Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Managing Crisis in the European Union: The Commission and ‘Mad Cow Disease’ Jesper Grönvall 1 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Titel: Managing Crisis in the European Union: The Commission and ‘Mad Cow Disease’ Utgiven av: Överstyrelsen för civil beredskap Grafisk form: Ateljé/Faktor AB Tryck: Tryckeri AB Knappen, Karlstad, 2000 Upplaga 600 ex ISBN: 917097081-5 2 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Contents 1. Introduction ................................................................................................. 5 1.1 Aim and Research Questions ................................................................. 6 2. Method ...................................................................................................... 8 2.1 Single Case Studies ................................................................................ 8 2.2 Sources .................................................................................................. 12 2.3 Delimitation .......................................................................................... 14 3. Theory .................................................................................................... 3.1 A Cognitive-Institutional Approach ..................................................... 3.2 Defining a Crisis ................................................................................... 3.3 Complexity of Decision-Making in the Commission .......................... 3.4 Experts in the Decision-Making Process ............................................. 3.5 Decision-Making at the European Level .............................................. 3.5.1 The Commission – Actor or Arena? ........................................... 16 16 18 23 26 28 30 4. Context and Background .......................................................................... 4.1 BSE .................................................................................................... 4.2 The European Union and Agriculture .................................................. 4.2.1 The Internal Market .................................................................... 4.3 The European Commission .................................................................. 34 34 36 39 40 5. Chronology and Decision Occasions........................................................ 5.1 Chronology: February 1996 – June 1996 ............................................. 5.2 Decision Occasions: March 20 – June 26, 1996 .................................. 5.2.1 Decision Occasion I (March 20): Public Statement on BSE from the UK ................................................................................ 5.2.2. Decision Occasion II (March 21): Unilateral British Beef Bans Implemented by Several Member States, Violating EU Community Legislation ........................................................ 5.2.3 Decision Occasion III (March 22): Additional Countries Impose Unilateral British Beef Bans and the ScVC Responds .. 5.2.4. Decision Occasion IV (March 25): How will the SVC Respond to the Proposal? John Major Calls Santer ................... 5.2.5 Decision Occasion V (March 26): How will the SVC Respond to the Proposal? ........................................................... 5.2.6 Decision Occasion VI (May 8): What Should be Decided Regarding Gelatin, Tallow and Bull Semen? .............................. 44 44 49 50 53 56 59 63 66 3 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 5.2.7 Decision Occasion VII (May 21): The United Kingdom Initiates a Blocking of the EU Institutions ................................. 5.2.8 Decision Occasion VIII (June 3-4): The Agricultural Council Leaves the Issue of Deciding on Gelatin to the Commission ..... 5.2.9 Decision Occasion IX (June 26): Final Report on Gelatin is Delivered ..................................................................................... 5.3 The Aftermath: Crisis De-escalation (July 1996 – August 1999) ........ 6. Analysis .................................................................................................... 6.1 Problem Framing and Decision Units .................................................. 6.2 Experts in the Decision-Making Process ............................................. 6.3 What Role does the European Commission Play in Crisis Decision-Making? ................................................................................ 70 72 73 74 77 77 84 92 7. Conclusions ................................................................................................ 98 List of References ......................................................................................... 102 List of Abbreviations .................................................................................... 112 Swedish summary of this Report ................................................................ 113 4 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ ”…the BSE crisis constitutes one of the most difficult crises I have had to face throughout my career” Jaques Santer, President of the EU Commission (European Parliament, 1997a:431). 1. Introduction1 On Wednesday March 20, 1996, the British government made a statement regarding an expert report which revealed a possible connection between a disease in cattle, Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE), and a new variant of a human disease, Creutzfeldt-Jakobs disease (nv-CJD). Humans could be at risk of contracting a fatal and an incurable disease by consuming contaminated beef and it did not matter if consumption was halted, as there was an incubation period of a few years. What the government in the United Kingdom had denied for years could now be a reality. The government had previously gone to great lengths to display the safety of beef by having (forcing?) the young daughter of the Agricultural Minister, John Gummer, to eat a beef burger in front of the TV cameras in 1990 (Ford, 1996:113). What happened in the United Kingdom, in a short period of time, was a scare over a single product that changed the eating habits of a nation and spread throughout Europe and the world. Government officials and experts were trying to calm down their panic stricken citizens. But the public fears were monumental and the sales of beef were down 70% in several countries. As some of the most basic human needs, the need for safety and health vanished, panic spread around the world. Both food and politics are similar in that they both involve a large amount of trust: ‘you are what you eat’. Due to this statement on that Wednesday, which is now called the ‘Black Wednesday’ in the United Kingdom, intergovernmental relations deteriorated and the unity and functioning of the European Union was threatened. As the issue of agriculture is one of the truly integrated policies in the European Union, the Commission found itself confronted with a serious problem concerning one member state, which had significant implications for the other member states. The modern society is vulnerable to many sorts of crises which can have a powerful impact at many levels: local, regional, national and increasingly at the trans-national level, which then affects considerably larger populations. The 1 The author would like to express great appreciation for useful comments and inspiration from Eric Stern, Daniel Nohrstedt, Lina Svedin and all of my other colleagues at CRISMART (Crisis Management Research and Training). The author would, as well, like to express great gratitude to the interviewees for their willingness to speak with me and for their open and rewarding interviews. 5 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ consequences too often have an impact on many sectors of society and governments and organizations are expected to cope with. After the Kosovo conflict in 1999, the issue of a common European approach to crisis management has been a top priority on the political agenda in the European Union. But the discussions have focused mainly on military crisis management and have almost entirely excluded the issue of cooperation in the civil sphere of crisis management. The European continent has not been an exception when it comes to crises in the civil area. There are many examples of crises which have had an impact at several levels and sectors of society in Europe: the Chernobyl fallout in 1986, the sinking of the M/S Estonia in 1994, vast flooding in central Europe in 1997, large numbers of refugees from Albania to the neighboring countries in 1998, terror bombings in Moscow, and the scandal with toxic animal feed in Belgium in 1999. It could very well be so that a common approach to civil crisis management is imperative as Europe and the European Union enters the next millennium. A specific and concrete type of an emerging problem in many societies is the risk posed to public health, including diseases which spread from animals to humans and other related problems in agriculture that affect the food intended for human consumption. That is a particularly difficult problem to handle, as national borders can not contain the problem. This could be an indication of the downside of integration and internationalization. The increasing incidence of public health crises can depend on a number of factors; for example: new techniques in food production, human activities which bring on environmental changes that can evolve into unforeseen events, and human and livestock populations have grown worldwide in recent years which brings them into closer contact. Global trade has expanded rapidly with increased transportation which has made it possible to transport humans, goods and livestock all over the world in a short period of time. This is often combined with a relaxation of border controls. The common market in the European Union is an example of where borders have been dismantled for intra-European trade and movement (Emerging Infectious Diseases, 1997:5). But whether this is a new phenomenon or not is left aside. It could be the case that there is a heightened perception and awareness of the risks in public health due to the intervention of the global media. 1.1 Aim and Research Questions The general aim of this study is to explore the decision-making process in the European Union, especially the Commission, in crisis conditions as the news of the suspected lethal beef was made public in the United Kingdom. More specific research questions are: • How was the BSE disease managed internally within the Commission? How did the actors frame the problem of BSE and what were the consequences? 6 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ How was the question of leadership worked out by the decision-units? Did bureaucratic-politics, information and coordination problems emerge between the decision-units? • What was the role of the experts in the process of the Commission’s decision-making? What was the relationship and division of labor between the experts and the decision-makers in this highly complex and technical crisis? • What role did the Commission perform during this crisis? Was the Commission merely an arena for the member states during the crisis or was the Commission an actor by its own merit? 7 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 2. Method 2.1 Single Case Studies Research goals, irrespective of the field of research could be to explore the world we live in, how it is constituted and how the future could develop. When an academic endeavor is embarked upon, there is a choice to be made between using quantitative or qualitative methods. The former is often connected with numbers, frequencies and percentages, while the latter strives for comprehension or an explanation of a phenomenon with words and not numbers (Ragin, 1994:xii). This study will be carried out as a qualitative single case study, but the status and value of that way of conducting science is debated. It has been argued that a single case can not be used to develop, verify or falsify a theory, since a single case can not be used for generalizations (King, Keohane, and Verba; 1994:211). But that depends on how the case study is designed and what is meant to do with the results when completed. Lijphart suggests six different ideal types of single case studies, with divergent purposes, ranging from a purely descriptive form to a hypothesis-generating form (Lijphart, 1971:691).2 The qualitative case study is focused on the process, where the context is important and the discovery is placed in the front seat rather than the task of testing something. In the words of Alexander George, “The case study is used as a means of stimulating the imagination in order to discern important new general problems, identifying possible theoretical solutions, and formulate potentially generalizable relations that were not previously apparent. The case study is an opportunity to learn more about the complexity of the problem studied” (George, 1979:51-2). It is then possible to execute a ‘thick description’, a highly detailed representation of the phenomenon studied which can display the complexity of the case and inspire theory development. The heuristic form can facilitate and improve the readers understanding of the case and the possibility to follow a process will be feasible. A case study can use a multi-disciplinary approach from various fields, e.g. psychology, economy, sociology and anthropology. Such an approach can yield a more multifaceted study than perhaps the more stringent quantitative study (Merriam, 1988: 9). The drawbacks of single case studies should not be hidden. The objective to reach full understanding, can be severely challenged by the fact that the cases are often so extremely detailed that the researcher has to construct a procedure for determining what information is most vital during the course of work. The original goal of doing a thorough analysis of the phenomenon in question will lead to that certain themes are chosen. A researcher usually can not include every single aspect 2 8 The suggested ideal types are: atheoretical, interpretive, hypothesis-generative, theory-confirming, theoryinfirming and, finally, deviant case studies. Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ in a study. It would be too time-demanding, but that does not mean that such elements are not studied. Such comprehensive perfection is described by Lijphart as unrealistic and finally destructive (Lijphart, 1971:690). The reader is, therefore, dependent upon the researchers’ sensibility, sensitivity and judgment when conducting a case study, as the researcher is a main component in such studies. (Merriam, 1988:46 and George, 1979:49). The difficult, but necessary feat, is to balance the sometimes intriguing idiosyncrasies of the case with the ‘big picture’, which is probably more interesting and rewarding for academic purposes (Stern, 1999:18). How should a study, which has as its goal to examine the decision-making process, be carried out? An inspiring mode is to apply the process-tracing method, which has been advocated by Alexander George. Process tracing is about investigating, clarifying and explaining a decision-making process. It means that the reasoning behind the proverbial ‘black-box’ of decision-making, e.g. that the decision-making process is concealed and it is not possible to get insight into is not pertinent. Instead, it is just that which will be placed in the forefront of the study, “The process-tracing approach attempts to uncover what stimuli the actors attend to; the decision process that makes use of these stimuli to arrive at decisions; the actual behavior that then occurs; the effect of various institutional arrangements on attention, processing, and behavior; and the effect of other variables of interest on attention, processing and behavior” (George & McKeown, 1985:35). This study will strive at acquiring insight into how the decision-makers have reasoned by reconstructing the situation. Therefore the process-tracing method stands out as the most promising path with which both psychological and institutional factors are considered. Just as there are different types of case studies, there are distinct types of process-tracing techniques. The selected type depends on the goal of the study. Of the five examples outlined by Bennet and George, the most simple type does not use theory or variables, and it is mainly a historical chronicle, describing the events leading up to a phenomenon. The four remaining models all contain more or less theoretical elements. They also have in common that the ambition is to discover causalities or, if that is not possible, to uncover certain patterns or themes (Benett & George, 1998:2). A weakness is the difficulty in reconstructing a decision-making process, as Gray and ‘t Hart points out, “It is hard to identify not only who did what in a particular disastrous sequence of events, but also which part of a particular sequence of decisions and actions was crucial to the resulting outcome” (Gray & ‘t Hart, 1998:11). James J. March also identifies this complication, “Decision histories are often difficult to describe. When (and even whether) a decision was made, who made it, with what intentions, and with what consequences are all often obscure” (March, 1994:177). This can hopefully be overcome by using many diverse sources, i.e., primary and secondary materials together with interviews with the involved decision-makers. This method resembles 9 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ putting together a jig-saw puzzle: first the pieces are gathered and put together to study its entirety and then the puzzle is broken down into pieces so that he specifics can be studied. This achieves a holistic overview of the case, and is used to alert the readers to the most interesting themes. It could be argued by some that the case study as such, does not have the same scientific significance as statistical work. But if an element of comparison is introduced, one persuasive argument is gained for even the most convinced positivist. Lijphart argues that, “The comparative method resembles the statistical method in all respects except one. The crucial difference is that the number of cases is too small to permit systematic control by means of partial correlation’s” (Lijphart, 1971:684). When making the choice to study a phenomenon by using a case study, which is intended to use the method of comparison to draw generalizations or patterns, it does not have to be a problem that there are few cases. As Lijphart states, “…the intensive comparative analysis of a few cases may be more promising than a more superficial statistical analysis of many cases” (Lijphart, 1971:685). Performing comparisons is of basic importance for science; certain researchers are of the opinion that it is of major significance, Swanson states, “Thinking without comparison is unthinkable. And in the absence of comparison, so is all scientific thought and scientific research” (Swanson cited in Ragin, 1987:1). But, performing comparisons between separate phenomena can be counterproductive if the chosen phenomena are too diverse. A procedure to avoid this risk has been developed by Alexander George. Alexander George has proposed the method of structured and focused comparison, which is one avenue to presenting knowledge from historic cases in a structured and systematic fashion. The first step is to group a phenomenon, such as crises, into a class of phenomena instead of considering them to be isolated events. By placing this case of transnational and civil (non-military) European crisis management into a class with a wider spectrum of crises, it will be possible to produce further studies in the same class and later compare them to newly discovered patterns and hopefully make some generalizations. Thus, it is focused as only phenomenon in one specified class is compared. The comparison will be structured as a set of general questions will be posed in the process of gathering information and in the analyses. By using this approach, the huge risk of getting lost in the idiosyncrasies the specifics of a case, which can prevent the goal of comparison and the development of generalizations, should be avoided. But the usage of general questions does not prohibit the usage of specific questions, which may interest the researcher and could possibly unveil the complexities of the case. The method can be summed up by three criteria: firstly, general concepts are used for a description and the analysis; secondly, the type of phenomenon analyzed is defined; and thirdly, the researcher is selective and is focused when choosing what aspects of the case are to be studied (George, 1979). In short, the type of case study should be well suited to probing an under10 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ researched area. The type of case study that appears to be most promising and that will be used in this study is a combination of type II interpretive and explorative mixed with type III hypothesis-generative which have been suggested by Lijphart (1971:692). In addition the basic type of the process-tracing method will be applied. The objective is not explicitly to generalize nor to discover patterns but to give solid empirical insight into a phenomenon that has rarely been explored before in a systematic manner. When conducting a thorough examination of the literature regarding crisis management at the European Union level, the results have been poor. That which has been found has exclusively dealt with military-security crises and mostly on problems with an external threat e.g., the collective response and crisis management during the Poland crisis in 1980-82, the Libya bombing in 1986 and the conflict in former Yugoslavia. Not much has been written in a systematic fashion regarding civil crises, especially those concerning the internal problems of the European Union (Winn, 1986; Jörgensen, 1997). When exploration is initiated in a previously under-researched area, especially when an implicit comparison is the goal, the question of facilitating comparisons must be addressed. Hopefully there will be future studies on European crisis management, but this should be a coordinated effort to be worth while. Whether this study will provide the general questions for analysis, that can facilitate further studies and not risk getting entangled in the idiosyncrasies of the case, cannot be satisfactorily answered at this stage. It is believed that the case selected for this study is representative of the phenomenon in question and can thereby provide the first brick of an emerging theory on European crisis management. The goal is to provide a tool for getting out of “…the empirical swamp to a more conceptual view of the landscape” (Merriam, 1988:152). In conclusion, how then shall the study be constructed? Instead of studying this crisis by using, for example, game theory or bargaining models, Stern (1999:45) suggests a decision-making approach to crisis (Paige, 1968). Such an approach will pay necessary attention to the context and the process, and it will capture the complexities involved in crisis decision-making.3 Four distinct phases can be outlined (Stern, 1999:45). Firstly, there is the extensive task of collecting material. By performing this, the crisis can be put into a historical, institutional and political context. Secondly, by collecting material, a narrative with the course of events can be compiled. In this phase the central actors can be identified. The third phase is pin-pointing occasions for decision, since the study will analyze the 3 Stern (1999:14) identifies five types of complexity in crisis decision-making: 1. Political complexity, which refers to the threat of basic values. 2. Institutional complexity, which focuses on cooperation and conflict between the actors in a crisis. 3. Temporal complexity, which takes into consideration how prior experiences will have an influence on the perception and behavior of future events and how historical choices can have an effect on future decision-making. 4. Informational complexity, which centers on the problem of gathering information, having too little or being overloaded with information. 5. Finally, problem complexity, which implies that decision-makers are not confronted with just a single problem but many problems which have to be managed simultaneously or sequentially. 11 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ decision-making process by reconstructing the decision-making events as close to the perception of the decision-makers as possible. A crisis is by definition a situation where it is not business as usual, but a situation where it is necessary to take action. A crisis is usually not a single event, and decision-makers are confronted with a number of difficult problems that have to be managed simultaneously or one after the other. But there can also be periods of ‘nondecisions’, meaning when actors chose not to act. How should these decision-occasions be pinpointed? One way of approaching this task is to search for decisions per se, i.e. to look for reactions to a problem. Another way can be, as is in this study, to search for an impetus or stimuli, a problem, which will have such an effect on the decision-makers that they will pose the question, “What do we do now”. This is in line with the cognitiveinstitutional approach of the study, which will be discussed in Chapter 3. An example of such an impetus is when a case of Ebola was reported at a Swedish hospital in the 1990’s, which plausibly made decision-makers ask, “What do we do now”? There lay a danger of scholarly subjectivity embedded in the method of identifying decision-making occasions as the researcher tries to trace the situation as perceived by the decision-makers. This dilemma, is for example, pointed out by both Vertzberger (1990:37) and Stern (1999:53), since the researcher could be giving a subjective and distorted interpretation of the reality perceived by the decision-maker. But a maximum effort of collecting empirical material will, at least, diminish the danger making plausible interpretation feasible. During the stipulated time frame, nine decision-making occasions has been identified. The decision-occasions have then been analyzed in order to determine which decision units were involved, how they were formed, how they were used, how a problem was perceived, which options were considered and what options were actually chosen when confronted with an impetus. The fourth step of this approach was to address various analytical themes in the material. These themes were selected by connecting the international research literature on decision-making and crisis management. But since this is a study on decision-making which is focused on the institutions of the European Union, inspiration has naturally been drawn from this literature as well. These analytical themes will be discussed and highlighted in Chapter three. 2.2 Sources To be able to perform a solid empirical process-tracing case study it is necessary to gather comprehensive material. But, decision-making in the EU is complex, and much of it is conducted in secrecy, which makes it a difficult task to study it systematically. Pierce means that, “The European Community combines novelty, complexity, and secrecy. It is therefore, both a challenge and unique target of 12 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ opportunity for the student of political decision making.” (Pierce, 1994:8 ). The researcher must be one part historian and one part detective to be able to gather needed material. All sorts of material have been used in this study including: official documents mainly from the various European Union institutions and Sweden, newspapers mainly from Sweden and the United Kingdom, journals of both academic and scientific nature, memoirs, internet sites representing both governments and NGOs and personal interviews. As this is a sensitive case and several of the protocols from the various scientific committee meetings were not recorded at the time, not all the documents were available. This problem was also present earlier when writing a study about Sweden’s response to the BSE crisis. An official inquiry was then made for the purpose of gaining access to EU documents, but it was denied for reasons of inter-state relations, which required secrecy. The hearing protocols and other documents, which were made public as the European Parliament conducted an investigation of the management of the BSE issue late in 1996, have been valuable to this study. Hearings were conducted with several decision-makers such as Commission President Santer, Agricultural Commissioner Fischler, Consumer Commissioner Bonino and the General Director of DG VI Mr. Legras – just to mention a few. However to achieve greater insight into matters concerning details, personal relationships, the institutional context and the perception of the situation, interviews were desirable. During a five-day period, I had the opportunity to conduct interviews with ten centrally placed officials at the European Commission in Brussels. The DGs concerned were the Secretariat-General, DG III (Industry), DG V (Employment, Industrial Relations and Social Affairs), DG VI (Agriculture, including their own legal service), DG XI (Environment, Nuclear Safety and Civil Protection), DG XV (Internal Market and Financial Services) and DG XXIV (Consumer Policy and Consumer Health Protection). These interviewees ranged in level and position from Directors to Principal Administrator.4 Some interviews were cancelled just days before my trip, as officials were absorbed dealing with the Dioxin crisis in Belgium which had recently erupted. Regrettably, not all of the interviewees were directly involved or even present during the BSE crisis in 1996 but they could present valuable details, which would have been difficult to find without them. Unfortunately, it was not possible to conduct any interviews with the people on the cabinet nor at the Commissioner level since all inquires for interviews were denied at that time. Interviews were also performed in Sweden with centrally placed individuals in the committee system.5 In order to conceal the identity of the interviewees, the method of using letters, (such as “Respondent A” to denote a certain official) instead of names, was utilized. 