The Institute for Domestic and International Affairs, Inc. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development Landlocked Development Countries Director: Breanna Long © 2008 Institute for Domestic & International Affairs, Inc. (IDIA) This document is solely for use in preparation for Rutgers Model United Nations 2008. Use for other purposes is not permitted without the express written consent of IDIA. For more information, please write us at [email protected] Policy Dilemma ______________________________________________________________ 1 Chronology __________________________________________________________________ 3 20 February 1957: UN Resolution 1028________________________________________________ 3 9 October 1962: Independence for Uganda_____________________________________________ 3 7 June 1965: The UN Convention on Transit Trade of LLS _______________________________ 4 10 December 1982: Ratification of UNCLOS ___________________________________________ 5 1 January 1995: Establishment of WTO _______________________________________________ 5 2001: Worsening Economic Conditions _______________________________________________ 6 25-29 August 2003: Almaty Conference _______________________________________________ 6 10 August 2005: Meeting of Ministers of LLDCs ________________________________________ 7 April 2006: Statistics Published Regarding LLDCs______________________________________ 7 Actors and Interests ___________________________________________________________ 8 Least Developed LLDCs ____________________________________________________________ 8 Other LLDCs _____________________________________________________________________ 9 Transit States ____________________________________________________________________ 11 Developed States _________________________________________________________________ 12 Possible Causes _____________________________________________________________ 14 Burdens of Border-Crossing________________________________________________________ 14 Infrastructure Deficiencies _________________________________________________________ 15 Resources _______________________________________________________________________ 16 Conclusions of Causes _____________________________________________________________ 17 Projections _________________________________________________________________ 18 Conclusion _________________________________________________________________ 19 Discussion Questions _________________________________________________________ 21 Works Cited ________________________________________________________________ 23 Rutgers Model United Nations 1 Policy Dilemma Landlocked developing countries (LLDCs) face severe economic challenges that result largely from their geographic locations. The primary problem facing LLDCs is their lack of national access to a coast, which obstructs their involvement in trade and the economic development that results from it. Currently, there are thirty-one states that the United Nations recognizes as LLDCs: fifteen in Africa, twelve in Asia, two in Latin America, and two in Central and Eastern Europe.1 Although clear-cut geography plays a significant role in the disadvantages LLDCs face, the problem is more intricate than that. Problems of inefficient transit systems, underdeveloped neighboring countries, and the excessively high costs of exports—due to prolonged transit and customs and tariff regulations at transit countries’ borders—restrict access to international markets. The problem, then, becomes cyclical: high costs lead to low exports, which leads to no viable competitiveness in the global market and very little incoming trade revenue—and, thus, the continuation of underdevelopment and economic ineptness. Constructing a policy to deal with problems that LLDCs face is particularly difficult, since the nature of the problem necessitates international cooperation. Improving infrastructure, for example, is not only necessary within the LLDCs themselves, but often also within neighboring transit states. Furthermore, LLDCs are subject to other countries’ customs and border regulations, further complicating the matter. Beyond the problem of international dependency, LLDCs lack the economic resources that would enable them to begin to address the problem themselves. Although the United Nations (UN) has put forth and passed various resolutions, implementation remains shaky and LLDCs’ problems of physical and economic remoteness persist. Clearly, the difficulties facing LLDCs have important global and political implications. Without access to the global market and cut off from participation in international trade, LLDCs are unlikely to undergo significant economic development or 1 UNCTAD, “UN recognition of the problems of land-locked developing countries,” UNCTAD, http://unctad.org/Templates/Page.asp?intItemID=3619&lang=1 (accessed February 4, 2008). Rutgers Model United Nations 2 poverty reduction. Of the thirty-one LLDCs, sixteen are currently classified as Least Developed Countries (LDCs), which are those states facing the most extreme and dire developmental issues.2 If the international community seeks to improve conditions for the world’s poorest populations, it is clear that addressing the special needs of LLDCs is necessary. Furthermore, dealing with the issues that LLDCs face is crucial to honoring UN commitments to decreasing global poverty and building a partnership for global development as expressed in the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). With such significant impacts on the global stage, various solutions aimed at accelerating the economic integration of LLDCs have been proposed and popularized. What seems to be the most widely recognized solution is the improvement of internal infrastructure, as the development of efficient transit systems, including roads, railways, and waterways, would significantly lower transit costs; this, however, is obviously expensive in construction and maintenance. Another solution exists in improving policies at border-crossing points to decrease costly delays in transport, through clearly established agreements, expanded technological development, and the use of management information systems.3 Increasing regional trade may also help resolve the problem; if LLDCs become transit countries through which maritime countries’ goods must travel, it is likely that the improvement of their transit systems and freer access between neighbor states will become more pressing political concerns. The encouragement of foreign direct investment (FDI) is yet another solution often advocated. If external, economically developed countries’ businesses invest in branches in LLDCs, it is believed that economic growth will result and fuel further development. Finally, and controversially, preferential treatment for landlocked states in international maritime law is sometimes called for.4 2 United Nations, “Landlocked Developing Countries,” United Nations, http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/default.htm (accessed February 4, 2008). 