Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 A comparative analysis on intensi"cation and extensi"cation in mediterranean agriculture: dilemmas for LFAs policyq Helen Caraveli* Department of Economics, The Athens University of Economics and Business, Patission 76, 104 34 Athens, Greece Abstract Despite the low degree of production intensixcation relatively to northern countries, rising overall trends in the intensi"cation process are apparent in the plains of the lowland of Mediterranean countries, following the extensixcation (in the sense of abandonment of traditional/extensive production systems) in mountainous communes. This development, which implied a number of other changes in the Mediterranean farm sectors and was strengthened by the CAP, has had serious negative implications for the environment of both the uplands and the lowlands. Current trends in the CAP point to an increasingly restrictive farm price policy which, in some cases, is likely to a!ect negatively production and incomes. This could lead to further abandonment of production in certain less-favoured zones of particular nature conservation value, with severe negative impacts on biodiversity and landscapes. On the other hand, measures which are aimed to combat abandoment and marginalization in mountainous communes (e.g. the sheepmeat regime or the LFAs Regulation) have often led to overexploitation of marginal land with equally negative environmental implications. This paper attempts to highlight the contradictions and dilemmas which agricultural policy faces in trying to achieve less intensive agricultural practices and to promote and preserve extensive ones, mainly in mountainous * LFAs * of the Mediterranean region. Due to the limited statistical information available, the analysis is qualitative and based mostly on a review of the literature rather than on original research. The conclusions make clear what policy makers have increasingly come to recognise (as is re#ected in recent proposals for reform in the CAP): that such policy con#icts can be resolved if there is more focused support to speci"c parts of LFAs and if environmental conditions are attached to any policy measure. ( 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Agricultural intensi"cation; Agricultural extensi"cation; Low-intensity farming systems; LFAs regulations; CAP reform and environment 1. Introduction Mediterranean countries have similar biophysical climatic and structural conditions (a relatively high proportion of mountainous areas * classi"ed as less-favoured areas (LFAs) by EU criteria * limited rainfall in the winter and high temperatures in the summer resulting in prolonged periods of drought in many areas, small-scale farming in most cases) and thus face similar environmental impacts from agricultural activity, which are distinct from the corresponding impacts in northern EU q The research for this paper was undertaken for the EU funded project &Thematic Network on CAP and Environment in the EU'. The paper was presented at the Workshop &CAP and Environment in the EU', held in Wageningen (Holland) in February 5-8, 1998, and organised within the framework of the above project. * Corresponding author. Tel.: #301-82-03-443; fax: #301-82-03301. E-mail address: [email protected] (H. Caraveli) countries. On the one hand, the gradual abandonment of traditional/extensive systems in a number of regions * as a result of their low economic competitiveness and changing socio-economic context * which led to the movement of population and agricultural activity to the more fertile areas of the lowland * resulted in limited intensi"cation relatively to northern EU countries. &As a particularity of Mediterranean regions, intra- and inter-annual climatic variability limit the intensi"cation process, and this limitation is determined by the stress seasons (summer in particular) and especially by the stress years (periodical droughts). Due to these facts, modernisation and intensi"cation of agricultural practices have not yet important impacts on many local agrarian ecosystems' (OECD, 1997a, p. 67). On the other hand, traditional/extensive agricultural practices are still present to a certain extent, mostly on the uplands of these countries. Such practices, also known as &low-intensity' farming practices, are associated with high nature conservation interest and sustainable agriculture. 0743-0167/00/$ - see front matter ( 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. PII: S 0 7 4 3 - 0 1 6 7 ( 9 9 ) 0 0 0 5 0 - 9 232 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 Even though limited, the process of intensi"cation, which has been going on for decades, is threatening &low-intensity' systems of LFAs. The CAP has been a major factor for the strengthening of this process, thus for the concentration of population and production in the most productive areas of the lowland of Mediterranean countries, reinforcing market forces in this respect. Certain policy measures aiming at reducing intensive practices (e.g. reduction of price supports or production controls), or at promoting extensive practices (e.g. measures to combat abandonment in LFAs) have often had con#icting impacts in the mountainous regions of Mediterranean countries: On the one hand, abandonment tendencies have been strengthened in a number of areas; on the other hand, intensive practices (e.g. overexploitation of pasture lands) have been encouraged in parts of these areas. Both types of impacts have negative implications for biodiversity and landscapes. Current trends in agricultural policy reveal an increased awareness of these facts and of the fact that extensive agricultural practices, should be preserved as bene"cial to the environment and landscapes of LFAs but also of the EU as a whole. Such trends are mainly apparent in the proposals for change included in the &Agenda 2000' package, which envisages an increased emphasis towards &targeted agri-environmental' and other measures aiming at the promotion of &low-input' systems. Given the signi"cance of this topic, this paper attempts to highlight the contradictions and dilemmas that agrienvironmental policy faces in trying to achieve less intensive agricultural practices and to preserve and promote extensive ones, mainly in mountainous * LFAs * of Mediterranean regions. The analysis is focused on the four Mediterranean countries, Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal * even though southern France is also part of the Mediterranean region. The Section 2 of the paper analyses the di!erences between the agricultural sectors of the northern and southern countries (Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal), which lead to the lower degree of intensive methods in the latter. The Section 3 refers to the maintenance of &low-intensity' systems on LFAs of Mediterranean countries. The Section 4 examines the changes in the intensity of farming over time, the policy measures that caused such changes and the environmental implications, by giving examples of various sectors and regions. The above analysis is subject to the serious constraint of the limited information and data available. It is thus based on assembling information found in the literature rather than on original research. Section 5 analyses policy con#icts and dilemmas in this context. Finally, Section 6 draws the conclusions. 