Commission on Science and Technology for Development CSTD 2009-2010 inter-sessional panel 9-11 November 2009 Geneva Issues Paper on New and Emerging Renewable Energy Technologies for Sustainable Development NOT TO BE CITED Prepared by the UNCTAD Secretariat Table of Contents I. Introduction………………………………………………………………………… 2 II. Energy Challenges and Sustainable Development………………………………....3 III. Emerging Renewable Energy Technologies…………………………………..……5 IV. Promoting the development and deployment of renewable energy technologies:………..…………... ……………………...........................................…8 V. Policy considerations………………………………………………………….....…16 VI. Issues for discussion……………………………………………………….............. 20 VII. References………………………………………………………...............................22 Annex 1. An Overview of new and renewable energy technologies……………….24 (a) Generating Electric Power. “No technology provides a one-size-fit-all” solution, but a combination can create a robust energy supply (b) Storing and Delivering Renewable Power (c) Renewable Transportation Fuels Annex 2. International discussions and collaborations………….............................33 Lists of Figures Figure 1: Share and population without electricity by developing region……………………4 Figure 2: Renewable energy share of global final energy consumption…………………… 6 Figure 3: 2007 product shares in world renewable energy supply………………………...….7 Lists of Boxes Box.1: Overview of the range of renewable energy sources………………………..………..6 Box.2: Barefoot College: bottom up approach to technology transfer and local empowerment………………………………………………………………………………..13 1 I. Introduction The Commission on Science and Technology for Development (CSTD) has selected “New and Emerging Technologies” as a priority theme for the 2009-2011 biennium. Recalling that in adopting its multi-year work programme in 2007, the Commission agreed that its science and technology-related work would contribute towards the implementation of the 2005 World Summit Outcome 1 . It is within this framework, that the CSTD will examine, during the 2009-2010 inter-sessional period, the role of green renewable energy technologies, which hold enormous potential for the achievement of internationally agreed development goals, especially those in the Millennium Declaration (MDGs). Commitments to improve access to reliable and affordable energy services, in particular to increase the share of renewable sources of energy in the global energy supply have been repeatedly made by Governments at the international level, most notably at the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) held in 2002, and the World Summit (2005). The Johannesburg Plan of Action, adopted at WSSD, emphasizes that access to energy is fundamental to the eradication of poverty and calls on governments to ensure that energy policies are supportive to their efforts to eradicate poverty. The Plan of Action, "with a sense of urgency", calls for a substantial increase in the global share of renewable energy sources. It further urges enhanced international and regional cooperation to “improve access to reliable, affordable, economically viable, socially acceptable and environmentally sound energy services, as an integral part of poverty reduction programmes, by facilitating the creation of enabling environments and addressing capacitybuilding needs, with special attention to rural and isolated areas.” The Plan of Action calls for international support in helping developing countries create a level playing field for the development of, inter alia, renewable energy and decentralized energy systems. The 2005 World Summit Outcome document reiterates that “clean energy, meeting energy needs and achieving sustainable development” require urgent action; calls for practical international cooperation to promote the development and deployment of clean energy; and highlights the importance of innovation, investment, technology transfer and capacity building. It recognizes the role of science and technology, and urges support for initiatives of research and development that address the special needs of developing countries in the areas of energy and sustainable use of natural resources. It calls on the international community to facilitate access to, and the development, transfer and diffusion of, technologies, including environmentally sound technologies and corresponding knowhow, to developing countries. It further calls for greater efforts to develop renewable sources of energy, such as solar, wind and geothermal. This issues paper will provide an overview of new and emerging renewable energy technologies, and identify some of the key challenges related to their development and deployment in developing countries, through comparative analyses of selective case 1 Paragraph 60, A/res/60/1 2 studies. It will seek to identify key success factors, with a view to stimulating discussion on good practices and policy options for building innovative capabilities, and promoting effective diffusion of these technologies. II. Energy Challenges and Sustainable Development Energy is central to sustainable development. Although not an explicit goal itself, energy and its access constitutes a prerequisite underpinning of all Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Access to electricity and modern energy services can contribute to: inter alia, higher yields in agricultural production; increased access to information and telecommunications; improved health and quality of healthcare; and improved standard of living in general. It also contributes significantly to gender equality and education. 2 Today, an estimated 1.6 billion people in developing countries have no access to electricity, particularly in sub-Sahara Africa, South Asia and some small island developing states (SIDs) (see Figure 1). About 2.5 billion people, especially in rural areas of subSaharan Africa and South Asia, still lack access to modern energy services: They rely on biomass fuels such as firewood, charcoal, manure, and crop residues 3 for cooking and heating. These practices have severe adverse effects on health, 4 environment, social and economic conditions. 5 The energy poverty thus contributes to the perpetuation of poverty and degradation. Even in many of the middle income countries with relatively high rate of electrification, the poor living in urban agglomerations and rural communities lack access to energy services, largely due to the high costs associated with connection, and distribution, as well infrastructure extension6 . In some cases, heavy reliance on imports of fossil fuels that are subject to price volatility and price increases have also resulted in higher energy costs for many households. 7 2 GTZ Report, “Energising Development,” June 2009. 3 UN General Assembly, Sixty-fourth session, Sustainable development: Promotion of new and renewable sources of energy, 10 August 2009, and IEA: Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries, 2008. 4 Recognized as the second most adverse cause for deaths (after malnutrition) in poor developing countries, World Health Organisation (WHO) estimates 1.5 million (or 4,000 deaths per day) die due to indoor air pollution. WHO: Fuel for Life: Household Energy and Health, Geneva 2006 and Conference Report, International Energy Conference, Vienna, Austria, 22-24 June 2009. 5 The use of biomass accelerates deforestation and requires a lot of time and effort for collection. Women and children are usually responsible for this activity, which they could have otherwise be pursuing other productive activities such as education and employment activities. See footnote 3. 6 The Millennium Project (2005). Energy Services for the Millennium Development Goals 7 UN General Assembly, Sixty-fourth session, Sustainable development: Promotion of new and renewable sources of energy, 10 August 2009 3 Figure 1: Share and population without electricity by developing region Source: IEA: WEO 2006 Equally important is the fact that the energy sector as a whole is responsible for approximately 70% of total global greenhouse gas emissions, a major cause of climate change. 8 Over the past two decades there has been increasing recognition and consensus that a transformation of the energy systems is required if the disastrous impact of climate change were to be reversed. This would require rapid diffusion and development of low carbon energy technologies, including from renewable sources; improving energy efficiency; and promoting conservation 9 . Recent years have seen a high growth rate of the renewable energy sectors. In 2006, global new investment in renewable energy sources amounted to about US$ 71 billion – an increase of 43% over 2005. US$ 15 billion of this amount was invested in developing and emerging countries. 10 According to UNEP 11 , some US$ 155 billion was invested in 2008 in clean energy companies and projects worldwide, of which US$ 117 billion went to renewable energy projects, an increase of over 60% over 2006. Green and renewable energy technologies have been recognized as particularly appropriate for developing countries. In the context of rural areas where insufficient transmission and distribution infrastructure is a problem, producing renewable energy locally can offer a viable option. The broadening of energy mix and fuel sources can increase national energy security by reducing the amount of absolute imports. An 8 UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report, 2009. Ockwell, David et al. (2009), “Low Carbon Development: The Role of Local Innovative Capabilities” 10 GTZ Report on “Energy-policy Framework Conditions for Electricity Markets and Renewable Energies 23 Country Analyses” Eschborn, September 2007. 11 UNEP(2009) Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 9 4 expansion of the national renewable energy sector can create local employment opportunities and provide economic opportunities for developing countries to commercialize produce and export these technologies. 12 The Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21) labels the renewable energy sector as one of “guaranteed-growth” and “crisis-proof”, due to the formidable investment trends throughout the past decade. In the mist of the financial crisis in 2008, at least 160 publicly traded renewable energy companies worldwide had a market capitalization greater than US$100 million. India emerged as a major producer of solar PV, with new policies leading to US$18 billion in new manufacturing investment plans and proposals by a number of companies. 13 China has doubled its installed wind power capacity every year for the past five years, and is on pace this year to supplant the United States as the world’s largest market for new installations. 14 According to a recent report, it is estimated that China’s ‘green-technology’ market has the potential to grow to US$1 trillion and make up 15 per cent of GDP by 2013. 