OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW Weight Loss Achieved with Medication Can Delay Onset of Type 2 Diabetes in At-Risk Individuals Garvey WT, Ryan DH, Henry R, et al. Prevention of type 2 diabetes in subjects with prediabetes and metabolic syndrome treated with phentermine and topiramate extended release. Diabetes Care 2014;37:912–21. Study Overview Objective. To determine the effect of phentermine and topiramate extended release (PHEN/TPM ER) treatment on progression to type 2 diabetes and/or cardiometabolic disease in subjects with prediabetes and/or metabolic syndrome (MetS) at baseline. Design. Sub-group analysis of a larger double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of PHEN/TPM ER in overweight and obese adults. Setting and participants. The larger study had 2 phases —a 56-week weight loss trial (CONQUER, n = 866), followed by an extension of the drug trial out to 108 weeks (SEQUEL, n = 675) in a sub-group of CONQUER participants. The CONQUER trial, based at 93 U.S. centers, enrolled overweight or obese patients with at least 2 obesity-related comorbidities and randomly assigned them to receive either placebo or PHEN/TPM ER at a lower (7.5 mg/46 mg) or higher (15 mg/92 mg) daily dose. All 3 groups also received lifestyle modification counseling that included an evidence-based diet and exercise curriculum. Participants received study drug and lifestyle counseling in the setting of monthly visits during the 60(CONQUER) or 108-week (SEQUEL) follow-up period. The analyses presented in this paper focus on the 475 participants who completed both CONQUER and SEQUEL and who were characterized as pre-diabetic or as having the metabolic syndrome (MetS) at baseline. Pre-diabetes was defined as having a blood glucose level of 100–125 mg/dL or higher while fasting, or 140–199 mg/dL after an oral glucose tolerance test (GTT). MetS was characterized in participants who displayed 3 or more of the following at baseline: waist circumference ≥ 102 cm in men or 88 cm in women; triglycerides ≥ 150 mg/dL or on a lipid-lowering medication; HDL < 40 mg/dL in men or < 50 mg/dL in women; systolic BP ≥ 130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥ 85 mm Hg (or on antihypertensive); and fasting glucose ≥ 100 mg/dL or on treatment for elevated glucose. Main outcome measures. The primary outcome for this study was percent weight loss at 108 weeks of follow-up (or early termination). Secondary outcomes included cardiometabolic changes, such as development of type 2 diabetes and changes in lipid measures, blood pressure, and waist circumference. These were assessed at baseline, week 56, and week 108 (or at early termination). Rates of progression to type 2 diabetes were compared between the treatment groups using chi-square testing. Intention- Outcomes Research in Review Section Editors Jason P. Block, MD, MPH Brigham and Women’s Hospital Boston, MA Melanie Jay, MD, MS NYU School of Medicine New York, NY Kristina Lewis, MD, MPH Kaiser Permanente Center for Health Research Atlanta, GA William Hung, MD, MPH Mount Sinai School of Medicine New York, NY Gordon Ngai, MD, MPH Mount Sinai School of Medicine New York, NY Allison Squires, PhD, RN NYU College of Nursing New York, NY www.jcomjournal.com Vol. 21, No. 9 September 2014 JCOM 393 OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW to-treat (ITT) ANCOVA analysis was performed with multiple imputation techniques to address missing data, as well as with an alternative analysis using last observation carried forward. Results. The study arms were similar with respect to baseline characteristics. Average age was 51 years in the high dose PHEN/TPM ER arm and 52 in the other arms. Over half (65%) of participants were women and 86% were Caucasian. Mean BMI was 36 kg/m2 (class II obesity). Over half of participants were on antihypertensive medications at baseline but with wellcontrolled blood pressure (mean 128/80 mm Hg). Of the 475 people in this analysis, 316 met criteria for prediabetes, 451 for MetS, and 292 for both prediabetes and MetS. Weight loss at 2 years was significantly greater in subjects taking PHEN/TPM ER (10.9% in the lower dose group, 12.1% in the higher dose group) compared to those taking placebo (2.5%) (P < 0.001). Mirroring weight loss results, type 2 diabetes incidence was also significantly lower in the drug treatment arms than in the placebo arm at 2 years after randomization—annualized incidence was 6.1% for placebo vs. 1.8% for lower-dose drug and 1.3% for higher-dose drug (P < 0.05). Greater weight loss was associated with greater decrease in diabetes incidence across all 3 arms of the study. Those persons who did not achieve at least a 5% weight loss at 2 