SOC-GA 2312-001. Advanced Multivariate Statistics NYU Sociology Fall 2011 Time: Monday, 6:20pm – 9:00pm Location: Room C-6, 25 West 4th Street Instructor: Dohoon Lee E-mail: [email protected] Office: Room 4113, Puck 4th Floor Office hours: Tuesday, 10:00am – noon Course Description This course provides a structured approach towards the development of an analytic toolkit for use in quantitative sociological research. The two overarching goals of this course are: (1) to understand the statistical/sociological underpinnings of advanced quantitative research methods and (2) to make practical applications of such methods. In this course, we will cover generalized linear models, growth curve/multilevel models, and propensity score models: (1) models for categorical and limited dependent variables; (2) analyses of repeated measures over time and of clustered data; and (3) potential outcomes approaches. While enough time will be devoted to discussions about why we need these methods and what they do, the emphasis will also be placed on how we can use them to analyze data, interpret results and critically review published research. Therefore, we will allocate time for short data analysis session in each class. The prerequisite is the first two semesters of quantitative methods (SOC-GA 2331-001. Methods & Statistics I and SOC-GA 2330-001. Intro to Methods) or the equivalent as approved by the instructor. Course Requirement 1. 3 memos All students are required to submit 3 memos (up to 3 pages each) that summarize and critique the published articles of their choice (see Course Schedule for the list [M]). The due dates are October 10, November 21, and December 12. Each memo addresses one of the three topics covered in this course, with a focus on methodological critique. Specifically, the memos should identify existing or potential problems and provide viable alternatives on a methodological ground. 2. Final project There are three types of final projects that students can consider (see below). Regardless of the type chosen, the final project should employ at least one statistical method discussed in this course, demonstrating the potential to be published in peer-reviewed journals after revision in regard to substance and methodology. That being said, each student should convince me that his/her project is manageable enough to be submitted on time. A one or two page memo outlining the topic, data, and method is due October 17; the final paper is due December 15. All students are encouraged to meet with me to talk about their project. 2.1. Writing a research paper (up to 15 pages): the most desirable option 2.2. Replicating a published study (up to 15 pages): e.g., Mouw and Sobel (2001); Young (2009) 2.3. Writing 2 research proposals (up to 7 pages each) 1|Page 3. Class presentation All students will have 15 minutes to present their final project and to discuss it with the class on the last day of the course. Software We will use STATA unless otherwise notified. Course Web Page The course website is available through Blackboard. If you enrolled in this course, you should access the site by going to http://home.nyu.edu. Once there, go to Academics and click on the link to Advanced Multivariate Statistics under Blackboard Courses. You will see all announcements and course materials there, so visit frequently. Texts Note: * more substantive; † more practical; ‡ both 1. Required †Long, J. Scott and Jeremy Freese. 2006. Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using Stata, Second Edition. College Station, TX: Stata Press. [LF] ‡Singer, Judith D. and John B. Willett. 2003. Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis: Modeling Change and Event Occurrence. New York, NY: Oxford University Press. [SW] *Morgan, Stephen L. and Christopher Winship. 2007. Counterfactuals and Causal Inference: Methods and Principles for Social Research. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. [MW] 2. Recommended *Long, J. Scott. 1997. Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. *Raudenbush, Stephen W. and Anthony S. Bryk. 2001. Hierarchical Linear Models: Applications and Data Analysis Methods, Second Edition. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. [RB] ‡Gelman, Andrew and Jennifer Hill. 2006. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press. †Guo, Shenyang Y. and Mark W. Fraser. 2010. Propensity Score Analysis: Statistical Methods and Applications. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. 3. Additional reading materials There are supplemental articles (see Class Schedule) recommended to read in some classes [R]. They are either available through e-journals or posted on our Blackboard web page. Class Schedule Week 1: 9/12 Generalized Linear Models Overview What are GLMs?; When do we need them? 2|Page Binary Outcomes Week 2: 9/19 Ordinal Outcomes Week 3: 9/26 Nominal Outcomes Week 4: 10/3 Count Outcomes Liner probability, logit, and probit models [LF] Ch. 4 [M] Brooks and Manza (1997); Browne (1997) Ordered logit and ordered probit models [LF] Ch. 5 [M] Espenshade and Fu (1997) Multinomial logit models [LF] Ch. 6 [M] Lewis and Oppenheimer (2000) Poisson and negative binomial regressions [LF] Ch. 7 [M] Kalleberg, Reskin, and Hudson (2000); Minkoff (1997) NO MEETING Week 5: 10/10 > 1st memo due Week 6: 10/17 Growth Curve/Multilevel Models Overview What are GCM/HLM?; When do we need them? [R] Karney and Bradbury (1995) Growth Curve Models 1 Longitudinal data on change; Within- and between-individual change [SW] Chs. 1, 2, and 3 > Final project memo due Week 7: 10/24 Growth Curve Models 2 Longitudinal data analysis of individual change; Flexible treatment of time; Nonlinear change [SW] Chs. 4, 5, and 6 Week 8: 10/31 Growth Curve Models 3 Latent growth curve modeling [SW] Chs. 7 and 8 [M] Cherlin, Chase-Lansdale, and McRae (1998); Downey, von Hippel, and Broth (2004) Week 9: 11/7 Multilevel Models 1 History of HLM; Random coefficients model [RB] Chs. 1, 2, 3, and 4 Week 10: 11/14 Multilevel Models 2 Applications of HLM [RB] Ch. 5 [M] Gamoran (1992); Grodsky and Pager (2001) Week 11: 11/21 Propensity Score Models 3|Page Counterfactual Approaches Causality; Counterfactual model [MW] Chs. 1, 2, and 3; [R] Holland (1986); LaLonde (1986) > 2nd memo due Week 12: 11/28 Matching Origins and motivations; Matching as what? [MW] Ch. 4; [R] Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983); D’Agostino (1998); Ho et al. (2007) [M] Bingenheimer, Brennan, and Earls (2005); Brand and Xie (2010); Dehejia and Wahba (1999) Week 13: 12/5 Weighting Origins and motivations; Marginal structural models [R] Kurth et al. (2005) [M] Crosnoe (2009); Mincy, Hill, and Sinkewicz (2009) Week 14: 12/12 Class Presentation > 3rd memo due > Final project due by 5pm, 12/15 (please drop your paper in my mailbox) 4|Page
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