The Doleful Dance of Politics and Policy: Can Historical Institutionalism Make a Difference? State and Party in America's New Deal by Kenneth Finegold; Theda Skocpol; The Poverty of Welfare Reform by Joel F. Handler; Improving Poor People: The Welfare State, the "Underclass," and Urban Schools as History by Michael B. Katz; The Politics of Welfare Reform by Donald F. Norris; Lyke Thompson; Words of Welfare: The Poverty of Social Science and the Social Science of Poverty by Sanford F. Schram; Francis Fox Piven; So ... Review by: Ira Katznelson The American Political Science Review, Vol. 92, No. 1 (Mar., 1998), pp. 191-197 Published by: American Political Science Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2585938 . Accessed: 06/11/2013 08:39 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . American Political Science Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The American Political Science Review. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions American Political Science Review Vol. 92, No. 1 March 1998 TheDolefulDanceof PoliticsandPolicy:CanHistorical Institutionalism Makea Difference? IRA KATZNELSON Columbia University State and Party in America's New Deal. By Kenneth Finegold and Theda Skocpol. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1995. 342p. $54.00 cloth, $19.95 paper. The Poverty of Welfare Reform. By Joel F. Handler. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1995. 177p. $25 cloth, $15.95 paper. Improving Poor People: The Welfare State, the "Underclass," and Urban Schools as History. By Michael B. Katz. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995. 179p. $22.50. The Politics of Welfare Reform. Edited by Donald F. Norris and Lyke Thompson. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 1995. 255p. $45.00. Words of Welfare: The Poverty of Social Science and the Social Science of Poverty. By Sanford F. Schram. Foreword by Francis Fox Piven. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1995. 242p. $55.00. Social Policy in the United States: Future Possibilities in Historical Perspective. By Theda Skocpol. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995. 326p. $29.95. RP ublished in the waning days of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC), these books on social policy, poverty, and the welfare state provide reminders that policy studies and political science have been awkward dance partners for the past half-century. As a coarse rule, policy analysts, especially in schools of public policy and public administration, produce analytically guided case descriptions rather than the tools themselves. Their orientation to theory and history tends either to be starkly instrumental or purely normative. By contrast, political scientists who write about policy are disposed to muster their cases to illustrate or test deductive theory, furnish units for quantitative or qualitative multivariate manipulation, or validate propositions about structure, process, and behavior rather than participate in policy debates. If policy analysts aspire to influence in current affairs, political scientists primarily want to advance the discipline.1 Inevitably, there is a lot of stepping on toes. My purpose in this essay is to ask whether and how 1 A careful reader will discern that in the first parts of the text I refer to "policy analyses" and "policy studies" but not to "policy sciences," a term I reserve for the essay's conclusion. I make this distinction for two reasons. First, I want to underscore the advantageous characteristics of the insufficiently attended approach to public policy advocated by Harold Lasswell, who used the designation "policy sciences." Second, my sharp criticisms of the qualities of much work in the policy field are not targeted here on the more Lasswellian tendency, which has adopted the policy sciences label in its journal and in the name of its professional association. That said, I also want to distance myself from the arcane world of Lasswell scholarship, which debates exactly what he meant and intended in his often opaque writing, much of which, alas, remains out of print and difficult to find. Still useful for an overview of the policy literature is Nagel 1984. historical institutionalism may better choreograph interaction by students of American politics and policy to the advantage of both. There are good reasons to think it can. In recent years, a growing number of political scientists who self-identify as historical institutionalists have transformed scholarship on social policy by privileging the formative capacity of specific institutional legacies and arrangements (Dunlavy 1993; Hattam 1993; Immergut 1992, 1996; Koelble 1995; Pierson 1994; Steinmo 1993; Steinmo, Thelen, and Longstreth 1992; Weir 1992). While advancing their subfields of comparative and American politics, they also have sought to influence studies of public policy, aiming, as Finegold and Skocpol put it, to "grasp the true choices and the actual possibilities that face ... makers of public policies for the future" (p. 242). It makes sense, therefore, to think about the achievements and promise of historical institutionalism in the context of considerations of welfare and social policy, one