A DESERTIFICATION INDICATOR SYSTEM FOR MEDITERRANEAN EUROPE Jane Brandt, King’s College London, UK Nichola Geeson, King’s College London, UK Anton Imeson, 3D Environmental Change, The Netherlands with specialist contributions from: Agostino Ferrara, Universitá della Basilicata, Italy Mike Kirkby and Brian Irvine, University of Leeds, UK Costas Kosmas, Agricultural University of Athens, Greece Leopoldo Rojo Serrano, DGCONA, Madrid Giovanni Quaranta, Monica Caggiano, Rosanna Salvia, Universitá della Basilicata, Italy Francesco López Bermúdez, Gonzalo Gonzales Barberá, Jorge García Gómez, Universidad de Murcia, Spain Maria José Roxo, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugual Giuseppe Enne and Claudio Zucca, NRD, Universitá degli Studi di Sassari, Sardinia Stefan Sommer, EC-JRC, Ispra, Italy 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The research reported here is being carried out in the context of DESERTLINKS (Combating Desertification in Mediterranean Europe: Linking Science with Stakeholders), – a European Commission-funded research project (DG-Research: Contract No. EVK2CT-2001-00109). Jane Brandt and Nichola Geeson are Coordinators of the DESERTLINKS Project. Anton Imeson is a scientific advisor of the DESERTLINKS Project. Visit the project web site: www.kcl.ac.uk/desertlinks or email us: [email protected] 3 4 TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface 7 Introduction 9 The development of a desertification indicator system for Mediterranean Europe within the context of other indicator systems Relationships with other indicator systems Principal conclusions of the review Highlighted features of the indicator system 11 11 14 16 What concerns people about desertification in Mediterranean Europe? Identification of problems and issues Simplifying and organising desertification issues 17 17 20 Desertification indicators for Mediterranean Europe Candidate indicators: identifying winners 23 23 Building a desertification indicator system for Mediterranean Europe The framework Indicator Data Base Indicators of relevance to particular issues Inclusion of indicators at coarser spatial scales Using the indicator system for online calculation of desertification risk Making the indicator system relevant to both desertification and end-users 27 27 27 29 30 32 Conclusions and future developments 37 List of Acronyms 39 Appendix 1: The problems and issues associated with Mediterranean desertification 41 Appendix 2: Reports to the Second MEDRAP workshop 47 Appendix 3: Desertification enquiry made of the general public 51 Appendix 4: Problems or signs of desertification identified by local stakeholders 53 Appendix 5: List of desertification related issues affecting Mediterranean Europe 57 Appendix 6: The indicator Data Base classification framework 69 Appendix 7: Mapping land degradation risk in the Mediterranean at a European scale 71 Appendix 8: Indicators from remote sensing 75 Appendix 9: Expert system for evaluating the environmental sensitivity index for a local area 77 5 35 6 PREFACE 1 Who's this book for? A Desertification Indicator System is being developed for Mediterranean Europe. This document explains how this is being done and how you can contribute to its future development into a tool that can be of use to you. During the next year we will have the opportunity of testing and refining it with scientists, stakeholders and the Focal Points of the Annex IV countries, before the final version is produced. Although the Desertification Indicator System is being developed and tested in southern Europe, the System and many of the indicators can be adapted for combating desertification world-wide. What's in this book? In the first part of this booklet, we describe how we have reviewed different indicator systems. In order to identify the most important elements that it should contain. Next, the desertification problems and issues affecting Mediterranean Europe are described. The first task was actually to identify what these issues are from a wide range of sources. The issues were then classified into a broad range of themes. Through various stakeholder consultations we have actually identified the concerns, interests and even the emotions that desertification is producing and we have demonstrated how these vary across Europe. In parallel potential indicators for the Indicator System were identified, again from a wide range of sources and also at different scales. These were then matched with the above mentioned concerns. CD ROM Prototype A prototype of the Desertification Indicator System for Mediterranean Europe is included on the accompanying CD-ROM. This will become a web-based interactive system available to everyone by the end of the DESERTLINKS Project. It has been designed to meet the needs of a wide variety of end-user. It could be someone just seeking information about relevant indicators, or they may wish to view a list of possible indicators to see which ones they may have the data available for. There is information on indicators in relation to specific land uses, and tools to calculate desertification risk. An expert system with pull-down menus can be used to evaluate an Environmental Sensitivity Index for a local area. Feedback from users consulted within the project will ensure that this Indicator System really does link science with stakeholders. This version of the system is only a prototype and it is intended to help the reader interact with us in order that we can produce a system that can help all stakeholders gain the information they need. Please give us your feedback and become a partner in this process. In 18 months time we look forward to sending you the improved and completed product that you can use in your efforts to combat desertification. Writing and editing all of the indicator descriptions is a major ongoing task and this has only just started. Advice , suggestions or assistance from the reader would be welcome. Finally, for those who are interested in the technical details some technical chapters describing elements of the methodology have been included in Appendices. June 2003 1 Photograph from Mike Kirkby 7 8 INTRODUCTION 2 Requirement to develop indicators The UNCCD have adopted a strategy for combating desertification that requires affected countries to develop monitoring techniques as part of national and regional action programmes involving all stakeholders. They identified desertification indicators as a necessary tool for both management and monitoring. The Northern Mediterranean (Annex IV) countries are still searching for a common methodology for identifying and using such indicators that will enable them to meet these commitments and our goal is to be able to support them with this task. Each Annex IV country has already been selecting and mapping desertification indicators. National maps of desertification risk based on different combinations of indexes of climate, soils and vegetation have been produced. In undertaking this work, all of the countries have faced similar problems of co-ordination of information and of knowing how to resolve the inherent problems of uncertainty. To work at more detailed local scales they are using information that is generally available and which usually includes: population density; rock fragments; soil depth; slope; rainfall; aridity; fire risk; erosion protection; drought resistance; plant cover; employment index; old age index; aridity index; rain erosivity; drought index; urban sprawl; infiltration capacity; stability of the surface horizon; grazing intensity. (Enne and Zucca3). In order to develop the indicator system, these preliminary steps needed to be taken: • an analysis of desertification problems and issues affecting Mediterranean Europe. • assembly of lists of potential desertification indicators The results of these two steps are presented in this document. Common set of indicators for Europe We are producing a common set of desertification indicators that can be used, within a Desertification Indicator System for Mediterranean Europe. As already mentioned the ultimate goal is to provide a tool to enable users from a wide range of backgrounds, including scientists, policy makers and farmers, to identify where desertification is a problem and how critical the problem is, to better understand the processes of desertification as they are affected, and to find ways of mitigating the problems identified. We hope that you will realise that this is not just another booklet on indicators. The material being presented deserves special consideration because: Photograph of almond cultivation in the Guadalentín, Spain by Jorge Garcia Gomez Enne, G. and Zucca, C. 2000. Desertification indicators for the European Mediterranean region: state of the art and possible methodological approaches. ANPA, Roma and NRD, Sassari, 261 p 2 3 9 • • • The bottom line It is not just a proposed indicator methodology. It is based on real data and information and it provides scientifically underpinned information. The methodology will be genuinely equitable, providing all who seek information with unbiased and relevant answers. It will provide a platform on which all of those interested can improve and develop tools for combating desertification. Desertification is really about the sustainable management of our natural resources. It is not just a matter of land use or development policy, it is also a matter of understanding and enlightenment. We hope that our desertification system will become a platform for exchanging and developing a deeper understanding regarding the future policies that we should pursue. 10 THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DESERTIFICATION INDICATOR SYSTEM FOR MEDITERRANEAN EUROPE WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF OTHER INDICATOR SYSTEMS Relationships with other indicator systems Indicators are already widely used by governments to set targets for and to monitor a wide variety of things such as health, education and quality of life. Indicators derived from the results of research can also be used to simplify complex phenomena, making scientific research understandable by the general population. Our strategy The desertification indicator system that we are developing needs to be related by the reader to existing practice. The objective of this chapter is to explain this. One way is to explain our approach is as conceptually holistic and systems-based. A holistic approach means that we can offer tailor–made indicators that can be matched with the experience and concerns of the enquirer at all levels of scale. According to ability and data availability we aim to help guide enquirers to the information and indicators they need. In effect, the indicator system then becomes an expert system for desertification. It is available to everyone. Earlier work that sets the scene in Europe There are various lists of environmental indicators in existence, and some of these. have been developed into Indicator Systems, where indicators are grouped for different purposes. There are different methods for classifying indicators and the most commonly used alternatives are incorporated into the prototype system. Unfortunately most indicators are conceptual, they are not operationalised. Although there is a wide variety of indicator lists available, few Indicator Systems are actually being used to test and amend indicators using real data in a variety of situations. OECD The Organisation for Economical Cooperation and Development (OECD)4 began to assemble ideas about agri-environmental indicators in the early nineties, based on a pressure - state – response (PSR) model for indicator classification. They have also suggested criteria for accepting indicators as useful: indicators should be specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound. As well as compiling lists of indicators the OECD have circulated questionnaires on their usefulness to OECD member countries, set up data bases and hosted expert meetings to discuss specific categories of indicator. Environental Information and Observation Network The European Environment Agency includes the European Topic Centre on Terrestrial Environment and the Environmental Information and Observation Network (EIONET)5 whose main objective is to develop indicators relevant to environmental policies in Europe. There is a preliminary list of about 400 indicators from which a shorter list will 4 Environmental Indicators for Agriculture, Volume 3: Methods and Results, OECD, Paris March 2001. www.oecd.org/agr/env/indicators.htm 5 European Topic Centre on Terrestrial Environment http://terrestrial.eionet.eu.int/Indicators 11 be selected and validated, and finally implemented. It was the EEA who introduced the DPSIR6 system of indicator classification, in turn developed from the OECD’s PSR model. DPSIR can be used to describe interactions between different types of indicators and also observe feedback loops. The EEA have a list of published indicators7, (revised to April 20038) related to themes and policy issues. They are seeking to integrate the indicators and reduce the total number. They are also distinguishing between short, medium and long term indicators. Some of the indicators on the list are vague and difficult to measure and compare, e.g. “protection of grasslands”. Although all the indicators are related to problems in the terrestrial environment not many can be related directly to desertification. An integrated information framework is now being developed, relating indicator sets to environmental issues/sectors and providing fact sheets for each indicator, along similar lines to the DESERTLINKS System. The EEA are attempting to address the problems of data collection and transfer, with special focus on collecting data to serve more than one policy objective. Indicator Report on the Integrated Environmental concerns into Agricultural Policy The EEA are also collaborating in the IRENA Project9 (Indicator Report on the Integrated Environmental Concerns into Agricultural policy) with the JRC (Joint Research Centre, DG Environment and DG Eurostat). The objectives are to compile a set of agrienvironmental indicators, develop data sets to match the indicators for regional analyses, and to use the indicators to assess the integration of environmental and agricultural policies. Trends in space and time will be monitored and mapped using GIS. The list of 35 indicators10 includes some similar to those being used in the DESERTLINKS System. Towards European Pressure Indicators A European System of Environmental Pressure Indicators has been developed by the TEPI 11project (Towards European Pressure Indicators) in association with EUROSTAT. The main aims are to determine six priority pressure indicators in the environmental fields of air pollution, climate change, loss of biodiversity, water pollution, etc. that can be used by all the EU member states. Lack of data from the different countries and lack of access to existing data are the main problems. Land Degradation Assessment of Drylands One of the most comprehensive lists of possible indicators has been proposed by the Land Degradation Assessment of Drylands (LADA12). This project aims to develop a standardised methodological framework for assessment of land degradation causes. Recognising that it is crucial to address the needs of stakeholders, the project carried out an email conference in October/November 2002 to which all interested parties could respond. The draft paper: “Some suggested indicators for land degradation assessment of drylands” 13 includes some useful definitions of criteria for indicators, and also a clear explanation of the uses of the DPSIR system. LADA expects users to choose the best indicators from their lists for their own purposes, but has not yet listed key indicators for common purposes, or tested them in pilot areas. Driving force, Pressure, State, Impact, Response European Environment Agency http://themes.eea.eu.int/all_indicators_box 8 EEA core set of indicators.pdf (revised version, April 2003) 9 IRENA Project. http://gi-gis.jrc.it/agrienv.html 10 Brussels, 15.01.2001. COM 2001(144). COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE COUNCIL AND THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT. Statistical Information needed for Indicators to monitor the Integration of Environmental concerns into the Common Agricultural Policy. 11 http://www.e-m-a-i-l.nu/tepi 12 LADA, the Dryland Land Degradation Assessment, http://www.fao.org/ag/agl/agll/lada/ 13 ftp:ftp.fao.org/agl/agll/ladadocs/paper_281102.doc 6 7 12 ELISA Agri- Environmental indicators for sustainable agriculture in Europe have been developed by the European Centre for Nature Conservation (ECNC) in a project named ELISA. A team of experts and policy analysts in the fields of agriculture and environment produced a detailed report1415 describing the concepts, issues and indicators. The report focuses on state and driving force indicators. Twenty-two state indicators cover the three media of the soil, water and air. The driving force indicators cover land use intensity, nutrients and pesticides. The four soil indicators (water erosion, wind erosion, soil compaction and pesticides in the soils) are all appropriate to desertification. Proposal on Agrienvironment al Indicators A more recent project is the Proposal on agri-environmental indicators (PAIS)16 which is following three indicator themes: landscapes, agricultural practices and rural development. Indicators are listed according to issues within these themes but are not classified in any other way. Some indicators, such as “% population aged 65 or over”, (relevant to abandonment of agricultural land) are easy to understand and measure, and also appear in the DESERTLINKS System. Other indicators such as “willingness to pay for provision of agricultural landscapes or landscape features” are interesting ideas but are not defined in a measurable way. Commission on Sustainable Development In 2001, the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD) published the results of its five-year Work Programme to translate physical and social science knowledge about sustainable development into manageable units of information, into sustainable development indicators. During this time they developed a working list of 134 potential indicators, tested them in 22 different countries, and finally identified a short list of 58 core indicators which they recommend be used across the world as a common base for monitoring and reporting on sustainable development. International Institute for Sustainable Development The International Institute for Sustainable Development (iisd)17has been working on measurements and indicators of sustainable development since 1995. They have designed the Dashboard of Sustainability that is an internet tool providing information and analysis for a wide range of users from experts to the general public. There are also desertification indicators and systems available from many other organisations world-wide, that are not reviewed here. All the groups, developing and using environmentally-related indicators, can offer valuable experience to those working on desertification indicators. Many ideas can be obtained from the many indicator concepts and systems developed by agencies and institutions such as the EPA for monitoring the state and vulnerability of ecosystems; the world bank concerned with land quality indicators; organisations working on sustainable forestry, marine ecosystems and urban development; and from the parallel conventions developing indicators for biodiversity and climate change impact. DESERTLINKS is seeking to use indicators with widespread acceptance, suggested in other European and world-wide systems, wherever possible. http://www.ecnc.nl/doc/ecnc/publicat/elisa.html Wascher, D.M. 2000 (ed) Agri-environmental indicators for sustainable agriculture in Europe. Tilburg: European Centre for Nature Conservation, 240pp. ISBN: 90-76762-02-3 16 http:www.landsis.lu/projects/download/PAIS%20Summary.pdf 17 http://www.iisd.org/measure/ 14 15 13 Principal conclusions of the review The review of contemporary indicator lists and systems has been used to identify the full range of information required to make our system as comprehensive as possible. Top down versus bottom-up approaches In contrast to the top down approach taken by the CSD (Commission on Sustainable Development), the UNCCD's Committee on Science and Technology has not taken the lead in coordinating the development of a global working list of desertification indicators and then coordinating the testing by individual countries. Instead, following more general guidelines from the CST18, countries and organisations within each Annex are collaborating in developing their own indicators, with additional emphasis being placed on identifying and using indicators which are relevant to the concerns of local people, rather than solely to the strategies of national government. The LADA indicators have also been collected with active stakeholder participation. We recognise the need to integrate both of these approaches Indicator descriptions A format very similar to the standardised format for describing the indicators used by the CSD (Commission on Sustainable Development) has been previously been proposed for use with desertification indicators (see Enne and Zucca19) and this has been followed here. In the first instance emphasis has been put be on the use of single parameter indicators (such as annual rainfall (mm)), so that a clear distinction can be made between these and indicators aggregated to form indices (such as an aridity index which combines rainfall and temperature). The EEA are also adding fact sheets for each of their indicators, including broad policy implications. Indicator frameworks It is interesting to note that, although the CSD started to organise its indicators according to the widely used driving force-state-response framework, they later revised the framework to one based on four dimensions (social, environmental, economic and institutional), sub divided into fifteen themes (for example the environmental themes are atmosphere, land, oceans, seas and coasts, fresh water and biodiversity) and 38 subthemes. It was felt by those who tested the indicators that this better reflected the main issues in sustainable development, and made the indicators easier to use. Similarly, although LADA does include reference to DPSIR the main framework for classification is based on scale (global, national, village and farm), and whether the indicators are biophysical, socio-economic or institutional. Testing and reporting For many proposed indicator systems testing is ongoing and the results are not yet reported (e.g. EEA, LADA). In testing their working list of indicators, the CSD defined a standard methodology to be used. They also specified the format in which the reports of the testing were to be made. The same approach will be taken with the testing of desertification indicators by the national Focal Points in so that the indicators can be effectively evaluated. A real difficulty is the lack of quantitative data available to monitor environmental change in Europe. Nowhere in Europe are there long term measurements of indicators comparable to those available in the USA. European scientific policy has placed more Intergovernmental Negotiation Committee for the Convention to Combat Desertification. 