3 UNCTAD, “Challenges and Opportunities for Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries,” UNCTAD, http://unctad.org/en/docs/tdbldcac1d19_en.pdf (accessed February 4, 2008). 4 S.C. Vascianne, Landlocked and Geographically Disadvantaged States in the Law of the Sea, (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1990). Rutgers Model United Nations 3 Chronology 20 February 1957: UN Resolution 1028 In 1957, the United Nations General Assembly passed Resolution 1028 (XI), the first resolution to address the specific problems facing LLDCs. At the time of the resolution, there were only six landlocked developing states in existence: Bolivia, Paraguay, Afghanistan, Bhutan, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, and Nepal.5 The document, although brief and mildly worded, asked the governments of member states to “give full recognition to the needs of land-locked Member states” and “accord them adequate facilities in terms of international law and practice.”6 Furthermore, the resolution recognized the need to develop adequate transit infrastructure in order to facilitate international trade. 9 October 1962: Independence for Uganda While this specific date marks the independence of just one particular state, Uganda, it is representative of the time period’s larger movement of African colonies towards independence, resulting in a large “post-1958 increase in the number of landlocked nations.”7 In the late 1950s and early 1960s, various colonies gained their independence from European powers, specifically Great Britain, France, and Belgium. Significantly, the end of colonialism in Africa had a huge impact on the plight of LLDCs. A majority of these newly independent nations had “enjoyed better access to the sea under their colonial overlords;” regional fragmentation resulted from the “pressures of independence” and caused a huge impediment to access to the sea and resulting economic growth.8 (While unrelated to the specific impact of colonialism on LLDCs, a similar situation would occur decades later, with the creation of new LLDCs following the breakup of the Soviet Union.) Major state dissolutions or movements for independence 5 Chowdhury, Anwrul K and Sandagjorj Erdenebileg, Geography Against Development: A Case for Landlocked Developing Countries,( UN-OHRLLS, New York: 2006), iii 6 http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/RESOLUTION/GEN/NR0/340/32/IMG/NR034032.pdf?OpenElement 7 Samuel Pyeatt Menefee, ““The Oar of Odysseus”: Landlocked and “Geographically Disadvantaged” States in Historical Perspective,” California Western International Law Journal, 23, no. 1 (1992-3). WilsonWeb, via Hein Online, http://www.hwwilson.com/ Rutgers Model United Nations 4 had increased the number of LLDCs from the meager six in 1957 to twenty-three in attendance at the Convention on Transit Trade in 1965, setting the stage for the necessity of international action.9 7 June 1965: The UN Convention on Transit Trade of LLS In 1965, the United Nations Convention on Transit Trade of Land-Locked States, the first conference ever organized under UNCTAD, was held in New York.10 There, serious disagreements took place regarding the scope of the problem, and what should be done to help LLDCs escape their geographic disadvantage. The United States, for instance, had little interest in the issue, as it is neither an LLDC nor transit state. Even among landlocked states, there was no consensus. Many landlocked states in Europe, being themselves economically stable and surrounded by developed countries, did not and still do not face the same problems that many developing countries without access to a coast do. Furthermore, the positions of the transit states varied greatly; transit states with agreeable relations with their LLDC neighbors were more conciliatory than those with hostile relations. This, of course, underscores another important obstacle for LLDCs: the vagaries of their relations with the states on whom they depend. On the whole, although all states recognized and were beginning to address the problem of being landlocked for developing economies, those states that did not face the problem themselves did not want to make the economic or sovereign concessions necessary to assist LLDCs gain freer access to global trade.11 The Convention did, however, adopt an important document, whose preamble clearly states a principle that highlights the importance of access to the sea for development: “The recognition of the right of each land-locked State of free access to the sea is an essential principle for the expansion of international trade and economic development.”12 While it was a noble attempt to address the problem and international law surrounding it, the document was 8 Ibid Kishnor, 444 10 Glassner, 35 11 Ibid, 37 12 Ibid, 17 9 Rutgers Model United Nations 5 not ratified by nearly as many coastal states as was originally hoped.13 10 December 1982: Ratification of UNCLOS On this date, the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea III (UNCLOS), the latest international document regarding international maritime law, opened for ratification. Since the Barcelona Conventions in 1921, the question of whether landlocked states had the right of coastal access had been long debated on the international level. UNCLOS III sought to firmly establish this right, stating, “landlocked states shall enjoy freedom of transit through the territory of transit states by all means of transport.”14 UNCLOS was intended to address and replace a number of older treaties, including a document from an earlier UNCLOS convention. Despite this newest declaration, though, freedom of transit has continued to be “notional rather than real” and “LLDCs have had to rely on the political good will” of their neighbors for real access to world markets.15 A long history of legal framework for cooperation and development exists, but has not, to date, been successfully implemented to the advantage of LLDCs. 1 January 1995: Establishment of WTO Perhaps the most significant sign of globalization and the increasing importance of international trade and global participation to economic success, the establishment of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, holds particular significance for LLDCs. The establishment of the organization highlights the increased importance of world trade to economic well being in modern times. In an era in which expanding technology and transit has allowed for the world to become more interconnected and world trade to move to the forefront, the weak financial position and inaccessibility of LLDCs has further marginalized their economies. On the other hand, the WTO is also an important tool for LLDCs, which may fall under special provisions in trade negotiations. 