PRIISM CENTER FOR THE PROMOTION OF RESEARCH INVOLVING INNOVATIVE STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY Atlantic Causal Inference Conference May 20-21, 2010 New York University Kimmel Center 60 Washington Square South, Room 914 Conference Organizer: Jennifer Hill, New York University Session Organizers: Jack Buckley, New York University Miguel Hernan, Harvard University Marshall Joffe, University of Pennsylvania James Robins, Harvard University Jason Roy, University of Pennsylvania Jasjeet Sekhon, University of California, Berkeley Dylan S. Small, University of Pennsylvania Special thanks to Jonathan Winters Thursday, May 20 9:00 ‐ 9:45 Registration and continental breakfast 9:45 ‐ 10:00 Welcoming remarks Jennifer Hill, Conference Organizer 10:00 ‐ 11:45 Topics in Causal Inference Organizer: Jack Buckley, New York University “Causal Effects of Immutable Characteristics ” James Greiner, Harvard University “Causal Inference by Manipulation without Reductionism: Reconsidering a Dogma of Empiricism ” Jasjeet Sekhon, University of California, Berkeley “Randomization inference with the Peters‐Belson method “ Ben B. Hansen, University of Michigan 11:45 ‐ 1:15 Lunch (food served in 912) 1:15 ‐ 3:30 Case Study Organizers: Miguel Hernán and James Robins, Harvard University “When to start antiretroviral therapy? Using observational data to compare the effects of dynamic treatment regimes” Timothy Wilkin, Cornell University Lauren Cain, Harvard University James Robins, Harvard University 3:30 ‐ 3:45 Coffee Break 3:45 ‐ 5:30 Sensitivity Analysis Organizer: Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania “Design sensitivity and efficiency in observational studies” Paul Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania “Eliciting a Counterfactual Sensitivity Parameter” Bryan Shepherd, Vanderbilt University “The sensitivity of linear regression coefficients' confidence limits to the omission of a confounder” Carrie Hosman, University of Michigan 5:30 ‐ 6:30 Poster Session and Happy Hour Reception Location: Kimmel Hall, 400 series Posters presented by: Mike Baiocchi, Tom Greene, Susan Gruber, Holger Kern, Winston Lin, Fernando Martel Garcia, Hui Nie, Kristin Porter, Pengyuan Wang, Dan Yang, Kai Zhang Friday, May 21 9:00 ‐ 9:30 Breakfast and Registration 9:30 ‐ 11:15 Topics in Causal Inference Organizer: Jasjeet Sekhon University of California, Berkeley “Robust Inference for Semiparametric Estimators ” Matias Cattaneo, University of Michigan “Adaptive Designs for Observational Studies: Changing the Population Sampled Based on Interim Data” Michael Rosenblum, Johns Hopkins University “Experimental Idenification of Causal Mechanisms“ Kosuke Imai, Princeton University 11:00 ‐ 12:30 Plenary talk “Causal Inference ‐‐ Logical Foundation and New Results” Judea Pearl, University of California in Los Angeles 12:30 ‐ 1:45 Lunch (food served in 912) 1:45 ‐ 3:30 Panel Discussion Organizer and Discussant: Marshall Joffe, University of Pennsylvania “Mission impossible? Characterizing the causal effects of nonmanipulable variables ” Miguel Hernan, Harvard University Constantine Frangakis, Johns Hopkins University Mark van der Laan, University of California at Berkeley 3:30 ‐ 3:45 Coffee Break 3:45 ‐ 5:30 Statistical Methods for Comparative Effectiveness Research Organizer: Jason Roy “Causal Comparison of current glycemic control practices in type 2 diabe‐ tes ‐ An approach based on dynamic marginal structural models” Romain Neugebauer, Kaiser Permanente “Accuracy and precision of causal inference with two‐stage logistic re‐ gression” Bing Cai, Merck “Comparative Effectiveness Research: The Role of Research Synthesis” Joel Greenhouse, Johns Hopkins University Directions DIRECTIONS New York University's Kimmel Center (the location of the Conference) is located at 60 Washington Square Park South on the island and borough of Manhattan in the neighborhood called Greenwich Village. Below are directions for getting to NYU's Washington Square Park. By Plane From La Guardia, Kennedy, or Newark Airport, take the airport shuttle bus to Port Authority Bus Terminal or Grand Central Station. From Port Authority, take the