of this school's favored set of subjects, juxtaposed to more conventional ways of working and to other critiques of policy studies. The books under review cluster in three categories. Norris and Thompson's collection of essays on welfare reform in six states and Handler's critical explication of the terms of the recent welfare debate directly address the last years of AFDC. Schram and Katz generate vigorous challenges to the customary ways scholars study welfare and poverty. In partnership with Finegold and on her own, Skocpol mounts the case for an alternative grounded in history and focused on institutions. The first set, read with and against the intentions of its authors, and the second, scanned for antidotes to complacency, disclose unsatisfactory features of domestic policy studies; not least their flat use of history and uncoordinated orchestration with the concerns, methods, and analytical torque of political science. The third makes a resourceful, exigent case for historical institutionalism with which I am in keen sympathy and much agreement. Notwithstanding, I dispute the encircled qualities of Skocpol's and Finegold's research program, arguing its enclosure cobbles its persuasiveness as an advertisement for the approach they advocate. AFDC AS TRACER Though the scale of AFDC as part of the federal enterprise at the time of its demise was small (spending, on a matching basis, approximately $17 billion of federal funds in 1995), its repeal, capping a period of innovation at the state level inaugurated by the call for experimentation in the Family Assistance Act of 1988, condensed important trends crying out for analysis: the transformation of American federalism; a practical and 191 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Can Historical Institutionalism Make a Difference? symbolic assault on the once secure New Deal welfare state and its Great Society elaboration; changes to the contours of race relations and the social geography of poverty; shifts in the center of gravity of ideological debate about the respective roles of governments, markets, and communities; and a host of normative and instrumental issues at the heart of liberal theory concerning representation, citizenship, and diversity. Set beside these challenging subjects, Norris and Thompson's accumulation of case materials and Handler's screed against current policy trends provide disappointing reminders that the great bulk of extant work on public policy combines semitheoretical description with policy advocacy weakened by the absence of analytical bite. The Politics of Welfare Reform, seeking "to understand the specific processes by which the current wave of welfare reform has grown" (p. 3) usefully can be read as emblematic of the strengths and weaknesses of the vast majority of only loosely theoretical policy studies. Chock full of germane information about how various states responded to the 1988 invitation to apply for waivers from federal rules, the book collects papers treating a cross-section of welfare policy history over the course of a single two- to three-year wave of reform in one western (California), three Midwestern (Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio), and two eastern (New Jersey and Maryland) states. As cases situated inside a slack application of Eastonian systems analysis, these stories tell sad tales about insufficient organizational capacity at the state level, the absence of prospective analysis and poor planning by policy elites, and the short-term political horizons of politicians whose courtship of opinion failed to challenge wrong-headed features of conventional wisdom about race and poverty. Perhaps the most coherent finding is that devolutionist welfare reform has been concerned rather more with ideology and political jockeying than with addressing poverty. What to do? Norris and Thompson direct their advice to policymakers, offering only a series of anodyne pleas: "Turn down the volume of ideological debate"; "employ elements of a more rational process"; "suspend ideology, moralism, and political agendas"; and propose "reforms which should address real problems" (pp. 236-7). Having rehearsed, with their collaborators, how just these hopes have been contravened, they offer no structural or agency-centered analyses of causes or mechanisms. They strike a legitimizing tone which opposes science to normative purpose. Overall, there is little theory, only a weak specification for the selection of cases, very limited comparison, and imprecise conclusions. The "principal lessons" of the concluding chapter are models of equivocation: "The politics of welfare reform in the states were remarkably similar and remarkably different.... Different actors and institutions with different relevant strengths played roles in the politics of welfare reform" (p. 229). This kind of slack though well-intentioned brief for rational policy intervention is one of the main targets of Schram's robust critique of the limited scope and March 1998 top-down empiricism characteristic of much policy analysis. His Wordsof Welfare,a collection of vigorous essays written over the course of a decade, scores many points. He discerningly excoriates the credulous qualities of