4 5 On request to the author the positions of the interviewees can be disclosed. Six of the interviewees were directly involved with the management of the BSE situation. 13 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Of course further and deeper interviews would have been desired, but time and financial resources were not limitless. The interviews have been structured in the following manner, more than half were general questions posed to all of the interviewees and the remaining questions were more specific in nature regarding the individuals occupation and place in the institutional context. This is what May calls a semi-structured interview (May 1997:111). The answers used in this study to analyze the case underwent critical examination since the decision-makers who are in central positions’ may not have given a complete picture or they may have, themselves, been exposed to distorted or inaccurate information. It can also be the case that the interviewee’s want to display themselves, as much as possible in a favorable light so then the researcher risks receiving tainted responses. Interviews can also be an opportunity to criticize present or former colleagues. By using many diverse sources and comparing them, dangers of bias, rumors, hearsay and proximity to events is minimized (Sundelius et al., 1997:46). 2.3 Delimitation In certain cases it is unproblematic to determine the onset and the de-escalation of a crisis. In this case, the onset and de-escalation have not been easily determined in comparison to, for example, the U137 ‘Whiskey on the Rocks’ incident. In that case the crisis began when the submarine was discovered and it clearly ended when the submarine was later released (Sundelius & Stern, 1992). In the BSE situation, it is difficult to determine when the crisis actually began and even harder to state when it definitely ended. As this study rests on a cognitive approach, the decision-makers have set the delimitation. The crisis was triggered on March 20, 1996, when an announcement from the United Kingdom stated that there could be a possibility that BSE could be spread to humans. Even though it could be argued that the crisis started earlier, but it was not actually perceived or acknowledged as a crisis. The ending of the crisis is more troublesome to determine. When is there an end of the crisis, a closure? Rosenthal et al. have defined the end of a crisis to be when “…the short term danger has subsided, and that the need for urgent remedial action has decreased” (Rosenthal et al., 1989:22). In order to restrict this study, the end date has been established as June 26, 1996, when the pressing question of gelatin was solved and when the United Kingdom reactivated its cooperation with the European Union institutions. Directly after the end date of this study the crisis changed configuration. At that point it became more of an exclusively internal confrontation between the European Parliament and the Commission since the European Parliament inquiry on the mismanagement of the BSE issue was initiated. Earlier the crisis had been more centered in an external setting. 14 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ For whom was this crisis, and who were the key actors in this crisis? In this case, there were a number of actors: the Commission and its various committees (consisting of independent experts or national representatives), the (Agricultural) Council, the European Council, the governments and the respective agencies of the member states, the European Parliament, the European Court of Justice, the media, various lobby groups (for example the farmer unions and consumer groups), private companies, the citizens of the Union, and so on. It would not be possible or even interesting to closely examine all of the key actors in this case, so the main focus of this study is on the Commission and its various committees. The member states have been primarily studied in relation to their work with the committee system. The Council and the European Parliament have not be extensively covered but they have a role to play in the crisis. 15 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 3. Theory 3.1 A Cognitive-Institutional Approach In the field of political science literature, there is a major rift between theories which strive to explain decision-making, a realistic mode of thought and other theories that seek to explain deviances from that idealistic stance. Especially interesting is the notion that decision-making does not necessarily have to be based on a objective, conscious and focused analysis of a problem which the decision-makers are confronted with, but rather that, more or less unconscious and arbitrary modes have a powerful impact on decision-making (Sundelius et al., 1997:18). The cognitive-institutional perspective does not adhere to the writings of the rational theory, which will be further elaborated latter in the study. Instead the stance is taken that when a crisis occurs individuals, groups and organizations take front stage (George, 1980; Vertzberger, 1990; Sundelius et al., 1997; Stern, 1999). Without turning the following discussion regarding the rational choice literature opinion on decision-making into a straw-man analysis, certain criteria can be discussed. A rational decision-making procedure is one that pursues a logic of consequence, it implies that all of the alternatives and all of the consequences are known which then assumes full knowledge on behalf of the decision-makers. Thus there is no post-decision surprise, no insecurity, which can be pleasant or unpleasant, that is a characteristic of the decision making process. “Although decision makers try to be rational, they are constrained by limited cognitive capabilities and incomplete information…” (March, 1994:9). In normal day-today work, and especially in a crisis situation, there are problems of attention. No decision-maker is capable of knowing it all and not all tasks can be accomplished at the same time. Instead of a rational process in search for the optimal decision it could be that decision-makers ‘muddle’ through and settle for the best solution that they come across. Decision-makers search for information, but they may only see what they expect to see and overlook the unexpected. Previous experiences and how the problem is framed influences the entire situation in that it guides the decision-makers towards which decisionunits should be used, what options will be seriously considered and what additional information is needed. These ‘frames’ focus the attention and make it easier for the decision-makers. “There is a tendency for frames to persist over a sequence of situations. Recently frames hold a privileged position, in part because they are more or less automatically evoked in a subsequent situation” (March, 1994:15). In general it is hard to apply the rational model since it assumes 16 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ complete awareness and knowledge of each choice and its respective outcomes. Applying the rational model would have been particularly difficult in the BSE situation since no one had complete information. Even the scientific community was on the brink of its own knowledge. Therefore the cognitive processes in decision-making should not be downplayed. Cognitive factors are interesting and also provide guidance as to how one should act depending on how a situation is perceived. According to Haas, cognitive factors “…stress the conditioning role that prior beliefs and established operating procedures play in determining how individuals will respond to new situations or events and choose a course of action when confronted with uncertainty” (Haas, 1992:28). Especially in a crisis situation there is no reason to assume that decision-makers and the decision-units are unaffected by the stress that mounts when a situation is characterized by: important values on the line, limited time is available and uncertainty. Then complex cognitive processes will be heightened and should be taken into consideration, since decision-makers are exposed to individual and collective stress (Sundelius, Stern, with Bynander, 1997:20; Janis 1989; Stern, 1999). The institutional setting is also of importance as this will have an impact on the formal and informal practices of the decision-making. The definition of institutions that will be used is: “…meaning formal and informal institutions and conventions, the norms and symbols embedded in them, and policy instruments and procedure” (Bulmer, 1998:365). That facilitates bringing in both the formal arrangements, as well as the informal arenas, i.e. ‘the smokefilled rooms’. Also important are the norms, values and routines embedded within the institutions that shape an individual’s actions. It is meaningful to look at the micro-institutional setting: the routines, norms and values that affect the decisionmaking (Bulmer, 1998:365). “The organizational and social environment in which the decision maker finds himself determines what consequences he will anticipate, what ones he will not; what alternatives he will consider, what ones he will ignore” (March & Simon, 1959:140). Prior history and earlier experiences will have an effect on the structure of the organization, routines, plans and values. Past choices can restrict future decision-making possibilities and cause pathdependency (Allison, 1971). Institutional rules are crucial in establishing which actors will have the opportunity to have ‘voice’, meaning actors who have the opportunity to have a major impact on the decision-making process (Zito, 1998:675). Institutionalism describes how individuals, assumed to be rational and autonomous actors are constrained in that their behavior is shaped by institutions. “Simple stimuli trigger complex, standardized patterns of action without extensive analysis, problem solving, or use of discretionary power. Institutions have a repertoire of procedures and they use rules to select among them” (March and Olsen, 1989:21-2). It may not be as simple as, “…it is the men who govern the processes and not the processes that govern the men” 17 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ (Rosenthal, 1975: 14).6 It is more likely that they can influence each other. Organizational structures influence the behavior of the individual; for example, the post of the Prime Minister does have some restrictions on what is considered appropriate behavior. However, the individual can also effect the organizational structure; for example, what a previous Prime Minister performed or accomplished while in office can set new guidelines. In modern institutional theory, institutions are viewed as flexible systems of values and norms rather than rigid structures. Interactions between individuals and institutions should be seen as an on-going process rather than singular events, and there exists the capacity for mutual adjustment (Peters and Pierre, 1998:1-2). As decision-makers occupy different levels and different places in the organizational structure, differing preferences and interests can influence the decision-making process. The chosen cognitive-institutional perspective focuses on the individual decision-maker’s perceptions and analyzes the organizational structure from their position in it. The cognitive institutional perspective takes into account of that individuals and groups do have a major impact on decisionmaking but that structural and institutional constraints as well have an effect on decision-making. 3.2 Defining a Crisis What then is a crisis, since not every serious situation deserves to be labeled a crisis? It is a locution that is often overused. It is frequently utilized to express a situation when there has been some difficulties in evaluating the situation and when it is difficult to predict the events which could follow. There are several definitions of crisis circulating in academic literature and the major contributions in this area will be highlighted.7 Several of the existing definitions from the Cold War Era have been dominated by the threat of a conflict or a war. Classic studies have been performed concerning how the central actors at the national level manage a security crisis, like, Korea (Paige, 1968), in Cuba (Allison, 1971) and in the Middle East 1967 and 1973 (Brecher, 1974). Snyder and Diesing argue that a high level of conflict, a great risk of war and severe emotional burden constitute a crisis (Snyder and Diesing, 1977:4). Brecher and Wilkenfield contend a crisis to be when the highest level of decisionmakers perceive that there is a threat against substantial values, a consciousness that finite time is available and that there exists a high probability of involvement in a military conflict (Breacher and Wilkenfield, 1989:14). The emphasis on the probability of war, that these two definitions call attention to, will not be of great 6 7 The author would like to point to the fact that it can, of course, be the women who govern the processes as well. For an excellent and full exposition please see Brecher (1993). 18 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ use in this study as it does not include a military conflict. Charles F. Hermann added the element of perception on behalf as the decision-makers and stipulated the following criteria, “A crisis is a situation that threatens high-priority goals of the decision-making unit, restricts the amount of time available for response before the decision is transformed and surprises the members of the decision-making unit by its occurrence” (Hermann, 1972:13). Even though the element of military conflict is not present, this definition will not be used since the concept of surprise does not necessarily have to be present in all aspects of a crisis. It could be so that elements of a crisis are detected in advance and therefore come as no real surprise for decision-makers. Recently researchers have elaborated upon the definition of a crisis which deemphasizes the military connotation and shifts the locus to other non-military threats to society. Naturally the military threat will always have a place on the national agenda since international politics continue to be anarchic in nature. However, other types of threats posed to a state for example: economical, ecological and societal, are evolving into increasingly more important issues which need to be managed (Buzan, 1991:133). Rosenthal, ‘t Hart and Charles define a crisis as “…a serious threat to the basic structures of the fundamental values and norms of a social system, which under – time pressure and highly uncertain circumstances – necessitates making critical decisions” (Rosenthal et al., 1989:3). This facilitates the inclusion of disasters and other disturbances that can have adverse effects on society e.g., natural disasters, nuclear accidents, riots, acts of terrorism or epidemics. This was an elaboration of Hermann’s definition, in that it is not always necessarily a high-prioritized goal which is threatened, but rather that the available time for decision-making is limited. Regarding the element of surprise, it is more clearly understood when viewed as a factor leading to insecurity (Rosenthal et al., 1989:3). But the lack of clarity in the notion of a social system can be an obstacle if put to use. More recently, Sundelius et al (1997) have developed the following definition of a crisis, which is the one chosen for this study, “…that the central players interpret the situation as: important values are on the line; limited time is available; the circumstances are marked by a great deal of uncertainty” (Sundelius et al., 1997:13). This definition highlight that the perceptions of the actors involved are crucial in determining whether or not a situation can be described as a crisis. How does the BSE situation relate to the three criteria of the chosen crisis definition, what important values were on the line, limited time and uncertainty? What sort of threat was there? What values were at stake for the decision-makers at the European level? Public health and safety was at risk and needed to be protected. The legitimacy and the credibility of the EU institutions were as well threatened both internally in regard to the EU citizens in whether or not they could effectively manage an internal problem and externally before the rest of the world to display the image of the EU as an emerging powerful international entity. 19 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ There was a significant economic dimension arising from the crisis since confidence in agricultural products vanished and costly intervention measures had to be taken. Consumer confidence had to be upheld, otherwise spill-over effects into other foodstuffs could contribute to further economic looses. The crisis has cost the UK and the EU a lot of money. The total cost calculated for the 1996/ 1997 financial year (in terms of compensations paid to the farmers, payments to slaughterhouses, cost of storage and incineration, etc.) was over £1.5 billion and the EU’s contribution was £28 million (Baggott, 1998:62). The crisis could as well add to already high unemployment figures. There was also the issue of the internal market and the potential of new member states. Many member states are prepared to open up the Union to the countries knocking on the EU membership door, but if the internal market is not functioning well then the attraction might wear off. It could perhaps be hypothesized that the standard of food stuffs may be of lesser quality due to a less advanced industry and production facilities in applicant countries. Beyond the pure financial costs, the cost of legitimacy and continued trust in the government institutions are incalculable. Politically, it could disturb diplomatic relations and sabotage efforts from the EU institutions and certain member states from pursuing deeper integration, especially since the important Turin and Florence IGC meetings were coming up and such discussions were on the agenda. Since the United Kingdom was the main country involved in the crisis it was even more important that the situation was managed effectively seeing that the United Kingdom has been reluctant to further discussions concerning increased integration and has been largely regarded as an outsider by the other EU member states. Often there is a conflict between the threatened values, a value complexity for decision-makers. A crisis can develop into distressing dilemmas for the decisionmakers when choosing between possible solutions (Stern & Bynander, 1997:3246; Janis & Mann, 1977). For example, when confronted with a riot, decisionmakers have to choose between firmness, accommodation or, in a major disaster sending in large rescue forces even though there is a lack of information regarding what is needed or what is awaiting. There is a trade-off to be made. In the first example, if the riot is violently surpressed, there can be allegations of excessive violence, which can diminish the public’s confidence in the police force. On the other hand by choosing not to use force can suggest to the public that the police force are slack and will not use force which can arise to further riots. In the second scenario, if help is directly sent to the site there can be harsh accusations from the public that the government is spending the taxpayers’ money in an irresponsible manner. Or in the other alternative where rescue forces are not sent out early, can be used to say that the government is not interested in saving peoples lives (Rosenthal et al., 1991a:217). Was there limited time available for the decision-makers? A crisis implies that there is a need to make critical decisions, and that there is no time for ‘politics as 20 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ usual’ with a wait and see attitude (Rosenthal et al., 1989:10). (Stern, 1999:10) has pointed to the fact that time is a crucial factor in a biological crisis since effective action is often dependent upon timely intervention. In the BSE case the decision-makers had to make some critical decisions, such as should there be decisive action immediately or should we wait for additional from the British scientists? It was a difficult decision, with a considerable impact by sounding the alarm would have probably caused panic and economic ruin for many industries, or the wait and see approach which could turn out to be at least as disastrous in the long run. The decision-makers had to reassure the public that they were not in direct danger and, at the same time, they had to protect the member states internal and external beef markets. The beef suspected of being contaminated with the fatal disease could have had to be removed immediately. This aspect definitely fulfilled the uncertainty criteria, that is one feature that stands out in this case, was there a risk of human fatalities caused by British beef or not? Whatever the opinion regarding the connection between BSE and Creutzfeldt-Jakobs, there was need for action. Unexpected events do not always create the same type of uncertainty. There are events that occur but are uncertainty reducing, i.e., fitting the framework of the decision-makers can be regarded as a ‘normal’ surprise. On the other hand, events that do not fit into the decision-makers framework can provoke a higher degree of uncertainty. Uncertainty depends on the cognitive reactions of the decision-makers; it is formed by previous experiences (Turner & Pidgeon, 1997:126). There are several types of crises that all implicate what kind of factors effect the crisis criteria. Natural disasters like floods, tornadoes and man-made disasters, which are caused when there is a loss of technological control or a human error are not often conflict ridden by decision-makers. It is seemingly easier to determine what has happened and what is at stake when a dam breaks or when a train crashes. The uncertainty factor does not have to be exorbitant. The uncertainty in the BSE situation can be seen as a two-stage crisis, first a creeping crisis phase, which then turned into an acute crisis which, required critical decisionmaking. A creeping crisis usually refers to a situation when there are signs of an impending crisis but are for different reasons neglected or misinterpreted and further action is not taken which could have mitigated the following crisis. That is a signal that existing warning systems are not functioning properly (Rosenthal et al., 1989:3). Signals can be disregarded because they do not fit into the existing beliefsystem or that vital information is not transmitted to the correct receiver who could have used the information. Perfect communication is difficult to achieve in any but the most simplistic organizations (Turner & Pidgeon, 1997:86). That kind of behavior commonly leads, sooner or later, to an acute situation. Examples of creeping crises are the hunger crises in Africa, and the Love Canal crisis in the US where it was discovered that beneath a residential area there was a plant producing 21 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ dangerous chemicals 50 years ago and it had begun to leak and infect the residents (Fowlkes & Miller, 1988). As an acute crisis, the BSE situation can be viewed as an unnatural disaster in that it contrasts with most natural and man-made disasters since, “…the unnatural disaster does not strike and its occurrence cannot be precisely defined as to time, place or extent of destruction” (Fowlkes & Miller,1988:38). That makes it more difficult for actors to concur on what has happened, what should be done and who is responsible for what; thus this increases uncertainty. “The most insidious feature of the unnatural disaster… is its capacity to become increasingly widespread at the same time that it goes unrecognized and its unidentified casualties increase proportionately” (Fowlkes & Miller, 1988:38). A crisis is thus seen as a process rather than as an unexpected ‘act of God’ or perhaps more appropriately an ‘act of the Devil’. BSE did not occur as a divine intervention. Rather it developed and spread because dead cattle were used as feed; thereby turning the cattle into cannibals. Together with other factors, which are described in the next chapter, it appears that the lethal BSE disease was probably spread from cows to humans. The BSE situation accurately displays the uness of a crisis, unimaginable, unthinkable, unmanageable, unwanted and so on (Beck, 1992:54). There is also the issue of upholding the legitimacy of an individual, a group, an organization or a government. Therefore a crisis may be regarded not only as a threat but equally as an opportunity by certain actors to reconstruct the balance of power between and within the governmental or organizational structure. Thus they have a chance to enhance their own legitimacy and resources, “…bureaupolitics are an integral part of government decision making in crises” (Rosenthal et al., 1991a). Additionally, it could be perceived as a possibility to push forward legislation, it has even been suggested that in order to generate results in the European Union, a crisis atmosphere must be present (Stern & Nohrstedt, 1999:18). Crisis is a concept that should be approached in a social constructivist fashion. Generally it is thought that a society with its different groups have different norms and values, it is socially constructed by its actors. In more specific terms, then, a crisis situation can be depicted as the perception of an alteration in the ‘normal’ state of things. It should be noted that there is always room for individual perceptions regarding a crisis situation and that no social culture is completely homogeneous. The social constructivist definition of a crisis implies that there is no such thing as an objective crisis situation going on “out there”, but that this image of a crisis is produced in a social context of society. But for an incident or event, to be defined as a crisis, it must be socially constituted between a number of actors. If no one reacts to an event, then no crisis is produced. W.I Thomas’ theorem should therefore receive renewed attention, “…when situations are defined as real, they are real in their consequence” (Fowlkes and Miller, 1988:23). Reality is thus a social construction,”…individuals, groups and societies tend to place 22 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ interpretations upon reality-interpretations which may or may not be true in an absolute sense” (Rochefort & Cobb, 1994:5). Epistemologically, the world and our conception of it is mediated by prior assumptions, expectations and experience (Haas, 1992:21). Media often has an active part in this process in framing and constructing the perception of the public and the decision-makers. The reality created by media can quickly become the accepted reality. For example, at the Three Mile Island nuclear incident TV crews asked residents in the nearby city to move indoors so the sights of a deserted town could be depicted (Lagadec, 1991:123). Likewise the media took a great interest in the BSE problem. This is not surprising since health issues are often at the top of the public agenda since it is an issue that concerns everybody (Baggott, 1998:73). A crisis in the category of public health, like the BSE crisis, the social constructivist side is high-lighted, as factors of the crisis which had been previously neglected due to faulty perceptions or previously unknown relationships come to light for decision-makers. Because what happened is not that there is a new event in itself, it was “…the convergence of a set of conditions that gives rise to a new definition of an existing situation” (Fowlkes & Miller, 1988:23). 