Beyond COP21: Opportunities for China-India Climate Collaboration By: Morgan Rote, Reyna Askew, Lingyan Yu, Rachel Estrada, James Grant, Brandon Yeh, Ryan Bender, Colleen Howe, Megan Hyndman, and Deeba Yavrom This report was produced by a team of twenty Johns Hopkins University SAIS students and supported by the school’s Energy, Resources, and Environment department. It is the result of independent research, as well as two field research trips to Beijing and New Delhi. During these trips, which were sponsored by the SAIS ERE department’s Frontiers in Energy, Science and Technology (FEST) program, the student teams held meetings with policymakers, energy industry leaders, diplomats, and non-governmental organizations to discuss climate change policy developments and opportunities in each country. Executive Summary The 21st United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conference of the Parties (COP21) marked a historic shift in global climate policy. For the first time, a common framework was established to engage all countries in robust climate change action. China and India were among those offering strong support, and both have committed to significant energy intensity reductions and renewable energy expansions through 2030. Now, as the negotiations have settled and the goals have been set, the baton shifts to policymakers to develop and implement concrete action plans. Meeting the ambitious targets agreed upon will require concerted efforts—including policy changes, technological developments, the deepening of financial markets, and political leadership. This study argues that such developments will be more fruitful if they are marked by collaboration between two of the world’s largest economies and heaviest energy consumers– China and India. In recent months, Prime Minister Narenda Modi and President Xi Jinping have engaged in relationship building, through official visits by leaders, bilateral political dialogue, and collaborative infrastructure investment. These efforts have sparked discussion on ChineseIndian climate collaboration, as there is enormous potential for the two emerging powers to coordinate their climate change mitigation efforts. Collaboration is in both China and India’s interest for several reasons. First, the two countries face a series of common goals and challenges in addressing climate change, including balancing development and electricity access needs with sustainability efforts. Notwithstanding some important distinctions, many of the challenges that China and India face are unique to developing countries, and collaboration by the world’s two most populous developing societies helps to ensure these issues receive sufficient global attention. Collaboration also enhances the development of low carbon solutions—through knowledge sharing, best practice sharing, and joint RD&D. Furthermore, collaboration helps to build a larger regional market for green energy, helping Chinese and Indian producers to achieve economies of scale and cost reductions and promoting a robust market for clean energy financing. Finally, such collaborative efforts would enhance China and India’s leadership role in global climate action, while setting a precedent for the international community on successful cooperation. This study aims to highlight areas that hold the most potential for future Chinese-Indian collaboration, including clean coal technology, energy efficiency, renewable energy, bioenergy, and climate finance. China and India’s tremendous economic growth over the last 20 years has been fed by burgeoning fossil fuel consumption, and coal is expected to remain a significant power source for the foreseeable future. This makes the adoption of clean coal technologies, including desulfurization and dust-removal equipment, critical for boosting efficiency and reducing emissions. While such measures aim to minimize carbon emissions in power generation, a number of initiatives are also targeting energy efficiency in the industrial and buildings sectors. For example, China’s 12th Five Year Plan (2011-2015) has set aggressive efficiency targets, and its recently announced national carbon trading system could offer a strong policy mechanism to promote efficiency. Meanwhile, India’s Perform, Achieve and Trade scheme (PAT) has introduced a promising certificate trading program to boost energy efficiency in the country’s most energy-intensive sectors. In addition to tackling the harmful effects of fossil fuels and improving efficiency, India and China have seen significant development in renewable energy and bioenergy generation that offer opportunities for collaboration and expansion in the future. Both countries are placing increased reliance on clean energy, requiring strong advancements in technology and financing. Fortunately, clean energy financing is an area ripe for collaboration, with green bond programs and infrastructure debt funds offering two major financing sources. Achieving collaboration on climate change initiatives going forward will require monitoring of efficiency and financing programs, introduction of technology and knowledge sharing plans, and cooperation between high-level Indian and Chinese government officials. This study argues that such efforts would offer tremendous payoffs and allow China and India to realize their climate ambitions. It suggests a basic framework for collaboration, which may be expanded or adjusted as integration deepens. Introduction The 21st UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Conference of the Parties, held in Paris this December, was a landmark event for climate change negotiations. It achieved a strong universal agreement on climate, with the explicit goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Because China and India are the first and third largest carbon emitters globally, carbon emissions reductions in these two countries will be a deciding factor in the global community’s success or failure in achieving its targets and mitigating the adverse impacts of climate change. There is much room for optimism, as both countries are making strides toward a low-carbon economy. China pledged to peak its carbon emissions by 2030 at the latest, reduce its carbon intensity by 60-65% compared to its 2005 level, and increase the share of non-fossil fuels to 20 percent of its energy mix by 2030. The central government has been active in pursuing these climate goals, and domestic policies underway (such as the recently announced national carbon trading system) should allow China to honor these commitments. Similarly, India has made notable climate change commitments, including its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) pledge to reduce emissions intensity by 33-35% compared to 2005 levels and increase the share of non-fossil fuels to 40 percent of power capacity by 2030. These targets, along with ambitious renewable energy and carbon sequestration goals, suggest that India is devoting increased attention to climate concerns. While continued economic growth and expanded electricity access will remain India’s primary development goals, these recent announcements could mark a window of opportunity for innovative climate action. 