Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (1 of 57) Westmoreland was right: Learning the wrong lessons from the Vietnam War By Dale Andrade More than thirty years after the fall of Saigon, historians still argue about the lessons of the Vietnam War. Most fall into two schools of thought: those who believe that the United States failed to apply enough pressure – military and political – to the Communist government in Hanoi, and those who argue that the Americans failed to use an appropriate counterinsurgency strategy in South Vietnam. Both arguments have merit, but both ignore the Communist strategy, and the result is a skewed picture of what sort of enemy the United States actually faced in Vietnam. The reality is that the United States rarely held the initiative in Vietnam. Hanoi began a conventional troop build up in South Vietnam beginning in the early 1960s, and by the time of the US ground force intervention in 1965 the allies already faced a large and potent conventional Communist army in the South. Simply employing a ‘classic’ counterinsurgency strategy would have been fatal from the beginning. Despite this fact, the US military has tended to embrace flawed historical analysis to explain our failure, often concluding that there was a ‘strategic choice’ in Vietnam – a right way to fight and a wrong way. Most blame General William C. Westmoreland as choosing the wrong way and argue that if he had eschewed a big unit ‘search and destroy’ strategy, the war might have turned out differently. However, this article argues that this is untrue. Westmoreland could not have done much differently than he actually did given the realities on the ground. The flawed interpretations of the Vietnam War are not only bad history, but they also lead military and political policymakers to bad decisions in current counter-insurgency strategy. As the US military finds itself embroiled in unconventional wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, it needs clear lessons from America’s longest counterinsurgency campaign – the Vietnam War. Keywords: Vietnam war; strategy; Westmoreland; Abrams The US Army prides itself on learning from history. General Peter J. Schoomaker, the former Army Chief of Staff, wrote that our ‘failures in Vietnam had grave implications for both the Army and the nation.’ Failure is often the best teacher, he argued, and the US Army has become ‘an adaptive and learning organization’ capable of studying the past so it can plan for the future.1 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (2 of 57) For better or for worse, the Vietnam War continues to cast a long shadow over how the United States makes policy and fights wars. It is the standard everyone Page 146 wants to avoid. Yet after Vietnam, the Army turned its back on its experience there, ignoring lessons in the mistaken belief that counterinsurgency was a thing of the past. ‘No more Vietnams’ became the mantra for a generation of policymakers, pundits, and military planners. The irony is that there probably never will be another war like Vietnam – not because the United States now knows how to avoid such wars, but because the situation there was unique. Still, there are many lessons to be learned from Vietnam – tactical, operational, and strategic – and the Army erred in waiting so long to look back on the wealth of experience in Southeast Asia. As the Iraq war continues unabated, there is a scramble to look back at past US counterinsurgency experiences, and Vietnam is high on the list. But good lessons can only come from good history, and the Vietnam War is not an easy study. Since insurgency took hold in Iraq scores of articles and editorials have warned against repeating the ‘mistakes’ of Vietnam. Many display a significant lack of knowledge of the war. Military analyst Max Boot, for example, wrote, ‘The biggest error the armed forces made in Vietnam was trying to fight a guerrilla foe the same way they had fought the Wehrmacht.’2 This is a misleading caricature of the war, but the image of a big army stumbling around after agile guerrillas has come to dominate the ‘lessons’ that are supposedly being learned about Vietnam. If General Schoomaker’s characterization of the Army as a learning institution is to be taken seriously, there needs to be a re-examination of what the Army thinks it knows about the Vietnam War. Flawed history The misunderstandings began immediately after the war. Since the United States lost, historians concentrated on what went wrong and who was to blame. There were two basic schools of thought, both arguing that the United States failed to identify the true nature of the war. In an insightful historiographical essay entitled ‘The Unending Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (3 of 57) Debate: Historians and the Vietnam War,’ Gary Hess called them ‘Clausewitzians’ and ‘Hearts-and-Minders.’3 Clausewitzians argued that the real centre of gravity was in Hanoi, and that the war was really an invasion by North Vietnam. Therefore, goes the theory, Washington erred in asking the military to wage a counterinsurgency, since the insurgency was largely a sideshow. The leading proponent of this point of view was Harry Summers, whose book On Strategy: A Critical Analysis of the Vietnam War argued that, since the insurgency in the south was controlled from the north, the centre of gravity lay in Hanoi, not in the population of South Vietnam. The Viet Cong guerrillas were secondary, he wrote, and their presence ‘harassed and distracted both the United States and South Vietnam so that North Vietnamese regular forces could reach a decision in conventional battles.’4 Page 147 During the 1980s, the Army largely accepted this interpretation, because it took much of the blame off the military, arguing instead that restrictions – such as offlimits enemy base areas in Laos and Cambodia and a secure home front in North Vietnam – prevented a decisive victory. If the US military had been allowed to attack these centres of gravity, went the thought process, it could have defeated North Vietnam, cutting off its support to the Viet Cong and allowing the South Vietnamese to defeat the insurgency piecemeal. In this view the guerrillas were merely an extension of the main forces. The Hearts-and-Minders argued just the opposite. According to this school of thought, the war was fought by a conventionally minded military that ignored counterinsurgency. Andrew Krepinevich, the author of The Army and Vietnam, was the most articulate proponent of the position that the military failed to understand that the guerrillas were the centre of gravity, and the Army’s failure to emphasize sound counterinsurgency principles doomed the effort. Krepinevich argued that what few steps the military did take were mere window dressing, a ‘fad’ left over from the Kennedy administration’s love affair with Special Forces. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (4 of 57) Instead of actually implementing counterinsurgency in Vietnam, Krepinevich wrote, the ‘Army prescribed no changes in organization nor any scaling down of the firepower to be used in fighting an insurgency.’ The strategy used by the US commander, General William C. Westmoreland, was to blame: ‘In focusing on attrition of enemy forces rather than on defeating the enemy through denial of his access to the population, MACV [Military Assistance Command, Vietnam] missed whatever opportunity it had to deal the insurgents a crippling blow at a low enough cost to permit a continued US military presence in Vietnam in the event of external, overt aggression.’ There were still the North Vietnamese main forces to deal with, but Krepinevich believed that they were secondary.5 While Krepinevitch was correct to argue that ‘winning the big battles is not decisive unless you can proceed to defeat the enemy at the lower levels of insurgency operations as well,’ he never explained how any counterinsurgency plan could ultimately prevail if the main forces were allowed to lurk in the shadows, waiting to attack and sweep away all the gains made by pacification. Krepinevitch believed that the huge enemy offensives of 1972 and 1975 were the ‘ironic result of this misplaced strategic emphasis,’ though his argument that a better counterinsurgency plan would have, in itself, prevented the North Vietnamese onslaughts is unconvincing.6 The reality is that the Communists were able to employ simultaneously both main forces and a potent guerrilla structure throughout South Vietnam, and any strategy that ignored one or the other was doomed to failure. Yet only a few historians make this point. One of them, Michael Hennessy, wrote in his history of US Marine Corps strategy in Vietnam that the arguments represented by Summers and Krepinevich are both wrong. Their ‘theorizings do not adequately account for’ the simultaneous guerrilla and main force war. ‘But if neither the large unit nor guerrilla threats were adequately countered,’ wrote Hennessy, ‘it must be argued that the criticisms of Krepinevich and Summers indicate that US forces were not only poorly employed, but were employed in numbers far from sufficient to tackle the problems of Vietnam. Can it be that instead of too many men America failed to commit enough?’7 It would seem so. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (5 of 57) Page 148 The Communists’ ability to harness military and political capabilities all along the spectrum of Maoist revolutionary warfare doctrine was unprecedented. A vast and deeply rooted political infrastructure formed a permanent presence in South Vietnam’s villages while increasingly large military formations could challenge South Vietnamese forces on their own terms. It was the perfect insurgency – an ideal melding of guerrilla and main force capabilities – yet the adherents of both the ‘Clausewitzian’ and ‘Hearts-and-Minders’ school of history virtually ignored this big picture, instead making assumptions about its structure and capabilities that were untrue. Both portrayals appear compelling because they offer a simple explanation for the defeat in Vietnam: there was a strategic ‘choice’ – a right way and a wrong way to fight – and the wrong choice was made. General Westmoreland, the MACV commander, usually gets the blame for making that choice. A leading proponent of this view is Lewis Sorley, whose book A Better War, argued that Westmoreland foolishly used a search and destroy strategy that could not possibly catch guerrillas dispersed throughout the countryside. His successor, General Creighton W. Abrams, Sorley wrote, switched to counterinsurgency to thwart the guerrillas in the villages rather than fruitlessly chasing them in the jungle. A Better War proposed that, upon taking command of MACV in June 1968, Abrams halted Westmoreland’s ‘single-minded concentration on the Main Force war,’ because he ‘understood that the war was a complex of interrelated contests on several levels, and that dealing with the enemy effectively meant meeting and countering him on each of those levels.’8 Sorley is unswerving in his belief that Abrams was right and Westmoreland wrong. ‘Abrams brought to the post a markedly different outlook on the conflict and how it ought to be conducted,’ wrote Sorley. ‘Pronouncing it “One War” in which combat operations, improvement of South Vietnamese forces, and pacification were of equal importance and priority, Abrams switched from “search and destroy” to “clear and hold” ....’ In his admiring portrait of Abrams, Sorley presents a hero who should have been listened to earlier because he understood the ‘correct’ way to fight such a war.9 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (6 of 57) Yet Sorley makes no attempt to explain the vast operational differences faced by the two MACV commanders during their respective command tenures. Between 1965 and 1967 the war was very much about the enemy main forces, which threatened to overwhelm Saigon and were directly responsible for the US decision to intervene with ground forces. After the 1968 Tet Offensive, when Abrams assumed command, the enemy had suffered severe setbacks which forced them to scale back their main force operations, allowing the Americans and South Vietnamese to place a greater emphasis on pacification. But the North Vietnamese big units would be back, and in the end Abrams could not stop them. Page 149 When it counted – as American troops left Vietnam – the South Vietnamese were no closer to pacifying the countryside than they had been on the eve of the American troop buildup. And this failure stemmed from the same cause that had prompted US intervention in the first place: in addition to a wide-ranging guerrilla presence, enemy main forces were on the loose in large numbers. Abrams’s strategy proved no more successful in containing or destroying them than Westmoreland’s had been. Another work with a great deal of credibility within the Army is Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife: Counterinsurgency Lessons from Malaya and Vietnam, by John A. Nagl, a serving Army officer. Like Sorley’s book, Nagl’s work is making the rounds among Army officers. According to one report, General Schoomaker so liked the book that he made it required reading for all four-star generals, and General George Casey, the former commander of the Multi-National Force in Iraq, gave Defense Secretary Rumsfeld a copy during a visit. 