neutered research once inserted into fields of stratification and power. He demands that students of policy come to grips with their pivotal role in the policy process. He insists they invert or at least extend their conventional research to focus attention on the effect of policy as seen from the bottom reaches of society. Schram goes farther. He claims that policy research based on premises of rationality and systematic social science necessarily contributes to the perpetuation of suffering by reproducing the "economistic-therapeuticmanagerial discourse" (p. 4) on which current policies depend. As an alternative, he combines modernist studies of ideology with more thoroughgoing antiscience postmodernist theories of signification to promote a different discourse as the basis for a self-critical social science of poverty capable of assisting, if not guiding, social change. This project is characterized by three main flaws. First, it commits the sin of overaggregation. "Rationality" becomes such a broad covering term that it encompasses virtually every type of policy analysis. Any differences that exist, say, between Charles Murray, who has advocated the complete elimination of federal income supports, and William Julius Wilson, who advances a social democratic program geared to problems of ghetto disemployment (Murry 1984, Wilson 1996), disappear in Schram's discussion, which places both scholars inside an undifferentiated diatribe against "neutered analysis for a managerial state" (p. 9). Second, despite postmodernism's usual disdain for polarities, the book advances a simple distinction between the role of "critic" and "scientist," as if a normatively engaged critical social science other than the discursive one proposed by Schram necessarily is an oxymoron. Third, Schram fails to examine reflexively the limits of his own preferred way of working or to explain how a focus on signification, buttressed, as in the substantive essays in the text, by an episodic engagement with data, effectively can advance either the goals of systematic understanding or social change. By contrast, Handler's refreshingly direct intervention in debates about AFDC possesses the merit of clearly harnessing argumentation to purpose. Unlike Norris and Thompson, Handler understands that ideology, moralism, and politics cannot be wished away in the name of an abstract and agentless rationality. Unlike Schram, he does not weigh down his intervention with the baggage of a semisystematic postmodernism. Recent welfare reform proposals, he argues, blame and bruise the poor. However pitiful AFDC has been, its demise is even more deleterious. The arguments favoring abolition do not hold up; worse, they are partial and pernicious. As an urgent policy brief shifting debate from the behavioral flaws of the poor to the labor-market causes of their poverty, this is more than a creditable performance. Its virtues, however, go hand in hand with defects it shares with other work of this kind, irrespec- 192 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Vol. 92, No. 1 American Political Science Review tive of ideological proclivity; for Handler puts on display a genre regularly found in policy writing of all persuasions, the policy prospectus that marshals only the evidence it likes. Handler is right to underscore how much public and elite misinformation there is to correct. Welfare mothers are not all African-American or very young; most do not linger as recipients; public provision has been meager; insecure job markets are an important part of the story. Yet, the divide he elaborates entirely separating poverty from personal mores is not convincing. He downplays the fraction of longterm recipients of AFDC or the disproportion of African-Americans who have stayed on the rolls more than seven years. Full of such elisions, the text unnecessarily relinquishes some of its credibility. Welcome nonetheless as an antidote to conventional wisdom, Handler's advocacy is unsatisfactory as policy analysis. History, ranging from England's Statute of Laborers of 1349 to President Clinton's welfare proposals, is gleaned to attest that, inside the triad of capitalism, wage labor, and poverty, welfare policy has focused for more than five centuries on individual rather than systemic flaws. The past is reduced by this generality. Handler's history contains no variation or institutional particularity. It lacks a repertoire of choice. Analytically, it seems to contradict the purpose of the book itself. Why rail against the inevitable? The book's causal story-a simple functionalism in which symbolic needs are deployed as cause-likewise is unyielding, because it fails to specify mechanisms, analyze politics, or indicate points of likely intervention. Thus, for all their differences, the flat rationalism of Norris and Thompson, the heretical postmodernism of Schram, and the semisystematic policy promotion of Handler share common features: a hortatory tone; a reductionist, instrumental application of history; and a lack of attention to the methods and contributions of social science. If critical policy analysis were to depend on the moves these scholars make, then it would be a nonstarter, since they demand decisions between symbolism