2 Historically, China and India have worked independently to pursue their own climate goals. Bilateral cooperation has been limited thus far; however, certain trends suggest an evolution is underway. Both have participated in multilateral platforms such as the Major Economies Forum and the Clean Energy Ministerial, focusing in particular on electric vehicle and smart grid initiatives.1 Within the G20, both countries are pushing to reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade in environmental goods and services (EGS).2 In addition, there have been several recent initiatives within China and India’s non-profit, private, and even public sectors that suggest the potential for future bilateral cooperation. For instance, a collaborative research task force organized by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) brought together leading climate change researchers and policymakers from The Energy Research Institute (TERI) in India and the National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation (NCSC) in China. The joint research program was designed to foster south-south cooperation in order to share peer country experiences and exchange sustainable development strategies. In March 2014, the project released its first collaborative China-India climate change study.3 The report provides practical recommendations for broader climate change cooperation between China and India, many of which have been incorporated into this study. In addition, the Chinese and Indian governments have demonstrated greater interest in collaborating on areas of mutual concern than at any time since the early 1950s. Since taking office, Prime Minister Modi has actively looked to strengthen ties with Beijing–for example, by inviting Xi Jinping to visit India in September 2014. In response, China has pledged $20 billion of investment in India over the next five years.4 More recently, during Modi’s May 2015 visit to Beijing, the two countries issued a joint statement on climate change, affirming that “the two sides believe that their bilateral partnership on climate change is mutually beneficial and contributes to the global efforts to address climate change.” China and India committed to enhancing “high-level bilateral dialogue on domestic climate policies and multilateral negotiations and to further strengthen practical bilateral cooperation, including in areas of clean energy technologies, energy conservation, energy efficiency, renewable energy, sustainable transportation including electric vehicles, low-carbon urbanization and adaptation.”5 This bilateral statement is a clear indication that China and India are beginning to recognize collaboration as in the interest of both parties. Indeed, collaboration between these two world powers will be critical for meeting the global two degree Celsius target, as collaboration would multiply the impact of individual action. Collaboration is in China and India’s interest for several reasons. First, the two countries face a series of common goals and challenges in addressing climate change. Both seek to achieve 1 “International Smart Grid Action Network (ISGAN),” Clean Energy Ministerial, http://www.cleanenergyministerial.org/OurWork/Initiatives/Smart-Grid. 2 “More Countries Must Push for Deal to Liberalized Green Goods and Services,” World Commerce Review, March 2014, http://www.worldcommercereview.com/publications/article_pdf/821. 3 The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), National Centre for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation (NCSC), Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Zhejiang University (ZU) and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), “Low Carbon Development in China and India: Issues and Strategies (Advance Publication),” 2014, Study by To be published by TERI Press, http://www.teriin.org/pdf/TERI-NCSC-CUFE-ZU_China-India-LCD-book.pdf. 4 Manu Balachandran, “A Complete Timeline of India-China Relations since Modi Took Charge,” Quartz, May 15, 2015, http://qz.com/404869/a-complete-timeline-of-india-china-relations-since-modi-took-charge/. 5 Business Standard, “Joint Statement on Climate Change between India and China during Prime Minister’s Visit to China,” May 15, 2015, http://www.business-standard.com/article/government-press-release/joint-statement-on-climate-change-between-india-andchina-during-prime-115051500306_1.html. 3 economic growth, energy security, enhanced electricity access, and well-managed urbanization while minimizing energy intensity, air pollution, and the local impacts of climate change. Initiatives that pursue dual goals—like boosting economic growth and sustainability by fostering new low carbon industries or increasing rural electricity access and clean energy aims by adopting renewable sources—offer windows of opportunity for both countries. Such initiatives require immense innovation, mobilization and integration, underscoring the need for cross-border collaboration. In addition, many of the challenges that China and India face are unique to developing countries. For example, while the United States and the European Union may share China and India’s desire for lower cost solar power, they do not have the same pressing need for clean coal technologies or safer and more efficient bioenergy. Failure to coordinate on these issues risks allowing them to fall out of global focus. Not only does collaboration generate attention for key low carbon issues, but it brings concrete benefits as well. Additionally, it deepens and broadens the market for low carbon technologies. Technology transfer–exchange of equipment, knowledge and capacity building–is a critical part of the RD&D process and would allow China and India to see technological advancements not yet achieved. China and India have much to gain by sharing their own comparative advantages in both technology and policy expertise–for example, China exchanging its best practices in energy efficiency for India’s expertise in local renewable energy promotion. Furthermore, collaboration helps to build a larger regional market for green energy. It would allow Chinese and Indian producers to achieve greater economies of scale, driving prices down. This is critical, particularly in developing countries, as Indian stakeholders have listed cost as the key factor hindering renewable energy penetration. In addition, collaboration would promote a robust market for clean energy financing (e.g., green bonds, partial credit guarantees) and mitigate existing structural restraints. Collaboration also offers China and India the opportunity to expand their leadership roles in global climate change negotiations. While both parties are already important players in the talks, coordination would allow them to advocate common principles held by developing countries even more robustly. It would highlight the extent of their commitment to climate change action, offering an innovative way to meet–and perhaps go beyond–their INDCs. Such collaborative efforts would set a precedent for the international community and align with the spirit of the COP talks–many countries working together to combat a global challenge. The concept could easily expand from bilateral to multilateral cooperation with, for example, Brazil and South Africa joining this partnership, particularly in light of their existing trilateral cooperative agreement with India regarding technology transfer.6 In addition to collaboration among developing countries, China-India cooperation could kick-start further collaboration with the United States and Europe. Such broad collaboration would likely target research areas that are of common interest, such as wind and solar power, clean vehicles, and international efficiency standards. Furthermore, it would benefit the clean energy financing sector by bringing together financing sources (United States, European Union) and a wide array of investment opportunities (China, India, etc.). 6 University of Sussex Science & Technology Policy Research and TERI, “UK-India Collaborative Study on the Transfer of Low Carbon Technology: Phase II Final Report,” 2009. 