Matakuliah Tahun : Keuangan Internasional : 2009 The Balance of Payments Pertemuan 4 Off Class Soal 1 • (Question 9) What is the official settlements account of the balance of payments ? How are official settlements deficits and surpluses associated with movements in the international reserves of the balance of payments ? Bina Nusantara University 3 Jawaban Soal 1 The official settlements account records the purchases and sales of the country’s international reserves. Just as on the private sector’s capital account, if the central bank increases its ownership of international reserves, this is recorded as a debit, whereas a sale of international reserves is a credit. Thus, if the official settlements account is in surplus, the country is losing international reserves. Bina Nusantara University Soal 2 • (Problem 1) Suppose that the following transactions take place on the U.S balance of payments during a given year. Analyze the effects on the merchandise trade balance, the international investment income account, the current account, the capital account, and the official settlements account : a. Boeing, a U.S aerospace company, sells $ 3 billion of its 747 airplanes to the People’s Republic of China, which pays with proceeds from a loan from a consortium of international banks b. Nikko, a Japanese investment bank, purchases $ 70 million of 30 years U.S treasury bonds for one of its Japanese clients. Nikko draws down its account with the First National Bank of Chicago to pay for the bonds. c. General Motors, a U.S automobile company, sends a dividend check for $ 25,255 to a Canadian investor in Toronto. The Canadian investor deposits the check in a U.S Dollar Bina Nusantara University 5 denominated bank account at the Bank of Montreal. Soal 2 d. The U.S Treasury authorizes the New York Federal Reserves Bank to intervene in the foreign exchange market. The New York Fed purchases $ 5 billion with Japanese Yen and Euros that it holds as international reserves e. The President of the United States sends troops in a Latin America country to establish a democratic government. The total operation costs U.S taxpayers $ 8.5 billion. To show their support for the operation, the governments of Mexico and Brazil each donate $ 1 billion to the United States, which they raise by selling U.S Treasury bonds that they were holding as international reserves. f. Honda of America, the U.S subsidiary of the Japanese automobile manufacturer, obtains $ 275 million from its parent company in Japan in the form of a loan to enable it to construct a new state 6 of the art manufacturing facility in Ohio. Bina Nusantara University Jawaban Soal 2 a. Boeing’s sale of planes is an export on the U.S. balance of payments, which is a credit. The fact that China borrows from international banks means that foreign ownership of U.S. assets is going down. This is a debit on the U.S. balance of payments. U.S. BOP Sale of airplanes by a U.S. exporter to China Credit (Current account; U.S. goods export, trade balance) $3 billion Reduction of Ownership of U.S. assets by the Consortium of International Banks(Capital account; U.S. Capital outflow) Debit $3 billion The purchase of Treasury bonds by a foreign company is a credit on the U.S. balance of payments just like an export of goods is a credit. The reduction in Nikko’s bank account is a reduction in foreign ownership of U.S. assets and is a corresponding debit. U.S. BOP Credit Debit Nikko draws down its account with the $70 million First National Bank of Chicago (Capital account; U.S. Capital outflow) Bina Nusantara University purchases U.S. Treasury bonds Nikko $70 (Capital account; U.S. Capital inflow) million 7 Jawaban Soal 2 c. The dividend check is a debit on the U.S. balance of payments because it is a payment to a foreigner. The corresponding credit is the increase in foreign ownership of U.S. assets that occurs when the dollars are deposited in the bank and not spent on goods or services in the U.S. U.S. BOP Credit Debit Dividend check to a Canadian investor $25,255 (Current account; dividend payout in international investment account) Canadian investor deposits the check in a U.S. dollar$25,255 denominated foreign bank account (Capital account; U.S. Capital inflow) d. When the New York Fed purchases $5 billion in the foreign exchange market, this is a credit on the official settlements account of the U.S. balance of payments. The corresponding debit is a reduction in the foreign ownership of U.S. assets. U.S. BOP Credit Debit $5 billion reduction in foreign holdings of U.S. assets $5 billion (Capital account; U.S. Capital outflow) The New York Fed sells $5 billion worth of $5 billion international reserves (Official Settlements Account; decline in foreign reserves) Bina Nusantara University 8 Jawaban Soal 2 e. It is not entirely clear how much, if any, of the $8.5 billion of military expenditures would be part of the balance of payments. Any expenditures on soldiers would not be, as the soldiers are considered U.S. residents for balance of payments purposes. Any equipment that was damaged or destroyed would also be U.S. equipment, and would not be part of the U.S. balance of payments. Only purchases made in the Latin American country would be imports. We assume these expenditures are zero, as we know how to deal with imports from previous questions. The $2 billion donations by Mexico and Brazil are unilateral transfers from foreigners, which corresponds to an export of goodwill. The transfers are thus credits on the U.S. balance of payments. The reduction in the ownership of U.S. assets by Mexico and Brazil are the corresponding debits. U.S. BOP Credit Debit The governments of Mexico and Brazil each donate $1 $2 billion billion to the United States (Current account; Brazilian & Mexican donations) Mexico & Brazil Sale of U.S. Treasury bonds $2 billion (Capital account, U.S. Capital outflow) Bina Nusantara University 9 Jawaban Soal 2 f. The loan is considered a credit on the U.S. balance of payments because foreigners are increasing their ownership of U.S. assets. The reduction in the parent company’s ownership of U.S. assets is a corresponding debit. U.S. BOP Credit Debit Honda’s American Subsidiary obtains a foreign loan $275 million (Capital account; U.S. Capital inflow) Reduction in Honda Japan’s ownership of U.S. assets $275 million (Capital account; U.S. Capital outflow) Bina Nusantara University 10 Soal 3 • Home Work Mahasiswa melakukan analisa terhadap Balance of Payment Republik Indonesia untuk posisi yang terbaru (triwulan terakhir) dan menyusun laporan analisa tsb. http://www.bi.go.id/web/id/Publikasi/Neraca+Pembayara n+Indonesia/ Tugas ini dikumpulkan sebelum perkuliahan pertemuan berikutnya dimulai. Bina Nusantara University 11
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