SIMULATION BASED EVALUATION ON THE EFFECTS OF JAYWALKING by Roy J. Wang A thesis submitted to the Faculty of the University of Delaware in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Civil Engineering Summer 2009 Copyright 2009 Roy J. Wang All Rights Reserved ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I would like to thank my advisor and mentor, Earl “Rusty” Lee. Without his guidance, this thesis would never have been possible. Throughout my journey here at the University of Delaware, he has given nothing but encouragement, praise, and support. I would also like to thank my family, friends, and loved ones. They have always helped me in my time of need and given me their blessing in all my choices throughout my life. Thank you for everything. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .......................................................................................... iii TABLE OF CONTENTS .............................................................................................. iv ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................... 1 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................... 3 CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................... 6 CHAPTER 3 DATA COLLECTION ........................................................................... 12 CHAPTER 4 METHODOLOGY ................................................................................. 18 CHAPTER 5 RESULTS............................................................................................... 25 CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE WORK ............................................. 30 BIBLIOGRAPHY ........................................................................................................ 34 APPENDIX A PEDESTRIAN DATA COLLECTION ............................................... 37 APPENDIX B TRAFFIC COUNT DATA .................................................................. 45 APPENDIX C CALCULATIONS ............................................................................... 52 APPENDIX D DATA AND HISTOGRAMS .............................................................. 68 iv ABSTRACT Jaywalking is a behavior that exposes the pedestrian to a high-risk condition and induces delay for vehicular traffic. The focus of most pedestrian research has been on the issue of safety. The goal of this research is to measure the impact on travel time and delay for vehicle traffic due to pedestrians who are crossing traffic, including jaywalkers. By using a micro-simulation software, VISSIM, the differences in travel time and delay time have been measured for a series of pedestrian scenarios. Data was collected in Newark, DE along East Main Street, a section of roadway serving many attractions near to the University of Delaware. Vehicle and pedestrian volumes and pedestrian crossing locations were observed and recorded during the midday peak hour. Four scenarios were created in order to compare the effect of pedestrians and jaywalkers. This first scenario was titled the Base Case scenario and contained just the vehicle volumes and the signal timings for the main intersections. The Case 1 scenario introduced pedestrians at only the signalized crosswalks, which were located at each major intersection. Next, the Case 2 scenario contained the marked midblock crossings in addition to the already existing signalized crosswalks from Case 1. Finally, the Case 3 scenario contained jaywalkers, where pedestrians were free to cross wherever and whenever they appeared in the data collection. This scenario had several paths along East Main Street to allow pedestrians to cross freely with the right of way, in order to simulate jaywalking. In each case, pedestrian volumes were balanced to ensure the same total number of pedestrians were crossing. 1 The results showed that when pedestrians are legally crossing at the signalized locations, they do not obstruct traffic. However, when pedestrians are allowed to cross at the marked midblock crossings, there is a significant increase in travel time and delay when compared to a network with no pedestrians. This was also true when comparing the Base Case to the one with pedestrians and jaywalkers scattered throughout. Finally, we compared the jaywalking network to the network with pedestrians crossing legally at crosswalks and discovered that the addition of jaywalkers does have a significant impact on the travel time and delay of oncoming motorists. 2 Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION Regardless of the mode of transportation that is taken, all roadway users hope to experience a minimal amount of delay and travel time. As a driver, one must often yield to pedestrians, especially when making right turns, resulting in increased delay. The same applies to pedestrians that arrive at an intersection and experience a DON’T WALK phase from the signal. These individuals are experiencing delays as they yield to motorists that are currently traveling through the segment of roadway which they intend to cross. As a result, a tradeoff exists between pedestrians and drivers that balance the delay that they experience from the intersection or roadway segment. With this in mind, some roadway users may attempt to reduce their experienced delay by taking a more direct approach to reach their destination. A pedestrian may decide to jaywalk if their destination is directly across the roadway, there is no crosswalk nearby, and the vehicular flow is deemed suitable. This is mainly true because pedestrian street-crossing behavior is responsive to the street environment (Chu 2004). Jaywalking is described in two ways. One is the act of crossing outside of a delineated crosswalk. The other is the act of crossing within the crosswalk but during a flashing or solid DON’T WALK phase of the pedestrian signal. Akin and Sisiopiku (2007) have provided similar definitions when discussing pedestrian crossing compliance and have classified each as spatial and temporal crossing 3 compliance, respectively, and these classifications to describe jaywalking will be used in this thesis. Many past studies have been focused on pedestrian crossing behavior. These studies have evaluated the effectiveness of crosswalks, in terms of location and usage, as well as the efficiency of pedestrian signal phasing that informs the pedestrians of when it is safe to traverse a crosswalk. In addition, most past research analyzed the safety concerns for pedestrians when crossing the road. The size of the pedestrian population makes it difficult to predict the behavior of each individual. One common trait about the pedestrian population is their intolerance for delay. If a pedestrian crosses the road away from a crosswalk, the driver is not expecting an obstruction along the open roadway. As a driver approaches a crosswalk, they are more aware of the possibility that there could be a pedestrian crossing at that time. This is especially true with marked crosswalks, as they are generally associated with traffic signals and located at intersections where drivers use greater caution and lower driver speeds, when compared with unmarked crossings (Van Houten, McCusker et al. 2003). In general it can be said that most spatial jaywalking is occurring at the points furthest from the marked locations. The midblock dart-out [by a pedestrian] is by far the most common pedestrian-related accident type, accounting for one-third of all pedestrian accidents (Knoblauch, Tobey et al. 1984). This research will take a different approach to the issue of jaywalking. Rather than analyze the safety issues associated with jaywalking, this