15 By early 2009, at least 73 countries have set policy targets for renewable energy sources and at least 64 countries introduced promotion mechanisms 16 , including at least 23 developing or emerging countries. A number of large developing countries such as India, China and Brazil, have managed to catch up fairly rapidly with technological leaders in certain renewable energy sectors such as wind and solar. A number of factors have been key to their success, including a strong commitment of national governments, policies to encourage and facilitate technology development and deployment, and to support the innovative capabilities of local firms and research institutes. Also important are bilateral and multilateral collaborative initiatives along the entire spectrum of research and development, demonstration and deployment (RDD&D). III. Emerging Renewable Energy Technologies The International Energy Agency defines renewable energy as follows: “Renewable Energy is derived from natural processes that are replenished constantly. In its various forms, it derives directly or indirectly from the sun, or from heat generated deep within the earth. Included in the definition is energy generated from solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, hydropower and ocean resources, and biofuels and hydrogen derived from renewable resources.” 17 12 http://blogs.worldbank.org/technology-transfer-climate-context, 2009-10-12. 13 REN21, “Renewable Global Status Report: Energy Transformation Continues Despite Economic Slowdown”. 14 Peter Fairley, “China's Potent Wind Potential”,http://www.technologyreview.com/energy/23460/, September 14, 2009. 15 China Greentech Initiative’s report, Environmental Finance, 17 September 2009, www.wbcsd.org 16 REN21, Renewables Global Status Report, 2009 Update. International Energy Agency (IEA) Statistics, Renewables Information (2009 Editions). For the purpose of this Paper, traditional biomass will be excluded because it is not considered sustainable. 17 5 The range of renewable energy technologies is vast; their strengths and weaknesses depend on the type of application and location (Box 1): Box 1: Overview of the range of renewable energy sources • Hydropower: established, suitable for small (micro-hydro) and large-scale applications; • Wind power: established and cost-effective, particularly on a large scale; • Solar photovoltaic (PV): established, close to diesel in economic terms on a smallscale, expensive on a large-scale, can be appropriate for remote rural electrification but auxiliary equipment often not reliable; • Solar thermal: established for hot water systems; • Biomass (forestry, crop residues etc): established and cost-effective, particularly on a large scale; • Marine (wave/tidal): needs more developmental work, has been commercialized but not been widely adopted (limited number of suitable sites and expensive construction); and • Geothermal: has been used but not well established; hot/dry rock geothermal energy in combination with geothermal storage is being investigated for the future. Source: Wald, Matthew, Scientific American, March 2009, pages 50-55 Renewable energy can contribute to all energy sectors, including electricity generation, water and space heating, transport fuels, and rural (off-grid) energy. Though the total shares in global energy supply remain low, renewable energy from wind, solar, hydro, modern biomass (including modern biofuels, but excluding traditional biomass) and geothermal supplies 5.4 percent of the world’s final energy consumption (see Figure 3). About 70 percent of this modern renewable energy is hydropower. Wind accounts for the second largest share in renewable electric power capacity, followed by small hydro. Biomass, solar and geothermal provide hot water and space heating for buildings and biofuels for transportation sector, though their contribution is still rather small, or less than one percent of the energy supply 18 (see Annex 1 for detailed information on alternative/new renewable energy technologies). 18 Schock, Robert N., “Energy Technologies for the 21st Century—The Roles of Renewable Energy”, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, University of California, Livermore CA 94551. 6 Figure 2: Renewable energy share of global final energy consumption Source: REN21: Renewables 2007 Global Status Report, 2008a. Figure 3: 2007 product shares in world renewable energy supply Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) Statistics, Renewables Information (2009 Editions) In rural off-grid areas, renewable energy resources have a huge potential to provide electricity to remote villages. In particular, wind, small hydro, solar PV, and biomass can contribute significantly to rural electrification. 19 Wind: There are many potential sites for wind turbines. The most promising sites for wind power development are located in mountainous and coastal areas, and in many cases these places tend to be distant from the national grid, thus posing significant challenges. Solar PV: Solar irradiation is abundant in most developing countries. In remote and isolated areas, grid extension is not economically viable and diesel power generation is costly because overland transportation of oil through mountainous roads or across the 19 Miyazaki, Masahiro, NEDO Report: “Renewable energy issues: NEDO’S experience in South-East Asia” New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization, Japan (NEDO). 7 oceans is very costly, irregular and sometimes impossible, in particular, during rainy seasons. In such cases, a stand alone PV system can be the most cost efficient option. Small Hydro: The potential for small hydropower is large in developing countries. However, hilly and mountainous areas with mini-hydro potential are sometimes too sparsely populated for cost-efficient mini-hydro projects. In recent years, Asian countries have placed great importance in developing mini-hydro for rural electrification and economic development. The trend is that governments are shifting from their own planning and management to allow the private sector to invest in small hydro projects. The electricity cost from mini-hydro can be less than that from fossil fuel power plants, but the high upfront cost is the most significant barrier. Biomass: Wood and agro-industrial residues (e.g. cogeneration by sugar, rice, and palm oil residues) can be used to supply heat and power generation. However, in many developing countries, the technologies currently used are outdated and inefficient. If efficient technologies are adopted, these residues can be used to produce a tremendous amount of electricity. To make a project profitable, the plant should be large enough to benefit from economies of scale to reduce collection and production costs. As these technologies are mostly developed and produced in developed countries, the increase of overall use of renewable energy in developing countries means an increase in the transfer of the technologies from developed to developing countries. The transfers may involve various forms depending on the arrangement and needs. Some are knowledge alone; some equipment alone; and some both. A number of challenges involve the techniques for production, generation, transmission and distribution of the energy supplied by the renewable sources, which may require significant investment in appropriate infrastructure, research and development and an integrated policy approach. Also inherent in the transmission and distribution process are challenges such as an inherent low-energy density, low efficiency of conversion, intermittent availability in some of the key areas, and development of advanced, efficient and inexpensive energy-storage technologies need to be taken into account. Initiatives to overcome these technical obstacles will play a very significant role for successful and effective adoption, transfer, and development of such technologies. These policy-driven initiatives will have to take into account cross-cutting factors, such as legal, regulatory, institutional, financial, infrastructure, market, political, social and cultural issues. Consumer awareness for alternative energy sources and use calls for measures to increase information flow and transparency. IV. Promoting the development and deployment of renewable energy technologies It has been widely recognized that public intervention is needed to stimulate innovation in renewable energy technologies. The often cited reasons are: first, carbon-intensive technologies benefit from a competitive advantage since the external costs related to them are usually not reflected in the market price and therefore this price distortion reduce the 8 transfer and the market penetration of renewable energy technologies 20 , and second, the larger social benefits of the investment in renewable energy technologies cannot be fully captured by individual firms. Therefore there is a lack of incentive for the private sector to raise their investment to socially optimal levels. Hence, current frontrunners in renewable energy technologies have benefited from public policy interventions backed by legal and regulatory framework. For instance, wind power became viable only when the EU, USA and other governments provided active support through R&D spending and subsidies 21 . The issue of transfer of technology is at the heart of the global renewable energy and low-carbon economy debate. The economic reality is that many developing nations are unlikely to “leapfrog” pollution-intensive stages of industrial development without a commitment by developed nations to assist in providing access to the technologies needed 22 . Fortunately, many of these technologies already exist in the public domain and can be made available where they are needed. The increase in the overall use of renewable energy in developing countries means an increase in the need of international transfer of technologies from developed to developing countries. However, the discussion on technology transfer does not adequately address the importance of the flow of knowledge – the know-how, and know-why, which are key to the building of local innovative capabilities 23 . Transfer of technology does not replace, but rather compliment domestic efforts for capacity-building, which should be supported by domestic policies that foster learning 24 . It is, therefore, crucial to deconstruct the issue at hand so as to better understand the various barriers, risks and opportunities of technology transfer. Technology can be regarded as a piece of information that is akin to knowledge and that generates economic profit. A transfer of technology is a learning process, whereby knowledge is being understood, used, and replicated. Both the transfer of technological “hardware” and “software”, i.e. the final products or services and the relevant human capacities and skills, organizational development and information networks are important in determining success of a technology transfer. Technology transfer may take in various different modes. Most commonly, it occurs either through consuming products or services that incorporate the technology or licensing the capability to produce such products, either by an indigenous firm or through a joint venture arrangement. Technology transfer also may appear in the form of helping region or a nation develop its own capability to research and produce the products. Other important channels of transfer have been through foreign direct investment, technical assistance programs, including trainings and capacity-building in technical skills, policy formulation, project management, development and monitoring, application and commercialization (see Annex 2), either from multilateral (GEF/WB, development banks)or bilateral (ODAs) donors. A significant barrier to successful technology transfer is related to the issue of inadequate absorptive capacity: whether knowledge and expertise are diffused as part of a transfer process depends on whether the recipient firm has developed the necessary absorptive capacity that will allow it to take 20 UN GA 2009 “Promotion of new and renewable sources of energy” A/64/277 UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report, 2009 22 Sauter, R & Watson, J (2008), “Technology Leapfrogging: A Review of the Evidence”, DFID 23 Ockwell, David et al. (2009), “Low Carbon Development: The Role of Local Innovative Capabilities” 24 See UNCTAD (2003) Investment and Technology Policies for Competitiveness: review of successful country experiences. 