13 14 15 Menefee, 63 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 121 Ibid, 141 Rutgers Model United Nations 6 2001: Worsening Economic Conditions Indicative of the worsening economic conditions in LLDCs and their overall lack of participation in international trade, the number of exports from LLDCs showed a downward trend throughout the 1990s. A comparison of statistics from 1990 to 2001 shows that the share of world exports in twenty-nine of thirty-one LLDCs dropped or remained at a standstill throughout the decade.16 The two exceptions to this were Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan. 25-29 August 2003: Almaty Conference The International Ministerial Conference of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries and Donor Countries and International Financial and Development Institutions on Transit Transport Cooperation, more commonly called the Almaty Conference, was held in Almaty, Kazakhstan. The conference, as the UN says, was “a unique opportunity to galvanize international solidarity and partnership to assist landlocked developing countries to effectively participate in the international trading system.”17 To achieve this end, the outcome of the conference was the endorsement of the Almaty Programme of Action. Bearing the interests of both landlocked and transit countries in mind, the Programme stresses the importance of forging partnerships and establishing an international framework to create and improve infrastructure and transit systems. The Programme addresses five specific areas to be given priority.18 The first of these areas is basic transit policy, which can be improved, the Programme suggests, through the use of new information technology, and increased transparency in border control procedures. The second area is infrastructure reform, which entails development and maintenance of roadways and railways, as appropriate for the specific state. Third, the Programme calls for measures to increase international trade. Not only does this call for the global market to pay extra attention to goods from LLDCs, granting them preferential treatment, but also seeks to facilitate trade through avoidance of unnecessary 16 Ibid, 36 United Nations, “Landlocked Developing Countries,” United Nations, http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/default.htm 17 Rutgers Model United Nations 7 costs related to extensive documentation requirements or bank transactions. Furthermore, this priority addresses the need to incorporate all LLDCs into the WTO, which will help them by “ensuring enhanced and predictable access to all markets.”19 The fourth priority stresses the need for international assistance, through monetary loans and investment, as well as technical assistance and knowledge sharing. Finally, the Almaty Programme calls for effective implementation of its provisions through annual review by the General Assembly. 10 August 2005: Meeting of Ministers of LLDCs At the Meeting of the Ministers of LLDCs Responsible for Trade, held in Paraguay, the ministers adopted the Asunción Platform for the Doha Development Round of WTO negotiations.20 Although various resolutions had been proposed or passed at other international conferences, the need for action and assistance persisted. Reaffirming many of the conclusions and re-endorsing many of the suggestions made in the Almaty Programme, the platform’s purpose, UNCTAD says, was to “harmonize the positions of LLDCs in the current round of multilateral trade negotiations.”21 The LLDCs involved used this platform to bring their struggle to the attention of the WTO, urging the current round of negotiations to address their specific needs and the more expedient integration of all LLDCs into the WTO. April 2006: Statistics Published Regarding LLDCs Despite these various international resolutions, development in these states remains quite stagnant, as evidenced by statistics published in April 2006. Perhaps one of the clearest indications of the problems facing LLDCs, the average life expectancy has stood virtually still over the past three decades, at 46.1 years in the 1970s and only 46.9 18 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 147 Ibid, 148 20 “Asuncion Platform for the Doha Development Round,” UNCTAD, http://www.unctad.org/en/docs//a60d308_en.pdf 21 “UN recognition of the problems of land-locked developing countries,” UNCTAD, http://www.unctad.org/Templates/Page.asp?intItemID=3619&lang=1 19 Rutgers Model United Nations 8 years today.22 Beyond this, economic growth has not budged for LLDCs, with their average national debt growing. The mean debt-to-Gross Domestic Product ratio in LLDCs hovers at an astounding 77 per cent, the reasons for which include “inconsistent implementation of policy reforms” as well as “factors such as worsening terms of trade and protectionist policies.”23 Clearly, previous attempts at resolving the problem have fallen short, and further action is necessary. Actors and Interests Least Developed LLDCs Although all LLDCs face similar problems, the degree to which these problems affect them varies from state to state. Some landlocked states, for example, are not even classified as LLDCs; most of these are in Europe, having benefited from their developed neighbors and the common trade policy the European Union (EU) provides. Even among LLDCs, though, there are varying degrees of severity. About half—sixteen of thirtyone—of LLDCs are also LDCs, facing the worst of all development conditions, and eleven of these sixteen are located in Africa.24 The interests and motivations of least developed LLDCS are clear: they want to become participants in international trade in order to improve their economies and raise standards of living. There are many reasons why some LLDCs have fared better than others, and policy must reflect the different demands of different nations. Primary reasons for doing particularly badly are geography—not necessarily distance from the sea, but whether or not they are in a high conflict area, climate of the region, and relationship with their neighbors—and available resources. Countries in Central and Western Africa, for example, suffer greatly from the conflict their geography immerses them in, which has damaged much of their infrastructure and closes borders to rigorous and time-consuming 22 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 17 Ibid, 13 24 “List of Landlocked Developing Countries,” United Nations, http://www.un.org/special-rep/ohrlls/lldc/list.htm (accessed February 12, 2008). 