10 Nagl attempted to fit the Vietnamese model of revolutionary warfare into a Maoist structure, but the Vietnamese, in the strategy and operational art they adopted, did not really subscribe to that model. While the Chinese Communists had a large amount of control over the outcome of their civil war – which was basically a local conflict – the Vietnamese Communists faced much more powerful enemies in the French and later the Americans. A high-level North Vietnamese analysis of the war made clear that the leadership was well aware of this: ‘The revolution in the South will not follow the path of protracted armed struggle, surrounding the cities by the Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (7 of 57) countryside and advancing to the liberation of the entire country by using military forces as China did, but will follow a Vietnamese path.’ 11 Nagl’s view of America’s role in Vietnam is equally skewed. His portrayal leaves the impression of Viet Cong guerrillas sneaking from the jungle into villages and melting back again whenever confronted. This war existed, but Nagl completely ignores the enemy main forces. By December 1965, four months after the first influx of US Army troops in South Vietnam, intelligence counted about 160 Communist main force battalions (55 of them were North Vietnamese) in South Vietnam and the border regions of Laos and Cambodia. 12 Had the Americans split up into small counterinsurgency teams spread throughout the countryside, the increasing numbers of North Vietnamese troops would have faced no resistance as they built up along South Vietnam’s western border during late 1965 and early 1966. This would have been disastrous for South Vietnam. As one US official noted, ‘You just can’t conduct pacification in the face of an NVA division.’ 13 The reality is that US forces reacted to the enemy on the ground – not the other way around. Interestingly, the Army’s embrace of the interpretations put forth by Sorley and Nagl comes in spite of its own official history, which provides a balanced and detailed account of the war. In the volume on combat operations during 1965–66, entitled Stemming the Tide, author John Carland concisely sums up the situation faced by Westmoreland: ‘Without military security, none of the other political, social, and economic programs sponsored by Saigon and Washington would make much headway. In that respect, how [Westmoreland] waged the war would change with the nature of the threat and how the situation was developing.’ 14 Page 150 In another official Army volume, a history of MACV from 1962 through 1967, author Graham Cosmas traces the complex history of the command and its struggle to craft a strategy that combined military and political realities. The even-handed account concludes, ‘General Westmoreland’s disposition of his forces and conduct of operations were sound within the strategic limitations under which he had to work [and he had] no alternative to waging what amounted to a defensive war of attrition while trying to rebuild the Saigon government and restart pacification.... However, Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (8 of 57) nothing that he could do in the south would affect the will and capacity of the North Vietnamese to continue the war. Hence, he was unable to bring the conflict to an end.’ 15 Despite such clear analysis, the current belief about strategy in Vietnam is apparent: Westmoreland was wrong and Abrams was right. Therefore, if the Army looks to the strategy used by Abrams and rejects that employed by Westmoreland, the ‘mistakes’ of Vietnam might be avoided in the future. Indeed, this thinking is now deeply entrenched within the military. In an article in the influential Army War College journal Parameters, author Robert M. Cassidy (also a serving Army officer), cites Sorley when he concludes that Abrams put the war back on course after Westmoreland had fumbled it. Unfortunately, he claims, this ‘came too late to regain the political support for the war that was irrevocably squandered during the Westmoreland years....’ Like Sorley, Cassidy wonders what might have happened with ‘Abrams at the helm, back in 1964.’16 All of these interpretations suffer from two fundamental problems. First, they make no attempt to examine what the Vietnamese Communists were actually thinking and doing. What was their strategy? How were they organized? None of the authors cited above make any attempt to define or explain the enemy faced by the Americans in Vietnam, instead treating it as an amorphous and two-dimensional entity. Nagl’s book, for example, mentions the North Vietnamese Army only once, leaving readers with the impression that it was shadowy guerrillas doing the fighting. Second, the authors discussed above assume that Westmoreland misunderstood the enemy he was facing and that he made poor choices in how to fight them. Had he done things differently, they argue, the war might have been won. These conclusions are inaccurate. The enemy The popular conception of the enemy in Vietnam is that it was a grassroots insurgency sprung from the population’s discontent with an illegitimate government in Saigon and the presence of a foreign invader. There is some accuracy to this image. South Vietnam was plagued by an insurgency and there was much popular support for it – neither of which can be understated – but the Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (9 of 57) Page 151 key ingredient throughout the entire war was North Vietnam. Hanoi controlled the insurgency’s leadership, Hanoi mustered the bulk of the main force units, and Hanoi sent the supplies south to keep the war going. Certainly the classic building blocks of a successful insurgency were there. The government of Ngo Dinh Diem, established in South Vietnam following the Peace Accords of 1955, spent precious years consolidating power while the Communists laid down roots in the countryside. Despite Diem’s attempts to attack the Communist political movement, it continued to grow; and in 1960 Hanoi formed the National Liberation Front to control and cultivate the evolution of the insurgency, adding to the already potent political infrastructure a burgeoning guerrilla force called the People’s Liberation Armed Forces (PLAF, called the Viet Cong by both Americans and the South Vietnamese) which quickly moved from small bands to increasingly large and deadly units. Within two years the insurgency was capable of launching attacks against government outposts and small military formations. By 1963 the guerrillas were formed into even larger units – main forces, mostly battalions and regiments – which were a serious threat to South Vietnam. Making the situation even worse, Hanoi began adding its own main forces to the mix. By 1963 North Vietnam’s army (the People’s Army of Vietnam – PAVN) was already beginning to infiltrate units southward to bolster the Viet Cong in South Vietnam. And it was the combined Northern and Southern Communist main force units, operating in battalion size or larger, that were threatening the Saigon government with collapse and precipitated America’s commitment of ground troops. Very few insurgencies make it to the stage where they can use what Mao called ‘mobile warfare’ (also ‘manoeuvre warfare,’ frequently called ‘main force warfare’), wherein the guerrillas become main forces and can engage and defeat the government troops on their own terms. Indeed, the Chinese Communists used their main forces to drive the Nationalists from the mainland, but the Vietnamese Communists took it one step further, employing both guerrilla and main force warfare simultaneously almost from the beginning of their war against the Americans. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (10 of 57) Even during the war against the French, the Communists strove to build a large and modern army. By mid 1950, Communist strength stood at about 250,000 men organized into regular forces, regional forces, and guerrilla forces. Almost half of them – 120,000 men – were in the regular forces, which consisted of divisions, each with an order of battle that included three regiments of infantry, plus artillery, antiaircraft, and support units. This was very much an offensive organization, and the Communists strove to make it increasingly modern and powerful, a process which would continue right up until their final victory in 1975.17 Although the Chinese and the Soviets convinced Hanoi to accept a diplomatic settlement that divided Vietnam into north and south in July 1954, North Vietnam’s leaders knew that military power was the key to reunification. Beginning in September 1954 the Party Central Committee decided to ‘build the People’s Army’ spurred on by Party Chairman Ho Chi Minh’s admonition that ‘The current duty of the armed forces is to strive to become a regular army.’ Page 152 By mid 1954 the PAVN was 330,000 strong, organized into an increasingly conventional order of battle. Modernization became the primary objective, and two years later, according to an official Communist history, North Vietnam’s army was ‘concentrated into 14 infantry divisions and five independent infantry regiments, four artillery and anti-aircraft divisions, and a number of regiments and battalions of engineers, signal troops, and transportation troops with a relatively uniform table of organization and equipment.’ 18 Changing course Even at the earliest stages of the war, three crucial factors allowed Hanoi to pursue its goal of building a modern army and using it in South Vietnam. The first was international military support from China and later from the Soviet Union. Despite several rifts that pushed the North Vietnamese and Chinese apart, Beijing continued to send military aid. Chinese sources show that between 1964 and 1975 Hanoi received more than 1.9 million ‘guns’ (small arms) and almost 64,000 artillery pieces, plus ammunition, as well as almost 600 tanks and 200 aircraft. These figures alone should make it clear that these were not mere ‘guerrillas’ 19 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (11 of 57) The second factor, secure base areas in North Vietnam as well as neighboring Laos and Cambodia, gave the Communists the ability to move troops and supplies to the southern battlefield with virtual impunity – and to do so with little fear of having to fight on their own home ground. These were advantages that very few insurgencies ever realize, and Hanoi played them well. The third factor was the combination of guerrilla and main forces. During the period between 1960 and 1965 Hanoi, acting through the National Liberation Front, built increasingly large Viet Cong units in South Vietnam aimed at battling the South Vietnamese military on its own terms. The building process was slow, however. Small battles, aimed at weak points within the South Vietnamese rural defences, were the norm, but in some cases the fighting became more intense. In December 1962, a Viet Cong main force company from the 261 st Battalion joined local force guerrillas and occupied the village of Ap Bac, 65 kilometres southwest of Saigon in the Mekong Delta. For two weeks the Communists held sway over the village, then on 2 January 1963 the South Vietnamese sent elements of the 7th Division to push the Viet Cong out. Although the Viet Cong were finally pushed out of Ap Bac, poor decision making and a lack of aggressiveness by South Vietnamese commanders highlighted many of the problems that would continue to plague the ARVN (Army of the Republic of Vietnam) for the rest of the war. Eighty South Vietnamese soldiers and three US advisers were killed while only eighteen Viet Cong died.20 Hanoi continued to escalate the war. In December 1963, the Communist Party Central Committee held its ninth Plenum, during which it ‘affirmed that the formula for the revolutionary liberation required a combination of political and military strategies’ but noted that ‘the armed struggle would be the direct deciding factor in the annihilation of the armed forces of the enemy.’ Page 153 In addition, concluded the Plenum, ‘[W]e should strive to take advantage of opportunities to secure a decisive victory in a relatively short period of time.’21 The best way to win, according to another Communist history, was for the North Vietnamese to ‘send individual regular main force units (battalions and regiments) Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (12 of 57) from the North into South Vietnam and to form large main force armies on the battlefields of South Vietnam.’22 The use of these new and ‘very large and powerful military forces [would] create a fundamental change in the balance of forces between ourselves and the enemy.’23 North Vietnamese troops moved into South Vietnam almost immediately. According to an official history of the PAVN 312th Division, ‘In the spring of 1963, the first battalion of the division was sent South, 600 cadre and enlisted men, crossed the Ben Hai River [the Demilitarized Zone],’ where they engaged a South Vietnamese Army company. In the spring of 1964 a second battalion went south, this time to the coastal region of central South Vietnam. These units would form the core of the burgeoning North Vietnamese main force presence in the South, in particular the PAVN 325th Division, which moved south in March 1964. 24 In September 1964, the Party Central Committee reinforced its previous decisions on main force war with a decision ‘to mobilize... the entire armed forces to concentrate all our capabilities to bring about a massive change in the direction and pace of expansion of our main force army on the battlefield, to launch strong massed combat operations at the campaign level, and to seek to win a decisive victory within the next few years.’25 During a meeting held from 25 to 29 September 1964, the Politburo ordered the Central Military Party Committee and the PAVN General Staff to prepare a strategic plan and ‘to conduct battles of annihilation to shatter a significant portion of the enemy’s regular army.’ Communist leaders were particularly anxious ‘to completely defeat the puppet army before the US armed forces had time to intervene.’26 To reinforce the decision, that same month Hanoi sent General Nguyen Chi Thanh to South Vietnam to oversee personally the main force expansion and to direct the coming campaign as the leader of the Central Office for South Vietnam (COSVN), Hanoi’s political headquarters and military theatre command for the southern half of South Vietnam. Thanh was a conventional soldier, not a guerrilla leader, and he brought with him ‘many high-level cadre with experience in building up main force units and in leading and directing massed combat operations.’27 Thanh’s orders from the Central Military Party Committee were to ‘launch a campaign during the 1964–1965 winter-spring period aimed at destroying a significant number of puppet Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (13 of 57) regular army units and [to expand] our liberated zones,’28 which he planned to accomplish with ‘powerful main force “fists”.’29 The fighting escalated immediately. Beginning in late 1964 a series of multi-battalion battles punctuated the Communists’ main force emphasis and showed clearly that South Vietnam was going to lose the war without US intervention. Page 154 The Communists claimed victory, calling the battles ‘the first full-fledged campaign to be conducted by COSVN main force units’ in southern South Vietnam .30 The PAVN history notes that by the end of January 1965, main force units (both North Vietnamese and Viet Cong) ‘had fought five regiment-level and two battalion-level battles’ in a little over one month.’ By February Hanoi believed that the South Vietnamese Army ‘was in danger of annihilation.’ 31 To stave off defeat, American Marines landed at Danang in March 1965, followed in May by the 173rd Airborne Brigade and the 1 st Brigade of the 101st Airborne Division in July. By the end of the year the 1 st Cavalry Division and the 1st Infantry Division were also deployed, bringing the total of US Army personnel in country to 116,800.32 The Communists’ emphasis would remain on main force warfare, despite the fact that such a strategy would certainly bring their troops face-to-face with the fearsome force of American firepower. However, argued historian and North Vietnamese specialist William Duiker, to do anything else would have been ‘unpalatable’ to Hanoi. ‘To downgrade the level of insurgency and retreat to the stage of guerrilla warfare would be to lose the initiative on the battlefield.’33 The scene was set for the next round of fighting – the ‘American war.’ Clearly, events show that ‘classic’ guerrilla war was not the Communists’ main vehicle for victory. As the United States was building up its ground forces in South Vietnam, Hanoi was also adding more units to the battlefield. During the spring of 1965 Hanoi sent seven new regiments to South Vietnam, along with ‘scores of sapper, artillery, and other specialty branch battalions [which] poured down the Annamite Mountain chain, marching to the battlefront.’ 34 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (14 of 57) Communist histories leave no doubt that building and using Hanoi’s main forces was the primary strategy during 1964 and 1965. Guerrilla war, though important, was secondary at this point. ‘In practical terms,’ concluded one official Communist history, ‘it was impossible to use a protracted guerrilla war to gain victory through a general insurrection. Instead, we had to advance “in the direction of securing incremental victories, pushing the enemy back step by step, and progressing toward a general offensive insurrection,” using political struggle and armed struggle side by side, but the armed struggle had to follow the laws of war, which are to destroy the enemy’s combat strength.’35 Westmoreland’s dilemma The Communist emphasis on main force combat changed everything in South Vietnam. What had been primarily a guerrilla war in 1961 evolved into the use of increasingly formidable units in 1963, and two years later it was moving toward even larger armed confrontations with the introduction of North Vietnamese units. Concentrating on counterinsurgency during those first few years did little to hinder Viet Cong recruitment – and it did absolutely nothing to stop the North Vietnamese buildup. Therefore, General Westmoreland, who took command of MACV in June 1964, would have been foolish to view the situation as purely an insurgency. As he wrote in his memoirs, ‘The enemy had committed big units and I ignored them at my peril.’36 Page 155 Westmoreland understood the dual nature of the threat he faced, yet he believed that the enemy main forces were the most immediate problem. By way of analogy, he referred to them as ‘bully boys with crowbars’ who were trying to tear down the house that was South Vietnam. The guerrillas and political cadre – which he called ‘termites’ – could also destroy everything, but it would take them much longer to do it. So while he clearly understood the need for pacification, his attention turned first to the ‘bully boys,’ whom he wanted to drive away from the ‘house.’ 37 This thinking did not come so much from a ‘conventional mindset’ on the part of Westmoreland but rather from watching the situation on the ground in South Vietnam. On 6 March 1965, two days before the first US Marines waded ashore near Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (15 of 57) Danang, Westmoreland sent a report to the Joint Chiefs of Staff outlining the situation as he saw it. Much of the country ‘has been steadily deteriorating since mid1964,’ he wrote, and in some parts of South Vietnam the ‘deterioration process must be regarded as critical.’ Throughout the country ‘the Viet Cong hold the initiative,’ and they ‘are implanting a sense of the inevitability of [Communist] success.’ South Vietnamese forces were ‘on the defensive and pacification efforts have stopped.’ 38 Within a few months, these observations were borne out. On 7 June Westmoreland reported that the war ‘is in the process of moving to a higher level. Some PAVN forces have entered SVN and more may well be on the way.’ In the near term, he predicted, things would get even worse. The Viet Cong ‘have not employed their full capabilities,’ and only a handful of regiments had been committed by the Communists. ‘In most engagements, VC main force units have displayed improved training and discipline, heavier firepower from a new family of weapons... and a willingness to take heavy losses in order to achieve objectives.’39 The South Vietnamese, on the other hand, were continuing to disintegrate. ‘The Viet Cong are destroying [ARVN] battalions faster than they can be reconstituted,’ warned Westmoreland.40 In addition, the South Vietnamese ‘are beginning to show signs of reluctance to assume the offensive and in some cases their steadfastness under fire is coming into doubt.’ Westmoreland concluded that the situation would only get worse. ‘I believe that the DRV [Democratic Republic of Vietnam, or North Vietnam] will commit whatever forces it deems necessary to tip the balance and that the GVN [government of Vietnam, or South Vietnam] cannot stand up successfully to this kind of pressure without reinforcement.’41 The only solution was increased American intervention in order to stave off South Vietnam’s inevitable defeat. Westmoreland asked for 44 maneuver battalions, 10 of them from third countries, such as South Korea and Australia. Within six months total US strength in country was 184,300. Although Westmoreland believed that he could ‘reestablish the military balance’ by the end of 1965, he cautioned General Earle G. Wheeler, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, that reaching Washington’s objective of ‘convincing the DRV/VC they cannot win’ was out of the question. The Communists are ‘too deeply committed to be influenced by anything but application of Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (16 of 57) overpowering force.’ The MACV commander believed that the ‘infusion’ of allied ground forces ‘will not per se cause the enemy to back off.’42 Page 156 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (17 of 57) Despite the obvious need for immediate action to correct the dangerous course of events, Westmoreland understood that the war was not going to be a conventional one. He knew full well that this was a new kind of conflict, one which would be ‘focused upon the population – that is, upon the people.’ He realized that after the initial danger to South Vietnam was past the focus of the conflict would change. ‘There is no doubt whatsoever that the insurgency in South Vietnam must eventually be defeated among the people in the hamlets and towns,’ he wrote in one of his planning documents. ‘However, in order to defeat the insurgency among the people, they must be provided security,’ which he believed would be twin-faceted. The first was to keep the enemy main forces away from the population, the second was to prevent ‘the guerrilla, the assassin, the terrorist, the informer’ from undermining the South Vietnamese government by worming their way into the countryside. American engagement of the ‘hardcore’ enemy main forces would ‘permit the concentration of Vietnamese troops in the heavily populated areas around the coast, around Saigon and in the Delta.’43 This became the accepted course of action at the highest levels. During a meeting in Saigon during July 1965, which included South Vietnamese President Nguyen Van Thieu and US Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara, the allies set forth the division of labour. The Americans would ‘stop and destroy units coming from DRV into South Vietnam’ and ‘destroy all major VC main force units’ in South Vietnam. The South Vietnamese job was ‘to engage in pacification programs and to protect the population.’44 It is difficult to see why this plan has come to be regarded as controversial by so many historians. Those who argue that there was a choice between an approach that first sought to neutralize the enemy main forces and one that would have instead emphasized pacification and counterinsurgency ignore the stark realities on the ground. South Vietnam was on the verge of outright defeat. Once the decision was made in Washington to commit US forces to the survival of South Vietnam, there was no other way to approach the issue. Westmoreland did the only thing he could. It is logical to place the strongest forces – the Americans – in a position to tackle enemy main force units, while the South Vietnamese – who had failed to deal with those very same main forces – turned their attention instead toward area Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (18 of 57) security – in areas populated with their own people, with whom they shared language and culture. Alternatives Was there another way forward? Two major issues arose at the time, but neither really provided solutions. The first was the so-called enclave strategy, first put forth by Ambassador to South Vietnam Maxwell Taylor and later endorsed by Army Chief of Staff General Harold K. Johnson, which proposed confining US forces to zones centreed in base areas around populated coastal cities in order to minimize the number of US troops. The South Vietnamese Army would do the fighting in the countryside while the Americans protected the population. Page 157 This was unworkable for two reasons. First, if the South Vietnamese military was on the ropes – as all reports clearly indicated – there was little likelihood that they would suddenly rally and defeat the Communists simply because the Americans were watching their backs. Second, it was naive to assume that, as foreigners, Americans could pacify towns and villages. In addition, Westmoreland believed that enclaves were, in the words of one observer, an ‘inglorious, static use of US forces in overpopulated areas’ and that leaving them in vulnerable enclaves along the coast ceded the initiative to the enemy. In an interview after the war he pointed out that an enclave strategy ‘in effect turned over the major portion of Vietnam to the enemy, where he had free rein, and we would just be holed up in small enclaves .... I didn’t feel that from enclaves you could hurt the enemy.’ President Johnson, who at first approved the cautious idea, finally rejected enclaves after deciding that ‘We can’t hunker down like a jackass in a hailstorm.’45 Some historians also point to a second issue, a plan which might have provided an alternative: PROVN, ‘A Program for the Pacification and Long-Term Development of Vietnam,’ a study published in March 1966. The study purported to be a nationbuilding blueprint that ‘stressed that pacification should be designated as a major American-South Vietnamese effort.’ Lewis Sorley has portrayed PROVN as the corrective to Westmoreland’s strategy, and because of this, he has written, it was Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (19 of 57) doomed from the start. MACV, Sorley wrote, ‘was obligated to reject out-of-hand the PROVN findings, because they of course repudiated everything Westmoreland was doing.’46 Westmoreland did reject some of the findings, though he agreed with most of study’s core principles. In a memo to the Commander-in-Chief, Pacific, Admiral U.S.G. Sharp, Westmoreland called the study ‘an excellent overall approach in developing organization, concepts, and policies to defeat communist insurgency in South Vietnam.’47 But PROVN was no solution to the war, nor was it really an alternative to Westmoreland’s strategy. What did the PROVN Study actually say? First, it outlined several ‘obstacles’ to an allied victory in South Vietnam, the first of which was a ‘wellled and adequately supported communist political-military machine’ that threatened South Vietnam. The second obstacle was ‘an inefficient and largely ineffective [South Vietnamese] government’ that was ‘neither representative of nor responsive to the people.’ These were, of course, the two major reasons why the United States had intervened with its own main forces in Vietnam in the first place.48 Page 158Page The study conceded that the all-important first step was the elimination of enemy main forces. According to the study’s ‘Concept of National Operations,’ the prerequisite to pacification was: ‘The deployment of US and FWMAF [Free World Military Assistance Forces] to destroy PAVN and Main Force VC units and base areas and to reduce external support.’ This was precisely what Westmoreland sought with his ‘big unit war.’ PROVN acknowledged, ‘Rural Construction can progress significantly only in conjunction with the effective neutralization of major forces. The bulk of US-FWMAF and designated ARVN units must be directed against base areas and against lines of communication in SVN, Laos and Cambodia.’ Until the main forces were out of the way, according to the study, pacification would be ‘a secondary mission.’49 In the final analysis, the PROVN study was unsatisfactory and unrealistic. The Defense Department’s voluminous study of the war – the so-called Pentagon Papers – concluded that there were ‘some major gaps’ in the study’s evidence and many of Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (20 of 57) its recommendations were ‘vague and hortatory.’ One of its most blatant weaknesses was PROVN’s ‘unstated assumption that our commitment in Vietnam had no implicit time limits [and] it proposed a strategy which it admitted would take years – perhaps well into the 1970s – to carry out.’ In the end, claimed the Pentagon Papers, ‘the report did little to prove that Vietnam was ready for pacification.’ 50 Critics also point to a program already in place in Vietnam as one which could have borne fruit – if Westmoreland had allowed it to do so. Beginning in 1965 the US Marines began joining rifle squads with South Vietnamese territorial force militia platoons into Combined Action Platoons (CAP). These combined teams lived, worked, and fought side by side in villages throughout I Corps as they prepared the South Vietnamese to fight on their own. One account has claimed that the Marine Corps CAPs ‘just might have been a viable alternative to MACV’s “big battalions” strategy.’ 51 Westmoreland agreed that the program was effective, but he did not encourage Army units to participate because he believed that the main forces were too big a threat to warrant such a dispersal of manpower. The MACV commander also feared that breaking units into such small groups risked their being defeated by bigger Communist formations. Indeed, by 1966, increasingly large North Vietnamese units were entering I Corps, causing the Marines to devote 35% of their time to operations using larger units – a marked increase from the 1 1% the year before – and by 1967 Marine operations in support of pacification ‘fell seriously behind its goals,’ concluded Andrew Birtle in his study of Army counterinsurgency doctrine. ‘By the end of 1968 not a single CAP village had progressed to the point where the marines could withdraw their men.’ 52 This was not necessarily because the program was inadequate, but rather because the enemy held the initiative – and no single pacification program was going to change that. As one important study concluded, by 1967 the increasing numbers of North Vietnamese forces in I Corps meant that ‘in the experience of the Marines the purely counter-guerrilla and counterinsurgency operations played less and less a part in their war’ as the North Vietnamese turned up the Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (21 of 57) Page 159 operational heat in I Corps. ‘In fact, even against their will [the Marines] were compelled to reorient themselves against the PAVN. It was not counter-insurgency doctrine that skewed America’s strategy; rather, the basic parameters of limited war are what stayed a full response to the northern threat.’ 53 The CAP program did experience increasing gains between 1968 and 1970 (the year of the CAP program’s end), but the reality was that the situation on the ground – not simply a matter of ‘choice’ – meant the Marine effort was always small. CAPs never amounted to more than 3% of total Marine manpower in South Vietnam, and only 90 villages (less than 20% of the total number in the region) in the Marines’ area of operations ever saw a CAP team. 54 Westmoreland and pacification According to many accounts, pacification was all but ignored during the first three years of the war. It certainly could have received more attention than it did, but MACV strategy was not the main reason that it did not. Indeed, it was Westmoreland who implemented many pacification programs and presided over ultimate reform in the effort. The term the ‘other war’ is often used to describe the secondary role pacification played in the US strategy, but the record shows something quite different. Pacification was always at the centre of South Vietnamese planning, though the outcome rarely lived up to expectations. The Strategic Hamlet program in 1962–63 failed because the government forced peasants to relocate from their ancestral villages. Later programs avoided that short-sighted pitfall, but they were no more successful. In early 1964, the Chien Thang (‘Victory’) program envisioned an ‘oil spot’ strategy, with police and paramilitary forces moving from secure areas and spreading out to contested villages as they grew stronger. American advisers were involved, but the South Vietnamese military still did not give it much support, leaving civilian agencies to do most of the work. General Westmoreland enthusiastically supported such programs, but was frustrated by the lack of a balanced civil–military effort. By February 1965 he had concluded that pacification had so many problems that, in itself, it could not take back the initiative from the Communists. 55 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (22 of 57) As American troops arrived in Vietnam in mid 1965, Westmoreland turned back toward pacification. In September he wrote in a key directive that ‘the war in Vietnam is a political as well as a military war.... [T]he ultimate goal is to regain the loyalty and cooperation of the people, and to create conditions which permit the people to go about their normal lives in peace and security... .’ The trick was to find a way to do this – and accomplish it in the face of increasing pressure from enemy main forces. 56 Page 160 Integration of military operations and pacification was always one of Westmoreland’s goals, despite the popular belief that he was single-mindedly wedded to a conventional war approach. In January 1966, Westmoreland wrote, ‘It is abundantly clear that all political, military, economic and security (police) programs must be completely integrated in order to attain any kind of success.’ He believed it was a ‘misconception’ to regard pacification as ‘a function which can be set aside and handled by some single mission element or agency. Almost every aspect of US activity in South Vietnam bears directly on pacification.’ Westmoreland wanted pacification plans at the provincial level to be based ‘upon the integration of the military and civilian effort,’ and he looked to the Communists as an example, noting, ‘The Viet Cong have learned this lesson well. Their integration of effort surpasses ours by a large order of magnitude.’ 57 This attitude was reflected in MACV’s campaign planning for 1966 (submitted in the fall of 1965), which, in addition to chasing enemy main forces, also called for ‘clearing operations on a systematic basis to purge specific areas of Viet Cong elements as a prelude to pacification.’ It was not enough simply to drive the main forces (or even destroy them), concluded the directive: ‘[A]n area cannot be considered pacified until these Viet Cong activities have been identified and either destroyed or removed, and until the services and activities of the Government of Vietnam have been fully reinstated.’58 Of course, strategic thinking was one thing, battlefield realities another. While Westmoreland wanted to combine both pacification and the main force fight, it was not to be. In a message up the chain of command, he confessed, ‘The threat of the Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (23 of 57) enemy main forces has been of such magnitude that fewer friendly troops could be devoted to general area security and support of [pacification] than visualized at the time our plans were prepared for the period.’59 While Westmoreland believed that pacification was crucial – and that it had to be primarily a South Vietnamese task – Saigon did not always agree. Vietnamese officials often balked at using their troops to secure the countryside, arguing that such a job was ‘secondary.’ Historian Richard Hunt wrote, ‘Americans could not serve as surrogates for South Vietnamese officials or government-run programs. The critical variable in pacification was the ability of the South Vietnamese themselves. To be effective, the government had to follow up military operations with reliable services and dependable security.’60 Westmoreland continued to urge the South Vietnamese to take responsibility for pacification, using his senior commanders to ‘intensify’ pressure on Saigon officials to support pacification and to convince them that the new mission should not be regarded as a ‘backseat of military operations,’ but rather the most important mission they could fulfill.61 In addition to South Vietnamese indifference, pacification languished under a disjointed and ineffective administrative system run through the US Embassy. This needed to be changed, and when President Johnson in 1966 demanded a revamping of the moribund pacification system, sending his envoy, Robert W. Komer, to get the job done, Westmoreland fully supported the undertaking. Despite objections from his staff, the MACV commander said, ‘I’m not asking for the responsibility, but I believe that my headquarters could take it in stride and perhaps carry out this important function more economically and efficiently than the present complex arrangement.’ 62 Page 161 In May 1967, with extensive personal support from Westmoreland, the basic building block of the pacification program – the Civil Operations and Rural Development Support (CORDS) organization – was formed. Under MACV, the military would take over what had been a divided and ineffective program run by the civilian agencies in Saigon. While CORDS did not take off until after the 1968 Tet Offensive decimated Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (24 of 57) the Communists’ hold over much of the countryside, all of the programs used to good effect then were begun under Westmoreland.63 Stalemate Westmoreland’s strategy worked in the sense that it saved South Vietnam from immediate defeat, pushed the enemy main forces away from the populated areas, and temporarily took the initiative away from the Communists. South Vietnam was preserved in the short term, but there was much more to be done. In addition to operations aimed at trying to bring the North Vietnamese into pitched battles, Westmoreland also struck at base areas inside South Vietnam that were crucial to the enemy’s logistical pipeline. These operations badly hurt the Communists. According to one analysis, ‘American search-and-destroy missions disrupted the planned operations of the Viet Cong and thus made it more difficult for the Communists to seize the initiative. This became increasingly obvious to Hanoi in late 1965 and early 1966.’64 Another concluded, ‘If we look at the battlefield in January 1967 [according to the three phases of Maoist warfare], the communists had been pushed back from the offensive to at best the equilibrium phase and in many areas to the initial or defensive stage.’ 65 Communist histories make it clear that their troops were suffering from the constant search and destroy missions, especially those that targeted logistical base areas inside South Vietnam, such as Operations JUNCTION CITY in January 1967 and CEDAR FALLS the following month – both in the region north and west of Saigon. According to one account, the ‘many logistics bases of the region... were subject to very fierce enemy attacks’ that decimated their supply lines. North Vietnamese soldiers were reduced to eating ‘bamboo shoots, wild leaves, and roots.’ The result was increased Communist reliance on the Cambodian base areas – which remained off-limits to US attacks. 66 In addition to a lack of food, Westmoreland’s attacks against the enemy’s internal bases hampered the infiltration of new North Vietnamese troops, though not enough to have a decisive effect. A Communist resolution published in May 1967 admitted that ‘we are still encountering problems in obtaining replacements and reinforcements’ inside South Vietnam, which allowed the Americans and South Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (25 of 57) Vietnamese ‘to seize a number of areas and gain control over a larger portion of the population.’ 