21 9 advantage of collaborations with frontrunner suppliers of technology. Absorptive capacity is typically defined as the ability to recognize the value of new information, assimilate it, and apply it to commercial ends 25 . However, the term is perhaps more useful when applied in a country context and considered as “the ability to learn and implement the technologies and associated practices of developed countries” 26 . Technological capabilities, along with knowledge and institutions are important determinants of national absorptive capacity 27 . Technological capabilities are especially important in that they determine the existing stock of resources (which may include knowledge, skills that enable exchange within and between different actors) and the potential for generating and managing technical change 28 . How technological capabilities accumulate over time is a crucial aspect of the technology transfer in that it has implication on the scalability of the technology and its overall economic impact. Increasingly, due to product specialization, technological accumulation has become less automatic with the expansion of production capacity. One way of overcoming this barrier would be to address education and training needs so as to equip firms with the “know-how” and “know-why” in assessing, operating and improving a technology. National systems of innovation and international collaborative R&D and information sharing initiatives may have a central role to play in facilitating technology transfer in this regard. Furthermore, a technology’s stage of development deserves important considerations. For example, where technologies are at early pre-commercial stages of development, barriers related to both horizontal (from one geographic location to another) and vertical (through different stages of the value chain) transfer need to be overcome. 29 In addition, access to intellectual property such as patents may be needed in order to facilitate technology transfers. The mainstream view is that even given unhindered access to intellectual property rights (IPRs), technology transfer can only occur if developing countries find ways of overcoming significant barriers related to absorptive capacity, technological capability, local adaptation, and market and institutional structure etc. Often it is the case that, irrespective of IPR barriers, a latecomer firm faces great difficulties in catching up with a frontrunner because the ability to begin using a technology involves possessing certain trade secrets and tacit knowledge. However, there is mixed empirical evidence in support of this view. It has been suggested that further empirical analysis should focus “on issues such as: the extent to which IPRs as a barrier to technology transfer vary according to the stage of technology development or the specific nature of the technology; the relationship between the strength of the IPR regime in a developing country and the extent to which this fosters technology transfer; the potential for overcoming IPR 25 Cohen and Levinthal (1990), "Absorptive capacity: A new perspective on learning and innovation", Administrative Science Quarterly, Volume 35, Issue 1 pg. 128-152 26 Narula,Rajneesh & Criscuolo,Paola, 2002. "A novel approach to national technological accumulation and absorptive capacity: Aggregating Cohen and Levinthal”, European Journal of Development Research, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 20(1), pages 56-73 27 Sauter, R & Watson, J (2008), “Technology Leapfrogging: A Review of the Evidence”, DFID 28 Bell and Pavitt, 1993 M. Bell and K. Pavitt, Technological accumulation and industrial growth: contrasts between developed and developing countries, Industrial and Corporate Change 2 (1993), pp. 157–210 29 Ockwell 10 issues via international collaborative R&D initiatives on technologies at a very early stages of development with the aim of making the IPR available as a free, or low cost, public good” 30 . Another mode of technology transfer touches upon an important aspect of development pathways- how on the back of international technology transfers developing countries may achieve a technology paradigm shift. Rather than considering the process of technology transfer as one that results in technological accumulation, the idea is that a more radical innovation can provide additional ‘windows of opportunity’ for developing countries 31 . In fact, this is admittedly the most arduous yet rewarding way in which latecomer nations may catch-up with the economic and technological process of advanced nations. The level of integration of the transfer process, whether knowledge and skills have been acquired at an early enough stage, seems to be very important in determining whether latecomer firms can at later stages of technology development adapt and innovate. The “know-why” knowledge - knowledge of the processes that lead to new innovations and why they work - is closely related to innovative capabilities. Equally important are setups and structures embodied in national innovation systems that facilitate technical and institutional exchanges of firms, researchers, and policy makers in creating the right innovative milieu. The technology transfer debate should also look at the larger market framework in order to better capture the economic reality that many developing countries face. In particular, market size is a concern for smaller developing countries with a limited domestic energy consumption market. Contrasting this with countries like China and India where frontrunner firms are likely to benefit from the transfer in exchange for access to the countries’ large markets, it becomes clear that creative solutions are needed for smaller developing countries to gain access to certain technologies. The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), established by the Kyoto Protocol of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), has the potential to provide an important impetus to the transfer of renewable energy (as well as other low-carbon) technologies in developing countries. Whilst the main objective of the CDM is to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, increasingly more projects have been developed in the area of renewable energy technologies. The present CDM project pipeline in terms of geographical distribution is unequal with large emerging economies such as China, India, Brazil and Mexico being the leading host countries with a combined share of 75 per cent of the total project pipeline. The shares of Africa, the Middle East, and Europe and Central Asia, remain small. It has been argued that, domestic policy measures have played an important role for developing countries to reap the benefits from CDM. For example, in the case of China, a significantly lower tax 32 is placed on revenues generated from the transfer of certified emission reductions (CERs) in renewable energy technologies, thereby encouraging more projects to go into these sectors. 30 Lewis, JI, Wiser, RH (2007), “Fostering a renewable energy technology industry: An international comparison of wind industry policy support mechanisms”, Energy Policy 35 (2007) 1844–1857 31 Sauter, R & Watson, J (2008), “Technology Leapfrogging: A Review of the Evidence”, DFID . 32 Order 37 Administrative measures for operation and management of CDM projects stipulates for example, the percentage of revenue allocation to the states as follows: 65% for HFC projects, 2% for renewable energy projects. Source: Ernst & Young(2009) China turns green on taxation 11 It is apparent that the processes involving access, transfer and deployment are developmental issues rather than merely technical issues. The case studies below illustrate the importance of at least three elements in renewable energy transfer and development: (1) the reforms of legal, regulatory and institutional frameworks to increase consistency and coordination in policy and operations of line ministries; (2) massive investment for largescale, systematic and long-term training, capacity-building, and RDD&D activities and the support of networks of domestic and international research institutions to improve local absorptive capacities, diffusion and deployment; and (3) the promotion of public-privateinternational partnership and collaboration to overcome the major parts of the technical and financial constraints. As will be demonstrated in the cases of India, Brazil and China, renewable energy development has benefited from various policy mechanisms, notably financial and tax incentives, favourable customs duties, export credit assistance, and public support for RD&D programmes 33 . Renewable energy projects and country case studies Many national projects and programmes on renewable energy technologies have been successful in attracting interest from donors. Yet significant challenges remain including, inter alia, resistance by vested interests such as incumbent utilities or suppliers of traditional or fossil fuel-based energy sources; lack of awareness of national or subnational institutions of local conditions and needs; failure to engage local communities on the grassroots level, lack of knowledge and understanding of available technologies on the part of local communities, lack of incentives for private sector investment and coordination between government policies that deal with rural development, electrification, renewables and poverty reduction. Arguably, renewable energy technology donor projects are more likely to succeed, if they are linked to (or are part of) other development projects. For example, in Malawi, Ethiopia and Uganda, the transfer of cooking stove technology has not only brought about improvement of basic living and health conditions (owing to improved indoor air quality and hygiene in the kitchen), commercial production has also been established successfully. The producer groups are mostly rural women, who have acquired production, marketing and other entrepreneurial skills from the projects and have benefited from this business opportunity. 34 AusAID 35 has identified the following success factors for renewable energy projects: • Economic viability, which initially may need government supports in lowering tariff and/or non-tariff barriers; • Linking energy technologies with social, economic and developmental aspects of a country; 33 Bell and Pavitt, 1993 M. Bell and K. Pavitt, Technological accumulation and industrial growth: contrasts between developed and developing countries, Industrial and Corporate Change 2 (1993), pp. 157–210. 