BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 www.elsevier.com/locate/biocon Grouping and prioritization of vascular plant species for conservation: combining natural rarity and management need Meelis Pärtel *, Rein Kalamees, Ülle Reier, Eva-Liis Tuvi, Elle Roosaluste, Ain Vellak, Martin Zobel Institute of Botany and Ecology, University of Tartu, Lai 40, Tartu 51005, Estonia Received 1 April 2004 Abstract National and International Red Lists and Legal Acts specify species with conservation needs, mainly on the basis of personal experiences. For effective conservation we need scientifically justified prioritization and grouping of these species. We propose a new combined approach where species are grouped according to the similar activities needed for their conservation. We used the national list of vascular plant species with conservation need for Estonia (301 species), and linked these species to eight qualitative conservation characteristics, four reflecting natural causes of rarity (restricted global distribution; restricted local distribution within a country; always small populations; very rare habitat type), and four connected with nature management (species needing the management of semi-natural grasslands; species needing local disturbances like forest fires; species needing traditional extensive agriculture; species which may be threatened by collecting). Only one positive association occurred among the characteristics – between restricted local distribution and small size of populations. Thus, natural causes of rarity and management aspects are not overlapping, and both should be used in conservation activities. Species grouping by different conservation characteristics allows one to focus on species groups with similar conservation needs instead of individual species. Prioritization of species with conservation needs can be based on the number of conservation characteristics that are associated with a particular species. Our prioritization did not correlate with the categories of the national Red Data Book, but a positive association was found with legal protection categories. The legislation, however, covers only the natural causes of rarity. We propose a new combined approach for plant speciesÕ conservation planning that starts by considering human induced rarity and progresses through to natural rarity causes. 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Conservation; Human influence; Protected species; Rarity; Red Data Book; Threatened species 1. Introduction There is now a growing worldwide concern about the status of biodiversity. The IUCN Red List is being developed as one of the tools that helps to organize biodiversity conservation (Lamoreux et al., 2003). In recent years, Red Lists have enjoyed an increasingly prominent role in guiding national conservation activities (Gärdenfors, 2001). In Europe, there are also lists of species * Corresponding author. Tel.: +372 737 6234; fax: +372 737 6222. E-mail address: [email protected] (M. Pärtel). 0006-3207/$ - see front matter 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2004.11.014 that deserve attention across all the European countries and are listed in the annexes of the European Commission Habitats Directive (1992; 92/43). Species listed in Red Data Books, lists of species protected by national laws, and species in EC Directives are all accorded certain Ôconservation statusÕ, i.e. they are considered to be endangered by some kind of factor on a certain scale, and active or passive means have to be taken to stabilize or improve their status. Red Lists describe how threatened a species is (low number of localities found or low number of individuals), and what the major reasons of its decline may be (Hilton-Taylor, 272 M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 2000). Habitat loss, direct exploitation, indirect human influence through changing local ecological interactions, natural disasters, pollution and intrinsic factors (unfavorable species traits) have been listed among the main threats. Such information is frequently based only on the personal experience of a few conservation biologists; knowledge is often limited. Conservation legislation, however, also includes other types of arguments such as commercial importance and aesthetics. The conservation assessment of different taxonomic groups is unequal. For example, conservation priorities for European birds have already been assessed scientifically 10 years ago (Tucker et al., 1994). Works on insects, plants and fungi are still very preliminary, probably due to larger numbers of species and smaller numbers of people working with them. Biodiversity conservation needs careful planning (e.g. Younge and Fowkes, 2003). An example is a scientifically reasoned action plan for a particular species (Palmer, 1996). The number of species with conservation needs has, however, increased to a level where we no longer have the time and resources to elaborate action plans for each individual taxon. When focusing on some subjectively selected ÔhotÕ species, the status of overall diversity may worsen. Instead, one might collect a kind of general information about the possible factors and mechanisms behind the real or potential decrease of the local or global abundance and distribution area of these species. On the basis of such information, one could prioritize species conservation needs and establish groups of species that could be subjected to similar action plans. Besides being important for practical nature conservation, the study of the causes of plant species rarity has been of fundamental importance for understanding the distribution and dynamics of plant species (Kunin and Gaston, 1997; Rosenzweig, 1997). There have been two predominating approaches to the study of possible causes of plant rarity. The first Ôinductive approachÕ has focused on the comparative study of the traits of rare and common plant species. Despite high expectations, the results of such studies have not always made much conceptual advance, since no clear differences between the traits of rare and common plant species have emerged (Bevill and Louda, 1999; Murray et al., 2002) and connections between traits and rarity are evidently context-dependent (e.g. Pilgrim et al., 2004). Until the ecological mechanisms behind plant rarity are unveiled, one cannot expect too much for practical species conservation from the study of species traits. The second Ôdeductive approachÕ is based on classifying plant species into so-called rarity categories according to the nature of their distribution and habitat requirements. Rabinowitz (1981) offered a general scheme where species were classified into categories according to their geographic range, habitat specificity and local population size. These categories offer a gen- eral hypothetical explanation as to why a species is rare. Species with narrow geographic range may be rare for historical reasons. In the case of habitat specificity, the basic reasons of rarity are of evolutionary origin, but habitat destruction may play a role as well. If local populations are small, local factors such as biotic interactions and human impact are probable causes of rarity. There are rather few studies that have attempted to use RabinowitzÕs scheme in regard to the flora of certain regions, e.g. British Isles (Rabinowitz et al., 1986), France (Médail and Verlaque, 1997), Spain (Blanca et al., 1998) and Amazonia (Pitman et al., 1999). Until now, such an approach has been mostly theoretical and the link to practical conservation has been weak. In particular, one must note that human impact is not specifically considered in RabinowitzÕs system. There is, however, also a third Ôsynthetic approachÕ, which tries to combine the two previous ones and study plant traits in a wider geographic context or to screen longer lists of plant species (Lahti et al., 1991; Saetersdal, 1994; Gustafsson, 1994; Kull et al., 2002; Rogers and Walker, 2002). Though most of these trials have evidently not yet reached the stage where results could be useful for practical conservation, this approach clearly has higher application potential than the two previous ones, since it indicates the main threats for species and the main habitats for rare species. Successful examples, where the link to practical conservation already exists, include priority analysis for Central European plants, where threat status was combined with information about world-wide distribution (Schnittler and Günther, 1999), and a statistical study on rarity and threat factor relations in Iberian flora (Lozano et al., 2003). Our intention is to develop the synthetic approach to the stage where it can both help to understand possible causes of plant rarity in a particular region, as well as to meet the needs of practical nature conservation, like the elaboration of conservation priorities within the list of species of conservation interest and the grouping of plant species according to the similar activities needed for their conservation. Many earlier decisions about conservation status and possible threats rely on tradition, not on analysis of scientific information. In the ideal case, determination of the status of a management plan for species has to rely on scientific information about the distribution and ecology of the target species. Because of that, there is an evident need to screen the lists of species with conservation need in relation to factors responsible for rarity. In particular, we aimed to analyze the national list of vascular plant species with conservation need in order to understand the main possible causes of plant rarity, to suggest new priority categorization within the list and to group plant species according to different conservational aspects. Grouping could make it possible to compile management plans, not for single species, but for the M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 whole set of species. In this way, the national plant diversity would be protected more efficiently. We used the full list of species with conservation status in Estonia – a small country with a well-known vascular plant flora and a long tradition of nature conservation – as a model for the survey (Sepp et al., 1999). We tested whether our conservation characteristics are related to each other, and how our conservation characteristics are related to the present conservation legislation and national Red Data Book criteria. Finally we propose a new synthetic approach for plant species conservation that starts by considering human induced rarity and progresses through to natural rarity causes. 