1 ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN SERUM LONG-CHAIN OMEGA-3 POLYUNSATURATED FATTY ACIDS, HAIR MERCURY AND RISK OF STROKE IN MIDDLE-AGED AND OLDER MEN Roya Daneshmand Master’s thesis Public Health Nutrition School of Medicine Faculty of Health Sciences University of Eastern Finland April 2014 2 Contents 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 6 2. Theoretical background ....................................................................................................... 7 2.1. Definition of stroke and types of stroke ........................................................................ 7 2.2. Risk factors for ischemic stroke.................................................................................... 8 2.3. Age ................................................................................................................................ 8 2.4. Blood pressure .............................................................................................................. 8 2.5. Cigarette smoking ......................................................................................................... 9 2.6. Serum Cholesterol....................................................................................................... 10 2.7. Alcohol........................................................................................................................ 10 2.8. Diabetes ...................................................................................................................... 11 2.9. Atrial fibrillation ......................................................................................................... 11 2.10. Dietary factors ......................................................................................................... 12 2.10.1 Fat intake ................................................................................................................. 12 2.10.2 Fish Intake ............................................................................................................... 13 2.11. Pollutants and stroke ............................................................................................... 24 3. Aims .................................................................................................................................. 27 4. Subjects, participants and methods.................................................................................... 27 4.1 Study population ..................................................................................................... 27 4.2 Serum fatty acids measurements ............................................................................. 27 4.3 Other Measurements ............................................................................................... 28 4.4 Ascertainment of follow-up events ......................................................................... 29 4.5 Statistical analysis ................................................................................................... 29 3 5. Results ............................................................................................................................... 30 6. Discussion.......................................................................................................................... 39 7. Conclusions ....................................................................................................................... 42 4 ABBREVIATIONS BMI Body Mass Index CNS Central Nervous System CHD Chronic Heart Disease DHA Docosahexaenoic EPA Eicosapentaenoic acid ICH Intracerebral hemorrhage KIHD Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease LDL Low Density Lipoprotein PUFA Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids RR Relative Risk 5 UNIVERSITY OF EASTERN FINLAND, Faculty of Health Sciences Public health Daneshmand R.: Associations between serum long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, hair mercury and risk of stroke in middle-aged and older men Master's thesis, 50 pages. Instructors: Jyrki Virtanen, PhD; Sudhir Kurl, MD, PhD April 2014 Key words: Stroke; Fatty acids, omega-3; Mercury ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN SERUM LONG-CHAIN OMEGA-3 POLYUNSATURATED FATTY ACIDS, HAIR MERCURY AND RISK OF STROKE IN MIDDLE-AGED AND OLDER MEN ABSTRACT Stroke is an important chronic disease that leads to morbidity and mortality worldwide. Stroke has different subtypes; the most important are ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke. Diet may influence the risk of stroke. Fish consumption and omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) from fish have been suggested to have a protective effect on stroke. However, fish may also contain some harmful components, like methylmercury. Most of the previous studies focus on the association between fish consumption and stroke risk. In this study serum omega3 PUFA, an objective biomarker for intake, was used as exposure. Hair mercury content was used as a biomarker for mercury exposure. The associations between serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA, hair mercury and risk of stroke were investigated in middle-aged and older men. The study cohort included 1871 Finnish men aged 42-60 years from the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease Risk factor Study (KIHD), who were free of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke at baseline. During an average follow-up time of 16.1 years, 141 cases of stroke occurred, of which 107 were ischemic strokes. In a Cox regression model, there was no significant association between serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA concentration and risk of stroke. In contrast, the relative risks of stroke in the quartiles of hair methyl-mercury were 1, 0.95 (95% CI: 0.57-1.59), 1.00 (95% CI: 0.60-1.66) and 1.59 (95% CI: 1.00-2.54) (P for trend across quartiles=0.04) after adjusting for age and examination years. Further multivariate adjustments only slightly attenuated the associations. No association was found with ischemic stroke. In conclusion: this study could not find any association between serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA and risk of stroke in middle-aged and older Finnish men free of prior CHD and stroke. Mercury exposure was associated with higher risk of stroke. 6 1. Introduction Stroke is the leading cause of disability and mortality in the world (Sacco et al. 2013). Since four decades ago, the rate of stroke has been higher in economically robust countries rather than in low and middle income countries (Norrving and Kissela 2013). For instance, stroke is the third-leading cause of death and one of the main factors for disability in the United States with more than 140,000 people dying of stroke each year. Stroke is responsible for approximately 5.5 million deaths annually, and 44 million disability-adjusted life-years lost. In the United States, 795,000 cases suffer from at least one kind of stroke annually, 600,000 of these strokes cases are the first incident. First incident stroke cases in the United States are similar to those in European countries with annual stroke incidence ranges between 94.6 per 100,000 population for women and 141.3 per 100,000 population for men (Mukherjee and Patil 2011). In Finland the incident of stroke has been declined. Stroke is responsible for 8.9% of all deaths in Finland. Stroke incident is age dependent disease, Finland with rapid aging population has a highest incident of stroke between European countries. The estimation pointed to the 50% increase in stroke incident till 2030 due to the increase in the elder population (Meretoja et al. 2011). According to the cohort studies done by Sivenius et al., in Kuopio and Turku in 1980s and 1990s the incident of stroke has been declined which is mostly due to decreases in ischemic stroke both in men and women (Sivenius et al. 2009). Although the number of elderly people will increase, by improving healthcare and controlling risk factors the burden of stroke in 2030 will remain the same as year 2000 in Finland (Sivenius et al. 2009). There are different kinds of stroke. Ischemic stroke is the main reason for morbidity and mortality in the developed countries with huge financial burden for both family and society (Fung et al. 2004, Lucke-Wold et al. 2012). Also, ischemic stroke is the most important stroke with long-term disability (Lucke-Wold et al. 2012). Different studies have been carried out to investigate associations between risk factors and stroke. Arterial hypertension is the most important risk factor for ischemic stroke in the Western countries (Droste et al. 2003). In 78% of ischemic stroke patients, with previous known hypertension history, high blood pressure has not been controlled (Droste et al. 2003). Also, cigarette smoking is a preventable risk 7 factor for ischemic stroke (Hawkins et al. 2002). Hypercholesterolemia is a risk factor for ischemic stroke while the role of cholesterol on hemorrhagic stroke is still inconsistent (Wang et al. 2013). A study done in Finland and US showed that controlling smoking, cholesterol and diastolic pressure in population level leads to decrease in stroke incidence (Stegmayr et al. 1997). Different studies on the effect of fish consumption and coronary heart disease pointed to the dose response association between fish intake and reduced risk factor for cardiovascular disease (Kris-Etherton et al. 2003). Effect of fish consumption on stroke is still inconsistent (Larsson et al. 2012); this inconsistency may be partly due to the different components in fish which can have negative (environmental contaminants, food preparation methods) or positive effect (EPA+DHA) on stroke. Although fish is an important source of nutrients, there are environmental contaminants such as polychlorinated biphenyls, dioxins and methylmercury in the fish. Level of these environmental contaminants will be higher in old predatory fish and marine mammals. There are different studies pointing to the harmful effects of methylmercury and risk of chronic diseases (Virtanen et al. 2007). 