WHO IS IMPACTION IMPACTING? The CSU no longer builds enrollment policy on the demands of demography. Rather, leadership is restricting enrollment; the legislature, they believe, only regurgitates revenue when classrooms are empty and prison cells are filled. California is in financial crisis perpetually; thus, the argument for affordability—tuition well below the national average—requires that the system restricts access perpetually. In other words, we must destroy access in order to save it. Impacted campuses use standardized tests and selective catchments to limit access to students with conventional academic success; this excites the academic instinct for exclusiveness. Financial penalties enforce FTF ETHN BL5 BL10 DIFF HI5 HI10 reductions on campuses that exceed target; SLO 28 17 (11) 294 393 PO 121 67 (54) 990 746 too much access undermines the sophistry of DH 292 203 (89) 333 681 too little access. FU 219 106 (113) 1,317 1,599 LB LA NO SD This paradox puts CSUN, where black and Hispanic FTF grew from ’05-‘10, in the kill zone with CSUDH and CSULA (see right). 281 137 494 154 1,726 190 97 557 130 1,367 (91) (40) 63 (24) (359) 1,232 781 1,314 818 7,079 1,559 1,377 2,460 860 9,675 DIFF 99 (244) 348 282 327 596 1,146 42 2,596 The bigger issue is the fidelity of the CSU pledge to be regional—in the LA MSA and CSU BOUND 5 10 DIFF A-G 5 9 DIFF LAUSD. Los Angeles Unified 4,159 5,401 1,242 42% 14,146 15,509 1,363 13% 42% of the San Diego Unified 1,045 932 (113) -4% 2,626 2,266 (360) -3% Kern Union High 777 925 148 5% 1,390 1,893 503 5% statewide Long Beach Unified 617 920 303 10% 1,747 2,043 296 3% San Francisco Unified 775 890 115 4% 2,065 1,838 (227) -2% growth in Fresno Unified 534 714 180 6% 1,405 801 (604) -6% CSU-bound East Side Union High 617 706 89 3% 1,396 1,940 544 5% Sweetwater Union High 536 644 108 4% 1,546 2,142 596 6% students Elk Grove Unified 442 557 115 4% 1,322 1,595 273 3% Anaheim Union High 438 556 118 4% 935 1,383 448 4% between ’05 TTL 44,570 47,554 2,984 124,982 135,379 10,397 and ’10 came from LAUSD. In large measure, this increase derives from a surge in A-G completion; LAUSD’s share overwhelms the other major districts. Locally, this uptick redirected students from entry to the community colleges and toward the CSU. The CSU share of public FTF from the district rose 3%, while the community colleges’ share fell 3%. In reality, clamping down enrollment at CSUDH, CSULA, and CSUN will frustrate access for the students from the metro and the district. Wiley bureaucrats will counter that the intent is not to reduce but to redirect these students, to even out enrollment. The next chart shows why that argument is bait and switch. Pomona, San Diego, and Fullerton—all heavily impacted—have scythed enrollment from the metro and the district. The metro numbers dropped, in red, are striking; but the percents dropped across all three 2 of the areas are similar. San Luis and Long Beach made notable gains, as did several northern campuses. Nonetheless, CSUN, CSUDH, and CSULA anchored the regions. GREATER LA CMA SLO PO BAK CI CH DH EB FR FU LB LA MB NO SAC SB SM ST HU SD SF SJ SO 5 16 281 1,708 52 109 108 681 24 95 1,329 2,286 1,237 63 3,054 42 108 49 28 140 464 277 100 51 12,302 10 33 360 1,049 79 153 88 824 80 64 872 2,468 1,766 110 4,001 50 100 18 25 230 279 382 117 150 13,298 LAUSD 17 79 (659) 27 44 (20) 143 56 (31) (457) 182 529 47 947 8 (8) (31) (3) 90 (185) 105 17 99 996 5 2 48 214 32 24 26 338 9 28 143 471 605 10 1,834 12 29 2 7 68 117 98 35 7 4,159 10 14 77 79 42 54 23 392 37 15 75 551 892 42 2,647 20 17 4 10 104 69 133 43 61 5,401 REST 12 29 (135) 10 30 (3) 54 28 (13) (68) 80 287 32 813 8 (12) 2 3 36 (48) 35 8 54 1,242 5 10 14 19 233 283 1,494 970 20 37 85 99 82 65 343 432 15 43 67 49 1,186 797 1,815 1,917 632 874 53 68 1,220 1,354 30 30 79 83 47 14 21 15 72 126 347 210 179 249 65 74 44 89 8,143 7,897 5 50 (524) 17 14 (17) 89 28 (18) (389) 102 242 15 134 4 (33) (6) 54 (137) 70 9 45 (246) Campuses nearby greater Los Angeles, like San Bernardino, Channel Islands, and Bakersfield cannot become alternative because of the inadequacies of regional, public transportation. They indeed are a ridge too far. REGION Central Coast Inland Empire Los Angeles Monterey Bay North Coast North San Joaquin Valley Orange County Sacramento-Tahoe San Diego-Imperial San Francisco Bay South San Joaquin Valley 5 180 137 3,054 4 2 15 49 17 82 71 48 3,659 NOR 10 267 196 4,001 21 3 55 46 45 109 186 89 5,018 5 23 723 1,708 9 8 19 370 24 136 192 19 3,231 87 59 947 17 1 40 (3) 28 27 115 41 1,359 3 PO 10 18 457 1,049 5 11 218 21 88 102 11 5 1,985 (5) (266) (659) (4) 3 199 (349) 64 (34) (181) (14) (1,246) Therefore, campuses in the region must be in balance, lest we perfect the parts and spoil the whole. As Pomona has decreased the freshmen class, it has shed enrollment from southern California. The largest drop is in the LA metro. CSUN is the mirror image. Overall, it has added 113 more freshmen than Pomona has dropped. The biggest additions have been in the metro that runs east from Los Angeles. f5 3,252 786 3,943 4,383 1,458 3,720 4,069 21,611 f6 3,332 1,058 3,851 4,467 1,689 3,695 5,098 23,190 f7 3,610 995 4,154 4,217 1,931 4,130 5,559 24,596 f8 2,640 950 4,697 4,606 1,949 4,625 4,339 23,806 f9 2,913 1,136 4,065 3,551 2,029 4,203 4,223 22,120 f10 2,019 1,037 3,912 3,988 2,061 5,195 3,302 21,514 When we look at the FTF enrollment at the CSUs with the biggest draws from LA, we can see the link between campus role and system balance. From ’05 to ’10, ALL hardly changed. But the distribution across the campuses changed vastly. Only in ’08 was FTF distributed evenly. Otherwise, impacted campuses shed progressively. Others, odds are, redeployed capacity from Business and Education to FTF. PO DH FU LB LA NO SD ALL The bottom line is this. The practice of squeezing FTF to impress the legislature should not affect regions unequally. This chart shows the disproportionate growth that has been assigned to the mid-coastal campuses. Further, when impaction reduces entry enrollment well below norms, other targets in the vicinity should be adjusted accordingly. 4
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