Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Guideline Panel Members Saudi Expert Panel *Dr Assim A. Alfadda *Ms Madawi M. Al-Dhwayan Dr Abdulhameed Alharbi Dr Basma Alkhudhair Dr Omar M. Al Nozha Dr Nawal Al-Qahtani Dr Saad A. Alzahrani Dr Wedad Bardisi *Dr Reem M. Sallam *Obesity Research Center, College of Medicine, King Saud University McMaster University Working Group Ainsley Moore, MD MSc, John Riva, BA DC MSc, Jan L Brożek, MD PhD, and Holger J Schünemann, MD PhD, on behalf of the McMaster Guideline Working Group Acknowledgements We acknowledge Dr. Mohammed Y. Al-Naami for his contribution to this work. We gratefully acknowledge Dr. Rajaa Al-Raddadi from the Ministry of Health for peer reviewing this final report. Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: All authors declare that they have no conflict of interest related to this guideline. Funding: This clinical practice guideline was funded by the Ministry of Health, Saudi Arabia. Address for correspondence: Saudi Center for Evidence Based Health Care E-mail: [email protected] Web: http://www.moh.gov.sa/endepts/Proofs/Pages/home.aspx i Management of Overweight and Obese Adults ii Contents The Saudi Center for Evidence Based Health Care (EBHC) .................................................................... iv Executive Summary................................................................................................................................. 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 1 Methodology....................................................................................................................................... 1 How to use these guidelines ............................................................................................................... 1 Key questions ...................................................................................................................................... 2 Recommendations .............................................................................................................................. 3 Scope and purpose.................................................................................................................................. 5 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................ 5 Methodology........................................................................................................................................... 5 How to use these guidelines ................................................................................................................... 6 Key questions .......................................................................................................................................... 7 Recommendations .................................................................................................................................. 7 Question 1: Should psychotherapy-cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) compared to no cognitive behavioural therapy be used for overweight and obese adults? ....................................................... 8 Question 2: Should intensive lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? ............................................................................................................ 9 Question 3: Should lifestyle interventions compared to other interventions be used for overweight and obese adults? ............................................................................................................................. 10 Question 4: Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults?..................................................................... 11 Question 5: Should iso-caloric low-fat compared to moderate-fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? .................................................................................................................................... 12 Questions 6 & 7: Should physical activity and diet compared to diet or physical activity alone be used for overweight and obese adults?............................................................................................ 14 Question 8: Should portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet be used for obese and overweight adults? .......................................................................................................... 16 Question 9: Should metformin compared to no metformin be used for overweight and obese adults? ............................................................................................................................................... 17 Question 10: Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? . 18 Question 11: Should bariatric surgery compared to non-surgical therapies be used for overweight and obese adults? ............................................................................................................................. 19 References ............................................................................................................................................ 22 Appendices............................................................................................................................................ 25 Appendix 1: Evidence to Decision Frameworks ................................................................................ 26 Guideline Question 1: Should psychotherapy (CBT) compared to no psychotherapy be used for overweight and obese adults? ...................................................................................................... 26 Guideline Question 2: Should intensive lifestyle intervention (diet, exercise and behaviour modification) compared to usual, minimal care be used for overweight and obese adults? ...... 33 Guideline Question 3: Should lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? ...................................................................................................... 41 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults iii Guideline Question 4: Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? ............................................... 50 Guideline Question 5: Should isocaloric low fat diet compared to moderate fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? ...................................................................................................... 58 Guideline Question 6: Should physical activity compared to no physical activity be used in obese and overweight adults? ................................................................................................................ 69 Guideline Question 7: Should diet and physical activity compared to diet alone be used for obese and overweight adults? ...................................................................................................... 77 Guideline Question 8: Should portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet be used for obese and overweight adults? ................................................................................... 88 Guideline Question 9: Should metformin compared to no metformin be used for overweight and obese adults? ......................................................................................................................... 95 Guideline Question 10: Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? .............................................................................................................................. 104 Guideline Question 11: Should bariatric surgery compared to non-surgical therapies be used for overweight and obese adults? .................................................................................................... 114 Appendix 2: Search Strategies and Results ..................................................................................... 121 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults iv The Saudi Center for Evidence Based Health Care (EBHC) The Saudi Centre for Evidence Based Health Care has managed and supported the coordination of the process of clinical practice guideline (CPG) development between the methodological team from McMaster University and the local clinical expert panel members in Saudi Arabia. The EBHC staff members recruited local clinical experts through contacting Saudi specialist societies and also independent experts interested in developing reliable and most up-to-date CPGs to harmonize the treatment and provide the highest quality of health care in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia. These experts were health care professionals of multidisciplinary backgrounds. As much as possible, patient’s representatives were also included in panels. In an effort to make national recommendations, the participating experts were professionals from the Ministry of Health (MoH), King Saud University, National Guard Hospitals, King Faisal Specialist Hospital and Research Centre (KFSHRC), University Hospitals, Security Forces Hospitals, Prince Sultan Military Medical City (PSMMC) and from some private hospitals. Based on a preselection of available evidence syntheses, the EBHC provided a list of potential topics to be addressed in CPGs after thorough consultations with the local stakeholders. These topics were further discussed with the McMaster team for important selection criteria and agreed on 12 topics for wave 2. The guideline panel meetings were held in Riyadh on 15th-18th March 2015 where about 96 local experts working in Saudi Arabia participated with the methodological support from 20 experts from McMaster University and its partners from the American University of Beirut, Lebanon, and the University of Freiburg, Germany, in providing high quality recommendations for common and important clinical conditions in the Kingdom. The Saudi Centre for EBHC supports the efforts for dissemination of the CPGs by publishing online the full reports of the CPGs, facilitates writing concise versions of the CPGs for publication in peer reviewed medical journals, and sending hard copies to hospitals and health care centers. Finally, a mobile App has been introduced in KSA to facilitate the dissemination efforts of the completed practice guidelines. The staff members at the Saudi Centre for EBHC: Dr Zulfa Al Rayess, Consultant Family Medicine, Head of Saudi Center for EBHC Dr Yaser Adi, Scientific Advisor for the Saudi Centre for EBHC Miss Nourah Al Moufarreh, Project Manager, Saudi Center for EBHC Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Executive Summary Introduction Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.1 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 1 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life. Such co-morbidities as well as determinants of obesity are multifactorial requiring multiple approaches to population management in various settings with input from a range of stakeholders. This guideline therefore considers the diversity of pharmacological, non-pharmacological-lifestyle, as well as surgical management strategies from a range of expert perspectives in order to derive relevant recommendations. Reduction in obesity is an important public health consideration for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The recommendations from this report contribute to the current development of a national strategy to combat obesity. 2 Given the importance of this topic, the Ministry of Health of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia with the support of the McMaster University working group produced practice guidelines to assist health care providers in evidencebased decision-making on the management of overweight and obese adults. 1 The Saudi expert guideline panel selected the topic of this guideline and all healthcare questions addressed herein using a formal prioritization process. For all selected questions we updated an existing systematic review on the management of obesity for adults from 2013, published by the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia. 13 For selected questions we updated existing systematic reviews on pharmacological, nonpharmacological and surgical approaches to management of obesity in adults. We also conducted systematic searches for information that was required to develop full guidelines for the KSA, including searches for information about patients’ values and preferences, and costs and resource use specific to the Saudi context. Based on the systematic reviews we prepared summaries of available evidence supporting each recommendation following the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach. 3,7 We used this information to prepare GRADE evidence-to-decision frameworks that served the guideline panel to follow the structured consensus process and transparently document all decisions made during the meeting (see Appendix 1). The guideline panel met in Riyadh on March 17th and 18th, 2015 and formulated all recommendations during this meeting. Potential conflicts of interests of all panel members were managed according to the World Health Organization (WHO) rules.4 As a quality measure prior to publication, the final report has been externally peer reviewed by a methodological expert who has not been involved in this guideline development. Methodology How to use these guidelines This practice guideline is a part of the larger initiative of the Ministry of Health of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) to establish a program of rigorous development of guidelines. The ultimate goals are to provide guidance for clinicians and other healthcare decision makers and reduce unnecessary variability in clinical practice across the Kingdom. The guideline working group developed and graded the recommendations and assessed the quality of the supporting evidence according to the GRADE approach. 3,5 Quality of evidence (confidence in the estimates of effects) is categorized as: high, moderate, low, or very low based on consideration of risk of bias, Management of Overweight and Obese Adults indirectness, inconsistency, imprecision and publication bias of the estimates as well as factors that lead to upgrading the quality of the evidence. High quality evidence indicates that we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect. Moderate quality evidence indicates moderate confidence, and that the true effect is likely close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different. Low quality evidence indicates that our confidence in the effect estimate is limited, and that the true effect may be substantially different. Finally, very low quality evi- 2 dence indicates that the estimate of effect of interventions is very uncertain, the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the effect estimate and further research is likely to have important potential for reducing the uncertainty. The strength of recommendations is expressed as either strong (‘guideline panel recommends…’) or conditional (‘guideline panel suggests…’) and has explicit implications (see Table 1).6 Understanding the interpretation of these two grades is essential for sagacious clinical decision-making. Table 1: Interpretation of strong and conditional (weak) recommendations Implications For patients For clinicians For policy makers Strong recommendation Most individuals in this situation would want the recommended course of action and only a small proportion would not. Formal decision aids are not likely to be needed to help individuals make decisions consistent with their values and preferences. Most individuals should receive the intervention. Adherence to this recommendation according to the guideline could be used as a quality criterion or performance indicator. Conditional (weak) recommendation The majority of individuals in this situation would want the suggested course of action, but many would not. Recognize that different choices will be appropriate for individual patients and that you must help each patient arrive at a management decision consistent with his or her values and preferences. Decision aids may be useful helping individuals making decisions consistent with their values and preferences. The recommendation can be adapted Policy making will require substantial as policy in most situations debate and involvement of various stakeholders. Key questions The following is a list of the clinical questions selected by the Saudi expert panel and addressed in this guideline. I. Non-pharmacological Management 1. Should psychotherapy (cognitive behavioural therapy) compared to no psychotherapy be used for overweight and obese adults? 2. Should intensive lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? 3. Should lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? 4. Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to general health information pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 5. Should isocaloric low fat compared to moderate fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? 6. Should exercise compared to no exercise be used in obese and overweight adults? 7. Should diet and exercise compared to diet alone be used for overweight and obese adults? 8. Should portion-controlled diets be used for overweight and obese adults? 3 Recommendation 2: The panel suggests using intensive lifestyle modification rather than usual or minimal care in overweight and obese adults. (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to those who are at higher risk for obesity-related co-morbidities such as diabetes as they would benefit more from intensive lifestyle interventions. II. Pharmacological Management 9. Should Metformin compared to no Metformin be used in overweight and obese adults? 10. Should Orlistat compared to no Orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? III. Surgical Management 11. Should bariatric surgery be used for overweight and obese adults? Recommendation 3: The panel recommends lifestyle intervention rather than usual care alone in overweight and obese adults. (strong recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Recommendation 4: The panel recommends individualized counselling interventions rather than generic educational pamphlets in overweight or obese adults. (strong recommendation, low quality evidence) Recommendations I. Non-pharmacological Management Recommendation 1: The panel suggests cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) rather than no such therapy in overweight and obese adults. (conditional recommendation, low quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to general obese populations. Individuals with suspected or confirmed eating disorders or depression require specialized psychiatric assessment and management. Recommendation 5: The panel makes no clinical recommendation regarding iso-caloric low-fat versus moderatefat diets. The panel suggests randomized controlled trials be done with adequate follow-up duration that compare iso-caloric diets with fat content lower than 20%, approximately 20% and approximately 30%. (low quality evidence) Remarks: Panel members judged that there was not enough evidence to choose one option over another. If any diet is used, fat content should be determined according to AMDR and fat subtypes should be defined (saturated fatty acids, trans fatty acids, Omega 3 and 6 fatty acids) in order to evaluate benefits or harms Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Recommendation 6 & 7: The panel recommends physical activity rather than no physical activity in overweight and obese adults. (strong recommendation, low quality evidence) The panel recommends physical activity in addition to diet rather than diet alone in overweight or obese adults. (strong recommendation, very low quality evidence) Recommendation 8: The panel does not make a clinical recommendation on portion-controlled diets. The panel suggests that more research be done. (very low quality evidence) II. Pharmacological Management Recommendation 9: The panel suggests metformin in obese or overweight adults. (conditional recommendation, low quality evidence) Recommendation 10: The panel suggests orlistat in obese and overweight adults. (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) III. Surgical Management Recommendation 11: The panel suggests using bariatric surgery in obese adults (BMI ≥40 or ≥35 kg/m2 with comorbidities). (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to individuals with larger BMI since anticipated benefits are larger in individuals who are at higher health risk due to obesity when considering risks associated with surgery. It also considers implementation requirements of interdisciplinary teams to prevent and manage lifelong dietary deficiencies and complications. 4 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Scope and purpose The purpose of this document is to provide guidance about the management of overweight and obese adults. The target audience of these guidelines includes; general practitioners, family physicians, allied health professionals and specialists concerned with the management of overweight and obese adults in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Other health care professionals and policy makers may also benefit from these guidelines. Given the importance of this topic, the Ministry of Health (MoH) of Saudi Arabia with the support of the McMaster University working group produced practice guidelines to assist health care providers in evidence-based decision-making. This practice guideline is a part of the larger initiative of the Ministry of Health of Saudi Arabia to establish a program of rigorous adaptation and de novo development of guidelines in the Kingdom; the ultimate goal being to provide guidance for clinicians and other healthcare decision makers and reduce unnecessary variability in clinical practice across the Kingdom. Introduction Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern where obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population. 1 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to 31.8% of females. 1 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life. Such co-morbidities as well as determinants of obesity are multifactorial, requiring multiple approaches to population management in various settings with input from a range of stakeholders. Reduction in obesity is an important public health consideration for the Kingdom and this 5 guideline considers the diversity of pharmacological, non-pharmacological-lifestyle, as well as surgical management strategies that contribute to the current development of a broad national strategy to combat obesity. 2 Non-pharmacological recommendations from this guideline consider lifestyle and intensive lifestyle interventions which include; psychotherapy, nutrition and exercise strategies. Psychotherapy is considered in the context of cognitive behavioural therapy, the predominant approach to change-therapy in chronic disease management. Nutrition strategies are considered in the context of low fat and portion-controlled diets. Exercise strategies are considered in the context of diet and exercise in combination, as well as exercise alone. Pharmacological recommendations consider both Metformin and Orlistat. Lastly, bariatric surgery is considered broadly for those with BMI ≥40 Kg/m2, or ≥35 Kg/m2 with comorbidities. Methodology To facilitate the interpretation of these guidelines; we briefly describe the methodology we used to develop and grade recommendations and quality of the supporting evidence. The Saudi expert guideline panel selected the topic of this guideline and all healthcare questions addressed herein using a formal prioritization process. For all selected questions we updated an existing systematic review on the management of obesity for adults from 2013, published by the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia 13 For selected questions we updated existing systematic reviews on pharmacological, nonpharmacological and surgical approaches to management of obesity in adults. For each question, the McMaster guideline working group updated the search strategy to identify new studies and/or new systematic reviews. When relevant, the meta-analyses were updated. We also conducted systematic searches for information that was required to devel- Management of Overweight and Obese Adults op full guidelines for the KSA, including searches for information about patients’ values and preferences, and costs and resource use specific to the Saudi context (see Appendix 2). Next, we developed for each question an evidence profile and an evidence-to-decision (EtD) table following the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach and shared them with the panel members (see Appendix 1). 