The bomb 14C transient in the Pacific Ocean Keith B. Rodgers• Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, New York Daniel P. Schrag Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences,Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts Mark A. Cane and Naomi H. Naik Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, New York Abstract. A modeling studyof the bomb14Ctransientis presented forthe Pacific Ocean. A primitive equation ocean circulation model has been configuredfor a high-resolutiondomain that accountsfor the IndonesianThroughflow(ITF). Four separateruns were performed: (1) seasonalforcingwith 20 Sv of ITF transport, (2) seasonalforcingwith 10 Sv of ITF transport, (3) seasonalforcingwith no ITF transport, and (4) interannualforcingwith 15 Sv of ITF transport. This study has two main objectives. First, it is intended to describe the time evolution of the bomb14Ctransient.This servesas a tool with whichonecanidentifythe physical processes controlling the evolvingbomb14Cdistributionin the Pacific thermocline and thusprovides an interpretiveframework for the databaseof A14C measurementsin the Pacific. Second, transient tracers are applied to the physical oceanographicproblem of intergyre exchange. This is of importance in furthering our understanding of the potential role of the upper Pacific Ocean in climate variability.We usebomb14Cas a dyetracerof intergyreexchange betweenthe subtropical gyresandthe equatorial upwelling re,ionsof the equatorial Pacific. Observations showthat whilethe atmospheric A14Csignalpeakedin the early to mid-1960s, the A14Clevelsin the surfacewaterwatersof the subtropical gyrespeakednear1970,andthe A14Cof surfacewatersin the equatorialPacific continued to rise through the 1980s. It is shown that the model exhibits skill in representing the large-scale observed featuresobserved for the bomb14Ctransient in the Pacific Ocean. The model successfullycaptures the basin-scaleinventoriesof bomb14Cin the tropicsaswellasin the extratropics of the NorthPacific.Forthe equatorial Pacific this is attributed to the model's high meridional resolution. The discrepancies in the three-dimensional distributionof bomb14Cbetweenthe model anddata are discussed withinthe contextof the dynamicalcontrolson the A14C distribution of bomb 14C in the Pacific. 1. Introduction layersof the Pacificthermocline.The primary pathway A high-resolutionprimitive equationoceanmodelhas been used to simulate the bomb •4C transient in the Pacific Ocean between 1955 and 1980. Over the period since the peak in atmospheric testing of nuclear by whichbombt4C reaches the subsurface layersof the subtropicaland tropical Pacific is through subduction in the subtropical gyres.Our investigation focuseft primarilyon bombtaC as a tracerof intergyreexchange weapons in the 1950sand 1960s,i4C hasbehaved es- betweenthe subductingregionsof the extratropicsand sentially as a dye tracer within the directly ventilated the equatorial pycnocline of the Pacific•Ocean. Recently, it has been proposed that intergyre ex- changeof thermal anomaliesbetweenthe subducting regions of the 1Now at Max-Planck-Institut fiir Meteorologie, Hamburg, extratropical Pacific and the equatorial pycnoclineprovidesan advectivemeansof ch.anging the temperature of the upwelling water in the easternequa- Germany. Copyright1999by the AmericanGeophysical Union. torial Pacific[Deseret al., 1996; Gu and Philander. 1997: Zhanget al., 1998]. The effectiveness of this mechanismwill dependon the amplitudeof diapycnal Paper number 1999JC900228. 0148-0227/99/1998JC900228509.00 8489 8490 RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT fluxes associatedwith intertyre exchangebetween the subtropics and the equatorial thermocline. Prebomb IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN andsurface oceanwereof order30%0. The bombx4C transientintroducedlateral and vertical gradientsin the A•4C levelsrecordedby coralsin the equatorialup- seasurfaceand thermoclinedistributionof A•4C, which welling regionsuggestthat significantamountsof water from below the directly ventilated thermocline are en- were an order of magnitude larger than the prebomb gradients. Severaldifferent ocean modelshave previouslybeen trainedinto the equatorialupwelling[Toggweiler et al., 1991]. AlthoughprebombA•4C can provideus with usedwith a globaldomainto studythe bombx4Ctranet al., 1989b;Duffy et al., 1995]. In important qualitative clues as to the extent of dilution sient[Toggwei!er associatedwith intertyre exchange, other tracers are needed to provide a quantitative assessment. This study extends our earlier processstudy of the dynamical mechanismscontrolling seasonalvariability their discussion of the bomb A x4C distribution for the upper Pacific Ocean these studies have focusedon the model's Ax4C distribution in the northern and south- ern subtropics.In particular, they comparedtheir sim- of seasurfaceA•4C in the equatorialPacific[Rodgersulated distributionof Ax4C in the subtropicalgyres OceanSectionsSurvey(GEOSECS) et al., 1997]. There we identifiedseasonalvariability with Geochemical in the surface currents of the Pacific Ocean as the dy- data. However, these coarse-resolutionmodels cannot namical mechanism responsiblefor the high seasonal give a satisfactoryrepresentationof equatorialthermoAx4C variabilityduringthe 1970sand 1980srecorded cline ventilation as they do not represent the critical by corals. Given that the boundariesof the Pacific do- scalesof circulation in the equatorial Pacific. In addition, the models tend to be overly diffusive. main used in that study were 30øN and 30øS, we were unable to represent the subtropical subduction process They are typically tuned in sucha way that the ampliat the polar end of the shallow meridional cell within tude of the global-scalethermohaline circulation produces a A•4C distribution that matches GEOSECS the thermocline. of the prebombAx4C distributionin A•4C has provenusefulas a tracer of oceancircu- measurements lation on timescales ranging from the seasonal cycle the deep Pacific. Such models achieve the apparent [Moore.et al., 1997;Rodgerset al., 1997;and Guilder- 1500 year ventilation timescalefor the deepPacific,and son et al., 1998;and Guildersonand $chrag,1998]to the ventilationage of the deepPacific[Stuiveret al., 1983]. Our purposehere is to demonstratethe utility of A•4C asa tracerof upperoceanprocesses onE1NifioSouthernOscillation(ENSO) to decadaltimescales in thustheobserved deep-Pacific A x4Cvaluesof roughly250%0,at the expenseof an overlydiffusethermocline. The thermocline distributionof bombx4Cgenerated by such modelsis far from satisfactory. In configuringour model domainfor the currentstudy the Pacific Ocean. As the timescale of radioactive de- we specificallychosehigh vertical resolutionin the upcayfor x4Cisotopes is morethan 2 ordersof magnitude per severalhundred meters, high meridional resolution larger than either the timescale of Pacific thermocline within the equatorial thermocline, and high zonal rescirculation or the bomb transient, we can ignore ra- olution for the western boundary currents in order to dioactivedecayas a sink of x4C in our treatment of achieve model skill for the thermocline bomb•4C as a perturbationto the prebombA x4Cin ciated with intertyre exchange. circulation asso- our analysis. However, it is important to describe first the observed prebombdistributionof Ax4Csinceit has 2. Zkl4C As a Tracer of Ocean much to teach us about circulation in the upper Pacific Circulation Ocean. Beforeanthropogenic perturbations,A•4C levelsin Ax4Cis definedas the per mil deviationof the ratio the oceanand atmospherewere approximately in steady of the isotopicspeciesx4C and x2C in CO2 from the state. By definitionthe A•4C of the prebombatmo- ratio in the preanthropogenicatmospherewith a masssphere was zero per mil. It is generally assumedthat dependentfractionationusingthe stableisotope the natural