1997. Report on ongoing work being done on benchmarks and indicators1997 (A/AC.241/INF.4) http://www.unccd.int/cop/officialdocs/incd10/doclist.php 19 Enne, G. and Zucca, C. 2000. Desertification indicators for the European Mediterranean region: state of the art and possible methodological approaches. ANPA, Roma and NRD, Sassari, 261 pp 18 14 reliance on modelling and remote sensing and there is a scarcity of ground based data. Nevertheless data is sometimes available from pilot areas that have been the subject of in-depth investigations. The approach must therefore be to scientifically validate and underpin indicators in the few data rich sites that are available. Relation of indicators to policy objectives and data availability Even when there are data, a list of indicators remains only a list unless it is related to specific purposes and policy objectives. The indicators may then be adapted to answer specific questions that arise. In its "Supplementary report on work on benchmarks and indicators" presented at COP 120 the CST proposed that the objectives to be considered are: global objectives (combat desertification, mitigate the effects of drought, contribute to achievement of sustainable development); contributing objectives (improve land productivity; rehabilitate, improve and manage sustainable land and water resources; improve living conditions at the community level); and specific objectives (as defined by the National Action Programmes). LADA21 have recognised that indicators will only be useful if the required data is already available or is easy to collect. They therefore provide details of national and subnational data bases where they exist. LADA are also identifying indicators that act as a proxy for other variables. In DESERTLINKS some socio-economic indicators relevant to soil properties have already been recognised and advocated22. Use of common "headline" indicators Aggregation of indicators into indices A core set of perhaps around 15 "headline" indicators23, is needed for regular reporting and for which targets could be set. If all the Mediterranean countries were to agree on and adopt the same headline desertification indicators, they would be a common tool for monitoring and reporting desertification. Attention should also be paid to indicators that are of particular use at the local as well as the national level. The top three headline indicators chosen for sustainable development are GDP (and GDP per head), total and social investment as a percentage of GDP, and percentage of people of working age who are in work. These indicators are of course also useful in relation to desertification. Headline indicators are being identified in two ways. First there are indicators already in widespread use in the countries of Annex IV, and then there are additional indicators selected to further enhance a common approach throughout Annex IV. It is important that integrating and aggregating indicators be taken into account. This is a weak link in all systems. The aggregation of indicators according to the structure of the framework is a logical one which should be followed in desertification too. Progress in this area within sustainable development will continue to be monitored. 20 United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, 1997. Supplementary report on work on benchmarks and indicators. ICCD/COP(1)/CST/3/Add.1 http://www.unccd.int/cop/officialdocs/cop1/doclist.php#cst 21 LADA, the Dryland Land Degradation Assessment, http://www.fao.org/ag/agl/agll/lada/ 22 Geeson N, Quaranta G and Salvia R. 2003. A participatory approach to identifying economic indicators related to soil biodiversity: empirical evidence from the northern Mediterranean countries. OECD expert meeting on soil erosion and soil biodiversity indicators. Rome, March 2003. 23 UK Government Sustainable Development. www.sustainabledevelopment.gov.uk/indicators/headline/framework.htm 15 Highlighted features of the Indicator System Strategy Both the policy principle of the UNCCD to develop indicators from the bottom-up, in participation with the local stakeholders, and the indicator systems already being used and developed for other environmental issues have been taken into account in developing the indicator strategy. The most important elements of the methodology are: • All indicator descriptions are standardised, the format being similar to that used by the CSD, and published by the NRD and the Italian Environment Protection Agency. • The system is capable of evolution as the issues evolve and new indicators can be added and redundant ones removed. • Indicators have been used which are common to other systems where appropriate. • The information in the system can be interrogated in a number of ways, for example indicators can be selected according to a DPSIR framework or a dimension framework. • Indicators can be identified according to their relevance to particular problems or issues that have been identified and defined by national and local stakeholders. • Relevant headline indicators for routine monitoring have been suggested for each of the principal issues. • Indicators for different spatial scales and time scales are included. • Indicator have been related to specific objectives in the National Action Programmes • The importance of indicators in the system have been evaluated in a number of contexts, e.g. for different land uses. • Indicators should be described in a quantitative way if possible so that different areas can be compared according to benchmarks or whether values for a variable fall within a comparable range. Some careful qualitative descriptions can also be used in this way. • The usefulness of indicators may rely on data availability. Sometimes, if direct data is difficult to obtain, it may be beneficial to use a proxy indicator. • It is possible for the user to calculate "Desertification risk", using an aggregate index (Environmental Sensitivity Index, ESI) combining the most relevant indicators, for a wide range of specific situations. 16 WHAT CONCERNS PEOPLE ABOUT DESERTIFICATION IN MEDITERRANEAN EUROPE? 24 Identification of problems and issues Finding out what people think Source material The issues, problems and solutions associated with desertification form the framework of the Indicator System. The range and type of issues vary depending on the administrative level being considered. For example rainfall and aridity may be important nationally, but locally issues of land use change may be perceived as more important. The main achievement of this work is that it show very important differences in Europe that that the Regional Action Plan must address. Finding out what people think about desertification in Europe was a first step in identifying the issues that needed to be addressed by the indicator system Obviously, depending on the point of view of the stakeholder, different issues have different priorities. This was done top-down, by looking at published UNCCD documents and bottom-up by consulting people on the ground. Consequently, to take account of the wide range of perceptions of desertification issues, a review was conducted of all the statements of desertification issues that have been expressed by the UNCCD, the National Focal points,2526 environmental managers, local land users and stakeholders and the general public. Full reviews and references for source documents are given in Appendices 1-4. • Appendix 1: National Action Plans for Portugal, Italy and Greece27. The First and Second National Reports on the Implementation of the UNCCD, 2000 and 2002. • Appendix 2: Reports of the National Committees to Combat Desertification to the Second MEDRAP28 workshop "Identification of Sensitive Areas", Tróia, Portugal, 6 to 8 June 2002 • Appendix 3: DESERTLINKS Reports from participatory workshops on the perceptions of local stakeholders of the problem of desertification. • Appendix 4: DESERTLINKS "Desertification Enquiry" made of the general public Irrigated agriculture in the Guadalentín, Spain, photo by Claudio Zucca United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. 1994. The Convention to Combat Desertification. http://unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/northmed.php 26 National Report on the implementation of the convention to combat desertification in Spain. April 2002. Il informe sobre el programa de accion nacional contra la desertification. http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/spain-spa.pdf 27 http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2001/greece-eng.pdf http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2000/italy-eng.pdf http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2000/portugal-eng.pdf 28 MEDRAP : Concerted Action to support the northern Mediterranean regional action programme to combat desertification. http://www.uniss.it/nrd/medrap 24 25 17 General Mediterraneanwide concerns In the text of its convention, the UNCCD broadly identifies the principal, worldwide problems caused by desertification as: loss of biological productivity, loss of economic productivity, and loss of complexity in the landscape29. The principal, worldwide problems caused by desertification are identified by the UNCCD as: • loss of biological productivity • loss of economic productivity • loss of complexity in landscape (i.e. rainfed cropland, irrigated cropland, range, pasture, forest and woodland) In Annex IV, the text further describes desertification in Mediterranean Europe as being mainly driven by human activities, such as intensive agriculture, overgrazing, deforestation and changes in local population, in combination with adverse physical environmental conditions. The particular issues the UNCCD identifies in the Mediterranean region are: high rainfall variability; poor, highly erodible soils; steep slopes; forest loss from fire; land abandonment; deterioration of soil and water conservation structures; unsustainable exploitation of water resources; and concentration of economic activity and irrigated agriculture in the coast. In its Supporting Information Report (2001)30, GMES provides a further overview of Mediterranean desertification by stating that "in EU countries affected by desertification, agriculture concentrates on the most productive areas, while former marginal lands are being afforested, used as grazing grounds or wild areas. The implication of this is that desertification occurs under three conditions (i) in areas where the concentration of people and investment risks over-exploitation of natural resources, (ii) along the boundaries of marginal lands, where expansion or contraction of the neighbouring agriculture often causes land degradation, (iii) in areas formerly affected by desertification processes that are no more active, but which have left behind degraded land often in an irreversible condition." More specific concerns in individual countries Portugal While a long-term common cultural heritage and, more recently, membership of the European Union have placed similar desertification pressures on Mediterranean Europe, the complexity of the landscape and societies gives rise to a wide range of desertification-related issues. Each of the northern Mediterranean countries has its own particular view of the problem of desertification and how the Convention to Combat Desertification should be implemented. Similarly those living in desertified areas identify a variety of issues affecting them locally. The National Action Programme for Portugal31 describes desertification affecting the eastern and southern interior of the country. Here it is possible to observe rapid soil erosion, increased salinity of soils, an increase of surface run-off due to the reduction of soil water retention, a reduction in the diversity of species and a reduction in productivity leading to impoverishment of the human communities dependent on these United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. 1994. The Convention to Combat Desertification. http://www.unccd.int/convention/menu.php 30 GMES, 2001. Combating Desertification: requirements briefing. Global monitoring for environment and security working groups, version 2.0, 26 April 2001. http://gmes.jrc.it Supporting Information 29 National Action Plan to Combat Desertification – 17 June 1999 http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/northmed.php/portugal-en.pdf Portugal – Summary of National Report 2000 http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/northmed.ph/portugal-summary-eng.pdf National Report on the implementation of the convention to combat desertification in Portugal. April 2002. http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/northmed.php/portugal-en.pdf 31 18 ecosystems. Many of these are consequences of historical practice of intensive cereal cultivation exacerbated by the occurrence of intense rainfall over short time periods. This environmental degradation has led to large scale depopulation as agricultural productivity decreased, leaving large areas abandoned and subject to fire or landslides. The remaining rural population is ageing and the desertified areas are not attracting inward investment or governmental support. Local stakeholders recognise the fact that their land is degraded, not producing an adequate income and that as a result of depopulation the population is ageing. They also recognise that the agricultural techniques they are using are inadequate for the situation they are in but that agricultural policies are also compounding the problems. Spain In Spain32 two types of desertification are distinguished in the National Action Programme: inherited or relict desertification, and current desertification. Relict desertification has resulted from an expansion and subsequent failure of agriculture into rangelands and marginal areas in the first half of the twentieth century. The principal scenarios of desertification in Spain include: woody crops affected by soil erosion, extensive dry farming with the risk of erosion, agro-sylvicultural and pastoral systems affected by overgrazing, agronomic irrigator systems subject to desertification processes, degraded scrubland and rangeland. There was a dramatic growth of the rural population in response to a cereal selfsufficiency policy. Current desertification is also related to over-exploitation of soil and water resources, but there are additional socio-economic factors. A major problem is that farmers may be more interested in recouping their financial investment in their land than considering sustainability. Current desertification requires relief from stressors, while relict desertification needs only restoration or possibly no action. Local stakeholders in the Guadalentín basin in south east Spain recognise that there are two agricultural systems in their area. There is intensive, high-input, irrigated farming which is very aggressive in terms of its impact on the environment and there is dry farming on the more steeply soils. As the irrigation cultures spread further into areas previously dry farmed it is perceived that insufficient protection is given to soil and water resources and that the land is being degraded and water quantity and quality reduced. In contrast to irrigated areas, dry farming is economically unviable and land is being depopulated and abandoned. Italy Southern Italy33, including the islands, is considered to be affected by desertification which results from climatic stresses and pressure from non-sustainable human activities. There are a number of key factors: (i) the abandonment of marginal lands and of historical settlements due to migration, especially increasing the risk of desertification in the poorest regions; (ii) the overexploitation of underground water for irrigation National Report on the implementation of the convention to combat desertification in Spain. April 2000. Il informe sobre el programa de accion nacional contra la desertification. http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/northmed.php/spain-spa.pdf 33 National Action Programme to combat drought and desertification, Rome, December 1999 http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/northmed.php/italy-eng.pdf OK National Report of Italy on the Implementation of the UNCCD, 2000 http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2000/italy-eng.pdf http://www.desertification.it/doc/nationalreport.htm Committee for the review of the implementation of the convention. Second reporting process on UNCCD implementation. Italy National Report, April 30 2002. http://unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/italy-eng.pdf 32 19 purposes in coastal areas which is causing salinisation; (iii) accelerated soil erosion caused particularly by forest fires, extreme precipitation on steep slopes and over grazing; (iv) depletion of soil organic matter content; and (v) the loss of economic productivity of traditional agriculture and the lack of new policies to counterbalance effects of market globalisation. In the Basilicata region of southern Italy, the local stakeholders recognised the impoverishment and degradation of their natural resources, a decrease in productivity and abandonment of the land. This leads to a reduction of the rural population and the gradual ageing of those that are left. They see that environmental factors are not integrated into territorial policies, nor do such policies respond to local conditions. Greece The National Action Programme for Greece34 describes desertification as a phenomenon a which has been gradually affecting the country for about three millennia because of the over-exploitation of soil, water and vegetation resources. However it has accelerated over recent years because of the industrialisation of agriculture and the overconsumption of water. On the mainland the eastern areas of the Peloponnese, Sterea Hellas and Thessaly plus central and southern areas of Macedonia are affected. Central and eastern Crete and the Aegean Islands are also affected. In the NAP, desertification is considered very much as a physical process which: limits the rootable soil layer; reduces water available to plants; and adversely affects the chemical environment of the rootlayer. However measures to combat it will need to be taken in the agricultural, forestry, faunal, husbandry, water resources and socio-economic sectors. On the Aegean island of Lesvos, local stakeholders recognised that they were experiencing reductions in water and soil resources, productivity and farm income and increases in animal feed imports, fires and land abandonment. Simplifying and organising desertification issues In the text of the UNCCD, a very broad outline of the main desertification issues affecting Mediterranean Europe, and the context in which the issues are relevant, is given. In their National Action Programmes and Implementation Reports, the Focal Points have developed this list of issues, highlighting those which are particularly relevant to their own countries and providing