3,7 The guideline panel was invited to provide additional information, particularly when published evidence was lacking. The final step consisted of an in-person meeting of the guideline panel in Riyadh on March 17th and 18th 2015 to formulate the final recommendations. We used the GRADE evidence-todecision frameworks to follow a structured consensus process and transparently document all decisions made during the meeting. Potential conflicts of interests of all panel members were managed according to the World Health Organization (WHO) rules.3 Grading of the quality of evidence The GRADE working group defines the quality of evidence as the extent of our confidence that the estimate of an effect is adequate to support a particular decision or recommendation.3 We assessed the quality of evidence using the GRADE approach. Quality of evidence is classified as “high”, “moderate”, “low”, or “very low” based on decisions about methodological characteristics of the available evidence for a specific health care problem. The definition of each category is as follows: High: We are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect. Moderate: We are moderately confident in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different. Low: Our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: The true effect may 6 be substantially different from the estimate of the effect. Very low: We have very little confidence in the effect estimate: The true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect. Grading of the strength of recommendations The GRADE working group defines the strength of recommendation as the extent to which we can be confident that desirable effects of an intervention outweigh undesirable effects. According to the GRADE approach, the strength of a recommendation is either strong or conditional (also known as or called weak) and has explicit implications.6 Understanding the interpretation of these two grades – either strong or conditional – of the strength of recommendations is essential for sagacious clinical decision-making. (see Table 1) As a quality measure prior to publication, the final report has been externally peer reviewed by a methodological expert who has not been involved in this guideline development. How to use these guidelines The Ministry of Health of Saudi Arabia and McMaster University Practice Guidelines provide clinicians and their patients with a basis for rational decisions about the management of obesity. Clinicians, patients, third-party payers, institutional review committees, other stakeholders, or the courts should never view these recommendations as dictates. As described in other guidelines following the GRADE approach, no guideline or recommendation can take into account all of the oftencompelling unique features of individual clinical circumstances. Therefore, no one charged with evaluating clinicians’ actions should attempt to apply the recommendations from these guidelines by rote or in a blanket fashion. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Statements about the underlying values and preferences, resources, feasibility, equity, acceptability as well as other qualifying remarks accompanying each recommendation are its integral parts and serve to facilitate an accurate interpretation. They should never be omitted when quoting or translating recommendations from these guidelines if they influence the strength or direction of the recommendation. Key questions The following is a list of the clinical questions selected by the Saudi expert panel and addressed in this guideline. I. Non-pharmacological Management 1. Should psychotherapy (cognitive behavioural therapy) compared to no psychotherapy be used for overweight and obese adults? 2. Should intensive lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? 3. Should lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? 4. Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to general health information pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? 5. Should isocaloric low fat compared to moderate fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? 6. Should physical activity compared to no physical activity be used in obese and overweight adults? 7. Should diet and physical activity compared to diet alone be used for overweight and obese adults? 8. Should portion-controlled diets be used for overweight and obese adults? 7 II. Pharmacological Management 9. Should metformin compared to no metformin be used in overweight and obese adults? 10. Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? III. Surgical Management 11. Should bariatric surgery be used for overweight and obese adults? Recommendations Patient Values and Preferences: Across the 11 recommendations, the guideline panel made a consistent judgment regarding obesity as a priority problem due to the high prevalence of obesity in the Kingdom. Similarly, with respect to values and preferences, panel members agreed that there was probably no important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes. The literature search for values and preferences identified the Australian study by Keating (2013), which found that mean adjusted Utility Quality of Life differences relative to healthy weight individuals (95% confidence interval) were, 0.012 (-0.022, -0.001) for overweight individuals, 0.020 (-0.041, 0.001) for class-I obese individuals, -0.020 (-0.041, 0.001) class-II obese individuals, and -0.069 (-0.099, -0.039) for class-III obese individuals, suggesting an inverse relationship between body weight and quality of life.26 Cost Effectiveness: No cost effectiveness studies were identified specific to Saudi Arabia. Studies from other countries were identified in the literature update for orlistat and bariatric surgery.27,28 Panel members provided their estimate of average unit costs for the specific intervention in Saudi Arabian Riyal (SR). Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 8 I. Non-pharmacological Management Question 1: Should psychotherapy-cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) compared to no cognitive behavioural therapy be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: Multicomponent lifestyle interventions that include diet, exercise and behaviour modification are a common strategy for weight loss, associated with moderate weight reduction. 14 Psychotherapy is a core component of behavioural modification. In order to understand the role of psychotherapy, this question focuses on cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT), which is an established psychotherapeutic treatment of choice for weight loss.31 Cognitive behavioral approaches offer individuals the opportunity to identify behavioural and thinking patterns that relate to their particular weight problems.8 Cognitively oriented weight programmes have been developed to reach the growing number of overweight men and women since the 1970's. 9 More recently, randomized controlled trials evaluating the impact of psychotherapy, have identified cognitive behavioural therapy to be superior for reducing bingeeating, compared to other psychotherapies. 9 Summary of Findings: The question was based on the 2013 NHMRC systematic review.13 The updated literature search identified no new studies related to CBT. Benefits and Harms of the Option: The findings of 1 trial (total of 42 participants) found low quality evidence that showed a decrease in weight change (follow up: mean 18 months; assessed with: mean kg) for the provision of psychotherapy compared to no psychotherapy for overweight and obese adults (6.1 kg lower, 95% CI 9.53 lower to 2.67 lower). 8 Resource Use: Resources required are probably not small as in Saudi Arabia psychologists or trained primary care physician would be needed, and training health care workers in psychotherapy would be required. The panel judged the provision of CBT to be cost effective, for overweight and obese adults. Other considerations: The panel was concerned about applying this recommendation to complex populations with suspected or confirmed eating disorders who would require specialized psychiatric assessment. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: Probably the beneficial effects of CBT are large and no adverse consequences are anticipated other than resource use requirements. Recommendation 1: The panel suggests cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) rather than no such therapy in overweight and obese adults. (conditional recommendation, low quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to general obese populations. Individuals with suspected or confirmed eating disorders or depression require specialized psychiatric assessment and management. Implementation Considerations and Monitoring: Cognitive behavioural therapy as interpreted in this intervention is delivered by a social worker with expertise in CBT and therefore requires consideration in terms of implementation and health professional training. Subgroup considerations: Psychotherapy should not be a substitute for psychiatric assessment in any individual with suspected or confirmed eating disorder or depression. Research Priorities: The panel identified as a research priority conducting a review of observational studies in Saudi Arabia among both men and women to assess the role of CBT in the management of obesity. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 9 Question 2: Should intensive lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? havioural information) for obese and overweight adults (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.65 to 1.4; absolute effect: 14 fewer events per 1000).10 Background: Lifestyle interventions are the cornerstone of obesity treatment. Intensive lifestyle interventions (ILI) involve more extreme dietary, physical and behavioural counselling, delivered by multidisciplinary teams of nutritionists, physicians, behavioural therapists and exercise trainers. 10- 12 ILI typically involves low to very low calorie diets (providing 800-1200 Kcal/day or <800 Kcal/day), moderate to intense physical activity (≥30 minutes daily or the equivalent of consuming 1800-2500 Kcals/week), and individualized behavioural goal setting, delivered at weekly or bi monthly visits for 1 to several years. 10-12 ILI is therefore reserved for populations at high risk of obesity. Outcomes for this intervention are consequently longer-term, such as mortality and cardiovascular events, which are direct patient important end-points.10-12 The findings of 1 trial (total of 505 participants) found high quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in Elevated Blood Pressure (systolic blood pressure > 130 mmHg, diastolic BP greater than 85 mmHG) (follow up: mean 3 years; assessed with: prevalence of elevated blood pressure) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults (RR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.69 to 1.3; absolute effect: 24 fewer events per 1000).10 Summary of Findings: The question was primarily based on the Finnish, Diabetes Prevention Study (DPS) and the Look AHEAD trial 10-12. The updated literature search identified no new studies. Benefits and Harms of the Option: The findings of 1 trial (total of 505 participants) found moderate quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in abdominal obesity (≥102 cm in men, ≥88 cm in women) (follow up: mean 4 years; assessed with: prevalence) for the provision of intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care for obese and overweight adults (OR: 0.869, 95% CI: 0.6 to 1.2; absolute effect: 27 fewer events per 1000). 10 The findings of 1 trial (total of 505 participants) found moderate quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in low HDL cholesterol (low HDL cholesterol < 40 mg/dl or < 1.03 mmol/L) (follow up: mean 4 years; assessed with: prevalence of low HDL cholesterol) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general be- The findings of 1 trial (total of 5645 participants) found moderate quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in mortality (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: events) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.08; absolute effect: 8 fewer events per 1000). 11 The findings of 1 trial (total of 505 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in cardio vascular morbidity (acute coronary events, coronary heart disease, stroke and hypertensive disease) (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: events) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.70 to 1.56; absolute effect: 3 more events per 1000).11 The findings of 1 trial (total of 4867 participants) found moderate quality evidence that showed a decrease in hospitalization heart failure (follow up: mean 10 years) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults (RR 0.86, 95% CI Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 64 to 1.09; absolute effect: 7 fewer events per 1000). 12 The findings of 1 trial (total of 4866 participants) found low quality evidence that showed a decrease in weight (follow up: mean 9.6 years; assessed with: Kg) for the provision of Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults (MD 4 lower, 95% CI 5 lower to 3 lower). 12 Resource use: The panel judged resources required to not be small and probably not cost effective. Other considerations: The panel judged the option to be probably acceptable to key stakeholders and the feasibility to vary and perhaps not be possible on a population level. The panel judged the feasibility to be possible in selected settings where human and financial resources are available as barriers include the resources and availability of the health care professionals to support intensive lifestyle modification. The panel judged the provision of CBT to probably increase health inequity. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: Most panel members thought that the benefit in terms of prevention of diabetes and associated cost of care outweighs the downsides. One panel member thought the balance of desirable and undesirable consequences was uncertain because of concerns about cost effectiveness and feasibility. Research Priorities: Generation of local evidence for lifestyle modification is recommended (The research evidence used in this guideline involving behaviours may be not applicable for Saudi population which could affect outcomes). 10 Recommendation 2: The panel suggests using intensive lifestyle modification rather than usual or minimal care in overweight and obese adults. (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to those who are at higher risk for obesity-related comorbidities such as diabetes as they would benefit more from intensive lifestyle interventions. Subgroup considerations: Patients at higher risk for diabetes may benefit more from this intervention. Implementation Considerations and Monitoring: Implementation will require wellorganized, standardized lifestyle intervention programs. Question 3: Should lifestyle interventions compared to other interventions be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: Lifestyle interventions are multicomponent treatments that involve promoting healthy lifestyle habits, dietary interventions, dietary counselling, physical exercise training as well as psychological and behavioural interventions. Pharmacotherapies are often an adjunct to lifestyle interventions, but are not included in this definition of lifestyle interventions. Lifestyle interventions are the cornerstone of obesity management.14 Summary of Findings: The question was primarily based on the NHMRC systematic review 201313. The updated literature search identified a Canadian systematic review and meta-analysis.14 Benefits and Harms of the Option: The metaanalysis of 5 trials (total of 1149 participants) found moderate quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean less than or equal to 1 year; assessed with: mean change Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 11 (mmHg)) for the provision of lifestyle interventions compared to usual care for obese and overweight adults (MD 1.95 lower, 95% CI 3.69 higher to 0.21 lower). 13 mended (The research evidence used in this guideline involving behaviours may be not applicable for Saudi population which could affect outcomes). The meta-analysis of 5 trials found moderate quality evidence that showed a decrease in diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean less than or equal to 1 year; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) for the provision of lifestyle interventions compared to usual care for obese and overweight adults (MD 3.24 lower, 95% CI 4.47 lower to 2.02 lower). 13 Recommendation 3: The meta-analysis of 46 trials (total of 10829 participants) found moderate quality evidence that showed a decrease in weight (follow up: range < 12 months; assessed with: mean change (kg)) for the provision of lifestyle interventions compared to usual care for obese and overweight adults (MD 3.13 lower, 95% CI 3.88 lower to 2.38 lower). 14 The meta-analysis of 15 trials (total of 3556 participants) found moderate quality evidence that showed a decrease in LDL cholesterol (follow up: range <12 months; assessed with: mmol/L)) for the provision of lifestyle interventions compared to usual care for obese and overweight adults (MD 0.14 lower, 95% CI 0.29 lower to 0.002 lower). 14 Resource use: The panel judged lifestyle interventions to require a small cost and to be cost effective. Other considerations: The panel judged the provision of lifestyle interventions to be both feasible and acceptable and to have no impact on health inequities. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: The benefits of lifestyle interventions clearly outweigh the harms, the resources required are small and the option was judged to be cost effective, and the option is both feasible and acceptable and has no impact on health inequities. Research Priorities: Generation of local evidence for lifestyle modification is recom- The panel recommends lifestyle intervention rather than usual care alone in overweight and obese adults. (strong recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Implementation Considerations and Monitoring: Lifestyle interventions should be tailored to individual patient comorbidities. Question 4: Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: This brief intervention focuses on nutrition and physical activity counselling, the core components of lifestyle interventions, which are the cornerstone of obesity management. Distinct from other lifestyle approaches, this brief and simple intervention is intended to be delivered by primary care physicians within constraints of limited office time and limited behavioural counselling skills. The emphasis on brevity, and less intensive behavioural/psychotherapeutic aspects may favours tolerability for both patients and practitioners as evidenced by the lower dropout rate (13%) compared to traditional lifestyle interventions (> 20%). 15 Summary of Findings: The question was based on one moderate sized study (n= 273)15, derived from the NHMRC systematic review. 11,15 The updated literature search identified no new studies. Benefits and Harms of the Option: The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that showed an increase in lost >5% body weight (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: prevalence) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults Management of Overweight and Obese Adults (OR 2.28, 95% CI 1.15 to 4.53; absolute effect: 107 more events per 1000). 15 The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that did showed an increase in getting engaged in moderate physical activity (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: % subjects achieved) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults (OR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.18 to 3.12; absolute effect: 161 more events per 1000). 15 The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in change in waist circumference (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: cm) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults (MD: 1.2, 95% CI: 2.82 higher to 0.39 lower). 15 The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease change in systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mean mmHg) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults (MD: 2.11 higher, 95% CI: 6.07 higher to 2.79 lower). 15 The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out an increase or a decrease in the change in diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mmHg) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults (MD: 0.1 lower, 95% CI: 2.95 lower to 2.75 higher). 15 The findings of 1 trial (total of 273 participants) found low quality evidence that showed a decrease in the change in total cholesterol (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mg/dL) for the provision of nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to 12 health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults (MD: 3.9 lower, 95% CI: 5.96 higher to 13.75 lower). 15 Resource use: the panel judged the cost of providing nutrition and physical exercise information to probably not have a small cost as physicians must provide time to discuss tailored information and preparation of individualized information. The panel did judge the option to be cost effective. Other Considerations: The panel judged the provision of nutrition and physical activity information to be acceptable and probably feasible with no impact on health inequities. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: There is health benefit without downsides other than the cost of implementation and there is no doubt among members that an individualized approach in overweight and obese individuals is better than a generic approach. Recommendation 4: The panel recommends individualized counseling interventions rather than generic educational pamphlets in overweight or obese adults. (strong recommendation, low quality evidence) Research Priorities: More research about the methods of individualized interventions is required. Question 5: Should iso-caloric low-fat compared to moderate-fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: People with diabetes are advised to reduce fat intake in order to decrease their risk of cardiovascular disease. There is debate about the feasibility of adherence to and benefits of very low fat diets for improving cardiovascular risk and achieving weight loss. One trial conducted in Iran that was reported in the NHMRC review found significant reduction (P<0.001) in waist circumference of Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 5.5 cm (SD 2.4) in the moderate fat versus low fat group.11 The authors conclude that better adherence to the more appetizing moderate fat diet was the reason for success, which would have relevance regarding this option for the Saudi context.16 Summary of Findings: Three studies 16-18 informing this question are derived from the NHMRC systematic review 13. Meta-analysis was not provided in the original review but was undertaken for this report for estimates of effect on weight and lipids (HLD, LDL and Triglycerides). One of the RCTs reported additional outcomes of systolic and diastolic blood pressure 16 that were not evaluated by the other trials.17,18 The updated literature search identified no new studies. Benefits and Harms of the Option: The metaanalysis of 3 trials (total 159 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean weight change (follow-up mean 6-7 months) for use of isocaloric low-fat compared to moderatefat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.79 kilograms lower; 95% CI: 1.99 lower to 0.49 higher). 16-18 The meta-analysis of 3 trials found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean total cholesterol change (follow-up 6-18 months) for use of isocaloric lowfat compared to moderate-fat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.21 mmol/L lower; 95% CI: 8.86 lower to 8.84 higher). 16-18 The meta-analysis of 3 trials found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean HDL cholesterol change (follow-up 6-18 months) for use of isocaloric lowfat compared to moderate-fat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.03 mmol/L lower; 95% CI: 0.62 lower to 0.56 higher). The meta-analysis of 3 trials found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean Triglycerides change (followup 6-18 months) for use of iso-caloric low-fat compared to moderate-fat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.2 mmol/L higher; 95% CI: 0.05 lower to 0.45 higher). 13 The findings of one trial (89 total participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean systolic blood pressure change (follow-up 14 months) for use of iso-caloric low-fat compared to moderate-fat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 2.8 mmHg lower; 95% CI: 11.4 lower to 5.8 higher). 16 The findings of one trial (89 total participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean diastolic blood pressure change (follow-up 14 months) for use of iso-caloric low-fat compared to moderate-fat diets in overweight and obese adults (mean 4.7 mmHg lower; 95% CI: 9.1 lower to 0.2 higher). 16 No harms were identified. Resource Use: Individual dietary programs to create an energy deficit may be more costeffective than broad general practitioner advice if delivered by an accredited practicing dietitian. Costs are associated with the use of specialized diets. Purchasing very low-fat diet items to replace meals may be costly for individuals and their use requires frequent monitoring by healthcare professionals. The relevant healthcare professional to monitor use may be a general practitioner with special training, dietitian or specialist nurse, depending on access to the type of provider. Other Considerations: The panel judged the use of low-fat diets both acceptable and feasible. The panel judged the impact on inequity to be not applicable. The panel judged that there is no important uncertainty or variability about how much people value this outcome. Balance between desirable and undesirable Consequences: The panel judged the balance between desirable and undesirable consequences as uncertain due to lack of information on undesirable effects. Research Priorities: The panel suggests randomized controlled trials be done with adequate follow-up duration that compare iso- Management of Overweight and Obese Adults caloric diets with fat content lower than 20%, approximately 20% and approximately 30%. Recommendation 5: The panel makes no clinical recommendation regarding iso-caloric low-fat versus moderate-fat diets. The panel suggests randomized controlled trials be done with adequate follow-up duration that compare iso-caloric diets with fat content lower than 20%, approximately 20% and approximately 30%. (low quality evidence) Remarks: Panel members judged that there was not enough evidence to choose one option over another. If any diet is used, fat content should be determined according to AMDR and fat subtypes should be defined (saturated fatty acids, trans fatty acids, Omega 3 and 6 fatty acids) in order to evaluate benefits or harms. Questions 6 & 7: Should physical activity and diet compared to diet or physical activity alone be used for overweight and obese adults? Summary of Findings: Studies informing these questions are derived from the NHMRC systematic review and include two Cochrane reviews 19,36 and four more recent randomized controlled trials. 