34 GTZ Report, “Energising Development,” June 2009. “Power for the people: renewable energy in developing countries” A Summary of Discussion at the Renewable Energy Forum, Canberra, 18 October 2000, Hosted by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID). 35 12 • Affordability 36 ; • Appropriate technologies that suit the natural endowment of the country; • Reliability and sustainability, which involve training and capacity building for local community to maintain and service equipment. Box 2: Barefoot College: Bottom-Up approach to technology transfer and local empowerment • Founded in 1972 by Bunker Roy in the village of Tilonia in Rajasthan, India, Barefoot College was built “by the poor for the poor”. Roy was convinced that solutions to rural problems lay within the community: By giving the rural poor access to practical technology, Barefoot College demystified and put technology and in the hands of the villagers themselves. • The solar engineering programme provided training in the installation of PV solar systems, and in the wiring, installation, maintenance, and spare parts construction in off grid villages, targeting semi-literate and illiterate women from rural villages. The training programme led to the installation of 8700 solar units and manufacturing of 4100 solar lanterns without the help from urban professionals. More than 574 villages and 870 schools now had access to solar electricity. The programme received funding from the European Commission, Asian Development Bank (ADB), UNDP and the Indian Ministry of Non-Conventional Energy Sources. • • The Barefoot approach was replicated in 13 states in India and many developing countries in Asia and Africa. ADB, UNDP, Skoll Foundation, Foundation Ensemble (Together Foundation), Het Groene Woud (The Green Forest) and the Indian Technical and Economic Cooperation Division supported its replication in Ethiopia, Afghanistan, Bolivia, Bhutan, Cameroon, Gambia, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Rwanda, Sierra Leone and United Republic of Tanzania. A number of developing countries, in particular, Brazil, India, and China, have been successful in promoting the deployment of renewable energy technologies and also the development of indigenous capabilities. Some common elements underlying their success stories are: national development and energy strategies, large-scale and long-term infrastructure investment and financial supporting structures for technology transfer, development and deployment; reforms of legal and regulatory frameworks; large-scale and 36 For example, 20Watt access may provide affordable to a small, affordable power for 10-watt light bulbs, making a big improvement over candles, whereas 100 watts may be unaffordable for many poor people. 13 systematic training, capacity-building, and R&D activities; supports for commercialization and export promotion, and public-private-international partnership and collaboration. India The Government of India has pledged to provide electricity to all rural settlements under the national strategy “Mission 2012 – Power for all” under the auspices of the newly adopted Renewable Energy Plan 2012 and the Electricity Act of 2003. 37 The Plan, which provided basic electricity supplies to all villages by the end of 2007 and plans to supply electricity to all households by 2012, has relied on both small-scale and large-scale projects in its execution. For small-scale projects, the focus has been to improve remote village electrification and decentralized energy systems, such as family type biogas plants, improved chulha (cooking stove), solar street lighting system and home lantern, solar water heating systems, aero-generator/hybrid systems and solar photovoltaic pumps. For largescale projects, the major shift has been to privatize the electricity sector into generation, transmission and distribution companies. The government also plans to introduce additional regulations, such as quota regulation, preferential tariffs and preferential prices so as to increase the opportunity for growth in the use of renewable energy sources, and promote private sector participation and commercialization in the renewable energy sectors. Over the past 10 years, India has established itself as an important location for wind turbine manufacturing. 38 In 2005, Indian companies boasted a 62% of market share at home and had expanded abroad with a 6% global market share. 39 Indian manufacturers partially co-operated with foreign companies through joint-ventures or licensing agreements, and have increasingly focused on exports. The Indian manufacturer Suzlon is ranked amongst the top wind turbine manufacturer worldwide, followed by Enercon India and NEPC India that specialize in producing small wind turbines. In the small hydro turbine sector, India has a well developed network of producers and traders that provides the market with complete systems as well as manufacturing components and spare parts. The key to the Indian wind turbine success story can be attributed to the existence of a stable and sizable domestic market that allows Indian manufacturers to put to test their technology and manufacturing strategies and experiment with technology designs. 40 The Indian Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) established separate institutions that had responsibilities for policies, planning, research and development 41 , and 37 According to a draft by the government, it aims to • Achieve a 10% share (about 12 GW of installed capacity) of national power supply from renewable energy sources • Provide electricity to at least 4,500 rural settlements (25% of the 18,000 villages without electricity) on the basis of renewable energies • Install 5 million solar-powered lanterns and 2 million solar home systems. 38 Technical barriers to the development of wind energy has been the insufficiently developed grid, which renders feeding-in impossible in many locations. Grid overloading and repairs has been the cause for connected wind farms to stop at times of good wind power. 39 Lewis, JI, Wiser, RH (2007), “Fostering a renewable energy technology industry: An international comparison of wind industry policy support mechanisms”, Energy Policy 35 (2007) 1844–1857 40 ibid. Solar Energy Centre, National Institute of Renewable Energy and Centre for Wind Energy Technology (CWET 41 14 financing 42 . In addition, a financial institution was established to provide concessional financial support to the renewable energy sector, and a country-wide implementation network was created that consisted of state nodal departments, state nodal agencies, autonomous commercialization, NGOs, R&D institutions, financial institutions and private entrepreneurs. With regards to funding mechanisms, other financial and fiscal incentives have been provided by government subsidies, credits, soft loans and fiscal incentives, such as VAT exemption, reduced import duties, reduced income taxes. Other sources include Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) and the International Finance Corporation (IFC), private banks and micro-financing institutions. India was also amongst the first countries to benefit from CDM financing. Brazil In 2002, a law was passed to provide a framework for policies promoting renewable energy sources. The PROINFA (Programa de Incentivo às Fontes Alternativas de Energia Elétrica) was subsequently designed to promote the deployment of renewable energy technologies through incentives and subsidies. In Brazil, academic institutions have benefited from renewable energy capacitybuilding activities, strengthened through international cooperation. For example, the Federal University of Pernambuco, in partnership with a regional private energy supply company, has developed expertise in the area of solar radiation as well as in solar PV. Training activities for energy and finance experts have been assisted by German assistance programs through InWEnt and German Wind Energy Institute – DEWI). Brazil has also taken part in the international research project – the SolarPACES project (Solar Power and Chemical Energy Systems) through CEPEL (Centro de Pesquisas de Energia Elétrica). Funding for hydro, wind and ethanol projects come from various sources, nationally and internationally. The Brazilian Development Bank BNDES provides low-interest loans funds available for 12 years to cover up to 80% of the costs. The support from the USAID through the International Development Institute Winrock aims to promote the use, development of renewable energies in the north and north east regions. The concession fees, subsidy fund, and remuneration arrangement are covered partly by ANEEL, the federal government, the power supply companies through the PROINFA program. The government also places expectation through the sale of emissions certificates to be realized under the CDM. Brazil also hosts a large number of CDM projects, most of which in the area of renewable energy. China The Renewable Energy Law came into effect in China in 2005. The Law, with its implementing regulations, provides the policy framework for the renewable energy sector. According to the Medium and Long-Term Development Plan for Renewable Energy of 42 Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA 15 2007, these policies aim at establishing a “basic system of renewable energy technologies and industry” by the year 2010. Specific policy measures have been directed to promoting the growth in the area of wind energy. The past few years have witnessed the rise of a number of Chinese wind turbine manufactures, mostly Goldwind, Donfang, and Sinovel. They have followed similar paths in technological learning and development, through licensed production designed by German companies such as Repower and Fuhrländer, and joint research and development with Chinese research institutes and universities. Government policy support, in the form of research grants and subsidy and tax incentives have been important. Central to the rapid development of the Chinese wind sector, is the role of research institutes and universities, which work closely with the firms, often supported by policy measures that provide incentives for joint and collaborative projects. For example, under the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), the Energy Department of Shenyang Industry University successfully developed in 2005 an adjustable pitch and variable speed double feed turbine of 1 MW capacity commissioned by Goldwind. In 2006, a 1.5 MW version of the same turbine was developed and released in the market. 43 There are several research institutes at Tsinghua University, and the Academies of Science, Engineering and Social Studies which specialize in renewable energy technologies and related policies. Since the mid 1990s, China has had strong foreign involvement in the renewable energy sector through both private joint venture and bilateral and multilateral technical cooperation programmes. The project for capacity-building and rapid commercialization of renewable energy was conducted by the UNDP, assisted by the Global Environment Facility (GEF) funds and the Australian and Dutch governments. The scaling up programme for cost-effectiveness and removal of institutional and economic barriers for large-scale wind and biomass projects was carried out in cooperation with the World Bank/GEF. V. Policy considerations As seen in the case studies above, the effective diffusion and development of renewable energy technologies require strong policy initiatives, large investments in infrastructure, long-term commitment in R&D activities, and innovations tailored to local opportunities, capabilities and needs. 