2. Methods The national list of the vascular plant species with conservation need was compiled on the basis of the lists of legally protected vascular plant species of Estonia (Kukk, 1999), plant species in the Red Data Book of Estonia (Lilleleht, 1998), as well as the species from Annexes of the EC Habitats Directive (1992; 92/43) that are found in Estonia. The vascular plant flora of Estonia contains 1441 species and 185 of them are legally protected in three priority categories (Kukk, 1999). The Red Data Book of Estonia lists 309 vascular plant species and infraspecies taxa. These are divided into five ordinal categories (Endangered, Vulnerable, Rare, Care Demanding, and Indeterminate). Annexes of the Habitats Directive list 21 vascular plant species that occur also in Estonia. In order to make the lists comparable, we excluded all infraspecific taxa and microspecies with no clear taxonomic status from the genera Alchemilla, Crataegus, Euphrasia, Hieracium, Pilosella, Rosa and Taraxacum, as also suggested by Schnittler and Günther (1999). The lists largely overlapped, and the final summarized national list of plant species with conservation need was found to consist of 301 species. In order to analyze the list of plant species of conservation status in Estonia, each species was assessed on the basis of the following eight qualitative conservation characteristics. We used both literature and our own personal experiences. 1. Restricted global distribution. We used the distribution maps by Hultén and Fries (1986) and categorized a species as having narrow geographic range when it was found only in Europe. In all other cases, it was classified as having a wide geographic range. 2. Restricted local distribution within Estonia. We used the maps by Kull et al. (2002) and classified a species as having a small number of local populations when it was represented in less than 5% of 6 0 · 10 0 (ca. 100 km2) grid cells from the total of 494. 273 3. Small population size. Species were classified into two categories according to whether their local populations are always small (approximately less than 300 mature individuals) or not. We used the information from Lilleleht (1998), Kukk (1999), and our own unpublished data. 4. Very rare habitat. A species was considered to be a habitat specialist if it occurred only in a very rare habitat type, like limestone escarpment, spring fens, rocky outcrops, open sand, oligotrophic lakes (Paal, 1998). 5. Dependence on grassland management. All species whose main habitats are seminatural grasslands (Kukk and Kull, 1997; Kukk, 1999) were classified as dependent on grassland management. 6. Dependence on local natural and human-induced disturbances. There are a number of species whose regeneration takes place mostly either in small gaps or in disturbed areas (e.g. burned forests). Due to forest management, smaller fires are extremely rare events. Published information about particular species in Estonia is extremely scarce (e.g. Pilt and Kukk, 2002), so we based our assessment mostly on Kukk (1999) and on our own work (Reier et al., 2005). 7. Dependence on traditional extensive agriculture. These species are mainly weeds, which were once common in agricultural landscapes but that have declined tremendously or have even become extinct due to the application of new technologies. Particular species were identified according to Kukk (1999). 8. Possible threat due to collecting. Species potentially threatened by collection because they are either medicinal or decorative plants were specified according to personal information. The two first characteristics are both related to distribution, but at two very different scales. There are examples where the species rarity measurement differs dramatically between scales (Hartley and Kunin, 2003). The last four characteristics represent different kinds of human influence relevant to the country. We did not consider those threats that are unlikely to occur in Estonia, such as natural disasters. When each species has been screened according the qualitative features described above, one may generalize the results in two ways. First, one may classify species into groups threatened by the same major factors. Thereafter these groups of species may be targeted for the elaboration of conservation management plans. Second, species may be ranked according to their conservation status by giving a higher rank to species that are associated with a higher number of conservation characteristics. We analyzed the co-occurrences of different conservation characteristics by principal component analysis (PCA) with eight characteristics as factors and 301 species as cases. A similar approach has been used 274 M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 successfully before in other regions (Given and Norton, 1993; Lozano et al., 2003). In addition, the Fisher Exact test was used to discover associations between factor pairs. The interrelation of different conservation characteristics with the species categorization according to legislation and according to the Red Data Book was studied with the help of Spearman rank correlation. Existing species categorization was coded so that a higher number was given to the most threatened or rare species. 