4 Thus, we believe that collaboration between China and India is not only in these countries’ own interest, but offers broad global benefits including technological advancements, policy improvements, and market development–all while promoting the spirit of international cooperation. Such collaborative initiatives could span across sectors, including industry, academia, and local, regional, and national governments. For example, industry can assess market dynamics and identify areas of opportunity, while researchers can share knowledge and build upon each other’s work. Multilateral agencies can help to facilitate intergovernmental arrangements and bring together a global community of technical experts, while governments can drive policies to promote market formation and technology adoption.7 In this paper, we have sought to identify areas that are ripe for such collaboration. In some cases (such as clean coal and bioenergy), the opportunity exists because the topic is both paramount to China and India and neglected by much of the developed world. In others (such as renewables and energy efficiency), the opportunity exists due to comparative advantages between the two countries, as well as the potential for joint market development. Finally, the field of green energy financing is critical for technological development and requires a broad market for success. Clean Coal China and India’s tremendous economic growth over the last 20 years has been fed by burgeoning energy consumption, dominated heavily by conventional energy sources – in particular, coal. Coal accounts for 67% of China’s total primary energy consumption.8 In fact, China is the world leader in coal-fired generation at 846 GW of installed capacity in 2014,9 and is adding almost 1GW of capacity each week.10 In India, coal comprises roughly 44% of the country’s total energy consumption,11 and Prime Minister Narendra Modi has announced plans to increase coal consumption to 1 billion tons in the next five years.12 These consumption patterns have been driven by abundant coal reserves in both countries, as well coal’s affordability relative to other fuel sources. Despite the recent slowdown in China’s key coal consuming industries and the subsequent collapse of global commodity prices, we can expect coal to remain the backbone of each country’s power generation sectors for well into the next decade.13 In addition, it bears mentioning that rapid and unforeseen economic developments over the past year – which saw impressive Indian growth (7.5%) overtake that of China (6.9%) – will have significant impacts on the coal consumption trajectories of both nations.14 Any effective low-carbon growth policy for Ibid. 7 8 China’s Energy Research Institute (NRDC) in discussion with the SAIS Beijing research team, March 2015 9 “2015 Coal Capacity,” China’s National Energy Association, 2015, http://www.nea.gov.cn/ztzl/mtscnlgg/index.htm 10 “China Adopts Clean Coal Technologies While its Installed Capacity Exceeds 800 GW in 2014,” Global Data, February 10, 2015, http://energy.globaldata.com/media-center/press-releases/power-and-resources/china-adopts-clean-coal-technologies-while-itsinstalled-coal-capacity-exceeds-800-gigawatts-in-2014-says-globaldata 11 “Energy Statistics 2015,” Central Statistics Office, Government of India, March 2015, http://mospi.nic.in/Mospi_New/upload/Energy_stats_2015_26mar15.pdf 12 “Coal Production to Double to 1 Billion Tonnes by 2019: Piyush Goyal,” India Times, November 6, 2014, http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-11-06/news/55836084_1_coal-india-coal-production-india-economic-summit 13 “Coal Information 2015 edition,” International Energy Agency, 2015, https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/coal-information---2015-edition---excerpt.html 5 these emerging giants must not only aim to aggressively curb coal consumption, but also include a strategy to mitigate the environmental impacts of future coal energy generation. Clean Coal Technologies Clean coal refers to any process that mitigates that emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases or pollutants – including nitrogen oxides (NOx), Sulphur dioxide (SO2) and particulate matter (PM) – that result from the burning of coal. So called Supercritical and Ultrasupercritical coal facilities are also considered a form of clean coal technology, as they are more efficient and less emitting than their subcritical counterparts. Both China and India have taken steps to incorporate and employ clean coal technologies into their thermal generation mix, albeit with varying degrees of progress. As part of China’s recent “Air Pollution Action Plan,” the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is investing 760 billion yuan (US$117bn) in air pollution controls, including the installation of desulfurization, dust-removal equipment and other pollutant treatment technologies in industrial boilers, furnaces and power plants. The goal is to reduce the concentration of particulate matter in the air around Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei Province (BTH region) some 25% by 2017. Beijing has also pursued the shuttering of inefficient coal plants across the country. In 2014, China shut down 3.3 GW of capacity, with plans to shutter another 20 GW of capacity that do not meet new emission standards.15 China’s National Energy Association (NEA) also released an action plan to significantly increase the clean coal technology in its fleet of thermal plants by 2020. Measures include the construction of large-scale, modern coal washing and processing stations, the development of “ultra-low emissions power generation stations,” and drastic improvements to plant efficiency.16 Reduced allowances for sulfur dioxide, nitrous oxide and soot will also be implemented. Overall, China is expected to install over 500GW of clean coal capacity between 2016 and 2025.17 While India’s clean coal capacity is virtually non-existent today, its power sector is expected to add over 103 GW of clean coal generation between 2016 and 2025. This capacity addition will be realized through the construction of more efficient supercritical and ultra-supercritical installations, as well as some incorporation of supercritical technology in existing plants.18 Compared to China, India’s coal plant standards are less developed – although the government recently issued more stringent emissions requirements.19 While implementing national clean coal strategies, both countries could also benefit strongly from joining the existing Climate and Clean Air Coalition, which is dedicated to reducing short- 14 “India Outpaces China in 2015 Economic Growth,” BBC, February 8, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35519671 “China’s Economy Showed Steady Growth in the First Quarter of 2015,” China National Bureau of Statistics, April 2015, http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/201504/t20150415_712435.html 15 16 Ibid. 17 “China Adopts Clean Coal Technologies While Installed Capacity Exceeds 800GW,” Global Data, February 10, 2015, http://energy.globaldata.com/media-center/press-releases/power-and-resources/china-adopts-clean-coal-technologies-while-itsinstalled-coal-capacity-exceeds-800-gigawatts-in-2014-says-globaldata 18 “India Will add over 100GW of Clean Coal Capacity between 2016 and 2025,” Global Data, March 3, 2015, http://energy.globaldata.com/media-center/press-releases/power-and-resources/india-will-add-over-100-gigawatts-of-clean-coalcapacity-between-2016-and-2025-says-globaldata 19 “Government Revises Norms for Coal-Run Power Plants to Cut Pollution,” NDTV, December 22, 2015, http://www.ndtv.com/indianews/government-revises-norms-for-coal-run-power-plants-to-cut-pollution-1257928 6 lived climate pollutants. This platform seeks to identify the most cost-effective solutions for emissions reduction and encourages collaborative research, best practice sharing, and financial mobilization to address short-lived pollutants.20 Clean Coal Challenges Both countries face considerable hurdles in their pursuit of widespread clean coal technology implementation. In China, barriers to clean coal stem from governance issues and the need to balance conflicting priorities. For example, although the central government is pursuing a national coal reduction target, there is a large deal of variation between regional coal quotas. Beijing has the most stringent goal: to cut its coal consumption in half by 2020. Similarly, coalwashing standards are met with compliance and enforcement challenges. While 95% of existing coal power plants are required to apply retrofits for sulfur and nitrogen emissions, the estimated