School of Sports, Health and Leisure Diploma in Sports and Leisure Management S222 Sports Business Problem 6: Money Not Enough ! 6th Presentation Activity Owner: Allen Goh Module Chair: Tzu-Yin Kuo Problem Reviewers: Alex Ong (Dr.) Hilario Rodrigues Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. Today’s problem You were asked to : 1. Rank Aranda Country Club’s capital investment projects in terms of profitability 2. Determine if the rates of return for the various projects cover the cost of capital 3. Determine which project has the shortest payback period and advise if this is a good way of assessing investments Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. Approach 1. What is the concept of Net Present Value (NPV) ? 2. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method? 3. What is the concept of Internal Rate of Return (IRR) ? 4. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method? 5. What is the concept of Payback ? 6. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the Payback method? 7. Back to the problem Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What is the concept of Net Present Value (NPV) ? NPV=Discounted future cash flows – initial cost of project. where: Ct = the net cash receipt at the end of year t Io = the initial investment outlay r = the discount rate/the required minimum rate of return on investment n = the project/investment's duration in years Decision Criteria If NPV > 0, accept the project If NPV < 0, reject the project Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What is the concept of Net Present Value (NPV) ? Year 0 $ (100) $ Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 90.91 $ 82.64 $ 75.13 $ 68.30 $ 62.09 $ 56.45 $ 51.32 $ 46.65 $ 433.49 Net Present Value (NPV) of future cash flow @ 10% discounted rate For long term investment projects, the cash inflows over the years need to be discounted back to the present value to assess its actual “net present value”. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the NPV method in valuing capital investments? Advantages Measure cash added from an investment Recognize as the best method for investment project valuation Disadvantages Estimation of future cash flow is often inaccurate in volatile business conditions Only evaluates quantifiable projects. Projects with negative NPVs but with strategic value, e.g., Enhance goodwill , R&D etc cannot be captured. Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What is the concept of Internal Rate of Return (IRR) ? It is the discount rate when NPV equals 0. It is also the average annual rate of return received by an company or investor over the lifetime of their investment. Decision Criteria If IRR > cost of capital, accept the project If IRR < cost of capital, reject the project where: Ct = the net cash receipt at the end of year t Io = the initial investment outlay n = the project/investment's duration in years r=IRR Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the IRR method in valuing capital investments? Advantages Gives a % rate which is preferred by some business Good comparison against the cost of capital Information about a project’s “safety margin” Disadvantages Cannot be used to rank mutually exclusive projects due to the magnitude and timing of the cash flows. Cannot be used to rate projects with alternating positive/negative cash flow patterns Does not account for changing discount rates, so it is inadequate for long term projects with discount rates that are expected to vary. Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What is the concept of Payback ? The amount of time it takes to achieve a full return on an investment. Also commonly known as the “break even” point. Some companies have an arbitrarily appointed time frame for projects to break even. Payback = Year before full recovery + Unrecovered cost at the start of the year/Cash flow during the year Decision Criteria If Payback point is before corporate appointed time frame, accept the project If Payback point is after corporate appointed time frame, reject the project Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What are the advantages and disadvantages of the Payback method in valuing capital investments? Advantages Simple to calculate Suitable for short term projects that does not require external financing Suitable for small companies with limited financial expertise Focuses on the liquidity position of the company Shows the “break even” point clearly Disadvantages Ignores cash flows after the payback Ignores time value of money Not accurate in valuing long term projects Selection of payback period can be too arbitrary Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. Back to the problem Table 1 Undiscounted total Payback NPV IRR Jack pot room $ 296,030 6.396 years $ 184,254.90 12.60% Tennis court $ 265,548 4.068 years $ 197,560.01 23.56% Dance studio $ 170,720 2.187 years $ 138,071.05 51.55% Spa $ 126,460 6.060 years $ 78,569.27 12.57% Gym $ 315,600 4.752 years $ 229,897.01 22.89% Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. Back to the problem a) By simply looking at the undiscounted total in table 1, we do not take into consideration effects of inflation on long term revenue. b) Ranking based on undiscounted profit is wrong. Correct ranking based on NPV method is 1st gym, 2nd tennis, & 3rd dance studio. c) Jackpot's IRR is 12.6%.and the spa's IRR of 12.57%. These mean that the net cash flows are below what is demanded by the shareholders. However, it may be useful as an attraction to draw membership. d) The dance studio has the highest safety margin as its IRR of 51.55% is well above the required12.6%. Tennis court and gym can be retained due to positive IRR. e) Dance studio has the fastest payback, but not the highest NPV. The only projects that payback (break even) less than 5 years are tennis court, dance studio and gym. But this is an inaccurate method as it ignores effects of financing interest rates and inflation. Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. What have you learnt today? Forecast the value of a capital investment project using the NPV, IRR and Payback methods; Interpret the results to make effective decisions Understand the strengths and weaknesses of each methods Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009. Reference Gitman, L.(2003). Principles of Managerial Finance. Boston, MA: Addison-Wesley. - Chapter 9. Ross, S., Westerfield, R., & Jordan, B.(2010). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill. - Chapter 9. Brigham, E., & Ehrhardt, M. (2010). Financial Management. Florence, KY: South Western Cengage-Learning. USA. - Chapter 10. Republic Polytechnic. Copyright 2009.
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