14 June 2013 Japan Meteorological Agency Monthly Highlights on the Climate System (May 2013) Highlights in May 2013 - Monthly precipitation amounts were significantly below normal and monthly sunshine durations were significantly above normal in eastern and western Japan. - Monthly mean temperatures were extremely low in western Europe and monthly precipitation amounts were extremely heavy from eastern to western Europe. - A ridge and trough were seen to the west and east of Japan, respectively. A blocking ridge developed around the Kamchatka Peninsula. - Convective activity was enhanced over the North Indian Ocean and south of Indonesia, and was suppressed around the equatorial date line region. - In the equatorial Pacific, remarkably negative SST anomalies were seen in the eastern part. Climate in Japan: Monthly precipitation amounts were significantly below normal and monthly sunshine durations were significantly above normal in eastern and western Japan (Fig. 1) due to frequent passage of high pressure systems. Meanwhile, monthly sunshine duration was significantly below normal on the Sea of Japan side of northern Japan by the influence of cold air and cyclones. World Climate: The monthly anomaly of the global average surface temperature in May 2013 (i.e., the combined average of the near-surface air temperature over land and the SST) was +0.20 °C (4th warmest since 1891) (preliminary value) (Fig. 2). On a longer time scale, global average surface temperatures have risen at a rate of about 0.68°C per century in May (preliminary value). Extreme climate events were as follows (Fig. 3). - Monthly mean temperatures were extremely high from northern Europe to northern Africa. - Monthly mean temperatures were extremely low in western Europe and monthly precipitation amounts were extremely heavy from eastern to western Europe. - Monthly precipitation amounts were extremely heavy in the central USA. Extratropics: In the 500-hPa height field, wave trains were observed along the polar-front jet stream (Fig. 5) from the Atlantic to Eurasia (Fig. 4). In association, the jet stream shifted southward of its normal position in western Europe, bringing lower-than-normal temperatures, and shifted northward of its normal position in western Russia, bringing higher-than-normal temperatures. A ridge was seen over East Asia, and a trough was seen to the east of Japan. A blocking ridge developed around the Kamchatka Peninsula. Tropics: Convective activity was enhanced over the North Indian Ocean and south of Indonesia, and was suppressed around the equatorial date line region (Fig. 6). The active phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation propagated eastward from the Indian Ocean to the western Pacific in the first half of the month (Fig. 7). In the equatorial lower troposphere, westerly and easterly wind anomalies were seen from the Indian Ocean to the Maritime Continent and over the Pacific, respectively (Fig. 7). In the upper troposphere, wave trains were observed along the subtropical jet stream over southern Eurasia with anticyclonic circulation anomalies over northwestern India (Fig. 8). The Southern Oscillation Index value was +1.0 (Fig. 10). Oceanographic Conditions: In the equatorial Pacific, remarkably negative SST anomalies were seen in the eastern part. The monthly mean SST anomaly and the SST deviation from the latest sliding 30-year mean in the NINO.3 region were both -0.8°C. In the North Pacific, remarkably positive SST anomalies were seen south of Alaska, from near Hawaii to around 15˚N, 175˚W and from the South China Sea to the east of the Philippines. Remarkably negative SST anomalies were seen south of Japan. In the Indian Ocean, negative SST anomalies were seen west of 85˚E mostly and positive SST anomalies were seen east of 85˚E in the equatorial area. Remarkably negative SST anomalies were seen near the northeastern coast of Madagascar, remarkably positive SST anomalies were seen from near the northwestern coast of Australia to south of Sumatra. In the North Atlantic, remarkably negative anomalies were seen from around 20˚N, 60˚W to around 35˚N, 40˚W, surrounded by the remarkably positive SST anomalies seen from near the western coast of North Africa to around 15˚N, 45˚W and from near the eastern coast of the USA to south of Greenland. 1 14 June 2013 Japan Meteorological Agency Fig. 1 Monthly climate anomaly / ratio over Japan (May 2013) Top: temperature anomalies (degree C) Middle: precipitation ratio (%) Bottom: sunshine duration ratio (%) Anomalies are defined as the deviations from the normal (1981-2010 average). Fig. 2 Long-term change in monthly anomalies of global average surface temperature in May The thin black line indicates anomalies of the surface temperature in each year. The blue line indicates five-year running mean, and the red line indicates a long-term linear trend. Anomalies are deviations from the 1981-2010 average. Fig. 3 Distribution of extreme climate events (May 2013) 2 14 June 2013 Japan Meteorological Agency Fig. 5 Monthly mean 200-hPa wind speed and vectors in the Northern Hemisphere (May 2013) Fig. 4 Monthly mean 500-hPa height and anomaly in the Northern Hemisphere (May 2013) The contours show heights at intervals of 60 m. The shading indicates height anomalies. The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. Fig. 6 The black lines show wind speeds at intervals of 10 m/s. The dark blue shading shows values greater than 20 m/s. The green lines show normal wind speeds at intervals of 20 m/s. The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. Monthly mean Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) anomaly (May 2013) The contour interval is 10 W/m2. The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. Original data provided by NOAA. Fig. 7 Time-Longitude cross section (5°N-5°S) of five-day mean 200-hPa velocity potential anomaly (left) and 850-hPa zonal wind anomaly (right) (December 2012 - May 2013) The contour intervals are 2x106 m2/s (left) and 2 m/s (right). The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. 3 14 June 2013 Fig. 8 Japan Meteorological Agency Monthly mean 200-hPa stream function and anomaly (May 2013) The contour interval is 10x106 m2/s. The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. Fig. 9 Monthly mean sea surface temperature anomaly (May 2013) The contour interval is 0.5 degree C. The base period for the normal is 1981-2010. Maximum coverage with sea ice is shaded in gray. Fig. 10 Time series of monthly mean SST departure (degree C) from the reference value defined as the immediate past 30-year mean SST averaged over the NINO.3 region (upper). Time series of the Southern Oscillation Index with respect to the 1981-2010 base period (lower). Thin blue lines represent monthly means and thick blue lines five-month running means. Periods of El Niño and La Niña events are shown as red-colored and blue-colored boxes, respectively. Detailed information on the climate system is available on the Tokyo Climate Center's website. http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/index.html This report is prepared by the Climate Prediction Division, Global Environment and Marine Department, Japan Meteorological Agency. 4
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