2. Contrasting agricultural sectors Mediterranean regions are characterised by similar biophysical, climatic and structural conditions and in particular by: f a relatively high proportion of poor soils; f high levels of precipitation de"cit (a limitation which has been partly o!set by irrigation) * it has been estimated that annual precipitation de"cit exceeds 500 mm/yr in most of Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal (IEEP & LEI-DLO, 1996, p. 97); f severe structural weaknesses, which imply the persistence of a relatively high proportion of economically marginal, or semi-subsistence, farmers. Structural characteristics appear in Table 1, which shows that the average farm size is much lower in Mediterranean countries (with the exception of Spain) and Table 1 Basic structural characteristics of selected EU countries, 1993! Northern countries Belgium Denmark Germany France Netherlands UK Mediterranean countries Greece Italy Spain Portugal EU-15 Average farm size (ha) % of farms in the size class of (5 ha % of farms in the size class of '20 ha 17.6 37.1 28.1 35.1 16.8 67.3 32.7 2.3 31.3 27.0 32.1 14.4 31.5 58.4 34.2 49.8 31.1 57.0 4.3 5.9 17.9 8.1 16.4 75.3 77.3 57.0 77.9 58.3 2.8 5.4 15.0 4.9 18.2 !Source: EUROSTAT, The Agricultural Situation in the Community. Report, 1998. H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 that the proportion of farms in the smaller size group ((5 ha) is much higher in Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal than in the rest of the Member States. The unfavourable natural and structural conditions of Mediterranean regions are re#ected in the high proportion of land with natural handicaps (e.g. altitude and slope) or the high share of LFAs in total UAA (Utilized Agricultural Area). This share is shown in Fig. 1. Such Fig. 1. Less-favoured areas: Uplands. 233 conditions * which are major determinants of land productivity and the crop production mix * favour specialisation in Mediterranean products (see also Mergos and Donatos, 1996; Potter, 1997, pp. 28}29). The predominance of Mediterranean products in southern Member States of the EU appears in Table 2, which shows the share of northern and Mediterranean products in "nal agricultural production of each southern country and EU as a whole. In most cases, the share of each country in northern products is below the corresponding EU share, while the share of individual countries in Mediterranean products is above the EU average * depending on each country's specialisation. Due to all the above factors, the degree of intensity of agricultural production (measured by the use of inputs/ha of agricultural land) in southern Member States of the EU has been relatively limited. Specialisation in Mediterranean products may be an additional factor for the relatively limited overall degree of agricultural intensi"cation in southern Member-States, as, until comparatively recently, these products have been less protected by the CAP in relation to northern products of the EU. The assumption made here is that higher levels of protection lead to increased production, which is achieved through more intensive methods. Some authors, however, attribute greater signi"cance to the role of technological change in the increase in production, than to that of farm support policies (see, for example Buckwell, 1990; Caraveli, 1998a,b). A measure of the relatively lower degree of the intensity of production (but with rising trends) in southern Table 2 Structure of production in Mediterranean countries and EU-15 * Shares of selected products in "nal agricultural production of each country (%) 1996 Products Northern Products Wheat! Maize Sugarbeet Milk Beef and real Pigmeat Poultry Mediterranean products Cotton Tobacco Olive oil Fresh and other fruit & vegetables" Wine & must Sheep & goatmeat Mediterranean Countries EU-15 Greece Italy Spain Portugal 3.5 2.1 1.5 12.9 2.7 2.9 2.6 4.2 3.7 1.7 11.8 5.2 8.6 2.0 1.8 1.0 1.7 8.5 7.7 13.3 4.9 1.2 2.0 0.0 12.9 7.8 12.6 7.9 5.0 1.7 0.5 18.5 11.1 11.5 4.3 10.3 1.7 11.5 24.3 2.0 6.3 0.0 0.9 4.3 23.2 8.4 0.2 1.1 0.4 4.1 28.2 3.5 4.5 0.0 0.3 2.6 17.3 12.6 3.2 0.6 0.3 1.7 14.8 5.8 1.7 !Hard wheat is a Mediterranean product. "Including dried pulses and citrus fruit. Source: EUROSTAT, The Agricultural Situation in the Community. Report, 1998. 234 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 Fig. 2. Classi"cation of Regions into 5 groups. Member States is given in Table 31 (see also Caraveli, 1998a; OECD, 1997d). The above information con"rms the basic geographical distinction to which all analysts eventually return, i.e. the distinction between the large-scale and highly productive farming of the north-western Europe and the small-scale, less e$cient farming of southern Europe (Potter, 1997, p. 27). This distinction is analysed in a study on the process of &marginalisation' in European agriculture, in which EU regions were classi"ed under: &highly productive regions', &medium productive regions', &extensive farming regions', &small-scale farming regions' and &other extensive farming regions'2 (see IEEP and LEI-DLO (1996) for a detailed description of the characteristics of each category). This classi"cation is presented in Fig. 2, which shows that the greatest part of northwestern EU and part of the central regions belong to the Table 3 Indicators of production intensi"cation in selected EU countries Countries Northern Countries Denmark France Germany Netherlands UK Mediterranean Countries Greece Italy Spain Portugal No of tractors per km2 of agricultural land! Total consumption of fertilizers (kg/ha!) 1980 1995 1980 1995 7.1 7.8 12.9 21.7 7.3 6.5 6.7 10.8 19.9 8.4 236 297 413 825 294 196 242 241 564 502 3.6 8.6 2.6 2.7 7.5 13.7 4.0 4.9 134 170 81 83 154 176 92 84 !Agricultural land corresponds to arable land and permanent crops. Source: EUROSTAT, Environment Statistics, 1996; FAO Production Yearbook, Vol. 50, 1996 (own calculations). 