Final Report Based on the WORKSHOP ON INTEGRATED RESEARCH FOR CIVIL INFRASTRUCTURE July 15-17, 1996 Washington, DC Principal Investigator Rae Zimmerman Professor of Planning and Public Administration Co-Principal Investigator Roy Sparrow Professor of Public Administration funded by the National Science Foundation Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service New York University 4 Washington Square North New York, NY 10003 February 1997 This Workshop was conducted by New York University’s Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service in cooperation with the Polytechnic University Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and supported by a grant from the National Science Foundation (NSF). Workshop Planning Group Members Priscilla P. Nelson, Coordinator of the Civil Infrastructure Systems Work Group, Program Director, Geomechanical, Geotechnical and Geo-Environmental Systems, CMS Division, and Acting Senior Engineering Advisor, Directorate for Engineering, NSF Rae Zimmerman, Professor of Planning and Public Administration, NYU Principal Investigator Roy Sparrow, Professor of Public Administration, NYU Co-Principal Investigator Arden Bement, Professor of Engineering, Purdue University John Falcocchio, Professor of Transportation, Polytechnic University Kingsley Haynes, Professor of Public Policy, George Mason University Ilan Juran, Professor and Head of the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Polytechnic University Thomas D. O’Rourke, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cornell University Angelos Protopapas, Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Polytechnic University Co-Chairs Arden Bement, Professor of Engineering, Purdue University Sigurd Grava, Professor of Planning, Columbia University Thomas D. O’Rourke, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cornell University Other Contributors Roger Stough, Professor of Public Policy, George Mason University Graduate Research Assistant Danielle Renart (Master of Urban Planning candidate, NYU) Copy-Editing Linda Wheeler Reiss TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Urban Concentrations 12 Chapter 3 Infrastructure and Interurban and Suburban Networks 25 Chapter 4 Infrastructure Sustainability 44 Chapter 5 Summary and Conclusions 56 APPENDICES 61 A. The Workshop Process and Organization B. Workshop Summary and List of Workshop Planning Group Members; Workshop Agenda C. Research Topics D. List of Workshop Participants, Speakers, and Observers E. Short Biographies of Workshop Participants F. Research Questions; Short Papers by Participants A-1 B-1 C-1 D-1 E-1 F-1 PREFACE The U.S. has a multi-trillion dollar investment in civil infrastructure systems. While the quality and performance of infrastructure are vital to the nation’s economic and social well-being, by most accounts this investment has not been prudently managed for sustainability. New knowledge is needed to provide the intellectual support for infrastructure decisions necessary to sustain economic growth, environmental quality, and improved societal health well into the next century. Such knowledge can only be initiated through research which is interdisciplinary. The National Science Foundation (NSF) has identified Civil Infrastructure Systems (CIS) as a strategic research area for promoting an integrated approach to research for the intelligent renewal of civil infrastructure systems. NSF contributes to intelligent infrastructure renewal through the support of research that focuses on the scientific, engineering, and educational advancements needed to sustain civil infrastructure systems. These research areas are represented by separate directorates. In recent years, interdisciplinary research programs have assumed an important role at NSF. These efforts, however, have been confined largely to the areas of natural environment, built environment, and socioeconomic and human environment, and have occurred primarily within individual directorates rather than among them. NSF has established the Civil Infrastructure Systems Working Group (the CISWG) to develop the intellectual basis for interdisciplinary CIS research programs. These research programs are directed toward new understanding of system performance and guidance in support of resource allocation decisions in civil infrastructure systems investment and management. The CISWG has been co-chaired by the Assistant Directors for the Directorates for Engineering and for Social, Behavioral, and Economic Sciences. Dr. Priscilla Nelson has served as coordinator for the CISWG since FY95. In order to assist in defining an integrative research agenda for CIS research, NSF supported the Workshop on Integrated Research in Civil Infrastructure, convened by New York University, and held July 15-17, 1996 in Washington, DC. The Workshop and the accompanying report represent the concerted effort of numerous participants. The Workshop Planning Group directed the organization and design of the Workshop from its inception. Participants representing many disciplines contributed papers and ideas for the Workshop. A core group of the Planning Group members, which included the principal investigators and co-chairs, prepared the Workshop report. This report provides NSF with a thorough account of the content of the Workshop, including the major issues raised and the key research questions identified. It is intended also for the wider audience of academics and practitioners who are engaged in the work of improving the quality and functioning of infrastructure systems. Rae Zimmerman Principal Investigator Roy Sparrow Co-Principal Investigator WORKSHOP CONTACTS Dr. Priscilla P. Nelson, Program Director Geomechanical, Geotechnical and Geo-Environmental Systems CMS Division, and Acting Senior Engineering Advisor Directorate for Engineering National Science Foundation 4201 Wilson Blvd. Rm. 545.17 Arlington, VA 22230 Tel: (703) 306-1361 FAX: (703) 306-0291 e-mail: [email protected] Rae Zimmerman, Principal Investigator Professor of Planning & Public Administration Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service New York University 4 Washington Square North New York, NY 10003 Tel: (212) 998-7432 FAX: (212) 995-3890 e-mail: [email protected] Roy Sparrow, Co-Principal Investigator Professor of Public Administration Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service New York University 4 Washington Square North New York, NY 10003 Tel: (212) 998-7505 FAX: (212) 995-3890 e-mail: [email protected] CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.0 SCOPE AND DEFINITION Infrastructure is a pervasive part of every aspect of urbanized life, and increasingly impacts the human and natural environment. The scale of infrastructure systems in the United States continues to increase, along with the number of institutions involved in planning and managing them. Widespread use of the term infrastructure has occurred only recently, and clear consensus on its definition has yet to be achieved. The 1995 NSF CIS program announcement for the integrative research program defined infrastructure in terms of its components: “Infrastructure systems consist of the constructed physical facilities which support the day-to-day activity of our whole society, and provide the means for distribution of resources and services, for transportation of people and goods, and for communication of information” (National Science Foundation, March 1995). A report from the National Research Council Building Research Board defined infrastructure more simply as constructed facilities and their associated services (Grant and Lemer, 1993). Those who participated in the Workshop understood infrastructure to mean facilities and services that provide support to social and economic activities. Infrastructure areas covered in the Workshop were transportation, water supply, wastewater treatment and collection, and energy, though other areas such as solid waste management and telecommunications were touched upon for contextual or comparative purposes. More extensive examples of infrastructure facilities are listed in Appendix 1B. Many performance and quality issues related to large and complex infrastructure systems can be handled within the context of science, engineering and mathematics. Yet, the service side of infrastructure and its human and environmental contexts demand an integration of the social, behavioral, economic, managerial, and decision sciences with technological considerations because they interact with one another. The points at which these different areas relate are numerous. For example, functional specializations of design, construction, operation, and maintenance continually interact to provide basic services. Funding also requires extensive interaction, although interaction on funding issues often produces as much competition as cooperation, because different functions, facilities, and jurisdictions must compete for funds. The key question for the Workshop was how an integrated research agenda can provide an understanding of the effect of social, political, technological, and economic interactions on the performance of infrastructure. Integration, described in more detail in the next section, aims at promoting a common language and approach to simultaneously meeting social, economic, technological, and institutional needs of infrastructure development and management. 1 1.1 INTEGRATION: A KEY CONCEPT The Workshop’s charge was to identify research questions pertaining to the provision and performance of infrastructure which required the concerted effort of different disciplines. The issue of when and how to integrate disciplines arose as a major concern that frames research topics. Thus, a discussion of the term integration is critical at the outset. In order to comprehensively approach the theme of integrated infrastructure research, the Workshop was divided into three groups: urban concentrations, less dense areas, and infrastructure sustainability, that are described in more detail in Section 1.3 of this chapter. Integration has several meanings, some of which the three themes share in common, and some of which differ for each of the three areas. Meanings of the concept of integrated infrastructure that the three areas share in common are: • Functional integration suggests opportunities to relate infrastructure processes to one another, such as waste management and energy, which can occur in very dense as well as less dense areas. It is also critical to sustainability in identifying and carrying out economies of scale in the general use of resources. • Integration also pertains to the sharing of knowledge and information so that social and economic needs for infrastructure can be integrated with its technological aspects. • Integrated management addresses cooperative mechanisms among organizations, levels of government, and interests that share infrastructure. • Conceptually speaking, the integration of infrastructure is an essential foundation for the design and upkeep of service needs and the manner in which people live, allocate resources, and develop communities. the numerous Some aspects of the concept of integration also differ for the three different workshop themes: In urban concentrations, the integration of engineering, social sciences and economics is needed to address infrastructure’s support of social and economic activities that function in close proximity to one another. Moreover, the historical development of urban infrastructure has led to a density of facilities that increases the complexity of the renewal process. When institutional and professional traditions and protocols encourage specialists to work autonomously without addressing how the pieces all fit together, the individual components of the system may work reasonably well, but the integrity of the overall system may suffer. Urban systems too often lack an integrating architecture - a systems perspective that integrates both the geographic location of facilities and services and their timing or sequencing. Many types, levels or dimensions of integration were identified for interurban and suburban networks, in part because the networks exist in so many different forms. Addressing the multidimensionality of infrastructure is particularly critical for infrastructure in these less dense urban areas, since the provision of facilities and services usually occurs over a much greater area. A policy that aims at concentrating facilities geographically - that is, producing larger, more 2 coordinated facilities that may work in a dense area - could increase the magnitude and probability of large scale failures over larger areas if something goes wrong. Infrastructure sustainability implies still other uses of the integration concept. The concept of sustainability achieved widespread use in the context of environmental protection and general resource conservation, and has since been defined in many different ways (Costanza, 1991). As applied generally to infrastructure, it can be defined as achieving a balance of human activity (including human settlements and population growth) with its surroundings, so as not to exceed available resources. Addressing this issue involves integrating natural and physical sciences, engineering, social and behavioral sciences, economics, and associated institutions. Acknowledging and addressing interdependencies between infrastructure and its environment is central to the design, use, and management of infrastructure that adheres to a philosophy of sustainability. The concept of integration as applied to infrastructure has both analytical and institutional dimensions. First, several analytical techniques promote integration. For example, multiobjective decision analysis has provided an accounting system for multiple, often conflicting components and their relationships that bear upon a single outcome. Meta-analysis is another tool, which integrates the results and the data from different and often conflicting studies through some summary measure that identifies a central tendency. Computer software is becoming sophisticated enough to expedite the integration of different infrastructure systems with the social and economic fabric of society. Second, institutions that can promote integration should be identified. For example, universities are considered an important forum for exploring integrative work, because they have a diversity of scholarship. However, institutional processes to achieve integration need attention, including the design of new organizational and interorganizational systems, coalition-building, partnering, and conflict resolution methods. An important outcome of integrated research is intelligent infrastructure renewal. Renewal is the physical rehabilitation of existing facilities to improve safety and service. The process commonly involves public approval and engineering. It usually entails changes in the physical and mechanical characteristics of existing structures and facilities, but may also include substantial modifications to electric and telecommunication systems. The process may be focused on a single facility or it may be applied throughout a system of facilities. In the latter case especially, renewal involves economic, social and political dimensions. Intelligent renewal can be thought of in the following way: • The development, integration, and deployment of state-of-the-art research and technology are needed to maintain and renew the infrastructure more effectively. • Intelligent renewal focuses strategically and holistically on the best possible quality of systems within a given set of cost constraints. • Solutions to infrastructure problems are likely to involve social, economic, environmental, legal, and political issues, as well as technical ones. 3 These concepts are new to many professional communities involved in infrastructure, and individuals do not necessarily ascribe the same meaning to these concepts. 1.2 THE NECESSITY FOR INTEGRATED INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH Nature of the Issues Infrastructure systems are interconnected physically and geographically. They are both dependent upon and impact human and natural environments. Yet, the institutions for management, planning, technology, and education that support them are highly specialized and politically and functionally fragmented. The adequacy of our knowledge to understand, manage, and integrate the various dimensions of infrastructure and its contexts is continually being questioned. Research that combines technical, social, and economic expertise has been scarce, despite the need for an interdisciplinary approach. As a consequence, our understanding of infrastructure problems, like infrastructure itself, remains fragmented and compartmentalized. An integrated research agenda is needed to enhance the knowledge of the social, economic, and environmental contexts in which infrastructure operates and their relationship to the engineering aspects of infrastructure. The following examples are typical of the issues and problem areas that require an integrated approach to infrastructure research. • Population growth is continuing to increase in most large, urbanized areas. Growth is no longer a one-time event, but tends to be cyclical. New booms in urban growth are continuing to occur at rates often faster than can be accommodated by infrastructure capacity. • These population booms produce spatial patterns that often differ dramatically from past patterns in that they are occurring faster and in new places, often influenced by intricate regulatory requirements (including zoning), investment policies and political environments. Population increasingly is being redistributed away from the core, producing different spatial patterns to which existing and new infrastructure systems continually have to adapt. This necessitates a redirection of thinking about infrastructure. Institutions that have traditionally been separate, acting in isolation, need to be brought together to address these problems. • Public expectations and perceptions about levels and types of service are continually changing as styles, experiences and standards of living change. A mechanism to integrate these socio-psychological factors into infrastructure planning and development is needed. • The magnitude and distribution of investments in infrastructure are changing (Perry, 1995). The manner in which investments are made (particularly their timing and the length of budgetary cycles) have a considerable influence on the extent to which maintenance, operational needs and new technological innovations can be integrated upfront into new design and construction. 4 • A comprehensive accounting of infrastructure costs that reflect social, economic and environmental costs does not always exist. Investments based upon partial and incomplete accounting systems are considered to be factors in urban sprawl and the inability of infrastructure capacity to keep up with these urban development patterns. Although many of these problems are not new, their persistence, and the uncertainty of how they will change in magnitude and direction make a strong case for a continuation and possibly a redirection of integrated thinking behind the management and planning of infrastructure systems. This Workshop addressed the interdisciplinary research needed to create a dialogue among the physical sciences, engineering, and social sciences for our national infrastructure. Barriers to Integration and Obstacles to Overcoming Them Given these needs, there are numerous examples of the barriers to integration, which are described in detail in subsequent chapters, but a few examples are illustrative of what they entail: • Centralized management and procedures currently do not exist for data acquisition, integration, interpretation and use across infrastructure types, jurisdictions, organizations, and functional areas. • Common frameworks generally do not exist or are not always applied to the evaluation of infrastructure because its value is highly subjective, and varies by place, time and users. • Specialized infrastructure organizations and institutions have little incentive, ability or need to coordinate with one another when the need arises. • Different priority systems exist in different jurisdictions that often defy integration - at least across political or geographic boundaries. • Often no mechanism for the true accounting of infrastructure costs (including social, economic and environmental costs, and the reflection of those costs in the pricing of infrastructure) exists. The absence of such a mechanism is considered to be a major factor in the promotion of urban sprawl. These barriers are familiar ones, and have appeared and reappeared in many forms. In spite of this knowledge and the often demonstrated need for interagency action and interfunctional coordination, barriers to integration remain. One purpose of the Workshop was to explore why they persist, and what research could help overcome these barriers. Reasons for the persistence of these barriers are numerous. For example: • Large, in place infrastructure facilities and services are often not sufficiently flexible to meet the needs of a changing population and its distribution. 5 • Major changes in the fabric of society are often required to integrate institutions that are typically segmented, and there are few incentives to introduce these changes when the need to do so arises. • Time frames for social and cultural change, technological development, and investment are often out of sync with one another and with political and policy-making calendars. • Data and information about contextual factors for infrastructure are poorly developed and inconsistent, and few mechanisms exist to promote a better integration of these factors into infrastructure databases. • Professional, technical, and scientific education for infrastructure careers continues to be largely disciplinary and overly narrow despite trends in infrastructure management becoming increasingly interdisciplinary. The Workshop was organized to investigate how integrated research can reduce these barriers as well as promote more coordinated and effective solutions. Background: Previous Approaches to Integrated Research The need for an integrated approach to infrastructure research was flagged by numerous studies during the 1980s and early 1990s, for example, by the National Commission on Public Works Improvement (February, 1988) and the National Research Council’s Board on Infrastructure and the Constructed Environment (Grant and Lemer, 1993; National Research Council, 1995). In recognition of the need for an interdisciplinary approach to infrastructure systems, the NSF established an internal team - the Civil Infrastructure Systems Working Group (CISWG) with Dr. Priscilla Nelson as the coordinator of that team. The CISWG intellectual paradigm was explored in two workshops held in the 1990s that involved participants from universities, industry, the design community, and Federal agencies. The first workshop, entitled, “Civil Infrastructure Systems Research,” was held in April 1992 by the Directorate for Engineering (chaired by Ken Chong of the NSF) (CISTG, 1992) and the second, entitled, “Public Infrastructure Research - A Public Infrastructure Research Agenda for the Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences” was held in April 1993 for the Directorate for Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences (Professor Dennis Epple was Chair of the Organizing Committee) (Epple, April 1993). The participants in those workshops were drawn from many disciplines; however, the majority of workshop participants tended to be from the same disciplines as the directorates sponsoring them. The first workshop focused on engineering aspects of infrastructure research. It recommended that NSF establish a multi-disciplinary initiative addressing three issues: deterioration science, assessment technologies, and renewal engineering. The second workshop added a fourth issue institutional effectiveness and productivity. These four issues represent the disciplinary programs that now exist within NSF, and are the basis for awarding research grants. The outcome of these workshops and other efforts was an FY95 program announcement calling for 6 an integrative research program for civil infrastructure with an emphasis on developing educational programs to reflect such research. These workshops underscored the need to incorporate social and institutional issues directly into infrastructure research. The first workshop report noted that “. . .the solutions to infrastructure problems are probably 5% technical and 95% social, political, environmental, and economic” (CISTG, 1992). The second workshop underscored this and carried it further, indicating for example, that “. . . effective and efficient infrastructure development depends as much or more on what we know about human action as it does on advances in the various technologies and material sciences” (CISTG, 1993). Other research programs outside of the CIS initiative have attempted to address issues that bridge the natural and the built environments. The NSF/EPA partnerships in water and watersheds research and valuation are examples of this. The purpose of the July 1996 Workshop on Integrated Research for Civil Infrastructure was to identify and better understand those research issues that extend beyond individual systems, that is, to carry the integrated infrastructure initiative still further as the basis for identifying additional research questions. Given the barriers to conceptualizing infrastructure systems in an integrated framework, the aim of the workshop was to identify what issues can be addressed through research that is truly cross-disciplinary and interdisciplinary. In other words, a research should explore the interfaces among the disciplines and foster an understanding of the processes of diffusion from one discipline to another. Moreover, the Workshop focused on the compelling arguments and the intellectual basis for such a research program. These questions and their rationale have to be clearly presented so they can be articulated to the research community. Interdisciplinary research for infrastructure investment is often unclear, since the need for it arises incrementally and in small doses. The challenge is to introduce proactive and preventive approaches, rather than to respond to crises as they arise. 1.3 WORKSHOP ORGANIZATION Integration means different things depending on the spatial configurations for human settlements and the nature of the problems. To capture the multi-dimensionality of the concept of integrated infrastructure research, three different perspectives were adopted: infrastructure issues associated with (1) urban concentrations; (2) interurban and suburban networks; and (3) sustainability. These three areas formed the basis of three working groups into which Workshop participants were divided. Common themes were identified by the three groups, which are presented in Appendix C - Research Topics. Urban concentrations refer to relatively dense human settlement patterns and activities, which are almost always associated with urban areas. These areas were identified as posing unique problems for the provision and maintenance of infrastructure because of the density and scale of existing systems and their close proximity to population and economic activity. Renewing systems in urban areas generates issues that are unlike those in less densely settled areas, often requiring unique management and institutional arrangements. 7 Interurban and suburban networks are generally areas of lower density located outside of cities that often pose other problems for infrastructure. Several alternative models were identified to characterize such areas, namely, gradually decreasing density rings focusing on a single urban core (not considered a dominant model any more), undifferentiated sprawl, and a system of specialized nodes placed along an infrastructure network. Infrastructure sustainability transcends geography; that is, the spatial differences that distinguish the first two areas. The focus is rather on the organizational, financial, informational, and managerial approaches needed to maintain infrastructure systems or change them in a planned way over the course of their lifetimes. Sustainability was discussed in terms of four topics: lifecycle engineering, technology investment, performance measures, and project management, as well as the interrelationships among these four topics. Given the interdisciplinary focus, Workshop participants were selected based on their perceived ability to maintain a broad perspective across disciplines, their expertise in a particular discipline related to infrastructure, their representativeness of a wide range of partnerships that would be useful in achieving a successful solution, and the hope for dissemination of the outcomes of the Workshop to the academic and partnership communities. 1.4 RESEARCH TOPICS Topics that focused on integrated research were the major output of the Workshop. Although the discussions were organized into three separate groups, several common themes emerged. Research topics below are presented in a summary form, and are organized very broadly according to those common themes. Institutions and Institutional Processes Finance: Methods are needed to make budget structures and budget cycles flexible enough to incorporate entire life-cycle needs into the design process (including maintenance, renewal and the introduction of new technologies), to incorporate service needs in terms of their tangible and intangible social, economic, and environmental factors, and to encourage a sense of stewardship in the public. A key aspect of this is whether or not the structure of the financing and budgeting process and the design of long-term financing options can be adapted to accommodate such mechanisms. Technology Investment: Ways are needed to encourage financial support and the creation of public/private partnerships for research and development as prerequisites to bring about new technologies that address infrastructure needs. Institutional Arrangements for Decision-making and Service Provision: Important research considerations are the way in which institutional design or redesign objectives achieve an interdisciplinary focus, an understanding of the barriers to implementation, and the nature of the interface between infrastructure and non-infrastructure institutions. Alternative ways of 8 designing institutions to make decisions about new technology investment need to be investigated, including the use of government facilities, university research centers, or private sector entities. An approach is needed that identifies the political aspects of infrastructure decisions which relate to key land use policy and management decisions, such as the suitability of home rule vs. integration via regional management. Issues such as trust in institutions and the differential rates of change in technological, social and cultural systems are important aspects of the research as well. Infrastructure Management: An investigation into the broadening of the traditional design and project management procedures followed by engineers should be undertaken in order to promote the objectives of interdisciplinary and integrated thinking about infrastructure. Methods such as multi-objective decision-making, risk assessment and risk management, value analysis and engineering, and emergency management should be explored as models for interdisciplinary approaches to infrastructure management. A key question is how these processes can address differential and constantly changing needs of the population and at the same time be sensitive to the impact of infrastructure on the human and natural environments. Analytical Frameworks and Data Management Systems Approach: The potential for applying the systems approach to interdisciplinary infrastructure issues and how it should be applied need to be determined. Past experiences with the systems approach may be able to inform its use in infrastructure systems, and these experiences should be identified. The Useful Lifetime of Infrastructure: At the present time, the conceptualization and method of analysis of infrastructure life spans and the values placed upon them are highly variable. Methods are needed to evaluate the social, economic, engineering, scientific and environmental bases for the real and expected lifetimes of different infrastructure facilities, and to integrate them into life-cycle engineering (LCE), which focuses upon a consideration of future needs of facilities into initial design and construction. The feasibility of adapting and clarifying LCE to contribute to integrated infrastructure research needs to be determined. Analytical Frameworks and Capabilities: Analytical methods should be developed that take into account the variability in data types and uncertainty across disciplines. Whether or not models can be adapted to support integrated infrastructure analyses has yet to be determined, along with whether or not different models are needed to address integration for alternative urban settlement patterns. In particular, the capability of existing models to relate geographic patterns of human settlement to infrastructure capacity is an important research topic. Moreover, the extent to which analytical approaches articulate the role of time - the rate of development and the timing of investments - in the infrastructure development process has to be determined. The suitability of supply and demand models for different types and levels of infrastructure services and facilities is another aspect of this issue as well. Databases and Information: Databases are necessary to integrate geographic, substantive, and functional infrastructure contexts into technological concerns. Techniques have to be found to develop a selection process for such information for specific purposes that is acceptable to the 9 users and managers of the databases and that is easily implemented. The management of these databases in a way that allows for acquisition, access and sharing of information is a critical aspect of the problem. Management structures have to be identified to accomplish these aims. Education Educational programs that use interdisciplinary approaches to infrastructure need to be developed. The ultimate objective should be to reshape traditional thinking in engineering and social science disciplines so that each recognizes and understands the outlook of the other. Ways of identifying these programs and infusing each of these components into traditional approaches to learning and training (i.e., the K-12, university, and professional levels) are needed. Programs should address the education of the public, taking into account public attitudes toward infrastructure. What emerged from this Workshop is a continuing and compelling need for an integrated approach to infrastructure management. Continuing changes in the nature of and trends in population settlements, values and expectations about infrastructure services, and the fit of financial and political institutions with infrastructure responsibilities, are but a few of the conditions that create a need for an integrated perspective. The systems that educate engineers and social scientists must keep pace with these conditions. 1.5 ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT This introductory chapter describes the purpose of the Workshop, how it evolved, and research areas currently being explored. Chapters 2, 3 and 4 address research questions pertaining respectively to infrastructure in urban concentrations, infrastructure and interurban and suburban networks, and the overarching concept of infrastructure sustainability. These three chapters generally incorporate the elements of issues, barriers, and research questions to overcome barriers to integration. Chapter 5 concludes with the direction an integrated infrastructure research agenda might take given existing problems and barriers to overcoming them. Appendices A and B present details on the Workshop process and organization. Appendix C presents major research issues and questions that emerged from the three individual sessions held at the Workshop and insights obtained from the participants’ and observers’ comments. Appendices D and E contain a full list of participants and their backgrounds. Appendix F contains a compilation of the short working papers provided by the participants as background material for the Workshop. REFERENCES Civil Infrastructure Systems Task Group (CISTG), NSF, Civil Infrastructure Systems Research, Workshop Report (Ken Chong, Chair). Washington, DC: National Science Foundation, 1992. 