sourceswere roughly balanced by natural The equilibrationtimescalefor carbonisotopesbetween sinks,with the principalsink of •4C beingradioactive the mixed layer and the overlying atmosphereis of ordecay within the ocean, and the principal sourcebeing der 10 years, and this is due to the bufferingeffect of spallation in the upper atmosphere. Deep waters in the dissolvedinorganiccarbon in the ocean. Pacific Ocean have a radiocarbon content that is •20% The atmospherictesting of hydrogenbombsduring (i.e., 200%ø)lessthan that of the preanthropogenic at- the 1950sand early 1960sproducedsufficientx4C to mosphere, which,giventhe 5730yearhalf life of •4C, increaseatmospheric A x4Clevelsin the atmosphere by more than 50%. Figure I showsa time seriesof atmo-. yields an apparent ventilation age of 1500 years. Within the Pacific thermocline, measurements col- sphericAx4Cbetween1955and 1990[Broecker et al., intothreedifferent lectedin theopenoceanduringthe 1950s[L/nick,1978], 1995].The Ax4Csignalis separated in additionto A•4C valuesrecorded by corals[Dru•½l, latitude bands. During the early and mid-1960sthe atA•4C signalis largestin the NorthernHemi1987],showthat the rangeof A•4C wasbetween-70 mospheric and -40•/• for the surfaceoceanand upper thermo- sphere, which is due to the fact that the majority of cline. Lateral and vertical gradientsin the thermocline the abovegroundhydrogen bomb tests were conducted 8491 RODGERSET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 900 , , ' ' ' ' ' 8O0 700 I 600 I' 500 400 3OO 2OO lOO o 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 199o 995 YEAR Figure1. Timeseries ofAz4C values fortheatmosphere, separated intothree latitude bands [Broecker etal..1995]. Thesolid lineisforlatitudes north of20øN, thedashed lineforlatitudes between 20øN•nd 20øS,andthedashed-dotted lineforlatitudes southof 20øS. there.At the timeofpeakatmospheric A•4Cvaluesin the westernboundaryregionsas well as in the vicinity 1964and 1965the interhemispheric gradientwithin the of the Peru upwelling.This is the samegrid spacing atmosphere wasmorethan200ø/øø. Uponentering the we usedfor our study of the effect of the Indonesian (ITF) on equatorial thermocline ventilaoceanthis bomb •4C producedlarge lateral and ver- Throughflow et al., 1999]. Therewe foundthat the ticalgradients in A•4C withinthe surface oceanand tion [Rodgers the thermocline. As a resultof this,the bomb•4C sig- mixing ratio of northernto southerncomponentwanal overwhelmed the gradients presentin the prebombter in the equatorialthermoclineis in best agreement ocean,andthusbomb•4C in the upperoceanserves as with the value inferred from equatorial salinity meaa dyetracerthat taggedsubducting thermocline waters surementswhen the imposedITF transport is between 10 and 20 Sv. The same two domains used for that with high-A•4Cvalues. studyareagainusedhere.They differin that the first 3. Model Experiment Description domain doesnot allow for flow between the Pacific and 3.1. The Circulation ingNewGuineaandthe Asiancontinent, whereas the Model Indian Oceansthroughthe IndonesianStraitsseparat- The model usedfor this study is the primitive equa- seconddomain doesallow for flow through the Indone- tion Lamont Ocean-Atmospheric Mixed Layer Model sian Straits. usingthe parameteriza(LOAM),whichisa descendent oftheGentandCane Verticalmixingis achieved tion of Pacanowski and Philander [1981]in additionto [1989] model.Modelcalculations areperformed onan convective adjustment. Lateral mixing of temperature A grid,anda levelvertical grid'is used,withrealistic and salinity (as well as passive tracers) is achieved using bathymetry anda barotropic solver [Naiket al.,1995]. The model domain extendsmeridionallyfrom 68øSto a modifiedversionof the GriJfies[1998]implementa- of Gent 62øNandzonallyfrom100.5ø to 300øE.The total num- tionof theoceaneddymixingparameterization and Mc Williams [1990]. The eddy transfer coefficient ber of verticallayersis 30• with 15 of theselayersin the upper300m. The meridional resolution alongthe usedwith the Gent and McWilliamsparameterization because of grid equatoris "•0.33 ø, taperingoff to almost2.5ø in the varieslinearlywith modelresolution stretching. The minimum value for the eddy transfer extratropics.The zonalresolution is almost2ø in the extratropics but is stretched to slightlylessthan 1ø in coefficientis "•200m• s-•, and the maximumvalueis 8492 RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB 14C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN "•1600m2 s-1. A fourth-order Shapirofilter [Shapiro,Hemispheric thermocline water in the equatorial under1970]is usedto removetwo gridpointwavesin the mo- current increaseto a value greater than unity. For each of the runs the model is initialized mentum equations. In addition, a lateral diffusivity of with Lev- 1500m2 s-1 hasbeenusedwith the momentumequa- itus and Boyer [1994]temperatureand salinityfields, tions in order to tune the structure of the equatorial and then spunup for 10 yearsin robust diagnosticmode undercurrent(EUC), whichis too strongunderthe in- [Sarrnientoand Bryan, 1982]. A restoringtimescale fluence of the Shapiro filter alone. for temperature and salinity used within the thermoSurface heat fluxes are calculated using the atmo- cline is 180 days during this period. The model is then sphericmixedlayermodelof Seagetet al. [1995],with restarred in 1955, at which point the transient tracer monthly climatologiesused for surface solar radiation fields are initialized, without any restoring of subsur[Li and Leighton,1993],fractionalcloudiness [Rossowface temperature and salinity fields. and Schiffer,1991],and surfacewindswithin the AML [Gibsonet al., 1977].A stormtrackparameterization of 4. Tracer is now included in the AML model, and a description of this as well as its effect on the model's simulation Formulation The treatment of ex- of A14C as a tracer follows that of Toggweiler et al. [1989a]. The gasexchangeformulatratropicalwintertimeseasurfacetemperatures(SSTs) tion of Broeckeret al. [1985]is usedin conjunction is describedby Hazela#eet al. [1999]. The boundary with the atmosphericA14C time seriesof Broeckeret condition used for sea surface salinity is relaxation to al. [1995](shownin Figure1) to represent fluxesat the the Levitus monthly climatology in the surface layer with a timescale 3.2. Description of I month. sea surface. The wind speed climatology used is from the EuropeanCentre for Medium-RangeWeather Fore- casts(ECMWF) analysis[Gibsonet al., 1977].A•4C is of Experiments initialized usingthe empirically derivedrelationshipbe- A total of four model runs were performed for this tweenthermoclineSiO2and prebombA14Cof Broecker study. They differin the choiceof wind stresswind forcet al. [1995], ing (seasonal versusinterannualwind stressdata set of daSilvaet al. [1994]),as wellas in their representation of the IndonesianThroughflow. These differencesare summarized in Table 1. A simple naming convention is usedto distinguishbetweenthe runs: S is usedto denote runs forced with seasonallyvarying winds and is followedby a number representingthe net imposed ITF transport in Sverdrups;likewise,I15 indicatesinterannualwind forcingwith 15 Sv of imposedITF. The set of runs consistsof SO,S10, S20, and I15; S10 is the control A14C: --70- •qi02, (1) and the griddedLevitus SiO2 distribution of Levitus and Boyer[1994]. 5. Model for the Results' Control Bomb 14C Transient Case First, the results for the seasonallyforced control run (caseS10), for which10 Sv of ITF wereimposed,are run. Run SO does not allow for any lndonesian Through- presented. Our purpose here is to describethe threestructureofthebomb•4Ctransientmoving flow, and is forcedat the seasurfacewith the seasonally dimensional varyingmonthlywind stressclimatologyof daSilvaet through the upper ocean between 1955 and 1985. This al. [1994]. The otherthreeexperiments usea domain section begins with a descriptionof the the evolving that allowsfor flow throughthe IndonesianStraits con- seasurfaceA•4C distributionbeforemovingon to the nectingthe Pacificand Indian Oceans.Run S10,which evolution of the thermocline distribution of A 14C. we define to be the control run, imposesa time-invariant barotropicflowof 10 Sv throughthe IndonesianStraits, and run S20imposes20 Sv of barotropicflow. Both S10 5.1. Sea Surface A•4C and S20 are forced at the sea surface with seasonal wind The annualmean seasurfaceA14C at 5 year intervals from 1960 to 1985 are shownin Figures 2a-2f. By stressclimatologyof daSilvaet al. [1994]. 1960a relativemaximumof high A•4C has developed Run I15 imposes15 Sv of ITF transport and is forced at the sea surface in the subtropical and subpolar re- at the seasurfacewith the daSilvaet al. [1994]inter- gions,with low Ax4Cvaluesin the equatorialregion. annuallyvaryingmonthlywind stressclimatology.The The meridionalgradientin sea surfaceA14C between wind stressanomaliescontainedin the data set will gen- the tropics and the extratropics increasessignificantly erate interannual variability in ocean circulation. Al- by 1965(Figure2b). A14Chasalreadybegunto though this global data set containsentries for each By 1965the atmospheric month sincethe beginningof 1945,the numberof wind drop, as can be seen in Figure 1, although it is still observationsin the western equatorial Pacific is small in excessof 500%0 at all latitudes. The maximumsea before the 1970s. For I15 the imposed transport for surface A•4Cat thistimeisslightlylargerthan300%0, 15 Sv wasmotivatedby the Rod#erset al. [1999]find- and thusthe gradientin A•4C acrossthe seasurfaceis ing that only whenthe mean ITF transportis between still quite large. The year 1965 is also characterized 10 and 20 Sv does the ratio of Southern to Northern by a hemisphericasymmetry in the distribution of sub- RODGERSET AL.. BOMB•4CTRANSIENTIN THE PACIFICOCEAN I - I 8493 ' I • ' I,,, I z -ii!iii• 1) 100 120'E 150'E 180' 150'W 120øW 90 øW 60 'W 120øE ' 150øE 180 ø x 180' 150•/V 120•/V 90•W x 60•/V 120'E 150øE 180' (b) 150'E 180 ø 120øW 90øW 60øW 150øW x 150•'V 120•/V 90øw x 60•/V (e) ........... •:iii::11ili::iii::i::iiii::::!•i•::•:•:• ...... 50 120'E x (d) (a) 120øE 150'E 150øW •::%::i•::•::%::•:: 120øW .• :::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: - 90øW 60øW 120øE 100 150•E 180 ø 150•'V x 120•'V 900W . 60•'V (c) Figure2. Annual mean seasurface /•14C in(a)1960, (b)1965, (c)1970, (d)1975, (e)1980, and(f) 1985for thecontrolcaseS10. of the Northern tropical seasurface Ax4Cabouttheequator.In 1965 zonalgradientsacrossthe subtropics the maximumvaluesin the NorthernHemispheric sub- Hemisphereare significantlylarger than thoseacross tropics arein excess of 100%olargerthanthevaluesthe subtropicsof the SouthernHemisphere. By 1970 the surfaceA•4C valuesin the subtropin the Southern Hemispheric subtropics, reflecting the ics have increased,with the amount of increasebeing large meridional gradient inatmospheric A•4Cthatexlarger for theSouthern Hemispheric subtropics thanfor istedin theearly1960s(Figure1). Notetoothat the 8494 RODGERS ET AL.. BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN the Northern Hemisphericsubtropics. Although atmo- sphericAz4Cvaluespeakedin the mid-1960s,1970represents the time of maximum sea surface A z4C in the subtropics. The lag between the peaks is due to the 5-10 year air-seaequilibrationtimescalefor A •4C isotopes. In the eastern equatorial Pacific, regions with A14C valuesof <0ø/oopersistin the upwellingregion between 160ø and 100øW, as well as in the region of upwelling off the coast of Peru. SubtropicalseasurfaceA •4C valueshavedroppedbetween1970and 1975(Figure 2e), whereasvaluesin the equatorial Pacific have risen. The region of negative seasurfaceA•4C valuesin the tropicsis nowconfined to the Peru upwellingregion. 5.2. Thermocline Distribution of/k14C In Figure3 we consider the distributionof A•4C asit evolvesacross32øN in 1960, 1970, and 1980. The distributions shownin Figure 3 representsnapshotson January i of the respective years. This section lies within the subtropics and was the approximate latitude across which the GEOSECS program sampledeight stations. The model results will be compared with data in Section 7; here we present the transient as representedby the model. In 1960 (Figure 3a) we see that the surfacevalues / x _-. are already highest in the eastern part of the basin. By 1970 (Figure3b), when surfacevaluesin the east- i 150øE 180 ø ern subtropics have reached their maximum values, the x verticalgradientat 130øWis of order 200%0 overthe (b) I 150•N 120•N 150'v,/ 120•N upper 200 m. Although a significantzonal gradient ex- ists in seasurfaceA z4C at this time, zonalgradients on constant depth horizons are small at depths >200 m. This remains true below 200 m depth through 1980, althoughthe seasurfaceA•4C gradientdecreases significantly between 1970 and 1980. The corresponding A •4C distributionalong180øW is shown in Figure 4. During the 1960s the sea su- face /k14Cincreaseis largestbetween20ø and 45øN, which correspondsto the subtropics. By 1970, tongues representing subsurface maximain A•4C can be seen to extend from the subtropics of both hemispherestoward the equatorial thennocline. In the mid 1970s the subsurfacemaximimum in the northern tongue exceeds 200%0, and the subsurface maximumin the southern tongueexceeds100%o. However,as we shallseein the 150'1= 180' x (c) along32øN coral comparison, maxi•na of this order are never seen Figure 3. The evolvingA14Cdistribution in (a) 1960, (b) 1970, and (c) 1980. at the sea surfacein the eastern equatorial Pacific in the 1980s. The model resultsalong this sectionwill alsobe comparedwith GEOSECS measurementsin Section 7. The plots shownin Figures 5a-5c show snapshotsof ever,A•4C is presentthroughmuchof the subtropical the evolvingdistributionof A•4C on the ors=25.0sur- region, with maximum values in the Northern Hemiface. The shadedregionsof the open oceancorrespond spherealong the easternpart of the outcrop. The maxto regionswhere the isopycnalsurfacehas outcropped imum valuesin the SouthernHemispherestretch along at the seasurface.Theseplotsrepresentthe Az4C dis- the outcropbetween180ø and80øW.By 1975the A•4C tribution on January i of 1965, 1975, and 1985. The valueson this surfacehave increasedsignificantly,with initial prebombA14Cvaluesin 1955wereuniformlylow maximum values in the eastern subtropics and minialongthe ors=25.0surface.By 1965 (Figure 5a), how- mum values in the upwelling regions. The zonal gra- 8495 RODGERSET AL.' BOMB •4C TRANSIENTIN THE PACIFIC OCEAN asonemightexpectfromanidealized zonallyaveraged meridionalcell with downwellingin the subtropics,up- wellingin the tropics,anda ventilation timefor the equatorialpycnocline of order10 years. It shouldbe pointedout for the isopycnal surfaces shown in Figure5 that someof thewaterthat subducts 20'S 10'S 0' 10"N 20'N 30*N 40'N 50'N 60'N Y (a) o • ' I ' I ' I ' I ' I ' I• I ' ! .... !............... 1 _-,.. ....... . ,,_.._.;...:,:...........,,,,,,,,,, .,,' ,,-..,' ',,, ' .....•o-" ,,' 120' E i 150' E 180' 150'W x 120'W 90øW (a) 120' E 150' E 180' x 150'W 120'W 90'W (b) 20'S 10'S 0' 10'N 20'N Y 30'N 40'N 50'N 60'N 150 (c) Figure4. Theevolving A•4Cdistribution along 180øW in (a) 1960,(b) 1970,and(c) 1980. 120 dientin Ax4Cin subtropical seasurface Ax4Creflects the zonalgradientin seasurface conditions alongthe outcrop ratherthanzonalgradients in the ventilation rate within the subtropicalthermocline. 