23 Rutgers Model United Nations 9 security inspections.25 For these countries, establishing agreements to make crossing borders easier and to create regional networks of trade is an imperative first step. Improving transit systems is also of extreme importance. Many nations suffer particularly badly because of the resources they have to offer. Often, LLDCs rely on one or a very small number of products to export. Particularly, those countries that lack highly valuable resources must seek to diversify their tradable commodities or services. Technology can be useful in this aspect, leading to trade in “semi-skilled activities that can be transferred electronically.”26 Although it is a promising prospect, service trade relies on the development of technology, which in turn often relies on foreign investment or donations. Investing in better technology, negotiating with adjacent transit states, and seeking trade agreements are all popular solutions among LLDCs. Without much leverage and highly dependent on other nations to help develop their economies, though, least developed LLDCs are certainly not in a good spot. With policy improvements, however, regional integration is possible. Trading with neighbors, even if not overseas, can help to develop the economies of LLDCs and make their interior geographic location advantageous as a cross-hub for regional trade. This, certainly, would give them greater leverage in border and port negotiations, eventually allowing increased access to world markets. Other LLDCs Although the rest of the LLDCs are not classified as LDCs, they still face very troubling economic situations and trade barriers that the international community must address. Some countries, like Zambia, Swaziland, and Uganda, have managed to escape the demarcation of LDC through the value of their exports.27 Botswana, for example, has been helped by the high value of its primary resource, diamonds. This resource has 25 Chowdhury and Erdenebilegh, 68 UNCTAD, “Challenges and Opportunities For Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries,” UNCTAD, http://unctad.org/en/docs/tdbldcac1d19_en.pdf (accessed February 13, 2008). 27 Uprety Kishnor, “Landlocked States and Access to the Sea: An Evolutionary Study of a Contested Right,” 26 Rutgers Model United Nations 10 allowed Botswana to overcome one of the major obstacles of landlockedness through the use of air, rather than rail or road, transport.28 For states like Botswana, with high value commodities, or landlocked states whose neighbors have advanced infrastructure, the need for transit improvements is not pressing. Other countries have shown significant progress in some areas, but still struggle to fully integrate into the world economy. South America’s two LLDCs, Bolivia and Paraguay, have secured substantial regional agreements that have helped to facilitate their trade participation, the most important of which is the Latin America Integration Association (ALADI). ALADI has enabled these two LLDCs to sign many trade agreements with transit and coastal neighbors, creating more stable access to the sea, as well as eliminating or reducing tariffs on a number of goods.29 Even with these advantages, though, Bolivia and Paraguay, as well as other LLDCs involved in regional agreements, remain disadvantaged and in the midst of development. Policy for them, then, focuses less on how to create regional trade networks and more on improving physical infrastructure and technology development. Enhanced Information and Communication Technology (ICT), for example, can speed up border crossings and help these countries keep track of shipped goods. The policy preferences of most of these LLDCs, then, depend on their unique situations, but the potential outcome for these states is somewhat better than it is for their least developed peers. As many already participate in regional agreements, the adoption of new policies, particularly technological advances, can spur continued growth and development, with the model of prosperous European landlocked countries in mind. For these states, integration into the world economy seems less daunting and may be attainable more quickly. 28 Michael L. Faye, John W. McArthur, Jeffrey D. Sachs, and Thomas Snow, “The Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries,” Journal of Human Development, 5, no. 1 (2004). Academic Search Premier, via EBSCOhost, http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdf?vid=6&hid=9&sid=5f883bcb-ce64-469e-af5f0757815ecbbd%40sessionmgr7 29 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 109 Rutgers Model United Nations 11 Transit States Transit states have a unique stake in the policies surrounding LLDCs. Primarily, it is notable that many transit states are themselves developing, especially in Africa, and would benefit significantly from the development of their landlocked neighbors. Some of these benefits include a “pickup in business, more port charges, and infrastructure developments.”30 The mutual benefits of cooperation can be seen, in one instance, in Bangladesh. An underdeveloped transit country, Bangladesh has, in recent years, had many new jobs open up at its ports after it allowed its landlocked neighbors, Nepal and Bhutan, easier access to its coast.31 Another startling example of the benefits transit states stand to gain is obvious is Djibouti, a transit country that signed a port agreement with Ethiopia (an LLDC) in 2002. Now, Ethiopian transit trade accounts for 70 per cent of Djibouti’s port income.32 The situation, though, is not always so simple, “considering that the transit countries […] must export as much as they can,” and that their products are often the same as those exported by their neighboring LLDCs.33 Competition, then, can make unlimited access to ports unfeasible. Although transit states may be willing to compromise, they often seek bilateral agreements, rather than multilateral or regional negotiations. With the upper hand in the situation, as they have access to the coast, transit states have traditionally had more leverage in negotiating bilateral agreements.34 Believing that they can “gain a competitive advantage through skillful negotiations,” transit states are sometimes hesitant to liberalize transit traffic.35 Although many are now beginning to realize that bilateral agreements are frequently time-consuming and inefficient, the fact highlights an important point: transit states do not want to compromise their sovereignty by completely 30 Jonas Hagen, “Trade Routes for Landlocked Countries,” UN Chronicle, 40, no. 4 (2004). Academic Search Premier, via Wilson