Extreme Solar Flares and Resultant Extreme Ionospheric Effects A. R. Jones1, D. L. Judge1, M. Harmon1, B. T. Tsurutani1,2, F. L. Guarnieri1,2, G.A. Zambon1, A. Mannucci2, B. Iijima2, G. Hajj2 1 University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA. 2 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA. These initial findings were presented by Tsurutani et al. at the Conference on Sun-Earth Connections:Multiscale Coupling in Sun-Earth Processes February 9-13, 2004 Some of the most intense solar flares in recorded history occurred at the end of 2003. The November 4th event is the largest on record (X28) and the October 28th flare was the fourth most intense (X17). These will be compared/contrasted to the July 14, 2000 Bastille Day (X6) event. We use SOHO EUV (SEM), and high time resolution, ~1s ground base GPS data to examine the abrupt increase in pathintegrated ionospheric total electron content (TEC). It will be shown that the dayside ionosphere responds dramatically to the X-ray, FUV and EUV input by an abrupt ~20-40% increase in ionospheric electron densities. The TEC increases are nonlinearly related to the peak flare intensities. The reasons for this are not understood at this time. Bastille Day July 14th 2000 Flare in Central-Order 250000 SEM 07-14-00 200000 Counts 150000 100000 50000 0 2451739.5 2451740.0 Julian Date 2451740.5 DIF-DAY 7-14-00 HRAO 07-1400 October 2003 SEM 10-28-03 Oct. 28 - 31 th. 2003 Flares in Central-Order 250000 200000 Counts 150000 100000 50000 0 2452940.5 2452941.0 2452941.5 2452942.0 Julian Date 2452942.5 2452943.0 DIF-DAY 10-28-03 NKLG 10-2803 November 2003 November 4th 2003 Flare in SEM Central-Order 300000 250000 SEM 07-14-00 Counts 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 2452948 2452948 2452949 2452949 Julian Date 2452950 2452950 DIF-DAY 11-04-03 RIOG 11-04-03 Conclusions 1. 2. 3. Solar Flares can have extreme effects on the Earth’s ionosphere. Abrupt increases of ~25 x 1016 electrons/m2 (25 TECU) can occur in 5 minutes. This corresponds to a ~ 25% increase in ionospheric electron content. The X-ray/EUV spectrum of flares is highly variable. In the 1-8 A X-ray wavelength range (GOES satellite), the largest flare is Nov 4, 2003 (X28) followed by Oct 28, 2003 (X17) with the Bastille day event (July 14, 2000) last (X6). In the SEM .1-50nm wavelength range, the Nov 4 event is the largest, followed by the Bastille Day event, and Oct. 28, last. Although abrupt TEC enhancements followed all three flares, the relative responses were different from that of either the X-ray or EUV events. The October 28, 2003 TEC increase was ~3 times that of the Nov. 4 or Bastille Day events. The dayglow increase of October 28 was ~2 times more intense than that of the November 4 event. These features are not presently understood. We will be continuing our effort to understand the flare spectral variability and ionospheric responses in the future. Future Work • • • Look at a wider range of flares an ionospheric responses. GPS tomography to provide 3-D electron density maps of the ionosphere. Ionospheric models using the flare input data will be used to compared against tomographic analyses of the GPS information.
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