass laminators and fabricators .......................................... Team assemblers ........................................................................ Timing device assemblers, adjusters, and calibrators ................. All other assemblers and fabricators ........................................... Food processing occupations .......................................................... Bakers ............................................................................................ Butchers and other meat, poultry, and fish processing workers .... Butchers and meat cutters ........................................................... Meat, poultry, and fish cutters and trimmers ................................ Slaughterers and meat packers ................................................... Food and tobacco roasting, baking, and drying machine operators and tenders ............................................................ Food batchmakers ......................................................................... Food cooking machine operators and tenders .............................. All other food processing workers .................................................. Metal workers and plastic workers ................................................... Computer control programmers and operators .............................. Computer-controlled machine tool operators, metal and plastic .. Numerical tool and process control programmers ....................... Cutting, punching, and press machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ...................................................... Drilling and boring machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Extruding and drawing machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Forging machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ..................................................................................... Grinding, lapping, polishing, and buffing machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .............................. Heat treating equipment setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .............................................................................. Lathe and turning machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Lay-out workers, metal and plastic ................................................ Machinists ...................................................................................... Metal furnace and kiln operators and tenders ............................... Metal-refining furnace operators and tenders .............................. Pourers and casters, metal .......................................................... Milling and planing machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Model makers and patternmakers, metal and plastic .................... Model makers, metal and plastic ................................................. Patternmakers, metal and plastic ................................................ Molders and molding machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Foundry mold and coremakers .................................................... Molding, coremaking, and casting machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ............................................... Multiple machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ..................................................................................... Plating and coating machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic .................................................................... Rolling machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ..................................................................................... Tool and die makers ...................................................................... Tool grinders, filers, and sharpeners ............................................. Welding, soldering, and brazing workers ....................................... Welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers ..................................... 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 819 2,653 20 508 56 379 73 67 101 1,957 48 1,458 12 439 760 160 411 141 148 122 827 2,824 23 492 61 355 76 72 120 2,117 53 1,545 12 507 783 187 415 128 162 125 0.6 1.8 .0 .3 .0 .3 .1 .0 .1 1.3 .0 1.0 .0 .3 .5 .1 .3 .1 .1 .1 0.5 1.7 .0 .3 .0 .2 .0 .0 .1 1.3 .0 .9 .0 .3 .5 .1 .2 .1 .1 .1 9 171 3 -16 5 -24 3 5 20 160 5 87 0 68 23 27 5 -13 14 3 1.0 6.5 14.2 -3.1 8.2 -6.3 4.5 7.1 19.5 8.2 11.4 5.9 2.5 15.4 3.0 16.8 1.2 -8.9 9.5 2.6 224 702 8 138 19 97 22 18 35 503 14 342 2 144 214 52 117 34 50 33 18 66 37 69 2,907 186 162 24 17 67 37 61 3,156 222 194 28 .0 .0 .0 .0 2.0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 1.9 .1 .1 .0 -2 1 0 -8 249 36 32 4 -9.0 1.4 .6 -11.6 8.6 19.3 19.7 16.6 4 17 7 17 994 102 89 12 372 357 .3 .2 -15 -4.0 73 71 68 .0 .0 -3 -4.5 23 126 143 .1 .1 17 13.5 45 54 59 .0 .0 5 9.1 22 145 156 .1 .1 11 7.3 46 43 49 .0 .0 6 13.4 14 84 18 430 40 24 16 78 17 469 43 26 18 .1 .0 .3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 .0 .0 .0 -6 -1 39 3 2 1 -7.4 -6.0 9.1 7.2 7.4 6.9 33 5 127 14 8 6 34 19 11 9 32 18 10 8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 -2 -1 0 -1 -6.7 -5.6 -3.2 -8.4 11 5 3 2 235 59 252 59 .2 .0 .2 .0 17 -1 7.0 -1.2 65 12 176 193 .1 .1 17 9.8 53 105 121 .1 .1 15 14.7 32 65 72 .0 .0 7 10.2 20 49 130 29 521 446 50 132 27 618 532 .0 .1 .0 .4 .3 .0 .1 .0 .4 .3 1 3 -2 97 86 1.4 2.2 -7.7 18.7 19.3 17 35 8 244 211 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 75 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Welding, soldering, and brazing machine setters, operators, and tenders ................................................................................... All other metal workers and plastic workers .................................. Plant and system operators ............................................................. Power plant operators, distributors, and dispatchers ..................... Nuclear power reactor operators ................................................. Power distributors and dispatchers .............................................. Power plant operators .................................................................. Stationary engineers and boiler operators ..................................... Water and liquid waste treatment plant and system operators ...... Miscellaneous plant and system operators .................................... Chemical plant and system operators ......................................... Gas plant operators ..................................................................... Petroleum pump system operators, refinery operators, and gaugers .................................................................................. All other plant and system operators ........................................... Printing occupations ........................................................................ Bookbinders and bindery workers ................................................. Bindery workers ........................................................................... Bookbinders ................................................................................. Job printers .................................................................................... Prepress technicians and workers ................................................. Printing machine operators ............................................................ All other printing workers ............................................................... Textile, apparel, and furnishings occupations .................................. Extruding and forming machine setters, operators, and tenders, synthetic and glass fibers ...................................................... Fabric and apparel patternmakers ................................................. Laundry and dry-cleaning workers ................................................. Pressers, textile, garment, and related materials .......................... Sewing machine operators ............................................................ Shoe and leather workers and repairers ........................................ Shoe machine operators and tenders ............................................ Tailors, dressmakers, and sewers ................................................. Sewers, hand ............................................................................... Tailors, dressmakers, and custom sewers .................................. Textile bleaching and dyeing machine operators and tenders ...... Textile cutting machine setters, operators, and tenders ................ Textile knitting and weaving machine setters, operators, and tenders ................................................................................... Textile winding, twisting, and drawing out machine setters, operators, and tenders ........................................................... Upholsterers .................................................................................. All other textile, apparel, and furnishings workers ......................... Woodworkers ................................................................................... Cabinetmakers and bench carpenters ........................................... Furniture finishers .......................................................................... Model makers and patternmakers, wood ....................................... Sawing machine setters, operators, and tenders, wood ................ Woodworking machine setters, operators, and tenders, except sawing .................................................................................... All other woodworkers ................................................................... Other production occupations .......................................................... Cementing and gluing machine operators and tenders ................. Chemical processing machine setters, operators, and tenders ..... Chemical equipment operators and tenders ................................ Separating, filtering, clarifying, precipitating, and still machine setters, operators, and tenders .............................................. Cleaning, washing, and metal pickling equipment operators and tenders ................................................................................... Cooling and freezing equipment operators and tenders ................ Crushing, grinding, polishing, mixing, and blending workers ......... Crushing, grinding, and polishing machine setters, operators, and tenders ............................................................................ Grinding and polishing workers, hand ......................................... Mixing and blending machine setters, operators, and tenders .... Cutting workers .............................................................................. Cutters and trimmers, hand ......................................................... Cutting and slicing machine setters, operators, and tenders ....... Etchers and engravers ................................................................... 76 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 74 150 368 55 4 15 36 57 88 167 71 12 86 174 384 55 4 14 37 56 104 168 69 11 0.1 .1 .3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 0.1 .1 .2 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 11 25 16 0 0 -1 1 -1 16 1 -2 -1 15.1 16.4 4.4 -.4 -3.4 -5.1 1.8 -1.3 18.1 .6 -3.3 -6.3 32 54 133 17 1 4 11 16 44 56 22 4 35 49 534 115 105 10 56 107 222 34 1,317 34 54 543 124 113 10 59 90 234 35 1,285 .0 .0 .4 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 .2 .0 .9 .0 .0 .3 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .8 -1 6 8 9 8 1 4 -17 12 1 -32 -4.1 11.4 1.6 7.4 7.3 8.2 6.4 -15.6 5.5 2.0 -2.4 11 20 160 39 36 3 18 26 68 9 301 41 15 236 110 399 19 9 101 43 58 37 38 44 14 263 112 348 15 4 91 40 51 41 35 .0 .0 .2 .1 .3 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .1 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 2 -1 27 2 -51 -4 -5 -9 -3 -7 4 -2 5.7 -5.4 11.4 1.7 -12.9 -21.4 -53.6 -9.3 -6.6 -11.4 10.8 -6.5 13 5 89 17 42 7 1 22 9 13 11 6 70 68 .0 .0 -2 -2.4 11 90 58 95 409 159 45 10 57 86 53 112 446 175 49 12 64 .1 .0 .1 .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 .3 .1 .0 .0 .0 -4 -6 17 37 16 4 2 7 -4.4 -9.5 18.0 9.0 9.8 8.4 16.0 11.7 19 19 36 187 66 22 6 29 103 35 3,293 36 100 61 108 38 3,563 38 110 70 .1 .0 2.3 .0 .1 .0 .1 .0 2.1 .0 .1 .0 5 4 269 2 10 9 5.3 10.6 8.2 6.7 9.9 14.9 47 18 1,017 11 33 23 39 40 .0 .0 1 2.2 10 20 7 202 17 7 222 .0 .0 .1 .0 .0 .1 -3 0 21 -14.2 -1.3 10.3 5 1 65 44 49 109 115 32 83 15 49 55 118 117 33 84 16 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .1 .0 4 7 10 2 1 1 2 9.8 13.7 9.0 1.8 2.2 1.7 11.1 14 17 33 23 6 16 5 Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Extruding, forming, pressing, and compacting machine setters, operators, and tenders ........................................................... Furnace, kiln, oven, drier, and kettle operators and tenders ......... Helpers-Production workers .......................................................... Inspectors, testers, sorters, samplers, and weighers .................... Jewelers and precious stone and metal workers ........................... Medical, dental, and ophthalmic laboratory workers ...................... Dental laboratory technicians ...................................................... Medical appliance technicians ..................................................... Ophthalmic laboratory technicians ............................................... Molders, shapers, and casters, except metal and plastic .............. Packaging and filling machine operators and tenders ................... Painting workers ............................................................................ Coating, painting, and spraying machine setters, operators, and tenders ................................................................................... Painters, transportation equipment .............................................. Painting, coating, and decorating workers ................................... Paper goods machine setters, operators, and tenders .................. Photographic process workers and processing machine operators ................................................................................ Photographic process workers .................................................... Photographic processing machine operators .............................. Semiconductor processors ............................................................ Tire builders ................................................................................... All other production workers .......................................................... 2010 2000 2010 Percent Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 73 33 525 602 43 88 43 13 32 42 379 195 80 34 587 591 44 95 46 15 34 45 433 223 0.1 .0 .4 .4 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 .1 0.0 .0 .3 .4 .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 .1 7 1 62 -11 1 7 3 2 2 3 54 28 9.0 3.2 11.9 -1.9 1.3 7.9 6.3 19.0 5.7 7.4 14.4 14.5 24 10 194 133 12 31 14 6 11 14 138 72 108 49 38 123 121 57 45 116 .1 .0 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .1 13 9 7 -7 11.9 17.5 17.9 -5.4 37 19 15 24 76 26 50 52 18 549 77 24 53 69 20 619 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .4 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .4 2 -2 4 17 2 70 2.2 -8.2 7.6 32.4 8.6 12.7 23 7 17 26 5 168 Transportation and material moving occupations .............................. 10,088 11,618 6.9 6.9 1,530 15.2 3,949 Supervisors, transportation and material moving workers ............... Aircraft cargo handling supervisors ............................................... First-line supervisors/managers of helpers, laborers, and material movers, hand ......................................................................... First-line supervisors/managers of transportation and material-moving machine and vehicle operators ................... Air transportation occupations ......................................................... Aircraft pilots and flight engineers .................................................. Airline pilots, copilots, and flight engineers .................................. Commercial pilots ........................................................................ Air traffic controllers and airfield operations specialists ................. Air traffic controllers ..................................................................... Airfield operations specialists ...................................................... All other air transportation workers ................................................ Motor vehicle operators ................................................................... Ambulance drivers and attendants, except emergency medical technicians ............................................................................. Bus drivers ..................................................................................... Bus drivers, school ...................................................................... Bus drivers, transit and intercity ................................................... Driver/sales workers and truck drivers ........................................... Driver/sales workers .................................................................... Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer ........................................ Truck drivers, light or delivery services ........................................ Taxi drivers and chauffeurs ........................................................... All other motor vehicle operators ................................................... Rail transportation occupations ....................................................... Locomotive engineers and firers .................................................... Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators ................................. Railroad conductors and yardmasters ........................................... Rail yard engineers, dinkey operators, and hostlers ...................... All other rail transportation workers ............................................... Water transportation occupations .................................................... Sailors and marine oilers ............................................................... Ship and boat captains and operators ........................................... Ship engineers ............................................................................... All other water transportation workers ........................................... Related transportation occupations ................................................. Bridge and lock tenders ................................................................. Parking lot attendants .................................................................... Service station attendants ............................................................. Traffic technicians .......................................................................... 357 10 427 13 .2 .0 .3 .0 70 3 19.7 27.7 147 5 153 182 .1 .1 29 18.9 62 194 166 117 98 19 31 27 5 17 4,237 233 186 129 104 24 35 29 6 22 4,982 .1 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 2.9 .1 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 3.0 39 20 11 6 5 3 2 1 5 745 19.9 12.2 9.8 6.4 26.9 10.2 7.2 27.1 32.2 17.6 80 68 38 29 10 17 13 3 13 1,398 15 666 481 185 3,268 402 1,749 1,117 176 112 115 37 22 45 4 7 70 32 25 9 5 309 4 117 112 4 20 754 537 217 3,857 430 2,095 1,331 219 132 94 38 9 36 4 7 74 33 26 9 5 341 4 140 110 5 .0 .5 .3 .1 2.2 .3 1.2 .8 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .1 .1 .0 .0 .4 .3 .1 2.3 .3 1.2 .8 .1 .1 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .2 .0 .1 .1 .0 5 88 56 32 589 29 346 215 43 20 -21 1 -13 -8 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 32 -1 23 -2 1 33.7 13.2 11.6 17.4 18.0 7.1 19.8 19.2 24.4 18.2 -18.5 2.3 -60.8 -18.9 -4.5 -4.1 4.4 4.9 3.4 5.8 4.2 10.4 -19.1 19.8 -1.7 14.1 6 257 178 79 1,038 84 586 368 57 39 52 18 10 20 2 3 27 12 9 3 2 139 2 43 57 2 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 77 Occupational Employment Table 2. Continued—Employment by occupation, 2000 and projected 2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Number Occupation Change Percent distribution Number 2000 Transportation inspectors .............................................................. All other related transportation workers ......................................... Material moving occupations ........................................................... Cleaners of vehicles and equipment .............................................. Conveyor operators and tenders ................................................... Crane and tower operators ............................................................ Excavating and loading machine and dragline operators .............. Hoist and winch operators ............................................................. Industrial truck and tractor operators ............................................. Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand ................ Machine feeders and offbearers .................................................... Packers and packagers, hand ....................................................... Pumping station operators ............................................................. Gas compressor and gas pumping station operators .................. Pump operators, except wellhead pumpers ................................ Wellhead pumpers ....................................................................... Refuse and recyclable material collectors ..................................... Tank car, truck, and ship loaders ................................................... All other material moving workers .................................................. 25 46 4,833 322 63 55 76 9 635 2,084 182 1,091 32 7 14 12 124 19 142 2010 28 54 5,514 382 71 59 88 10 707 2,373 159 1,300 32 7 15 11 145 21 165 2000 2010 0.0 .0 3.3 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .4 1.4 .1 .7 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 0.0 .0 3.3 .2 .0 .0 .1 .0 .4 1.4 .1 .8 .0 .0 .0 .0 .1 .0 .1 3 8 681 60 8 5 11 1 72 289 -22 210 0 0 1 -1 21 3 23 Percent 11.3 17.9 14.1 18.8 13.3 8.6 14.8 8.3 11.3 13.9 -12.3 19.3 0.0 4.8 4.8 -8.5 16.6 13.5 16.4 Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 9 26 2,118 183 26 21 34 3 160 985 63 488 10 2 5 3 75 8 62 1 Total job openings represent the sum of employment increases and net replacements. If employment change is negative, job openings due to growth are zero and total job openings equal net replacements. NOTE: Detail may not equal total or 100 percent due to rounding. clerks, general, with employment of 2.7 million, is projected to experience only average growth. Declining occupations. This section of the article focuses just on those occupations with the largest numerical job declines, because many detailed occupations with the fastest rates of decline are very small and, consequently, the resulting employment declines are not very significant in terms of the total economy. (See table 5.) Fourteen of the occupations with the largest declines are office and administrative support, seven are production, and three are service—two, food service and one, barbers. Two are sales and two are railroad transportation; others are wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products and farmers and ranchers. Changes in technology or business practices will reduce the demand for most of the 30 occupations. The use of computer technology will reduce demand for word processors and typists; tellers; loan interviewers and clerks; secretaries, except legal, medical, and executive; switchboard operators, including answering service; and other office and administrative support occupations. Machine feeders and offbearers, prepress technicians and workers, electrical and electronic equipment assemblers, and most other production occupations on this list also are affected by advances in technology, such as faster machines, more automated pro78 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 cesses, and better product designs that simplify assembly. Parts salespersons; procurement clerks; order clerks; wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products; and postal service mail sorters, processors, and processing machine operators should decline, as electronic business automates some of the functions they perform.6 Farmers and ranchers; dishwashers; railroad brake, signal, and switch operators; and meter readers, utilities also will decline as a result of improved technology. Farmers and ranchers also will be affected by farm consolidation. Declining industry employment is the major cause of projected employment declines for sewing machine operators and railroad conductors and yardmasters, while butchers and meatcutters continues to decline, as work is shifted from retail trade, where most meatcutters are employed, to food processing plants. Dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartenders’ helpers are expected to decline, as waiters and waitresses and bartenders assume more of their duties. Barbers will probably decline because of the large number of retirements and the small number of cosmetology graduates seeking barbers’ licenses. Earnings and the most significant source of education or training differ considerably among occupations in the three groups just discussed. (See exhibit 1 for a description of the education or training categories used in this article.) Of the Table 3. Fastest growing occupations, 2000–2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Change Occupation 2000 2010 Number Percent Quartile rank by 2000 median annual earnings1 Most significant source of education or training Computer software engineers, applications ........................ Computer support specialists .............................................. Computer software engineers, systems software ............... Network and computer systems administrators .................. Network systems and data communications analysts ........ Desktop publishers ............................................................. Database administrators ..................................................... Personal and home care aides ........................................... Computer systems analysts ................................................ Medical assistants ............................................................... 380 506 317 229 119 38 106 414 431 329 760 996 601 416 211 63 176 672 689 516 380 490 284 187 92 25 70 258 258 187 100 97 90 82 77 67 66 62 60 57 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 4 1 3 Bachelor’s degree Associate degree Bachelor’s degree Bachelor’s degree Bachelor’s degree Postsecondary vocational award Bachelor’s degree Short-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Moderate-term on-the-job training Social and human service assistants .................................. Physician assistants ............................................................ Medical records and health information technicians ........... Computer and information systems managers ................... Home health aides .............................................................. Physical therapist aides ...................................................... Occupational therapist aides ............................................... Physical therapist assistants ............................................... Audiologists ......................................................................... Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors ............................ 