Web, http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdf?vid=2&hid=22&sid=a7a27cb7-ddba-4446-93542bc1bb91ed6b%40sessionmgr8 31 Ibid 32 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 67 33 Hagen 34 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 141 35 UNCTAD, “Regional Cooperation in Transit Transport: Solutions for landlocked and transit developing countries,” UNCTAD, http://unctad.org/en/docs/c3em30d2_en.pdf (accessed February 11, 2008). Rutgers Model United Nations 12 opening up borders to LLDCs. In a similar vein, transit states are also concerned about maintaining border security while loosening trade barriers. As lengthy administrative procedures and customs are significant financial burdens for LLDCs, causing costly delays and extra expenses, this is an area for potential compromise. For transit states, though, these solutions must be weighed with care: in some of the Third World, customs duties can account for up to half of governmental revenue.36 An appropriate balance must be struck; eliminating unfair fees, harmonizing hours and procedures, and regularizing documentation requirements are all contributing solutions for LLDCs that rely on and deeply affect their transit neighbors.37 Beyond this, transit states would be major beneficiaries of improvements in infrastructure aimed at helping LLDCs. In order to get their goods to the sea, landlocked countries need their neighbors’ transit systems built up just as much as they need their own improved. Not only would this facilitate transportation within the transit states, it would also open them up to freer trade with their LLDC neighbors. A new market for exports and a new source of imports thus emerges. Clearly, then, transit states face many considerations and have a crucial stake in the policies adopted towards LLDCs. Optimally, transit states would like to reap the benefits of an integrated trade network, through both physical and nonphysical infrastructure developments that protect their security and sovereignty. Although potential for more leverage exists in bilateral negotiations with LLDCs, multilateral agreements can allow for even more port revenue and stable regional trade. Developed States Developed states already have the infrastructure and accessibility that enables participation in global trade. Today, they are important trading partners of LLDCs, but their interaction has fallen in recent years. From 1993-2003, the percentage of imports to 36 Beverly May Carl, Economic Integration Among Developing Nations, (New York: Praeger Publishers, 1986), 28. Jean Francois Arvis, “Transit and the Special Case of Landlocked Countries” in Customs Modernization Handbook, ed. Luc de Wulf and Jose B. Sokol (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 2005). http://www.worldbank.org/transport/learning/learning%20week/trade_facil_2005/Useful%20Database%20and%20 Guidelines/World%20Bank%20(2005a)%20Customs%20Mondernization%20Handbook.pdf#page=269 37 Rutgers Model United Nations 13 LLDCs coming from developed countries dropped from 45 to 33 per cent.38 As prosperous members of the international community, it may seem like these nations have little at stake in the development of LLDCs, but this is not true. Opening LLDCs up to the global market through policy and infrastructure developments not only gives the feeble economies access to international trade, but it also has advantages for nations already trading. In the era of globalization, the potential for new markets for First World products exists in LLDCs. Furthermore, increasing the accessibility of LLDCs gives developed countries access to new and coveted resources. This is especially significant because oil is the “single most important category” of exports in LLDCs, accounting for 42 per cent of all exports from LLDCs in 2002.39 And, although all LLDCs do not export oil, many are rich in other natural resources, including minerals and precious stones, desired by developed states. Although there are certainly potential gains for developed states, many of the proposed solutions rely on their cooperation. Financial and technical aid from donor countries—which, at the Almaty Conference included the United States, Japan, and the European Union, among others—is necessary to carry out policies aimed at helping LLDCs.40 At the conference, these countries expressed strong support for the Almaty Programme, which includes wide-ranging provisions for reform. Furthermore, working to increase inflows of FDI, coming from businesses in the developed world, is an oftenproposed solution that has great potential to affect developed nations’ economies. Developed nations clearly play a key role in helping LLDCs overcome the geographic and economic obstacles they face. They are willing to help, through investment and aid, with the optimal outcome involving a return on their investments. While they recognize the responsibility the developed world has to the world’s poorest, the emergence of new markets and the availability of new resources are especially significant motivating factors for support and action. 38 UNCTAD, “Effective Participation of Landlocked Developing Countries in the Multilateral Trading System,” UNCTAD, http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/ldc20053p1_en.pdf (accessed February 12, 2008). 39 Ibid Rutgers Model United Nations 14 Possible Causes Burdens of Border-Crossing For LLDCs, a lack of regional integration and cooperation is a huge burden and perhaps the most significant barrier to international trade. Not only do these burdens disrupt trade in progress, but they also tend to discourage future trade. Border crossing procedures between LLDCs and transit states are so much trouble for a number of reasons. First, there are direct customs costs and tariffs associated with crossing borders, sometimes implemented unfairly. For example, when LLDCs’ goods enter a transit state’s borders, there are often customs guarantees they must pay, which are supposed to be reimbursed when the goods leave the country. Although there is a risk for transit states that necessitates these customs guarantees, they are often more expensive than the true cost of transit goods.41 Then, reimbursement of these costs is often “unjustifiably long and costly,” ultimately burdening the LLDC.42 More significant than the issue of fixed tariffs and customs costs, though, is the burden that lengthy “bureaucratic procedures” place on LLDCs.43 When states are not engaged in regional agreements, there are no standard paperwork and documentation requirements—a situation that often results in very slow border-crossings. To better understand the extent and effect of this, it is useful to know that for countries in the Commonwealth of Independent Nations, the average border-crossing time