19,21,22,34,35,36 The updated literature search identified no new studies. Benefits and Harms of the Option: Physical activity versus no physical activity: The meta-analysis of 2 trials (total 351 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in end study prevalence of diabetes (follow-up 2-4 years) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (OR = 0.67; 95% CI 0.29 to 1.57; absolute effect 100 fewer events per 1000). 36 14 The finding of one trial (total 179 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean waist circumference change (follow-up mean 12 months) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.1 cm higher; 95% CI 0.35 higher to 1.34 lower). 21 Findings from one trial (total 179 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean 400meter per second gait speed change (followup mean 12 months) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.009 m/sec higher; 95% CI not available). 21 Findings from one trial (total 133 participants) found low quality evidence of a reduction in mean percentage body fat change (follow-up mean 2 years) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (mean 1.61 % lower; 95% CI 3.27 lower to 0.5 lower). 22 Findings from one trial (total 133 participants) found low quality evidence of an increase in mean bench press capacity change (follow-up mean 2 years) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (mean 6.6 kg higher; 95% CI 8.29 higher to 4.91 higher). 22 The meta-analysis of 2 trials (total 270 participants) found moderate quality evidence of a reduction in mean weight change (follow-up 2-4 years) for use of exercise compared to no exercise in overweight and obese adults (mean 2.03 kg lower; 95% CI 1.23 lower to 2.82 lower). 19 Physical activity and diet versus diet: The meta-analysis of 15 trials (total 1479 participants) found very low quality evidence of a reduction in mean body weight change (follow-up mean 1 year) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.65 kg lower; 95% CI 0.97 lower to 0.33 lower).19 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults The meta-analysis of 6 trials (total 615 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean systolic blood pressure change (followup mean 1 year) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.11 mmHg lower; 95% CI 1.45 lower to 1.25 higher).19 Findings from one trial found moderate quality evidence of a reduction in knee pain change (follow-up mean 2 years) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese adults (OR = 2.95 for % achieving > 30% reduction in WOMAC score; 95% CI 1.68 to 5.19; absolute effect 238 more events per 1000). 35 The meta-analysis of 6 trials (total 615 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean diastolic blood pressure change (followup mean 1 year) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.94 mmHg lower; 95% CI 1.89 lower to 0.0 higher). 19 The meta-analysis of 6 trials (total 619 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean cholesterol change (follow-up 1 year) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese adults (mean 0.03 mmol/L higher; 95% CI 0.07 lower to 0.13 higher). 19 15 barrier to outdoor exercise. According to the panel, women experience barriers to physical activity, as they require accompaniment. For diet, costs are associated with the use of specialized diets. Purchasing low-energy diet items to replace meals may be costly for individuals and their use requires frequent monitoring by healthcare professionals. The relevant healthcare professional to monitor use may be a general practitioner, dietician or specialist nurse, depending on access to the type of provider. Health professional visit fees would also therefore need to be considered among the resources required. The panel estimated costs for such providers were: general physician 300 SR; diabetic educator 250 SR; nutritionist 250 SR; and behavioural specialist 200 SR per visit. Other considerations: The panel judged that exercise and diet would be both feasible to implement and acceptable to most stakeholders. The panel judged that there is no important uncertainty or variability about how much people value this outcome. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: The panel judged that desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings. The panel judged that for exercise alone and diet alone, though, the desirable anticipated effects due to exercise or diet alone are probably not large. Recommendations 6 & 7: Findings from one trial (total 54 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean bone density change (follow-up mean 1 year) for use of diet and physical activity compared to diet alone in overweight and obese older adults (mean 0.016 g/m2 higher; 95% CI 0.004 lower to 0.036 higher). 34 No harms outcomes were identified. Resource Use: For physical activity and exercise, out of pocket expense for cost and travel to indoor recreation centres are prohibitive (1000-3000 SR per month), hot weather is a The panel recommends physical activity rather than no physical activity in overweight and obese adults. (strong recommendation, low quality evidence) The panel recommends physical activity in addition to diet rather than a diet alone in overweight or obese adults. (strong recommendation, low quality evidence) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Question 8: Should portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet be used for obese and overweight adults? Background: Portion-controlled meals can be commercially prepared, specifically designed for convenience, ease of incorporation into an individual’s lifestyle, and are intended to improve long-term dietary adherence. This question addresses the effect of portioncontrolled diet against standard diet and is based on a single, long-term (36 month) RCT (n= 126). 23 Summary of Findings: This question was based on one randomized controlled trial identified in the NHMRC systematic review. 23 The updated literature search identified no new studies. Benefits and Harms of the Option: Findings from one trial (total 48 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in end of study prevalence of > 10% weight loss change (follow-up mean 36 weeks) for use of portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet in overweight or obese adults (OR = 6.54 achieving >10% weight loss; 95% CI 0.75 to 56.92; absolute effect 231 more per 1000). 23 Findings from one trial (total 48 participants) found very low quality evidence of a reduction in mean systolic blood pressure change (follow-up mean 36 weeks) for use of portioncontrolled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet in overweight or obese adults (mean 10.6 mmHg lower; 95% CI 18.67 lower to 2.88 lower). Findings from one trial (total 48 participants) found very low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean total cholesterol change (follow-up mean 36 weeks) for use of portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet in overweight or obese adults (mean 14.3 mg/dL lower; 95% CI 35.3 lower to 6.55 higher). 16 Findings from one trial (total 42 participants) found low quality evidence that did not rule out a reduction or increase in mean prevalence of reduced medication use (follow-up 36 months) with use of portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet in overweight or obese adults (OR = 7.9 achieving reduced medication; 95% CI 152.27 to 0.42; absolute effect 202 more events per 1000). Findings from one trial (total 48 participants) found very low quality evidence of a reduction in mean diastolic blood pressure change (follow-up 36 weeks) for use of portioncontrolled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet in overweight or obese adults (mean 5.6 mmHg lower; 95% CI 10.36 lower to 0.84 lower). No harms were identified. Resource Use: Costs are associated with the use of specialized diets. The panel judged resources required for commercial preparations (~2000 SR per month) are most likely not small. The panel also identified that it is uncertain if resources required are small, owing to lack of data on what would be the cost associated with home-made portion control diets. Purchasing diet items to replace meals may be costly for individuals and their use requires frequent monitoring by healthcare professionals. The relevant healthcare professional to monitor use may be a general practitioner, dietician or specialist nurse, depending on access to the type of provider. Health professional visit fees would also therefore need to be considered. The panel estimated costs for such providers were: general physician 300 SR; diabetic educator 250 SR; nutritionist 250 SR; and behavioural specialist 400 SR. Other Considerations: The panel judged the option both feasible and acceptable to key stakeholders to implement. The panel judged that increased associated costs would likely cause health inequities to increase. The panel judged that there is no important uncertainty Management of Overweight and Obese Adults regarding the variability about how much people value this outcome. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: The panel judged that the balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain as it is uncertain whether the desirable anticipated effects are large and whether the undesirable effects are small. Research Priorities: The panel suggests more research on portion controlled diet strategies for weight loss Recommendation 8: The panel does not make a clinical recommendation on portion-controlled diets. The panel suggests that more research be done. (very low quality evidence) Implementation Considerations and Monitoring: Standardization of diet if made at home may be a barrier for successful implementation. II. Pharmacological Management Question 9: Should metformin compared to no metformin be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: The cornerstone of obesity treatment is lifestyle changes. In view of the low success rate in achieving weight loss and even lower success rate for maintaining this weight loss, drug therapy for obesity in conjunction with lifestyle changes are often used. 14,31,33,40 Evidence suggests that metformin therapy alone contributes to weight loss14, although its use for obesity is considered off-label in most jurisdictions. Evidence Summary: Evidence informing this question is derived from the NHMRC review and includes a meta-analysis on insulinsensitizing dugs for weight loss in women pooled across 8 trials 24 (Appendix 2 Guideline question 9, Figure1) as well as the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (n= 17 1938). 41 Our literature update also identified one RCT on hypertensive patients using low dose metformin.42 Benefits and Harms of the option: The metaanalysis of 8 RCTs (N= 372) found moderate quality of evidence for a clinically small decrease in BMI (0.98 Kg/m2± 0.53) associated with metformin use (850 mg BID over 2-12 months) among obese women.24 One moderate quality RCT (The Diabetes Prevention Program, n = 1260) found that systolic blood pressure was insignificantly higher among those at risk for diabetes who received metformin 850 mg BID over 5.7 years (0.4 mmHg ±1.6) 41 One moderate quality RCT (The Diabetes Prevention Program, n = 1260) found that diastolic blood pressure was insignificantly higher among those at risk for diabetes who received metformin 850 mg BID over 5.7 years (0.7 mmHg ± 0.68) 41 One moderate quality RCT (The Diabetes Prevention Program, n = 1260) found that total cholesterol was insignificantly lower among those at risk for diabetes who received metformin 850 mg BID over 5.7 years (0.01 mmHg ± 0.06) 41 One moderate quality RCT (The Diabetes Prevention Program, n = 1938-for this outcome) found that the incidence of diabetes decreased by 30 per 1000 among those at risk for diabetes who received metformin 850 mg BID over 5.7 year 41 One moderate quality RCT identified in our update (n= 360) found a decrease 0.7 kg ± 1.59 among hypertensive patients receiving metformin 300 mg od for 12 weeks. The quality of evidence for harms is moderate. Results are described narratively due to reporting inconsistencies and are related mainly to gastrointestinal side-effects (nausea, abdominal cramps and diarrhoea).42 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Resource Use: The panel judged resources required for metformin to be small and cost effectiveness to be uncertain. Panel estimates 20 SR per month for metformin, 850 mg BID per adult. Other considerations: The panel judged metformin to be feasible and acceptable and that benefits may be larger in patients with prediabetes and those with risk factors for diabetes. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: The panel judged that the desirable anticipated benefits of metformin are not large, that those with pre-diabetes and other diabetes risk factors may experience larger benefits, that undesirable side-effects vary, that costs associated with metformin are small, that it is feasible and acceptable to implement. Overall, the panel judged that desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings. Recommendation 9: The panel suggests metformin in obese or overweight adults. (conditional recommendation, low quality evidence) Research Priorities: Future RCTs are required on unselected obese and overweight populations that report all patient-important outcomes (e.g. quality of life, function, morbidity and mortality) rather than surrogate outcomes only. Economic analysis in the Saudi Arabian health care system is recommended. Question 10: Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? Background: The cornerstone of obesity treatment is lifestyle changes. In view of the low success rate in achieving weight loss and even lower success rate for maintaining this weight loss, drug therapy for obesity in conjunction with lifestyle changes is often advised. 31,33 Orlistat is a lipase inhibitor, which prevents absorption of approximately 25% of 18 fat consumed and is the main anti-obesity drug approved for long-term treatment of obesity.29 Evidence suggests that orlistat therapy alone contributes to weight loss. 13 In some jurisdictions (e.g. U.S.) orlistat is over the counter, suggesting a high safety profile. Summary of Findings: A meta-analysis from the NHMRC review across 11 trials informs this question. Additionally, an older Cochrane review based on 4 RCTs derived from the NHMRC provides descriptive summaries for adverse events, mortality and myocardial infarctions.13,27 Benefits and Harms of the option: Moderate quality evidence from a meta-analysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2058) found that treatment with orlistat 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased systolic blood pressure by 1.82 mm Hg ± 0.43.13 Moderate quality evidence from a metaanalysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2058) found that treatment with orlistat, 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased diastolic blood pressure by 1.56 mm Hg ± 0.69.13 Moderate quality evidence from a metaanalysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2080-for this outcome) found that treatment with orlistat, 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased body weight by 3.38 kg ± 0.41 13 Low quality of evidence for adverse events is summarized descriptively from 4 trials as reported in a Cochrane review.25 The majority of individuals (up to 73%) in the orlistat groups reported side-effects of steatorrhoea, fatty faecal incontinence, frequent or urgent bowel movements. Evidence for mortality is low and reported descriptively. There were two deaths in 3 RCTs in the orlistat group over 12 months compared to no deaths in the placebo group. 25 Evidence for myocardial infarction is low and reported descriptively. There were two myocardial infarctions in 2 RCTs, compared to 1 in the placebo groups. 25 Resource Use: The panel judged resource use associated with orlistat to be small, and prob- Management of Overweight and Obese Adults ably cost effective and that economic analyses in the Saudi Arabian context be undertaken. Other considerations: The panel judged that impact on health inequity would probably increase and therefore recommended in settings with limited resources that the opposite (i.e. not using orlistat) may be equally reasonable. The panel judged that orlistat is feasible and acceptable to implement and recommends that patients should be advised to expect adverse events and to avoid fatty meals, additionally since orlistat decreases absorption of fat soluble vitamins, that supplementation may be warranted. Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: The panel judged that overall, benefits of orlistat probably outweigh anticipated important adverse events and that implementation is feasible and acceptable. The panel recommends that patients be advised of adverse events, to avoid fatty meals and to consider vitamin supplementation. The panel judged that impact on health inequities is probably increased and that where resources are limited not using orlistat would be also reasonable. Recommendation 10: The panel suggests orlistat in obese and overweight adults. (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Research Priorities: Economic analysis in Saudi Arabian health care system is recommended. Studies investigating whether and when to use multivitamin supplementation with orlistat is also recommended. 19 surgery include; bleeding (0.5%), thromboembolic events (0.8%), wound complications (1.8%), deep infection-abscess or leak (2.1%), pulmonary complications (6.2%), miscellaneous complications (4.8%), cholecystitis and mortality (0.52%). 43 Large observational studies of bariatric surgery, confirms effectiveness of major weight reduction and improvement in co-morbidities, which are reported in small, randomized trials.45 Summary of Findings: Our literature update identified a meta-analysis of bariatric surgery within the 2014 Cochrane review by Colquitt.41 However comparisons within this review did not address the surgical technique and comparator of interest to panel members (sleeve gastrectomy versus medical therapy). Panel members identified The RCT by Schauer, 2014 that specifically evaluated sleeve gastrectomy in comparison to medical therapy as important for consideration in the Saudi context and this RCT informs this question. 44 Benefits and Harms of the option: Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 89) is found for mean systolic blood pressure reduction of 5.7 mmHg (± 8.3) in the surgically treated group compared to the medically treated group over 3 years. 44 Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 88) found a reduction of those with glycosylated hemoglobin > 6% of 200 fewer per 1000 when treated surgically treated versus medically over 3 years (NNT = 5, range 17 to 3). 44 Question 11: Should bariatric surgery compared to non-surgical therapies be used for overweight and obese adults? Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 89) is found for weight reduction of 21 kg (± 6) in the surgically treated group compared to the medically treated group over 3 years. 42 Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 88) found an increase of anemia 209 more per 1000 among those treated surgically compared to those treated medically over 3 years (NNT = 5, range 142 to 2). 44 Background: Bariatric surgery in general carries risk of morbidity and peri-operative mortality. It is therefore considered when other treatments have failed. Risks with bariatric Other considerations: The panel identified that data are limited to sleeve gastrectomy techniques. The panel judged that health inequities would probably increase in relation to III. Surgical Management Management of Overweight and Obese Adults surgical interventions, that implementation considerations need to address pre-operative screening requirements by trained physicians for evaluation of comorbidities and other causes of obesity, including eating disorders and depression and that post-operative lifelong follow-up by interdisciplinary teams (surgeon, clinical nutritionist, psychotherapist) are required to prevent and manage dietary deficiencies and other complications and these health professional resources represent additional implementation considerations. The panel judged that it is feasible and acceptable to implement. Resource Use: The panel considered resource associated with bariatric surgery-sleeve gastrectomy to be not small and probably costeffective Balance between desirable and undesirable consequences: Overall, the panel judged that the desirable consequences of this surgical intervention probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings. Anticipated beneficial effects are large, risks are probably small. Costs are judged to be small and probably cost-effective. The intervention is acceptable and feasible. The panel identified that data are limited to sleeve gastrectomy, that there are inequities associated with this intervention and that implementation requires consideration of health professional resources for screening and interdisciplinary post-operative follow-up. 20 Recommendation 11: The panel suggests using bariatric surgery in obese adults (BMI ≥40 or ≥35 with comorbidities). (conditional recommendation, moderate quality evidence) Remarks: This recommendation pertains to individuals with larger BMI since anticipated benefits are larger in the setting of individuals who are at higher health risk due to obesity when considering risks associated with surgery. It also considers implementation requirements of interdisciplinary teams to prevent and manage lifelong dietary deficiencies, complications and weight management. Research priorities: Long-term evaluation of benefits and complications related to bariatric surgery are required, as well as evidence from studies involving individuals with lower BMI (30-35). Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Questions initially identified as potentially relevant but not addressed in these guidelines 1. Should laparoscopic adjustable gastric band surgery rather than no laparoscopic adjustable gastric band surgery be used in obese adults? – The panel members thought that this procedure was not relevant in the Saudi context as this has been replaced by other surgical procedures. 2. Should intensive lifestyle intervention rather than group education sessions be used in overweight and obese adults? – The panel members thought that group education is part of intensive lifestyle modification and does not need to be addressed separately 3. Should motivational interviewing rather than no motivational interviewing be used in overweight and obese adults? – The panel members thought that this intervention is part of intensive lifestyle modification intervention and does not need to be addressed separately. 4. Should exercise and diet rather than exercise alone be used in obese and overweight adults? – The panel mem- 21 bers thought that this question is not relevant as diet should be part of the management of obesity irrespective, and that individuals motivated enough to exercise would most likely already use diet. Priority questions for the future update of this guideline The following questions were identified by the guideline panel as priority to be answered in the future update of this guideline: 1. Should more novel anti-obesity drugs compared to classical anti-obesity drugs be used in overweight and obese adult patients? 2. Should specific types of bariatric surgery be offered to obese Saudi patients, as compared to the most commonly performed surgery? 3. Should herbal and traditional/cultural medicine (whether locally produced or imported from abroad) be encouraged in overweight and obese adult patients? 4. What are optimal intervention strategies for the prevention of obesity? 5. 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Effect of lifestyle intervention on the occurrence of metabolic syndrome and its components in the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study. Diabetes Care 2008;31:805-7. 11. Uusitupa M, Peltonen M, Lindström J, et al. Ten-year mortality and cardiovascular morbidity in the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study—secondary analysis of the randomized trial. PLoS One 2009;4:e5656. 12. Long Term Effects of a Lifestyle Intervention on Weight and Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes: Four Year Results of the Look AHEAD Trial. Archives of internal medicine 2010;170:1566-75. 13. National Health and Medical Research Council AG. Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of overweight and obesity in adults, adolescents and children in AustraliaSystematic Review. Melbourne: National Health and Medical research Council 14. Peirson L, Douketis J, Ciliska D, Fitzpatrick-Lewis D, Ali MU, Raina P. Treatment for overweight and obesity in adult populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Canadian Medical Association Open Access Journal 2014;2:E306-E17. 15. Christian JG, Bessesen DH, Byers TE, Christian KK, Goldstein MG, Bock BC. Clinic-based support to help overweight patients with type 2 diabetes increase physical activity and lose weight. Archives of Internal Medicine 2008;168:141-6. 16. Azadbakht L, Mirmiran P, Esmaillzadeh A, Azizi F. Better dietary adherence and weight maintenance achieved by a long-term moderate-fat diet. British journal of nutrition 2007;97:399-404. 17. Milne RM, Mann JI, Chisholm AW, Williams SM. Long-term comparison of three dietary prescriptions in the treatment of NIDDM. Diabetes Care 1994;17:74-80. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 23 18. Tsihlias EB, Gibbs AL, McBurney MI, Wolever TM. Comparison of high-and low-glycemic-index breakfast cereals with monounsaturated fat in the long-term dietary management of type 2 diabetes. The American journal of clinical nutrition 2000;72:439-49. 19. Shaw KA, Gennat HC, O'Rourke P, Del Mar C. Exercise for overweight or obesity. The Cochrane Library 2006. 20. Thomas D, Elliott EJ, Naughton GA. Exercise for type 2 diabetes mellitus. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2006;3. 