67 Page 162 By spring 1967, the consensus among the Communist leadership was that the high intensity main force campaign was unsuccessful, and thus the North Vietnamese shifted their strategy. Military planners turned away from General Nguyen Chi Thanh and his main force emphasis (Thanh died in Hanoi in July 1967), opting instead for a standoff strategy. North Vietnamese units now rarely sought out battles with the Americans, and main force units either split up or faded into the jungles to await new developments. During 1967, US intelligence statistics counted 1,484 attacks by ‘small units’ – usually defined as company size or smaller – up by more than 80% over the previous year. It was the largest such increase of any year during the war. The years 1965 and 1966 saw the largest percentage of attacks by battalion-size units or larger – even greater than in 1968 and 1972, the years of the two biggest offensives of the war. 68 Despite the change in enemy strategy, Westmoreland continued to seek out the enemy main forces, though by mid 1967 they were even less likely to stand and fight. This was the high-water mark of US intervention. The Americans had stemmed the tide, but could not do enough to turn it back. The Communists, though battered and bloodied, still maintained the initiative, able to attack at will and retreat across the border if unsuccessful. Westmoreland had failed. Despite succeeding early in the war against the enemy main forces, he did not see that, in a way, he had been lucky. For almost two years the North Vietnamese chose to fight a war that often played to the American advantages of technology, mobility, and firepower. Once Hanoi realized its error and backed off from main force attacks, they were more successful. Of course, the main forces were still there – they were just more dispersed – and the Communists could use them again when the appropriate time came. On the other hand, Westmoreland should not receive all the blame. The roots of the attrition strategy lay in Washington, not Saigon, and they were misguided from the start. That Westmoreland was ultimately unable to do more than temporarily keep Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (26 of 57) the enemy main forces away from the South Vietnamese population was a result of the White House decision to declare major Communist base areas in Laos, Cambodia, and North Vietnam off-limits to attack. The result was that the allies would always be on the strategic defensive in South Vietnam, awaiting attacks from the North Vietnamese, who could limp back cross the border to recover whenever they were bloodied. In June 1968, as he was leaving his post in Saigon, General Westmoreland completed a lengthy review of the war, ‘Report on the War in Vietnam,’ in which he (along with Admiral U.S.G. Sharp, the Commander-in-Chief, Pacific) argued that US policy preventing an invasion of North Vietnam or any meaningful attacks against Communist base areas in Laos and Cambodia ‘made it impossible to destroy the enemy’s main forces in a traditional or classic sense.’ 69 Hanoi could not have agreed more. According to the official PAVN history, this was crucial to their ultimate victory: ‘A solid rear area was a factor of decisive strategic importance to the victory of the resistance and was of decisive importance for our army to mature and win victory,’ it concluded. By making those base areas off-limits to attack, the United States gave North Vietnam an unbeatable advantage. 70 Page 163 Another problem was the way attrition came to be defined in Vietnam. Killing enough soldiers to curtail his capacity to fight on is a basic tenet of warfare through the ages. However, in Vietnam it sometimes became an end unto itself. There was much talk about a ‘crossover point’ where the number of enemy soldiers being killed would outstrip the ability to replace them. Westmoreland was quoted as saying in 1967, ‘We’ll just go on bleeding them until Hanoi wakes up to the fact that they have bled their country to the point of national disaster for generations.’7 1 This was an unrealistic hope. As British counterinsurgency expert Sir Robert Thompson observed, ‘all the people of North Vietnam had to do between 1965 and 1968 was to exist and breed’ in order to thwart the attrition strategy. 72 Indeed, various studies showed that there was no way to kill enough enemy soldiers to prevent them from continuing to fight. A joint CIA–Defense Intelligence Agency report showed that in a ‘worst case scenario’ the enemy was losing about 300,000 men per year. With local recruitment in South Vietnam running at about 85,000, Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (27 of 57) Hanoi had to make up 220,000 men per year. But more than 120,000 young men in North Vietnam reached draft age each year, more than enough to supplement other men already in the draft pool. Other intelligence reports were more pessimistic, predicting that North Vietnam would have more than enough draft-age men for the foreseeable future. 73 A major statistical study published just after the war concluded, ‘It was becoming apparent as early as late 1966 that the US military strategy of attrition was in trouble.’ After more than two years of American operations, the number of North Vietnamese troops in South Vietnam amounted to less than 2% of North Vietnam’s male labour force. At the current rate of loss, Hanoi could continue fighting at the same rate for about 30 years.74 Reports such as these finally led Secretary of Defense McNamara, one of the architects of the numbers game, to conclude in November 1966, ‘We have no prospects of attriting the enemy force at a rate equal to or greater than his ability to infiltrate or recruit.’ 75 The other kind of attrition was one of will: kill enough soldiers to show the leaders in Hanoi that they could not win. This was a pillar of US strategy from the early 1960s, and it culminated in the ‘gradual escalation’ policy used both in troop increases as well as bombing North Vietnam. The Johnson administration hoped to ‘convince’ Hanoi that it could not succeed in the South, but from the beginning it was clear that this would not work. While Washington had been hoping Hanoi would back off, Westmorland believed such an approach was futile. In a report to Washington in October 1966, he wrote that the enemy ‘believes that his will and resolve are greater than ours. He expects that he will be the victor in a war of attrition in which our interest will eventually wane.’ 76 However, it would be another year before it was clear to everyone that Hanoi was never going to back down. McNamara said it best. ‘Nothing can be expected to break [the Communists’] will other than the conviction that they cannot succeed,’ he wrote to President Johnson just before his resignation in November 1967. ‘This conviction will not be created unless and until they come to the conclusion that the Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (28 of 57) US is prepared to remain in Vietnam for whatever period of time is necessary.’ It was ironic that one of the men most responsible for attrition strategy was now backing away from it.77 Page 164 So what was left? The two cornerstones of US strategy – applying military force sufficient to convince Hanoi to cease fighting, and destroying more enemy troops than he could replace – had failed, despite the American battlefield successes in 1965 and 1966. Pacification would have made little difference in these early years – even if the South Vietnamese had been willing to make it a priority – because the security situation in the countryside was still not stabilized. But the ultimate symbol of American strategic failure was still to come – the Tet Offensive. In January 1968, the Viet Cong (relatively few North Vietnamese units were involved) attacked almost every major city and town; and, though all were pushed back and as many as 50,000 enemy soldiers and guerrillas were killed, the offensive proved to be a political victory for the Communists. Despite more than two years of fighting by allied forces, they could not take and hold the initiative, and now the United States was running out of time. A different war? In July 1968 General Creighton Abrams, Westmoreland’s deputy, took command of MACV. Historian Lewis Sorley argued that Abrams ‘brought to the post a radically different understanding of the nature of the war and how it ought to be prosecuted’ and that he executed a ‘dramatic shift in concept of the nature and conduct’ of operations that ‘differed in almost all important respects’ from that of his predecessor.78 There is little evidence to support this. Sorley quotes former officers claiming that Abrams intended to use a new strategy, 79 but no record has emerged of any disagreements raised by Abrams as the deputy MACV commander over Westmoreland’s conduct of the war. In fact, General Phillip B. Davidson, the MACV intelligence chief between 1967 and 1969, wrote, ‘Abrams never spoke of any new strategy nor did he voice any dissatisfaction with large-unit search and destroy operations.’ 80 Westmoreland himself recalled no disagreements over strategy. ‘He Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (29 of 57) [Abrams] and I consulted about almost every tactical action,’ Westmoreland claimed. ‘I considered his views in great depth because I had admiration for him and I’d known him for many years. And I do not remember a single instance where our views and the courses of action we thought were proper differed in any way.’ 81 Page 165 In the end, it is a meaningless debate because both MACV commanders could only do so much. The ultimate advantages held by the Communists – off-limits base areas, a plentiful manpower pool in the North, and a relatively weak South Vietnamese government and military – were perhaps too formidable to overcome. But Abrams had one advantage. The post-Tet Offensive environment allowed him to do things that Westmoreland could not do. The enemy main forces that faced the Americans in 1969 were, for the most part, well away from the population, and the guerrilla cadres in the villages had been decimated during the Tet attacks. The war was now much more a ‘classic’ insurgency, though the enemy main forces were still very dangerous. As Robert Komer, the first chief of CORDS, observed, ‘It was the enemy’s losses, perhaps, as much as CORDS and Vietnamese government efforts which led to the striking pacification expansion between 1969 and 1972.’82 Although he was under no illusions about his new job, Abrams had plenty of optimism for the future. The Communists had lost upwards of 35,000 soldiers and guerrillas during the Tet Offensive, including a large percentage of their covert political underground cadre, the glue that held the insurgency together in the villages. The enemy’s weakness (however temporary) meant that allied operations could move forward with much less resistance than had been the case only eight months earlier. In October Abrams reported, ‘There’s more freedom of movement throughout Vietnam today than there’s been since the start of the US build up.’ He credited stepped-up allied operations as well as the weakened state of the enemy. ‘This situation presents an opportunity for further offensives operations.’83 Attrition remained a goal, and Abrams – like Westmoreland before him – intended to chase the enemy wherever he could. ‘[I]s there a practical way to cause significant attrition [to the enemy] while he’s in this condition?’ the MACV commander asked his subordinates on 4 July 1968. ‘Because ... the payoff is getting a hold of [the enemy] Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (30 of 57) and killing as many of them as you can.’ 84 His deputy, General Frederick W. Weyand, reflected this thinking. During a meeting a few weeks later he said, ‘I think the biggest thing we can do [now] is just to kill VC, and I mean these main units.’ 85 In order to do this, Abrams used most of his units in large operations aimed at denying the enemy access to the population – much as Westmoreland had done. In the fall of 1968, he moved the 1st Cavalry Division to the region west of Saigon, using the unit’s airmobility to run constant offensive operations along the border where it would ‘be in a good posture for pouncing on any new [enemy] units coming over from Cambodia.’ 86 In I Corps he used the 101st Airborne Division in the controversial A Shau Valley campaign in an attempt to prevent the North Vietnamese from moving men and materiel from the Laotian base areas and into the populated coastal regions. In the Central Highlands, the 4th Infantry Division continued its wideranging operations aimed at keeping the enemy back over the border. Indeed, many of Abrams’s operations could be called ‘search and destroy’ – such as the large-unit sweep in May 1969 that included the controversial battle on ‘Hamburger Hill’ in the A Shau Valley. As Westmoreland pointed out, ‘There was no alternative to ‘search and destroy’ type operations, except, of course, a different name for them.’ 87 These operations paid off, and throughout the summer and fall of 1968, the enemy remained on the ropes, giving General Abrams some breathing room. ‘The enemy has made a major decision to shift his emphasis from the military to the political,’ Abrams reported. ‘This decision was forced upon him by the enemy’s own recognition of his rapidly deteriorating military posture; and as a result, there Page 166 will be a decided change in his ground tactical activity and deployment.’ The enemy’s ‘reduced military capabilities’ gave the allies the perfect chance to ‘pull the rug’ from under Communist attempts to reassert control over the population. 88 In October 1968, Abrams outlined his operational concept up the chain of command. ‘Another point evident in the enemy’s operational pattern is his understanding that this is just one, repeat, one, war,’ he wrote to Admiral John S. McCain, the new Commander-in-Chief, Pacific. ‘He knows there’s no such thing as a war of big battalions, a war of pacification, or a war of territorial security, Friendly forces have Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (31 of 57) got to recognize and understand the one war concept and carry the battle to the enemy, simultaneously, in all areas of conflict. In the employment of forces, all elements are to be brought together in a single plan – all assets brought to bear against the enemy in every area, in accordance with the way the enemy does business.’ 