is measured in days, while in Europe, it is about thirty to forty minutes.44 One notable exception to this problem exists in Bhutan, a state whose own customs handles trade traffic through India.45 This, however, is very rare, and only occurs because of particularly strong relations between the two nations. Moreover, LLDCs are subject to the vagaries of their relations with transit states. If they happen to be in conflict with a neighboring transit state, the transit state may 40 Hagen Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 27 42 Ibid 43 Faye, 47 44 UNCTAD, “Challenges and Opportunities For Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries” 45 Faye, 49 41 Rutgers Model United Nations 15 subject them to border obstructions and other obstacles to trade.46 Although this does not affect all countries, it once again underscores the advantage that transit states have in negotiations. Furthermore, corruption and a lack of transparency in border procedures hinder trade. Beyond problems of smuggled goods leaking to markets, in some countries, like Armenia and Azerbaijan, weak political institutions result in widespread bribe paying to cross borders.47 The effects of administrative burdens and regional disintegration are often stressed by LLDCs and played down by transit states, who maintain that they, too, are economically disadvantaged and, like any country does, have their own agendas. The fault, however, does not all lie with the transit states; LLDCs themselves have the problems of untrained customs officials, unclear procedures, and even different hours of operation at border crossing-points than their transit neighbors. Infrastructure Deficiencies Related to the problems with border crossing is the problem of weak infrastructure. Both inefficient transit and communication systems in LLDCs serve as a significant impediment to trade. It is important to note that there are various causes for the existence of weak transportation infrastructure, including “lack of resources, misgovernance,” as well as “conflict and natural disasters” that may have damaged systems.48 Furthermore, most LLDCs are rural, with little to no urbanization. The problem that a lack of efficient transportation causes is clear: goods cannot even get world markets without roads and rails to get them to ports. Infrastructure deficiencies plague both LLDCs and transit states. Some states, like Burundi, have relatively good internal structures, but cannot gain access to the coast because of their neighbors’ inefficient systems. Other states face the reverse situation; Laos, for example, cannot take advantage of neighboring Thailand’s advanced transit system because it has no internal network to connect to it.49 46 47 48 49 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 26 Faye, 65 Ibid, 44 Ibid, 45 Rutgers Model United Nations 16 Not only are there inefficiencies in transit systems, but also in technological infrastructure that could facilitate trade. Clearly, developing states all lack the communication technology of the First World, but LLDCs are also significantly trailing behind their developing peers; even transit developing states outspend LLDCs by a ratio of ninety-six to one on Information Technology (IT).50 Developed by UNCTAD, Automated System for Customs Data (ASYCUDA) is an example of IT that has been successfully implemented in developing countries.51 A further increase in IT can help to speed up trade and keep track of goods, which increases transparency and decreases the likelihood of smuggling. Overall, the connection between inefficient infrastructure, high transport costs, and the problem of economic underdevelopment that LLDCs face is widely recognized, but dealing with it is difficult. Building transportation and communication infrastructure is very expensive, and LLDCs have little money to spare; thus, they are often dependent on donor countries. Improvements, then, are not always based on need, but “political expediency, donor preferences, and […] likelihood of measurable success.”52 Resources Yet another issue that obstructs LLDCs’ participation in international trade is their available resources. This problem manifests itself in two areas: a lack of people and of exportable goods. First, LLDCs lack the economic resources to support sufficient productive capacities or an adequate domestic market for trade. LLDCs’ small (and poor) populations lead to a lack of internal demand for goods, without which they “cannot benefit from economies of scale,” making goods’ costs higher.53 This, combined with the high transit costs they face, makes adequate external trading even more implausible. In addition to the lack of manpower, LLDCs have few resources to offer. In fact, half of LLDCs depend on only commodity for 50 per cent or more of their total 50 Chowdhury, 29 Arvis, 253 52 David Simon, Transport and Development in the Third World, (London: Routledge, 1996), 91 53 UNCTAD, “Challenges and Opportunities For Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries” 51 Rutgers Model United Nations 17 exports, and two commodities for three-quarters.54 Most LLDCs, especially those in Africa, rely on agricultural products for trade. These, however, are heavily sensitive to climactic changes, and are thus unstable and have “highly volatile” growth patterns.55 Although various developing countries face the problem of insufficient resources, it is particularly harmful to landlocked states because of their underdeveloped infrastructure and long distance from the sea, which makes trading large goods very expensive. So, while some LLDCs have desirable natural resources, like oil or gems, trading them is very dependent on good transit. In response, developed countries tend to stress the point that LLDCs offer mainly primary commodities and do not trade services. These are often more desirable than agricultural products and, more importantly, are unaffected by LLDCs’ distance from the sea. The problem of insufficient technology, however, resurfaces, as LLDCs have neither the money nor technological resources to become effective service providers. Conclusions of Causes Although the problem facing landlocked developing countries may seem obvious, there are many nuances to their geographic disadvantage. If distance from the sea were the only concern, it would be expected that the inland regions of China or Russia—which are farther from a coast than some LLDCs are—face the same economic and developmental difficulties; this, however, is not true.56 The difference is attributable to preexisting economic restraints in LLDCs, their weak infrastructure, and their dependence on other countries for access to the sea. These factors are clearly interconnected, one leading to or