2. Theoretical background 2.1. Definition of stroke and types of stroke Any distortion and deficit in neurological system with rapidly focal clinical signs lasting for 24 hours with damaging effect on central nervous system (CNS) or leading to death with vascular origin is defined as stroke. Stroke occurs due to blood flow restriction into the brain, which may also be called brain attack. Two prominent types of stroke are hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke (Sacco et al. 2013). Ischemic stroke is responsible for 80-85% of all stroke cases while hemorrhagic stroke is responsible for only 15-20% of all stroke cases. Thrombotic, embolic and lacunar are different types of ischemic stroke. Intracerebral and subarachnoid are two kinds of hemorrhagic stroke. The most well-known cause of thrombotic 8 stroke is failure in perfusion due to stenosis in major vessels, while embolic stroke is mostly due to cardiac failure. Arterial obstruction or small artery disease are the main causes of lacunar stroke. Hypertension has main effect as a risk factor on intracerebral hemorrhage and vascular malformations is the main etiology of subarachnoid hemorrhage (Zorowitz et al. 2004). Rupture of blood vessels due to their weakness and bleeding around the brain tissue is the major cause of hemorrhagic stroke (Bouzan et al. 2005). 2.2. Risk factors for ischemic stroke High blood pressure, high blood cholesterol level, diabetes, smoking, alcohol use, carotid stenosis, and atrial fibrillation are the major modifiable risk factors for ischemic stroke (Medline Plus 2013). The most important non-modifiable risk factors for ischemic stroke are gender, ethnicity, family history, and age (Sacco 1997, Medline Plus 2013). 2.3. Age Age is an important non-modifiable risk factor for all kinds of stroke, but especially for ischemic stroke (Lucke-Wold et al. 2012). Risk of stroke will be doubled for each decades after age 55 in both the genders (Sacco et al. 1997). 75% to 89% of strokes occur at the age older than 65 years old (Chen et al. 2010). Aging also causes increase in the risk of atrial fibrillation, which increases the risk of stroke (Chen et al. 2010). Aging is a process that leads to the large number of inflammatory changes. Cytokines are secreted from different cells and can have an effect on central nervous system (CNS). Cytokine secretion changes with advancing age. Aging causes an increase in secretion of necrosis factor-alpha (TNF- α) - a pro-inflammatory cytokine, and decreased interleukin-10 (IL-10) - an anti-inflammatory cytokine. Some of the experimental studies done on animals concluded that aging leads to increase in some cytokines like TNF-α, interleukin-1α (IL-1 α), IL-6, interleukin-17 (IL-17), and interleukin-6R α (IL-6R α) secreted from endothelial cells with damaging effect on vascular function and CNS which may have role on stroke incident (Lucke-Wold et al. 2012). 2.4. Blood pressure According to the previous meta-analysis, there is contradictory findings in regard to the association between blood pressure and different kinds of stroke (Song et al. 2004). By 9 decreasing every 10 mmHg in systolic blood pressure there should be 30 to 40% reduction in stroke incident (Sivenius et al. 2009). A study based on Asian population, found strong association between hemorrhagic stroke and blood pressure (Eastern Stroke and Coronary Heart Disease Collaborative Research Group 1998) while another study found association between both ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes (Lewington et al. 2002). In a cohort study there was a strong association between blood pressure and hemorrhagic stroke compared to the ischemic stroke (Song et al. 2004). The effect of sodium on blood pressure has a dose-response relation (Droste et al. 2003). Arterial stiffness may be another factor causing stroke in people with high sodium intake (Droste et al. 2003). Sodium may also increase adenosine diphosphate (ADP)-stimulated platelet aggregation (Droste et al. 2003). Sodium chloride increases cell protein synthesis and cell growth which may lead to increase in collagen synthesis with deposition in heart and renal cortex (Droste et al. 2003). Hypertension leads to the major disorders like stroke, myocardial infarction and hypertensive nephropathy, vascular remodeling, increase in collagen deposition, and atherogenesis effect, hypertension and LDL activated angiotensin-I-receptor (Droste et al. 2003). In a cohort study done in Kuopio, hypertensive men (blood pressure > 140/90 mmHg) without alcohol intake had a 1.72-fold relative risk for any stroke and 1.90-fold relative risk for ischemic stroke. Among men with high blood pressure and alcohol intake the relative risk for any stroke was 1.86-fold and for ischemic stroke 2.02-fold (Rantakomi et al. 2013). 2.5. Cigarette smoking Cigarette smoking has more than 4000 chemical components with harmful effects on human body (Hawkins et al. 2002). According to the review article done on the association between smoking and stroke, association between smoking and ischemic stroke is undeniable while the exact mechanism of cigarette smoking and nicotine on ischemic stroke is inconsistent (Hawkins et al. 2002). According to the previous studies smoking has association with ischemic stroke and subarachnoid hemorrhage (US CDC 2004), while the association between smoking and hemorrhagic stroke is not clear (Shah and Cole 2010). A meta-analysis of more than 42000 stroke cases from 81 cohort studies found risk of stroke in men and women who smoke will be 67% and 83% higher than nonsmokers. Results pointed that cigarette smoking is a prominent and modifiable risk factor of stroke with same hazard of stroke in both men and 10 women, however results showed greater relative hazard of hemorrhagic stroke in women rather than men (Peters et al. 2013). Smoking leads to the changes in cerebral blood flow, damages blood brain barrier and changes in cerebrovascular endothelium (Hawkins et al. 2002), which are prominent factors that increase the risk of stroke. According to a metaanalysis, smokers have higher possibility for stroke incidence when compared to nonsmokers (Hawkins et al. 2002). Endothelin is a peptide secreted from endothelial cells with vasoconstrictor effect. Endothelin is a mediator with effect on ischemic stroke (Hawkins et al. 2002). 2.6. Serum Cholesterol Hypercholesterolemia is a modifiable risk factor for ischemic stroke (Goldstein et al. 2011), while there is inconsistency in association between serum cholesterol level and intracerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage (Wang et al. 2013). A Japanese study was the first study which found an inverse association between serum cholesterol level and hemorrhagic stroke (Puddey 1996). Collaborative analysis of 12 Asian cohort studies found that, 0.6 mmol/L decrease in cholesterol concentrations leads to 27% increase in risk of hemorrhagic stroke (Eastern Stroke and Coronary Heart Disease Collaborative Research Group 1998) while Korea Medical Insurance Corporation Study found no association between low total serum cholesterol level and risk of hemorrhagic stroke (Suh et al. 2001). Wang et al. found an inverse association between total cholesterol and hemorrhagic stroke, also they found inverse association between LDL-C and hemorrhagic stroke while they could not find any significant association between HDL-C and risk of hemorrhagic stroke (Wang et al. 2013). 