10 Civil Infrastructure Systems Task Group (CISTG), NSF, Civil Infrastructure Systems Research: Strategic Issues. Washington, DC: National Science Foundation, January 1993. Costanza, R., Ecological Economics: The Science and Management of Sustainability. New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 1991. Epple, D., (chair), “Public Infrastructure Research. A Public Infrastructure Research Agenda for the Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences,” Pittsburgh, PA: Carnegie Mellon University, April 1993. Grant, A.A. and A.C. Lemer, eds., In Our Own Backyard - Principles for Effective Improvement of the Nation’s Infrastructure. Report of the National Research Council Building Research Board. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1993. National Council on Public Works Improvement (NCPWI), “Fragile Foundations: A Report on America’s Public Works. Final Report to the President and Congress,” Washington, DC: NCPWI, February 1988. National Research Council, Measuring and Improving Infrastructure Performance, Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1995. National Science Foundation, “Civil Infrastructure Systems. An Integrative Research Program.” Washington, DC: NSF, March 1995. Perry, D.C., ed., Building the Public City. The Politics, Governance, and Finance of Public Infrastructure. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995. 11 CHAPTER 2 URBAN CONCENTRATIONS 2.0 INTRODUCTION The subject of urban concentrations was chosen to emphasize one of the most distinctive characteristics of large cities and their internal concentrations of people, communities, public and private agencies, buildings, transportation arteries, and utilities. Urban space is more often defined by its confinement than its volume, and more likely to be characterized by its crowds than its components. Historical circumstances have led to size and density characteristics that distinguish urban centers from areas that traditionally have had lower densities. Size and density heighten the need to understand the interactions between social and economic forces, physical and environmental conditions, and the facilities and services that make urban activities possible. Urban concentrations establish proximities that influence interactions, and establish both opportunities and limitations that must be explored and clarified to deal effectively with infrastructure. The purpose of this chapter is to identify and describe the most promising research areas related to infrastructure in dense urban areas. The following problem statement and questions provided a preliminary direction to explore interdisciplinary research questions for the urban theme: Problem Statement: The density and scale of infrastructure in urban areas are largely a function of historical developments. The scale and density pose unique problems and constraints for infrastructure management. These problems emerge as a consequence of the greater interferences and interactions that occur among systems and their users. Questions: What are the best approaches to managing, maintaining, improving and building new infrastructure under such crowded conditions? What technologies and mechanisms are most appropriate? How do we create public, private, policy-making, and technical partnerships? Six topics were identified as areas with significant opportunities for research and development. This chapter is therefore divided into six sections, each of which addresses one of the principal research and development topics. The first section concentrates on Infrastructure Management, which deals with the broad issues necessary to set directions and integrate the diverse technical, social, and political factors necessary for improvements in crowded urban communities. The second section is Application of Technology, which concentrates on how to implement existing 12 engineering and scientific knowledge, as well as future advances, given the social, economic, and political context within which this implementation must occur. The third section is Economics, Pricing, and Funding Mechanisms, which deals with the procedures of economic forecasting, investments, and accounting. The fourth section, Partnerships, explores the means of forging interrelationships that cut across institutional and cultural barriers in urban concentrations and provide the foundation for integrated solutions. The fifth section is Education, which examines how enlightenment, knowledge transfer, and training can promote meaningful community participation in urban infrastructure improvement. The sixth section, entitled Pilot Programs and Demonstration Projects, deals with programs that address the community-specific features of infrastructure within urbanized areas and that demonstrate the benefits of many of the research areas identified in this chapter. 2.1 INFRASTRUCTURE MANAGEMENT Infrastructure management covers a broad range of programs that add value to the urban environment, primarily through the integration of technical, political, organizational, cultural, and human issues. In this report, infrastructure management applies to the description of needs and research opportunities that are generic in character and that operate across many different interfaces between infrastructure systems. It covers the management of the goal-formulation process, data management issues, the coordination of rehabilitation, and analytical approaches and techniques that support infrastructure management. Goals Understanding and addressing the social, economic, technical, and political interactions that occur within our cities depends on the goals we are trying to achieve and the way in which these goals are communicated and pursued by the organizations responsible for managing them. To manage, the first order of business must be the establishment of goals. This can be achieved only through multi-disciplinary, multi-agency, and other stakeholder participation. It is not management by committee, but consensus building so that a unified front is presented and maintained throughout the life cycle of all infrastructure investments. It involves the creation of a strategic plan for each community with a systematic approach to goal-setting and structuring incremental implementation programs. A critical starting point is the establishment of national infrastructure goals to provide a framework for community strategic planning. Such an activity could be managed by means of a workshop, series of workshops, or special National Research Council (NRC) study with participants representing many different disciplines, as well as public and private agencies. Both regional and national formats should be considered. Consensus goals would be equivalent to a mission statement, thereby providing a common identity, purpose, and agenda for coordinated research and implementation. 13 Data Management Infrastructure Technologies Clearinghouse There is a need for a technology clearinghouse so that worldwide information about infrastructure technologies can be compiled and made accessible. The clearinghouse should cover experience with the technologies, case histories of their application, and multi-disciplinary information about the socioeconomic, environmental, and institutional aspects of these technologies. Currently, the absence of a single entity that could provide centralized management of information resources and the establishment of procedures for access to existing information are barriers to the development of such a clearinghouse. Research needs to be performed to create a mechanism for inventorying, evaluating, approving, and utilizing the wealth of proven and unproven technologies in the United States and overseas from all sources (universities, laboratories, utility companies, defense, communications and space industries, the manufacturing and materials sectors, robotics, lasers, etc.). Infrastructure Databases The infrastructure assets in this country are monumental. Understanding the components, configuration, and interaction of these assets is critical to our ability to provide and fully utilize the infrastructure required for proper functioning of the urban environment. A major challenge is to develop the integrated technology to collect, assemble, and interpret heterogeneous and disparate data from many different agencies that often are in competition with each other. The objective is to create comprehensive and reliable data acquisition and utilization systems for all aspects of infrastructure from high-level strategic and public policy decision-making to planning and implementing preventative maintenance programs. Data acquisition, retrieval, and their effective applications have been long-standing problems. The conversion to electronic databases in some ways makes the situation worse, since not all electronic databases remain readable as technologies evolve. Research is needed to develop systems that preserve data despite changes in program architectures and hardware characteristics. Data protocols are needed to retain the use of older forms of data as newer ones are developed. There are serious obstacles to data sharing that are socially, economically, and politically based. Deregulation may exacerbate these problems by increasing the proprietary nature of data because of concerns about competition. The barriers to data integration have to be understood. Strategies and programs are needed to show the benefits of data sharing. One way of showing benefits is through the application of forecasting models that require data from diverse sources. Models that merge demographic, economic, and facility inventory databases can be especially helpful in guiding infrastructure investments and identifying coalitions to support physical improvements. Research needs to be conducted to identify the most critical data regarding infrastructure decision-making and to find the most effective means of standardizing data and integrating 14 databases for any geographically or spatially defined area. This is particularly critical for local and regional levels. The appropriate formats, statistics, software, and hardware systems must be explored, as well as longevity issues associated with perishable electronic formats, advances in computer science and telecommunications, and compatibility with future hardware. Integrated Implementation of GIS and Advanced Database Management As discussed in other sections of this report, there is a need for cross-cutting implementation of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and advanced information technologies. One way to satisfy the need is to identify one or several areas within a large city for which a detailed and fully integrated geographical database would be assembled and used for planning and engineering purposes. The database organization would be directed at removing the cultural and interagency barriers to the full exploitation of GIS in urban environments. The database would involve physical infrastructure, including building stock, aerial, surface, and underground transportation systems, water supply, wastewater conveyance, gas, electric power, telecommunications, and other underground structures. The database also would include information on human dimensions, such as population density, age distribution, commercial factors, and household economic statistics. Such an effort would require a true multidisciplinary and integrated approach led by a local university in cooperation with municipal and private sector planners and engineers. The political aspects of the data set and its visualization could also be explored. Such a project or projects would forge university and industry partnerships, and promote cooperation and industrial support that would be likely to continue after completion of the pilot program. Coordinated Infrastructure Rehabilitation Research is needed on how to manage the promotion of urban infrastructure rehabilitation projects that address the needs and priorities of all public and private agencies. Currently, infrastructure renewal is often undertaken by a particular agency without in-depth evaluation or input from other agencies or utilities affected by the construction. A major driver of infrastructure rehabilitation is the repaving and improvement of streets undertaken by local transportation departments. This restoration is rarely coordinated with the need to renovate or replace aging water supply, gas and electric systems, or wastewater conveyance facilities. As a result, infrastructure restoration follows a consistent pattern of restoration to maximize for a single infrastructure system rather than to optimize for all systems affected. This ultimately has detrimental economic consequences for urban residents and businesses who face continuous disruption from multiple street openings. Research needs to be performed on mechanisms to encourage common planning, interaction models that help select procedures with least overall cost, and funding mechanisms for coordinated renovation projects. Prediction of both performance and cost is a key element in successful coordination. Research is also required on how to select the most critical locations and neighborhoods for the coordinated projects. Thus, research is needed to design and manage these coordinated systems. Analytical Approaches to Support Infrastructure Management 15 Decision Sciences Almost all decisions concerning infrastructure are driven by the political process. Accordingly, decision-making must take advantage of a systems approach, recognizing that the urban setting requires a comprehensive understanding of all systems involved. Care must be taken to avoid just adding on another layer, thereby increasing rather than reducing complexity. Lessons from the past use of systems analysis and the need to understand the political context in which systems operate should be taken into account. The use of scenario planning, modeling, and presentation technologies will help improve the decision-making process. Research is needed to reduce the uncertainty (improving the credibility) of demand forecasting and life-cycle cost analysis. Even when not reduced, uncertainties should be characterized and the means (e.g., computer graphics) developed to explain them in diverse venues. Investment decisions should be made on the basis of not only the initial cost of developing infrastructure, but on the cost of maintenance as well. Risk Assessment and Emergency Management Because of the congested nature of urban infrastructure, difficulties experienced with one type of facility frequently influence other facilities. Problems, therefore, can multiply and increase in scale. A systematic review of major infrastructure accidents in New York City (O’Rourke, 1996) has shown that serious problems often can be traced to cast iron water main ruptures. Local failures of this type are accompanied by flooding that may cause fire in electrical substations, erosion of the asbestos coatings of steam lines, undermining of adjacent utilities and foundations, and inundations of tunnels and underground rapid transit stations. Local failure, therefore, may cascade into large and increasingly more complex systems, ultimately involving community power supply and public transportation systems. Managing the interaction of utilities, transportation facilities, and buildings within a crowded urban environment requires advanced risk assessment decision-making tools to avoid severe and potentially catastrophic events. The principles of hazard evaluation and process control management (PCM) are well developed for complex industrial sites (e.g., Center for Chemical Process Safety, 1992), and represent an opportunity for refinements and applications in urban infrastructure management. Procedures of interest include hazard and operability analysis, failure modes and effects analysis, and fault and event tree analyses. Research needs to be conducted on the appropriate adaptation of PCM procedures in conjunction with advanced probabilistic and reliability methods for urban infrastructure systems. The objective is to evaluate the interrelationships among water supply, electric power, natural gas, telecommunications, and transportation facilities for the purpose of identifying potential hazards, forecasting the effects of local failures or accidents on network performance, and locating the most critical areas where the proximity of key utilities carries the highest risk of broader system failure. In this context, GIS is a technology ideally suited for mapping and integrating the spatial and time-dependent interconnectivities of urban systems to create a platform for maintenance, rehabilitation, and emergency preparedness. 16 2.2 APPLICATION OF TECHNOLOGY The diversity of infrastructure agencies and urban communities often creates barriers to technology that are primarily social and political. New technology is needed to address mature engineering and scientific systems that have been blocked from their most effective implementation and to address emerging and future technologies. Life-Extension Technologies Physical infrastructure decisions often involve an evaluation of the four “Rs,” namely replace, repair, retrofit, or retire. In urban environments, the options of replacement and retirement are constrained because of congestion. New construction for replacement involves substantial disruption of streets, adjacent utilities, public access, and local business, especially for underground facilities. The resulting indirect and social costs of replacement are high. Retirement may not be a viable option either, because the concentrated need for services requires that critical facilities be sustained without significant interruption. The options of repair and retrofit are favored in congested urban areas. Accordingly, there is a need for aggressive, imaginative research and development in life-extension technologies that are often unique to these situations. Such technologies involve new materials, relining pipelines in-situ, trenchless construction, advanced condition monitoring, nondestructive testing, and remote detection of underground obstructions and facilities. These technologies are covered in considerable detail in an agenda for research that was developed recently by the National Research Council (Gould and Lemer, 1994). That document should be used as a framework for identifying appropriate research areas that concentrate primarily on the engineering and scientific aspects of these new materials and procedures. An articulation of the social and economic benefits and costs of these options should be incorporated into such research as well. Technology Transfer The challenge for open technology transfer is the compartmentalization that exists in the infrastructure community. The difference between various public agencies as to goals, responsibilities, budget limitations, political position and many other factors, along with the competitive environment surrounding the private sector organizations in the infrastructure community, make technology transfer and sharing extremely difficult. This challenge will be compounded as deregulation, privatization, and shrinking resource allocations continue. There is a realization among the players in civil infrastructure that knowledge is power, so considerable energy is being spent guarding technology and data. Several areas provide opportunities for technology adaptation or transfer to civil infrastructure: • Military technologies - Sophisticated listening technology to help evaluate the condition of utility systems, remote sensing, robotics and remote-control guidance systems all have potentially beneficial applications to urban infrastructure. 17 • Space technologies - The application of materials research and communications technologies could have a positive impact upon infrastructure. The use of innovative materials, especially those that have been tested and proved in aggressive mechanical and chemical aging environments, can also offer significant advantages. • Energy technologies - Developments in both the public and private sector in energy management could have a positive influence on urban infrastructure improvement. Examples of energy technologies include improved combustion, better fuels, and superconducting materials. Developments in co-generation already have had a profound influence on infrastructure. • Foreign technologies - Significant advances in infrastructure technologies in other parts of the world need to be introduced and implemented in the U.S. Frequently, there are social, economic, and institutional barriers to the implementation of new engineering and scientific technologies, especially if they were developed in other countries or in other industrial sectors with different capitalization and user input requirements. Contracting practices, product liability, and environmental regulations may retard or block innovation, and more effective means of circumventing these institutional constraints must be explored. There are also social and political impediments that must be evaluated, such as labor union acceptance, training requirements, educational needs, and trade restrictions. These barriers present challenges for integrated infrastructure research. 2.3 ECONOMICS, PRICING, AND FUNDING MECHANISMS Infrastructure improvement requires investments from both the public and private sectors. To establish a rational and effective framework for such investments, it is necessary to explore and refine the economic basis for establishing the value of infrastructure. Research is needed to clarify and improve our funding, accounting, investment, pricing, and test bedding (or evaluation) mechanisms. Funding Mechanisms Innovative thinking needs to be applied in the area of funding mechanisms. Research should be conducted to identify the best process for establishing a permanent funding source. Such an infrastructure support base might be called an “entitlement” or “improvement” fund that would promote a sense of ownership and responsibility on the part of the public. It would take the form of a mandated or legislated sinking fund, replenished by tax and/or rate base contributions. The Washington State Public Trust Fund (State of Washington, Public Works Board, October 1995) provides a good example of such a program. Case studies of the Washington State and other mandated sources of funding would help illuminate the process leading to their adoption, their advantages and disadvantages, and the degree to which the public has been satisfied with the outcome. 18 Infrastructure Accounting There is no clear source or location in the national budget for infrastructure investments. The value of U.S. private and public infrastructure investment is often quoted within a wide range, and cost statistics vary considerably from source to source, both for line items and aggregate expense. The Bureau of Economic Statistics provides estimates of the national infrastructure cost in terms of depreciated value at current prices. However, the gross, or undepreciated value, may provide a more accurate gauge of the actual replacement cost. Research is required to provide a consistent accounting system, and a means of not only communicating the direct costs of physical infrastructure, but the indirect costs as well. Satellite accounting systems have been developed for environmental costs, and similar systems would be highly beneficial for infrastructure. The accounting systems must be able to combine public and private valuations. Public/Private Investments The infrastructure works best when public and private investments can be combined to leverage capital outlays and secure an environment that both stimulates commercial development and enhances the quality of urban life. Important projects can only be initiated on special occasions, because urban construction costs are so high. Public/private consortia are needed so that the benefits derived from new infrastructure will help pay for its placement. Research is needed to explore interfaces with private capital, and to develop mechanisms for coordinated investments. Fundamental questions need to be addressed, such as how to plan and price infrastructure with enough flexibility to accommodate change and uncertainties in demand. Financing strategies are required to coordinate urban transportation systems with schools, utility services, and commercial development to maintain the economic viability of the communities using the transportation systems. Forecasts of demographic trends need to be coordinated with investments to ensure that the rates of change are not faster than cities can accommodate. Infrastructure development can spark urban regeneration that may not stop demographic trends, but can modify them so that cities evolve from present to future roles productively. Pricing and Productivity Infrastructure costs are dynamic. They are subject to daily and annual fluctuations, which are in turn subject to long-term economic trends. The electric utility industry and many mass transit authorities, for example, set prices according to peak demand. Similar strategies, as well as automated variable metering methodologies to manage peak and low demands, need to be explored for other sectors of the infrastructure. Research is needed to develop a more comprehensive understanding of pricing. Guidance is required for the adaptation of pricing strategies as a function of key technical and social community characteristics. An important component of the cost and pricing of infrastructure is the nature of the productivity of infrastructure services. As the global economy becomes more integrated, demands on local urban productivity increase. This, in turn, raises fundamental questions about the relationships among physical infrastructure, public vs. private ownership, and economic productivity. 19 Research is needed to develop indices, or measurement systems, for productivity and its relationship to infrastructure costs. Developments that make the best use of their human capital base should be encouraged. Test Bedding The means of testing economic and social models for infrastructure improvement need to be refined. One way of accomplishing this is by test bedding, in which an experiment is conducted on a relatively small-scale and controlled basis. Recent economics research has shown test bedding to be an effective means of validating or qualifying economic models and forecasts. Test bedding applied to economic, public support, and funding models is encouraged. 2.4 PARTNERSHIPS It is in the interests of both the private and public sectors to share the responsibility for system enhancement in order to improve civil infrastructure systems. Neither can do it alone. Perhaps the most critical aspect of achieving success with infrastructure problems is establishing working, collaborative partnerships. The need for and the nature of partnerships for infrastructure in urban concentrations is likely to differ from characteristics of partnerships in less dense areas. Partnerships are needed to deal with the complexity of infrastructure by bringing together all affected parties to allocate resources effectively, enhance collective action for problem solving, focus attention on solutions to problems, gain economies of scale, improve technology transfer, and achieve system effectiveness and service quality. Establishing an effective partnership requires a recognition that it will be necessary to work in an interdisciplinary environment involving social, technical, administrative, political, legal, economic, and environmental factors. Partnering requires clear goal definition and a common language. The partners will need to have knowledge of system processes, accept the high transaction costs associated with interdisciplinary activities, be willing to share risks, costs, and benefits, and work to overcome communication problems. Such a partnership will require effective management and leadership that is sensitive to technical, political, organizational, cultural, and human issues. The partnership must yield benefits to the partners, be collaborative rather than merely an exchange relationship, and be flexible enough to allow for the development of interpersonal relationships, organizational learning, and technology transfer. Developing effective partnerships is a significant human systems problem which requires that all participants understand the various elements critical to effective system performance, such as the communication system, decision-making processes, power and authority relationships, and equity issues of who pays and who benefits. There are many barriers to the development of effective partnerships among different organizations managing complex infrastructure systems. An important reason for the barriers is the significant differences that exist between private and public sector organizations involved in civil infrastructure. These include fundamental differences in goals, purposes for existence, cultures, funding and accountability mechanisms, acquisition regulations, human resource management rules and procedures, and competition for power and influence within a community. 20 Substantial work has been done by the business and management communities on organizational behavior that can provide a useful starting point in exploring and improving the organizational relationships associated with infrastructure. Moss Kanter (1994), for example, has identified eight criteria that must be met to establish interorganizational collaboration. They are individual/organizational excellence, importance, interdependence, investment, information, integration, institutionalization, and integrity. Such criteria are relevant for infrastructure partnerships, particularly the criteria pertaining to interdependence, information, and integration. Such criteria provide a framework for developing effective partnerships, and suggest several areas where infrastructure research could have a significant impact. Decision-Making A clear understanding of decision-making is a prerequisite to establishing partnering mechanisms. Research is needed to develop simulation tools, including heuristics, that will help create an overall architecture for civil infrastructure systems based upon partnerships. The decision-making process must include a technically comprehensive understanding of physical infrastructure systems, as well as their functions and interrelationships, the environment (i.e., social, political, economic, legal and managerial), and the processes by which they are built, operated, and maintained. Communication Communication is an obvious and critical aspect of effective partnering and the determination of the feasibility of partnering. Research is needed to develop methods, models, and tools to facilitate communication and to understand the risks, costs, and benefits associated with civil infrastructure systems. Such methods, models, and tools are important in defining system problems, assessing the effectiveness of alternative solutions to the problems, and building support among important stakeholder groups, as well as in facilitating the establishment of common goals. Interrelationships Research is needed to define the knowledge, skills, and attributes required to manage complex civil infrastructure systems efficiently and effectively through partnering. This requires development of knowledge about the roles of the players in the system (private and public), methods of financing, incentives/disincentives for developing stakeholder support, and means to reduce the transaction costs associated with interdisciplinary teams. It also involves an understanding of the political process and its role in determining interactions among players in the system. Research is needed to establish an improved understanding of how the political process determines the acceptable level of service quality (i.e., how tradeoffs are made between risk, cost, and benefit), how uncertainties are incorporated into the public policy debate, and how incentives can be used to develop necessary constituency support and overcome the concerns of blocking coalitions. Deregulation 21 Research is needed to examine the impacts of deregulation on the improvement of productivity and service delivery, reliability and maintainability, how deregulation affects public-private sector relationships, and the potential impact of antitrust laws on collaborative activity. 2.5 EDUCATION In simple terms, infrastructure may be thought of as the property and services we share in common. It is somewhat contradictory, therefore, that the public at-large rarely regards its ownership of these properties and services either as a unifying or governing principle. Infrastructure is taken for granted, and most often it is regarded as an entitlement. People expect services to be provided with little perception of the complexity, costs, and political interactions associated with them. The notion of ownership implies responsibility, which in turn requires an understanding of the importance, physical characteristics, and the political support mechanisms to sustain and improve common property and services. The tension between ownership and entitlement underscores one of the most basic and pervasive needs for improving civil infrastructure systems, namely a strategy and implementation plan for educating the public. K-12 Education Perhaps the most successful way to change public awareness is to focus on the education of children. For example, there has been notable success in primary school education with regard to one of the critical urban infrastructure problems - that of solid waste management through recycling. Many U.S. children are now taught in school about the importance of recycling. They, in turn, help promote recycling procedures and awareness at home, thereby involving and educating their families. Significant opportunities exist for developing primary school programs and educational tools to create a more adequate understanding of the infrastructure. The work needs to be interdisciplinary so that the appropriate technical parameters are conveyed in a way that is easy to comprehend and that stimulates interest. Teaching programs need to be developed from collaborations among educators, scientists, engineers, sociologists, and psychologists. Interactive computer graphics would help with visualization and provide opportunities for selfdirected learning. Community awareness and a sense of responsibility could be promoted by field trips to water treatment plants, power plants, recycling centers, bridges, tunnels, historic buildings, and construction sites. The Role of Telecommunications in Education Public education will be transformed in the next generation by advances in telecommunications. Telecommunications are actually a type of infrastructure. As such, they not only serve as a medium for conveying information and images about other infrastructure, but as an illustration of the systems that comprise our built and virtual environments. 