Depth Dependent Rupture Properties in Circum-Pacific Subduction Zones Susan L. Bilek and Thorne Lay Institute of Tectonics and Earth Sciences Dept., University of California, Santa Cruz Depth dependence of the source rupture duration of interplate thrust earthquakesis examinedfor sevensubductionzonesaround the Pacific to explore variations in faulting properties. Multi-station deconvolutionsof teleseismicP wavesfor moderate size earthquakesyield estimates of the source time function and centroid depth for each event. Analysis of 17 to 75 earthquakesin eachregionrevealsa consistenttrend of decreasingsourceduration (inferredfrom the sourcetime functions,after correctionfor differences in total energyrelease)with increasing depth. Rupturedurationpatternsvary somewhat betweensubductionzonesas well as along strike within a given zone, and the data have large scatter, implying significantvariation in rupture processesalong the interplate megathrusts,but the depth dependence appearsto be robust. The rupture duration variationsprompt consideration of two end-membermodels:1) depth-dependent rupturevelocityis caused by variations of rigidity of materials in the fault zone, while static stress drop is constant,and 2) staticstressdrop varieswith depthwhile material propertiesand rupture velocity are constant. For the first model, the volumetrically averagedrigidity of the fault zone must increasewith depth in eachregionby a factor of 5 betweendepthsof 5 to 20 km. If rupture velocity is constant,the stressdrop must increaseby an order of magnitudeover the same depth range. This systematicvariation in rupture behavior with depth may reflect spatial variationsin the amount, compactionand porosity of sedimentin the fault zone, topographyon the subductingplate, phase transitionsin the fault zone materials,thermal structureof the megathrust, and varying presenceof fluids in the fault zone. Such physicalvariations appear to control the physicsof rupture propagation, leading to intrinsic dependenceof rupture velocityon materialsand fluidswithin the fault zone. INTRODUCTION faults [Pachecoet al., 1993]. Variationsin earthquake rupture complexity and total energy releasehave been Approximately90% of global seismicenergyrelease related to grossproperties of subductionzone geomeoccurs in subduction zone earthquakes, primarily intry and kinematics, with the underlying premisethat volvingthrusting motionson the interplate megathrust earthquake faulting varies with the megathrust environment [Ruff and Kanamori, 1980; Lay et al., 1982; Kanamori, 1986; Ruff, 1992]. While someintriguing GeoComplexity andthePhysics of Earthquakes general associationshave become evident, we are far Geophysical Monograph120 from a detailed understandingof what controlsfaulting Copyright2000 by theAmericanGeophysical Union 165 166 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES in subductionzones. It is becomingincreasinglywell documentedthat frictionalpropertiesof the megathrust are verycomplex,and the entirespectrumof convergent motionsmustbe considered.For example,someregions experiencelarge amountsof slip occurringover periods as long as one year after large thrust events. This has beenobservedin Japan,whereHeki et al. [1997]used geodeticmeasurementsto detect postseismicslip equal to the amountof coseismic slip in the year followingthe December24, 1994 Sanriku-okievent. Similarly,signif- with increasingdepth accompaniedby enhancedscatter in duration for intermediate depth events. Bos et icant postseismicslip has been observedfor the 1992 parison of the rupture and radiation characteristicsof intermediate and deep earthquakes,submitted, J. Geo- Sanriku-okieventin Japan[Kawasakiet al., 1995]. Several subduction zones have also experienceddestructive tsunami earthquakes,which producea larger tsunami than expected given their seismicmagnitude al. [1998]and Houstonet al. [1998]stackbroadband recordsfor events from 100 to 650 km deep, finding a weak trend of decreasingsourceduration with increasingdepth that can be completely accountedfor by the expected increase in shear wave velocity with depth. Houstonet al. [1998]find evidenceof asymmerry and complexity in the stackedtime functionsfor eventsfrom 350-550km depth. CampusandDas [Com- phys. Res.] do not detect any unusualdepth depen- dencefor intermediate and deep focuseventsfor events in Fiji and Japan. Overall, no dramatic depth dependence of rupture propertieshas been revealedwithin the [Kanamori,1972].Theseeventscommonly releaseseisintraplate environment of intermediate and deep focus mic wavesthat are depletedin high frequencyenergy, earthquakes. apparently as a result of having unusuallyslow rupMany studiesof earthquake rupture have been made ture propagation[Pelayoand Wiens,1990;Kanamori and Kikuchi, 1993; $atake, 1994; Tanioka and $atake, for individual or suites of events on the megathrust 1996; Johnsonand $atake, 1997; Ihrnldet al., 1998]. zones,and some have focusedon depth dependentsysThe distinctive seismicwave spectra of theseeventshas tematics. Tichelaarand Ruff [1991, 1993]examined even served as a basis for near reM-time detection of variations in maximum depth of interplate thrust events tsunami earthquakesinvolving calculation of spectral to assesscontrols on seismic coupling. Zhang and energyratios [Newmanand Okal, 1998;Shapiroet al., 1998].The observationthat tsunamieventsruptureat Schwartz[1992]analyzedthe depthdistributionof moment release in different zones to assess variations in very shallow depths where weak sedimentsare likely to be present in the fault zone has prompted speculation thermal structure and stress. EkstrSm and Engdahl that rupture in low rigidity materialscausesslowrupture velocitiesand resultsin a larger faulting displacement for a given seismicmoment. Thesefactorscan explain the spectral characteristicsand enhancedtsunami excitationof tsunamiearthquakes[e.g.,Kanamori and Kikuchi,1993].If this is correct,onemightexpectshal- quakesin the central Aleutian Islands to examinevari- lower thrust events in the interplate thrust zone to have [1989]determinedsourceparametersfor many earth- ationsin stressdistribution,and Taniokaet al. [1996] consideredlateral variations in earthquake rupture and slabmorphologyalongthe Japantrench. Bilek andLay [1998,1999a]focusonearthquake rupturedurationvariationsfor shalloweventsin the Japan and Middle Amer- ica subductionzones,findingthat the shallowestevents have anomalouslylong sourcedurations in both subductionzones.Bilek and Lay [1999b]showevidencefor similar behaviorin other regions,and proposeseveral possiblemechanismsto