compliance rate is only 50%.21 Such inconsistent standards allow for carbon leakage, as industry will be tempted to move production facilities to less-regulated areas in central and western China. However, imposing such a dramatic industry transition across all regions is difficult because it will likely face headwinds from coal-producing provinces that witness an economic slump and rising unemployment. In India, roadblocks to clean coal development remain at the technological level. On the whole, India’s coal-fired power plants are less efficient than those in China. Indian coal is low quality (high ash content), and average ambient temperatures in the country are higher, which contributes to reduced efficiency. Additionally, even India’s new plants are relatively inefficient and account for 60% of subcritical units under construction around the world, though encouraging policies are in place to phase out the construction of subcritical units by April 2017 and encourage construction of more efficient technology.22 These policies will help bring the average efficiency of the coal-fired fleet more in line with international best practices, but the technical challenges to meeting this goal are serious, and emissions from existing power plants will need to be addressed. For India, clean coal remains attractive strictly from an energy savings perspective, and the government will likely not pursue the technology in earnest until costs come down considerably. As both India and China stand poised to continue their tremendous consumption of coal into the foreseeable future, it is necessary to promote a technology trajectory that allows both countries to meet their medium and long-term needs, both in terms of human development and the environment. Clean coal will be a critical element in realizing this objective, and cross-country collaboration in this area will be highly beneficial. Knowledge-sharing and technology transfer will allow India to make many of the same gains that China has already done, while providing a wider market for Chinese clean coal technology manufacturers. Furthermore, technical collaboration makes it more likely that both countries will remain on the cutting edge of clean coal technologies -- for example, moving beyond supercritical to ultra-supercritical installations. Finally, in tandem with technological development, best practice sharing on regulatory policies can help both countries find the most effective methods of regional implementation. 20 21 “Who We Are,” Climate and Clean Air Coalition, 2015, http://www.ccacoalition.org/en/content/about-us Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Beijing office) in discussion with SAIS Beijing research team, March 2015 22 “An IEA Blueprint for a Lower-Carbon India,” International Energy Agency, July 30, 2014, http://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/news/2014/july/an-iea-blueprint-for-a-lower-carbon-india.html 7 Energy Efficiency For both China and India, increasing energy efficiency is one of the most feasible and costeffective means of reducing emissions and provides ample opportunities for knowledge sharing and technology transfer. Both countries are heavily reliant on energy-intensive manufacturing and are experiencing massive urban growth. India’s urban population is expected to grow from 340 million in 2008 to 590 million in 2030,23 while China’s is projected to reach one billion if current trends persist.24 Hence, the industrial sector and buildings are clear common focus points. A strategy of increasing efficiency also allows for continued economic growth – each country’s primary development objective. As such, it is at the core of both China and India’s national energy policies. In China, the 11th Five-Year Plan (FYP) (2006-2010) and 12th FYP (2011-2015) have prioritized improving energy efficiency and reducing energy intensity. After having met the 11th FYP goal and obtaining a 19.1% reduction of energy intensity (energy consumption per unit of GDP), China set an additional target of a 16% reduction in energy intensity and a 17% reduction in carbon intensity (carbon emissions per unit of GDP) by 2015.25 In addition, China has implemented a Top 10,000 Energy-Consuming Enterprises program, which targets energy savings in the industrial sector and has saved 150 million tonnes of coal equivalents (Mtce). Under this program, local governments evaluate industry’s progress toward energy savings targets, and entities that do not meet the target are required to undergo mandatory energy audits and retrofits. Currently in its last year, this program covers two-thirds of China’s total energy consumption, accounting for 37% of the total energy savings target (assuming a GDP growth of 8.5% per year).26 In India, the 2001 Energy Conservation Act provided formal organizational support to energy efficiency and paved the way for the creation of the 2008 National Action Plan for Climate Change (NAPCC) and its flagship multi-sector climate policy scheme. The National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) proposed a national target of 33-35% reduction in carbon intensity from 2005 levels by 2030. Along these lines, India has implemented the Perform, Achieve and Trade scheme (PAT), which seeks to reduce industrial energy intensity by trading energy efficiency certificates in the country’s eight most energy-intensive sectors.27 This program targets 478 facilities and aims to reduce 26 Mtce emissions and 6.6 million tons of oil-equivalent over its first commitment period (2012-2015).28 23 Shirish Sankhe, et al., “India’s Urban Awakening: Building Inclusive Cities, Sustaining Economic Growth,” McKinsey Global Institute, April 2010, http://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/urbanization/urban-awakening-in-india 24 Jonathan Woetzel, et al., “Preparing for China’s Urban Billion,” McKinsey Global Institute, February 2009, http://www.mckinsey.com/global-themes/urbanization/preparing-for-chinas-urban-billion 25 “China: The Twelfth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development,” International Energy Agency, Energy Efficiency Policy and Measures Database, Accessed February 21, 2016, http://www.iea.org/policiesandmeasures/energyefficiency/?country=China 26 “China is on Track to Meet its 12th Five-Year Plan Energy Intensity Target,” International Partnership for Energy Efficiency Cooperation, May 19, 2014, http://www.ipeec.org/blog/view/id/797.html 27 “India: Perform, Achieve, Trade (PAT) Scheme,” IEA, Energy Efficiency Policy and Measures Database, Accessed February 21, 2016, http://www.iea.org/policiesandmeasures/energyefficiency/?country=India 28 “India – The World’s Carbon Markets: A Case Study Guide to Emissions Trading,” Environmental Defense Fund and International Emissions Trading Association, May 2013, Page 2 8 Much of China and India’s economic growth has been based on heavy manufacturing, which is energy intensive and highly polluting. In both countries, the industrial sector represents more than a third of final energy consumption, with energy-intensive industries accounting for the lion’s share. These sectors face difficulty in achieving clean energy goals while remaining competitive. For example, in China’s “Rust Belt,” Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning provinces have struggled to respond to new pollution control measures. In Hebei Province, the city of Tangshan has seen factory closures and loss of steel production profits following measures designed to improve air quality in neighboring Beijing.29 These provinces recognize the need for less pollution and greater efficiency, but the pathway toward modernization is difficult. Air pollution fines alone provide punishment but no solutions. While programs like the Top 10,000 Enterprises program help to reduce energy intensity, much more progress must be made to limit overall consumption growth. While the efficiency schemes outlined above are beneficial, serious institutional and financing barriers