150 120'E 150'E 180' x 150'W 120'W 90'W By1985thesubtropical values havediminished, which (c) isexpected given thatatmospheric values haddecreased monotonically sincethe 1960s(Figure1). However, Figure 5. The Ax4Cdistribution onthe•re=25.0surfor the controlrun (S10). thereisnogreatincrease in equatorial Ax4Cvalues be- facein 10 yearincrements shown are(a) 1965,(b) 1975,and(c) 1985. tween 1975 and 1985 within 5ø latitude of the equator, Theyears 8496 RODGERSET AL.' BOMB •4C TRANSIENTIN THE PACIFIC OCEAN WøOa WøOe WøOR t wøoat 'o8t :looat :1øog t x z 120øE 150øE 180ø 150øW 120øW 90øW 60øW x (b) Figure6. (a)Difference in seasurface A14Cbetween theS10andSOcases fortheannual mean during 1974.Negative contours indicate lower Ax4Cvalues whentheITF transport is 10as opposed to0 Sv.Themodel inventories ofbomb x4Cinunits of100atoms cm-2 forJanuary 1 1975areshown for(b)theSOcase, (c)theS10case. and(d)theS20case. inthesubtropicical North Pacific recirculates within theperience intergyre exchange. Thetongue ofhigh-AX4C subtropical gyre,whilesome advects toward theequa-waterseen along theequator ontheere-25.0 surface torial thermocline. Thepartitioning between these twoin 1985 istracing oneoftheimportant pathways of ventilation pathways islargely dependent upon thelon-equatorial thermocline ventilation forS10. namely, subgitude atwhich a water parcel subducts. Water sub-duction intheeastern subtropical North Pacific, advecducting inthewestern partofthebasin ismore likelytiontothewestern boundary viatheNorth Equatorial , toundergo recirculation within thesubtropics, whereas Current, equatorward advection withintheMindanoa water thatsubducts totheeast ismore likely toex- Current, andtheneastward advection withtheEUC. RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8497 z 10 12 / i 120øE 150øE 180' 150øW 120øW 90'W 120øW 90øW 60'W (c) z 4•• i 120øE 150øE 180' 150øW i 60øW (d) Figure 6. (continued) Along the equator,in the westernPacificthe approx- ventilation and intergyre exchange. Next we consider imate depth of this surfaceis 200 m. This advective the wayin whichthe treatmentof the IndonesianThroughpathwaydoesnot existin courseresolutionmodels,as flowinfluencesthe bombz4Cresponseof the equatorial Pacific. they do not capturethe criticalscalesfor the EUC. Figure 6a showsthe differencein annual mean sea 6. Comparison of Cases With Different ITF Transports surface A•4C between the S10 and SO runs for 1974. Clearly,thereis a significantoffsetin excessof 30%0 for most of the surface ocean between 20øN and 20øS, The AZ4C distribution calculated for the control case with a meanoffsetfor this regionof 55%0. There is a S10 has illustrated the pathwaysof model thermocline maximum differencelocated at •160øW along the equa- 8498 RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 60.1 20 5ON' •" 100 4.ON -5O -2:O : 55 3ON 20N -10 15 1ON -55 -20 -35 EQ -75 -35 -20 --5O lOS 15 2os 60 ß •2'OE •¾OE •'OE •0 lSbW 14bW 12bW 10bW 80W Figure ?. Geochemical OceanSections Study(GEOSECS)seasurfaceA14C;modelminusdata for S10. tor. CaseSO,whichhas no IndonesianThroughflow,is 7. Discussion characterizedby sea surfacebomb A x4C levels,which are muchhigher than for S10. There is almostno differ- 7.1. Data Comparison: Sea Surface A14C ence in the sea surface A•4C distribution between the S 10 and S20 runs for 1974. Figure 7 showsthe differencebetween the modeled A14Cdistribution for the I15, caseandthe seasurface Figures 6b, 6c, and 6d show the vertically integrated valuesmeasuredduring GEOSECS betweenAugustof inventoriesof bomb•4C for the SO,S10, and S20 cases 1973 and June of 1974. To account for the fact that the on January1 1975. The units for theseplots are 10ø GEOSECS data were collectedat differenttimes, the atomscm-2. A comparisonof the S10 casewith data model values at the location of each GEOSECS station will be addressedin Section 7; for now we wish to point out the similarities and differences between the three cases. The differences between the SO and S10 cases are were chosento correspondto the particular month during which the station was sampled. This method of comparisonallowsus to avoid aliasingof seasonaland interannualvariabilityin seasurfaceA14C. quite pronounced. Along the equator, inventoriesfor Between 20 ø and 35øN the difference in sea surface the SOcaseare more than 20% larger than for the S10 A•C increases from20%o at ~160øE,to 95%0 at case. This is consistent with what we saw for the sea 160øW.That the seasurfaceA•C in the subtropics surfaceA•4C difference plot in Figure6a. The inven- of the North Pacificis too large in the model is at least tories for the SOcaseare also larger in the subtropics in part due to the fact that convectiveadjustmentis not penetratingdeepenoughin this regionduring winof 30øN, the signof the differencechanges,with inven- tertime. The modeloverestimation of 95%o at 160øW toriesfor the S10casebeinglarger than for the SOcase. is approximately consistentwith the overestimationobThe sensitivityof the bomb •4C inventoriesin the ex- tainedin the simulationof Toggweiler et al. [1989b]. tratropical North Pacific to whether the ITF is open For the two GEOSECS stationsin the subtropicalNorth was certainly not an expected result of this study. Pacific closestto Japan between140ø and 155øEthe sea In comparison, the differencesbetween the S10 and surface A•C in the model is less than the GEOSECS $20 casesare relatively insignificant. This is not only measurements.One possibleexplanationfor this is that true of the depth-integrated inventories. The three- the model's horizontal resolution is still insufficient to dimensional distribution of bomb •4C in the Pacific therresolvethe westernboundarycurrentsin the subtropics. across 20øN than they are for the S10 case. Poleward toocline is nearly identical when examined on either depth levels or isopycnal horizons for the S10 and S20 The model's seasurfaceA•C between 10øN and 10øS in the equatorial Pacific is lessthan the GEOSECS mea- cases.Althoughthe thermoclineA•4C distributionis surements.The point on the equator(125øW,0øN) in quite sensitiveto whether the ITF is open or not, it is the eastern Pacific where the model underestimates the nearly insensitiveto whether the imposed tranport is GEOSECS measurement by 75ø/øøis perplexing. As 10 or 20 sverdrups. was pointedout in an earlierprocessstudy [Rodgers RODGERS ET AL. BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8499 55N 50N 45N 40N ß 84.•• 11.8 55N 50N 1 25N 20N •-12---•- .•12 15N 1ON 5N 55 12oE 140E 160E 180 160W 140W 120W 100W 80W Figure 8. Model •4C inventoryfor January1, 1975 (caseS10), with valuesinferredfrom GEOSECSmeasurements superposed. The unit:•are 100atomscm-2. et al., 1997)],the seasurface GEOSECSA14Cvalue the modelcontours,and the unitsare 109atomscm-2. measured at the surface on the equator in the eastern The GEOSECS survey intersected the equator at Pacific is as high as the value measuredon the equator both 180 ø and 125øW in the Pacific Ocean. The data in the western Pacific, whereas corals clearly indicate reveal a zonal gradient in the inventories across the that a meanzonalgradientin seasurfaceA•4C ex- equatorialPacificof order 2 x 109 atomscm-2, and isted acrossthe equatorial Pacific in the 1970s. What- this is captured by the model. Of course, one must ever processin the real oceanacted to producesuch bear in mind that the vertical samplingdensity for the an anomalously largeA x4C valueat this samepoint GEOSECS stations in the equatorial thermocline typiin May 1974 has not been capturedby the model. As cally includesonly four or five measurmentsin the upwe shall seein Figure 8, the model adequatelycaptures per 200 m, but nevertheless,the basin-scalefeatures are the depth-integratedinventoryat 125øW, 0øN. As the captured by the model. discrepancybetweeenthe model and the observations The spatial structure of the model inventory within existsprimarilyfor the surfaceAx4Cvalue,we reiter- the subtropical North Pacific is also in good agreement ate what we statedin our earlierstudy [Rodgerset al., with the model. However, the comparison is compli1997],namely, thatthesampling strategy ofGEOSECS cated by the fact that the GEOSECS measurements complicates model-data comparisons for particulargrid tend to coincidewith regionsof large meridional gradients in the model. The tongue of maximum inventories points at particular times. In the westernequatorialPacific,the modelunderes- across the central subtropical North Pacific appears to timates the seasurfaceGEOSECS A•4C measurements be shifted too far south in the model, although by how by 35-50%0.This is consistent with the offsetthat we much is difficult to assess from the GEOSECS data. will see between the Nauru coral time series at 165ø and the model in a later section. One possible reason for this offsetis that the gasexchangeformulationunderestimatesthe flux of x4Cfrom the atmosphereto the Table 1. Summaryof Bomb•4C SimulationRuns ocean in the warm pool region. ITF Transport 7.2. Data Comparison: Bomb 14CInventories 0 Sv 10 Sv 15 Sv 20 Sv and GEOSECS Data A comparison of themodel's bomb14Cinventory for January1, 1975, with the inventorycalculatedusing SeasonalForcing Interannual Forcing SO S10 115 S20 For the casewith seasonalwinds, the seasonalclimatology Pacific GEOSECS measurementsis shown in Figure 8. The inventories calculated from GEOSECS measure- of da$ilva[1994]is used.For the casewith interannualwinds the interannual climatologyof daSilva is used to force the ments[Broecker et al., 1995]havebeensuperposed on ocean model. 