research will determine the vehicular delays experienced by motorists due to pedestrian crossings. A pedestrian establishes a minimum critical gap and associated safety margin before crossing the street. As vehicles approach, each gap between them 4 commonly referred to as headway, is evaluated and the gap is either accepted or rejected for crossing. If the gap is rejected, the next one is considered. This is known as the Gap-Acceptance Theory (Palamarthy, Mahmassani et al. 1994). However in the event that the pedestrian miscalculates the gap and decides to cross anyways, the driver is forced to decelerate in order to avoid collision with the pedestrian. This deceleration translates to delay that is experienced by the motorist, as well as following vehicles that are also forced to slow down. This amount of delay will be compared among different scenarios that incorporate a base case that involves no pedestrians on the network, scenarios with pedestrians only along the designated crosswalk areas, and the real-life scenario with pedestrians crossing freely. This will give us the opportunity to determine the increase in delay associated with strictly jaywalkers, when it is compared with the legally crossing pedestrians. The basic premise of this research is that jaywalking causes the largest increases in delay for the vehicles. This premise will be proved or disproved by the data and analysis. Consideration of jaywalking as a delay source as well as a safety issue may become a useful aspect for consideration by traffic engineers as they evaluate transportation corridors. 5 Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW As stated in the introduction, most of the past pedestrian related research has been focused on pedestrian movement or crossing behavior. Often, these analyses evaluate the issues of safety and delay experienced only by the pedestrians. Few have included jaywalking. Pedestrian behavior is generally unpredictable. Due to the diversity of pedestrians in regards to age and physical ability, their characteristics differ from group to group. However, it can be said that in general, all pedestrians are concerned with travel time and delay. In fact, about 75% of pedestrians feel that they should have to wait one minute or less before crossing the street upon arrival of the curb edge (Fitzpatrick, Ullman et al. 2004). Increased or unexpected delays can result in more frequent jaywalking. Jason and Liotta (1982) discovered that under non-facilitating crossing conditions, pedestrians are more likely to jaywalk. Non-facilitating crossing conditions occur when a pedestrian crosses one leg of an intersection and then must wait 30 seconds before the WALK phase in order to cross the second leg. By increasing the delay that the pedestrians experienced, more of them were willing to cross regardless of the current phase. Jaywalking can also occur when pedestrians cross the street outside of a designated crosswalk. Akin and Sisiopiku (2007) conducted a study to determine the pedestrian crossing compliance when approaching signalized crosswalks. While performing the pedestrian count, the number of jaywalkers was also recorded in order 6 to determine the spatial compliance of each crosswalk, specifically the number of pedestrians that were actually using it. They found that the average spatial compliance rate for crossing within the crosswalk was only 83.1%. In addition, the compliance of pedestrians to cross only when a WALK phase is encountered was defined as the temporal compliance. It was determined that the average temporal compliance rate was a mere 50.6%. This shows that pedestrians are often crossing whenever they feel is more convenient, in order to reduce delay of waiting for a WALK phase or traveling to the nearest crosswalk to traverse the road safely. Although this study focuses on pedestrian crossing behavior and discusses jaywalking, it does not analyze the effects that the behavior will have on approaching vehicles. In another study, Kim, Brunner, and Yamashita (2008) analyzed pedestrian and driver behavior in order to examine patterns of violation and compliance in regards to crosswalks. Drivers were evaluated on whether or not they fully yielded to pedestrians that are within the crosswalks, while pedestrians were evaluated on whether they crossed within the crosswalk boundaries and if they obeyed the pedestrian signal. The authors determined that the most common driver violation occurred at unsignalized midblock crossings when drivers did not stop for pedestrians waiting to cross at the crosswalk. Only 43% of drivers fully complied when yielding to pedestrians, ensuring that they had cleared the road completely before passing through the crosswalk. For pedestrians, it was found that the most common type of violation was crossing outside of the crosswalk, also referred to in this paper as spatial jaywalking. This study provided useful information in support of this research because it noted specifically that jaywalking was the most common violation. Also, it analyzed both pedestrian and driver behavior when approaching a crosswalk. This research 7 differs from Kim, Brunner et al. (2008) because rather than considering pedestrian and driver behavior as two separate factors, it will determine the direct impact of jaywalking on the delay experienced by the drivers. From these studies, it could be determined that pedestrians were often crossing at locations that they consider safe, regardless of whether or not a crosswalk is present. Also, a significant amount of drivers are improperly yielding to pedestrians at crosswalks. In fact, only 30.7% of vehicles wait for pedestrians to clear the walkway before proceeding (DeVeauuse, Kim et al. 1999). As a result, a tradeoff exists between delays experienced by pedestrians, and those experienced by drivers. One study from the University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei focused on the effects a pedestrian has on the flow of traffic. Jiang, Wu, and Li (2002) conducted a study analyzing how a pedestrian crossing the roadway affected the flow of traffic. They developed a mathematical model to determine the change in roadway capacity as a pedestrian impedes the flow of traffic. In their study, the basic scenario was of a pedestrian waiting to cross the road, while a vehicle is approaching. They established that the pedestrian would cross if the speed of the approaching driver and their distance from the pedestrian would provide enough time to safely cross the lane of travel (assumed to be 0.5 sec). Also, they considered that in the event a vehicle approaches a pedestrian in the roadway, the vehicle would stop, as if there is a roadblock ahead, until the pedestrian exits the travel lane. After completing their analysis, they discovered that if the average headway between vehicles is either small or large, then the capacity of the roadway remains unchanged. However, in the event that the headway between vehicles is intermediate, then the capacity is greatly affected by the addition of pedestrians (Jiang, Wu et al. 2002). Although this study evaluated 8 the impact of pedestrians on the flow of traffic, it differs from this study in that pedestrians that jaywalk are considered along with those that legally cross within an intersection. Their study only focused on one lane of travel with one pedestrian path. This research introduces numerous paths that pedestrians may take along the corridor of interest. The research discussed in this thesis also gives the right of way to pedestrians. This means that vehicles are forced to stop for individuals using the crosswalk, rather than having the pedestrians evaluate each gap