2.7. Alcohol Association between alcohol consumption and ischemic stroke has been shown to be a J or U shaped, while the association with hemorrhagic stroke has been shown to be linear. Effect of high alcohol intake on the increased risk of stroke may occur because of inducement hypertension, cardiomyopathy and atrial fibrillation through alcohol consumption while moderate consumption increase high density lipoprotein (HDL) and decreasing platelet aggregation (Reynolds et al. 2003). Recently, Rantakomi et al., (Rantakomi et al. 2014) found an association between the frequency of alcohol intake and stroke mortality. They showed the 11 highest risk of stroke death among men who consumed alcohol >2.5 times/week. Among those men who consumed alcohol 0.5 –2.5 times/ week, the risk of stroke death was only slightly increased and the association was not statistically significant. 2.8. Diabetes Diabetes mellitus is a well-known risk factor for stroke. Most of the epidemiological studies have found strong association between type 2 diabetes mellitus and stroke (Janghorbani et al. 2007). Association between diabetes and hemorrhagic stroke remains inconsistent while there are reports that found positive association between diabetes and changes in cerebral vessels (Jorgensen et al. 1994). Most of the studies found type 2 diabetes as an important risk factor for ischemic stroke while there is not strong evidence in regard to the association between type 2 diabetes and hemorrhagic stroke (Hu et al. 2005). According to a cohort study, there was association between stroke and both two types of diabetes mostly with type 1 diabetes (Janghorbani et al. 2007). The higher incidence of stroke subtype in patients with type 1 diabetes may explain by younger age at onset, insulin deficiency, hypertension followed by nephropathy (Hu et al. 2005). Reports from a meta-analysis of 26 prospective studies showed an association between chronic hyperglycemia and increased risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes (Zhang et al. 2012). They found that every 1% increase in glycohemoglobin, was associated with a 15% increase in risk of all-cause mortality, 25% in CVD mortality, 17% in CVD, 15% in CHD, 17% in fatal CHD, 11% in heart failure and 11% in stroke (Zhang et al. 2012). This result was consistent with results from meta-analysis of 10 prospective studies. The only difference was the higher risk of stroke (17%) (Selvin et al. 2004). 2.9. Atrial fibrillation Atrial fibrillation is one of the most common arrhythmias in adults (Guerra et al. 2013). Atrial fibrillation is responsible for 1/6 of all stroke cases (Armaganijan et al. 2012). Atrial fibrillation alone is associated with a 3- to 4-fold increased risk of stroke after adjustment for other vascular risk factors (Goldstein et al. 2006). Fibrillatory activity may occur due to the irregular atrial response to the reentry circuit. Omega 3 long chain PUFA, especially DHA and 12 EPA are constituents of biological membrane and reduce membrane fluorescence anisotropy by increasing cell membrane fluidity, reduce oxidative stress also has direct electrophysiological effect on some of ion channels like sodium and ultra-rapid potassium currents, and the sodium–calcium exchanger (Patti et al. 2006). Any sustainable changes in arterial function defined as atrial remodeling. Atrial fibrillation or heart failure conditions, myocardial infarction, and cardiomyopathy leads to the atrial remodeling. The effect of dietary lipids on arrhythmia has been known from 25 years ago. In 1988 an experimental study on rabbit reported the lowering effect of polyunsaturated alpha-linoleic acid on arrhythmia threshold (McLennan et al. 1988). Experimental study pointed to the effect of PUFA on reducing atrial electrical remodeling also reducing structural changes in the atria (Savelieva et al. 2010). 2.10. Dietary factors 2.10.1 Fat intake Intake of fats has effects on blood lipids, blood pressure, endothelial function and inflammation (Strazzullo et al. 2004). Most of the studies underline the importance of type of fat intake rather than total fat intake (Strazzullo et al. 2004). Association between dietary fat intake and stroke is still inconsistent (Strazzullo et al. 2004). A cohort study done on 43732 men aged 40-75 years and followed up for 14 years did not find an association between intakes of total fat, animal fat, vegetable fat, saturated fat, monounsaturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, trans unsaturated fat intake and risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke (He et al. 2003). Previous studies found a positive association between dietary saturated fatty acid intake and risk of stroke and carotid artery thickness (Tell et al. 1994, Sasaki et al. 1995). However Yamagashi et al., (Zorowitz et al. 2004) found an inverse association. A meta-analysis of 21 cohort studies did not find an association between SFA intake and stroke risk (Siri-Tarino et al. 2010). In a prospective nested case-control study, the positive association between plasma SFA as a biomarker of dietary fatty acids intake and stroke has been mentioned (Iso et al. 2002). 13 Association between serum monounsaturated fatty acids and stroke is inconsistent. Results from multicenter case control study (Ricci et al. 1997) also Framingham Heart Study, a population-based cohort study with 20 years follow up of men (Gillman et al. 1997) found an association between high risk of stroke and low levels of oleic acid in blood cells membrane, however cohort study done by He et al., did not find this association (He et al. 2003) . Cohort study done on 87025 postmenopausal women with 7.6 years follow-up did not find any association between intake of saturated, mono unsaturated and polyunsaturated fatty acids and total stroke or ischemic stroke (Yaemsiri et al. 2012). Framingham study found adverse effect between monounsaturated fatty acids and stroke (Gillman et al. 1997). Other studies could not find association between intake of monounsaturated fatty acids and polyunsaturated fatty acids and stroke (Iso et al. 2001, Iso et al. 2002, He et al. 2003, Iso et al. 2003, Sauvaget et al. 2004, Leosdottir et al. 2007). Linoleic acid is one of the major polyunsaturated fatty acids in human diet with defined effect on total cholesterol and LDL cholesterol (Strazzullo et al. 2004). Two nested case-control studies found inverse association between serum linoleic acid (Iso et al. 2002) and also serum α-linolenic acid (Simon et al. 1995) and risk of stroke. In a US study there was no association between ALA intake and risk of stroke (He et al. 2002). In a Dutch study low ALA intake was associated with increased risk of stroke (de Goede et al. 2011). In a study done by Strazzullo et al., (Strazzullo et al. 2004), serum α-linolenic acid was selected as a biomarker to study the effect of omega-3 PUFA on stroke. Results showed inverse association between serum αlinolenic acid and risk of stroke through decreasing in plaque formation and carotid thickness. 2.10.2 Fish Intake Fish is a good source of protein, selenium, vitamin D, other minerals and vitamins. Fish may contain beneficial components that some of them do not exist in supplements so recommendations are to use fish rather than supplements. Fish intake have not only protective effect on the human body through omega 3 long chain polyunsaturated fatty acids but there may be some damaging effect through some toxic pollutants in fish like methylmercury (MeHg). 14 According to the American Heart Association 2020 report, consumption of at least 2-3.5-oz servings/week of fish, especially oily fish, is good for ideal cardiovascular health. Fish, especially fatty fish, are a prominent source of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA), EPA (20:5n-3) and DHA (22:6n-3) (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). Level of long chain omega-3 PUFA differs among the fish type. Mackerel, salmon, red mullet have the highest content of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (Domingo et al. 2007). Table 1 shows first 10 fish species with high amount of omega-3 PUFA. Circulating DPA level is poorly related to the fish intake and diet but mostly as a metabolite of EPA. There are few studies found inverse association between DHA and chronic diseases (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). Table 1. EPA, DPA, DHA concentration in different fish Fish EPA DPA mg/100g DHA mg/100g mg/100g EPA+DHA mg/100g Anchovy 763 41 1,292 2,055 Herring 909 71 1,105 2.014 Salmon, farmed 862 393 1,104 1,966 Salmon, wild 411 368 1,429 1,840 Mackerel, Atlantic 504 1106 699 1,203 Bluefish 323 79 665 988 Sardines, Atlantic 473 0 509 982 Trout 259 235 677 936 Golden bass (tilefish) 172 143 733 905 Swordfish 127 168 772 899 Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture National Nutrition Database for Standard Reference Release 23, 2010. (U.S. Department of Agriculture 2010) The study in Greenland Eskimos was a pioneer study on the association