years had the highest annualized risk of developing diabetes (6.3%), compared with a 0.9% risk among those who lost at least 15% of their weight. Improvements in other cardiometabolic parameters, including HDL, triglycerides, waist circumference, and insulin sensitivity index, was more common among the PHEN/ TPM ER participants compared with placebo. Blood pressure decreased slightly for all 3 groups and there was no significant difference between the drug arms and the placebo arm. Discontinuation of study medication occurred in all 3 groups (3.1% in placebo, 6.1% in lower-dose medication, and 5.5% in higher-dose medication), with serious adverse events in 5%, 7%, and 8.5%, respectively. There were no deaths. Conclusion. PHEN/TPM ER administered over a 2-year period significantly improved weight loss and decreased progression to type 2 diabetes relative to placebo in a group of at-risk participants. 394 JCOM September 2014 Vol. 21, No. 9 Commentary Diabetes and related cardiometabolic disease are major contributors to morbidity and mortality in adults. With the exception of invasive treatments such as bariatric surgery, reversal of diabetes once it is established has proven quite difficult [1,2], and thus there is an increased emphasis from the public health and medical communities on preventing the development of this disease in the first place. Complicating the picture, recently broadened criteria for pre-diabetes will likely result in a very large number of these at-risk individuals being identified [3,4]. Although intensive lifestyle interventions resulting in a 5% to 7% weight loss among pre-diabetics have been shown to delay progression to diabetes [5], the translation of these programs into real-world settings has, so far, shown less promise than the original randomized trials might have indicated [4]. Although there is ongoing work to try to improve results and uptake in community-based lifestyle intervention programs, for many patients and clinicians these resource-intensive programs currently prove difficult to do well on a large scale. Alternative methods of helping patients achieve and maintain that critical > 5% weight loss are desperately needed, not only for preventing diabetes, but also for impacting the numerous other risks associated with obesity. This particular trial capitalized on the notion that it is probably successful weight loss, not the intervention format used to achieve that weight loss, which drives decreased diabetes risk. This study was a subanalysis of a larger randomized trial, and many of the strengths of that larger study are therefore reflected in this paper. Participants and study staff were blinded to treatment arm with the use of placebo, a very important strength when adverse reactions and drug intolerances need to be measured. Furthermore, this likely equalized motivation to comply with the lifestyle recommendations across the treatment arms—this might not have been the case if patients were aware that they were or were not receiving study drug. Another key strength of the study is its duration. PHEN/TPM ER is unique in that it is approved by the FDA for long-term use. Whereas many studies of weight loss show maximum intervention effect at about 6 months followed by weight regain, this study showed sustained weight loss up to 2 years after starting therapy, presumably because participants could actually continue the therapy for the full 2 years. Most importantly, the intervention itself www.jcomjournal.com OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW (medication plus low-intensity lifestyle counseling) is likely highly replicable in clinical practice. There are some important limitations to consider when interpreting the results from this study. First, the participants analyzed in this paper were comprised entirely of people who had already participated in a full year of the parent study and therefore probably represent a sub-group that might have been experiencing greater success as a result of their participation, potentially generating an overly optimistic estimate of weight loss and health effect for all of the groups relative to what might be seen in a general population. This feature of the design also limits this study’s ability to comment on drug intolerance or early adverse reactions—those who didn’t stick with the pills for at least a year would not have been included in these analyses. In terms of generalizability, although the infrastructure required from a clinical standpoint is much lower for an intervention like this (prescribing a medication) compared to an intensive lifestyle intervention, these drugs are still costly, and many insurers/providers may not offer them on formulary. Thus, to