MTACLeadership_NeworkOpt.pdf

®
Network Optimization
Concept
MTAC Leadership
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
1
®
Network Optimization Overview
 Network Evolution
 Volume Realities
 Plan for Change
 Next Steps
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
2
Network Evolution
®
Post Office Served as Main
Distribution Hubs
1970
Postal Reorganization Act
~ 2,000 Mail Processing
Locations
1980 – 1990
Increased Use of
Automation
1990 – 2000
Letter Mail Sequenced
Increased Facility Footprint
1993 – Last time USPS
was at 170B pieces
Since 1993 – 140 facilities
constructed or expanded with
capital cost exceeding $10M
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
3
A Decade of Network Redesign
®
FCM: 104 B
Total: 207 B
FCM: 98 B
Total: 206 B
2001
FCM: 98 B FCM: 96 B
Total: 213 B Total: 212 B
2004
Peak
FCM
2007
FCM: 92 B
Total: 203 B
2008
FCM: 84 B
FCM: 78 B
Total: 177 B Total: 171 B
2009
Economic
Recession
PAEA
2006
2010
FCM: 73 B
Total: 167 B
2011
Optimization
Continued First Class Decline
• Down ~ 25% since 2006
200
• Single Piece Down ~ 35% since 2006

Plant network - Excess Capacity
• Unprecedented increase in AMP activity
­ Origin Consolidation
­ Destination Consolidation
100
57
50
• Minor Service Standard Adjustments
within current business rules
138
150
0
4
1
2
2007
2008
2009
Consolidations Implemented
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
2010
2011
Current Study Activity
4
®
Network Optimization Overview
 Network Evolution
 Volume Realities
 Plan for Change
 Next Steps
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
5
Network Design – Volume Reality
®
Significant
Significant DECLINE
DECLINE in
in First-Class
First-Class Mail
Mail
110
102
Short-term
Longer-term
Pieces (billions)
100
90
98
86
85
83
80
78
• Excess capacity in Origin
& Dest. processing facility
• Excess capacity in
transportation
70
60
54
50
40
Continued decline in FirstClass single piece volume
impacts:
41
2010
2006
First-Class Actual
First-Class Projected
2013
2015
2018
2020
Shift to standard mail will
increase % of destination
entry mail.
Standard - Actual
Standard - Projected
Source: USPS Revenue & Volume Forecasting
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
6
®
Network Design – A New Reality
Beyond 2011 Network Realities
 First-Class Mail drives the network requirements
•
Current operating windows in place support overnight
service
 Total First-Class contribution will continue to erode
and will not support the network infrastructure
moving forward
 First Class Network Redesign is necessary to develop
an infrastructure to support the mail volume realities
of the future
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
7
®
 Network Evolution
 Volume Realities
 Plan for Change
 Next Steps
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
8
®
Plan for Change - Objective
 Define the most efficient mail processing
network and infrastructure to match the
current and projected workload
• Determine optimal plant locations based on volume
and current facility infrastructure
• Develop an operating plan to fully utilize equipment
based on a full operating day
• Determine service standards based on the
redesigned network
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
9
®
Plan for Change – Current Operations
 Network infrastructure is driven by operating windows
which are constrained to meet current First-Class Mail
overnight service commitments
IDLE
CAPACITY
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
10
®
Plan for Change – Service Standard Changes
 Revise service standards and entry times to
realize full facility consolidation opportunities
through operating window changes
• Longer processing windows allows significant
equipment and facility consolidation
 Network impact is significant
 Reduce network transportation as a result of
facility consolidation
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
11
®
 Network Evolution
 History of Network Redesign
 Plan for Change
 Next Steps
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
12
Plan for Change – Timeline
®
Advanced
Notice of
Proposed
Rulemaking
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
File Service Standards
Case with PRC /
Publish Proposed
Rule
Earliest Date for
A PRC Opinion
Publish Final Rule,
Earliest revision to
Service Standards,
Earliest
Implementation
13
®
Plan for Change –
Industry Engagement Next Steps
Phase 1: Conceptual briefings
Aug 10 – Industry Association Executives meeting
• Aug 11 – MTAC leadership meeting
• Aug 17 – MTAC general membership meeting
•
Phase 2: Solicit general comments from industry
Aug 18 – Break-out discussions with MTAC membership
• Aug to Sept – Meetings with industry associations/mailers
•
Phase 3: Solicit specific comments from specific mailers
•
Sept to Oct – Meetings/webcasts with industry associations/
mailers
Key dates: Sept 2011 –
Sept 21, 2011 –
Sept 28, 2011 –
Oct 2011 –
Conceptual and Pre-decisional
Advanced notice published in Federal Register
PCC Day
Industry Association Executives meeting
File with PRC / Proposed rule published
14