between fish intake and the low incident of stroke (Bang et al. 1976). Ecological studies found inverse association between long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and ischemic stroke while positive association with hemorrhagic stroke (He et al. 2004). According to the reports from a metaanalysis done on 16 prospective cohort studies, consisting of 402127 individuals aged between 15 30 and 103 years with 10568 incident stroke cases (Xun et al. 2012), a nonlinear association was found between fish intake and stroke. According to the meta-analysis of 15 prospective studies (seven studies were conducted in the United States, 4 in Europe, 3 in Japan, and 1 in China) with 9360 stroke events and 383838 participants, 9 studies reported RR of 0.90 in those with 3 servings fish intake/week for both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Results found weak inverse association between fish intake and risk of stroke (Larsson and Orsini 2011). Different cohort studies found association between long chain omega-3 PUFA intake and lower risk of stroke (Iso et al. 2001, He et al. 2002, Larsson et al. 2012). Cohort study done by Mozaffarian et al., in 65 years or older men and women found that tuna and other fish have inverse association with ischemic stroke however there was not any association with hemorrhagic stroke. Fried fish and fish sandwiches had positive association with total and ischemic stroke also using baked and broiled fish reduces the risk of total and ischemic stroke while fried fish, increased the risk of stroke (Mozaffarian et al. 2005). However a prospective study found conflicting result regard to the association between fish intake and risk of stroke, which may because of methodological differences (Larsson et al. 2011). Methodological differences were mostly because of method of fish preparation (deep fried fish), also fish type (salted fish), which may attenuate all healthy impact of fish consumption (Atkinson et al. 2011, Larsson and Orsini 2011). Cohort study done by Folsom et al, in 41,836 postmenopausal women aged 55–69 years pointed to positive association between the greater fish intake and younger age; greater education, physical activity, alcohol consumption, estrogen use, vitamin use, body mass index, and hypertension. In this study there was not any association between intake of marine omega-3 fatty acids and total mortality also with coronary heart disease and stroke mortality (Folsom and Demissie 2004). Moreover, in a Chinese cohort study (Yuan et al. 2001), prospective population cohort study in the UK (Myint et al. 2006) and in a Finnish study (Montonen et al. 2009) no association were found (Table 2). There are few studies done on the effect of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic (DHA) intake from fish. In a study done by de Goede et al., an inverse association was found 16 between EPA+DHA and fish intake with risk of all subtypes of stroke in women while these associations were not significant in men (de Goede et al. 2012) (Table 2). In a randomized control trial 11,324 patients surviving recent myocardial infarction, results could not find any association between long-chain omega-3 PUFA supplementation and stroke (Gissi 1999). Randomized, double-blind intervention trial done in patients from 11 different dialyses centers in Denmark could not find association between omega 3 supplementation and risk of stroke (Svensson et al. 2006). Randomized control trial done in men and women with 18 years and older in Italy could not find association between stroke and long-chain omega-3 PUFA (Gissi et al. 2008). In a RCT done in France, result could not find any significant association between long chain omega-3 PUFA supplementation and risk of stroke (Galan et al. 2010) (Table 3). Only few studies have used objective biomarkers of fish and long-chain omega-3 PUFA intake as exposure. According to the study done by Mozaffarian et al., among different n3-PUFA biomarkers, DHA and Total n3-PUFA strongly associated to ischemic stroke incident without any association with total and hemorrhagic stroke (Mozaffarian et al. 2013). Cell lipids has effect on cellular functions. Omega 3 PUFA as one of the cell lipids, has effect on molecular and Ion channels also on phospholipids of cell membrane with changing in physiochemical properties of the membrane rafts and caveolae. It resulted to the membrane protein function which may describe anti- inflammatory and anti-arrhythmic effect of omega 3 PUFA. Omega 3 PUFA can effect on the ion channels directly or through the effect on lipid membrane. Animal experimental study showed omega 3 PUFA directly affects myocyte electrophysiology (like changing the function of membrane sodium channel, L-type calcium channel, and sodium–calcium exchanger) and effect on myocyte excitability especially in ischemic cells and trigger arrhythmia (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). There are different mechanisms that describe the beneficial effect of omega 3 PUFA on chronic diseases like CVD (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). There is linear relation between dietary intake of omega 3 PUFA for less than 750 mg/day and decreasing in heart rate, blood pressure and arrhythmia. Reports from population-based observational studies showed inverse associations between high intake of fish or polyunsaturated fatty acids through fish 17 consumption and blood pressure in general population and in healthy, non-hypertensive participants (Pauletto et al. 1996, Mozaffarian et al. 2006, Virtanen et al. 2012). Randomized control trials could not find the association between omega-3 supplementation and all causes mortality, cardiac death and stroke (Rizos et al. 2012). Also, meta-analysis of 8 prospective studies could not find any significant association between omega-3 supplements and stroke (Larsson et al. 2012). Possible mechanism for decreasing HR and arrhythmia is increase in myocardial efficiency, left ventricular diastolic filling and autonomic function. Decrease in systematic vascular resistance and endothelial dysfunction and increase in vasodilatory response and arterial wall compliance and decrease in endothelial dysfunction and systemic vascular resistance are the possible mechanism to reduce blood pressure. The possible mechanism for decrease in thrombosis are decrease in production of arachidonic acid derived eicosanoids (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). Intake of higher dose (at least up to 7g/d) has linear relation with decreasing triglyceride production. The beneficial effect of omega 3 PUFA on thrombosis is just in the format of high supplementary intake (more than 4 g/d) (Goldstein et al. 2011). There are consistent results in association between fish consumption and coronary heart disease in different studies while there is inconsistency between results of randomized control trials and meta-analysis of cohort studies in regard to the association between fish consumption and risk of stroke (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). This inconsistency may occur because of some residual confounding in the observational studies, inadequate statistical power in trials or insufficient follow up time in trials, or because of beneficial components exist in fish and not in fish oil (Mozaffarian and Wu 2011). 18 Table 2. Characteristics of prospective cohort studies of dietary fish or long-chain omega-3 PUFA intake, circulating long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid levels and risk of stroke study Study name No of Age participants Follow Exposure Categories up, y Outcome (No. RR (95 % RR (95 % RR (95 % CI) of Events) CI) CI) for highest vs. for for highest lowest category highest vs. for vs. lowest hemorrhagic lowest category for stroke category Ischemic for total stroke stroke Fish intake Larsson et al 2011 Fish consumption and Swedish Mammography 34670 49-83 10.4 < 1serving/week Total stroke = 0.72 0.87 (0.73- 0.67 (0.42- risk of stroke in Swedish 1-1.4 Serving/week 1680 (0.57- 1.04) 1.08) women 1.5-2 Serving/week Ischemic 0.92) Cohort 2.1-3 Serving/week stroke = 1310 (Larsson and >3 Serving/week Hemorrhagic Orsini 2011) stroke = 137 Unclassified stroke = 125 Montonen et al 2009 Finland (Montonen et al. 2009) Fish consumption and the incidence of cerebrovascular disease 3958 40-79 28 6 (median g/day) Total stroke = 1.01 0.99 (0.73- 1.23 (0.63- 18 (median g/day) 659 (0.81- 1.35) 2.42) 32 (median g/day) Ischemic 1.27) 72 (median g/day) stroke = 364 Hemorrhagic 19 stroke = 120 Unclassified stroke = 175 Myint et al, 2006 Habitual fish Norfolk, UK <1 portion/week Total stroke = Women: consumption and risk of 1-2 portion/week 421 0.86 cohort of the incident stroke: the >2 portion/week European European Prospective Prospective Investigation into Cancer Investigation into (EPIC)-Norfolk Men: 1.34 Cancer prospective