and substance, politics and policy, and criticism and science which, if made, would leave inquiry misshapen and practical purpose unsecured. HISTORY AND INSTITUTIONS AS REMEDY Motivated by a policy literature on poverty gone "stale" (p. 18), Michael Katz, a historian who has written a large body of first-rate work on cities, schooling, poverty, and race, much of it influenced by the social sciences, tries out a type of writing rarely validated by the academy: a combination of intellectual self-reflection tethered to autobiography, historical argument, and the analysis of policy. The result is an elegant and engaging, yet elusive, book. Providing a rich text for those of us interested in the sociology of knowledge, Katz probes how his own experiences and motivations have galvanized and shaped his fertile scholarship and directs attention to shifts in standards, language, and expectation that occur when scholars try to influence policy. Deliberately abjuring prescription, he resonantly explores links between education and social policy, the conceptual faces of the term underclass, the ways central city inequality intensifies more widespread trends, the role of ideas in policy development, the contested distinction at the heart of liberal theory between public and private spheres, and the means by which historical time and forms of narrative are deployed in policy debates. This plenteous brew, like Schram's, is incisively critical of most policy studies of poverty. Katz, however, is far more judicious and fair minded; as in his appreciation of Wilson's work on the social and economic isolation of the ghetto, he is rather more interested in engaging the best policy analyses we possess than in dismissing them as necessarily implicated in the status quo. Not surprisingly, Katz takes history very seriously. He helps us see how regardful attention to the past and the elongation of the time span of policy research can puncture myths and enrich contemporary analysis. History appears in Improving Poor People to make evident similarities and variations in distinct policy spheres over time and to observe that some policy prescriptions thought to be new in fact are not. Paradoxically, it is here, with Katz playing to his strength as a policy historian, that the book becomes most intellectually reserved. Its powerful challenge to dominant ideas focusing on improving the poor rather than on their circumstances (without losing sight of the poor as complicit in shaping their own lives) and to the deficiencies of historyless policy studies disappointingly stops short of generating a historical imagination constitutive of policy analysis. Katz abjures the chance to make history causal by declining to explore how sequencing and path dependency might be taken seriously as operative ideas. The text's narratives are chock full of chances to do just this, but they are missed. He also draws back from comparing situations in which continuity has proved the rule (as in elite and mass representations of the poor as unworthy), as distinct from those marked by significant change (the discursive racialization of welfare is a rather recent phenomenon). Likewise, he shrinks from deploying the conceptual tools elaborated by political scientists to deal with the role of ideas in politics and policy, a theme central to his book (Goldstein 1993, Jacobsen 1997, Sikkink 1991, Weir 1992). Furthermore, the text, especially its brilliant analysis of decentralized school reform in Chicago, forgoes the opportunity to heed systematically how institutions shape human cognition and dispositions to form solidary groups and cooperate by conferring identities, polarizing, excluding, and assigning properties to categories (Douglas 1986, Wildavsky 1987). In short, Katz's excellent policy histories are incompletely historical and insufficiently institutional. These are infractions certainly not committed by Kenneth Finegold or Theda Skocpol. By showing and telling, they strongly advance the case for a historicalinstitutionalist approach to social policy and the welfare state and, more broadly, to American political 193 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Can Historical Institutionalism Make a Difference? development. Social Policy in the United States2 compiles Skocpol's essays written from the late 1980s through the early 1990s at the moment she was bringing her landmark Protecting Soldiers and Mothers (1992) to publication. Though hardly alone in advancing historical-institutionalism, Skocpol has convoked this school's most impressive program of policy research for nearly two decades; her substantive achievements and programmatic counsel thus can be read as archetypal. Although Skocpol asserts that this course of research can account for present-day social policy and help set agendas for future initiatives, the core of her essays lies less in the present than in characterizing past outcomes, including key traits of the New Deal, social policy during World War II, and postwar employment policy. Uneasy with the work of "moralists" and "technocrats" who lack historical and political sensibilities, she quests to discover "reliable insights into the political constraints and possibilities for making and