3.3 Complexity of Decision-Making in the Commission The section on decision-occasions, section 5.1 and 5.2, will provide useful insight on where, how and by which actors’ decisions were taken at the European level with a focus on the Commission throughout the BSE crisis. Also in that section the framework for the first analysis chapter will be presented. It will center on the cognitive-institutional approach discussed above. In addition it will look more closely at the internal functions and dynamics of the Commission’s DGs by assuming that the Commission is not a unitary actor and that the analysis will be even more fruitful when a bureaucratic-politics perspective is applied. The rational and realist models are a bit simplistic since they assume that actors are unitary with common preferences and goals, but this tends to overlook the bureaucratic-politics perspective (March, 1994:46). The rational model of organization and decision-making is basically unproblematic. It is an unitary actor with non-competing values and goals and all people who belong to an organization have identical norms and values and work towards common goals. “It has become something of a truism that when looked at closely. …an agency that appears to be a single organization with a single will turns out to be several sub-organizations with different wills.” (Pressman and Wildavsky,1973:92). If competing interests are present within an organization and the goals are not necessarily the same for all parties involved, especially when there is uncertainty or conflicts about the goals for the organization, that can be an opportunity to give the analysis another 23 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ dimension (Fischer, 1990: 272). The focus of bureaucratic-politics studies is on the competition, conflict or cooperation, between different administrative agencies and departments. Or to put it as Allison describes it, “the pulling and hauling” between the actors that is the art of decision-making. Governmental action is the result of political bargaining among multiple actors (Allison, 1971:173). This is similarly the case when the Commission is regarded. “One of the most enduring myths surrounding EU decision-making is that the Commission is a purposive, single-minded institution. …it is highly fragmented, even if it often unites in defense of its institutional prerogatives, as it did in 1999 when the college resigned en masse” (Peterson & Bomberg, 1999:39). Little has been done to break down the monolithic picture of the Commission and to examine its internal dynamics, which should be a promising perspective, “…looking at the Commission in terms of internal tension… …avoids the pitfalls of envisaging the Commission as a single, unitary organization, without having to abandon the idea of institutional self-interest” (Christiansen, 1996: 82). The administrative structures within the Commission are also actors. There should be opportunities for the DGs to take the lead and to place an issue on the agenda. There can even be conflicts within the DGs about which policy alternative to support (Peters, 1994). The DGs appear to be developing their own cultures and agendas when it comes to policymaking. Like most organizational structures, the boundaries are not clear; this might especially be the case at the European Union level since there is no clear idea when and where the integration process is going to stop. The responsibilities and structures of the Commission are not written in stone, changes do occur from time to time (Peters, 1992:107). Also in agreement with this reasoning is the description of the EU bureaucracy as an ‘adolescent’ one, meaning the borders of the DGs are not well established and cemented (Mazey & Richardson, 1995:343). But through the development of an esperit de corps, there is an increased possibility that goals will be perceived as shared and common. That argument can be contested by the fact that the Commission has been described as being a porous institution. When setting up the Commission, people who believed in the idea of a united Europe were recruited into the Commission but as it has expanded, it was compelled to employ people who may not have been ‘believers’. Therefore some call it a ‘porous’ institution. That sort of development threatens the institutional identity, common values and loyalties within the Commission may be desecrated by national beliefs. A porous organization can cause a defensive reaction; if the common European idea is lost and there are formations of coalitions based on norms and values of a single DG, which demolishes the unity of the organization. The incentive is then to protect the own DG, which can trigger an expansion of bureaucratic procedures and rules (Coombes, 1970: 257). One example of regular conflicts observed between the DGs in the Commission, is the disunity concerning the state aid policies between DG IV (Competition) and DG XVI 24 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ (Regional Policies and Cohesion). The former is advocating for an end to state intervention in the market and the latter is in favor of supporting the regions where unemployment is high. But tension may not only be, horizontal, that is between the DGs, it can be vertical, between the more technical officials in the DG and the more political cabinets (Christiansen, 1997). There are some conditions that will be necessary to break an eventual unitary mode. That is when there is a need for joint decision-making and there are differences in the perceptions of the problems and goals. One crucial factor that will influence the perception of the problem is whether or not there are efficient systems for transferring information if only one actor has information available. If there are no routines or systems of transferring information, there may be conflicts and the willingness to cooperate can be reduced (March and Simon, 1959: 38). It is often asserted in administrative and organizational literature that during crisis conditions, governmental and organizational officials will ‘rally around the flag’ with resulting unanimity and consensus. Bureaucratic-politics, i.e. conflicts, will be put aside during the crisis. But several studies on crisis management have shown that the contrary may well occur. For example, at the site of an earthquake in El Salvador in 1986, domestic and international rescue teams had immense difficulties in cooperating with each other which delayed the operation. Another example was the Heizel football stadium tragedy in 1985 where poor coordination and communication exchange between the police forces worsened the situation (Rosenthal et al., 1991a). Four main causes contributing to bureau-politics are emphasized in the literature. Actors do not lose their interest in values such as power and prestige since their continued existence could be at stake, as there might be altercations in the budget allocations in the aftermath of a crisis so it is important to ‘be there’ and to perform well. The crisis might create a situation where actors which are not used to cooperate with each other will be forced to work together. Finally that every actor is convinced that its solution is the most effective (Rosenthal et al., 1991a: 212). But there may be positive sides to the phenomenon of bureaucraticpolitics, in that the system is tested when different actors have to interact and it can prevent single-mindedness and groupthink as the system is opened up (Preston & ‘t Hart, 1999). This is why it may be rewarding to apply the bureau-politics model, which does not assume unitary actors, but instead maintains that there are multiple actors and that the actors have diverse and conflicting goals and not just one common single goal. The Commission will, thus, not be regarded as a monolithic entity, it is fragmented and thereby made up by several actors. In the beginning of a crisis, it is not exclusively a question of what the problem is about, it is as well a question of problem ownership. At the onset of a crisis, an organization may believe that its competence and methods represents the superior way to solve the problem and may aggressively seek leadership to solve it. That will often lead to increased competition to deal with the problem. When a new 25 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ crisis situation arises for the actors it will not be a given situation of which organization is in charge and which organization is responsible since most new problems that arise in society fall outside existing organizational boundaries, as they were obviously unforeseen and unplanned for (Barker & Peters, 1993:8). Such a situation can lead to a vacuum where there is no apparent leadership or at least no evident leadership. The motivation for seeking leadership in such a matter could be to safeguard or expand resources, enhance its reputation, or expand its competence and authority. A crisis is thus not always portrayed as a threat, it can also be viewed as an opportunity by an individual or an organization. On the contrary a situation could arise where no actor is willing to shoulder the leadership responsibility in a new situation and instead use the politics of avoidance when the problem is perceived as too complex, hard to manage, and where there is probably nothing to gain (Rochefort & Cobb, 1994:14). The risk of failure stands out clearly so it becomes a matter of avoiding the issue and attempt to shift the responsibility to other actors to manage the situation. Other ways that an organization can deal with a crisis situation is to engage in denial, simplification, externalization / responsibility reallocation (for example, defining it as an ‘act of God’), framing other actors as the culprits and irresponsible party or bolstering / wishful thinking (Dror, 1986: 49). So the actors may perform a cost- benefit analysis when confronted with a problem which has no certain guidelines on who is responsible for what. The benefit of being involved in the decision-making process is that legitimacy increases if the decision-making is a success, but there is also a cost associated with responsibility, in that leadership is attached to the actions taken and blame for any failures can be allocated afterwards. But the greatest benefit for an actor lies in the opportunity to influence the decision-making process (Crozier, 1964). 3.4 Experts in the Decision-Making Process The BSE crisis was a complex crisis in terms of responsibilities and decisionmaking, as the BSE problem had extensive affects and several actors were involved at different levels. Due to the scientific character of this crisis, it is plausible that the scientific experts played an important role in its management, since the decisionmakers from the Commission had relied heavily on them in great parts for their previous decisions. According to Peterson (1995) the experts have typically had a strong position in the Commission since the scientific committees have to be consulted before a proposal is drafted by the officials in the DGs. Likewise since many questions managed at the European level are technical in nature, epistemic communities can be expected to have an important role in the decision-making process i.e. defining, identifying, compromising and supplying arguments which 26 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ can be used to give legitimacy to certain actions taken. Modern society is becoming increasingly complex, science and technology is changing rapidly and all the possible consequences can not be foreseen. Societies are as well becoming more interdependent. Decision-makers will have to deliberate more frequently with experts as they are hopefully aware of that their actions can have implications not only within their national territory but elsewhere as well (Benveniste, 1977). This means that decision-makers are more dependent upon experts who can provide high-quality advice. It could be that the age of experts has come, where “…expert knowledge and technocratic practices have become key political resources…”. The term technocracy refers to “…a system of governance in which technically trained experts rule by virtue of their specialized knowledge and position in dominant political and economic institutions” (Fischer, 1990: 3). Decision makers do not always recognize that their understanding of a complex issue and its potential outcomes are unsatisfactory. Therefore, crises often have the effect of alerting decision makers of their limitations in understanding the issue at hand and, thus, can initiate a search for advice from an epistemic community of experts for plausible answers and solutions (Haas, 1992: 13). An epistemic community is defined by Haas as “…a network of professionals with recognized expertise and competence in a particular domain and an authority claim to policy-relevant knowledge within that domain or issue-area” (Haas, 1992:3). The members of such a community have shared beliefs, mutual values, shared causal beliefs, a shared concept of validity, a consensual knowledge base, common interests and a common way to tackle problems. Utilizing the epistemic communities is one source of relief for tackling the uncertainty, which strikes the decision-makers (Haas, 1992:3). Decision-makers may become heavily reliant on experts in situations of uncertainty. If such a situation is prolonged and if there is a well-established network of experts, an epistemic community that could develop into a monopoly situation for that particular group of experts which could trigger the phenomenon of groupthink (Rosenthal et al., 1991b). One hazard that faces decision-makers when using long-time established experts is that the phenomenon of groupthink may be present. Groupthink is when a group of decision-makers become close-minded and develop a strong feeling of cohesion, which can lead to faulty decision-making. “The more amiability and esperit de corps among the members of a policy-making in-group, the greater is the danger that independent critical thinking will be replaced by groupthink…” (Janis, 1982: 9). Groupthink refers to a deterioration of mental efficiency, reality testing and moral judgment that results from in-group pressures. That kind of behavior can lead to, for example, that all alternatives, objectives and risks are not evaluated correctly and that there is not openness for new information. Discussions then become extremely consensus seeking, which can occur, in small and cohesive groups that are isolated. The consensus seeking can result in that information is neglected or misinterpreted and that no critical discussions transpire that can alter 27 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ their way of thinking (Janis, 1982; Turner & Pidgeon, 1997:177). But that does not necessarily have to be all bad since the opposite of groupthink could develop into chaos and cooperation difficulties. Uncertainty stimulates the need for information and expertise. That can put the experts in a strong position. The established communities of experts can deliver advice to the Commission in times of uncertainty. In crises, and especially in novel situations, uncertainty is often considerable turning expert advice into fundamental importance. Uncertainty can be defined as by Alexander George, as situations under which actors must make choices without having, “…adequate information about the situation at hand… …the inadequacy of available general knowledge needed for assessing the expected outcomes of different courses of action” (Quoted in Haas, 1992:13). One aspect of an unnatural crisis as the BSE situation is the lack of obvious victims. If the source of the crisis cannot easily be located or understood, who then are the victims. This increases the degree of uncertainty (Fowlkes and Miller, 1988: 36). Many policy areas contain intricacies that are hard for a policy-maker to understand so experts are needed. Yet in a few areas the level of complexity is even higher, that is in areas where science itself is on the brink of its own comprehension. That is experts themselves may be having a hard time grasping what is occurring. Then not only is the decisionmaker a layman, but also the experts in policy areas where all the facts are not known or understood accurately (Barker & Peters, 1993:3). This can enhance the stress for a decision-maker, to obtain rapid answers from the experts, if and when they are consulted. When science is on the brink of its own knowledge, experts can not in a magical way offer answers to all of the questions. Rather they can offer advice on a few limited aspects of a problem and, thus, it is not uncommon that disclaimers are included. A US senator got so upset with always hearing the experts finish their reports with ‘on the other hand’, that he finally uttered, “Find me an expert with one hand” (Lagadec, 1991:98). The BSE case was a similar situation: the decision-makers and the experts were confronted by something unfamiliar, there was a need for urgent decision-making, and there were no clear ideas on how to manage the situation. Most certainly the most unwanted situation for a decision-maker to be in. It was not certain that the victims presented on March 20 had been infected with a human equivalent of BSE. 3.5 Decision-Making at the European Level How shall the decision-making process be studied at the European level? Where are the decisions taken and which actors have access to that arena? Simply put, where do the decisions originate? The member states do not act in a political vacuum in the community pillar of the Union, the Commission has a responsibility. Is the decision-making primarily 28 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ located in the member states and the Council? Or does the Commission actively take part in the decision-making process? As the joint policy initiator with the European Parliament by accord of the Treaties and agenda-setter the Commission should have an opportunity to influence ideas and knowledge and, hence, on the final outcome. Realist / intergovernmentalism thinking has dominated the studies concerning the European Union and, thus, has significantly affected what is studied. Since realists regard the state as the main actor, the other actors’ i.e. supranational institutions, organizations, regimes and so on are viewed as merely supporting actors without any real influence standing on the sideline. Focus has predominantly been on what Peterson labels the ‘history-making’ level. Two examples of such decision are: the bargaining and decision-making connected to the birth of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) in the 1960s, and the launch of the Euro in 1999. But by studying only these types of decision processes, only the tip of the iceberg is observed. The process of decision-making in the Council, or its committees, start at a much lower level, namely in the Commission and its various committees. One can describe the EU system as a multi-level decision-making system. Peterson has developed a typology, which classifies three levels of EU decision-making. At the top, the so-called super-systemic level, history-making decisions are taken which have a large impact on the structure and legislative landscape of the EU. The main actors at this level are deemed to be the national governments in the Inter Governmental Conferences. The second level, the socalled, Systemic level is regarded as mainly policy-setting. The Council and the Committee of Permanent Representatives (COREPER) are the most important actors at this level. Finally the third level, the so-called sub-systemic / meso-level, deals with policy shaping and at this level many policy options are decided upon. The key actor at this level is the Commission with its DGs, and the various committees with national civil servants or experts (Peterson, 1995). The level that will be in focus in this study is the third level, the sub-systemic / meso level. EU policies and decision-making may not only be regarded as a product or an outcome of inter-state bargaining at the super-systemic level, rather it can be seen as a complex process with many different actors participating at different levels (Richardson, 1996:5). By studying EU decision-making from the sub-systemic / meso level, one can examine the early and important stages in the decision-making process, a bottom-up perspective, that looks at what determines policy outcomes (Peterson, 1995). “The Commission’s power of initiative is critical because the content of early drafts is essential in shaping the final text” (Peterson & Bomberg, 1999:142). So, it could be argued that the Commission has an influence that is greater than merely giving administrative support through the decision-making process. In the words of Yates the Irish President in Office of the Council from July 1, 1996, “I recognize that the Agricultural Council has not been directly involved in the preparation and adoption of the various measures. …the measures were taken on the basis of the favorable opinion given by the 29 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Standing Veterinary Committee on which the Member States are represented…” (European Parliament, 1997a: 5). It may as well be the case that the Commission’s influence is greater when the member states, i.e. the Council, is unsure of what its preferences are in a certain situation with great uncertainty and when a decision needs to be taken (Hooghe, 1997:3) Mark Pollack argues this as well, especially in situations when the Commission has the upper-hand regarding information (Pollack, 1997) 3.5.1 The Commission – Actor or Arena? What role does the Commission play in decision-making during crisis? In general, the Commission’s involvement in decision-making at the European level has been described in two distinct ways: as being a passive structure, or as being a purposeful actor seeking to influence the work of the EU as it actively sets the agenda and shapes the expectations. The reasoning behind the view of institutions as passive structures is in line with the intergovernmentalist perspective, which implies that the member states (governments) retain the leadership in the EU decision-making. The other stream of thought, institutionalism, highlights the role and impact institutions have in decision-making. So the question boils down to how the Commission should be regarded: as merely an arena for the member states to battle out their differences, or as an actor in its own merits that can display its autonomy, push through its own agenda and thereby have an impact on the EU decision-making (Moravcsik, 1991:47). A definition of autonomy is an entity’s capacity to define and to pursue, on an ongoing basis, a relevant political agenda (Stone Sweet and Sandholtz, 1997:305). But before taking up that issue, it is at present more fruitful to illuminate the different views on how to describe the Commission itself. The Commission has been likened to that of a secretariat of an international organization, an international regime and an emerging embryo for a federal government. The thought of the Commission being merely a secretariat is brushed aside by some, in that the Commission, can act quite independently from the member states in some policy areas (Christiansen, 1997: 75). The EU has been painted as a regime in that it, “…establishes common expectations, provides information and facilitates arm’s-length intergovernmental negotiations” (Keohane and Hoffman, 1991:10). The Commission cannot be regarded merely as an international regime, since the legal aspect is different; no international regime has the same legal status as the EU. The legislation of the European Union is supervised by the European Court of Justice (ECJ) which is a powerful actor whose verdict has supremacy over national legislation; even though the powers of the WTO can probably be regarded as influential in its own limited area. Furthermore, compared to a regime, the commitment of the members are more far-reaching, more centralized and institutionalized. Authority in some policy 30 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ sectors has been yielded to the Commission and the ECJ by the member states (Keohane and Hoffman, 1991:10). Some of the powers of the Commission for example, that of initiating policy suggests a resemblance to that of an executive government or the central level of a federation, but there are many differences as well. The Commission is unlike state institutions since it operates in a political sphere where it cannot rely on a common identity or claim territorial sovereignty (Christiansen, 1997: 75). Neither does the Commission have direct power in defense or foreign affairs and thus has to rely on the Council to decide upon European legislation, it has no independent sources of revenue (the amount to the Commission budget is decided by the member states), it cannot look for majority support from the European Parliament, and it cannot call a referendum (Coombes, 1970:84). There is also a hindrance for the Commission to gather more power visà-vis the Member States in that the subsidarity principle is in affect; functions should only be transferred to the supranational level, which can not be executed as well or better at the national level. “If in comparison with the authority of contemporary international organizations the Community looks strong, in comparison with highly institutionalized modern states it appears quite weak indeed” (Keohane and Hoffman, 1991:10). The executive authority in the EU is divided between the Commission and the Council, which is a clear deviation from the normal functions of a federal government. This special relationship has led many scholars to treat the structure of the Community as sui generis, that is atypical of a federal government system as well as of any ordinary international organization, but showing characteristics of both (Coombes, 1970:44). As initially stated two streams of thought dominate the debate: intergovernmentalism and institutionalism. Intergovernmentalists explain the functioning of the EU as “…the distribution of preferences and the conduct of bargaining among governments (who are the only actors) of the member states broadly explain the nature, pace, and scope of integration, and neither supranational organizations nor transitional actors generate political processes or outcomes of seminal importance” (Stone Sweet and Sandholtz; 1997:298). As problems appear in member states it is a question exclusively for the member states with its local, regional and national levels. The EU institutions are, therefore, arenas for decisionmaking by the member states. One major advocate of this line of thought, Moravcsik, views EU politics as, “a subset of international relations,…example of interstate cooperation sustained by an international regime” (Moravcsik, 1991: 47). Thus, the Commission is regarded as a successful regime that facilitates the ongoing coordination of policy among member states, by reducing the cost of information, policy innovation, and negotiations. Moravcsik advocates that sovereignty has not been transferred to any other level because the member states have not allowed this to occur. This can be said to be a realist perspective in that the states are viewed upon to be the only influential actors. If any other actors are active, that is because they are allowed, by states, to exert influence. Bargaining is 31 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ conducted from the viewpoint of power and national interest, and international regimes are created to facilitate a decrease in the uncertainty concerning transaction costs between the states. Supranational institutions are given the minor role, of securing the institutionalization of earlier bargains (Moravcsik, 1991: 47 ). One of the most important objectives for the Commission is, therefore, to perform the role of an ‘honest-broker’, a mediator and a consensus builder to be used by the member states (Cini, 1996). The opposing line of thought, institutionalism, contends that supranational institutions have an affect on interstate bargaining and EU decision-making. Institutionalism is a reminder that institutions have a role to play and may just as well push their own agendas forward. The basic principle is that institutions matter, “…they [institutions] are the source of much political behavior and not impartial ‘black boxes’ which simply transform [member state] preferences into policies” (Peterson & Bomberg, 1999:16). Intergovernmental bargaining and decisionmaking is embedded in the processes and the activities of supranational structures. The supranational structures are capable of constraining the behavior of all the actors, including the member states. Governments are indeed seen as powerful players but their bidding power is not always decisive the final outcome (Stone Sweet, and Sandholtz, 1997:305). One example of when the Commission acting as a policy entrepreneur, i.e. pushing its own agenda is argued by Sandholtz and Zysman, was the launch of the internal market in 1992. On the other hand, Moravcsik takes an intergovernmentalist stance and argues that it was the interstate bargaining between Britain, France and Germany that made the internal market possible (Cram, 1997:23). Thus, the Commission is more than sheer windowdressing, i.e. a puppet of the member states, “…the Union’s common institutions are often more than mere arbiters in the decision-making process, and have become key players in their own right” (Peterson & Bomberg, 1999:17). In line with this reasoning is the thought that a multi-level governance system is developing in Europe. It is characterized by fragmentation, an unclearness of authority and the interlocking of actors across both national and transnational levels. Not only are the member states actors but supranational institutions can have a significant role in the management, “State centrists contend that state sovereignty is preserved or even strengthened through EU membership. An alternative view… is in which authority and policy-making influence are shared across multiple levels of government – subnational, national and supranational… While national governments are formidable participants in EU policy-making, control has slipped away from them to supranational institutions” (Marks, Hooghe and Blank, 1996:342). Regardless of the different views on what the EU institutions make up, an intriguing question is whether or not they, in this study the emphases lies on the Commission, possess any influence in the community decision-making process in crisis. Do supranational institutions in the EU context influence decision-making 32 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ or are the member states totally in control? Another very interesting question is whether the institutions have claimed a role for and by themselves, or whether the member states have allowed them to play a role, but such a power analysis is beyond the scope of this particular study. 