realize the long-term benefits of sustained weight loss, patients may need to face significant out-of-pocket costs, which may limit uptake of this therapy to those with financial means. For this and other reasons, it will be important to do future studies looking at how quickly weight is re-gained once people stop taking the medication. Another threat to generalizability is the racial makeup of the participants— the vast majority of them were non-Hispanic white. Furthermore, although a majority of the participants had hypertension, it was well-controlled in all (a prerequisite for taking the medication), and it is unclear whether in a real-world patient population hypertension would be adequately controlled in a large number of patients. Another issue to consider when looking at the use of weight loss medications for prevention of diabetes is the relative risk of prolonged medication use compared with the risk for developing diabetes. Clearly, for obese patients who are interested in losing weight for other reasons, prevention of diabetes is a wonderful side effect of achieving that goal. However, it is worth noting www.jcomjournal.com that even in the highest-risk group of participants in this study (those who lost < 5% of weight), the annualized risk of developing diabetes was about 6% (< 20% cumulative risk projected over 3 years). Compare this to the 7% to 8% serious adverse event rate observed in those on drug therapy. Although the medication did reduce annualized diabetes risk significantly, the vast majority of people in all the arms did not develop diabetes during follow-up. This drives home the point that our current categorization of pre-diabetes is far from perfect in identifying people who are at imminent risk of becoming diabetic, and reinforces the notion that any treatment we provide to them in the name of diabetes prevention should be free from risk of harm. Rather than applying a long-term medication with potentially harmful side effects to a large group of at-risk patients, more research is needed to provide tools for clinicians to think carefully about which of their patients are truly at highest risk of going on to develop diabetes in the near future. Applications for Clinical Practice Although clinicians ought not use PHEN/TPM ER exclusively for diabetes prevention based on the results from this trial, delay of diabetes onset is a possible and important benefit of the use of PHEN/TPM ER in obese patients, provided that they are willing to also make and sustain lifestyle changes in order to lose a clinically significant amount of weight. —Kristina Lewis, MD, MPH References 1. Gregg EW, Chen H, Wagenknecht LE, et al. Association of an intensive lifestyle intervention with remission of type 2 diabetes. JAMA 2012;308:2489-96. 2. Arterburn DE, O’Connor PJ. A look ahead at the future of diabetes prevention and treatment. JAMA 2012;308:2517–8. 3. Yudkin JS, Montori VM. The epidemic of pre-diabetes: the medicine and the politics. BMJ. 2014;349:g4485. 4. Kahn R, Davidson MB. The reality of type 2 diabetes prevention. Diabetes care 2014;37:943-9. 5. Knowler WC, Fowler SE, Hamman RF, et al. 10-year follow-up of diabetes incidence and weight loss in the Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study. Lancet 2009;374: 1677–86. Vol. 21, No. 9 September 2014 JCOM 395 OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW Frailty as a Predictive Factor in Geriatric Trauma Patient Outcomes Joseph B, Pandit V, Zangbar B, et al. Superiority of frailty over age in predicting outcomes among geriatric trauma patients: a prospective analysis. JAMA Surg. 2014 Jun 11. Study Overview Objective. To evaluate the usefulness of the Frailty Index (FI) as a prognostic indicator of adverse outcomes in geriatric trauma patients. Design. Prospective cohort study. Setting and participants. Geriatric (aged 65 and over) trauma patients admitted to inpatient units at a Level 1 trauma center in Arizona were enrolled. Patients were excluded if they were intubated/nonresponsive with no family members present or transferred from another institution (eg, skilled nursing facility). The following categories of data were collected: (a) patient demographics, (b) type and mechanism of injury, (c) vital signs (eg, Glasgow coma scale score, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, body temperature), (d) need for operative intervention, (e) in-hospital complications, (f) hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) lengths of stay, and (g) discharge disposition. Patients or, in the case of nonresponsive patients, their closest relative, responded to the 50-item Frailty Index questionnaire, which includes questions regarding age, comorbid conditions, medications, activities of daily living (ADLs), social activities, mood, and nutrition. FI score ranges from 0 (non-frail) to 1 (frail), with an FI of 0.25 or more indicative of frailty based on established guidelines. Patients were categorized as frail or non-frail according to their FI scores and were followed during the course of their hospitalization. Main outcome measure. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital complications. In-hospital complications included myocardial infarction, cardiopulmonary arrest, pneumonia, pulmonary embolism, sepsis, urinary tract infection, deep venous thrombosis, disseminated intravascular coagulation, renal insufficiency, and reoperation. The secondary outcome measure was adverse discharge disposition, which was defined as death during the course of hospitalization or discharge to a skilled nursing facility. 396 JCOM September 2014 Vol. 21, No. 9 Main results. The sample consisted of 250 patients with a mean age of 77.9 years. Among these, 44.0% were considered frail. Patients with frailty were more likely to have a higher Injury Severity Score (P = 0.04) and a higher mean FI (P = 0.01) than those without frailty. There were no statistically significant differences with respect to age (P = 0.21), mechanism of injury (P = 0.09), systolic blood pressure (P = 0.30), or Glasgow Coma Scale score (P = 0.91) between the groups. Patients with frailty were more likely to develop in-hospital complications (37.3% vs 21.4%, P = 0.001) than those without frailty. Among these complications, pneumonia and urinary tract infection were the most common. There were no differences in the rate of reoperation (P = 0.54) between the 2 groups. An FI of 0.25 or higher was associated with the development of in-hospital complications (P = 0.001) even after adjusting for age, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, and Injury Severity Score. Frail patients had longer hospital length of stay (P = 0.01) and ICU length of stay (P = 0.01), and were more likely to have adverse discharge disposition (37.3% vs. 12.9%, P = 0.001). All patients who died during the course of hospitalization (n = 5) were considered frail. Frailty was also found to be a predictor of adverse discharge disposition (P = 0.001) after adjustment for age, male sex, Injury Severity Score, and mechanism of injury. Conclusion. The FI is effective in identifying geriatric trauma patients who are vulnerable to poor health outcomes. Commentary The diagnosis and treatment of elderly patients is complicated by the presence of multiple geriatric syndromes, including frailty [1]. Frailty is defined as increased vulnerability to negative health outcomes, marked by physical and functional decline, that eventually leads to disability, dependency, and mortality [2]. Factors such as age, www.jcomjournal.com OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW malnutrition, and disease give way to dysregulations of bodily systems that eventually lead to reductions in mobility, strength, and cognition in frail older adults [3]. In turn, frail patients, who lack the physiological reserves to withstand illness and adapt to stressors, experience high incidences of hospitalizations, mortality, and reduced quality of life. Unsurprisingly, mortality rates among geriatric trauma patients are higher than those found in ordinary adult trauma patients [4]. It is, therefore, essential to identify patients with frailty at the outset of hospitalization in order to improve health outcomes and reduce mortality rates in this population. Yet, there is a dearth of assessment tools to predict outcomes in frail trauma patients [5]. This study has several strengths. Outcome measures are plainly stated. The inclusion criteria was broad enough to include most geriatric trauma patients, but the authors eliminated a number of confounders by excluding patients admitted from institutional settings, who may have been more susceptible to negative health outcomes at baseline than noninstitutionalized adults. Recruitment strategies were acceptable and reflect ethical standards. Groups were defined based on an accepted and previously validated FI cutoff. Lack of blinding did not threaten the study’s design given that most outcomes were beyond the control of study participants. Multivariate regression adjusted for a number of potential confounders including age, length of hospitalization, and injury severity. The Injury Severity Score, the Abbreviated Injury Scale score, and the Glasgow Coma Scale score are validated instruments that are widely used and enable standardized assessments of cognition and degree of injury. The study methodology also possesses a number of weaknesses. The