remaking American public policies at any given historical juncture, including the present," by focusing on the interplay among institutions, conflicts, and alliances over time to investigate the "limits and possibilities in the politics of U.S. social policy making by taking a long historical view" (pp. 5-6). A secondary purpose secured via a comparison of policy episodes is the production of a shaded account of American distinctiveness, persuasively forswearing all-or-nothing notions of exceptionalism based on value continuities, that can account for variations under such comparable conditions as mobilization for total war. A key feature of her analysis is its focus on the significant influence of history and on how prior policy outcomes and their cognate institutional arrangements constrain the present and the future (p. 7). These resonant strengths can be found in many of Social Policy's essays, including an excellent paper written with Gretchen Ritter, "Gender and the Origins of Modern Social Policies in Britain and the United States," and my favorite in the volume, an essay coauthored with John Ikenberry on social provision during World War II. Ikenberry and Skocpol want to know why outcomes concerned with planning and employment policy differed in these two cases; that is, why war and mobilization strengthened the social democratic impulse in the British case but limited it in the American. They proceed within an explanatory frame they summarize this way: Warsare not foughtby "the state"in the abstract,but by particular states with different institutional structures, prior policies, and contendingpoliticalcoalitions.Preexistinginstitutionalstructuresand politicalcoalitionsinfluence the choicesnationalleadersmake abouthow to plan for the postwarperiodand how to mobilizethe nationfor war. The exigenciesof war and the mode of mobilization reinforcesome politicalforces and undermineothers, in partby changingthe agendaof problemsdiscussedby the 2 This volume was published in Princeton Studies in American Politics: Historical, International, and Comparative Perspectives, a series I coedit with Theda Skocpol and Martin Shefter. March 1998 nation's politicians and in part by changing the goals and capacities of politically active groups (p. 190). Likewise, Finegold and Skocpol's long-awaited comparative historical study of the short-lived and in many respects unsuccessful National Recovery Administration (NRA) and the durable, instrumentally capable Agricultural Adjustment Administration (AAA) hunts within this orientation and displays its value-adding power. Elaborating on articles they first published in 1982, State and Party in America's New Deal uses a mainly structural-institutionalist research design focusing on bureaucracy and state capacity linked to a coalitional analysis of the Democratic Party to parse the New Deal. (Finegold 1982, Skocpol and Finegold 1982). Finegold and Skocpol show that Roosevelt's policies varied with respect to institutional design, governmental capability, and terms of linkage with civil society. They argue that his policy proposals, though advanced under common conditions, did not share conjoint fates. These varied not because of their intrinsic merit but as results of the lineage and arrangement of the circumstances in which they were propounded. Set alongside the usual sorts of social policy studies or even the best work on policy by historians, the gains they make are pretty clear. History and institutions, treated configurationally rather than abstractly, are rendered integral and causal. The analytical space between thick historical chronicles and timeless models is filled to good and telling effect. Certainly, Finegold and Skocpol advance our understanding of the heterogeneity of the early New Deal and the character of America's welfare state far better than most students of public policy have been able to grapple with welfare reform. LIMITSAND LESSONS No one who reads Finegold and Skocpol's provocative and well-executed studies of New Deal industrial and agricultural policy or examines Skocpol's artfully honed disquisitions on social policy can fail to admire their craft, depth of research, or vivid originality. Why not stop with this warm appreciation and end with a call for more scholarship of this kind in political science and policy studies? I have two main reservations. The first concerns the conflation in their work of an approach to the design of research with tools for a research design. Finegold and Skocpol counsel a reduction in levels of abstraction, preferring plural words (states, policies, institutions, coalitions) to singular concepts. They insist on the funneling role of past decisions and institutional products. They wager on times of upheaval. They venture the importance of parties and coalitions. I have no principled reason to oppose these judgments, but they raise as many questions as they answer. Finegold and Skocpol's advice would be more compelling if accompanied by an appreciation that the choices they sanction mask others about which they offer no counsel. Research at any level of abstraction, after all, requires what Jon Elster (1989) has denominated as nuts and 194 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions American Political Science Review bolts for the social sciences, and these can take many forms. Concreteness, too, is not just a single good thing. After all, nominalist and notionally "abstract" issues like collective action problems entailed by nonvoting are just as "concrete" as realist structures like multiparty or two-party systems. If, moreover, empirical particularity is to be favored over conceptual generality (I, too, would make this choice if forced), then how, if at all, should more extensive concepts (or concepts linked in models of various kinds) be used to interrogate specific historical constellations? Surely, this is not an either/or matter, for absent such a linkage, case research hazards becoming an ad hoc art, risking makeshift redescription. If Finegold and Skocpol would rather err, as would I, on the side of historical specificity and the integrity of cases, then how should these instances be constructed to make them potentially deployable as units for comparative study (Katznelson 1997a, 1997b)? The scrutiny of past policies plausibly (I think manifestly) is important; but how might history be searched? By way of which mechanisms-branching models, learning theory, or other possibilities? If there is special merit to a focus on times distinguished by high uncertainty like the starkest parts of the Great Depression or the period of total mobilization during World War II, then what, if any, theory of historical periodization should underpin this selection? If the substance of individual and group identities and preferences necessarily varies by condition and occurrence, then how should their formation be studied to undergird both the macro- and microanalyses they recommend? How does the declaration that the past acts as a straightjacket on structures and actors square with the suspension of constraints often associated with times of emergency? Why is a focus on public administration, state capacity, and political parties inherently superior to studies of class mobilization, Congress, or Supreme Court decisions, to take other familiar (but here criticized) centers of attention? By overlooking such questions, Finegold and Skocpol undercut their intention to demonstrate historical institutionalism's capabilities. Moreover, if historical institutionalism is to be more than a category in a scholarly typology but, rather, a systematic method for work in policy studies and political science, there simply is no good reason it should set aside research gear it might deploy to further its own purposes, provided the use of these tools is disciplined by rules of use historical institutionalists confidently establish. Instead, and this is my second reservation, Finegold and Skocpol take an entirely different tack. Rather than treat the existence of a theoretical and analytical tableau in the social sciences as an opportunity to sharpen and deepen the research capacities of historical institutionalism, they declare instead it is the superior alternative. Making social science a contest between clusters of schools rather than a form of knowledge possessing an ensemble of opportunities to guide analysis, they recurrently ask the reader to choose their superincumbent candidate, which, they aver, can cope with complexity on its Vol. 92, No. 1 own, thank you very much, without any help from its putative friends. Both Social Policy in the United States and State and Party in America's New Deal are organized in comparable ways to "test" the capacities of alternate ways of working. "State Formation and Social Policy in the United States," the essay Skocpol has chosen to open her volume of collected essays, explicitly contrasts her research program to "existing theories"-schools she labels logic of industrialism, national values, welfare capitalism, and political class struggle- each of which "offers insights but falls short of offering fully satisfactory explanations of ... historical phases and policy patterns" (p. 15; emphasis added). In the book written with Finegold, the list of competitors to historical institutionalism shifts from these mainly substantive categories to the theoretical ones of pluralism, elitism, Marxism, and rational choice. Both books, especially the latter, measure historical institutionalism against these options. Finegold and Skocpol perform this task in the following manner. Their comparative study of the NRA and AAA identifies a double-sided dependent variable concerned with the origins and content of these programs. Both, of course, represented unprecedented delegations of power to the executive branch to plan, regulate, and coordinate large chunks of the economy previously organized by the price system. They differed, however, in key features of sponsorship and in their patterns of development. The authors ask (p. 23): "Why did the national government enact programs favored by organized industry and rejected by organized agriculture?" "Why did the industrial program fail" while stimulating class conflict, whereas "the agricultural program [succeeded] for commercial agriculture" while reinforcing "class domination in agriculture?"3 To account for these diverse results, Finegold and Skocpol place "states and political parties at