271 58 136 313 615 36 9 44 13 158 418 89 202 463 907 53 12 64 19 222 147 31 66 150 291 17 4 20 6 64 54 53 49 48 47 46 45 45 45 40 3 1 3 1 4 3 3 2 1 3 Moderate-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Associate degree Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Associate degree Master’s degree Postsecondary vocational award Computer and information scientists, research ................... Veterinary assistants and laboratory animal caretakers ..... Occupational therapist assistants ....................................... Veterinary technologists and technicians ............................ Speech-language pathologists ............................................ Mental health and substance abuse social workers ........... Dental assistants ................................................................. Dental hygienists ................................................................. Special education teachers, preschool, kindergarten, and elementary school ................................................... Pharmacy technicians ......................................................... 28 55 17 49 88 83 247 147 39 77 23 69 122 116 339 201 11 22 7 19 34 33 92 54 40 40 40 39 39 39 37 37 1 4 2 3 1 2 2 1 Doctoral degree Short-term on-the-job training Associate degree Associate degree Master’s degree Master’s degree Moderate-term on-the-job training Associate degree 234 190 320 259 86 69 37 36 1 3 Bachelor’s degree Moderate-term on-the-job training 1 The quartile rankings of Occupational Employment Statistics annual earnings data are presented in the following categories: 1=very high ($39,700 and over), 2=high ($25,760 to $39,660), 3=low ($18,500 to $25,760), and 4=very low (up to $18,490). The 30 fastest growing occupations, 21 generally require a postsecondary degree or other award, compared with 11 of those with the largest numerical job growth and 2 of those with the largest numerical declines. Of the fastest growing occupations, 13 are concentrated in the first earnings quartile and 8 in the third earnings quartile; of those with the largest numeric increases, 10 are in the first and 11 in the fourth quartile; and of the largest declines, 10 are in the second and 14 are in the third quartile. Total job openings In addition to occupational employment growth, another aspect of the demand for workers is the need to replace workers who leave their jobs to enter other occupations, retire, or leave the labor force for other reasons. Job openings result- rankings were based on quartiles using one-fourth of total employment to define each quartile. Earnings are for wage and salary workers. ing from replacement needs are very important, because, in most occupations, they exceed those that are the result of employment growth. Even occupations that are projected to decline provide some job openings, for example, farmers and ranchers and wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products. (See table 2, pp. 64–78.) The measure of replacement needs is complex because of the continuous movement of workers into and out of occupations. The replacement needs cited in this article are based on the net change in employment (entrants minus separations) in each age cohort over the projection period. Although this measure understates the total number of job openings in an occupation, it best represents the job openings for new labor force entrants over the projection period.7 Over the 2000–10 period, more job openings are expected Monthly Labor Review November 2001 79 Occupational Employment Table 4. Occupations with the largest job growth, 2000–2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Change Occupation 2000 Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food .................................................................. Customer service representatives ...................................... Registered nurses ............................................................... Retail salespersons ............................................................. Computer support specialists .............................................. Cashiers, except gaming .................................................... Office clerks, general .......................................................... Security guards ................................................................... Computer software engineers, applications ........................ Waiters and waitresses ....................................................... General and operations managers ..................................... Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer ............................... Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants ............................ Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners .................................................................. Postsecondary teachers ..................................................... Teacher assistants .............................................................. Home health aides .............................................................. Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand ..... Computer software engineers, systems software ............... Landscaping and groundskeeping workers ........................ Personal and home care aides ........................................... Computer systems analysts ................................................ Receptionists and information clerks .................................. Truck drivers, light or delivery services ............................... Packers and packagers, hand ............................................ Elementary school teachers, except special education ...... Medical assistants ............................................................... Network and computer systems administrators .................. Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education ................................................................ Accountants and auditors ................................................... 2010 Most significant source of education or training 2,879 2,577 2,755 4,619 996 3,799 3,135 1,497 760 2,347 673 631 561 510 490 474 430 391 380 364 30 32 26 12 97 14 16 35 100 18 4 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 1 4 Short-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Associate degree Short-term on-the-job training Associate degree Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Short-term on-the-job training 2,398 1,749 1,373 2,761 2,095 1,697 363 346 323 15 20 24 1 2 3 Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience Moderate-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training 2,348 1,344 1,262 615 2,084 317 894 2,665 1,659 1,562 907 2,373 601 1,154 317 315 301 291 289 284 260 13 23 24 47 14 90 29 4 1 4 4 3 1 4 Short-term on-the-job training Doctoral degree Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Short-term on-the-job training 414 431 1,078 1,117 1,091 1,532 329 229 672 689 1,334 1,331 1,300 1,734 516 416 258 258 256 215 210 202 187 187 62 60 24 19 19 13 57 82 4 1 3 3 4 1 3 1 Short-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree Moderate-term on-the-job training Bachelor’s degree 1,004 976 1,190 1,157 187 181 19 19 1 1 Bachelor’s degree Bachelor’s degree to result from replacement needs (35.8 million) than from employment growth in the economy (22.2 million). Service occupations are projected to have the largest number of total job openings, 13.5 million. Large occupations characterized by relatively low pay and limited training requirements, such as food preparation and service occupations, generate numerous job openings due to replacement needs. Even within service occupations, however, rapidly growing healthcare support occupations should generate more openings from job growth than from replacement needs. The only major group with fewer openings from replacement needs than from employment growth is professional and related occupations, the fastest growing. Even within professional and related occupations, however, replacement Monthly Labor Review Percent 2,206 1,946 2,194 4,109 506 3,325 2,705 1,106 380 1,983 1 The quartile rankings of Occupational Employment Statistics annual earnings data are presented in the following categories: 1=very high ($39,700 and over), 2=high ($25,760 to $39,660), 3=low ($18,500 to $25,760), and 4=very low (up to $18,490). The 80 Number Quartile rank by 2000 median annual earnings1 November 2001 rankings were based on quartiles using one-fourth of total employment to define each quartile. Earnings are for wage and salary workers. openings should exceed growth openings in the three slowest growing groups—architecture and engineering occupations; education, training, and library occupations; and life, physical, and social science occupations. Education or training categories and earnings While the education and training requirements of the workforce continue to increase, in 2000, only 21 percent of jobs were in occupations generally requiring a bachelor’s degree or more education. (See table 6.) However, these jobs will account for 29 percent of total job growth from 2000 to 2010. Occupations generally requiring a postsecondary vocational award or an associate degree, which accounted for 8 Table 5. Occupations with the largest job decline, 2000–2010 [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Change Occupation 2000 Farmers and ranchers ......................................................... Order clerks ........................................................................ Tellers ................................................................................. Insurance claims and policy processing clerks ................... Word processors and typists ............................................... Sewing machine operators ................................................. Dishwashers ....................................................................... Switchboard operators, including answering service .......... Loan interviewers and clerks .............................................. Computer operators ............................................................ Dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers .................................................................... Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers ................. Machine feeders and offbearers ......................................... Telephone operators ........................................................... Secretaries, except legal, medical, and executive .............. Prepress technicians and workers ...................................... Office machine operators, except computer ....................... Cutting, punching, and press machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic ................................ Postal service mail sorters, processors, and processing machine operators .................................................. Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators ...................... Wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products ............ Meter readers, utilities ......................................................... Butchers and meat cutters .................................................. Parts salespersons ............................................................. Inspectors, testers, sorters, samplers, and weighers .......... Eligibility interviewers, government programs ..................... Door-to-door sales workers, news and street vendors, and related workers ....................................................... Procurement clerks ............................................................. Railroad conductors and yardmasters ................................ Barbers ............................................................................... 2010 Number Percent Quartile rank by 2000 median annual earnings1 Most significant source of education or training 1,294 348 499 289 297 399 525 259 139 194 965 277 440 231 240 348 483 218 101 161 -328 -71 -59 -58 -57 -51 -42 -41 -38 -33 -25 -20 -12 -20 -19 -13 -8 -16 -28 -17 2 3 3 2 3 4 4 3 2 2 Long-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training 431 379 182 54 1,864 107 84 402 355 159 35 1,846 90 68 -29 -24 -22 -19 -18 -17 -16 -7 -6 -12 -35 -1 -16 -19 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Long-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training 372 357 -15 -4 3 Moderate-term on-the-job training 289 22 275 9 -14 -13 -5 -61 2 2 Short-term on-the-job training Work experience in a related occupation 148 49 141 260 602 117 135 36 128 248 591 106 -13 -13 -13 -12 -11 -11 -9 -26 -9 -4 -2 -9 2 2 3 3 3 2 Bachelor’s degree Short-term on-the-job training Long-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training Moderate-term on-the-job training 166 76 45 73 156 67 36 64 -10 -9 -8 -8 -6 -12 -19 -12 3 2 2 4 Short-term on-the-job training Short-term on-the-job training Work experience in a related occupation Postsecondary vocational award 1 The quartile rankings of Occupational Employment Statistics annual earnings data are presented in the following categories: 1=very high ($39,700 and over), 2=high ($25,760 to $39,660), 3=low ($18,500 to $25,760), and 4=very low (up to $18,490). The percent of all jobs in 2000, will account for 13 percent of the job growth over the 2000–10 period. Occupations generally requiring only work-related training, which accounted for 71 percent of all jobs in 2000, will account for 58 percent of the job growth over the 2000–10 period. (See exhibit 1 for definitions of categories.) All seven categories generally requiring a postsecondary award are projected to have faster-than-average employment growth over the 2000–10 period. These categories are made up mostly of professional and related occupations, projected to grow the fastest, along with a number of faster-than-average growing management, business, and financial occupations. All four work-related training categories are expected rankings were based on quartiles using one-fourth of total employment to define each quartile. Earnings are for wage and salary workers. to have slower growth. These