authors followed patients from admission to discharge; however, they did not re-evaluate patients following their release from the inpatient setting. It is, therefore, not clear whether the FI is predictive of quality of life, functional status, or hospital readmissions upon discharge into the community. The cohort was largely male (69.2%) and predominately Caucasian. Participants were recruited from only one medical center. All of these limit the study’s generalizability. In ad- www.jcomjournal.com dition, the authors do not clarify how they came to define the criteria for in-hospital complications or adverse discharge disposition. For example, the study does not consider skin breakdown, a common concern among older patients who are hospitalized, as an in-hospital complication. In addition, the authors did not adjust for the number of diagnoses at baseline or the presence of chronic comorbid conditions, which are also associated with negative health outcomes. Applications for Clinical Practice Although lengthy, with over 50 variables in 5 categories, the FI has the potential to help health care providers improve risk stratification, assess patient acuity, and formulate treatment plans to improve the health of frail elderly patients. The FI will enable hospitals to direct appropriate resources, including staff, to the most vulnerable subsets of patients in order to improve outcomes and reduce costs. Moreover, awareness of frailty enables greater discussion between patients and families of trauma patients about the risks and benefits of complex intervention, increases referrals to palliative care, and improves quality of life in this population [6]. —Tina Sadarangani, MSN, APRN, and Allison Squires, PhD, RN, New York University College of Nursing References 1. Rich MW. Heart failure in the oldest patients: the impact of comorbid conditions. Am J Geriatr Cardiol 2005;14: 134–41. 2. Fried LP, Ferrucci L, Darer J, et al. Untangling the concepts of disability, frailty, and comorbidity: implications for improved targeting and care. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2004;59:255–63. 3. Lang PO, Michel JP, Zekry D. Frailty syndrome: a transitional state in a dynamic process. Gerontology 2009;55:539–49. 4. Hashmi A, Ibrahim-Zada I, Rhee P, et al. Predictors of mortality in geriatric trauma patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2014;76:894–901. 5. American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Improvement Program. ACS TQIP geriatric trauma management guidelines. Available at https://mtqip.org/docs/. 6. Koller K, Rockwood K. Frailty in older adults: implications for end-of-life care. Cleve Clin J Med 2013;80:168–74. Vol. 21, No. 9 September 2014 JCOM 397 OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW Effect of Substituting Nurses for Doctors in Primary Care Martínez-González NA, Djalali S, Tandjung R, et al. Substitution of physicians by nurses in primary care: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Health Serv Res 2014;14:214. Study Overview Objective. To investigate the clinical effectiveness and costs of nurses working as substitutes for physicians in primary care. Design. Systematic review and meta-analysis of published randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 2 economic studies that compared nurse-led care with care by primary care physicians on numerous variables, including satisfaction, hospital admission, mortality, and costs of health care. Settings and participants. The 24 RCTs were drawn from 5 different countries (UK, Netherlands, USA, Russia, and South Africa). In total, there were 38, 974 participants. Eleven of the studies had less than 200 participants and 13 studies had more than 200 (median, 1624). Mean age was reported in 20 trials and ranged from 10 to 83 years. Analysis. The authors assessed risk of bias in the studies, calculated the study-specific and pooled relative risks (RR) or standardized mean differences (SMD), and performed fixed-effects meta-analyses. Main results. Nurse-led care was effective at reducing the overall risk of hospital admission (RR 0.76, 95% CI 0.64–0.91) and mortality (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.84–0.96) in RCTs of ongoing or non-urgent care, longer (at least 12 months) follow-up episodes, and in in larger (n > 200) RCTs. Pooled analysis showed higher overall scores of patient satisfaction with nurse led care (SMD 0.18, 95% Cl 0.13–0.23). Higher-quality RCTs (with better allocation concealment and less attrition) showed higher rates of hospital admissions and mortality with nurse-led care, but the difference was not significant. Subgroup analysis showed that RNs had a stronger effect than nurse practitioners (NPs) on patient satisfaction. The results of costeffectiveness and improved quality of care analysis with nurses were inconclusive. 