remain in both countries. Institutional challenges include inadequate delivery mechanisms, weak intellectual property rights, limited transparency (particularly in the Chinese case), loose energy efficiency standards, poor monitoring, and principal-agent challenges in terms of enforcing policies at the local level. In addition, industrial efficiency projects struggle to compete with other projects that offer a higher risk-adjusted rate of return, particularly when there is limited financing available for upfront costs. Growing firms often choose to invest in increased production rather than efficiency measures to boost their market share even if the two strategies offer similar returns.30 Addressing these barriers and securing targeted funding will be necessary for China and India’s industries to modernize and compete. In addition to industrial efficiency, much attention is being paid to the building sector in both countries. In China, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) set forth the Green Building Action Plan, which sets strict efficiency codes for new buildings and seeks to retrofit more than 500 million square meters of floor space by 2015.31 Because building efficiency improvements have high upfront costs and long payback periods, the Chinese government has offered technical support and financial incentives for such improvements.32 Building is a huge factor in China’s economic growth, constituting roughly 9% of GDP.33 With new construction taking place at an unfathomable scale, building efficiency is a particularly important target of opportunity. India’s Bureau of Energy Efficiency recently launched a “National Campaign for Energy Efficiency and Conservation,” which included the implementation of a successful “Energy Star” efficiency labeling program for lights and household appliances, as well as a mission to increase public awareness on the benefits of efficient electrical use.34 China and India both face significant hurdles in reducing energy intensity. Much of the potential for investment in energy efficiency remains untapped due to lack of financing and delivery 29 “Back in the Cold,” The Economist, January 3, 2015, http://www.economist.com/news/china/21637449-after-promising-signsrenaissance-chinas-old-rustbelt-suffers-big-setback-back-cold 30 “Energy Intensive Sectors of the Indian Economy: Path to Low Carbon Development,” World Bank, 2011 31 S. Yu, et al., “Analysis of the Chinese Market for Energy Efficiency.” U.S. Department of Energy and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, 2014 32 China’s Energy Research Institute (NDRC) in discussion with SAIS Beijing research team, March 2014 33 “China GDP Annual Growth Rate,” Trading Economics, October 19, 2015, http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/gdp-growthannual 34 Shri Sushilkumar Shnide (Minister of Power, New Delhi), “National Campaign For Energy Efficiency & Conservation: Inputs Seminar” (presentation, New Delhi, May 5, 2010), http://www.ficci.com/events/20378/ISP/speech-5-may-2010.pdf 9 mechanisms. However, similar development goals, a shared interest in taking advantage of energy efficiency as the “low-hanging fruit” of emissions reductions, and complementary areas of expertise suggest that sharing best practices and technological knowledge would be mutually beneficial. Such cooperation would allow each country to adapt and improve upon promising policies and programs to suit its own national objectives and domestic conditions. In particular, China’s Top 10,000 Enterprises program offers lessons in promoting accountability among energy intensive industries, while its recently announced national carbon trading scheme will generate globally applicable lessons. India’s PAT scheme is both scalable and adaptable to other industries and countries. In addition to incentivizing individual efficiency measures, such trading schemes could offer a pathway to joint efficiency markets in the future. While implementation of successful energy efficiency measures will depend on addressing existing institutional and financial barriers, collaboration between China and India would better enable both countries to achieve their international emissions reductions commitments while reducing long-term energy consumption costs. Renewable Energy While progress is being made in clean coal and energy efficiency, the fastest and most apparent growth is occurring in the field of renewable energy. In both countries, electricity generation from renewables is surging under strong government support. Both countries agree that renewables represent a path toward sustainability while satisfying energy demand and providing access to remote regions. As domestic resources, they also enhance Chinese and Indian energy security. China recently increased its renewable energy targets to 150-200 GW of solar power and 250 GW of wind power, each to be achieved by the year 2020.35 In 2014, the country invested more than $90 billion in renewable energy.36 India has also made considerable progress building up its renewable portfolio. In 2000, non-hydro renewables represented only 2 percent of India’s power generation, but they stand at 13 percent today. The dramatic growth in China and India’s renewable energy sectors is nonetheless limited by several factors, including energy market structure, lack of financing options, and technological barriers. For example, while government financial support and Independent Power Purchaser (IPP) involvement has enabled large growth in utility-scale wind and solar power plants in Western Chinese provinces like Xinjiang and Gansu, around 30%-50% of that electricity production has been curtailed due to several reasons: 1) weak local demand in the western part of China; 2) lack of grid interconnection to higher demand centers; 3) grid construction that can’t keep pace with the construction of renewable energy plants; and 4) occasional grid stress caused by turbines producing power levels that exceed demand.37 As for India, Modi’s mission to “electrify India” through renewables is expected to face considerable challenges. Critics argue that a 266 GW goal of additional renewable capacity is not 35 “The Road to a Paris Deal / China Raises Its Targets for Renewable Energy,” New York Times, December 8, 2015, http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/projects/cp/climate/2015-paris-climate-talks/china-raises-its-targets-for-renewable-energy . 36 Liu Yuanyuan, “China’s Investment in Renewable Energy Surpasses Europe, U.S. Combined,” Renewable Energy World, November 25, 2015, http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/2015/11/china-s-investment-in-renewable-energy-surpasseseurope-u-s-combined.html. 37 “Great Western Province, the New Energy Projects Abandoned Electricity up to Five Percent,” Economic Information Daily, August 1, 2013, http://jjckb.xinhuanet.com/2013-08/01/content_458890.htm. 10 feasible, given that the subcontinent’s total installed capacity stands at 250 GW combined.38 Reaching this ambitious goal may be hindered by grid integration challenges. For example, the grid in its current state can only handle up to 20-30 percent renewables in its power mix, and increasing capacity beyond this point would require costly upgrades to India’s transmission infrastructure, either through better grid management or more peak plants. However, performing the upgrades that are necessary to integrate large amounts of intermittent renewables into the grid system may fall behind the priority of providing universal energy access. While many of these challenges are country-specific and must be dealt with at the domestic level, some renewable energy challenges are universal. In both China and India, wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) suffer from grid connectivity issues, equipment quality problems, lack of interconnections between provinces, and other factors. Subsequently, breakthroughs in the efficiency and affordability of power saving technology, as well