44 Thus, the challenges are of a multidimensional nature. At the local and national level, a national plan needs to be established focusing on specific conditions in upgrading science and technology capacity and connecting it to the manufacturing capacity. The key success factor is the importance of policy consistency between science and technology policy and those of other of the national development 43 He, Yulin, and Chen, Xinping. “ Wind turbine gernator systems. The supply chain in China: Status and problems“. Renewable Energy 34(2009) 2892 -2897. 44 Dominique Foray, “Technology Transfer in the TRIPS Age: The need for new types of partnerships between the least developed and most advanced economies, “ ICTSD Programme on IPRs and Sustainable Development, May 2009. 16 agenda. In order to promote renewable energy technologies within the national energy system, there is a need public support to R&D, removal of trade barriers, and effective capacity-building centres and networks for renewable energy technological innovation. The science and technology policies and measures that are needed to promote transfer and development of renewable energy technologies include: • Private sector development, which brings about private sector participation and upscale development progress. This can include establishment of business parks and innovation clusters (such as wind farms or industrial zones for solar cell production) to induce growth and commercialization. The link needs to be made with investment and trade policies to attract foreign direct investment (FDI). As illustrated by the experiences of Chinese and Indian turbine manufactures, licensing arrangements, FDI and joint ventures could be important channels for technology transfer and learning. • Supporting universities and public research centres, which are dedicated to renewable energy technologies. These institutes/centres can be publicly funded or through a mix of donor or public-private funding, and linked with global learning networks, including the Diaspora. A sound National Systems of Innovation (NSI) is a critical determinant for the success of technology transfer and development. • Providing incentives for R&D at firm level in private companies and supporting technology deployment in market niches. These include government subsidies, and other support measures such as tax credit for new power plants, targeted cheap credits or financial guarantees. • Government procurement. Government can encourage private firms to adopt renewable energy technologies by committing to an initial investment in the application of the new technology. In fact, prices will fall with growing demand and increasing return to scale so that it makes economically and commercially viable for private firms to adopt new technologies. This should ease the “carbon lock-in” of the current modes of production and consumption. 45 Other specific measures regarding standards, taxes, market incentives, price signals, labeling regulations, regulatory measures (including building codes, fuel efficiency standards and mandates for renewable energy use) need to be clear and predictable to promote the effective transfer and development of renewable energy technologies. Some of these measures include: • Portfolio Standard / Renewable Energy Quota Scenario (REQ)/ Mandatory Market Share (MMS): a minimum share obligation of renewable energy is imposed on electric utilities, for example 5 to 20 percent. 46 Renewable energy quotas and 45 Unruh GC and Carrillo-Hermosilla J (2006). Globalizing carbon lock-in. Energy Policy, 34 (14): 11851197. 46 “Assessing Policy Options for Increasing the Use of Renewable Energy for Sustainable Development: Modelling Energy Scenarios for Ghana” UN Energy Report 2006 and “Assessing Policy Options for Increasing the Use of Renewable Energy for Sustainable Development: Modelling Energy Scenarios for Sichuan, China” UN Energy Report 2007. 17 portfolio standards are normally set as a target within a timeframe and tied to a concession agreement. Such measures become increasingly popular due to the fact that renewable energy quotas and portfolio standards have resulted in some low-cost deployment of renewable energy, primarily on-shore wind energy. • Public Benefit Fund (PBF): a fund is created through a levy on electricity transmission, which can be used for partly funding investments in renewable energy technologies, normally up to one-third of the needed investment for wind and solar technologies for an enterprise. As seen in the case studies, the funds are normally administered at the national level. • CDM funding: an international promotion instrument under the Kyoto Protocol of the UNFCCC, which offers investors the possibility of earning carbon credits (CERs) if they undertake projects to deploy renewable energy technologies in developing countries thus reducing GHG emissions. This has been the main impetus for technology transfer in renewable energy for the past years. • Concession Programs, such as the wind concession program, used in China and Brazil, whereby private developers can auction wind rights with the lowest bid per kilowatt hour to win a geographic concession for a limited duration. This is also tied to the sale of certified (carbon) emission reductions (CERs) generated by renewables on the international market. 47 • Feed-in tariffs. The feed-in laws have been enacted in some 50 countries. It obliges utilities to purchase power generated from renewables at a certain price, with a per-kilowatt/hour premium, set by the regulatory authority and therefore offers producers of electricity from renewables at a guaranteed price for an agreed amount of electricity produced and fed-in. When well designed and implemented, feed-in tariffs provide a long-term price guarantee that reduces regulatory and market risk of renewable energy. The success lies in the question of resources and the grid-use arrangement by which producers may be required to contribute to the costs of grid development. A less costly system is the combination of feed in and quota systems, whereby only a ceiling amount of energy produced from renewable source is guaranteed under the feed-in arrangement. 48 The renewable energy instruments listed above are selected options that can lead to an increase in investments and effective deployment of renewable energy technologies. The questions of success and cost-effectiveness depend largely on the choice of option(s), which can be one or a combination of policy measures reinforcing each other, taking into account local specific conditions, the renewable resources that are available, and national framework for sustainable development. At the regional level, collaboration can take the form of research centres and networks of excellence for energy technologies, joint-ventures or bilateral projects. They provide venues for exchanges of knowledge and experiences in basic research, technical 47 See footnote 46. 48 See footnote 38. 18 demonstration, business skill trainings, financial techniques, policy and regulatory advice and support, market analysis to be adapted to local conditions and challenges. An example of collaborative institutional and infrastructure networks is the Trans-European energy networks (TEN-E) with aims to provide a stimulus for technology and capacity mapping among the European Union member States. TEN-E was created under the Strategic Energy Technology Plan (SET Plan) of the European Commission so that the EU institutions and Member States can work together in research, development and innovation to drive down the cost of existing energy technologies and bring about market development of technologies for the sustainable energy system. 49 At the global level, as the UN Secretary General has called for a transition to a “green economy” to address the current crises and transform the way in which the world produces and uses energy. It is a call for countries to adopt low carbon paths in their development goals. 50 Thus, international cooperation is indispensable and indeed vital in all fronts. At the technical front, international organizations continue to provide support for technical assistance in training, capacity-building, and strategic planning to promote new and renewable energy sources and technologies (see Annex 2). At the financial front, large-scale resource mobilization has been committed by the World Bank groups, the Global Environment Facility (GEF) Fund, the proposed New Deal Fund, the regional development banks and the international investor groups (REN21) to accelerate investments in technological changes, thereby mitigating climate change impacts and supporting economic diversification and creating employment opportunities. At the political front, it is necessary to address the unresolved issue of how to balance trade and IP regimes for technology transfer, processes and production methods. Measures such as subsidies, public funding, preferential loans, export credits guarantees, and local content requirements are and will continue to be used to support the transfer and development of these technologies. International efforts should actively promote NorthSouth and South-South cooperation in the development of renewable energy technologies. The World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD), inspired by the success of the open source software community, launched the Eco-Patent Commons 51 in January 2008, which contains patents for environmentally beneficial technologies donated by member companies which are freely available for open access on the WBCSD website. Similarly, there have been calls for a global technology patent pool which would significantly reduce the licensing costs, ensure timely technology transfer and its broader benefit for sustainable development. On the issue of intellectual property rights (IPRs), the latest Trade and Development Report 2009 of UNCTAD argues for the importance to strike a balance between IPRs and global public interest. The Report encourages applying the same kind of flexibility given to 49 http://ec.europa.eu/energy/infrastructure/tent_e/ten_e_en.htm, Decision No 1364/2006/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 6 September 2006 laying down guidelines for trans-European energy networks 50 http://www.viennaenergyconference.org/ 51 WIPO Magazine, “Sharing Technology to Meet a Common Challenge, Navigating proposals for patent pools, patent commons and open innovation,” April 2009. 19 pharmaceutical products in the TRIPS agreement to renewable energy technologies, namely, to grant compulsory licensing to climate change related patents (low carbon technologies). It has also been argued 52 that focus of the debate on IPR and technology transfer has been very much on access, without sufficient attention to the tacit aspects of knowledge, especially the “know-why”, which is often not described in patents. Access to and mastery of this knowledge is important to overcoming barriers to technology development and innovation. The importance of supporting local absorptive and innovative capabilities should be emphasized. Intergovernmental fora such as the CSTD could provide a platform for the sharing of good practice examples and promoting North-South, and South-South partnerships. For example, an in-depth study of projects such as the Barefoot College of India might provide useful insights for strategies in promoting renewable energy technologies for development, as well as promoting South-South cooperation. VI. Issues for discussion Science, technology and innovation in general, and renewable energy technologies in particular can play a vital role for the achievement of the MDGs and other internationally agreed development goals. To reap their benefits, concerted efforts are needed at the local, national, regional and international levels. Yet, in most countries, renewable energy policy is the mainstay of environment ministries, and overall energy policy is the responsibility of energy or economy ministries. Energy planners and economic planners in most developed countries use sophisticated tools and processes to determine the optimal energy mix and expansion plan for their countries’ energy system, taking into account their countries’ unique economic, environmental and social aspects. Similarly, optimal mixes of policy instruments have been designed and “tested” by trial-and-error, sometimes at rather large costs, and especially in relation to renewable energy technologies. Officials in environment and energy ministries would also agree that technology and innovation were central to an efficient energy system that promotes economic growth, development, and mitigates environmental impacts. Against this background, it is surprising, how rarely science, technology and innovation policies enter the debate about renewable energy, especially in developing countries. The examples presented in the paper provide a glimpse of the magnitude of the potential development benefits that might arise from the recognition of the centrality of science, technology and innovation policies also in the area of renewable energy technologies. In this context, CSTD experts are encouraged to consider all the issues raised in this paper and discuss in particular the following questions: 1. Role of S&T ministries in the debate on renewable energy: o With energy/economic planners in charge of energy strategies and energy mix, and environmental officers in charge of renewable energy, what should 52 Ockwell David et al. (2009), “Low Carbon Development: The Role of Local Innovative Capabilities” 20 be the role of science and technology ministries in the debate on energy and renewable policy in developing countries? 2. Contribution of renewable energy technology regimes to the MDGs: o Can we identify particular renewable energy technology regimes that are ideally suited to promote development and contribute to the achievement of the MDGs? How does the link work? What recommendations (if any) could be made to policy makers? 3. Inter-ministerial coordination and policy coherence: In order to ensure policy coherence, there appears to be a need for an inter-ministerial group or other coordination mechanism to encourage the transfer and development of renewable energy technologies, which besides the S&T ministries might include energy, environment, and trade ministries, energy planning groups, investment promotion agencies, IP organizations, and research institutions. o What is the experience with such comprehensive coordination in your country? Has it been effective or not and why? o Is a formal or informal arrangement preferred? 4. Building on good practices in developing Asia: Many of the good practice examples in Asia have typically followed comprehensive, interdisciplinary and phased policies that were geared to ultimately develop their countries’ own science and technology capacity and development of renewable energy technologies. o Is such experience applicable to developing countries in other regions? Why? o Should national or local governments promote business and innovation parks? How comprehensive should such an approach be? o How important is R&D on renewable energy technologies in developing countries? Do developing countries need to promote research on technologies tailored to poor countries and particular climatic conditions? What are the key considerations? o Should the CSTD be encouraged to recommend broad guidelines for consideration by governments for such an approach? 21 VII. Selected References Foray, Dominique. “Technology Transfer in the TRIPS Age: The need for new types of partnerships between the least developed and most advanced economies, “ ICTSD Programme on IPRs and Sustainable Development, May 2009. GTZ, “Energy-policy Framework Conditions for Electricity Markets and Renewable Energies 23 Country Analyses” Eschborn, September 2007. GTZ, Technical and Economic Potential of Wind Powered Water Desalination, January 2009 IAEA 12th Scientific Forum, Energy for Development, Vienna International Centre, 15-16 September 2009. IEA Statistics, Renewables Information, 2009. IEA: Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries, 2008 Miyazaki, Masahiro, NEDO Report: “Renewable energy issues: NEDO’s experience in South-East Asia” New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization, Japan (NEDO). Ockwell, Ely, Mallett, Johnson and Watson, “Low Carbon Development: The Role of Local Innovative Capabilities,” Economic&Social Research Council, 2009. “Power for the people: renewable energy in developing countries” A Summary of Discussion at the Renewable Energy Forum, Canberra, 18 October 2000, Hosted by the Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID). REN21, “Renewable Global Status Report: Energy Transformation Continues Despite Economic Slowdown”. REN21 Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century, Renewables Global Status Report 2009 Update, www.ren21.net/globalstatusrepot/g2009.asp Riso DTU, “Network Regulation and Support Schemes - How Policy Interactions Affect the Integration of Distributed Generation,” 10 October 2009. Schock, Robert N., “Energy Technologies for the 21st Century—The Roles of Renewable Energy”, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, University of California, Livermore CA 94551 UN General Assembly, Sixty-fourth session, Sustainable development: Promotion of new and renewable sources of energy, 10 August 2009. UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report 2009. Wald, Matthew, Scientific American, March 2009, pages 50-55; World Economic and Social Survey 2009, Promoting Development, Saving the Planet, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, 2009. 22 Wytze van der Gaast and Katherine Begg, EU funded ENTTRANS Report, „Enhancing the Role of the CDM in Accelerating Low-Carbon Technology Transfers to Developing Countries”. UN ESCAP, “An Innovative Approach to Municipal Solid Waste Management in Least Developed and Low-Income Developing Countries,” Regional Seminar & Study Visit on Community-based Solid Waste Management, December 2007. UNEP, Global Trends in Sustainable Energy Investment 2009.u WIPO Magazine, “Sharing Technology to Meet a Common Challenge, Navigating proposals for patent pools, patent commons and open innovation,” April 2009 23 Annex 1. An Overview of Alternative/New Renewable Energy Technologies (a) Generating Electric Power. “No technology provides a one-size-fit-all” solution, but a combination can create a robust energy supply. Technologies Hydropower Status/Price Advantages Drawbacks Hydro-generated electricity currently center around 2 cents/kWh, but are estimated to be as high as 10 cents/kWh for some systems (Johansson et al., 2004). A mature technology, easily dispatchable. Large (10-MW) hydroelectricity systems account for 25 EJ/yr of global energy (BP, 2004), providing 17% of global electricity and avoiding releasing 0.6 GtC/yr of carbon into the atmosphere compared to the same amount of coal-fired power generation. It is currently burdened with environmental (river and stream aquatic life) and social (displacement of populations) issues. Also, the issue of intermittency has surfaced in Brazil during a period of prolonged drought in a region used to relying on significant rainfall and in California during periods of low mountain snowfall and subsequent runoff. SolarThermal Energy radiating from the sun has enormous potential for heat and electricity production. Utilizing solar photons to create free electrons in a photovoltaic The technical potential is three times present use today. May be the most amenable to storage of renewables. Investment cost is still very high. Needs flat land; best resources may be distant from existing transmission; disturbs pristine desert 24 Policies direction on S&T, Investment, and R&D Hydropower projects under construction will increase the electricity share by about 13 percent for a total electricity share of just under 20 percent (World Energy Council, 2004a). About 25 percent of water reservoirs in the world have associated generation facilities, but many more irrigation and urban water supply schemes could add hydropower generation. BP estimates there is the capability to produce 60 EJ of energy from large hydropower systems (BP, 2004). Policy consideration to combine power from a thermal generation facility or a wind farm is useful to pump water up to a reservoir in off-peak hours, to be converted back into electricity during periods of peak demand with the pump acting as a turbine. Not to be overlooked is the potential of passive solar power. Buildings can be designed to use efficient solar collection for passive space heating, heating water, and cooling using absorption chillers or desiccant Applications and Potential impacts on Development Small hydropower systems (<10 MW) have provided electricity to many rural communities in developing countries, such as Nepal, but in total generate only slightly less than 1 EJ/yr of power (World Energy Council, 2004a). Particularly increased in several Asian and African countries. High-temperature, solarconcentrated thermal power (CSP) generating plants are best sited in areas with high direct solar radiation, usually at lower latitudes. In these areas, one square kilometer of land is enough system today produces over 1 GWe. Solar thermal production of electricity using radiation heating produces slightly less than half that amount. Trough systems are commercial; power towers have been demonstrated. 