1 As can be seen, in this table the UK and the Netherlands appear as the largest polluters. This is due to the fact that fertiliser use has been estimated only per hectare of crops, whereas both of these countries use heavy quantities of fertiliser on their grass as well. 2 The main indicators used for the above classi"cation are the following: % share of LFAs in UAA, SGM/ha, % share of farm holders '55 yr, GDP/inh, share of farmholders with other gainful activities (IEEP & LEI-DLO, 1996). &highly productive' group of regions. The greatest part of Greece, Italy and Portugal, as well as the eastern coastal zone of Spain, "t in the &small-scale farming' regions. The largest part of Spain is classi"ed as an extensive farming region. And only a few areas (&pockets') in central and H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 northern Greece, northern Italy and northern and southern Spain belong to the &highly productive' group. It is worth noting that there is a striking similarity between Fig. 2 and maps which show what has been de"ned as the Alpine-Mediterranean pattern of development (see, for example, graph 3 in Merlo & Manente, 1994, p. 142). This pattern of development involves the Mediterranean and Alpine regions, from Greece to Portugal, parts of Spain, the Mezzogiorno up to northern Italy and southern Germany and has been quanti"ed by income per capita and agricultural income per labour unit (Merlo & Manente, p. 141). Clearly, agricultural development in these regions is slow relatively to &Atlantic-northern' European regions, with productivity and labour income in many regions of southern Europe being about half those of the latter group. This is partly due to natural limitations, but a number of authors have linked it to historical, sociological and political factors, all of which have led to a &late economic development' in the southern group of regions. 3. The preservation of &low-intensity' farming systems in Mediterranean countries Thus, the model of economic growth, which Mediterranean agricultural sectors have followed in the post-war period, has led to the creation of only certain &pockets' of intensive farming, mainly following the most easily accessible #at and coastal routes of the continental part of these countries, while leaving &the inaccessible mountainous and insular regions in the shadow of this development process' (OECD, 1997a,b). A high proportion of &low-intensity' farming activities are then still found in many LFAs of Mediterranean countries. &Low-intensity' or &extensive' farming is characterised by low levels of irrigation, as well as &a sparce use of external inputs, such as fertilisers, pesticides and machinery, and animal production based on extensive grazing and hay meadows, and with low stocking densities' (OECD, 1997f, p. 59). Traditional, &extensive' land use (which was based on terraces and multicultivation of annual or permanent crops and livestock farming) characterises a great part of livestock production, as well as mixed farming systems. Table 4 shows that the highest proportion of dairy, drystock and mixed farms are found in LFAs of both &extensive' and &small-scale farming' regions. Some evidence for the existence of &low-intensity' farming systems in LFAs of Mediterranean countries is given in Tables 5 and 6. Table 5 shows that the share of irrigated areas in total agricultural area is much lower in LFAs and Table 6, that stocking densities (LU/ha) are lowest in LFAs * relatively to non-LFAs (with the exception of Greece). It should be mentioned that irrigation in mountainous Mediterranean areas is often necessary as many of these 235 Table 4 Share of farming type in total number of holdings: 1990}91 Region/major farming type (%) Share of farming type (%) Non-LFAs Extensive Farming Regions Cereal farms General cropping farms Horticultural holdings Vineyards Permanent crop holdings Dairy farms Drystock farms Mixed farms All types Small-scale Farming Regions Cereal farms General cropping farms Horticultural holdings Vineyards Permanent crop holdings Dairy farms Drystock farms Mixed farms All types LFAs! 25 32 2 0 7 7 14 10 118,000 17 22 1 1 8 10 27 14 343,000 5 39 3 10 28 3 4 8 1,033,000 5 28 1 4 18 9 12 21 1,048,000 !LFAs " Less Favoured Areas. Source: IEEP & LEI-DLO (1996, p. 131). Table 5 Share of irrigated area in total UAA (%) (1985-1993)! Greece All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Italy All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Spain All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Portugal All areas LFAs Non-LFAs 1985 1987 1993 25 10 46 29 16 56 30 16 57 18 6 30 19 7 31 18 8 32 * * * 11 8 19 10 7 18 * * * 23 19 38 21 17 45 !Source:Eurostat, Farm Structure Survey. Adaptation LEI-DLO, December 1997. areas are characterized by di!erent climatic conditions prevailing in the corresponding regions of Northern Europe, i.e. by limited rainfall even in winter months. However, as it is applied mostly on traditional terraced cultivations, the low intensity of land use often does not pay to maintain irrigated systems there. In Greece for example, it is proposed within the framework of Reg. 2078 that terraced cultivations should be maintained in 236 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 Table 6 Livestock units per hectare (LU/ha) of UAA! Greece All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Italy All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Spain All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Portugal All areas LFAs Non-LFAs 1985 1987 1993 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.0 * * * 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 * * * 0.7 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.4 1.6 !Source: Eurostat, Farm Structure Survey. Adaptation LEI-DLO, December 1997. LFAs for the protection of the landscape and of soils against erosion, but that these should concern dry-land crops. &Low-intensive' livestock