398 JCOM September 2014 Vol. 21, No. 9 Conclusion. Nurse-led care appears to have a positive effect on patient care and outcomes but more rigorous research is needed to confirm these findings. Commentary As the backbone of health care systems around the world, primary care is facing numerous challenges threatening patient access to care. Aging populations, economically strapped governments, and an increasing non-communicable disease burden in developing countries are pushing global health systems to their capacity. In addition, the World Health Organization has highlighted the increasing health worker shortage which further limits the capabilities of health systems [1,2]. One proposed solution to addressing physician shortages is using NPs. Recent studies have shown patient satisfaction, physical, emotional, and social function, and other outcomes associated with nurse-led care to be similar to if not better than those associated achieved by physicians [3–5]. The current meta-analysis has some weaknesses. For example, 13 of the 24 studies had attrition rates of at least 20% and only 10 trials had a sufficient sample size to achieve adequate power in at least 1 outcome, making it more difficult to identify true differences between control and intervention groups. The sample of RCTs were heterogeneous in terms of settings, tasks, and reporting of outcomes. Also, study heterogeneity increased the difficulty of data synthesis and limited the amount of information on cost-effective nursing care and quality of care of patients. In many of the studies, quality of life among patients was measured inconsistently, using various disease specific and generic scales, making it difficult to compare and provide comprehensive results. Additionally, less than 50% of the patient satisfaction scales used validated questionnaires. Results should be interpreted with caution as the studies were compiled from 5 different countries. The scope of nursing practice differs in each country and the different cadres of nurses (RN vs NP vs licensed www.jcomjournal.com OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW practical nurse [LPN]) also have varying responsibilities. Cross comparisons between RN/LPN, NP/physician, and RN/NP need to consider the country context, regulating bodies, and government policies that dictate the capabilities and practice of each of these licensed professionals. There was a dearth of economic information. Generally, direct costs such as consultations and cases involving patients less than 65 year of age were lower with nurse-led care, but in other studies costs of nurse-led and physician-led care were not significantly different. Applications for Clinical Practice As the health worker shortage continues, health care facilities will have to decide on the appropriate skill mix to provide the best patient outcomes while maximizing cost benefit. While this systematic review and meta-analysis is promising in supporting nursing-led primary care, more research is needed, including longer-term studies with larger sample sizes and more extensive assessment of cost and quality of life. The use of validated and standardized instruments to measure patient satisfaction and quality of care will increase study quality and rigor. —Melissa T. Martelly, MA, BSN, RN, PCCN, and Allison Squires, PhD, New York University College of Nursing References 1. World Health Organization. World health report 2006: Working together for health. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2006. Available at www.who.int/whr/2006/en. 2. World Health Organization. A universal truth: No health without a workforce. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2013. Available at www.who.int/workforcealliance/knowledge/resources/GHWA_AUniversalTruthReport.pdf. 3. Horrocks S, Anderson E, Salisbury C. Systematic review of whether nurse practitioners working in primary care can provide equivalent care to doctors. BMJ 2002;3:819–23 4. Naylor MD, Kurtzman ET. The role of nurse practitioners in reinventing primary care. Health Affairs 2010;29:893–9. 