population (0.93- study 2.93) Mozaffarian et al., Fish Consumption and 2005 (Mozaffarian et al. 24312 40-79 8.5 - - - (0.601.24) 4775 65-98 12 Once/mo Total stroke = 0.72 0.68 (0.48- Stroke Risk in Elderly 1-3 times/mo 626 (0.53- 0.95) Individuals: 1-4 times/week Ischemic 0.98) ≥ 5times/week stroke = 529 2005) Hemorrhagic stroke = 65 Unclassified stroke = 32 Folsom et al., Fish intake, marine 2004, The Iowa 41836 55-69 14 < 0.5 serving/week Total stroke = 1.06 omega-3 fatty acids, and 0.5-1.0 313 (0.67- Women’s Health mortality in a cohort of serving/week Study cohort postmenopausal women 1.0-1.5 French serving/week (Folsom and 1.5-2.5 Demissie 2004) serving/week 1.67) - - 20 >2.5 serving/week He et al 2002 Fish consumption and Health risk of stroke in men 43671 40-75 12 < once/month Total stroke = 0.83 0.54(0.31- 1.55 (0.45- 1-3 times/month 608 (0.53- 0.94) 5.35) Professional once/week Ischemic 1.29) Follow-Up Study 2-4 times/week stroke = 377 USA > 5 times/week Hemorrhagic (He et al. 2002) stroke = 106 Unclassified stroke = 125 Iso et al 2001 Intake of fish and Nurses’ Health Study 79 839 34-59 14 < once/mo Total stroke = 0.72 0.67 (0.42- Could not find omega-3 fatty acids and 1-3 times/mo 574 (0.53- 1.07) association risk of stroke in women once/week Ischemic 0.99) USA 2-4 times/week stroke = 303 (Iso et al. 2002) > 5 times/week Hemorrhagic - - stroke = 181 Yuan et al 2001 Fish and shellfish Shanghai, China (Yuan et al. 2001) 18244 45-64 12 <30 (g/week) Total stroke = 1.05 consumption in relation 30<60 (g/week) 480 (0.77- to death from myocardial 60<100 (g/week) infarction among men in 100<150(g/week) Shanghai, China ≥150(g/week) 1.43) EPA+DHA Women 1 Total stroke = Women: Women: Women: 0.45 Associations of Marine Q1 < 57 mg/d 221 0.49 0.62 (0.29- (0.14–1.42) n-3 Fatty Acids Q2 57–106 mg/day Ischemic (0.27- 1.35) de Goede et al., Gender-Specific 20121 (de Goede et al. 20069 20-65 8-13 21 2012) and Fish Consumption Q3 107–188 mg/day stroke = 142 0.91) with 10-Year Incidence Q4 > 188 mg/day Hemorrhagic of Stroke Men stroke = 47 Men: 0.87 Q1< 66 mg/day Unclassified (0.51- Q2 66-118 mg/day stroke = 32 1.48) Men: 0.28 Men: 0.85 (0.05–1.46) (0.45-1.60) Q3 119-198 mg/day Q4 > 199 mg/day He et al 2002 Fish consumption and Health risk of stroke in men 43671 40-75 12 < 0.05 g/day Total stroke = 0.73(0.43- 1.14 (0.34- 0.05 < 0.2 g/day 608 1.25) 3.84) Professional 0.2 < 0.4 g/day Ischemic Follow-Up Study 0.4 < 0.6 g/day stroke = 377 USA ≥ 0.6 g/day Hemorrhagic - - - - (He et al. 2002) stroke = 106 Unclassified stroke = 125 Yuan et al 2001 Fish and shellfish <0.27 g/week Total stroke = 1.01 Shanghai, China consumption in relation 18244 45-64 12 0.27–0.43 g/week 480 (0.75- (Yuan et al. 2001) to death from myocardial 0.44–0.72 g/week infarction among men in 0.73–1.09 g/week Shanghai, China ≥ 1.10 g/week 1.33) circulating long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acid levels Mozaffarian et al., Plasma phospholipid 2013 (Mozaffarian et al. 2,692 75±5 1 to 5 Total stroke = 406 EPA: 1.09 EPA: 0.70 long-chain ω-3 fatty Ischemic stroke = (0.76–1.57) (0.30– acids and total and 319 DHA: 0.74 1.67) 22 2013) cause-specific mortality Hemorrhagic stroke (0.50–1.10) DHA: in older adults: a cohort = 65 DPA: 0.78 1.24 study. Unclassified stroke (0.55–1.10) (0.52– = 22 2.94) DPA: 0.66 (0.32– 1.35) 1 According to the EPA, DHA intake 23 Table 3. Characteristics of RCT studies of dietary long-chain omega-3 PUFA intake and risk of total stroke Study, country Intervention Galan et al., omega-3 EPA, DHA, Vitamin E, dose, g/d g/d g/d mg/d 0.6 0.4 0.2 - Control Placebo Duration, No of participants, HR (95 y Treatment/Control % CI) 4.7 1253/1248 1.04 (SU.FOL.OM3) (0.62- 2010, (France) 1.75) (Galan et al. 2010) Gissi et al., , 2008, 850-882 mg 1 (Italy) EPA+ DHA (0.89– (Gissi et al. 2008) (ratio: 1:1.2) 1.51) Svensson et al., Omacor (45% 2006, (Denmark) EPA, 37.5% (Svensson et al. DHA) 1.7 - 0.77 - 0.64 - - Placebo Placebo (olive 3.9 2 3494/3481 103/103 oil) 1.16 2.23 (0.588.46) 2006) Gissi et al., 1999, 850-882 mg (Italy) EPA+ DHA (Gissi 1999) (ratio: 1:1.2) 1 - - 300 Placebo 3.5 PUFA intake 2836 1.30 /2828 (0.871.96) Vitamin E intake: 2830/2828 24 2.11. Pollutants and stroke Mercury (Hg) is a heavy metal. Elemental or metallic Hg, inorganic and organic Hg are three forms of Hg. Hg is produced by burning fossil fuels, industrial waste, volcano, municipal waste combustion and gold mining. It is a volatile metal and can remain in the atmosphere for about one year (Virtanen et al. 2007). Methylmercury (MeHg) is a highly toxic form of Hg which bioaccumulates in the fish and marine mammals (100% of Hg in fish is in the format of MeHg) (Roman et al. 2011). MeHg level will be higher in older and predatory fish like sharks, tuna, swordfish and pike (Virtanen et al. 2007) (Table 4). Table 4. Mercury levels in selected fish Species Mercury concentration (mg/kg) Mean Range Reference Burbot 0.22–0.26 0.20–0.37 (E.-R. Venalainen) Catfish 0.05 ND–0.31 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Cod 0.10–0.11 ND–0.42 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Herring 0.04 ND–0.14 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Mackerel, king 0.73 0.23–1.67 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Perch, 0.14 ND–0.31 freshwater (E.-R. Venalainen) and (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Perch, ocean ND ND–0.03 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental 25 Protection Agency) Pike 0.38–0.40 0.15–0.85 (E.-R. Venalainen) Pike–perch 0.11–0.30 0.06–0.37 (E.-R. Venalainen) Pollock 0.04 ND–0.78 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Salmon 0.01–0.07 ND–0.19 and (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Sardine 0.02 0.004–0.35 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Shrimp ND ND–0.05 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Shark 0.99 ND–4.54 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Swordfish 0.98 ND–3.22 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Tilefish 1.45 0.65–3.73 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Trout, 0.07 ND–0.68 freshwater (E.-R. Venalainen) and (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) Tuna 0.38 ND–1.30 (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) 26 Whitefish 0.03–0.08 ND–0.31 (E.-R. Venalainen) and (US Department of Health and Human Services and US Environmental Protection Agency) ND=mercury concentration below the detection level (0.01 mg/kg) (Virtanen et al. 2007) MeHg is metabolized to inorganic Hg and is excreted via feces slowly, so the half-life of MeHg in human body is 70-80 days (Virtanen et al. 2007). Hg is converted to MeHg in the water-sources by microorganisms’ reaction. MeHg exposure leads to oxidative stress and production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) which can lead to blockage of arteries and have a negative effect on central nervous system (CNS) and also increase risk of CVD, arrhythmias, hypertension and ischemia (Salonen et al. 1995, Virtanen et al. 2005, Virtanen et al. 2007, Roman et al. 2011). Hg has high affinity to the sulfhydryl groups, which inactive enzymatic reaction, sulfur containing antioxidants also sulfur amino acids and leads to decreasing oxidative defense reaction and also endothelial dysfunction (Virtanen et al. 2005, Houston 2011). Some studies found association between MeHg and oxidized low density lipoprotein (LDL) (Salonen et al. 1995). Hg exposure may induce hypertension through inactivation of catecholamine-0-methyl transferase, which leads to elevating rate of epinephrine, norepinephrine and dopamine in urine and serum (Houston 2011). However, recent prospective cohort studies have not found an association between mercury exposure and blood pressure (Mozaffarian et al. 2012, Virtanen et al. 2012). Some studies suggest a protective effect of selenium in fish which can attenuate the negative effect of MeHg by binding to Hg and making seleno-mercury complex which is less toxic (Houston 2011). KIHD was the pioneer study on the association between MeHg exposure and risk of CVD in middle-aged men (Virtanen et al. 2005). MeHg can attenuate the positive effect of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (Virtanen et al. 2005, Wennberg et al. 2012). Result from prospective population-based study found that high mercury will attenuate the beneficial effect of fish on cardiovascular health (Virtanen et al. 2005) while cohort study done by Mozaffarian et al., could not find any association (Mozaffarian et al. 2011). Also result from cohort study 27 done in US could not find any significant association between hair mercury and risk of stroke (Mozaffarian et al. 2011). There is few information available regard to Hg and stroke risk. 3. Aims The aim of this study is to investigate the association between serum long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, hair