33 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 4. Context and Background 4.1 BSE Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE), or as it is referred to in the media, Mad Cow Disease, is an epizootic disease in cattle and a suspected zoonotic disease, a sickness that can be transferred between animals and humans. BSE is a neurological disturbance that simply stated turns the brain into sponge and the end result is, without exception death. There is no reliable test available at present to determine whether or not it is BSE or so other disease. Another complication is that the incubation period is four to five years, which makes an estimate of future cases difficult to assess. The only way it can be determined for certain is to perform an autopsy and to examine the brain. How BSE first developed is not yet known but two theories are given more weight than the others. It could have developed spontaneously in cattle. These kinds of brain diseases have been known for some time and have also effected humans. Then thereafter the infected carcasses were later used to produce cattle feed which started an epidemic. The other theory is that scrapie infected sheep, scrapie is a brain disease that kills sheep had been used to produce cattle feed. Scrapie had then converted from being only a disease in sheep to one that also infect cattle. Sheep infected with scrapie have been used in the production of cattle feed since humans have consumed sheep with scrapie without being infected. Thus, it was believed that cattle would not be infected either (SVA, 1997). BSE has a very special feature, which has never been encountered before in other types of spongiform encephalopathys. The disease is promiscuous meaning that it does not discriminate in the type of host it will affect. It has infected basically all species where it has been tried. Mice, cats, monkeys, pigs and probably dogs have been infected when exposed to BSE; therefore it supports the case that humans could be at risk as well (BBC, 1996-11-18). The first case of BSE was discovered in the United Kingdom in 1986; thus, with consideration to the estimated incubation period the animal was probably infected in the beginning of the 1980s. Through research it was verified that the meat and bone meal feed (made from the carcasses of sheep and cattle) was the causing agent of BSE. Cows had been forced into cannibalism, by being fed their fellow dead. Why the feed was suddenly dangerous was presumably due to altered procedures in manufacturing: the temperature was lowered in the factories in the 1970s to save energy during the oil crisis, and some solvents were removed in order to protect the workers. Because of these measures, the causing agent of BSE was no longer inactivated (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-28). Up until 1996, 171 650 cases of BSE had been reported in the United Kingdom. At the height of the 34 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ epidemic in 1992, 36 681 cases were reported, and in 1993, 37 370 cases. Then the epidemic decreased steadily and in 1996 there were ‘only’ 6059 reported cases. But it is very likely that the number of BSE cases were underreported because during the first years of the epidemic, British farmers only received 50% of the total value in compensation from the government (European Parliament, 1997d: 20). To put the BSE epidemic in perspective, there was an outbreak of the dreaded foot-and-mouth disease in 1967 in the United Kingdom and 400 000 animals were destroyed to limit the potential spreading (The Times, 96-03-22). Other countries have had single cases of BSE but they can probably be explained by imports, but countries such as Switzerland (230 cases), Ireland (185) and Portugal (51) are suspected of having a domestic outbreak of BSE8 (European Parliament, 1997d:20). The human equivalent of spongiform disease, Creutzfeldt-Jakobs disease (CJD) has similar characteristics to the other spongiform diseases: an extended incubation period, and the immune system can not deal with it so the end result is always death. On March 20, 1996, British scientists revealed that they probably had discovered a new variant of CJD, nv-CJD. What was worrying was that nv-CJD was clearly unlike CJD. People struck by CJD are normally 55-70 years old, but the reported cases on were between the ages of 16 to 39. Nine of the ten victims had been meat eaters for the last ten years, but none of them had consumed brain. One of them had been a strict vegetarian since 1991. What caused great turmoil was that the victims could have been orally infected by consuming BSE meat since the scientists could not rule out that they had been struck by a human form of BSE. Facts that pointed in that direction was that nv-CJD were more similar to BSE than any previously known form of CJD (The Lancet, 1996:923). As CJD is not that dissimilar to Alzheimer’s disease, there could have been a huge underestimation in the number of cases regarding nv-CJD. Since the legislation regarding BSE in the United Kingdom and at the European level is extensive, a short summary of the EU legislation will be presented here.9 The first actions taken by the Commission, in 1989 and 1990 was to restrict all cattle exports from the United Kingdom; that is all cattle older than six months, 89/469/EEC, 90/59/EEC, 90/134/EEC and 90/200/EEC. But between 1990 and 1994 when the BSE epidemic was at its peak, no further legislative measures, nor inspections, regarding BSE were taken at the European level. This could be explained by the fit of rage exercised by the Chief Veterinary Officer in the United Kingdom, Keith Meldrum, during an inspection in 1990. It was then he explained that the EU did not have any authority in such domestic issues and that the British safety regulations were the best in the world. A shortage of inspectors could also be one explanation; the Commission had 12 inspectors in this area and they had 8 9 Figures from 1996. For a full description, please see Grönvall in ‘Crisis and Internationalization’, 1998:240-286. 35 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ the entire Union to review before the implementation of the single market in 1995. But an army of inspectors from Brussels would not be an appealing idea, since the administrations of the member states also have responsibility. The Commission did not take any action until 1994 when it was decided that cattle shall not be given any feed that contained parts of dead animals, 94/381/EEE (Dagens Nyheter, 97-02-19; European Commission, 1993). It is easily forgotten there were also other animal epidemics that had to be monitored and acted upon by the Commission. The BSE issue had been on the top of the EU agenda at the highest level, even before the crisis in 1996. It had been on the Agricultural Council agenda twice, in 1990 and 1994. In 1990 there were discussions in the Agricultural and Health Councils in response to demands from the continental countries. This was largely sparked by the British beef bans in Germany, Austria and France, but the bans were revoked in June at the same year after the Commission had threatened to involve the ECJ and extended their reassurances of tightened health measures (European Commission, 1998: 32; European Parliament, 1997d: 25). During the period from 1990-94, silence and passivity seem to have been the key methods for managing the BSE issue. Germany once again put the issue on the agenda of the Agricultural Council in July 1994, but nothing was decided upon (European Parliament, 1997d:18). Even though the BSE question has been excluded from the Council agenda, members of the European Parliament have been active in posing the BSE questions to the Commission on a regular basis through the nineties. For example on January 26, 1996, a Member of the European Parliament (MEP) asks DG VI about BSE. The response was that there was no risk to humans and that the best available experts are closely following the case (European Parliament, 1997b: 156). It was not until the embargo decision in 1996 that decisive action was taken. 4.2 The European Union and Agriculture10 The Commission is the executive body of the Union, and is responsible for implementing and managing policy. In some areas, like agriculture and trade policy, the Commission has a considerable amount of autonomy in taking decisions without the needing to submit proposals to the Council of Ministers, either because of its specific powers under the Treaty or by delegated authority from the Council (Presentation of the EU Commission 1995-2000, Internet). Authority in the area of agricultural area is shared between the Council, the Commission and the member states (European Parliament, 1997a:4). 10 As the functioning and legal bases of the European Union institutions are not written in stone, this section will attempt to at least give a general picture of the situation during the BSE incident. 36 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ The Commission has extensive executive functions in managing the agricultural area, stipulated in Article 43. Its executive functions consists of four main categories: direct policy implementation, creating legislation and the ground rules for national administrations, supervision of policy implementation made by the national bodies, and the management of the Community’s’ finances. These powers are delegated from the Council, but there are some ‘strings attached’; for example the member states have the right to involve themselves in the Commission’s decision-making process. So the Commission’s possibilities are constrained. The tool devised to supervise the delegated power to the Commission is through comitology or the committee system where national officials have the right to input on the Commission’s proposals. The committee system has five different procedures, which will be clarified in the empirical part of this study. Comitology came about as a compromise between the need for more rapid decision-making in the Community, and the wish of the member states to be able to secure national influence over the Commission’s’ decision-making since they are extremely reluctant to hand over all the power to the Commission (Wessels, 1998). The committees with national officials prepare the national administrations to implement what is discussed so that they are not surprised by what is decided at the European level. This can be seen as an attempt by committee members to sensitize the national officials to the legislative and executive rules, which they will have to implement into national regulations. National difficulties with implementing legislation are made known much earlier to the Commission officials with this procedure since it can be used as a sonar device to detect where there is a possibility to agree and where further discussion are needed before a proposal can be drafted. It is also an opportunity for the Commission officials to acquire and to increase their own level of knowledge. The committee procedures in agricultural matters have been in use since 1962 and in the veterinary field since 1968. One key aspect of the decision-making process lies in how the various committees operate. When these committees are unable to agree upon an opinion or are negative about a measure, the proposal is then referred to the Council where the member states can block it. The committees are chaired by a senior Commission official who controls the agenda and submits draft measures to the committee. Proposals are voted upon in the same manner as in the Council; that is, qualified majority voting 62 of 87 votes are needed. Otherwise the proposal will have to be sent to the Council in question (Docksey and Williams, 1994: 121; Wessels, 1998: 209). The comitology system denies the European Parliament access to the decision-making process in some areas, which it naturally is not content with. “The [European] Parliament… is opposed [to the committee system] since it fears that its prerogatives under the legislative process are restricted by forms of delegation of powers to the Commission under which the Council and the Member States retain control, but which bypass the legislative role of the Parliament.” (Shaw, 1996:161). 37 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ The member states have an obligation to implement decisions taken by the EU institutions, Article 5 states; “Member States shall take all appropriate measures, whether general or particular, to ensure fulfillment of the obligations arising out of this Treaty or resulting from action taken by the institutions of the Community” (Shaw, 1996:208). Thus the Commission does not have a significant role in the ex-post of the decision-making or in the implementation process, as it is heavily dependent the compliance of the member states (Laffan, 1997). The Commission acts as a guardian for the treaties. Article 169 states that the Commission can bring member states who are in violation of the rules, to the ECJ. But member states can argue with the help of, for example Article 36 and 100A to justify their deviance of EU law (Shaw, 1996:117). Member states are obligated to transpose Community law into national law, and monitor and control its practical implementation in an effective manner. That is a fundamental principle in the Community, and it was restated in the Treaty of Maastricht (MAT). Unless there is evidence, the Commission has to assume that the member states are fulfilling their obligations. The system is, thus, based on the member states willingness to cooperate with the Commission. Alternatively the Commission would have to have thousands of inspectors traveling around Europe which would not really fulfill the founding fathers’ concept of integration (European Parliament, 1997a:395). The basis for community action is stated in the subsidarity principle and is codified in Article 3b of the treaty, “…the Community shall take action, in accordance with the principle of subsidarity, only if and in so far as the objectives of the proposed action cannot be sufficiently achieved by the Member States and can therefore, by reason of the scale or effects of the proposed action, be better achieved by the Community”. There is a principle of proportionality. The EU institutions should avoid becoming involved in narrow issues and concerns that may be perceived as an obstruction to matters already dealt with by the authorities of the member states. The Commission has different roles in coordinating policy; forge constructive relationships at all levels, formulate and improve strategies for effective implementation of policies and measures; and ensure the transfer and flow of knowledge, expertise, and materials when it is to the mutual benefit of all parties concerned (Commission i, 1993:7). Prior to the Treaty on the European Union, there was no specific legal basis or competence vested in the Community institutions in the field of public health. This does not, however, mean that the treaties did not contain provisions of relevance for the protection of health and welfare for its citizens. One example, is that health and safety at work was given a prominent place from the beginning in the EEC Treaty (Commission, 1993i: 7-8). Other provisions in the EEC Treaty directly or indirectly concern the area of health; for example Article 36 allows for restrictions on imports and for goods in transit in order to protect human health. But it is not intended to be used as an arbitrary technique for discriminating against 38 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ other countries’ goods or as a cover for disrupting intracommunity trade (The EU Treaty, 1995:87). Article 100a has a major impact on health since all proposals for directives establishing the Internal Market for products, services, capital and persons must, by virtue of this article, have a high-level of health protection as a basis. The protection of human health is the ultimate goal of environmental protection. The objective for protecting human health is enshrined in Article 130 in the EEC Treaty as amended by the SEA. The MAT has not only been used to maintain these provisions but has also been used to enforce them. Consumer protection has been given a clear mandate to protect the health and safety of consumers in Article 129A (European Commission, 1993:7-8). 4.2.1 The Internal Market In 1986 the SEA, Single European Act, was signed by the then twelve members. The ratification of this document meant that an internal market was to be created by the end of 1992. It was defined as “…an area without any inner borders, where free movement for goods, people, services and capital is secured in accordance with the rules in this treaty” (Cameron, 1992:24). The single market was a deepening of the common market that was established within the Treaty of Rome in 1957. It came about after a period of weakness in the European integration project, often referred to as a period of ‘euro-sclerosis’. The Single Market contains the four principal freedoms: free movement for people, goods, capital, and services (Bernitz, 1996:21). On the home page of DG XV (Internal Market and Financial Services) the following is expressed, “The single market is one of the EU’s greatest achievements and has a growing impact on the citizens of the Community” (DG XVs mission statement, 1996). To be able to achieve the four principal freedoms, it was necessary to remove all national obstacles that could limit the free trade within the community. That meant that no controls shall or can be performed any longer at the border of another member state. The Community’s intention was to have controls concentrated at the place of origin instead at the receiving party. In connection with the transition to the common market, an evolution has taken place regarding the EU institutions and the member states’ authority and responsibility to implement controls to prevent risks and dangers being posed upon the health of the public and animals (European Parliament, 1997-02-07b:32). Before the completion of the Single Market in 1993, the Member States were allowed to introduce their own trade measures in cases where it was believed a serious health risk for humans or animals health existed in any other Member State. The Commission’s role was then to examine the measures, assess if they were necessary or went too far, and finally propose steps to harmonize the trading conditions in all the countries involved. The Commission has had a completely different role since legislation regarding the single market was introduced in 1993 (European Parliament,1997i:16). 39 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 4.3 The European Commission As the focus of this study is primarily on the European Commission, it is necessary to elucidate on the organization and structure of the institution itself. Parts of the EU legislation concerning the Commission’s competence and so fourth is continuously changing, but this study will focus only on the situation regarding the designated time period, March 1996-June 1996. The idea with the Commission (The High Authority as it was called initially) was to transform the traditional methods of international cooperation. Traditionally national governments bargained individually with each other, to a system where collective action could become a reality (Coombes, 1970:20). It is necessary to separate within the Commission between the political dimension, i.e. the Commissioners and the cabinets and the administrative / bureaucratic dimension, i.e. the Commission civil servants (Ludlow, 1991: 88). At the political level where decisions are finally agreed upon is the college of Commissioners. Their legal framework for fulfilling their duties is explained in Articles 155-163 of the Treaty of Rome. There are twenty Commissioners; the large countries Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy and Spain have two each and the small countries have just one Commissioner each. The nomination of the EU president and the Commissioners are the result of lengthy negotiations between the member states. The President of the Commission does not have any power over the commissioners but, rather, acts more as a consensus-builder, which naturally varies in accordance to the personality of the person holding this office. The Commissioners are supposed to be neutral and to be able to articulate a European rather than a national view on policies. They, therefore, must swear an allegiance of national objectivity in front of the ECJ before taking office, in order to stress their independence and autonomy, irrespective of national state interests (Christiansen, 1996). The college of Commissioners is a collegiate body. Thus, for a proposal to be agreed upon, an absolute majority has to be reached by the twenty Commissioners, although in practice consensus is preferred. Every Commissioner has one vote, including the president. Once the college has taken a decision, all commissioners are obligated to defend the proposal even if they voted against it (Cini, 1996:150). The administrative part of the Commission consists of 24 Directorate-Generals (DG), which are comparable to governmental departments at the national level. Each DG has its own policy domain to monitor. There are also five Commission services that coordinate horizontal matters. One service unit is the SecretariatGeneral (SG), which is under the direct supervision of the Commission President and supervises the coordination of all aspects concerning the Commission’s policies and relations with the outside world. It coordinates the relationship between the Commission, the European Parliament, the Council, the member states and other institutions. Internally it has a secretarial role and plays the role of a ‘watch-dog’ since it is present at other DG meetings. The SG has an important role, acting as 40 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ a clearinghouse between the DGs, and as a gatekeeper both internally and externally (Christiansen, 1996). During the period of 1958-1996 the SG has only had two Director Generals, the first one being Emile Noël and the SG was regarded as a very influential department (Ludlow, 1991:95). But the SG:s role changed under the direction of David Williamson, a former British civil servant under Margaret Thatcher. He did not continue the high-profile role that his predecessor had, but concentrated more on a neutral administrative function with coordinating as the primary goal. The Legal Service (LS) is also a significant department. These ‘people of the book’, are obligated to review every proposal that the Commission issues. Since it is the primary responsibility of the LS to defend the Commission if taken to court. This task implies an important role as gatekeeper, since the LS do not want to be taken to court and risk defeat. The three remaining horizontal services are the Translations service, the Spokesman’s service and the Statistical Office (Cini, 1996:101). The Commission employs around 16,500 people, but that number includes all of the interpreters, which are not directly involved in managing EU policy (Swedish Institute for International Affairs, 1999:20). The Commission is fairly small. Civil services in the bigger cities (e.g., Amsterdam or Madrid) are equipped with more staff (Ludlow, 1991:94). Again, the Commission manages policy for 370 million citizens. The DGs vary in the number of officials, each DG usually has 200-400 staff members, but particular DGs have considerably more, like IX (Personnel Matters) has 2600 officials and VI (Agriculture) has over 800 officials. DG VI is the second largest DG, and it has benefited from being in charge of one of the EU’s genuinely common policies. DG VI is also unique in that it has its own legal service and public relations department, which makes it a comparably strong and independent department compared to the other DGs (Peterson & Bomberg, 1999:135). Internally, every DG is led by a Director-General and generally divided into three or four Directorates (some deviations do exist), which are each headed by directors. Under directors are the heads of units. Each Directorate is then composed of several units. The Commissioner and the top Director-General are customarily not from the same member state (Cini, 1996). There is a deputy Director-General who has the role of coordinating, mediating and transferring the opinions from below upward to the Director-General (Spence, 1994:101). Each Commissioner has his/her own personal staff: a cabinet. Cabinets are central to the political decision-making within the Commission and the Community. They act to help coordinate horizontal, as well as vertical, matters in the Commission. Their main functions are to: assist the Commissioner, act as a sonar device. to provide information, to coordinate Commission business at the chefs the cabinet meeting every Monday, and at the Commissioners’ meeting on Wednesdays, to maintain relations with the European Parliament and to act 41 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ as a liaison between the Commissioner and his/her own member state. The Commissioner personally selects them and there is usually a connection between the nationality of the Commissioner and the nationality of the people working on the cabinet. There is a convention stating that at least one member of the cabinet should come from a member state other than that of the Commissioner. The cabinet’s most important function, besides assisting with the tasks mentioned above, is to act as a intermediary between the more politically oriented cabinet and the more technically oriented DG (Ludlow, 1991:93). There is a built-in tension between the cabinet members and the DG officials in that the latter does not enjoy being supervised, especially if they feel that the technical issues are being tainted with political considerations. Advice from the cabinet can be seen as a counter-balance to the advice given by the DG officials. This could be interpreted as double bureaucracy. This is a sensitive issue since it could be perceived that the cabinets are injecting national preferences into the DGs ‘European’ proposals, since the cabinets are in charge of maintaining communication between the Commissioner and his/her ‘own’ national government. And indeed cabinets are sometimes suspected of leaking information from the Commission documents to the national governments so that they can obtain information on a prospective Commission proposal before a debate is taken in the college (Donelly and Ritchie, 1994:40). One commentator has stated, “Intergovernmentalism starts in the cabinet. They’re mini-Councils within the Commission” (Cini, 1996:154). An agricultural proposal makes its way through the system, after a draft proposal has been worked out in one of the DG units. Contacts are then taken with the Legal Service to guarantee that it complies with existing legislation and to give it their blessing. Amendments are made if necessary by the unit, and a scientific committee, which usually consist of national experts acting independently is consulted for an opinion on scientific matters if needed. The official will be the rapporteur of the proposal and will be responsible for the proposal even after it leaves the College, for example in the Council’s working groups. The cabinet decides when it is time to put forth the proposal to the College of Commissioners, which will then decide if it should be taken to a management or a regulatory committee. The college then ratifies an affirmative decision by the committee. There is also a need to achieve consensus within the Commission that is all of the departments involved in the policy draft should be consulted before it is discussed in the college. The SG is formally in charge of circulating a proposal before it is brought up in the college. If the proposal is rejected, it is then brought to the Agricultural Council (Cini, 1996:143). A brief exposé will be given of the DGs that have had a stake in the BSE matter. At the EU level the Community’s authority in the area of agriculture and public health is shared among several of the Commission’s DGs: DG III (Industry, responsibilities include foodstuffs and pharmaceuticals), but it has no direct 42 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ responsibility concerning BSE or the bovine meat market. DG III was involved because there was an accountability issue for a number of products further in the food- or product chain that might be somehow affected by the infected meat, particularly pharmaceutical products and processed food products (European Parliament, 1997a: 158). DG V (Employment, Industrial Relations and Social Affairs) is responsible for public health, but has mainly dealt with programs regarding cancer and AIDS prevention. This area is still placed in pillar three and regarded primarily as an intergovernmental policy area. Other DGs affected were, DG VI (Agriculture), DG XI (Environment, Nuclear Safety and Civil Protection), DG XV (Internal Market and Financial Services) and DG XXIV (Consumer Policy and Consumer Health Protection). In addition to this list are the relevant committees that function under each individual DG. There is no single structure in charge of safeguarding public health at the European level (European Parliament, 1997c:41). But that is not so surprising since at the national level the responsibility for public health is often shared between different ministries and agencies. It can even be an advantage with having several agencies fighting for the lead, i.e. not having a well-ordered government structure. If there was only one agency and that agency was wrong then matters would not be beneficial (Libertore, 1993:33). The horizontal departments as the Secretariat-General (SG) and the Legal Service (LS) were important actors in the BSE crisis as well. The relations with the two other major EU institutions, the Council and Parliament will not be elaborated on in detail. There is a mutual dependency between the two institutions and not much can transpire, in terms of legislation at least, without an agreement between the Commission and the Council. The Commission has a strong position in setting the agenda and initiating policy but it is also dependent on the other institutions if it want, its proposals to become implemented (Cini, 1996:132). The Council is really several different councils – one for each policy sector. The presidency or the chair of the Council rotates every six months. The president of the Council has become increasingly important over the past years as a result of being a broker between the member states. The sector Councils make more mundane decisions, and the more comprehensive decisions are made by the European Council, which consists of the Heads of State (Wessels, 1991:135). The relationship between the Commission and the European Parliament has changed over time. The European Parliament has received greater capabilities with co-decision powers in some areas but not in the area of agriculture. The European Parliament has the power to censure the College of Commissioners, which it used for the first time in 1999. It can not, however, censure one individual commissioner. Commissioners are also held accountable in parliamentary sessions and in its committees. Parliamentary questions are also an important tool for the European Parliament in keeping an eye on the functions of the Commission (Cini, 1996:136). 