as grid management strategies, will be critical to the widespread adoption of alternative energy. China and India would see many benefits from collaborating on renewable energy production, particularly in wind and solar power. In particular, the two countries should aim to collaborate on renewable development through joint business ventures, knowledge-sharing, joint RD&D projects, and increased trade opportunities. Engage in knowledge-sharing and joint RD&D There are several opportunities for collaborative low-carbon development. On a bilateral basis, China and India should engage in knowledge and best-practice sharing regarding technology, policies, and regulations. In this sense, education exchange programs and industry partnerships may be useful ways to encourage dialogue between scientists, engineers, and business people. Current programs exist to facilitate discussions on climate change within the countries, such as the Mission on Strategic Knowledge on Climate Change (MSKCC), part of India’s National Plan on Climate Change. Similar bodies could potentially be formed to create opportunities for Indian and Chinese researchers to collaborate on renewable development. Furthermore, because the low carbon development field relies on technological integration and incremental advances, it is particularly well suited to joint RD&D. China and India should engage in both bilateral and international RD&D efforts, conducting assessments on existing technological capacities and market structures to combat their shared renewable integration challenges. For example, as China and India collaborate in upgrading their existing grids to reduce transmission loss and enhance renewable integration, the two can initiate best practice sharing with developed countries, like the United States to augment their collective knowledge. Lower trade and investment barriers On May 14, 2015, President Modi arrived in China for a three-day visit, during which he met with a handful of Chinese businesses and announced $22 billion worth of bilateral business deals, signify a strengthening in commercial ties between the two Asian neighbors.39 Many of these company collaborations represent avenues of increasing levels of investment and trade between China and India. For example, the Adani Group plans to set up an integrated photovoltaic (PV) 38 Katherine Tweed, “India’s Lack of Wholesale Markets and Grid Investment Could Hinder Ambitious Renewables Commitments,” Green Tech Media, March 4, 2015, http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/Overly-Ambitious-Renewable-Commitments-inIndia-Lack-Wholesale-Markets-and. 39 James Areddy, “India, China Businesses Agree on $22 Billion Worth of Deals,” Wall Street Journal, May 16 2015, http://www.wsj.com/articles/india-china-businesses-agree-on-22-billion-worth-of-deals-1431763185. 11 industrial park in the Mundra special economic zone (SEZ) in a joint venture with Chinese green energy major Golden Concord Holdings, a deal worth upwards to $3 billion.40 To continue this trend of economic and trade collaboration between India and China, both governments should look at reducing trade barriers of low-carbon goods and technology. As indicated in a 2007 World Bank study, the potential for liberalization in the area of low-carbon goods could lead to real increase in trade flows.41 Existing barriers such as complicated applications and approval procedures, sector-based limits on FDI, and anti-dumping import bans issued by India against China should be reduced or eliminated.42 In addition, China and India could alleviate low carbon trade barriers by liberalizing their cross-border procurement rules. For example, many state-funded projects in China currently require that 80 percent of technologies be sourced domestically.43 Expanding this preferential treatment to Indian firms (and vice a versa) could help to build an efficient and integrated market. Bioenergy Currently, the inefficient burning of biomass and large scale agricultural waste from both China and India is creating significant GHG emissions, while simultaneously posing serious threats to public health and societal well being. For China, the existing number of household biogas plants in rural China is one of the highest in the world, with around 30 million biogas plants in 2010 reaching an output of 10.5 billion cubic meters (equivalent to more than 100 million tons of standard coal) and accounting for roughly 1.2% of China’s total energy use.44 However, low comprehensive biogas utilization, inadequate follow-up services, and poor management of biogas digesters pose significant barriers for China to further tap into its existing bioenergy potential. For India, more than 75% of rural households today still depend on fuel wood for their cooking energy needs, accounting for an expected 1 billion to 5.9 billion tonnes of CO2 emissions per year. By adopting improvised cook stoves and biogas digesters, India has the potential in reducing existing fuel wood consumption by 205 metric tonnes (MT) a year, cattle dung by 107 MT each year and agro-waste by 57 MT each year.45 Despite existing efforts to scale-up distributed bioenergy for rural access, the policies to tap into remaining bioenergy potential is still predominantly a domestic issue for both countries. Limited domestic and international cooperation, persistent technical challenges, and institutional barriers continue to hinder the development of a sound bioenergy strategy on both sides. To address these challenges, China and India could benefit by working together. Experts on both sides can work 40 Arun Kumar, “Deals Worth $23.5 Billion Likely to Be Signed during PM Modi’s China visit,” The Economic Times, May 15, 2015, http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2015-05-15/news/62192098_1_china-development-bank-adani-group-bharti-airtel. 41 “Climate Change and Trade on the Road to Copenhagen,” International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD), December 2008, Page 28; and “International Trade and Climate Change,” World Bank, 2007. 42 Dhiraj Nayyar, “India and China Should Let Trade do the Talking,” Bloomberg View, September 15, 2014, http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-09-15/india-and-china-should-let-trade-do-the-talking. 43 The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), National Centre for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation (NCSC), Central University of Finance and Economics (CUFE), Zhejiang University (ZU) and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), “Low Carbon Development in China and India: Issues and Strategies (Advance Publication),” 2014, Study by To be published by TERI Press, http://www.teriin.org/pdf/TERI-NCSC-CUFE-ZU_China-India-LCD-book.pdf. 44 Yu Chen, et al., “Household Biogas Use in Rural China: A Study of Opportunities and Constraints,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2009 45 N.H. Ravindranath and P. Balanchandra, “Sustainable Bioenergy for India: Technical, Economic and Policy Analysis,” Energy 34, no. 8 (2009): 1003-1013 12 together to share best practices and technologies, combine research efforts, and create financial support mechanisms for the long term. Specifically, both countries can work to increase bioenergy output in two areas: ● ● The continuing replacement of traditional low-efficiency stoves with improved cook stoves (ICS) programs The promotion of biogas methane technology for cooking, heating and electricity generation Currently, a combined 1.5 billion rural residents in China and India still rely on solid biofuels for heating and cooking purposes, resulting in significant GHG emissions and harmful indoor air pollution.46 Both China and India have worked to implement cleaner stove technology to mitigate these effects. For example, China has undertaken decades of improvements through the National Improved Stoves Program in the 1980s and 90s, as well as other more recent initiatives since that time — installing close to 177 