W ILSON PERKINS ALLEN OPINION
RESEARCH
324 Second Street, SE
Washington, DC 20003
405.286.6500
www.wparesearch.com
WPA ID: 14-064
W PA_NATIONAL_PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY_W ITH BREAKOUTS_MQ_140329.DOCX
NATIONAL
REPUBLICANS
M ARCH 18-20, 2014
SAMPLE:
n=801 Republicans and Republican Leaning Independents
MoE=±3.5%
NO CODE/ASK ALL QUESTIONS
INTRODUCTION: Good evening. M ay I please speak with NAM E FROM FILE ? M y nam e is
____________ and I'm calling from W PA Research, a national public opinion firm . This evening
we're conducting a short scientific survey and we'd like to get your opinions. W e’re not selling
anything and your responses will be com pletely confidential.
Screener
1.
First, are you or any member of your immediate family a member of the news media, a Public Relations
company, or an active participant with any political campaign?
1.
2.
2.
Yes ......................................................................................................... TERMINATE
No/All other ..................................................................................................... 100%
In politics, do you usually think of yourself as a ROTATE Republican, Independent, or Democrat?
IF REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRAT, ASK:
Do you think of yourself as a STRONG (Republican/Democrat) or NOT-SO-STRONG (Republican/Democrat)?
IF INDEPENDENT, ASK:
And would you say that, in general, you lean toward the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, or neither
party?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Strong Republican............................................................................................. 56%
Not-so-Strong Republican ................................................................................. 18%
Independent Leaning Republican .................................................................... 26%
Hard Independent ................................................................................. TERMINATE
Independent Leaning Democrat .......................................................... TERMINATE
Not-so-Strong Democrat ....................................................................... TERMINATE
Strong Democrat ................................................................................... TERMINATE
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
Page 2 of 9
Now, thinking about the Presidential election coming up in 2016…
3.
If the Republican primary election for United States President were held today, for whom would you vote if
the candidates were…RANDOMIZE
Rand Paul
Paul Ryan
Rick Perry
Mike Huckabee
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
…or…
Rick Santorum
1.
4.
5.
6.
7.
2.
8.
9.
10.
11.
3.
12.
13.
14.
Rand Paul
Mike Huckabee
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Paul Ryan
Marco Rubio
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
Rick Santorum
Rick Perry
Someone else (specify) DNR
Won’t vote/none DNR
DK/Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
All
GOP
13%
13%
11%
9%
9%
6%
6%
5%
3%
3%
1%
3%
1%
19%
Very
Conservative
14%
16%
11%
6%
13%
6%
6%
5%
3%
3%
1%
2%
0%
15%
Tea
Party
17%
13%
6%
5%
16%
5%
8%
6%
3%
2%
1%
3%
0%
15%
Non Tea
Party
9%
14%
16%
13%
4%
7%
5%
3%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
19%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
4.
Page 3 of 9
And, thinking again about the potential Republican candidates for President…regardless of which one you
personally support, which of the following candidates do you believe would have the best chance of beating
Hillary Clinton in the 2016 general election for President?
Rand Paul
Paul Ryan
Rick Perry
Mike Huckabee
Jeb Bush
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
…or…
Rick Santorum
1.
6.
5.
8.
4.
7.
2.
9.
10.
3.
11.
12.
13.
14.
Rand Paul
Chris Christie
Jeb Bush
Marco Rubio
Mike Huckabee
Ted Cruz
Paul Ryan
Scott Walker
Bobby Jindal
Rick Perry
Rick Santorum
Someone else (specify) DNR
None DNR
DK/Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
All
GOP
13%
13%
12%
9%
8%
8%
4%
3%
3%
2%
1%
3%
1%
20%
Very
Conservative
16%
11%
11%
10%
8%
11%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
4%
<1%
17%
Tea
Party
18%
11%
8%
9%
7%
14%
3%
4%
3%
2%
1%
4%
1%
17%
NonTea
Party
9%
16%
16%
9%
10%
3%
6%
2%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
18%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
Page 4 of 9
Now, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only….
5.
And, Would you say you are a ROTATE Conservative, a Moderate, or a Liberal END ROTATION in your political
beliefs?
IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK:
And, would you say you are VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal)?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
6.
Very Conservative
Somewhat Conservative
Moderate
Libertarian
DK/Refused DNR
Somewhat Liberal
Very Liberal
49%
25%
20%
2%
3%
1%
1%
48%
4%
6%
42%
Traditional Republican Party
Neither DNR
DK/Refused DNR
Tea Party Movement
Many voters tend to fall into groups that reflect their overall values. Which of the following statements, if you
had to choose just one, reflects what you, yourself think? RANDOMIZE
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
8.
74%
2%
If you had to choose, would you more closely identify yourself as part of the traditional Republican Party, or
would you identify more with the Tea Party movement?
1.
2.
3.
4.
7.
TOTAL CONSERVATIVE
TOTAL LIBERAL
A social conservative concerned about moral values, protecting the
family, and pro-life.