accountfor this observation,involvingphysicalattributesof the subductionzonesuch as roughnessof the subductingplate, amountand type of sedimentbeing subducted,thermal structure, and fluid processesin the fault zone. Earthquake behavthrust zone. ior in the interplate seismogeniczone can thus guide There have been severalinvestigationsof earthquake interpretationsof the thermal and petrologicalstrucrupture duration variations with depth in subduction ture of subduction zones[e.g.,Peacock,1993;Hyndman zones, primarily focused on intraplate events within et al., 1997; Oleskevichet al., 1999]. This study exthe subductedslab. Vidaleand Houston[1993]stacked tends the examination of depth dependentvariationsof short period P waveformsto estimate sourceduration earthquakerupture duration in sevensubductionzones: of 160 intermediateto deepevents(depth > 100 km). Japan, Kuriles, Alaska-AleutianIslands, Mexico, MidThey found evidencefor a decreaseof sourceduration dle America, Peru, and Chile. longer rupture durations than deeper events, and relatively long duration ruptures should be observedin regionswhere significantsedimentis subductingcompared to regionswhere no sedimentis present. It is not clear what to expect in terms of complexity of rupture, other than the possibilitythat the shallowenvironment is intrinsically more heterogeneous in material properties and stressthan the deeper portion of the interplate BILEK 120' 150' 180' -150' -120' -90' -60' • II ..•, ........ 30' . LAY 1'67 time function that representsthe time history of seis- 60' '.i!i•?i•ii:•i•ii.i!ii??i.. -.?:... '7""'•:'21'::5i!i ............. ii'ii .............'60' 30' AND "• mic moment releasefrom the source[Kanamori and Ruff, 1983; Ruff, 1989; Tichelaar and Ruff, 1991; Ruff and Miller, 1994]. The deconvolution methodis based on computingsynthetic P wave Green's functionsfor eacheventusingthe bestdoublecoupleof the Harvard CMT solution for a model with a water layer over a O'ß..•,"•x• •'•:•:•:•5•.:• ................... • ' - ' e• O' uniformhalf spacewith a P wavevelocityof 6.0 km/s. We deconvolvethe P waves by Green's functions generated for a rangeof 15-25point sourcedepths,obtaining sourcefunctionsat eachtrial depth. The depth at -30' ............ • •... -30' _60.• ' ' l' I -60 ø 120' 150' 180' -150 ø' which the deconvolution minimizes the misfit between the data and syntheticseismograms is preferred.While -120' -•' -60' simultaneous inversion for a revised focal mechanism may reducesomeuncertainties,it is not viable for most of our eventsgiven the limitations of the availableP Figure 1. Map showingsubductionzonesstudied. Boxes enclose the areas of event locations. wavedata. In general,tradeoffsbetweensourcemechanism and either source depth or source time function are not too severefor shallow thrusting events,and the METHODOLOGY CMT solutions are probably fairly robust for most of The subduction zones around the Pacific that we anour events. The general processingsequenceis shown alyze (Figure 1) are selectedprimarilyon the basisof in Figure 2 for an event in the Aleutian Islandsregion. abundant shallow interplate seismicity. Our focus is The stations used are well-distributed azimuthally from on frictional and faulting processesalong the megath- the source,which ensuresa range of wave shapesand Green'sfunctionsthat reducesthe severe rust zones,and severalcriteria are used to select events corresponding trade-offs between depth and source function. From located on the main thrust fault. Earthquakes are initially selected basedon' (1) closeproximityto the main the deconvolutionprocedure, performed for 23 depths thrustzoneof interest,(2) havinga faultingmechanism in Figure 2, we determinean optimal depth of 31 km (from the HarvardCentroidMomentTensor(CMT) catalog)with strike,dip, and rake consistent with un- based on the minimum in the misfit recordings are usedfor mostevents).Thesecriteriaare when the true source radiation curve. The corre- spondingsourcefunctionhasa simpletrapezoidalshape derthrustingof the subductingplate (typically,events with a duration of 7 s, followedby somelow amplitude have a strike within 20-300 of the local strike of the oscillations. The latter oscillationsare highly variable, trench, a dip • 30-35ø, and a rake of 90ø+30ø), (3) and representinstabilities causedby accumulatinginhavinga momentmagnitude(Mw) of 5.0-7.5,and (4) accuraciesin the Green's functions with lapse time into availability of at least 4 good quality broadbandtele- the signal. This eventand the associatedP wavesignals seismicP wave recordingsthat are well distributed az- are well characterizedby the strong trapezoidal pulse, imuthallyfrom the source(between7 and 15 P wave althoughthere is intrinsically somesubjectivity as to was finished. Figures 3-9 show final sourcetime functionsfor all events in the 7 subduction zones. The panel for each [e.g., Zhangand Schwartz,1992; Tichelaarand Ruff, event shows the source time function for the optimal sourcedepth and our preferred depth and sourcedu1991,1993]. For the selectedevents, we obtain all available tele- ration. In some cases, the depth determination is roseismicvertical componentbroadband recordingsfrom bust, with a singledistinct minimumin the misfit curve. the IRIS data center with time windowsappropriate for However, in other cases,there are double or multiple the direct P phaseand associated depth phases(pP, minima in the misfit curves,or a range in depths with sP) neededfor accuratesourcedepth determination. relatively uniform misfit. For thesecases,we examine Ground displacementtracesare obtainedby deconvolv- the sourcetime function producedfor each depth, and ing the instrumentresponse,and the P waveonsetsare choosethe depth which yields the simplest time funcmanuallypickedon eachrecord. A multistation decon- tion, with most of the moment releasedearly in the similar to those used by other authors in earlier studies of depth dependenceof subduction zone properties volution method is then used to determine the source signal[Christensen andRuff, 1985]. 168 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 58 ø 56 ø 54 ø 52 ø ae 50 ø 170 ø 180 ø -170 ø O.4OO _150 ø _160 ø ALE 10.1 0.375' FFC 54.6 0.350' ANMO 78.8 0.325 CTAO 214.1 DAV 246.8 0.300 CHTO 0.275 '' '1'5'' '2•5'' '3)5'' '45 Depth (km) be BJT 282.4 HIA 292.0 AAK Best Depth 31km Error 0.279 276.6 BRVK ANTO LVZ 310.1 320.1 336.6 346.1 BFO 355.6 n de 7s Figure 2. Example of data processingfor M•=6.49 event in the Aleutian Islandsregion. (a) Focal mechanismof the event taken from the Harvard CMT catalog. The event was chosenbecauseof its underthrustingmechanism(strike 262ø, dip 24ø, rake 114ø),closeproximityto the trench,and moderate magnitude.