production, found on the uplands, concerns the extensive rearing of cattle, sheep and goats for milk, cheese and meat. Transhumance, the long-established seasonal movement of stock * remains an important management system in all countries. Significant systems are the alpeggio (found in the mountains of northern Italy), the dehesas (in parts of north-eastern and central-southern Spain), and the montados in (central and far-northern Portugal)3 (IEEP, 1994). Traditional mixed farming, found in both uplands and low-lands, concerns all kinds of crops (e.g. cereals, vegetables, olive groves, "g trees, almonds).4 Traditional or low-intensity farming systems are especially signi"cant for the conservation value of mountainous areas, the maintenance of semi-natural habitats (permanent pastures and spontaneous vegetation of natural land and a high proportion of #ora), the conservation of endangered plant and animal species, the support of considerable variety of wildlife and the preservation of traditional landscapes. They, thus, permit a sustainable use of environmental resources and create very little risk of soil degradation or environmental pollution (OECD, 1997f). These systems are however 3 Some researchers, however, express doubts as to whether the dehesas and the montados can be called transhumance. 4 For a detailed analysis of the types of production, the main forms of management, the extent and location and the environmental signi"cance of &low-intensity' systems in each Mediterranean country, see IEEP, 1994. threatened by the changes in the intensity of farming, which have characterised Mediterranean * just like other European * agricultural sectors during the whole post-war period, and in particular by the combination of abandonment and intensixcation processes. Such changes are analysed in the following section. 4. Changes in the intensity of farming over time: agricultural policy impacts and environmental implications The farmed landscapes in southern European countries have, in the last 20 years or so, been undergoing a process of intensixcation of the most productive land, coupled with the extensixcation (or abandonment of farming) of poorer lands. The latter can also be described as marginalisation or slow decline of traditional, mixed and extensive farming practices, and livestock farming * a process which has taken place in north-western EU countries at an earlier date (Potter, 1997, p. 36; Caraveli, 1998a,b). This development, which re#ects the transition from subsistence agriculture to a market oriented one, has followed: (a) socio-economic changes * corresponding to di!erent stages of economic development * such as the abandonment of mountainous communes and the movement of the population to the plains (when farms in upland areas ceased to be economically viable); (b) the rapid expansion of mass tourism in recent decades (c) agricultural policy changes, such as the adoption of the CAP (Caraveli, 1998a,b; OECD, 1997a,c). Intensixcation of production methods implied: (a) the expansion of irrigation on the fertile areas and to dryland areas of the lowland (see Table 5 of the previous section), which made possible the far greater use of fertilizers, obviated the need for fallowing and led to high yields/ha; (b) the increased use of environmentally polluting inputs in both arable cultivation and permanent crops; (c) the changing land use and structure of production, often with an expansion of arable land at the expense of permanent grassland and an intensi"cation of grassland management. Further evidence on irrigation in Greece reveals that, in the plains, irrigated areas increased from 17% in 1963 to 45% of total agricultural land in 1996. The increase was much lower in semi-mountainous areas in the same period (i.e. from 11 to 24%), while there was almost no increase in mountainous areas. This led to the very high fertilizer consumption/ha (exceeding the &optimum' level of fertilization) in the regions of intensive cultivations and the much lower consumption/ha (below the &optimum' level) in mountainous areas, where extensive/non-irrigated cultivations prevail (Caraveli, 1998a,b). These developments went hand in hand with changes in the structure of farm production, very much strengthened by incentives (price support and other types of aids) H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 provided by the CAP; such changes reveal an increase in the importance of industrial crops * i.e. cotton, sugarbeet and new tobacco varieties * of maize and most tree crops * e.g. oranges, apples, pears, peaches, etc. * all demanding intensive production methods and in which monocultivation prevails. Irrigation has expanded to areas occupied by arable crops (e.g. cotton, maize and sugarbeet), so that cotton and maize production * whose impressive increase in the last 20 yr is related to high yields per ha * together occupy 42% of irrigated land (Caraveli, 1998a,b). A similar pattern of expansion of irrigation to arable land can be seen in the more productive areas of Spain, Portugal and Italy, where hundreds of thousands of hectares of grassland have been cleared for cultivation (IEEP, 1994, p. 42). This permitted a general intensi"cation of arable production from the 1970s onwards, &a process much accelerated by the CAP' (Potter, 1997, p. 37). In Spain, since 1973, 1.4 million hectares of agricultural land have been converted to irrigation, with the result that the national proportion of arable land left fallow decreased from over 50% in 1973 to less than 40% * which is a good indicator of the overall intensi"cation of arable cultivation (IEEP, 1994, p. 44; Varela-Ortega and Sumpsi, 1998). Dryland arable cultivation in Spain has also been intensi"ed in recent years, in a number of areas, particularly with the widespread introduction of modern varieties and inorganic fertilisers, and &monocultural systems (e.g. an expansion of crops such as sugarbeet, which require high levels of pesticides/ha) are steadily being displacing the traditional rich mosaic of arable crops, vines, olives and other permanent crops that o!ers a rich habitat for steppeland birds' (Ibid and Potter, 1997, p. 37). What is more important is that the continued viability of low-yielding dryland cultivation seems to be under serious threat, except in the case of very large holdings, which can compete on economic terms. In Italy, the process of agricultural intensi"cation (also described as a polarization trend), and the underlying technological developments, has been quanti"ed with the use of a Concentration Index (CI) of Agricultural Gross Product (AGP), which is considered as the best indicator of agricultural intensi"cation. (see Bordin et al., 1998, pp. 245-46). The CI, which distinguishes the contribution of lowland, hilly and mountainous areas to AGP, was found to have increased from 0.26 in 1960 to 0.40 in 1989, while AGP was found to have increased substantially between the 1960s and today, mostly in lowland areas (Ibid Bordin et al., Fig. 2 and p. 246). A similar index was not possible to be constructed in the other countries due to lack of the required data Regions of &high-intensity' cultivations can be seen in Fig. 2. These are: in Greece, mainly the fertile region of Thessaly (in central Greece) and parts of Macedonia (in northern Greece) * but also fertile areas in the Peloponese (in southern Greece) and in big islands (e.g. the 237 Mesara plain in Crete); in Italy, the northern regions of Veneto, Piedmond, Lombardia and Emilia Romana; in Spain, the wet northern regions of Cantabria, Galicia and Cataluna (where orchards are planted), as well as parts of the south; in Portugal, the coastal plains and around the main river valleys (IEEP, 1994). The intensi"cation process in the lowland has undoubtedly enabled farmers to increase yields, diversify (restructure) cultivations and improve product quality. Its environmental impact however has been the uncontrollable rise in the level of pollution and soil erosion, as well as the exhaustion of water resources and the deterioration in the quality of waters. Intensixcation has also a!ected many traditional (lowintensive) cultivations (such as olive groves or vines) in the uplands (LFAs) or the low-lands * see the examples given on Greece later on. In Spain, about 120,000 ha of olive groves in parts of the South (where olive groves are the dominant type of cultivation with large areas under traditional management still existing) are now irrigated, therefore more intensively cultivated. Intensive management is now also present in traditional vine cultivation (IEEP, 1994). Intensi"cation also threatens the Portuguese montados and the Spanish dehesas: signi"cant declines in the area of dehesas have been reported in Extremadura and western Andalucia, the outcome being steady erosion due to neglect and conversion to more specialised arable use, often facilitated by irrigation (Potter, 1997, p. 37). Extensixcation of productive practices, which is often the outcome of abandonment of many mountainous regions * LFAs * has led to a dramatic decline in the arable area as largely self-su$cient rural societies have collapsed or contracted and abandoned subsistence cultivation. This process has been going on in Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal for many decades. Portugal is one of the few countries where data concerning land abandonment is readily available: in the 1989 farm census, over 245,000 ha of farmland were classi"ed as recently abandoned with clear concentrations in interior regions (IEEP, 1994p.43). Table 7 gives some indication of abandonment of LFAs, where labour input/ha is lower than in non-LFAs (the declining trend in this indicator between 1987 and 1993 in all areas reveals that farm population continues to decrease everywhere). In all Mediterranean countries, environmentally valuable permanent crops, such as the traditional olive groves and vines, are increasingly neglected or abandoned because of poor economic returns, high labour costs and di$culty in mechanising low-input production techniques. These trends have often been reinforced by EU and national grants for removing old permanent crops (IEEP, 1994, p. 44) and in some areas replacing them by a more intensive crop (it should be mentioned that modern systems of permanent crop cultivation usually involve a high use of pesticides/ha (IEEP, 1994). For 238 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 Table 7 Annual work unit per hectare (AWU!/ha) of UAA" (%) Greece All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Italy All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Spain All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Portugal All areas LFAs Non-LFAs 1987 1993 0.22 0.20 0.26 0.20 0.19 0.22 0.14 0.12 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.30 0.25 0.46 0.15 0.12 0.32 !AWU"Annual Work Unit. "UAA"Utilized Agricultural Area. Source: Eurostat, Farm Structure Survey. Adaptation LEI-DLO, December 1997. example, in Greece, the application of regulation 1442/88 for wine, resulted in the uprooting of 10,000 ha of vines in the 1988}94 period. A high proportion of areas abandoned is located on mountainous and semi-mountainous communes, all of which produce high-quality wines. Also, in many upland areas, traditional olive groves have been uprooted and replaced by new mechanised (i.e. more intensive) cultivations, in response to increased CAP subsidies, leading to monocultivation of olives; this implied the destruction of terraces and the clearing of forests.5 All of these resulted in severe erosion of the soil and further depopulation of the area. Furthermore, the introduction of maximum guaranteed quantity with the use of quotas in tobacco cultivation, from 1992 onwards, led to the restructuring of production away from oriental varieties and towards other varieties (e.g. the &Virginia' variety), which implied the abandonment of speci"c areas of signi"cant environmental value in the uplands (Caraveli, 1998a,b). Intensixcation and extensixcation have also a!ected livestock production of southern Member States over the last decades. Intensive methods appear to have a!ected pigs and poultry production as is evident from the increase in the share of these animals in total LU in 5 The clearing of native Mediterranean forests has taken place in other countries as well (e.g. Italy), but generally to a limited extent and within the framework of the so-called reforestation projects "nanced by national governments. Also, in most countries, the uprooting of traditional olive groves and their substitution with more intensive crops took place mainly on agricultural land (comments by an anonymous referree to this paper). non-LFAs (and the decrease in this share in LFAs in all countries), shown in Table 8. In Greece these sectors have undergone marked