la enrollment

WHO IS IMPACTION IMPACTING?
The CSU no longer builds enrollment policy on the demands of demography. Rather,
leadership is restricting enrollment; the legislature, they believe, only regurgitates revenue
when classrooms are empty and prison cells are filled.
California is in financial crisis perpetually; thus, the argument for affordability—tuition
well below the national average—requires that the system restricts access perpetually.
In other words, we must destroy access in order to save it.
Impacted campuses use standardized tests and selective catchments to limit access to
students with conventional academic success; this excites the academic instinct for
exclusiveness. Financial penalties enforce
FTF ETHN
BL5 BL10 DIFF
HI5 HI10
reductions on campuses that exceed target;
SLO
28
17
(11)
294
393
PO
121
67
(54)
990
746
too much access undermines the sophistry of
DH
292
203
(89)
333
681
too little access.
FU
219
106 (113)
1,317 1,599
LB
LA
NO
SD
This paradox puts CSUN, where black and
Hispanic FTF grew from ’05-‘10, in the kill
zone with CSUDH and CSULA (see right).
281
137
494
154
1,726
190
97
557
130
1,367
(91)
(40)
63
(24)
(359)
1,232
781
1,314
818
7,079
1,559
1,377
2,460
860
9,675
DIFF
99
(244)
348
282
327
596
1,146
42
2,596
The bigger issue is the fidelity of the CSU pledge to be regional—in the LA MSA and
CSU BOUND
5
10
DIFF
A-G
5
9
DIFF
LAUSD.
Los Angeles Unified
4,159
5,401 1,242
42%
14,146
15,509
1,363 13%
42% of the
San Diego Unified
1,045
932
(113)
-4%
2,626
2,266
(360) -3%
Kern Union High
777
925
148
5%
1,390
1,893
503 5%
statewide
Long Beach Unified
617
920
303
10%
1,747
2,043
296 3%
San Francisco Unified
775
890
115
4%
2,065
1,838
(227) -2%
growth in
Fresno Unified
534
714
180
6%
1,405
801
(604) -6%
CSU-bound
East Side Union High
617
706
89
3%
1,396
1,940
544 5%
Sweetwater Union High
536
644
108
4%
1,546
2,142
596 6%
students
Elk Grove Unified
442
557
115
4%
1,322
1,595
273 3%
Anaheim Union High
438
556
118
4%
935
1,383
448 4%
between ’05
TTL
44,570 47,554 2,984
124,982 135,379 10,397
and ’10 came
from LAUSD. In large measure, this increase derives from a surge in A-G completion;
LAUSD’s share overwhelms the other major districts.
Locally, this uptick redirected students from entry to the community colleges and toward
the CSU. The CSU share of public FTF from the district rose 3%, while the community
colleges’ share fell 3%.
In reality, clamping down enrollment at CSUDH, CSULA, and CSUN will frustrate access
for the students from the metro and the district. Wiley bureaucrats will counter that the
intent is not to reduce but to redirect these students, to even out enrollment.
The next chart shows why that argument is bait and switch. Pomona, San Diego, and
Fullerton—all heavily impacted—have scythed enrollment from the metro and the district.
The metro numbers dropped, in red, are striking; but the percents dropped across all three
2
of the areas are similar. San Luis and Long Beach made notable gains, as did several
northern campuses. Nonetheless, CSUN, CSUDH, and CSULA anchored the regions.
GREATER LA
CMA
SLO
PO
BAK
CI
CH
DH
EB
FR
FU
LB
LA
MB
NO
SAC
SB
SM
ST
HU
SD
SF
SJ
SO
5
16
281
1,708
52
109
108
681
24
95
1,329
2,286
1,237
63
3,054
42
108
49
28
140
464
277
100
51
12,302
10
33
360
1,049
79
153
88
824
80
64
872
2,468
1,766
110
4,001
50
100
18
25
230
279
382
117
150
13,298
LAUSD
17
79
(659)
27
44
(20)
143
56
(31)
(457)
182
529
47
947
8
(8)
(31)
(3)
90
(185)
105
17
99
996
5
2
48
214
32
24
26
338
9
28
143
471
605
10
1,834
12
29
2
7
68
117
98
35
7
4,159
10
14
77
79
42
54
23
392
37
15
75
551
892
42
2,647
20
17
4
10
104
69
133
43
61
5,401
REST
12
29
(135)
10
30
(3)
54
28
(13)
(68)
80
287
32
813
8
(12)
2
3
36
(48)
35
8
54
1,242
5
10
14
19
233
283
1,494
970
20
37
85
99
82
65
343
432
15
43
67
49
1,186
797
1,815 1,917
632
874
53
68
1,220 1,354
30
30
79
83
47
14
21
15
72
126
347
210
179
249
65
74
44
89
8,143 7,897
5
50
(524)
17
14
(17)
89
28
(18)
(389)
102
242
15
134
4
(33)
(6)
54
(137)
70
9
45
(246)
Campuses nearby greater Los Angeles, like San Bernardino, Channel Islands, and
Bakersfield cannot become alternative because of the inadequacies of regional, public
transportation. They indeed are a ridge too far.
REGION
Central Coast
Inland Empire
Los Angeles
Monterey Bay
North Coast
North San Joaquin Valley
Orange County
Sacramento-Tahoe
San Diego-Imperial
San Francisco Bay
South San Joaquin Valley
5
180
137
3,054
4
2
15
49
17
82
71
48
3,659
NOR
10
267
196
4,001
21
3
55
46
45
109
186
89
5,018
5
23
723
1,708
9
8
19
370
24
136
192
19
3,231
87
59
947
17
1
40
(3)
28
27
115
41
1,359
3
PO
10
18
457
1,049
5
11
218
21
88
102
11
5
1,985
(5)
(266)
(659)
(4)
3
199
(349)
64
(34)
(181)
(14)
(1,246)
Therefore,
campuses in the
region must be in
balance, lest we
perfect the parts
and spoil the whole.
As Pomona has
decreased the
freshmen class, it
has shed enrollment
from southern
California. The largest drop is in the LA metro. CSUN is the mirror image. Overall, it has
added 113 more freshmen than Pomona has dropped. The biggest additions have been in
the metro that runs east from Los Angeles.
f5
3,252
786
3,943
4,383
1,458
3,720
4,069
21,611
f6
3,332
1,058
3,851
4,467
1,689
3,695
5,098
23,190
f7
3,610
995
4,154
4,217
1,931
4,130
5,559
24,596
f8
2,640
950
4,697
4,606
1,949
4,625
4,339
23,806
f9
2,913
1,136
4,065
3,551
2,029
4,203
4,223
22,120
f10
2,019
1,037
3,912
3,988
2,061
5,195
3,302
21,514
When we look at the FTF
enrollment at the CSUs with the
biggest draws from LA, we can see
the link between campus role and
system balance. From ’05 to ’10,
ALL hardly changed. But the
distribution across the campuses
changed vastly. Only in ’08 was FTF distributed evenly. Otherwise, impacted campuses
shed progressively. Others, odds are, redeployed capacity from Business and Education to
FTF.
PO
DH
FU
LB
LA
NO
SD
ALL
The bottom line is this.
The practice of squeezing
FTF to impress the
legislature should not
affect regions unequally.
This chart shows the
disproportionate growth
that has been assigned to
the mid-coastal
campuses.
Further, when impaction reduces entry enrollment well below norms, other targets in the
vicinity should be adjusted accordingly.
4