43 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 5. Chronology and Decision Occasions 5.1 Chronology: February 1996 – June 1996 February 1996: In Germany, five Länder (political regions) place bans on beef imports from the United Kingdom. This was regarded by the EU Commission as an illegal act and the process of taking legal action against this violation of the rules governing the European internal market was planned (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-22). March 18: Douglas Hogg and Stephan Dorrell, the Agricultural and Health Ministers of the United Kingdom, writes a memo to John Major, the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at the time, that the Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (SEAC) was about to publicly announce new evidence linking BSE to CJD. Major receives the memo the same day. An emergency meeting is called between several of the cabinet ministers to discuss what the possible effects of this will be (Seldon, 1997: 639). March 19: The Major cabinet questions the British experts, have they maybe overreacted in light of this new evidence and is it appropriate to go public with the news now. The Cabinet’s final decision is to make an early announcement the next day (Seldon, 1997: 640). March 20 – Decision Occasion I: The Commission is informed about the BSE findings in the United Kingdom. March 21 – Decision Occasion II: France, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, Portugal, Italy and the Netherlands introduce unilateral bans against the import of beef and beef-related products from the United Kingdom. The reaction to the banning of British beef in the member states is received with mixed sentiments in the United Kingdom. The opposition party, Labour, announces that it understands the reaction from some of the member states, but conservative backbenchers criticize the actions and in particular the French embargo. Some call for a retaliation in the form of an embargo against French products, especially French wine (Fax, 96-03-21). British schools take beef off the school menu. Downing Street declares the EU countries’ ban illegal and the Commission supports their claim (The Times, 9602-22). March 22 – Decision Occasion III: Other countries follow suit and introduce a 44 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ ban on British beef. The Commission have the Scientific Veterinary Committee (ScVC) met. Richard Lacy (a British professor in microbiology who has repeatedly criticized the British government for a lack of concern and preventative measures regarding the BSE problem) issues a warning that there could be 5000, up to 500,000, cases of nv-CJD after the year 2000 (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-23). March 24: British meat was replaced with Dutch meat at McDonald’s (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-25). French farmers set up roadblocks at French harbors to ensure that no meat is smuggled in British trucks into France (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-25). March 25 – Decision Occasion IV: The Standing Veterinary Committee (SVC) approves the Commission proposal to ban British beef. Major calls Santer. The French authorities announce that three cases of BSE have been detected during the month of March in Brittany. The probable cause is thought to be imported feed (Fax, 96-04-01). March 26 – Decision Occasion V: SVC approves the Commission proposal a second time. British beef is taken off the menu at Burger King in the United Kingdom and on British Airways flights (Skånska Dagbladet, 96-03-26). March 27: The Commission adopts emergency measure 96/239. The EP issues a resolution that supports the measures taken by the Commission (Westlake, 1997:28). March 28: The death of a 29-year old woman from nv-CJD in the United Kingdom was reported on in the media. It was confirmed by a hospital in the region of Kent. The woman was not one of the ten nv-CJD cases in the sample of young people investigated by SEAC (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-29). The chairman of COPA (the European Farmers Organization) calls for an extensive and rapid slaughter of all British cows. The media reports in Egypt and Saudi Arabia allegedly depict that nearly the entire European continent is infected by BSE. In Costa Rica, tourists’ baggage is searched for British meat (Scribona Info., 1996:7). March 29: Intergovernmental Conference summit in Turin, Italy. March 30: Commissioner, Fischler, met with the British Agricultural Minister, Hogg, to discuss the British government’s plans for slaughtering the domestic cows and to discuss the matter of financial compensation (Westlake, 1997:13). 45 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ The Health Minister of the United Kingdom, Dorell, declared that the issue was no longer a question whether or not British beef was safe, but whether the public had confidence in it. “It is people who are mad, not the cows” (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-31). In Germany, consumer mistrust was blamed for a 50-65 % drop in sales of domestic beef. This occurred in spite of the fact that only 0.1% of the beef sold in Germany, prior to the ban, was imported from Britain (Financial Times, 96-0401). April 1-3: The EU Agricultural Council met in Luxembourg April 2: Another suspected victim of nv-CJD is reported (The Times, 96-04-03). April 3: WHO made a public statement, “The group concluded that there is no definite link between BSE and nv-CJD, but that circumstantial evidence suggests exposure to BSE may be the most likely hypothesis” (WHO press release, 96-0403). Gelatin, tallow and milk were reported to be safe, if treated, even in countries with a high incidence of BSE (European Parliament, 1997a:277). April 4: John Major declared in the House of Commons that he is upset that the EU Council failed to lift the embargo and he contemplates taking the Commission to the ECJ (Westlake, 1997:14). April 10: The CMO (the high-level EU committee on health which consists of the Chief Medical Officers from every member state) and SVC meet. The purpose of the meeting was to ensure proper network of coordination between the Member States and to reach a consensus on which path to proceed in the area of public health. After this meeting the Commission services established the appropriate mechanisms to which the member states could report CJD cases (European Parliament, 1997a:97). April 11: Meetings of the ScFC (Scientific Food Committee) and ScC (Scientific Committee for Cosmetics). April 14: Commissioner Fischler states, during an interview with a newspaper, that he would personally eat British beef in Britain and continued with saying, “I see no medical reason not to. For [public safety alone] a ban would not have been needed. We also want to make sure that the whole beef market did not collapse as dramatically as was unfortunately the case in Britain” (DG XV's mission statement, 96-04-17). These statements caused anger on behalf of the British leaders. For example, Sir David Naish (President NFU) exclaimed, “British farmers have been under siege 46 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ because of a decision by the Community, and it is just unacceptable to me if that was taken for purely political reasons”. Fischler’s spokesman tries to calm down the situation by saying, “If we really thought that British beef was unsafe its sale would have been banned in Britain as well as everywhere else in the world. Besides, it was not Fischler who closed the borders but ministers” (London Times, 96-04-15). April 15: The ScFC convenes. April 18: Santer, Major and other European leaders meet in Moscow for a G7 summit (European Parliament, 1997a:440). Late that night, there was an informal meeting on BSE instigated by Major. Santer, Chirac, Kohl and Dini were reportedly present (Seldon, 1997:645). April 26: The ScVC meets to discuss the issue of gelatin. April 29-30: The Agricultural Council meets to discuss the issue of BSE. The Council confirmed that the temporary ban on the export of live cattle, meat and meat products from the United Kingdom should be seen as a safeguard measure and the Council also welcomed the action taken by the United Kingdom following the implementation of the ban. The Council concluded that with the continued usage of the best available scientific advice, a progressive lifting of the ban should be taken into consideration (European Parliament, 1997a:7). May 1: In Britain, the sales of beef return to 85% of its previous level (that is, before the announcement about BSE was made). Beef sales in France are back to 75% of its previous level and in Germany only 50% (London Times, 96-05-02). May 3: A letter from Major is sent to Santer. May 6: The sub-group for BSE in DG VI meets (European Parliament, 1997b:192). May 8 – Decision Occasion VI: The Commission decides to give a proposal concerning gelatin to the SVC. Santer answers Major’s letter. May 15: The SVC meets to discuss the issue of gelatin. May 20: The SVC meets again and continues its discussion on gelatin. May 20-21: The EU Agricultural Council meets. May 21 – Decision Occasion VII: The United Kingdom in retaliation begins to strategically block the various EU Councils. 47 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ May 21: The NFU (The UK National Farmers Union) takes their case to the ECJ. With the support of the British government, the NFU makes a plea to the Court of First Instance against the Commission regarding the embargo decision (Westlake, 1997:25). May 22: The Commission drafts a proposal on gelatin. May 23: The first signs of the British policy of non-cooperation are visible. At a meeting of the EU Civil Protection Council, three items on the agenda were opposed by the United Kingdom (Westlake, 1997:20). May 24: The United Kingdom launches a full-scale legal campaign, through the ECJ, against the Commission. The United Kingdom asked that the emergency decision: 96/239/EEC be annulled (European Court of Justice,1997). The decision is greatly influenced by the admission by Fischler, stating he would happily eat British beef because there was no medical reason not to”. It was believed that the statement backed supported their view that there was no scientific justification for the ban and that it was kept in force in order to protect the other EU countries’ markets (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-04-17; Westlake, 1997:25). Thirteen measures were blocked by the United Kingdom in Brussels at the various EU Council meetings (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-05-29). The Office International des Epizooties (OIE) advises that gelatin and tallow is safe, if it is produced with the methods that have been shown to inactivate the BSE agent (European Court of Justice, 1996:3917). June 3: The United Kingdom puts forth a plan to the Commission with supplementary actions to limit and to eradicate BSE in the country. See the terms listed in 96/385. June 3-4 – Decision Occasion VIII: The Agricultural Council fails to take a stand on the gelatin issue. The Commission decides. June 6: EP Resolution on the Agricultural Council meeting 3-4. The Commission is urged to find a solution to the BSE problem because it is feared that it could damage the European integration process. The non-cooperation policy being executed by the United Kingdom is considered to be unacceptable, since it comes at a critical time for the European Union with the upcoming IGC (OJ, 1996: No C 181/47). June 9: President Santer declares that the “…moment of truth…’ was coming up if the United Kingdom continued its policy of sabotaging the EU and the EU functions. He also said that people were asking themselves whether or not “…Europe would be better off without Britain…” (The Times, 96-06-10). 48 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ June 10: Example when the United Kingdom decided not block proposed measures. At the EU General Affairs Council, the United Kingdom does not block measures concerning aid for monitoring the Bosnian elections, negotiations with Algeria, signing an agreement with Slovenia and a declaration on Nigeria (Westlake, 1997:18). Commissioner Fischler holds an informational seminar on BSE. 68 non-EU members attend it. The mission is to convince these countries that they could deassemble any eventual unilateral bans of beef from the EU. “I can assure you all that the Commission does not take chances with health of consumers, inside or outside the European Community, and I hope that you will leave here today reassured by that message” (Europa, 1996-06-10). June 11: Decision 96/362/EEC is accepted by the Commission, which relaxes the ban on gelatin, tallow and bull semen from the United Kingdom. June 19: The plan for eradication of BSE from the United Kingdom is approved by the SVC (European Parliament, 1997b:187). June 21-22: The IGC meets in Florence. The United Kingdom reactivates its cooperation with the EU. Since the Commission’s proposal, for a step-by-step lifting of the beef ban is approved by the Council. But the decision did not specify any particular date for a termination of the beef ban (Westlake, 1997:22). The EU Council decides that funding of 850 million ECU will be devoted to supporting and reimbursing European livestock farmers affected by the crisis (Europa, 1996-622: DOC / 96 / 3). The United Kingdom promised to slaughter 100, 000 cows (born after 1989) and to equip every cow with a ‘passport’. In addition, cows older than 30 months will be taken out of the food chain when they do not give milk, improved measures to remove risk material from slaughtered cows and the cadavers must be burned (Dagens Nyheter, 96-06-24). June 24: The BSE plan (96/385) is approved by the Commission from the United Kingdom on how to limit and to eradicate BSE (OJ, 1996: No L 151/39). June 26 – Decision Occasion IX: The final report on gelatin is delivered to the Commission. 49 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 5.2 Decision Occasions: March 20 – June 26, 1996 I. II. Public Statement on BSE from the UK (March 20). Unilateral British beef bans are implemented by several member states (France, Germany etc.), violating EU community legislation (March 21). III. Additional countries impose unilateral British beef bans and the ScVC responds (March 22). IV. How will the SVC respond to the proposal? John Major calls Santer (March 25). V. How will the SVC respond to the proposal? (March 26). VI. What should be decided regarding gelatin, tallow and bull semen? (May 8). VII. The United Kingdom initiates a blocking of the EU institutions (May 21). VIII. The Agricultural Council leaves the issue of deciding on gelatin to the Commission (June 3-4). IX. Final report on gelatin is delivered (June 26). 5.2.1 Decision Occasion I (March 20): Public Statement on BSE from the UK On March 201996, a leak in the British newspapers the Times and the Daily Mirror reveals a probable forthcoming announcement by Prime Minister John Major regarding the BSE disease, which raises the expectations for the afternoon meeting at the House of Commons where the news allegedly will be announced. The speculations made by newspapers are correct (Seldon, 1997:640). The public is informed that the CJD Surveillance Unit in Edinburgh has identified a new type of CJD and that there are no facts that can explain its appearance. The main message is: …although there is no direct evidence of a link, on current data and in the absence of any credible alternative the most likely explanation at present is that these cases are linked to exposure to BSE before the SBO ban in 1989 (Statement from SEAC, 1996-03-20). The Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (SEAC) recommends that more stringent controls at the slaughterhouses should be implemented and more strongly observed to protect public health. SEAC ends its statement by reiterating that if the stipulated measures are implemented properly together with the preexisting measures, “…the risk from eating beef is now likely to be extremely small” (Statement from SEAC, 1996-03-20). The British government agrees to implement such measures as a precaution but tries to minimize the feelings of insecurity with a string of statements. The Health Minister Dorell said, “There 50 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ remains no scientific proof that BSE can be transmitted to man by beef,…” and the Agricultural Minister Hogg says, “…, we believe that British beef can be eaten with confidence.” On the other hand, various experts express more bleakness in their comments. The British government’s chief adviser on the subject says that it could turn into an epidemic. Dr. John Pattison (the chairman of SEAC) said, “It is totally unpredictable…” and Dr. Robert Will (the head of the CJD Surveillance Center) said, “I believe this is a new phenomenon. There is reason for major concern” (The Times, 96-03-21). The Mental Health Foundation suggested that the number of deaths caused by CJD could be higher, as it often goes unrecognized, or is mistaken for either Alzheimer’s disease or some other form of dementia (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-21). When the announcement was declared in the United Kingdom neither the Commissioners nor the Commission officials were prepared. They had not been briefed on the latest findings that SEAC’s had reported to the U.K. government. The reason that the Commission was not informed in advance by the government was because they feared a leak. That was later considered a mistake by the British government, who was later heavily criticized by the Commission, the European Parliament and the other member states (Seldon, 1997:642). The announcement came on a Wednesday, which meant that the College of Commissioners would be having their weekly meeting. Upon hearing the news, Commissioner Bonino of DG XXIV (Consumer Policy and Consumer Health Protection) proposed the creation of an inter-service group and a BSE subgroup, which would be chaired by the DG of Consumer Affairs. The Commission immediately endorsed that proposal and the inter-service subgroup was set up on March 27. The purpose of this group was to collect and coordinate information about BSE and CJD to concerned consumers. “We considered it our duty to present documents that were intelligible and as simple as possible, even if there is a difference between the findings of the scientists, who speak their own language, and their translation into terms that are perhaps not simplistic, but are certainly comprehensible to the general public. I felt it was up to us to do this”, Bonino. The first report, the vademecum, to consumers was published on May 28, 1996 (European Parliament, 1997a:419). From that day, the debate in the College of Commissioners regarding BSE and public health became a permanent item on the Wednesday meeting agenda. Agricultural Commissioner Fischler continually informed the college of the latest details (European Parliament, 1997a:427). Commission President, Jaques Santer, did not hear of the BSE announcement (made by the U.K. government) until the day thereafter, March 21, in Paris. Surprisingly, no one thought the Commission President should be informed at once. Santer was in Paris visiting President Chirac discussing a job-creation scheme. It was during a press conference that Santer was informed about both the BSE situation and the unilateral French embargo on British beef. In response to a 51 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ question by a journalist, Santer expressed his comprehension and understanding of the measures taken by the French, knowing that the measures were inspired by a concern for the protection of public health. Santer also stressed the necessity to find a solution at the European level (European Parliament, 1997a:432). At DG V (Employment, Industrial Relations and Social Affairs) the first reaction was to gather all the health ministers for a meeting which took place three weeks later. That meeting reviewed the action of DG VI (Agriculture), and discussed how to set up a surveillance mechanism for CJD. The talks resulted in an informal network which was set up in the member states (Respondent J)11. There were requests from both France and Italy to meet and discuss the potential repercussions of BSE to public health. Initially, this was not considered appropriate because two such meetings had already been planned by the SVC and WHO was holding a meeting to scrutinize the whole question. But the Health Ministers went ahead and met on April 10 to consider all the relevant data. Data that came out was limited, but some conclusions were gathered which eventually figured in the document that was transmitted by the Commission service to the Council (European Parliament, 1997a:97). Agricultural Commissioner Fischler read about the BSE findings in the morning paper but was later on formally informed by Hogg, the British Agricultural Minister, who telephoned him but only after Major had made the proclamation in the House of Commons. Fischler then passed on the information to the top officials in his DG. The DG VI officials, who have worked with such issues for an extensive period of time, already had knowledge about the BSE problem, but the problem had now changed configuration. The risks were much greater and the potential effects could be far-reaching. Everybody recognized that the repercussions on the Communities’ production and exports could be great. A discussion on what to do now commenced since, no plans existed for this sort of contingency (Respondent B). Officials in the other DGs were also taken by surprise for the reason that the British had been boosting for a long time that their domestic animal protection standards were the best in Europe (Respondent C). The first major action taken by the Commission was made by DG VI. The Scientific Veterinary Committee (ScVC), which is an advisory committee, was summoned for a meeting in Brussels on Friday, March 22. Independent veterinary experts from all over the European Union was called in to examine the news concerning British beef and to give an opinion and a risk assessment, on how to proceed (Respondent B). In addition to the ScVC there existed a special expert group on BSE at DG VI, which was a sub-group to the ScVC, but it was not used at this time. Many of the subgroup delegates came from the ordinary ScVC and 11 In order to conceal the identity of the interviewees the method of using letters, (such as “Respondent A” to denote a certain official) instead of names, has been utilized in this study. 52 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ others belonged to the British Agricultural Ministry, also known as MAFF (European Parliament, 1997c:9-10). Through the Councils’ decision, 87/373/EEG, the committee system is regulated. There are three types of regulated committees and five types of governing procedures. 1. Advisory committees only advise the Commission. These committees are created by the Commission in order to deal with the first steps of drafting a proposal. 2. Management committees – In order for a proposal to be sent to and decided on by the Council, a qualified majority of the Management committee members is required. 3. Regulatory committees, which will be, explained further when the involvement of the Standing Veterinary Committee is discussed (Przedpelska, 1997:7). DG VI, based on proposals submitted from the Member States nominates the experts in the ScVC, then a selection is made. “We are not scientists but we try to select the scientists we think are best suited for the particular activity in the SVC” said Hoelgaard, from the DG VI, (European Parliament, 1997-02-07a: 265). The Commission takes the advice from the veterinary committee on whether or not more steps are needed to protect consumers from any significant risks. Legally the Commission is not bound to the opinion of the ScVC. It is only an opinion. But the Commission is not allowed to take a decision by itself – it has to a submit proposal to the Standing Veterinary Committee (SVC) (European Parliament, 1997a: 66). The members of the management and regulatory committees come from the member countries and represent them. It is not necessarily the case that the college will automatically ratify a proposal from the SVC. A spokesman for Fischler said, “If the scientists say more action is needed then more action will be taken”. The European authorities were in a delicate position over British beef. Throughout the years the Commission had resisted many attempts made by some of the continental authorities to take measures against British beef imports. The Commission has always stated that nothing should, or could, be done without sufficient scientific evidence proving a real threat to public health. Up to this point the Commission has supported the British government’s reasoning that no scientific evidence could link BSE to any human disease. In fact a month prior (February), the Commission had begun proceedings against Germany’s Länder after the implementation of unilateral bans on British beef. The Commission had claimed it illegal, on the grounds, that the ban was an illegal barrier to trade. But on the other hand, the Commission had taken a firm stance on imports of American hormone beef because it thought the issue was underresearched and that beef from the United States could pose a threat to public health (The Times, 96-03-21). 