PracticuminAppliedProbability,APSTA-GE2351Fall2016 CourseTitle:APSTA-GE29xx:PracticuminAppliedProbability NumberofCredits:1 MeetingPattern:1hourlectureperweek,14weeks;Falloffering. CourseDescription: Thisisacourseinthefoundationsofstatisticalinferencetechniques.Assumingsomeprior exposuretofoundationalandintermediatestatisticalmethods,thiscoursewillfirstcovertopics suchasKolgomorov’saxiomsofprobabilities,basicsofsettheory,discretecombinatorial probability,Bayes’theorem,probabilitydistributionsandtheirpropertiesandassumptionsof dependenceandindependence.Thesetopicsarefollowedbythefoundationaltopicsofstatistics: samplingdistributions,thelawoflargenumbersandthecentrallimittheorem.Thiscoursewillmix theoreticalapproacheswithsimulation-basedillustrationsofthesemaintopics.Thestudentwillbe expectedtounderstandthemathematicaltheoryandapplythetopicscoveredtoproblemsolving viaanalyticalandsimulationbasedmethodsinstatisticalprogramminglanguagesuchasR. CoursePrerequisites/Expectations: • REQUIRED:anintroductorycourseinprobabilityandstatistics(non-calculusbased)suchas APSTAT-GE2001and2002.NOTE:Co-enrollmentinSTAT-GB3301satisfiesthisrequirement. • Werecommendthiscoursefor1styearMS-A3SRstudentswithoutpriorexperienceincalculusbasedprobability(forexample,coursessuchasSTAT-GB3301) CourseStructure/Format: • Eachweek,selected problems from the corresponding textbook sections will be solved analytically and • then via simulation to demonstrate the connections between the approaches. Students will work collaboratively in class to complete simulation assignments to concepts covered in the course. LearningObjectives: Bytheendofthecourse,studentswillbeableto: 1. Demonstrateanunderstandingofprobabilitythroughproblemsolvingandsimulationapproaches. 2. Demonstrateanunderstandingofstatisticaldistributiontheory,emphasizingthepropertiesofand relationshipsamongrandomvariables. 3. Demonstrateanunderstandingofsamplingdistributionsandidentifytheroleofasymptoticsand variabilityinstatisticalinference. CourseRequirements: Thegradeforthiscoursewillbedeterminedasfollows: • • • Classparticipation(30%) Groupsimulationassignments(50%) Individualproject(20%) 1 PracticuminAppliedProbability,APSTA-GE2351Fall2016 GradingScheme: Thefollowingsystemwillbeusedtoconvertnumericalgradestolettergrades: A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D F 92.5 – 100 89.5 – 92.5 86.5 – 89.5 82.5 – 86.5 79.5 – 82.5 76.5 – 79.5 72.5 – 76.5 69.5 – 72.5 66.5 – 69.5 62.5 – 66.5 0 – 62.5 RequiredReadingsand/orText(apartialreadinglist) Required:Hogg,R.V.,McKean,J.W.,andCraig,A.T.(2013)"IntroductiontoMathematicalStatistics", seventhedition,NewJersey:PrenticeHall. AcademicIntegrity: AllstudentsareresponsibleforunderstandingandcomplyingwiththeNYUSteinhardtStatementon AcademicIntegrity.Acopyisavailableat:http://steinhardt.nyu.edu/policies/academic_integrity. StudentswithDisabilities: StudentswithphysicalorlearningdisabilitiesarerequiredtoregisterwiththeMosesCenterfor StudentswithDisabilities,726Broadway,2ndFloor,(212-998-4980andonlineat http://www.nyu.edu/csd)andarerequiredtopresentaletterfromtheCentertotheinstructoratthe startofthesemesterinordertobeconsideredforappropriateaccommodation. Week 1 2,3 Topic 4 5 6 7 8 9 10-11 12-13 14 MathematicalExpectation MultivariateDistributions SpecialDistributions(Discrete) SpecialDistributions(NormalRelated) SpecialDistributions(Normal) SpecialDistributions(MultivariateNormal) Distributionsoffunctionsofrandomvariables LimitTheorems PointEstimation General Concepts of Probability Random Variables, Probability Functions And Distribution Functions Readingsfromcoursetext Chapter1,sections1–4 Chapter1,sections5-7 Chapter1,sections8–10 Chapter2 Chapter3,sections1-2 Chapter3,sections3,6 Chapter3,section4 Chapter3,section5 Chapter4 Chapter5 Chapter6,section1 2
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