million stoves and covering 76% of rural households.47 Similarly, India launched the National Biomass Cook Stove Initiative in 2009, which sought to upgrade 160 million Indian cook stoves to advanced models that utilize biomass more efficiently. However, despite the respective domestic progress, dissemination of ICS remains slow, while ecological and health damages associated with inefficient stoves persist. Neither country has pledged to join the UNEP Climate and Clean Air Coalition (CCAC). This represents an opportunity for China and India to reaffirm their commitment to addressing biomass-related pollution and contribute to the international effort. Furthermore, both countries can work together to share the most advanced stove technologies and best practices, thus introducing an effective market environment for ICS. This is particularly pressing, as ICS represents a relatively under-covered technological area in non-developing countries. Moreover, since China is currently home to the world’s largest biomass stove industry,48 the adoption of common product quality standards between India and China could not only improve the rate of clean cook stove adoption, but also further facilitate trade and technology research between the two countries. Another key source of bioenergy is biogas formed from animal and agricultural waste. Efforts to promote the conversion of waste into biogas energy have been well established in China and India, particularly in the rural areas. Biogas production from anaerobic bio-digesters has been widely employed in China for many years. By the end of 2009, through government subsidies and technical assistance, there were over 30.5 million household biogas digesters in China, and the total biogas yield was 12.4 billion cubic meters.49 In India, a large bovine population is seen as a viable potential source of biogas fuel material.50 At the Indian household level, the cumulative number of biogas plants built from 1982 to 2006 was estimated at 3.83 million, with a total 46 A.K.K. Reddy, R.H. Williams and T.B. Johansson, “Energy after Rio: Prospects and Challenges,” United Nations Development Programme, 1997 47 Li Junfen, et al., “Biomass Resources Assessment in China,” report submitted to Asian Regional Research Programme in Energy, Environment and Climate, Asian Institute of Technology, 2000 48 “China: Accelerating Household Access to Clean Cooking and Heating,” World Bank, September 2013 49 Xiyuan Jiang, Sven G. Sommer, Knud V. Christensen, “A review of the biogas industry in China,” Energy Policy 39, no. 10 (2011): 6073-6081 50 N.H. Ravindranath and P. Balanchandra, “Sustainable Bioenergy for India: Technical, Economic and Policy Analysis,” Energy 34, no. 8 (2009): 1003-1013 13 potential of 12-17 million more tanks in the next few years.51 Furthermore, there exists a large potential for community and institutional biogas plants in the majority of around 500,000 Indian villages. Despite the progress already made in both countries, current barriers to further develop biogas technology include relatively weak environmental policies, flawed financial policies, and a lack of long-term follow-up services. Many of these issues can be overcome through cross-border and cross-sector collaboration. For example, private businesses and civil society from both sides could develop joint mechanisms to overcome the technical and maintenance challenges associated with biogas digester operation, particularly in colder temperatures.52 Furthermore, collaboration could both increase the energy services provided to rural Chinese and Indian citizens and deepen the regional market for biogas digesters. As India and China strive towards a low carbon developmental path, both governments have much to gain by working together and overcoming existing technical and institutional barriers, thus maximizing their respective bioenergy potentials. In addition to biogas digesters and improvised cook stoves, many other collaborative opportunities related to bioenergy exist. In an effort to curb consumption of fossil fuels for both transportation and electricity generation, China, India and other developing nations such as Brazil could work more closely together on further developing biofuels. Together these countries could devise ways to overcome challenges of production costs, irrigation management and resilient fuel crop development. Climate Finance Securing adequate financial resources will be the key enabling factor for most low-carbon initiatives. Significant progress is starting to be made in this area. For example, in 2015, China announced a new climate finance commitment of around $3.1 billion to help developing countries combat climate change. 53 During President Modi’s visit to China in May, the two sides urged developed countries to honor their commitment in providing to developing countries $100 billion annually by 2020.54 Despite these pledges, though, there still remains a lack of financing mechanisms to help China and India overcome the high cost of implementing their “green” targets. China has estimated that two-thirds of the country’s total green investment needs, about $320 billion annually, will need to come from private capital markets to alleviate the burden of fiscal pressure.55 Both China and India stand to benefit greatly from introducing climate-oriented financial policies, as it would allow both countries to signal their resolve on low-carbon development and even 51 Tathagata Chatterji, Climate Smart Development in Asia: Transition to Low Carbon and Climate Resilient Economies, ed. Ancha Srinivasan, et al. (2012) 52 Christoph Burger and Jens Weinmann, “Bioenergy in China: Can China Learn from Germany’s Experience?” CKGSB Knowledge, March 10, 2014, http://knowledge.ckgsb.edu.cn/2014/03/10/technology/bioenergy-in-china/ 53 “Fact Sheet: The United States and China Issue Joint Presidential Statement on Climate Change with New Domestic Policy Commitments and a Common Vision for an Ambitious Global Climate Agreement in Paris,” The White House Office of Press Secretary, September 25, 2015, https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/09/25/fact-sheet-united-states-and-china-issuejoint-presidential-statement. 54 “India, China Commit to Work Together on Climate Change,” Reuters, May 15, 2015, http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/15/india-china-climate-idUSL3N0Y63YQ20150515. 55 Zhang Chenghui, et al., “Greening China’s Financial System: Synthesis Report,” International Institute for Sustainable Development, March 2015, https://www.iisd.org/media/green-finance-growing-focus-china. 14 become leaders of the global movement toward green finance. Recent efforts to introduce sustainable finance in China and India reveal that both countries already recognize the potential benefits of green financial innovation. This is evidenced by the China Banking Regulatory Commission’s (CBRC) passage of green credit guidelines in 2012 and YES Bank’s work to pioneer green bonds in India earlier this year.56 The following outlines several promising areas of collaboration between the two countries and serves as a useful starting point for future dialogue on these issues. Green Credit Guidelines As a first step toward market integration, India and China should strive to introduce and implement effective green lending standards that assess projects on the basis of their environmental and climate impacts. These guidelines would serve as a reference for banks to direct funds to environmentally responsible projects, while increasing transparency and attracting international investors. The People’s Bank of China has already taken steps in this direction through the introduction of the Green Credit Guidelines in 2012, and through its advocacy for green lending principles in overseas investment.57 China’s recent experience can help to inform a joint dialogue between China and India on institutionalizing such green credit guidelines at the international level. This could entail working with