5. Carter A, JE, Chochinov AH. Systematic review of the impact of nurse practitioners on cost, quality of care, satisfaction and wait times in the emergency department. CJEM 2007;9: 286–95. Co-Infection with HIV Increases Risk for Decompensation in Patients with HCV Lo Re V, Kallan MJ, Tate JP, et al. Hepatic decompensation in antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and hepatitis C virus compared with hepatitis C virus-monoinfected patients. Ann Intern Med 2014;160:369–79. Study Overview Objective. To compare the incidence of hepatic decompensation in patients who are co-infected with HIV and hepatitis C (HCV) and who underwent antiretroviral treatment and patients who are HCV-monoinfected. Design. Retrospective cohort study. Participants and setting. This study used the Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort (VACS-VC), which includes electronic medical record data from patients who are HIVinfected and are receiving care at Veterans Affairs (VA) medical facilities in the United States. Inclusion criteria for patients who were co-infected were: detectable HCV RNA, recently initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART), defined as use of ≥ 3 antiretroviral drugs from 2 classes or ≥ 3 nucleowww.jcomjournal.com side analogues within the VA system, HIV RNA level > 500 copies/mL within 180 days before starting ART, and were seen in the VACS-VC for at least 12 months after initiating ART. Inclusion criteria for patients who were monoinfected with HCV were detectable HCV RNA, no HIV diagnosis or antiretroviral prescriptions, and seen in the VACS-VC for at least 12 months prior to inclusion into the study. Exclusion criteria were hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplant during the 12-month baseline period or receipt of interferon-based HCV therapy. Main outcome measure. The primary outcome was incident hepatic decompensation, defined as diagnosis of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or esophageal variceal hemorrhage at hospital discharge or 2 such outpatient diagnoses. Vol. 21, No. 9 September 2014 JCOM 399 OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW Main results. A total of 10,359 patients met inclusion criteria and were enrolled between 1997 and 2010. Of these, 4280 were patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and treated with antiretroviral agents and 6079 were patients who were HCV-monoinfected. Age, race/ethnicity, and history of diabetes, alcohol dependence or abuse, and injection or non-injection drug were similar between the 2 groups. The majority of participants were men. HCV genotype 1 was most prevalent in both groups. There were more patients who had HCV RNA levels ≥ 400,000 IU/mL and/or ≥ 1x106 copies/mL in the co-infected group versus the monoinfected group. Hepatic decompensation occurred more frequently among those who were co-infected and receiving ART (271 [6.3%]) than among those who were monoinfected (305 [5.0%], P = 0.004). The incidence rate was 9.5 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 7.6–11.9) among patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and treated with ART and 5.7 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 4.4–7.4) among patients who were monoinfected. Variceal hemorrhage was less common among patients who were co-infected as compared to those who were monoinfected (71 [26.2%] vs. 168 [55.1%], P < 0.001). The proportion of patients with ascites (226 [83.4%] in the co-infected group vs. 236 [77.4%] in the monoinfected, P = 0.070) and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (48 [17.7%] in the co-infected group vs. 68 [22.3%] in the monoinfected, P = 0.171) were similar. After adjustment for age, race/ethnicity, diabetes, BMI, history of alcohol abuse, injection or non-injection drug use, and VA center patient volume, patients who were co-infected and receiving ART had a higher rate of hepatic decompensation than monoinfected patients (hazard ratio, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.54–2.18]). In subgroup analysis, rates of decompensation remained higher even among co-infected patients who maintained HIV RNA levels < 1000 copies/mL (hazard ratio 1.65 [95% CI 1.20–2.27]) Conclusion. Patients who were co-infected with HIV and HCV and treated with ART had higher rates of hepatic decompensation compared with patients monoinfected with HCV. Good control of HIV viral loads in co-infected patients may not be sufficient to improve health outcomes. Commentary Currently, it is estimated that there are 3.5 to 5.5 million people in the United States infected with HCV, account400 JCOM September 2014 Vol. 21, No. 9 ing for about 1.5% of the population. Approximately 20% to 40% of those infected will develop chronic infection and 10% to 25% of these patients will progress to experience severe liver disease [1]. Yet of the 3.5 million people who are thought be chronically infected with HCV, only 50% are diagnosed and are aware of the infection and a mere 16% are treated for HCV [2]. Estimates suggest that about 10% of those with HCV are also infected with HIV. In the era prior to ART for HIV infections, patients with HIV and HCV most commonly died of HIV-related