3. Results The distribution of the conservation characteristics among the species of conservation need varied a lot. Restricted global distribution was the most common conservation characteristic, and it was associated with 38% of species of conservation need. Other common conservation characteristics included restricted local distribution (28%), dependence on grassland management (32%), threat due to collecting (31%), and always having small populations (21%). The least common conservation characteristic was very rare habitat, which was associated with 7% of the species. Other less frequent conservation characteristics were: dependence on natural or humaninduced disturbance and dependence on traditional extensive agriculture, both associated with 10% of the species. 7 1 1 6 2 PCA on conservation characteristics revealed that the first axis described 17.2 and the second axis 16.9 percent of the total variation (Fig. 1). On the ordination diagram, all conservation characteristics show very little overlap. There was just one significant positive association between conservation characteristics: restricted local distribution and small size of populations (Fisher exact test, two-tail, P = 0.026). Significant negative associations were more common: restricted global distribution and threat due to collecting (P = 0.020), restricted local distribution and threat due to collecting (P = 0.007), restricted local distribution and dependence on grassland management (P = 0.037), threat due to collecting and dependence on traditional agriculture (P < 0.001). Consequently, our conservation characteristics evidently describe very different causal mechanisms behind rarity. Most species were associated with one or two characteristics (31% and 37%, respectively), 15% were associated with three, 5% with four, and 1% with five characteristics. For 11% of the species, none of the eight conservation characteristics were considered to be important. The relation of different conservation characteristics to conservation categories according to Estonian legislation and the national Red Data Book is presented in Table 1. Categories in the present laws for species protection were related to restricted local distribution, small 2 Principal Component 2 (16.9%) 5 4 3 8 Global distribution 3 4 Small population 6 5 Grassland Rare habitat 7 Disturbance Local distribution 8 Agriculture Collecting Principal Component 1 (17.2%) Fig. 1. Principal component analysis of eight conservation characteristics for 301 vascular plant species with conservation need in Estonia. Projection of the conservation characteristics (top left) and species for each characteristic (filled circles) on the factor-plane. Conservation characteristics include: (1) restricted global distribution; (2) restricted local distribution within Estonia; (3) always small populations; (4) very rare habitat type; (5) species needing management of semi-natural grasslands; (6) species needing small-scale disturbances (e.g. forest fires); (7) species needing traditional extensive agriculture; (8) species which may be threatened by collecting. M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 275 Table 1 Relations of our conservation characteristics to existing conservation legislation (n = 179) and the Red Data Book categorization (n = 270) according to Spearman rank correlation Restricted global distribution Restricted local distribution Small population size Very rare habitat Dependence on grassland management Dependence on local disturbances Dependence on traditional agriculture Possible threat due to collecting Protection categories according to legislation National Red Data Book categories r = +0.07, r = +0.46, r = +0.29, r = +0.18, r = –0.05, r = +0.04, r = –0.02, r = –0.21, r = 0.11, P = 0.071 r = +0.15, P = 0.014 r = +0.11, P = 0.066 r = +0.06, P = 0.291 r = –0.06, P = 0.363 r = +0.06, P = 0.298 r = –0.13, P = 0.038 r = +0.11, P = 0.077 P = 0.355 P < 0.001 P < 0.001 P = 0.014 P = 0.476 P = 0.622 P = 0.770 P = 0.005 population size, and very rare habitat. There was a negative correlation between threat due to collecting and the legislation. In the case of the Red Data Book, there was only a single significant positive correlation: species with restricted local distribution had mostly been placed in a high category. Species with traditional agricultural management need were mostly in a low category. The sum of conservation characteristics was correlated with the protection categories according to legislation (n = 179, r = 0.28, P < 0.001), but not with the categories of the Red Data Book (n = 270, r = 0.08, P = 0.191). 