the center of analysis. The main variables employed in our analysis of the state are autonomy and capacity. The main variables employed in our analysis of parties are alignments and strategies" (pp. 23-4). They then measure up this mode of inquiry against its competitors on the basis of "fit," thus adopting, without public reflection, standard positivist criteria for testing a theory. While conceding that both the "NRA and the AAA are consistent with the most general premises of pluralist, elitist, Marxist, and rational choice theories of politics," they set these "big, abstract, and complex" candidates aside as insufficient because each "is inconsistent with specific aspects of the origins, implementation, and consequences" of the two programs (p. 218); but in this respect as well, they are theoretically reserved, leaving to the reader to speculate how they might want to distinguish between the abstract formulations they do not like and the "nuts and bolts" tools which can be 3 Note that the criteria of success are not in the least normative; rather, without argument, they seem to be exclusively those of instrumental rationality. I have raised questions about this approach to stateness elsewhere (Katznelson and Pietrykowski 1991, Katznelson 1993). 195 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions March 1998 Can Historical Institutionalism Make a Difference? found inside such scholarship but which are not consistent from one type to another. What they do argue, in contrast to literature they do not much like, is that their work enjoys the advantage of a close accord between its objects of analysis and the causal narratives they develop, based on an appreciation for discrete institutional textures. Given the interpenetration of their explanandum and explanans, however, this trial only could have produced the result it confirms, especially given the way Finegold and Skocpol characterize their opponents, often coming close to caricature. Consider elitism and pluralism. They announce that these depictions of social pressure and mechanisms of representation regard the social basis of politics as fixed. Always? Necessarily? Neither really is a credible claim. Consider Marxism, which they dismiss as functionalist and social determinist. Certainly, they appreciate that this tradition has been diverse, even historical and institutional, in ways far more nuanced than they represent and quite compatible in some of its variants with their own enterprise. Or consider rational choice, the main target of their ire, which they hold up for critical examination only when it wears its most aseptic and disembedded, and least institutionalist, garb. But, surely, they know just how curious some rational choice scholars have become about the origins and constraints of institutions and how committed many are to careful specification of cases, actors, and preferences in order to designate how and why people, understood as interdependent actors, make choices inside particular historical and institutional settings. The victory Finegold and Skocpol produce is Pyrrhic. By flattening other orientations and epistemologies, they fail to do justice to the power of their own way of working or show its endowments to best advantage. Expostulating this way, they demand too high a price for entry to historical institutionalism's house (implicitly insisting other theories be left behind as irremediably flawed), and they unduly limit the scope of inquiry. Their "victory" contracts the number of causal variables we might examine, including the social structural ones both elite theory and Marxism embrace. It privileges some features of liberal representation associated with the party system as opposed to others (congressional processes favored by many rational choice analysts or interest-group activity singled out by the pluralists) without clarifying whether this is a theoretically motivated selection (if so, why?) or is limited to the two time-bound cases on offer. If the latter, then the avowal that historical institutionalism wins by a knockout is vastly inflated; but the former never is addressed. It also leaves the issue of microfoundations so important to rational choice entirely too open. To be sure, coalitions inside political parties regularly make an appearance in these texts, but in an untheorized way. Of course, there is more than one way to think about issues of agency; which do they like better, and why? I prefer both more modesty and greater assertiveness. More modesty because the power of a given theory,we do well to remember,varies not just from case to case or from one objectof analysisto another, but can vary even inside the moments of cases under investigation. Challenging substantive puzzles always are complex; no one set of "nuts and bolts" ever can claim exclusive purchase on them. Indeed, neither of the key words in historical institutionalism's lexiconhistory or institution-implies a single (unitary or compound) theory or subject matter. "Institution" gains its power as a concept to probe the infinitely intricate history of humankind by virtue of its junctional location at the intersection of structure and agency and of past and present. If it is one of historical institutionalism's