22 Innovative, even radical thinking needs to focus on how to utilize telecommunications to promote more accurate and accessible information about our physical and political systems. Collaborations of social and political scientists, public works specialists, engineers from all engineering disciplines, and multi-media experts are necessary to establish an intellectual core for public education that utilizes advanced telecommunications for more effective visualization of infrastructure complexity, size, and interrelationships. Research is needed on how to form collaborations among different specialists and institutions to promote the effective use of telecommunications in the educational process. Cross-Education of Utilities One of the barriers to technological implementation is that most cities are served by several different utilities that compete for the same space, but do not commonly exchange information and do not share common corporate or cultural reward systems. There is virtually no lateral development of technology; most technological advances are vertical within a particular utility group. For example, a gas or telephone company will develop and apply a new life-extension technology. Because there are barriers to information interchange, the life-extension technology is not used to reduce construction disruption related to work performed by the other utilities. As a consequence, the benefits of the technology are constrained and may not be realized because there is no lateral integration among the other companies. One way to reduce the barriers is by cross-educational programs using seminars and workshops in which several different utilities in the same city present the engineering methods and materials they have developed. Creating a formal mechanism for sharing information promotes the dissemination of new technology and provides a better understanding of common problems. The educational programs could be organized by local universities, which would provide expertise in education, engineering, science, social, and economic disciplines to stimulate the exchange of information among utilities. Information trading could occur in areas such as life-extension technology, construction procedures, computerized mapping, database management, and community interactions. These educational programs would be directed at a work force comprised of managers, engineers, and representatives of labor. To provide for educational coverage that extends to the street level, creative and fresh thinking must be applied to promote both lateral integration of technology across different utilities and vertical integration within the work force of each individual company. 2.6 PILOT PROGRAMS AND DEMONSTRATION PROJECTS One of the distinctive features of infrastructure is its local and community-specific character. A recent study conducted by the National Research Council (Grant and Lemer, 1993) emphasized that infrastructure is built and operated locally, and that change must begin at the local level. New mechanisms have to be developed to promote a dialogue and foster education in the work place and among communities. Strategies are needed to remove the institutional barriers to multi-disciplinary cooperation as well as to promote the adoption and implementation of advanced technologies. An important part of an integrated approach is to develop creative pilot 23 programs. These would be implemented at specific urban sites, in which different parts of the public and private sectors engage in the promotion of advanced technologies and demonstrate that such programs are not only successful, but can stimulate the adoption of similar programs elsewhere. Potential pilot programs could focus on improved use of GIS, advanced database management, decision support systems for social and technological problems, and community participation in setting local infrastructure goals. REFERENCES Center for Chemical Process Safety, Guidelines for Hazard Evaluation Procedures, 2nd Ed. New York, NY: American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 1992. Moss Kanter, R., “Collaborative Advantage: The Art of Alliances,” Harvard Business Review, July-Aug. 1994. Grant, A.A. and A.C. Lemer, eds., In Our Own Backyard - Principles for Effective Improvement of the Nation’s Infrastructure. Report of the National Research Council Building Research Board. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1993. Gould, J.P. and A.C. Lemer, eds., Toward Infrastructure Improvement: An Agenda for Research. Report of the National Research Council Building Research Board. Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 1994. O’Rourke, T.D., “Prospectus for Lifelines and Infrastructure Research,” The Art and Science of Structural Engineering. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1996. Pp. 37-40. State of Washington, Public Works Board. “Legislative Report: 1996 Loan Priorities of the Public Works Trust Fund.” Olympia, WA: State of Washington, October 1995. 24 CHAPTER 3 INFRASTRUCTURE AND INTERURBAN AND SUBURBAN NETWORKS 3.0 INTRODUCTION The theme of “Infrastructure and Interurban and Suburban Networks” was interpreted to refer to infrastructure systems suitable for low density and sprawling suburban areas and their associated conditions, and the approaches that may be effective in these areas. It was assumed that infrastructure issues relating to these areas recognizably overlap with those pertaining to urban concentrations. Nevertheless, addressing similar problems at different geographic scales is likely to reinforce many of the issues addressed in the Workshop. The initial “mission statement” was the following: Infrastructure networks connect suburbs to cities, cities to other cities, and suburbs to one another. Suburban/exurban area populations often exceed urban populations, are often growing at a faster rate, and are characterized by lower densities. The political and institutional issues of these areas differ from those of urban areas, requiring unique coordinative mechanisms such as regionalization. These conditions present infrastructure problems and invoke processes that differ from problems of urban areas, associated with more extensive distributional issues for services and facilities. In addition, if these processes are not understood and managed appropriately, these areas could experience infrastructure problems of the intensity and scale that urban areas have experienced. The issue of integrated infrastructure research in less dense urban areas was approached, first, by means of characterizing the spatial and temporal dimensions of growth patterns and trends in those areas and the various aspects of integration that could potentially apply. Then, the relationship of these patterns to the demand and supply of infrastructure and models used to conceptualize demand and supply was explored as a basis for articulating research topics. Demand and supply issues are particularly salient in less dense areas for several reasons. First, new building construction is likely to occur at first without any change to existing infrastructure; that is, existing capacity, if it is available, is absorbed within a short time. Second, areas of lower density tend to have relatively fewer restrictions on development than more dense urban concentrations. Thus, market mechanisms are likely to be relatively more important in determining supply and demand relationships under these circumstances than in denser areas. The emphasis was to focus on the larger picture, however, and to seek issues that could benefit from further exploration, rather than to define precise case studies and identify specific failings in the infrastructure field. 25 While the mission of the Workshop did not extend beyond the U.S., conditions prevailing in developing countries were recognized as useful in shedding some additional light on infrastructure development choices, convertibility, and appropriate technology in the U.S. 3.1 BASIC CONDITIONS Basic conditions of interurban and suburban networks frame how one analyzes infrastructure. Two of the conditions that address the overarching issues of infrastructure development are the space and time dimensions of American cities as they change from the patterns of the early 20th century and move into the 21st century, propelled by economic, social, political, and technological forces. The third is integration - the general theme of the Workshop - which can be interpreted in many ways with respect to less dense areas. Its relevance to the infrastructure debate depends upon which dimension is adopted. Spatial Structure The spatial structure of metropolitan areas shapes and is shaped by infrastructure. The structure of many metropolitan areas is in the process of changing (or has changed already). The traditional model is that of single-core oriented infrastructure systems, and may no longer accurately portray today’s metropolitan areas. The traditional metropolitan areas - not to mention compact historical cities - are turning into “urban fields” overlaid with service networks. The recent past and emerging conditions of urbanized settlements suggest several future spatial scenarios: A. The Monocenter/multipurpose/core-oriented structure with concentric development having progressively lower density is the traditional construct that does not really exist any more, except as a historical remnant. The universal accessibility provided by the automobile and the electronic communications revolution have doomed this pattern. B. Undifferentiated sprawl that devours the landscape and results in very low-density development is extremely difficult and expensive to service. Much of this exists, but its continued growth should be minimized, controlled or managed, depending upon the development policy. The overwhelming majority of residents in these areas like this pattern very much. C. Networks of nodes and special activity districts appear to be the current trend. Such networks respond to contemporary and future locational forces. The nodes are edge cities, strip commercial developments, shopping centers, office parks, university campuses, medical centers, amusement parks, etc., rather than fully developed urban cores. This pattern might be unavoidable and may be the best alternative given that this pattern allows some organization and clustering. Infrastructure systems serving these areas would have to be reformed in a fundamental way as well. D. Combination of patterns would prevail for some time, of course, as the general transition to networks with nodes takes place. 26 Which infrastructure patterns should emerge depends upon which scenario one assumes will arise. If Scenario C dominates, then a series of implications for infrastructure provision should prevail. For example: • If dispersal continues, individual stand-alone systems become feasible and appropriate. • If the nodes are strong enough, organized communal transportation systems may be possible, but probably only between nodes. • If low-density residential areas persist and expand, the dependency of people on the private automobile to get to jobs and shops will have to be considered, and the consequences of this dependency on mobility and congestion will need to be studied. Research Needs: • What factors influence the outcome of each scenario? • Which scenario will dominate future small and large American urban settlements, and under what conditions? Which models can be used to address this question? • What are the overall (policy) and specific (programmatic) infrastructure development implications associated with each scenario? These issues are basic to everything that follows. Unless they are clarified, planning may occur for the wrong systems, for the wrong needs, at the wrong time, or within the wrong urban environment. Time Frame The time frame within which infrastructure development and utilization takes place is an important dimension. It is of particular concern today when many events and considerations become accelerated. A fluid and changing situation prevails in the spatial and demographic sectors of American cities. Even such considerations as whether districts grow by natural increase or in-migration have a significant impact on infrastructure planning and management. Rapidly changing needs and expectations, which are also reflected in changing norms and standards, have to be contrasted with a basic rigidity, fixed character, and long useful life of infrastructure facilities. Systems over 100 years old (brick sewers in New York City, for example) are not unusual. Most facilities are difficult to modify: only their collapse typically initiates significant and responsive modifications. Forecasting of specific needs to identify when and how fast a particular settlement pattern will emerge is not particularly reliable. It is difficult to predict all of the features that determine 27 infrastructure designs, such as future spatial patterns, demographic composition and population distribution, life styles and service demands, and technological capabilities. Given uncertainty about the future, a most desirable characteristic of systems should be flexibility. Under an ideal situation, services should be adaptable and easy to modify. The nature of the fixed physical plant, however, does not allow this to happen easily. There are exceptions. The electric power industry has been quite successful in responding to changing needs within the last few decades. The communications industry has coped with major and continuing changes by successively scrapping previous systems and replacing them with new technology. The concerns of adaptability also extend to buildings and their interior service systems. Office functions, in particular, seek “smart” buildings, thereby threatening to leave behind as obsolete a very large building stock. There are, however, specialists who believe that effective conversions can be achieved. Similar reuse or abandonment issues arise in connection with office, retail, and industrial buildings of an earlier era. Research Needs: • Appropriate methods for forecasting needs, expectations, and demands need to be identified and applied in the infrastructure field-based in part upon the rate and pattern of development. • Concepts of flexibility, adaptability, and easy replacement need to be explored with respect to specific infrastructure systems in order to accommodate uncertainty. Integration Integration is almost always seen as a desirable feature. It is a powerful term in our society, and it is repeatedly said that infrastructure systems should be integrated. But beyond the conceptual level, what exactly should be integrated, at what stage, to what degree, for what purpose, and with what expected results? These are critical questions for infrastructure development. Traditionally, infrastructure systems were built and managed separately (except perhaps for public transportation systems). This seems to work, but probably a price is paid in inefficiency. There is not much of a grassroots demand for far-reaching reforms in this sector. In general, there are few plans for long-range needs. Although the concept of integration was introduced in Section 1.1, a number of types or levels of integration are important to consider and reiterate in the context of less dense urban areas. These are the following: A. Geographic. This aspect of integration refers to infrastructure systems of each type that are fully connected, covering large territories. Presumably, efficiencies of scale and responsive operational management would be achieved. The best current examples are electric power grids and regional rail systems. The overall principle is fine, except that there are some caveats. 28 Local problems may cascade into large crashes because everything is interconnected; large size may not be the most effective approach in some instances. B. Functional. This type of integration (for example, combining several different utilities or services into a single unit) is not easy. Within transportation infrastructure, functional integration is easier to accomplish than between utilities and transportation, and among utilities. What does a water supply system, for example, have in common functionally with a transportation network? There are some possibilities, however. Garbage can be burned to generate power, for example. Facilities can enhance one another: in the City of Phoenix a solid-waste transfer station was integrated with an environmental education center - both support one another. In addition, the most obvious possibility may be the simple utilization of a common right-of-way, which might be advanced to the level of providing joint-use utility tunnels. This is integration at least in the sense of physical proximity. As in the case of geographic integration above, functional integration may occur at the expense of overall system safety and make failures far more catastrophic. C. Information and Knowledge Exchange. Information and knowledge should be exchanged among systems, even with each agency maintaining its current administrative independence. This effort can be guided through voluntary cooperation, to make sure that conflicts and dangerous situations are avoided and that operations do not disrupt each other. The advantage is that information about social and economic issues could be integrated with technical engineering considerations for infrastructure. D. Integrated Management. This may be a theoretical utopia, difficult to consider within the current political situation. There may also be antitrust implications. However, this concept is something to think about. E. Conceptual. Infrastructure considerations should be integrated into the overall thinking and planning about how people live, allocate resources, and develop communities. Thus, integration applies conceptually to the most basic aspects of society, including how economic development and land use can be integrated with infrastructure. Service needs and capabilities are basic issues, and should not be added as an afterthought once everything else is decided. Research Needs: • Exactly how inefficient are our segregated systems? To what extent is this a problem in light of what is realistically possible, that is, combining large, complex systems that already exist? • What level of integration is specifically appropriate in different types of communities and urban situations? How far do we want to go with integration? • What mechanisms should be developed or enhanced to achieve desirable organization? 29 3.2 DEMAND ISSUES AND CHARACTERISTICS Introduction Demand for infrastructure services is determined by population size and character, consumption patterns, and features of supply. The provision of such services is influenced strongly by the spatial structure of metropolitan areas, among other factors, particularly as experienced in expanding suburban territories. The integrative factors applicable to infrastructure demand in suburban markets differ from those applicable to urban markets. In less dense areas, individuals can rely upon their own individual systems rather than larger shared networks. As such, one sees a disintegration of infrastructure systems rather than an integration. In the electric power industry, for example, new technologies are reinforcing this pattern of disintegration through the creation of mini-power plants, solar power, etc., distributed in many different places rather than through large transmission lines from central power plants. A number of factors, described below, potentially influence the demand for infrastructure in interurban and suburban network areas. These include cost, technology (e.g., electronic communications, which facilitate telecommuting), and deregulation of infrastructure systems (e.g., electric and gas utilities). Cost and Demand The cost of infrastructure service provision in American cities and the price levied are significant factors that potentially influence demand. There are debates about how costs are defined, and in particular, what the true cost vs. the actual charges are and the role of subsidies. However, the role of cost in determining demand is usually considered important, though exactly how important and under what circumstances, is often debated. We are a wasteful society, even though the exact level of excess consumption and “leakage” of various types is not accurately known. A certain quality of service is expected, and the response has to be fully satisfactory; however, in most instances consumption does not appear to be constrained by price. There are problems with measuring the exact demand, but cost factors currently do not enter into the discussion regarding some infrastructure systems - they do not affect consumer behavior, since they are not priced to do so. This suggests that services have been and are seen as easily affordable. This is in part due to the fact that the costs of infrastructure are not internalized into its price. One physical result is spatial dispersal, with inherent inefficiency. Reliability, timeliness, and instantaneous quality response dominate the pricing criteria for facilities. Subsidies are involved in some instances (highways, reportedly), but the true amounts and their consequences are not fully documented. It is not clear how these subsidies should be evaluated, and whether or not they serve a useful social purpose. The long-range implications are threatening if services are not valued and priced according to full cost considerations. That should include space consumption, possible environmental degradation, and other secondary effects. (Long Island, New York , for example, is experiencing 30 constraints on its economic future due to unmanageable traffic congestion and depletion of its ground water table.) Maintenance considerations are also not adequately included in the decision-making sequence that prices infrastructure. It might also be suggested that by tightening up the level of infrastructure charges, a more efficient (and higher density) development pattern would eventually be achieved. Research Needs: • To what extent would charges affect consumer demand for infrastructure? • Are there subsidies? Who provides them and to what extent? Do they influence demand? • What are the true or societal costs for various infrastructure services? Are all or most items accounted for? • Should questions about whether or not costs are reflected in prices and whether prices influence demand be addressed if users can afford these services and few complaints are heard? Other Factors Influencing Demand Infrastructure demand may be influenced by factors other than cost. Many argue that when the cost of infrastructure is small relative to available income and/or the cost of living, that cost is not a significant factor in determining demand. Other factors such as social and cultural issues may be more significant, along with perceptions of the quality of the service, including its reliability, whether consumers understand the price, how the costs are distributed, whether or not the service is regarded as a public necessity, overriding preferences for where people want to live, and the spatial distribution of facilities relative to the spatial distribution of demand. Research Needs: • Non-price oriented factors influencing demand should be identified. 3.3 SUPPLY ISSUES Introduction Supply responses are still dominated by systems that follow the traditional formats for infrastructure supply and provide the same service levels in largely the same way. Within lowdensity suburban districts, geographic integration vs. stand-alone services are becoming important concerns. Maintaining historical configurations for networks of infrastructure facilities when other parameters are changing is also continually being questioned. 31 Three issues were discussed with respect to infrastructure supply: (1) the diversity of infrastructure supply networks and the impacts of such diversity on the integration decision, (2) the valuation of infrastructure supply, and (3) the evaluation of infrastructure’s return on investment. Diversity of Infrastructure Supply Networks Suburban communities and communities linked through interurban infrastructure networks are diverse in age and physical condition, size and spatial structure, political and institutional jurisdiction, management protocols, and degree of systematic land-use controls and development planning. The proven and emerging technologies for provision of infrastructure services are also diverse, ranging from large, centralized distribution systems, to small, modular, and self-contained single-unit alternatives. These technologies differ, often considerably, in cost-per-unit of service provided, effectiveness in providing service, maintenance requirements, technical expertise required to install and maintain, and length of effective service life. Making good selections of technologies for the provision of infrastructure services within or among suburban communities, and decisions about the maintenance of those systems have thus become complex endeavors, even for those communities with experienced technical personnel. For most small communities, such decisions may be overwhelming. The availability of proven guidelines for the selection of infrastructure service technologies could return enormous benefits of efficiency to communities across the country. Research Needs: • Under what conditions, and for what technologies, is integrated provision of infrastructure services superior to separate services? Effective Valuation of Civil Infrastructure Supply Individuals responsible for scheduling maintenance projects, contracting, etc. are in need of methodologies that can enable them to address complex logistical problems such as setting priorities for projects across multiple infrastructure sectors (roads, bridges, various support facilities, etc.), assuring equity in provision of infrastructure maintenance, identifying the best repair/rehabilitation technology for a particular infrastructure distress, anticipating potential conditions of infrastructure failure, and providing overall resource management. The goal of most decisionmakers in managing this process is to achieve the greatest overall improvement in infrastructure condition within the constraints imposed by limited resources. Yet, a clear and consistent framework for monitoring infrastructure condition and the consistent values and goals that underly such a framework is generally not available. For instance, a framework based on the current value of infrastructure investment would be a valuable tool at the project programming level, as well as for use by governmental administrations and other institutions responsible for infrastructure planning and investment. This dynamic infrastructure “balance sheet” would consist of extensive infrastructure inventories such as those commonly 32 being developed using geographic information systems (GIS), condition-assessment models for various infrastructure elements, and appropriate economic valuation functions. The integration of these components into an effective decision support system that provides clear and consistent infrastructure value profiles would be of significant use to infrastructure decision-makers and managers. It might help mitigate problems of consistency in infrastructure management in the face of local political changes. Research Needs: • How can the value of in-place infrastructure be determined properly and monitored in such a way that rehabilitation/repair decisions result in the most efficient use of available resources through multiple planning periods? Evaluation of Infrastructure’s Return on Investment Economic information on the return from an investment in infrastructure should be an important element in decisions about infrastructure investments. Arguments for repair, replacement, or improvement of bridges or for new bridges are often couched in terms of the number of bridges in need of repair or traffic delays caused by inadequate bridge structures. The economic losses from delays or hazards and the economic gains from improvement are rarely stated because the means to estimate these losses or gains are inadequately developed. An argument can be made for infrastructure improvements, individually as well as in aggregate, by stating the returns on infrastructure investments that incorporate intangible benefits. Hence, the development of methodologies to estimate the economic return on investment in infrastructure comprehensively is a potential area for research. Such methodologies ought to be developed by teams composed of both engineers and economists because of the need for knowledge from both disciplines. Research Needs: • How can the rate of return on infrastructure investment be determined by interdisciplinary teams in a way that will improve decisions about future investment? Robust Decision-Making for Infrastructure Supply New investments in infrastructure supply are predicated on existing and projected demands for service, but projected demands for power, water supply, and for traffic of all sorts have much uncertainty. Growth in metropolitan areas is subject not only to economic conditions, but to other investment decisions, including private decisions on housing districts, shopping centers, and industrial developments that are not known in advance. The local use of the automobile may be subject to some policy decisions as well as the price of gasoline. Research is needed to provide methodologies for robust infrastructure decision-making about supply; that is, for decisions that do well under many scenarios of demand growth and regional development and that do not fail to satisfy demand under extreme circumstances. Disciplinary areas that can contribute to the creation of such methodologies are numerous and include 33 systems analysis and operations research, regional science and planning, micro-economics, mathematics, and statistics. Research Needs: • How can decision-making about infrastructure supply be made more robust in the face of uncertain information and constantly changing social, demographic, and economic conditions? 3.4 MODELS FOR SUPPLY AND DEMAND (including data needs) Limitations of Current Supply and Demand Modeling Models of supply and/or demand, so critical to the analysis of infrastructure investment, must be made relevant to the concerns of decisionmakers and their customers (markets). Current models, based upon concepts of expanded highway supply, developed in the 1960s and refined ever since, do not necessarily reflect today’s concerns with new infrastructure development. Current demand models are based primarily on minimizing user costs under relatively simple conditions: mainly the relative costs of competing modes. Supply models come into play in response to network assignment, again based upon user costs. Supply models seldom serve as mode-choice constraints, and provide little on the dynamics of choice needed to evaluate new approaches (e.g., Intelligent Transportation Systems) toward meeting user needs under complicated travel scenarios. For example, use of real-time variable message signs must assist in convincing someone to park at a remote lot and take commuter rail. How can we plan for the success of such a system? Current models are not up to the task. Data and variables are missing that describe choices made by the new generation of users, and including choices influenced by the type of trip and activity, comfort of their vehicle, and knowledge of transit, its connections, and reliability. This is only one of a number of complex examples deriving demand from changing patterns of work, shopping, individual and household activities, substitutes for travel, and rapidly changing land use and energy costs. A new generation of models, developed through interdisciplinary efforts, is necessary to address both the new “intelligent” infrastructure, new model characteristics, and new cultures of the consumers. Research Needs: • What are the new structural forms for transportation infrastructure supply and demand models, and how do they appropriately reflect the complexities of new demographics, changing patterns and needs of travel, and new “intelligent” model characteristics? • How can supply/demand investment models be formulated and presented for public and decisionmaker review and input? • What academic disciplines must be involved to develop and teach new models, and what levels of support, including utilization of new data sources, will be necessary? 34 • As technology changes the demand for certain infrastructure, what models (or enhancements) are needed for infrastructure planning and demand prediction? • What factors influence the integration (or disintegration) of civil infrastructure? • Is the prediction of the maintenance and sustainability of infrastructure supply linked to demand prediction, and if so, how? Participatory Modeling Successful participatory modeling exercises in general, and those aimed at improving infrastructure related decision-making in particular, have been largely ad hoc in nature. While significant benefits from using these models have been documented, they are traditionally expensive and time-consuming to develop, often requiring extensive location-specific data, and they are almost always configured to reflect unique jurisdictional relationships. Model design and development do not consider the need to adapt the model to other decision-making scenarios. As a result, the transfer of such technologies to different decision-making settings (different communities, different sectors, etc.) is rarely attempted, and even more rarely evaluated in any systemic fashion. Yet the benefits from doing so could be significant. Furthermore, such technology transfer is important for promoting further modeling innovation of this kind. Research Needs: • How can innovative participatory modeling technologies aid the design and development of effective infrastructure management strategies? • How can new modeling technologies be used to enhance communication among and between infrastructure stakeholders having different constituencies? • How can successful participatory modeling technologies be developed to be used in settings, and to address problems for which they were not originally developed? 3.5 INSTITUTIONAL CONCERNS Success in implementation of infrastructure systems -- as always -- depends very much on the institutional mechanisms available. There appears to be a serious schism between the types of organizations responsible for utility services and the regular bodies of government. Definition and Nature of Infrastructure Institutions The integrated management of U.S. infrastructure is essential to our nation’s economic, environmental, and social well-being. Infrastructure is more than a physical phenomenon. 