Hg and risk of stroke in middle-aged and older men. 4. Subjects, participants and methods 4.1 Study population KIHD is a population based, randomly selected sample of men from eastern Finland. It has been designed to explore the associations between risk factors and risk of CVD, atherosclerosis, stroke and other chronic diseases (Salonen 1988). The baseline examinations were performed in 1984–1989 (Salonen 1988). A total of 2682 men who were 42, 48, 54 or 60 years old at baseline (82.9 % of those eligible) were recruited in two cohorts. The first cohort consisted of 1166 men who were 54 years old, enrolled between 1984 and 1986, and the second cohort included 1516 men who were 42, 48, 54 or 60 years old, enrolled between 1986 and 1989. During the years 1998-2001 all men from the second cohort were invited to the 11year re-examinations of the study, and 854 men (85.6%) participated. The KIHD study protocol was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the University of Kuopio and complies with the Declaration of Helsinki. All subjects gave written informed consent for participation. Subjects with history of CHD at baseline (n= 677) and history of stroke at baseline (n=32) or with missing data on dietary intakes (n=23), serum long-chain n-3 PUFA (n =122), hair mercury (n= 14) were excluded, leaving 1814 men. 4.2 Serum fatty acids measurements 28 Serum esterified and non-esterified fatty acids were specified in one gas chromatographic run without pre separation as described (Laaksonen et al. 2002). Chloroform-methanol used to extract serum fatty acids. Quantification done with reference standards purchased from NuCheck Prep Inc. (MN, USA). Each analyte had specified reference standard and recovery of analytes was confirmed with an internal standard eicosan (arachidic acid C20H40O2). Fatty acids were chromatographed in an NB-351 capillary column (HNU-Nordion, Helsinki, Finland) by a Hewlett-Packard 5890 Series II gas chromatograph (Hewlett-Packard Company, Avondale, Pa, USA, since 1999 Agilent Technologies Inc., USA) with a flame ionization detector. The coefficient of variation (CV) for repeated measurements of major esterified fatty acids was about 5%. Because the relative degree of saturation of fatty acids varies among esterified fatty acid types (i.e., cholesterol esters, phospholipids, and triglycerides), the esterified fatty acid concentrations were adjusted for serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglyceride concentrations. The CV for major nonesterified fatty acids was about 15%. No adjustment was conducted for nonesterified fatty acids. Results were obtained in mmol/L. Sum of EPA (20:5n-3), docosapentaenoic acid (DPA, 22:5n-3) and DHA (22:6n-3) considered as total long-chain n-3 PUFA. 4.3 Other Measurements The subjects gave fasting blood samples between 8 and 10AM on the baseline examinations in 1998-2001. They were instructed to abstain from ingesting alcohol for three days and from smoking and eating for 12 hours prior to giving sample. Detailed descriptions of the determination of blood glucose, (Salonen 1988) assessment of medical history and medications, (Salonen 1988) family history of diseases, (Salonen 1988) smoking,(Salonen 1988) and alcohol consumption, (Salonen 1988) have been published. Diabetes was defined as self-reported diabetes mellitus or fasting blood glucose of 6.7 mmol/L or more. Education was assessed in years by using self-administrated questionnaire. Physical activity was assessed using the KIHD 12-Month Leisure-Time Physical Activity Questionnaire (Lakka et al. 1994). Body mass index (BMI) was computed as the ratio of weight in kilograms to the square of height in meters. Dietary intake of foods and nutrients was assessed at the time of blood sampling using 4-day food recording (Voutilainen et al. 2001). Mercury in hair was 29 determined by flow injection analysis-cold vapor atomic absorption spectrometry and amalgamation, as described (Salonen et al. 1995). 4.4 Ascertainment of follow-up events Incident strokes between years 1984-1992 were observed through FINMONICA stroke register, Information regarding the stroke incident between years 1993 and 2004 was collected through computerized linkage to the national hospital discharge registry. The diagnosis of stroke was based on sudden onset of clinical signs or focal or global disturbance of cerebral function lasting 24 hours (except in the case of sudden death or if interrupted by surgical intervention) with no apparent cause other than a vascular origin. Each suspected stroke (International Classification of Diseases [ICD]-9 codes 430_439 and ICD-10 codes I60–I68 and G45–G46) was classified into 1) a definite stroke, 2) no stroke, or 3) an unclassifiable event. The FIN-MONICA stroke register data were annually rechecked with the data obtained from the computerized national hospital discharge and death registers. Definite strokes and unclassifiable events were included in the group of any stroke. Each definite stroke was classified into 1) an ischemic stroke (ICD-9 codes 433 434; ICD-10 code I63) or 2) a hemorrhagic stroke (ICD-9 codes 430 431; ICD-10 codes I60–I61). If the subject had multiple nonfatal strokes during follow-up, the first stroke was considered as the end point. CT was performed in 90% of the patients by 1993, and CT, MRI, and autopsy reached 100% by 1997. Every resident of Finland has a unique personal identifier that is used in registers. There were no losses to follow-up (Karppi et al. 2012). 4.5 Statistical analysis Subjects were divided into quartiles according to the mean serum omega 3 PUFA (0-0.64, 0.65-1.26, 1.27-2.50, 2.51-15.67 % of all serum fatty acids) and the mean mercury content in hair (1.70-3.63, 3.63-4.34, 4.34-5.34, 5.34-15.59 µg/g of hair). The univariate relationships between serum EPA + DPA + DHA and hair mercury and baseline characteristics were assessed by means and linear regression (for continuous variables) or χ2 tests (for categorical variables). Three different models were used. First model was adjusted by age and examination year. In the second model, body mass index; smoking; physical activity; alcohol 30 intake were also adjusted for. Further adjusted on systolic blood pressure; diabetes; HDL cholesterol; LDL cholesterol; serum triglyceride; C - reactive protein was done in third model. Three different models were conducted to find out about the effect of different variables which may have the role as a confounders or modifier on the association between exposure and outcome. Associations between serum long chain PUFA, hair mercury content and stroke were analyzed using Cox regression models. Cohort mean was used to replace missing values in covariates (< 0.5%). Tests of linear trend were conducted by assigning the median values for each category of exposure variable and treating those as a single continuous variable. All P values were two-tailed (α = 0.05). Data were analyzed using SPSS 21.0 for Windows (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL). 5. Results 5.1 Baseline characteristics There were no significant differences between serum long chain PUFA concentrations in those who had a stroke and those who did not (Table 5). In contrast, hair MeHg content was higher in those who had a stroke in comparison to those who did not have a stroke. 141 cases of first strokes were identified, 107 cases out of 141 cases were ischemic stroke. At baseline, men with higher serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA concentration had a higher income, education, leisure-time physical activity, BMI, alcohol intake, serum LDL cholesterol, serum HDL cholesterol and hair mercury concentration and lower serum triglyceride concentration. They were also less likely to live in a rural area and smoke (Table 6). Men with higher hair mercury concentration were older; had a lower education, physical activity, income, and serum triglyceride concentrations; and had higher BMI, alcohol intake, serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA, HDL and LDL concentrations, and higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure. They were also more likely to live in a rural area and smoke (Table 7). 