more detail. National and local stakeholders have added many specific examples of those issues which affect them directly and it is clear that to local stakeholders the loss of cultural and heritage functions that accompany rural depopulation is a major concern. A summary list of issues identified by all these groups and very loosely grouped into common themes is given in the table below. A fuller list is provided in Appendix 5. The list reveals a wide spectrum of issues, some of which are common to all four countries (such as the abandonment of marginally productive land) and some of are only relevant locally (such as the introduction of wide spread and highly intensive irrigated farming in south east Spain). Greek National Action Plan for combating desertification. (Extended Summary), Athens - January 2001. http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2001/greece-eng.pdf Greek National Committee for combating desertification: First national report on the implementation of the United Nations Convention to combat desertification. Athens March 2000. . http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/northmed.php/greece-eng.pdf Greek National Committee for combating desertification: Second national report on the implementation of the United Nations Convention to combat desertification. Athens April 2002. http://unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/greece-eng.pdf 34 20 In an effort to more rigorously structure the issues, ten major themes were distilled from the list together with a number of sub-themes that reflected the main facets of each. Although it is possible to synthesis the issues into this relatively small number of types, in practice the severity and nature of the issues varies enormously with local conditions, hence the large number of sub-themes. What people think: major European concerns about desertification Theme Sub-theme Land abandonment • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Increase in intensive irrigated agriculture Deforestation Littoralisation Inappropriate dry farming practices on marginally productive land Economic activity in desertification affected areas climatic conditions soil conditions water availability employment opportunities in agriculture and elsewhere income from land changing rural population availability of alternative choices wider policies and funding structures changes in land management change in vegetation cover climatic conditions soil conditions water availability income from land wider policies and funding structures salinisation of soil deterioration of water availability cultivation techniques climatic conditions drought tolerance of forest forest destruction by fire forest productivity impact of grazing role of forest management wider funding structures impact of human population change in erosion risk employment opportunities in coastal areas quality of life income from land availability of water for irrigation and urban use role of planning land use change in the hinterland income from coastal land change in cultivation techniques changing rural population climate conditions soil conditions water availability and quality fire land ownership farm income cultivation techniques husbandry availability of information on best practices subsidy structure soil impoverishment vegetation impoverishment change in farm income land abandonment climatic conditions ecosystem conditions benefits and subsidy structure change in farm income development of tourism changing rural population expansion of use of irrigation exploitation of natural resources 21 Degradation of the physical environment Availability of water resources Local demography Institutional organisation to combat desertification What next? • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • progressive decline in traditional agriculture development of new activities (apart from irrigated agriculture) climate conditions soil conditions vegetation cover degradation by fire changing land use water availability population production methods control of erosion soil erosion agricultural productivity biodiversity salinisation climate conditions soil conditions changes in land use increase in urban water use increase in irrigated agriculture wider policy and subsidy structure intensification of agriculture quantity and quality of water reserves flooding frequency farm income age and education structure of rural population changing agricultural system opportunities outside agriculture littoralisation and urbanisation national assessment of desertification risk national policy and strategy framework local capacity for combating desertification local use of best practices With the most common and relevant issues of Mediterranean desertification thus defined, it is possible to select both headline indicators which can directly monitor trends in a particular issue and a mix of other indicators relevant to the sub-themes. The initial candidate desertification indicator list and their development into operational indicators are discussed in the following sections. 22 DESERTIFICATION INDICATORS FOR MEDITERRANEAN EUROPE 35 Candidate indicators: Identifying winners Within the world-wide ambit of the UNCCD a range of desertification indicators have been developed and used, according to local issues and objectives. For example common basic indicators suggested for use in Saharan and Sahelian Africa36 relate to the twin objectives of elimination of poverty and natural resources management. A working set of candidate (likely or possible) indicators for Mediterranean Europe was compiled for all of the issues described above. What's a candidate indicator? Candidate indicators are those that are suggested from different sources as being potentially useful. They will remain as candidate indicators until they have been fully tested and adopted for the final version of the Indicator system Sources of indicators The initial list of candidate indicators came from the following sources. • • • • • • Indicators already used to map desertification at a national scale by the Annex IV Focal Points, as described in their reports to the Second MEDRAP Workshop, 6 to 8 June 200237 All indicators described by Enne and Zucca. 200038. in Desertification indicators for the Europe Mediterranean region: state of the art and possible methodological approaches All indicators described in Kosmas et al. 199939 Manual on key indicators of desertification and mapping environmentally sensitive areas to desertification All indicators listed in Greeuw et al. 2001. Factors, actors, sectors and indicators: the concepts and application in MedAction. Report #1 from the MedAction Project40. Other indicators suggested by the expert knowledge of members of the DESERTLINKS project and by local stakeholders. Local stakeholders in target areas within Portugal, Spain, Italy and Greece are being invited to workshops and consulted about the identification and testing of indicators. Standard tested methods for conducting workshops, based on EASW41 (the European Awareness Scenario Workshop initiative) have been adapted for use in the DESERTLINKS project, to ensure that the workshops are carried out in a standardised way. Reforestation in the Alentejo, Portugal, Photo by Maria Roxo Observatoire du Sahara et du Sahel 2002 "NAP monitoring and evaluation systems". Report to the 4th Conference of the Parties to the CCD 37 MEDRAP : Concerted Action to support the northern mediterranean regional action programme to combat desertification. http://www.uniss.it/nrd/medrap 38 Enne, G. and Zucca, C. 2000. Desertification indicators for the European Mediterranean region: state of the art and possible methodological approaches. ANPA, Roma and NRD, Sassari, 261 p 39 C. Kosmas, M. Kirkby and N. Geeson, 1999. The MEDALUS Project: Mediterranean desertificiation and land use. Manual on key indicators of desertification and mapping environmentally sensitive areas to desertification. European Commission Project Report, EUR 18882 40 http://www.icis.unimaas.nl/medaction 41 EASW http://www.cordis.lu/easw/src/intro.htm 35 36 23 Candidate desertification indicator list for Mediterranean Europe ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS Rainfall Rainfall seasonality Rainfall erosivity Rainfall spatial distribution Potential Evapotranspiration Aridity index Flooding frequency Dam sedimentation Slope Aspect Slope Gradient Soil Depth Soil Texture Aridity Soil structure Aridity/ drought index Frost Change frequency Bio-climatic index Parent material Flood-plain and channel morphology Stability of surface horizon Infiltration capacity Drainage Increase in soil OM content Soil Organic Matter mixing with depth Soil Organic Matter in surface Erosion protection soil Rock Fragments Groundwater depth Forest fragmentation Rainfall-runoff relationship Erosion Risk Soil erosion Salinized area Purchasing power parity Global economic growth Land Abandoned from Agriculture Area of marginal soil used Diversification of land use Soil water conservation measures Sustainable forest management Organic farming Inflation Urban sprawl Prices of agricultural products Employment index Unemployment rate Demand for agricultural jobs Length of road network Status of road network Land use index Tourism change Number of tourists Tourist destination Type of tourist Water use by tourists Farm ownership Family size Land use type Land use intensity Farm size Number and size of land parcels per farm Parallel employment Mechanisation index Fertilizer application Sustainable farming Storage of Runoff Reclamation of affected soils Grazing control Fire Protection Reclamation of mining areas Tradition of collecting an exploiting water and flood prevention Export volumes Import volumes Aquifer exploitation Expenditure on energy Farmer's age Subsidies Irrigated area Irrigation uptake Expenditure on water Expenditure on fertiliser Net farm income Expenditure on plastics ECONOMIC INDICATORS GDP/GNP per capita Period of existing land use type Land Use History Area of cultivated & seminatural vegetation Area of impervious surface Soil mapping units Soil characteristics index Vegetation composition Vegetation cover Quantity and density of species in area Relationship between wellpreserved and degraded area Ecosystem resilience Area of matorral Deforested Area Drought Resistance Drought adaptation Crop Productivity Forest Productivity Demand for agricultural products Demand for nonagricultural products Grazing impact Grazing intensity Grazing Tillage depth Tillage direction Tillage operations Area of hillslope cultivated Cost of not doing anything Irrigation intensity and seawater intrusion Runoff water storage SOCIAL INDICATORS Population Population density Old Age index Age structure Gini index Human Poverty index Population growth rate Transient Population Number of rich people Demographic variation index Mortality rate INSTITUTIONAL INDICATORS Water use policy/law EU subsidy structure Protection by national parks National funding Land Use Policy Policy enforcement Regional/local funding Agri-environmental management Adult education level Money spent on scientific research Cultivated area under subsidy Farmer cooperatives Protected areas 24 Ground water recharge Water Quality and salinity Disappearance of water springs Wild fire incidence Burned Area Fire Frequency Fire Risk Acidified area Salinization Potential Land Terraces Soil erosion control measures Literacy rate Public perception of desertification Number of technicians with a knowledge of desertification Following the example of the CSD, and in order to ensure that the different dimensions of desertification are adequately represented, the indicators were categorized according to whether they are principally ecological, economic, social or institutional in relevance. Criteria for evaluating indicators The process of evaluating the candidate indicators is ongoing. The candidate indicator list above contains a list of generic indicator names some of which may be very similar, irrelevant or unusable. It will also certainly need to be extended as the needs of local and national stakeholders are clarified. There are many lists of criteria by which candidate indicator names should be judged before they are turned into operational indicators, including those written by the European Topic Centre on Terrestrial Environment42 and the OECD 43. Most of these criteria are intuitive and include things like: • specificity • data quality and availability • ease of measurability • analytical soundness • ease of interpretation and comprehensibility. • clear time boundaries However the final list also needs to contain a sufficient range of types of indicators in order to: • enable an integrated assessment of desertification, not only within the ecological, economic, social and institutional framework, but also within a driving force, pressure, state, impact and response framework (DPSIR); • reflect change in land function; • reflect change over time; • provide information according to changing spatial scale; • provide a variety of indices from aggregated indicators. European Topic Centre on Terrestrial Environment http://terrestrial.eionet.eu.int/Indicators Environmental Indicators for Agriculture, Volume 3: Methods and Results, OECD, Paris March 2001. www.oecd.org/agr/env/indicators.htm 42 43 25 26 BUILDING A DESERTIFICATION INDICATOR SYSTEM FOR MEDITERRANEAN EUROPE 44 The framework A choice of ways to use the system The main components of the Indicator System are: an indicator Data Base and a choice of methods for accessing those indicators. The obvious choice is for the reader to be able to consult a list of desertification indicators, each fully described, including data requirements, alternatively the reader may have a desertification problem or issue for which they would like to find a list of relevant indicators. Issues have been classified under ten themes, e.g. land abandonment, using expert scientific knowledge. For all the themes and sub-themes relevant indicators are suggested and described, and relationships are discussed. Desertification risk under different land uses, such as cultivation of olives or cereals, are also linked to the most relevant indicators. Statistical techniques have been used to explore methods of determining whether indicators are statistically significant, along with an expert system for evaluating the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) for a local area. Finally provision is made to offer indicators at a range of spatial scales, from a single field to the scale of the whole of southern Europe. The uses of statistical modelling and remote sensing in this context are explained. Indicator Data Base45 The Indicator Data Base is structured so that it may be used by a wide range of users and be clearly and unequivocally interpreted. It is intended to be an interactive web tool to store, retrieve, and discuss indicators. We are ensuring that the Data Base attached to the Desertification Indicator System is fully comprehensive and flexible in its approach. Description of indicators Interactive Data Base All the indicators in the Data Base are described according to a common format which acts as a guide and to encourage clear thinking about the subsequent use of indicators. The format describes all the information necessary for qualifying an indicator. It may not be possible to fill in all the boxes for all indicators. A parameter can only be considered to be an indicator, ready for use as an operational tool, when fully described and linked to clear objectives and specific contexts. For further details of the classification framework, please see Appendix 6. The interactive database will be a web based operational tool. It constitutes a working environment for project partners and for associated experts, who will be allowed to access and upload their own candidate indicators (by filling in forms similar to the one shown below). 44 45 Sheep grazing in the Guadalentín, Spain, photo by Jorge Garcia Gomez Contributed by C. Zucca and G. Enne, NRD, University of Sassari, [email protected] 27 Standard format for indicator descriptions 1. Definition Name Name (or acronym) of indicator Brief definition Brief definition of the indicator in relation to its purpose in the particular context for which it will be used. Unit of measurement Unit of measurement appropriate for quantifying the value and variations of the proposed indicator. 2. Position within the logical framework DPSIR Type of indicator Indicate to which category the indicator belongs within the DPSIR framework (Driving forces, Pressures, State, Impacts, Responses). Give the reasons for placing the indicator in one of the categories of the logical framework and indicate what other indicators should be placed in this category or in others, to complete the description of the system. For example, if an indicator of state is proposed for a process of soil salinisation, indicate, if possible, any other likely indicators of state applicable to this particular problem, and related pressure, response, etc. indicators, also providing information on the persons / organizations best able to define them thoroughly. 3. Target and political pertinence Objective / target of the indicator Summary description of the main objective to be achieved by using the indicator. Importance with respect to desertification Indicate if, how and at what scale the indicator could contribute to the elaboration of desertification strategies, to understanding and monitoring trends and the efficiency of sustainable development policies. International Conventions and agreements Indicate other international agreements and conventions for which the use and design of the particular indicator can provide a significant contribution. Secondary objectives of the indicator Describe possible objectives other than the main ones mentioned above, to which the indicator could contribute. 4. Methodological description and basic definitions Definitions and basic concepts Broad definition with reference to the nature of the indicator and its importance and effectiveness in relation to the objectives and to the state of the art of knowledge in the specific context (why this indicator and not another to reach the same assigned target). Benchmarks Indication of the values/ranges of the value Benchmarks as “reference site”, “baseline data” “reference threshold value”. Indication of the values/ranges of values; their meaning in relation to the purpose and to the specific context of application; how they have been defined Methods of measurement Description of the methodology to be followed to measure, calculate and exploit the indicator. Limits of the indicator Describe the possible reasons for and conditions under which the indicator could not fulfil its purpose (for example, indicate at what spatial scale the indicator provides adequate information and explain why it cannot apply to a different scale). Clearly define the context and conditions of applicability and the constraints to be considered in relation to the exportability. Linkages with other indicators Indicate, if relevant, the relationship between the indicator in question and other indicators (for example, within a same methodology, model or forecasting system) so as to better clarify both the context in which the indicator proves the most useful, and the ultimate target of the indicator itself 5. Evaluation of data needs and availability Data required to calculate the indicator Give a detailed indication of the characteristics of data required to measure, calculate and elaborate the indicator. Data sources Indicate the sources from which data can be gathered. Availability of data from national Indicate whether the required data is easily available or not and specify if obtaining and international sources it is reasonably cost effective. 6. Institutions that have participated in developing the indicator Main institutions responsible Other contributing organizations 7. Additional information Bibliography Other references Contacts Internet addresses and other useful references Name and address of the organization that elaborated the indicator: person to contact. 