35 Infrastructure is “animated” through institutions. Our ability to preserve, expand, and integrate civil infrastructure depends upon cooperation among a wide variety of infrastructure planning and management institutions. By “institutions” we mean what Hass, Keohane and Levy (1993: pp. 4-5) have characterized as persistent and connected sets of rules and practices that prescribe behavioral roles, constrain activity, and shape expectations. They may take the form of bureaucratic organizations, regimes, or conventions and other informal practices. It is convenient to use the word “institutions” to cover both organizations and rules, since clusters of rules are typically linked to organizations, and it is often difficult to disentangle their effects. Institutions can be characterized in terms of numerous empirical factors, all of which impact their ability to interact and coordinate. Analysis of institutions can be informed with concepts and methods drawn from political science, sociology, and anthropology. A profound skepticism taints public perceptions of existing political and economic institutions whether concerned with infrastructure or other issues. It is an article of conventional wisdom that government agencies tend to over-regulate and over-spend, creating a dual burden on American society. Politicians and bureaucrats are seen as lacking the appropriate incentives for problem solving; indeed, they are viewed as subject to perverse, election-cycle thinking that leads to aggravation of social issues requiring a long term perspective. In addition, politicians and infrastructure agencies too frequently opt for large, single-purpose projects with questionable cost/benefit justification. Coordination among infrastructure agencies is viewed as weak. There is obviously great need to characterize better the actions and motivations of institutions that manage and plan our national infrastructure. This need to understand is complicated by the fact that infrastructure management and planning institutions (IMPI) display a great deal of empirical and historical variation. IMPIs can range in size from national to local; some are governmental, some quasi-public, and some strictly private. Some IMPIs respond to a legislated mission, others are driven by juridical imprimatur, and still others by executive or profit-based dictates. Other variables that influence how an IMPI will operate and interact with other organizations include: • • • • • • • • leadership type/leadership term geographic scope scope and specificity of mission legal status charter tradition/mandate for public participation financing and operating capital (appropriations, taxes, fees, etc.) stakeholder demographics organizational structure Research Needs: 36 A comparative inventory, or taxonomy, of infrastructure institutions will help provide a database relevant to the study of infrastructure institutions. The inventory would categorize specific organizations in terms of the variables mentioned above, as well as other factors pertinent to the management and planning of infrastructure in the U.S. Some major research questions which begin to address a more coordinated and integrated approach to civil infrastructure renewal and development include the following: • How do infrastructure institutions interact with each other and with applicable political institutions? How can these relationships be improved? • How do infrastructure organizations interact with other, “non-infrastructure” institutions, such as the finance and insurance industries? • How will the current environment of political deregulation impact the goal of improved integration and coordination of infrastructure institutions? • What kinds of mechanisms/organizations can be used to mediate and encourage collaboration between infrastructure institutions? Infrastructure Agencies and Institutions: Regional Services vs. Home Rule For a number of reasons, infrastructure systems historically have developed their own administrative/managerial systems, which quite frequently are not only different but also separate from the regular, elected bodies of state and local governments. Agencies responsible for infrastructure service delivery include regional boards, public utility companies, state departments of transportation, municipal line departments, special purpose districts, and even private companies under contract. They range from very large to very small, and in many cases the institutional mechanisms have been improvised or developed ad hoc to be able to deal with actual problems. Is this a problem? Should the arrangements be streamlined or fixed? Perhaps not: if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. However, if the situation is not broken, it is certainly not elegant and is probably much less than efficient. This becomes particularly bothersome if one looks at the regular government structure, within which, presumably, all public actions should fit. The specific issue is home rule, carefully protected by local communities, which maintains that land-use decisions are the exclusive prerogative of local government. Since infrastructure ultimately does nothing except serve land uses, a high level of two-way cooperation and coordination has to be expected. This does not always happen - why should it, when the power base is so sharply separated? Research Needs: 37 • How can the home-rule situation be made compatible with the need to integrate infrastructure across jurisdictions and disciplines? • What are the appropriate managerial organizations for various infrastructure systems and for adopting a multi-system approach to infrastructure management? • Is there any reasonable chance to reform or modify basic institutional structures (amendment of the U.S. Constitution) to be more integrative functionally and geographically, for example? The Role of Total Quality Management (TQM) in Public Infrastructure Institutions Unlike private businesses, institutions (especially public institutions) charged with the responsibility for construction, maintenance, and operation of infrastructure face constraints which inhibit the effective performance of infrastructure. Public institutions have attempted to institute TQM principles into the management of infrastructure. Working together, public- and private-sector managers have identified three critical areas that inhibit full implementation of TQM in the public sector: (1) human resource systems, (2) contracting and procurement regulations, and (3) financial constraints and controls. These factors inhibit agencies from functioning in a performance-based environment. Different governmental agencies have different controls in these areas and several states have implemented performance-based budgeting (e.g., Texas and Oregon). Research Needs: • What are the best practices in these three areas that allow public agencies to operate in the TQM environment and still protect the public interest? • Has performance-based budgeting improved the quality of infrastructure? • How did the political environment come to authorizing changes that allowed the implementation of TQM (who gave up control?) and how has the political process adapted to the changes? • What steps are necessary to implement TQM and performance-based budgeting in the public sector? Institutional Models: A Case-Study Approach to Fragmented (Isolated) Infrastructure Decision-making While there are more examples of fragmented development of infrastructure in the United States, there are many good examples of political organizations and institutions that have been established for the purpose of integrated infrastructure planning and development. The issue is 38 how valuable a case-study approach is to research in the area of infrastructure development and renewal. An integrated approach to decision-making is critical to the future of the nation’s infrastructure. The high cost of renewing aging infrastructure in the older eastern cities and suburbs demands a better approach to joint and integrated development. Certainly the type of fragmented infrastructure planning and development that is used in most of the country cannot continue. While the traditional technical research is also still important, the economic advantages of integrated planning, joint use of facilities and right of way, and joint development are obvious. Research in this area to develop institutional models in a better way is a critical need of the country. Institutional models of integrated approaches to infrastructure renewal are numerous and highly variable. The examples range from a county in Pennsylvania where there are almost 400 separate boards, commissions, and other governing bodies that are all involved in some type of infrastructure management, to the “Baltimore Committee,” which directed the complete rebuilding of the City’s infrastructure. In California, the legislature established 41 local Councils of Government (COGs) in the 1970s for the purpose of creating some semblance of integrated planning and controlled infrastructure development. These COGs cross all political boundaries, and they deal with all types of development (primarily, but not exclusively, transportation). These institutions are organized around regions that have common interests and problems. Represented by officials from the various cities, counties, and public works agencies, they have jurisdiction over most development and transportation improvements. Most of these COGs have appropriate staff to conduct research and provide recommendations to the governing boards. While this may not be a perfect solution, it is a beginning for integrated infrastructure development and renewal. Such solutions as transportation corridors, where both rail, highway, and communications facilities are included in common rights-of-way, have evolved as a result of this type of planning. Research Needs: • Given the many examples of integrated infrastructure development and renewal throughout the country, can a comprehensive case-study research project that investigates and evaluates the various models in use today be a valuable contribution to an integrated research agenda? Institutional Models: A Management Approach to Fragmented (Isolated) Infrastructure Decision-making Infrastructure decision-making is typically fragmented. Individuals who are responsible for one infrastructure sector are often not aware of decisions being made by individuals in other sectors. Frequently, separate, possibly redundant, databases of infrastructure inventories are maintained, further hindering the opportunity for effective communication and synergistic decision-making. The result is often an inability to find optimal management solutions. 39 There is a need to develop comprehensive infrastructure decision support systems that facilitate both vertically and horizontally within agencies - communication among and between different decision-making entities. Strategies for the most effective use of limited resources must be identified and championed within responsible institutions. Research Needs: • How can existing fragmented infrastructure entities be most effectively integrated? • How can multiple infrastructure jurisdictions better identify management solutions that reflect synergistic benefits rather than those resulting from compromise? Institutional Models: Collaborative Decision-making Collaborative decision-making mechanisms and institutional interaction mechanisms based on past successes and failures need to be the focus of NSF’s integrated infrastructure research agenda. Collaborative decision-making mechanisms for infrastructure issues are partly but not fully understood at present. Many case studies have already been documented (in reports by the National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council, and others) of infrastructure projects that either have been judged as relative successes or relative failures, along with some discussion as to the underlying reasons for the outcomes that occurred. However, these reasons have not been sufficiently catalogued and examined in an intellectually rigorous fashion in terms of casual relationships and dynamic responses. Linked to this issue is a clear accounting of benefits and costs for each involved stakeholder group. Finally, there is a need to establish clearly the value of all of the various partnerships available through these case studies. The range of both partner categories and partnering mechanisms (formal and informal) is very large. The partnering dynamics involved in any large-scale project usually are a prime driver toward success or failure. Few of these dynamics are currently clearly understood. Research Needs: • What are the most important causal relationships among various institutions that would determine infrastructure project success or failure? • What are the most important partnering dynamics within a major infrastructure project, and to what extent can we quantitatively define the importance of these dynamics for project success? • How precise can we be in using “case study” style reasoning from prior infrastructure projects to determine future outcomes? What are the most important limits to the case study approach? 40 3.6 EDUCATION New types of educational initiatives may have to be undertaken to enhance basic, long-term research on infrastructure issues; these vary in financing need, scope, and degree of innovation. Financial Need for Educational Initiatives Research funding to address the educational needs for an integrated infrastructure perspective should be long-term, and consist of two-to-five-year grants, for example. The grants should be sizable; at least, $150,000/year per research project. Creating basic educational programs demands more funding from different sources. Two possible sources of additional funding are interested foundations and the private sector. In order to encourage researchers to submit applications for the funding of educational programs, the application process has to be simplified. New ways should be found to submit grant proposals so that researchers spend less time and money to write a full proposal. (In Europe, some funds are given to key research establishments with known track records.) Scope of Integrated Infrastructure Education Ways are needed to include more young people in learning about infrastructure. Creative means are needed for working with K-12 students, undergraduate and graduate students, and local community groups. Researchers might be drawn from the following: • business analysts to study markets and international finance and financing of projects; • economists to examine alternative sources of infrastructure funding from local, state, and federal government (public finance); • engineers to develop and test alternative technologies; • planners to study the relationship between industrial development, regional restructuring, and infrastructure provision; • political scientists to study the relevant role of state and alternative governance mechanisms; • sociologists to look at who is being served by infrastructure; and • telecommunication specialists to determine potential trade-offs between infrastructure and telecommunications. 41 Types of New Educational Initiatives Student interns should be funded to work on a major project in several key sites around the country (Note: local communities might be willing to help fund the interns). These interns could include high school and university students. The effort should involve a long-term approach to the sites. Three or more research centers should be established with a focus on infrastructure of the future. Individual researchers should also be funded (given above caveats about financing these projects): some should focus on the different types of issues raised above and some should mainly deal with issues of the future. Universities should collaborate to sponsor workshops on specific issues, conducting specific types of research, etc. FURTHER READING American Planning Association, Integrated Transportation and Land Use. Chicago, IL: APA, 1994. Bamburger, R.J., et al., Infrastructure Support for Economic Development. Planning Advisory Service, Report Number 390. Washington, DC: American Planning Association, 1985. Barnett, J., The Fractured Metropolis. New York, NY: Harper Collins, 1995. Brevard, J.H., Capital Facilities Planning: A Tactical Approach. Washington, DC: Planners Press, 1985. Congress of the United States, Budget Office, New Directions for the Nation’s Public Works. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1988. Dewberry & Davis, Land Development Handbook. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 1996. Grant, A.A. and A.C. Lemer, eds., In Our Own Backyard: Principles for Effective Improvement of the Nation’s Infrastructure. Report of the Building Research Board of the National Research Council. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1993. Guyer, J.P., ed., Infrastructure for Urban Growth. Proceedings of the Specialty Conference of the American Society of Civil Engineers. New York, NY: ASCE, 1985. Hass, P., R. Keohane and M. Levy, Institutions for Earth: Sources of Effective Environmental Protection. London and Cambridge: MIT Press, 1993. Kunstler, J., The Geography of Nowhere. New York, NY: Simon and Schuster, 1993. 42 Stough, R.R., “Infrastructure and Interurban and Suburban Networks,” Workshop presentation. Washington, DC: George Mason University, Center for Regional Analysis, The Institute of Public Policy, June 15, 1996. The New York Building Congress, Building New York City for the 21st Century. New York, NY: The NY Building Congress, 1991. 43 CHAPTER 4 INFRASTRUCTURE SUSTAINABILITY 4.0 INTRODUCTION This chapter outlines the most promising interdisciplinary research topics related to sustaining the economic, political, and physical viability of infrastructure systems over and beyond their design lifetimes. This theme is addressed in terms of four topics: Life-Cycle Engineering, Technology Investment, Performance Measures, and Project Management. The four topics overlap and cut across some of the findings and recommendations from the two preceding chapters on urban concentrations and interurban and suburban networks, but the particular focus of this undertaking is how these relate to sustaining infrastructure systems regardless of their geographic location. The following problem statement and questions provide a framework for the infrastructure sustainability theme and the four main topics identified above. Problem Statement: Infrastructure sustainability refers to the ability to maintain infrastructure systems at some desired level of performance or to change their performance at some desired rate and direction. Moreover, the human and natural resources required to sustain these systems should be considered, and system capacities should not be exceeded. Current policies, statutes and incentives work against mechanisms and incentives for sustainability. Questions: What policies, incentives, finance mechanisms, and industry structures are needed to facilitate life-cycle management and the introduction of new technologies? How do we sustain the life-cycle performance of infrastructure efficiently and cost effectively while meeting social, economic, and environmental expectations? How can the four topics in this section - Life-Cycle Engineering, Technology Investment, Performance Measures, and Project Management - best reinforce one another to improve overall lifetime delivered value? Though the four topics are treated separately, they are interrelated. Life-cycle engineering (LCE) is the more encompassing topic from the standpoint of sustainability, and each of the other three concepts - technology investment, performance measures, and project management are all critical aspects of LCE. For example: 44 • Technology Investment. There is a critical need to find innovative approaches for technology investment at every point in the life-cycle of infrastructure systems. In other words, research and the funding to support it are needed to develop more durable materials, better monitoring and diagnostic techniques, better designs, and more rational methods for determining design safety factors throughout the lifetime of infrastructure. Without these new technologies, sustainability is harder and more costly to achieve. Moreover, the funding sources for these technology investments over the course of an infrastructure system’s lifetime are often not well-integrated. • Performance Measures. Life-cycle engineering requires performance measures that are supported by monitoring of the physical state of the system over time and changing public expectations for system use, capacity and performance. • Project Management. The growing sophistication of infrastructure systems, especially if viewed in a life-cycle perspective, places new demands on the professional standards and methodologies of project management. Some of these demands pertain to how best to identify, prioritize, and satisfy a broad set of requirements (including technical and useroriented requirements) early during initial design and construction phases of the life of a system. Others pertain to coordinating and rationalizing stakeholder interests and factoring these into project management methods throughout the infrastructure's lifetime. Each of these topics as well as their interrelationships provides a rich ground for interdisciplinary research. 4.1 LIFE-CYCLE ENGINEERING (LCE) LCE refers to an engineering process that incorporates into design the “true costs” of construction, operation, maintenance, renewal, and any other requirements over the expected lifetime of the facility. LCE encompasses not only initial design and construction but also the five Rs over an infrastructure's lifetime: repair, rehabilitation, reconstruction, retirement, and removal. Issues identified for needed research and development (R&D) in support of LCE are given below under the headings Design Methodology, Cost Estimation, Preventive Strategies, Forecasting Change, and Knowledge Base. Design Methodology The future benefit and cost of the construction or reconstruction of infrastructure is largely determined by the initial choices made in the design phase. These choices often fail to incorporate numerous factors, and in particular, those pertaining to LCE. Experience shows that traditional linear models of design fail to account for important considerations concerning future use and impact of infrastructure systems. Life-cycle objectives, political considerations, the impact of system ownership, and the interrelationships among these 45 factors must be understood at the earliest stages of design development in order to improve infrastructure projects and provide support for infrastructure managers. How should one take these factors into account in developing design strategies, and how best should these factors be considered and reconciled in design reviews? System safety can be an important aspect of the lifetime of a facility, and is often determined at the design stage. Knowledge obtained through the use of computer-aided software tools and advanced testing methods is often being used to reduce design safety factors beyond what has been historical practice. However, when safety factors are reduced in this way, low-probability failures are often overlooked which can lead to catastrophic events. Such failures erode public confidence in engineering practices and the use of new technologies. Are there more rational methods for determining safety factors that take into account structural design, testing, and the probabilities and risks of failure? An initial stumbling block in LCE is determining the appropriate lifespan of an infrastructure system. This decision is made either implicitly or explicitly during design. While a definite lifetime can be assigned to some systems based on economic decision-making, the lifespan of some systems is indefinite, either because of the prohibitive costs of abandonment or replacement, or in some cases the high cost of capital. Moreover, for many infrastructure systems, strategies that maximize the lifetime of a facility do not account for the fact that a long lifetime may not always be desirable. For example, there is often a trade-off between permanence and flexibility. The more permanent the facility is, the more inflexible it is when functions and uses change, and the inflexibility of long-lasting structures becomes a serious impediment to change. How should the appropriate lifespan of an infrastructure system be decided? How can flexibility and renewal be incorporated into the life-cycle concept? “Concurrent engineering” is a growing practice in manufacturing industries that integrates manufacturing, reliability, and recycling considerations into the initial product design. This practice has overcome some of the “over-the-transom” bottlenecks that have extended lead time and total production costs or have added to the consumer cost of ownership or society's cost of disposal. What new design methodologies will accommodate the design of infrastructure systems for maintainability, renewal, and recycling? How can these tools best be tailored for collaborative use when design, construction, operation, and maintenance roles are separate functions? Cost Estimation While LCE is a relatively new practice in infrastructure investment and management, it still lacks a systematic approach to the estimation of “true costs” over the entire lifetime of an infrastructure facility or system. The following strong deterrents currently impede cost estimation within an LCE framework: (a) incentives and statutory restrictions often favor “leastfirst-cost” contracting; (b) new capital projects are often favored politically over maintenance or rebuild projects; and (c) stretched budgets generally preclude field inspections, favor corrective over preventive maintenance, and foster the use of minimal specifications for materials and structures. 46 Initial capital costs are usually given a priority over other investment considerations. Even though operation and maintenance costs may be evaluated and projected, accountability for the estimates that result is often weak because of inadequate political support for infrastructure maintenance and renewal. To what extent are user costs and benefits, which fully reflect operation and maintenance costs, factored into the life-cycle of an infrastructure system? How should one weigh costs and benefits, both from political and user perspectives? What are the key variables? A related issue is the need for engineers to acquire a good understanding of financial management and to have a stronger grasp of economic decision-making to include the time value of money, comparative analysis of costs, depreciation methods, and benefit-cost analysis. How do we train engineers in the basic concepts and methods of financial management, not only to estimate and control costs but also to communicate costs more effectively to the public? Prevention Strategies LCE can be viewed as a tool for advancing preventive strategies (versus corrective and reactive strategies). The rationale for preventive strategies is very strong; however, to be effective these strategies must be supported by performance measures, monitoring and diagnostic tools, improved work-scheduling methods, and information technology tools. Since decisionmakers respond more readily to demonstration than advocacy, there is also a need for compelling evidence that preventive approaches are more cost-effective and yield better results than corrective approaches. What case studies exist or could be undertaken that could provide evidence for the benefits of preventive strategies that overcome institutional and political barriers to confronting these needs? The interrelationships between the quality of an infrastructure system and its lifetime also bear on selecting appropriate operation and maintenance strategies. Quality often includes both tangible and intangible factors depending on social usage patterns and expectations. How much is known about these factors and how can a model to integrate them be developed? Forecasting and Managing Change While physical infrastructure systems may not change perceptibly over short time periods, the services they provide may change substantially when usage patterns are altered due to the introduction of new technologies and changing consumer preferences. How can these potential changes be better accommodated by “designed-in” flexibilities or modularities? What means can be developed to alter use during infrastructure lifetimes within a fixed structural framework? In order to best employ LCE methods to manage change, it is first necessary to anticipate and understand how the social, economic, political, and cultural spheres impact infrastructure. While such considerations add complexity to planning and decision-making, over time the results of this approach would greatly enhance the value of LCE approaches. What are some useful tools for both predicting such changes and analyzing trends? What models from statistics and mathematics can be applied to changes in the context of infrastructure? 47 Knowledge Base Because LCE has a relatively short history, the knowledge base concerning its uses and experiences is relatively thin and largely unknown. Industrial case studies are needed to improve the teaching of LCE methods in the universities. Research is needed to interrelate experience to practice, to determine which practices are best, and to analyze possible impacts of new technologies - especially information technologies. What is the appropriate curriculum for educating engineers in life-cycle methods and how can this curriculum be adapted for the continuing education of practicing engineers? Can industry offer role models to assist in this education process? What is the role of LCE in providing a creative framework for research and development and the generation of incentives for integrating innovative renewal technologies and monitoring systems at the design and construction stages? Synopsis: Limitations and Advantages of Using LCE The following important limitations to the concept of LCE exist within each of the five areas above, and should be kept in mind in shaping a research agenda: (a) integrated design practices and software tools needed to support design for reliability and sustainability are lacking; (b) lifecycle cost estimates are often too uncertain to be useful; (c) management and contracting practices do not generally encourage partnerships, alliances, or innovative “design-buildoperate” approaches that are a critical basis for preventive strategies; (d) forecasting future changes in infrastructure use and capacity is fraught with complexity and uncertainty, since social, economic, and political factors impose potentially conflicting requirements. An overriding consideration is the need for better communications with the general public and with policy and decision-makers concerning infrastructure performance, use, degradation, obsolescence, and costs; and (e) effective LCE practices critically depend on the quality and breadth of our knowledge base concerning the “state of the practice,” performance measures, and the applicability of emerging technologies and associated risks. While the barriers and current limitations of LCE for infrastructure design, construction, and management become increasingly evident, the potential impact and advantages of this approach on current engineering and management practices have not yet been sufficiently explored. While the topics above address the issue of how to improve the functioning of infrastructure design and operations, there is a great need for research to understand why LCE is so important. The need for and the limitations of LCE need to be evaluated along with their practical consequences for current practice and procurement processes. What is the current state of LCE practice? What incentives do the various infrastructure stakeholders have for LCE deployment and how can LCE provide a productive framework for evaluating, promoting, and developing public-private partnerships for infrastructure investments? Once agreed to, what institutional policies and contractual frameworks can be developed to provide incentives for and enforce accountability in infrastructure life-cycle management? How can LCE be used to evaluate our current infrastructure engineering and management practices, specifically with regard to the design of alternative systems for maintainability vs. replacement in the urban environment? 48 4.2 TECHNOLOGY INVESTMENT In most sectors of our economy, new technologies are bringing about reductions in lead time, greater productivity, and improvements in quality and reliability. Since the construction industry is one of the largest industries in the U.S., even small gains would bring about enormous economic benefits. However, there is a dearth of financial support for promising infrastructure technologies. Public sector funds are shrinking and private sector investments in R&D generally constitute less than one percent of revenues. Industry fragmentation, which disperses risks, and a lack of incentives are working against the adoption of new technologies. While advances in materials science and engineering promise greater performance and innovation in the construction industry, dynamic predictive models for degradation rates under simulated-use environments are lacking and there are no accepted measurement techniques. There is a general need for modern facilities to test models and prototypes of new structures using new materials and instrumentation technologies under simulated-use environments. Issues identified for needed R&D are organized below under the headings Incentives, Organization and Process, Dissemination, and Education. Incentives There is a general lack of understanding of how system ownership, contextual factors, investment timing, and sectorial emphases motivate and create incentives for R&D investments. How, for example, does timing and the speed with which the incentive system operates affect how new technologies are introduced in infrastructure systems in the U.S.? In what ways do life-cycle costing methods introduce barriers to new technology? Risk-sharing is considered vital to increasing R&D investments. Greater industry integration by means of mergers and acquisitions, partnerships and alliances, and supportive contracting practices is a useful way to aggregate risks, increase incentives for R&D investment, and stimulate the establishment of risk-sharing pools for that purpose. However, understanding the impacts of system ownership (e.g., privatization or public-private partnership) and management strategies (e.g., preventive versus corrective maintenance) on R&D investments and monitoring the relationships among key participants in the innovation process are essential. How can these relationships be modeled? What types of cooperative risk-sharing instruments and set-aside funds for increasing R&D investment would be advantageous and acceptable? What are the incentives for and barriers to introducing innovative technologies into engineering, performance monitoring, and construction practice? What are the roles and potential benefits of university collaboration with industry and government in research, technological developments, feasibility assessment and demonstration, and technology transfer? What are the implications of such collaboration for putting technology into practice? Better assessment tools that take into account human productivity and well-being, energy savings, and environmental benefits are needed to determine the returns on R&D investments. These, by necessity, would involve measurements of both tangible and intangible returns and the equating of these returns against a broader set of goals than has historically been practiced. How should these 49 goals and assessment tools be developed? What impacts might they have in the development of performance- versus consensus-based standards in the industry? What has been the return on research, development, and demonstration investments and what is the effect of investments in technology on infrastructure engineering, management, construction, and maintenance practices? Organization and Process New investments are required not only for physical R&D facilities devoted to infrastructure technologies but also their related “software” and “org(anization)ware.” New partnerships among federal, state, industry and university researchers could leverage both financial and intellectual capital within the R&D enterprise. There is a need for “test beds” to both demonstrate and lower the risks of adapting and integrating new technologies in infrastructure systems. To what extent can government facilities or engineering research centers at universities provide the role of prequalifying and pre-approving new technologies to minimize their risk and facilitate their adoption? What impacts could new information technologies have on infrastructure? What new peer review institutions are needed to evaluate promising designs and construction concepts, in addition to their benefits and risks? What consortia among technology providers and users are needed to set the strategic directions for research? Organizational procedures and practices, particularly in governmental institutions, frequently inhibit innovation and the introduction of innovative practices. The barriers to innovation include the attitudes and functional narrowness of many managers and, professionals and organizational cultures that are resistant to change. Can better forms of contracting induce industry to invest in technological and process innovation? Can better procurement processes that incorporate stakeholders’ perspectives from throughout the system (e.g. construction and user representatives) increase innovation? Are there case studies that would offer models for improving organizational receptivity to innovation? Dissemination Since many technological innovations in structural design and construction occur at local, state, and regional levels, the dissemination of new design concepts, databases, and construction practices is challenging. It is here, especially, that the use of new information technologies that facilitate concurrent engineering, data management, and telecommunications could pay high dividends. What information infrastructure is needed to disseminate best practices and share information? What knowledge-based system is needed to document experiences and benefits in the implementation of new technologies? Since the public is wary about technological promises, how should such information be presented? There is a need for researchers to identify potential users of their research results early in the R&D process. This would not only help in building partnerships for R&D support but also for the ultimate transfer of R&D results to practice. What is the current extent of interaction among potential users and providers of R&D results? How best can these linkages be broadened and strengthened? 