and determine if they can cross in time. Another study performed by Ishaque and Noland (2007) utilized VISSIM, a micro-simulation model, to study the effects of signal cycle timings on delay and travel time costs for both vehicles and pedestrians. They discovered that shorter cycle timings generally benefit pedestrians. Although our project will utilize microsimulation software and involve a tradeoff between pedestrian/jaywalker and vehicular delay, it is different from Ishaque’s work because this work is not an optimization. This research relies on the current signal timings of the area of interest and determining the effect of jaywalking on the delay when compared to pedestrian traffic that crosses at the correct locations. While researching information regarding pedestrian crossing behavior, it was discovered that several studies are focused on the way that pedestrians perceive their environment and what they would consider as safe or unsafe crossing locations. These studies included Schneider, Khattak et al. (2002), Chu (2004), Fitzpatrick, Ullman et al. (2004), Chu, Guttenplan et al. (2004), and Bernhoft and Carstensen (2008). All of these studies were performed by conducting surveys or questionnaires designed to determine what a pedestrian would consider safe, and whether or not this 9 is categorical of a certain age, gender, etc. Although this information is useful, it does not directly relate to this research. Another common focus of pedestrians studies are related to pedestrian walking characteristics. These often center on factors such as walking time, start up time, crossing location, age, gender, time of day, etc. Some of these studies include Knoblauch, Tobey et al. (1984), Knoblauch, Pietrucha et al. (1996), Coffin and Morrall (1995), Montufar, Arango et al. (2007), and Bowman and Vecellio (1994). All of these studies were performed by simply observing pedestrians and determining their characteristics as well as the surrounding environment. This information is useful in trying to establishing generalized information about a specific group of people such as males, females, the elderly, etc. Once again, though, this information is not directly related to this study of how jaywalkers affect the flow of traffic. Pedestrian delay is also a general focal point for pedestrian related studies. Many of them evaluate the delays experienced by pedestrians in different roadway environments. Some studies that were geared towards calculating this pedestrian delay were Virkler (1998), Kruszyna, Mackiewicz et al. (2006), and Chu and Baltes (2002). Although these studies provide useful information on pedestrian level of service and delay, as well as measures taken in order to reduce delay, this research is mainly geared toward the level of service and delay of the oncoming vehicles. When researching pedestrian crossing behavior, another frequent theme for study is related to pedestrian accidents and crash data. These studies compare the results of pedestrian related accidents to the surrounding locations, whether alcohol was involved, along with other factors. A few of these studies we came across were Cui and Nambisan (2003), Baltes (1998), and Miles-Doan and Thompson (1999). 10 Unfortunately, this topic is not directly related to jaywalking or the effect it has on approaching motorists. Finally, another common topic related to pedestrians was centered on the opinions of drivers and how they perceive pedestrians in the roadway or react to pedestrian friendly devices. These studies included Mitman and Ragland (2007), Britt, Bergman et al. (1995), and Van Houten, McCusker et al. (2003) 11 Chapter 3 DATA COLLECTION This study was conducted in Newark, DE, which is home to the University of Delaware. About 20,000 students attend the university and the university employs about 4,000 faculty and staff. As with any other university, there are a significant number of individuals that utilize non-motorized transportation as their means to commute to work or school. As a result, many of the roadways near the university are pedestrian-friendly to provide safety for this pedestrian population. From 2002-2007, the Newark Police Department reported 142 cases of pedestrian related accidents, along with 39 jaywalking citations from the year 20022006. Although these numbers may not seem significant, they do not include instances where the accident was not severe enough to require police assistance. Out of the reported accidents and citations, the majority of those involved are in the age range of 18-24. This falls in the age range of a typical, college student. East Main Street was selected as the area of interest for this study of pedestrian behavior. East Main Street is a one-way, two lane city street with on-street parking on both sides of the road. There are several attractions along this stretch of roadway that include restaurants, shops, among other locations that appeal to pedestrians. This area guarantees some jaywalking occurrences based on personal observation, its proximity to the campus and the numerous attractions. Data was collected along the portion of East Main Street from N. Chapel Street to N. College Avenue. 12 Figure 1 Area of Interest This section has seven marked crosswalks with three of them being unsignalized. The three unsignalized crosswalks within this stretch are all midblock crossings that give the pedestrian right of way and force approaching drivers to yield. Many of them have pedestrian friendly devices such as extended curb edges, flashing beacons above, as well as the appropriate signage to alert drivers to stop for pedestrians. The four signalized locations occur at the three major intersections along East Main Street. These intersections are East Main Street & N. Chapel Street, East Main Street & Academy Street, and East Main Street & N. College Avenue. The 13 Academy Street and N. College Avenue intersections each contain one signalized crosswalk. Because East Main Street is a one-way street heading westbound, the crosswalks are placed prior to the signal so that vehicles turning onto westbound East Main Street do not have to yield to pedestrians. The intersection at N. College Avenue contains two marked, signalized crosswalks. The first crosswalk traverses East Main Street prior to S. College Avenue, the extension of N. College Avenue that is shifted east by 100 feet up East Main Street. The second crosswalk spans the entire intersection of East Main Street at N. College Avenue as it is a pedestrian scramble. A scramble is defined as a pedestrian crossing system that stops all traffic and allows pedestrians to cross an intersection in every direction at the same time. This location has a dedicated pedestrian phase that allows for all pedestrian movement in either direction across the intersection. Pedestrian movements and behavior were observed by means of manual data collection. Volunteers were each assigned one of six locations that spanned the area of interest. These six locations can be seen in Appendix A. They were each given a pedestrian data collection packet that was relative to their assigned area. The data collection packet included several copies of an aerial image of the location. Space was provided for data collectors to illustrate the movement of a jaywalker. Arrows were used to clearly mark the direction of travel as well as the “start” and “finish” location of crossing. For each additional jaywalker that may have traversed the same path, a tally was given next to the arrow. In order to accurately measure the location of crossing, data collectors were instructed to note the crossing location of each jaywalker in relation to the nearby buildings on East Main