5.2 Association between serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA and risk of stroke 31 During the average follow-up of 16.1 years, 141 men (7.7%) developed stroke. Of all strokes, 115 were ischemic strokes. After adjusted for age and year of examination (model 1 in Table 8), higher serum long chain polyunsaturated fatty acids concentration was not statistically significantly associated with ischemic stroke and total stroke. Further multivariate adjustments did not have an appreciable effect on the association (Models 2& 3 in Table 8). Further adjustment for hair mercury slightly strengthened the association (RR in the highest quartile of total serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA 0.84, 95% CI 0.51-1.34, P for trend=0.55). There were no statistically significant associations when the individual fatty acids were evaluated separately (Table 8). The mean hair mercury concentration was 1.90 ug/g (SD 1.95). After adjusted for age and year of examination the risk of stroke in the highest vs. the lowest hair Hg quartile was increased by 59% [95% CI 0-154%, P for trend=0.01] (Model 1 in Table 9). Additional adjustments slightly attenuated the associations (Models 2&3 in Table 9). The associations were attenuated and not statistically significant, when only ischemic strokes were included in the analyses (Table 9). Table 5. Mean baseline concentrations of serum total long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and hair mercury in those who experienced stroke and those who did not during the follow-up. Participants with Participants without P value stroke during follow- stroke during follow- up (n = 141), mean up (n = 1673), mean (SD) (SD) DHA, % 2.4 (0.7) 2.5 (0.7) 0.8 EPA, % 1.7 (0.8) 1.7 (0.9) 0.9 DPA, % 0.5 (0.1) 0.5 (0.1) 0.3 32 Total omega 3 4.7 (1.6) 4.7 (1.6) 0.9 2.2 (1.9) 1.9 (1.9) 0.05 PUFA, % Hairhg, ug/g 33 Table 6. Baseline characteristics according to serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA concentration Serum Omega 3 PUFA, % P value Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 (0-0.64) (0.65-1.26) (1.27- (2.51- 2.50) 15.67) Number of subjects 453 454 454 453 - Age (y) 52.2 (5.6) 52.1 (5.4) 52.6 (5.0) 52.7 (5.2) 0.05 Education (y) 8.9 (3.3) 8.7 (3.4) 8.8 (3.5) 9.6 (4.0) < 0.001 Marital status, married (%) 85 87 85 91 0.06 Living in rural area (%) 30 28 28 25 0.40 Leisure-time physical activity (kcal/d) 134 (171) 132 (155) 132 (146) 153 (196) 0.07 Body mass index (kg/m2) 26.6 (3.5) 26.5 (3.3) 27 (3.5) 27 (3.5) 0.03 Current smoker (%) 31 28 28 25 0.27 Diabetes (%) 5 3 5 5 0.26 Family history of stroke (%) 21 20 22 18 0.32 Hypertension medication before stroke (%) 70 70 67 68 0.76 Alcohol intake (g/wk) 55 (90) 62 (93) 85 (136) 85 (127) < 0.001 Serum LDL, mmol/l 3.8 (0.3) 4.0 (0.9) 4.1 (1.0) 4.1 (1.0) < 0.001 Serum HDL, mmol/l 1.2 (0.3) 1.3 (0.3) 1.3 (0.3) 1.4 (0.3) < 0.001 Serum TG, mmol/l 1.5 (0.9) 1.3 (0.8) 1.1 (0.6) 1.0 (0.5) < 0.001 Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 135 (17) 134 (16) 134 (16) 134 (17) 0.98 Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 90 (11) 89 (10) 89 (10) 89 (11) 0.97 Hairhg, ug/g 1.2 (1.3) 1.6 (1.7) 2.2 (2) 2.7 (2.3) < 0.001 Income, Euros 13344 13833(9083 14162 15784 < 0.001 (7869) ) (10070) (10360) 34 Table 7. Baseline characteristics according to hair mercury concentration Hair Hg, ug/g P value Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 (1.70-3.63) (3.63-4.34) (4.34-5.34) (5.3415.59) Number of subjects 452 454 456 452 - Age (y) 51.0 (5.7) 51.8 (5.8) 52.8 (4.9) 54.0 (4.4) < 0.001 Education (y) 9.7 (3.6) 9.6 (3.9) 8.8 (3.5) 7.8 (3) < 0.001 Marital status, married (%) 86 91 87 84 0.12 Living in rural area (%) 24 22 28 38 < 0.001 Leisure-time physical activity (kcal/d) 154 (186) 143 (190) 134 (149) 120 (141) < 0.001 Body mass index (kg/m2) 26.3 (3.2) 26.6 (3.3) 27.0 (3.6) 27.0 (3.7) < 0.001 Current smoker (%) 25 25 26 36 < 0.001 Diabetes (%) 4 4 5 5 0.58 Family history of stroke (%) 21 19 21 21 0.85 Hypertension medication before stroke 74 66 66 70 0.05 Alcohol intake (g/wk) 60 (112) 73 (106) 76 (129) 78 (106) 0.05 Serum LDL, mmol/l 3.8 (0.9) 3.9 (0.9) 4.0 (1) 4.3 (1) < 0.001 Serum HDL, mmol/l 1.2 (0.9) 1.3 (0.3) 1.3 (0.3) 1.3 (0.3) < 0.001 Serum TG, mmol/l 1.3 (0.8) 1.2 (0.7) 1.3 (0.9) 1.2 (0.6) 0.01 EPA, % 1.3 (0.6) 1.6 (0.8) 1.7 (0.8) 2.1 (1.1) < 0.001 DHA, % 2.2 (0.6) 2.4 (0.6) 2.5 (0.7) 2.7 (0.8) < 0.001 DPA, % 0.5 (0.1) 0.5 (0.1) 0.6 (0.1) 0.6 (0.1) < 0.001 Total omega 3 PUFA, % 4.0 (1.2) 4.5 (1.4) 4.8 (1.4) 5.4 (1.9) <0.001 Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 134 (17) 134 (16) 133 (16) 136 (16) 0.04 Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 89.0 (10) 89.0 (10) 88.5 (11) 90.0 (10) 0.35 Income Euros 15267 15148 14649 12012 < 0.001 (10033) (8617) (10260) (9428) (%) 35 Table 8. Risk of incident total stroke and ischemic stroke in quartiles of serum long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids Serum long-chain Omega-3 PUFA, % 1 P value for trend Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 All stroke cases, (n=141) Total serum long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids < 3.22 3.22-3.98 3.99-4.77 > 4.77 No. of cases 36 29 38 38 Model 1 1(referent) 0.76(0.46-1.24) 1.03 (0.651.64) Model 2 1(referent) 0.77(0.47-1.26) 1.02(0.641.61) Model 3 1(referent) 0.78(0.48-1.28) 0.99(0.61- 0.99 (0.63- 0.70 1.56) 0.96(0.60- 0.86 1.52) 0.91(0.56- 1.60) 1.48) 0.93 EPA < 0.92 0.92-1.27 1.28-1.67 > 1.67 No. of cases 32 31 35 43 Model 1 1(referent) 0.93 (0.56- 1.02 (0.63- 1.30(0.81- 1.52) 1.66) 2.07) 0.96 (0.58- 1.02 (0.63- 1.20 (0.77- 1.58) 1.66) 1.99) 0.93 (0.56- 0.99 (0.60- 1.16 (0.70- 1.55) 1.65) 1.93) Model 2 Model 3 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.17 0.28 0.43 DHA < 1.70 1.70-2.16 2.17-2.55 > 2.55 No. of cases 35 29 37 40 Model 1 1(referent) 0.80 (0.49- 1.05 (0.66- 1.08 (0.69- 1.31) 1.66) 1.71) 0.49 36 Model 2 Model 3 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.78 (0.48- 1.00 (0.63- 1.03 (0.65- 1.28) 1.60) 1.64) 0.71 (0.43- 0.94 (0.58- 0.95 (0.59- 1.17) 1.52) 1.55) 0.63 0.80 DPA < 0.44 0.44-0.51 0.52-0.58 > 0.58 No. of cases 27 26 29 25 Model 1 1(referent) 0.92 (0.59- 0.96 (0.61- 0.70 (0.43- 1.45) 1.50) 1.14) 1.00 (0.63- 1.05 (0.67- 0.79 (0.48- 1.58) 1.65) 1.29) 1.05 (0.66- 1.12 (0.70- 0.81 (0.49- 1.66) 1.78) 1.34) Model 2 Model 3 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.19 0.41 0.49 Ischemic stroke, (n = 107 ) Total serum long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids < 3.22 3.22-3.98 3.99-4.77 > 4.77 No. of cases 29 21 26 31 Model 1 1(referent) 0.68(0.39-1.20) 0.87(0.511.47) Model 2 1(referent) 0.70(0.40-1.22) 0.86(0.501.47) Model 3 1(referent) 0.70(0.39-1.23) 0.82(0.47- 1.00 (0.60- 0.66 1.67) 0.99(0.59- 0.73 1.65) 0.91(0.53- 1.43) 1.58) 0.96 EPA <0.92 0.92-1.27 1.28-1.67 > 1.67 No. of cases 24 23 27 33 Model 1 1(referent) 0.91 (0.52- 1.04 (0.60- 1.32 (0.77- 1.62) 1.82) 2.25) 0.97 (0.54- 1.06 (0.61- 1.30 (0.76- 1.72) 1.85) 2.40) Model 2 1(referent) 0.20 0.26 37 Model 3 1(referent) 0.94 (0.53- 1.02 (0.57- 1.22 (0.69- 1.70) 1.82) 2.18) 0.39 DHA < 1.70 1.70-2.16 2.17-2.55 > 2.55 No. of cases 28 20 29 30 Model 1 1(referent) 0.69 (0.39- 1.02 (0.61- 1.02 (0.61- 1.22) 1.72) 1.70) 0.68 (0.38- 0.98 (0.58- 0.97 (0.57- 1.21) 1.66) 1.64) 0.62 (0.35- 0.91 (0.53- 0.87 (0.50- 1.11) 1.56) 1.51) Model 2 Model 3 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.63 0.77 0.99 DPA < 0.44 0.44-0.51 0.52-0.58 > 0.58 No. of cases 27 26 29 25 Model 1 1(referent) 0.97 (0.57- 1.06 (0.63- 0.92 (0.53- 1.66) 1.80) 1.59) 1.05 (0.61- 1.16 (0.68- 1.05 (0.60- 1.82) 1.98) 1.83) 1.10 (0.64- 1.24 (0.72- 1.08 (0.61- 1.91) 2.14) 1.90) Model 2 Model 3 1 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.85 0.78 0.72 Values in the models are relative risk (RRs) and 95% CIs (in parentheses). Model 1: adjusted for age and examination year. Model 2: adjusted for Model 1 plus body mass index; smoking; physical activity; alcohol intake; Model 3: adjusted for Model 2 plus systolic blood pressure; diabetes; HDL cholesterol; LDL cholesterol; serum triglyceride; C-Reactive Protein (each in quintiles). 38 Table 9. Risk of incident total stroke and ischemic stroke in quartiles of hair mercury HairHg, ug/g 1 P value for trend Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 (< 3.63) (3.63-4.34) (4.35-5.34) (> 5.34) All stroke cases (n=141) No. of cases 25 24 21 37 Model 1 1(referent) 0.95(0.57- 1.00 (0.60- 1.59 (1.00- 1.59) 1.66) 2.54) 0.92 (0.55- 0.94 (0.56- 1.46 (0.91- 1.55) 1.57) 2.36) 0.94 (0.56- 1.00 (0.60- 1.47 (0.90- 1.57) 1.68) 2.41) Model 2 Model 3 1(referent) 1(referent) 0.01 0.03 0.04 Ischemic stroke (n = 107 ) No. of cases 29 21 26 31 Model 1 1 (referent) 0.91 (0.52- 0.74 (0.41- 1.29 (0.77- 1.59) 1.34) 2.18) 0.90 (0.51- 0.71 (0.40- 1.24 (0.73- 1.58) 1.29) 2.11) 0.92 (0.52- 0.76 (0.42- 1.24 (0.72- 1.62) 1.37) 2.14) Model 2 Model 3 1 1 (referent) 1 (referent) 0.17 0.22 0.26 Values in the models are relative risk (RRs) and 95% CIs (in parentheses). Model 1: adjusted for age and examination year. Model 2: adjusted for Model 1 plus body mass index; smoking; physical activity; alcohol intake; 39 Model 3: adjusted for Model 2 plus systolic blood pressure; diabetes; HDL cholesterol; LDL cholesterol; serum triglyceride; C-Reactive Protein (each in quintiles). 