ASEAN-EU Economic Relations: Maximizing Mutual Benefits DIAN TRIANSYAH DJANI DIRECTOR GENERAL FOR ASEAN COOPERATION DEPARTMENT OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS OF THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA Vienna July 19, 2007 Outline of the Presentation I. II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. VIII. IX. X. Introduction ASEAN Economic Community Economic Performance of ASEAN ASEAN-FTA with Dialogue Partners ASEAN-EU Economic Cooperation Economic Features of ASEAN-EU The Future of ASEAN-EU FTA Conditions/Challenges Way Forward Conclusion I. Introduction y The ASEAN Vision 2020 envisions an outward-looking ASEAN playing a pivotal role in the international community and advancing ASEAN’s common interests, including with EU y ASEAN is in the process of building an ASEAN Community by 2015, consisting of 3 pillars (ASEAN Security Community, ASEAN Economic Community, ASEAN Socio Cultural Community Æ greater integration II. ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) y AEM 2006 - develop “a single and coherent blueprint for advancing the AEC”; y 12th ASEAN Summit - Agreed to accelerate the establishment of the ASEAN Community to 2015; y 13th AEM Retreat (May 2007) - AEC Blueprint shall be a legally binding document through a Declaration to be signed by Leaders at 13th ASEAN Summit in November 2007 in Singapore. AEC Blueprint y 4 characteristics: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Single Market and Production Base Competitive Economic Region Narrowing the development Gaps Fully Integrated into the Global Economy Strategic Schedule- clear timelines and specific milestones y Implementation arrangements y AEC Blueprint (Cont.) y y y y Single Market and Production Base: ◦ Free flow of goods, services, investment and skilled labour and freer flow of capital ◦ Priority Integration Sectors Competitive Economic region ◦ Competition policy, IPR, infrastructure development, e-commerce, taxation Narrowing the Development Gap ◦ IAI, SME development Fully Integrated in the Global Economy ◦ FTAs, centrality of ASEAN in regional economic integration ASEAN External Economic Relations ASEAN-Russia ASEAN-EU ASEAN-Canada ASEAN-China FTA ASEAN-US TIFA ASEAN-Korea FTA ASEAN-Japan CEP ASEAN-Pakistan ASEAN-India FTA ASEAN-AustraliaNew Zealand FTA Myanmar Pop : 57,3 mil GDP : US$ 11,951 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 209 Source: ASEAN Statistical Yearbook 2006 III. Economic Performance of ASEAN Lao PDR Pop : 6,1 mil GDP : US$ 3,527 GDP Per Capita: US$ 575 Thailand Pop : 65,2 mil GDP : US$ 206,552 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 2,726 Philippines Pop : 86,9 mil GDP : US$ 117,132 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 1,348 Brunei Darussalam Pop : 383,000 GDP : US$ 11,846 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 30,929 Cambodia Pop : 14 mil GDP : US$ 6,105 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 436 Malaysia Pop : 26,7 mil GDP : US$ 149, 729 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 5,611 Viet Nam Pop : 84,2 mil GDP : US$ 60,965 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 724 Singapore Pop : 4,5 mil GDP : US$ 132,273 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 29,499 Indonesia Pop : 222,1 mil GDP : US$ 364,288 mil GDP Per Capita: US$ 1,641 REGIONAL AND SUB REGIONAL ORGANIZATIONS CHILE PERU MEXICO CHINESE TAIPEI HONGKONG CHINA JAPAN CHINA SOUTH KOREA UNITED STATES CANADA RUSSIA FIJI VANUATU TUVALU NAURU TONGA SOLOMAN ISLAND SAMOA KIRIBATI ARGENTINA COLOMBIA ECUADOR EL SALVADOR THAILAND MALAYSIA BRUNEI DARUSSALAM CAMBODIA CAMBODIA NEW ZEALAND TIMOR LESTE NIUE PALAU MICRONESIA COOK ISLAND NEW CALEDONIA MARSHALL ISLAND NORTHERN MARIANAS ALGERIA SUDAN BAHRAIN TURKEY EGYPT UZBEKISTAN IRAQ SRILANGKA TUNISIA JORDAN LEBANON BHUTAN MALDIVES KAZAKHSTAN MAURITANIA KUWAIT MOROCCO QATAR NEPAL PALESTINE SAUDI ARABIA PHILIPPINES PAPUA NEW GUINEA INDONESIA MYANMAR LAOS AUSTRALIA SINGAPORE PAKISTAN MONGOLIA INDIA BANGLADESH IRAN OMAN SRI LANKA UNI ARAB EMIRATES VIETNAM YEMEN MAURITIUS KENYA MOZAMBIQUE SOUTH AFRIKA TANZANIA EUROPEAN UNION NORTH KOREA BOLIVIA COSTA RICA PARAGUAY PANAMA BRAZIL CUBA Economic Growth of ASEAN & ASEAN Member Countries Economic Growth of BCLMV Major Market of ASEAN Export Major Supplier of ASEAN Imports Free Flow of Goods • In order to realize AFTA (as of 1 January 2002), 98.99% of products ASEAN-6 are included in CEPT Inclusion List (IL) tariff reaching 0-5% • 67,19% tariff products included in the inclusion list has been eliminatedÆ Average tariff for products within 1,87% (note: average in 1993 is 12,76%) • For CLMV countries, 90,96% products of their products have been included in the IL where 76,78% have reached tariff of 0-5% Trade Facilitation y ASEAN Harmonized Tariffs Nomenclature (AHTN) 2007----uniformity of tariffs classification system of ASEAN Countries. y Simplification of customs procedure. ◦ Establishment of ASEAN Single Window (ASW). Agreement To Establish and Implement the ASW was signed at AEM, Kuala Lumpur, December 2007. Protocol to Establish and Implement ASW was signed at AFMM, October 2006 ◦ Implementation of Green Lane System for CEPT product (2006-2007) ◦ Simplification of Customs Declaration Form. ASEAN Customs Declaration Document was implemented in December 2005. ◦ Standardization through Mutual Recognition Arrangements/MRA in various sectors, i.e. Electrical and Equipment, Telecommunication Equipment, Cosmetics, Pharmaceuticals and Prepared Food Stuff IV. ASEAN-FTA with Dialogue Partners y y ASEAN-China y ASEAN-India y ASEAN-Japan y ASEAN-Korea ASEAN-Australia & New Zealand V. ASEAN-EU Economic Cooperation Background 1972 Æ Special Coordinating Committee of ASEAN (SCCAN) y 1978 Æ 1st Ministerial Meeting of ASEAN-EU, Brussels y 1980 Æ ASEAN-EU Cooperation Agreement established Æ Joint Cooperation Committee Mechanism on economy, trade, industry, forestry, environment, science & technology (Institutionalized ASEAN-EU Cooperation) y Background (Cont.) 1998 Æ HPA, EU-ASEAN Partnership towards ASEAN Vision 2020 y EC’s Communication entitled “A New Partnership with Southeast Asia” containing 6 EU Strategies, among others: Promoting a New Dynamism in Regional Trade and Investment Relations, Continuing to Support the development of Less Prosperous Countries y ASEAN-EU Economic Cooperation (Cont.) Framework 1. TREATI AND READI y 2001 Æ EC new initiatives on board: “Europe and Asia: A Strategic Framework for Enhancing Partnerships” y 2003 Æ 3rd AEM-EU Consultation, agreed to launch “Trans Regional EU-ASEAN Trade Initiative” (TREATI) Æ addressing trade facilitation & investment issues: ◦ ASEAN-EU Cooperation Program for Regional Integration Support (APRIS), ◦ ASEAN-EU Cooperation Program on Standards, Quality and Conformity Assessment (APSQCA), ◦ ASEAN-EU Intellectual Property Rights Cooperation Program (AIPR). TREATI AND READI (Cont.) y 2004 Æ 5TH AEM-EC 2004, agreed on TREATI activities supporting four ASEAN priority integration sectors: Agriculture, Electronics, Fisheries and Wood-based products. y 2005 Æ Regional EU-ASEAN Dialogue Instrument (READI) was established to facilitate non-trade cooperation y 2007 Æ 16th ASEAN-EU Ministerial Meeting, Nuremberg Æ Joint Vision Statement ASEAN-EU Æ Nuremberg Declaration on an ASEAN-EU Enhanced Partnership ◦ Enhanced Cooperation through multilateral framework such as UN and WTO; ◦ Recognized and enhanced economic cooperation through “Trans Regional ASEAN-EU Trade Initiative (TREATI)” 2. ASEAN Programme for Regional Integration Support (APRIS II) APRIS I terminated in Sept. 2006 contributed in 4 ASEAN priority integration sectors Æ Agriculture, Electronics, Fisheries and Woodbased products y APRIS II (2006-2009) Æ follow up of APRIS I Æ focuses on 5 priority sectors agreed under TREATI Æ agriculture-food, electronics, fisheries, wood products and cosmetics y Allocated budget: 7.2 million euros to support the program of ASEAN integration process. y APRIS, a project worth € 4.5 million, is a framework programme to assist ASEAN Member Countries in regional integration. It aims to draw lessons from the experience of the EC in forging regional economic integration, contribute to improving ASEAN mechanisms and communications systems, and supporting capacity building activities for the ASEAN Secretariat and ASEAN Member Countries. The APRIS Financing Agreement was signed in early 2003 VI. Economic Features of ASEAN-EU y EU ◦ 27 member states ◦ EU represents a market of over 450 million people and a 9,739 billion euro GDP of combined economy. ◦ ASEAN share 11.4 % of EU total trade (2006) ◦ ASEAN is EU 6th largest trading partner in 2005 y ASEAN ◦ 10 member states wth more than 540 million people ◦ USD 876.102 million GDP at current market prices with 567,39 million people. ◦ If the region is able to achieve an average growth rate of 6% a year, it will have a combined GDP exceeding USD 1 trillion by 2010. ◦ EU is the largest investor in ASEAN Source: ASEAN statistical book 2006 and www.bilateral.org Economic Features (Cont.) y y y y y ASEAN bought 44.9 billion Euros of goods from the EU in 2005, and sold 70.5 billion Euros of products, Most of the goods — both ways — were telecommunications and office equipment. Taken as a whole, EU trade with ASEAN was about equal to its trade with Japan, its No. 5 trading partner. European companies have been aggressively tapping into ASEAN’s market of more than half a billion people. The EU buys 15 percent of ASEAN exports, making it ASEAN’s second-largest market after the US. Foreign Direct Investment EU to ASEAN The EU remains as one of ASEAN’s major FDI contributor partners y FDI to ASEAN in 2003 increased 48% yearon-year to reach US$20.3 billion (approximately, 16.8 billion euro), with EU contributing 35% (US$7.1 billion or approximately, 5.9 billion euro) of total FDI in 2003. y EU shared 34,5% FDI inflows to ASEAN during 1995-2004 periods (largest contributor on FDI inflows) y VII. The Future of ASEAN-EU FTA According to the Joint feasibility study on ASEAN-EU FTA research, reported at the 6th AEM-EU, 2005: • The ASEAN-EU FTA agreements would boost EU exports to ASEAN by 24.2 • ASEAN would see an increase of its exports to the EU market of 18.5% The future (Cont.) • AEM-EU Retreat in Bandar Seri Begawan, May 2007, ASEAN-EU agreed to launch FTA negotiations. • To develop modalities, approach, work program and time schedule for negotiating the ASEANEU FTA, both sides agreed to establish Joint Committee VIII. Conditions/Challenges y y y y y Different level of integration: Community vs Union Æ this year ASEAN is celebrating 40 years of cooperation while EU is celebrating 50 years of Rome Treaty. ASEAN-EU relations already 30 years. Building Constitution (Legal): Charter vs Treaty Æ EU more legally binding while ASEAN is still at the Association stage (pending completion of Charter) Development Gap and differences of political system between ASEAN-EU and amongst ASEAN members Physical Distance between EU and ASEAN still quite afar although not significant with technology development . etc IX. Way forward y y y y y y y Cooperation between region becoming necessity, but need to avoid spaghetti bowl effect Æ regional cooperation should be building bloc in support of multilateral trading system (WTO) Disparity between ASEAN-EU as well as among members of SEAN should be taken into account when designing enhanced/future partnership (special differential treatment, longer time span, etc) Area/scope of cooperation should be as comprehensive as possible, taking into account the comparative advantages that each region may offer (ASEAN: manufacturing; EU: Knowledge based services)Æ work on the most possible/practical ones Î “fill in the blank approach” Enhanced cooperation not limited to trade and investment liberalization, but also trade and investment facilitation as well as development cooperation and capacity building Æ need to strengthen rules and harmonize standards Need to focus/tackle specific interest or issue that may be potential trade barriers: ASEAN obstacle to export to EU: high technical standards requirement (safety and enviromental); EU difficulties to ASEAN: restrictions in services sector Need to involve all layer of society and cooperate not only G to G (Business to business, SMEs to SMEs, other stakeholders) etc X. Conclusion Noting that ASEAN and EU are quite successful organizations in their respective region, enhanced cooperation and partnership between the two organizations will not only bring benefit for them but also set a good example of regional integration. Each region should support the other integration process • ASEAN is quite heterogeneous as an economic grouping thus approach should be multifaceted to gain maximal benefits of ASEAN – EU Economic Cooperation while recognizing each partner’s developing needs, priorities and strategies. • Adopt a pragmatic and flexible approach. Focus more on each comparative advantage while taking into account differentiated treatment for lesser developed members. y Data and studies conducted is in support of taking the economic partnership between ASEAN and EU to a higher level Æ through FTA • THANK YOU
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