intensi"cation since accession to the EU in 1981. Sheep and goat production have been characterised by extensixcation in some areas and intensixcation in some others. Abandonment of many mountainous areas has been largely the outcome of the decline in transhumance, which has signi"cant negative impacts on the farmed landscape by leaving large areas of sub-alpine pasture neglected (Caraveli, 1998b). It is estimated that in Greece, 40% of all mountain pastures (including pasture, wooded pasture and scrub) were undergrazed. This "gure includes previously grazed areas in the mountains which had become highly eroded (IEEP, 1994, p. 48). In Spain, many upland regions have experienced an almost continual decline in sheep numbers over many decades. These developments have induced a concentration of production on the pastureland with the highest production potential (Potter, 1997, p. 37) and a shift towards more sedentary systems, which are less labour-intensive and imply &an increase in the overall stocking density over the course of the year, achieved either by intensi"cation of fodder production on the holding or by increased dependence on purchased feeds' (IEEP, 1994, p. 48). Some evidence for this is given in Table 6 of the previous section, where in some countries between 1985 or 1987 and 1993, stocking densities have increased in non-LFAs and decreased or remained constant in LFAs. Moreover, in many extensive livestock areas of Spain (e.g. the dehesas of western Spain), there has been a tendency for farmers to switch from sheep to cattle (which require less labour). With the exception of a few mountain areas, the growth in sheep numbers since EU accession has been mainly in the plains, often in irrigated areas (IEEP, 1994, p. 45). This is shown in Table 8, in which the share of &other grazing livestock' in total LU appears to be increasing in non-LFAs of Spain, but decreasing in LFAs (the opposite appears to be the case in the other countries). An increase in stocking densities has also taken place in some marginal areas of southern countries (where overstocking has occurred), mainly as a result of the increased incentives for production in such regions (LFAs), particularly the subsidies under the CAP sheep and goat regime (such as the Sheep Annual Premium), as well as the special LFAs payments. Data on local stocking densities is generally not available, but the increase in the share of &other grazing livestock' in LFAs in Greece, Italy and Portugal, shown in Table 8, is an indication for this phenomenon (see also the higher stocking density in LFAs of Greece in Table 6). In Spain, such information is available only for a few areas. For example, in a study on Sierra de Castril Natural Park, in the province of Granada, it was shown that the current stocking level of 20,000 sheep and goats grazing on 12,000 ha needs to be H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 239 Table 8 Share of each type of livestock in total livestock units (LU) (%) Greece All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Italy All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Spain All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Portugal All areas LFAs Non-LFAs Share of dairy & other cattle in LU-total Share of other grazing livestock! in LU-total Share of pigs & poultry in LU-total 1987 1993 1987 1993 1987 1993 20 18 23 17 15 21 58 63 44 61 68 43 22 19 33 23 18 36 53 54 53 49 49 51 9 19 4 12 25 4 38 28 43 39 26 47 35 36 34 33 37 27 22 29 7 22 26 15 42 35 59 45 37 59 43 44 39 39 43 34 18 25 7 18 28 5 40 30 53 43 29 61 !Other grazing livestock includes sheep, goats and equires. Source: Eurostat, Farm Structure Survey. Adaptation LEI-DLO, December 1997. reduced by 30% to achieve a sustainable situation. On average, stocking densities in the dehesas of Extremadura had risen to around two sheep per hectare by the mid1980s, approximately double traditional levels (IEEP, 1994, p. 49). The environmental implications from both abandonment and over-exploitation are serious: in both cases the productive capacity of mountainous and semi- mountainous soils is lost for good and extensive grazing lands have been degraded to a dangerous level and are now unsuitable for grazing. The collapse of traditional farming systems and the consequent marginalisation of the areas a!ected led to an increase in the deserti"cation process6 and the conditions leading to soil erosion, the invasion of scrub, and the increased incidence of forest "res and major #oods (IEEP & LEI-DLO, 1996, p. 64; OECD, 1997a; Caraveli, 1998a,b). 5. Policy con6icts and dilemmas Both intensi"cation and extensi"cation in Mediterranean agricultures have therefore been largely assisted by changes in policy measures. Intensive production practices have, to a great extent, been largely assisted by CAP price subsidies and other 6 &Deserti"cation' has been de"ned as a reduction of the soil's ability to be productive, resulting from either human activities (such as abandonment or over-stocking) or long-term climatic changes (Rati"cation of the Rio Conference, 6 March 1997; see also Caraveli, 1998a,b). types of aids, which concentrate support on the more productive farms, rather than those which contribute more to environmental or social goals. In consequence, these same support measures induce extensi"cation * i.e. abandonment or marginalisation * in upland regions where LFAs are found. This constitutes a major type of con#ict in agricultural policy. Direct income payments introduced under the 1992 reform reinforced such tendencies. For example, under the arable crop regime, cereal prices were reduced, while farmers receive more in the form of direct payments per hectare. Beef prices were also reduced after 1992 and farmers receive more in the form of direct payments per head of livestock. However, arable payments are based on historic yields and livestock subsidies are calculated in proportion to the number of livestock held on a farm; therefore, subsidies are greatest in regions with the most fertile and most intensively farmed arable land and on farms with the largest number of livestock (IEEP, 1994, p. 58). Intensixcation and extensixcation tendencies have been further strengthened by the EU's committment to a free internal market in agricultural production, which forms the cornerstone of the CAP. Removing barriers to trade has stimulated intensi"cation in areas bene"ting from a comparative