the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) or other multilateral development banks to adopt the Equator Principles and associated green credit guidelines for their own lending programs. Corporate Green Bonds Green bonds offer another promising option for financing the shift to low-carbon development in China and India, as they are well suited to long-term infrastructure projects that require high upfront capital costs.58 Although Multilateral Development Banks have been the primary issuers of green bonds since their launch in 2008, the market is experiencing rapid growth due to the increased participation of government agencies, municipalities, utilities, and corporations.59 Standard & Poor’s has estimated that corporate and municipal issuances of green bonds will drive even greater growth in global green bond markets in the future, with the potential of corporate green bond issuance to reach up to $30 billion in 2015, a 50% increase from 2014.60 China and India could develop a robust corporate green bond market in Asia by jointly developing a series of policies for their two countries that can serve as a model for financial innovation elsewhere. Establishing a robust green bond market would require developing standards for green project certification (e.g., based on the Green Bond Principles), introducing strong auditing procedures (e.g., through a third party regulator), and developing financial 56 “YES Bank Floats First Green Infra Bond for Rs 500 Crore,” The Times of India, February 17, 2015, http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/YES-Bank-floats-first-green-infra-bond-for-Rs500cr/articleshow/46269428.cms. 57 “Establishing China’s Green Financial System,” The People’s Bank of China and UNEP, April 2015, http://www.unep.org/newscentre/default.aspx?DocumentID=26802&ArticleID=34981, 9. 18. 58 Sean Kidney, “Greening China’s Financial Markets,” International Institute for Sustainable Development, February 2014, http://www.iisd.org/pdf/2014/growing_green_bonds_en.pdf, 6. 59 “Green Bonds Attract Private Sector Climate Finance,” World Bank, June 10, 2015, http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/climatechange/brief/green-bonds-climate-finance. 60 Michael Wilkins, “Corporate Bond Market Shows it Green Shoots,” Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services, 2. 15 incentives to stimulate the domestic green bond market (e.g., tax exemptions, adjusted loandeposit ratios and risk weightings for green investments). Green bonds offer China and India a key opportunity to leverage private sector resources to finance sustainable infrastructure, while lowering the cost of financing for green projects and improving the depth and maturity of domestic fixed-income markets. Furthermore, both China and India would gain substantial international prestige for establishing the world’s first corporate bond markets in the area of green financing, even becoming centers for corporate innovation in climate finance. Joint Infrastructure Debt Fund Along with efforts to expand green bond markets in Asia, policymakers in India and China should consider establishing a joint infrastructure debt fund (IDF) exclusively for low-carbon development projects. This infrastructure debt fund would operate like a mutual fund by raising money from investors and channeling the proceeds into green bonds issued by companies and projects. This would support each country’s nascent corporate green bond market by providing a dedicated source of funds, while lowering the cost of financing by injecting much-needed liquidity into the corporate green bond sector. According to the Climate Policy Initiative, this could decrease the cost of debt of renewable energy projects in India by up to three percentage points and increase loan tenors by up to five years.61 China and India could establish a joint IDF for green projects at the bilateral or multilateral level. Considering its focus on infrastructure, the AIIB would be an ideal setting to launch the IDF, especially if it becomes a forum for developing green investment policies in Asia. A joint IDF, as opposed to separate national IDFs, would be uniquely positioned to diversify its assets by investing in a number of different green projects in China, India, and other countries if established at the multilateral level. Risk Mitigation Another promising topic of collaboration on green finance between India and China is in the area of partial credit guarantees for green projects. The purpose of partial credit guarantees is to lower the cost of financing for long-term projects by covering some or all of the associated risks of these projects and thereby enhancing their credit ratings. Partial credit guarantees could be especially useful in India, as they would allow institutional investors to invest in corporate bonds that are currently too risky to attract investment.62 Given the potential of such guarantees to raise investment in long-term infrastructure projects, China and India could lobby for the development of a “green” partial credit guarantee mechanism to be launched within the AIIB, New Development Bank, or another multilateral setting. Since one of the major challenges of setting up such guarantees is the complex coordination required between lenders, guarantors, and project developers, the benefit of establishing the partial credit guarantee mechanism at the multilateral level is gaining access to resources and expertise to organize such complex arrangements. 61 Gireesh Shrimali, Charith Konda and Sandhya Srinivasan, “Solving India’s Renewable Energy Financing Challenge: Instruments to Provide Low-cost, Long-term Debt,” Climate Policy Initiative and Bharti Institute of Public Policy, April 21, 2014, 6; http://climatepolicyinitiative.org/publication/solving-indias-renewable-energy-financing-challenge-instruments-to-provide-low-costlong-term-debt/. 62 Ibid., 8. 16 The above recommendations provide some of the most promising ways in which China and India can collaborate to establish a common framework for green investments in Asia. The huge scale of investment required in sustainable infrastructure in each country, as well as the importance of achieving a global consensus on low-carbon development, ensures that their collaboration on these issues will be essential in expanding green investment opportunities across the globe. Conclusion Bilateral collaboration offers China and India an innovative path toward achieving their climate commitments. It allows them to multiply the gains that could be made separately. Knowledgesharing, joint RD&D, and wider market formation promotes the advancement of low carbon technologies which solve critical, shared challenges. Energy efficiency improvements allow China and India to meet their economic development needs while reducing emissions intensity. Renewable and bioenergy development can increase rural electricity access and enhance energy security while reducing the countries’ reliance on carbon-heavy fuels. Clean coal technologies assist with this transition from coal to low carbon power sources – while continuing to provide reliable and low cost power. Finally, clean energy financing is the great enabling factor, allowing technological developments to take place. Collaboration in each of these areas would prove highly beneficial, and recent developments suggest that China and India are increasingly open to cooperation. This study suggests a basic framework for collaboration, identifying the most obvious windows of opportunity – the “low hanging fruit.” We hope that in the future, this initial collaboration can deepen into an integrative approach for policy alignment. Specific policy measures, including vehicle emissions standards, trading systems, and harmonization of standards, should eventually be assessed. However, in the wake of the Paris talks, the first step – deepening the spirit of collaboration – is both a worthy and timely goal. 17
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