8500 RODGERS ET AL- BOMB •4C TRANSIENT Table 2. Pacific Inventories for •4C Atoms IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN Table 4. Geochemical OceanSectionsSurvey(GEOSECS) Indian Ocean Inventories, Estimated Local Input From Latitude Range Broeckeret al. [1985] Lamont Model 40ø-65øN 15ø-40øN 10øS to 15øN 7.3 35.9 23.7 7.2 32.9 23.4 Total 66.9 63.5 Unitsarein 102614Catomscm-2. Gas Exchange,and difference Latitudes Inventory Gas Exchange Input Deficit 25øN to 15øS 15ø S to 50 øS 13.2 40.5 24.1 20.3 -10.9 20.2 Units are 1026 atoms. This table is taken from Broecker et al. [1985]. A more thorough assessmentof the model's simulated A14C distributionin the subtropicswill requirea de- Straits tailed comparisonof the vertical structure of the simu- run. The fluxes were calculated using the perturbation is tabulated as a function of time for the S10 lated and observed A14C distribution. x4Ctracer. The first columnof modeloutputgivesthe The integratedbomb14Cinventories for the Pacific flux for a particular year, and the secondcolumn gives are represented in Table 2, where they are compared with the calculated budgets obtain from GEOSECS year. Thus the modelsendsa flux of 9 x 1026atomsto data [Broeckeret al., 1985]. The agreementbetween the Indian the model and the data is very good, especially considering that Broecker et al. estimate the error bars in in 1974,whichmeansthat 1/8 of the bombx4Catoms their calculations to be of order 5-20%. Next we consider the flux of bomb 14C atoms from the Pacific to the Indian Ocean through the Indonesian Straits. In Table 3 the flux of bomb 14C atoms from the Pacific to the Indian Ocean via the Indonesian the cumulative flux integrated from 1955 to the given Ocean between 1955 and Pacific GEOSECS deliveredto the Pacific Ocean via gas exchangebefore the GEOSECS program were exported to the Indian Ocean via the ITF. By the time of Indian OceanGEOSECS(early1978), this accumulated flux of 14C had increased to •13 x 1026 atoms. The Indian OceanGEOSECS data [Broecker et al., 1985]are shownin Table 4, and comparingthe model flux with the data tells us that •25% of the total Table 3. Flux for Each Year and Cumulative Export IndianOceaninventory(53.7x 102•atoms)hascome of x4C Atoms From the Pacific to the Indian Ocean from the Pacific Ocean. In fact, our calculated flux CalculatedUsingthe Perturbationx4CTracer from the Pacific Year Flux of 14C Atoms Cumulative 14C Flux Broeckeret al. [1985]between15øSand the northern 1955 0.1 0.01 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 O.3 O.5 O.7 0.9 1.4 O.O4 1961 2.0 0.6 1962 2.6 0.8 1963 3.2 1.2 1964 3.9 1.6 1965 4.7 2.0 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 5.6 6.5 7.5 8.4 9.1 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.3 10.5 10.4 10.3 10.2 2.6 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.7 6.7 7.6 8.6 9.7 10.7 11.8 12.8 13.8 1979 10.1 14.8 0.1 O.2 0.3 0.4 to the Indian Ocean between 1955 and 1978 is nearly equal to the total inventory calculated by boundary of the Indian Ocean. Our model domain is able to tell us nothing about the eventual ventilation pathwaysof bombx4C-ladenPacificthermoclinewater upon entering the Indian Ocean. Sufficeit to say that our results imply that the role of the ITF should not be ignored when consideringIndian Ocean inventories of transient tracers. 7.3. Data Comparison: G EOSECS Sections The model distribution of A14C across 32øN on Jan- uary 1, 1975, is shown in Figure 9a, with the observed GEOSECSvalues[Ostlundand$tuiver,1980]alongthis transect superimposed. For the sake of comparisonwe shallconsiderAx4C to be a dye tracer,with the depth of the 0ø/ooisolinerepresenting the penetrationdepth of the dye. Importantly, across the western and central regionsof the subtropical North Pacific, the depth of the 0ø/ooisolineas recordedby the GEOSECSmeasurementshas penetratedat least 50% deeperthan the 0ø/ooline in the model. Of course,one shouldkeep in mind that for this region the GEOSECS measurements occured •1 year earlier than the model output The unitsfor the fluxesare 1025atomsyr-x, and for the field shown in Figure 9. However, this only helps to cumulative fluxes are 1026 atoms emphasize our point that the model is underestimat- RODGERS 224 ET AL.- BOMB x4C TRANSIENT 223 225 226 214 IN THE PACIFIC 213 OCEAN 204 8501 202 201 50 140 lOO 15o 200 250 300 ............ 11• .................... 50..... , - 5o" ...... 50.............20--" . --75 ,, 10 350 ,, ß ß .. -50 .-- ....... -100 o • 400 .• ....... -.• ........ ß ,, . • • 450 , lOO........ -. ,, --15 ............ --12O . '-..... "--25 -lOO 5OO lOO.... --20 2O 55O 1•'OE 14'OE 269 150E 26,3 16'OE 257 17'OE 251 24-6 17bw 16'ow 24-1 229 90 134) I 125 95 50 1õ0 150w 2,31 14'OW 13'ow 214- 12bw 217 218219 1 100 • l'l••y" 150 200 175 "/ /"'/;""';'"' --''"r,i :-" ,,' 250 ,,,, X. / "... 7o ---o- :300 '"- "" ,, m'"' , 350 \ ,, 'ß .-. / ',, ,; \ 400 ....-"_ -,,o .... .....- -7o .-.....-• ',, ,- --70 ,/ -•5 . .. ",, ,,' .... .,' ,.' / ' ,' ß --10• / ...',m ,,,.."' ', -•oo-•o ,' " 5OO , ; ß ß ß -, -'-135--'•'•0. "' ,-"•o6 -•o ,' ,,'/ ,-'"-2o "-100 ,, / ' ,,/ , ,.' , ,, / 26s .- ,,' ...... ,,'" , ß ,,'ß lO 55O .. ..... ,' ......- •oo-•"•.•oo ../ / ß "-•f 45O -70 ,,,,... '"-,•---o• / --120 --19o 16s E'Q ,/ --180 .'" 16N 26N 36N 46N 55N Figure 9. A14C(a) as a functionof longitudeand depthacross32øNfor the modelin 1975, alongwith GEOSECSmeasurements, and (b) as a functionof latitude and depthalong180øW. GEOSECS data are givenin bold print, and GEOSECS station numbersare givenacrossthe top of the distributions.Alsoshownare (c) the simulatedJanuarytemperatures across32øNand (d) the Janauryvaluesfor the samesectionfromthe LevitusandBoyerI1994]monthlyclimatology. 8502 RODGERS ET AL.- BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN ing the rate of ventilationof the westernand central olution,is knownto suppressconvection[Largeet al., subtropicalPacific thermocline. 