Unlocking your Data to Improve Performance in the Shale Fred Kunzinger Upstream Practice Lead ECIM 2014 Agenda • • • • • Conventional vs. Unconventional The Rise of the Unconventional Play Challenges in the Shale Using Data to Improve your Success Summary © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 2 Noah Consulting – About Us • Founded by information services professionals • Extensive experience providing solutions to the largest and most complex energy companies in the world • Focused exclusively on the data / information domain • Industry and Data Management Professionals averaging 18+ years experience – Combine significant information and industry subject matter expertise – Providing a full spectrum of business solutions Information strategy, information architecture, solution delivery – Local and offshore solution delivery options • • • • • • • Consulting magazine – Small Jewel award recipient - 2012 Houston Business Journal – Best Places to Work – 2012, 2013, 2014 Houston Business Journal –Fast 100 - 2013 and 2014 Inc.5000 – 2013 and 2014 ComputerWorld - Best Places to Work – 2013 and 2014 WorldOil magazine – 2012 Best Data Management finalist Informatica Innovation Award Partner - 2014 © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 3 Conventional vs. Unconventional Conventional Unconventional – Charge – Reservoir – Trap/Seal – Shale plays all three roles: Charge, Reservoir, Trap/Seal – High Volume / Lower Cost Prospects move along the Value Chain Exploration – Development – Production Challenge is finding the hydrocarbons Development requires an contemporaneous integrated approach Challenge is finding the “Sweet Spots” © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 4 Unconventional Is Not New • 1694 – British Crown issued a patent to “extract and make great quantities of pitch, tarr, and oyle out of a sort of stone.” • 1830’s – Commercial production of lamp oil from shale oil in France • 1851 – Commercial oil production from Torbanite (boghead coal) in Scotland © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 5 Shale Plays © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 6 Impact of Shale Activity • Global politics • Commodity prices • Change in balance of power in the Energy markets • Environmental • Regulatory © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 7 Reserves Comparisons Area Oil Gas Norway 5.83 Billion bbl Proven 74 Tcf Proven United Kingdom 3.00 Billion bbl Proven 8.6 Tcf Proven Bakken 7.4 Billion bbl Technically Recoverable 6.7 Tcf Proven All U.S. Shale Plays 58 Billion bbl Technically Recoverable 665 Tcf Techically Recoverable U.S. EIA, 2014 © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 8 Challenges in the Shale • • • • The Speed of the Business Logistics Integration Advanced Analytics – manage the exceptions And the management of the vast amount of data and information upon which these Business processes are so dependent! © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 9 The Speed of the Business • Business in the Shale is operating at previously unseen speeds – – – – Strain on operations Critical need for timely, accurate information Operating efficiency methods Re-thinking the “conventional way” Annual Bakken Production 140,000,000 120,000,000 100,000,000 80,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 0 Bakken Production as a Percent of ND Production 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 10 Logistics and Integration With the number of wells, the drilled footage, and production all on the rise, information requirements are changing... – – – – – – Access to timely and accurate land holding and expirations Supply chain issues for rigs, tubing, water, sand and other materials Product and by-product distribution issues Access to real-time drilling and completions data Scheduling Safety... Safety... Safety This means the DATA need to be fully integrated Drilling and Completions Finance and Accounting Supply Chain Well Master Geoscience EH&S Production Operations © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 11 What do all these core Upstream processes have in Common? • Reserves Reporting • Drilling Operations • Integrated Reservoir Management • Production Optimization • Field Material Mgt and Maint. • Production Revenue Accounting • Regulatory Compliance • Annual Report • Lease Management Without trusted Well Header data they are ineffective and their potential value will not be realized. 12 © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 12 Challenges of Well Header Data • • • • Data continues to be stored in silo’s by functional departments Well data takes on new meaning as it gets passed to each group Trust concerns in the data to make business decisions Trusted source of information changes across the life of the Well Real numbers from a large independent © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 13 What is Master Data Management? Master Data Management (MDM)− A set of disciplines, technologies, and solutions used to create and maintain consistent, complete, contextual, and accurate business data for all stakeholders: − captured once, on time, accurately, completely, correctly, and consistently thus enabling master data quality; − non-transactional in nature with no rapidly changing data, quasi-static; − stored in a way that guarantees integrity and a single place of reference; and − made available to those who need it, whenever they need it, both internally and externally. © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 14 Well Header Governance Well Lifecycle Planning Drilling Completing Producing Disposing Drilling Geoscience Representatives from all major departments Operations Land Finance EHS © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 15 Better Decision Making Capabilities Required The New Assembly Line Expanding