exacerbating the others. The high cost of transporting goods to the sea to gain access to world markets is unbearable for LLDCs; in trying to export its goods to the world market, the median landlocked state faces 50 per cent higher transport costs than the median coastal state 54 Ibid, 4 “Effective Participation of Landlocked Developing Countries in the Multilateral Trading System,” 56 “The Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries” http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdf?vid=2&hid=12&sid=d3dc1351-a1fa-4d7f-ac42-3476584aad7e%40sessionmgr7 55 Rutgers Model United Nations 18 does.57 All three of the causes listed—the burdens of border crossing, infrastructural deficiencies, and a lack of resources—ultimately heighten this cost. Without the resources to create even an internal market or attain reasonable production costs, LLDCs cannot hope to produce products at a competitive rate. Moreover, the lack of technology pre-empts the trade of services, the only way to engage in global trade while avoiding the problems that deficiencies in transportation have created. Furthermore, even if the LLDCs could transcend their economic handicaps to create perfectly functioning infrastructure, they would remain dependent upon their neighbors’ infrastructure and policies. Without harmonized procedures and subject to extra costs and administrative burdens, trade again grows implausible. Clearly, there is no easy solution to grant LLDCs access to global markets. Policies must be comprehensive and sustainable, paying attention to all of the believed causes and their interactions. Projections As the importance of international trade has increased throughout history, the problems facing LLDCs have grown worse. Today, in an era of expanding globalization, the problems that confront LLDCs are certainly not going away by themselves, and will not even be mitigated without extensive effort. Although the issue has not been entirely ignored, as evidenced by the various UN resolutions adopted to address LLDCs’ problems, the implementation of these resolutions and plans leaves much to be desired. If nothing is done to effectively address this dilemma, LLDCs and their developing peers can expect severe challenges in development and human sustainability. “If current trends continue,” it is believed that LLDCs will become, “some time in the not-too-distant future, the most abject and impoverished members of the world community.”58 In a recent assessment of the progress LLDCs were making towards the MDGs, only eight out of twenty-four of the LLDCs evaluated were “on track” with the goal of halving the number of people suffering from hunger, and only seven out of thirty were on 57 UNCTAD, “Challenges and Opportunities For Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries” Rutgers Model United Nations 19 track to reduce their infant mortality rate by two-thirds.59 Clearly, one consequence of ignoring the issues surrounding LLDCs is the failure of quite a few of the MDGs, and, more importantly, the progress and commitment to international cooperation they represent. Although there are few specific projections about the future of LLDCs if nothing is done, it is stressed that without attention LLDCs cannot hope to compete on a global level and will be further economically isolated. Assessments can be made best by looking at the past. While there are signs of improvements throughout the past decade made in, for example, human development, the coastal developing world is improving faster, and the gap between LLDCs and the rest of the world continues to widen.60 Without proper attention, LLDCs will continue to face the compounded problems of lack of healthcare, little education, widespread poverty, and an overall poor quality of life. Conclusion The problems that LLDCs must contend with are severe and require serious attention. Since World War II, international trade has taken on increased importance, and, although globalization has had positive effects in many parts of the world, LLDCs have emerged as its primary victims. It is significant, then, that all states have different interests—the developed world seeks the expansion of markets, transit states must secure their interests and sovereignty, and LLDCs just want to harness the power of globalization to lift themselves from their disastrous economic situations. Various causes have created this problem, and thus affect the solutions that must be implemented. While the root of the problem facing LLDCs is their geographic location and lack of free and unrestricted access to a coast, this is complicated by a number of factors including border-crossing hassles, transportation and IT deficiencies, and a lack of useful exportable goods. Without effective solutions put into practice, LLDCs will face grave 58 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 4 United Nations, “Progress Towards Millennium Development Goals (LLDCs),” http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/Progress%20towards%20MDGs%20(LLDCs).pdf (accessed February 25, 2008). 60 Chowdhury and Erdenebileg, 15 59 Rutgers Model United Nations 20 economic and human suffering. International cooperation, then, is imperative to improving conditions in these states and maintaining a global commitment to world development. Rutgers Model United Nations 21 Discussion Questions • Is your state an LLDC or transit state? Developed country? What are your state’s primary interests in this problem? • Is your state classified as an LDC? What specific factors have led to such poor economic performance, and what can the UN do to help alleviate them? • What are your state’s primary exports? Are they attractive to external traders? Would your state benefit from diversifying its commodities or expanding service trade? How can this be done? Considering your state’s exports, does access to world markets depend on a specific type of transportation? Which? • What is the status of transit systems in your state and its surrounding states? Does your state need improvements in transportation infrastructure? What are the obstacles to procuring these improvements? • Does your state tend to attract FDI? If not, why do you think this is? Is your state even interested in garnering the attention of foreign investors? • With which states does your state primarily deal? How cooperative are you each in efforts to facilitate trade? Does competition between you affect potential agreements? Is your state involved in any regional trade agreements? Have these improved the status of trade in your state? • Is your state in a high conflict area? Has this affected your state’s ability to trade? • Have any measures in transit technology or customs modernization been taken to facilitate