19971 . Given our interest in the penetration depth of transient tracers in the western Pacific and the observation in Figure 9a that the subtropicalGEOSECS sampling of inventoriescoincideswith regionsof large gradients in the model, the question arises as to the validity of our claim with Figure 9a that the dye tracer is not penetrating to sufficient depth. This is addressedin Another factor contributing to the discrepancybetween the model be that and observations our model in midlatitudes has •2.5 ø horizontal could resolution in the extratropics. Followsand Marshall [1996]comparedthe bomb x4Cinventoriesin the North Atlantic for two different versions of the Community Modeling Effort (CME) model, one with 1ø and one with 1/3ø Figure9b, whichshowsthe A•4C distributionaccord- resolution.They foundthat eddytransfersin the 1/3 ø ing to the model on January 1, 1975, along 180øW. As versionof the model significantly enhancedthe ventilacan be seen with the GEOSECS data near 32øN, once tion of the western subtropicalgyre. In fact, the eddyagain,the modelA•4C is not penetratingto the same permitting experiment of Follows and Marshall is the depth as that recorded by GEOSECS measurements anywhere within the subtropicsalong the dateline. In fact, this problem appears to be characteristicof both hemispheresalong 180øW in our model simulation. As with the Northern Hemisphere, the penetration depth of only simulationof the bomb x4C transientin the subtropics that has provided a satisfactory representation of tracer inventories in the western part of the subtrop- ical thermocline.The Gent and McWilliams[1990]parameterization used in our study is intended to account the A•4C equals0ø/oo isolinein the westernpart of the for this effect, but it's clearly inadequate. South Pacific subtropicalgyre This is consistentwith Despite the fact that the model is not adequately sim- the findingsof Craig et al. [1998],who simulatedthe ula.ting the penetrationof bomb•4C into the lowertherdistribution of CFC's in a global 1ø versionof the Geo- toocline of the western subtropical North Pacific, it is physicalFluid DynamicsLaboratory(GFDL) Modular doinga reasonablejob in maintainingthe observedtherOceanModel (MOM). In their study,the penetration mal stratification in this region. Figures 9c and 9d show depthof the 1 pmolkg-• isolinefor Fll is only half of the distrubtion of January temperature across 32øN, what is seen in CFC data meausured between 1988 and whichis the samesectionshownin Figure9a for A•4C 1990 along 170øW at both 35øN and 35øS. The same problem exists in their modeled Fll field at 165øE. Nevertheless,the Fll distribution in their equatorial pcynocline is in much better agreement with observations. Our resultsat 32øN are alsoconsistentwith the findings for the model and data. For these distributions the simulated depths of the 12ø and 14ø isotherms are only 10% shallower than the values derived from the Levi- tusandBoyer[1994]monthlyclimatologyfor the same time. Thus the 50% disagreement betweenthe model and data in the penetrationdepthof bomb•4C for this of the OceanModel Intercomparison Project (OCMIP) program(J. Orr, personalcommunication, 1999),where regionis not a reflection of problemsin maintaining the the vertical structure of A•4C inventories in the North Pacific is underestimated stratification of the extratropical thermocline. for all of the ocean models compared in the project. The extentto whichthe errorin extratropicalA•4C resultsfrom shortcomingsin the model'srepresentation of dynamicalprocesses and the extent to whichit representsproblemsin the parameterizationusedfor gasexchangewill be addressed in a futurestudy.The modeled vahles in the surface waters of the eastern subtropics are largerthan observations by •100ø/oo.aswe sawin Fig- 7.4. A•4C on Isopycnal Surfaces The A•4C distribution on the as=25.0 surface for the S10 run is shown in Figure 10a. Vertically interpolated values from GEOSECS stations are superimposedon the model fields. Given the density of vertical samplingduring GEOSECS, one must exercisecaution in making detailed comparisonswith the data. Thus, for the latitude belt between 20øSand 10øN the agreement between the model and the data is good since errorsare less than 25ø/øø. However.in the Northern Hemispheric subtropics the differencebetween the ure 7 wherewe comparedmodelresultswith GEOSECS data. This is largely due to the fact that the model is not adequatelycapturing the seasonalcycle in mixed layer depth for much of this region. Wintertime con- modelA x4C distributionandthe verticallyinterpolated vectionis seldompenetratingto as nmchas 50 m depth GEOSECSdatais > 50ø/øø. with largerdifferences in the in the eastern subtropics, so that the upper ocean re- eastern part of the gyre. mains stratified through the year. The model'sshallow Figure 10b showsthe model and GEOSECS data on wintertime convection at these latitudes is inconsistent the •s=26.0 isopycnalsurface. On this isopycnalsur- with the data [Huangand (•i'u, 1994].whichshowsa face the model is underestimatingthe A•4C levelsin mixed layer depth in this regionwhich is twice that of the SouthernHenrisphere and overestimating the A•4C the model. This could be an artifact of the eddy mix- levelsin the easternpart of the Northern Henrispheric ing parameterizationof Gent and McWilliams [1990], subtropicalgyre. In the westernpart of the subtropical which when used in conjunctionwith high vertical res- gyrewe seethat the modelis underestimating Ax4C, RODGERS ET AL.' BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8503 o o '- 18 o o N o 4 o 8,,• o o o o 150øE 180 øX 150øW 120øW (c) o o o o 8 o o o o 150øE 180' 150øW x Figure 9. (continued) 120øW 8504 RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 210 <D 25N•'"'-/"•'90•' •,•,,•150._... 95 •-"180 15N • I 5N •. 105 160 5•2; '• _ an •120 - •150• ou• -90• 60- •5 •zu , 60 50- - 120E • 120 •••-------••• 150 140E 1•OE 180 160W 140W 120W 100W 86W 140E 160E 180 160W 140W 120W 100W 80W (b) "" 50N 40N 30N 20N 120E Figure 10. A14Con January1, 1975,for the S10run on (a) the ere=25.0isopycnal surfaceand (b) the ere=26.0isopycnalsurface.GEOSECSdata are givenin bold print. which is the same problem we saw at depth in the west- are the same;namely,the model significantlyunderesern subtropicsin Figure 9a. timates the depth of the isosurfacein the wetsern sub- 7.5. Penetration Depth of A14C Isolines tropicsof the Northern Hemispherebut comparesreasonablywith data in the easternsubtropicsand within The depth of the A14C=0 isosurface on Januray1, the equatorial thermocline. 1975,is shownin Figure 11, with GEOSECS data super- posed. Consistentwith what we have seen before, the 7.6. Data Comparison: Experiment model is significantly underestimating the penetration depthof the bomb14Csignalin the westernsubtropical North Pacific The Pacificcomponentof the globalGEOSECSsur- North Pacific. The simulated penetration depth in the vey represented the first synopticsurveyof A14Cin the eastern subtropical North Pacific, on the other hand, is PacificOcean.However,the verticalsamplingdensity in muchbetteragreement with the GEOSECSmeasure- within the equatorialthermoclineduring GEOSECS ments.Thepenetration depthoftheA14C--0isosurfacetypicallyincluded onlyfoursamples in theupper200m. in the tropicsis alsoin reasonably goodagreement with It wasnot until the North PacificExperiment(NORthe data. PAX) survey[Quayet al.. 1983]along150øand160øW To demonstratethat our conclusionwas not biased during 1979and 1980 that the equatorialthermocline by the arbitrarychoice of the A14C--0isosurface, this wassampled with sufficient densityto resolve thevercomparison wasrepeated againforboththeA14C---25ticalstructure of A14Cin theequatorial pycnocline. and-50%0isosurfaces. The resultson thesesurfaces Themeridional section plotsof z•14Cin theequato- RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8505 55N 50N 45N 40N 35N 3ON 391 3•0 25N 15N 1ON '35C •250 5N -230 2,35 • 225 1• 5S 255 1 EO 120E 140E 160E 180 160W 140W 0 50• 120W 100W 80W Figure 11. ThedepthoftheAx4C-0isosurface onJanuary 1, 1975,fortheS10run. GEOSECS data are givenin bold print. rial thermocline from the studyof Quayet al. [1983] 7.7. Data Comparison: Coral Time Series are shownin Figure 12. Figure 12a showsthe distri- bution asa function oflatitude anddepth, andFig- Nextwecompare themodel results withexisting coral ure12bshows thedistribution asa function oflatitudeAz4CdatafromthePacific Ocean. Timeseries forfour anddensity. TheAxaCdistribution measured alongsites areshown in Figure 13:French Frigate (23øN, thistransect isrelatively symmetric about theequator. 