A or E subway downtown to West Fourth Street-Washington Square Station, or from Grand Central, take the Lexington Avenue subway (No. 6 train) downtown to Astor Place Station. Cabs and car services are available at the airport and, even though they cost more, they are your best bet if you have a lot of luggage. By Train Metro North into Grand Central Station Take the Lexington Avenue subway (No. 6 train) downtown to Astor Place Station. Go west on Astor Place to Broadway. Walk south on Broadway to Waverly Place. Walk westward on Waverly Place until you reach Washington Square. Long Island Rail Road (LIRR) and Amtrak into Pennsylvania Station Take the 8th avenue subway (A and E trains) downtown to West Fourth Street-Washington Square Station. Walk east on West Fourth Street until you reach Washington Square. PATH Trains from New Jersey to Ninth Street Station (Sixth Avenue and Ninth Street) Then walk south to West Fourth Street and east to Washington Square. By Bus All Greyhound and New Jersey Transit buses go to the Port Authority Terminal. Port Authority marine terminals in New York and New Jersey are open and operating normally. From there, take the Eighth Avenue subway downtown (see By Subway below). By Subway Take the Lexington Avenue subway (No. 6 train) to Astor Place Station. Go west on Astor Place to Broadway. Walk south on Broadway to Waverly Place. Walk westward on Waverly Place until you reach Washington Square. Take the Broadway subway (R or W train) to Eighth Street Station. At Broadway walk south to Waverly Place. Walk westward on Waverly Place until you reach Washington Square. Take the Sixth Avenue subway to West Fourth Street-Washington Square Station (A, C, E, B, D, F, or V train). Walk east on West Fourth Street until you reach Washington Square. Local area/History Kimmel Center 60 Washington Square South Room 914 History of the conference In June 2005 a small group from the Department of Statistics at Columbia Univer‐ sity convened a “miniconference on causal inference” which consisted of “six talks and lots of discussion.” On the original conference website, in addition to the six speakers, twelve participants are listed. Since then the conference has grown into an annual tradition, attracting an audience more than six times larger than the original. The conference has also become less strictly regional — though is still has Atlantic in the title we now have a substantial constituencies from Michigan and Berkeley (among others). The 2010 Atlantic Causal Inference Conference, hosted by the PRIISM Center at New York University, will be the largest and, we hope, the most successful incarnation yet. 8th Street Wine Cellar Wine Bars, American (new) 28 W 8th St (212) 260-9463 Visiting and eating Commerce Category: American (New) 50 Commerce St (212) 524-2301 Pasta Bistro Grill 93 MacDougal St New York NY10012 (Btwn Bleecker& W 3rd St) (212) 260-5679 Acme Bar & Grill Cajun/Creole, Chicken Wings, Bars 9 Great Jones St (212) 420-1934 Cuba Categories: Cuban 222 Thompson Street (212) 420-7878 Po³ Category: Italian 31 Cornelia St (212) 645-2189 Agave Restaurant Mexican 140 7th Ave S, (212) 989-2100 Dos Caminos Categories: Mexican, Bars Ponte Vecchio 206 Thompson Street (212) 228-7701 475 W Broadway (212) 277-4300 FavelaCubana Apple Restaurant &Bom Bar Karaoke, Asian Fusion, Vegetarian Categories: Cuban, Brazilian 543 La Guardia Pl 17 Waverly Pl (212) 777-6500 (212) 473-8888 Porto-Bello Restaurant 208 Thompson St (between 3rd St &Bleecker St) (212) 473-7794 Quantum Leap Natural Food 203 1st Ave (between 12th St & 13th St) (212) 673-9848 Bianca Restaurant(cash only) Italian 5 Bleecker Street (212) 260-4666 Five Points Category: American (New) 31 Great Jones St (212) 253-5700 Baluchi's (Indian) 90 W 3rd St (Btwn Sullivan & Thompson ) (212) 529-5353 Home Restaurant Category: American (New) 20 Cornelia St (212) 243-9579 Blue Hill  75 Washington Pl (212) 539-1776 Lure Fishbar Category: Seafood 142 Mercer St (212) 431-7676 Boyd Thai 210 Thompson St (Btwn W 3rd &Bleecker St) (212) 533-7290 Thai Lemongrass Masamoto Sushi Category: Thai 88 W 3rd Street 273 A. 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