6. Discussion Results from this population based cohort study suggest that a higher serum concentration of long-chain n-3 PUFA, mainly reflecting fatty fish consumption in this study population, does not have any association with total stroke and ischemic stroke. The results from this study suggest that exposure to methylmercury has a direct association with the risk of total stroke but not with the risk of ischemic stroke. Although we did not evaluate the association between methylmercury and hemorrhagic stroke separately due to the low number of participants with hemorrhagic stroke, the lower risk of ischemic stroke compared to the risk of total stroke suggests that methylmercury exposure increases especially the risk of hemorrhagic stroke. Some studies have pointed to the long-chain omega-3 PUFA as a risk factor for hemorrhagic stroke. Long-chain omega-3 PUFA have an effect on platelet aggregation (Park et al. 2009). Study done by Park et al. pointed to the positive association between EPA + DHA and hemorrhagic stroke in rat brains (Park et al. 2009). This effect has not been confirmed in humans. Few studies have evaluated the positive association between long-chain omega-3 PUFA and risk of hemorrhage and bleeding disorders. However, none of them have considered the effect of high intake of long-chain omega-3 PUFA on increased bleeding through oxidative stress (Park et al. 2009). Although we did not have enough cases to study the association between serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA and risk of hemorrhagic strokes separately, it seems unlikely that there is an association because the associations with total and ischemic strokes were similar. Previously in this study population higher serum concentration of total long-chain omega-3 PUFA has been associated with lower systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure (Virtanen et al. 2012), CRP (Reinders et al. 2012), SCD (Virtanen et al. 2012), CHD and CVD (Virtanen et al. 2005) and also with the risk of atrial fibrillation (Virtanen et al. 2009). Atrial fibrillation is a common cardiac arrhythmia, and it is considered as one of the most important risk factors for stroke. Atrial fibrillation reduces the cardiac output and reduces 40 the cerebral blood flow, which has effect on stroke incident (Wolf et al. 1991). Atrial fibrillation can also significantly increase the frequency of blood clots that are transported into the carotid arteries by alteration in cardiac hemodynamics (Choi et al. 2013). However, inspite of the inverse association with the risk of atrial fibrillation, serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA do not seem to decrease the risk of stroke in this study population. The results of this study are consistent with the result from previous meta-analysis (Larsson and Orsini 2011, Xun et al. 2012) and with other cohort studies (Yuan et al. 2001, Folsom and Demissie 2004, Myint et al. 2006, Montonen et al. 2009), which could not find any inverse association between omega-3 PUFA and risk of stroke. However, opposite results have also been found (Iso et al. 2001, He et al. 2002, Larsson et al. 2011). The possible mechanism of the effect of fish consumption on stroke, especially ischemic stroke, could be explained by the effect of long-chain omega-3 PUFA from fatty fish. Omega-3 fatty acids from fatty fish influences blood pressure, lipid levels, inflammatory responses, red blood cell deformability, endothelial cell function, and cerebral arteriolar reactivity (Agren et al. 1990, Ellis et al. 1992, Knapp 1996, Nestel 2000). Each of these effects, separately or in combination, may plausibly reduce risk of ischemic stroke (Mozaffarian et al. 2005). Although each of these effects can have a role on reducing risk of ischemic stroke, this population cohort study could not find any beneficial effect of total serum long-chain n-3 PUFA or individual fatty acids separately with risk of stroke. Unlike with the other cardiovascular outcomes in this study cohort, high exposure to Hg does not seem to be the explanation, because adjustment for Hg only slightly strengthened the associations. Mozafarrian et al., explained the physiological effects and molecular pathways of n-3 PUFA that might influence CVD risk (Wu and Mozaffarian 2014). Omega 3 PUFA has effect on different physiological functions in different tissues, including heart, liver, vasculature, and circulating cells. Experimental studies show that n-3 PUFA has effect on cardiac electrophysiology, which could contribute to decrease in heart rate and arrhythmic risk (Wu and Mozaffarian 2014). n-3 PUFA reduce plasma triglyceride through decreasing very lowdensity lipoprotein production in liver and increasing fatty acid beta-oxidation (Wu and Mozaffarian 2014). Blood pressure-lowering effect of n-3 PUFA is a result of reduced 41 systemic vascular resistance, which improves endothelial dysfunction, wall compliance, and vasodilatory responses. Physicochemical properties of cellular membranes are influenced by their lipid composition. n-3 PUFA have protective effect on CVD (Wu and Mozaffarian 2014) through its role on membrane fluidity, ion channels function and gene expression via nuclear receptors and transcription factors. There are no comprehensive studies in regard to the effects on risk factors, molecular pathways, of protective effect of omega-3 PUFA and stroke. Although most of the risk factors for CVD and stroke are similar, we could not find any association between omega 3 PUFA and stroke. We used hair mercury as a reliable marker of long-term exposure (World Health Organization 1990) . This study found a direct association between hair methylmercury content and risk of total stroke, which contradicts the null findings from the only previous study done by Mozaffarian et al (Mozaffarian et al. 2011). Several explanations may explain the conflicting results. Higher mercury level in the KIHD population could explain the different study findings. In the US cohort study the mean toenail mercury concentration was 0.44 µg/g in the male controls, corresponding to about 1.2 µg/g in hair (Mozaffarian et al. 2012). In our study the mean hair mercury concentration is 1.9 µg/g. Thus, in lower concentrations mercury may not have any adverse effects and higher levels of exposure are needed for the adverse effects. Also the effects of other factors, like dietary antioxidants and selenium, or differences in the genetic-based defenses, may explain the conflicting study findings. Hair methylmercury could also be a marker of other factors with possible effect on stroke risk. As seen in the Table 7, high hair mercury concentration has associated with stroke risk factors, such as systolic blood pressure, serum TG, body mass index. Other factors or residual confounding possibly can explain at least partly the higher risk in the highest hair mercury tertile. There were no significant differences in baseline serum long-chain omega-3 PUFA in those who experienced stroke during the follow-up and in those who did not. However, hair methylmercury concentration was higher in those who had a stroke (Table 5). Higher mercury content of selected fish or genetical differences in the elimination of mercury (Schlawicke Engstrom et al. 2008) could explain this. 42 Few studies have focused on the association between different risk factors and hemorrhagic stroke. Study done by Wang et al., pointed to the positive association between low total cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol levels and hemorrhagic stroke, especially intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) (Wang et al. 2013). Also, there is an association between low intake of saturated fat and animal protein and increased risk of intraparenchymal hemorrhage (Iso et al. 2001). Previous studies did not focus on the association between mercury exposure and different stroke types separately. Oxidative stress effect of methylmercury, which can decrease anti-oxidative capacity in plasma and cells and increase lipid peroxidation in cell membranes, could at least partly explain the association between mercury exposure and risk of stroke (Virtanen et al. 2005). Mercury also has high affinity to sulfhydryl groups, which results in inactivation of anti-oxidative thiolic compounds (Flora et al. 2008). In addition, mercury binds with selenium and forms an inactive form that cannot act as a catalytic center of glutathione peroxidase, a main scavenger of H2O2 and lipid peroxides (Virtanen et al. 2005). However, we do not have an explanation for why Hg would increase the risk of hemorrhagic stroke but not the risk of ischemic stroke. Further research is needed to elucidate the associations. Strength of the present study is the use of serum long-chain n-3 PUFA measurements instead of dietary intakes. Few prior studies have used circulating long-chain n-3 PUFA concentration as an exposure, which is important to reduce bias by misclassification that attenuates the associations in studies using dietary intakes. Serum long-chain n-3 PUFA concentration is a good biomarker of n3 fatty acid exposure (Hunter 1998). 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