166øW)' Galapagos (1øS, 90øW), Fiji(18øS, l?9øE), It is clearfor the latitude versusdensityplot that the andNauru(1øS,167øE).FrenchFrigateliesin the sub- maximum subsurface AxaC signal onthedensity rangetropics oftheNorthern Hemisphere, FijiinthesubtropHemisphere, Galapagos in the eastsurroundingere=25.0doesnot extend to the equator, icsof the Southern butrather forms a subsurface tongue which extends in erntropics, andNauru inthewestern tropics. Foreach fromthesubtropics. Nevertheless, theAx4C values on siteweshow themodel output fortheI15run(black) the equator on the ae=25.0 density horizon are well andthe coraldata (shaded). above theirprebomb levels of~-70ø/oo. Firstweconsider French Frigate (Figure 13a).The Some interhemispheric differences intheAxaC distri-coraldata[Dvuffel, 1987] represents annual mean valbution along 150øW warrant mention. Thedistribution ues.Thecoraldatapeakat 180ø/oo in theearly1970s. ischaracterized bya subsurface maximum inAz4Cfor Themodel simulation peaks a fewyears earlier, and theNorthern Hemisphere thatiscentered between the themaximum offset between themodel andthedatais ae-24.5 and25.0isopycnal layers. According tothe 50ø/øø in !968.BythetimeofPacific GEOSECS the March seasurface temperatures andsalinities [Levitus offset between themodel andthedataisquite small. andBoyev, 1994], thiscorresponds toa March outcrop Nextweconsider themodel's simulation ofthebomb between 25ø and30øN.FortheSouthern Hemisphere transient at Galapagos (Figure 13b).ThecoralA[4C themaximum A•4Cis centered between theere=25.0datasetshown isthatof Guilderson and$chrag [1998]. and25.5density layers.Thiscorresponds to a SouthernIn contrast to French Frigate, theA•C values at GalaHemispheric winteroutcropbetween 30øSand35øS. pagos exhibita gradualincrease through the1970s.The The modelresultsshownin Figure12crepresent a agreement between thesimulation andtheobservations snapshot of modelconditions for January 1, 1980,for isquitegood,although themodel slightly overestimates theS10case.Themodel reproduces themajorfeaturesseasurface z•[•Cin thelate1960s andslightly underofthedata,namely thesubsurface tongues ofhighAx4C estimates thevalues forthelate1970s andearly1980s. extending fromthesurface watersof the subtropics in Guilderson and$chrag [1998] havepointed outthatseaeitherhemisphere intotheequatorial thermocline, and sonallyminumumcoralAx•C is characterized by an it captures thesetongues at thecorrect depthlevel.The abruptjump in 1976. This is not reproduced by the asymmetry abouttheequator in themaximum subsur-model,whichshows a gradualincrease in its seasonally faceAz4Cvalues is alsocaptured by the model,with minimum A•4Cthrough the 1970s. largervaluesto the northandsmallervaluesto the Nextweconsider theFiji site(Figure13c).Herethe south. coraldata [Toggweiler, 1983]areseento be in good 8506 RODGERSET AL.. BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN a 15"5 I0 I •, I •oo I•_ '\ ß I: 0 _/o I, • •. / ' // . 140ß /' ' •. ß •,• //1 ,,,.,.• ß ' .-?•_-.• ß 20"N ,<,v • ._/ •_ •- ' L% C(/oo) . 5, I0 , 15 , / . ß / . ß J ""...'•.:• ' ,./ / ' . -• - ', ß :/ _•60 // /' -' ' --.--'" '•' '/. o J/_,.' /',/ ./ . ,/ ___r_/// • ---' •,/ ß •.""-' • • • I * / /, ,..= / / _- / Q $001.-. / ///50 L.ø/ / ß/ / /. / / ' 15 _ _/ . I •. I0 I00 85 •• I ' ._.,•5-,...'.;..',,;?'/ /. F,//// 5 -,- •00 • I 'L' LATITUDE 5 •_..// •eo ß LATITUDE b 15"S , , 22, . ß •'l' IO , 5, % ß . ' 14 ß /•c(•..)., \•, ', \ | • •4k• L. • • . ß ' ' ' /'• %, ß • "% " '•.• ', ß . . •-,oo 0,:!'•,4o ''-. / o.L 0, • ! • I +•.5 +85 ! .• •I ' ,' \ ' -...- • ß : ' /I // t -H6o : -• % •---- . :. _ / -,t-•n,• +140 .I ._.• . _--__--_'•,_,.,v• __L'-_-::'--: ----- j. •--•'•-----•-----'-/."•_? • • _'- •_', ........ ,I ! _..--:z-....' 1 . ß __ .I, -- F" ' / 60', i ß ß ',, • ,,\ .......... ß as !-,+.a o,. .... :.,: - :.:-- .... C / / . ß '• ß ;I. L.,! I +,,,o "• • !' ß• \ ..• / ,' \ V I' ' '-•-•'• / • ' / ß -----"--- • • / I I---+tO0 ..... .... 5-•...... •,/' . ;,of• ' 20"N • ..... •----'-•o-œ•, ' ß ß ß _.j .......ß • -- % ---90-- ' o _ ...,,. // // / g // 1 I I I -- i i / / /I ,•,,, ,..-./ I / /// / / / ß / / / / •'... i /._--.--•.,,, •.•. \ ,,, --..,. \\ / / •.•.•._../ / / %%.,, '",..,.. / / // / -,,•..• / / // I // i / // -,, -100 \\ /l/ // / / / / "--• -150 / ! / / 20øS I1 \ / 10øS 0' 10øN 20øN 30'N 40øN 50øN 60øN Y Figure 12. (a) TheAx4Calong150øWmeasured in 1979duringtheHawaiito TahitiShuttleas a funtionof latitudeanddepth[Quayet al., 1983].(b) The samequantityplottedasa function of latitudeand potentialdensity.(c) The model'sA[4C at 150øWas a functionof latitudeand depth on January 1, 1980. RODGERS ET AL.' BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8507 (a) a, 25o I I I I i I 200 - 150 - .•- 100- v o -9 50- 0- -50 -100 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 YEAR (b) b 250 200 150 100- 50 -50 -100 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 YEAR Figure i3. Model(black)and coral(shaded)Z•14Cfor (a) FrenchFrigate,(b) Calapagos, (c) Fiji, and (d) Nauru. agreement with the model simulation. As with the resolutiondata of Guildersonet al. [1998].The offset French Frigate coral, this subtropicalsite peaks in the betweenthe modeland the data is •40ø/oothroughthe 1970s. This offset is consistent with the offset meaearly 1970sbefore declining through the 1980s. Finally, we considerthe A14C signalfor Nauru Is- suredat 180øW during GEOSECS [Ostlundand $tuland (Figure 13d). The coral curve is from the high- iver, 1980].In particular,the modelcapturesthe spike 8508 RODGERS ET AL' BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN (c) c 25O I I I I I I 200 150 .•' E lOO v -• 50 -50 -100 1955 • • • • • • 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 YEAR d 25O I I I I I I 200 150 •' ß 100 -• 50 E 0 -50 -100 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 YEAR Figure 13. (continued) associated with the 1972-1973E1 Nifio, althoughthe peak in the model occurs some 5 months earlier than There are severalpossible reasons why the model's Az4Calongtheequator during theearly1970s could be the peak in the data. In the modelthe spikeis caused lowerthanthe valuesmeasured duringGEOSECSand by an eastwardsurgeof surfacewaterswith highAz4C the valuesrecorded by equatorial corals.Onepossibilfromthe MindanaoCurrentto the eastalongthe equa- ity is that the gas exchangeformulationusedfor this tor. studyis inadequate.This is quitelikelyat Nauru since RODGERS 2.5 ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT I I I IN THE PACIFIC I OCEAN I 8509 I 2 • 1.5 • 1 :• 0.5 0 z rr 0 LU -0.5 -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 1955 • • • • I • 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 YEAR Figure 14. Comparison of modeled(black)and observed (shaded)[Kaplanet al., 1998]NINO3 SST anomalies between 1955 and 1990. deeperwatersand dilutingthe A•4C signal.It is most the wind speedsover the warm pool in the ECMWF climatologyare not very large. However, local tropical likely that excessivemixing within the equatorial unis dilutingthe seasurfaceA•4C signalin the wind speedsshould not be so important at Galapagos dercurrent sincethe supplyof bomb •4C via intergyreexchangeequatorial Pacific in the early 1970s. A comparison of the SST anomalies in the eastern should be more important. A secondpossibleexplanation is that by imposing a equatorial Pacific for the I15 case and the dataset of fixed ITF transport for theseruns we have compromised Kaplan et al. [1998]is shownin Figure 14. For both the meanA14C of the surfacewatersfor the equatorial cases, temperature anomalies are calculated over the Pacific. We have seen that for the SO case the mean sea NINO3 region, i.e., over a box ranging in latitude from surfaceAz4C for the equatorialPacificis significantly 5øSto 5øN and from 90ø to 150øW in longitude. It should be kept in mind that wind stress data for larger than for the other cases.In fact, the sea surface the equatorial Pacific is quite sparse before the 1970s, A•4C distributionfor the SOcaseis in better agreement so that the model's interannual