categories include many slow growing or declining production, office and administrative support, and other occupations. The largest education and training category, short-term on-the job training, with 53 million workers in 2000, accounted for 37 percent of total employment and is projected to account for 35 percent of job growth. It is the fastest growing of the four categories requiring work-related training, and includes large faster-than-average-growing occupations such as security guards, teacher assistants, and combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food. More than half of the 30 occupations with the largest numerical job growth fall into this category. These workers had the low- Monthly Labor Review November 2001 81 Occupational Employment Exhibit 1. Most significant source of education or training Occupations are classified into one of eleven categories listed below according to these principles: • An occupation is placed into the category that best describes the education or training needed by most workers to become fully qualified. Work-related training • Postsecondary awards, if generally needed for entry into the occupation, take precedence over work-related training even though additional skills or experience may be needed for a worker to become fully qualified. Work experience in a related occupation. Many occupations requiring work experience are first-line supervisors/managers of service, sales and related, production, or other occupations, or are management occupations. • The length of time an average worker generally needs to become fully qualified through a combination of on-the-job training and experience is used to categorize occupations in which a postsecondary award generally is not needed for entry. Long-term on-the-job training. More than 12 months of on-the-job training or combined work experience and formal classroom instruction are needed for workers to develop the skills necessary to be fully qualified. This category includes formal and informal apprenticeships that may last up to 5 years. Long-term on-the-job training also includes intensive occupation-specific, employer-sponsored programs that workers must successfully complete. These include fire and police academies and schools for air traffic controllers and flight attendants. In other occupations—insurance sales and securities sales, for example—trainees take formal courses, often provided on the job site, to prepare for the required licensing exams. Individuals undergoing training generally are considered to be employed in the occupation. Also included in this category is the development of a natural ability—such as that possessed by musicians, athletes, actors, and other entertainers—that must be cultivated over several years, frequently in a nonwork setting. Postsecondary awards First professional degree. Completion of the degree usually requires at least 3 years of full-time academic study beyond a bachelor’s degree. Doctoral degree. Completion of a Ph.D. or other doctoral degree usually requires at least 3 years of fulltime academic study beyond a bachelor’s degree. Master’s degree. Completion of the degree usually requires 1 or 2 years of full-time academic study beyond a bachelor’s degree. Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience. Most occupations in this category are management occupations. All require experience in a related nonmanagement position for which a bachelor’s or higher degree is usually required. Bachelor’s degree. Completion of the degree generally requires at least 4 years, but not more than 5 years, of full-time academic study. Associate degree. Completion of the degree usually requires at least 2 years of full-time academic study. 82 Postsecondary vocational award. Some programs last only a few weeks while others may last more than a year. Programs lead to a certificate or other award but not a degree. Monthly Labor Review November 2001 Moderate-term on-the-job training. Skills needed to be fully qualified can be acquired during 1 to 12 months of combined on-the-job experience and informal training. Short-term on-the-job training. Skills needed to be fully qualified can be acquired during a short demonstration of job duties or during 1 month or less of on-thejob experience or instruction. Table 6. Employment and total job openings, 2000–2010, and 2000 average annual earnings by education or training category [Numbers in thousands of jobs] Employment Most significant source of education or training Number Total job openings due to growth and net replacements, 2000-101 Change Percent distribution 2000 mean annual earnings2 Number Percent distribution Percent Number Percent distribution 100.0 22,160 100.0 15.2 57,932 100.0 $33,089 20.7 1.4 1.0 1.0 21.8 1.4 1.1 1.0 6,484 370 353 333 29.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 21.6 18.2 23.7 23.4 12,130 691 760 634 20.9 1.2 1.3 1.1 56,553 91,424 52,146 43,842 8,741 21,807 5.0 12.2 5.2 13.0 1,422 4,006 6.4 18.1 19.4 22.5 2,741 7,304 4.7 12.6 69,967 48,440 11,761 5,083 6,678 14,600 6,710 7,891 8.1 3.5 4.6 8.7 4.0 4.7 2,839 1,626 1,213 12.8 7.3 5.5 24.1 32.0 18.2 5,383 2,608 2,775 9.3 4.5 4.8 35,701 41,488 31,296 103,760 10,456 12,435 27,671 53,198 116,597 11,559 13,373 30,794 60,871 71.3 7.2 8.5 19.0 36.5 69.5 6.9 8.0 18.4 36.3 12,837 1,102 938 3,123 7,673 57.9 5.0 4.2 14.1 34.6 12.4 10.5 7.5 11.3 14.4 40,419 3,180 3,737 8,767 24,735 69.8 5.5 6.5 15.1 42.7 25,993 40,881 33,125 29,069 19,799 2000 2010 2000 2010 Total, all occupations ........................... 145,594 167,754 100.0 Bachelor’s or higher degree ...................... First professional degree ........................ Doctoral degree ...................................... Master’s degree ...................................... Bachelor’s or higher degree, plus work experience .................................... Bachelor’s degree ................................... 30,072 2,034 1,492 1,426 36,556 2,404 1,845 1,759 7,319 17,801 Associate degree or postsecondary vocational award ........................... Associate degree .................................... Postsecondary vocational award ............ Work-related training ................................. Work experience in a related occupation Long-term on-the-job training .................. Moderate-term on-the-job training .......... Short-term on-the-job training ................. 