4. Discussion The possible causes of rarity may be classified into two broad categories: Ônatural rarityÕ and rarity due to unsuitable human activity. We showed that these categories are not overlapping and should be used in combination. The existing conservation system, however, is mainly considering just the first one. Each particular cause of rarity can describe a group of species that need similar conservation measures. Thus, same strategies can be used for several species, not just for individual species. Quite a large number of rare species show a small distribution area on a global scale, i.e. their rarity may have Ôbiogeographic reasonsÕ. In addition, similarly to the situation in Finland (Lahti et al., 1991), the great majority of rare plant species in Estonia are at the northern margin of their distribution area, i.e. their distribution and local abundance are restricted by climatic constraints (Kukk, 1999). Comparative studies of the ecology of rare and common species have shown that Ôbiogeographic reasonsÕ may have an important role in determining the local abundance of species (Witkowski and Lamont, 1997; Walck et al., 2001), though particular processes and mechanisms are not easy to identify. In such cases, ÔactiveÕ conservation is hardly possible and nature conservation usually means simply the preservation of particular ecosystems in which the particular species already occurs. In addition, there are species whose rarity is directly or indirectly dependent on human activity. Cessation of management in seminatural grasslands is an important reason for the decrease of the distribution area and local abundance of many plant species (Linusson et al., 1998; Austrheim et al., 1999; Cousins and Eriksson, 2001). Contemporary forestry, which prevents wildfires and results in uniform dense stands without natural gaps, may suppress the regeneration of species whose regeneration is favored by the suppression of competition due to local disturbances (Uotila, 1996; Pilt and Kukk, 2002; Korpilahti and Kuuluvainen, 2003; Reier et al., 2005). Species with low dispersal ability suffer from fragmentation of habitats – this has been studied, for example, for many ecosystems in Europe (Graae and Sunde, 2000; Butaye et al., 2002; Graae et al., 2004; Bossuyt et al., 2004). In the case of such species, ÔactiveÕ conservation measures are possible and reasonable. They may include the restoration of former management or disturbance regimes in specially protected areas, but also the restoration of local populations by introducing diaspores or transplanting plant individuals into habitats from which the species has vanished. In the case of vascular plants, conservation priority categorization frequently relies on the experience and intuition of conservation biologists (Sutherland et al., 2004). The current approach may give a more objective basis for prioritization, since one may assume that the more conservation characteristics a species has been assigned, the higher is the overall risk that the species will become extinct in the particular region under consideration. According to that, one can assign different status to species in the conservation lists. Analysis of conservation characteristics over the whole list of species with conservation need would furnish conservationists with a powerful objective tool, confirming or challenging subjective decisions. For example we can put the following species in the order of conservation priority in Estonia: (1) Hypericum montanum: found just in Europe, low number of localities in Estonia, always small populations, needs grassland management and forest disturbances; (2) Dianthus arenarius subsp. arenarius: low number of localities in Estonia, threat due to collecting, needs grassland management and forest disturbances; (3) Filago minima: found just in Europe, low number M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 of localities in Estonia, needs traditional agriculture; (4) Asplenium ruta-muraria: very rare habitat type, threat due to collecting; (5) Viola elatior: needs grassland management. The analysis of categories in the Red List of Estonia (Lilleleht, 1998) revealed no correspondence between the categories and the number of associated conservation characteristics. The Estonian Red Data Book is solely describing restricted distribution in Estonia. Weeds connected to traditional agriculture have been given a low priority, probably due to psychological reasons. Such a mismatch indicates that additional analysis of the categories in the Red Data Book of Estonia is needed. The match was much better when species categories in Estonian legislation were considered. The legislation covers all aspects of rarity according to Rabinowitz (1981). A negative association with species threatened by collecting is evidently due to a tradition of including rather common but esthetical species (e.g., several Orchidaceae species) in the lowest category. It is remarkable, however, that direct human influence (grassland management, forest disturbances and agriculture) is not considered at all in the present conservation legislation. Traditionally, the starting point in plant conservation has been the identification of rare species (low number of localities). After that, the possible threats have been identified. In reality, the rarity of most species is the outcome of multiple and frequently either unknown (or overlooked) processes. The traditional approach is certainly justified in most cases, but it can be complemented by the additional approach proposed below. We suggest that the planning of conservation measures should start with cases where active conservation is possible, i.e. in All species with conservation need 49% 18% 4% 9% 9% cases when human influence is the most probable force behind rarity, then we are considering the