(b) Error or misfitas a functionof depth for the deconvolutions. We performthe deconvolution for 23 different depths to minimize the misfit between the data and synthetics. Minimum occurs at 31 km depth. (c) Sourcetime functionfor deconvolution at 31 km depth. On left is sourcetime function, on right is sourcetime function with misfit boundsin gray dashedlines. Sourceduration is measured from the first large peak of the source time function; the black bar indicates the measuredduration of 7 s. (d) Data (solidblacklines)and syntheticseismograms (dashed)shownwith the stationcodeand azimuth from the event. The point-sourcetime functionsin Figures3 to 9 further illustrate the difficultiesintrinsic to measuringthe time interval of sourceenergy release. As in Figure 2, the deconvolutionssometimesshow significant amplitude oscillations after the main pulse of moment rate, or significantnegativeovershootfollowingthe primary pulse. For the largest events, unparameterizedspatial finitenessmay contribute to these features, but their sensitivityto sourcedepth suggeststhat inaccuracyof the later portions of the Green'sfunctionsis the primary BILEK 89/01/22 9 km 89/11/01 2 ]• 12 km 89/11/04 II 90/0'•/10 91/11/26 28 km• 17 kmI 14km 4s • 93/0•25 32km / 94/1•28 169 24 km Jl 92/07/12 14km 92/07/13 50 km 47 km 41 km ls 9•07/18 9•07/18 9•07/18 7 km 12km 18 93/03/25 93/09/11 93/10/28 30km •lkm 2s LAY km • 89/10/26 I 789/10/27 • 89/10/29 •, 89/10/29 9s 9•07/16 AND 3s ! •km • ls ls 9•07/25 • 13km 9•07/29 • 9•/0•/08 [ 5km 5 km 9•/08/1• / 33km 1 94/1•28 95/01/01 95/01/06 95/01/06 95/01/11 6km I 6km• 9km • 4km • 37km 43km 5s 95/01/21 95/11/23 95/0•23 95/1 •30 95/04/25 95/05/25 ls 3s ls 95/07/08. 95/09/26 95/1 •30 Figure 3. Sourcetime functionsfor Japanevents. Each eventpanellists the eventdate, the best sourcetime function,and the preferreddepth and duration. Duration is measuredfrom the sourcetime functions, with each horizontal step of 1 s. culprit. This is not unexpectedgivenpossibleerrorsin the focal mechanismand the very simplevelocity model assumedin computingthe Green'sfunctions.Until realistic near-surfaceand wedgevelocitystructureis known in eachregionand fully three-dimensionalGreen'sfunctions can be computed for such structures, it will be hard to improvethe accuracyof the time function estimates. The time function complexity makes it difficult 170 RUPTURE PROPERTIES I: IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 90/07/06 91/12/07 34km 17km 91/12/13 ]• 91/12/13 91/12/13 I 91/12/19 20km 9km 15km 9km I 3s 2• 7••ff• ] •/• 92/07/12 31km 91/12/22 24km 92/02/02 25km 2s 94/01/24 ls 94/01/26 s ] 94/05/18 ! los 92/07/14 16km 93/03/22 26km 93/09/16 36km 4s ls 4s 94/08/18 94/08/18 94/08/20 7s ls 30km tli7km ] 35km I 7km13km 35km I 94/08/20 I! 94/08/28 94/10/25 ]• 40km 95/01/12 30km 95/02/14 26km 16km •f['[ 94/10/09 32km 14km ls • 95/02/21 95/03/11 L• 95/04/17 30km 43km 34km 27km 2s 95/04/18 '1• 31km f 26 29 km 3s I 16km 95/04/19 •. 95/04/28 30 km 3s 8km 5s 'ix,-, 30km 9,107 8km 95/12/07 95/12/08 [r• 95/12/10] 96/01/06 96/01/31 96/02/04 30km 2s 16 km 2s [1 13 km II 36km 18 km 3s I• 2s 37km Figure 4. Sourcetimefunctions for Kitrileevents,in sameformatasFigure3. to definethe cessation of coherentenergyreleasefrom the source,and in somecasesthere may be isolated secondary pulsesof sourceradiation. However,every caseshowndoeshavea primary pulseof momentrate in the early part of the signalthat accounts wellfor the predominant features of the teleseismic P waves. We proceedby measuringthe durationof the primarypositive pulseof the sourcetime function,whichusually sufficesto characterizethe energyreleasehistory. We attempt to be consistentin measuringthe width of this BILEK AND 96102/14 96/03/09 96/03/30 96/04/06 96/05/07 36km 33km 9km 36km 18km 44km 96/10/01 45kl• 96/10/28 30km 97/02/28 31km 97/10/08 14km 7km 97/10/09 97/10/11 14km ]• 96/02/07 LAY 171 2s 98/01/20 Figure 4. Continued pulse,definingthe end as when the pulsereturns to a baseline level. We incorporate error bars on the duration estimatesto subjectivelyreflect the difficultiesin measuringthe time function duration. There are severaltrade-offsin determining the source duration and depth parameters. Sourcetime function duration and depth have particularly strong trade-offs Holdingthe focalmechanismconstantis anothersource of possibleerror in the depth determinations,but tests of the effects of focal mechanism uncertainty indicate that the depth estimatesare not very sensitiveto small focalmechanismchanges.The error barsthat we assign to the depth estimatesreflectthesesourcesof error. The point-sourceassumptionexplicit in our deconvolutions for individualstations[e.g.,Christensen andRuff,1985]; clearly resultsin someaveragingof spatial finitenessefhowever,by performingthe deconvolution for manywell fects that may bias our sourceduration estimates. Esdistributed stations, the ability to separate these pa- timation of source radiation duration from the source rameters is greatly improved. Additionally, there are time functions involvesan approximation that there is trade-offs between velocity model and source depth. a simple rupture processthat yields negligibledirectivThe choiceof a half spacevelocityof 6.0 km/s undoubt- ity effect. As most of our events are of moderate size, edly biasesour depth estimates.Tests usinga different and the deconvolution processemphasizeswave periods averagevelocityshowthat a 10%changein averageve- longer than 1 or 2 s, the directivity effectsin teleseislocity leadsto a corresponding 8-12% changein source mic P waves are likely to be below the resolution of depth(approximately 3-4 km), similarto the resultsof our measurementsin almost all cases. The good fit of Tichelaarand Ruff [1991].Giventhe likelihoodof low the point sourcesyntheticsto the observationsgivesdivelocitiesin the sedimentarywedge above the thrust rect support for this assertion. The residual waveform plane,we probablyoverestimate true depthsby several mismatch error varies somewhat, but not in a fashion kilometers,particularly for the shallowestevents. Our simply linked to the shape of the sourcetime functions depth estimatesstill tend to be shallowerthan thosein or the event moment (see Figure 2). As a first-order the CMT catalog(Figure10), partly dueto the higher approximation, we take the duration of the main pulse averagecrustal and upper mantle velocityof the Pre- of the source time function as an estimate of the ac- liminaryReferenceEarth Model (PREM) [Dziewonski tual rupture duration. We correct the rupture duraand Anderson,1981]structureusedin the CMT inver- tion estimatesfor the effect of varying seismicmoment sion. There are also differencescausedby the practice (Mo), as it has beenempiricallyshownthat the duraof fixingCMT depthsat either15km or 33 km for shal- tion is proportionalto the cuberoot of Mo [Kanamori low earthquakeswhenthe depth resolutionis not good. and Anderson, 1975; Houston et al., 1998; Campus and 172 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 89/09/20Jl 89/10/07•1 90/01/08 | 5km •l•l. 15km 11110km • • 90/03/12II 91/05/30 91/07/20 18km I1 30km 32km -u•j•_ •v 9•W•V1 • • •'• 91108105 27km • 91/11/26] 38km l 9•0•05 29 km •. •U• 9•03/26 I 5 km / 3• 9•06/03 / 17km • 9•06/24 17km 15km r• 21km ] 16km 10km 36km II• 7km •9•09/30 n9•09/30 • 9•09/30 • 9•10/01 9•11/10 .. 