advantage and a decline in production in less competitive regions. While the main part of the CAP works to the disadvantage of LFAs and low-intensity farming systems, speci"c measures direct CAP funds into handicapped and environmentally sensitive areas and are aimed at combating abandonment and marginalisation on both social 240 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 and environmental grounds. Two kinds of measures have been used for this purpose: support for LFAs and agrienvironmental programmes introduced under the 1992 reform. Such measures have often had con#icting e!ects on the environment and landscape, i.e. on the preservation of low-intensity farming. For example, Directive 75/268 (now incorporated in Reg. 2328/91) * the main structural measure to support agriculture in LFAs * and the sheep premium * both of which include additional quotas and higher premiums for sheep producers in LFAs * have in some cases helped to combat abandonment; by adding however to the basic payments per head of livestock they have also encouraged overstocking and local over-grazing in a number of regions of Spain, Italy and Greece.7 Also, the more favourable market organization for sheep, after 1992, induced a stabilisation in the total number of sheep in Greece and Italy * which were previously falling in many parts of the LFAs of these countries. This may have reduced the rate of marginalisation in the areas concerned, but also reinforced overstocking in some other areas (IEEP, 1994, p. 60; Caraveli, 1998a,b). Another way of preventing land abandonment through the agri-environmental measures has been by providing support for the a!orestation of marginal land. The conversion of crops * or grassland * to forests can have positive e!ects in terms of water conservation and soil formation. But when it leads to the disappearence of semi-natural farmland it can be associated with a loss of biodiversity. For example, in the Extremadura region of Spain, almost half a million hectares of non-irrigated land were taken out of agricultural production between 1974 and 1992. Much of the a!orestation resulted in losses of open habitat that had supported rare animals and birds. Similar concerns about a!orestation of seminatural farmland have also arisen in Portugal, with the result that in certain areas that provide valuable habitat for animals and birds a!orestation was prohibited (OECD, 1997f, p 58). A di!erent type of con#ict is created when structural or regional programmes provide support for intensi"cation while agri-environmental payments try to achieve the opposite. In some areas of Portugal for instance, irrigation projects are being subsidised by the government at the same time as agri-environmental schemes aim to preserve extensive forms of agriculture. In certain areas, however, increased water availability and irrigation can prevent land abandonment and soil erosion (OECD, 1997f, p. 58)). Despite the various problems, LFAs payments have signi"cantly contributed to the survival of low-intensity 7 It is implied that in such cases, farmers manage (through certain devices) to overcome the constraints to overstocking included in the above Directive. systems in many areas, as on many farms such payments constitute more than half of a farm's total income and therefore are crucial to the survival of a big number of holdings (IEEP, 1994, p.60). Also, since EU's agri-environmental Regulation 2078/92 began to come into operation in 1993, a very large number of schemes has been put forward from Mediterranean countries (where low-intensity farming is concentrated), as 75% of the costs of support in these regions (Objective 1 regions) is reimbursed from FEOGA. Regulation 2078/92 has been considered as an important step forward, to provide for the "rst time support for low intensity farming in some of the most sensitive regions of Europe (IEEP, p. 61). Both the LFAs and the agri-environmental regulations include the setting up of a &zoning' system (by which the various areas are divided into zones re#ecting di!erent geographical and economic conditions) (IEEP, pp. 60,61). This helps to focus support in areas which need it most. Mention should be made of rural development policies which by encouraging the diversi"cation of activities in disadvantaged and remote areas have, in many cases (e.g. in regions of France and Italy) also helped to reverse abandonment trends and serve a bene"cial role in safeguarding the environment. In southern France, rural areas have gained from industrial decentralisation from the 1960s onwards, due to the low cost and the skills of the workforce of farming origin. Thus there are a large number of low-skilled industrial jobs in rural communes. Also, the increased demand for rural goods and space makes it easier for farmers to diversify towards farmingtourism, &free-range' products or the upkeep of the countryside. New comparative advantages are developing in relation to residential, recreational and environmental goods (Cavailhes et al., 1994). In Italy, the heterogeneity of rural areas has increased further with the reversal in the urbanisation trends of population and employment, more pronounced in certain areas than others. In particular, in the last 20 yr, rural areas have been increasingly &diversifying' their labour markets towards nonagricultural activities. It should be mentioned that diversi"cation of rural activities has been an objective of the EU structural policy since the 1992 reform. Diversi"cation includes the dispersion of manufacturing activities in the country-side * a process that has been taking place from the 1960s onwards. This diversi"cation of rural activities has been associated with the process of social and economic restructuring that is taking place worldwide and in particular with globalization trends and the integration of local economies with the international economy (Saraceno, 1994). It is now widely accepted in the EU, that the maintenance of low-intensity systems is a priority for both social and environmental purposes. It is also recognised that many of the existing CAP policy mechanisms, including the LFAs Directive, should be revised in order to provide more focused support for less intensive and H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 environmentally valuable systems (Saraceno p. 63). Proposals for reform in a number of CAP regimes take account of this fact. For example, an important element of the proposed in 1994 wine regime * still under discussion * is the envisaged regulation to maintain vineyards on hills or steep slopes and land which is sensitive to erosion and soil conservation (Caraveli, 1998a). In the olive oil regime, recent proposals for change are focused on the shift of aid to a per tree basis * which means that aid will be &decoupled' from production * and that the present CAP regime which favours intensive cultivation will be weakened. In the tobacco regime the Commission proposes signi"cant improvements in the quality of the product, which implies the encouragement of oriental varieties, mainly produced in parts of LFAs of Greece and Italy (Caraveli, 1998a). Moreover, it is recognised that any reform of the LFAs payments system will not be e!ective unless environmental conditions are imposed * for example, the substitution of the present system of headage payments by payments per hectare (which constitutes an important step forward) should be followed by appropriate environmental conditions. Such conditions are incorporated in the proposals for reform of the Commission's &Agenda 2000' package, which envisages major changes for the Structural Funds, while it advocates greater emphasis for rural development and the rural environment. These changes have been considered as a step towards a more integrated &rural policy', which could create the conditions for a bigger shift in emphasis from price supports to structural and rural development measures (Tracy, 1997; Caraveli, 1998a). Prospects for further reductions in price supports under a new CAP reform (within the framework of &Agenda 2000') and for new trade negotiations in 1999 * aiming among other things at reducing intensive production methods in order to alleviate the environmental burden caused by agricultural activity * will inevitably lead to reductions in income and will put more pressure on marginal, ine$cient Mediterranean producers to abandon many LFAs. This will accentuate existing con#icts and dilemmas in agricultural policy. On the other hand, such pressures could be o!set by the emphasis given in the Agenda, on the &overlap between LFAs and areas of high nature value', as well as on the maintenance and promotion of &low-input' systems. This should target funds to the environmentally sensitive parts of LFAs and might reverse abandonment trends. 6. Conclusions The implementation of CAP measures in Mediterranean countries has reinforced the processes of intensixcation of productive practices in the more fertile areas of the 241 lowlands and extensixcation (i.e. abandonment or marginalisation and the collapse of traditional farming systems) in the uplands * LFAs, which have been going on for decades. Both processes have serious negative impacts for the environment and the landscapes. In many typical Mediterranean areas, the abandonment of traditional subsistence systems was the result of uncompetitive farm structures, lack of alternative employment opportunities, aging of population. Such abandonment implied the widespread conversion of arable land to tree crops (olives, almonds, oranges, "gs and carobs). In both upland and many lowland areas, dryland arable cultivation, vines and tree crops survive in a largely traditional form (often with small scattered parcels) but many such systems are run down and neglected. Also, in some areas, the application of speci"c regimes has either resulted in the intensixcation of productive methods on sloping land (e.g. the case of the olive oil as well as the wine regimes) or has reinforced abandoment tendencies (e.g. the case of the wine regime). The adoption of measures aiming at reducing intensive methods in agricultural production has often accentuated abandonment trends in a number of areas. This constitutes a major con#ict in agricultural policy relating to LFAs and poses a major dilemma to policy makers. As the EU will attempt to curb production further, in response to environmental, budgetary and international pressures, regions with the least favourable natural, economic and social conditions will be even more threatened by &uncontrolled' land abandonment. This will aggravate the basic policy con#ict. Similarly, the adoption of measures that are aimed at preserving &low-intensity' systems and at reducing marginalisation have often created additional con#icts by causing over-exploitation of marginal land (e.g. by over-stocking) and further environmental degradation. It is now obvious to policy makers and clear from the analysis in this paper that such con#icts can be resolved to a great extent and abandonment trends can be reversed if: (a) LFA payments are more focused on those parts of LFAs, where most low-intensive land of high conservation value is found; (b) environmental conditions are attached to any such reform. This recognition is re#ected in the current proposals for CAP reform, incorporated in the Commission's Agenda 2000 package. The signi"cant role that rural development policies play in disadvantaged areas within this context, through the diversi"cation of activities which they promote, is also recognized in the Agenda. In particular, it is emphasized that under the present CAP too many resources continue to be concentrated in agricultural production alone and that the creation of targeted rural development instruments able to address the needs of the wider economy outside agriculture should be faster (MAFF, 1999a,b). To this purpose, it is further envisaged that targeted agri-environmental and forestry programmes should be established 242 H. Caraveli / Journal of Rural Studies 16 (2000) 231}242 as part of the proposed rural development instruments (MAFF, 1999b, p. 25). The successful implementation of existing or proposed measures depends, of course, on authorities in Mediterranean countries. The preceding analysis would be more accurate if more quantitative information was available. This would require detailed data per product and region on: (a) trends in land abandonment and the aging of farm population; (b) changes in land use, irrigation/ha, input/ha (including labour input), as well as on the patterns of cultivation mix within a farm. Detailed data on overstocking per region would also be required. Finally, an assessment of the impact of all the above on the quality of the rural environment would be necessary. 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