causes. In the post-ART era, patients are surviving longer and are now experiencing HCV-related comorbidities [3]. This study compares the incidence of hepatic decompensation in patients with HIV and HCV co-infection who are undergoing treatment with ART and those with HCV monoinfection. The results show that patients who were co-infected and treated with ART had higher incidence of hepatic decompensation as compared with those who were monoinfected. This study’s strengths are the large enrollment numbers (> 10,000 patients) and the long follow-up periods (6.8 and 9.9 years for the co-infected and monoinfected cohorts, respectively). As the authors indicate, the weakness of this study is the exclusion of the diagnosis of hepatic encephalopathy and jaundice from their definition of hepatic decompensation. Their reasoning for doing so is that these frequently occur due to unrelated causes, such as narcotic overdose and biliary obstruction. It is possible that this resulted in an underestimation of hepatic decompensation. Finally, 98.8% of the enrolled patients were male. The study results cannot be generalized to women. Since 2011, the availability of direct-acting antivirals for the treatment of HCV has rapidly increased. These new agents have improved treatment outcomes with better sustained virological response, shorter treatment duration, and better adverse event rates [4]. Telaprevir and boceprevir were first-generation protease inhibitors, and these were followed by simeprevir in 2013. Sofosbuvir also became available in 2013 as the first polymerase inhibitor. These agents were and continue to be evaluated for use in HIV/HCV co-infected patients both in treatment-naive and previously treated patients with good outcomes. A fifth agent, faldaprevir, another protease inhibitor, is expected to become available this year and others are in clinical trials [5]. Sustained virologic response rates of 67% to 88% depending on genotype with regimens using sofosbuvir in co-infected patients for www.jcomjournal.com OUTCOMES RESEARCH IN REVIEW example, have been achieved, which are similar to rates in monoinfected patients [6]. Applications for Clinical Practice The authors found that management of HIV viral loads to less than 1000 copies/mL reduced the risk for hepatic decompensation. However, the difference in incidence rates between those whose HIV load was < 1000 copies/mL and those whose viral load was ≥ 1000 copies/ mL was small (9.4 [95% CI, 5.4–16.2] vs. 9.6 [95% CI, 7.5–12.2]). The findings suggest that control of HIV viral loads in co-infected patients is not sufficient to reduce the rate of liver complications. The authors propose that earlier consideration be given to treatment of HCV infection in co-infected patients to improve health outcomes. The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the Infectious Diseases Society of America have published guidelines for the diagnosis and management of HCV [7]. The difference in hepatic decompensation rates between mono- and co-infected patients should become less relevant as use of direct-acting antivirals expands. —Mayu O. Frank, MS, ANP-BC and Allison Squires, PhD, RN, New York University College of Nursing References 1. Action plan for the prevention, care, and treatment of viral hepatitis (2014-2016). US Department of Health and Human Services; 2014. Available at http://aids.gov/news-and-events/hepatitis/. 2. Yehia BR, Schranz AJ, Umscheid CA, Lo Re V. The treatment cascade for chronic hepatitis C virus infection in the United States: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PLOS One 2014;9:1–7. 3. Highleyman L. HIV/HCV coinfection: a new era of treatment. BETA 2001; Fall/Winter: 30–47. 4. Shiffman ML. Hepatitis C virus therapy in the direct acting antiviral era. Curr Opin Gastroenterol 2014;30:217–22. 5. Bichoupan K, Dieterich DT, Martel-Laferriere V. HIV-Hepatitis C virus co-infection in the era of direct-acting antivirals. Curr HIV/AIDS Rep. 2014 July 5. [Epub ahead of print] 6. Sulkowski M, Rodriguez-Torres M, Lalezari J, et al. All-oral therapy with sofosbuvir plus ribavirin for the treatment of HCV genotype 1,2, and 3 infection in patients co-infected with HIV (PHOTON-1). 64th annual meeting of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. Washington, DC; Nov 2013. 7. The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the Infectious Diseases Society of America. Recommendations for testing, managing, and treating hepatitis C. Accessed 1 Aug 2014 at www.hcvguidelines.org. Copyright 2014 by Turner White Communications Inc., Wayne, PA. All rights reserved. www.jcomjournal.com Vol. 21, No. 9 September 2014 JCOM 401
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