If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot
right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary
Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or one of the other
candidates?
Urbanity
1251 Likely November Voters
All
Urban
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Donald Trump (R)
45%
39%
45%
62%
31%
49%
57%
71%
36%
50%
43%
59%
33%
Hillary Clinton (D)
48%
55%
48%
32%
60%
46%
37%
24%
57%
43%
51%
35%
59%
Gary Johnson (L)
2%
1%
3%
4%
4%
2%
1%
1%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
Jill Stein (G)
1%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
0%
0%
2%
2%
1%
0%
2%
Other
3%
3%
3%
1%
2%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
Undecided
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Likely November Voters
100%
27%
61%
10%
35%
35%
30%
26%
67%
33%
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
66%
39%
56%
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
Urbanity
564 Trump Voters
All
Urban
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
For Trump
67%
67%
68%
67%
60%
68%
70%
75%
61%
70%
65%
64%
69%
Against Clinton
31%
32%
31%
33%
36%
31%
29%
24%
38%
28%
33%
34%
29%
Not Sure
2%
0%
1%
0%
4%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Trump Voters
100%
23%
61%
14%
24%
38%
38%
41%
53%
37%
63%
51%
42%
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
Urbanity
564 Trump Voters
All
Urban
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastically
74%
75%
73%
83%
62%
77%
80%
83%
67%
77%
72%
73%
73%
With Reservations
24%
25%
26%
17%
34%
22%
20%
17%
32%
23%
26%
25%
26%
Not Sure
1%
0%
1%
0%
4%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
2%
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Trump Voters
100%
23%
61%
14%
24%
38%
38%
41%
53%
37%
63%
51%
42%
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
Urbanity
602 Clinton Voters
All
Urban
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
For Clinton
67%
67%
68%
67%
66%
65%
75%
71%
67%
78%
63%
63%
69%
Against Trump
31%
32%
31%
29%
33%
34%
23%
29%
32%
21%
35%
36%
29%
Not Sure
2%
1%
1%
5%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Clinton Voters
100%
31%
60%
7%
44%
33%
23%
13%
79%
30%
70%
29%
69%
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
Urbanity
602 Clinton Voters
All
Urban
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastically
69%
68%
68%
78%
64%
70%
75%
76%
67%
81%
64%
68%
69%
With Reservations
29%
28%
31%
22%
33%
28%
21%
23%
31%
18%
33%
31%
28%
Not Sure
2%
5%
2%
0%
2%
2%
4%
2%
3%
1%
3%
1%
3%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Clinton Voters
100%
31%
60%
7%
44%
33%
23%
13%
79%
30%
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%
70%
29%
69%
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More
often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the
middle?
Urbanity
8 Protest Voters
All
Urban
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Republican
57%
100%
62%
21%
35%
76%
55%
79%
46%
60%
46%
38%
61%
Democrat
36%
0%
38%
63%
65%
0%
45%
21%
43%
26%
54%
62%
28%
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 35.6%
Split
6%
0%
0%
16%
0%
24%
0%
0%
11%
14%
0%
0%
11%
Not Sure
0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Protest Voters
100%
22%
34%
43%
42%
29%
29%
31%
63%
49%
51%
35%
65%
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
Urbanity
1314 Registered Voters
All
Urban
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Extremely Favorable
23%
24%
21%
36%
14%
28%
30%
43%
16%
26%
22%
30%
17%
Favorable
19%
15%
21%
22%
15%
18%
25%
27%
17%
22%
18%
26%
14%
Unfavorable
9%
12%
9%
6%
10%
9%
9%
5%
11%
9%
10%
7%
11%
Extremely Unfavorable
46%
48%
47%
33%
59%
43%
32%
23%
54%
41%
48%
34%
55%
Not Sure
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters
100%
28%
59%
11%
36%
35%
30%
26%
67%
33%
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
67%
39%
56%
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
Urbanity
1314 Registered Voters
All
Urban
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8%
Attend Church
Evangelical
Suburba
Rural Never Occasion Regularl
n
Military
Househo
Own a
Gun?
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Extremely Favorable
21%
27%
19%
10%
22%
19%
20%
16%
22%
23%
20%
14%
26%
Favorable
23%
22%
25%
18%
29%
25%
15%
9%
29%
18%
26%
19%
27%
Unfavorable
10%
11%
10%
14%
14%
9%
7%
8%
11%
7%
12%
9%
11%
Extremely Unfavorable
45%
39%
46%
58%
34%
47%
56%
68%
37%
52%
41%
57%
35%
Not Sure
1%
1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters
100%
28%
59%
11%
36%
35%
30%
26%
67%
33%
67%
39%
56%