21. Manini TM, Newman AB, Fielding R, et al. Effects of exercise on mobility in obese and nonobese older adults. Obesity 2010;18:1168-75. 22. Schmitz KH, Hannan PJ, Stovitz SD, Bryan CJ, Warren M, Jensen MD. Strength training and adiposity in premenopausal women: strong, healthy, and empowered study. The American journal of clinical nutrition 2007;86:566-72. 23. Cheskin LJ, Mitchell AM, Jhaveri AD, et al. Efficacy of Meal Replacements Versus a Standard Food-Based Diet for Weight Loss in Type 2 Diabetes A Controlled Clinical Trial. The Diabetes Educator 2008;34:118-27. 24. Nieuwenhuis-Ruifrok A, Kuchenbecker W, Hoek A, Middleton P, Norman R. Insulin sensitizing drugs for weight loss in women of reproductive age who are overweight or obese: systematic review and meta-analysis. Human reproduction update 2009;15:57-68. 25. Siebenhofer A, Jeitler K, Horvath K, Berghold A, Siering U, Semlitsch T. Long‐term effects of weight‐reducing drugs in hypertensive patients. The Cochrane Library 2013. 26. Keating C. Peeters A, Swinburn B, Maglioano D, Moodie M. Utility-Based Quality of Life Associated with Overweight and Obesity: The Australian Diabetes, Obesity, and Lifestyle Study. Obesity 2013; 21: 652-5. 27. Lacey L, Wolf A, O'Shea D, Erny S, Ruof J. Cost-effectiveness of orlistat for the treatment of overweight and obese patients in Ireland. International Journal of Obesity 2005; 29:975-82. 28. Picot J, Jones J, Colquitt JL, Gospodarevskaya E, Loveman E, Baxter L, et al. The clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of bariatric (weight loss) surgery for obesity: a systematic review and economic evaluation. Health Technology Assessment 2009:13(41). 29. National Institute for Clinical Excellence. Clinical Practice Guideline Number 9. Eating disorders – core interventions in the treatment and management of anorexia nervosa, bulimia nervosa, related eating disorders. National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE). 2004;9. 30. Tsigos C, Hainer V, Basdevant A. Management of obesity in adults: European clinical practice guidelines. Obesity Facts. 2008; 1: 106-116. 31. Stegenga H, Haines A, Jones K, Wilding J. Identification, assessment and management of overweight and obesity: Summary of updated NICE guidance. British Medical Journal. 2014; 14(349):g6608. 32. Leblanc ES, O'Connor E, Whitlock EP, Patnode CD, Kapka T. Effectiveness of primary carerelevant treatments for obesity in adults: A systematic evidence review for the U.S. preventive services task force. 2011; 155: 434-447. 33. Al-Sherri FS, Moqbel M, Al-Sharani A, Al-Khalidi A, Abu-Melha W. Management of obesity: Saudi clinical guideline. Saudi Journal of Obesity. 2014; 1(1): 18-30. 34. Villareal D, Chode S, Parimi N, et al. Weight loss exercise or both and physical function in obese older adults. New England Journal of Medicine. 2011; 364(13): 1218-1224. 35. Jenkinson C, Doherty M, Avery A, et al. Effects of dietary intervention and quadriceps strengthening exercises on pain and function in overweight people with knee pain: Randomised controlled trial. British Medical Journal. 2009; 339(b2170): 1-10. 36. Orozco LJ. Buchleitner AM, Gimenez-Perez G, Roque i Figuls M, Richter B. Mauricio D. Exercise or exercise and diet for preventing type 2 diabetes mellitus. The Cochrane Library, 2008. 37. Pi-Sunyer X. Reduction in weight and cardiovascular disease in individuals with type 2 diabetes: One year results Look AHEAD trail. Diabetes Care. 2007; 30 (6): 1374-1383. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 24 38. Foster G, Borradaile K, Sanders M, et al. A randomized study on the effect of weight loss on sleep apnea among persons with type 2 diabetes: The sleep AHEAD study. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2009; 168 (17): 1619-1626. 39. Wing R, Bahnson J, Bray G, et al. Long term effects of a lifestyle intervention on cardiovascular risk factors in individuals type 2 diabetes; four year results. Look AHEAD trail. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2010; 170 (17): 1566-1575. 40. Brauer P, Gorber S, Shaw E., et al. Recommendations for prevention of weight gain and use of behavioural and pharmacoligic interventions to manage overweight and obesity in adults in primary care. Canadian Medical Association Journal. 2015; 187 (3). 41. Knowler WC, Fowler S, Hamman R, et al. 10-year follow up of diabetes incidence and weight loss in the diabetes prevention program outcomes study. Lancet. 2009; 374: 1677-1686. 42. He Z, James CJ, et al. - Metformin-based treatment for obesity-related hypertension: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Journal of Hypertension. 2012; 30 (7): 1430-1439. 43. Colquitt JL, Pickett K, Loveman E, Frampton GK. Surgery for weight loss in adults. The Cochrane Library, 2014. 44. Schauer P, Bhatt D, Kirwan J, Wolski K, Brethauer S, et al. Bariatric Surgery versus Intensive Medical Therapy for Diabetes — 3-Year Outcomes. 2014. New England Journal of Medicine. 370: 21: 2002-13. 45. Buchwald H, Estok R, Fahrbach K, Banel D, Jensen M. Weight and Type 2 Diabetes after Bariatric Surgery: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. 2009. American Journal of Medicine. 122; 3: 24855. 46. Alsahmari, Y. Attitudes and Practices of Primary Care Physicians in the Management of Overweight and Obesity in Eastern Saudi Arabia. International Journal of Health Sciences, Qassim University. 2014. 8; (2): 151-8. 47. Maetzel A, Ruof J, Covington M, Wolf A. Economic evaluation of orlistat in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Pharmacoeconomics. 2003, 21 (7): 501-12. 48. Torgerson J, Hauptman J, Boldrin M, Sjostrom L. XENical in the Prevention of Diabetes in Obese Subjects (XENDOS) Study A randomized study of orlistat as an adjunct to lifestyle changes for the prevention of type 2 diabetes in obese patients. Diabetes Care. 2004 27, (1): 155-61 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Appendices 1. Appendix 1: Evidence-to-Decision Frameworks 2. Appendix 2: Search Strategies and Results 25 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 26 Appendix 1: Evidence to Decision Frameworks Guideline Question 1: Should psychotherapy (CBT) compared to no psychotherapy be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Obese women (BMI> 30) Psychotherapy- Cognitive behavioral therapy 2 hour sessions weekly for 10 weeks delivered by a social worker Group education sessions on nutrition and exercise delivered by a multidisciplinary team Weight change at 18 months Background: Multicomponent lifestyle interventions that include diet, exercise and behaviour modification are a common strategy for weight loss, associated with moderate weight reduction. 14 Psychotherapy is a core component of behavioural modification. In order to understand the role of psychotherapy, this question focuses on cognitive behavioural therapy, which is an established psychotherapeutic treatment of choice for weight loss.29 Cognitive behavioral approaches offer individuals the opportunity to identify behavioural and thinking patterns that relate to their particular weight problems.9 Cognitively oriented weight programmes have been developed to reach the growing number of overweight men and women since the 1970's. 8 More recently, randomized controlled trials evaluating the impact of psychotherapy, have identified cognitive behavioural therapy to be superior for reducing bingeeating, compared to other psychotherapies. 9 Evidence summary: Overall certainty of evidence is low for psychotherapy-cognitive behavioural therapy type, although statistically greater weight loss (6.1 kg ±3.4) sustained at 18 months was observed, this is a single small study limited by imprecision and a high drop-out rate after randomization. 8 This study was derived from the NHMRC systematic review, there were no updates identified in our literature search. Expert KSA panel opinion suggests that acceptability of this option is low among the Saudi population. Low tolerance for psychotherapy is consistent with the high dropout rate (22% after randomization). Knowledge relative to cognitive treatment of obesity was significantly higher in the cognitive group compared to the control group (p<.001). Other outcomes (physiological parameters, self-efficacy) that could be considered in this context were not measured or reported in this study. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 27 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should psychotherapy compared to no psychotherapy be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? Judgements ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ No included studies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ Very low ● Low ○ Moderate ○ High ○ Important uncer- Benefits & harms of the options tainty or variability Additional considerations Research evidence ) Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: Outcome Weight change Relative importance CRITICAL Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Summary of findings: Outcome Without psychotherapy With psychotherapy Difference (95% CI The mean weight change in the intervention group was 6.1 lower (9.53 lower to 2.67 lower) mean 6.1 lower (9.53 lower to 2.67 lower) ○ Possibly imIs there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? portant uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important uncertainty of variability ● No important uncertainty of variability Weight change The mean weight change in the control group was 0.6 kg Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) - Patient values and preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on healthrelated quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are pre-obese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 28 Judgements ○ No known undesirable Resource use Are the desirable anticipated effects large? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the resources required small? ○ No ● Probably no Research evidence Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 29 Judgements Research evidence Additional considerations ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ICER not available, costs include therapist fees (social worker, behavioural therapist, physician, nurse) Inequities relate to access to trained therapists, travel and other out of pocket expenses incurred by individuals ○ Increased ● Probably inEquity Acceptability What would be the impact on health inequities? Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? creased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes Acceptability of counselling interventions is physician and patient dependent. A cross-sectional survey of Saudi primary care physicians suggests that these physicians self-identify as playing a key role in the management of obesity, but the majority felt unprepared to effectively address this issue. Brief physician training and counselling interventions described in this study, suggests opportunities for further research consideration. Alsahmarri, 2014 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 30 Judgements Research evidence Additional considerations ○ Varies Feasibility Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Feasibility depends on availability of trained clinicians and acceptability of psychotherapy approaches. Feasibility is related to recruiting trained staff and training existing staff. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 31 Recommendation Should psychotherapy vs. no psychotherapy be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ● ○ Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ● ○ Recommendation The panel suggests cognitive behavioral therapy rather than no such therapy in overweight and obese adults. Justification Probably large effect and no adverse consequences other than resource use. Subgroup considerations Psychotherapy should not be a substitute for psychiatric assessment in all individual with suspected or confirmed eating disorder or depression. Implementation considerations Cognitive Behavioural Therapy used in this intervention was described as delivered by a social who worker made use of guided exercises to emphasize relationships between thoughts and actions, identification of negative or distorted thoughts and connection with maladaptive eating behaviours/schemas and resources for implementation would include costs of training and fees of specialized health professionals. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities Systematic review of observational studies done locally in Saudi Arabia in both men and women. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 32 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: 2104-12-14 Question: Psychotherapy compared to no psychotherapy for obese and overweight adults Settings: Community Bibliography (systematic reviews): Stahre, 2007; Grilo, 2012 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Effect psychotherapy no psychotherapy Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 16 26 - mean 6.1 lower (9.53 lower to 2.67 lower) Quality Importance Weight change (follow up: mean 18 months; assessed with: mean kg) 1 randomised trials serious 13 not serious serious 4 serious 2 none MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. randomization process not reported, concealment not indicated unable to determine if all outcomes intended to evaluate are reported wide confidence interval around mean effect Attrition rates high 22% after randomization prior to treatment Indirect measure of cardiovascular disease, longevity, not a cognitive-behavioral ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 33 Guideline Question 2: Should intensive lifestyle intervention (diet, exercise and behaviour modification) compared to usual, minimal care be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes General obese population at risk for diabetes (impaired glucose tolerance) Individualized lifestyle counselling, moderate physical activity (> 30 mins/day), low fat diet. Delivered by multidisciplinary team over 1-6 years Usual or minimal care (verbal general behavioural information- 4 annual visits) Abdominal obesity Physiological parameters (blood pressure, lipids) Cardiovascular events (acute coronary event, coronary heart disease, stroke, hypertensive disease) Mortality Background: Background: Lifestyle interventions are the cornerstone of obesity treatment. Intensive lifestyle interventions (ILI) involve more extreme dietary, physical and behavioural counselling, delivered by multidisciplinary teams of nutritionists, physicians, behavioural therapists and exercise trainers. 10,11 ILI typically involves low to very low calorie diets (< 30-25% of calories from fat), moderate to intense physical activity (> 30 minutes daily or the equivalent of consuming 1800-2500 Kcals/week), and individualized behavioural goal setting, delivered at weekly or bi monthly visits for 1 to several years. 10,11 ILI is therefore reserved for populations at high risk of obesity. Outcomes for this intervention are consequently longer-term, such as mortality and cardiovascular events, which are direct patient important end-points.10,11 Evidence summary: Evidence for ILI versus usual care comes from the Finish Diabetes Prevention Program, derived from the NHMRC review. 11,12 Certainty of evidence regarding ILI impact on physiological parameters (blood pressure, lipids) and abdominal obesity is moderate. Prevalence of abdominal obesity at end of study in the ILI group was 26% (n= 267) compared to usual care 28% (n= 257). Number needed to treat (NNT) to achieve resolution of abdominal obesity over 4 years = 37 (range 26- 10). NNT to achieve resolution of elevated blood pressure, triglycerides and low HDL is 42, 27 and 15 respectively. Evidence of impact on mortality is upgraded to high certainty due to directness of this outcome. There were 10 deaths in the usual care group versus 6 in the ILI group (NNH = 58). Impact on cardiovascular disease (composite end-point, see outcome description above) is downgraded to low certainty due to imprecision (3 more cardiovascular events in ILI group, OR = 1.02). Other parameters such as weight change or end of study weight were not reported. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 34 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should intensive lifestyle intervention (diet, exercise and behaviour modification) compared to usual, minimal care be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Benefits & harms of the options Judgements Is there a problem priority? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ No included studies ○ Very low ● Low ○ Moderate ○ High ○ Important uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability Is there important uncertainty about how Probably no immuch people value the portant uncertainty of main outcomes? variability ○ ● No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known undesirable Research evidence Additional Considerations Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: Summary of findings: Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults Patient values and preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are pre-obese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Judgements Are the desirable anticipated effects large? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? Resource use 35 Are the resources required small? Research evidence Additional Considerations ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ● No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes Intensive lifestyle interventions have resource implications that are greater than less intensive interventions. Health professionals fees of occupational therapists, behavioural specialists, physical trainers and phy- Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 36 Judgements Research evidence Additional Considerations sicians contribute to direct medical costs and will vary with intensity of visits, follow-up and ongoing monitoring (typical ILI programme bi-monthly from 1 to several years) Health professional visit fees provided by KSA panel below: General physician: 300 SR Diabetic Educator: 250SR Nutritionist: 250 SR Behavioural Specialist: 400 SR ○ Yes ○ Varies No ICER available Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ● Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Equity What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Increased ● Probably increased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies Out of pocket expense for travel to health facilities, specilaized diet, trainers, access to multidisciplinary team. According to KSA panel women experience greater barriers to physical activity as they require accompaniment. ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain May not be acceptable to all patients. Acceptability Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 37 Judgements Research evidence Additional Considerations ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Feasibility Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ● Varies May not be feasible on population level. It might be possible to implement in selected settings. Barriers include the resources and availability of the health care workers to support intensive lifestyle modification. May be feasible in some centers where resources are available. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 38 Recommendation Should intensive lifestyle vs. usual or minimal care be used in obese patients? Balance of consequences Type of recommendation Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ● ○ We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ● ○ Recommendation The panel suggests using intensive lifestyle modification rather than usual or minimal care in overweight and obese adults. Justification Most panel members thought that the benefit in terms of prevention of diabetes and associated cost of care outweighs the downsides. One panel member thought the balance of desirable and undesirable consequences was uncertain because of concerns about cost effectiveness and feasibility. Subgroup considerations Patients at higher risk for diabetes may benefit more from this intervention. Implementation considerations Implementation will require well organized, standardized lifestyle intervention programs. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities Generation of local evidence for lifestyle modification is recommended (The research evidence used in this guideline involving behaviours may be not applicable for Saudi population which could affect the outcome). Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 39 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Question: Intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) compared to usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) for obese and overweight adults Setting: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): As cited in NHRMC Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of overweight and obesity in adults, adolescents and children in Australia- Systematic Review. Melbourne: National Health and Medical research Council (Ilane,-Parikka 2008; Uusitupa 2009, Look AHEAD, 2013 (NEJM 369:145-54) Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias № of patients Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations intensive lifestyle interventions (diet and exercise) usual or minimal care (general behavioural information) Effect Quality Importance Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) OR 0.869 (0.600 to 1.200) 27 fewer per 1000 (from 38 more to 91 fewer) 4 ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL 14 fewer per 1000 (from 47 more to 63 fewer) 4 ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL Abdominal obesity (>102 cm men, >88 cm women) (follow up: mean 4 years; assessed with: prevalence ) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious serious 2 not serious 3 none 68/265 (25.7%) 72/257 (28.0%) Low HDL cholesterol (Low HDL cholesterol < 40 mg/dl or < 1.03 mmol/L) (follow up: mean 4 years; assessed with: prevalence of low HDL cholesterol) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 2 1 not serious 3 none 43/265 (16.2%) 46/257 (17.9%) RR 0.92 (0.65 to 1.26) Elevated Blood Pressure (systolic blood pressure > 130 mmHg, diastolic BP greater than 85 mmHG) (follow up: mean 3 years; assessed with: prevalence of elevated blood pressure) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious not serious 2 not serious 3 none 73/265 (27.5%) 76/257 (29.6%) RR 0.92 (0.69 to 1.19) 24 fewer per 1000 (from 56 more to 92 fewer) ⨁⨁⨁⨁ HIGH CRITICAL not serious 3 none 408/2827 (14.4%) 428/2818 (15.2%) RR 0.95 (0.84 to 1.08) 8 fewer per 1000 (from 12 more to 24 fewer) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL Mortality (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: events) 2 randomised trials serious 1 not serious not serious Cardio Vascular Morbidity (acute coronary events, coronary heart disease, stroke and hypertensive disease.) (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: events) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious 40 not serious very serious 3 none 57/257 (22.2%) 54/248 (21.8%) OR 1.02 (0.70 to 1.56) 3 more per 1000 (from 55 fewer to 85 more) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW not serious none 99/2472 (4.0%) 119/2395 (5.0%) RR 0.86 (64.00 to 1.09) 7 fewer per 1000 (from 4 more to 1000 more) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE not serious none 2472 2394 - mean 4 lower (5 lower to 3 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Hospitalization heart failure (follow up: mean 10 years) 1 randomised trials serious 1 not serious not serious Weight (follow up: mean 9.6 years; assessed with: Kg) 1 randomised trials serious 1 not serious serious 2 CRITICAL MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. Blinding not possible population, outcome indirect Sample size small, 1 study References 1. Ilanne-Parikka P, Eriksson JG, Lindström J, et al. Effect of lifestyle intervention on the occurrence of metabolic syndrome and its components in the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study. Diabetes Care 2008;31:805-7. 2. Uusitupa M, Peltonen M, Lindström J, et al. Ten-year mortality and cardiovascular morbidity in the Finnish Diabetes Prevention Study—secondary analysis of the randomized trial. PLoS One 2009;4:e5656. 3. Long Term Effects of a Lifestyle Intervention on Weight and Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes: Four Year Results of the Look AHEAD Trial. Archives of internal medicine 2010;170:1566-75. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Guideline Question 3: Should lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Predominantly women, mean BMI = 28, weight = 81 kg lifestyle interventions (low to very low calorie diet, walking, resistance training, individual behavioural goals) Usual care Weight change Physiological parameters (systolic and diastolic blood pressure, lipids) Sleep apnea Background: Lifestyle interventions are multi-component treatments that involve promoting healthy lifestyle habits, dietary interventions, dietary counselling, physical exercise training as well as psychological and behavioural interventions. Pharmacotherapies are often an adjunct to lifestyle interventions, but are not included in this definition of lifestyle interventions. Lifestyle interventions are the cornerstone of obesity management. 12 Evidence summary: Evidence for lifestyle interventions is based on the 2013 NHMRC systematic review and the recent Canadian systematic review and meta-analysis that were identified through our literature update.14 Certainty of pooled evidence overall is moderate for this intervention, downgraded for indirectness of blood pressure, weight and cholesterol as surrogate measures of cardiovascular disease. Meta-analysis across 5 studies from the NHMRC review, reported systolic blood pressure improvement of 1.95 mmHg ( 1.7), whereas diastolic blood pressure decreased significantly by 3.24 mmHg ( 1.2) (Figure 1). An approximate weight reduction of 4 kg was also reported within 1 year (not pooled due to heterogeneity). Similar weight loss results are reported in the Canadian metaanalysis, where pooled impact on weight across 46 studies (n = 10829), favoured a 3.1 kg (0.75) weight reduction in the lifestyle group compared to the control group (shorter duration of studies, most < 12 months). LDL cholesterol decreased modestly (0.5 mmol/L 0.15) in the lifestyle group (no forest plot reported for these results). 