An economic conservative concerned about jobs, economic growth,
and debt.
Both DNR
Other (specify) DNR
DK/ Refused DNR
35%
50%
13%
<1%
2%
Are you or is a member of your household a member of the military?
1.
2.
3.
Yes
No
DK/Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
13%
86%
1%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
9.
What is the highest level of formal education you have completed?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
10.
Less than high school graduate
High school graduate
Some College /Associates Degree
Bachelor’s Degree
Post graduate
DK/Refused DNR
2%
16%
32%
28%
21%
1%
And, which of the following categories best describes your annual household income? IF REFUSED INITIALLY
SAY: I understand your hesitation. We use this information for demographic purposes only and do not keep
any personal information about you or your family. Which of these broad income categories best describes
your annual household income?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
11.
Page 5 of 9
Less than $25,000
$25,000 to less than $50,000
$50,000 to less than $75,000
$75,000 to less than $100,000
$100,000 to less than $125,000
$125,000 to less than $150,000
More than $150,000
DK/Refused DNR
7%
18%
18%
16%
10%
6%
11%
15%
How often do you attend church or religious services?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
More than once a week
Once a week
Couple of times a month
Once a month
Once/twice a year
Never
DK/Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
19%
39%
10%
5%
15%
11%
2%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
12.
Page 6 of 9
Which of the following best describes your religion or religious denomination? RANDOMIZE
IF PROTESTANT ASK: Do you consider yourself to be an evangelical protestant?
2.
1.
3.
4.
11.
5.
10.
9.
6.
7.
8.
12.
13.
13.
26%
23%
22%
7%
3%
2%
1%
<1%
0%
0%
0%
12%
4%
Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
14.
Protestant Non-Evangelical
Evangelical Protestant
Catholic/ Roman Catholic
Orthodox Christian
Latter-Day Saints/ Mormon
Jewish
Agnostic
Atheist
Muslim
Buddhist
Hindu
Other (Please Specify____)
DK/Refused DNR
White
Hispanic, Mexican, Latino, Spanish
African-American
Asian
Other (specify) _________
Refused DNR
92%
2%
1%
<1%
3%
3%
In what year were you born? RECORD EXACT FOUR DIGIT RESPONSE; RECODE INTO CATEGORIES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
18-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
75 or over
Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
5%
11%
13%
21%
21%
15%
13%
1%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
15.
What is your current marital status?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
16.
Page 7 of 9
Single, never married
Married
Separated
Divorced
Widowed
DK/Refused DNR
8%
79%
<1%
4%
7%
2%
And, have you ever made a financial donation to the national, state or your local Republican Party?
1.
2.
3.
Yes
DK/Refused DNR
No
48%
7%
44%
IF Q37:1, ASK Q38
N=388
17.
And, how much do you estimate you’ve given to the Republican Party? IF REFUSED INITIALLY SAY: I
understand your hesitation. We use this information for demographic purposes only and do not keep any
personal information about you or your family. Which of these broad categories best describes your
donation to the Republican Party?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Less than $50
$50 to less than $250
$250 to less than $500
$500 to less than $1,000
$1,000 to less than $2,500
$2,500 to less than $5,000
More than $5,000
DK/Refused DNR
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
21%
35%
10%
6%
2%
2%
1%
23%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
18.
Page 8 of 9
And, have you ever made a financial donation to any Republican candidate?
1.
2.
3.
32%
9%
60%
Yes
DK/Refused DNR
No
IF Q39:1, ASK Q40
N=254
19.
And, how much do you estimate you’ve given to Republican candidates? IF REFUSED INITIALLY SAY: I
understand your hesitation. We use this information for demographic purposes only and do not keep any
personal information about you or your family. Which of these broad categories best describes your
donation to Republican candidates?
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
20.
And, have you ever volunteered for any Republican candidate?
1.
2.
3.
21.
Yes
DK/Refused DNR
No
21%
5%
75%
Sex: BY OBSERVATION
1.
2.
22.
22%
38%
6%
8%
3%
1%
1%
20%
Less than $50
$50 to less than $250
$250 to less than $500
$500 to less than $1,000
$1,000 to less than $2,500
$2,500 to less than $5,000
More than $5,000
DK/Refused DNR
Male
Female
49%
51%
Census 9 Point Region: PRE-CODE
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
New England Division
Middle Atlantic Division
East North Central Division
West North Central Division
South Atlantic Division
East South Division
West South Division
Mountain Division
Pacific Division
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
3%
14%
13%
7%
35%
7%
10%
8%
13%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
WPA/Republicans/1526/7056
23.
Vote History: PRE-CODE
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
24.
Page 9 of 9
0 of 4
1 of 4
2 of 4
3 of 4
4 of 4
5%
8%
10%
19%
58%
Party Registration: PRE-CODE
1.
2.
Registered Republicans
Party ID Republicans
© 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
67%
33%
Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission