Candidate Number 976C8 THE UNIVERSITY OF SUSSEX MRes/MSc Examination January 2017 (A1) LINEAR MODELS IN STATISTICS OPEN BOOK EXAM SAMPLE PAPER Assessment Period: DO NOT TURN OVER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR INSTRUCTIONS This exam is an OPEN BOOK EXAM. You may bring books, papers, notes, etc. into the exam, and a calculator, but no other electronic devices. Please write your answers in this booklet and if necessary request a continuation booklet if you run out of space. At the end of the examination the question paper and any answer books/answer sheets, used or unused, will be collected from you before you leave the examination room Time allowed: 2 hours Answer TWO questions only. Question 1 is compulsory. Answer EITHER question 2 OR question 3 Question 1 carries 40% of the marks so be sure to allocate your time appropriately. (40% of 2 hours is 48 minutes) For each question you are given the details of a study and the output from an SPSS analysis of the data from the study to interpret. Please note: The only approved calculators for use in University examinations are the Casio fx82, fx83, fx85, fx115, fx570 and fx991 (all with any suffix). Students are not permitted to take instruction notes or booklets relating to their calculator into an examination. Please indicate below which questions you answered. Q1 (COMPULSORY) Q2 Q3 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Question 1: A researcher randomly selects 20 couples and compares the time the husbands and wives spend watching TV. Interpret the output presented below Paired Samples Statistics Mean Pair 1 Hours per week female spends watching TV Hours per week male spends watching TV N Std. Std. Error Deviation Mean 17.4000 20 9.70838 2.17086 19.7500 20 9.72720 2.17507 Paired Samples Correlations N Correlation Sig. Pair 1 Hours per week female spends watching TV & Hours per week male spends watching TV 20 .955 .000 Output continued overleaf... 2 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Paired Samples Test Mean Pair 1 Hours per week female spends watching TV Hours per week male spends watching TV -2.35000 Paired Differences 95% Confidence Interval of the Std. Difference Std. Error Deviation Mean Lower Upper 2.90689 .65000 t -3.71047 -.98953 df -3.615 Sig. (2tailed) 19 .002 The researcher is also interested in the effect of age on TV viewing, particularly in males, and so divides the 20 males into a younger group of 10 and an older group of 10. Group Statistics Hours per week male spends watching TV young vs old males Young N Old Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean 10 17.3000 9.03143 2.85599 10 22.2000 10.23936 3.23797 Independent Samples Test Levene's Test for Equality of Variances F Hours per week male spends watching TV Equal variances assumed Equal variances not assumed .211 Sig. .651 t-test for Equality of Means t df Sig. (2tailed) Mean Difference Std. Error Difference 95% Confidence Interval of the Difference Lower Upper -1.135 18 .271 -4.90000 4.31754 -13.97081 4.17081 -1.135 17.724 .272 -4.90000 4.31754 -13.98095 4.18095 Answer overleaf… 3 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 1: 4 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 1 (continued): 5 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Question 2 A psychology teacher was interested is whether exam performance by her students was affected by the number of hours they spend revising, their anxiety levels before the exam, and their A-level grades on entry to university. Interpret the output below and the calculate the predicted exam score for a student who revised for 30 hours, had an anxiety score of 45, and 26 A-level points. Descriptive Statistics Std. Mean Deviation exam score hours spent revising anxiety A-level entry points Pearson Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) N exam score hours spent revising anxiety A-level entry points exam score hours spent revising anxiety A-level entry points exam score hours spent revising anxiety A-level entry points N 61.0000 10.96406 20 39.1500 9.07440 20 49.3000 18.91004 20 23.2000 3.20526 20 Correlations exam hours spent A-level entry score revising anxiety points 1.000 .821 -.118 .872 .821 1.000 -.340 .732 -.118 -.340 1.000 -.244 .872 .732 -.244 1.000 . .000 .310 .000 .000 . .072 .000 .310 .072 . .150 .000 .000 .150 . 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 6 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Model Summaryb Std. Error of R Adjusted R the Model R Square Square Estimate a 1 .927 .860 .834 4.46756 a. Predictors: (Constant), A-level entry points, anxiety, hours spent revising b. Dependent Variable: exam score ANOVAa Model 1 Regression Residual Total Sum of Squares 1964.654 319.346 2284.000 df 3 16 19 Mean Square 654.885 19.959 F 32.811 Sig. .000b a. Dependent Variable: exam score b. Predictors: (Constant), A-level entry points, anxiety, hours spent revising Coefficientsa Model 1 (Constant) hours spent revising anxiety A-level entry points Unstandardized Standardized Coefficients Coefficients Std. B Error Beta t -11.823 8.806 -1.343 95.0% Confidence Collinearity Interval for B Statistics Lower Upper Sig. Bound Bound Tolerance VIF .198 -30.490 6.845 .551 .171 .456 3.226 .005 .189 .913 .437 2.288 .104 .058 .179 1.796 .091 -.019 .226 .885 1.130 1.989 .469 .581 4.239 .001 .994 2.984 .464 2.153 a. Dependent Variable: exam score Output continued overleaf... 7 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Collinearity Diagnosticsa Model 1 Dimension 1 2 3 4 Eigenvalue Condition Index 3.849 1.000 .129 5.454 .016 15.410 .005 26.701 (Constant) .00 .00 .38 .62 Variance Proportions hours spent revising anxiety .00 .01 .04 .59 .56 .39 .40 .02 A-level entry points .00 .00 .02 .98 a. Dependent Variable: exam score Residuals Statisticsa Predicted Value Residual Std. Predicted Value Std. Residual Minimum 42.7247 -8.49329 Maximum 76.7360 6.65373 Mean Std. Deviation 61.0000 10.16872 .00000 4.09972 N -1.797 1.547 .000 1.000 20 -1.901 1.489 .000 .918 20 20 20 a. Dependent Variable: exam score Output continued overleaf... 8 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer overleaf… 9 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 2: 10 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 2 (continued): 11 /Turn over Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper 976C8 Question 3 A researcher investigated two methods for teaching female and male secondary school students good study behaviours. In the first condition (called “traditional”) students attended lectures and were given handouts. In the second (“audiovisual”) condition specially developed audio-visual presentations were used. The study also included a control condition in which students received no special training on how to study. Four measures were taken of study behaviour at the end of the study: quality of the study environment, study habits, note-taking ability and ability to summarise. On all measures higher scores are better. Interpret the following output. Between-Subjects Factors Value Label N group 0 CONTROL GROUP sex Box's Test of Equality of Covariance Matricesa 40 1 TRADITIONAL 34 2 AUDIO-VISUAL 36 0 FEMALE 56 1 MALE 54 Box's M F 59.949 1.079 df1 50 df2 19035.849 Sig. .325 Tests the null hypothesis that the observed covariance matrices of the dependent variables are equal across groups. a. Design: Intercept + group + sex + group * sex Output continued overleaf 12 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Descriptive Statistics Study environment post group CONTROL GROUP TRADITIONAL AUDIO-VISUAL Total Study habits - post CONTROL GROUP TRADITIONAL AUDIO-VISUAL Total Note taking - post CONTROL GROUP TRADITIONAL AUDIO-VISUAL Total Summarising - post CONTROL GROUP TRADITIONAL AUDIO-VISUAL Total sex FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total FEMALE MALE Total Mean 8.75 8.75 8.75 8.28 7.25 7.79 7.83 8.44 8.14 8.30 8.20 8.25 8.25 7.95 8.10 8.22 7.13 7.71 7.17 7.22 7.19 7.89 7.46 7.68 17.25 18.40 17.83 18.00 16.56 17.32 17.72 15.61 16.67 17.64 16.93 17.29 18.65 19.15 18.90 20.50 17.69 19.18 17.78 17.61 17.69 18.96 18.20 18.59 Std. Deviation 1.860 1.803 1.808 1.841 1.770 1.855 1.724 2.229 