Matakuliah
Tahun
Versi
: F0392/Simulasi Perdagangan di Bursa Efek
: 2005
: 1/3
Pertemuan 11
Indikator Trend
1
Learning Outcomes
Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa
akan mampu :
• menentukan indikator trend pada grafik
saham
• Menghubungkan indikator trend dan
indikator perekonomian
2
Outline Materi
• Peak-and=through analysis
• Support and resistance
• Volume interpretation
3
Peak-and-through analysis
4
Support and Resistance Level
• Support is where a declining trend
can be expected to halt, temporary,
due to a concentration of demand
• Resistance is where and advancing
trend can be expected to halt,
temporary, due to a concentration of
supply
5
Ex : Support and Resistance
6
Support and Resistance Area
• Support and Resistance areas
are not predictors of where prices
will reverse
• But merely indicated possible,
or probable, points
7
Old Support Has Been
Violated
8
New Support and Corrections
9
New Support Level
10
Support Reverse to Resistance
11
Price Rally at New Support &
Resistance Level
12
Potential Resistance and Uptrend
13
Resistance Reverse to Support
14
Volume Interpretation
1. The most important principle is that volume
normally goes with the trend. In a rising
market, volume should be expanding and in a
declining market it should be contract. Rising
volume refers to the average daily, weekly, or
monthly transaction level relative to itself.
2. Rising volume and price are normal
phenomenon.
3. Volume normally leads price. A new high price
that is not confirmed by volume should be
regarded as a red flag, warning that the
prevailing trend may be about to reverse
15
Volume Interpretation
4. Rising prices and failing volume are abnormal,
and indicates a weak ans suspect rally.
5. A parabolic rise in prices and a sharp increase
in volume are unsustainable, and eventually
result in an exhaustion move.
6. The reverse se of circumstances, when the
price declines sharply and volume expands to
climactic levels, is a selling climax.
16
Tugas
Kerjakan dan kumpulkan pada Pert 12
• Tugas 11-1
• Tugas 11-2
• Tugas 11-3
17