Street. This allowed them 14 to locate the building in the aerial image of their pedestrian data collection packet for more accuracy. For data collection locations that contained one of the marked, unsignalized midblock crossings, there were spaces for the volunteers to count the number of pedestrians that crossed within the crosswalk. These pedestrians were separated into those that traveled northbound and those that traveled southbound. In the event that a data collector was assigned one of the locations that housed a signalized crosswalk, pedestrians were separated into two categories. These categories were those that used the crosswalk while within the WALK phase, and those that did not (temporal jaywalking). Once again, these pedestrians/jaywalkers were separated by direction of travel (northbound vs. southbound). A completed data collection sample can be found in Appendix A. The pedestrian data collection period occurred during the midday peak period (11:00 am – 1:00 pm) on Wednesday, March 11, 2009 and Friday, March 13, 2009 during the university’s spring semester. The two-hour assigned period was divided into eight 15-minute intervals for ease of counting. Data collectors were also asked to stand in a location that is suitable for viewing the entire roadway within their assigned area in order to ensure that no pedestrian or jaywalker was missed. In addition, the observation period was performed regardless of the weather condition (rain, sun, snow, etc). Once the pedestrian data collection process was complete, the total number of jaywalkers and pedestrians were then calculated. For each 15-minute time interval, the number of jaywalkers and pedestrians were summed up across all six locations. This was done for both Wednesday and Friday’s results. With the totals 15 calculated, the percentage of jaywalkers for each time period was determined, in relation to the total number of observed pedestrians/jaywalkers. The 11:45 AM -12:00 PM interval had the highest jaywalking percentage for both days. The Wednesday data had a 44% jaywalking occurrence while the Friday data had a 46% jaywalking occurrence. The volumes from this time period, both pedestrian and jaywalking, were then multiplied by a factor of 4. The purpose of this is to recreate a peak hour volume of jaywalking. These resulting numbers were then used as the pedestrian data for modeling. With the pedestrian modeling volumes complete, a vehicular data collection was then performed in order to determine the approximate number of vehicles that are on East Main Street during this peak hour. For this traffic count, volunteers were assigned one of four locations along Main Street. These locations were the three signalized intersections of East Main Street, within the corridor, as well as one location further west on East Main Street. These counts provided information for the traffic entering East Main Street at the west end as well as those entering or exiting at each of the major intersections. The four locations can be seen in Appendix B. Each traffic counter was given a packet containing an aerial view of their assigned intersection. Also, each packet contained a box to allow for the counting of vehicles that make a specific turning movement. Only movements that were either exiting or entering East Main Street as well as those traveling straight through the intersection were considered. For the location upstream from the area of interest, the only movement of interest was those traveling through. A data collection sample can also be found in Appendix B. 16 The time period in which traffic was counted was the one hour interval between 11:30 AM and 12:30 PM. Once again, the data collection process was split up into four 15-minute intervals for ease of counting. This selected time period falls within the midday peak hour of pedestrian data collection, as well as contains the calculated peak 15-minute jaywalking period. Vehicular data collection was performed on Monday, April 6, 2009. Upon completion of the traffic count, the totals of turning movements were summed to create the hourly volume for East Main Street along with the various turning movements. It was decided to include a single hour of data collection for vehicular volumes because the goal is to determine the effects of jaywalking on the approaching vehicular traffic versus legal pedestrian crossing behavior. As a result, the vehicular volume which was used to evaluate this change should be affected regardless of the volume. 17 Chapter 4 METHODOLOGY In order to determine the effect of pedestrian jaywalking on the flow of traffic, a simulation model was created. Through the use of simulation, several statistics can be generated in order to evaluate the effectiveness of a network or roadway. This is done by analyzing the delay, level of service, and travel time. The program that was chosen was VISSIM, a micro-simulation software that is produced by PTV America, Inc. To our best knowledge, VISSIM is the only micro-simulation that is able to simulate pedestrians as part of the transportation system. The software provides the user with an opportunity to view each network in 3D. The 3-D feature of VISSIM also provides video representation of the 1st person view of any vehicle or pedestrian in the network. This feature is wonderful for presentation of a network or witnessing any queues first hand. The first step of developing the model was to create a background aerial image that would be large enough to cover the area of interest. This was done by taking several screen shots of an aerial image provided by Google Earth and laying them adjacently. Each image was slightly overlapped with the neighboring one in order to ensure accuracy of the image. Once the image of the entire stretch of East Main Street (from Library Ave to Elkton Rd) was developed, the file was saved and then imported into VISSIM as a background image. The distance of the corridor of East Main Street from beginning to end was then estimated using Google Earth once 18 again. This distance was then used in the simulation program in order to scale the image so that it is consistent with the length of roadways to be created by VISSIM. With the background in place, roadway links were added along East Main Street, as well as the major side streets of N. Chapel Street, Academy Street, and N. College Avenue matching them to the image. All roadway geometry was determined by using various satellite and aerial imagery provided by Google Maps and Windows Live Search Maps, as well as direct observations. This included the number of lanes for each roadway, any turn bays that existed, as well as noting the locations of marked crosswalks. In order to determine the length of any turn bays along East Main Street or along the side streets, Google Earth was used to provide an approximate value to be used in the simulation. Finally, the signal timings for the three major intersections along the Main Street corridor were implemented. These were obtained from the Delaware Department of Transportation (DelDOT). Once they were coded into the network, the traffic volumes obtained from the data collection procedure were inserted into the model. The traffic volumes were implemented into the network and then were balanced in order to reflect the results that were obtained from the data collection. Because vehicular data was collected along the three major intersections on East Main Street, there were differences between the Main Street approach volumes of one intersection and the departure volumes of the preceding intersection. For example, the number of vehicles that left the N. Chapel Street intersection (whether by passing through on