19.9 – 28.1 cent/kWh (through trough). SolarPhotovoltaic At present, solar photons creating free electrons in a photovoltaic system produces over 1 GWe. Commercial modules are up to 18% efficiency and generate electricity in high sunshine regions, but competitive in grid applications only when demanded by quota or heavily subsidized. Can be developed in electrically congested urban areas, where it saves not only the cost of generation but also the cost of laying new distribution lines; peak production matches peak load fairly well; no need for cooling water. environments; may require cooling water, which is hard to find in deserts, the sunniest areas. regeneration (U.S. Climate Change Technology Program, 2003). In a typical mid-latitude temperate region, 30 percent of energy use is for space and water heating and is often around 50 percent of total building energy use with cooking and appliances making up the balance (World Energy Council, 2004a). to generate 125 GWh/yr from a 50-MW plant (Philibert, 2004). Thus, about 1 percent of the world’s desert areas could theoretically be sufficient to meet the world’s electricity demand. The CSP plants are categorized as parabolic trough-shaped mirror reflectors, central tower receivers using heliostats, or parabolic dishshaped reflectors. Nine California power plants, connected to the Southern California grid during the period 1984–1991 have sizes in the range from 14 to 80 MW, with over 2 million square meters of parabolic troughs. Electricity from these sources at the buss bar costs 18 cents/kWh (EPRI, 2005). Many other planned plants in Spain, Morocco, Algeria, Egypt, and Israel. Production is very small, thus makes the investment not very affordable. Experimental photovoltaic cells have laboratory efficiencies up to 37 percent (U.S.Climate Change Technology Program, 2003). Work on reducing the cost of manufacturing, developing new materials such as quantum dots and nanostructures, and using low-cost polymer materials, will allow this resource to be more fully exploited. Commercial thin-film cells have efficiency in the range of 4–8 percent, but commercial efficiencies of 10 percent seem 70% increase in solar PV, grid connected; fastest growing power generation technology; increased especially in Spain, Germany and US. 25 46.9-70.5 cents/kWh (though U.S. Climate Change Tech Prog, 2003 indicates the cost of electricity generated by SP to be between 20-32 cents/kWh). Oceans The ocean resource involves capturing the energy in wind-driven waves, ocean currents, the tides, or the temperature difference between warm surface water in tropical and sub-tropical latitudes and the colder water at depths of 1,000 meters or greater. The economically exploitable resource in deep-water waves using current device designs is estimated to be as great as 7 EJ/yr (World Energy Council, 2004a), while the theoretical potential is in the millions of EJ. Costs of power from tidal fluctuations range from 8–15 cents/kWh (Johansson et al., 2004). Transmission lines are usually short. Building durable structures in areas of strong surf is expensive. One issue to be overcome in utilizing ocean resources for power is competition over rights to the use of the water (for example, fishing and recreation). 26 within reach during the next several years (RISØ, 2002). Costs of photovoltaic cell-produced power in the United States range from 45–76 cents/kWh (EPRI, 2005), although Johansson et al. (2004) quote figures as low as 25 cents/kWh worldwide. Many wave devices are still in the R&D stage with only a small number of devices tested or deployed in the sea. Extracting electrical energy from tidal currents is estimated to yield in excess of 10 TWh/yr (0.4 EJ/yr) in each major estuary with large tidal fluctuations like the Bay of Fundy or the Solway Firth (World Energy Council, 2004a). Ocean thermal energy conversion is still in the research stage and it is too early to estimate the energy that might be recovered from this potential resource. Ocean current devices have been demonstrated off the coast of England. From a theoretical standpoint, ocean currents offer an immense source of renewable energy. From preliminary investigations for the Agulhas current off the coast of South Africa—the swiftest sea current in the world—it was estimated that on a 100-meter-deep seabed, a 1-km stretch of permanent turbines would produce 100 MW (Nel, 2003). The initial application will likely be replacing expensive power from diesel generators in tropical island nations. Wind A mature technology; commercial; growing rapidly. At present, a little over 0.5 EJ/yr of wind energy is captured globally using 40 GW of installed wind turbines (World Energy Council, 2004a). This has increased from 2.3 GW of capacity in 1991 since new wind installations have been growing at an average of 25 percent/yr. Price estimate is between 6.18.4 cents/kWh (but transmission can push those amounts higher). Offers greatest energy-producing potential; no need for cooling water. Production correlates poorly with load; some object to the appearance and sound of the machines and transmission towers; threats to some birds and bats; may interfere with aerial surveillance radars; best sites are not near population centers. Geother mal Commercial but small. The present installed capacity of plants to convert geothermal heat to generate electricity is over 8,000 MWe with an average production of 0.5 EJ/yr and a capacity factor averaging 70 percent (World Energy Council, 2004a). Over 10,000 MWe of proven resources are not yet utilized and it has been estimated that over 1,000 TWh/yr of Supply is reliable enough to be used for base-load power. There are some growing concerns relating to land subsidence and the long-term sustainability of a project if fluid and/or heat are extracted faster than it can be naturally replenished (Bromley and Currie, 2003). The stream from underground water can have nasty components, which will rot heat 27 The largest size of wind turbines is now approaching 5 MW with rotor diameters of 125 meters. The average turbine size is currently 1.6–2 MW. Higher mean annual wind speeds experienced offshore have led to the development of offshore wind farms that have the advantage of less public impact. Current capital costs for landbased wind turbine farms are about $900 per installed kW and power is generated at 3–4 cents/kWh on good sites. Based on a learning rate experience of 15 percent cost reduction per doubling of installed capacity in Denmark since 1985, the cost of wind power should be 2.4–3.0 cents/kWh by 2010 (Morthorst, 2004). Several technologies are available to enhance the use of geothermal heat including combined cycle for steam resources, trilateral cycles for binary total-flow resources, and absorption–regeneration cycles (World Energy Council, 2004a). It is expected that improvements in characterizing underground reservoirs, low-cost drilling techniques, more efficient conversion systems, and utilization of deeper reservoirs, will improve the use of geothermal energy. Issues for technical improvement are low electrical conversion efficiencies and the release of Onshore wind: increased especially in the US, Germany, China, India; Offshore wind: reached almost 1.5 GW; mostly applied in Europe. Wind power is currently delivered to the buss bar at 4.5 to 6.5 cents/kWh in the United States (EPRI, 2005). The European Wind Energy Association recently published a target of 75 GW (168 TWh) for the EU-15 countries in 2010 and 180 GW (425 TWh) in 2020 (EWEA, 2004). The global wind energy resource is capable of several times the current total global demand for electricity. Fast growing in the US, as well as in several (76) developing countries. Geothermal heat is also used directly to provide industrial process heat and domestic water and space heating, most notably in Iceland and New Zealand where the hydrothermal resource is abundant. Biomass electricity could be produced (World Energy Council, 2004a). Present cost estimate is between 6.27.6 cents/kWh. In the United States, costs of geothermal electric power are in the range of 5–6 cents/kWh at the buss bar (EPRI, 2005) and Johansson et al. (2004) quote figures worldwide as low as 2 cents/kWh. Biomass sources include forest, agricultural, and livestock residues, short rotation forest plantations, specialist energy crops, municipal solid waste, and other organic waste streams. These are used as feedstock to produce solid fuels (chips, pellets, briquettes, logs), liquid fuels (biodiesel, bioethanol), and gaseous fuels (biogas, synthesis gas, hydrogen) (Sims, 2004). These fuels can then be converted via numerous routes to electricity, heat, Modern biomass energy utilizes market forces to fully use what in the past would have been discarded as waste. Over 130 million tonnes of municipal solid waste, including plastics, are combusted annually, but much more is deposited in landfills, which in turn creates large amounts of methane. Municipalsolid-waste combustion or gasification is preferred if emissions can be minimized. Industry makes exchangers and, if released, pollute the air, location is at the whim of nature and often not convenient to existing power lines. gases to the atmosphere. Japan is testing ground-source heat pumps to increase conversion efficiencies. Developing countries consume a large but inefficient volume of low-grade traditional biomass in the form of firewood, dung, and charcoal (amounting to as much as 14 percent of global primary energy use) for heating and cooking (World Energy Council, 2004a). Other issues arise around sustainable management (can it actually be achieved?), conversion efficiencies (typically much lower than This area holds significant promise for technical improvement, in step with general advances in biotechnology. Research on artificial enzymes to hydrolyse biomass, on fermentation organisms to remove contaminants from synthesis gas, and produce cost-effective methods of drying, compacting, and transporting lowenergy-density biomass residues is needed to take greater advantage of this resource. In addition, cutting edge research on imitating natural designs (biomimesis) for processes such as artificial photosynthesis or photon-induced decomposition of water hold great promise. 28 Growth at large and small scale in the European Union countries and several developing countries. Cofiring of biomass with coal or gas and co-generation through combustion to generate useful heat and power are promising commercial options. Progress has been remarkable (Johansson et al., 2004) and Sweden now obtains 25 percent of its energy supply from biomass (forestry waste for domestic and district heating) and expects to raise this to 40 percent by 2020. transport fuels, chemicals, and materials. Available global annual biomass residues are estimated to contain around 100 EJ of energy including 6 EJ/yr from municipal solid waste (World Energy Council, 2004a). Present costs of delivered electricity range between 3–12 cents/kWh, costs for heat between 1–6 cents/kWh, and $8– 25/GJ for liquid fuel, all of which at the low end are competitive today. substantial use of biomass residues such as bark, reject logs, and black liquor in pulp and paper mills. Biochemical technologies can convert cellulose to sugars and glycerides, which in turn can be converted to bioethanol, biodiesel, hydrogen, and chemical intermediates in biorefineries. (b) Storing and Delivering Renewable Power Technologies Status/Price Automotive Batteries GM plans to market a plug-in hybrid in 2010. Ford, in 5 years. $300 per usable kW-hour of storage for a battery that would run a car for 40 miles (ie 3 miles per kW-hour). Stationary Batteries A Vancouver-based company, VRB Power Systems, sells “flow batteries,” with tanks to hold hundreds of gallons of fossil-fuel conversion), delivery costs from source to market, soil erosion from agricultural practices, and the use of chemical fertilizers. Advantages Drawbacks This lithium-ion battery will endure 15 years and 5,000 charge