9•11/11 /• I 5• 6• 9•11/24 93/01/23I 93/04/16 14km 36km 93/05/28 93/0•02 3s 94/04/05 / 28km 93/08/19 • 93/05/15 23 km 93/05/17 •/ 39 93/05/25 33 km km 93/10/29 38km • 15km ls 94/07/29 3s 94/08/05 •1• 93/11/12 93/1•03 1 Skm Okm 94/08/05 94/09/28 94/10/10 10km7km 29km 9km• 8km• 20km 95/01/16 95/03/14 95/04/23 95/05/23 95/06/07 95/07/08 8km• 36 km •10 km 17 km 29 km 7km 13s I s 2s 11 s Figure 5. Source time functions for Alaska-Aleutian Islands events,in same format as Figure 3. Das, 1999]. Each durationestimateis dividedby the cube root of the associated Mo from the Harvard CMT catalog,normalizedto a momentmagnitude(Mw) 6.0 event. The CMT moments are used for scalingrather than the moments determined from the deconvolution process,as we feel the CMT moments are more stable estimatesbecausethey are derived from large numbers of long-perioddata. Our deconvolutionmomentstend to underpredict the values found by Harvard, in part due to the velocity model used, and possibly due to BILEK 95/10/30 96/02/15 96/03/22 96/03/26 96/03/28 I AND LAY 173 96/03/28 2s 96/03/28 96/03/30 96/03/30 96/04/21 8kin 7kin 7kin • 32kin ] 35kin 9•04/23 96/04/26 96/06/08 96/0•11 96/06/11 9•06/12 9•06/16 ] 16kin 96/07/10 • 31kin • 19kin • 17kin17kin38kin L 34kin 3s 96/08/19 96/1•08 O,m • •. ls 3s 97/03/26 97/03/27 97/04/02 •o• •o• 1 ,,,m I. 2s 1• u 1• '• •o•o• •m ls 97/01/19 3s ! •o•o• •o•o '•m ,•m ls 97/1•17 97/1•26 16km 33 km ls •o•o• I •m 1• •m • ,•m 2s Figure 5. Continued. omissionof later low amplitude energyrelease.Scaling any dependenceon event size. Our data are alsofree of by the cuberoot of momentis widelypracticed,and al- any systematicrelationship between sourcedepth and lowsour resultsto be easily comparedwith other stud- seismicmoment(Figure11b), whichis importantin asies [Ekstr6mand Engdahl,1989; Vidale and Houston, sessingthe results. 1993;Bos et al., 1998;Houstonet al., 1998],after takRESULTS ing into accountthe differences in the referencemoment usedin the variousstudies. Figure 11a showsthe obFigure 11c showsnormalized duration estimates as servedrelationshipbetweenour durationestimatesand Mo. The unscaleddurations show a clear increasewith a function of source depth for the entire dataset, repincreasingMo, while the scaleddurationsare free of resenting 354 events. We include 68 events from a 174 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION 92/06/07 14 km 3s ZONES 92/06/07 7 km 5s 93/03/31 20 km 3s 93/05/15 20 km 2s 93/09/30 13 km 93/10/24 22 km 8s 4s 93/11/13 7 km 5s 95/09/14 22 km 10s 95/10/06 17 km 95/10/12 19 km 3s 95/10/30 16 km 3s 96/02/25 11 km 96/02/25 6 km 96/02/26 8 km 5s 4s 96/03/19 12 km 3s 96/03/27 17 km 2s 96/07/15 19 km 6s 96/07/18 20 km 2s 97/07/19 9 km 12s 97/1 2/16 7 km 7s 98/02/03 24 km ls 3s 13s Figure 6. Sourcetime functions for Mexico events,in same format as Figure 3. study of maximum couplingdepth in subductionzones depth. With typical error bars being +1.5 s, the long [TichelaarandRuff, 1991;TichelaarandRuff, 1993], duration estimates appear to be real anomalies. Figure 12 showsthe same data, subdividedby geowhich provideddepth and duration estimatesby the samegeneralprocedureusedhere. Thoseduration es- graphicregion and with error bars on depth and dutimates are alsoscaledusingcube root of moment scal- ration values. The trend of decreasingsourceduration ing. The trend of decreasingduration with increasing with increasingdepth is apparent for each region, aldepth is very clear, even in this compositeplot which though somesubductionzoneshave strongerpatterns combines data from subduction zones with different rethan others. For instance,data for the Alaska-Aleutian gionalcharacteristics. A sourcedurationof about 3 s is Islandsregionshow a very dramatic decreasein duratypical of an Mw = 6.0 event, but scaleddurationsas tion down to a depth of 15-20 km, then a flatter dislongas 18 s are foundfor eventsshallowerthan 15 km tribution at depths deeper than 20 km. The Kuriles, BILEK 91/06/21 92/02/21 AND LAY 175 92/04/05 _90/03/25 90/04/28 91/03/16 • 21km I 6km i 4s 15km h•11km4 7s 10 km 92/05/30 92/08/10 92/08/11 92/09/05 93/05/2C 93/07/16 il 22km 10km8km•, 13km •1 20km l 19km 3s 4s• 93/07/21 93/09/03 . 10krn 22 km '•1 11km 93/09/03 • 93/09/10 ! 7 km I 93/09/10 . 7km It 13km 2SI1•1••1• 93/09/10 I1• • 7 93/09/14 93/09/19 93/09/11 • 93/09/13 I• km 13 km q 93/09/30 13 kmII. 94/03/12 14 km 20 km _ 94/05/01 Ii 17km 96/04/01 ,' 24km 96/08/27 95/01/20 95/09/06 5 96/03/03 • . 96/03/03 25km •h 16km I 16 km •Lkm I[• I1• 96/08/28 96/09/04 3• 3it • • 96/12/17 • 94/06/29 • 96/11/17 96/12/14 , 3•••.•r•. 97/12/22 10km Figure 7. Sourcetime functions for Central America events,in same format as Figure 3. Mexico and Peru showsimilar abrupt changesat depths shallower than 25 km, but these three regions have fewer events than the Alaska-Aleutian Islands region. The South American zones have slightly shorter duration plateaus at depths greater than 20 km than do Japan and the Aleutians, which may reflect differencesin crustal structure overlying the subduction zones. Central America displays the weakest variation with depth, with events lessthan 10 krn deep showing some increase in duration. The scatter in duration is 176 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 90/09/02 17 km 3s 91/07/01 12 km 9s 92/05/16 40 km 4s 92/07/17 39 km ls 94/1 2/14 21 km 2s 96/08/05 9 km 96/11/12 24 km 7s 7s 96/11/13 11 km 96/11/14 9 km 7s 5s 96/12/16 6 km 6s 97/08/15 16 km 4s 97/O2/O9 19 km 3s 96/01/19 32 km 2s 96/11/13 22 km 3s 96/11/15 12 km 4s 97/06/3O 25 km ls 98/08/04 23 km 7s Figure 8. Sourcetime functionsfor Peruevents,in sameformatas Figure3. comparablebetweenregionsfor depthsgreaterthan 10 km, and indicatesthe intrinsic variability in earthquake rupture