89 This was really a change in name only. It is clear that Westmoreland had also wanted to accomplish all these things in concert but found it impossible to do so. Indeed, MACV’s goals for 1969 – submitted less than two weeks after the ‘one war’ pronouncement – remained broad and strikingly familiar. ‘All elements’ of allied forces were to be involved in a ‘campaign to destroy the VC infrastructure, guerrillas, local forces, main forces, and remaining NVA in-country,’ reported Abrams, goals that differed little from Westmoreland’s. Abrams also understood that it would remain a primary focus of US forces to ‘maintain an adequate posture against the NVA forces,’ both in South Vietnam and lurking in Cambodia.90 Once again, US forces would be required to deal with enemy main forces, which really meant that whenever they showed up, pacification would become secondary. ‘One war’ did nothing to change the battlefield calculus. 91 Communist retrenchment Clearly the Tet Offensive was a military setback for the Communists. By mid 1968, ‘our offensive posture began to weaken and our... armed forces suffered attrition,’ admitted the official PAVN history. ‘[M]ost of our main force troops were forced back to the border or to bases in the mountains.’ Many of those still in South Vietnam ‘were forced to disperse down to the company and platoon level, and some regiments were even forced to disperse down to the squad level.’92 In April the North Vietnamese issued COSVN Directive 55, part of which stressed the need to alter the old strategy. One passage read: ‘Never again, and under no circumstances are we going to risk our entire military force for just an offensive. On the contrary, we should endeavor to preserve our military potential for future campaigns.’ 93 Three months later, the Communists published a document that would define the shape of the war for the next few years. Called Resolution 9, it lauded the ‘victories’ Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (32 of 57) of the Tet Offensive, observing, ‘We gained very great successes under extremely difficult, harsh, and complicated conditions [that] forced the enemy to go from a policy of escalation to one of gradual de-escalation and to sink deeper into a defensive and deadlocked position.’ Page 167 However, heavy losses among the Communist forces (not admitted to in the resolution) and the allied strategy of ‘vigorously push[ing] forward the rural pacification program’ made it necessary to alter course. Resolution 9 ordered, ‘We must urgently step up guerrilla warfare, forcing the enemy to stretch thin his forces .... We must firmly grasp and more properly apply the combat method which combines small-scale attacks’ with the larger-scale attacks emphasized in previous years. Particular emphasis would be placed on rebuilding the political infrastructure lost during the Tet Offensive.94 It was clear, however, that the guerrilla war phase was meant to be temporary. In December 1969, General Giap wrote ‘Only through regular war in which the main force troops fight in a concentrated manner’ could the Communists ‘create conditions for great strides in the war.’95 Accelerated pacification In November 1968, the allies launched the Accelerated Pacification Campaign (APC), a three-month blitz to regain control of many of the villages lost during Tet. Such a plan, had it been tried in 1966, would have been impossible in the face of enemy main forces; but Abrams concluded that by late 1968 that the Communists were weak enough that allied forces needed to use only a small percentage of their forces as a screen against large enemy attacks, using the rest to support pacification. ‘The order of the day is to intensify your offensive against the infrastructure, guerrillas and local force units, while maintaining unrelenting pressure on the VC/NVA main force units,’ Abrams told his subordinate commanders. 96 Unquestionably, the degree of American attention to pacification rose considerably during the APC. Before the campaign, concluded one Defense Department study, the US military supported pacification with a mere 0.5% of its operations. By the end of January 1969, fully half of all US ground operations were pacification related. 97 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (33 of 57) When the APC concluded at the end of January 1969 the allies had achieved their stated goal of moving at least 1,000 ‘contested’ hamlets to the ‘relatively secure’ category (on the official statistical scale, called the Hamlet Evaluation System, or HES). Out of 1,317 targeted hamlets, 195 of them – less than 15% – remained on the ‘contested’ list at the end of the APC. Overall, Communist control throughout South Vietnam dropped from 17% to 12%. About half of the upgraded hamlets were in the Mekong Delta, South Vietnam’s most populous region. 98 Communist sources back up MACV’s optimistic reports. One North Vietnamese official candidly acknowledged that, in their weakened state, the Communists were unable to halt the gains made by the government’s ‘very fierce and sweeping pacification operations.’99 By the spring of 1969, according to the official PAVN history, the population living within ‘liberated areas’ of III Corps (the region in central South Vietnam that included the capital, Saigon) had shrunk to 840,000, a net loss of 460,000 people that the South Vietnamese government had ‘gained control over.’ In southern III Corps south of Saigon and in the Mekong Delta region, in the southernmost part of the country, allied military operations and pacification ‘gained control over an additional one million people’ and resulted in a sharp decrease in local recruitment of guerrillas.100 Page 168 In order to compensate for their losing situation, the Communists struck back with a greater emphasis on terrorism. The number of people assassinated in hamlets targeted by the APC rose by 86% over incidents in October and November 1968.101 However, American officials remained skeptical of pacification’s ultimate success. Analysis from virtually all US government departments concluded that the pacification campaign’s gains were ‘inflated and fragile’ and speculated that it would not take much for the enemy to erase government progress. 102 According to historian Richard Hunt, there was concern that the pacification campaign’s success was ‘based on unique circumstances: heavy dependence on US Army operations to keep the enemy at bay and the absence of a strong challenge from the enemy.’103 MACV was saying much the same thing, concluding that pacification progress was tenuous and that the South Vietnamese were not capable of making additional gains Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (34 of 57) on their own. In response to a wide-ranging query from the White House on the situation in Vietnam, General Abrams had responded that, despite improvements in the South Vietnamese Army, continued US support ‘would be required indefinitely to maintain an effective force’ because it was ‘not capable of attaining the level of selfsufficiency and overwhelming force superiority that would be required to counter combined Viet Cong insurgency and North Vietnamese main force offensives.’ 104 This did not mean that pacification was pointless, only that it was likely to be fleeting. For the moment, though, government gains in the countryside continued to come. After 1968 security within South Vietnam grew steadily. By late 1971, more than 11,000 hamlets were considered under government control – or 96% of the South Vietnamese population.105 Pacification operations also had an effect on the Communist guerrillas. According to a MACV intelligence study, Viet Cong local force strength fell from 80,000 guerrillas in December 1967 to about 43,800 in January 1970. During the same time frame enemy local force militia numbers dropped from 37,700 to 20,300. The Viet Cong were caught in a deadly cycle: years of hard fighting followed by heavy casualties during the Tet Offensive had eroded their strength, allowing the allies to regain security in large parts of the countryside. This pacification success in turn cut off the Communists’ main source of recruits needed to recoup their losses, ensuring that their total numbers would continue to decline. Ironically, this success was the essence of attrition, something which both the new administration and the American public was fed up with. As a RAND Corporation study noted, ‘Attrition is pushing pacification, not vice-versa.’106 But in the end Abrams – like Westmoreland – could not prevent the enemy main forces from returning, and no amount of pacification could change that. Page 169 A Communist history said it best. ‘[N]o matter what efforts they [the allies] made, they could not reverse their strategically passive posture or overcome their basic political weaknesses and morale problems, but in the short term at least they were able to achieve concrete successes.’ 107 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (35 of 57) Washington’s war A new president, Richard M. Nixon, entered the White House in January 1969, bringing with him new priorities, in particular a promise to extricate the nation from Vietnam ‘with honour.’ Negotiations with Hanoi were ongoing – if not productive – and the new administration quickly established a priority on training the South Vietnamese Army to stand alone while preparing to withdraw US troops. By the spring of 1969, it was clear that General Abrams would have a much narrower mission than did Westmoreland before him. Withdrawal of American troops was at centre stage, while Vietnamization and negotiations with the Communists formed the twin backdrops. In addition, Abrams was ordered by his superiors ‘to conduct the war with a minimum of American casualties.’ 108 As National Security Adviser Henry Kissinger pointed out, Abrams was ‘doomed to a rearguard action,’ and ‘the purpose of his command would increasingly become logistic redeployment and not success in battle.’ The MACV commander ‘could not possibly achieve the victory that had eluded us at full strength while the [US] forces were constantly dwindling.’ 109 Good soldier that he was, Abrams accepted the role, though he naturally had misgivings. Told in April by the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, General Wheeler, that the White House was determined to push for early withdrawal of US combat units, Abrams tactfully responded that while he understood ‘the pressure for U.S. troop reductions and Vietnamizing the war, my impression was that it would be reasonably deliberate so that U.S. objectives here would have a reasonable chance of attainment.’ 110 However, Abrams was warned by his superiors that, while MACV would continue to ‘call the shots,’ he should realize that Washington might overrule any decisions made in Saigon.1 11 American troops were steadily withdrawn from Vietnam, beginning in July 1969 with the 3rd Marine Division in northern South Vietnam and two brigades of the US Army 9th Infantry Division in the Mekong Delta. Further redeployments followed quickly, and by mid 1971 more than 138,000 US Army soldiers had departed Vietnam. 112 As Abrams adapted to the realities of fighting a war with diminishing manpower, he altered his tactics. This has been interpreted by some historians as a sea change in Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (36 of 57) the war. ‘Tactically, the large-scale operations that typified earlier years now gave way to numerous smaller operations,’ wrote Lewis Sorley. ‘[I]nstead of a smaller number of operations by large, and therefore somewhat unwieldy, units, current operations featured fuller coverage by widely deployed and more agile smaller units.’ Sorley argued that this allowed the Americans to find the enemy and then bring in ‘larger and more powerful forces ... at the critical point.’ Behind this American forward deployment, the South Vietnamese were ‘positioned to block access to the population, [forcing the enemy] to either fight on unfavourable ground or allow pacification to proceed unimpeded.’ Simultaneously, according to Sorley, Abrams ‘discovered’ that the enemy relied on a logistical ‘nose’ for its offensives, pushing supplies from the cross-border base areas into South Vietnam to support North Vietnamese units.113 Page 170 In reality, US operations differed little between Westmoreland and Abrams. As a long list of after-action reports makes clear, under both commanders the basic operating unit was the battalion, which was split into companies and platoons to patrol and search, coming together when contact with the enemy was made. Both commanders targeted enemy base areas inside South Vietnam in an attempt to disrupt their forward deployment of supplies (some of the largest operations during 1966 and 1967 were aimed at these logistical supply areas), and both commanders relied on the South Vietnamese to provide security for the population while US troops were searching for the enemy and screening against infiltration. Sorley’s contention that Abrams emphasized small unit operations implies that Westmoreland did not. This is untrue. During the last quarter of 1965, the 1 st Infantry Division, which operated north and west of Saigon in one of the most dangerous main force environments in the country, conducted 2,919 operations with units smaller than a battalion and only 59 with larger forces.114 Most other units recorded similar statistics. One study showed that between 1966 and 1968 there were ‘nearly 2 million Allied small unit operations’ nationwide. Obviously, they made up the largest proportion of the total number of troop sweeps and other military missions. Yet the preponderance of small patrols made no significant difference in the enemy’s overall ability to operate freely. Concluded the study: ‘Three-fourths of Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (37 of 57) the battles are at the enemy’s choice of time, place, and duration.’115 That was true for Abrams as well as Westmoreland. In the final analysis, the biggest difference Abrams faced was Vietnamization. Under the Nixon administration, the war was to be turned over to the South Vietnamese – to win or lose on their own. However, it was difficult to see how Saigon could maintain a steady emphasis on pacification and take on the mission of fighting Communist main forces. This was the same problem that had confronted the United States in 1964 on the eve of its entrance into the ground war, and it remained largely unresolved fours years later. An official US Army history concluded, ‘When the United States finally relinquished the conduct of the war to South Vietnam, the South Vietnamese armed forces would find themselves so preoccupied with providing security for the people that they would find it almost impossible to carry on the fight against the enemy’s conventional forces, a task thus far borne by Americans.’ 116 Page 171 Main force resurgence As the United States was withdrawing from Vietnam, the North Vietnamese were rebuilding. In keeping with the long-standing tradition of emphasizing a modern military, the Communists again took great strides to bring their main forces back to combat readiness. Despite US and South Vietnamese successes while the Communists were on the ropes, the continued existence of base areas in the rugged mountains and jungles of western South Vietnam, as well as in Laos and Cambodia, allowed them to rest and rebuild. ‘Our main force units in the base areas firmly held their positions and consolidated their forces,’ continued the Communist history. ‘By the beginning of 1970, although we still faced many difficulties, our army was able to maintain our main forces on the battlefield. This was a very important victory.’ 117 In January 1970, the Party Central Committee held its 18th Plenum in Hanoi and called for a ‘new’ phase of the conflict and that again ‘stressed the role of our main force troops.’ 118 The Communist leadership concluded that a pure guerrilla strategy would be no more successful now than it had been earlier in the war. Historian William Duiker observed that ‘in an implicit recognition that the Americans could not Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (38 of 57) be defeated unless the revolutionary forces could achieve military parity on the battlefield, influential military planners called for a heightened effort to modernize the PAVN.’ The way forward would be ‘long and complicated,’ but Communist planners predicted a decisive period arriving in late 1970 or early 1971.119 The military leadership met in February 1970 to discuss the plans. Four infantry divisions were to be increased in ‘combat power and mobility,’ while two others that were in use as reinforcement and training were to be ‘converted’ into full-fledged combat units. In addition, PAVN’s Artillery Branch ‘formed a number of new field artillery units’ that were to be assigned to infantry divisions – just as modern Western armies would do. Their armament included 122 mm and 130 mm guns, among the most powerful artillery pieces in the Communist arsenal and on a par with US equipment. Armor, which had seen almost no use in the war up to this point, was also upgraded. PAVN had two armoured regiments – both with Soviet-made T-34 and T-54 tanks – and the North Vietnamese command sent them to Laos, where they would be close to the battlefield. 120 PAVN grew steadily, and by the end of 1971 had an overall strength of 433,000 men – up from about 390,000 in 1968. Forty-six percent of these troops were ‘technical specialty branch troops’ (such as communications, sapper, artillery, and armour), up from 30% in 1965. This was a much more sophisticated and well-trained fighting organization than that faced by General Westmoreland. As always, the Communists could remain just outside South Vietnam in order to rebuild and bide their time. But President Nixon was a much different war leader than his predecessor, and in 1970 he agreed to allow US troops to invade the enemy base areas in Cambodia – something for which both Westmoreland and Abrams had argued. In late April 1970, MACV received permission to launch a limited incursion into Cambodia, which resulted in the razing of North Vietnamese base areas. Although the Communists had a chance to move much of their most sophisticated weapons before that attack, the loss of supply lines through Cambodia was a blow to their war effort. 121 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (39 of 57) Page 172 A less successful incursion followed in early 1971, this time into Laos. The idea came from President Nixon, who ordered MACV to plan for an invasion of the base areas across the border, just southwest of the Demilitarized Zone in northernmost South Vietnam. Abrams liked the idea, but there were several problems to be overcome, including a new law – the Cooper-Church Amendment, passed by Congress following the Cambodian incursion, which prohibited American troops from entering either Cambodia or Laos. Abrams planned to use US helicopters to lift the South Vietnamese into Laos, but the advisers would have to remain behind. The invasion, launched in February 1971, succeeded in striking deep into the base areas but was ultimately driven out by North Vietnamese forces. Although the South Vietnamese failure was not complete (they did reach their objective deep in Laos before turning back), images of soldiers clinging to the skids of American helicopters gave the US public an impression of defeat.122 President Nixon publicly said the operation proved that ‘Vietnamization has succeeded,’ but in private he was angry. The White House sent its military adviser, Brigadier General Alexander M. Haig, to Saigon to find out what had happened. Haig concluded that ‘it is obvious this is not a defeat’ for the South Vietnamese, but he also believed that Abrams had been ‘slow in reporting, in taking the initiative to correct the situation.’ 123 In reality, Vietnamization was not seriously tested by either the Cambodian or Laotian operations. In both cases, heavy US support bolstered the South Vietnamese, making up for weaknesses in planning and execution. But in the spring of 1972, when US advisory strength had sunk to about 1,000 (down from a high of 9,400 in 1968), Hanoi launched its biggest offensive of the war, a conventional combined arms assault against several targets throughout South Vietnam. More than nine divisions of infantry and armour thrust at major South Vietnamese cities from the Demilitarized Zone southward to Saigon. Although they captured only one provincial capital, they succeeded in rendering several South Vietnamese units combat ineffective – including the entire 3rd Infantry Division. 124 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (40 of 57) This was a purely conventional assault. North Vietnam made no attempt to provoke a ‘popular uprising’ of the sort the Communists hoped for during Tet 1968. According to a State Department assessment, ‘One of Hanoi’s objectives was to force the GVN to deploy all of its combat resources to meet the major main force thrusts.’ This, the study continued, would permit the guerrillas to ‘return to former strongholds in the South Vietnamese countryside.’ Although damaging the pacification program was not Hanoi’s main objective, this main force thrust managed to turn back many of the gains made during years of pacification efforts. 125 During the months preceding the offensive, statistics showed that only 3.7% of the population lived under Communist control, but by the end of July the number had risen to 9.7%. More than 25,000 civilians died in the fighting and almost a million became refugees. These figures paled in comparison to those of the 1968 Tet Offensive, but that was because in 1972 the North Vietnamese were less concerned with taking over villages, concentrating instead on destroying South Vietnamese military units.126 Page 173 Abrams marginalized Despite General Abrams’s desire to break the war down into small units fighting to maintain population security, the reality was that he presided over three of the biggest conventional operations of the war. While the Cambodian incursion was successful, the invasion of Laos was not, and the defence against the 1972 Communist offensive, though a military defeat for the North Vietnamese, highlighted continuing deficiencies in the South Vietnamese military. As the Americans were leaving, the South Vietnamese were only partly rising to the task of their own defence, calling into question Vietnamization’s success. President Nixon blamed Abrams for much of the problem, and his displeasure stemmed from the 1971 operation into Laos. On 23 March, presidential adviser H.R. Haldeman recorded in his diary that Nixon and his national security adviser, Henry Kissinger, ‘feel that they were misled by Abrams’ as to what the incursion could actually accomplish, and once it became clear that it was ‘basically a disaster,’ they wanted to ‘pull Abrams out.’ He remained only because it was considered more trouble than it was worth to change commanders in midstream. 127 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (41 of 57) Nixon never again trusted the MACV commander. He called Abrams ‘incompetent’ and continued to think about relieving him. Historian Stephen Randolph’s research into newly declassified records shows that from 1971 on, Nixon’s ‘mistrust and disrespect’ for the MACV commander ran deep, and it would ‘remain a constant theme until General Abrams’s change of command’ in 1972. Kissinger believed, ‘Abrams doesn’t understand, he’s proven totally insensitive to the political environment.... Abrams has done nothing – he’s not taken care of the South Vietnamese.’ But by this late date, firing the MACV commander and appointing a new one would have only confused things. When the North Vietnamese launched their 1972 offensive, the president told Joint Chiefs of Staff chairman Admiral Thomas Moorer to keep a tight rein on Abrams, because ‘he’s not gonna screw this one up.’ 128 He told the 7th Air Force commander, General John W. Vogt, ‘to bypass Abrams’ in the bombing campaign that stepped up during the offensive. 129 Nixon’s displeasure should not be seen as a negation of Abrams’s accomplishments in Vietnam, but it does highlight just how different the situation had become. General Abrams left Vietnam in June 1972, following his old boss General Westmoreland into the job of Army Chief of Staff. Both commanders had faced very different challenges and circumstances, but both had failed in the end. Page 174 The legacy The debate over US strategy in Vietnam, in particular the notion that there was a right way to fight and a wrong way, obscures the fact that throughout the struggle the United States was really only reacting to Hanoi’s strategy. Today, the debate has often become ideological, skewing the facts and ignoring the realities. War is a twosided affair, and to argue that Vietnam was America’s to win or lose makes no sense. After the American Civil War, a gathering of former Confederate officers argued about the cause of their defeat, blaming everything from the performance of General Robert E. Lee and other officers to the fecklessness of the political leadership. When asked his opinion, General George Picket answered, ‘Gentlemen, I have always thought that the Yankees had something to do with it.’ 130 Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (42 of 57) In Vietnam, the North Vietnamese ‘had something to do with it.’ America’s failure was partly a consequence of policy decisions – in particular allowing the enemy to maintain huge base areas in Laos and Cambodia (not to mention North Vietnam itself) – and South Vietnam’s ultimate flaws, but the rest stemmed from the Communists’ flexibility and their ability to hold the military and political initiative throughout most of the war. The strategy conducted by the North Vietnamese was arguably like no other in history. It was the epitome of insurgencies: a combination of large main force units, a well-entrenched guerrilla movement with deep roots in the South Vietnamese countryside, and the support of two powerful sponsors – China and the Soviet Union. All of this, combined with the ability to attack South Vietnam over and over again, with no threat of a serious retaliation, was an unprecedented advantage. To simply argue that the US military ignored pacification does not begin to address the problem of countering such a threat. Both Westmoreland and Abrams found themselves in a quandary: unless a significant part of their forces sought out the enemy main forces, there could be no security in South Vietnam. Therefore, the key to either general’s plan had to be the ability to keep the main forces away from the population – whether the operational method was called ‘search and destroy’ or ‘one war’ made little difference. What did matter, however, was the ability to stop the North Vietnamese from bolstering the insurgency with manpower and supplies – the single greatest danger facing the allies. Judged by that standard, both generals failed. Despite the progress made by pacification in the years 1967 through 1972, it could not have made a significant difference in the end. As historian Hennessy wrote, ‘The numerous calls made during the war to end search and destroy reveal a failure on the part of the critics to comprehend the tremendous operational flexibility afforded the local Viet Cong by the presence of their large-scale regimental and divisional-fighting units. These large units had to be denied free maneuver and the ability to mass prior to attacking targets they selected.’ 