28 Users will also be able to evaluate, comment and accept candidate indicators proposed by other experts, to edit their own records, to browse and search the database and, of course, to share their contribution with the wider web community. This way, the database is expected to become a “living system”, growing through the contribution of all partners. The browsing/search system integrates the classification criteria presented above as well as other grouping criteria based on the “issue/problem concerned” approach (soil erosion, land abandonment, fire risk, etc.). The web interface allows access to data from web pages, thus making use of hyperlinks for data navigation. Storing information in a database instead of in static web pages, makes it easy to maintain, search for and refer to data. Indicators of relevance to particular issues One of the most important features of the Desertification Indicator System for Mediterranean Europe is the way in which groups of indicators have been identified to be of importance to specific desertification issues. In the first instance this has been achieved by matching indicators to issues using expert knowledge. In the future this process will be refined using various multivariate analyses. Example of a page in the indicator system ready to be developed to give information on a particular issue Issue 1: Land abandonment 1. Description of reasons leading to land abandonment and why it is an issue in the context of desertification Reasons: climatic conditions; soil conditions; water availability; employment opportunities in agriculture and elsewhere; income from land; changing rural population; availability of alternative choices; things going on in the wider world. Why it is an issue: land abandonment leads to a change in land management; change in vegetation cover 2. Examples of reasons for land abandonment in each of the target areas. e.g. Spain. Shift from dry farming on hillslopes to intensive irrigated farming on coastal lowlands, attraction of employment in coastal zone 3. Overview of how the indicators inter-relate This should include: • diagramatic representation of inter-relationships between indicators • evaluation of which indicators explain most of the variability in land abandonment . 4. Link to simple or more complex models which demonstrate this inter-relation (optional, depending on the issue in question). Links to be added as appropriate 5. Link to table of related indicators Link to indicators specifically relating to this issue Expert knowledge Desertification experts at a workshop were asked to use their expert knowledge to relate indicators on the candidate list to the issues identified by the national and local stakeholders. Their expertise includes: GIS, remote sensing, desertification indicators, soil erosion, hydrological modelling, mapping soil erosion risk at European scales, forestry, agricultural ecosystems, processes on abandoned land, policy analysis, rural development, desertification control planning, vegetation degradation. The candidate indicators were evaluated as to whether they are not related, related or strongly related 29 to themes and sub-themes of the issues of Mediterranean desertification and the scale (local or national) at which they are relevant. Those 10 to 20 indicators on which there was most consensus of their relevance to each theme were thus identified. The figures below demonstrate how expert knowledge was further used to develop those pages of the indicator system giving background information on each main issue and explaining how the indicators interrelate. Headline indicators for routine monitoring are being identified. Many of these are essential to understanding desertification and are already in widespread use by National Action Programmes or within other indicator systems, e.g. water availability per capita, vegetation cover. Example of a page from the indicator system showing which indicators are related to the sub-themes of land abandonment Indicators related to LAND ABANDONMENT Indicator Main theme: land abandonment Sub-themes climatic conditions soil conditions Water availability employment opportunities in agriculture and elsewhere income from land changing rural population availability of alternative choices Things going on in the wider world change in land management change in vegetation cover Land abandoned from agriculture Area of cultivated & semi-natural vegetation Rainfall Climate quality index Soil quality index Soil mapping unit Erosion risk Salinized area Ground water depth Water quality Disappearance of springs Irrigated area Employment index Demand for agricultural jobs Parallel employment Farm ownership Farmer's age Subsidies Net farm income Population density Demographic variation index Age structure Farmer cooperatives Public perception of desertification Number of technicians with a knowledge of desertification Water use policy/law Land Use Policy Policy enforcement EU subsidy structure National funding Regional/local funding Cultivated area under subsidy Soil erosion control measures Soil water conservation measures Erosion Risk Vegetation cover Quantity and density of species in area 30 Headline Headline Inclusion of indicators at coarser spatial scales Clearly different approaches are required for identifying useful indicators of desertification according to the spatial scale. Data requirements are very different for mapping at a national or Mediterranean scale compared to the local scale. In the same way monitoring techniques are also different. Remote sensing A broad range of potential remote sensing based desertification indicators has been discussed and reviewed in related publications46. In the context of this indicator system, however, concentration is on those which refer to the issues and themes, identified as most relevant in the Mediterranean context by the consulted stakeholders and experts. Indeed most of them relate to vegetation cover and its changes, but also to issues such as urban sprawl and top soil organic matter content. Preference has been given to those indicators which can be obtained already quasi-operationally by remote sensing alone, where the remote sensing component is central in indicator modelling or where we expect an increasing importance of remote sensing in the near future. A further criterion was knowledge of existing major European initiatives addressing an issue, such as in the case of urban sprawl or forest fire. The table below lists indicators which have the strongest potential to be derived with major contributions from remote sensing. Although only 9 (7 ecological and 2 economic indicators) are selected, it should be noted that there are a number of other issues and indicators where remote sensing information may play a role (e.g. grazing, land abandonment etc) in particular applied in combination with geomatics, ecological and socio-economic modelling (GeoRange, LADAMER). Desertification indicators with the strongest potential for remote sensing applications Indicator Vegetation cover Ecosystem resilience (Rain use efficiency) Burned area Fire frequency Forest fragmentation Soil organic matter in surface soil Urban sprawl Area of cultivated and seminatural vegetation Measurement/Unit Mediterranean wide % green vegetation X Trends of change of X rain use efficiency Ha/spatial unit X No of fires/spatial X unit Fragmentation X index % SOC, experimental Ha/year e.g. coastal zones Ratio/raster cell X (experimental) Ratio/spatial unit Target area X X X X X X X X For further information about the role of remote sensing in obtaining desertification indicators please see Appendix 8. Hill J. and Peter D.(Eds.), 1996: The use of remote sensing for land degradation and desertification monitoring in the Mediterranean basin. EUR 16732 EN. Luxembourg. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. ISBN 92-827-7784-7. 235 p. Menenti M, S. Azzali and M. Boss, 1999: EARLY WARNING ON DESERTIFICATION AND LAND DEGRADATION,;Prepared on behalf of the European Commission for the Third Meeting of the EC/MS Expert Group on Desertification, Brussels, Centre Borschette, 7 April 1999, 93 p. 46 31 Regional scale modelling Another important advance in regional scale indicators, has been in the Regional Degradation Index model, being used for mapping soil erosion across the northern Mediterranean (in conjunction with the PESERA47 project). The objectives of this work have been to provide an indicator of soil erosion risk at the regional scale, suitable for planning and policy for national and continental areas. The indictor is expressed on a qualitative scale. The output is a weighted average based on the expected long-term frequency of storms of all magnitudes, but values cannot be regarded as forecasts due to uncertainty in storm magnitude. The model (Kirkby et al, 48). is based on a simple and conservative erosion model, which is disaggregated into components, which depend on climate, vegetation, topography and soil factors. The rate of sediment transport is estimated as a mean soil loss (Tonnes/Ha), obtained as a product of the model components. As the components are explicit, the impact of changes in land use or climate can also be clearly identified, so that sensitivity to changed conditions can be explored. The model is currently being applied at a 1 km resolution for the whole of Europe except for some areas where some data is missing. With data at finer resolution, the model may be applied at 250m or better resolution to areas of particular concern. There is also scope, using globally available data sources, to apply the model world-wide at a resolution of 10km, although with some inevitable degradation of quality. The emphasis of the PESERA-RDI model is the prediction of hillslope erosion, and the delivery of erosion products to the base of each hillslope. Channel delivery processes and channel routing are explicitly not considered. Erosion predictions are reliant on estimating a stabilised vegetation cover and identifying the generation of overland runoff on a cell by cell basis. The PESERA-RDI_GRID coarse scale code distributes the point based model across the European grid generating a series of physically based estimates of potential monthly erosion at a 1km x 1km grid resolution for Europe. For further details of the Regional Degradation Index model see Appendix 7 Using the indicator system for online calculation of desertification risk Expert system for evaluating the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) for a local area A major use of the indicator system is to provide some estimate of desertification risk for an area or a single field. That is one thing that most end-users will be looking for. In the Indicator System it will be possible for the user to calculate "Desertification risk"49 and an aggregated index combining 6 or 7 of the most relevant indicators for a number of specific situations. An interactive tool will be available to evaluate the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI)50 for a local area. Description and calculation of the ESI is described in Appendix 9. Through specific links on the website it will be possible for the user to assess the ‘desertification risk’ for a local area; to learn how to obtain desertification risk maps from local to basin-wide and regional scales; and to see examples of desertification risk maps. The interface consists of a set of pull down menus from which the classes of a Pan European Soil Erosion Assessment. http://www.pesera.jrc.it Kirkby, M.J., Le Bissonais, Y., Coulthard, T.J., Daroussin, J. and McMahon, M.D., 2000. The development of Land Quality Indicators for Soil Degradation by Water Erosion. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. 49 Contribution from C, Kosmas, Agricultural University of Athens, [email protected] 50 Contribution from A. Ferrara, University of Basilicata, [email protected] 47 48 32 series of physical, environmental and socio-economical indicators (e.g. type of vegetation, annual rainfall, soil depth, land use intensity, etc.) can be selected. Environmental sensitivity is a composite indicator that can be used to gain an understanding of factors causing desertification risk at a point. The diagram shows which indicators can be used to calculate it. A screen view of the tool to analyse Environmental Sensitivity for a local area Following selection of the expert system, the user can obtain: • an evaluation of the quality of the environment being examined for the four main components of vegetation, climate, soil and management; • the estimate of the desertification risk of the area; • an evaluation of the most critical factors that are present in the area; • an evaluation of the critical interactions among factors that are present in the area. 33 On the basis of their use the indicators present in the system fall into three main categories: • Required (a class must be selected), to perform an accurate estimate of the ESI using a minimal set of information; (Vegetation type, Vegetation cover, Rainfall, Slope aspect, Soil depth, Slope • • gradient, Parent material, Rock fragments, Policy enforcement, Land use intensity) Optional (a class may be selected), to produce an optimised estimate of the ESI; (Aridity index, Drainage, Texture) Additional (a class may be selected), to analyse particular aspects of the area and test new indicators. What the expert system does This tool can also be used to predict what will happen if one or more parameters are changed. A user may wish to evaluate the consequences in terms of desertification risk of e.g. change in the type of vegetation if farming decisions have to be made, or change in annual rainfall if a trend of climatic change is explored. Further details of the ESI tool can be viewed within the Indicator System on the accompanying CD-ROM. Desertification risk for particular land uses Another use of indicators demonstrated in the system is a methodology for calculating desertification risk under specific land uses. The landscape of Mediterranean Europe is certainly very varied, from the open, rolling montado of southern Portugal, to steeply sloping terraced olive groves of Greece. However, olives and other land uses such as pasture, cereals and pine forest are common to many areas. Different land uses place different demands on the natural resources and have different management regimes. Consequently they also have different desertification risks. Data and analysis A series of candidate indicators related to desertification has been identified in collaboration with local stakeholders on the Greek island of Lesvos. Emphasis has been given to indicators affecting management quality, such as cultivation of the land (implements used, ploughing depth, direction of cultivation, etc.), overuse of shallow soils, grazing density, terracing of land and maintenance of terraces, irrigation, (water quality and soil water availability), etc. Classes have been defined for each indicator and numbers have been assigned for each class according to the importance to desertification. Data were collected from a large number of field sites corresponding to various types of land use such as pastures, pine forests, deciduous forests, cereals, olive groves, vineyards, etc. A variety of environmentally sensitive areas have been selected, covering typical geological, topographical and climatic conditions and typical types of land use for Mediterranean Europe. All the data have been geo-referenced to existing databases for Europe. Statistical analysis was conducted for each of the parameters in order to define: (a) the correlation of the parameter to the stage of land degradation (correlation coefficient), (b) the interrelationships between various parameters (analysis of covariance), (c) the effect of each parameter on the sensitivity to desertification (analysis of variance). Algorithms were defined for each type of land use using that can be easily used for identified desertification risk at a farm level. 34 An example of the indicators shown to relate to desertification risk for olive groves OLIVES Sustainable farming Freq. of flooding No of parcels Previous land use Tillage operation Management Topography DESERTIFICATION RISK Slope exposure Parent material Climate Rainfall Soil Depth Making the indicator system relevant to both desertification and end-users policy enforcement Texture It is important that the indicators chosen for the DESERTLINKS Desertification Indicator System are relevant to the aims and objectives of the National Action Programmes. Dialogue through members of DESERTLINKS, who are also part of their National Committees will ensure that these needs are met. Headline indicators Some of these indicators are Headline indicators and can be proposed for common use in monitoring desertification in all Annex IV countries. Indicators are also included that are specifically relevant to local stakeholders. Their needs are being evaluated through a series of stakeholder workshops. Changes in desertification processes over time Desertification processes are dynamic. This means that changes over time and space need special consideration, and indicators must address this problem. Different landscapes can be at different stages of desertification, with their function changing over time. It may therefore be difficult to suggest general benchmarks and critical values for indicators, but it is possible where the critical values are linked to specific issues or contexts. Easier access for users DESERTLINKS is considering the perspective of the potential user at all stages in the development of the Indicator System. All methods and guidelines must be presented in simple language, but with the opportunity to explore the subject in more scientific detail as required. It must be easy to find basic information that is well linked on the web pages. It is hope that the interest of readers will be stimulated, so that they broaden their understanding in an enjoyable way. 35 36 CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS 51 General movement to identify and use desertification indicators Exploitation and application of earlier research DESERTLINKS is developing a Desertification Indicator System at a time when political and scientific initiatives on European desertification are moving in a parallel direction. The UNCCD have developed a strategy for combating desertification that requires affected countries to develop monitoring techniques and national and regional action programmes involving stakeholders. Desertification indicators have been identified as a potentially useful tool for both management and monitoring, and the Northern Mediterranean countries are searching for a common methodology for identifying and using such indicators. Valuable and useful results, knowledge and expertise, including proto-type indicator systems at different scales, have been obtained from previous research into land degradation and desertification in Mediterranean Europe. These are being combined with new kinds of indicators, identified by scientific experts, the Focal Points of the Annex IV countries, and local stakeholders in a number of desertification-affected areas. The resulting Desertification Indicator System will be a significant contribution to the work of the UNCCD, and will have wider applications beyond Annex IV to other regions of the world affected by desertification. Desertification is treated as a societydriven problem that can be effectively managed by applying existing knowledge through a thorough comprehension of the principal processes consequent on land use and environmental change. Who are the intended users of the system? The DESERTLINKS Desertification System currently gives access to some 170 indicators of relevance to desertification. It is intended that the indicator system be used by: • National Committees for national and regional management and monitoring of desertification; • Local stakeholders seeking to understand desertification processes and to explore local alternative land uses. What are the system's current capacities? The system can be used in a variety of different ways, to: • View the complete list of indicators (grouped according to their relevance to ecophysical, economic, ecological and institutional aspects of desertification) • View indicators relating to specific desertification issues (such as changing land use or institutional organisation) • View indicators relating to specific land uses (such as pine forest, cereals) • Assess the desertification risk and Environmental Sensitivity Index of your local area. Future developments There are a large number of lists of indicators relevant to desertification available, but few examples of Systems where the indicators can be put to practical use. Practicality 51 Agri basin, Italy, photo by Agostino Ferrara 37 requires a logical and disciplined organisation of information to serve the needs of endusers from a wide range of backgrounds. DESERTLINKS is seeking to achieve this and the prototype Desertification Indicator System that can be explored on the accompanying CD-ROM demonstrates the progress so far. It will be important to test the System in new desertified areas of Mediterranean Europe in collaboration with the Annex IV Focal Points and local stakeholders. In this way the list of candidate indicators can be refined; and fully tested, fully described indicators will be adopted for general use. The inter-relationships between indicators and associated desertification issues and problems will be further explored and described, as will the combination of indicators as indexes. The final major products of DESERTLINKS will be a fully operational web-based interactive Desertification Indicator System, accompanied by a detailed and comprehensive Manual of Desertification Indicators based on the framework of this booklet. 38 LIST OF ACRONYMS CAP DIS/MED EEA EC ESA ESI EU EUROSTAT JRC MEDALUS III NAP RAP UNCCD Drought Common Agricultural Policy Desertification Information System to Support National Action Programmes in the Mediterranean (DIS/MED) European Environment Agency European Commission Environmentally Sensitive Areas Environmental Sensitivity Index European Union Statistical Service of the European Union Joint Research Centre (of the European Union) Mediterranean Desertification and Land Use (EU-funded research project, 1996 -1999) National Action Programme Regional Action Programme United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification and 39 40 AnnexSour IV ce documents Italy Appendix 1: The problems, issues and solutions associated with Mediterranean desertification as identified in the National Action Plans; First and Second National Reports on the Implementation of the UNCCD, April 2000; Reports of the National Committees to Combat Desertification to the Second MEDRAP workshop "Identification of Sensitive Areas", Tróia, Portugal, 6 to 8 June 2002 • • • Greece • • • Portugal • • • • Spain • • • • National Action Programme to combat drought and desertification, Rome, December 1999. http:/unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2000/italyeng.pdf National Report of Italy on the Implementation of the UNCCD, 2000 http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2000/italy-eng.pdf http://www.desertification.it/doc/nationalreport.htm Committee for the review of the implementation of the convention. Second reporting process on UNCCD implementation. Italy National Report, April 30 2002. http://unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/italy-eng.pdf Greek National Committee for combating desertification: First national report on the implementation of the United Nations Convention to combat desertification. Athens March 2000. . http://unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2000/greece-eng.pdf Greek National Action Plan for combating desertification. (Extended Summary), Athens - January 2001. http://www.unccd.int/actionprogrammes/northmed/national/2001/greece-eng.pdf Greek National Committee for combating desertification: Second national report on the implementation of the United Nations Convention to combat desertification. Athens April 2002. http://unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/greece-eng.pdf National Action Plan to Combat Desertification – 17 June 1999. Portugal – Summary of National Report http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2000/portugal-summaryeng.pdf National Report on the implementation of the convention to combat desertification in Portugal. April 2002. http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/portugal-eng.pdf DISMED Technical workshop on thematic and sensitivity mapping on desertification and drought – Portuguese report, March 2002. http://p-case.iata.fi.cnr.it/dismed/Djerba-presentations.htm SPAIN SURMODES website: http://www.eeza.csic.es/Spain SURMODES DISMED Technical Workshop on NAP information needs. Spanish NCB report, July 2001. http://p-case.iata.fi.cnr.it/dis-med/ . DISMED_Florence_spain_NCB.rtf National Report on the implementation of the convention to combat desertification in Spain. April 2002. Il informe sobre el programa de accion nacional contra la desertification. http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/national/2002/spain-spa.pdf Second Annex IV sub-regional report for the implementation of the UNCCD. Athens, Greece, April 2002. 41 • Analysis of sources for descriptions of specific desertification -related issues http://www.unccd.int/cop/reports/northmed/regional/2002/group_of_annex_iv_co untries-eng.pdf MEDRAP : Concerted Action to support the northern Mediterranean regional action programme to combat desertification http://www.uniss.it/nrd/medrap PROBLEM Abandonment of marginal lands and historical settlements, depopulation Depopulation, migration COUNTRY I, P P, S Information collection, analysis and dissemination needs organisation Lack of desertification indicators of a socio-economic nature Lack of information on the evolution of desertification Initial enthusiasm reduced by inactivity Lack of specific funding for the implementation of the Convention S Over-exploitation of soil and water resources linked to financial investment S, I,P Damage to forests by drought Deforestation, causing soil erosion Damage to land surface by fire (frequency and extent) S G S, I, G Discrimination between current and relict desertification (S) or reversible and non-reversible desertification (G) Forecasting desertification under chosen climatic and socio-economic scenarios Climatic stress: drought, dryness, decline in water reserves, variability of rainfall S, G Monitoring land degradation status over large areas using objective and low cost methods S, G Groundwater aquifers may be subject to seawater intrusion due to over-pumping for irrigation, or geology G,I Lack of public awareness of the problem of desertification G ,P Soil loss, compaction or reduction of soil organic matter Soil erosion accelerated by frequent forest fires, extreme precipitation on steep slopes and overgrazing Severe erosion on steep south and southeast exposed slopes Steep slopes increase the threat of soil erosion especially in conjunction with extreme rainfall and unsuitable agricultural techniques Increased surface runoff due to reduction of soil water retention Soil erosion by water and wind limits the rootable depth of soil Existing soil and water conservation structures are not being maintained Management of water resources is lacking Management of aquifer resources and sea water intrusion is lacking Tendency towards reduction of annual rainfall I S S P G, P Ref p6 National Report of Italy 2000 p14 NAP Portugal report 1999 p11 NAP Portugal report 1999 SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 p7 DISMED-Florence-Spain 2001, SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 p7 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 p7 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 p4 National Report, Portugal, 2002 p8 Second National Report of Greece, 2002 p6 National Report, Portugal, 2002 p2 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 p39 Italy National Report 2002 p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p2 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 p15 First National Report Greece 2000 p2 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 p39 Italy National Report 2002 p16 Greek National Action Plan 2001 SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 p11 Greek National Action Plan 2001 S SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 I,G,P p11 National Report, Portugal, 2002 p16 Second National Report of Greece, 2002 Italy National Report, 2002 SPAIN SURMODES website, 2002 p1 DISMED-Florence-Spain, 2001 p28 Second National Report of Greece, 2002 p6 Second National Report of Greece, 2002 p6 National Report of Italy 2000 I, G G p21 Second National Report of Greece, 2002 p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p39 Italy National Report 2002 p6 National Report of Italy 2000 p6 National Report of Italy 2000 p16 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p4 Greek National Action Plan G, I p15 First National Report Greece 2000 National Report of Italy 2000 P p1 Portugal NAP 1999 G p6 Greek National Action Plan G p15 First National Report Greece 2000 G, I, S S, G p9 Second National Report Greece 2002 p18 Second National Report Greece G p7 Greek National Action Plan 42 Salinisation G, I Chemical pollution G, I Acidification Reduction or degradation of plant cover e.g. clearing of forest for agricultural expansion Urban development Loss of economic productivity of traditional agriculture Lack of new policies to counterbalance effects of market globalisation Lack of policies to combat adverse agricultural market effects Lack of compatible standards and systems between countries Low cost monitoring methods required Desertification forecasting methods required Effective water erosion control Control of surface crusting Control of soil salinisation Control of nitrate pollution of groundwater Soil water conservation and increasing freshwater supply Ensuring a response to natural and man-made water shortage Short-term perspectives and use of technology do not support sustainability Accelerated soil erosion, due to wildfires and agricultural and forestry practices that result in removal of vegetation cover Inter-basin water transfers established in the National Hydrological Plan may foster direction of population and investment to littoral and irrigated areas where consumption of resources may be unsustainable and contribute to abandonment of inland cropping areas Land suitable for restoration is often not in public hands and co-operation with private landowners may be lacking Threat and consequences of drought Scarcity of freshwater supplies Progressive decline in economic activities Inadequate development of new economic activities Progressive specialisation in agriculture Abandonment of hilly areas Low levels of competition between extremely specialised companies Lack of marketing support structures Low quality water resources G I, G SOLUTION COUNTRY Ref G, I p7 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p3, p11 Greek National Action Plan, 2001 p21 Italy National Report 2002 p3 Greek National Action Plan, 2001 p8, p16 Italy National Report, 2002 p10 National Report Spain 2002 Portugal Summary Report 2000 p7 NAP report 1999 p15 National Report Spain 2002 p24 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p15 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p54 National Report Spain 2002 p7, p8 Italy National Report, 2002 Collaboration with international partners I I I p7 Greek National Action Plan p39 Italy National Report 2002 p7 Greek National Action Plan p39 Italy National Report 2002 p7 Greek National Action Plan p39 Italy National Report 2002 p16 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p39 Italy National Report 2002 p6 National Report of Italy 2000 p6 National Report of Italy 2000 I p8 Italy National Report 2002 I p17 Italy National Report 2002 S, G S, G, I Annex IV Annex IV Annex IV Annex IV Annex IV Spain SURMODES website 2002 Spain SURMODES website 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 S S MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 G G I I I I I MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 I I MEDRAP Report June 2002 Formulation of national strategies and priorities G, I, S, P Research programmes on a national scale S, G, P Ensuring necessary funding for the application of measures Transfer of jurisdiction and responsibility over environmental policies from national to regional or local scales Promotion of public awareness G, S I G, S, P 43 p25 First National Report Greece p3, p9 Greek National Action Plan, 2001 Specialist courses at universities and research centres Copies of the NAP have been sent to all universities to increase awareness of the problem Application of the NAP to pilot areas G G EASW workshops have been held in pilot areas to increase awareness and enthusiasm Preparation of Codes of Good Agricultural Practice with subsidies for those who conform Protection of steep slopes from soil erosion, e.g. as subsidised set-aside land P Control of land clearance and deforestation that leave areas prone to erosion Recovery and reconstruction of terraces on sloping land to reduce soil erosion, enhance water storage, promote traditional farming and reduce depopulation Reduction of soil water loss by using best practice cultivation measures, such as mulching, minimum tillage Small stones and gravel on the soil surface should not be removed as they reduce evaporation losses Clarification of forest-land ownership to aid preservation of natural vegetation and reduce fire risk G Reforestation of burned forest, and improved forest management to reduce fire risk G,I,P Sustainable management and expansion of forest areas I Establishment of national and regional plans/policies for sustainable development Creation of a National Coordinating Body to implement and evaluate the NAP P, I Coordination of Ministries responsible for the management of water resources, to accelerate responses Establishment of regional water management services to protect water resources with legal regulations G, I, S Definition of water availability and requirements, drought watch system I Repair and renovation of irrigation networks. Water recycling and drought prevention methods G, I Control of the quality of irrigation water Ensuring the drainage and leaching requirements of irrigated soils G, S G I, G G, I p39 National Report Spain 2002 p5 NAP Portugal report 1999 Portugal Summary Report 2000 p15 Italy National Report 2002 p6 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p14 First National Report Greece p11, p15 Greek National Action Plan, 2001 p20 National Report Spain 2002 p4 National Report Portugal, 2002 p12, p14 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7 Second National Report Greece, 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p11 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7 NAP Portugal report 1999 p16 Greek National Action Plan 2001 G p11 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p38 Italy National Report 2002 p14 Greek National Action Plan 2001 G p14 Greek National Action Plan 2001 G G p15 First National Report Greece 2000 p17 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7, p24 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p16 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7, p24 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p38 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p16 NAP Portugal report 1999 p38 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p2 National Report Portugal 2002 p8 Italy National Report, 2002 Portugal Summary Report 2000 p3 National Report Portugal 2002 p29 Italy National Report 2002 p21 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p22 Italy National Report 2002 p21 National Report Spain 2002 p21 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7, p25 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p39 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p12 National Report of Italy 2001 p25 First National Report Greece p11, p21 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p7, p25 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p39 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p15, p21 Greek National Action Plan 2001 G p15 Greek National Action Plan 2001 Construction of dams, reservoirs and artificial recharging to control water distribution and combat drought. G, I Improvement to the competitiveness of agriculture Integrated social and environmental balance in the countryside G G p22 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p8, p12, p25 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p39 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p9 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p9 Second National Report Greece, 2002 P, I G 44 Subsidies to young farmers and promotion of early retirement, to decrease the average age of the rural population Promotion of agro-tourism in mountainous and marginal lands Encouragement of sustainable biological farming and traditional knowledge G p9, p12 Second National Report Greece, 2002 G Encouragement of young doctors to spend a year of service in rural communities Development of local agencies to apply and coordinate policies and measures at local level Application of the NAP in pilot areas with set targets G p12 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p12 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p9 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p39 Italy National Report 2002 p8 National Report of Italy 2001 p9 Second National Report Greece, 2002 G p10 Second National Report Greece, 2002 G, P Evaluation of the 19 ANPA indicators of desertification Reduction of agricultural pollution, especially nitrates, to protect biodiversity P G Mapping of threatened areas and their extent G, I, S,P Mapping of soils using units indicative of extent of erosion, erosion risk, soil depth and soil drought risk G, I Further testing and use of the PESERA estimated erosion rate model Use of the media and workshops to promote public awareness of desertification G p10 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p3 National Report Portugal, 2002 p4 National Report Portugal, 2002 p12, p19 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p10, p24 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p3, p8 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p8 Italy National Report, 2002 p16 National Report of Italy 2000 p41 National Report Spain 2002 p4 DISMED Spain 2001 p4 DISMED Portugal 2002 p13 NAP Portugal report 1999 p13 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p38 Italy National Report 2002 Italian NAP 1999 p16 National Report of Italy 2000 p17 Second National Report Greece, 2002 The Biological Animal Production Plan will protect pastures from overgrazing G Banning of grazing in burned forests Building data bases of changing land condition G S, I Rehabilitation or restoration of threatened areas S, I Estimation of effectiveness of applied policy and measures Establishment of a network for monitoring, early diagnosis and warning G G, I,P p3 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p8, p15, p29 Italy National Report 2002 p2 DISMED Portugal 2002 p6 DISMED Spain 2001 Formulation and implementation of land use policy Control of excessive pumping from coastal aquifers Restoration of traditional knowledge and technology Analysis and evaluation of existing legislation for the environment Proposing criteria for setting priorities for funding actions to combat desertification Establishment of clearing house mechanisms to share and distribute information Use of standard AGROVOC thesaurus keywords and FAO classification methods Analysis and evaluation of strategies to prevent and combat desertification Use of environmentally friendly technology Legislation to prevent profiteering from unsustainable short term land use practices Recovery of degraded areas Creation of centres to demonstrate good practice Establishment of national and regional long-term plans/policies for sustainable development Improve water use efficiency and reduce waste, G G I I p10 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p12 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p15 Italy National Report 2002 p18 Italy National Report 2002 I p 42/43 Italy National Report 2002 I p8 National Report of Italy 2000 I p9 National Report of Italy 2000 I, G G G p15 National Report of Italy 2000 p28 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p24 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p24 Greek National Action Plan 2001 P P Annex IV p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p17 NAP Portugal report 1999 p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 G, I G, I 45 p14 First National Report Greece p21, p24 Second National Report Greece, 2002 p15 National Report of Italy 2000 p12, p16, p20 Greek National Action Plan 2001 p21 Second National Report Greece 2002 p11 Greek National Action Plan 2001 SPAIN SURMODES website p29 Italy National Report 2002 SPAIN SURMODES website p39 Italy National Report 2002 p3 Greek National Action Plan 2001 including advisory systems Irrigation practices and policies to minimise salinisation and sustain water resources Construction of dams, reservoirs and artificial recharging to control water distribution and combat drought. Encouragement of sustainable biological farming and traditional knowledge Application of the NAP in pilot areas with set targets Networking of pilot areas in Annex IV countries Mapping of threatened areas using desertification indicator models Establishment of a Clearing House Mechanism for Annex IV Tillage systems to control erosion and surface crust formation, minimise water loss and increase soil water storage Urban expansion across potentially productive or environmentally important soils should be controlled by planning measures Planning of new settlement should avoid concentrated urban zones and marginalised rural zones Land use planning should be in harmony with water use and management planning Forest management to preserve and mitigate desertification should be clarified Long term continuous and accurate monitoring of water resources Mediterranean network database Early warning systems for drought Promotion of diversity and new opportunities in affected areas Promote synergies with other relevant programmes at national and international levels Aids to cultures that enrich the soil Diversification of species used in afforestation Scrubland management Creation of water reservoirs River protection Reduction of overland flow Better road network Ethnic and cultural programmes Commercialisation of regional produce Rural and environmental tourism Fiscal benefits and positive discrimination to enhance quality of rural life Provision of benefits to attract young people and enterprises to rural life Forest restoration, including biodiversity, vegetation and soil conservation, with suitable technology and in priority areas More effective monitoring and assessment of restoration projects to avoid failure or negative impacts Aid packages for private land owners of land suitable for restoration Afforestation of semi arid marginal lands with fodder resources Increased