East Main Street, or turning onto East Main Street from N. Chapel Street) may not be equal to the volume on East Main Street that approaches the next 19 downstream intersection, Academy Street. The reason for this is due to the minor side streets or parking lots that may reduce or add to the volume. These differences in volume were calculated and modeled in VISSIM by creating a point along East Main Street that allowed a small amount of traffic to either exit or enter the network. This point was placed in between each intersection to ensure volume equilibrium throughout the network so that the simulation matched the results of the vehicle data collection. Before adding the pedestrians into the network, four different scenarios were developed. The Base Case scenario consists of the network with only the vehicular volume collected. Pedestrians were not included so that this scenario may act as the baseline in order to compare results of the other scenarios. The Case 1 scenario consists of the network with the vehicular volume, as well as pedestrians located on the network. However, this scenario will only contain pedestrians that used signalized intersections. These pedestrians will be crossing at the signalized locations and are restricted to cross only during the pedestrian WALK phase. This is to recreate an environment in which pedestrians do not cross illegally. In order to have the analysis remain consistent, pedestrians that did not cross at these signalized crosswalks were allocated to the nearest signalized crosswalk. Also, those that crossed at a signalized crosswalk but did so against the WALK phase, were forced to cross at the appropriate time. The resulting network contains the same amount of pedestrians, as measured during data collection, all crossing during the WALK phase at each signalized crosswalk. These crosswalks were located at East Main Street and 20 N. Chapel Street, East Main Street and Academy Street, and East Main Street and N. College Avenue. The Case 2 scenario is similar to the Case 1 scenario except that now, all marked crosswalks are considered as valid crossing locations. This includes the three midblock crosswalks along the stretch of East Main Street. Although these midblock crosswalks are legal crossing locations for pedestrians, it was decided to dedicate this as a separate scenario from the signalized crosswalks because at these locations, pedestrians are given the right of way and approaching vehicles are forced to yield. As a result, there is some factor of unexpectedness in terms of driver perceptions of a pedestrian crossing. In the Case 1 scenario, pedestrians will only cross when drivers are forced to stop due to the red phase of the traffic signal. This provides no conflict between driver and pedestrian. However, in the Case 2 scenario, vehicles are forced to stop on their own in order to give right of way to the pedestrian. Also, the pedestrians in Case 2 will be allocated to the nearest marked crosswalk, regardless of whether it is signalized or a midblock crossing. As a result, the pedestrian volumes are different from the Case 1 scenario as they become more spread out throughout the network along these additional points of crossing. The total pedestrian volume throughout the entire network remains the same. Finally, the Case 3 scenario introduces pedestrians that choose to jaywalk. In this scenario, jaywalkers are modeled by placing several paths within the model that traverse East Main Street, along with the signalized and marked midblock crosswalks. These paths are strategically placed in the locations where jaywalkers illegally crossed, as it appeared during data collection. For reference, the aerial image of the surrounding buildings was used to place these jaywalking locations with some 21 degree of accuracy. In the simulation, all of these paths gave jaywalkers the right of way and forced the approaching vehicles on East Main Street to yield. This simulates an environment in which an approaching vehicle witnesses a jaywalker enter the roadway and may be forced to stop. Since this scenario was designed to reflect the raw data as collected, there was no need to reallocate pedestrians along the roadway. Similar to Case 1 and Case 2, this scenario has the same pedestrian total volume throughout the entire network. Every location at which a jaywalker was seen crossing the road was added into the model with the appropriate volume. For jaywalkers that crossed at signalized locations but against the WALK signal (temporal jaywalking), jaywalking paths were laid overtop of the existing signalized crosswalks. These paths were given no restriction of when to cross. The result had pedestrians, who appropriately crossed during the WALK phase, being forced to wait until they were given the WALK signal, while jaywalkers were free to cross whenever they approached the intersection. Once again, these jaywalkers were always given the right of way. In order to easily decipher between the two, jaywalkers were color coded as pink in the simulation. After creating all four scenarios using the witnessed pedestrian volumes from the Wednesday data collection, they were all duplicated in order to test the Friday data collection results except for the Base Case scenario. Since, the Base Case scenario contains no pedestrians, it is not necessary to implement any Friday pedestrian volumes. However for the Case 1 and Case 2 scenarios, the pedestrian volumes were changed in order to reflect the Friday data collection. These volumes were calculated in the same way as the Wednesday volumes, where Case 1 has pedestrians allocated to the nearest signalized crosswalk and Case 2 has pedestrians 22 allocated to the nearest signalized/marked crosswalk. The Case 3 scenario, on the other hand, follows a different approach. The jaywalking locations that were observed on the Wednesday data collection may not have been in the same location as those that were observed on the Friday data collection. As a result, after copying the Wednesday Case 3 scenario, the jaywalking locations were adjusted in order to accurately reflect the Friday data collection. Upon completion of all 8 networks (2 days, 4 scenarios each), VISSIM was used to collect the statistics of interest. In the simulation, it was decided to collect travel time and delay along East Main Street. A virtual counting device was placed at the beginning and end of East Main Street in each scenario that would determine both travel time and delay for each vehicle that crosses the start and finish counters. To ensure that each counter was placed in the same location between each case, one network was copied and altered in order to create the next scenario’s network. As a result, the building of each successive network only entailed creating the additional crossing locations as well as entering the new adjusted pedestrian/jaywalking volumes. The counters remained in the same position between each network. Also, not all of the vehicles that are generated and trigger the initial travel time and delay time counter on Main Street will reach the final counter. The reason for this is because the intersection turning volumes are randomly assigned by the percentage of those turning or traveling through. Therefore, as a vehicle approaches one of the intersections there is only a percentage, relative to the number of vehicles observed traveling thru versus turning left or right, that it will travel onto the next intersection, where the same thing will take place. The resulting percentage of vehicles that fully travel the length of East Main Street is approximately 33%. With the travel time and delay counters in place, each of the 8 23 networks was simulated 10 times in order to get a large amount of data for analysis. Each simulation generated differences in travel time and delay because vehicles and pedestrians were randomly generated at different times according to the Poisson Arrival Process. 