53 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 5.2.2. Decision Occasion II (March 21): Unilateral British Beef Bans Implemented by Several Member States, Violating EU Community Legislation On Thursday (March 21) the following member states, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, Portugal, Italy and Germany (where several Länder already implemented bans) had decided, and in some cases already imposed bans, called for the sales to be stopped throughout the EU (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-22). Import bans on British beef spread rapidly across the continent. The snowball effect had been set into motion after France, the biggest overseas market worth £220 million, takes the decision to ban British beef (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22; European Parliament, 1997a:308). The Health Minister of the German government, Horst Seehofer, expresses his doubts to whether a national government is legally able to take such decisions. He stated, “If a national level ban on imports were legally possible, the federal government would have done it long ago” (The Times, 96-03-21). The German government urged the Commission to ban all exports of live cattle, beef and beefrelated products from the United Kingdom, and urged the Commission to legalize the actions that had been already taken at the national level (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22). When the British government learned that France ha taken unilateral action, the Cabinet decided on March 21, that Britain should make urgent and strong representations to the Commission and if necessary ask that the countries banning British beef to be taken to the ECJ for breaching EU regulations. Hogg later confirmed on British television that the U.K. government would slaughter all, or at least part, of its 12 million cattle herd, if advised to do so by the scientific advisers on BSE who planned to meet the following weekend. The U.K. exports 242,000 tons of beef every year, of which 187,000 goes to other member states (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22). Hogg stated that the French move raised “…very strong questions of illegality”. One shred of hope was left for the British when Denmark dismissed the other countries’ bans “…as a very violent reaction” (The Times, 96-03-22). The Commission’s joint reaction to the spreading of unilateral bans across Europe and across the world was to sternly warn the first EU member country which had taken action, France, that such action is unlawful. The Commission’s Agricultural Spokesman said that France had broken EU rules by failing to give a prior notice of the ban. The French Agricultural Ministry defended the move by citing two (most probably Articles 36 and 129) European directives which state that such action is permitted in “cases of doubt about the sanitary quality of a product or animal” (The Times, 96-03-22). Within the Commission (VI) there was a feeling of bitterness that the United Kingdom did not inform the Commission before making the statement public. 54 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ The fact that some of the member countries implemented unilateral import bans was not in line with the EU treaties. If in such a case that a member state finds it necessary to make a safeguard decision, it should alert the Commission and ask for permission to implement safeguard measures (Respondent B). The Commission then has 10 days to evaluate the problem and decide if such a measure should be taken or not. If the Commission gives a non-affirmative answer, then a member state can go ahead anyway. It is also possible for the Commission to take such a decision without being asked to do so if it is considered to be necessary and justifiable. If any member state desires to take such a measure, it shall be referred to the Council, which can confirm, amend or revoke a decision (Nugent, 1994:111). In DG III (Industry), the general sentiment was that the member states had the right to take unilateral bans, in accordance to Article 36, and it therefore did not provoke any special reaction. “The reaction was more that we will discuss this…and wait for more information to become available” (Respondent C). At that point, it was more important to protect the functioning of the internal market. In DG XXIV, the unilateral bans were at first questioned since it was a clear breach of the treaties and should be directly condemned, but it was not politically possible to take any action against the member states. It should have been the Commission’s right to act first. But from the perspective of being the consumer DG there was a complete understanding and total agreement that the member states acted with good reason considering the circumstances at hand and especially in regards to consumer concerns (Respondent K). However the Commission maintained that the British beef concerns were not scientifically proven, and thus not a health risk, as it waited for the results from the members of Scientific Veterinary Committee. A Commission spokesman said, “British beef is perfectly safe as far as we are concerned unless we receive information to the contrary”. There were no discussions suggesting that a total ban should be imposed. Such a move would only occur if conclusive evidence were found which proved a threat to public health. There were also attempts to minimize the problem and its eventual spillover effects. The Commission spokesman continued, “We must not exaggerate the problem. It is only a problem in the United Kingdom and we should not overstate the extent of it” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22). By publicly expressing that the problem was not applicable on the European level, but rather that it was mainly a national problem, there would be no need for unlawful actions. Furthermore the need for the Commission’s involvement would be limited and extensive financial assistance would not be necessary. It would be sufficient with the United Kingdom taking action. Presumably all of the member states feared that the crisis could have spillover effects on their own beef markets. If prices would fall drastically, the EU would be forced to buy the surplus beef (according to its own legislation) in order to keep prices up. That would be unfortunate since the EU had not needed to intervene for two years and there were hopes that the situation could be maintained. The BSE 55 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ situation occurred just as the EU had reported a surplus in agricultural support funds from the previous year and discussions were just starting to take place regarding what should be done with the extra funds (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-23). The EU is the second largest beef producer in the world and a crash in prices would have a huge drain on the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) budget. Intervention rules state that the farm authorities must buy up stocks if the prices fall by more than 20 per cent of its typical average; at that point, cattle prices were down by as much as 28 % at some British markets (The Times, 96-03-23). To buy and store one million tons of beef a year produced in the United Kingdom would cost the European taxpayers £2 billion (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22). At least there would be no action until the independent scientific experts in the ScVC had met to review the latest findings. 5.2.3 Decision Occasion III (March 22): Additional Countries Impose Unilateral British Beef Bans and the ScVC Responds WHO issues a statement on the March 22 that no solid evidence indicated a definite connection between BSE and nv-CJD. The connection was described as probable (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-23). The WHO health experts reacted forcefully against the European states that have implemented a ban on British beef. They thought to be unjustified, it was an overreaction. “We do not see any massive outbreak of nvCJD. We are talking of only 10 cases in Britain, not hundreds of thousands”, says Lindsay Martinez. From the perspective of WHO, there was no reason to be concerned about getting infected with BSE from British beef, since the risk was remote. All of the panic was groundless and people did not have to be hesitant eating beef (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-23). On Friday the Scientific Veterinary Committee (ScVC) meets. A scientific committee like the ScVC consists of independent members who speak for themselves and take individual responsibility for their own comments. The group elects the chairman. Its purpose is to give the Commission an opinion or information on matters that it does not have adequate competence in. The committee has no vote within the meaning of the Treaty, it is basically an opinion by a group of scientists who share their knowledge, experience and opinions (European Parliament, 1997a:87). In the ScVC, the procedure had been to produce a report that all members agree upon. There was no standard procedure for voting within the group; it was done by consensus. But, if anybody did not agree, they would raise their hands and ask for a minority opinion to be reflected in the report (European Parliament, 1997a:334). The ScVC had from 1989 upto the meeting on March 22, 1996, always maintained the opinion that the risk of BSE transmitted to humans, if it existed at 56 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ all, to be insignificant (European Parliament, 1997c:30). The discussions at the meeting focused upon the fact that after the disease had been discovered, many decisions had been taken to ensure public health – not only in the United Kingdom but also at the European Union level. The BSE disease had never been found in the muscles, that is the part, beef, which is primarily consumed by humans. Another relevant piece of information concerning the ten suspected nv-CJD victims was the fact that the ten people had been infected before 1989 when potentially contagious organs in slaughtered cattle were taken out of the human food chain. If the victims had been infected after 1989, the problem was even less serious because then the incubation time would have been shorter and a lot of other cases would have been reported. When the news broke, all the relevant measures were already thought of being in place for more than six years. This was the general opinion prevailing ScVC’s eight hour meeting, which was complemented with CJD-experts, after a thorough account and evaluation of the ten reported nv-CJD cases. The enormous costs for the proposed action from governments and media had to be weighed against what was thought to be achieved from a public health perspective if compared to how other food-related diseases had been addressed. In the United Kingdom ‘only’ ten cases of suspected nv-CJD had been identified that could have been caused by BSE. Other food-related problems, such as poor cattle facilities, cause a number of diseases and contribute to thousands of people getting sick every year. For example in 1992, two million Germans, of which 200 died, came down with salmonella (Dagens Nyheter, 96-05-25). Although the meeting stoped short of recommending an official ban, it called for the destruction of infected animals and concluded that it would, “…welcome any practical measure taken by the Commission to address the incidence of the disease and the possible risk of its transmission” (The Electronic Telegraph, 9603-25; Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-23). But nothing could be decided until the proposal had been given to the SVC. That same night, the Commission dramatically changed its tone of voice and declared the unilateral bans, implemented by eleven EU countries, legal as the world boycott spread. The countries in question had, according to the Commission, responded to legitimate concerns over public health. That was a 180-degree turn from the Commission’s previous statements given at the beginning of the crisis that had maintained that the unilateral bans were illegal. The unilateral bans, employed by some of the member states, were in fact breaching Community law, but the need for action in a situation marked by uncertainty and urgency made the adopted measures certainly more understandable. It would have been difficult for the Commission to stand up and defend Community law in such an atmosphere. Decisive action seemed inevitable in the face of the panic that had urged most member states to close their borders. 57 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Soon thereafter, the eleven EU states were joined by South Africa, New Zealand, Switzerland and Singapore among others (The Times, 96-03-23). Important export markets like the USA, Canada, Australia and Japan had closed their borders for British meat already in the early nineties (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-03-23). President Santer’s spokesperson asserted, “It’s more than a legal question. This is a very important public health question which concerns us all” (The Times, 96-03-23). Earlier in the crisis the Commission had insisted that it would not be rushed into taking action, arguing, “We are obviously at the peak of the reaction, so there should be no rash decisions” (The Times, 96-03-23). But other Commission officials acknowledged that the pressure for radical measures was so great that Fischler was virtually obliged to agree. Fischler had to delicately weigh public health, political, consumer, and financial and industrial factors in reaching a decision. Consideration had not only to be taken to the scientific advice but also the Commission’s credibility, as the guardian of Europe’s well being, was clearly at stake. Furthermore, the need to save the Communities’ beef industry from a total collapse was critical and the danger of the intensifying British hostility to Brussels as the Maastricht Treaty (MAT) was about to be reviewed. One official said, “It’s a hell of a painful problem. We are not going to get much sleep until this is over.” The decision to whether or not the bans should be formalized will be taken on the following Monday, that is depending on the reaction of the Standing Veterinary Committee (The Times, 96-03-23). At the DG VI the officials and the cabinet agreed upon sending an invitation, which called for a meeting of the veterinary chiefs in the member states. Why the invitations were not sent out earlier could be attributed to banal factors (i.e. no meeting rooms or interpreters were available). Most member states can dispatch representatives with just a one-day’s notice (Respondent L). But it was probably the case that the DG VI wanted to consult their scientists on the ScVC, which was the standard operating procedure, before passing the matter on to the SVC. There were deliberations between the cabinet and the officials in charge of the BSE dossier throughout the weekend and the focus of their discussions revolved around the issue of what to do next. As the days went on and more countries imposed import bans, the DG VI realized that there were not so many alternatives close at hand for controlling the problem or for effectuating a community approach. It was necessary to take a decision, such as imposing a ban, at the European Union level not unilaterally. But even though the experts did not give any advice for any far-reaching measures, the officials drafting a proposal in the DG VI gave the SVC a proposal with an open end. A ban would achieve the following goals: to relieve the public’s feelings of uncertainty, to protect public health, to protect the beef market in other member states by restoring confidence in European beef, and to regain the initiative from the member states. But the question of how it should be done had been left undiscussed. The result was that a proposal was drafted that would impose an 58 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ embargo against the United Kingdom. At that point, the officials felt that, “…we had to go for the ban” (Respondent B). Thus, the plan was that the proposal would be given to the SVC on Monday, March 25. When designing the proposal to place an embargo on British beef and related products, the legal aspects were discussed with the DG VI’s own legal service. They have to give clearance since it is they who will have the task of defending the actions taken by the Commission if they are brought to court. The legal service gave its consent but said that the proposal was on the edge of the Commission’s legal sphere, but that they would defend it if it ever came so far (Respondent B). In general the legal service “…do not give the go-ahead if we are not sure that it will hold in an eventual lawsuit.” The DG VI’s legal service was also in contact with the WTO to check that imposing such a ban was not breaching any of the trade rules, although such concerns are clearly second to those concerning public health and consumers’ concerns. There was awareness that the unilateral bans, employed by some of the member states, were in fact in opposition to existing community legislation, but that such an urgent situation understandably justifies it. It would have been difficult to defend community legislation in a situation like this. Common sense suggests that this would have been futile and would have only served to upset the public if the superiority of EC law was so strictly insisted (Respondent I). The DG VI decided to forward the proposal, “We hesitated about that decision [to give the proposal to the SVC] but we wanted to err on the side of caution and went ahead” (Respondent B). The Commission was faced with a difficult situation, and it needed some sort of scientific basis to justify the export ban on British beef. The U.K. could demand compensation for lost revenues of exports (Respondent A), but evidently the Commission felt it had enough and was prepared to discuss compensation to the British farmers if needed. 5.2.4. Decision Occasion IV (March 25): How will the SVC Respond to the Proposal? John Major Calls Santer At this stage of the crisis, all of the EU countries, except for Denmark and Ireland, have terminated their imports of British beef (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-26). Because the Standing Veterinary Committee (SVC) is a regulatory committee of the safety-net/contra-file/ III b type, it must reach a majority in order for a proposal from the Agricultural Council (DG VI) to be implemented after a vote in the College of Commissioners. The SVC exercises its power through delegation in the Agricultural Council’s jurisdiction. If the SVC does not take a position on a proposal or if it is turned down with a QMV (62 votes of 87), the proposal is then sent to the Agricultural Council. The chairman of the SVC, who also represents the Commission, does not have a vote (Przedpelska, 1997:7). 59 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ When a proposal is sent to the Agricultural Council, there are two different procedures: III a and III b. The essential difference between the two types of procedures is that with procedure III a the Agricultural Council can only accept or reject the proposal with an unanimous vote. On the other hand, with the III b procedure the Agricultural Council only has to reach a simple majority, which is presumably easier to achieve, in order to be able to reject a proposal. Procedure III b gives the SVC less room to maneuver. If the SVC does not get a QMV, the SVC’s delegation power in the Agricultural Council is dissolved. The SVC then takes the proposal to the Agricultural Council which has fifteen days to act; either by accepting or rejecting the proposal with a QMV. The Agricultural Council can accept the proposal by implementing certain changes but then such a decision must be unanimous. If the Agricultural Council does not act within the time limitation, the proposal then goes back to the SVC who can decide on its own if the proposal shall be implemented or not. In the case that the proposal is rejected by the SVC, the proposal can not be brought back to the Agricultural Council again. But if the proposal is accepted by the SVC, it is immediately effective after the College of Commissioners has voted on it (Przedpelska, 1997:25). On March 25 at 9:00 am the SVC met to discuss the British beef ban proposal. The meeting consisted of the Heads of the veterinary and food agencies in all of the respective 15 member countries and several top officials from DG VI were present, but no one from the Commissioners cabinets are present to monitor the discussions. It is extremely seldom that anyone from the Commissioners cabinets is present at such committee meetings; they are mainly monitored by the DG officials. The atmosphere at the meeting was visibly stressful and intense (Respondent L). The SVC had received some information from the ScVC meeting, but the representatives of the SVC were disappointed since the material given was very inconclusive. The experts had been unable to come up with anything substantial which clearly proved BSE was the agent causing the human fatalities, and they had no clear opinion of what to actually do about the situation. Clearly action was needed but what sort was not specified, only that further measures were welcomed (Respondent L). Some had claimed that it was difficult for the more technically oriented people in the SVC to criticize the experts, in the words of Susann Ammendrup, “…we do not believe that” (European Parliament, 1997a:259). At the SVC meeting the question was raised as to why the ScVC was not given the opportunity to gather and to further discuss the scientific material from the United Kingdom. The answer given to this by the Commission officials was that no rooms had been available for further meetings (Respondent L). Sometimes it is the insignificant details that make the management of a crisis difficult; for example, an expert who is greatly needed but is unable to get past a police barricade or an executive who is unable to work since a secretary was not there to operate the fax (Lagadec, 1991). 60 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ When discussing what to do at the SVC meeting there was one top DG VI official, who continuously ran in and out of the meeting, probably periodically keeping the cabinet informed. The Commission brought only one point to be discussed at the meeting, that being what to do about the BSE crisis. There was not really anything else to do but to ban British beef, since it was what the member states wanted and several of the member states had already implemented such a ban. What had to be discussed were how to do it and the legal aspects of it (Respondent L). During the various interludes, the top DG VI officials walked around and separately conferred with the individual national delegations about how to solve the BSE problem. Since the meeting dragged on well into the evening, the interpreters were asked for special clearance to continue their work and an affirmative answer was given. After that the legal aspects had been sorted out, a vote was taken on the proposal to place an embargo on British beef and beef-related products. The embargo would include third-party countries for two reasons: 1) They did not want British beef exports to third countries to be imported back into the European Union. 2) It would seem strange to ban British beef exports to just some countries because there could be a public health risk and not to others. A vote was taken and the result was that fourteen members voted for the embargo and only one member voted against it (Respondent L). Not surprisingly, it was the United Kingdom who voted against the embargo. Voting in the SVC is proportionately weighed, which means that votes are subject to a country’s political weight. So the British delegation has more influence than for example Portugal or Sweden when making a risk assessment on scientific matters (European Parliament, 1997-02-18:52). Nevertheless since the SVC functions under a qualified majority vote, the proposal was approved. Furthermore, the United Kingdom was required to report every two weeks on their progress. The SVC’s decision would be effective starting the next day after the implementation of certain emergency procedures by the Commission (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-26). At 10:00 p.m. the meeting was adjourned (Respondent L). Immediately after the meeting the British chief veterinary medical officer, Keith Meldrum, condemned the decision as being, “…rushed, unscientific and completely disproportionate” (Respondent B). Commissioner Fischler on the other hand, said that the decision “…had been taken on the basis of scientific evidence and a need to give consumers sufficient protection from CJD”. One British official said, “There is not a shred of scientific evidence which was provided to the committee to support this decision. It was driven by political and consumer pressure in other member states” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-26). When asked what measures the Commission would take to compensate the British farmers, Fischler said that it would depend on further scientific evidence being sought as a matter of urgency (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-26). Fischler, continued, “The aim is to ring-fence the problem inside the United Kingdom and 61 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ help consumers to recover confidence in the beef market”. Fischler made it clear that the Commission’s experts believed the United Kingdom’s response so far to the BSE crisis was inadequate and was urged to take further measures (The Times, 96-03-26). The College of Commissioners prepared to adopt the proposal to ban British beef on the evening of March 25. The EU was ready to implement an embargo against the United Kingdom, no beef or beef-related products could be exported to any of the other EU member states or to the rest of the world. The college was going to ratify it by a written procedure, which the Commission uses when urgent decisions have to be made. The college can use a written procedure if there are no objections to it after having a proposal circulated to all of the Commissioners (Westlake, 1997:13). As Commissioner Fischler was ready to go down to the waiting press in the basement of the Commissioners building and announce the ban panic broke out on the eleventh floor. Two signatures were missing. The two British Commissioners, Sir Leon Brittan and Neil Kinnock, had not signed the proposal and refused to do so (Svenska Dagbladet, 97-02-16). The two insisted that additional British experts should be allowed to present their case (Dagens Nyheter, 96-03-27). Then the telephone rang in Santer’s office. The action, which was about to be taken in Brussels, provoked anger and disbelief in Westminster. The British government was upset over the fact that the Commission claimed it had the legal power to order a ban on a sovereign member state’s exports involving third-party countries. British officials in Brussels alleged that there were serious doubts as to whether the Commission had such legal rights, despite the fact that Britain had already ceded some of its trading rights (The Times, 96-03-26). Furthermore, the decision infuriated the British because it was a complete reversal of the Commission’s original position which had been announced on the previous Thursday (just a few days prior) when the Commission had condemned the unilateral embargoes implemented by some of the member states (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-26). When the phone rang in Santers office, it was J. Major, a furious British Prime Minister, who had forgotten all diplomatic etiquette and yelled at Santer claiming that British beef was safe and that the ban was simply a conspiracy by the Europeans to gain market shares. Major informed the Commission President Santer that the British government was fiercely opposed to the embargo and thought it was totally unjustified. He made it clear that in such an event, his government intended to take legal action against the Commission and would sue for financial compensation (European Parliament, 1997a:432). Major said the move went well beyond any action justified by the available scientific evidence and demanded that the Commission reconvene a meeting of the SVC the next day to hear additional views from Britain’s Chief Medical Officer and from leading experts on BSE from the British SEAC committee (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-26). 62 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ There are conflicting facts as to whether Santer contemplated the proposition or if he immediately surrendered to Major’s demands Respondent B from the Commission stated that Santer had agreed to Major’s demands while they were on the phone (Respondent B). Other sources claim that Santer called Major back after a few minutes to say that the committee of European veterinary officials (who had proposed the ban) would reconvene the next day and that additional British experts would be allowed to argue their case once again in front of the committee (The Times, 96-03-26). Many participants on the SVC had, at that point, already left Brussels for their national capitals, but were then called back for the new meeting. 