processesand errors in duration estimation. Given that our depth estimates differ from both the CMT values and earthquake bulletin values, we seek to confirm that the events are truly on the megathrust, and not intraplate ruptures. Plate i shows our depth and duration data plotted as a function of distance perpendicularto the regional trench axis. This distancewasmeasuredusingbathymetry mapsto track the trench axis. Eventslocatedwithin the dashedgray boxes are consideredlikely to lie on the main plate interface, which may itself involvemultiple thrust planes, within a 4-5-10 km region. Those eventswhich lie outsidethe box may either be mislocated(laterallyor in depth), are intraplateearthquakeswith thrust mechanismssimilar to underthrustingat the plate boundary, or arethrusteventsoccurringin the accretionary wedge abovethe seismogenic zone.The eventsdefinedipping plate interfacesin eachregion,with someof the scatter attributableto changesin plate geometry.The distributionsare much tighter than providedby either the CMT or earthquakebulletinlocations,soour depthestimation processgenerallyappearsto have succeeded. In regionsthat exhibit a lot of scatter and where there is significantalong-strikegeometrychange,we binned the data to ensurethat we include only eventsthat are confidentlyidentified as interplate thrust events. The data still show a decrease in source duration with in- creasingdepth alongthe plate interfacefor eachregion, BILEK 90/08/02 92/05/22 92/06/21 92/11/04 93/03/19 AND LAY 177 93/07/11 ] 9kmI 26km33km I 27km • 9km[•49km ls 21 km ]I 34 km 6 95/05/28 95/07/30 I 47 km 3s 0 6s 94/09/1294/09/17 19 km 29 94/12/10 km 38 km 95/08/01 I 95/08/02 95/08/02 95/08/02 38 km•L6kmI 21 km• 20 km 22 km 19 km 95/08/03 !1] 20km I 95/11/30 28 km 95/10/03 95/10/16 95/10/31 95/11/01 22km 23km ls 18km • 2s 20km I• 5km 95/11/21 96/04/19 44 km 96/07/03 ] I] 6 km • 97/03/09 38 km 97/04/13 24 km 97/05/25 13km ••/•97/07/06 [ 97/07/06 t 97/07/24 I 97/07/25 •,97/07/27 97/08/18 21km I 97/11/03 I 41km 7 km 98/01/12 I ! 15km 7 km 98/07/29 98/09/03 46km 0•1 7 km [ 14km 27km Figure 9. Sourcetime functionsfor C!file events,in sameformat as Figure 3. mainly becausevery few of the shallowestevents have been excluded. ALASKA-ALEUTIAN ISLANDS DATASET The strongpattern and large numberof data in Figure 12 for the Alaska-AleutianIslandsregionprompted a more detailed look at the seismic parameters for eventsin this area. There have been many great earthquakes as well as tsunami earthquakes in this region, which emphasizesthe importance of understandingthe nature of the seismogeniczone here. Figure 13a shows the locations of the events analyzed for the AlaskaAleutian Islands region;a total of 74 earthquakesfrom 1989 to 1997. We consider the patterns in the data in both depth and along-strikebins. 178 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 7O 30 km has the shortest 6O age sourcefunction for the shalloweventssuggestsevidenceof greater rupture complexity as well, although the subeventfeatures are highly variable from event to •50 duration of 7.0 s. The aver- event. We alsoconsideralong-strikevariationsin the source • time 40 • •o 2O ß 10 20 30 of the Alaska-Aleutian tions for the shallowest % lO 0 functions 40 Islands events. The along-strikebins are based on distinct tectonic blocksas describedby Geist et al. [1988]. Initially we consideredall events in each spatial bin, but this was problematic due to the distinct shapeof the time func- ß 50 60 70 Our Depths(km) Figure 10. Comparisonof depths as listed by the Harvard CMT catalog and depths determined in this study. Our depths tend to be more shallow than the Harvard CMT depths, and our depths do not show any bias towards certain depths, such as the large grouping of Harvard CMT depths of 15 km and 33 km. Figure 13b showsthe averagesourcetime functions alongthe entire Alaska-Aleutianarc for four depth bins of 0-10km (20 events),10-20km (26 events),20-30km (10events),and30-40km (18events).Boththe seismic moment rate amplitudes and the sourcedurations were scaledto removethe effectsof varying seismicmoment, events. The shallowest events in eachregiondisplayqualitatively similar broadening, but the total numbersare too small to averagejust the shallowestevents. For this reason,we stack only events deeperthan 10 km in the along-strikebinsshownin Figure 13a usingthe same procedureas describedabove. Figure 13cshowsthe averagesourcetime functionsfor eachsubregion,plotted on samescaleto facilitate comparison between regions. Four of the six bins look remarkably similar, but events in the Unimak Block and ShumaginBlock differ somewhatfrom the others. There may still be some depth effect in these stacks, as events in the Unimak Block have mainly 10-20 km depthswhile eventsin the ShumaginBlock havemainly 30-40 km depths. The causeof these variationsis unclear at this point, but lateral variationsalongthe arc are certainly lesspronouncedthan the commondepth variation. Our data for the Alaska-Aleutian Islands events do suggestvariationsin maximumcouplingdepthfor this region. Tichelaarand Ruff [1993]examined11 events in the Aleutian Islands region and 5 eventsnear the Alaskan peninsulato determinean averagemaximum the reference Mw 6.0 event(Mo 1.16x1025 dyne-cm). couplingdepth for the Aleutiansof 35-41 km and 37The moment rate amplitudeswere divided by the event 41 km for Alaska. Our larger data set supportsthese M2/3inordertomaintain therelationship between mo- averagesof maximumcouplingdepth, althoughit apment and area under the time function. Individual time pearsthat there is significantvariationin the coupling depth alongstrikeof the trench,with somesectionsof functionswere set to 0 prior to the beginningof the large the seismogenic zonehavingmuchdeepercouplingthan pulseof energyin the sourcetime function, and 0 after othersections.Tichelaarand Ruff [1993]mentionthat our pick of the termination point of the faulting radiathe easternmostportion of the 1957earthquakerupture tion. The stackedsourcefunctionsfor eachdepth range have been scaled so that the area beneath each curve zone may have shallowercoupling; this region correis equalto 1.16x1025 dyne-cm,to facilitatecomparison. spondsapproximatelyto the Unimak Blockbin, where The most obvious feature is the dramatic difference in we see earthquakesonly down to 20 km depth. We alsoobservethe possibilityof shallowercouplingaround the shape of the sourcetime function for the 0-10 km longitude1800within the Rat and DelarofBlockbins, bin, as this visually demonstratesthe generaltrend of with deepercouplingfoundon eitherside. We are only decreasingsourceduration with increasingdepth. The time function for the 0-10 km bin has a duration of considering eventswith Mw 5-7.7,soour resultson coupling depth are appropriatefor that magnituderange. 