24 Chapter 5 RESULTS After running the simulation, the data was analyzed from each run of each scenario. This consisted of determining the travel time and delay of every vehicle that crossed the “start” and “finish” counters along East Main Street. The average travel time and delay time were then calculated and a comparison was done between the different cases. These average values utilized all of the vehicle data across the ten simulation runs per scenario. Also, the standard deviation was determined in order to get an idea of the spread and range of travel time and delay time values. With these values, we were able to determine a few different results. When comparing the Base Case scenario of no pedestrians on the network with the Case 1 scenario of pedestrians allocated strictly to the signalized crosswalks, we saw that there was very little change in travel time and delay. This was consistent for both the Wednesday and Friday simulations. In addition, the standard deviations between the two cases were also nearly the same for both days as well. The results from the comparison between the Base Case and Case 1 scenarios are as expected. By including only pedestrians that are allocated at only the signalized crossing locations, we should not expect an increase in travel time and delay. The pedestrians that are crossing at the signalized crossing locations are crossing during the appropriate WALK phase. As a result, the approaching vehicles along East Main Street experience no additional delay as a result of these pedestrians. The WALK phase of each of the signal timings is purposely given with the intention 25 of minimizing delay. For the intersections along the corridor at N. Chapel Street and Academy Street, the pedestrian WALK phase for the crosswalk that traverses East Main Street is coordinated with each of the side streets. Pedestrians in the model will never cross East Main Street when there is traffic approaching and will only cross when the vehicles are given the red phase from the signal timings. For the intersection at N. College Avenue, pedestrians are given their own dedicated WALK phase. This allows them to cross the scramble in any direction without disrupting traffic flow. This dedicated WALK phase is also included in the Base Case scenario. As a result, pedestrians throughout the network in Case 1 are crossing when the East Main Street traffic is stopped due to the signals. A Two Sample T-Test for Large Populations was used in order to determine if the differences in values between the Base Case scenario (the control model) and any of the other cases were statistically significant or just a product of variation from the Base Case. When using this statistical procedure, we set a null hypothesis which is to be evaluated and either accepted or rejected. The null hypothesis was that the means of the travel times or delay times had no difference. In other words, any observed variation was just due to statistical scatter. We will be evaluating the relationships between cases with a 95% confidence interval. After performing the analysis, we were able to accept the null hypotheses between the Base Case and Case 1 and state that with 95% confidence, both the Wednesday and Friday Case 1 travel time and delay time are not statistically significant when compared to the Base Case scenario. This evidence supports our previous statement that the pedestrians are not causing additional delay when they are 26 allocated to signalized intersections and forced to cross East Main Street during the appropriate WALK phase at their location. When comparing the Case 2 simulation results to the Base Case result, we discover that there are significant changes in delay and travel time. As a reminder, the Case 2 scenario implements pedestrians that cross legally at all marked crosswalks. This includes the three midblock crossings on East Main Street along with the four signalized crosswalks from the Case 1 scenario. After taking the average travel time and delay times for all the vehicles within the 10 simulation runs for both days of pedestrian data collection, we discovered a statistically significant increase in these values. We believe that this additional delay and travel time is attributed mainly to the pedestrians that are crossing along the midblock crosswalks. These pedestrians are given the right of way and force approaching vehicles to stop. By introducing them into the network, we are creating additional stopping points for some vehicles, in addition to the traffic lights already established from the Base Case scenario. The final scenario introduces the jaywalkers, as they are witnessed from the data collection process. As a reminder, the Case 3 scenario contains several paths along the network in which jaywalkers are free to cross as soon as they approach the roadway. Also, the Case 3 scenario still maintains the signalized and marked midblock crossings from Case 1 and 2. The Case 3 scenario more accurately represents the walking patterns of the witnessed pedestrians because not all pedestrians cross at the appropriate locations within the appropriate signal phase (if applicable). After viewing the Case 3 simulation results, we discovered an even larger increase in travel time and delay time when compared to any of the other cases. 27 We believe that the Case 3 results were significantly increased as a result of the jaywalkers within the network. By introducing additional paths in which jaywalkers are free to cross, vehicles have the opportunity to encounter more stopping locations. The standard deviation is high due to the large range of travel time and delay times that are possible. In the Case 3 network, some vehicles may be lucky and may neither come upon any pedestrians while traveling through the East Main Street network, nor approach any red signals from the signalized intersections. On the other hand, some vehicles may not be as lucky and may be forced to yield to several jaywalkers on the network in addition to having to stop for a red phase. Also, this may explain the significant increase in travel time and delay. In order to get a better grasp of the results, statistical analysis was performed. The statistical results indicate that there are significant increases in both travel time and delay time for both Wednesday and Friday, with 95% confidence. Thus, we can now state that, with 95% confidence, jaywalking causes significant increases to travel time and delay. However, this result compares the increase in travel time and delay from a network with pedestrians crossing freely to a network that lacks any pedestrian inputs. Therefore in order to accurately state that the addition of strictly jaywalkers to a pedestrian network increases travel time and delay, we compared the Case 2 data to the Case 3 data. The results show that there is a significant increase in travel time and delay time for both Wednesday and Friday data. Therefore, we can now state that, with 95% confidence, when comparing a network in which pedestrians are strictly enforced to cross only in designated crossing areas, the introduction of jaywalking significantly increases the expected travel time and delay time for approaching 28 motorists. All data analyses, histograms and results of T tests are shown in Appendices C and D. 29 Chapter 6 CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE WORK The use of simulation modeling has proven to be truly