variability in sea surface with the GEOSECS data than the others. However, we temperature during this period should not be expected rule this possibilityout by the argument that when the to match observations. In addition, for the I15 case we ITF is closed, the mixing ratio of northern to southforced the model with interannually varying winds, but ern component watersin •he equatorialthermoclineis heat fluxes were calculated using seasonally varying clidistorted[Rodgers et al., 1999]. matologies. Given these limitations, the match between A third explanation for the model's equatorial sea the model and the data for this region is quite satisfacsurface A14Cbeingsomewhat lowerthantheGEOSECS tory. It is interesting to note, however, that although measurements is that the model is too diffusive. We have seenin our comparisonof the A•4C distribution the model representsa shift in SST in 1976, it fails to measuredin the equatorial thermocline during NOR- do sowith A14C,as wasseenin Figure13b. PAX (Figure 12a) and the Az4C for the modelfor 7.8. The Subtropical Cell and Intergyre January 1, 1980, at the samelocation(Figure 12c) that if anything,the modeloverestimates the A•4C at 10øN and 10øS.This points to the low-latitude western Exchange It was mentioned earlier that the evolution of the boundarycurrents(LLWBCs) and the EUC as poten- bomb A •4C transient in the Pacific thermocline has a tial locationsof spuriouslylarge diapycnal diffusivity in bearing on climate questions. For the zonally averaged the model, which would have the effect of entraining circulation in the Pacific a meridional subtropical cell 8510 RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN maximain A14Cdo not (STC)exists in thesurface andthermocline waters.The system,sincethe subsurface surfacewater that subducts in the eastern part of the manage to ever reach the EUC. A quantificationof this subtropicalgyresmovesequatorward within the ther- entrainment will be important for understandingthermocline and, upon upwelling along the equator some mal budgets. A secondpathwayby whichlow-AX4Cwater can be10-20yearslater, returnsto the midlatitudesvia the surfaceEkman flow. Wyrtki [1981]usedmass,heat, come entrained into the STC is via Ekman flow at the and salinitybudgetsto arguethat the strengthof the ocean surface. A sizeable fraction of the water that equatorialupwellingis •50 Sv. Assuming that only 5 subductsin the subtropical convergenceof both hemiSv of this representslocal recyclingof equatorialwater impliesthat the strengthof the STC is 45 Sv. The northern boundaryof the STC coincideswith the zero wind stresscurl line separating the subpolar and subtropicalgyresof the North Pacific,or approximately the outcropof the crs-26.2 isopycnal,and the southern boundarycorrespondsto the outcropof the sameisopycnal. The crs-26.2 will define the lower boundary of spheresof the Pacific Ocean is suppliedby the equatorward Ekman flow from the subpolar gyre of the North Pacific and from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) regionof the SouthernHemisphere.That this watermaintainsits low-A•4C signatureuponsubduct- ing in the subtropicsis due to the decadalair-seaequilibration timescalesfor carbon isotopes,whereasits temperatures and salinity properties are significantly modour STC as it delimits the lower bound of the directly ified through heat and freshwater fluxes. A quantificaventilatedthermocline [HuangandQiu,1994],with the tion of the effectof this process,which involvesintergyre exchangebetween the subtropical and subpolarregimes, upper boundarybeing the seasurface. That this cell is not closedcan be seen by consider- on A•4C inventories in the STC will be addressed in a inga simplebudgetcalculationinvolvingthe Indonesian future study. Enhanced equatorial resolution in ocean models is Throughflow.The ITF representsa meanflux of thermocline water out of the Pacific basin, and given that the estimatesof ITF transportare in the range5-16 Sv also important in simulations of the oceaniccarbon cy- cle. Aumontet al. [1999]haveshownthat whenmerid- [Godfrey,1996],this constitutesa flux that is equiva- ional resolution of 0.5 ø is used in the vicinity of the lent to 10-35% of the strengthof the STC. The mass equator. the extent of nutrient trapping is greatly reflux associated with the ITF outflow must be balanced duced. in steadystate by an entrainmentof colderwater into the STC. Toggweiler et al. [1991]haveusedmeasurements of prebombA•4C to arguethat thereissignificant entrain- 8. Conclusions The bomb •4C transient for the Pacific Ocean has ment of deeperwater into the STC. One important dif- been simulated using a high-resolutionprimitive equaferencebetween our analysisand that of Toggweileret tion ocean circulation model. The control run, which al. lies in the sourceof the low prebombA14C water was forced with seasonallyvarying winds and buoyancy recordedby Galapagoscorals. Toggweileret al. ar- fluxes, reproducesthe observedlarge-scalefeatures of guedthat the 13ø thermostadwater that liesbelowthe the bomb A•4C transient in the Pacific thermocline. equatorial undercurrent [Tsuchiya, 1981]upwellsoffthe SeasurfaceAx4C peakedwithin the subtropicsof the coast of Peru and then advects over Galapagoswithin Pacific Ocean in the late 1960s and early 1970s but the South Equatorial Current. However,for the high continued to rise in the equatorial Pacific through the resolution model used in our study the surface water 1970sand into the 1980s. The lag in the rise of trop- surroundingGalapagosis suppliedalternativelyby the ical seasurfaceA•4C with respectto the subtropicsis EUC and the southwardadvectionof a Ax4C front ly- controlledby the advective timescalefor intergyre exingjust to the north of the equatorthroughthe seasonal changeof thermoclinewater betweenthe subtropicsand cycle.The water that upwellsoff Peruis advectedpole- the tropics of the Pacific Ocean. ward within the surface Ekman flow in the Southern The model's basin-wide bomb•4C inventories for the Hemisphere. Thus, whereasToggweileret al. looked Pacific Ocean are in very good agreementwith the into the Peru Upwelling as the sourceof low prebomb ventories calculated from GEOSECS measurements. In A14C recordedby Galapagoscorals,our model impli- particular, the model inventories in the equatorial Pacates thermocline water within the EUC. cificare consistentwith the data in absolutemagnitude, There are two important pathways by which low- and the model capturesthe zonal gradient in the invenA14C waters could be entrained into the STC. The first tory between 125ø and 180øW. We attribute this success of theseis via diapycnalfluxeswithin the thermocline. to the high meridionalresolutionfor the equatorialPaDiapycnalfluxescausecolderwater from deep thermo- cific used in our study, which allows us to resolve the cline to intermediate depths to mix with water in the critical scalesof equatorial circulation. pycnocline. The plotshownfor the A•4C asa function This study was motivated by our interest in intergyre of latitude and potential densityanomalyat 150øW in exchangeas an oceanographicprocesswith important 1979 (Figure 12b) suggests that significantdilution is implications for climate variability. The same mixing occuringin the latitude belt of the equatorialcurrent and advective processesthat control the intergyre ex- RODGERS ET AL.: BOMB •4C TRANSIENT IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN 8511 changeof A•4C alsoimpactsthe propagation of thermal The distribution of bomb radiocarbon in the ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 90, 6953-6970, 1985. controlrun aregenerallyconsistent with the A•4C mea- Broecker, W. S., S. Sutherland, W. Smethie, T.-H. Peng, and G. Ostlund, Oceanicradiocarbon: Separation of the surementscollectedduring the GEOSECS and NORnatural and bomb components,Global Biogeochern.CyPAX surveys. 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