131 Indeed, both MACV commanders were caught on the horns of the same dilemma. While Westmoreland concentrated on the main forces and failed to prevent a guerrilla offensive in 1968, Abrams placed great emphasis on pacification and failed Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (43 of 57) to prevent a conventional buildup in 1972. In the end neither commander had the resources or the opportunity to handle both threats simultaneously. Page 175 Counterinsurgency is not only about good planning, it is also about numbers. Without sufficient forces to dominate the operational area on a constant basis, there is simply no way to disrupt the guerrillas and at the same time foster pacification programs. This is as true today as it was then. As the Vietnam War fades further into history, it continues to influence the Army, and there can be no doubt that it will continue to have a lasting effect. General David H. Petraeus, the current commander of the Multi-National Force, Iraq, wrote in his doctoral dissertation, ‘The American Military and the Lessons of Vietnam,’ that the war ‘cost the military dearly. It left America’s military leaders confounded, dismayed, and discouraged.’ Perhaps even more importantly, Petraeus concluded, ‘Vietnam planted in the minds of many in the military doubts about the ability of US forces to conduct successful large-scale counterinsurgencies.’ 132 But that is exactly what the United States again finds itself fighting, and the comparison with Vietnam is inevitable. Unfortunately, the decades-old debate over that war has only muddied the historical waters at time when clarity is very much needed. No matter how the war in Iraq ends, it seems likely that it will soon replace Vietnam as the military’s new touchstone for lessons learned. Taking the wrong lessons from Vietnam – indeed failing even to correctly recall what really happened there – will surely colour how and what we learn from Iraq. Notes 1. Gen. Schoomaker’s foreword in Nagl, Learning to Eat Soup with a Knife, ix. 2. Boot, ‘The Lessons of a Quagmire.’ 3. Hess, ‘The Unending Debate: Historians and the Vietnam War.’ 4. Summers, On Strategy, 76. 5. Krepinevich, The Army and Vietnam, 259. 6. Ibid., 268. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 7. Hennessy, Strategy in Vietnam, 186–87. 8. Sorley, A Better War, 8, 18. 9. Sorley, Vietnam Chronicles, xix. (44 of 57) 10. Jaffe, ‘As Iraq War Rages, Army Re-Examines Lessons of Vietnam.’ 11. Le Duan, Letters to the South, introduction, xv. It is worth reiterating that all guerrillas prefer to fight a ‘conventional’ war, and they will if they can – or if they are allowed to do so. 12. Thayer, ‘How to Analyze a War Without Fronts: Vietnam, 1965–72,’ 789. 13. MACV Weekly Intelligence meeting, 17 February 1970, Sorley, Vietnam Chronicles, 376. 14. Carland, US Army in Vietnam, Combat Operations, Stemming the Tide, 357. 15. Cosmas, US Army in Vietnam, MACV, 489–90. 16. Cassidy, ‘Back to the Street Without Joy,’ 75, 78. 17. Viet Minh Armed Forces Order of Battle and High Command, 6 Feb 51, ID File #643165, Army Intelligence Document File, ACOS G-2, box 4132, Entry 85, RG 319, NARA. 18. Victory in Vietnam, 5, 8–14, 431. 19. Qiang Zhai, China and the Vietnam Wars, 136. 20. See Toczek, The Battle of Ap Bac. Page 176 21. Victory in Vietnam, 124. 22. Col. Gen. Tran Van Quang (Chief Drafter), Editorial Direction, Sen. Gen. Doan Khue, Sen. Gen. Van Tien Dung, Col. Gen. Tran Van Quang, Review of the Resistance War Against the Americans, 52. This report was published under the auspices of the ‘Guidance Committee for Reviewing the War, Directly Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (45 of 57) Subordinate to the Politburo’ [Ban Chi Dao Tong Kiet Chien Tranh Truc Thuoc Bo Chinh Tri ] and is labeled ‘Internal Distribution Only’ [Luu Hanh Noi Bo]. 23. Lt. Gen. Pham Hong Son, The Vietnamese National Art of Fighting to Defend the Nation, 69. 24. Tran The Long et al., The Victory Division, 28. See also the memoirs of the 312th Division’s commander, Col. Gen. Hoang Cam, The Ten Thousand Day Journey, 73–74; Long, The Victory Division, 27–28. Also see Pham Gia Duc, 325th Division, Volume II, 40. 25. Victory in Vietnam, 137. 26. Military Region 8, 515–516. 27. Victory in Vietnam, 137. 28. Ibid., 137–38. 29. Lt. Gen. Le Van Tuong, ‘The Keen Strategic Vision... of General Nguyen Chi Thanh,’ 148. 30. Victory in Vietnam, 141. 31. Ibid., 141, 143. 32. Army Build-Up Progress Rpt., 21 Dec 1965, 13, Center of Military History (hereafter referred to as CMH). 33. Duiker, The Communist Road to Power in Vietnam, 260. 34. Victory in Vietnam, 144. 35. Pham Hong Son, The Vietnamese National Art of Fighting to Defend the Nation, 75. 36. Westmoreland, A Soldier Reports, 149. 37. Ibid., 175. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (46 of 57) 38. Telegram, Commander, MACV to JCS, 6 March 1965, Foreign Relations of the United States: Vietnam, January-June 1965 (Washington, D.C.: US Government Printing Office, 1996), 400–01. Hereafter referred to as FRUS. 39. Telegram, Commander, MACV to JCS, 7 June 1965, FRUS, Vietnam January– June 1965, 733. 40. Westmoreland Cable COMUSMACV 20055, 14 June 65, sub: Concept of Operations – Force Requirements and Deployments, South Vietnam, 6, Historians files, CMH. 41. Telegram, Commander, MACV to JCS, 7 June 1965, FRUS, Vietnam January– June 1965, 734. 42. Telegram, Commander, MACV to Chairman, JCS, 30 June 1965, FRUS, June– December 1965, 76. 43. Msg, COMUSMACV to CINCPAC, 21 June 65, sub: Concept of Operations – Force Requirements and Deployments, South Vietnam, 1–3. 44. Memo of Conversation, 16 July 1965, sub: Meeting with GVN, FRUS, June– December 1965, 159. 45. Hay, Tactical and Material Innovations, 142 (first quote); Kutler, Encyclopedia of the Vietnam War, 191 (second and third quotes). 46. Lewis Sorley, ‘To Change a War,’ 102. 47. Msg, COMUSMACV to CINCPAC, May 27 1966, sub: PROVN Study, 1, Historians files, CMH. 48. ‘A Program for the Pacification and Long-Term Development of South Vietnam (Short Title: PROVN),’ 20 May 1966, vol. 1, 3, Historians files, CMH. Hereafter referred to as PROVN Study. Page 177 49. PROVN Study, vol. 1, 5 (first and second quotes), 112 (third quote). 50. The Pentagon Papers, vol. 2, 577–78. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (47 of 57) 51. For example, see Donovan, ‘Combined Action Program.’ 52. Birtle, U.S. Counterinsurgency and Contingency Operations Doctrine, 1942– 1976, 399–400. 53. Hennessy, Strategy in Vietnam, 181. 54. Hunt, Pacification, 108; Cosmas and Murray, U.S. Marines in Vietnam, 146. 55. See Hunt, Pacification, 29–30. 56. MACV Directive 525–4, 17 September 1965, sub: Tactics and Techniques for Employment of US Forces in the Republic of Vietnam, 1–2, Historians files, CMH. 57. Msg, Westmoreland to Brig. Gen. James L. Collins, 7 Jan 66, Westmoreland Papers, CMH. 58. MACV Directive 525–4,17 Sep 1965, sub: Tactics and techniques for employment of US Forces in the Republic of Vietnam 3 (first quote), 8, 13 (second quote). 59. Msg, COMUSMACV to CINCPAC, 26 Aug 66, sub: Concept of Military Operations in SVN, Historians files, CMH. 60. Hunt, Pacification, 61–62. 61. For example, see Memo for the Record, Lt. Gen. William B. Rosson, 25 November 1966, sub: Commander in Chief Meeting, Westmoreland Papers, CMH. 62. Westmoreland Historical Briefing, 17 October 1966, quoted in Scoville, Reorganizing for Pacification Support, 38. 63. For background on CORDS, see Andrade and Willbanks, ‘CORDS/Phoenix.’ 64. McGarvey, Visions of Victory, 5. 65. Kennedy, ‘Hanoi’s Leaders and Their South Vietnamese Policies, 1954–1968,’ 273. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (48 of 57) 66. Su Doan 9, 96. 67. Tran Tinh, Collected Party Documents, vol. 28, 490. 68. Thayer, ‘How to Analyze a War Without Fronts,’ Table 5.3, 801. 69. Sharp and Westmoreland, Report on the War in Vietnam, 292. 70. Victory in Vietnam, 444. 71. Quoted in Lewy, America in Vietnam, 73. 72. Thompson, No Exit From Vietnam, 60. 73. CIA-DIA rpt, 30 Mar 68, sub: The Attrition of Vietnamese Communist Forces, 1968 –69, quoted in Duiker, The Communist Road to Power in Vietnam, chapter 11, note no. 6, 411. 74. Thayer, ‘How to Analyze a War Without Fronts,’ 835. 75. Pentagon Papers, vol. 4, 370. 76. Memo for the Record, Westmoreland, 23 October 1966, sub: Assessment of the Situation in South Vietnam, October 1966, 3, Historians files, CMH. 77. Quoted in Berman, Lyndon Johnson’s War, 94. 78. Sorley, ‘The Conduct of the War,’ first two quotes 180, third quote, 174. 79. For example, see Sorley’s quotation from General Bruce Palmer that although Abrams might ‘privately agree’ that Westmoreland’s strategy was wrong, ‘I’ve got to be loyal to him.’ Ibid., 178. 80. Davidson, Vietnam at War: The History, 1945–1975, 571. 81. William C. Westmoreland Interview, 4 Apr 1983, 7, 19, US Marine Corps Oral History Collection. Also see Smith, U.S. Marines in Vietnam, footnote 10. 82. Komer, ‘Commentary,’ 163. 83. Msg, Abrams MAC 13840 to McCain, 13 Oct 68, Abrams Papers, CMH. 84. Weekly Intelligence meeting, 4 July 1968, Sorley, Vietnam Chronicles, 12. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (49 of 57) 85. Weekly Intelligence meeting, 20 July 1968, Sorley, Vietnam Chronicles, 21. 86. Msg, Abrams MAC 14472 to McCain, 28 Oct 1968, Abrams Papers, CMH. Page 178 87. Westmorland, ‘A Military War of Attribution,’ 65. 88. Msg, COMUSMACV to Cmdrs I FFV, II FFV, XXIV Corps, IV Corps, 24 Nov 68, Historians files, CMH. 89. Msg, Abrams MAC 13840 to McCain, 13 Oct 1968, subj: Operational Guidance, Abrams Papers, CMH. 90. Msg, Abrams MAC 14329 to Wheeler, 24 Oct 68, Abrams Papers, CMH. 91. An official MACV history of the ‘One War’ concept read more like a publicity broadside than a historical narrative. ‘Through his strategic planning General Abrams developed the theme for the “one war” symphony, orchestrating it to blend combat operations with pacification in a new harmony,’ it gushed. ‘To thwart the offensive, he instructed his commanders to accommodate the enemy as he sought to do battle, to anticipate enemy moves, and to destroy him before he reached vital objectives. Through an aggressive free-world effort the Allies would be afforded an excellent opportunity to strike a crushing blow....’ See ‘One War,’ MACV Command Overview, 1968–1972, undated (circa May/June 1972), 14–15, 32, Historians files, CMH. 92. Victory in Vietnam, 249–50 (first quote), 237 (second quote). 93. COSVN Resolution 55, quoted in Hoang Ngoc Lung, The General Offensives of 1968–69,18. 94. COSVN Resolution 9, July 1969, 17, 29, 31, Historians files, CMH. 95. Duiker, The Communist Road to Power in Vietnam, 306. 96. Msg, Abrams MAC 14143 to subordinate commanders, 20 Oct 1968, sub: Operational Guidance-Adjusting to Enemy Current Operations, Abrams Papers, CMH. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (50 of 57) 97. ‘Southeast Asia Analysis Report,’ Feb 1969, 40, CMH. 98. Rpt, Accelerated Pacification Campaign, 1 Oct 1968–31 Jan 1969, sub: A Statistical Study of APC Results as Reported in the Hamlet Evaluation System, 31 Mar 1969, CMH. 99. Tran Van Tra, History of the Bulwark B-2 Theater, vol 5, Concluding the 30Years War, Foreign Broadcast Information Service translation, JPRS 82783, 2 Feb 1983, 37. 100. Victory in Vietnam, 246–47. 101. See Office of the Asst Sec of Def (Comptroller) ‘Southeast Asia Statistical Summary,’ table 2, 11 Apr 1973. 102. Summary of Interagency Responses to NSSM 1, 22 Mar 1969, FRUS, Vietnam, January 1969-July 1970, 13 1. See also Ahern, CIA and Rural Pacification in South Vietnam, 336. 103. Hunt, Pacification, 202–203. 104. Quoted in Clarke, The U.S. Army in Vietnam, Advice and Support, 345. 105. Out of a total South Vietnamese population of 17.9 million, 11.3 million lived ‘under GVN control.’ The Communists had outright control of 3.6% of the population. Brig. Gen. Tran Dinh Tho, Pacification (Washington, D.C.: US Army Center of Military History, 1984), 165. 106. See Graham A. Cosmas, ‘MACV History, 1968–1972,’ draft chap. 20, 31, quoted words 33–34, Historians files, CMH. 107. The Resistance War in Eastern Cochin China (1945–1975), Vol 2, 395. 108. Msg, JCS 3957 to CINCPAC and COMUSMACV, 3 Jul 1969, MACV J-3 Force Planning Synopsis for Gen. Abrams, vol. 2, Historians files, CMH. 109. Kissinger, White House Years, 272–73. 110. Msg, Abrams MAC 4967 to Wheeler, 19 Apr 1969, Abrams Papers, CMH. 111. Msg, Wheeler JCS 5988 to Abrams, 16 May 1969, Abrams Papers, CMH. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (51 of 57) Page 179 112. Army Activities Rpt, 8 Nov 1972, 3. US Army strength reached a high of 365,600 (total military: 542,400) men in April 1969; two years later it stood at 227,600 (total military: 301,900). 113. Sorley, ‘The Conduct of the War,’ 183–84. 114. Quarterly Command Rpt, 1st Inf Div, 31 Dec 1965, Historians files, CMH. 115. ‘A Comparison of Allied and VC/NVA Offensive Manpower in South Vietnam,’ Southeast Asia Analysis Rpt, Oct 1968, 33–38. 116. Hammond, Public Affairs: The Military and the Media, 1968–1973, 348. 117. Victory in Vietnam, 251–52. 118. Ibid., 253. 119. Duiker, The Communist Road to Power in Vietnam, 307. 120. Victory in Vietnam, 265–66. 121. For an account of the Cambodian incursion, see Shaw, The Cambodian Campaign; Andrade, Breakthrough Cambodia. 122. For an account of the Lam Son 719 see Davidson, Vietnam at War, 637–73. 123. Handwritten memo, Haig to Kissinger, undated, sub: Lam Son 719, Haig files, National Archives. 124. For a complete account of the offensive see Andrade, America’s Last Vietnam Battle. 125. US State Dept. Research Study, 17 Jul 1972, sub: Vietnam: The July Balance Sheet on Hanoi’s Offensive, 4, Historians files, CMH. 126. MACCORDS Study, 16 Sep 1972, sub: Impact of Enemy Offensive on Pacification, 2. 127. Haldeman, The Haldeman Diaries, 259. Dale Andrade, Westmoreland was right, p145-181 (52 of 57) 128. Randolph, ‘A Bigger Game: Nixon, Kissinger, and the 1972 Easter Offensive,’ 184 (first quote), 351–52 (second quote), 183 (third quote). 129. Haldeman, The Haldeman Diaries, 436. 130. Quoted in Gilbert, Why the North Won the Vietnam War, 1. 131. Hennessy, Strategy in Vietnam, 182. 132. Quoted in ‘Petraeus on Vietnam’s Legacy,’ Washington Post, 14 Jan 2007. Bibliography Ahern, Thomas L. CIA and Rural Pacification in South Vietnam. 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