Data Sources Challenging Integration Just in Time Management • Expanded Data Coverage • New data sources, e.g. Land, Production • Challenging Integration • Faster, higher volume and real-time • Just In-Time Management • Big Data, Predictive – similar to the manufacturing process Continuous Improvement © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 16 Understanding the Assembly Line Some companies drill over 1000 wells a year in shale plays. The difference between $7,500,000 per well and $8,000,000 per well, over an entire year’s operations is half a billion dollars! Data Analysis can help to create these efficiencies – Reduce the number of trips (drill bits, muds, motor reliability) – Geosteering (staying in the formation while drilling) – Anti-Collision Advanced analytics to analyze and optimize the entire well lifecycle © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 17 Categories of Analytics Analytics is an organizational capability, not a single tool or approach • Visualization and data • Predictive • Right-time and real-time analytics Organizations need to build capabilities in several analytic tools and techniques with a set of use cases that apply to each © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 18 Monitoring and Intervention – Monitor actual operating statistics relative to benchmarks and forecasts – Automatic detection of discrepancies and anomalies in cost, ROP, NPT, HSE, bit wear, geologic drilling hazards and equipment failures to permit timely intervention • Alarm and notification systems • Kickoff workflows • Tailored to client specific needs © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Model Development and Revision Implement a continuous feedback and improvement process – Automatically update correlations and statistics for both predictive analytics and event simulation models upon the conclusion of a job – Tools for development and revision of forecasting models – Economics models support value of information computation to help you decide if further information or analysis is warranted © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. NPT Filters Date Range • Drilling Phase Multi-dimensional filters – By Date Range – By Drilling Phase • By Producing Unit – – By Category By Vendor © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Sample NPT Visualizations • Analysis of non-productive time inception-to-date – By Drilling Phase – By Vendor • Part of periodic vendor review Business Transformation Business Strategy Performance Transformation Portfolio Transformation Cultural Transformation © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 23 Business Transformation • Improving margins is essential – Margins are driven by cost per unit of production – Most companies focus on the costs – Successful companies focus on both • Portfolio transformation will attain significant benefits • Performance transformation will create competitive differentiation © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Margins © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. *2014 Information based on public presentations to Analysts and Shareholders Focus Areas Corrective Actions / Success Logs Production Cost Optimization Results Lift Cost Optimization Results Peer Performance Reservoir Technology Solutions Execution Improvements Performance Reviews Drilling and Completion Technology Solutions Use of Best Skills Portfolio Operations Technical Management Excellence Excellence Integrated Performance Management © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Sample KPIs Well Lifecycle Stages Sample Metrics Planning • Time • Cost • Quality → Staking request to spud (avg. cycle time) → Pre-Spud actual versus AFE → Drillable well inventory (RTB) Drilling • Time • Cost • Quality → Spud to rig release (avg. cycle time) → Total drilling costs versus AFE (sum)/Avg. cost/ft. → Percent of lateral in zone; Unplanned Sidetrack Rate Completing • Time • Cost • Quality → Rig release to completion (avg. cycle time) → Total completion costs versus AFE (sum)/Avg. Cost/Stage (or Cost/GPI) → Percentage of incomplete frac stages; Sand/Fluid Volume per stage Producing • Time • Cost • Quality → Completion to IP (avg. cycle time) → Facilities cost versus AFE (sum) → WOPLs; gas flared © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Linking Focus Areas – A Sample Well Construction Reservoir Portfolio Management Corrective Actions Performance Reviews Peer Comparison Drilling Program Management Strategy Production Improvements Asset Development Plans Improvements Completion Operations Excellence Program Execution Plans Best in Class Well Delivery Results Production Optimization D&C Cost Optimization © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Business Benefits Quality • Improved trust, consistency, relevance, and timeliness of data that is used on a daily basis to support business decisions Process • Established business rules and standards to improve data flow and manage the data lifecycle Standards • Improved data consistency and sharing across applications and data stores Availability • Establish an integrated system that delivers reliable information and single source of truth to support master data management Governance • Institute better overall data management process, procedures, and policies to adhere to business and data quality rules © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. page | 29 Summary • Unconventional resources are playing an ever increasing role in the global energy picture • Success depends upon rethinking your business processes • Successful operations are dependent on readily available, integrated data – Governance – Integration – Advanced Analytics – Perspective © Copyright 2014 Noah Consulting LLC. All Rights Reserved. Page | 30
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