Mutual needs define Canada-US relationship Canada, not China, is US’s largest trading partner GARY DOER assumed responsibilities as Canada’s 23rd ambassador to the United States in October 2009. Prior to his current position, he served as premier of Manitoba for 10 years. During that time he worked extensively with US governors to enhance Canada-US cooperation on trade, agriculture, water protection, climate change and renewable energy. BusinessWeek magazine in 2005 named Doer one of the top 20 international leaders on climate change. His government introduced balanced budgets during each of his ten years in office while reducing many taxes, including a plan to eliminate small business tax. As premier, he led strategic investments in health care, education, training and infrastructure. T he liabilities of trade are easier to understand than the benefits of trade,” said Gary Doer at a Robert Reynolds Distinguished Lecture hosted by the UC Denver Business School and the Institute for International Business and Center for International Business Education and Research (CIBER). Doer emphasized that trade is about job creation “but it’s not always easy for people to recognize this when the evening news gives more attention to plant closures and layoffs than plant expansions and hiring. “It is important for us to continue to point out the benefits of trade because with high unemployment in the US and high unemployment in Canada, it’s easy to talk about Buy America as a good trade policy when it’s not. Because Buy America or Buy Canada equals Close America or Close Canada which in turn means fewer jobs in each country.” The number of US jobs dependent on trade with Canada: 8 million. According to the US Census Bureau, “There has never been a single month, nor a total year since 1998, when Canada has not been the largest trading partner of the United States. (Note: Trade volume is measured by the sum of exports and imports.)” “US-Canada trade went up 22 percent or close to $50 billion in 2010 from 2009,” said Doer quoting recent statistics. “The increase alone shows how important the trading relationship is between our two countries.” In fact, said Doer, “Canada buys more 18 goods from the US than the whole European Union and over 3 times more than what China buys.” Bottom line: “We are your biggest customer.” The US Commercial Service concurs. Its website talks about the trading relationship between Canada and the United States as being “the largest in the world,” and names Canada as “the No. 1 export market for 34 of the 50 states.” How Colorado fares n Jobs, trade. “We’re more than just hockey players,” said Doer in jest. “There are 116 Canadian-owned businesses in Colorado that together employ 10,556 Coloradans throughout the state.” Beyond these direct jobs, trade with Canada supports an estimated 143,800 indirect jobs in the state. Encana, Great West Life, Suncor Energy and Emergency Medical Services Corp. are a few of the better-known Canadian companies, each with substantial investments in Colorado and offering employment opportunities that would not otherwise be available. • Colorado sells more than 2 percent of its foreign-bound goods to Canada which in 2009 amounted to $1.3 billion. • Canada supplies the state with $1.4 billion in energy, almost all crude petroleum. n Tourism. “In Colorado tourism is the No. 2 industry. According to trends, tourism will probably be the largest industry in North America in 25 years; it will change and continue to evolve in a very meaningful way,” said Doer. In 2009 Canadians made more than 126,900 visits to Colorado, contributing $88 million directly to local economies. Across the US an estimated 25 million Canadian tourists visit each year to sightsee and spend money. “For a country of 34 million people, we travel a lot,” said Doer. “So between our two countries and between Colorado and Canada we are very close in terms of our leisure, business and trade relationships.” n Security. “For 53 years Canada and the United States have been working together in the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) to provide perimeter security for both countries and ensure the safety of our citizens.” Located in Colorado Springs, NORAD Canada’s economy... • As an affluent, high-tech industrial society in the trillion-dollar class, Canada resembles the US in its market-oriented economic system, pattern of production and affluent living standards. • Canada is the US’s largest foreign supplier of energy, including oil, gas, uranium and electric power. • Given its great natural resources, skilled labor force and modern capital plant, Canada enjoyed solid economic growth from 1993 through 2007. • Buffeted by the global economic crisis, the economy dropped into a sharp recession in the final months of 2008, and Ottawa posted its first fiscal deficit in 2009 after 12 years of surplus. •Canada’s major banks, however, emerged from the financial crisis of 2008-09 among the strongest in the world, owing to the financial sector’s tradition of conservative lending practices and strong capitalization. • During 2010, Canada’s economy grew only 3% due to decreased global demand and a highly valued Canadian dollar. Source: CIA World Factbook was established after World War II to protect against threats from what was then the Soviet Union. NORAD’s mission has evolved and now includes marine safety as well. “The real goal of having this perimeter security strategy is to make sure that the $250 billion in bilateral trade keeps moving without interruption,” said Doer. Breathe easy Canada and the United States have been working together to protect the environment and decrease pollutants in the air that affect people the world over. “When we get blizzards in Canada we call it a Colorado low and when people in the US get any kind of cold weather they call it an Alberta clipper or Arctic cold,” said Doer. “But pollution doesn’t know any borders.” He highlighted several actions that are making it possible to inhale deeply without putting one’s lungs at risk. n Ozone layer. “About 25 years ago Canada and the United States led the effort institute for international business - global forum report 2012 to reduce materials in the world that were presenting a risk to the ozone layer on earth,” said Doer. That effort resulted in the Montreal Protocol (see sidebar below) signed by 