Melvin Greer

Emerging Technologies that
Impact the Workforce
Leveraging Talent at all levels of the
Organization is a Business Imperative
focused on Innovation and Performance
Melvin Greer
Advanced Software Chief Architect
Senior Research Engineer
Advanced Technologies Office
November 12, 2008
0000 11/11/2008 1
Innovation and Increased
Performance
Direct connection between inclusiveness,
meaningful work, and employee
productivity
There is a direct relationship between
integration of inclusion into business
processes and employees’ commitment to
organization
Employee
Satisfaction &
Engagement
Retention
Input &
Innovation
Business
Results
Customer
Satisfaction
& Retention
We need to prepare ourselves to attract a disproportionate
share of the talent in order to have the skills available to
sustain and grow our business.
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved
Manpower vs. Capability
Captain Patricia Cole, USN, Special Assistant to the Chief of Naval Operations
QUINCY CA-71
Commissioned: Dec 1943
Complement: 1,142
Sensor Range: 60 miles
Weapons Range: 18 miles
Battle space Awareness: 60 miles
CAPE ST GEORGE (CG71)
Commissioned: June 1993
Complement: ~380
Sensor Range: 256 miles
Weapons Range: 800+ miles
Battle space Awareness: Theater Wide
CG (X) 71
Complement: ↓ ≈ 150
Sensor Range: 500+ miles
Weapons Range:
Range: 1000+ miles
Battle space Awareness: Global GIG
Training demand ↑ ↑
Capability ↑ ↑
Non-Minority
Non-Minority
Non-Minority
African American
African American
African American
Hispanic
Hispanic
Hispanic
Asian/Other
Asian/Other
Asian/Other
“Workforce 2020”
Workforce 2050
Need less people, more talent, and better access to that talent.
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved
3
DoD Core Competency
Kristen Baldwin, Director, Systems and Software Engineering
Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense
Analysis of Program Failure - Inadequate software architectures,
design, development discipline, and organizational competencies
• Issue: Software Growth
– Software Requirements Growth: 80% of system functionality
[CSIS]
– Software Overruns: 50% of SW efforts [Standish Grp]
• Issue: There is a choke-point in the supply of top-tier software
program managers, architects, and domain experts in the nation
• Top Software Issues and Project Areas
✫
Requirements
✫
SE/SW Integration
✫
Human Capital
✫
SW Sustainment
✫
SW Testing
✫
SW Quality Metrics
✫
SW Estimation
SSE FY08/09 Thrust Area: Software Engineering Competency the focus on software engineering as a critical element of complex
systems acquisition
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Key Issues
• How are workforce trends and
forecast changes influencing the
ability to succeed?
• What emerging and disruptive
technologies impact workforce and
talent management?
• What are the global forces shaping
workforce issues projected 20
years out?
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved
Workforce Trends and Forecast
•Growing Demand for Credible
Leaders
•Abundance of Excellent
Employees vs. Scarcity of
Credible Leaders
Workforce
Change is
occurring faster
Workforce
Change is
making a bigger
Impact
Past
Today
•Attrition Pressures Will Accelerate;
Zero to 5 Years; “Hot Jobs”
•Salary Inflation & Employer Of
Choice Return
•Employees Will Retire Later
•Retirements Will Not Hit Critical
Mass Until After 2020
Competition for Talent is a
Global Business Issue
•Valuing Diversity / Fostering
Inclusion Becomes Essential
•Minorities Become the Majority
(15 -20 years)
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Workforce is more Diverse
Percent Growth Civilian Labor
Force 2002-2012
• Change Occurring Faster Than
Prior Projections
60
50
40
• By 2012, Minority Groups Will
Comprise 35% Of Labor Force—
will Be The Majority Between
2025-2030
30
20
10
0
White
African Amer
Hispanic
Asian
Minorities As Percent Of U.S. Labor
Force
20
15
10
5
0
1992
2002
Hispanic
African Amer
2012
Asian
• Hispanics Have Become The
Largest Minority Group –Two
Years Earlier Than Projections
• The percentage of working-age
people with a disability is 12.1%
or 2,026,800 individuals
Increased Penetration Of
Under-represented Groups
Into Engineering Is
Imperative
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved
Emerging Technologies
Impacting Workforce Planning
% Software Content in Solution
Software
Coding vs.,
Composition
•Competency and
Qualification vs.
Certification
•Semantics, Context
Awareness, Autonomic
Computing
•User Contribution and
Experience
•1) Enterprise
Architects
•2) Software Engineers
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Transformational Priority Matrix
For transforming
products, services
and commerce —
Web 2.0, 3-D printing
and virtual
worlds
For driving deep
changes in the role
and capabilities of IT
— cloud computing,
SOA and
context delivery
architecture
For their ability to
drive major
advances in
automation — mobile
robots and RFID
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved
Seven Revolutions 2025
Global Strategy Institute at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
1.
Population - Between 2007 and 2025, the population of the developed world is expected to grow 3%, while the
population of the developing world is expected to grow 49%
2.
Resource management and environmental stewardship - The Millennium Ecosystem
Assessment (2005) estimates that between 5 and 20 percent of global freshwater use exceeds long-term accessible
supplies.
3.
Technological innovation and diffusion - The U.S. biotechnology industry’s revenue in 2004 was
$42.7 billion, 78.2 percent of the global total.
4.
5.
The development and dissemination of information and knowledge - By 2015, 80 percent
of people currently in the workforce will remain. Yet, 80 percent of current technology will be replaced with new
technology to which existing workers must adapt.
Economic integration - The richest 2 percent of the world’s population now owns more than 50 percent of
global wealth.
6.
The nature and mode of conflict - According to the GAO, there are 120 countries or groups developing
information warfare systems
7.
The challenge of governance - Americans, 18-25 years old, are significantly more likely to consider a
company’s citizenship practices when making purchasing, employment, and investment decisions
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2008 Lockheed Martin All rights reserved