5.2.5 Decision Occasion V (March 26): How will the SVC Respond to the Proposal? Ireland becomes the latest EU country to introduce a formal ban on the import of British beef and beef-related products (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-27). At the second meeting of the SVC, in two days, the British bring in two additional experts: Sir Kenneth Calman, an independent medical adviser to the British government; and Professor John Pattison, the chairman of SEAC. They elucidate the scientific material on BSE more thoroughly (than had been done at the previous ScVC on Friday) and also presented some tests that had been completed as late as the day before (Fax-Belfrage, 96-03-26). The atmosphere was even more heated at this meeting since it was not only the British who had brought additional experts to plea on their behalf, but also several of the other member states had brought in additional experts and people from their agencies, especially Germany. The British once more gave a presentation concerning the inconclusive findings on BSE, which gave the delegates from the other countries another chance to ask questions; however, the discussion soon got out of hand and turned into a heated scientific debate among the experts. The more general delegates (as opposed to the delegates who were more specialized) had considerable difficulties in following the arguments being advocated by the different experts. One of the Swedish delegates said after the meeting, “They just made matters worse. When we heard them we were convinced that we had taken the right decision and just confirmed what we had said the day before” (Svenska Dagbladet, 97-02-16). The question of whether or not to ban gelatin was brought up at the last minute by the UK’s Chief Medical Officer. The British tried to persuade the Commission officials that gelatin should be excluded from the proposal. There were a lot of questions regarding the safety of gelatin, “…it was brought up ad absurdum”. But there was a lot of uncertainty in the matter as well. The delegates were informed as to how many different areas within the field of industry would be effected by a gelatin embargo. For example, gelatin is used for such things as pharmaceuticals, 63 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ cosmetics, camera films and yogurt (Respondent L). Thus, the question of a possible ban on gelatin, tallow and semen was left to the Commission to decide (Fax from Belfrage, 96-03-26). A vote was taken by the SVC and once again there were fourteen members for such an embargo and one against it. There were still great doubts regarding the safety of British beef and beef-related products. However, the status of a possible ban on gelatin was not discussed at DG VI. No exceptions were granted since they did not want to have a discussion about exclusions. Milk and dairy products were excluded since their safety had never been questioned during earlier discussions (Respondent B). It should be pointed out that the decision was a ban on exports and not a ban on consumption at the European level. For example, the government tightened legislation in the United Kingdom so that only beef from animals younger than 30 months was allowed on the market. However, a ban on consumption of British beef was never introduced. National officials described the second SVC meeting as a pointless exercise undertaken at Major’s insistence. One French official said, “Why doesn’t this fellow [J. Major] deal with the problem he’s got instead of trying to unload the blame on Europe”. The ban was to be formally announced after a vote among the commissioners. The outcome was inevitable since possibly only Sir Leon Brittan and Neil Kinnock were likely to oppose an embargo (The Times, 96-03-27). An embargo on British beef and beef-related products was formally introduced after the College of Commissioners had decided to proceed with the proposal that the SVC had voted on twice. This was done with a written procedure in the college. It was a safeguard measure that had been agreed upon. (Article 3 of the comitology decision stipulates that the Commission can take such a measure to protect the interests of the Community as a whole, or of individual member states). The Council and the member states have to be informed of the decision before it is acted on. A member state may refer the decision taken by the Commission to the Agricultural Council which will then reevaluate the decision and have the chance to take a different decision (that is, confirm, amend or revoke the decision) with a qualified majority vote. That kind of decision has been used before, for example, in 1991 there was a safeguard measure taken by a veterinary committee under the III b procedure in regards to a Cholera epidemic in Peru which lead to a ban on imports of foodstuffs from Peru (Docksey and Williams, 1994:129). The Commission emphasized that the measures were of a provisional nature. The decision was regarded as a first step in stabilizing the situation, reassuring the consumers and safeguarding the EU’s beef industry both internally and externally. Fischler said that the situation was serious and in no way stable, “…it is futile to talk about scientific fact or evidence. There is a crisis of confidence in beef from the United Kingdom of the consumers”. He stressed that the proposal had been made with serious reflection and consultation. The situation had not left the Commission or the member states any other option (Europa, 1996-03-27:IP/ 64 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 96/265). The two British Commissioners, Brittan and Kinnock, ensured the British people that the EU ban, that was originally intended to last for two years, would be reviewed after six weeks (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-28). The Commission decision 96/239 stated that the United Kingdom was not permitted to export to other countries: living cattle (including semen and embryos), beef from animals slaughtered in the United Kingdom, products derived from animal slaughtered in the country that could enter the human/animal food chain (including products used for medicinal, cosmetically and pharmaceutical purposes), or bone-meal. In addition, the EU decision stated that the United Kingdom would also be responsible for sending a report to the Commission regarding the implementation of the measures taken (OJ, 1996:L78/48).The decision to halt beef exports from the UK was estimated to be worth about £600 million a year (London Times, 9604-15). The decision can be regarded as a sort of symbolic action since no one was likely to want to consume British beef anyway, and all but two member states had already closed their borders to British beef. But, it did help to facilitate the Commission regaining the initiative in the crisis. Conflict between the British governmental officials and the EU administration continued. Major said, “What has happened is that the collective hysteria, partly media, partly opposition, partly European, particularly the ban by the standing veterinary committee of vets has fractured public confidence in beef ”. Fischler defended the action at the EU Parliament, “We have reached the limits of what can be explained scientifically, but have also pushed EU consumers’ credulity to the limit. We now need proof that the two diseases are not linked” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-28). An event that supposedly took time from the services of the Commission was the preparation for the Turin IGC (Intergovernmental Conference) on March 29. It was a very important European Council meeting with all the heads of states gathering to discuss among other things, the guidelines for the upcoming ‘Amsterdam Treaty’ (which would replace the MAT which had served the purpose as a temporary solution to the challenges of making the EU function. German Chancellor Kohl stated at the beginning of the EU Council meeting, “This is an important day for Europe” (NY Times, 96-03-30). At the launch of the summit, many government leaders were concerned that the BSE crisis would have spill-over effects and monopolize the agenda. One of the principal proposals to be discussed at the EU Council meeting was the increased usage of QMV on legislative issues. This was judged to be necessary in view of EU enlargement and as a solution to the risk of paralysis of the EU institutions. The only government to object to such a development was the UK government. UK officials had declared that they saw “…no case for extending qualified majority voting [as] it would not mean more effective decision-making in comparison with unanimity” (Devuyst, 1998:626). 65 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Most of the leaders had presumably come to the meeting to discuss further integration and cooperation in Europe, but Major came to the meeting with the intention to seek a lift of the beef ban. Santer explained the reasoning behind the decision taken by the Commission. The embargo was not to be lifted, even partially, and it would not be considered without further measures introduced by the United Kingdom, which included the eradication of BSE (European Parliament, 1997a:432). The European leaders promised Major substantial financial help as a conciliatory action (NY Times, 96-03-30). The Agricultural Council met in Luxembourg April 1-3, for an emergency meeting, to discuss the safeguard action taken by the Commission. The Agricultural Commissioner, Fischler, explained to the assembled ministers the reasoning behind the Commission’s decision (European Parliament, 1997a:432). The Agricultural Council gave its support for the precautionary measures taken by the Commission after a 40-hour meeting. The Agricultural Council stated that its overall aim was the protection of public health based on the best scientific evidence available. The Agricultural Council recognized that decisive action was warranted, and agreed on a set of additional health and market support measures with the aim of restoring consumer confidence, market stability and the single market (European Court of Justice, 1996:3914). Hogg demanded, in negotiations, that the EU should pay at least 80% of the cost of destroying cattle over 30 months, which would amount to more than £500 million a year (The Times, 96-04-02). The Agricultural Council decided to pay 70% of the costs of compensating the British farmers but the United Kingdom had to single-handedly pay for slaughtering and incinerating the cattle (Scribona Info., 1996:8). Hogg demonstrated the United Kingdoms immense displeasure with the decision and refused to ratify the minutes of the meeting. Hogg stated afterwards, “The ban is not justified. It is not based on sound scientific analysis. It is disproportionate, it should be removed” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-04-04; Westlake, 1997:13). In the conclusions of the meeting Commission was invited to submit the matter regarding the safety of gelatin, tallow and bull semen to the ScVC as a matter of urgency (European Parliament, 1997a:432). It was also concluded that the United Kingdom would have to present an eradication plan by April 30, 1996 (The Times, 96-04-04). Fischler made the statement, “The BSE problem has been simmering for over 10 years and a final and comprehensive solution as we have found today is long overdue”. Fischler also expressed his hopes that the third-party countries would lift their restrictions imposed on all beef from the EU member states (not just that from the United Kingdom) since the Commission had taken decisive action (Europa, 1996-04-03a: DN:IP/96/289). 66 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 5.2.6 Decision Occasion VI (May 8): What Should be Decided Regarding Gelatin, Tallow and Bull Semen? It was clear that the United Kingdom was very concerned that the issue of at least gelatin had not been resolved. But the formal procedures had been put into place to make sure that the experts could judge from the material whether or not it was safe (Respondent B). The Agricultural Council meeting (April 1-3) had been unable to come to a conclusion about gelatin, tallow and bull semen, and had therefore left the matter for the Commission to decide. After lengthy debates in several scientific committees, it was decided how to proceed and when. Fischler spoke before the EP, and he tried to convince them that gelatin and tallow were not meat and, furthermore, that the Commission’s proposal on lifting the ban on gelatin was in line with the recommendations from the ScVC and the WHO (European Parliament, 1996k: 14). The Commission and the DG VI had realized that a mistake had been made regarding gelatin when drafting what had earlier become 96/239/ EEG. Judging from the research done on the matter, there was no uncertainty regarding the safety of gelatin. What had been overlooked was the chain of nonconsumable products; for example, the gelatin used in cameras was apparently safe to use. There had been no time to reflect on that when the crisis hit. That was the reason for putting the proposal, that latter was legislated in 96/362/EEG, to the ScVC and the SVC (Respondent I). The process of deciding further action was preceded by an extensive committee evaluation. The contents of some of the most important meetings are presented below. DG VI convened the ScVC, on April 9, to discuss lifting the ban on gelatin. On the basis of the information they had, they concluded that gelatin from the United Kingdom could be used in food, pharmaceuticals, and cosmetics. They had only an interim report from the gelatin manufacturers of Europe; the full report had not been released yet (European Parliament, 1997a:232). On April 10, the SVC decided that there would be no early easing of the worldwide ban on British beef and beef-related products. The delegates discussed, as well, whether or not to lift the ban on gelatin exports (Ratzan, 1998:101). On April 11 the Scientific Committee for Cosmetics (ScC) which is under the EU Industry DG (DG III), was consulted on the issue of gelatin (European Parliament, 1997a:442). The joint committee for the European affiliates’ perfume and cosmetic industries (COLIPA) had several years ago recommended that their members should not use raw materials from bovines originating from the United Kingdom. The committee explained that their members had followed this advice (OJ, 1996:No L 139). The ScC stated it was negative regarding the use of gelatin in cosmetics as it was potentially dangerous “…all bovine tissues and body fluids from geographical areas with endemic BSE should be treated as materials that potentially could transmit the causing agent” (European Parliament, 1996f:42). The Scientific Committee for Food (ScF) met on April 15 to study the report 67 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ on gelatin without any involvement from DG VI. The experts on this committee stated that they were against lifting the ban on gelatin and felt that gelatin from areas where BSE was endemic should not be used. According to officials in DG VI the ScF committee had not been involved with the issue of BSE since 1993 and, therefore, did not have that all the currently available information in order to make an accurate risk assessment (European Parliament, 1997a:232). The ScF took a precautios stance since the European gelatin manufacturers had not given the permission to publicize the entire report. The committee stated, “…had very limited material in hand to allow the evaluation of the production processes…” (European Parliament, 1996f:42). No experts on the subject of BSE were present at the ScF meeting (European Parliament, 1996f:42). On April 17, the European gelatin manufacturers asked to speak to the SVC. Since the EU committees do not typically meet with private organizations, the DG VI denied the request. DG VI later denied that they ever refused to meet the European gelatin manufacturers. On the contrary, DG VI claimed that they had asked the European gelatin manufacturers for any information they had (European Parliament, 1997b:185). On April 18, the ScVC issued an opinion that concluded that bovine semen did not present a risk for the transmission of BSE and that embryos were considered to be safe under certain conditions (European Court of Justice, 1996). On April 26, the ScVC gave a unanimously favorable opinion regarding the lifting of the embargo on gelatin, tallow and bull semen. There was a strong consensus on this matter. The statement was based on several documents: one was a WHO statement on the subject from April 2-3, 1996, and another was a preliminary report from April 1994 from the European gelatin manufacturers. On the basis of this scientific opinion, a proposal was drafted by DG VI, which aimed for a partial lifting of the embargo on gelatin (European Parliament, 1997a: 442; European Parliament, 1997b:187). Fischler was authorized by the College of Commissioners on May 8 to propose a partial lifting of the embargo on these products (European Parliament, 1997a:432). That same day, when it was decided that a proposal would be drafted by DG VI regarding gelatin, Santer replied in a letter to Major. In the letter he repeated that the ban in place was of a temporary character, and its purpose was to clarify the situation at hand concerning public health and to restore consumers’ confidence. He also informed Major that the college had had a discussion and had encouraged Fischler to give a proposal to the ScVC on the lifting of the ban on gelatin, tallow and semen. “The Commission and I will continue to actively work to reach a solution to the difficult problems that stand before us” (European Parliament, 1997d:49 – author’s own translation). The letter was a reaction to Major who stated the following in a letter to Santer on May 3, which contained implicit threats that if the Commission did not show an effort to ease the bans, there would be grave difficulties in the cooperation. “We have to show that Europe can cooperate in a 68 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ European crisis situation which has the capability to take decisions under that kind of circumstances. …I think you know what effects this crisis has upon the perception of Europe in the United Kingdom, even with those who usually are ready to promote the EU” (European Parliament, 1997d:48 - author’s translation). The Commission submited a proposal to the SVC for May 15. The proposal called for a modification of the gelatin export ban or, in the longer term under the right conditions, for a complete terminatation of the ban (European Parliament, 1997a:399). Once the appropriate measures had been implemented for the safe manufacturing of these products, the Commission would consider the products to be safe and the export ban could be dropped. These measures were also supported by the recommendations given by the WHO and were approved by the ScVC. Fischler said this about the Council resolution: “…the renewed impetus on the need to rely on sound scientific advice for all future decisions, form part of a process which should allow the export ban to be progressively lifted, on a step by step basis.” (Europa, 1996-05-05:IP/96/399). The SVC discussed the Commission’s proposal to lift the embargo against gelatin on May 15 (European Parliament, 1997a:432). After seven hours of discussion, the meeting was adjourned since an agreement could not be reached. The SVC chairman announced that the proposal, whether or not to recommend the three products be eligible for export, would be taken at the committee’s next meeting on May 20 by a qualified majority vote (Westlake, 1997:14). The SVC met again on May 20 to discuss a partial lift of the ban on the three products. The discussion was heated regarding the advantages and disadvantages of the gelatin proposal. It was clear that the Commission wanted to lift the ban, and they argued hard for it. Germany was the hard-liner in the discussion and it persuaded other countries to follow a more restrictive attitude (Respondent L). A qualified majority was not reached so the proposal had to be referred to the Agricultural Council according to the rules. Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Austria and Germany voted against the proposal (Westlake, 1997:15). A Swedish representative said “…we should work on the basis of animal health, and not play politics” (Fax from Åhnberg, 96-05-22). Commissioner Fischler, made a statement at the Agricultural Council meeting which was held on May 20-21, informing the others as to the progress on the veterinary aspects of the BSE situation. The SVC had not been able to reach the necessary majority on the Commission’s proposal to lift the embargo on gelatin, tallow and semen from the United Kingdom. Thereby according to directive 89/ 662/EEC, the Commission was obliged to submit the proposal to the Agricultural Council. It was stipulated that the Council had to respond within fifteen days, either by adopting the proposal with a qualified majority or by rejecting the proposal with a simple majority (Europa, 1996-05-21: PRES/96/138). If neither majority can be obtained in the Agricultural Council, then the proposal goes back to the College of Commissioners, which can take the final decision (European Parliament, 69 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 1997 - 02 - 07a: 395). The representative from the United Kingdom informed the Agricultural Council of their plan for eradicating BSE. Repeated requests were conveyed by the British for a more precise timeline regarding the termination of the ban on British beef and veal exports. The Agricultural Council did not take any action at this meeting but decided, instead, to meet for a special session in Luxembourg June 3-4 to scrutinize the proposal again (Europa, 1996- 05-21, DN: PRES96/138). 5.2.7 Decision Occasion VII (May 21): The United Kingdom Initiates a Blocking of the EU Institutions As the Council did not come to any conclusion when to lift the embargo and especially that the Council did not accept the proposal from the Commission that was first placed on the table of the SVC, the threats of activating a non-cooperation policy on behalf of the United Kingdom was executed. Major announces in the House of Commons that as a result of the EU’s refusal to agree on a partial lifting of the ban, the government would introduce a policy of non-cooperation in the European institutions. Major said, The Commission have played a notably helpful role in following carefully the scientific advice. A balanced proposal based on the best scientific advice has been ignored by a number of Member States, in some cases despite prior assurances of support. The top priority of our European policy must be to get this unjustified ban on beef derivatives lifted as soon as possible… …I have to tell the House that without progress towards lifting the ban we cannot be expected to continue to cooperate normally on other Community business. Progress will not be possible in the IGC or elsewhere until we have agreement on lifting the ban on beef derivatives and a clear framework in place leading to lifting of the wider ban. I expect an agreement on how to deal with these problems to be behind us by the time the European Council meets in Florence on 21/22 June. If they are not, the Florence meeting is bound to be dominated by this issue (UK House of Commons, 1996-05-21). By taking this course of action Major satisfied the domestic arena, especially his own conservatives that have been euro-sceptics for a long time and the agricultural lobby. One Conservative MP said, “Playing the game like English gentlemen has failed. It is time we took the gloves off ” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-05-22). At that time, no one is certain what the ‘obstruction policy’, actually meant, should it be used when decisions have to be reached by unanimity etc. Whitehall departments and delegations from the United Kingdom in the EU flood the cabinet’s office with questions (Seldon, 1997:650). It effected mainly pillar II and III but all 70 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ EU business was affected by the unwillingness to cooperate. Decisions that were subject to simple or QMV where not included. In the unanimity sectors the goal of delay and disruption was achieved. One of the first actions to be blocked was trade negotiations with Mexico which would hurt Spain (Ratzan, 1998:103). But, there were several exemptions to the British policy. The threat of non-cooperation did not pose the severe threat that was thought from the beginning. The other member states soon realized that the policy in reality did not concern all areas. Many areas were delayed that would hurt the United Kingdom as much or more than other EU countries, for example there could not be draft letters concerning the Iranian fatwa against British citizen Salman Rushdie (Westlake, 1997:17). During the period of May 21 to June 22, the United Kingdom had blocked a total of 117 measures in the Council. One was an anti-fraud action that the United Kingdom had been demanding for years (Seldon, 1997:651). There were no explicit vetoes from the British, approval was withheld, reserves were placed, documents were not signed and statements were not made which did not paralyze the business of the Council as much as a veto would have (Westlake, 1997: 17). Major’s threat revived memories from the ‘empty chair politics’ that France exercised in 1965 regarding subsidies to the farming sector. France boycotted the Council meeting for six months until the others caved in on the French demands. When France introduced its non-cooperation policy in 1965 by de Gaulle it had more far reaching implications because it was more difficult to decide anything without France being a part of it, but UK has been regarded as an outside player that is not interested in pursuing deeper cooperation. For example, the United Kingdom was for a long time against signing any social chapter (Peterson and Bomberg, 1999:49). The next day the Commission issues a statement where it condemns the route taken by the United Kingdom, cooperation is what is needed. “The BSE problem affects all member states as is evidence by the serious decline of beef market prices throughout the Union. It is, therefore, a problem for the whole of the European Union” (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-05-22). Within the Commission it was believed that the pressures from the domestic scene in the United Kingdom on the government had forced this action. Major did not have much of a choice if he was going to survive politically and satisfy voters on the domestic arena but of course there was not any thoughts that this was beneficial for the European idea (Respondent A). The upcoming elections in the United Kingdom had already been termed ‘the beef elections’ (Ratzan, 1998:102). In DG III, the decision to block the functioning of the EU institutions was not really regarded as a problem. The indisputable looser was the United Kingdom (Respondent C). But the course of action instigated political pressure on the Commission. President Santer stated, “I have had many problems with the British government. I have been subjected to many threats, to a great deal of pressure, but I have never given way (European Parliament, 1997a:437). Commissioner Bonino articulated that, 71 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ I think all of us read the papers during and after that period… I meant that obviously everyone knows what the debate was about in March, April, May, June. What I mean is that at that point the pressure, whether political or other, was very overt, The issues were clear, non-cooperation, noncollaboration, the date of the summit… (European Parliament, 1997a:425). At the Commission meeting, the college followed the recommendation of Fischler and persisted in lifting the ban on derived products. The proposal was brought to the special meeting of the Agricultural Council June 3-4 (Westlake, 1997:15). But there were intense discussions in the college about the gelatin proposal. Some Commissioners wanted to undertake a hard-line attitude as the British had declared that they were not going to cooperate on Union business. But President Santer meant that the credibility of the Commission was on the line. That would bring the decision-making process down to a state of fighting in a sandbox like children. As the Commission had the policy of following scientific advice it would not be credible to disregard it. Santer, …always said… that the Commission should base its actions strictly on the most recent scientific opinion available. I have never deviated from this line and I never will. It is not credible to take advantage of science when it suits you and ignore it when it does not (European Parliament, 1997a:433). The Commission proceeded to adopt a proposal with the intention of lifting the ban on gelatin, tallow and bull semen with the condition that the new improved processing techniques are implemented. The proposal would be put to the Agricultural Council June 3-4. The proposal was in line with the recommendations put forward by the WHO and also by the ScVC. Fischler emphasized that a scientific approach rather than a political one was the one to be favored. Fischler said, …the protection of human health must continue to be a top priority of the EU and in this context all decision relating to BSE should be firmly based on the most up to date and accurate scientific knowledge. It is regrettable therefore that the SVC did not succeed in taking a decision on gelatin, tallow and semen in spite of the existence of scientific proof regarding measures which ensured their safety… (Europa, 96-05-22:DN:IP/96/433). 