rest of species with the order of most probable cause of rarity (Fig. 2). Almost half (49%) of species with conservation need can be improved by the proper management. Conservation actions mean support for conservation management, such as traditional grassland management and agriculture, and prescribed forest disturbances. Public education is an important aspect as well. Additional 18% of species are threatened by collecting, and better legal regulation and public education can help here. Since the cause–effect relationship is relatively evident in management and threat due to collecting, one may expect that either supported management or restrictive regulation will result in a relatively rapid positive effect on local biodiversity. A smaller share of species with conservation need (4%) depends on the presence of particular rare habitat types. Some of these types may be rare in a particular region for natural reasons, like rocky habitats, oligotrophic lakes or floodplain and escarpment-associated forests in Estonia, (cf. Paal, 1998). Other habitat types may be rather common, but their late successional stages may be rare due to overwhelming management activities. Old-growth forests and undrained mires serve as examples for Estonia (Paal et al., 1999; Viilma et al., 2001). In both cases, the persistence of specific natural habitat types is mostly dependent on restrictive regulations. Consequently, these habitat types should be strongly protected in situ. The subsequent 9% of species with conservation need have very small populations, evidently for evolutionary and historical reasons. For instance, a species may be Conservation measures in the order of significance: Management needing species: support for grasslands, forestry and agriculture, public education Threatened by collecting: better legislation, conservational control, public education Rare habitat type: habitat type conservation Small populations: population management, ex situ populations Low number national localities: restoration of lost populations If the main conservation measure is insufficient, consider secondary ones 276 Small distribution area in the World : protection together with other countries, rational national protection very difficult, protection of sites is recommended Fig. 2. Suggested order of vascular plant species conservation planning for Estonia, starting with human induced causes and progressing through to natural causes of rarity. The situation of most of species can be improved with modified human influence and better legislation. M. Pärtel et al. / Biological Conservation 123 (2005) 271–278 outside its optimal geographical distribution, it may be a climatic relict, etc. In such cases, there are expensive conservation mechanisms available, such as artificial regeneration of local populations (sowing of seeds, planting individuals) or ex situ conservation, based on population viability analyses (Menges, 2000). In order to avoid extinction due to chance events, the average population size should be much larger than needed for a viable population in general. There are 9% of species with conservation need that have healthy populations but very limited distribution. Such species may be rare due to dispersal inadequacy. For these species, the same measures as mentioned above may be applicable. In particular, restoration of historical locations may be justified (Heywood and Iriondo, 2003). There are 11% of species with conservation need that are considered to be threatened mainly due to a small global distribution area, but national dispersal and population sizes are large. These have to be protected internationally, though continuous monitoring of these species is requested. Schnittler and Günther (1999) used the term Ôconservation responsibilityÕ for species that can successfully be protected by the authorities of one region, since the species is present mainly just there. In addition, if the leading conservation measure is insufficient, the next measures should also be considered in proper sequence (see the arrows right of the Fig. 2). It is not wise to apply population management or population restoration for species that actually need grassland management or are suffering due to collecting. Similarly, restoration of abiotic conditions of a plant community should be followed by the introduction of diaspores and proper future management of this site (van Diggelen and Marrs, 2003). One possibility to include scientific knowledge into conservation strategies is to collect more evidence-based information (Sutherland et al., 2004). We have shown that another important possibility is a synthetic approach, combining different conservation characteristics and measures in regard to lists of species with conservation need. It allows one to work with species groups with similar conservation needs instead of individual species, and to set priorities by assuming that a high number of different conservation characteristics associated with a species indicates its vulnerability. Such an approach has a potential to improve strategies for national plant diversity conservation. Acknowledgements We thank M. Toom, E. Rosén, B, Carlsson, B. Svensson, L. Wallin, M. Moora, J. Liira I. 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