16.4 s while the time function for events greater than followingthe procedureof Houstonet al. [1998],prior to binning the eventsand averagingthe time functions. The time scalesweredividedby ••oo, normalizedby o BILEK AND LAY DistanceFrom Trench(km) 0 o 25 50 75 ':"• . - 100 125 150 175 200 225 '"" • 'l ....... d' ' 'w'"'- .•,•:e•'• .• 0 0 25 50 75 ,ill[ Japan 10 40 40 • 50 50 60 0 I 25 2 3 4 50 75 ............... 5 6 7 8 9 1011 ..... ;....,,., •.,, •,•.._, ,, •_ ..-'-lO - - Aleutiang 20 30 40 40 50 50 ß 0 100 125 150 175 200 225 25 l Illlllll III 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 ;,. •.., ,.. .,,,.., .._,. Mexico 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1213 25 •7•-• •- ............. ' 1o 4 Illtill 0 75 __ 60 0 50 I ]•l,I ß • -" •'•.n-• n. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415 25 Ill[ Kuriles ............... 10 30 2 0 0 20 o I Iw ß Alaska- Inllin ,wIII • 0 100 125 150 175 200 225 . III 6O II -1 0 Ill. - n & 100 125 150 175 200 225 I !. - 20 30 • • i 10 50 - :- 75 100 125 !50 .,,• ........- 175 200 225 , ..... .;......, •:::•: . •: ..•.• 20 30 30 40 50 50 60 60 l 012345678910 0 25 50 01234567891011 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 o 1o 20 .•,. 30 40 5o 6o 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112 Plate 1. Normalized source duration and source depth as a function of distance from the respective trench The color bar below indicates source duration for each symbol. Error bars show range in depth estimatesfrom the range in misfit from the deconvolutionprocessing.The dashedboxes enclosethose events that define the plate interface, allowing for some scatter due to variation in the along-strike subductionzonegeometry.Eventswhichlie outsidethe box are likely either accretionarywedgeor intra- plate events(gray symbolsin Figure 12). Trianglesrepresenteventsdeterminedby Tichelaarand Ruff [1991,1993]. 1'79 180 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES lOO le+28 le+27 •1e+26 • le+25 • le+24 bo ao 0.1 ß le+23 i ß 1e+•4 i ß 1e+• i ß 1e+• le+23 ß i 1e+•? le+28 ß 10I ß 20I ß 30I ß 4 •) ß 50I 0 Seismicmoment(dyne-cm) i Depth(km) Figure 11. Relationship of sourceduration and depth with 18 seismicmoment. (a) Plot of sourcedurationas a function ß of moment. 16 • 14 tion ß ß ßß 8 • 46 2 0 moments are taken from the Harvard rLg"u•dg"J ß ß i . is measured from the source time function in I s in- tervals. Solid circles represent normalized source duration ß as a function •**-.•t* . ß*ß o*ø o-. etr..ø..o_-•k 10 eO Iß 'f' -- ß 20 i 30 i 40 i 50 ß 60 As data accumulate, it may prove viable to map out lateral variations in faulting complexity and coupling depth in greater detail, but the presentresults indicate subtle variations increase in source duration trend in this plot, with moments scattered over our depth -1'ß ' '• ulo•o.%eoc. ' The (b) Seismicmomentasa functionof eventdepth. We seeno ** - *.. ' i of moment. with increasing moment has been removed from the data. Depth•m) that rather Event CMT catalog. Open squaresrepresentraw durations, which show an expected increase with increasingmoment. Linear pattern of symbols results from the fact that source dura- will be found. range. (c) Compositeplot of normalizedsourcedurationas a function of depth. There is an overall trend of decreasing sourceduration with increasing depth, and wide scatter is likely due to the composite nature of the plot. sedimentsat very shallowdepths. Rigidity is a key material property that can be related to source duration through its direct influenceon shear wave velocity. For a simple unilateral rupture model, sourceduration is in- verselyrelatedto rupture velocity. The rupture velocity DISCUSSION Further mapping out of lateral variationsin behavior of earthquake ruptures within each zone and between zonesremains a desirablegoal, but for the remainder of this study we focus on the common depth-dependence apparent in Figure 11c. Seismologicalanalysis reveals only grossattributes of the sourceenergy release,and there is substantialnon-uniquenesswhen interpreting sourcetime function characteristicsin terms of dynamical behavior. We will consider several simple endmember possibilitiesto frame the problem. One possible explanation for the observed variations in source duration is systematicvariation with depth of rigidity of the material in the seismogeniczone. This is an extension of the notion that tsunami earthquakes have slow rupture velocitiesbecausethe slip occursin low rigidity (V•) is empiricallyfoundto be approximately equalto 80%4-10%of the shearwavevelocity(/3)[Scholz, 1990], /3-•-P (1) where/• is the rigidity and p is the material density. If we assumea constant static stress drop model for scaling, variations in the duration can be associatedwith variations in rigidity. The constant stressdrop model appearsvalidfor a rangeof earthquakemagnitudes [e.g., Abercrombie, 1995], althoughwe do expectscatterto result from variations in stressdrop. Thus we can use our source duration measurements to estimate volume- averaged(overthe rangeof largestrainaccumulation) rigidity variationswith depth in the seismogenic zone. In order to calculate the rigidity, we use a constant densityof 2.7 g/cm3. It is clearthat the densitywill BILEK .•, 15 10 10 I ø o • 0 LAY 10 20 +i' 30 40 o 50 60 0 10 20 30 40 Aleutians 50 60 Mexico ..o 15 • •o o ........ o 20 i 10 .... ! 20 .... i 30 .... i 40 .... i , , , 50 .... i • 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 .... Central Peru America 15 10 • •o o 10 o 20 .... ! .... 20' • .... ;0 i .... 40 ! .... 50' i 0 60 , 0 10 20 +.+,, 30 40 50 60 Depth (km) .... Chile o o 10 181 Japan ''•................... Kuriles • 15 • AND 20 30 40 50 6o Depth (km) Figure 12. Normalizedsourcedurationas a functionof sourcedepthfor eachof the analyzedregions. Open squaresindicateeventsanalyzedin a similarfashionby Tichelaarand Ruff [1991, 1993]. All of the 354 event sourcedurationshave been scaledusingthe cube root of seismicmoment, normalizedto a M,o=6.0 event. Gray symbolsindicate thosethrust eventssatisfyingour initial criteria, but have depth estimatessuggestingthat they did not occur at the plate interface. 182 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES 60 ø o O-lOkm [ 10-20 km[ 20-30km I -•3o-4o kmI 55 ø Peninsula Rat Block Delarof in Block Block Andreanof 50 ø 170 ø 175 ø ! [ 180 ø -175 ø He Block ! _170 o _160 o _165 o _150 ø _155 ø 4'le+241 3.1e+24-• /' 2'1e+24 1/' 1.0e+24 • _• . 