goals to embrace complexity, then why, a priori, should it deny itself access to creative confrontations and substantive syntheses or work without a full kitbag of tools, including the fine-grained, systematic, and dynamic understanding rational choice offers with respect to the endogenous generation of institutions? But I also prefer greater assertiveness. Historical institutionalism is right to claim a privileged, though not exclusive, ability to bind structure and agency to contingency.4 There is nothing wrong with wagering strongly on a particular approach, provided it remains open and self-reflective. Resolute and insistent, historical institutionalism should engage other theoretical and analytic approaches on its terms, assuredly making selections disciplined by its own purposes as it searches for criteria of appraisal which stand in the challenging location between the too-constraining jacket of strict positivist theory testing and the too-permissive art form of postmodernism (Laudan 1996). With respect to microfoundations, for example, it should advance situated understandings of rationality, an approach that does not so much compete with as incorporate the best features not only of rational choice (especially its focus on strategic settings and mutually dependent interaction) but also of bounded rationality (especially its realist sense of constraints on individuals not only because of their cognitive limits as decision makers but also as a consequence of restrictions imposed by structural situations), while insisting on the conditions of this encounter. Such a course would emphasize that rationality only can be inferred over time; that particular versions make sense only in specific normative and institutional settings which are culturally and structurally thick, not just strategically lean; and that it must link the internal and external environments of persons. A historically institutionalist approach to rationality would be agnostic about whether there really are choices in all "choice" situations and would locate behavior within the rules and practices that constitute regimes. It would have to make room for culture and incorporate identities ordinarily seen as nonrational. And it would refuse simple oppositions between rational and norm-guided action. Following such a course, historical institutionalism might well teach students of policy and political science to dance more gracefully, beginning, perhaps, by retracing forgotten steps in the genealogy of policy AI owe this formulation to my colleague Charles Cameron's presentation at a Columbia University workshop on American Political Development, which we share in directing. 196 This content downloaded from 146.95.253.17 on Wed, 6 Nov 2013 08:39:34 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions American Political Science Review studies. I particularly have in mind the epigrammatic advocacy Harold Lasswell deployed more than four decades ago when he helped convene a who's who of American social science, including Kenneth Arrow, Edward Shils, Paul Lazarsfeld, Robert Merton, and Clyde Kluckhohn, to review and codify gains by the policy sciences during and after World War II "in order to cope with the gigantic crises of our time" (Lerner and Lasswell 1951, 7). Lasswell's agenda-setting essay, "The Policy Orientation," opened the collection of papers these scholars produced. Substantively, he promoted a problem-centered focus. Normatively, he endeavored to advance the prospects of liberal democracy. Analytically, he sought to join two levels of analysis: methods focusing on choice, especially decision theory drawn both from microeconomics and cognitive psychology, deployed in tandem with an appreciation of and deep concern for "the awareness of time" and context ("the key terms which are used in the policy sciences refer to meanings, and contexts of meaning are changeable") and for "the institutional pattern from which we are moving and the pattern toward which we are going," an interest he herded under the umbrella he called "developmental constructs." Policy sciences braiding these elements, Lasswell argued, could improve "the rationality of the policy process" and become "relevant to the policy problems of a given period." He defined these quandaries as issues on the scale of depression, war, and America's racial divide, problems more fundamental than mere "topical issues of the moment." (Lerner and Lasswell 1951, 3-15). This attractive program has been accomplished only in part. A good many students of policy, including political scientists of diverse stripes, have been happy to use the variants of decision theory to work on specific problems, but they have tended to neglect Lasswell's anxious normativity or his particular version of historical institutionalism and the manner in which he sought to link these theoretical and macroscopic concerns to agency-centered microanalysis. The time is ripe, I believe, not only to secure Lasswell's prospectus for studies of policy but also to deploy the elements he advocated to advance a richer, more appealing political science. The new historical institutionalism must be central to these advances. 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