41 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Figure 1: Lifestyle vs other therapies – Systolic Blood Pressure, Diastolic Blood Pressure (NHMRC, 2013) 42 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 43 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should lifestyle interventions compared to usual care be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? Judgements Research evidence ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life ○ No included The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: studies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ Very low ○ Low ● Moderate ○ High ○ Important Benefits & harms of the options uncertainty or variability Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? Outcome Relative importance Additional considerations Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Change in systolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ Change in diastolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ Change in weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ Change in LDL cholesterol CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important uncertainty of variability ● No important uncer- Summary of findings: Lifestyle compared to other interventions for obese and overweight adults Patient values and preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are pre-obese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 44 Judgements tainty of variability ○ No known Research evidence Additional considerations Difference (95% CI) With Lifestyle Change in systolic blood pressure The mean change in systolic blood pressure in the control group was 0 The mean change in systolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 1.95 mean change lower (3.69 higher to 0.21 lower) mean change 1.95 lower (3.69 higher to 0.21 lower) Change in diastolic blood pressure The mean change in diastolic blood pressure in the control group was 4.4 mmHg The mean change in diastolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 3.24 mean change lower (4.47 lower to 2.02 lower) mean change 3.24 lower (4.47 lower to 2.02 lower) Change in weight The mean change in weight in the control group was -0.11 kg The mean change in weight in the intervention group was 3.13 lower (3.88 lower to 2.38 lower) mean 3.13 lower (3.88 lower to 2.38 lower) Change in LDL cholesterol The mean change in LDL cholesterol in the control group was 0 The mean change in LDL cholesterol in the intervention group was 0.14 lower (0.29 lower to 0.002 lower) mean 0.14 lower (0.29 lower to 0.002 lower) undesirable Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) Without Lifestyle Outcome - Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Are the resources required small? 45 Judgements Research evidence lifestyle interventions have resource implications associated with health professionals fees of occupational therapists, behavioural specialists, physical trainers and physicians contribute to direct medical costs and will vary with intensity of visits, follow-up and ongoing monitoring. ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Health professional visit fees provided by KSA panel below: General physician: 300 SR Diabetic Educator: 250SR Resource use Nutritionist: 250 SR Behavioural Specialist: 400 SR Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ Increased ○ Probably increased Equity Additional considerations What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies No ICER available Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 46 Judgements ● N/A Acceptability Feasibility Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 47 Recommendation Should Lifestyle vs. other interventions be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ○ ● Type of recommendation Recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ● The panel recommends lifestyle intervention rather than usual care alone in overweight and obese adults. Justification Subgroup considerations None Implementation considerations Should be tailored to patient’s comorbidities. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities Generation of local evidence for lifestyle modification is recommended (The research evidence used in this guideline involving behaviours may be not applicable for Saudi population which could affect the outcome). Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 48 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Question: Lifestyle compared to usual care be used for obese and overweight adults Setting: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): As cited in NHMRC Clinical Practice Guidelines for the Management of overweight and obesity in adults, adolescents and children in Australia- Systematic 1 Review. Melbourne: National Health and Medical research Council (Azadbakht, 2007; Croft, 1986; Fletcher-Mors, 2000; Gordon, 1997; Groeneveld, 1997; Heshka, 2003; Aucott, 1990; Kukko2 nen, 2005; Kuller, 2001; Stefanick, 1998; Wing, 1998), Peirson, 2014 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias № of patients Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Lifestyle Effect Quality Importance other interventions Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 582 - mean change 1.95 lower (3.69 higher to 0.21 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL Change in systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean less than or equal to 1 year; assessed with: Mean change (mmHg)) 51 randomised trials not serious not serious 2 not serious not serious none 567 Change in diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean less than or equal to 1 year; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 51 randomised trials not serious not serious 2 not serious not serious none 567 582 - mean change 3.24 lower (4.47 lower to 2.02 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL none 4366 6463 - mean 3.13 lower (3.88 lower to 2.38 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL none 1878 1678 - mean 0.14 lower (0.29 lower to 0.002 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL Change in weight (follow up: range < 12 months; assessed with: mean change (kg)) 462 randomised trials not serious 3 not serious 2 serious 1 not serious Change in LDL cholesterol (follow up: range <12 months; assessed with: mmol/L) 152 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 1 not serious MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. no serious indirectness for blood pressure but for a patient important outcome (cardiovascular morbidity and mortality) for which blood pressure is a surrogate Lifestyle intervention components and delivery vary across studies High attrition rates in many studies Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 49 References 1. Azadbakht L, Mirmiran P, Esmaillzadeh A, Azizi F. Better dietary adherence and weight maintenance achieved by a long-term moderate-fat diet. British journal of nutrition 2007;97:399-404 2. Croft P, Brigg D, Smith S, et al. How useful is weight reduction in the management of hypertension? J R Coll Gen Pract 1986; 36: 445-448. 3. Fletcher-Mors et al. Metabolic and weight loss effects of long-term dietary interventions in obese patients: four year results. 2000. Obesity Research. 8(5): 399402. 4. Gordon NF et al. Comparison of single versus multiple lifestyle interventions: are the antihypertensive effects of exercise training and diet-induced weight loss additive? American Journal of Cardiology. 79 (6): 763-767. 5. Groeneveld IF, et al. Sustained body weight reduction by an individual-based lifestyle intervention for workers in the construction industry at risk for cardiovascular disease: results of a randomized controlled trial. 1997. Preventive medicine 51(3-4): 240-246. 6. Heshka S, et al. Weight loss with self-help compared with a structured commercial program: a randomized trial. 2003. JAMA 289(14): 1792-1798. 7. Aucott L, et al. Long-Term Weight Loss From Lifestyle Intervention Benefits Blood Pressure? A Systematic Review. 2009 Hypertension 54: 756-762. 8. Kukkonen-Harjula KT, Borg PT, Nenonen AM, Fogelholm MG. Effects of a weight maintenance program with or without exercise on the metabolic syndrome: a randomized trial in obese men. Prev Med. 2005; 41: 784 –790. 9. Kuller LH, Simkin-Silverman LR, Wing RR, Meilahn EN, Ives DG. Women’s Healthy Lifestyle Project: A randomized clinical trial: results at 54 months. Circulation. 2001;103:32–37. 10. Stefanick et al. Effects of diet and exercise in men and postmenopausal women with low levels of HDL cholesterol and high levels of LDL cholesterol. 1998. N Engl Med 339 (1): 12-20. 11. Wing et al. Lifestyle intervention in overweight individuals with a family history of diabetes. 1998. Diabetes Care 21 (3): 350-359. 12. Peirson L, Douketis J, Ciliska D, Fitzpatrick-Lewis D, Ali MU, Raina P. Treatment for overweight and obesity in adult populations: a systematic review and metaanalysis. Canadian Medical Association Open Access Journal 2014;2:E306-E17. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 50 Guideline Question 4: Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Diabetics, BMI > 25, Hispanic or Latino receiving Medicaid Computer generated tailored self-management goals for nutrition and physical activity, reviewed every 3 months with usual diabetic care Written generic health education materials provided once at baseline visit addressing diabetes, diet, and exercise, f/u q 3 months with MD for usual diabetic care x 12 months Weight change Waist circumference change Engagement in physical activity Physiological parameters (blood pressure, lipids) Background: This brief intervention focuses on nutrition and physical activity counselling, the core components of lifestyle interventions, which are the cornerstone of obesity management. Distinct from other lifestyle approaches, this brief and simple intervention is intended to be delivered by primary care physicians within constraints of limited office time and limited behavioural counselling skills. The emphasis on brevity, and less intensive behavioural/ psychotherapeutic aspects may favours tolerability for both patients and practitioners as evidenced by the lower dropout rate (13%) compared to traditional lifestyle interventions (> 20%). 15 Evidence summary: Evidence for this intervention, comes from one moderate sized study (n= 273). 15 Impact on weight loss, physical activity and waist circumference are indirect measures of cardiovascular health and imprecision is high in this single study, therefore certainty of evidence is downgraded to low. 107 more per thousand lifestyle participants lost more than 5% of their body weight (NNT = 9, range 4 to 71), waist circumference decreased by 1.2 cm (1.6) and the proportion of participants engaged in moderate physical activity (150 or more minutes of physical activity or exercise per week at a moderate level of intensity) increased by 161 more per 1000 (NNT = 6.2, range 25 to 4). Systolic blood pressure paradoxically, but insignificantly increased by 2.11 mmHg (3.9), diastolic blood pressure decreased by 0.1 mmHg (2.6) and total cholesterol decreased by 3.9 mg/dL (9.8). This study was derived from the NHMRC review,3 no additional studies directly comparable were identified in our literature update. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 51 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should nutrition and physical activity counselling compared to health education pamphlets be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Judgements Additional considerations Research evidence Is there a problem priority? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ No included studies ○ Very low ● Low ○ Moderate ○ High ○ Important uncer- Benefits & harms of the options tainty or variability Outcome Relative importance Lost > 5% body weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ Engaged in moderate physical activity CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ Change in waist circumference CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ ○ Possibly important Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no imcertainty of variability ○ No known undesir- LOW LOW LOW Summary of findings: health education pamphlets Outcome portant uncertainty of variability ● No important un- Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Lost > 5% body weight Without nutrition and physical activity counselling 106 per 1000 With nutrition and physical activity counselling 213 per 1000 (120 to 350) Difference (95% CI) 107 more per 1000 (from 14 more to 244 Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) OR 2.28 (1.15 to 4.53) Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Sach et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 52 Criteria Judgements able Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Resource use ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? ● No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Are the resources required small? ○ No ● Probably no ○ Uncertain Additional considerations Research evidence more) Engaged in moderate physical activity 371 per 1000 Change in waist circumference The mean change in waist circumference in the control group was -0.54 cm 533 per 1000 (411 to 648) 161 more per 1000 (from 39 more to 277 more) OR 1.93 (1.18 to 3.12) The mean change in waist circumference in the intervention group was 1.2 lower (2.82 higher to 0.39 lower) mean 1.2 lower (2.82 higher to 0.39 lower) - Physician time to discuss tailored information and preparation of individualized information Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 53 Judgements Research evidence ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Equity Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Increased ○ Probably increased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies ● N/A Is the option acAcceptability ceptable to key stakeholders? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes Additional considerations Direct medical costs are associated with physician training and fees, (300-400 SR) x quarterly visits. No ICER available The panel thought that there would be no effect on health inequities. Acceptability of counselling interventions is physician and patient dependent. A crosssectional survey of Saudi primary care physicians suggests that these physicians selfidentify as playing a key role in the management of obesity, but the majority felt unprepared to effectively address this issue, Alsahmarri, 2014 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 54 Judgements ○ Varies Feasibility Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 55 Recommendation Should nutrition and physical activity counselling vs. health education pamphlets be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ○ ● Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ● Recommendation The panel recommends individualized counseling interventions rather than generic pamphlets in overweight or obese adults. Justification There is health benefit, no downsides other than cost of implementing and there is no doubt among members that individualized approach in overweight and obese individuals is better. Subgroup considerations None Implementation considerations None Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities More research about the methods of individualized interventions. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 56 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Nutrition and physical activity counseling compared to health education pamphlets for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Christian, 2008 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Effect Other considerations nutrition and physical activity counselling health education pamphlets Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) none 30/141 (21.3%) 14/132 (10.6%) OR 2.28 (1.15 to 4.53) 107 more per 1000 (from 14 more to 244 more) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Quality Importance Lost >5% body weight (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: prevalence) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious serious 4 serious 2 Engaged in moderate physical activity (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: % subjects achieved) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious serious 4 serious 2 none 75/141 (53.2%) 49/132 (37.1%) OR 1.93 (1.18 to 3.12) 161 more per 1000 (from 39 more to 277 more) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 2 none 141 132 - mean 1.2 lower (2.82 higher to 0.39 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 141 132 - mean 2.11 higher (6.07 higher to 2.79 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Change in waist circumference (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: cm ) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 not serious serious 4 serious Change in systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mean mmHg) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 4 serious 2 Change in diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mmHg) none Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 1 randomised trials not serious not serious 57 serious 3 serious 2 none 141 132 - mean 0.1 lower (2.95 lower to 2.75 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 2 none 141 132 - mean 3.9 lower (5.96 higher to 13.75 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Change in total cholesterol (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mg/dL) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 3 serious MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. Blinding not possible to participants Small single study wide CI Blinding participants and assessors not possible Indirect measure of cardiovascular morbidity References 1. Christian JG, Bessesen DH, Byers TE, Christian KK, Goldstein MG, Bock BC. Clinic-based support to help overweight patients with type 2 diabetes increase physical activity and lose weight. Archives of Internal Medicine 2008;168:141-6. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Guideline Question 5: Should isocaloric low fat diet compared to moderate fat diet be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Diabetic obese, general obese and overweight adults Intervention Dietary advice to achieve 20-30% of calories from fat or the equivalent fat distribution in meals was provided Comparison 30-36% of calories from fat. One study provided meals to achieve same fat-calorie distribution Weight change Physiological parameters: systolic and diastolic blood pressure , lipids Outcomes Background: People with diabetes are advised to reduce fat intake in order to decrease their risk of cardiovascular disease. There is debate about the feasibility of adherence to and benefits of very low fat diets for improving cardiovascular risk and achieving weight loss. One trial conducted in Iran that was reported in the NHMRC review found significant reduction (P<0.001) in waist circumference of 5.5 cm (SD 2.4) in the moderate fat versus low fat group. 13 The authors conclude that better adherence to the more appetizing moderate fat diet was the reason for success, which would have relevance regarding this option for the Saudi context. 16 Evidence summary: Three studies 16,17,18 , informing this intervention are derived from the NHMRC review. Meta-analysis was not undertaken in the original review but is provided here for effect on weight and lipids (Figure 2). There is low certainty of evidence for this obesity management option, due to indirectness of weight and physiological parameters as measures of cardiovascular disease, as well as differences across interventions and comparators (some studies provided meals, others provided dietary advice to achieve the same fat distribution of meals) which contributes systematic error and high levels of heterogeneity for total cholesterol and triglyceride outcomes, 93% and 90% respectively). Minimal improvement in weight (0.8kg 1.2), systolic blood pressure (2.8mmHg 8.6), diastolic blood pressure (2.8mmHg4.4), total cholesterol (-0.21mmol/L 0.09) and HDL cholesterol (0.12 0.16) were observed, while triglycerides increased (0.53 0.12). Although there is intervention variability across studies, heterogeneity is low (I2 = 14%, P=0.20). 58 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Figure 2: Low vs. moderate fat diet Weight HDL Cholesterol Total Cholesterol 59 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Triglycerides 60 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 61 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should isocaloric low fat compared to moderate fat be used on obese and overweight adults? Criteria Problem Judgements Additional considerations Research evidence Is there a problem priority? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.1 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 1 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ No included studies ○ Very low ● Low ○ Moderate ○ High ○ Important uncertainty or Benefits & harms of the options Outcome Relative importance Weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Total cholesterol CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW HDL cholesterol CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Triglycerides CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Systolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Diastolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE variability Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important uncertainty of variability ● No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known undesirable Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? 62 Judgements ● No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ● Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ● Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Additional considerations Research evidence Summary of findings: moderate fat diet Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) With low fat diet Difference (95% CI) Weight The mean weight in the control group was 77.8 kg The mean weight in the intervention group was 0.79 lower (1.99 lower to 0.41 higher) mean 0.79 lower (1.99 lower to 0.41 higher) - Total cholesterol The mean total cholesterol in the control group was 5.6 mmol/l The mean total cholesterol in the intervention group was 0.21 lower (8.86 lower to 8.44 higher) mean 0.21 lower (8.86 lower to 8.44 higher) - HDL cholesterol The mean HDL cholesterol in the control group was 1.14 mmol/l The mean HDL cholesterol in the intervention group was 0.03 lower (0.62 lower to 0.56 higher) mean 0.03 lower (0.62 lower to 0.56 higher) - Triglycerides The mean triglycerides in the control group was 2.92 mmol/l The mean triglycerides in the intervention group was 0.2 higher (0.05 lower to mean 0.2 higher (0.05 lower to 0.45 higher) - Outcome Without low fat diet Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 63 Judgements Additional considerations Research evidence 0.45 higher) Are the resources required small? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ● N/A Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ○ Probably no Resource use Systolic blood pressure The mean systolic blood pressure in the control group was 128.9 mmHg The mean systolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 2.8 lower (11.4 lower to 5.8 higher) mean 2.8 lower (11.4 lower to 5.8 higher) - Diastolic blood pressure The mean diastolic blood pressure in the control group was 82.8 mmHg The mean diastolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 4.7 lower (9.1 lower to 0.2 higher) mean 4.7 lower (9.1 lower to 0.2 higher) - Costs associated with health professional to monitor use may be a GP, dietitian or specialist nurse, depending on access to the type of provider No ICER available Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 64 Judgements ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ● N/A Equity What would be the impact on health inequities? Is the option acAcceptability ceptable to key stakeholders? ○ Increased ○ Probably increased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies ● N/A ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Feasibility Is the option feasible to implement? 65 Judgements ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 66 Recommendation Should isocaloric low fat diet vs. moderate fat diet be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Type of recommendation Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ● ○ ○ We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ○ Recommendation The panel makes no recommendation. Justification Panel members felt there is not enough evidence to choose one option over another. If any diet is used, fat content should be according to acceptable macronutrient distribution range (AMDR). Subgroup considerations None Implementation considerations None Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities The panel suggests randomized controlled trials be done with adequate follow-up duration that compare iso-caloric diets with fat content lower than 20%, approximately 20% and approximately 30% . (Conditional recommendation based on low quality evidence) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 67 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Isocaloric Low fat compared to moderate fat diet for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Azadbakht, 2007; Milne, 1994; Tsihlias, 2000 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations serious Effect Quality Importance low fat diet moderate fat diet Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) none 81 78 - mean 0.79 lower (1.99 lower to 0.41 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL serious none 82 77 - mean 0.21 lower (8.86 lower to 8.44 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL serious none 81 76 - mean 0.03 lower (0.62 lower to 0.56 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL serious none 81 76 - mean 0.2 higher (0.05 lower to 0.45 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL none 44 45 - mean 2.8 lower (11.4 lower to 5.8 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL none 44 45 - mean 4.7 lower (9.1 lower to 0.2 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Weight (follow up: mean 6-7 months; assessed with: mean change kg) 3 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 Total cholesterol (follow up: mean 6-18 months; assessed with: mean change (mmol/L)) 3 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 HDL cholesterol (follow up: mean 6-18 months; assessed with: mean change (mmol/L)) 3 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 Triglycerides (follow up: range 6-18 months; assessed with: mean change (mmol/L)) 3 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 Systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 14 months; assessed with: mean mmHg) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 serious 4 Diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 14 months; assessed with: mean mmHg) 1 randomised trials not serious 1 2 not serious serious 3 serious Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 68 MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. allocation concealment not reported blinding not reported (participants or assessors) although impact on objective measures (wt, lipids, BP) not considered serious Outcome indirect Confidence intervals wide, may change clinical decisions References 1. Azadbakht L, Mirmiran P, Esmaillzadeh A, Azizi F. Better dietary adherence and weight maintenance achieved by a long-term moderate-fat diet. British journal of nutrition 2007;97:399-404. 2. Milne RM, Mann JI, Chisholm AW, Williams SM. Long-term comparison of three dietary prescriptions in the treatment of NIDDM. Diabetes Care 1994;17:74-80. 3. Tsihlias EB, Gibbs AL, McBurney MI, Wolever TM. Comparison of high-and low-glycemic-index breakfast cereals with monounsaturated fat in the long-term dietary management of type 2 diabetes. The American journal of clinical nutrition 2000.72:439-49. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Guideline Question 6: Should physical activity compared to no physical activity be used in obese and overweight adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes General population of obese and overweight adults Physical activity (walking, jogging, cycling, weight training of high and moderate intensity) no exercise Weight change Physiological parameters: systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol Bone mineral Density (BMD) Knee pain Background: Reduced energy diets and increased energy expenditure through physical activity are the main components of lifestyle interventions, which is first line treatment of choice for obesity management. 31-33 This question addresses the impact of exercise and diet as an intervention compared to diet alone as a control, which isolates the impact of exercise. Although evidence supporting the effectiveness of exercise alone on weight loss is disappointing, studies do support exercise effectiveness for preventing weight gain and incidence of diabetes. Additional potential benefits include; improved mobility, physical function (strength), decreased joint pain (associated with arthritis), decreased cardiovascular risk and improved bone density. 34,35 Evidence summary: Studies informing this intervention are derived from the NHMRC review and include 2 Cochrane reviews and two more recent RCTs within the NHMRC review. Effect of exercise compared to no active exercise intervention on weight loss is based on the Cochrane review by Shaw (2006), which pooled results of weight reduction across 2 studies (n= 270) (Figure 3). 19 Certainty of the estimate for weight loss is moderate (2 kg 0.7), due to risk of bias associated with unclear randomization and allocation concealment processes, and indirectness of weight as a measure of cardiovascular status. Incidence of diabetes, is based on another Cochrane review (Orozco, 2008) 36 focusing on diabetic populations. Incidence of end of study diabetes is pooled across 2 studies (n= 351) and this meta-analysis found diabetes incidence decreased by 100 fewer per 1000 individuals (NNT = 10, range 4 to increasing incidence of diabetes by 193 more per 1000) (Figure 4). 20 One more recent RCT on older obese adults did not find improvement in gait speed (0.009 m/s) or waist circumference (0.1 cm increase 1.25) in the exercise group, however precautions with interpretation are required due to very low evidence certainty associated with serious risk of bias due to unclear randomization and allocation concealment processes, indirectness of outcomes as measures of mobility/frailty and cardiovascular health as well as imprecision around effect estimates). 21 One high quality study of pre-menopausal women (n= 138), downgraded to moderate for indirectness of outcomes, found bench press capacity increased significantly (6.6 kg 1.5) and percent change in body fat decreased modestly (1.6% 1.6) in the exercise group. 22 69 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Figure 3: Exercise vs no exercise (Shaw, 2006) Weight Figure 4: Exercise vs no exercise (Orozco, 2008) Incidence of Diabetes 70 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 71 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should exercise compared to no active exercise intervention be use in obese and overweight adults? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? Judgements ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ○ No included studies What is the ○ Very low overall certainty ● Low of this evidence? ○ Moderate ○ High Benefits & harms of the options Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? Are the desirable anticipated effects large? ○ Important uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important uncertainty of variability ● No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known undesirable ○ ● ○ ○ ○ ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Additional considerations Research evidence Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: Outcome Relative importance Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Incidence of diabetes* CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Waist circumference end of study* CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Change 400 m/sec Gait Speed* CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Change in % body fat* CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Change in bench press capacity* CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Summary of findings: no exercise Outcome Incidence of Without exercise 526 per 1000 With exercise 426 per 1000 Difference (95% CI) Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) 100 fewer per OR 0.67 Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 72 Criteria Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? Resource use Judgements ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ○ No Are the resources required ○ Probably no Additional considerations Research evidence diabetes (243 to 635) 1000 (from 109 more to 283 fewer) (0.29 to 1.57) Waist circumference end of study The mean waist circumference end of study in the control group was 111.5 cm The mean waist circumference end of study in the intervention group was 0.1 higher (1.35 higher to 1.34 lower) mean 0.1 higher (1.35 higher to 1.34 lower) - Change 400 m/sec Gait Speed The mean change 400 m/sec Gait Speed in the control group was 0 The mean change 400 m/sec Gait Speed in the intervention group was 0.009 higher (0 higher to 0 higher) mean 0.009 higher (0 higher to 0 higher) - Change in % body fat The mean change in % body fat in the control group was 2.8 % The mean change in % body fat in the intervention group was 1.61 lower (3.27 lower to 0.5 lower) mean 1.61 lower (3.27 lower to 0.5 lower) - Change in bench press capacity The mean change in bench press capacity in the control group was -2.7 kg The mean change in bench press capacity in the intervention group was 6.6 higher (8.29 higher to 4.91 higher) mean 6.6 higher (8.29 higher to 4.91 higher) - Health professional visit fees provided by Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 73 Criteria Judgements ○ ○ ● ○ Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Equity What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ Increased Probably increased Uncertain Probably reduced Reduced Varies Acceptability Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Is the option feasible to implement? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies small? Feasibility Research evidence Additional considerations KSA panel below: General physician: 300 SR No ICER available NOT APPLICABLE Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 74 Recommendation Should physical activity vs no physical activity be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ○ ● Type of recommendation Recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ● The panel recommends physical activity rather than no physical activity in overweight and obese adults. The main recommendation is combined for this question with Q7 (Diet and exercise compared to diet alone). Justification Subgroup considerations None Implementation considerations None Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities None Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 75 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Physical activity compared to no physical activity for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Franz, 2007; Huisman, 2009; Manini, 2010; Schmitz, 2007; Shaw, 2006; Thomas, 2006 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Effect Quality Importance exercise no exercise Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) none 63/178 (35.4%) 91/173 (52.6%) OR 0.67 (0.29 to 1.57) 100 fewer per 1000 (from 109 more to 283 fewer) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL none 102 77 - mean 0.1 higher (1.35 higher to 1.34 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL none 102 77 - mean 0.009 higher (0 higher to 0 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL none 70 63 - mean 1.61 lower (3.27 lower to 0.5 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL none 70 63 - mean 6.6 higher (8.29 higher to 4.91 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Incidence of diabetes (follow up: range 2-6 years; assessed with: prevalence end of study) 2 randomised trials very serious 1 2 3 not serious not serious not serious Waist circumference end of study (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mean cm) 1 randomised trials serious 12 not serious serious not serious Change 400 m/sec Gait Speed (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: mean m/sec) 1 randomised trials serious 12 not serious serious 5 serious 4 Change in % body fat (follow up: mean 2 years; assessed with: mean %) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 6 serious Change in bench press capacity (follow up: mean 2 years; assessed with: mean kg) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 5 Change in weight (follow up: range 2-6 years; assessed with: mean kg) serious Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 2 randomised trials not serious 2 76 not serious serious 6 not serious none 137 133 - mean 2.03 lower (1.23 lower to 2.82 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Randomization process unclear Allocation concealment unclear Selective outcome reporting Single small study wide CI Outcome indirect measure for mobility/frailty Outcome indirect measure for cardiovascular health References 1. Franz, M., J. Van Wormer, et al. (2007) "Weight-loss outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of weight-loss clinical trials with a minimum 1-year followup (Provisional abstract)." Journal of the American Dietetic Association 107(10): 1755-1767. 2. Huisman, S., V. De Gucht, et al. (2009). "The effect of weight reduction interventions for persons with type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis from a self-regulation perspective." Diabetes Educ 35(5): 818-835. 3. Manini, T., A. Newman, et al. (2010). "Effects of exercise on mobility in obese and nonobese older adults." Obesity (Silver Spring) 18(6): 1168-1175. 4. Schmitz, K., P. Hannan, et al. (2007). "Strength training and adiposity in premenopausal women: strong, healthy, and empowered study." Am J Clin Nutr 86(3): 566-572. 5. Shaw, K., H. Gennat, et al. (2006) "Exercise for overweight or obesity." Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD003817.pub3. 6. Thomas, D., E. Elliott, et al. (2006) "Exercise for type 2 diabetes mellitus." Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD002968.pub2. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Guideline Question 7: Should diet and physical activity compared to diet alone be used for obese and overweight adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes General population of obese and overweight adults Physical activity (walking, jogging, cycling, weight training of high and moderate intensity) Diet (low calorie or low fat) Diet (low calorie or low fat) Weight change Physiological parameters: systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol Bone mineral Density (BMD) Knee pain Background: Reduced energy diets and increased energy expenditure through physical activity are the main components of lifestyle interventions, which is first line treatment of choice for obesity management.31-33 This question addresses the impact of exercise and diet as an intervention compared to diet alone as a control, which isolates the impact of exercise. Although evidence supporting the effectiveness of exercise on weight loss is disappointing, studies do support exercise effectiveness for preventing weight gain and incidence of diabetes. Additional potential benefits include; improved mobility, physical function (strength), decreased joint pain (associated with arthritis), decreased cardiovascular risk and improved bone density. 19,34,35 Evidence summary: All studies informing this intervention derive from the NHMRC review.13 Effect of exercise (compared to diet and exercise) on weight, blood pressure and cholesterol is based on a Cochrane review (Shaw, 2006) that pooled results across 6 studies (Figure 5). 19 Certainty of evidence for these outcomes is low due to serious risk of bias associated with unclear randomization and allocation concealment processes, lack of blinding of assessors, inconsistent effect estimates, indirectness of these outcomes as measures of cardiovascular status as well as differences across types of exercise and diet interventions resulting in high heterogeneity for diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol and weight change. (86%, 54% and 41% respectively). Exercise minimally reduced weight by 0.65 kg ( 0.32), diastolic blood pressure by 0.94 mmHg (0.94), systolic blood pressure by 0.11 mmHG (1.14) and was associated with an insignificant increase in cholesterol of 0.03 mmol/L (0.1). Similarly, a more recent single RCT found that weight loss was insignificantly reduced by 1 kg ( 3, P=0.67) in the exercise and diet group compared to the diet alone group. 32 This study also reported impact of exercise on BMD. Although BMD was lower in both groups it decreased less in the diet and exercise group compared to the diet only group 0.016 g/m2 less ( 0.02) in the diet and exercise group. Certainty of evidence is very low due to unclear randomization and al- 77 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults location concealment processes, as well as indirectness of BMD as a fracture and imprecision of this single, small study (n=54). 34 One patient important outcome of reduced knee pain due to osteoarthritis was evaluated by a single, high quality RCT (n= 79), that was downgraded to moderate certainty due to lack of assessor blinding. 35 The proportion of exercisers achieving 30% reduction in knee pain as measured by the Western Ontario McMaster Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC), score is 238 more per 1000 (NNT= 4, range 3 to 10) compared to dieters alone.35 Figure 5: Diet + Exercise vs Diet (Shaw, 2006) Total Cholesterol 78 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults DBP SBP 79 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Weight 80 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 81 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should diet and physical activity compared to physical activity alone be used for obese and overweight adults Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? Judgements ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life ○ No included stud- The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: ies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? Benefits & harms of the options Additional considerations Research evidence ● Very low ○ Low ○ Moderate ○ High ○ Important uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability Is there important uncertainty about how Probably no immuch people value the portant uncertainty main outcomes? of variability ○ ● No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known unde- Outcome Relative importance Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Change body weight CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Change in systolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Knee pain, % achieving >30% reduction in (WOMAC) score CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Change in diastolic blood press CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 82 Judgements sirable Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? ○ No ● Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Additional considerations Research evidence Summary of findings: diet Without diet and exercise Relative ef ect (RR) (95% CI) With diet and exercise Difference (95% CI) The mean change Change body body weight weight in the control group was 0 The mean change body weight in the intervention group was 0.65 lower (0.97 lower to 0.33 lower) mean 0.65 lower (0.97 lower to 0.33 lower) - Change in systolic blood pressure The mean change in systolic blood pressure in the control group was 3.2 mmHg The mean change in systolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 0.11 lower (1.45 lower to 1.25 higher) mean 0.11 lower (1.45 lower to 1.25 higher) - Knee pain, % achieving >30% reduction in (WOMAC) score 230 per 1000 468 per 1000 (334 to 607) 238 more per 1000 (from 104 more to 378 more) OR 2.95 (1.68 to 5.19) Change in diastolic blood press The mean change in diastolic blood press in the control group was -2.066 mmHg The mean change in diastolic blood press in the intervention group was 0.94 lower (1.89 lower to 0 higher) mean 0.94 lower (1.89 lower to 0 higher) - Outcome Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Judgements Are the resources required small? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Resource use Equity 83 What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Increased ○ Probably increased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced Research evidence Additional considerations The relevant healthcare professional to monitor use may be a GP, dietician or specialist nurse, depending on access to the type of provider. Health professional visit fees provided by KSA panel below: General physician: 300 SR Diabetic Educator: 250SR Nutritionist: 250 SR Behavioural Specialist: 400 SR Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 84 Judgements Research evidence Additional considerations ○ Varies ● N/A Acceptability Feasibility Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Patient compliance may be a barrier to successful implementation. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 85 Recommendation Should diet and physical activity vs. diet be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ○ ● Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ● Recommendation The panel recommends physical activity in addition to diet rather than a diet alone in overweight or obese adults. Justification There is a health benefit with no apparent downsides. Subgroup considerations Data available for this evidence profile derives from structured exercise (Shaw, 2006; Villareal 2009, Jenkinson 2011) Implementation considerations Addition of physical activity to diet may be important for maintaining any weight loss achieved with diet. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities None Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 86 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Diet and physical activity compared to diet for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Jenkinson, 2009; Shaw, 2009; Villareal 2011 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Effect Quality Importance diet and exercise diet Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) none 595 484 - mean 0.65 lower (0.97 lower to 0.33 lower) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL none 309 306 - mean 0.11 lower (1.45 lower to 1.25 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL Change body weight (follow up: mean 1 years; assessed with: mean kg) 15 randomised trials serious 1 2 3 serious 4 serious 5 not serious Change in systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 1 years; assessed with: mean mmHg) 6 randomised trials serious 1 2 3 serious 4 serious 5 not serious Knee pain, % achieving >30% reduction in (WOMAC) score (follow up: mean 24 months; assessed with: % achieving outcome) 1 randomised trials serious 8 not serious not serious not serious none 51/109 (46.8%) 28/122 (23.0%) OR 2.95 (1.68 to 5.19) 238 more per 1000 (from 104 more to 378 more) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL none 309 306 - mean 0.94 lower (1.89 lower to 0 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL none 315 304 - mean 0.03 higher (0.07 lower to 0.13 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Change in diastolic blood press (follow up: mean 1 years; assessed with: mean mmHg) 6 randomised trials serious 1 2 3 serious 4 serious 5 not serious Change in cholesterol (follow up: mean 1 years; assessed with: mean mmol/L) 6 randomised trials serious 1 2 3 serious 4 serious 5 serious 6 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 87 Change in bone density (follow up: mean 1 years; assessed with: mean g/m2) 1 randomised trials serious 1 2 not serious serious 7 serious none 28 26 Serious6 none 212 195 - mean 0.016 higher (0.004 lower to 0.036 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW mean -0.01 (-0.11 lower to 0.07 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Fasting Serum Glucose, mean 1 years; assessed with (mmol/L) 4 RCT Serious 123 Inconsistency Serious 4 Serious5 MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Randomization process unclear Allocation concealment unclear Blinded assessors infrequent (3 studies) Variation in diet and exercise delivery Indirect outcome for cardiovascular status Wide margin of confidence around mean effect of cholesterol Indirect outcome for frailty Assessors not blinded Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 88 Guideline Question 8: Should portion-controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet be used for obese and overweight adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes General population of obese adults with type 2 diabetes Portion-controlled diet no PCD Weight change Physiological parameters: systolic and diastolic blood pressure, cholesterol Bone mineral Density (BMD) Knee pain Background: Portion-controlled meals can be commercially prepared meals, specifically designed for convenience, ease of incorporation into an individual’s lifestyle, and are intended to improve long-term dietary adherence. This question specifically addresses the effect of portion-controlled diet against standard diet and is based on a single, long-term (36 month) RCT (n= 126). 23 Evidence summary: Studies compared portion-controlled diet using Medifast Plus for Diabetics meal replacements with self-selected diet prescription of 25% energydeficit. The certainty of evidence for effect of portion-controlled diet is very low due to serious risk of bias associated with unclear randomization and allocation concealment processes, indirectness of outcomes as measures of cardiovascular status, wide confidence margins around effect estimates and high attrition rate -42% in the portion controlled group.23 The ability of participants to achieve 10% weight loss in this trial was found to be 231 more per 1000, (NNT = 4, range 71 to 1), while systolic blood pressure decreased by 10 mmHg ( 8.67), diastolic blood pressure by 5.6 mmHg (4.8) and cholesterol by 14.3 mg/dL (21). While overall quality of evidence remains very low, the quality of evidence for medication reduction was upgraded from very low, to low because of directness of this patient important outcome. The ability of diabetic participants in the portion-controlled diet group to reduce medications is 240 more per 1000, NNT = 4, range 45 to 1). High attrition rates indicate intolerance for sustained portion-controlled diet adherence. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 89 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should portion controlled vs non-portion controlled diet be used in obese and overweight adults? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? What is the overall certainty of this evidence? Benefits & harms of the options Judgements ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life ○ No included studies ● Very low ○ Low ○ Moderate ○ High The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: ○ Important uncertainty Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? Additional considerations Research evidence or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important Outcome Relative importance > 10% weight loss CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Systolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Total cholesterol CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW Reduced medications CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Diastolic blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW uncertainty of variability ● No important uncertainty of variability Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Summary of findings: non-portion controlled diet Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on healthrelated quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are pre-obese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 90 Judgements ○ No known undesirable Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? ○ No ○ Probably no ● Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ● Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ● Uncertain Additional considerations Research evidence Without portion controlled diet With portion controlled diet > 10% weight loss 59 per 1000 290 per 1000 (45 to 781) 231 more per 1000 (from 14 fewer to 722 more) OR 6.54 (0.75 to 56.92) Systolic blood pressure The mean systolic blood pressure in the control group was 138.2 mmHg The mean systolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 10.6 lower (18.67 lower to 2.88 lower) mean 10.6 lower (18.67 lower to 2.88 lower) - Total cholesterol The mean total cholesterol in the control group was 52.2 mg/dl The mean total cholesterol in the intervention group was 14.3 lower (35.3 lower to 6.55 higher) mean 14.3 lower (35.3 lower to 6.55 higher) - Reduced medications 38 per 1000 240 per 1000 (859 to 17) 202 more per 1000 (from 22 fewer to 821 more) OR 7.9 (152.27 to 0.42) Diastolic blood pressure The mean diastolic blood pressure in the control group was 83.2 mmHg The mean diastolic blood pressure in the intervention group was 5.6 lower (10.36 mean 5.6 lower (10.36 lower to 0.84 lower) - Outcome Difference (95% CI) Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 91 Judgements Research evidence ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the resources required small? Resource use Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? lower to 0.84 lower) Resources required for commercial preparations are most likely not small. It is uncertain owing to lack of data what would be the cost associated with home-made portion control diets. ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ● Varies ○ No ● Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Additional considerations No ICER available Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Equity Acceptability Feasibility 92 Judgements What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Increased ● Probably increased ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Out of pocket expense for specialized diet foods considered costly Additional considerations Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 93 Recommendation Should portion controlled diet vs. non-portion controlled diet be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ● ○ ○ Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ○ ○ Recommendation The panel does not make a clinical recommendation. The panel recommends that more research is done. Justification Resources required for implementation are likely high and there is not enough evidence to determine whether there is a benefit or not. Subgroup considerations None Implementation considerations Standardization of diet if made at home may be a barrier for successful implementation. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities The panel suggests more research on portion controlled diet strategies for weight loss Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 94 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Portion controlled diet compared to non-portion controlled diet for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Cheskin, 2008 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias № of patients Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations portion controlled diet Effect non-portion controlled diet Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 9/31 (29.0%) 1/17 (5.9%) OR 6.54 (0.75 to 56.92) 231 more per 1000 (from 14 fewer to 722 more) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL 31 17 - mean 10.6 lower (18.67 lower to 2.88 lower) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL 31 17 - mean 14.3 lower (35.3 lower to 6.55 higher) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL OR 7.9 (152.27 to 0.42) 202 more per 1000 (from 22 fewer to 821 more) 1 ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL - mean 5.6 lower (10.36 lower to 0.84 lower) ⨁◯◯◯ VERY LOW CRITICAL Quality Importance > 10% weight loss (follow up: mean 36 weeks; assessed with: prevalence/subjcts achievig weight loss) 1 randomised trials serious 23 not serious serious 5 serious 4 none Systolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 36 weeks; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 1 randomised trials serious 23 not serious serious 5 serious 4 none Total cholesterol (follow up: mean 36 weeks; assessed with: mean change (mg/dL)) 1 randomised trials serious 23 not serious serious 5 serious 4 none Reduced medications (follow up: mean 36 months; assessed with: prevalence able to reduce medication for glucose control) 1 randomised trials serious 23 not serious not serious serious 4 none 7/29 (24.1%) 0.5/13 (3.8%) Diastolic blood pressure (follow up: mean 36 months; assessed with: mean mmHg) 1 randomised trials 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. serious 23 not serious serious 5 serious No explanation was provided concealment not reported loss to follow up small single study, large confidence interval outcome indirect measure for cardiovascular disease 4 none Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 95 Guideline Question 9: Should metformin compared to no metformin be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Mixed overweight and obese population (predominantly women with Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome) Metformin Placebo BMI Physiological parameters: systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol Adverse events Background: The cornerstone of obesity treatment is lifestyle changes. In view of the low success rate in achieving weight loss and even lower success rate for maintaining this weight loss, drug therapy for obesity in conjunction with lifestyle changes are often used. 14,31,33,40, Evidence suggests that metformin therapy alone contributes to weight loss14, although its use for obesity is considered off-label in most jurisdictions. Evidence summary: Quality of evidence and overall certainty of effectiveness of metformin is moderate. A meta-analysis derived from the NHMRC systematic review on insulin-sensitizing dugs for weight loss in women pooled estimates across 8 trials (Figure 6).24 This analysis found metformin use (1500 mg OD) to be associated with approximately 1 unit ( 0.5) reduction in BMI (n = 372). 24 The large, multi-centre Diabetes Prevention Outcomes Study (n=1938) 41 also derived from the NHMRC review found decreased incidence of diabetes associated with metformin (850 mg BID) use (NNT = 33, over 2.8 years). This study did not find improved physiological parameters (systolic, diastolic blood pressure or cholesterol levels). Our literature update identified a recent moderate quality study of hypertensive obese patients (n= 360) who were treated with 500 mg metformin od for 12 weeks.42 A clinically small, but statistically significant change in weight loss (p=0.006) of 0.7 kg (1.59) lower was found in the metformin compared to placebo group. Treatment effect in this study was likely limited by the low dose of metformin (500mg OD) and the short duration of follow-up (24 weeks). The quality and certainty of evidence regarding adverse events is low. Pooling was not possible due to different reporting methods and types of events recorded. Side effects of nausea, abdominal cramps and diarrhoea are common, ranging from 17-40 % among metformin users vs 7-8% in placebo groups. 42 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Figure 6: High Dose Metfromin (1500 mg od) vs placebo- Body Mass Index (NHMRC, 2013) 96 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 97 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should metformin compared to no metformin be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? What is the overall certainty of this evidence? Benefits & harms of the options Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Judgements Research evidence Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ○ ○ ● ○ ○ No included studies The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: Very low Certainty of the evidence Outcome Relative importance Low (GRADE) Moderate High ⨁⨁⨁◯ Body Mass Index CRITICAL MODERATE ○ Important uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ● Probably no important uncertainty of variability ○ No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known undesirable ○ No ● Probably no ○ Uncertain Additional considerations Systolic Blood Pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Diastolic Blood Pressures CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Total Cholesterol CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Adverse events CRITICAL ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW Incidence of Diabetes CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Panel members thought that undesirable effects will be large in some but Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 98 Criteria Judgements ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ ○ Are the desirable effects ○ large relative to unde● ○ sirable effects? ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Additional considerations Research evidence not in all patients. Summary of findings: no metformin Without metformin Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) With metformin Difference (95% CI) Body Mass Index The mean body Mass Index in the control group was 33.9 BMI (kg/m2) The mean body Mass Index in the intervention group was 0.98 lower (1.51 lower to 0.45 lower) mean 0.98 lower (1.51 lower to 0.45 lower) - Systolic Blood Pressure The mean systolic Blood Pressure in the control group was 122.3 mmHg The mean systolic Blood Pressure in the intervention group was 0.4 higher (1.2 lower to 2.01 higher) mean 0.4 higher (1.2 lower to 2.01 higher) - The mean diastolic Blood Pressures in the intervention group was 0.7 higher (0.02 higher to 1.38 higher) mean 0.7 higher (0.02 higher to 1.38 higher) The mean total Cholesterol in the intervention group was mean 0.01 lower (0.11 lower to 0.09 higher) Outcome The mean diastolic Blood Diastolic Blood Pressures in Pressures the control group was 75.2 mmHg Total Cholesterol The mean total Cholesterol in the control group was - Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 99 Criteria Judgements 5.08 mmol/l Adverse events Incidence of Diabetes Weight Are the resources required small? Resource use Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? Additional considerations Research evidence 0.01 lower (0.11 lower to 0.09 higher) Effect not estimable. Side-effects (nausea, abdominal cramps and diarrhoea) reported inconsistently in 4/14 studies, number of events range 8 - 20 out of 12-69 people in metformin group vs 1-5 events out of 12-69 people in placebo group 110 per 1000 78 per 1000 (58 to 103) 30 fewer per 1000 (from 70 fewer to 77 more) The mean weight in the control group was 0 The mean weight in the intervention group was 1.92 lower (2.94 lower to 0.89 lower) mean 1.92 lower (2.94 lower to 0.89 lower) RR 0.73 (0.36 to 1.70) - ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Cost will vary with dose and duration of therapy, intervention treatments ranged 500 mg od to 850 mg BID for 2 months to 3 years. Cost per month of metformin treatment provided by KSA panel is 20 SR ○ ○ ● ○ ○ ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ICER not available Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 100 Criteria Equity Acceptability Feasibility What would be the impact on health inequities? Is the option acceptable to key stakeholders? Is the option feasible to implement? Judgements ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ ● Increased Probably increased Uncertain Probably reduced Reduced Varies N/A ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Research evidence Additional considerations KSA panel advises this would be an acceptable option to the Saudi population, barriers relate to lack of awareness of effectiveness Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 101 Recommendation Should metformin vs. no metformin be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ● ○ Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ● ○ Recommendation The panel suggests metformin in obese or overweight adults. Justification The weight loss with metformin is marginal but there is a small benefit with low adverse effects and low resources required. Subgroup considerations The benefits form metformin may be larger in patients with prediabetes and those with risk factors for diabetes. Implementation considerations None Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities RCTs in unselected obese and overweight patients that report all patient-important outcomes (e.g. quality of life, function, morbidity and mortality) rather than surrogate outcomes only. Economic analysis in Saudi Arabian health care system. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 102 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: Jan 9, 2015 Question: Metformin compared to no metformin for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Knowler, 2009 (RCT); Nieuwenhuis, 2009 (meta-analysis); Peirson, 2014 (Systematic review and meta-analysis) Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency Indirectness № of patients Imprecision Other considerations Effect Quality Importance metformin no metformin Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 174 198 - mean 0.98 lower (1.51 lower to 0.45 lower) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 652 608 - mean 0.4 higher (1.2 lower to 2.01 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 652 608 - mean 0.7 higher (0.02 higher to 1.38 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL 652 608 - mean 0.01 lower (0.11 lower to 0.09 higher) ⨁⨁◯◯ LOW CRITICAL Body Mass Index (follow up: range 2-12 months; assessed with: Mean change (kg/m2)) 8 randomised trials not serious not serious very serious 1 not serious none Systolic Blood Pressure (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious very serious 1 not serious none Diastolic Blood Pressures (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious very serious 1 not serious none Total Cholesterol (follow up: mean 10 years; assessed with: mean change (mmol/L)) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious very serious 1 not serious not serious serious none Adverse events (assessed with: events/ %) 4 randomised trials not serious not serious 4 2 3 none Effect not estimable. Side-effects (nausea, abdominal cramps and diarrhoea) reported inconsistently in 4/14 studies, number of events range 8 - 20 out of 1269 people in metformin group vs 1-5 events out of 12-69 people in placebo group CRITICAL Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 103 Incidence of Diabetes (follow up: mean 2.8 years; assessed with: new cases of DM per 100 patient years ) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 1 not serious none not serious none 7.8/100 (7.8%) 11/100 (11.0%) RR 0.73 (0.36 to 0.1.7) 31 fewer per 1000 (from 70 fewer to 77 more) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL - mean 0.7 lower (2.29 lower to 0.89 higher) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL Change in weight (follow up: median 12 weeks; assessed with: Kg) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 1 MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. outcome indirect measure of cardiovascular disease, also population is indirect evidence derives from a population of obese women of reproductive age with polycystic ovarian syndrome inconsistent reporting different type of side effects wide range of side effect events reported Incomplete reporting of adverse event outcomes across studies Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 104 Guideline Question 10: Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Mixed overweight and obese adults (hypertensive, diabetic, general population) Orlistat Lifestyle interventions Change in weight Physiological parameters: systolic and diastolic blood Cardiovascular morbidity Mortality Background: The cornerstone of obesity treatment is lifestyle changes. In view of the low success rate in achieving weight loss and even lower success rate for maintaining this weight loss, drug therapy for obesity in conjunction with lifestyle changes is often advised.31,33 Orlistat is a lipase inhibitor, which prevents absorption of approximately 25% of fat consumed and is the main anti-obesity drug approved for long-term treatment of obesity.31 Evidence suggests that orlistat therapy alone contributes to weight loss. 13 In some jurisdictions (e.g. U.S.) orlistat is over the counter, suggesting a high safety profile. Evidence summary: A meta-analysis from the NHMRC review across 11 trials informs this question. Additionally, an older Cochrane review based on 4 RCTs derived from the NHMR provides descriptive summaries for adverse events, mortality and myocardial infarctions.13,25 Moderate quality evidence from a meta-analysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2058) found that treatment with orlistat 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased systolic blood pressure by 1.82 mm Hg ± 0.43.13 Moderate quality evidence from a meta-analysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2058) found that treatment with orlistat, 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased diastolic blood pressure by 1.56 mm Hg ± 0.69.13 Moderate quality evidence from a meta-analysis of 11 RCTs (n= 2080-for this outcome) found that treatment with orlistat, 120 mg TID over 3.5 years decreased body weight by 3.38 kg ± 0.41 13 Low quality of evidence for adverse events is summarized descriptively from 4 trials as reported in a Cochrane review.25 The majority of individuals (up to 73%) in the orlistat groups reported side-effects of steatorrhoea, fatty faecal incontinence, frequent or urgent bowel movements. Evidence for mortality is low and reported descriptively. There were two deaths in 3 RCTs in the orlistat group over 12 months compared to no deaths in the placebo group. 25 Evidence for myocardial infarction is low and reported descriptively. There were two myocardial infarctions in 2 RCTs, compared to 1 in the placebo groups.25 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Figure 7: Orlistat vs no orlistat: Diastolic Blood Pressure, Systolic Blood Pressure, Weight (NHMRC, 2013) 105 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 106 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 107 Evidence to decision Framework: Should orlistat compared to no orlistat be used for overweight and obese adults? Criteria Problem Benefits & harms of the options Judgements Is there a problem priority? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No included studies Very low Low Moderate High Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? ○ Important uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no important uncertainty of variability ● No important uncertainty of variability ○ No known undesirable Are the desirable anticipated effects large? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies ○ ○ ○ ● No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Additional considerations Research evidence Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: Relative importance Outcome Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Systolic Blood pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Diastolic Blood Pressure CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Change in body weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Adverse events CRITICAL Mortality CRITICAL Cardiovascular morbidity CRITICAL Summary of findings: no orlistat Outcome Without orlistat With orlistat Difference (95% CI) Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) Patient values, preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) With respect to desirable anticipated effects, one panel member was unsure and thought they were probably large (i.e. ‘probably yes’ as Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 108 Judgements ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ ○ ○ ● ○ ○ Are the desirable effects large relative to undesirable effects? No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Additional considerations Research evidence opposed to ‘yes’). Systolic Blood pressure The mean systolic Blood pressure ranged across control groups from 11 to -0.9 mmHg The mean systolic Blood pressure in the intervention group was 1.82 lower (2.36 lower to 1.26 lower) mean 1.82 lower (2.36 lower to 1.26 lower) - Diastolic Blood Pressure The mean diastolic Blood Pressure ranged across control groups from 9 to -.8 mmHg The mean diastolic Blood Pressure in the intervention group was 1.56 lower (2.25 lower to 0.87 lower) mean 1.56 lower (2.25 lower to 0.87 lower) - Change in body weight The mean change in body weight ranged across control groups from 6.9 to -1.8 The mean change in body weight in the intervention group was 3.38 lower (3.79 lower to 2.98 lower) mean 3.38 lower (3.79 lower to 2.98 lower) - Adverse events 73% Orlistat group vs 44% placebo group reporting gastrointestinal side effects (p<.001). steatorrhoea, fatty faecal incontinence, frequent or urgent bowel movements. Concentrations of fat-soluble vitamins (e.g. vitamins A, D, E and K) are reduced with orlistat, however they remain in the normal range (Torgerson et al. 2004), Mortality Mortality Orlistat (2/407) vs placebo (0/437) Cardiovascular morbidity Myocardial infarctions Olristat (2/267) vs placebo (1/265) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria Are the resources required small? 109 Judgements ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ ○ No Is the incre○ Probably no mental cost ○ Uncertain small relative to ● Probably yes the net bene○ Yes fits? ○ Varies What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ ● ○ ○ ○ ○ Increased Probably increased Uncertain Probably reduced Reduced Varies Is the option acceptable to Acceptability key stakeholders? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Is the option feasible to implement? ○ ○ ○ ○ ● ○ No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Feasibility Additional considerations 250 SR per month currently not reimbursed in most primary care settings. Will also include cost of multivitamin supplementation if needed. No Probably no Uncertain Probably yes Yes Varies Resource use Equity Research evidence Cost-effectiveness studies of orlistat use show that it is not cost-effective for population-based outcomes but other data suggest that it is more cost-effective in individuals who have numerous comorbidities (type 2 diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia) (Lacey et al. 2005). Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio in diabetic populations; $8327 (US dollars) per event free life-year gained Another ICER from Sweden 13,120 Euros/QALY ($17,000 Canadian) Inequity issues could be related to out of pocket costs of medications that are not reimbursed. Some patients may not continue therapy because of AEs and required frequency of taking orlistat and cost. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 110 Recommendation Should orlistat vs. no orlistat be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ● ○ Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ● ○ Recommendation The panel suggests orlistat in obese and overweight adults. Justification There is a benefit despite important AE. Subgroup considerations Availability of resources may have important impact on this recommendation. In settings with limited resources the opposite (i.e. not using orlistat) may be equally reasonable. Implementation considerations Patients should know that they should expect AEs, avoid fatty meals. Orlistat decreases absorption of vitamins, so supplementation may be warranted. Monitoring and evaluation None Research possibilities Economic analysis in Saudi Arabian health care system. Studies investigating whether and when to use multivitamin supplementation. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 111 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: 2014-12-16 Question: Orlistat compared to no orlistat for obese and overweight adults Settings: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): NHMRC (Bakris, 2003; Broom, 2002; Cocco, 2005; Davidson, 1999; Derosa, 2003; Guy -Grand, 2004; Hauptman, 2000; Rossner, 2000; Sjostrom, 1998; Swinburn, 2005; Drew, 2007 (XENDOS), Cochrane review (Siebenhofer, 2009) Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias Inconsistency № of patients Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Effect Quality Importance orlistat no orlistat Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 1015 1043 - mean 1.82 lower (2.36 lower to 1.26 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL none 1015 1043 - mean 1.56 lower (2.25 lower to 0.87 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE CRITICAL none 1023 1057 - mean 3.38 lower5 (3.79 lower to 2.98 lower) ⨁⨁⨁⨁ HIGH CRITICAL Systolic Blood pressure (follow up: range 3-4 years; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 11 randomised trials not serious not serious4 serious 3 not serious none Diastolic Blood Pressure (follow up: range 3-4 years; assessed with: mean change (mmHg)) 11 randomised trials not serious not serious serious 3 not serious Change in body weight (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: Mean change (kg)) 11 randomised trials not serious not serious not serious 3 not serious Adverse events (assessed with: gastrointestinal side effects (% reporting)) 4 randomised trials not serious serious 1 not serious Mortality (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: (total events)) not serious 2 none 73% Orlistat group vs 44% placebo group reporting gastrointestinal side effects (p<.001). steatorrhoea, fatty faecal incontinence, frequent or urgent bowel movements. Concentrations of fatsoluble vitamins (e.g. vitamins A, D, E and K) are reduced with orlistat, however they remain in the normal range (Torgerson et al. 2004), Case of liver failure have been identified in a case report (Montero, 2001; Kim, 2002) CRITICAL Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 3 randomised trials serious serious 112 2 not serious serious 2 none Mortality Orlistat (2/407) vs placebo (0/437) CRITICAL Myocardial infarctions Olristat (2/267) vs placebo (1/265) CRITICAL Cardiovascular morbidity (follow up: mean 12 months; assessed with: Myocardial infarction (total number of patients)) 2 randomised trials serious serious 2 not serious serious 2 none MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. I sq = 36% fewer studies reporting adverse events outcome indirect for CVD Effect estimates vary from favours comparator to orlistat (I sq = 50%) 3 kg weight loss translates to a 50% risk reduction in development of diabetes in pre-diabetes over 5 years (DPP trial) References 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Bakris G, Calhoun D, Egan B, Hellmann C, Dolker M, Kingma I. Orlistat and resistant hypertension investigators.Orlistat improves blood pressure control in obese subjects with treated but inadequately controlled hypertension. J Hypertens. 2002;20:2257–67. Broom I, Wilding J, Stott P, Myers N. UK Multimorbidity Study Group.Randomised trial of the effect of orlistat on body weight and cardiovascular disease risk profile in obese patients: UK Multimorbidity Study. Int J Clin Pract. 2002;56:494–9. Cocco G, Pandolfi S, Rousson V. Sufficient weight reduction decreases cardiovascular complications in diabetic patients with the metabolic syndrome: A randomized study of orlistat as an adjunct to lifestyle changes (diet and exercise). HeartDrug 2005;5(2):68–74. Davidson MH, Hauptman J, DiGirolamo M, Foreyt JP, Halsted CH, Heber D, et al.Weight control and risk factor reduction in obese subjects treated for 2 years with orlistat: a randomized controlled trial.see comment]erratum appears in JAMA 1999 Apr 7;281(13):1174]. JAMA 1999;281(3): 235–42. Derosa G, Mugellini A, Ciccarelli L, Fogari R. Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled comparison of the action of orlistat, fluvastatin, or both an anthropometric measurements, blood pressure, and lipid profile in obese patients with hypercholesterolemia prescribed a standardized diet. Clinical Therapeutics 2003;25(4):1107–22. Hauptman et al. Orlistat in the long-term treatment of obesity in primary care settings. 2000. Arch Fam Med. 9(2): 160-167. Guy-Grand B, Drouin P, Eschwege E, Gin H, Joubert JM, Valensi P. Effects of orlistat on obesity-related diseases – a six-month randomized trial. Diabetes, Obesity & Metabolism 2004;6(5):375–83. Rossner S, Sjostrom L, Noack R, Meinders AE, Noseda G. Weight loss, weight maintenance, and improved cardiovascular risk factors after 2 years treatment with orlistat for obesity. European Orlistat Obesity Study Group. Obesity Research 2000;8(1):49–61. Sjostrom L, Rissanen A, Andersen T, Boldrin M, Golay A, Koppeschaar HP, et al.Randomised placebo-controlled trial of orlistat for weight loss and prevention of weight regain in obese patients. European Multicentre Orlistat Study Group.see comment]. Lancet 1998;352(9123):167–72. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 113 10. Swinburn BA, Carey D, Hills AP, Hooper M, Marks S, Proietto J, et al. Effect of Orlistat on cardiovascular disease risk in obese adults. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2005;7:254–62 11. Swinburn BA, Carey D, Hills AP, Hooper M, Marks S, Proietto J, et al.Effect of orlistat on cardiovascular disease risk in obese adults. Diabetes, Obesity & Metabolism 2005;7 (3):254–62. 12. Drew B, et al. Obesity management: Update on Orlistat (XENDOS). 2007 3(6): 817-821. 13. Siebenhofer A, Horvath K, Jeitler K, Berghold A, Stich AK, Matyas E, Pignitter N & Siering U 2009, 'Long-term effects of weight-reducing drugs in hypertensive patients', Cochrane Database Syst Rev, no.3, pp.CD007654. Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 114 Guideline Question 11: Should bariatric surgery compared to non-surgical therapies be used for overweight and obese adults? Population Intervention Comparison Outcomes Morbid or super obese population (BMI > 30) Bariatric surgery Non-surgical therapies – predominantly intensive lifestyle interventions Weight, BMI Remission of co-morbidities Quality of life Serious adverse events Background: Bariatric surgery in general carries risk of morbidity and peri-operative mortality. It is therefore considered when other treatments have failed. Risks with bariatric surgery include; bleeding (0.5%), thromboembolic events (0.8%), wound complications (1.8%), deep infection-abscess or leak (2.1%), pulmonary complications (6.2%), miscellaneous complications (4.8%), cholecystitis and mortality (0.52%).43 Large observational studies of bariatric surgery, confirms effectiveness of major weight reduction and improvement in co-morbidities, which are reported in small, randomized trials.45 Summary of Findings: Our literature update identified a meta-analysis of bariatric surgery within the 2014 Cochrane review by Colquitt.43 However comparisons within this review did not address the surgical technique and comparator of interest to panel members (sleeve gastrectomy versus medical therapy). Panel members identified The RCT by Schauer, 2014 44 that specifically evaluated sleeve gastrectomy in comparison to medical therapy as important for consideration in the Saudi context and this RCT informs this question. Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 89) is found for mean systolic blood pressure reduction of 5.7 mmHg (± 8.3) in the surgically treated group compared to the medically treated group over 3 years. 44 Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 88) found a reduction of those with glycosylated hemoglobin > 6% of 200 fewer per 1000 when treated surgically treated versus medically over 3 years (NNT = 5, range 17 to 3).44 Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 89) is found for weight reduction of 21 kg (± 6) in the surgically treated group compared to the medically treated group over 3 years. 44 Moderate quality of evidence from one RCT (n= 88) found an increase of anemia 209 more per 1000 among those treated surgically compared to those treated medically over 3 years (NNT = 5, range 142 to 2). 44 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 115 Evidence to Decision Framework: Should bariatric surgery compared to non-surgical therapies be used for overweight and obese adult? Criteria Problem Is there a problem priority? Research evidence ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ● Yes ○ Varies Obesity in Saudi Arabia is a growing health concern. Obese and overweight adults represent over 70% of the population.24 Females are significantly more obese than males with a prevalence of 44%, compared to 26%, while overweight is significantly more prevalent among males (42.4%) compared to females (31.8%). 25 Obesity and overweight are well known risk factors for diabetes, coronary artery disease, hypertension, breathing and sleep disorders, as well as impaired quality of life. ○ No included The relative importance or values of the main outcomes of interest: studies What is the overall certainty of this evidence? Benefits & harms of the options ○ Very low ○ Low ● Moderate ○ High ○ Important Is there important uncertainty about how much people value the main outcomes? Additional considerations Judgements uncertainty or variability ○ Possibly important uncertainty or variability ○ Probably no Outcome Relative importance Certainty of the evidence (GRADE) Systolic blood pressure change CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ >6% Glycated Hemoglobin CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ Anemia CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ Weight CRITICAL ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE MODERATE Patient values and preferences: Impact of obesity (BMI ≥ 26 mg/kg2) on health-related quality of life (across multiple utility measures: EQ5D, EuroQol, VAS and SF6D) suggests significantly more problems with pain, mobility, role limitations and social functioning compared to those who are preobese or overweight. (Keating et al. 2007) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 116 Judgements important uncertainty of variability Summary of findings: Bariatric surgery compared to medical therapy for obese and overweight adults ● No im- portant uncertainty of variability Additional considerations Research evidence Outcome With medical therapy With bariatric surgery Difference (95% CI) Relative effect (RR) (95% CI) ○ No known Systolic blood pressure change The mean systolic blood pressure change in the control group was 0.63 mmHg The mean systolic blood pressure change in the intervention group was 5.7 lower (14 lower to 4 higher) MD 5.7 lower (14 lower to 4 higher) - >6% Glycated Hemoglobin 950 per 1000 750 per 1000 (627 to 893) 200 fewer per 1000 (from 57 fewer to 323 fewer) RR 0.789 (0.660 to 0.940) Anemia 140 per 1000 349 per 1000 (147 to 823) 209 more per 1000 (from 7 more to 684 more) RR 2.50 (1.05 to 5.90) Weight The mean Weight in the control group was 100.2 Kg The mean Weight in the intervention group was 21 lower (14 lower to 27 lower) MD 21 lower (14 lower to 27 lower) - undesirable Are the desirable anticipated effects large? Are the undesirable anticipated effects small? Are the desirable effects large relative to undesira- ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ● Varies ● No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria ble effects? Are the resources required small? 117 Judgements ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ● No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ○ Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Large variability in cost estimates (Keating et al. 2009; Picot et al. 2009; Sjöström et al. 2007; Vos et al. 2010). Major factors include; age, BMI, comorbidities, gender, type of surgery. Direct and Indirect health system costs (health professional surgical fees, OR time, hospital stay, cost of complications (wound infections, deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, leaks, cholecystectomy, incisional hernia abdominoplasty, surgical revision), follow-up, ongoing monitoring, sustained lifestyle changes. Range of costs for open gastric by-pass (most expensive procedure) in US dollars (Picot, 2009): Men 35-55 years, BMI 40-50 $68,000-$85,300 Women 35-55 years, BMI 40- 50 %59,000-$77,000 Prevalence of BMI > 40 in Saudi Arabia, total eligible candidates ( total cost to system range ( ). Resource use Is the incremental cost small relative to the net benefits? Additional considerations Research evidence ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ). Potential No studies directly compared bariatric surgery overall to non-surgical interventions Open gastric by-pass (most expensive procedure) vs non-surgical interventions: Men (35-55 years, BMI 40-50), Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio: $10,000 - $28,000/QALY Women(35-55 years, BMI - 40-50) Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio: $ 5.400 - $14,700/QALY Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Criteria 118 Judgements ○ Increased ● Probably increased Equity What would be the impact on health inequities? ○ Uncertain ○ Probably reduced ○ Reduced ○ Varies Is the option acAcceptability ceptable to key stakeholders? Feasibility Is the option feasible to implement? ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies ○ No ○ Probably no ○ Uncertain ● Probably yes ○ Yes ○ Varies Research evidence Additional considerations Panel members thought it would increase inequity in access to healthcare unless more resources are available and the procedure is made available for those with fewer resources Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 119 Recommendation Should bariatric surgery vs. medical therapy be used for obese and overweight adults? Balance of consequences Undesirable consequences clearly outweigh desirable consequences in most settings Undesirable consequences probably outweigh desirable consequences in most settings The balance between desirable and undesirable consequences is closely balanced or uncertain Desirable consequences probably outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings Desirable consequences clearly outweigh undesirable consequences in most settings ○ ○ ○ ● ○ Type of recommendation We recommend against offering this option We suggest not offering this option We suggest offering this option We recommend offering this option ○ ○ ● ○ Recommendation The panel suggests using bariatric surgery to obese adults (BMI ≥40 or ≥35 with comorbidities). Justification This recommendation pertains to individuals with larger BMI since anticipated benefits are larger in the setting of individuals who are at higher health risks due to morbid obesity compared to risks posed by surgery Subgroup considerations Data are considered for gastric sleeve surgery only Implementation considerations Patients need to be screened pre-operatively by trained physician for the presence of co-morbidities and other causes of obesity, including eating disorders. Post-operative multidisciplinary follow up is an additional implementation consideration Monitoring and evaluation Research possibilities Long- term evaluation of benefits and complications are required. Studies involving patients with lower BMI (30-35) are required Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 120 Evidence Profile Author(s): Ainsley Moore Date: 2014-12-15 Question: Bariatric surgery-sleeve gastrectomy compared to medical therapy for obese and overweight adults Setting: Mixed Bibliography (systematic reviews): Schauer, 2014 Quality assessment № of studies Study design Risk of bias № of patients Quality bariatric surgery non-surgical therapies Relative (95% CI) Absolute (95% CI) 49 40 - mean 5.7 lower (14 lower to 4 higher) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE none 2/40 (5.0%) 12/49 (24.5%) RR 4.89 (1.16 to 20.60) 953 more per 1000 (from 39 more to 1000 more) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE 1 none 15/49 (30.6%) 6/43 (14.0%) RR 2.50 (1.05 to 5.90) 209 more per 1000 (from 7 more to 684 more) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE 1 none 40 49 - MD 21 lower (14 lower to 27 lower) ⨁⨁⨁◯ MODERATE Inconsistency Indirectness Imprecision Other considerations Effect Importance From Schauer, 2014 Hypertension (systolic blood pressure) (follow up: mean 3 years; assessed with: mmHg) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious not serious serious 1 none CRITICAL From Schauer, 2014 <6% Glycated Hemoglobin (follow up: mean 3 years; assessed with: Prevalence) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious not serious serious 1 From Schauer 2014, Anemia (follow up: median 3 years; assessed with: Prevalence) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious not serious serious Frpm Schauer, 2014 Weight (follow up: mean 2 years; assessed with: Kg) 1 randomised trials not serious not serious not serious serious MD – mean difference, RR – relative risk 1. Small sample size wide confidence margins, impacting clinical decisions References 1. Schauer P, Bhatt D, Kirwan J, Wolski K, Brethauer S, et al. Bariatric Surgery versus Intensive Medical Therapy for Diabetes — 3-Year Outcomes. 2014. New England Journal of Medicine. 370: 21: 2002-13 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 121 Appendix 2: Search Strategies and Results Benefits and Harms: Search run November 21, 2014 Database: Ovid MEDLINE(R) In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Ovid MEDLINE(R) Daily and Ovid MEDLINE(R) <1946 to Present> Search Strategy: 1 exp Obesity/ (154104) 2 Hyperphagia/ (2605) 3 (obes* or adipos* or overweight* or over weight*).ti,ab. (254304) 4 (overeat* or overfeed*).ti,ab. (3191) 5 weight-gain/ (24269) 6 Weight Loss/ (26666) 7 Body Mass Index/ (88597) 8 weight gain.ti,ab. (44380) 9 or/1-8 (381046) 10 exp Diet Therapy/ (44026) 11 exp Obesity/dh [Diet Therapy] (6449) 12 (low calorie or calorie control$ or healthy eating).tw. (5780) 13 ((diet or diets or dieting) adj2 (loss or lose or weight or obesity or obese)).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier] (9953) 14 or/10-13 (58501) 15 exp Exercise/ (127556) 16 exp Exercise Therapy/ (32405) 17 exp Exercise Movement Techniques/ (5595) 18 exercis*.mp. (270064) 19 (aerobics or physical therapy or physical activity or physical inactivity).tw. (76660) 20 (fitness adj3 (class$ or regime$ or program$)).tw. (1190) 21 exp "Physical Education and Training"/ (13771) 22 physical education.mp. (13637) 23 (dance or dancing).mp. [mp=title, abstract, original title, name of substance word, subject heading word, keyword heading word, protocol supplementary concept word, rare disease supplementary concept word, unique identifier] (4407) 24 physical activity.mp. (62934) 25 or/15-24 (363369) 26 14 or 25 (413444) 27 life style/ or sedentary lifestyle/ (48434) 28 sedentary behavio?r.tw. (1830) 29 ((lifestyle or life style) adj (chang$ or intervention$)).tw. (8736) 30 counseling/ or directive counseling/ (30736) 31 counsel?ing.tw. (64083) 32 social support/ (54365) 33 (peer adj2 support).tw. (2131) 34 exp Behavior Therapy/ (56285) 35 ((psychological or behavio?r$) adj (therapy or modif$ or strateg$ or intervention$)).tw. (26773) 36 exp Obesity/rh, th [Rehabilitation, Therapy] (14366) 37 or/27-36 (259339) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 122 38 26 or 37 (636831) 39 9 and 38 (80051) 40 meta-analysis/ (54577) 41 meta-analysis as topic/ (14592) 42 (meta analy* or metanaly* or metaanaly*).ti,ab. (73428) 43 (reference list* or bibliograph* or hand search* or manual search* or relevant journals).ab. (28234) 44 ((systematic* or evidence*) adj2 (review* or overview*)).ti,ab. (85108) 45 (search strategy or search criteria or systematic search or study selection or data extraction).ab. (30566) 46 (search* adj4 literature).ab. (30815) 47 (medline or pubmed or cochrane or embase or psychlit or psyclit or psychinfo or psycinfo or cinahl or science citation index or bids or cancerlit).ab. (103980) 48 cochrane.jw. (11918) 49 or/40-48 (226698) 50 randomized controlled trial.pt. (400170) 51 controlled clinical trial.pt. (90682) 52 randomi#ed.ab. (382015) 53 placebo.ab. (163764) 54 randomly.ab. (228711) 55 Clinical Trials as topic.sh. (176359) 56 trial.ti. (138819) 57 or/50-56 (984722) 58 49 or 57 (1148705) 59 39 and 58 (14174) 60 limit 39 to ("reviews (best balance of sensitivity and specificity)" or "therapy (best balance of sensitivity and specificity)") (21915) 61 59 or 60 (24709) 62 limit 61 to yr="2011 -Current" (7791) Records Retrieved Pharmacological Non-pharmacological Summary of Searches Total No. Retrieved: 3756 Medline: 3756 Duplicates: 488 No. Total 3268 without duplicates: Screening (Title and Abstract Review) No. Excluded: 2363 Included for Full Text 3 review: Selection (Full Text Review) No. Excluded: 0 3756 129 3627 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 123 Patients’ Values and Preferences: Search run November 30, 2014 Database: MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychInfo Search Strategy: 1 exp Obesity/ (154152) 2 Hyperphagia/ (2605) 3 (obes* or adipos* or overweight* or over weight*).ti,ab. (254449) 4 (overeat* or overfeed*).ti,ab. (3191) 5 weight-gain/ (24275) 6 Weight Loss/ (26674) 7 Body Mass Index/ (88624) 8 weight gain.ti,ab. (44396) 9 or/1-8 (381220) 10 patient$ participation.mp. or exp patient participation/ (20206) 11 patient$ satisfaction.mp. or exp patient satisfaction/ (77077) 12 attitude to health.mp. or exp Attitude to health/ (387184) 13 (patient$ preference$ or patient$ perception$ or patient$ decision$ or patient$ perspective$ or user$ view$ or patient$ view$ or patient$ value$).mp. (25842) 14 (patient$ utilit$ or health utilit$).mp. (1464) 15 health related quality of life.mp. or exp "quality of life"/ (131808) 16 (health stat$ utilit$ or health stat$ indicator$ or (health stat$ adj 2 valu$)).mp. or exp Health Status Indicators/ (210575) 17 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 (704450) 18 9 and 17 (20525) 19 Saudi Arab$.mp,in. or Saudi Arabia/ (31680) 20 Riyadh.mp,in. (16650) 21 Jeddah.mp,in. (3860) 22 Kh*bar.mp,in. (775) 23 Dammam.mp,in. (1390) 24 19 or 20 or 21 or 22 or 23 (32156) 25 Kuwait$.mp,in. or Kuwait/ (7020) 26 United Arab Emirates.mp,in. or United Arab Emirates/ (4566) 27 Qatar$.mp,in. or Qatar/ (2575) 28 Oman$.mp,in. or Oman/ (3981) 29 Yemen$.mp,in. or Yemen/ (1939) 30 Bahr*in$.mp,in. or Bahrain/ (1275) 31 25 or 26 or 27 or 28 or 29 or 30 (20491) 32 Middle East$.mp,in. or Middle East/ (12125) 33 Jordan$.mp,in. or Jordan/ (10518) 34 Libya$.mp,in. or Libya/ (1867) 35 Egypt$.mp,in. or Egypt/ (39361) 36 Syria$.mp,in. or Syria/ (10926) 37 Iraq$/ or Iraq.mp,in. (8291) 38 Morocc$.mp,in. or Morocco/ (8762) 39 Tunisia$.mp,in. or Tunisia/ (12985) 40 Leban$.mp,in. or Lebanon/ (15544) 41 West Bank.mp,in. (771) 42 Iran$.mp,in. or Iran/ (67613) 43 Turkey/ or (Turkey or Turkish).mp,in. (155414) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 44 45 46 47 48 49 Algeria$.mp,in. or Algeria/ (4354) Arab$.mp,in. or Arabs/ (125650) 32 or 33 or 34 or 35 or 36 or 37 or 38 or 39 or 40 or 41 or 42 or 43 or 44 (337727) 45 or 46 (454438) 24 or 31 or 47 (467162) 18 and 48 (589) Summary of Searches: Total No. Retrieved: 2625 Medline 589 PsychInfo 25 EMBASE 2011 Duplicates: 367 No. Total 2258 without duplicates: Screening (Title and Abstract Review) No. Excluded: 2255 Included for Full Text 2 review: Selection (Full Text Review) No. Excluded: 0 124 Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 125 Cost-Effectiveness Search: Search run November 30, 2014 Database: MEDLINE, EMBASE Search Strategy: 1 Socioeconomics/ (110868) 2 Cost benefit analysis/ (65601) 3 Cost effectiveness analysis/ (101296) 4 Cost of illness/ (14509) 5 Cost control/ (50040) 6 Economic aspect/ (103874) 7 Financial management/ (101549) 8 Health care cost/ (132593) 9 Health care financing/ (11523) 10 Health economics/ (33932) 11 Hospital cost/ (14232) 12 (fiscal or financial or finance or funding).tw. (109404) 13 Cost minimization analysis/ (2558) 14 (cost adj estimate$).mp. (2092) 15 (cost adj variable$).mp. (170) 16 (unit adj cost$).mp. (2617) 17 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 (679512) 18 exp obesity/ (308984) 19 hyperphagia/ (3887) 20 (obes* or adipos* or overweight* or over weight*).ti,ab. (322118) 21 (overeat* or overfeed*).ti,ab. (3720) 22 weight gain/ (67531) 23 weight reduction/ (103657) 24 body mass/ (197803) 25 (weight adj (gain or loss)).ti,ab. (129150) 26 or/18-25 (662336) 27 exp diet therapy/ (248469) 28 exp obesity/rh, th [Rehabilitation, Therapy] (16893) 29 (low calorie or calorie control$ or healthy eating).tw. (7104) 30 ((diet or diets or dieting) adj2 (loss or lose or weight or obesity or obese)).mp. (30967) 31 or/27-30 (285461) 32 exp exercise/ (218192) 33 exp kinesiotherapy/ (49594) 34 Exercis*.mp. (356633) 35 (aerobics or physical therapy or physical activity or physical inactivity).tw. (94257) 36 (fitness adj3 (class$ or regime$ or program$)).tw. (1460) 37 physical education/ (10177) 38 (dance or dancing).mp. (5615) 39 physical activity.mp. (113171) 40 or/32-39 (476742) 41 31 or 40 (725549) 42 "lifestyle and related phenomena"/ or lifestyle/ or lifestyle modification/ or sedentary lifestyle/ (98349) 43 sedentary behavio?r.tw. (1998) 44 ((lifestyle or life style) adj (chang$ or intervention$)).tw. (11717) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 126 counseling/ or directive counseling/ or nutritional counseling/ (43798) counsel?ing.tw. (80945) social support/ (59003) (peer adj2 support).tw. (2745) exp psychotherapy/ (191443) ((psychological or behavio?r$) adj (therapy or modif$ or strateg$ or intervention$)).tw. (35097) or/42-50 (441962) 41 or 51 (1101038) 26 and 52 (171741) limit 53 to "reviews (maximizes specificity)" (2220) limit 54 to yr="2011 -Current" (1399) limit 53 to "therapy (maximizes specificity)" (5764) limit 56 to yr="2011 -Current" (2384) 55 or 57 (3673) 17 and 53 (8177) Saudi Arab$.mp,in. or Saudi Arabia/ (49446) Riyadh.mp,in. (26759) Jeddah.mp,in. (6984) Kh*bar.mp,in. (1268) Dammam.mp,in. (2016) 60 or 61 or 62 or 63 or 64 (49745) Kuwait$.mp,in. or Kuwait/ (11086) United Arab Emirates.mp,in. or United Arab Emirates/ (9987) Qatar$.mp,in. or Qatar/ (4944) Oman$.mp,in. or Oman/ (5662) Yemen$.mp,in. or Yemen/ (2613) Bahr*in$.mp,in. or Bahrain/ (3102) 66 or 67 or 68 or 69 or 70 or 71 (35343) Middle East$.mp,in. or Middle East/ (15410) Jordan$.mp,in. or Jordan/ (30783) Libya$.mp,in. or Libya/ (3031) Egypt$.mp,in. or Egypt/ (69887) Syria$.mp,in. or Syria/ (16213) Iraq$/ or Iraq.mp,in. (10495) Morocc$.mp,in. or Morocco/ (18780) Tunisia$.mp,in. or Tunisia/ (25366) Leban$.mp,in. or Lebanon/ (27300) West Bank.mp,in. (1106) Iran$.mp,in. or Iran/ (111983) Turkey/ or (Turkey or Turkish).mp,in. (257793) Algeria$.mp,in. or Algeria/ (8090) Arab$.mp,in. or Arabs/ (158448) 73 or 74 or 75 or 76 or 77 or 78 or 79 or 80 or 81 or 82 or 83 or 84 or 85 (577872) 86 or 87 (714548) 65 or 72 or 88 (733973) 59 and 89 (287) Management of Overweight and Obese Adults Summary of Searches: Total No. Retrieved: 391 Medline 104 EMBASE 287 Duplicates: 50 No. Total 341 without duplicates: Screening (Title and Abstract Review) No. Excluded: 339 Included for Full Text 2 review: Selection (Full Text Review) No. Excluded: 0 127
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