1 Total job openings represent the sum of employment increases and net replacements. If employment change is negative, job openings due to growth are zero and total job openings equal net replacements. est earnings of any education and training group in 2000— 60 percent as much as the mean for all wage and salary workers. Occupations generally requiring moderate-term on-the-job training, including medical assistants and painters, construction and maintenance, accounted for 28 million workers, or 19 percent of total employment in 2000, and are projected to account for 14 percent of new jobs. These workers earned 88 percent as much as the mean for all wage and salary workers in 2000. The long-term on-the-job training category is projected to grow the slowest. It accounted for 8.5 percent of total employment in 2000, but should account for only 4.2 percent of new jobs. It includes slow growing occupations, such as carpenters, and declining ones, such as butchers and meatcutters, and farmers and ranchers. These workers earned the mean for all workers in 2000. An additional 7.2 percent were employed in occupations requiring experience in another occupation that generally did not require postsecondary education or training; these are projected to account for 5 percent of new jobs. Most workers in these occupations are first-line supervisors or managers, so it is not surprising that they earned 24 percent more than the mean for all workers. The postsecondary vocational award category accounted 2 Earnings are for wage and salary workers. NOTE: Detail may not equal total or 100 percent due to rounding. for 4.6 percent of total employment in 2000 and should account for 5.5 percent of new jobs. This group includes automobile service technicians and mechanics; licensed practical nurses; and hairdressers, hairstylists, and cosmetologists. They earned 95 percent as much as the mean for all workers in 2000. Occupations generally requiring an associate degree is the fastest growing group; it includes computer support specialists, paralegals and legal assistants, and many fastgrowing health occupations. It accounted for 3.5 percent of all jobs in the base year but is expected to account for 7.3 percent of total growth. More than two-fifths of the workers in this group are registered nurses.8 The bachelor’s degree category accounted for 12 percent of all workers in 2000 and is projected to account for 18 percent of job growth. Most computer occupations are in this group. In addition, jobs in which workers generally need experience in another occupation requiring at least a bachelor’s degree before getting their current job accounted for another 5 percent of all workers in 2000 and should account for 6.4 percent of job growth. Almost all workers in this category were in management, business, and financial occupations. Many of the fastest growing occupations and those with the largest projected numerical increases require Monthly Labor Review November 2001 83 Occupational Employment a bachelor’s degree. Mean earnings of occupations generally requiring a bachelor’s degree were 46 percent more than the mean for all wage and salary workers and for those in occupations generally requiring work experience plus a bachelor’s or higher degree, 111 percent more. About 3.4 percent of workers are employed in occupations that generally require more education than a bachelor’s degree, including those requiring a first professional degree (1.4 percent), doctoral degree (1 percent), or master’s degree (1 percent). Together, these three categories are projected to account for 4.8 percent of job growth. The first professional degree category, which includes lawyers, physicians and surgeons, and pharmacists, had the highest average earnings of any group in 2000—2.8 times as much as the mean for all wage and salary workers. The doctoral degree category earned 58 percent more than the mean; most workers in this group are postsecondary teachers. Those in the master’s degree category earned 32 percent more than the mean, not as much as occupations requiring a bachelor’s. This group includes librarians and several counseling occupations. The share of total job openings resulting from both employment growth and net replacement needs in each of the education and training categories differs from job openings resulting from employment growth alone. In general, occupations requiring the least amount of education and training account for a greater share of net replacement needs—and total job openings—because workers in them have less job attachment than workers in other occupations. While occupations requiring a postsecondary vocational award or an academic degree should generate 42 percent of jobs from growth alone, they should generate only 30 percent of total job openings. Occupations requiring work-related training should generate 58 percent of openings due to growth, but 70 percent of total openings. Notes These projections were completed prior to the tragic events of September 11. BLS will continue to review its projections and, as the long-term economic consequences of September 11 become clearer, will incorporate these effects in subsequent releases of the occupational outlook. (See box on page 3.) 1 Occupational projections presented in this article provide information to those interested in labor market issues. They also provide the background for analyses of future employment opportunities described in the forthcoming 2002–03 Occupational Outlook Handbook. The Internet version of this edition of the Handbook, which will be accessible at http:// www .bls.gov/emp, is expected to be available in December 2001; the www.bls.gov/emp, print version of the 2002–03 Handbook, BLS Bulletin 2540, should be available in early 2002. Job outlook information in the 2002-03 Handbook will use the projections presented in each of the articles in this issue of the Monthly Labor Review. For a description of the methodology used to develop employment projections, see BLS Handbook of Methods, Bulletin 2490 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, April 1997), pp. 122–29. 2 Service industries include health, engineering and management, social, and computer and data processing services. Services industries, with businesses that supply services to a wide variety of other businesses and to individuals, are projected to grow by 27.1 percent, overall, and account for 61.9 percent of all new jobs over the 2000–10 period. 84 Monthly Labor Review November 2001 3 Services industries in this article include State and local government hospitals and public education. In the article on industry employment by Jay Berman (this issue, pp. 39–56), workers in State and local government hospitals and public education are included in the estimates of government employment. 4 See Daniel E. Hecker, “Employment impact of electronic business,” Monthly Labor Review, May 2001, p. 6. 5 Ibid., p. 5. 6 Ibid. 7 Net separations do not count all movements of workers out of an occupation, which is a measure termed total separations. For example, an opening caused by a worker who stops working for a period and then gets another job in his or her previous occupation would be counted in the measure of total separations but not net separations. See the discussion on the uses of replacement needs information developed in Occupational Projections and Training Data, Bulletin 2542 (Bureau of Labor Statistics, forthcoming). 8 While most nurses currently get their training in associate degree programs, a considerable number have a bachelor’s degree, which indicates that there is some overlapping of educational requirements among the groups.
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