BL 2 0 4 2 0 4 2 0 BL BL 4 2 0 4 2 0 4 2 0 4 2 0 4 2 0 4 2 0 Interannual variability of dense water formation in the Mediterranean sea AF65 433m AF65 433m 25002500 AF65 433m 2500 AF70 1883m AF75 1199m 2000 2000 AF80 2562m AF86 1333m CTRL 2601m 15001500 AF70 1883m AF70 1883m AF75 1199m AF75 1199m AF80 2562m AF80 2562m AF86 1333m AF86 1333m CTRL 2601m CTRL 2601m MLDmax , m MLDmax , m MLDmax , m M. Herrmann, S. Somot, F. Sevault,2000 J. Beuvier. LEGOS, CNRM, MERCATOR Open-sea convection occurring in the northwestern Mediterranean basin (NWMED) is at the origin 1500 of the formation of Western Mediterranean Deep Water (WMDW), 1000 one of the main Mediterranean 1000 1000 water masses. During winter 2004–2005, a spectacular convection event occurred, observed by several 500 500 with an exceptionally 500 experimental oceanographers. It was associated large convection area and unusually warm and salty WMDW. 0 5 0 0 5 5 0 V( > 29.10), 10 m 3 4 13 13 13 V( > 29.10), 10 m 3 V( > 29.10), 10 m 3 AF65 0.06 Sv Explanations were proposed tentatively, relating the AF70unusual 0.54 Sv 4 4 AF75 0.10 Sv characteristics of this event to the Eastern Mediterranean Transient AF80 1.63 Sv (EMT) that occured two decades earlier in the Eastern basin, AF86 0.08or Sv to 3 3 CTRL 1.16 Sv the atmospheric conditions during winter 2004–2005 in the 2 2 NWMED. They could, however, not be supported until now. Here we used numerical modeling to understand what drove this 1 1 3000 convection event. 0 3 AF65 0.06 Sv AF65 0.06 Sv AF70 0.54 Sv AF70 0.54 Sv AF75 0.10 Sv AF75 0.10 Sv AF80 1.63 Sv AF80 1.63 Sv AF86 0.08 Sv AF86 0.08 Sv CTRL 1.16 Sv CTRL 1.16 Sv 2 1 01/09 0 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/01 01/02 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/01 01/02 01/12 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 MLDmax ,m 01/09 01/10 01/11 The control simulation performed with 2000 NEMOMED8 for the 3 VDW , m x1013 of dense water volume period 1961–2006 reproduces correctly the long-term evolution of Evolution 13 3 (10 m ) with initial conditions of the Mediterranean Sea circulation, the 1000 EMT, and the NWMED autumn 2004 and atmospheric convection event of 2004–2005. Sensitivity simulations were forcing of years 65 to 86 (AF..) 0 performed to assess the respective contributions of atmospheric and 01/12/04 01/01/05 01/02/05 01/03/05 and 2004-05 (CTRL) 01/04/05 oceanic conditions to this event. They show that winter buoyancy 13 x 10 loss is the major factor driving the 4 CTRL intensity of deep convection, and that 3 NEMT the initial autumn stratification of the CI65 water column is a second order factor. 2 CI70 CI75 The weakness of the winter buoyancy 1 CI80 loss since 1988 in the NWMED CI86 prevented strong convection to occur 0 01/12/04 01/01/05 01/02/05 01/03/05 01/04/05 during the 1990s, enabling heat and 13 3 salt contents to increase in this region. Evolution of dense water volume (10 m ) with atmospheric This resulted in the change of WMDW conditions of winter 2004-05 and initial conditions of years 65 to characteristics observed in 2005. The 86 (CI..), 2004-05 (CTRL) and not taking EMT into account. strong buoyancy loss of winter 2004– 2005 was responsible for the intensity of the convection observed this winter in terms of depth and volume of newly formed WMDW. The EMT did not fundamentally modify the convection process but potentially doubled this volume by inducing a deepening of the heat and salt maximum that weakened the preconvection stratification. Read more about this study : Herrmann et al. (2010). What induced the exceptional 2005 convection event in the northwestern Mediterranean basin? Answers from a modeling study, J. Geophys. Res., 115, C12051, doi:10.1029/2010JC006162. Read also : Beuvier et al. (2010). Modelling the Mediterranean Sea interannual variability over the last 40 years: focus on the Eastern Mediterranean Transient (EMT). J. Geophys. Res., 115, C08017, doi:10.1029/2009JC005950 Schroeder et al. (2010). Abrupt warming and salting of the Western Mediterranean Deep Water: atmospheric forcings and lateral advection. J. Geophys. Res., 115, C08029, doi:10.1029/2009JC005749 Herrmann et al. (2008). Impact of interannual variability and climate change on dense water cascading in the Gulf of Lions. Continental Shelf Research, 28 (15), 2092-2112, doi:10.1016/j.csr.2008.03.003
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