50 Education Programs and centers for interdisciplinary research on infrastructure are underrepresented at the nation’s top research universities. NSF’s commitment to greater investments in this area is a welcome departure from the past. There is a need now to anticipate how the results from this research will find their way into new course and curriculum developments in schools of engineering, architecture, and management, among others. In particular, how will the results from both disciplinary and interdisciplinary research be integrated to benefit educational programs in infrastructure systems design, construction, and operations? What new programs for entry-level and continuing education will spring from these R&D investments? How will important elements from the social, behavioral, and economic sciences be integrated into these educational programs? What roles and responsibilities will principal investigators and center directors have as they carry out these purposes? 4.3 PERFORMANCE MEASURES Performance measures are needed to support LCE, evaluation of technological investments, and project management. Such measures provide a mechanism to evaluate whether or not infrastructure sustainability goals and objectives are being met. Agencies only recently have begun to track the performance of various infrastructure systems. However, performance-related information is often difficult and costly to obtain, especially over time, and when it is available it is often ignored in decision-making processes. The consequences of a poorly designed or implemented program of performance measures are many: (a) interrelationships among components and systems are not well understood, (b) the attributes of a system or facility that may affect future performance are not well defined, (c) needs and opportunities for new technologies to improve system performance are not fully appreciated, and (d) potential cost savings and productivity enhancements are not being achieved. Issues identified for needed R&D are given below under the headings: Performance Definition, Institutional Use, and Technological Impacts. Performance Definition The concept of performance as it is applied to both customer needs and the decision-making process requires better understanding. The definition of performance combines public interests and concerns with infrastructure output and technical elements of the system. It also links customer use of infrastructure with customer willingness-to-pay for it as well as infrastructure targets that can be practically achieved within cost and time limits. It is also important to define “performance” at various levels to include component, sub-system, and system levels. If performance measures are inadequate, they can misrepresent the system and the evaluation of that system against goals and objectives. What are the best measures of performance in terms of desired outputs? How do you optimize performance where there are non-aligned “stakeholders” with different objectives? What techniques are available to help bridge stakeholder differences when this becomes a key obstacle to 51 using performance-based approaches? What are the interrelationships between performance from an engineering and structural standpoint and from the user standpoint? Institutional Use It is important to understand institutional impediments to performance-based management in the development and operation of infrastructure systems. These mainly consist of organizational structures, processes, and cultures that are inflexible to change. Inflexibilities also exist in contracting, financial controls, and means for service delivery. In most instances, performancebased improvement initiatives must be carried down to the project level, where much infrastructure work is performed and delivered. What institutional changes are needed to make performance management an effective basis for infrastructure development and operations? What are the chief obstacles to successful implementation of performance-based management and budgeting? What does experience offer by way of guidance in developing successful models for using performance measurement? Ideally, decision-making processes concerning infrastructure systems should be extended to consider such factors as user’s time, pollution, and various externalities that affect public interests. For example, the ability to measure public time savings as a function of performance could provide a basis for pricing services to optimize resource availability. Effective infrastructure management must also integrate concerns about reliability, ease of repair, and safety in order to fulfill commitments to maintenance and repair. Unfortunately, such factors are often difficult to measure or predict. Which time-dependent models are feasible for predicting the factors that are critical to performance? To what extent could non-destructive condition monitoring and accelerated testing techniques support these predictive models? Technological Impacts It is important to understand the benefits of technology for interpreting public concerns and expectations and enhancing the collection, evaluation, and translation of relevant performance data. Emerging information technologies should facilitate improved methods for satisfying demand, differentiating services, and charging for these services on a more rational basis. How can such technologies contribute added value to infrastructure services through the collection of more meaningful data? What synergies are possible with high-bandwidth systems involving internet and interactive video? Technological advances in “smart” materials that have internal sensors, actuators and microprocessors could pave the way to self-monitoring and self-diagnosing structures for future infrastructure systems. What early “demonstration test beds” would enable an evaluation of these technologies for infrastructure applications? 4.4 PROJECT MANAGEMENT In order for the concept of integration of different disciplines to work for infrastructure, it has to work at every level. Once projects are planned and selected, project management becomes the tool 52 by which infrastructure facilities and services are implemented. Thus, a critical research issue is the extent to which integration occurs within the project management function. Project management pertains to single projects that provide public services. Conflicting, uncoordinated functions are common to even a single project. Municipal agencies often routinely scope and design projects at the least short-term cost to themselves. Project phases are rarely wellintegrated, and providers of services often limit their concerns to their own systems and optimize them at the expense of the projects of other organizations. These practices can lead to protracted delivery time, added costs to tax payers and rate payers, suboptimized systems, increased numbers of interferences, and added construction and maintenance costs by other operators. There is a need for systems that are more comprehensively conceptualized and modeled. The task of such systems would be to improve coordination, align the objectives of key internal and external players, share data, resolve stakeholder concerns, and reduce uncertainties and ambiguities. Complex projects are difficult to achieve under the best of circumstances. Project designs that incorporate life-cycle engineering, new technologies, and more comprehensive performance measures will have to incorporate techniques of planning and implementation that solve critical problems of coordination, incentives, data definition, information flows, control and feedback. Opportunities abound for learning about effective project management practices. For example, the Department of Defense, the military departments, and their defense contractors have refined project and system management practices over many years. Studying and adapting to better methods developed elsewhere could bring dramatic improvements and be a rich source of ideas. Issues identified for needed R&D are given below under the headings: Contracting, New Tools, and Education. Contracting Changing performance demands on government agencies have produced momentum for improving project management by means of contracting practices. Innovative methods are needed to provide incentives for improving project management practices, reducing product delivery schedules, and increasing collaborative efforts among contractors and their subcontractors and between municipal agencies and utilities. What case studies might be developed that would elucidate the benefits of improved project management and innovative contracting practices? What contracting practices are available that can achieve the desired performance outcomes while maintaining necessary requirements for accountability and control? New Tools The information age has brought into the marketplace many new computer-aided tools for project management. For example, computer programs are available for three-dimensional scheduling, real-time project monitoring, and interactive work planning and scheduling. Virtual reality offers a powerful means for project managers to visualize a complex project at different stages of construction and conceptualize potential bottlenecks and interferences. How might advanced, commercially available computer tools benefit project managers engaged in 53 infrastructure design and construction? advantageous to this community? What other advanced tools would be especially Education The technical, management, and communication demands placed on project managers today extend far beyond their professional education. Many are unprepared to perform at a high level in a multi-disciplinary and multi-functional organization or to communicate effectively with the press or public at-large. Yet these are growing demands in the profession. Successful performance in this rapidly changing environment requires new skills and new ways of thinking. What university curricula can be developed that will provide an in-depth education in required technical and management skills? Do educational programs currently exist that would be ideal for practicing project managers? How can training in public communication skills be best integrated into such programs? 4.5 CONCLUSIONS The concept of infrastructure sustainability appeared only recently in engineering. This concept conveys the importance of new thinking and new approaches for an era where land-use pressures in a heavily built environment fundamentally alter the premises for designing, maintaining, and renewing infrastructure systems. Infrastructure sustainability comprises all of the ways for taking into account future value, use, and impact of infrastructure systems. Research needed to advance this idea has been examined under four headings: LCE, technology investment, performance measures, and project management. LCE expands the scope and vision of current models used in designing, costing, and managing infrastructure systems in a manner that is more integrated. Systematic research needs to explore how the structural relationships, assumptions, incentives, and practices sustain the current system, and what changes are needed to put LCE into practice. New technology and the investment practices that bring it into being represent two of the most promising means for achieving the vision of sustainable infrastructure. Progress toward this end is held back, in part, as a result of insufficient knowledge of the relationship between investment decisions and the structure of current incentives. Research is needed to fill this gap, especially in the area of risk-sharing, R&D process, and dissemination. Research into performance measures and project management are key to infrastructure sustainability. Performance measures are essential to sustainable infrastructure for two reasons. First, in integrated systems, real-time feedback (both technical and operational) is crucial to performance management. Second, effective evaluation is required to maintain support for infrastructure systems. Currently, superficial measures of performance used for most infrastructure systems are inadequate. Better project management is equally important, since the development and renewal of infrastructure is project-based. New knowledge developed in LCE, technology, and performance must be reflected at the project level in order for the new vision to 54 be achieved. This will require new forms of planning and coordination and represents an important area of research in the era of sustainable infrastructure. Abstracting from the four organizing themes of this chapter, four important issues relating to infrastructure sustainability emerge that deserve the attention of the research community, especially university research communities. These are: (1) the high potential leverage that the use of advanced information technologies creates, (2) the need for new curricula to better prepare engineers and project managers for a rapidly changing and ever-demanding environment, (3) the high potential benefits of sharing best practices and knowledge-based information systems, and (4) the need for changes in organizational structures and practices to achieve technological and performance innovations. While these are not research topics, per se, they have important implications for the “current state of practice,” and need to be addressed in order to carry out joint research and educational programs of research effectively. FURTHER READING Burbridge, R.N.G., ed., Perspectives on Project Management. London, UK: Peregrinus Ltd., 1988. Costanza, R., Ecological Economics: The Science and Management of Sustainability. New York, NY: Columbia University Press, 1991. Dietz, D., “Engineering Sustainable Development,” Mechanical Engineering, Vol. 118 (May 1996), pp. 48-55. Frame, J.D., The New Project Management. San Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass Publishers, 1994. Johnson, M.D., “Life Cycle Management: It’s Already Broken,” Journal of Systems Management (February 1991), pp. 32-37. Marrazzo, E.J., “The Challenge of Sustainable Infrastructure Development,” Environmental Progress, Vol. 15, No. 3 (Fall 1996). 55 CHAPTER 5 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 5.0 INTRODUCTION Infrastructure performs many roles in society, and supports the entire fabric of human settlements and activities. The multiplicity of roles, the diversity of clientele, the large size and expanse of facilities, the levels of investment that typically sustain them, and the ubiquitousness and complexity of infrastructure systems inevitably involve a wide range of disciplines, activities and interest groups. Although progress has been made in a few isolated areas toward the integration of engineering and non-engineering aspects of infrastructure, more is needed in order to maintain a viable infrastructure under changing conditions. Many infrastructure services and facilities that share some operational interdependency are not effectively coordinated or integrated; discontinuities often occur in services and facilities, despite the fact that customer use is continuous. Similarly, the management and academic disciplines that deal with infrastructure technology, services, and impacts are often fragmented. These observations are not new, and are documented in a very extensive literature on infrastructure. Moreover, laws and practices have gone a long way in acknowledging and accommodating the need for interaction. However, since infrastructure demands often continue to outstrip its supply or capacity, we have to regularly revisit the issue. Problems persist and become continually transformed. The parameters of supply and demand continually change, and infrastructure systems are not typically designed or managed to accommodate these changes. The challenge now is to identify what elements need to be integrated, where integration should occur, what the barriers are, and how research can overcome these barriers. 5.1 INTEGRATED INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH: Barriers and Opportunities A number of social, economic, environmental, and technological conditions that underscore the need to address an integrated approach to infrastructure were identified in previous chapters. Some of the more significant observations that emerged from the Workshop are highlighted below. Population and Human Settlement Patterns and Trends The concentration of people and activities in urban areas has generated dense infrastructure systems in very close proximity to one another and to the clients they serve, even in urban areas with declining populations. This proximity often creates disruptive interactions among infrastructure facilities, their environments, and their client base that are often greater than a disruption in any single system would be. This occurs not only when one system breaks down and affects other services but also when construction and repair cycles for different systems are 56 out of sync with one another. In comparison, less urbanized areas are often characterized by highly variable settlement patterns and densities, and differential rates of population growth and development. The synchronization of infrastructure with these patterns and trends creates unique needs for coordination and integration between the engineering aspects of infrastructure development and the socioeconomic context of regional development. Economic and Financial Conditions The level and timing of infrastructure investments are often out of alignment with infrastructure maintenance, renewal, and reuse needs, which are determined by government priority-setting, engineering audits, and public preferences. One reason this occurs is that different, often autonomous institutions are responsible for investment decisions depending on the type and location of infrastructure, and whether it is in the design or construction stage or undergoing maintenance or renewal. Institutions need the capability to identify, assemble, and manage resources over the lifetime of infrastructure facilities and services, yet this capacity is largely absent due to the stratification of management. Institutions Institutions rarely systematically address how infrastructure systems built in the past can meet the needs of a changing population: that is, how to keep infrastructure services current and flexible in spite of the physically and spatially fixed nature of most systems. Institutions also have to balance the interests of competing stakeholders at any given time, and foster a common language among them in order to resolve differences. Integration among institutions is thus of utmost importance. Regardless of the type of geographic area (urban or suburban) or functional concern, similar barriers to integrated research emerge, and the burden of coping falls largely upon planning and management institutions. The results are continuing performance problems, inefficiency, and ad hoc arrangements due to institutions attempting to patch together working relationships. 5.2 DIRECTIONS FOR AN INTEGRATED INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH AGENDA It is clear from the arguments presented above that discontinuities exist among the engineering aspects of infrastructure, the institutions that support it, and the social, economic, and environmental contexts of infrastructure facilities and services. These persist in spite of the considerable progress made in analyzing and modeling system interdependencies and in providing the legislative, administrative, and technical support for many of them. A few key directions for research that particularly target these interdependencies emerged from the Workshop and are summarized below. Goals Although it is almost commonplace to begin a discussion of any controversial or complex issue with a statement about goals, this is a fundamental need. The Workshop implicitly identified a 57 number of goals and continually recognized the need to address goals as a framework for integrating infrastructure research. First, an agreement upon goals and an architecture that flows from those goals are needed, and the architecture must be one that is flexible enough to accommodate feedback and change. Only an overall structural concept can guide what is to be included in an integrated system and what is to be kept separate. Goals can clarify major differences in values and preferences that are best brought to light at the outset. The design of system performance measures, for instance, will greatly depend upon the nature of the goals, and will evolve from them. An example of one goal is the development of policies and financing mechanisms to support sustainable infrastructure. Another is stewardship, that is, the mechanism to promote accountability and responsibility for infrastructure among users or clients. The client orientation of infrastructure services is still another frequently stated concern. Research is needed on how to identify goals, the values upon which they are to be based, and conflicts among them. Research also needs to develop a process to resolve differences where they impede or confuse research, since existing public policy institutions have seldom succeeded in clarifying goals. Many goal conflicts abound regarding the use of infrastructure. One such conflict is the development or renewal of infrastructure for the promotion of citywide or regional economic development versus the promotion of social or community-based needs (such as maintaining environmental integrity, equity, and neighborhood cohesion). The infrastructure solutions for each of these goals can differ unless a process to integrate them into a common framework is developed. Research on the design and effectiveness of these infrastructure systems could make an important contribution. Client Orientation to Infrastructure Services Infrastructure design and performance traditionally have been evaluated according to engineering-economic criteria. Newer management concepts now emphasize the role of the client in infrastructure performance and how the client reacts to, and in some cases, shapes traditional criteria. This orientation needs to be pursued, diffused into infrastructure decisionmaking, and refined to take into account impacted non-user as well as user needs. Most importantly, research is needed to help identify clients and to determine how stable or consistent their stated infrastructure needs are, and how accountable clients are to these preferences. Ultimately, research is needed on the processes that can be developed to reconcile disparities among clients and between clients and infrastructure providers when they arise. Management and Organization of Integrated Infrastructure Components There is an immediate need to apply traditional and state-of-the-art management concepts to the vertical and horizontal integration of the functions and responsibilities of infrastructure institutions. Concepts from management science and organization theory can be used to develop models for institutional redesign that achieve integration. Adaptations of systems theory and multi-objective decision theory can play important roles here, but rules governing which components are included and how much data is needed to sufficiently specify these complex systems are crucial. 58 Research is needed to determine where integration is needed, under what conditions, and how it should be applied. What is particularly noteworthy is that integration is usually applied to discontinuities at the boundaries or points of potential intersection among different types of infrastructure or institutions. A dramatic alteration of the basic structure of institutions to achieve integration is of equal importance. Alignment Problems The issue of the timing of different components for infrastructure development and management so that they are mutually supportive rather than in conflict continuously arises. This issue refers to spatial, temporal, functional, resource-related, and cultural alignment. Some specific issues are how infrastructure investment and budgeting processes can be designed to accommodate lifecycle needs. That is, research is needed on how to make budget cycles and the timing and length of time over which investments apply coincide with when infrastructure improvements have to be made, how long they take, and their lifespan. Another related example is the rapid assembly of resources when and where they are needed to address critical infrastructure issues. Much can be learned from the architecture provided by emergency management frameworks, and how they can be adapted to more long-term needs. Stewardship The public interest stems from the fact that many facilities and services comprising infrastructure are collectively shared. A collective sense of ownership or accountability for infrastructure is needed, which does not exist now in spite of the enormous levels of investment and very substantial aggregate worth of those investments. As a support function or a means to achieve things other than the service it provides, infrastructure rarely has a single public constituency. No single agency or authority in government or industry oversees all of its aspects. Everyone regards infrastructure as important and critical, but its value in terms of quality of life and economic multipliers has not been put in terms that society understands. Infrastructure and related services, in short, are taken for granted. An issue addressed by the Workshop was how to institute a sense of stewardship or accountability as a social and institutional strategy for infrastructure renewal. Thus, an understanding of what infrastructure is, why it is important, and how to communicate that importance is fundamental to any articulation of research needs for infrastructure. Education Education is critical for creating social awareness and responsibility. Significant opportunities exist for developing primary school programs and educational tools to create a more adequate understanding of infrastructure. The work needs to be interdisciplinary so that the appropriate technical parameters are conveyed in a way that is easy to comprehend and that stimulates interest. 59 These educational programs should not only target students, but various publics, decisionmakers, and researchers themselves. Research is needed to identify, shape, and test programs that have the potential to impact both research training and practice. The training of the research teams that embark upon interdisciplinary infrastructure research is a key aspect of the educational process and cannot be taken for granted. It can take many years for researchers from different disciplines and different organizations to work together successfully on interdisciplinary research. Research on the process of adaptation is critical to provide proper guidelines for the functioning of these groups. Such research can, for example, draw upon literature on the determinants of the behavior of experts, and the stability or validity of that behavior, in order to understand the orientations of research team members from different academic traditions, and how these factors could affect the outcome of interdisciplinary research. Research is also needed to develop training programs to enhance the ability of researchers engaged in interdisciplinary research to expand their perspectives on infrastructure issues. Both short-term and long-term educational programs are necessary in order to address the processes needed to change institutions and foster more integrated services and facilities and to bring those changes about. In the short-term, we need to learn how to design, implement, and evaluate an outreach program to help decisionmakers in government achieve a common understanding of infrastructure issues over which they have control. This would enable them to develop a more integral view of infrastructure systems and adopt policies and establish institutions that reflect this view. In the longer term, we need to educate new professionals in infrastructure management so they can respond more intelligently to current and future needs of infrastructure planning, design, construction, operation, maintenance, and renewal. 5.3 CONCLUDING REMARKS This report represents an initiative in the continuing search for approaches and means to improve the functioning of infrastructure systems in the context of increasingly built, interdependent environments. As noted earlier, there is a continuing need to revisit issues, since the social and economic forces that shape the demand for infrastructure and its supporting institutions are in a continual state of flux. In many ways, we are beyond problem-identification, and need research on how to develop the processes to address and manage those problems that require integration and to foster acceptance of and commitment to making such processes a reality. 60 APPENDICES Contents A. The Workshop Process and Organization B. Workshop Summary and List of Workshop Planning Group Members; Workshop Agenda C. Research Topics D. List of Workshop Participants, Speakers, and Observers E. Short Biographies of Workshop Participants F. Research Questions; Short Papers by Participants 61 APPENDIX A. The Workshop Process and Organization The Workshop planning group was assembled in early 1996. The group consisted of the National Science Foundation (NSF) project manager, Dr. Priscilla P. Nelson, who coordinates the Civil Infrastructure Systems (CIS) at NSF, two faculty members from New York University’s Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service who served as Principal Investigator and co-Principal Investigator, three faculty members from the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department of Polytechnic University, and three faculty members from other universities chosen by the National Science Foundation and designated as Workshop co-chairs. The Planning Group designed the Workshop, which was made flexible to accommodate changes in organization and focus, depending upon how it evolved. Thirty-five participants were selected to represent numerous disciplines. The process for the selection of participants involved obtaining lists of potential participants from Workshop Planning Group members and from NSF directorates. The NSF invited observers as well, representing numerous organizations, including principal investigators from current NSF-funded projects in the area of integrated infrastructure research. Prior to the Workshop, participants were asked to prepare short papers, addressing any one of a series of questions developed by the planning group pertaining to infrastructure research needs. Participants were given the opportunity to revise their papers and submit research items after the Workshop concluded, to be incorporated into the Workshop report. These questions and the responses are contained in Appendix F. At the Workshop, participants were randomly assigned to each of the three work groups. The Workshop commenced with presentations by the co-chairs or their representatives - Tom O’Rourke, Roger Stough (substituting for Kingsley Haynes), and Arden Bement - to orient the group to Workshop issues. The groups then met in breakout sessions to review and discuss the material, and decide upon a framework for each group report. The preliminary findings were presented to the entire Workshop by each group in plenary sessions, led by the co-chairs Bement, Grava (substituting for Kingsley Haynes), and O’Rourke. Participants reconvened in breakout groups, and writing assignments for the report were made. A final summary statement was made to the Workshop in a plenary session. After the Workshop concluded, members of each group submitted drafts of their sections to be incorporated with editing and some modification into the Workshop report. The principal investigators along with the co-chairs assembled the group reports and produced the final Workshop document, with input from the rest of the Planning Group members. The draft report was circulated in August to Workshop participants for final input and commentary. A-1 Composition of Workshop Groups Group 1. Urban Concentrations Group 1 consisted of fourteen participants, including two Workshop Planning Group members. Several observers also contributed to the Group 1 deliberations, thereby enriching the content of the discussions and expanding the scope of ideas and concepts covered. Group 1 was chaired by Thomas D. O’Rourke, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Cornell University. In addition to the Chair, the members of Group 1 were: Name Affiliation Participants: Henry L. Michel Luis Suarez-Villa Arthur Kressner Robert M. Schwab Lester B. Lave Anthony J. DiBrita Joel A. Tarr Alan F. Karr John Ramage Geoffrey J.D. Hewings William J. Petak Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas, Inc. University of California (Irvine) Con Edison University of Maryland Carnegie Mellon University Brooklyn Union Gas Carnegie Mellon University National Institute of Statistical Sciences CH2M Hill University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign University of Southern California Planning Group Members: Angelos Protopapas Rae Zimmerman Polytechnic University New York University Observers: Ezra Ehrenkrantz Richard G. Little William A. Wallace New Jersey Institute of Technology National Research Council Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute A-2 Group 2. Infrastructure and Interurban and Suburban Networks Group 2, consisting of eleven participants, was initially organized and lead by Roger R. Stough (first day) who established the basic format. He built upon the work of Kingsley Haynes, a member of the Workshop Planning Group from its inception. Thereafter, the group was chaired by Sigurd Grava of Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas, Inc. and Professor of Planning at Columbia University, who also assumed the responsibility for leading the group throughout the rest of the Workshop and assembling the material at the conclusion of the seminar. The members of Group 2 in addition to the Chair were: Name Affiliation Participants: Hank Courtright Charles Herrick Frannie Humplick Robert Paaswell Joseph Perkowski Henry Peyrebrune Karen Polenske James Roberts Jeff Wright EPRI Princeton Economic Research, Inc. World Bank City University of New York Bechtel Consultant Massachusetts Institute of Technology California Department of Transportation Purdue University Planning Group Members: John Falcocchio Polytechnic University The overall topic was divided into parts and spokespersons were selected for each one. The original organization was slightly modified and resulted in the following organization for the report: Basic conditions Demand issues Supply issues Models Institutional concerns Implications for education - S. Grava H. Courtright J. Wright R. Paaswell, J. Wright C. Herrick, H. Peyrebrune, J. Perkowski, J. Roberts K. Polenske A-3 Group 3. Infrastructure Sustainability The group consisted of fifteen Workshop participants and several observers who contributed valuable insights and suggestions. Group 3 was chaired by Arden Bement, Jr., Basil S. Turner Distinguished Professor of Engineering at Purdue University. The other members of Group 3, in addition