trade at border-crossing points in your state? Have they helped? What should non-LLDCs do to alleviate costs of transit for LLDCs? Would any of these measures negatively affect these other states? How? • Is smuggling a problem in your state? What can be done, in terms of technology or government accountability and transparency, to prevent this? • What risks do transit states face in liberalizing borders? What benefits would this create? • To what extent should states balance their own interests with those of the rest of the world? Do developed countries have a moral obligation to help economically disadvantaged states? Rutgers Model United Nations 22 For Further Reading Chowdhury, A.K. and S. Erdenebileg. Geography Against Development: A Case for Landlocked Developing Countries. UN-OHRLLS, New York: 2006. Easy to read and comprehensive, Geography Against Development offers concise and clear descriptions of the problems facing LLDCs and their potential solutions. With chapters devoted to regional perspectives and country-specific information, the book is a great resource for committee preparations. Faye, M.L., J.W. McArthur, J.D. Sachs, and T. Snow. “The Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries.” Journal of Human Development 5, no. 1 (2004): 31-68. Centered around LLDCs’ dependence on their transit neighbors, the article analyzes impediments to trade that arise from these tricky relationships. The article enumerates four possible problematic areas, and goes on to cite various examples, helpful in understanding your state’s position and its relationship to that of other states. Uprety, Kishnor. The Transit Regime for Landlocked States: International Law and Development Perspectives. The World Bank: Washington, D.C.: 2006. Focusing largely on international law and its historic relationship to LLDCs’ situation, the book is good reference for understanding the legal perspectives and precedents affecting potential solutions and resolutions. Rutgers Model United Nations 23 Works Cited Arvis, Jean Francois. “Transit and the Special Case of Landlocked Countries” In Customs Modernization Handbook, edited by Luc de Wulf and Jose B. Sokol, 243-264. Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 2005. Carl, Beverly May. Economic Integration Among Developing Nations. New York: Praeger Publishers, 1986. Chowdhury, A.K. and S. Erdenebileg. Geography Against Development: A Case for Landlocked Developing Countries. UN-OHRLLS, New York: 2006. Faye, M.L., J.W. McArthur, J.D. Sachs, and T. Snow. “The Challenges Facing Landlocked Developing Countries.” Journal of Human Development 5, no. 1 (2004): 31-68. Academic Search Premier, via EBSCOhost, http://web.ebscohost.com/ Glassner, Martin Ira. Access to the Sea for Developing Land-Locked States. The Hague: Martinus Nijhoff, 1970. Hagen, Jonas. “Trade Routes for Landlocked Countries.” UN Chronicle 40, no. 4 (2003): 13-14. Academic Search Premier, via Wilson Web, http://www.hwwilson.com/ “Landlocked Developing Countries.” United Nations. http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/default.htm “List of Landlocked Developing Countries.” United Nations. http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/list.htm Menefee, Samuel P. ““The Oar of Odysseus”: Landlocked and “Geographically Disadvantaged” States in Historical Perspective.” California Western International Law Journal 23, no. 1 (1992). WilsonWeb, via Hein Online, http://www.hwwilson.com/ Simon, David. Transport and Development in the Third World. London: Routledge, 1996. “UN recognition of the problems of land-locked developing countries.” UNCTAD. http://unctad.org/Templates/Page.asp?intItemID=3619&lang=1 UNCTAD. “Challenges and Opportunities for Further Improving the Transit Systems and Economic Development of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries.” 13 Rutgers Model United Nations 24 May 2003. UNCTAD. http://unctad.org/en/docs/tdbldcac1d19_en.pdf UNCTAD. “Effective Participation of Landlocked Developing Countries in the Multilateral Trading System (Part One).” 7 June 2005. UNCTAD. http://www.unctad.org/en/docs/ldc20053p1_en.pdf UNCTAD. “Effective Participation of Landlocked Developing Countries in the Multilateral Trading System (Part Two).” 1 July 2005. UNCTAD. http://unctad.org/en/docs/ldc20053p2_en.pdf UNCTAD. “Regional Cooperation in Transit Transport: Solutions for landlocked and transit developing countries.” UNCTAD. 10 July 2007. http://unctad.org/en/docs/c3em30d2_en.pdf United Nations. “Progress Towards Millennium Development Goals (LLDCs).” http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/Progress%20towards%20MDGs%20(LLDCs).pdf Uprety, Kishnor. “Landlocked states and access to the sea: an evolutionary study of a contested right.” Dickinson Journal of International Law 12 (1994): 401-496. Wilson OmniFile, via HeinOnline, http://www.heinonline.org/ Vascianne, S.C. Landlocked and Geographically Disadvantaged States in the Law of the Sea. Oxford: Claredon Press, 1990. Rutgers Model United Nations 25 Works Consulted Chowdhury, Anwarul K. “Development Is Not an Overnight Affair.” UN Chronicle 41, no. 3 (2004): 38-39. Academic Search Premier, via EBSCOhost, http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdf?vid=2&hid=9&sid=df17678d-ba3a-44c69edb-324b83c8add4%40SRCSM2 United Nations. “A/60/308 Asuncion Platform for the Doha Development Round.” 29 August 2005. http://www.un.org/special-rep/ohrlls/lldc/RES60308.pdf United Nations. “A/61/302 Report of the Secretary-General on the Implementation of the Almaty Programme of Action: Addressing the Special Needs of Landlocked Developing Countries within a New Global Framework for Transit Transport Cooperation for Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries.” 8 September 2006. http://www.un.org/special-rep/ohrlls/lldc/A61302.pdf United Nations. “A/RES/55/2 United Nations Millennium Declaration.” 18 September 2000. http://www.un.org/millennium/declaration/ares552e.pdf United Nations. “A/RES/58/201 Almaty Programme of Action: Addressing the Special Needs of Landlocked Developing Countries within a New Global Framework for Transit Transport Cooperation for Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries.” 23 December 2003. http://www.un.org/special-rep/ohrlls/lldc/a-res-58-201.pdf United Nations. “A/RES/59/245 Specific actions related to the particular needs and problems of landlocked developing countries: outcome of the International Ministerial Conference of Landlocked and Transit Developing Countries and Donor Countries and International Financial and Development Institutions on Transit Transport Cooperation.” 22 December 2004. http://www.un.org/specialrep/ohrlls/lldc/a-res-59-245.pdf
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