cycle, far more than the familiar lithium ions in today’s consumer devices. The round trip efficiency is 65-75 percent- meaning the battery loses 25- Might not give a reliable, continuous energy especially for high speed car. This system would raise the price of the solar kW-hour by 50 percent or more. 29 Policies direction on S&T, Investment, and R&D Applications and potential impacts on Development Lead acid and sodiumsulfur batteries are used by the high-tech industry to provide electrolytes. In one direction, the system absorbs energy; in the other, it gives it back, in megawatt-hour quantities. It costs $500-$600 to store a kWhour. Fuel Cells Electricity from any source, such as solar, wind and even coal, can be used to break up water molecules into their hydrogen and oxygen components in a device called an electrolyzer. The hydrogen can then be run through a fuel cell to make electricity. Compressed Air The Alabama Energy Cooperative opened a compressed-air energy storage plant in 1991, using coal plants that ordinarily would be idle at night, to pump air into a hallowed-out salt dome at a pressure of more than 1,000 pounds per square inch. When extra power is needed in daytime, compressed air is inserted into a combustion turbine fired by natural gas. Electricity transmission Only about 100 scattered installations of wind and solar in existence at the moment. For more efficient grid, it would 35 percent of the electricity put into it. intermittent power and avoid any loss of power or power quality in the time between grid disruption and backup generator startup. They have a capital cost in the thousands of dollars per kW of capacity, and the round-trip efficiency through the electrolyzer to the fuel cell and then back into current is less than 50 percent- meaning that for every two kilowatt-hours put in the bank, only one comes back out again. Ordinarily the turbine compresses its own air, and the most efficient generator today requires 6,000 British thermal units (Btu) of natural gas to produce a kilowatthour. Compressed air storage, in contrast, cuts natural gas use by one third. This is a solution to handle bulk power transfers over huge distances. It is a Technologies that hold promise are flywheels made with high-tech materials (Sglass, Kevlar, carbon fiber) and with advanced bearings, reversible fuel cells, and hydrogen storage, among others. Compressed gas is used in many places today to provide energy and heat storage. Lacking a national commitment to integrating the electricity system on a continental scale and about 30 Solar collectors with fast growing development especially in China, need 19,000 miles of transmission, with 130-foot towers, at $2.6 million a mile. Ice Storage Ice Energy, a company based in California, sells equipment that yields 500-gallon blocks of ice at night, in building basements. Making ice at night is easier than doing so during the day, because the temperature of the outdoor air, to which the compressor must release the heat, is generally lower than it is earlier in the day. new high-voltage “backbone,” akin to an interstate highway system for the grid. Voltage would be pushed up to 765,000 volts to reduce line losses. No new technology required. It can be used to combine with wind power to produce power at night and use it during the daytime. $60 billion to pay for it. Germany, Spain, Turkey, Japan, Israel and Brazil. Policy consideration to combine with requirements for energy efficiency in public buildings and new building construction projects Ice is used to cool building during the day, ideal for building in tropical countries. (c) Renewable Transportation Fuels Three main pathways exist for making liquid transportation fuels from renewables. The first is simply to burn plant oils, most often soy or palm, in diesel engines. In the U.S., to be legal the oil must be converted to a chemical form called an ester. The process is simple, but the scale is limited, and the entire enterprise is caught up in the food-versus-fuel debate. Equally simple is to let yeast digest sugars and produce alcohol, but that, likewise, is limited in scale and puts the corner filling station in competition with the supermarket for the output of the field. Tremendous volumes of sugars, however, are tied up in non-food crops and in the no edible part of plants that are grown as food, such as wheat straw and corn stalks. The cellulose material contains conventional six-carbon sugars as well as five-carbon sugars, which ordinary yeast does not like. 31 To unlock these sugars for the third pathway, some pilot-scale plants use steam or acids, or a combination. Another option is enzymes from gene-altered bacteria or fungi. To convert the sugars to liquid fuel, some use catalytic processes, and others turn to yeasts, often genetically altered as well. Some simply break down cellulosic material into a fuel gas of carbon monoxide and hydrogen, then re-form that into hydrocarbon molecules, such as ethanol, other alcohols or other liquids. Feedstocks include forest detritus, such as chips, bark and pinecones; paper and plastics from household garbage; and agricultural wastes. Although all these methods have been shown to work on a lab or pilot scale, successful commercial operation remains elusive. Incentives and quotas are spurring many efforts, however. STATUS: Struggling toward commercial operation PRICE: Not established; the target is uncertain because gasoline and diesel prices are so volatile. ADVANTAGES: Some biofuels are low-or zero-carbon; reduces reliance on overseas oil. DRAWBACKS: Some fuels put pressure on food prices; production of biofuels from corn requires copious amounts of fossil fuels, so total energy and carbon advantages are small; most biofuels are less energy-dense than gasoline, yielding fewer miles per gallon. APPLICATIONS AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS ON DEVELOPMENT: Ethanol has high growth especially in Brazil and the US, while biodiesel is mainly produced in the European Union (about two-thirds) Source: Wald, Matthew, Scientific American, March 2009, pages 50-55; Schock, Robert N., “Energy Technologies for the 21st Century—The Roles of Renewable Energy”, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, University of California, Livermore CA 94551; and REN21, 2009. 32 Annex 2 International discussions and collaborations 53 : There exist a large number of programmes and initiatives within the United Nations system aimed at promoting the development and deployment of renewable energy technologies. These include: Agenda 21, of which the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA) has been responsible for its implementation. Agenda 21 focuses on energy, environment and social development and to furthering the development and use of new and renewable sources of energy, promoting efficiency of energy use as well as enhancing energy exploration and development in developing countries and developing national capacity for energy project evaluation and analysis of energy technologies. The United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE) programmes aim at (a) the transition to a more sustainable path for the production and use of energy; and (b) the fuller integration of the energy economies and energy infrastructures of countries in the region. Activities include emphasis on the development and implementation of sustainable energy policies and strategies; the improvements in energy efficiency, especially in economies in transition; the efficient extraction, transport and use of natural gas; the implementation of environmentally- sound technologies; and the further interconnection of electric power infrastructures. Increased emphasis is being now given to energy-related environmental issues, in particular with respect to the use of coal, as well as to increasing the use of new and renewable energy sources. The ECE activities are reviewed annually by the ECE Committee on Sustainable Energy. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA) programmes are directed at: 1) upgrading energy use efficiency; (2) promoting the use of cleaner fuels and technologies; (3) promoting a cost effective mix of fossil and renewable energy sources; and (4) mitigating to the maximum possible the environmental impacts of the energy sector. The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) programmes focus on the access to adequate, reliable and affordable energy and play a catalytic role in the promotion of regional cooperation in the field of energy in partnership with other sub-regional energy agencies , such as the ASEAN Energy Centre, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation and the (Pacific) Forum secretariat. The United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) provides advisory services to member states on energy and sustainable development matters; in particular for a) strengthening the capacity of national institutions in energy policies; b) providing technical support to develop national capacity for energy project evaluation and economic regulations; c) preparing sector studies on 53 Briefing Paper on Energy Activities of the United Nations by the Ad Hoc Inter-Agency Task Force on Energy, 2001. 33 energy panorama and perspectives for the specific country or the Region; and d) organizing regional and interregional seminars on energy development & planning. UNDP provides advice on integrated strategies that are required to “get energy right”. UNDP’s experience in integrated development solutions enables it to address the multiple social, economic and environmental aspects of sustainable energy approaches. UNEP’s strengths in the energy field is the UNEP Collaborating Centre on Energy and Environment (UCCEE). Created in 1990, the Centre’s international group of scientists, engineers, and economists provides technical and analytical support to UNEP and partners in developing countries. UNESCO oversees the World Solar Programme 1996-2005 which implements a plan of promoting information, research, education and training activities geared to facilitating the wider use of renewable energy sources and technologies adapted to improve living conditions and promote sustainable development. UNIDO focuses on improving accessibility of energy, which includes finding ways and means by which energy can be delivered reliably, affordably and in an environmentally sound and socially acceptable manner. UNIDO’s Energy Program Expert advice, including knowledge-based assistance in the forms of: training, dissemination of information, technology transfer, including through networking and partnership, procurement and contracting, energy audits, and demonstration projects The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) focuses on the issues of climate change, emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) such as carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and the chlorofluorocarbons, resulting from important human activities, are changing the composition of the atmosphere which will cause the earth’s climate to change and to reduce GHG emissions. In 1997, the Kyoto Protocol to the Convention was adopted by consensus. Other programs are undertaken by WHO, WMO, UNFPA, FAO, IAEA, GEF and the World Bank. 34
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