1.988 1.818 2.013 1.908 1.251 1.761 1.516 1.353 1.455 1.488 1.295 2.157 1.754 1.371 1.830 1.619 2.593 2.521 2.591 3.430 2.804 3.188 1.965 4.286 3.456 2.693 3.441 3.090 3.558 3.150 3.327 4.515 4.408 4.622 3.703 4.340 3.977 4.023 3.954 3.989 N 20 20 40 18 16 34 18 18 36 56 54 110 20 20 40 18 16 34 18 18 36 56 54 110 20 20 40 18 16 34 18 18 36 56 54 110 20 20 40 18 16 34 18 18 36 56 54 110 13 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Multivariate Testsa Effect Intercept group sex group * sex Pillai's Trace Wilks' Lambda Hotelling's Trace Roy's Largest Root Pillai's Trace Wilks' Lambda Hotelling's Trace Roy's Largest Root Pillai's Trace Wilks' Lambda Hotelling's Trace Roy's Largest Root Pillai's Trace Wilks' Lambda Hotelling's Trace Roy's Largest Root Value .979 .021 45.584 45.584 .150 .856 .162 .097 .033 .967 .034 .034 .135 .869 .147 .108 F 1150.992b 1150.992b 1150.992b 1150.992b 2.061 2.044b 2.026 2.465c .863b .863b .863b .863b 1.847 1.843b 1.839 2.760c Hypothesis df 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 8.000 8.000 8.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 4.000 8.000 8.000 8.000 4.000 Error df 101.000 101.000 101.000 101.000 204.000 202.000 200.000 102.000 101.000 101.000 101.000 101.000 204.000 202.000 200.000 102.000 Sig. .000 .000 .000 .000 .041 .043 .045 .050 .489 .489 .489 .489 .070 .071 .072 .032 a. Design: Intercept + group + sex + group * sex b. Exact statistic c. The statistic is an upper bound on F that yields a lower bound on the significance level. Levene's Test of Equality of Error Variancesa F Study environment - post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising post df1 df2 Sig. .304 5 104 .909 1.720 1.963 5 5 104 104 .137 .090 .760 5 104 .581 Tests the null hypothesis that the error variance of the dependent variable is equal across groups. a. Design: Intercept + group + sex + group * sex 14 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Output continued overleaf Tests of Between-Subjects Effects Source Corrected Model Intercept group sex group * sex Error Total Corrected Total Dependent Variable Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Study environment post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising - post Type III Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig. 29.817a 5 5.963 1.690 .144 26.691b 96.315c 114.165d 5 5 5 5.338 19.263 22.833 2.142 2.121 1.465 .066 .069 .207 7385.431 1 7385.431 2092.558 .000 6410.510 32572.373 37685.165 1 1 1 6410.510 32572.373 37685.165 2572.394 3587.052 2418.658 .000 .000 .000 18.449 2 9.224 2.614 .078 15.538 25.423 41.245 2 2 2 7.769 12.711 20.622 3.117 1.400 1.324 .048 .251 .271 .527 1 .527 .149 .700 5.469 17.478 18.672 1 1 1 5.469 17.478 18.672 2.194 1.925 1.198 .142 .168 .276 11.935 2 5.967 1.691 .189 6.062 56.746 54.718 2 2 2 3.031 28.373 27.359 1.216 3.125 1.756 .301 .048 .178 367.056 104 3.529 259.172 944.376 1620.426 104 104 104 2.492 9.081 15.581 7892.000 110 6777.000 33928.000 39753.000 110 110 110 396.873 109 285.864 1040.691 1734.591 109 109 109 a. R Squared = .075 (Adjusted R Squared = .031) b. R Squared = .093 (Adjusted R Squared = .050) c. R Squared = .093 (Adjusted R Squared = .049) d. R Squared = .066 (Adjusted R Squared = .021) 15 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Eigenvalues Function 1 2 Eigenvalue % of Variance Cumulative % .096a 60.3 60.3 .063a 39.7 100.0 Canonical Correlation .296 .244 a. First 2 canonical discriminant functions were used in the analysis. Standardized Canonical Discriminant Function Coefficients Functions at Group Centroids Function 1 Study environment - post Study habits - post Note taking - post Summarising post Function 2 1.209 -.081 -.023 .120 .832 .303 -1.070 .098 group CONTROL GROUP TRADITIONAL AUDIO-VISUAL 1 2 .250 .258 -.452 .150 .050 -.334 Unstandardized canonical discriminant functions evaluated at group means 16 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 3: 17 /Turn over 976C8 Linear Models in Statistics – Sample Paper Answer for question 3 (continued): End of paper 18
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