5.2e+24• Delarof Block 4'le+24 1 2'1e+241 / z 0 5 10 15 20 Duration (s) 5.2e+24 • Un•Bl•k 4.1e+24 • Figure 13. (a) Detailed map of Alaska-AleutianIslands study area. Symbols show NEIC location of events with symbolshapedenotingdepth of event (seelegend). Boxes indicatedistincttectonicblocksfrom Geistet a/.[1988].(b) Average normalized time functions for the depth bins 0-10 km (sohdblack), 10-20km (dashedgray), 20-30km (dashed black), and 30-40km (solidgr•y). (•) Alongstrikebinsof sourcetime functionsfor blocksindicatedin (a). Average sourcetime functionsweregeneratedin sameway as in (b), however only events with depths greater than 10 km were included in these bins. ' ' ' Alaska •msula 5.2e+24 • •.le+•l •.,e+•l / •.le+•l / ,.•2• • •o ' •5 C. •o T•e •5 16.o •2.5 (s) change somewhat with depth, but we use a constant event,with a 3.0-3.5 km/s rupture velocity.This choice density for simplicity. The other parameter needed to of a rupture dimensionaffectsthe baselineof the rigidity estimate rigidity is a source dimension, as the source values, but not any systematic depth variations. It is not presently possible to independently determine the duration (v) equals rupture dimensionsfor all of our eventsusingdirectivity source dimension analysis becauseof their small magnitude. Since it is - We assume a uniform . source dimension (2) of 10 km for unlikelythat they all rupture precisely(scaled)10 km dimensions,we expect significant scatter to remain. Figure 14 showsthe seismogeniczone rigidity esti- our moment-scaled rupture durations. This dimension mates obtained is c9nsistentwith the 3-4 s duration for a typical Mw 6.0 ered in this study. There is an order of magnitude for the seven subduction zones consid- BILEK 1o5 .... i ß • ß .... I .... AND LAY 183 Studies of tsunami earthquakes have inferred compa- I RigklJy(kbars) Averagerigidily(kbars) Rigidity (g•bars)TR dataset rable (factor of 5 to 10) reductionsof rigidity for the seismogeniczone necessaryto reducerupture velocities 1oa to about i km/s and to accountfor the enhancedslip neededto satisfy tsunami excitation given the observed seismicmoments[I(anamori, 1972;Pelayoand Wiens, 1992; I(anamori and Kikuchi, 1993; $atake, 1994; Hein- rich et al., 1998].Thus, thesecalculations suggestthat 100 10 0 60 Figure 14. Plot of estimatedrigidity variationsalongthe megathrust for the entire dataset. Small black circles indicate rigidity valuescalculatedfrom our measuredsourcedurations, trianglesindicate rigidity estimatesfor the 68 events in the Tichelaar and Ruff [1991, 1993] datasets,and open circlesare averagerigidity valuesover a depth interval. The solid black line indicates the rigidity valuesestimated from PREM shear wave velocities and densities. scatter in the data at all depths, but we find a general trend of increasingrigidity with increasingdepth in the rangeof 5-50 km. Rigidity valuesestimatedfrom P REM are includedin the figure to provide a reference earth comparisonfor a layeredcrust/mantleintraplate oceanicenvironment. Our averagevaluesare very similar to PREM at depths of 20-40 km, but are lower than P REM by a factor of as much as 5 at depths shallower than 20 km. Given the likely contributions to error in the rigidity estimatesfrom the factorsdescribedabove, only the average trend should be considered,not the full range of values. One concern inherent in these estimates is the use of Harvard CMT momentsin scalingthe sourcedurations. These momentsare calculatedusing the PREM structure for seismicwave excitation. If the rigidity variations in Figure 14 are correct, the excitation should be recomputedfor a correspondingdecreaseof rigidity near the surface.Overestimatingthe rigidity in the modeling may have yielded seismic moments that are too small for shallow events, which would underestimate the correctionsfor moment scaling. A quantitative correction for this effectis very difficult, both becausethe rigidity is not independently known, and the excitation should be computed for a realistic three-dimensionalmodel to obtain unbiased moments. We believe that the overall effect of suchcorrectionfor moment scalingwould be a slightly reducedrangeof rigidity values,but the general trend would be preserved. all subduction zones may have shallow regions with low rigidity properties that could enable large tsunami earthquakes to take place. Whether they do or not is likely to be a consequenceof the slip history of the deeperportionsof the seismogenic zone, along with the myriad factors that control the transition from stable sliding to stick-slip instabilities. If the rupture velocity is decreased because of low shear velocities, a fairly thick zone of reduced rigidity must be present to affect the volumetric strain releaseduring rupture. The rigidity estimatesin Figure 14 would then be averagedover the seismogenic zones, and local properties right at the plate interface may vary even more. The fact that our rigidity estimatesdo not displayany seismicmomentdependence (especially whenvery largetsunamieventresultsare included),indicatesthat the scaleof the regionof low rigidity may be substantial. Various factors could produce a distributed zoneof low rigidity material near the fault zone. A thick zone of sediments both above and within the seismo- geniczoneis a likely candidatefor significantreduction of rigidity relative to hard rock values. Lower rigidities can also be associated with increased water content in the material, which is abetted by having high porosity sediments. Increased water content can also be the re- sult of phase transitions such as smectite to illite, and even basalt to eclogite, which can releasewater from the hydrous phase. Other factors may be important. Previous studies have examined the depth dependence of moment re- lease[Zhangand Schwartz,1992], maximumcoupling depth [Tichelaarand Ruff, 1991;1993],stressdrop and sourcedurationsfor deep earthquakes[e.g., EkstrSm and Engdahl, 1989; Vidale and Houston, 1993; Bos et al., 1998;Houstonet al., 1998],and lateral variations in earthquakeoccurrence [Taniokaet al., 1997].These authors have invoked a number of possiblefactors for causingthe variability in earthquake rupture, such as amount and types of sediment being subducted, thermal state, hydrologiceffects,and changesin subducting plate roughness.Systematicsin any of thesefactorsis also a plausible causefor the depth dependenceof the sourceduration and rigidity. However,with the current 184 RUPTURE PROPERTIES IN SUBDUCTION ZONES Figure 16 showscorresponding estimatesof the static stressdrop as a function of depth for eachof the studied regions. For eachcalculation,we usethe Harvard CMT .......... •_•••'"'"'"•verridingplate • •o• Subdueting plate • catalogmomentsand a constant/• - 3.5 km/s. The shearwave velocity will likely vary with depth because of rigidity variationswith depth, but we use a constant value for simplicity for these calculations. This model predictsthat stressdropincreaseswith increasingdepth ranging over an order of magnitude. This is certainly plausible,however,a study of dynamic stressdrop for recentlarge earthquakesshowsthat the stressdrop estimated from sourcetime functions is basicallyconstant compaction •/ '"'• '"•L.