effective in our study. Through this tool, we were able to compare different scenarios involving the implementation of pedestrians and how they affect the flow of traffic. After completion of our analysis, we were able to discover several different conclusions. The first conclusion that we discovered was that when pedestrians are implemented strictly at signalized intersections, there is no significant extra delay or travel time experienced by the approaching drivers. Because these pedestrians are forced to cross at signalized crosswalks during the appropriate WALK phase, they do not interfere with the flow of traffic along East Main Street. The second conclusion that we discovered was that when pedestrians are placed along marked, midblock crosswalks and signalized crosswalks, the travel time and delay time significantly increases. When pedestrians crossed at these midblock locations, they are given the right of way and drivers are forced to yield to them. This then adds to the travel time and delay. After comparing the strictly vehicular network (Base Case scenario) to the network with jaywalkers as they appeared during data collection (Case 3 scenario), this led us to our next conclusion. This conclusion is that the introduction of jaywalkers to a vehicular network significantly increases travel time and delay time. As jaywalkers were introduced into the network, they were allowed to freely cross at any location along our corridor of East Main Street. This included any locations at 30 signalized intersections. As a jaywalker approached East Main Street, in the model, they were given the right of way and forced the vehicles to yield to them. For the signalized intersections, vehicles that experienced the green phase of their signal were still forced to yield to any jaywalkers in the event that they were crossing at the same time. Also, the results for this network yielded a wide range of values. This is due to the variety of possibilities of a vehicle intersecting paths with a jaywalker along the network. With the introduction of several jaywalking paths, one vehicle may experience no jaywalkers or pedestrians while driving, while another vehicle may be stopped at every jaywalking/pedestrian location. The results of comparing a network with pedestrians crossing at marked and signalized crosswalks (Case 2 scenario) proved to cause a significant increase in travel time and delay when compared to the same network with just vehicular data (Base Case scenario). The same result was true when we compared the network with jaywalkers (Case 3 scenario) to the vehicle network (Base Case scenario). In order to measure the impact of introducing jaywalkers to the network, a comparison between the network with pedestrians at marked crosswalks (Case 2 scenario) and the network with jaywalkers was conducted (Case 3 scenario). The results showed that the introduction of jaywalkers to a pedestrian network with legal crossing behavior significantly increased travel time and delay. Before conducting this study, our hypothesis stated that the jaywalking would have an effect on the flow of traffic and the delay experienced by approaching motorists. After performing the study, we have discovered that our hypothesis was correct. The impact of introducing jaywalkers into a vehicular network showed a significant increase in travel time and delay for approaching vehicles. Also, the 31 redistribution of a portion of pedestrians at signalized and marked midblock crosswalks to jaywalkers showed a significant increase in travel time and delay time for approaching motorists as well. Our study provided successful and informative results. However, there can always be changes made in order to strengthen the study and conclusions. One possibility is to consider pedestrian gap acceptance within our VISSIM model. The Case 3 scenario allows jaywalkers to cross the road freely without worry about approaching vehicles stopping in time. However, this is not an accurate representation of pedestrian behavior. As mentioned earlier, the pedestrians follow a GapAcceptance Theory in which each gap or headway between cars is evaluated and if the pedestrian feels that he or she cannot cross the roadway in time, it is rejected and the next gap is considered (Palamarthy, Mahmassani et al. 1994). Future work could implement this factor into the model in order to better represent this pedestrian crossing behavior. VISSIM’s 3-D visualization capability allows for one to create buildings and objects while projecting photos onto a face of a building, in order to enhance the 3D view of the simulation. Future work on our model could include adding all of the buildings along the Main Street corridor as they appear in real life. Although this improvement would be purely aesthetic, it would improve the visualization. Another possibility of future work would be to evaluate the efficiency of creating different pedestrian alternatives in order to reduce jaywalking occurrences. Now that it has been determined that jaywalking increases delay, a planner who is trying to reduce delay in a corridor may consider implementing overpass walkways or some other form of pedestrian device that may be beneficial. 32 Finally, as with any study, the evaluation of the effect of jaywalking on the flow of traffic may be expanded to include larger networks or several other networks in order to determine if the results remain consistent throughout. Also, one may decide to consider locations with higher pedestrian volume, such as urban cities or other college campuses, or lower pedestrian volume, such as suburban areas. Once again these results may determine if the effect of jaywalking on the flow of traffic remains consistent regardless of environment or area of study. 33 BIBLIOGRAPHY Akin, D. and V. P. Sisiopiku (2007). 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"Pedestrian Compliance Effects on Signal Delay." Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1636: 88-91. 36 Appendix A PEDESTRIAN DATA COLLECTION 37 SAMPLE 38 Time Period: Location 1: Main St @ N. College Ave LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK N. College N Peds in Crosswalk: SB N LIMIT OF WORK 39 Jaywalkers (against WALK) S Time Period: Location 2: Main St @ S. College Ave LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK S. College Crosswalk LIMIT OF WORK N Peds in Crosswalk: S 40 Jaywalkers (against WALK) NB S LIMIT OF WORK Time Period: Location 3: Main St @ The Green LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK Peace a Pizza/Nat’l Guard Pedestrians in Crosswalk: LIMIT OF WORK NB SB LIMIT OF WORK 41 Time Period: Location 4: Main St @ The Galleria LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK Wilmington Trust Rainbow Pedestrians in Crosswalk: LIMIT OF WORK NB SB LIMIT OF WORK 42 Time Period: Location 5: Main St @ Academy Street LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK Center Street Café Gelato Pedestrians in Crosswalk: LIMIT OF WORK NB Jaywalkers (against WALK) SB NB 43 SB LIMIT OF WORK Time Period: Location 6: Main St @ Haines St LIMIT OF WORK LIMIT OF WORK Panera Bread Happy Harry’s Starbucks/ Hollywood Tans Pedestrians in Crosswalk: LIMIT OF WORK NB SB 44 LIMIT OF WORK Appendix B TRAFFIC COUNT DATA 45 SAMPLE 46 Time Period: Location 1: Main St @ N. College Ave Turning Movements CARS Trabant NB 47 TRUCKS Time Period: Location 2: Main St @ S. College Ave Turning Movements CARS Trabant NB 48 TRUCKS Time Period: Location 3: Main St @ Academy St. Turning Movements CARS NB 49 TRUCKS Time Period: Location 4: Main St @ Chapel St. Turning Movements CARS 50 TRUCKS Location 5: Main St Beginning Time Period: Turning Movements CARS 51 TRUCKS