research and technology transfer regarding restoration techniques Increase in water availability to civil and agricultural use by purification and re-use Increase in the quality of production and competitiveness of agricultural products Conversion of abandoned agricultural units to agritourism facilities Medium and long term economic and regional planning Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV Annex IV Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p2 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p4 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p3 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p5 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV Annex IV Annex IV p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 Annex IV p6 Second Annex IV Report 2002 P P P P P P P P P P P MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 MEDRAP Report June 2002 P MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 S MEDRAP Report June 2002 I MEDRAP Report June 2002 I MEDRAP Report June 2002 I MEDRAP Report June 2002 I MEDRAP Report June 2002 46 Appendix 2: Reports of the National Committees to Combat Desertification to the Second MEDRAP workshop "Identification of Sensitive Areas", Tróia, Portugal, 6 to 8 June 2002 Consultation of stakeholders Although the information from these reports is also shown in the table in Appendix 1, the principal findings are given here, country by country to give a clearer impression of the national pictures. These reports contain more recent developments in work done by the National Committees, particularly relating to the consultation of stakeholders about the problem and mitigation of desertification in their own locality, and about potential solutions. They also contain further information about indicators which have been used by the National Committees to map environmental sensitivity. Portugal The report summarises the results of the series of half day workshops held in four areas of Portugal. Because the workshops were run jointly by the Focal Point and DESERTLINKS the signs of desertification identified by the stakeholders have already been listed above. However, this report also highlights the potential solutions that were recognised by the stakeholders. Relating to soils: • MINIMUM TILLAGE AND OTHER GOOD AGRICULTURAL PRACTICE • NATURAL GRAZING • AIDS TO CULTURES THAT ENRICH THE SOIL • SUITABLE LIVESTOCK DENSITY • DIVERSIFICATION OF SPECIES USED IN AFFORESTATION • SCRUBLAND MANAGEMENT • CREATION OF WATER RESERVOIRS • PREVENTION OF FOREST FIRES • USE OF TRADITIONAL PRACTICES • RIVER PROTECTION • REDUCTION OF OVERLAND FLOW Relating to the economy • BETTER ROAD NETWORK • ETHNOLOGICAL AND CULTURAL ITINERARIES • ORIGIN DENOMINATION PRODUCES • COMMERCIAL CONDITIONS TO REGIONAL PRODUCES • RURAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL TOURISM • FISCAL BENEFITS • PROMOTION OF QUALITY OF LIFE • REQUALIFICATION OF URBAN AND RURAL CENTRES • BENEFITS TO SETTLE YOUNG PEOPLE • BENEFITS TO SETTLE ENTERPRISES • PUT INTO PRACTICE TO ATTEND THE INFORMATION OF PEOPLE LIVING ON VILLAGES • DIGNIFY THE WORK OF THOSE LIVING IN DEPRESSED AREAS Spain The Spanish report describes the results of a two phase consultation exercise with stakeholders held in Madrid in 2001. In the first phase managers and policy makers from national, regional and local administrations were involved and in the second phase members of civil society. The principal problems related to desertification were identified as: • SOIL EROSION • WILD FIRES • AGRICULTURAL AND FORESTRY PRACTICES 47 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • EROSIVE CLIMATE CONDITIONS SOIL ERODIBILITY SOIL SALINISATION OVER EXPLOITATION OF AQUIFERS CONCENTRATION OF AGRICULTURE IN IRRIGATED AREAS INVESTMENT IN IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE POPULATION INFLOW. AGRICULTURE AND STOCKBREEDING SYSTEMS RAINFED CROPS ON STEEP AND MODERATE SLOPES HETEROGENEOUS DISTRIBUTION OF LIVESTOCK DENSITY OVER GRAZING ABANDONMENT OF MARGINAL FARMING SYSTEMS RAPID EXPANSION/CONTRACTION OF MARGINAL LAND IN RESPONSE TO MARKET CHANGES INTENSIVE AGRICULTURE LACK OF INVESTMENT ON CONSERVATION SYSTEMS LITTORALISATION OF THE ECONOMY Solutions to combat desertification included: FULL IMPLEMENTATION OF AGRI-ENVIRONMENTAL MEASURES TO AVOID SOIL • • • • • • • • • • • • • DEGRADATION AFTER MARGINAL LAND ABANDONMENT FOREST RESTORATION INCREASE IN PLANT COVER INCREASE IN DIVERSITY OF VEGETATION COVER PREVENTION OF WILD FIRES MAINTAINING SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION STRUCTURES TARGET AREAS DEGRADED CLOSE TO OR BEYOND THEIR REGENERATION CAPACITY EFFECTIVE MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT OF RESTORATION ACTIVITIES EVALUATION OF PAST RESTORATION ACTIONS AID SYSTEMS TO PRIVATE LAND OWNERS TO GAIN COOPERATION IN RESTORATION AFFORESTATION WITH SUITABLE TECHNOLOGY AND IN PRIORITY AREAS AFFORESTATION OF SEMIARID MARGINAL LANDS WITH FODDER RESOURCES INCREASED RESEARCH AND TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER REGARDING RESTORATION TECHNIQUES. Greece No mention is made in the report of a specific consultation exercise with stakeholders. However the public and authorities generally understand desertification to mean. • THREAT AND CONSEQUENCES OF DROUGHT • SCARCITY OF FRESH WATER SUPPLY Italy In April 2002 the Italian National Committee held a consultation exercise with local stakeholders in Licata, Sicily. Problems associated with desertification are perceived by the stakeholders to be: • • • • • • • • SCARCE WATER RESOURCES PROGRESSIVE DECLINE IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY INADEQUATE DEVELOPMENT OF NEW ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES PROGRESSIVE SPECIALISATION IN AGRICULTURE ABANDONMENT OF HILLY AREAS LOW LEVELS OF COMPETITION BETWEEN EXTREMELY SPECIALISED COMPANIES LACK OF MARKETING SUPPORT STRUCTURES LOW QUALITY WATER RESOURCES 48 Solutions were seen to be: • INCREASE WATER AVAILABILITY TO CIVIL AND AGRICULTURAL USES BY PURIFICATION AND RE• • • • USE RAISE THE QUALITY OF PRODUCTION AND COMPETITIVENESS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS CONVERSION OF ABANDONED AGRICULTURAL UNITS TO AGRITOURISM FACILITIES ECONOMIC AND REGIONAL PLANNING MEDIUM TO LONG TERM DEVELOPMENT OF CITIZEN AWARENESS AND PARTICIPATION 49 50 Appendix 3: DESERTLINKS "Desertification Enquiry" made of the general public Survey of the opinion of the general public of desertification The problem of desertification as perceived by the general public in affected Mediterranean countries. (Source: DESERTLINKS Desertification Enquiry designed by Roxo) 3 Beja depopulation lack of employment drought Mertola depopulation advance of deserts deforestation 4 deforestation drought 5 6 poor infrastructure lack of water 7 desert advance lack of water lack of employment climate change 8 soil erosion soil erosion 1 2 Agri lack of water drought Guadalentín52 deforestation lack of water Lesvos lack of water drought deforestation drought temperature increase climate change fire soil erosion increase in temperature fire desert advance biodiversity loss ozone layer destruction fire aridity desert advance deforestation destruction of vegetation soil and water pollution depopulation Fifteen problems or issues were listed in the questionnaire and the respondents were asked which of them they associated with desertification. The problems have been ranked according to the frequency with which they were mentioned and the top eight have been listed above. These problems are in the top eight in all four affected areas: • LACK OF WATER • DROUGHT • DEFORESTATION However there is a clear difference between Portugal and the other three • DEPOPULATION and • LACK OF EMPLOYMENT being the two highest rated problems in Portugal and • DROUGHT, • LACK OF WATER and • DEFORESTATION being in the two highest-rated problems in Italy, Spain and Greece. 52 In the Guadalentín the survey was sent to both secondary schools and universities. The results given here are for the two sets of replies combined. An additional question was included in the survey "How do you think desertification is affecting the area?" to which the combined replies were droughts, impoverished lands, desert, emigration vegetation degradation reduction in the quality of life increase of temperatures 51 52 Appendix 4: Problems or signs of desertification as identified by groups of local stakeholders at participatory workshops Stakeholder workshops Portugal As part of the work programme of the DESERTLINKS project, a series of workshops were held in Portugal, Spain, Italy and Greece in which between 20 and 60 local and regional stakeholders discussed their concerns about desertification in their local area. At a series of half day workshops held in four areas in Portugal53, groups of local stakeholders were asked to identify the principal signs of desertification. In order of decreasing importance these signs were • • • • • • • • • • • • • • INADEQUATE AGRICULTURAL TECHNIQUES POOR AND DEGRADED SOILS REDUCTION OF BIODIVERSITY LAND EROSION PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT OF RURAL SPACE REDUCED ECONOMIC ATTRACTIVENESS DEGRADATION OF VEGETATION DEPOPULATION OF THE RURAL SPACE AGEING OF THE POPULATION ABANDONMENT OF AGRICULTURAL LAND INADEQUATE AGRICULTURAL POLICIES FIRES LOW PRODUCTIVITY LAND WATER RESOURCES A large number of strategies to combat these problems were suggested in the workshops, together with potential partners who could take part in them. These have not been synthesised. Italy The Italian stakeholders identified the following concerns about desertification locally: • • • • IMPOVERISHMENT AND DEGRADATION OF TERRITORIAL RESOURCES − Reduction of available water resources (Env and Econ) − Bad maintenance of pipelines (Inst) − Decrease of land productivity (Econ) − Less tourist attraction (opportunity or dangerous) (Econ) − Increase of deforestation and fire risk − Abandonment of traditional technologies and tacit knowledge (Econ) CLIMATE CHANGE INCREASE OF TERRITORIAL DISPARITY (COSTAL/INTERNAL (SOCIAL) REDUCTION OF RURAL POPULATION − Elderly of rural population − Abandonment of agricultural land − Ecosystem alteration due to the innovative agricultural technologies − Demographic pressure − Increase of social conflict for the use of natural resources, especially water 53 Source: "Public participation in the fight against desertification" Report on four participatory workshops carried out between 5 April and 2 May 2002 in four pilot areas (Portuguese National Coordination Committee of the National Action Programme to Combat Desertification in association with Universidade Nova de Lisboa) 53 • • Spain ABSENCE OF PERCEPTION OF THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF NATURAL RESOURCES − Degradation and low quality of life (Env) − Increase of the cost for services (especially transport) due to territorial degradation (Econ) − No integration of environmental variables in the territorial and sector policies and/or missing of integrated approach from the policy makers (Inst) − Development policies (for the agricultural sector) not responding to the local peculiarities (Inst) − Absence of controls on the results of public founds ABSENCE OF TERRITORIAL NETWORK ABLE TO MANAGE THE PHENOMENA THAT IS CAUSE/EFFECT OF WEAKNESS OF SOCIAL CAPITAL (INST) The local stakeholder workshop in the Guadalentín concluded that soil resources are running out in the area. Even though this is identified as a very severe problem, it is not considered a priority at a political level. Two agricultural systems exist in the Guadalentín basin and they are related to two different kinds of sensitivity to the environment: intensive farming, consuming resources and being very aggressive to the environment; and dry farming which is more and more marginal. The perceptions of the stakeholders to the origin of the problem (not in order of importance) were: • SOIL RESOURCE IS NOT PROPERLY VALUED • SLOPING SOILS ARE PLOUGHED • EXISTENCE OF A VERY INTENSIVE AGRICULTURAL SYSTEM • THE IDEA OF MULTIFUNCTIONAL AGRICULTURE DOES NOT WORK IN THE GUADALENTÍN • LACK OF SOIL PROTECTION MEASURES BY THE ADMINISTRATION • CULTURE OF NEW AGRICULTURE BASED ON IRRIGATION AND EASY MONEY • TECHNICIANS AND MANAGERS DO NOT HAVE SUFFICIENT KNOWLEDGE ABOUT DESERTIFICATION • THE TWO SYSTEMS OF DRY AND IRRIGATED FARMING LEADS TO A FRAGMENTATION OF THE TERRITORY • OVERGRAZING • NEW CULTIVATION ON SLOPING OR FORESTED SOILS • INTENSIFICATION OF DRY FARMING • NOT ENOUGH QUALITY IN DRY FARMING PRODUCTION • "MENTAL DESERTIFICATION" The stakeholders' perception of the signs and consequences of desertification (not listed in order of importance) were: • LOSS IN CROP PRODUCTION • LOSS OF WATER QUALITY • NEW IRRIGATION CULTURES ON DRY FARMING AREAS • DISAPPEARANCE OF SPRINGS • DEPOPULATION AND POPULATION MOVEMENTS IN RURAL AREAS • DEGRADATION OF ABANDONED AGRICULTURAL LAND Greece The results obtained from: (a) the questionnaire filled in collaboration with the local land users, (b) the workshop organized in the island of Lesvos showed that the main impacts of desertification in the island are related to loss of land productivity and farm income. Specifically the main impacts of desertification in the island of Lesvos, in a decreasing order of importance are the following: • LOSS IN AGRICULTURAL CROP PRODUCTION • LOSS IN FARM INCOME • ABANDONMENT OF AGRICULTURAL AREAS 54 • • • • • • • LOSS IN WATER RESOURCES INCREASE OF IMPORTED ANIMAL FEED INCREASE OF PASTURE FIRES LOSS OF SOIL RESOURCES LOSS IN BIODIVERSITY SALINIZATION OF LOWLAND FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND SEDIMENTATION 55 56 Appendix 5: List of desertification related issues affecting Mediterranean Europe as identified by the UNCCD, national Focal Points and national and local stakeholders Theme Sub-theme Specific example of issue/problem/solution Source Country Themes recognised by most stakeholder groups LAND ABANDONMENT agricultural areas hilly areas marginal land AGRICULTURAL CULTIVATION TECHNIQUES AND PRACTICES abandonment of agricultural areas Stakeholder workshop report 2002 abandonment of agricultural land Stakeholder workshop report 2002 degradation of abandoned Stakeholder agricultural land workshop report 2002 abandonment of hilly areas National Action Programme abandonment of hilly areas FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Greece abandonment of marginal farming systems FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain Portugal Spain Combined Italy abandonment, land Text of UNCCD general historical settlements abandonment of marginal lands and historical settlements National Action Programme Combined soil and water conservation abandonment of marginal farming systems, with consequent degradation of traditional soil and water conservation systems National Action Programme Combined suitability of agricultural and forestry practices agricultural and forestry practices FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain agriculture and stockbreeding systems FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain soil factors water storage agricultural techniques, inadequate Stakeholder workshop report 2002 PAC, multifunctional agriculture, Stakeholder does not work in the Guadalentín workshop report 2002 dry and irrigated farming systems Stakeholder lead to fragmentation of the workshop report territory 2002 new cultivation of sloping or Stakeholder forested soils workshop report 2002 insufficient quality in dry farming Stakeholder methods workshop report 2002 soil loss, compaction, or reduction National Action of soil organic matter resulting in Programme land degradation Portugal preparation of Codes of Good National Action Agricultural Practice with subsidies Programme for those who conform Combined reduction of soil water loss and increase of soil water storage by using best practice cultivation measures, such as mulching, or minimum tillage Combined 57 National Action Programme Spain Spain Spain Spain Combined crusting and erosion small stones and gravel on the soil National Action surface should not be removed as Programme they reduce evaporation losses Combined control of surface crusting and erosion National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined aids to cultures that enrich the soil National Action Programme Combined agricultural policies, inadequate Stakeholder workshop report 2002 land suitable for restoration is often National Action not in public hands and coProgramme operation with private landowners may be lacking agriculture intensive FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Portugal intensive agricultural system Spain sustainable encouragement of sustainable biological methods biological farming and traditional knowledge and technology policies intensive techniques intensification of dry farming irrigation specialisation PRODUCTIVITY LOSS traditional agriculture livestock crops BIODIVERSITY LOSS biodiversity reduction agriculture, concentration in irrigated areas Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Stakeholder workshop report 2002 FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Combined Spain Spain Spain ensuring the drainage and leaching National Action requirements of irrigated soils Programme Combined agriculture, progressive specialisation in FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Italy progressive specialisation in agriculture National Action Programme Combined agriculture, traditional, loss of productivity National Report 2000 Italy animal feed, Increase of imported Stakeholder workshop report 2002 production, Loss in agricultural crop Stakeholder workshop report 2002 productivity, low land Stakeholder workshop report 2002 loss of crop production Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Greece biodiversity, loss in Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Greece FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Italy loss of economic productivity of traditional agriculture National Action Programme Combined economy, reduced attractiveness Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Portugal biodiversity, reduction of ECONOMIC ACTIVITY progressive decline economic activity, progressive in traditional decline in agriculture 58 Greece Portugal Spain Portugal reduced farm income income, Loss in farm Stakeholder workshop report 2002 inadequate lack of development of new National Action development of new economic measures for sustainable Programme activities agriculture economic activity, inadequate development of new FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 benefits, subsidies fiscal benefits and positive National Action and aid packages discrimination to enhance quality of Programme rural life Combined Italy Combined provision of benefits to attract young people and enterprises to rural life subsidies to young farmers and promotion of early retirement, to decrease the average age of the rural working population National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined exploitation of resources aid packages for private land owners of land suitable for restoration over-exploitation of soil and water resources linked to financial investment investment, overexploitation of soil and water resources soil erosion erosion, land Stakeholder workshop report 2002 FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 investment in irrigation SOIL EROSION Greece erosion, soil water and wind erosion erodibility National Report 2002 Italy Portugal Spain soil erosion by water and wind National Action limits the rootable depth of the soil Programme Combined overland flow and surface water National Action run-off are increased by reduced Programme soil water retention, where soil has been eroded or affected physically Combined effective water erosion control National Action Programme National Action Programme Combined FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain Text of UNCCD general further testing and use of the PESERA estimated erosion rate model erodibility, soil soil, poor, highly erodible degradation factors land degradation soil organic matter content, depletion of soil resources, Loss of soil, poor and degraded soil resource not properly valued National Report 2000 Italy National Report 2000 Italy Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Report 2000 deforestation deforestation causing soil erosion fire soil erosion is accelerated by forest National Action fires, extreme precipitation on Programme steep slopes and overgrazing, and agricultural practices that result in the removal of vegetation cover 59 Combined Greece Portugal Spain Greece Combined FIRE forest fire fire fire, forest loss fire, wild pasture fire effects on soils WATER RESOURCES water availability management of water resources FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain general National Report 2000 Italy fires, forest National Report 2000 Greece fires, forest National Report 2000 Portugal fire, increase of pasture Stakeholder workshop report 2002 damage to the land surface by fire National Action frequency and extent Programme Greece banning of grazing in burned forests National Action Programme