• •o '74•water ex•lled '" o,..o • • 'ph•e tr•sitio• OOo *:' _ defo•tion of segments for the eventsoncethe changein shearvelocity(and thereforerigidity variations)with depth and regionis takeninto account[Ruff, 1998]. Effortsto improveour ability to estimate rupture dimensionsfor moderatesize events are essential if we are to resolve the trade-off Figure 15. Generalizedschematicof a subductionzone, with a detailedblow up of the seismogenic zoneinterface, modifiedfrom Bilek and Lay [1999b]. data set, it is difficult to determine which is the most important causeof the variations. Figure 15 showsa schematicof the seismogenic zoneindicatingsomeof the possibleprocesses likely involvedin changingthe material rigidity. The model of rigidity variationsis non-unique. We assumedthat the scaled rupture area of the eventsis constant with volumetric material properties controlling the variations in duration. Another end member modelinvolvesa constantrupture velocitywith a varying rupture area for each event. Such a model implies static stressdrop variations with depth. We lack independentestimatesof the fault areafor eachevent,which is neededto resolvethe trade-offbetweenrupture area be- tween fault area and rupture velocity variations. The discussionabove invokesvery simple notions of earthquakemechanics,either with rupture velocity being controlledby volumetrically averagedrigidity and shear velocity variations, or with variable static stress drop resulting from depth-dependentchangesin frictional behavior. It is likely that such effectscould be coupled,with low rigidity regionstendingto havelarger fault areas,so that the true explanationlies in between. However, perhaps the most plausible model is one in which the micromechanicalpropertiesof the fault zone influencethe macroscopicearthquake rupture. In particular, porous sedimentsat shallow depths in the seismogeniczonemay be fluid saturated,with fluidsplaying a critical role in earthquake slip. Such a model is con- sideredby Kanamoriand Heaton[1999],whoespecially and rupturevelocity[Vidale and Houston,1993]. Instead we relate static stressdrop to seismicmoment throughits relationshipto fault displacementand area. For a circular crack model, static stressdrop is 1000 7rrMo Art-- 16ra (3) where r is the radius of the circular fault area and Mo is the seismicmoment[KanamoriandAnderson,1975]. If we make a further assumptionthat the rupture velocity approximatelyequalsthe shear velocity,we can substitute the product of the shear velocity/5 and the measuredsourcedurationr for the fault radius,leaving for the static stressdrop. 10 20 30 40 50 60 Depth(km) Figure 16. Plot of stressdrop variationsalongthe megath- 7rrMo A•r- 16/•ar a 0 (4) rust with depth. Small black circlesindicate stressdrop estimates calculatedfrom our sourcedurationsand triangles indicate stressdrop estimates calculated from the Tichelaar and Ruff [1991,1993]datasets. BILEK emphasizethe microscaleinteractions of frictional heating and fluid pressurizationas key factorsin the macroscopicbehavior of faulting. Essentially,it may not be necessaryto have large volumesof low rigidity material if the very presenceof fluid rich sedimentsin the seismogeniczone can directly reduce rupture velocity intrinsically. Such models need further elaboration, but our observationsprovide key targets for explanation. AND LAY 185 properties with depth in the Japan subductionzone, Science, 281, 1175-1178, 1998. Bilek, S.L., and Lay, T., Comparisonof depth dependent fault zone properties in the Japan trench and Middle America trench, Pure Appl. Geophys., 15•, 433-456, 1999a. Bilek, S.L., and Lay, T., Rigidity variationswith depth along interplate megathrust faults in subduction zones, Nature, •00, 443-446, 1999b. Bos, A.G., Nolet, G., Rubin, A., Houston, H., and Vidale, J.E., Duration of deep earthquakesdetermined by stackCONCLUSIONS ing of Global SeismographNetwork seismograms,J. Geophys. Res., 103, 21059-21065, 1998. Earthquake source time functions for a large num- Christensen, D.H., and Ruff, L.J., Analysis of the tradeber of events in seven circum-Pacific zones indicate off between hypocentral depth and sourcetime function, Bull. Seisin. Soc. Am., 75, 1637-1656, 1985. that moment-normalized source rupture duration deDziewonski, A.M., and Anderson, D.L., Preliminary refercreaseswith increasing depth along the seismogenic ence earth model, Phys. Earth Planet. Inter., 25, 297- zone. There are minor regionaldifferencesin details of this relationshipthat may be related to the tectonic environment, but the depth dependenceappears to be robust. The Alaska-Aleutian Islandsregion has the most completedataset, and showsdramatic differencesin the shapeof the sourcetime functionswith depth, with minor changesin time function shape along strike of the trench, indicating that the depth dependenceis more than any along-strike variations for this region. Two end member models of earthquake rupture processare consideredto explain the observations,one with varying volumetrically-averaged sourcezonerigidity and the other with variable static stress drop. For the first model, we find that rigidity increasesby a factor of 5 over the depth range of 5 to 20 km. Low rigidity of the shallowportion of the seismogenic zonemay the result of sediments, high porosity, and weakly consolidated materials, all of which diminish in volume with depth. The variablestress•lrop modelpredictsan orderof magnitude increasein stressdrop with increasingdepth. It is possiblethat the two scenariosare coupled, with material property variationsinfluencingstressdrop, but it may alsobe true that our observationsreflect microscale influences of sediments and fluids in the fault zone on rupture propagation. Acknowledgments. We made extensive use of the Har- vard CMT catalog.GMT software[WesselandSmith,1991] was used for figure preparation. 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