193 countries as of Jan. 2009. n Industrial air pollutants. “Transboundary movement of air pollution from industrial activities on both sides of the Canada-US border produces smog and acid rain which cause serious damage to the environment and pose a threat to the air we breathe,” said Doer. In 1991Canada and the United States signed the Air Quality Agreement aimed at reducing damaging emissions. The result? According to Environment Canada, Canadian emissions causing acid rain have been cut in half since 1990 and emissions causing smog have been cut by one-third. In the US sulphur dioxide emissions have been reduced by 67 percent and power plant emissions of nitrogen oxides have decreased by more than two-thirds. “Contrary to naysayers, this agreement has produced more economic productivity benefits than anybody had ever contemplated and at a lower cost to industry than had been predicted.” n Copenhagen Climate Conference. Canada agreed to the same target of emissions reductions – 17 percent over 2005 by the year 2020 – that President Obama negotiated in Copenhagen in 2009, said Doer. “We have the same eco system, the same economic trading system, so it makes sense to have the same target.” But there are differences that test the feasibility of this intent. “In Canada 70 percent of our electricity is produced by renewable energy because we have a lot of hydroelectric power. In the US over 50 percent of electricity is produced by coal so there are different challenges. “Some of the time we’ll be sovereign in our decision making and some of the time we’ll work with the US to coordinate our approach.” Vehicle standards On April 1, 2010 the United States and Canada announced a new set of vehicle emissions standards, coordinated to be identical in both countries. Under these standards the burden is on the manufacturer to design and offer more fuel efficient vehicles. However, compliance with the new regulations will increase costs: an estimated “$52 billion for US manufacturers and $926 per car for US consumers as manufacturers pass on the emissions tax to car and truck buyers. These are preliminary estimates for the United States alone, not accounting for the additional costs accrued by compliance in Canada,” according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) website. The proposed standards are not yet cast in stone. There is opposition in the US Congress where some lawmakers see the new vehicle emissions standards as part of a regulatory power-grab by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Energy supplier Words like “largest” and “most” are often used in connection with Canada’s energy resources. Canada is... • the United States’ largest and most predictable supplier of hydroelectric power; • the most significant source for US energy imports, providing the highest foreign volumes of primary energy and electricity; • the world’s third largest natural gas producer and exporter; • one of the world’s largest producers and exporters of hydroelectricity; • the largest supplier of nuclear fuel to the US. But it’s Canada’s oil resources that make it a global contender. Some people may be surprised to learn that Canada is the largest supplier of oil to the US. “Canada’s 175.2 billion barrels of proven reserves of oil place it third globally, behind Saudi Arabia and Venezuela, and it is the only non-OPEC member in the top five,” said Doer. “We have reserves up to the levels of reserves of oil in many countries in the Middle East including Saudi Arabia.” Fields of oil sands are under devel- ment. Doer acknowledged there has been criticism about the environmental impact of oil sands extraction. “In the early stages of development, emissions were 80 percent higher than from conventional oil. But year after year the amount of emissions has been going down and the oil sands now have less emissions in terms of climate change calculations than the thermal oil from California and Venezuela and some of the countries in the Middle East.” Any talk about energy ultimately comes around to China, in this case China’s strategy to buy or partner with oil companies in the BRAC countries (Brazil, Russia, Australia, Canada). Asked about Canada’s policy regarding this strategy, Doer said: “Canada monitors these investments because energy sovereignty is very important to us. We have the power to stop any purchase and so far China has bought only minority shares in different companies. The only country not affected by that sovereign power is the US which has a trading relationship on energy with Canada. “We all have to continue to reduce our dependency on fossil fuels but we have to do it in a realistic way. So part of the challenge of our two countries is to continue to work together on clean energy and a sustainable and predictable source of secure energy from a secure place: Canada. “Clean air and clean water should drive policy: it should be long term; it should be predictable and the business community should get more engaged to pressure politicians to enact laws that reflect these objectives.” Doer suggested that “business schools develop models of predictability in terms of policies that make sense for business and the public.” w The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer In 1985 the Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer established mechanisms for international cooperation in research into the ozone layer and the effects of ozone depleting chemicals (ODCs). 1985 also marked the first discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole. On the basis of the Vienna Convention, the Montreal Protocol was negotiated and signed by 24 countries and by the European Economic Community in September 1987. The Protocol called for the Parties to phase down the use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), halons and other man-made ODCs. It is one of the first international environmental agreements that includes trade sanctions to achieve the stated goals of a treaty. -www.theozonehole.com/montreal.htm As of Jan. 28, 2009 193 countries had signed the Montreal Protocol. The treaty has been very successful, reports the US Environmental Protection Agency which is responsible for controlling chemicals that deplete the ozone layer. institute for international business - global forum report 2012 19
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