to the Chair, were: Name: Affiliation: Participants: Harvey M. Bernstein Nancy Rutledge Connery Thomas W. Eagar Eugene Fasullo John W. Fisher Benjamin F. Hobbs T.R. Lakshamanan Andrew Lemer Dick Netzer Della Roy Martin Wachs Gene Willeke Civil Engineering Research Foundation Consultant Massachusetts Institute of Technology Polytechnic University Lehigh University Johns Hopkins University U.S. Department of Transportation The MATRIX Group New York University Pennsylvania State University University of California, Berkeley Miami University Planning Group Members: Ilan Juran Roy Sparrow Polytechnic University New York University Observers: Richard J. L. Martin Neil Grigg Georgia Tech University Colorado State University A-4 APPENDIX B. Workshop Summary and List of Workshop Planning Group Members; Workshop Agenda WORKSHOP ON INTEGRATED RESEARCH FOR CIVIL INFRASTRUCTURE Summary (as distributed prior to the Workshop) Background and Rationale The nation continues to experience major problems in the performance of its infrastructure in spite of the considerable investment of resources to expand capacity, increase accessibility, and exploit innovative technologies for infrastructure improvement. Some problems can be solved with incremental changes that retain the current specialized and categorical organization of infrastructure endeavors. Others, however, require a broad, sweeping, interdisciplinary perspective. Problems in this latter group may require the interaction of the sciences with engineering to address a materials problem, to identify statistical trends in performance, or to understand the environmental impacts of the design, construction or operation of a facility. Solving these broader problems also often requires the perspective of the social sciences in order to understand the nature of client perceptions and demands with respect to infrastructure performance and the overall social context of these facilities: who they serve and how effectively. Moreover, an understanding of the interaction of human resources and engineered systems is critical to system safety and reliability and involves many disciplines. Finally, all of these situations inevitably involve decision and management sciences to conceptualize the interfaces from a systems perspective in order to understand the problems and provide a framework for intelligent investment decisions. Current practice indicates that the above issues cannot be addressed in an isolated sequential or parallel manner, but rather they need to be analyzed simultaneously as they interconnect and interact with one another. There is a need for new language, concepts, and approaches that can deal with the integrated world of infrastructure, including scientific, technical, social, political, and economic factors. Workshop Objectives or Purpose The overall aim of the Workshop is to provide insights that can be used by the National Science Foundation (NSF) to develop a research agenda and educational programs aimed at exploring interdisciplinary aspects of infrastructure performance that require an integrated perspective. The NSF has held several workshops already, emphasizing approaches to infrastructure issues within various engineering and scientific disciplines. This Workshop builds on these by adopting a cross-disciplinary approach to infrastructure issues. The scope of the Workshop is urban infrastructure, which pertains to services or functions and their associated physical facilities that support social and economic activities in urban areas. In particular, the workshop emphasizes environmental, transportation, and energy infrastructure. B-1 Workshop Process and Format This Workshop will bring together professionals who have been actively involved in the research and operational aspects of urban infrastructure. The Workshop will last about 2-1/2 days. Participants will be asked to address some of the issues the workgroup has targeted as well as raise new issues and present new perspectives. A report will be submitted to the NSF at the conclusion of the workshop. Project Organization: Members of the Workshop Planning Group NSF Program Manager Dr. Priscilla Nelson, Program Director of Geomechanical, Geotechnical and Geo-Environmental Systems and Coordinator of Civil Infrastructure Systems. New York University: Professor Rae Zimmerman, Professor Roy Sparrow Principal Investigator Co-Principal Investigator Phone: (212) 998-7432 Phone: (212) 998-7505 FAX: (212) 995-3890 FAX: (212) 995-3890 E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service New York University 4 Washington Square North New York, NY 10003 Polytechnic University: John Falcocchio, Professor of Transportation Ilan Juran, Professor and Head of the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department Angelos Protopapas, Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering Co-Chairpersons: Group 1: Urban Concentrations Thomas D. O’Rourke, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cornell U. Group 2: Interurban and Suburban Networks* Sigurd Grava, Professor of Planning, Columbia University Kingsley Haynes, Professor of Public Policy, George Mason University Roger Stough, Professor of Public Policy, George Mason University Group 3: Arden Bement, Professor of Engineering, Purdue University NOTE: *Kingsley Haynes was initially the appointed member of the planning working group, and in that capacity, participated in structuring the workshop and Group 2’s presentation. Dr. Haynes was unable to attend the workshop, and Roger Stough gave the initial presentation, and organized the group. Sigurd Grava agreed to assume Group 2’s responsibilities thereafter, including the organization of that group’s report. B-2 Workshop Agenda (Final) WORKSHOP ON INTEGRATED RESEARCH FOR CIVIL INFRASTRUCTURE July 15-17, 1996 Ritz Carlton Hotel (Downtown), Washington, DC This workshop is sponsored by the National Science Foundation MONDAY, July 15 12:00-1:00 1:00-2:30 2:30-2:45 2:45-5:30 6:00-7:00 7:00-9:00 Registration Plenary (Workshop Planning Group Members) Break Three Breakout Groups convene Refreshments and Cash Bar Workshop Participant Dinner (no observers) - Speaker: Dr. Joseph Bordogna, Director of the Directorate for Engineering, NSF TUESDAY, July 16 8-8:30 8:30-9:45 10:00-10:30 10:30-12 12:00-1:30 Breakfast Three Breakout Groups convene (continuation) Break Group #1 Presentation Workshop Participant Lunch (no observers) - Speaker: Mortimer Downey, Assistant Secretary, U.S. Department of Transportation 1:30-3:00 Open Session (observer participation) 3:00-3:15 Break 3:15-4:30 Group #2 Presentation 4:30-5:30 Open Session (observer participation) Dinner on Own WEDNESDAY, July 17 8-8:30 8:30-11:00 11:00-12:00 12:00-1:00 1:00-2:30 Breakfast Group #3 Presentation (with observer participation) Continuation of Breakout Groups: Next Steps; Writing Assignments Plenary Summary Session and Wrap-up Working Group Lunch B-3 EXAMPLES OF INFRASTRUCTURE FACILITIES (excluding associated services) Infrastructure System ELECTRIC POWER Components power generating plants, substations, switchyards, transmission line towers, distribution system equipment, energy control centers, communication systems and equipment, emergency power backup equipment, buildings, emergency operations center, service and maintenance facilities GAS AND LIQUID pipelines, terminals, control systems, communication systems, FUELS pump and compressor stations, storage tanks, refineries (piping, process equipment, control and safety systems), vessels TELECOMMUNICATION switching facilities, cable distribution systems, power supplies, switching and data processing equipment, heating, ventilating and air conditioning equipment, emergency power equipment, buildings, transceiver towers, repeater station facilities TRANSPORTATION Highways pavements, bridges, tunnels, embankments, slopes, avalanche and rock shelters, retaining walls, signal and lighting systems, maintenance facilities Railroads track, bridges, tunnels, embankments, slopes, avalanche and rock shelters, retaining walls, stations, platforms, signal and control systems, freight handling facilities, rolling stock, maintenance facilities Mass Transit elevated track and station structures, bridges, tunnels, subway stations, platforms, rail power, overhead catenary, signal and control systems, rolling stock, maintenance facilities Ports and Waterways wharves, quays, walls, bulkheads, cofferdams, sea bunds, breakwaters, dry docks (with vessel), freight handling facilities, roll-on and roll-off structures, bridges, pavements, aprons, canal locks, terminals, buildings, fuel storage facilities Air Transportation runways, control towers, bridges, embankments, air traffic control Facilities equipment terminals, buildings, passenger loading/unloading bridges, shuttle/mobile lounges, fuel storage facilities, freight handling equipment, signal and control systems, maintenance facilities, air route traffic control centers and associated telecommunication facilities WATER AND SEWER dams and diversion structures, pipelines, tunnels, aqueducts, canals, reservoirs, tanks, wells, pumps, mechanical and electrical equipment, buildings, electric power and emergency back-up equipment Source: Civil Infrastructure Systems Task Group (CISTG), NSF, Civil Infrastructure Systems Research: Strategic Issues. Washington, DC: National Science Foundation, January 1993. Page 9. B-4 APPENDIX C. Research Topics C-1.0 INTRODUCTION The issue of integrated infrastructure research was approached from three different perspectives: infrastructure in urban concentrations, infrastructure in less dense suburban areas, and infrastructure sustainability. Numerous research topics and questions emerged, however, they fell within a number of common categories. These categories were: integrated infrastructure, institutional research (including finance), analytical frameworks and capabilities, and education. The topics listed below are drawn from the previous chapters (sections are identified in parenthesis) where they were discussed, and linked to barriers to integration. The bulleted issues represent the major research questions that were identified in the Workshop. C-1.1 INTEGRATED INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH Integrating infrastructure into the fabric of society was a common Workshop theme; yet, it is well-recognized that a greater understanding is needed of when, how, what to integrate, and where to introduce integration. Thus, the integration concept poses a number of research questions in and of itself (3.1, 3.3): Applicability: • How far should integration go? • What infrastructure systems and geographic areas are amenable to integration and which are not? • How does geography play a role in determining the nature and extent of integration of infrastructure? Effectiveness: • Does integration improve system effectiveness, and if so, under what conditions? • When are integrated services better than separate ones, and what factors determine which option to choose? Kinds of Integration: • What kind of linkages define geographic, functional, institutional, informational, conceptual, and interdisciplinary integration? C-1 • Does the manner in which infrastructure development policies and programs are integrated depend on the kind of land-use pattern, i.e., center city/suburb; undifferentiated sprawl; network of nodes; and combinations of these? Mechanisms for Integration: • What mechanisms should be developed or enhanced to achieve different types and desirable levels of integration? Support Requirements: • How can interdisciplinary integration be accomplished in order to support infrastructure research? • What technological, economical, and institutional demands does integrated infrastructure impose? C-1.2 INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH Finance An important overall research area is the design and development of financing mechanisms that fully address the costs associated with user needs and usage patterns, technological constraints and capacities, and the cost of design, build, and maintenance functions over the lifetime of facilities, that is, the prevention of deterioration. (2.3, 4.2) A number of specific research points relate to this overall objective. Pricing and Demand: • How can pricing be designed to reflect technical and social characteristics? How can infrastructure be priced in a way that promotes desired user behavior and at the same time is equitable? (2.3) • To what extent is the demand for infrastructure services related to price? What non-price factors influence demand? (3.2) Life-Cycle Engineering (LCE): • Can the concept of LCE be clarified to provide a guide for accurately costing and financing infrastructure? (2.1) • How do traditional life-cycle costing methods introduce barriers to new technology? (4.2) C-2 Problems of Cost Estimation as a Basis for Financing: • How are the costs of infrastructure maintenance/renewal/construction associated with the pattern of population settlements and growth? (3.2) • What are the financial implications, including cost impacts, of increasing the flexibility of infrastructure systems to accommodate future changes in use or demand and other uncertainties? (2.3, 4.1) • How does productivity influence infrastructure costs? What are the appropriate measures of this relationship? (2.3) Financial Management: • How can institutions be redesigned to support the financial needs of maintenance in a consistent way (e.g., awarding grants for maintenance as well as new construction)? • Given the very large investment in infrastructure, how can a systematic accounting system consistently measure and communicate direct and indirect costs of infrastructure and combine both public and private infrastructure valuation? (2.3) • Has performance-based budgeting improved the quality of infrastructure? Other Factors: • How can benefits that are often considered indirect, intangible, and external (e.g., energy and time savings, longer lifetime and hence less disruption from renewal) be factored into the return on investment of research and development in order to encourage and help finance investments? (3.0) • How can the value of in-place infrastructure be determined, and when should it be a basis for establishing rehabilitation priorities? (3.3) Technology Investment (2.2, 4.2) • How can financial and institutional arrangements be brought to bear upon the problem of introducing new technologies for infrastructure? • What public-private partnerships can be identified for technology investment, and how can they be encouraged? • What institutions can address barriers to technology transfer from a multi-disciplinary and international perspective? Institutional Arrangements and Decision-making: Service Provision C-3 If a major problem with the management of renovation and repair projects in dense urban areas is the failure to minimize disruption and the cost to users and non-users, then agencies responsible for infrastructure renewal have to coordinate their activities. Various models for coordination need to be explored, such as the following examples of demonstration projects identified during the Workshop: (1) Create utility corridors (“utilidors”) in which utilities coordinate construction, maintenance and operation functions. A barrier to creating these corridors is a lack of incentive for utilities to coordinate with one another. Each utility has its own resource base, and therefore has no incentive to work collectively; (2) Select one area for which everything can be repaired or renovated at the same time, such as a dense urban area like Wall Street or a blighted area; (3) In the suburbs, try isolated rather than integrated infrastructure systems; (4) Use redeveloped areas, e.g., Fort Ord, California which can be ideal locations within which to conduct integration experiments. Public Engagement: • How can one overcome the problem of building public trust in the larger institutions that typically manage infrastructure? • How can economic institutions be made to focus on the value of infrastructure in order to demonstrate the benefits of infrastructure to the public and obtain its support? • How can institutions and financial incentives be designed to promote stewardship, ownership, and entitlement, which encourage a sense of responsibility and accountability for infrastructure? (2.3) Public/private Partnerships: • Under what circumstances can partnering be effective for the provision of infrastructure services? In such cases, how can differences among the partners be overcome? When appropriate, what mechanisms can be used to encourage collaboration through partnerships? (2.4) • How can government facilities or university-based engineering research centers play a role in analyzing and adopting new technologies and testing new materials? Can their capacities be improved for analyzing the full range of impacts of those technologies and the institutional requirements for their integration into existing systems? (4.2) • Can contracting procedures be adapted upstream to promote coordination among governments, public/private partnerships, and other means of cooperation? (4.4) C-4 LCE: • What mechanisms can be used to bring together the disciplines needed to address all of the factors that affect life-cycle estimates? (4.1) • In particular, how can institutions, used to thinking in terms of quarterly and annual budget targets, integrate life-cycle thinking into their financing and budgeting operations? Total Quality Management (TQM) (3.5): • What role can TQM play in promoting an integrated perspective for infrastructure? In particular, what financing mechanisms and engineering concepts (such as LCE) can take advantage of TQM to promote an integrated thinking about infrastructure? • How can a line-item orientation to budgeting accommodate TQM ideas? • Can concepts such as performance-based budgeting and the outcome-oriented provisions of the Government Performance and Results Act meet these needs? Other Factors: • How do infrastructure institutions interact with each other, with “non-infrastructure” institutions such as the finance and insurance industries, and with governing agencies? How can these relationships be improved? (4.0) • How do we manage interaction effects among infrastructure facilities? • How will political deregulation impact integration and coordination among infrastructure agencies? • Can institutions be designed to take into account transaction costs associated with integrated infrastructure concerns? Infrastructure Management for Planning, Design, Rehabilitation, and Development Design (2.1, 3.5, 4.1): • How can the infrastructure-design process take into account differential rates of change of infrastructure systems, i.e., the fact that infrastructure facilities can change rapidly, social systems less rapidly, and culture very slowly? (4.0) • How can political considerations and barriers be taken into account when developing design strategies and conducting design reviews? C-5 • Can design simultaneously accommodate maintainability and renewal in spite of the fact that design, construction, operation, and maintenance are separate functions? • What institutional frameworks are necessary for initial infrastructure designs to adapt to changing technology and population needs? • Which models for infrastructure design are suitable for different spatial models of population settlements: stand alone, interactive, or flexible? Project Management (4.4): • Given that project management is a basic unit of infrastructure decision-making, how can project management adopt a broader perspective by integrating other disciplines, yet retain a focus upon specialized and technical requirements? • What impediments and performance issues exist in project management that detract from infrastructure service quality, such as inadequate criteria for technical performance and user needs? Database Management The development, accessibility and management of infrastructure databases are central to the integration of technical, institutional, social, and environmental concerns for infrastructure and to the building of accountability, public confidence, and trust in infrastructure. Data is only useful if it is evaluated (used), judged relative to a framework (i.e., it is tied to a purpose), timely, and accessible. In fact, database management can serve as an important infrastructure management tool. Database Design: • How can infrastructure databases pertaining to performance, monitoring and diagnostic tools and the research and development support associated with these databases be designed to incorporate or reflect social, economic, and environmental impacts of infrastructure facilities? What are the institutional and political requirements to manage these databases? (4.1, 4.2) • How can data be made invulnerable to changing data technologies? • How can databases be standardized and integrated geographically, functionally, etc.? What software and hardware support systems can accomplish this? (2.1, 2.2) • How can advanced information technologies, which integrate human and physical aspects of infrastructure (such as GIS) be developed, applied, and disseminated? (2.6) C-6 Data Utilization, Access and Exchange: • How can institutional barriers to the exchange of data be overcome? Are the barriers related to cost, competition, or communication? What processes are needed to promote data exchange? • How can the utility of data be communicated to people so they will see its benefits and be willing to share data? • How can organizational resources, such as infrastructure technology clearinghouses, be designed for the collection, interpretation, dissemination, and overall management of infrastructure databases, including maintaining their integrity over time and adjusting to changes in information technology? (2.1) • Given that the identification, selection, and accessibility of data are important objectives for the success of an integrated approach to infrastructure, what processes can be developed and how can they be developed to enable users to sort through information, and decide what is appropriate in order to avoid information overload? (3.0) C-1. 3 ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORKS AND CAPABILITIES Systems Approach (2.1) • How can past experiences with systems theory be applied to infrastructure? • To what extent is systems theory of value in light of the fact that it may not be expressed in the same terms as engineering and non-engineering disciplines involved in infrastructure development? • How can systems thinking about infrastructure be promoted without simply adding another layer? How can incentives be designed to encourage people to really work together to promote a systems approach for infrastructure? Design of Performance Measures • How can traditional performance measures be extended to reflect customer needs, the environmental effects of infrastructure facilities, and other factors considered at one time to be externalities? How can performance measures be designed to take into account instabilities and variations in those factors? (4.3) • How can performance measures be broadened and integrated into infrastructure management and institutional learning as a basis of introducing technologies? What tracking mechanisms are necessary to ensure that such integration occurs? C-7 • How can one ensure that performance measures address how systems are developed and managed? Performance measures vary for different missions, i.e., system maintenance and quality control vs. innovation. Performance measures often direct a system’s characteristics and behavior, and poorly designed measures may shape the system in the wrong way. Linkages are needed between performance measures and the capabilities of the institutions to manage them: the capabilities have to be built in as part of the adoption of the measures. Life-Cycle Engineering (LCE) Techniques • Can LCE techniques be more clearly defined and adapted to take into account interactions between social, economic, and environmental systems on the one hand, and infrastructure systems on the other hand? How can these techniques reflect changes that occur over the lifetime of a facility? In particular, if renewal becomes a major part of infrastructure services, how can LCE be used to interpret its impact on the user in terms of safety, convenience, etc.? • To what extent will alternative renewal options alter cost estimates generated by LCE, and in particular, how can costs and benefits to the users (e.g., in terms of the timeliness and quality of service delivery), recycling, and energy use be factored into LCE? How can innovations such as in-situ recycling, reusable structures, and designing for multiple uses (which all reflect multiple objectives) be absorbed into life-cycle estimates? • What process can be invoked to incorporate flexibility into LCE in order to allow for changing infrastructure goals, needs and conditions? (2.2) Models Models are commonly used to integrate databases across disciplines. These models need to address the many dimensions of infrastructure. Although modeling has been common for decades, it has both advantages and disadvantages that should be targeted by infrastructure research. Safety: • Since risks affect public acceptance of infrastructure, what models can be developed and applied to analyze safety more accurately? (4.1) Quality: • The quality of infrastructure is a function not only of its lifetime (which in turn depends on factors such as operation and maintenance) but also of social patterns and expectations. How can models be developed to integrate these factors? (4.1) C-8 Engineering and Non-Engineering Systems: • Since forecasting combines engineering and non-engineering system characteristics into a common framework, what models and principles are available to understand, predict and analyze these system trends in an integrated way, and recognize and reduce the uncertainties in such endeavors? (2.2, 3.1, 4.1) • How can structurally and geographically fixed facilities accommodate changing usage, and moreover, how can forecasts be integrated early in the design of facilities to make this happen? (3.1, 4.1) Public Involvement: • To what extent can models be used to understand participation and communication among stakeholders with respect to infrastructure issues? (3.4) Supply and Demand: • Do current models of supply and demand adequately consider the appropriate factors that contribute to characterizing levels and directions of infrastructure supply and demand? (3.2, 3.3, 3.4) Decision-Making and Management: • How can traditional models for decision-making, risk assessment, emergency management, hazard analysis, probability, and reliability estimation be applied to infrastructure management? (2.1) Evaluation/Test-bedding: • How can test-bedding (evaluation methods) be promoted as a means of testing economic and social models for infrastructure improvement? (2.3) Case Method: • What are the limitations of taking a case-study approach to determine future outcomes? (3.5) C-1.4 EDUCATION The educational aspects of infrastructure research take many forms and address many different groups. Education should be flexible enough to meet changing infrastructure goals. It has to respect the need for specialization on the one hand and broad-based, contextual thinking on the other hand. C-9 • Can engineers acting as either specialists or project managers be trained to manage performance and cost issues associated with infrastructure quality, and learn public communication skills? (4.1, 4.4) • Given the relatively recent, thin, and uncertain knowledge base for LCE, what is the appropriate curriculum for educating students and practicing engineers and non-engineering professionals in LCE concepts and methods? What models are available from industry? (4.1) • How can educational curricula incorporate the new research needed to integrate social, behavioral, economic, and environmental sciences into engineering? (4.2) • What kind of educational programs can be developed over the entire range of schooling (from K-12 through university education and professional training)? (2.5, 3.6) • What kinds of programs can be used to educate the public to promote or foster a sense of entitlement and responsibility toward infrastructure? (2.5) • How can pilot programs and demonstration projects be used to promote education and communication about new infrastructure problems and technologies, and thereby make public involvement more effective? (2.6) C - 10 APPENDIX D. List of Workshop Participants, Speakers, and Observers Participants 1. Harvey M. Bernstein President Civil Engineering Research Foundation 2. George Bugliarello, Ph.D. Chancellor Polytechnic University 3. Nancy Rutledge Connery Independent Consultant 4. Henry A. Courtright, P.E. Vice President, Client and External Relations Electric Power Research Institute 5. Anthony J. DiBrita, P.E. Senior Vice President, Engineering Construction Group Brooklyn Union Gas 6. Thomas W. Eagar, Ph.D. POSCO Professor of Materials Engineering and Head Department of Materials Science and Engineering Massachusetts Institute of Technology 7. Eugene J. Fasullo, P.E. Industry Professor Polytechnic University 8. John W. Fisher, Ph.D., P.E. Joseph T. Stuart Professor of Civil Engineering, Director, Center for Advanced Technology for Large Structural Systems Lehigh University 9. Sigurd Grava, Ph.D. Professor of Urban Planning Columbia University Technical Director for Planning and Vice President Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas, Inc. D-1 10. Charles N. Herrick, Ph.D. Senior Scientist Princeton Economic Research, Inc. 11. Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, Ph.D. Professor and Director, Regional Economics Applications Laboratory University of Illinois at Champaign-Urbana 12. Benjamin F. Hobbs, Ph.D. Visiting Professor of Geography and Environmental Engineering The Johns Hopkins University 13. Frannie F. Humplick, Ph.D. Infrastructure Economist World Bank 14. Alan F. Karr, Ph.D. Associate Director National Institute of Statistical Sciences Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 15. Arthur Kressner Department Manager, Research and Development Consolidated Edison 16. T.R. Lakshmanan, Ph.D. Director, Bureau of Transportation Statistics U.S. Department of Transportation 17. Lester B. Lave, Ph.D. James H. Higgins Professor of Economics Carnegie-Mellon University 18. Andrew C. Lemer President The Matrix Group 19. Henry L. Michel, P.E. Chairman Emeritus Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas 20. Dick Netzer, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Public Administration New York University D-2 21. Robert E. Paaswell, Ph.D., P.E. Distinguished Professor of Civil Engineering and Director, Region II University Transportation Research Center City University of New York 22. Joseph C. Perkowski, Ph.D. Manager of Advanced Civil Systems Bechtel 23. William J. Petak, Ph.D. Professor and Executive Director, Institute of Safety and Systems Management University of Southern California 24. Henry L. Peyrebrune, Ph.D., P.E. Independent Consultant 25. Karen R. Polenske, Ph.D. Professor of Regional Political Economy and Planning Massachusetts Institute of Technology 26. John Ramage, P.E. Senior Vice President CH2MHill 27. Charles Revelle Professor The Johns Hopkins University 28. James E. Roberts, P.E. Director, Engineering Service Center, and Chief Structures Engineer California Department of Transportation 29. Della M. Roy, Ph.D., P.E. Professor of Materials Science Emerita Pennsylvania State University 30. Robert Schwab, Ph.D. Professor of Economics The Johns Hopkins University 31. Luis Suarez-Villa, Ph.D. Professor of Urban and Regional Planning University of California at Irvine 32. Joel A. Tarr, Ph.D. D-3 Richard S. Caliguiri Professor of Urban and Environmental History and Policy Carnegie Mellon University 33. Martin Wachs, Ph.D. Director of the University of California Transportation Center, Professor of City and Regional Planning, and Professor of Civil Engineering University of California at Berkeley 34. Gene Willeke Director Institute of Environmental Science Miami University 35. Jeff R. Wright, Ph.D. Professor and Director, Water Resources Research Center Purdue University D-4 Guest Speakers Joseph Bordogna, Ph.D Assistant Director Directorate for Engineering National Science Foundation Mortimer L. Downey Deputy Secretary U.S. Department of Transportation D-5 Observers 1. Jim Brown BIO/BIR National Science Foundation 2. Robin Cantor SBE/DRMS National Science Foundation 3. Michael S. Delello Director, Washington Relations Electric Power Research Institute 4. Oscar Dillon ENG/CMS National Science Foundation 5. Brenda Myers Bohlke Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas 6. Catherine Eckel National Science Foundation 7. Mark Ehlen Economist, Office of Applied Statistics National Institute of Standards and Technology 8. Ezra Ehrenkrantz Sponsor Chair, Center for Architecture and Building Science Research New Jersey Institute of Technology 9. Andrew F. Euston U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development 10. Virginia Fairweather Civil Engineering Magazine American Society of Civil Engineers 11. Al Grant Rebuild America Coalition 12. John Griffin Federal Laboratory Consortium D-6 13. Neil S. Grigg Department Head, Civil Engineering Colorado State University 14. Yacov Haimes Director, Center for Risk Management University of Virginia 15. Gen. E.R. Heiberg III Heiberg Associates, Inc. 16. Miriam Heller University of Houston 17. G. Patrick Johnson ENG/DMII/SBIR National Science Foundation 18. Richard G. Little Director, Board on Infrastructure and the Constructed Environment National Research Council 19. Richard J.L. Martin Professor Georgia Tech 20. Joseph Mauro U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 21. Cora Marrett SBE National Science Foundation 22. Dan Newlon SBE/SBER National Science Foundation 23. Joy Pauschke ENG/EEC National Science Foundation 24. Robert Reynik MPS Coordinator, Integration of Research and Education National Science Foundation 25. Chanan Singh D-7 ENG/ECS/Power Systems National Science Foundation 26. Glen S. Thurgood Professor Brigham Young University 27. William A. Wallace Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute 28. Edward Weiner Department of Transportation 29. David Wojick Powervision D-8 APPENDIX E. Biographies of Workshop Participants and Planning Group Members WORKSHOP PLANNING GROUP Priscilla Nelson (NSF Liaison) Dr. Nelson is currently Program Director for the Geomechanical, Geotechnical, and Geo-Environmental Systems (G3S/CMS) and Acting Senior Engineering Advisor in the Directorate for Engineering. She is also coordinator of the NSF Working Group on Civil Infrastructure Systems. Prior to joining the National Science Foundation, Dr. Nelson was Professor and John Focht Teaching Fellow in the Department of Civil Engineering at the University of Texas at Austin. She was on leave from Texas to be at the National Science Foundation. Dr. Nelson has a national and international reputation in geological and rock engineering and the particular application of underground construction. She has served as consultant to large underground construction projects in the U.S., and was an integral participant in developing the State of Texas’ proposal for the Superconducting Super Collider facility. She has been a member of the U.S. National Committee for Rock Mechanics and the U.S. National Committee for Tunneling Technology and is the U.S. delegate to the International Tunneling Association’s Working Group on Mechanized Excavation. In addition, Dr. Nelson is an active member of many professional organizations, including the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), where she serves on the Executive Committee of the Geotechnical Engineering Division, and the American Underground-Construction Association (AUA). She is also a First President of the American Rock Mechanics Association, and one of the few academics and women to be elected to The Moles, an association for the heavy construction industry. Dr. Nelson is the author of over 90 reports and publications, and has received both the Basic Research Award (1993) and the Case History Award (1988) from the U.S. National Committee for Rock Mechanics (NAS/NAE). Education: B.S., Geology, University of Rochester; M.A., Geology, Indiana University; M.S., Structural Engineering, University of Oklahoma; Ph.D., Geotechnical Engineering, Cornell University. Rae Zimmerman (Project Director/Co-PI) is Professor of Planning and Public Administration and Director of the Urban Planning Program at New York University’s Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, and is a member and a former Director of the School’s management specialization. Dr. Zimmerman is President of the Society for Risk Analysis, which is an interdisciplinary, international professional society of over 2,000 scientists, engineers, and social scientists. Dr. Zimmerman’s teaching and research interests are in environmental planning and management, environmental risk management, and urban infrastructure. She has directed numerous multidisciplinary research grants in these areas funded by federal agencies and commissions including the U.S. EPA, the National Science Foundation and U.S. Department of Commerce, as well as state and local agencies. In the area of infrastructure, she directed the New York State needs assessment in transportation, water supply, and wastewater for the U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee; a study of an offshore island complex and New York State’s early outreach program and critique of policies for the statewide transportation master plan for the New York State Department of Transportation; and water supply, wastewater, and transportation forecasts for a rapidly growing town in New York State. E-1 She is currently Project Director and Co-PI of the National Science Foundation-sponsored research project on environmental and transportation infrastructure performance in addition to directing the workshop on integrated research in civil infrastructure. Other ongoing research includes a U.S. EPA-funded project on farmers’ attitudes toward using agricultural practices that are protective of water quality. In a consulting capacity, she conducted portions of environmental impact statements and regulatory support for various construction projects for highways and other civil infrastructure and has provided regulatory and technical support for New York City’s combined sewer overflow program, the sludge management program, and water quality facility planning. Dr. Zimmerman is a consultant to the U.S. EPA’s Superfund program (Region II) where she has been analyzing demographic patterns near inactive hazardous waste sites. Current professional appointments include Member of the Board of Scientific Counselors of the U.S. EPA’s Office of Research and Development, the New York State Department of Environmental Conservation’s Air Toxics Workgroup and Comparative Risk Ranking Project Steering Committee, and the American Arbitration Association’s Panel of Arbitrators. She is a former Member of panels, boards and project teams for the U.S. Congress Office of Technology Assessment, the Risk Science, the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis risk management reform group, the New York State Department of Health Advisory Committee on Safe Drinking Water, and the Environmental Institute for Waste Management Studies of the University of Alabama (Tuscaloosa). Dr. Zimmerman authored Governmental Management of Chemical Risk (1990) and numerous journal articles and book chapters on environmental and infrastructure issues, including most recently, global warming impacts on infrastructure (in Metropolitan New York in the Greenhouse: Infrastructure Planning for an Uncertain Future, 1996), impacts of the 1993 Mississippi floods (The Sciences, 1994) and “Hazardous Substance Emergencies in New York City,” (with M. Gerrard, Disaster Management, 1994), “Issues of Classification in Environmental Equity: How We Manage is How We Measure,” Fordham Urban Law Journal, (Spring, 1994) and “Social Equity and Environmental Risk,” Risk Analysis: An International Journal, (December, 1993). Education: A.B., Chemistry, U. of California, Berkeley; Masters in City Planning, U. of Pennsylvania; Ph.D., Planning, Columbia University. Roy Sparrow (Co-PI) is Professor of Public Administration at the Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, where he teaches courses in managing public service organizations, strategic management, and improving public service organizations through total quality management. Dr. Sparrow has conducted research into the barriers to regional cooperation in transportation planning and policy-making, the role of the private sector in public transportation in New York City, and has also helped develop a comprehensive bus service plan for New York City. Recently, he helped developed and run a technical and managerial training program for transportation planners and managers under the auspices of the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council. He currently serves as Project Director for the Russian Local Government Training Program, which will design and deliver a management development program for public executives in Russia. Dr. Sparrow is also a Co-PI for the National Science Foundation’s project examining the performance of the nation’s environmental and transportation infrastructure. Prior grants have enabled him to assess the educational and training needs of public transportation managers in New York and New Jersey and explore structural factors in transportation policy-making. Dr. Sparrow is a member of the Committee on Management and Productivity of the Transportation Research Board and sits on the Board of Directors of the University Transportation Research Center (Region 2). Recent publications E-2 have included, “Training Today’s Professional to Meet Tomorrow’s Transportation Needs: ISTEA and the MPO,” (1994), and reports on private sector involvement in public transportation planning. Administrative positions have included Acting Dean and Associate Dean at the Wagner School. Education: B.A., Political Science, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; M.A., Political Science, University of California, Los Angeles; Ph.D., Political Science, University of California, Los Angeles. John C. Falcocchio is Professor of Transportation, Director of the Transportation Research Institute, and Research Director of the Urban Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Center at Polytechnic University in New York, where he has been a member of the faculty for 22 years. Dr. Falcocchio’s expertise in the area of transportation includes traffic and transportation studies, transportation systems analysis, travel demand and transportation system management, traffic congestion and air pollution reduction strategies, coordination of land use and transportation, and intelligent transportation systems. He has managed complex transportation projects both as an educator/researcher and as practicing professional. He spent a four-year leave of absence beginning in 1987, studying and modeling the traffic system in Manhattan for the Westside Route 9A Reconstruction Project. Dr. Falcocchio is a founding partner of a major planning and engineering consulting firm and a registered professional engineer in Pennsylvania, New York, and California. He is currently directing a major initiative in ITS for the New York City Department of Transportation which entails the use of cost-effective ITS technologies in facilitating travel, improving the performance of multimodal transportation systems, and increasing transportation safety. He is a member of the Institute of Transportation Engineers, American Society of Civil Engineers, American Institute of Planners, Intelligent Transportation Society of America, New York Academy of Sciences, and Chi Epsilon. He is also a member of the Council on Transportation, the Manhattan Borough President’s transportation advisory committee, and a past member of the New York Metropolitan Transportation Council’s Executive Director’s “Kitchen Cabinet,” and the Committee on the Transportation Disadvantaged of the Transportation Research Board. Dr. Falcocchio is an author and co-author of many technical papers and one book. Education: B.C.E., Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn; Traffic Engineer Certificate, Bureau of Highway Traffic, Yale University; M.S., Transportation Planning, Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn; and Ph.D., Transportation Planning, Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn. Ilan Juran is Head of the Civil and Environmental Engineering Department at Polytechnic University of New York. At Polytechnic University, Dr. Juran has established a FrancoAmerican Cooperative Program for Urban Studies for Advancing the State of Practice in Urban Infrastructure Engineering, Environmental Systems Management and Rehabilitation Technologies. This cooperative program with the Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussees of Paris covers five major infrastructure areas: transportation systems planning and management, infrastructure rehabilitation technologies, municipal waste recycling, urban water quality management and waste water treatment. Dr. Juran’s principle specialization is Ground Improvement, and he has participated as Principle Investigator or Co-Principal Investigator in major soil improvement projects in the United States and France. These projects focused on feasibility assessment of innovative geotechnologies and/or their new engineering applications and resulted in the development of testing techniques and engineering guidelines for the design and construction of innovative reinforced soil systems. Dr. Juran is presently Chairman of the E-3 Technical Committee on Ground Improvement, Reinforcement, and Grouting of the International Society of Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering. Prior positions include Associate Director of the Soil Mechanics Teachings and Research Center of the Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussees in Paris, and Principal Investigator and Technical Director of the Geosynthetic Research Laboratory at Louisiana State University. Among Dr. Juran’s many publications is the article he co-authored titled, “Laboratory Model Study on Geosynthetic Reinforced Soil Retaining Walls,” (ASCE Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 1989). Education: B.Sc., Civil Engineering, Technion, Haifa, Israel; Ph.D., Soil Mechanics, University of Paris VI; Sc.D. with highest distinction, Applied Mechanics, University of Paris VI. Angelos L. Protopapas is an Assistant Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Polytechnic University in New York, where he also serves as Chairman of the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering’s Undergraduate Curriculum and Standards Committee, and Coordinator of the Water Resources Program. His interests involve the numerical and analytical treatment of flow and contaminant transport in surface and subsurface environment and in stochastic approaches to environmental problems, the optimal planning and operation of water resource systems, stochastic and physical hydrology, fluid mechanics and numerical modeling. Dr. Protopapas has been a Visiting Scholar at the Ecole Superieure de l’Energie et des Materiaux at the University of New Orleans, a Visiting Assistant Professor of Civil Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology, and a senior engineer with the Environmental Quality Service Group at the Massachusetts engineering firm of Metcalf & Eddy, Inc.. Dr. Protopapas is a member of the Water Environment Association, (Metropolitan NY Chapter) Soil Science Society of America, American Society of Civil Engineers, American Geophysical Union, and the Technical Chamber of Greece. He has led numerous research projects as a Principle Investigator, including a project titled, “CSO’s Abatement Technologies,” funded by the New York City Department of Environmental Protection (DEP), and “Feasibility Assessment of an Automated Remote Monitoring and Control System for the Water Distribution Network,” prepared for the New York City DEP and Consolidated Edison. Among his many publications, Dr. Protopapas has co-authored a paper on, “The Command and Control System for the Water Supply in Paris, France - a Challenge for the New York City Department of Environmental Protection,” WEF Specialty Conference on Automating to Improve Water Quality, (1995), and “Progress on the Theory of Fluid Flow in Geologic Media with Threshold Gradient,” Journal of Environmental Science and Health, (1994). Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Greece; M.S., Operations Research and Computer Science, National Technical University of Athens, Greece; M.S., Civil Engineering, MIT; Ph.D., Civil Engineering, MIT. Kingsley E. Haynes is University Professor and Eminent Scholar, Director of The Institute of Public Policy and Professor of Decision Sciences, Geography and Public Affairs at George Mason University. Dr. Haynes’ fields of specialization include resources and environmental management policy, urban and regional economic development and planning, economic geography and regional science, and transportation and land-use analysis. Dr. Haynes has been an advisor, consultant or project leader with New York City’s Central Manhattan Circulation Study, Texas Land Office, Texas Governor’s Office, and Indiana’s Departments of Commerce, Natural Resources, Economic Development Council and the Vocational and Technical College System. He has worked for several Federal agencies, including the Policy Research and E-4 Analysis Division of the National Science Foundation. Internationally, he has worked with the Civil Aviation Authority in Brazil, the Egyptian Academy of Scientific Research and Technology and its National Research Center, Jordan’s Marine Research Center, the Sudan’s National Research Council, state governments in Australia, and Taiwan’s EPA. In addition, he has done strategic planning for public and private organizations. Dr. Haynes was a member of NSF’s EPSCOR program, Decision, Risk, and Management Science Panel and infrastructure initiatives. He was Chair of the International Exchange of Scholars and is a former member of the board of the American Association for the Advancement of Science’s Social, Economic, and Political Science Section. He was a Governor and past President of the Western Regional Science Association. He is currently President of the International Regional Science Association and a member of the editorial board of six international scholarly journals. Dr. Haynes has authored over 300 articles and professional reports published in Geographical Review, Environment and Planning, Journal of Regional Science, and Journal of the American Planning Association, among others. Education: B.A., History (honors), Geography, and Political Science, Western Michigan University; M.A., Geography, Rutgers University; Ph.D., Geography and Environmental Engineering, The Johns Hopkins University. Arden L. Bement, Jr. (Co-Chair) is the Basil S. Turner Distinguished Professor of Engineering and Director of the Midwest Superconductivity Consortium at Purdue University. Before his appointment in December, 1992, he was Vice President for Science and Technology at TRW, Inc.. He joined TRW in 1980 as Vice President for Technical Resources. Dr. Bement began his professional career in 1954 as a research metallurgist and reactor project engineer with the General Electric Company at the Hanford Atomic Products Operation in Richland, Washington. He conducted research into the effects of neutron irradiation on the deformation and fracture properties of high-purity metals, reactor fuels, and structural metals. In 1965 he joined Battelle Memorial Institute as Manager of the Metallurgy Research Department. Three years later, he became Manager of the Fuels and Materials Department. In 1970, Dr. Bement joined the faculty of MIT as Professor of Nuclear Materials, and in 1976 became Director of the Materials Science Office of the Defense Advanced Projects Agency. In 1979, he was appointed Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering where he was responsible for overall management of the science and technology programs of the Department of Defense, including special program offices for directed-energy weapons and very-high-speed integrated circuits. In 1990, the Senate confirmed Dr. Bement as a member of the National Science Board for a term that expired in 1994. Dr. Bement is a member of the National Academy of Engineering, the American Society for Metals International, The Metallurgical Society of AIME, and the American Nuclear Society. He is the recipient of the Distinguished Civilian Service Medal of the Department of Defense, and the Outstanding Achievement Award and Melville Coolbaugh Award from the Colorado School of Mines. Dr. Bement has also been inducted into the Alumni Association Hall of Fame at the University of Idaho and the Rackham Hall of Fame at the University of Michigan, and is the recipient of an Honorary Doctorate of Engineering from Cleveland State University. Education: E.Met, Colorado School of Mines; M.S., Metallurgical Engineering, University of Idaho; Ph.D., Metallurgical Engineering, University of Michigan. Thomas O’Rourke (Co-Chair) is Professor of Civil Engineering at Cornell University. His teachings have covered many aspects of geotechnical engineering, including foundations, earth retaining structures, slope stability, soil/structure interaction, underground construction, E-5 laboratory testing, and elements of earthquake engineering. He has developed techniques for estimating ground movement patterns for a variety of excavation, tunneling, and mining conditions. He has formulated methods for evaluating tunnel-boring machine performance and for evaluating the base stability of deep braced excavations. He has developed analytical methods and siting strategies to mitigate pipeline damage during earthquakes, analyzed and designed high-pressure pipelines, and has established full-scale testing facilities for buried pipelines. Dr. O’Rourke is a recipient of the C. Martin Duke Award from ASCE for his contributions to lifeline earthquake engineering as well as other awards for his work in soil and rock mechanics. He is an elected member of the National Academy of Engineering, the ASCE, ASME, ASTM, AAAS, ISSMEE, EERI, UTRC, and IAEG, the ASCE TCLEE Committee on Gas and Liquid Fuel Lifelines, and a member of the NCEER Research Committee and NRC Board on Energy and Environmental Systems. Dr. O’Rourke is also a past chairman of the UTRC Technical Committee on Tunnel Lining Design, ASCE Earth Retaining Structures Committee, UTRC Executive Committee, and U.S. National Committee on Tunneling Technology. Prior to joining the faculty of Cornell, Dr. O’Rourke was a member of the teaching and research staff at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, a field instrumentation specialist with the Washington, D.C. Metro, and represented the U.S. Department of Transportation on a project with the British Transport and Road Research Laboratory. In addition, Dr. O’Rourke has authored or co-authored over 200 publications on geotechnical, underground, and earthquake engineering. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering., Cornell University; M.S., Civil Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Ph.D., Civil Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. Sigurd Grava (Co-Chair) is Professor of Urban Planning at Columbia University where he has taught infrastructure, transportation, and system development courses since 1960. He is also the Technical Director for Planning and Vice President at Parsons Brinckerhoff Quade & Douglas, Inc., an international consulting firm specializing in transportation projects. Dr. Grava has worked in about 25 countries, primarily on projects that focus on regional transport systems and the interaction between land use and transportation patterns. Among the projects Dr. Grava has directed at Parsons Brinckerhoff are infrastructure plans for squatter settlements in Latin America, river basin development studies in Africa, and the organization of decision-making procedures for water quality control in San Antonio, Texas. He is currently managing the “Access to the Region’s Core” project for the New York/New Jersey Metropolitan area. In the past, he has written reports for the United Nations on transportation systems and development policies in Manila, Katmandu, Bangkok, Lagos, Guayaquil, St. Lucia, and Bahrain. He has written extensively on regional transport systems, the search for suitable models, the role of busways, and informal transport systems. He is the author of Urban Planning Aspects of Water Pollution Control, 1969, reprinted in 1972. Education: B.C.E., City College; M.S., Planning and Housing, Columbia University; Ph.D., Transportation Planning, Columbia University. E-6 Roger R. Stough (Contributor) is NOVA Endowed Professor in Public Policy and Eminent Scholar at George Mason University. He is also Associate Director of The Institute of Public Policy, Director of the Center for Regional Analysis, Director of the Transportation Policy Program, and a Board Member of the Northern Virginia Institute. His interests include regional economic development, regional economic modeling, institutional barriers to technology deployment, and environmental policy. Dr. Stough has conducted economic effects analysis of Johns Hopkins University Institutions on the Baltimore, Maryland economy, completed numerous applied, problem-solving, and policy analysis projects for local, state, and national governmental agencies, and has recently explored the local and regional effects of science and technology in the United States. His international experience includes serving as an Advisor to the Management School at National Sun-Yat Sen University on the development of a public policy institute, and directing and managing the delivery of an environmental training course in Taipei, Taiwan for the Taiwan EPA and National Science Council. Dr. Stough has also been an Advisor to the Ministry of Tourism and Economic Development in Trinidad and Tobago, the Ministry of Tourism in St. Kitts, and the Department of Commerce in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Dr. Stough has had over 20 years experience in academia. Past academic positions have included Chairman of the Urban, Regional Analysis and Planning Faculty at the School of Public and Environmental Affairs at Indiana University, and Founding Director of the Center for Metropolitan Affairs and Public Policy Analysis at the College of Charleston, SC. Dr. Stough is author of more than 100 scholarly and professional publications, 5 books or monographs, and 20 peer reviewed journal articles or chapters in books. Education: B.S., International Trade (Latin America), The Ohio State University; M.A., Economic Geography, The University of South Carolina; Ph.D., Geography and Environmental Engineering, The Johns Hopkins University. E-7 WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS Harvey M. Bernstein is President and Chief Executive Officer of the Civil Engineering Research Foundation (CERF), the research arm of the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). He is also Assistant Secretary for Research on the ASCE Board of Direction. CERF brings together diverse groups within the civil engineering community to integrate, facilitate, and coordinate common solutions to complex research challenges facing the civil engineering profession. In the past, Mr. Bernstein has testified before Congress on behalf of the civil engineering design and construction industry research community. He is the author of several articles and co-author of the book, Solving the Innovation Puzzle: Challenges Facing the Design and Construction Industry. Mr. Bernstein is a member of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), the American Public Works Association (APWA) and the Transportation Research Board (TRB). Mr. Bernstein also serves on the boards of various publications and educational institutions, including the Editorial Advisory Board of Construction Business Review, the Publications Board of the Federal Highway Administration’s Public Roads magazine, and the Civil and Environmental Engineering Advisory Committee to the Board of Trustees of the New Jersey Institute of Technology (NJIT). Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, Newark College of Engineering (now New Jersey Institute of Technology); M.S., Engineering, Princeton University; M.B.A., Loyola College. George Bugliarello is Chancellor of Polytechnic University, where he was President from 1973 to 1994, and Chair of the Metrotech Corporation. He is an engineer and educator with a background in civil engineering, computer languages, biomedical engineering and fluid mechanics. He has worked abroad as a consultant for UNESCO and OECD, as a specialist for the U.S. Department of State, and is presently the U.S. member of the Science for Stability Steering Group of the Scientific Affairs Division of NATO. In New York, Dr. Bugliarello has served on numerous task forces and commissions studying water conservation, infrastructure and recycling. He is currently Chair of the Board on Infrastructure and the Constructed Environment of the National Research Council, and Chair of the National Academies Megacities Project for the Habitat II conference. Dr. Bugliarello is also member of the National Academy of Engineering, a Fellow of the American Society of Civil Engineers and a former Chairman of the National Science Foundation’s Advisory Committee for Science and Engineering Education. An author of numerous books and professional papers, Dr. Bugliarello was honored by the Engineering News-Record as one of “Those Who Made Marks” in the construction industry in recognition of the creation of Metrotech. He is also a recipient of the New York City Mayor’s Award for Excellence in Science and Technology. Education: Sc.D., Engineering, MIT; Hon. Doctor of Laws, Carnegie-Mellon University; Hon. Doctor of Medicine, U. of Trieste; Hon. Doctor of Engineering, Milwaukee School of Engineering. Nancy Rutledge Connery is an independent consultant, writer, and lecturer on a wide range of infrastructure investment and community development issues. Her recent clients include the World Bank, U.S. Department of Transportation, U.S. Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, and the Foundation for the New Jersey Alliance for Action. In the past, Ms. Connery served as Director of the Public Works Project at the Washington State Department of Community Development, and later, as Executive Director of the National Council on Public Works Improvement, a Presidential/Congressional study commission. While E-8 at the Council, she published three major reports and presented frequent Congressional testimony on the state of the nation’s infrastructure. She is currently a member of the Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems and the Board on Infrastructure and the Constructed Environment at the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences. She also serves on the Advisory Board of the Taubman Center for State and Local Government at Harvard University. Ms. Connery has recently co-authored two articles in Governing Magazine on infrastructure performance measurement and artist/engineer collaborations on public works projects. She is a 1988 recipient of the Distinguished Service Award from the American Public Works Association. Education: B.A., Pacific Lutheran University; M.P.A., Harvard University. Henry A. Courtright is Vice President of the Client & External Relations Group at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) in Palo Alto, California. The Client & External Relations Group focuses on domestic and international relations, regulatory relations, government relations, and delivery services. Previously, Mr. Courtright was Director of the Customer Systems Group which delivers technologies, planning tools, and information to enhance the value of electricity and influence patterns of demand for the benefit of both utilities and their customers. Mr. Courtright was a member of the White House Panel on Global Climate Change which provided the Clinton Administration with input for climate-change policy development. He has also testified before Congress on environmental benefits of electric vehicles. Prior to joining EPRI in 1992, Mr. Courtright was Vice President of Marketing for Buckeye Pipe Line Company where he was responsible for strategy planning and new business development. He has 18 years experience in the electric utility industry and was Director of Marketing and Economic Development for Pennsylvania Power and Light Company (PP&L). He directed PP&L’s programs in residential marketing, industrial and commercial marketing, demand-side management, economic development and community relations. Mr. Courtright is a Registered Professional Engineer. Education: B.S., Mechanical Engineering, Pennsylvania State University; M.B.A., Lehigh University. Anthony J. DiBrita is a Senior Vice President for Brooklyn Union Gas in charge of its Engineering Construction Group. A Registered Professional Engineer in the State of New York, Mr. DiBrita is a member of the American Gas Association and American Society of Mechanical Engineers. He is active in a number of environmental and civic organizations. He serves as Chairman of the Queens Botanical Garden, Chairman of the Development Committee of the Board of Trustees of St. Joseph’s College, President of the Brooklyn Council of Boy Scouts of America, and a member of the Board of Directors of the Brooklyn Club. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, Clarkson College of Technology; Advanced Management Program, Harvard University. Thomas W. Eagar is Head of the Department of Materials Science and Engineering and POSCO Professor of Materials Engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His interests involve materials processing and manufacturing, welding and joining of metals, ceramics and electronic materials, deformation processing, alternate manufacturing processes, manufacture management, and failure analysis. Dr. Eagar is a member of the Board of Directors of Nashua Corporation and is Director of Metallurgical Engineering at the consulting engineering firm of Simpson, Gumpertz and Heger. He serves on the AWS Technical Papers E-9 Committee and is Vice Chairman of the Research and Development Committee. Dr. Eagar is also a member of the oversite committees for the National Institute of Standards and Technology and the U.S. Army Research Laboratories and serves on the Technical Advisory Board of Edison Welding Institute. He belongs to a number of professional societies, including AIME, ASM, ASME, SAE, ASTM, SME, the American Ceramic Society and the Materials Research Society. He is a Fellow with AWS and ASM and is the recipient of many awards, including the William Spraragen Memorial Award (1990, 1993), and the Henry Marion Howe Medal of ASM International (1992). Dr. Eagar has published over 150 papers and holds ten patents. Education: B.S., Metallurgy and Materials Science, MIT; Sc.D., Metallurgy, MIT; coursework in business administration, Lehigh University; Program for Senior Executives, Sloan School of Management, MIT. Eugene J. Fasullo is Industry Professor of Civil Engineering at Polytechnic University of New York. He is a member of numerous organizations, including the New York and New Jersey Societies of Professional Engineers, and the National Academy of Engineering. Mr. Fasullo currently sits on the Board of Directors of The Concrete Industry Board, the New York Building Congress, and the Society of American Military Engineers. He founded and is presently Chairman of the Partnership for Rebuilding Our Infrastructure, an organization dedicated to establishing the leadership roles of engineers in rebuilding America. He is also a former Chairman of the New York Interagency Engineering Council. Mr. Fasullo began his career at the Port Authority in 1958 working on the addition of the lower level of the George Washington Bridge. Since then, he has held many positions, including Chief Structural Engineer of the Port Authority, Assistant Chief Engineer of Design and Research, and Director of Engineering & Chief Engineer. Throughout his career at the Port Authority, Mr. Fasullo was directly responsible for designing structural systems for LaGuardia, Kennedy, and Newark Airports, the Port Authority Bus Terminal, and the replacement of the upper deck of the George Washington Bridge. In 1993 he was chosen by the Engineering News-Record as “One of 25 Who Made a Mark” in engineering. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, Brooklyn Polytechnic Institute; M.S., Structural Engineering, University of Illinois. John W. Fisher is the Joseph T. Stuart Professor of Civil Engineering at Lehigh University. He is Director of the NSF Engineering Research Center on Advanced Technology for Large Structural Systems (ATLSS), which strives to be a leader in scientific research and technological developments for high-performance, durable and cost-effective structural systems for civil and marine infrastructure. Dr. Fisher specializes in structural connections, fatigue and resistance of riveted, bolted, and welded structures, behavior and design of composite steel-concrete members, and the performance of steel bridges. He is a member of the National Academy of Engineering, Honorary Member of the American Society of Civil Engineers, and a Corresponding Member of the Swiss Academy of Engineering Sciences. Dr. Fisher is a recipient of several awards including the Construction-Man-of-the-Year Award from ENR (1987), the 1995 John A. Roebling Medal for Lifetime Achievement in Bridge Engineering, and the Frank B. Brown Medal of the Franklin Institute for his work in structural engineering (1992). Dr. Fisher is the author of Fatigue and Fracture in Steel Bridges: Case Studies (1984), and Guide to Design Criteria for Bolted and Riveted Joints, (1974, 1987). In addition, he has published over 200 reports and articles in scientific and engineering journals. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, Washington University; M.S. and Ph.D., Lehigh University. E - 10 Charles N. Herrick is a Senior Scientist with Princeton Economic Research and prior to that was Acting Vice President and Director of the Analysis and Integration Operation at DynCorp I&ET, an international consultancy dealing with environmental and energy management issues. Dr. Herrick manages and conducts analyses of issues including industrial ecology, local-scale environmental policy and sustainability studies, renewable energy life-cycle costs and benefits, and integration of behavioral, biophysical, and biomedical science information. Prior to joining DynCorp, Dr. Herrick served as Associate Director of the White House Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ) and represented CEQ on the Federal Coordinating Council for Science, Engineering, and Technology. He also Chaired the Interagency Committee on Environmental Trends, which, like CEQ, sought to integrate across scientific issues and disciplines to produce policy-relevant information. Previously, he was Assistant Director of the National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP) where he managed the NAPAP 1990 Integrated Assessment. He was also a Research Assistant for the Consortium on Energy Impacts (CEI), which provided an interdisciplinary assessment of the environmental and social impacts associated with planned large-scale energy development in the Rocky Mountain West. Dr. Herrick has written about the importance of integrated studies in several journals, including Issues in Science and Technology and Global Environmental Change. Education: B.A., Fort Lewis College; M.A., University of Colorado; Ph.D., Public Policy, American University. Geoffrey John Dennis Hewings is a Professor at the University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign and Director of the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory at the University. His research experience has focused on the development and application of regional and interregional economic models for impact analysis and forecasting. He has studied the role of analytical methods important in parameter estimation, alternative methods for decomposing structural change, and innovative methods to compare economic structures. Applications have been made to several midwestern economies, Chinese provinces, and several states in Brazil, Indonesia, Korea and Europe. Dr. Hewings’ infrastructure-related projects have examined the role of airports in local economic growth. A recent study for the city of Chicago examined airport capacity limitations on employment levels over the next twenty years. A project in Brazil is exploring the impact of MERCOSUL on highway capacities and a new project in Indonesia is examining the role of infrastructure in generating regional economic growth and development. Education: B.A., honors, University of Birmingham, England; M.A., University of Washington; Ph.D., Economics, University of Washington. Benjamin F. Hobbs is Visiting Professor of Geography and Environmental Engineering at The Johns Hopkins University, where he specializes in optimization, decision analysis, simulation, and economics and their application to power, environmental, and water systems. Prior to joining Johns Hopkins, Dr. Hobbs was Professor of Systems, Control, and Industrial and Civil Engineering at Case Western Reserve University. Earlier in his career he worked at Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Brookhaven National Laboratory, where he researched power plant siting, power markets, and water supply for power. Dr. Hobbs has been a consultant to numerous agencies, including the Northeast Ohio Sewer District in Cleveland, Ontario Hydro in Toronto, and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. He is the Area Editor in Environment and Natural Resources for the journal, Operations Research, and an associate editor or member of the editorial boards of several other journals. Dr. Hobbs is also Chairman of the Sessions E - 11 Committee and member of the Strategic Planning Committee of the ASCE’s Energy Division, and a member of three separate committees and workgroups of the IEEE Power Engineering Society. Among Dr. Hobbs’ many publications is the forthcoming article, “Bayesian Methods for Analyzing Climate Change and Water Resource Uncertainties” for the Journal of Environmental Management, and “Models for Integrated Resource Planning by Electric Utilities, Invited Review,” European Journal of Operational Research, (1995). Education: B.S., honors, Interdisciplinary Studies, South Dakota State University; M.S., Resources Management and Policy, State University of New York at Syracuse; Ph.D., Environmental Systems Engineering, Cornell University. Frannie Humplick is an Infrastructure Economist in the Environment, Infrastructure, and Agriculture Division of the Policy Research Department at the World Bank, where she specializes in Latin America and Asia. In her research she has studied the effects of decentralization on infrastructure performance and valuing direct and indirect benefits of investments in infrastructure. Prior to joining the Bank, Dr. Humplick taught at the Center for Construction Research and Education at MIT and spent a summer teaching at the Infrastructure Research Laboratory at the University of Tokyo. Dr. Humplick is Associate Editor of the Journal of Infrastructure Systems and a recipient of numerous awards, including the Betram Burger Award for Excellence in a Career in Transportation by the Boston Chapter of the Society of Civil Engineers. She has served as a member of the Committee on Measuring and Improving Performance Indicators of the National Research Council, the Committee on Operation, Safety, and Maintenance of Transportation Facilities of the Transportation Research Board, and the Committee on Performance Measures for Infrastructures and Environmental Resources at the World Bank. Dr. Humplick is author or co-author of several papers, books, and chapters, and contributor to the World Bank’s World Development Report in 1994 on Infrastructure Development and Issues for Infrastructure Management in the 1990s. Education: M.Sc and Ph.D., MIT. Alan F. Karr is Associate Director of the National Institute of Statistical Sciences (NISS) at the Research Triangle Park, NC and a Professor of Statistics and Biostatistics at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. At NISS, Dr. Karr directs major cross-disciplinary projects which involve transportation issues (ranging from travel demand to Intelligent Transportation Systems to materials science of concrete), and software engineering (code decay in legacy software systems). Prior to assuming his current positions, he was Professor of Mathematical Sciences at The Johns Hopkins University as well as Associate Dean of its School of Engineering. Dr. Karr’s major research interests are statistical inference for stochastic processes and stochastic models and associated issues of inference in hydrology, structural engineering, materials science, software engineering, and transportation. Dr. Karr is a member of Sigma Xi, the Army Science Board, and is also a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. He is the author of more than 40 research papers and the following books: Point Processes and their Statistical Inference (1991), Probability (1993), and Statistics and Materials Science (forthcoming). Education: B.S., Industrial Engineering, Northwestern University; M.S., Industrial Engineering, Northwestern University; Ph.D., Applied Mathematics, Northwestern University. Arthur Kressner is Department Manager for Exploratory Research, Research and Development for Consolidated Edison of New York, Inc.. He is responsible for exploratory research and E - 12 development involving emerging technologies for electric production, distribution, transmission, and information systems, and efficient and beneficial applications of electricity for residential, commercial, and industrial customers. He has been active recently in several national efforts including the U.S. EPA Energy Star Program, the National Tuberculosis Coalition, and the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). Mr. Kressner led the team that has established the EPRI North East Regional Community Environmental Center at Manhattan College. Previously, he was a manager of several major fossil-fuel power plants and also managed organizations providing engineering support and environmental, chemistry, and metallurgical analytical laboratory services at Con Edison. Mr. Kressner has received several awards for his work in energy efficiency and improving the environment including the 1994 Governor’s Award for Energy Efficiency, the 1994 Edison Electric Institute Common Goals Award and several EPRI Innovators Awards. Education: B.A., Chemical Engineering, Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn; M.S., Chemical Engineering, New York University. T.R. Lakshmanan is Director of the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) of the U.S. Department of Transportation. He has extensive experience in the development and use of information systems and in policy analysis of transportation, economic development, energy, and environmental issues. Prior to accepting this Presidential appointment in 1994, Dr. Lakshmanan was founder and Executive Director of the Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, a research and teaching center at Boston University. He was previously a Professor of Geography and Environmental Engineering at The Johns Hopkins University, where he developed and applied various models to assess transportation policies that have been used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Department of Energy. Dr. Lakshmanan has also developed methodologies to analyze the contributions of infrastructure to economic productivity and growth. He has been a visiting scholar at the Netherlands Institute for Advanced Studies in the Humanities and Social Sciences, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Austria, Cambridge University in England, and MIT. He has also served as a consultant to the United Nations, the World Bank and governments in Europe and Asia. Dr. Lakshmanan is the author of ten books and over 60 articles and is the recipient of the James Anderson Medal awarded by the Association of American Geographers. Education: B.S., honors, Physics, University of Madras; M.A., Geography, University of Madras; Ph.D., Geography, Ohio State University. Lester B. Lave is James H. Higgins Professor of Economics, Graduate School of Industrial Administration; Professor of Engineering and Public Policy, School of Engineering; and Professor of Economics, School of Urban and Public Affairs at Carnegie Mellon University. He is currently a co-PI on an NSF-sponsored risk-ranking research project. Dr. Lave is a member of the Institute of Medicine of the National Academy of Sciences, a Fellow at the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and a Fellow and past President of the Society for Risk Analysis. In the past, he has served on numerous governmental committees for the development of policies on health and safety regulation. He has been a Senior Fellow and Visiting Scholar at the Brookings Institution. Dr. Lave has written numerous articles on risk assessment and regulatory policy as well as several books. He co-authored Toxic Chemicals and the Environment (1987), authored The Strategy of Social Regulation: Decision Frameworks for Policy (1981), edited Quantitative Risk Assessment in Regulation (1982), and co-edited The Scientific Basis of Health and Safety Regulation (1981). Most recently he co-authored an article E - 13 on the environmental and economic implications of electric vehicles. Education: B.A., Economics, Reed College; Ph.D., Economics, Harvard University. Andrew C. Lemer is an engineer-economist and planner with more than two decades of experience in feasibility analysis, market research, project and policy planning, technology assessment, and environmental impact analyses related to large-scale urban and regional development activities and civil infrastructure systems. He is the Founder (in 1985) and Chief Executive of The MATRIX Group, Inc., where he organizes and manages large multidisciplinary professional teams performing assignments throughout the United States and the world. Dr. Lemer served for five years as a Director of the Building Research Board of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, where he was responsible for establishing strategic programs in Infrastructure Technology and Policy and Management of Building Technology. He currently lectures on urbanization and environmental policy at The Johns Hopkins University and holds an appointment as Visiting Professor of Civil Engineering at Purdue University. He is the author of numerous professional publications and articles, including Solving the Innovation Puzzle: Challenges Facing the U.S. Design and Construction Industry (co-authored with H. Bernstein). He is a former member of Civil Engineering Research Foundation task forces to Japan (1990) and Europe (1993). Education: Ph.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Loeb Fellowship, Harvard University Graduate School of Design. Henry L. Michel is Chairman Emeritus at Parsons Brinckerhoff, Inc., Director of Parsons Brinckerhoff International, Inc., and Chairman of PB Ingenieros Consultores, S.A.. Mr. Michel’s chief area of expertise is transportation planning, rail and rapid-transit system design and construction management. At Parsons Brinckerhoff, he has served as Principal-in-Charge for the direction of the Metropolitan Atlanta Rapid Transit Authority (MARTA) system, the Caracas, Venezuela Metro, and the development of a new rapid-transit system for Taipei, Taiwan. He also has domestic and international project experience on a variety of environmental technology initiatives, ports and marine terminals, commercial airports and military airfields, underground hardened defense installations, nuclear repositories, thermal power plants, and water supply and wastewater treatment systems. Prior to joining Parsons Brinckerhoff in 1965, Mr. Michel was owner and Chief Executive Officer of a European-based consulting engineering firm. In 1996, he was honored with the Golden Beaver Award for Engineering and is also a 1994 recipient of the Engineer of the Year award by the New York Association of Consulting Engineers. Mr. Michel is Chairman of the American Consulting Engineers Council’s International Activities Committee, Chairman of the Civil Engineering Research Foundation (CERF), and Vice Chairman of the Building Futures Council. He is also a registered Professional Engineer, a Fellow with the American Society of Civil Engineers, Society of American Military Engineers, and the Institution of Civil Engineers. He is co-author of several books and author of numerous technical articles. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, Columbia University. E - 14 Dick Netzer is Professor of Economics and Public Administration and Senior Fellow at the Taub Urban Research Center in the Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service at New York University. His research interests include urban economics and public finance, with special attention to transportation economics, taxation, and financing. His research projects have examined taxation of transportation industries on a national basis, economics of suburban rail service in the New York area, and long-range economic and financial prospects for public transportation in New York. Dr. Netzer is a member of the Board of Directors of the Municipal Assistance Corporation for the City of New York and has served on many ad hoc boards and commissions, including the New York City Commission on the Year 2000. He has been a member or chairman of numerous technical, advisory, and editorial boards such as the Board of Economic Advisors and the New York State Assembly Ways and Means Committee. He is also a past editor of the quarterly, New York Affairs. During Dr. Netzer’s long career at NYU, he has served as Chairman of the Economics Department, Dean of the Graduate School of Public Administration, and founding Director of the Taub Urban Research Center. His books include Financing Government in New York City, Economics of the Property Tax, The Economics of the Public Finance (co-author), and Economics and Urban Problems. Education: B.A., Economics, University of Wisconsin; M.A., Economics, Harvard University; M.P.A., Harvard University; Ph.D., Economics, Harvard University. Robert E. Paaswell is Distinguished Professor of Civil Engineering and Director of the Region II University Transportation Research Center (UTRC) at City University of New York. At the UTRC, he directs research and training programs designed to improve transportation in USDOT Region II. He is currently managing projects for a number of regional agencies for developing institutional tools to aid those organizations in becoming more responsive to the intermodal, transit issues and CMAQ issues of ISTEA/CAAA. Dr. Paaswell serves on the Transit Cooperative Research Program Board, the Institute of Transportation Engineers Transit Council and was an advisor to the Office of Technology Assessment study on Technology and Urban Areas. He was also a charter member of the APTA R&D committee and chaired the APTA’s Mission Statement and Objective task force of the Transit 2000 project. In the past, he was a Professor of Civil Engineering and Chairman of the Urban Planning Department at the State University of New York at Buffalo where he organized and directed the Center for Transportation Studies and Research. The Center was responsible for a number of studies, including a project on the transportation disadvantaged and the Buffalo Light Rail System. Dr. Paaswell also held positions as Executive Director (CEO) of the Chicago Transit Authority and Director of the Urban Transportation Center at the University of Illinois, where he initiated a training program in mainland China to address surface transportation issues. He has received the Medal for Superior Achievement from the Secretary of the U.S. Department of Transportation and is a registered Professional Engineer. Education: B.A., Liberal Arts, Columbia University; B.S., Civil Engineering, Columbia University; M.S., Civil Engineering, Columbia University; Ph.D., Civil Engineering, Rutgers University. E - 15 Joseph C. Perkowski is Manager of the Advanced Civil Systems program within the Research and Development Group of Bechtel. He is responsible for the effective technical and business integration of new technological developments within the strategic plan of Bechtel Civil, Inc., the operating arm of Bechtel in the area of civil systems. These include application areas such as high-speed rail, smart building systems, and innovative highway design techniques. Dr. Perkowski joined Bechtel in March 1986. From 1982 to February 1986, he was Staff Programs Manager with the Building Systems Company subsidiary of United Technologies Corporation (UTC), where he worked with the Sharetech “Intelligent Building” affiliate formed by UTC and AT&T. From October 1979 through August 1982, he held successive management positions with the corporate office of Oxford Development Group, Ltd. of Edmonton, Alberta, including Vice President of Engineering and Corporate Vice President of Design and Construction. Prior to joining Oxford, he held the position of Senior Research Officer within the Corporate Department of Environmental and Social Affairs at Petro-Canada, Calgary, Alberta. Education: Ph.D., Environmental Systems Management, MIT. William J. Petak is a Professor and Executive Director of the Institute of Safety and Systems Management at the University of Southern California. Dr. Petak’s research interests involve interdisciplinary approaches to the management of technology, with special emphasis on reducing the risks associated with new technologies and natural hazards. He is a member of the Adjunct Faculty of FEMA’s Emergency Management Institute, the Building Seismic Safety Council’s Seismic Rehabilitation Advisory Committee and is Chair of the Financial Services Sub-Committee of the City of Los Angeles, Mayor’s Blue Ribbon Panel on Seismic Hazard Reduction. He is a past member of the following National Research Council committees: the U.S. Committee for the Decade for Natural Hazard Reduction, the Committee on Natural Disasters, the Committee on Ground Failure Hazards Research, and the Committee on the Socioeconomic Aspects of Earthquake Prediction. He is the author of many papers on earthquake hazard mitigation and public policy, and is co-author of three books: Natural Risk Assessment and Public Policy (1982), Politics and Economics of Earthquake Hazard Mitigation (1986), and Disabled Persons and Earthquake Hazards (1988). Education: B.S., Engineering, University of Pittsburgh; M.B.A., Public Administration, University of Southern California; Ph.D., Public Administration, University of Southern California. Henry L. Peyrebrune is an independent transportation consultant currently serving as an advisor to the Minister of Communications in Saudi Arabia and the Albany County Government. He is also a member of the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Civil Engineering Department Advisory Board. For 33 years, Mr. Peyrebrune worked at the New York State Department of Transportation in a variety of positions, including Assistant Commissioner for Public Transportation and First Deputy Commissioner. As Assistant Commissioner, he was responsible for aviation, public transit, commercial transportation, including the regulation of private carriers, the Public Transportation Safety Board and policy development. As First Deputy Commissioner, Mr. Peyrebrune provided direction to the Office of Public Transportation, the Office of Management and Finance, and the Office of Human Resources. Previously, he worked as a Transportation Analyst with the NYS Department of Public Works and a Program Associate in the areas of environment, recreation, and transportation for former New York Governor Carey. He is a registered Professional Engineer in New York State and has served on numerous national and international professional committees. Education: B.S., Civil E - 16 Engineering, Purdue University; graduate studies at Yale University; Ph.D. work at University of Minnesota. Karen R. Polenske is Professor of Regional Political Economy and Planning in the Department of Urban Studies and Planning at MIT and directs the multiregional planning research staff in that department. She teaches classes on regional development and planning theories and models, infrastructure, and transitions in property rights. Dr. Polenske’s contributions to the field of regional and national accounting include the development and estimation of a comprehensive set of multiregional input-output (MRIO) accounts for the United States, and the construction and implementation of the MRIO model that can be used to predict regional outputs and interregional freight shipments simultaneously. She has also applied the MRIO and other regional models to employment, energy, environmental, and transportation issues in the United States and China. Currently, Dr. Polenske is developing a property-rights framework for economic development strategies. Prior to joining MIT in 1972, Dr. Polenske taught and conducted research at the Department of Economics at Harvard University. Education: B.A., Home Economics, Oregon State College; M.A., Public Administration and Economics, Syracuse University; and Ph.D., Economics, Harvard University. John Ramage is Senior Vice President of CH2M Hill where he is managing a remediation team in the initial planning and implementation for the environmental remediation of the 3,800 acre petroleum refinery in Port Arthur, Texas. Previously, Mr. Ramage served as Director of the Milwaukee Water Pollution Abatement Program (MWPAP), where he managed all phases of the $2.3 billion program. The MWPAP includes $670 million in upgrades and improvements to the Jones Island Wastewater Treatment Plant, $200 million in upgrades to the South Shore Wastewater Treatment Plant, a $680 million interceptor and relief sewer program with 19 miles of 17- to 32-foot diameter rock tunnel up to 350 feet below ground surface, and a $330 million combined sewer overflow abatement program. Mr. Ramage is registered as a professional engineer in Oregon, Washington, and Wisconsin. He is a Fellow of the American Society of Civil Engineers, and a member of the International Society of Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering, the Underground Technology Research Council, and the Cornell University School of Civil and Environmental Engineering Advisory Council. He has also served on numerous committees of the Association of Engineering Firms Practicing in the Geosciences, and the National Research Council, where he is presently on the Committee for an Infrastructure Technology Research Agenda. Education: B.S. with distinction, Civil Engineering, Washington State University; M.S., Civil Engineering, (University Fellow), University of Illinois. Charles ReVelle is Founder of and Professor in the Program in Systems Analysis and Economics for Public Decision Making at The Johns Hopkins University. Established in 1974, the program’s mission is research and education in the field of quantitative policy analysis as especially applied to environmental and urban/regional decision-making. Dr. ReVelle’s areas of research and teaching include: the design of location systems for fire stations and fire equipment, for ambulance deployment, power plants, and wastewater and manufacturing plants; the modeling of water quality systems both from a descriptive and management perspective; the management of water resources as embodied in reservoir design and operation policy; arms control strategy deployment (before the end of the Cold War); and natural area planning and forestry management science. Although these are the principle areas in which he has worked, E - 17 Dr. ReVelle also has published papers on population modeling, epidemic management, costsharing, traffic intersection design, and solar energy systems for homes, among others. His papers have appeared in Water Resources Research, Water Resources Bulletin, Demography, Journal of Regional Science, Transportation Research, and other journals as well. He is associate editor of Management Science and a member of the Editorial Board of four other journals. With his wife, Penelope, he has written three textbooks: Sourcebook on the Environment, Houghton Miffin, 1974; The Environment: Issues and Choices for Society, Jones and Bartlett, 3rd ed., 1987; and The Global Environment: Securing a Sustainable Future, Jones and Bartlett, 1992. Education: B.Ch.E., Cornell University; Ph.D., Environmental Systems Engineering, Cornell University. James E. Roberts is Director of the Engineering Service Center and Chief Structures Engineer for the California Department of Transportation. A 43-year veteran of the Department, Mr. Roberts has a comprehensive background in planning, budgeting, design, construction, administration, equipment acquisition, major project management and large statewide program management. He has been the Principal-in-Charge of the $3.5 Billion Bridge Seismic Retrofit Strengthening Program and has implemented a comprehensive “problem focused” research program in support of seismic design and retrofit for California’s 12,000 bridges. He is a member of several organizations, including ACI, ASCE, the National Academy of Engineers, and SEAOC. He currently chairs three technical committees of the AASHTO Sub-Committee for Bridges and Structures. In addition, he chaired the AASHTO-AGC-ARTBA Task Force 32 which produced the “Manual for Corrosion Protection of Concrete Bridges,” published in 1993. Mr. Roberts has conducted research on bridge technology and has published several technical papers on bridge design and maintenance (especially seismic design and retrofit). In addition, he is a retired Colonel with the U.S. Army, having spent thirty-three years as a Reserve Officer and two years on active duty with the Army Corps of Engineers in Korea. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, University of California, Berkeley; M.S., Structural Engineering, University of Southern California. Della M. Roy is Professor of Materials Science, Emerita, at the Materials Research Laboratory and Department of Materials Science and Engineering at Pennsylvania State University. She is Founding Editor and Editor-in-Chief of Cement and Concrete Research, and was the first to make ultrahigh strength cement, leading to a new family of products within the family of chemically bonded ceramics. Her research interests include chemically bonded ceramics, concrete microstructure, chemistry of calcium silicates, hydrothermal and high temperature reactions, cement hydration, surface chemistry, high pressure reactions, geochemistry reactions, and very high strength low porosity cement composites and concrete. Dr. Roy is a member of the National Academy of Engineering, and a Fellow of the Mineralogical Society of America, AAAS, American Ceramic Society and American Concrete Institute. She serves on numerous committees, including the Board of Trustees at the American Ceramic Society, the Executive Committee of the Transportation Research Board, the National Academy of Sciences Panel for the Center for Building Technology, and the Council of the Materials Research Society. She is a recipient of the John Jeppson Medal and the Copeland Award of the American Ceramic Society for her contributions in the area of the chemistry of cements. Dr. Roy is also the author of more than 360 research papers and editor of eight books. Education: B.S. Magna Cum Laude, E - 18 Chemistry, University of Oregon; M.S. and Ph.D., Mineralogy and Geochemistry, Pennsylvania State University. Robert M. Schwab is Professor of Economics at the University of Maryland where he has also served as Department of Economics Director of Graduate Studies since 1991. Between 19871988 he was a Gilbert White Fellow at Resources for the Future, and before joining the faculty at the University of Maryland, Dr. Schwab worked as a planner for five years. His primary field of research is public economics with a particular emphasis on state and local government. Some of his recent research focuses on the link between infrastructure investment and regional economic growth. His other current primary research interests include education finance reform, the distribution of education resources, and the relative efficiency of public and Catholic schools. He has done recent work on land taxation, tax amnesties, life-cycle tax incidence, and teenage pregnancy. Education: M.A., City and Regional Planning, University of North Carolina; Ph.D., Economics, The Johns Hopkins University. Luis Suarez-Villa is Professor of Urban and Regional Planning at the University of California (Irvine). He is a specialist in regional economic development, regional science, and urban planning. He is interested in exploring the relationship between economic development and the human capital and communications infrastructures. His recent research has explored the relationship between infrastructural investment and technological innovation with long-range series data. Dr. Suarez-Villa has also had extensive international experience, researching aspects of regional and local development, industrial location, and technological change in Spain, Sweden, Austria, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, and the United States. He is the author or coauthor of 64 publications in his areas of expertise, including the forthcoming chapter, “Innovative Capacity, Infrastructure, and Regional Policy,” appearing in Infrastructure, Economic Growth and Regional Development (David Batten and Charles Karlsson, eds.). Dr. Suarez-Villa is a member of the Regional Science Association International, the Western Regional Science Association, the American Economic Association, the Association of American Geographers, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science. Education: B.Arch., Design and Architectural Engineering, University of Florida; M.A.Arch., Urban Design and History, University of Florida; M.R.P., Planning, Cornell University; Ph.D., Planning, Economics, Latin American Studies, Cornell University. Joel A. Tarr is Richard S. Caliguiri Professor of Urban and Environmental History and Policy at Carnegie Mellon University. He is presently studying industrial and municipal pollution and changing urban energy systems. Dr. Tarr has been the recipient of fellowships and grants from the National Science Foundation, the National Endowment for the Humanities, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the National Park Service, and the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation. He has served on the National Research Council and the Office of Technology Assessment committees concerned with problems of the urban infrastructure and technology. He is the recipient of CMU’s 1992 Robert Doherty Prize for contributions to excellence in education and the 1988 Abel Wolman Prize of the Public Works Historical Society. He has written extensively on the history and impacts of technological systems, primarily in the area of environmental infrastructure and water supply. His two latest works are The Search for the Ultimate Sink: Urban Pollution in Historical Perspective (forthcoming), and “Economic Impact of Rail Transport in Western Pennsylvania, 1950-1990,” (with D. Hounshell and M. Samber, E - 19 1995). Dr. Tarr has also had articles appear in numerous journals, including Agricultural History, American Journal of Public Health, Environmental History Review, Journal of Infrastructure Systems (ASCE), Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, and the Journal of Urban History. Education: Ph.D., Northwestern University. Martin Wachs is Director of the University of California Transportation Center and Professor of City and Regional Planning and Professor of Civil Engineering at the University of California, Berkeley. Prior to Berkeley, Dr. Wachs was a Professor of Urban Planning and Director of the Institute of Transportation Studies at UCLA. He is an active member of the Transportation Research Board, and recently chaired a committee that studied congestion pricing policy. Recently, he served as Special Master to the United States District Court in San Francisco, providing technical advice in a lawsuit against the Metropolitan Transportation Commission. He is an active member of the American Planning Association and the American Institute of Certified Planners, sits on several editorial boards of planning journals, and is former Associate Editor of the international journal, Transportation. Dr. Wachs has also been a consultant to a number of private companies and public agencies and is the author of four books and ninety articles on transportation planning. Recently, his writings have dealt with the relationship between transportation, air quality and land use. In 1986 he received an award for being a “Distinguished Planning Educator” from the California Planning Association, and is the recipient of a Distinguished Teaching Award from the UCLA Alumni Association. Education: B.S., Civil Engineering, City University of New York; M.S. and Ph.D., Transportation Planning, Northwestern University. Gene E. Willeke is Director of the Institute of Environmental Sciences and Professor of Geography at Miami University in Oxford, Ohio. Prior to joining the faculty at Miami University, Dr. Willeke taught at Stanford University and The Georgia Institute of Technology. Dr. Willeke’s areas of interest include public works planning, especially transportation and water resources, geographic information systems, hydrology, local government land-use planning and construction, environmental planning and analysis, and social impact assessment. He is currently a member of the Fernald Citizens Task Force, Ohio EPA Director’s Advisory Council, and the Butler County Land Use Coordinating Committee. He has been a consultant to the U.S. EPA, U.S. Department of Transportation, Atlanta Regional Commission, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, among others. Dr. Willeke’s federal expertise also includes the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers’ Board of Engineers for Rivers and Harbors, U.S. Bureau of Public Roads, U.S. Public Health Service, and the Institute for Water Resources, Corps of Engineers. He is co-author of The House That Jack Built, an agenda for the assessment of the technologies for the Built Environment for the National Science Foundation. At present, he is completing work on a drought atlas of the United States. Education: A.B., Mathematics, Ohio Northern University; B.S., Civil Engineering, Ohio Northern University; M.S.C.E., Water Resources Management, Stanford University; Ph.D., Engineering-Economic Planning, Stanford University. E - 20 Jeff R. Wright is Professor of Civil Engineering at Purdue University and Director of the Indiana Water Resources Research Center. His area of expertise is the application of systems analysis and operations research to public-sector engineering management problems, and the design and development of computer-based support systems. He specializes in the areas of multiobjective optimization and heuristic algorithm design, and is particularly interested in spatial and geometric optimization. Dr. Wright is Editor-in-Chief of the Journal of Infrastructure Systems of the American Society of Civil Engineers. He is author or co-author of over 150 scholarly papers and research reports. Education: B.A., Social Psychology, University of Washington; B.S.E. and M.S.C.E., University of Washington; Ph.D., John Hopkins University. E - 21
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