Operations Management Waiting-Line Models Module D Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-1 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Outline ♦Characteristics of a Waiting-Line System ♦ ♦ ♦ ♦ ♦ Arrival Characteristics Waiting-Line Characteristics Service Facility Characteristics Measuring the Queue’s Performance Queuing Costs ♦The Variety of Queuing Models Model A: Single-Channel Queuing Model with Poisson Arrivals and Exponential Service Times ♦ Model B: Multiple-Channel Queuing Model ♦ Model C: Constant Service Time Model ♦ Model D: Limited Population Model ♦ ♦Other Queuing Approaches Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-2 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Learning Objectives When you complete this chapter, you should be able to : ♦ Identify or Define: ♦ The assumptions of the four basic waiting-line models ♦ Explain or be able to use: ♦ ♦ How to apply waiting-line models How to conduct an economic analysis of queues Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-3 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 1 You’ve Been There Before! Thank you for holding. Hello...are you there? ‘The other line always moves faster.’ ‘If you change lines, the one you left will start to move faster than the one you’re in.’ © 1995 Corel Corp. D-4 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Line Examples Situation Arrivals Servers Service Process Bank Customers Teller Deposit etc. Doctor’s office Patient Doctor Treatment Traffic intersection Cars Light Controlled passage Assembly line Parts Workers Assembly Tool crib tools Workers Clerks Check out/in D-5 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Lines ♦ First studied by A. K. Erlang in 1913 ♦ Analyzed telephone facilities ♦ Body of knowledge called queuing theory ♦ Queue is another name for waiting line ♦ Decision problem ♦ Balance cost of providing good service with cost of customers waiting Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-6 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 2 Waiting Line Costs Cost cost g line in it a lw Tota ost ic e c Serv Waiting time cost Level of service Optimal Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-7 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Line Terminology ♦ Queue: Waiting line ♦ Arrival: 1 person, machine, part, etc. that arrives and demands service ♦ Queue discipline: Rules for determining the order that arrivals receive service ♦ Channel: Number of waiting lines ♦ Phase: Number of steps in service Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-8 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Characteristics of a Waiting Line System tion Popula Waiting Line Service Facility Arrival Characteristics ♦ Arrival rate distribution ♦ Size of the source population ♦ Poisson ♦ Other ♦ Pattern of arrivals ♦ limited ♦ unlimited ♦ Behavior of the arrivals ♦ join the queue, and wait until ♦random ♦scheduled Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) served ♦ balk; refuse to join the line ♦ renege; leave the line D-9 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 3 Characteristics of a Waiting Line System - continued tion Popula Service Facility Waiting Line Waiting Line Characteristics ♦Length of the queue ♦ limited ♦ unlimited ♦ Service priority ♦ FIFO ♦ other © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 D-10 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Characteristics of a Waiting Line System - continued Service Facility Service Facility Characteristics tion Popula Waiting Line ♦ Number of channels ♦ Service time distribution ♦ single ♦ multiple ♦ negative exponential ♦ other ♦ Number of phases in service system ♦ single ♦ multiple D-11 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Line System Input source Service system Waiting line Service facility © 1995 Corel Corp. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-12 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 4 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Size Infinite D-13 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Fixed number of aircraft to service Size Infinite Finite © 1995 Corel Corp. D-14 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Size Infinite Finite Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Arrival Pattern Random NonRandom D-15 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 5 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Arrival Pattern Size Infinite Finite Random Poisson NonRandom Other Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 D-16 Poisson Distribution ♦ Number of events that occur in an interval of time .6 .3 .0 ♦ Example: Number of customers that arrive in 15 min. .6 .3 .0 −λ x P( x ) = 1 2 3 4 5 λ = 6.0 P(X) X 0 e λ Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) X 0 ♦ Mean = λ (e.g., 5/hr.) ♦ Probability: λ = 0.5 P(X) 2 4 6 8 10 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 D-17 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 Probability Probability Poisson Distributions for Arrival Times 0.10 0.05 0.00 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 x λ=2 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 x λ=4 D-18 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 6 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Arrival Pattern Size Infinite Finite Random Poisson NonRandom Behavior Patient Impatient Other D-19 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Arrival Pattern Size Infinite Finite Random Poisson NonRandom Other D-20 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Behavior Patient Impatient Balk © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Balking Input source Line was too long! Service system Service facility Waiting line © 1995 Corel Corp. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-21 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 7 Input Characteristics Input Source (Population) Arrival Pattern Size Infinite Finite Random Poisson NonRandom Other D-22 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Behavior Patient Impatient Balk Renege © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Reneging Service system Input source Waiting line Service facility I give up! © 1995 Corel Corp. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-23 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Line Characteristics Waiting Line Length Unlimited © 1995 Corel Corp. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-24 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 8 Waiting Line Characteristics Waiting Line Length © 1995 Corel Corp. Unlimited Limited © 1995 Corel Corp. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-25 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Waiting Line Characteristics Waiting Line Queue Discipline Length Unlimited Limited Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) FIFO (FCFS) D-26 Random Priority © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Service Characteristics Service Facility Configuration Single Channel MultiChannel Single Phase Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-27 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 9 Negative Exponential Distribution ♦ Service time, & time between arrivals .4 Probability t>x µ=1 µ=2 µ=3 µ=4 .3 ♦ Example: Service time is 20 min. .2 ♦ Mean service rate = µ ♦ e.g., customers/hr. .1 ♦ Mean service time = 1/µ ♦ Equation: 0. 0 f ( t > x ) = e− ìx 2 4 6 8 10 x D-28 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Negative Exponential Distribution 0.06 Average service time = 1 hour 0.05 Probability 0.04 0.03 Average service time = 20 minutes 0.02 0.01 0 0 30 60 90 120 Service time (minutes) D-29 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) 150 180 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Single-Channel, Single-Phase System Service system Arrivals Ships at sea Queue Service facility Ship unloading system Served units Empty ships Waiting ship line Dock Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-30 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 10 Single-Channel, Multi-Phase System Service system Arrivals Cars in area Queue Service facility Service facility Served units McDonald’s drive-through Cars & food Waiting cars Pay D-31 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Pick-up © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Multi-Channel, Single Phase System Service system Arrivals Service facility Queue Served units Service facility Example: Bank customers wait in single line for one of several tellers. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-32 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Multi-Channel, Multi-Phase System Service system Arrivals Queue Service facility Service facility Service facility Service facility Served units Example: At a laundromat, customers use one of several washers, then one of several dryers. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-33 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 11 Waiting-Line Performance Measures ♦ Average queue time, Wq ♦ Average queue length, Lq ♦ Average time in system, Ws ♦ Average number in system, Ls ♦ Probability of idle service facility, P0 ♦ System utilization, ρ ♦ Probability of k units in system, Pn > k Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-34 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Assumptions of the Basic Queuing Model ♦ Arrivals are served on a first come, first served basis ♦ Arrivals are independent of preceding arrivals ♦ Arrival rates are described by the Poisson probability distribution, and customers come from a very large population ♦ Service times vary from one customer to another, and are independent of one and other; the average service time is known ♦ Service times are described by the negative exponential probability distribution ♦ The service rate is greater than the arrival rate Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-35 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Types of Queuing Models ♦ Simple (M/M/1) ♦ Example: Information booth at mall ♦ Multi-channel (M/M/S) ♦ Example: Airline ticket counter ♦ Constant Service (M/D/1) ♦ Example: Automated car wash ♦ Limited Population ♦ Example: Department with only 7 drills Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-36 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 12 Simple (M/M/1) Model Characteristics ♦ Type: Single-channel, single-phase system ♦ Input source: Infinite; no balks, no reneging ♦ Arrival distribution: Poisson ♦ Queue: Unlimited; single line ♦ Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS) ♦ Service distribution: Negative exponential ♦ Relationship: Independent service & arrival ♦ Service rate > arrival rate © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 D-37 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) Simple (M/M/1) Model Equations λ Ls = µ -λ Average number of units in queue Ws = Average time in system Average number of units in queue Lq = 2 λ µ (µ - λ ) λ µ (µ - λ ) λ ρ= µ Wq = Average time in queue System utilization D-38 Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) 1 µ -λ © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Simple (M/M/1) Probability Equations Probability of 0 units in system, i.e., system idle: λ P = 1- ρ = 10 µ Probability of more than k units in system: P = n>k (µλ ) k+1 Where n is the number of units in the system Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-39 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 13 Multichannel (M/M/S) Model Characteristics ♦ Type: Multichannel system ♦ Input source: Infinite; no balks, no reneging ♦ Arrival distribution: Poisson ♦ Queue: Unlimited; multiple lines ♦ Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS) ♦ Service distribution: Negative exponential ♦ Relationship: Independent service & arrival ♦ Σ Service rates > arrival rate Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-40 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Model B (M/M/S) Equations Probability of zero people or units in the system: Average number of people or units in the system: Average time a unit spends in the system: Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) P0 = 1 M−1 1 ë n 1 ëM Mì ∑ + n! ì M! ì Mì − ë n=0 λµ λ µ Ls = M !M µ λ µ Ws = M !M D-41 M λ P0 λ M λ P0 + 1 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Model B (M/M/S) Equations Average number of people or units waiting for service: L q = Ls − λ µ Average time a person or unit spends in the queue Wq = Ws − Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-42 1 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 14 Constant Service Rate (M/D/1) Model Characteristics ♦ Type: Single-channel, single-phase system ♦ Input source: Infinite; no balks, no reneging ♦ Arrival distribution: Poisson ♦ Queue: Unlimited; single line ♦ Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS) ♦ Service distribution: Negative exponential ♦ Relationship: Independent service & arrival ♦ Σ Service rates > arrival rate Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-43 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Model C (M/D/1) Equations Average number of people or units waiting for service: Lq = Average time a person or unit spends in the queue Wq = Average number of people or units in the system: Average time a unit spends in the system: Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-44 2 λ 2µ (µ − λ ) 2 ( λ λ) Ls = Lq + λ µ Ws = Wq + 1 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Limited Population Model Characteristics ♦ Type: Single-channel, single-phase system ♦ Input source: Limited; no balks, no reneging ♦ Arrival distribution: Poisson ♦ Queue: Unlimited; single line ♦ Queue discipline: FIFO (FCFS) ♦ Service distribution: Negative exponential ♦ Relationship: Independent service & arrival ♦ Σ Service rates > arrival rate Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-45 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 15 Model D (Limited Population) Equations T T+U Service Factor: X= Average number of people or units waiting for service: L = N (1 − F) Average time a person or unit spends in the queue W= Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-46 L(T + U ) T(1 − F) = ( N − L) XF © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Model D (Limited Population) Equations - continued Average number running J = NF(1 − X ) Average number being served: H= FNX Number in the population: N J L H Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-47 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Model D (Limited Population) Equations - continued Where: ★D = probability that a unit will have to wait in the queue ★F = efficiency factor ♦H = average number of units being serviced ♦J = average number of units not in the queue or service bay ♦ L = average number of units waiting for service Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-48 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 16 Model D (Limited Population) Equations - continued ♦M = number of service channels ♦N = number of potential customers ♦T = average service time ♦U = average time between unit service requirements ♦W = average time a unit waits in line ♦X = service factor ★to be obtained from finite queuing tables Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-49 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 Remember: λ & µ Are Rates ♦ λ = Mean number of arrivals per time period ♦ e.g., 3 units/hour If average service time is 15 minutes, then μ is 4 customers/hour ♦ µ = Mean number of people or items served per time period ♦ e.g., 4 units/hour ♦ 1/µ µ = 15 minutes/unit © 1984-1994 T/Maker Co. Transparency Masters to accompany Operations Management, 6E (Heizer & Render) D-50 © 2000 by Prentice Hall, Inc., Upper Saddle River, N.J. 07458 17
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