Combined water resources Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Stakeholder workshop report 2002 FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Portugal scarcity of freshwater supplies National Action Programme Combined disappearance of springs Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Action Programme Spain water resources, scarce groundwater over exploitation Portugal fires, forest water resources, loss in water quality Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Text of UNCCD Combined Greece Italy establishment of regional water management services to protect water resources with legal regulations water resources, low quality water FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Combined low quality water resources National Action Programme Combined loss of water quality FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Spain groundwater, over exploitation of FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain groundwater, overexploitation of National Report 2000 Italy over-exploitation of water resources water resources, unsustainable exploitation of National Report 2000 Greece Text of UNCCD Italy general management of water resources, National Action including aquifer resources and sea Programme water intrusion, is lacking Combined over-exploitation of groundwater aquifers, including over-pumping for irrigation National Action Programme Combined control of excessive pumping from National Action coastal aquifers Programme Combined coordination of ministries National Action responsible for the management of Programme water resources, to accelerate responses river protection National Action Programme Combined improve water use efficiency and reduce waste Combined 60 National Action Programme Combined create water advisory agencies POPULATION CHANGES National Action Programme Combined increase water availability to civil and agricultural use by purification and re-use drought prevention water recycling and drought prevention methods National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined ageing population population, ageing of the rural depopulation rural depopulation Stakeholder Portugal workshop report 2002 Stakeholder Portugal workshop report 2002 National Report 2000 Portugal rural depopulation depopulation, migration National Action Programme depopulation and population movement in rural areas FLOODING Combined Stakeholder workshop report 2002 encouragement of young doctors to National Action spend a year of service in rural Programme communities Spain ethnic and cultural programmes National Action Programme Combined inflow strong investment and population inflow to irrigated areas where water consumption exceeds sustainable availability National Action Programme Combined flooding and sedimentation flooding of lowland and sedimentation Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Greece Combined Themes which tended to be recognised by the National committees rather than the stakeholder groups CLIMATIC CONDITIONS low rainfall National Report 2000 Italy rainfall, natural deficit National Report 2000 Greece threat and consequences of drought National Action Programme Combined rainfall, high variability Text of UNCCD general variability of rainfall National Action Programme Combined extreme events climate conditions, erosive FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain rainfall, extreme National Report 2000 Italy trends in rainfall climatic stress: drought, dryness, decline in water reserves National Action Programme Combined drought tendency towards reduction of annual rainfall National Action Programme Combined maintenance of conservation structures conservation structures, deterioration of soil and water Text of UNCCD general rainfall variability SOIL AND WATER CONSERVATION STRUCTURES rainfall, low existing soil and water conservation National Action structures are not being maintained Programme Combined recovery and reconstruction of National Action terraces on sloping land to reduce Programme soil erosion and enhance water storage Combined 61 investment IRRIGATION irrigation methods Spain construction of dams, reservoirs and artificial recharging to control water distribution and combat drought National Action Programme Combined concentration of agriculture in irrigated areas National Action Programme Combined repair and renovation of irrigation networks National Action Programme Combined Spain salinisation irrigation practices and policies to minimise salinisation and sustain water resources National Action Programme Combined deforestation deforestation, causing soil erosion National Action Programme Combined forest damage by drought drought, damage to forests Spain FORESTRY ACTIVITY forestry management forestry responsibility over-exploitation forestry methods DISMED, Florence 2001 Spain Combined clarification of management National Action methods to mitigate desertification Programme Combined control of land clearance and deforestation that leaves areas prone to erosion National Action Programme Combined more effective monitoring and National Action assessment of restoration projects Programme to avoid failure or negative impacts Combined clarification of forest-land ownership National Action Programme Combined forestry activity National Report 2000 Portugal forest resources, over-exploitation National Report 2000 Greece of sustainable management and National Action Combined expansion of forest areas Programme forest restoration with suitable technology in priority areas National Action Programme Combined diversification of species used in afforestation National Action Programme Combined afforestation of semi-arid marginal National Action lands with fodder resources Programme Combined reforestation of burned forest National Action Programme Combined improved management to reduce fire risk National Action Programme Combined drought damage to forests by drought National Action Programme Combined distribution of grazing density grazing, livestock, heterogeneous distribution of density FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain overgrazing over grazing FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain overgrazing National Report 2000 Italy biodiversity in forests fire GRAZING ACTIVITY FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 culture of new agriculture based on Stakeholder irrigation and easy money workshop report 2002 new irrigation cultivation in dry Stakeholder farming areas workshop report 2002 control of the quality of irrigation National Action water Programme water quality DEFORESTATION conservation systems, lack of investment 62 overgrazing National Report 2000 Greece overgrazing, grazing National Report 2000 Italy overgrazing Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Action Programme scrubland management husbandry practices LITTORALISATION economic factors negative side-effects of the CAP for National Action stockbreeding causing overgrazing Programme and soil erosion Combined economic factors littoralisation of the economy FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain littoralisation National Report 2000 Portugal rapid land use changes lack of marketing policies low competition POLLUTION Combined plans such as the Greek Biological National Action Combined Animal Production Plan will protect Programme pastures form overgrazing and erosion husbandry National Report 2000 Portugal irrigated agriculture littoralisation, including irrigated agriculture COMPETITION AND MARKETING Spain acidification Text of UNCCD general inter-basin water transfers National Action established in National Programme Hydrological Plans may encourager direction of population and investment to littoral and irrigated areas where consumption of resources may be unsustainable and contribute to abandonment of inland cropping areas Combined marginal land, rapid expansion/contraction of in response to market changes rapid changes in market and agricultural policies contribute to lack of investment in marginal lands misuse of technology to increase short term yields on marginal lands FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined legislation to prevent profiteering National Action from unsustainable short term land Programme use practices Combined lack of new policies to counterbalance effects of market globalisation marketing support, lack of structures National Report 2000 Italy FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Italy lack of policies to combat adverse National Action agricultural market effects Programme Combined promotion of diversity and new opportunities in affected areas National Action Programme Combined increase in the quality of production National Action and competitiveness of regional Programme agricultural products Combined competition, low levels between extremely specialised companies FP Stakeholder consultation 2002 Italy improvement to the competitiveness of agriculture National Action Programme Combined acidification National Action Programme Greece 63 chemical pollution PLANNING SALINISATION rural planning pollution, chemical National Report 2002 Italy pollution, chemical National Action Programme control of agricultural pollution. National Action especially nitrate pollution of Programme groundwater, to protect biodiversity Combined planning and management of rural Stakeholder space workshop report 2002 integrated social and environmental National Action balance in the countryside Programme Portugal National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined urbanisation National Report 2000 Greece salinisation of soil unplanned building urbanisation National Report 2000 Italy urbanisation National Report 2000 Portugal planning of new settlement should National Action avoid concentrated urban zones Programme and marginalized rural zones Combined urban expansion across potentially National Action productive or environmentally Programme important soils should be controlled by planning measures Combined salinisation National Report 2000 Italy salinisation National Report 2000 Greece salinisation, soil FP Stakeholder consultation 2001 Spain salinization of lowland Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Action Programme Greece intensive cultivation slopes, intensive cultivation of slopes, steep Text of UNCCD steep slopes are ploughed unplanned development Combined National Report 2000 Greece cultivation of steep slopes, rainfed crops on steep and FP Stakeholder slopes moderate consultation 2001 TOURISM Combined integrated planning land use planning should be in harmony with water use and management planning better road network control of soil salinisation SLOPES Greece Spain general Stakeholder workshop report 2002 steep slopes increase the threat of National Action soil erosion especially in Programme conjunction with extreme rainfall and unsuitable agricultural crops or practices severe erosion on steep south and National Action south-east exposed slopes Programme Spain protection of steep slopes from soil National Action erosion, e.g. as subsidised setProgramme aside land Combined tourism Combined Combined National Report 2000 Portugal unplanned development of tourism National Report 2000 Greece promotion of agro- promotion of agro-tourism in tourism mountainous and marginal lands 64 National Action Programme Combined VEGETATION removal for agricultural expansion degradation of cover PUBLIC AWARENESS lack of public and technical awareness conversion of abandoned agricultural units to agri-tourism facilities National Action Programme vegetation cover, degradation of through agricultural expansion National Report 2002 Italy vegetation cover, degradation of through agricultural expansion National Action Programme Greece vegetation, degradation of Stakeholder workshop report 2002 Portugal public awareness of desertification, National Report 2002 Greece lack of technicians and managers do not have enough knowledge about desertification initial enthusiasm reduced by inactivity Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Action Programme Spain "mental desertification" Stakeholder workshop report 2002 National Action Programme Spain use of the media and workshops, such as EASW workshops in pilot areas, to increase awareness and enthusiasm specialist courses at universities and research centres National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined copies of the National Action Programme can be sent to all universities National Action Programme Combined creation of a National Coordinating National Action Body to implement and evaluate Programme the National Action Programme Combined lack of compatible standards and systems between countries National Action Programme Combined lack of specific funding for the implementation of the convention National Action Programme Combined proposal of criteria for setting priorities for funding actions to combat desertification National Action Programme Combined application of the National Action Programme in pilot areas with set targets networking of pilot areas in Annex IV countries National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined creation of centres to demonstrate National Action good practice Programme Combined establishment of national and regional plans/policies for sustainable development National Action Programme Combined short-term perspectives and use of technology do not support sustainability medium and long term economic and regional planning National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined promote synergies with other relevant programmes at national and international levels INSTITUTIONAL ORGANISATION implementation of the CCD policies to combat desertification Combined 65 Combined Combined analysis and evaluation of strategies to prevent and combat desertification formulation and implementation of land use policy National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined development of local agencies to National Action apply and co-ordinate policies and Programme measures at local level Combined estimation of effectiveness of applied policy and measures Combined National Action Programme insufficient administrative effort to develop soil protection measures funding to combat desertification devolution of responsibility MAPPING AND MONITORING mapping desertification requirements for indicators monitoring data bases early warning Stakeholder workshop report 2002 ensuring necessary funding for the National Action application of measures Programme Spain ensuring a response to natural and National Action man-made water shortage Programme Combined use of environmentally friendly technology National Action Programme Combined transfer of jurisdiction and responsibility over environmental policies from national to regional or local scales analysis and evaluation of existing legislation for the environment National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined mapping of the extent of threatened National Action areas Programme Combined mapping threatened areas using desertification indicator models National Action Programme Combined mapping of soils using units indicative of the extent of erosion, erosion risk, soil depth and soil drought risk lack of desertification indicators of a socio-economic nature National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined evaluation of the 19 ANPA indicators of desertification National Action Programme Combined lack of information on the evolution National Action of desertification Programme Combined organisation of information collection, analysis and dissemination, on a Mediterranean scale, i.e. a Clearing House mechanism monitoring land degradation status over large areas using objective and low cost methods National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined long term continuous and accurate National Action monitoring of water resources Programme Combined use of AGROVOC thesaurus keywords and FAO classification methods building data bases of changing land condition National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined establishment of a network for monitoring, early diagnosis and warning (especially for drought) National Action Programme Combined definition of water availability and requirements, in a drought watch system National Action Programme Combined 66 Combined methods for forecasting desertification under chosen climatic and socio-economic scenarios reversible and non- discrimination between current and reversible relict desertification, or reversible desertification and non-reversible desertification research National Action Programme Combined National Action Programme Combined research programmes on a national National Action scale, including restoration Programme techniques Combined 67 68 Appendix 6: The indicator Data Base classification framework54 The classification framework Indicator Data Base classification framework A framework composed of five hierarchical levels is proposed, corresponding to indicator classification criteria. They provide an answer to the questions “what is it for”, “at what scale does it apply”, “what kind of data is it based on”. The five classification criteria are, in hierarchical order: Operational objectives; position within the DPSIR framework; spatial scale and time scale; component of the environmental or socioeconomic system involved; type of data; and acquisition platform. Criteria Classes and relative codes Operational Objective Position in the DPSIR framework Scale space time Component of the system under consideration Nature of data prevention monitoring mitigation P Mo Mi driving force pressure state impact response D P S I R point local sub-region region P L Sr R European Mediterr. region M daily or more monthly or seasonal annual less than annual g m a b soil water resources vegetation climate S W V C data banks B direct gathering F remote sensing RS single measuremen t s socioeconomic aspects SE For each of these criteria classes are indicated, identified by a capital letter in bold type. For example an indicator of type (P,S,L,V,R) is an indicator for Prevention, of State, applicable on a Local scale, referring to Vegetation, measurable by means of remotesensed data: if the indicator also requires data collected directly from the Field, then it will not be R, but R/F and so on. Please see Enne and Zucca, 200055 for a fuller description of the data base. By Claudio Zucca and Giuseppe Enne Enne, G. and Zucca, C. 2000. Desertification indicators for the European Mediterranean region: state of the art and possible methodological approaches. ANPA, Roma and NRD, Sassari, 261 p 54 55 69 Appendix 7: Mapping Land Degradation risk in the Mediterranean at a European scale. The PESERA- RDI model56 The PESERA-RDI model is currently being developed to provide a state of the art assessment within the PESERA (Pan European Soil Erosion Assessment) EC Project, at a European scale (Kirkby et al, 57). The model is based on a simple and conservative erosion model, which is disaggregated into components, which depend on climate, vegetation, topography and soil factors. The rate of sediment transport is estimated as a mean soil loss (Tonnes/Ha), obtained as a product of the model components. As the components are explicit, the impact of changes in land use or climate can also be clearly identified, so that sensitivity to changed conditions can be explored. The model is currently being applied at a 1 km resolution for the whole of Europe except for some areas where some data is missing. With data at finer resolution, the model may be applied at 250m or better resolution to areas of particular concern. There is also scope, using globally available data sources, to apply the model world-wide at a resolution of 10km, although with some inevitable degradation of quality. The emphasis of the PESERA-RDI model is the prediction of hillslope erosion, and the delivery of erosion products to the base of each hillslope. Channel delivery processes and channel routing are explicitly not considered. Erosion predictions are reliant on estimating a stabilised vegetation cover and identifying the generation of overland runoff on a cell by cell basis. The PESERA-RDI_GRID coarse scale code distributes the point based model across the European grid generating a series of physically based estimates of potential monthly erosion at a 1km x 1km grid resolution for Europe. Model overview Appropriate hydrological and cover conditions are obtained by running through the monthly sequence of climate and agricultural calendars for each grid cell until the annual cycle stabilises, through iteration of the GrowVeg routine in the model. The equilibration process makes use of meteorological data derived from the MARS data set (daily rainfall, rainfall statistics, PET, elevation adjusted mean temperature and mean temperature range). Soil hydrological characteristics are derived from the European Soils Database. Initial ground coverage is estimated from merging the land-use classifications of the European Soil Database spatial coverage and typical values of percentage cover. The stable hydrological and cover conditions are used to estimate the threshold daily rainfall above which runoff and erosion occur. This threshold storage is obtained as a weighted mean of the thresholds for vegetated and bare fractions of the ground surface in each month. The total amount of runoff and erosion is then estimated by summing across the frequency distribution of daily rainfalls, to derive the corresponding distribution of daily runoff and erosion, and summing across these derived distributions to obtain monthly totals. Sediment transport is estimated as the product of soil erodibility with a power law function of runoff discharge and gradient. The erodibility is primarily dependent on soil properties, but is also weighted with respect to the stabilised vegetation cover. Although sediment transport may, in principle, be estimated at every point within the landscape, and is used in this way for calibration purposes against plot data, the 56 57 Contribution from M. Kirkby and B. Irvine, University of Leeds, [email protected] Kirkby, M.J., Le Bissonais, Y., Coulthard, T.J., Daroussin, J. and McMahon, M.D., 2000. The development of Land Quality Indicators for Soil Degradation by Water Erosion. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment. 70 particular form used for the sediment transport function allows the gradient term to be simplified, for total sediment delivery to stream channels, to the simpler measure of local relief, which can be estimated as the standard deviation of the elevation of surrounding grid cells (The standard deviation of neighbouring cell is calculated from the GTOPO30 European DEM). This measure has the advantage of being much more stable than gradient estimates, as DEM resolution is changed, so that it is possible to obtain good estimates using DEM with 1 km or 250m resolution. The objectives of PESERA and preceding work have been to provide an indicator of soil erosion risk at the regional scale, suitable for planning and policy for national and continental areas. The indicator is expressed on a qualitative scale. The output is a weighted average based on the expected long-term frequency of storms of all magnitudes. The values cannot be regarded as forecasts due to uncertainty in storm magnitude. 71 Appendix 8: Indicators from remote sensing58 Within the Mediterranean wide RDI concept remote sensing is used in two ways: • Input of remote sensing derived Mediterranean wide, monthly vegetation cover over a time period of more than ten years to the RDI modelling of soil erosion and salinisation risk covering the entire Mediterranean basin • Investigation of the time series towards the possible direct extraction of remote sensing based indicators, which are relevant for the indicator system being developed within DESERTLINKS Remote sensing has been used in different ways to investigate in what way and to what extent changing energy and water fluxes at the land surface – atmosphere interface are related to assumed changed climatic forcing of desertification processes. This work has resulted in advanced techniques to accurately derive standardised “primary” radiometric variables (e.g. spectral reflectance, albedo, surface temperature, emissivity etc.) and to analyse primarily the temporal behaviour of these variables in terms of changing energy, momentum and mass exchange between land and atmosphere5960. Instead of this “climatic” approach, DESERTLINKS is aiming more at the identification of changes of physical land surface conditions in terms of vegetation cover and soil status. This approach also requires the correct conversion of radiance registered by the remote sensing sensor into primary physical variables as mentioned above (e.g. reflectance, land surface temperature). Then the information on physical land surface status may be derived both from remote sensing directly and through integration of remotely sensed information with data from other sources within a complex modelling framework such as the RDI models for Mediterranean wide risk of water erosion and salinisation. The requirement of Regional Indicators is that they may be applied to the entire Mediterranean basin at full coverage, giving a general overview at coarse scale in order to identify areas where more detailed studies should be performed. They should also have the potential to be regularly up-dated for monitoring purposes. This implies that at this scale only the use of a coarse resolution/high revisit rate (1 to 3 days) remote sensing system such as NOAA-AVHRR (1 to 8 km resolution), SPOT VEGETATION (1 km), TERRA-MODIS (0.25 to 1 km) or MERIS (0.3 to 1 km) are realistic options. Although, compared to the other systems, NOAA-AVHRR has a number of shortcomings in radiometric and geometric accuracy, it is still a central element in the indicator development and understanding of desertification processes. This is because it is the only system having 20 years history of operation and thus is crucial to build the backbone of the necessary long term, multi-temporal analyses and base-line building. The new systems, nevertheless, assure together with the NOAA satellites data continuity and will particularly allow clear improvements of geo-referencing in relation to ground information and extended possibilities to derive information on vegetation and soil status. As regards validation and calibration of regional scale indicators remote sensing offers a strong potential for down-scaling from regional scale to target areas by disaggregation of vegetation cover related information with the help of higher Contribution from S. Sommer, EC-JRC, Ispra, [email protected] Bolle, H.J., 1996: The Role of Remote Sensing in Understanding and Controlling Land Degradation and Desertification Processes: The EFEDA Research Strategy. In: The use of remote sensing for land degradation and desertification monitoring in the Mediterranean basin. EUR 16732 EN, Eds. J. Hill and D. Peter, pp4578. 60 RESMEDES 1998: Remote Sensing of Mediterranean desertification and environmental changes (Resmedes). Final report ENV4-CT95-0094, EUR 18352 EN, Luxembourg. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities ISBN 92-827-4040-4, 39 p. 58 59 72 resolution remote sensing data such as Landsat-TM and/or higher resolution thematic data e.g. CORINE land cover. In particular, the approach to derive fractional vegetation cover at different scales upon the basis of spectral mixture analysis (SMA) has shown that vegetation cover has a fractal dimension which allows its comparison in different scales. Although, the dominant factors controlling e.g. patterns of vegetation change at the different scales, the scientific rationale of comparison could be given in applying concepts of ecosystem resilience during given time periods, which are covered both by available coarse resolution and high resolution satellite data over the DESERTLINKS target areas. 73 Appendix 9: Expert System for evaluating the Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) for a local area61 A comprehensive system has been developed to evaluate and investigate the causes and responses that contribute to the Environmental Sensitivity to desertification of each fundamental land unit describing an Environmentally Sensitive Area (ESA)62. The coverage of the scheme ranges from the local to basin-wide scales. The system presented here is an updated version of a functional subset of this system, with low data requirements, presented as a webbased tool to enable the Environmental Sensitivity Index to be determined for individual areas. In the system data from many different sources, such as qualitative and quantitative satellite radiometric measurements, available geographical data, and ad hoc ground surveys, can be integrated. The Environmental Degradation or Sensitivity of an area to desertification is a complex concept to rationalise since, depending on the context, it can be caused by many different factors operating in isolation or in association63. An Environmental Sensitive Area (ESA) can be considered, in general, as a specific and delimited entity in which environmental and socio-economical factors are not balanced or are not sustainable for that particular environment. The Environmental Sensitivity Index (ESI) to degradation or desertification of an area can also be seen as the result of the interactions among elementary factors (information layers) that are differently linked to direct and indirect degradation or desertification phenomena64. Severe, irreversible environmental degradation phenomena, for example, could result from a combination of poor management quality together with various combinations of critical environmental factors (soil, climate, and vegetation). In order to make informed decisions it is necessary to be able to characterise and identify the significant factors, which produce critical situations. As these factors are rarely independent, it is also necessary to be able to establish their interrelationships so that their relative contributions can be determined. On the other hand decision makers require functional summaries highlighting major issues; the straightforward identification of sensitive areas irrespective of source; and the ability to determine the effect of remedial actions without recourse to the intricacies of the scientific background. In terms of the data required for estimating the Environmental Sensitivity to desertification, three different primary types of information are essential: physical-structural; vegetal; socio-economic. The groups are not necessarily Contribution from A. Ferrara, University of Basilicata, [email protected] Kosmas C., Ferrara A., Briasouli H., Imeson A. 1999. Methodology for mapping Environmentally Sensitive Areas (ESAs) to Desertification. In 'The Medalus project Mediterranean desertification and land use. Manual on key indicators of desertification and mapping environmentally sensitive areas to desertification. Edited by: C. Kosmas, M.Kirkby, N.Geeson. European Union 18882. pp:31-47 ISBN 92-828-6349-2 Ferrara A., Bellotti A., Faretta S., Mancino G., Taberner M., 1999. Identification and assessment of Environmentally Sensitive Areas by Remote Sensing. MEDALUS III 2.6.2. OU Final Report. King's College, London. Volume 2: 397-429 63 UNEP (United Nations Environmental Programme), 1992. World Atlas of Desertification. Edward Arnold, Sevenoaks. Thornes J.B., 1995. Mediterranean desertification and the vegetation cover. In EUR 15415 - "Desertification in a European context: Physical and socio-economic aspects", edited by R.Fantechi, D.Peter, P.Balabanis, J.L. Rubio. Brussels, Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. 169-194. 64 Basso F, Bove, E, Dumontet S, Ferrara A, Pisante M, Quaranta G, Taberner M. 2000. Evaluating Environmental Sensitivity at the basin scale through the use of Geographic Inforamtion Systems and Remote Sensed data: an example covering the Agri basin (southern Italy). Catena 40:19-35. 61 62 74 independent: remote sensed radiometric data, a potential vegetation map, or a phytoclimatic one, are all influenced by diverse factors arising from each context. The data can be obtained from available documents, or obtained in the field. They can be nominal (e.g. crop data, types of crops, and forms of tillage systems), presence or absence, ordinal, discrete (e.g. pedological system, soil water, or organic matter content), or continuous (e.g. information provided by digital elevation models or land surveys) to name but a few. The complexity of the information is related to the sophistication of the questions that have to be answered, yet the combination of complex data and complex questions means that the data has to be analysed in an integrated way to extract succinct, and well founded, answers. Three essential considerations were taken into account when selecting the information layers (see table below): - their correlation to degradation phenomena or environmental critical state; coverage; ease and economy of updating. Layers can be added when there is a requirement to study specific aspects or areas in greater detail, layers can be removed when a first approximation of an ES estimate is required and all the desired information is not available over the area of interest. For flexibility and development purposes, the indicators present in the system can be divided into three main categories: Required, to perform an accurate estimate of the ESI with a minimum information set; Optional, to have an optimised estimate of the ESI or for particular reference to non-standard and unique factors; Additional, to analyse particular aspects of the area. Optimised set of information layers used in evaluating ES to desertification and their related sources Quality Layer Soil Parent material, Rock Fragments, Published data at Soil Depth, Slope Angle, Drainage, various scales and field samplings Soil Texture Climate Aridity (Bagnouls and Gaussen) Vegetation Rainfall, Source Aspect, index Published data at various scales, field samplings and DEM Fire risk, Erosion protection, Landsat TM, Drought resistance, Plant cover published data at various scales and field samplings Management Policy enforcements, intensity Land use Statistical data, mainly at municipality level (*) Optional layers (chosen for this preliminary version of the tool) are written in italic 75 Soil is a crucial factor in evaluating the Environmental Sensitivity of an ecosystem, especially in the arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid zones. Soil properties related to desertification and degradation phenomena particularly affect water storage and retention capacity, and erosion resistance. Climate quality is assessed on the basis of how it influences water availability to the plants. Consideration has been given to the amount of rainfall, air temperature and aridity. In particular the selected layers are: Annual precipitation (a crucial parameter in plant growth); Bagnouls-Gaussen aridity index (a synthesis of precipitation, evapotranspiration and run-off information); Slope aspect (affects microclimatic conditions and erosion). Vegetation plays an important role in mitigating the effects of desertification and degradation phenomena. The vegetation quality was assessed in terms of: Fire risk and regenerative ability (affects land degradation, soil erosion rates and biodiversity losses); Soil erosion protection (an important factor in controlling the intensity and the frequency of overland flow and erosion); Drought resistance (the capability of an ecosystem to adapt to, or resist, aridity and long droughts ); Plant cover (to reduce runoff and sediment loss). Management layers relate to land use intensity and sustainability. Indicators affecting management quality are related to cultivation of the land (implements used, ploughing depth, direction of cultivation, etc.), overuse of shallow soils, grazing density, terracing of land and maintenance of terraces, irrigation, (water quality and soil water availability), etc. For all layers, (including soil, climate, vegetation, management) the component classes have a calculated score, between 1.0 and 2.0, as in the table below, which is then used in the statistical calculation of the ESI. Example of classes and relative scores used for management layers Layer Classes Scores Land use intensity Low (Sustainable) 1 Medium (~ Sustainable) 1.5 High (Not sustainable) 2 Policy enforcement complete partial incomplete (<25%) (>75%) 1 (25-75%) 1.5 2 The quantification of different Environmental Sensitivity (ES) levels at the basin scale can be carried out by evaluating the overall influence that single information layers have on the phenomena under study.65 The goal was to develop a system which would function irrespective of the number and type of information layers at its most primitive level. This is achieved by adopting a two stage approach as illustrated in the figure below. In the first stage, in this case, the four single quality layers are first determined from the basic data layers and 65 Ferrara A, Belloti A, Faretta S, Mancino G, Taberner M, 1999. Identification and assessment of environmentally sensitive areas by remote sensing. MEDALUS III 2.6.2 OU Final Report. King’s College London Volume 2: 397-429. 76 in the second phase the final sensitivity of an area is evaluated from the quality layers. Scheme of the ESI estimate Each elementary unit in each Quality Layer is estimated as the geometric mean of its own sub-layers: Quality_x ij = (layer_1 ij * layer_2 ij * layer_3 ij * ...... * layer_n ij) (1/n) [1] where: i,j = rows and columns of a single elementary land unit of each layer; n = number of layers used The first level, that of the basic data layers, isolates the rest of the system from the details of the data. The quality layer, level 2, acts as a buffer between the level 1 data layers and the derived ESA layer, level 3. The weight of each quality layer is equivalent so, as with the level 1 components, the results are comparable amongst the layers and the constituents of a particular layer are hidden from the rest of the system. This approach allows the overall abstract "quality" themes (or contexts: soil, climate, vegetation and management), which make up each quality layer, to be developed independently and without changing the structure of the overall methodology. With the four qualities obtained from the above, the ES is estimated by: ES ij = (Quality_1 ij * Quality _2 ij * Quality _3 ij * Quality _4 ij) [2] (1/4) where: i,j = rows and columns of a single elementary land unit of each quality; Quality_nij = computed values The outlined structure gives equal weights to each level_1 layer when computing each quality (e.g. soil texture has the same weight as other soil layers) and equal weights to each quality in level_2 when computing the final ES irrespective of the number of contributing level 1 layers; i.e. a single climate parameter has, in this case, a higher influence than a single 77 soil parameter. By doing this, the higher level computations in the model are unaffected by the number of level 1 layers; this means that a component of the quality layer is not penalised because it does not have many information layers, nor is it exaggerated if it is well specified with many layers. One of the most important aspects of the system is that the ES classes are not directly linked to an absolute value of sensitivity but are related indirectly, and relatively, through scores that define different levels of sensitivity, for different parameters, for a particular area. As a result, sensitivity calculated at the top layer imposes a common framework on the components of an area. The elements, which are grouped into broad categories, can be thus investigated and characterised in a different phase by other analyses. For example, the effects of different kinds of intervention on the sensitivity can be estimated by simulating the different intervention options (e.g. recovering the functionality of degraded deciduous forest versus the conversion of conifer stands into more efficient deciduous forests) or it is possible to identify critical factors by applying a simple cluster analysis to areas with high sensitivity values at the municipality level.66 The system can draw on diverse data yet is efficient; it can be used to analyse the environmental system intensively; it enables the current state of, and changes to, the environment to be accurately and quickly assessed; and, by identifying critical factors, it helps to define and identify the most beneficial strategies that could be introduced to reduce the sensitivity of a given area. The use of cross analysis techniques, applied to pre-existing information with other ad hoc data collected as necessary, can also be used to investigate specific degradation or environmental sensitivity phenomena easily and effectively. Furthermore, this approach not only allows the identification of different degrees of environmental sensitivity but, at the same time, allows us to investigate the factors that cause the evolution as they happen. Finally it must be emphasised that the main reason for this Environmental Sensitivity Evaluation Model is to define a reference framework to be used in analysing various situations within the Mediterranean Environment under the following operational constraints: • the system must be reasonably simple to establish, robust in operation, and widely applicable; • the selection of the information layers is made, not only on the basis of their actual information content (i.e. their relationship with the phenomena under study), but also as a function of our ability to obtain and update the data with ease and economy; Basso F., Bellotti A., Faretta S., Ferrara A., Mancino G., Pisante M., Quaranta G., Taberner M., 1999. Application of the proposed methodology for defining ESAs: The Agri Basin In 'The Medalus project Mediterranean desertification and land use. Manual on key indicators of desertification and mapping environmentally sensitive areas to desertification. Edited by: C. Kosmas, M.Kirkby, N.Geeson. European Union 18882. pp:74-79 ISBN 92-828-6349-2 66 78 • the system must be adaptable and accommodate the development and refinement of the existing information content and the addition of new information. 79
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz