Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Illness Activity Report A summary of influenza surveillance indicators prepared by the Division of Infectious Disease Epidemiology Prevention & Control Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 All data are preliminary and may change as more information is received Minnesota Influenza Geographic Spread No Activity Sporadic Local Regional Widespread During the week ending December 24, 2016 (Week 51), surveillance indicators showed local geographic spread of influenza. Since the start of the influenza season, 0 pediatric influenza-related deaths have been reported. Based on CDC’s Activity Estimates Definitions: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm Minnesota Influenza Surveillance: http://www.health.state.mn.us/divs/idepc/diseases/flu/stats/ Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ World Health Organization (WHO) Surveillance: http://www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/en/ Neighboring states’ influenza information: Iowa http://www.idph.state.ia.us/IdphArchive/Archive.aspx?channel=FluReports Wisconsin http://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/communicable/influenza/surveillance.htm North Dakota http://www.ndflu.com/default.aspx South Dakota http://doh.sd.gov/diseases/infectious/flu/ Minnesota Department of Health 651-201-5414 or 1-877-676-5414 www.health.state.mn.us 12/29/2016 Hospitalized Influenza Surveillance Hospitalized influenza cases are based on disease reports of laboratory-positive influenza (via DFA, IFA, viral culture, EIA, rapid test, paired serological tests or RT-PCR) and specimens from hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness submitted to MDH-PHL by hospitals and laboratories. Due to the need to confirm reports and reporting delays, consider current week data preliminary. Hospitalized Influenza Cases by Type Minnesota (FluSurv-NET*) B (no genotype) 45 B (Yamagata) 40 A (not subtyped) B (Victoria) A H3 35 A H1 (unspecified) A (H1N1)pdm09 30 Current week A (H1N2v) A (H3N2v) 25 A&B 20 Unknown 15 10 Number of Hospitalizations Number of Hospitalizations 50 Hospitalized Influenza Cases by Season, Minnesota (FluSurv-NET*) 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Current week 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MMWR Week 5 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MMWR Week Hospitalizations this week Hospitalizations last week Total hospitalizations (to date) 20 16 93 *Influenza Surveillance Network Season 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 Total hospitalizations (historic) 556 3,068 1,540 4,138 1,541 93 (to date) Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 2 Hospitalized Influenza Surveillance (continued) Incidence (cases) per 100,000 Persons 3.6 1.6 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.1 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Central Metro Northeast Northwest South Central Southeast Southwest West Central 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 6.6 # of hospitalizations Incidence (cases) per 100,000 Persons 1.1 0-4 1.3 0.6 0.7 5-24 25-49 50-64 65+ 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Age Group (years) Region Region Number of Hospitalizations # of hospitalizations Number of Influenza Hospitalizations and Incidence by Age, Minnesota October 2, 2016 – December 24, 2016 Hospitalizations per 100,000 Persons 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Hospitalizations per 100,000 Persons Number of Hospitalizations Number of Influenza Hospitalizations and Incidence by Region, Minnesota October 2, 2016 – December 24, 2016 Hospitalizations this week Total (to date) 5 (25%) 8 (40%) 1 (5%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 (5%) 3 (15%) 2 (10%) 12 (13%) 51 (55%) 3 (3%) 0 (0%) 3 (3%) 11 (12%) 8 (7%) 5 (5%) Median age (years) at time of admission 69.0 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 3 Respiratory Disease Outbreak Surveillance School Outbreaks K-12 schools report an outbreak of influenza-like illness (ILI) when the number of students absent with ILI reaches 5% of total enrollment or three or more students with ILI are absent from the same elementary classroom. Number of influenza-like illness outbreaks Influenza-like Illness (ILI) in Schools by Season 300 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 250 2015-16 2016-17 200 150 Current week 100 50 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 MMWR Week New school outbreaks this week New school outbreaks last week Total this season (to date) 2 7 20 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 4 Respiratory Disease Outbreak Surveillance (continued) Long-Term Care (LTC) Outbreaks LTC facilities report to MDH when they suspect an outbreak of influenza in their facility. Laboratory-confirmed outbreaks are reported here. Confirmed Influenza Outbreaks in LTC by Season 70 Number of lab-confirmed outbreaks 65 2012-13 60 2013-14 55 2014-15 50 2015-16 45 2016-17 40 35 30 25 20 Current week 15 10 5 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 MMWR Week New LTC outbreaks this week New LTC outbreaks last week Total this season (to date) 1 2 6 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 5 Sentinel Provider Surveillance (Outpatients) MDH collaborates with healthcare providers who report the total number of patients seen and the total number of those patients presenting to outpatient clinics with influenza-like illness. Percentage of Persons Presenting to Outpatient Clinics with Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) 9 2012-13 Percent with Influenza-like Illness 8 2013-14 2014-15 7 2015-16 6 5 2016-17 Current week* 4 3 2 1 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 MMWR Week % of outpatients with ILI this week % of outpatients with ILI last week 0.8% 0.8% *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 1 or more weeks Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 6 Laboratory Surveillance The MN Lab System (MLS) Laboratory Influenza Surveillance Program is made up of more than 310 clinic- and hospital-based laboratories, voluntarily submitting testing data weekly. These laboratories perform rapid testing for influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV). Significantly fewer labs perform PCR testing for influenza and three also perform PCR testing for other respiratory viruses. MDH-PHL provides further characterization of submitted influenza isolates to determine the hemagglutinin serotype to indicate vaccine coverage. Tracking the laboratory results assists healthcare providers with patient diagnosis of influenza-like illness and provides an indicator of the progression of the influenza season as well as prevalence of disease in the community. Specimens Positive for Influenza by Molecular Testing*, by Week 35 B A (not subtyped) A H3 A (H1N1) pdm09 25 2013-14 % + by PCR 2014-15 % + by PCR 20 2015-16 % + by PCR 2016-17 % + by PCR 15 30 25 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 MMWR Week % molecular tests positive this week % molecular tests positive last week 3.6% 2.1% Percent of positive molecular tests Number of positive molecular tests Current week 30 35 0 *Beginning in 2016-17, laboratories report results for rapid molecular influenza tests in addition to RT-PCR results Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 7 Laboratory Surveillance (continued) MLS Laboratories – Influenza Testing MLS Laboratories – RSV Testing Specimens Positive by Influenza Rapid Antigen Test, by Week Specimens Positive by RSV Rapid Antigen Test, by Week Number of Positive Influenza Specimens 180 2013-14 % + 45 160 2014-15% + 140 120 Current week 2015-16 % + 40 35 2016-17 % + 30 100 25 80 20 60 15 40 10 20 5 0 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MMWR Week Region Northeast South Central Southwest Southeast Metro Central West Central Northwest State (overall) % rapid antigen influenza tests + (current week) 5% 17% 16% 0% 7% 13% 15% 2% 10% 200 Number + 180 2013-14 % + 160 2014-15 % + 140 2015-16 % + 2016-17 % + 120 Current week 100 80 60 40 20 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MMWR Week Region Northeast South Central Southwest Southeast Metro Central West Central Northwest State (overall) 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Percentage of Rapid Antigen RSV Tests Positive A/B+ (2015-16 Season) 50 Percentage of Rapid Antigen Influenza Tests Positive A+ (2015-16 Season) 200 Number of Positive RSV Tests B+ (2015-16 Season) % rapid antigen RSV tests + (current week) 29% 40% 45% 18% 35% 14% 35% 11% 31% Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 8 Laboratory Surveillance (continued) Minnesota Influenza Incidence Surveillance Project (MIISP) Positive Respiratory Pathogens by PCR, by MMWR Week Number Positive by RT-PCR 20 Influenza B Influenza A H3 Influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 Influenza A Unspecified Influenza C RSV Human Metapneumovirus Rhinovirus/Enterovirus Adenovirus Coronavirus NL63 Coronavirus OC43 Coronavirus 229E Coronavirus HKU1 Parainfluenza-1 Parainfluenza-2 Parainfluenza-3 Parainfluenza-4 15 10 5 0 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 1 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 MMWR Week* *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 2 or more weeks Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 9 Laboratory Surveillance (continued) Severe Acute Respiratory Surveillance (SARI) - Inpatients Positive Respiratory Pathogens by PCR, by MMWR Week Parainfluenza 4 Parainfluenza 3 Parainfluenza 2 Parainfluenza 1 Coronavirus HKU1 75 Coronavirus 229E Coronavirus OC43 Coronavirus NL63 Adenovirus Rhinovirus/Enterovirus 70 Human Metapneumovirus RSV Influenza A Unspecified Influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 Influenza A H3 Influenza B Legionella Mycoplasma pneumoniae Chlamydophila pneumoniae Influenza C 65 Bocavirus Number Positive by RT-PCR 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 20 MMWR Week* *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 2 or more weeks Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 10 Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report 2016-2017 Influenza Season Week 50 ending December 17, 2016 National Influenza Surveillance (CDC): http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ Viral Surveillance: The most frequently identified influenza virus subtype reported by public health laboratories during week 50 was influenza A (H3). The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza in clinical laboratories increased. Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality: The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was below the system-specific epidemic threshold in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Mortality Surveillance System. Influenza-associated Pediatric Deaths: Two influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported that occurred during the 2015-2016 season. Influenza-associated Hospitalizations: A cumulative rate for the season of 2.4 laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 population was reported. Outpatient Illness Surveillance: The proportion of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) was 2.3%, which is above the national baseline of 2.2%. Five regions reported ILI at or above their region-specific baseline levels. One state and Puerto Rico experienced high ILI activity, two states and New York City experienced moderate ILI activity, ten states experienced low ILI activity, 37 states experienced minimal ILI activity, and the District of Columbia had insufficient data. Geographic Spread of Influenza: The geographic spread of influenza in Puerto Rico was reported as widespread; Guam, the U.S. Virgin Islands and 13 states reported as regional; the District of Columbia and 26 states reported local activity; and 11 states reported sporadic activity. Influenza-Like Illness (ILI) Activity Level Indicator Determined by Data Reported to ILINet 2016-17 Influenza Season Week 50 ending Dec 17, 2016 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending December 24, 2016 | WEEK 51 11
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