Appendix C CALCULATIONS Significance Testing – Wednesday, Travel Time Case 1 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 217.8709 − 218.385 (38.63904) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2966 2983 − .5141 .5034 + .5140 z = −.5097 z = − .5097 = .5097 .5097 < 1.96 ∴ Accept H0, Case 1 is not statistically significant compared to the Base Case 52 Case 2 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 232.1958 − 218.385 (39.488) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2983 2983 13.8108 .5227 + .5140 z = 13.5636 z = 13.5636 = 13.5636 13.5636 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 2 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 53 Case 3 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 304.1609 − 218.385 (66.75261) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2832 2983 85.7759 1.5734 + .5140 z = 59.368 z = 59.368 = 59.368 59.368 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 54 Case 3 scenario vs. Case 2 scenario: z= z= 304.1609 − 232.1958 (66.75261) 2 (39.488) 2 + 2832 2983 71.9651 1.5734 + .5227 z = 49.7063 z = 49.7063 = 49.7063 49.7063 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to Case 2 55 Significance Testing – Friday, Travel Time Case 1 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 217.7652 − 218.385 (38.9673) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2987 2983 − .6198 .5084 + .5140 z = −.6130 z = − .6130 = .6130 .6130 < 1.96 ∴ Accept H0, Case 1 is not statistically significant compared to the Base Case 56 Case 2 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 232.5003 − 218.385 (36.2680) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2973 2983 14.1153 .4424 + .5140 z = 14.4328 z = 14.4328 = 14.4328 14.4328 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 2 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 57 Case 3 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 450.8678 − 218.385 (134.4797) 2 (39.15871) 2 + 2545 2983 232.4828 7.106 + .5140 z = 84.219 z = 84.219 = 84.219 84.219 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 58 Case 3 scenario vs. Case 2 scenario: z= z= 450.8678 − 232.5003 (134.4797) 2 (36.2680) 2 + 2545 2973 218.3675 7.106 + .4424 z = 79.4805 z = 79.4085 = 79.4085 79.4085 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to Case 2 59 Significance Testing – Wednesday, Delay Time Case 1 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 101.9127 − 102.6339 (38.54285) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2966 2983 − .7212 .5009 + .5187 z = −.7142 z = − .7142 = .7142 .7142 < 1.96 ∴ Accept H0, Case 1 is not statistically significant compared to the Base Case 60 Case 2 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 116.4134 − 102.6339 (39.35716) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2983 2983 13.7795 .5193 + .5187 z = 13.5251 z = 13.5251 = 13.5251 13.5251 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 2 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 61 Case 3 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 188.4669 − 102.6339 (66.86003) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2832 2983 85.833 1.5785 + .5187 z = 59.2702 z = 59.2702 = 59.2702 59.2702 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 62 Case 3 scenario vs. Case 2 scenario: z= z= 188.4669 − 116.4134 (66.86003) 2 (39.35716) 2 + 2832 2983 72.0535 1.5785 + .5193 z = 49.7477 z = 49.7477 = 49.7477 49.7477 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to Case 2 63 Significance Testing – Friday, Delay Time Case 1 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 101.7244 − 102.6339 (38.90596) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2987 2983 − .9095 .5068 + .5187 z = −.8981 z = − .8981 = .8981 .8981 < 1.96 ∴ Accept H0, Case 1 is not statistically significant compared to the Base Case 64 Case 2 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 116.6793 − 102.6339 (36.44468) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2973 2983 14.0454 .4468 + .5187 z = 14.2944 z = 14.2944 = 14.2944 14.2944 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 2 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 65 Case 3 scenario vs. Base Case scenario: z= z= 335.3826 − 102.6339 (134.7223) 2 (39.33411) 2 + 2545 2983 232.7487 7.1317 + .5187 z = 84.1483 z = 84.1483 = 84.1483 84.1483 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to the Base Case 66 Case 3 scenario vs. Case 2 scenario: z= z= 335.3826 − 116.6793 (134.7223) 2 (36.44468) 2 + 2545 2973 218.7033 7.1317 + .4468 z = 79.4445 z = 79.4445 = 79.4445 79.4445 > 1.96 ∴ Reject H0, Case 3 is statistically significant compared to Case 2 67 Appendix D DATA AND HISTOGRAMS WEDNESDAY Base Case 1 Averages Average Std. Deviation Max Min TT 218.385 39.15871 326.39 126.41 Delay 102.6339 39.33411 209.98 12.79 Case 2 Averages TT 217.8709 38.63904 324.44 123.81 Delay 101.9127 38.54285 209.21 11.97 Case 3 Averages TT 232.1958 39.488 350.87 139.41 Delay 116.4134 39.35716 234.46 24.86 Averages TT 304.1609 66.75261 488.5 164.52 Delay 188.4669 66.86003 375.3 49.29 FRIDAY Base Case 1 Averages Average Std. Deviation Max Min TT 218.385 39.15871 326.39 126.41 Delay 102.6339 39.33411 209.98 12.79 Case 2 Averages TT 217.7652 38.9673 325.92 127.26 Delay 101.7244 38.90596 208.23 12.48 68 Case 3 Averages TT 232.5003 36.26803 338.71 146.76 Delay 116.6793 36.44468 220.1 30.29 Averages TT 450.8678 134.4797 754.13 177.56 Delay 335.3826 134.7223 639.64 61.94 Wednesday Case 1 Travel Time 700 600 600 500 500 770 830 890 950 1010 830 890 950 1010 710 650 590 530 Travel Time Wednesday Case 3 Travel Time Wednesday Case 2 Travel Time 400 350 700 600 Frequency 500 400 300 200 100 300 250 200 150 100 Travel Time Travel Time 69 710 650 590 530 470 410 350 290 230 110 1010 950 890 830 770 710 650 590 530 470 410 350 290 230 170 170 50 0 0 110 Frequency 770 Travel Time 470 110 1010 950 890 830 770 710 650 590 530 470 410 350 290 230 0 170 100 0 410 200 100 350 200 400 300 290 300 230 400 170 Frequency 700 110 Frequency Base Case Travel Time 400 300 200 Delay 70 250 200 150 100 100 50 0 0 Delay 540 480 420 360 900 840 780 900 840 780 720 300 720 350 660 600 660 Wednesday Case 3 Delay 600 Delay 600 400 540 700 480 Delay 420 Wednesday Case 2 Delay 360 0 300 0 300 100 240 100 240 200 180 300 120 500 180 500 60 0 400 Frequency 600 120 500 Frequency 900 840 780 720 660 600 540 480 420 360 300 240 180 120 60 0 Frequency 600 60 0 900 840 780 720 660 600 540 480 420 360 300 240 180 120 60 0 Frequency Base Case Delay Wednesday Case 1 Delay 400 300 200 Friday Case 1 Travel Time 700 600 600 500 500 300 Travel Time 710 770 830 890 950 1010 770 830 890 950 1010 650 650 590 530 110 1010 950 890 830 770 710 650 590 530 470 410 350 290 230 0 470 100 410 200 350 300 290 400 230 Frequency 500 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 170 600 170 590 Friday Case 3 Travel Time 700 110 530 Travel Time Friday Case 2 Travel Time Frequency 710 Travel Time 470 110 1010 950 890 830 770 710 650 590 530 470 410 350 290 0 230 0 170 100 410 200 100 350 200 400 290 300 230 400 170 Frequency 700 110 Frequency Base Case Travel Time Travel Time 71 160 600 140 500 120 400 300 200 Delay 72 Delay 780 840 900 840 900 480 420 720 0 780 20 0 720 40 660 60 600 80 660 100 600 Friday Case 3 Delay 540 Delay 540 100 480 Delay 420 Friday Case 2 Delay 360 0 360 0 300 100 300 100 240 200 240 300 180 400 180 400 120 500 60 0 500 Frequency 600 120 700 Frequency 900 840 780 720 660 600 540 480 420 360 300 240 180 120 60 0 Frequency 600 60 0 900 840 780 720 660 600 540 480 420 360 300 240 180 120 60 0 Frequency Base Case Delay Friday Case 1 Delay 300 200
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