5.2.8 Decision Occasion VIII (June 3-4): The Agricultural Council Leaves the Issue of Deciding on Gelatin to the Commission The Agricultural Council did not achieve the qualified majority needed to dismiss the proposal regarding the lifting of the three products. Only Spain had changed its position. Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, Austria and Germany 72 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ still withheld their position and voted against the proposal. When a simple majority was not reached, it was up to the Commission to continue on the matter. By lifting part of the ban, the Commission became like a government, which is not elected, to implement its own decision. The Commission went against six Member States, among them one that is often considered to be the most influential one, Germany (Westlake, 1997:15). The Council noted that there was not a qualified majority in favor of the Commission proposal but there was no single majority to dismiss the proposal. It was now up to the Commission, acting under its own powers, to approve the proposal that had been before the Council. The United Kingdom made a statement, “The United Kingdom government is voting in favor of this measure because its represents a step in the right direction for the lifting of the export ban on British beef… The United Kingdom is voting in favor without prejudice to its overall position on the remaining parts of the ban which it regards as disproportionate and unlawful” (Europa, 1996-06-03:DN: PRES/96/153). The Commission still thought that the proposal was scientifically solid and should be accepted. Santer made a plea to the United Kingdom to stop the policy of obstruction, which did not have a place with a common basis of law, and it stands in direct conflict with member states obligations according to the Treaty. The Commission had the right to lift the ban on the three products since a majority of the member states do not oppose it, but the formal decision could not be taken until June 10 (Europa, 96-6-11:DN:IP/96/484). In spite of the Commission decision to cancel the embargo on three products the British government made it clear that it would continue with the same non-cooperation policy until there was a scheme on how the whole embargo would be terminated. Despite the threatening tone, Santer promised to keep cooperating with the United Kingdom to find a solution to the problem as soon as possible (Svenska Dagbladet, 96-06-06). The decision was codified on June 11, 96/362/EG. Commission adopts the decision to ease the embargo on three products, gelatin, tallow and semen, with the written procedure. But only bull semen would be on the market in the near future since gelatin and tallow had to be produced under stringent controls before exports would be allowed. The Commission went ahead with the decision since the Council did not reach an agreement (European Parliament, 1997b:187; London Times, 96-06-12). 5.2.9 Decision Occasion IX (June 26): Final Report on Gelatin is Delivered There had been several attempts by officials at DG VI to obtain the final report on the safety of gelatin, as they only had a preliminary report. For example, on June 13, Brian Marchant (VI) calls the European Gelatin Manufacturers secretariat to ask if there is any final report but there was no reaction to the inquiry. Marchant 73 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ does this on his own initiative. He wanted to be sure that he had the most recent information and wanted to avoid future problems and criticism. He did not expect to find out that there existed a second report that invalidated the first one (European Parliament, 1997b:192). Criticism was gaining in voice in some of the involved committees in the Commission. The ScF that met on June 13 states on the subject of gelatin that there was, “…divergence of views among the experts…” and that many of the arguments were “…based upon assumptions”. It could therefore not be possible to assess the risk for human health from the present scientific base (Europa, 9606-13: DN:IP/96/514). C. Berge a Swedish national who is temporally at DG VI, sends a fax to the European Gelatin Manufacturers on June 14 to ask if there is any final report. The European Gelatin Manufacturers sends the final report by fax without any comment. During all the contacts between April 15-June 27 did the European Gelatin Manufacturers give any hint that there was reason to question the results of the studies (European Parliament, 1997b:187). When DG VI finally does receive the report from the Invernesk research laboratory it completely invalidates the first preliminary report that was used for discussion in the ScVC, the DG and the SVC. The DG had then to totally reevaluate its decision to lift the embargo on gelatin. It was necessary to consider the issue again and submit it to the BSE sub-group of the ScVC on June 26. While waiting for the results, there was no question about revoking the decision to authorize exports of gelatin from the United Kingdom. The committee concluded that with the new information, a new study should be carried out, which would take some time (European Parliament, 1997a:432). The laboratory that performed these tests had among many mistakes, used scrapie and not BSE infected brains which totally invalidated the scientific reports (Respondent B). Not a single gram of gelatin was exported (European Parliament, 1996f:7). The report had been completed by the Invernesk laboratory around April 9 or 10 and thus available for the Gelatin Manufacturers of Europe. This report was not made available to the Commission until more than two months later. When the report was ‘found’, it caused an internal discussion about the credibility of DG VI, within the Commission. DG VI had been the driving force behind the relaxation of the gelatin ban. Santers cabinet called for an internal investigation how this could have happened, had the VI knowingly given the British an advantage. It was a critical period for the people at VI who had been dealing with the BSE dossier, but it could be shown that there was no one to blame, since there was no knowledge of any second report (Respondent B). This could be shown due to all the faxes and correspondence which could be displayed, there had been a lot of contacts when VI asked for and even demanded that they wanted the final laboratory report (European Parliament, 1997b:189). That the report was eventually found was lucky in the sense that there was time to revoke the 74 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ decision 96/362, but unlucky in that the decision was prepared and advocated at all by DG VI. This incident can show that during crisis conditions and especially one that is extended in time, there can be difficulties in managing every issue. 5.3 The Aftermath: Crisis De-escalation (July 1996 – August 1999) On the 12-13 of July 1996, the European Court of Justice gave its verdict in the cases of the National Farmers Union (United Kingdom) and the United Kingdom versus the Commission regarding the decision to ban British beef. The ECJ rules in both cases that the implementation of the ban was justified (European Parliament, 1997a:231). The judge stated: Since the most likely explanation of this fatal disease is exposure to BSE there can be no hesitation. The ban has a legitimate aim…the protection of health…and, as a containment measure prior to eradication of [BSE], it was essential to the achievement of that aim… (Sunday Times, 96-06-13). In July, the French newspaper, Liberation, claims that it has in its possession a memo by a French Official written in 1990. It describes how an unnamed Commission official had told a committee, comprising of veterinary officers from the member states, “We have to have a cold attitude so as not to provoke unfavorable reactions on the market. We will not speak about BSE. This matter will not appear on any agenda… We will officially ask the UK not to publish the results of their research”. The memo concludes: “On the general plan, this BSE affair must be minimized using misinformation. It is better to say that the press has a tendency to exaggerate”. The Commission denies the plans were ever acted on, says that it no longer has the memo or the official minutes of the meeting held in Brussels six years ago (Sunday Times, 96-06-14; Daily Telegraph, 96-07-09). June 21-22 at the IGC summit in Florence, the United Kingdom reactivates its EU- cooperation as the Commission’s proposal for the lifting of the ban, but with no fixed dates, was approved by the Council (Westlake, 1997:22). The Council decides that funding of 850 million ECU will be devoted to supporting European livestock farmers that have been affected by the crisis (Europa, 96-6-22:DN:DOC/ 96/3). The United Kingdom promised to slaughter 100.000 cows born after 1989, every cow will be equipped with a ‘passport’, cows older than 30 month shall be taken out of the food chain when they do not give milk improved measures to remove risk material from slaughtered cows and the cadavers shall be burn. The EU:s ban shall then be lifted step-by-step (Dagens Nyheter, 96-06-24). On the 18th of July the EP uses its new powers according to the MAT under Article 138c to investigate alleged contraventions or mal-administration. A temporary 75 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ committee of inquiry is set up to investigate the management of the issue by the Commission. Hearings are conducted with former and present Commissioners, officials from both member states and the Commission and experts. On February 20th 1997 the EP votes on censure for the Commission. The motion is rejected with 336 against, 118 for and 15 abstentions. (Westlake, 1997:22). On the 1st of August 1999 the ban on British beef is partially lifted. Exports are only allowed under severe restrictions, exported cattle can not be older than two and a half years and meat with bones is still not allowed to export. Up until this date a total of 42 deaths by suspected nv- CJD has been recorded. Mainly in Britain, but single cases have been recorded in France and Italy. There have also been additional deaths in relation to the BSE crisis, 23 British farmers have committed suicide when facing economic ruin. The ban has cost the British farmers around 19 billion SEK. The most EU negative opinion of all member states is the United Kingdom (Svenska Dagbladet, 99-07-15). 76 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 6. Analysis 6.1 Problem Framing and Decision Units The previous and subsequent problem framing of a situation is important for the following management of a situation, in that it implies where in an organizational complex decisions should be taken, how the decision will be made, what kind of solutions will be considered and who is responsible for what. When looking at the definition of the problem indicators based on the central actors perceptions have guided my search. This is one major aspect of the cognitive-institutional analytical perspective. Even if it could be argued that crises are not individual events spontaneously occurring but rather a series of interconnected problems that face the actors, the initial problem-framing will be decisive in determining how the crisis will be managed. It can be difficult for decision-makers to change their initial or longstanding perception and understanding of a problem. Thus, this makes it difficult for them to focus management on an alternative problem scenario. What will be further examined is the interaction between, and within, the various active decision-making units during the crisis. A brief account will be given here on how some of the actors perceived the BSE crisis. The former Agricultural Commissioner MacSharry (1989-1992) stated, …BSE received full attention at all times. When the disease first came to notice, and indeed for several years afterwards, it was treated largely as an animal health problem and the knowledge of scrapie was a big influence on our thinking. This followed the conclusions of the scientists at the beginning of 1990 that scrapie proved a valid model for assessing the human health risks with BSE (European Parliament, 1997a:380). At DG VI the general conclusion for several years had been that BSE did not pose a threat to humans. Because of the unknown nature of the disease in the beginning, the Commission based the problem on the available information which at the time was that this disease was like scrapie in sheep and had existed for 250 years. And thus, BSE was primarily viewed as an animal health issue (Hoelgaard in the European Parliament, 1997a:207). Also in DG V which also deal with public health issues it was the general view of BSE. “Until March 1996, BSE was always regarded as an animal disease and consequently it should have been dealt with in a veterinary way”said Flynn (European Parliament, 1997a:229). At DG III, the long standing assumption was that BSE 77 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ pertained only to animal health and it was mainly a problem for the United Kingdom (Respondent C). Another factor is the benefit of hindsight; what is clearer today was not so definite a couple of years ago. Mr. Janssen (Adviser of the DG VI; Head of Unit Veterinary Legislation and Zootechnics) exemplified this, “You find out about a disease after it has begun. It was the same with AIDS. In the beginning you just do not know” (European Parliament, 1997a:351). The actors were caught in a perception bubble; it was believed that BSE was like scrapie in sheep, which had been around for 250 years and had not been harmful for humans. The conclusion drawn was simple, if there was no risk of consuming scrapie-infected meat, there would be no risk involved consuming BSE-infected cattle. This indicates that the actors were to a great extent influenced by the previous experiences of scrapie which proved to be venturesome as displayed in this case (Neustadt & May, 1986; Khong, 1992). That bubble was painfully burst on March 20, 1996, when the BSE situation changed from being a creeping crisis into an acute crisis. The various DGs in the Commission all concurred that the situation had changed configurations from being exclusively an animal / veterinary problem to a problem with serious implications for public health. What had originally been perceived, as a tragic animal disease resulting in many livestock deaths was not considered of having any larger implications other than that. This is one of the important concepts that institutionalism brings forward: path dependency. “Once a historical choice is made, it both precludes and facilitates others. Political change follows a branching model. Once a particular fork is chosen, it is very difficult to get back on the rejected path” (Krasner, 1984:225). There may be a certain stickiness in policy areas where a long-standing assumption has not been challenged internally or externally; thus, change will only be possible when there is an occurrence, for example a crisis, that can challenge the assumption. There is also an issue of sunk costs in the policy, both regarding credibility and finance. A new standpoint could prove costly if not supported with further evidence. The Commission’s initial reaction was to declare that the unilateral bans taken by the member states were illegal and should be revoked immediately. The responsibility for managing the BSE situation was allocated to the United Kingdom. The problem was British, since it was where the infected beef originated. The majority of the BSE infected cattle population and victims in the U.K., were not on the European continent. There was no general need for urgent decisionmaking at the European level or in any other specific member state, since it was not regarded as a European problem. An indication of this was the fact that Commission President Santer was not informed immediately of the BSE findings by his own employees. Rather he found out when attending a press conference in Paris on March 21, one day after the U.K. announcement, when a journalist addressed the issue. It could be that the ambiguous concept of subsidarity played 78 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ a role; according to that principle, action should not be taken at the EU level unless there are clear advantages of managing it at a higher level than at the national level. This puts the decision-makers at the European level in the dilemma of when and if they should intervene. In the words of Commissioner Bonino, “The concept [of subsidarity] is certainly rather vague and sometimes applied in a quite different way from its true sense and, at times, not very coherently” (European Parliament, 1997a: 424). Deliberations of what should be done could have had an impact on the stance taken. How to avoid over-reacting just in case it turned out to be no real danger. Decision-makers often strive to reassure and calm down the population in an attempt to avoid a state of uncontrolled panic. A state of panic was not desired was because dramatic decisions could be made that would affect the beef markets in all of the member states for an extended period of time, especially in such a complex and uncertain issue as the BSE incident. On the other hand, by repeatedly issuing optimistic messages in the beginning of a crisis, a credibility trap could develop later on if the beef proved to be dangerous and the Commission had from the start claimed that it was not. Clearly the uncertainties at the beginning of the crisis were considerable (Sundelius et al., 1997:203). It has been suggested by March and Simon that when an individual or an organization is triggered to action by a stimuli, it can be done so in a routinized or problem-solving fashion. If the situation is defined to be similar to a previously managed situation, a routine response behavior will take place. On the other hand, if the situation is perceived as unfamiliar and unlike previous encounters before, a problem-solving behavior will be initiated by searching for other types of appropriate responses for the situation at hand (March & Simon, 1959:140). Even though as discussed, the perception of the problem has perhaps been altered, the situation has to be managed according to the routines and procedures employed when new scientific facts are published. In the BSE crisis, the procedure was to call in the relevant experts in order to determine if further action was warranted. This aspect will be further elaborated in the next chapter with particular focus on the experts’ influence on the decisionmaking process. As the situation escalated both member states and non-member states imposed unilateral bans in a snowball fashion, the situation changed. Uneasiness had become widespread and people were uncertain about buying any sort of beef because of the potential health risks. These factors naturally influenced the stability of the whole beef market and there were demands from the member states to protect public health. Hence the Commission’s standpoint was dramatically altered. On March 22 the Commission declared that the unilateral national bans were in compliance with existing EU legislation used to protect the publics health and safety. The feeling was that there was a need to retake the initiative to be able to achieve an united European solution to what had developed into a European problem. The member states were seen as intruding on the Commission’s competence. 79 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ What was wrong in this procedure was that several member states unilaterally took the decision, pre-judged the outcome and preempted the prerogative of the Commission to take a decision on a community basis or to tell the member states not to do such a measure… (Respondent B). When an issue is to be managed by the Commission, the horizontal service of the Secretariat-General is in charge of designating which DG or DG’s will shoulder what responsibilities and who will take the leadership role. The SG has this role as it regards itself as a neutral service, like a state chancellery, with no interests of its own. It has a watchdog role and sees to it that there is firm compliance with the decisions taken on inter-institutional matters (Europa, 2000 Mission Statement). The lead DG has the advantage that it is in the driving seat and can control the directions but it is of course obligated to consult the other DG’s that have a stake in the matter. Unlikely risks, which could potentially have great implications, are often unplanned for, because it is thought that such an unlikely situation will happen in the distant future, not tomorrow, or if at all (Libertore, 1993: 45). This was the situation that faced the decision-makers in the Commission. There were no plans available as to what to do, no standard operating procedures for a contingency like BSE since such was unforeseeable. It could therefore be an intricate assignment for the SG to assign the leadership regarding the BSE crisis to any particular DG. There was no obvious struggle for the leadership role in the BSE question. Since DG VI had been the leading DG and responsible for the dossier throughout the entire BSE era, or perhaps because no other DG stepped up to the plate, DG VI kept its leadership position throughout the crisis. Commissioner Emma Bonino leader of the DG XXIV, demonstrated an interest in taking the lead or at least a co-leading position in the issue, since she perceived the issue to be more closely connected to public health and not exclusively or totally an agricultural or veterinary issue. DG XXIV was developed from the subgroup Consumer Protection Service, which had formerly been under DG XI. As of 1995 it had been transformed into a full-blown DG, but there were few people who worked with consumer protection in general and with BSE in particular. It is difficult to conclude whether or not the DG XXIV had the leading or even co-leading position. However, the DG XXIV was very active in forming an inter-service group with the responsibility of coordinating information. No other DG made any clear attempt to take charge of the issue, so clearly the DG VI was sitting alone in the hot seat. But an internal conflict over the leadership issue can be detected as the SG claimed that it took over the lead from DG VI on April 5, from one day to another. Their objective for doing so, was that there was the immense need for coordination and for a more integrated view when dealing with such a complex and multifaceted question (Respondent A). This appraisal is judged as a miss-perception at DG VI, the crisis management was there. Contact with the other DG’s (like I, III, V, XII 80 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ and the SG) increased on behalf of DG VI. But their role was no different than the others. Contact with DG XI (Environment, Nuclear Safety and Civil Protection) was not extensive at all. It was not until the initiation of the European Parliament’s inquiry in July 1996 that the SG was given, or took, the lead (Respondent B). One official made the comment that DG VI “…wanted more than the lead” (Respondent K). The view in DG III was that the SG had indeed performed the task of coordination, but since this was a very specialized issue, DG VI had the lead (Respondent C). One fact that should be taken into account is that the DirectorGeneral of the SG at that time, David Williamson, had previously occupied a high-ranking post in DG VI. It seems that DG VI did indeed have the lead until June when the EP initiated its investigation of the management of the BSE crisis. Since the problem was considered by the Commission to be of an agricultural and veterinary nature the decisions were made according to Article 43. Decisions were thus shared between the Council, (meaning the regulatory committees to where the Council power is delegated) and the Commission; thus the European Parliament was thereby excluded from the decision-making process. At DG VI there are routine procedures for foreseeable crises, which concern animal health, but they were not put into action during the BSE crisis, since it was perceived as a problem with implications for public health. There was nothing in place, so improvisation was thought to be needed (Respondent B). They took charge and routinely called in the ScVC as soon as the Commission was informed of the new findings reported by the British scientists. On March 22 the experts met to give their opinions regarding the new information given to DG VI, but the member states’ delegates in the Standing Veterinary Committee (SVC) was not invited until March 22 to have a meeting until March 25. This illustrates how much time it took for the machinery to get started. Even the normal everyday procedures take time. It is a vast and slow structure, but the BSE crisis situation needed swift and critical decision-making. The Commission did not react until March 25 when the embargo decision was agreed upon by the SVC, but then an unlikely decision was made by Santer to abstain, letting the already agreed decision to be implemented. Santer gave in to the threats from the British and called in the SVC again to debate the issue. After an extended scientific debate in the SVC, the decision was once again to implement a ban on British beef and beef-related products following the proposal from DG VI. The dominance of the DG VI is visibly noted since neither DG V or XXIV were allowed to give any input or were asked to comment on the decision to ban beef from the United Kingdom (Respondent K and C). In the process of deciding on gelatin Commissioner Fischler claimed that there was an interdepartmental procedure before the decision on the gelatin could be taken with DG I, III, XXIV, XV and the legal services (European Parliament, 1997a:398). There were no signs of that. This will be discussed in more detail in the next analysis section. But what was actually being managed were the 81 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ consequences of the decisions taken (or not taken) several years ago primarily at the national level in the United Kingdom but also at the European level (namely the incubation period). It would have been impossible to rectify the problem immediately. Whatever was to be done, was too late in the sense that the cows were dead, the victims had already been infected and likely more victims could turn up in the future. Only the prevention of further cases could be accomplished at that point. It is often believed that in a crisis, inter- and as well as intra-organizational rivalry is set aside for the benefit of national or organizational interest. But, there is reason to believe that this view is incorrect or at least incomplete. It can be difficult to detect, since this sort of rivalry is not often displayed in front of the media but behind the scenes (Sundelius et al., 1997:153). During the BSE crisis, rivalry for resources i.e. bureaucratic in-fighting can be detected. DG VI explicitly asked for increased personnel during the most intense periods of the crisis, when the demands were significant. It was an incredible thing to be in the middle of the crisis that was effecting the whole Commission and the Commission was unable to provide the manpower and support that would have allowed us to do a better job. It now came down to a few people that would have to manage the crisis… (Respondent B). The period between May and June 1996 was described as ‘intense’ by the Director General of DG VI, Guy Legras, as a time with hundreds of phone calls, meetings and questions which made it difficult to secure a stringent management of all aspects of the BSE crisis. The personnel that worked with the BSE case worked late every evening, including weekends, to be able to manage the case. Not much time was given to thought. When it comes to managing crisis it is only possible to deal with essential elements of the crisis as they appear if the resources are not extended considerably (European Parliament, 1997b:192 author’s own translation). Certainly the other DG’s might have been apprehensive to lend extra resources to one of the largest DG’s in the Commission (referred to by some as ’a state within the state’). Furthermore the other DG’s did not know if they would be reimbursed. DG VI is exceptional since it has its own legal service which none of the other DGs have and its own external affairs department. Such DG services are uncommon and could have provoked a defensive attitude from the other DGs that could have lent an extra hand. Such internal conflicts suggest that a large bureaucracy should establish procedures on how to transfer personnel in a rapid manner to where assistance is needed. This could enhance the quality of crisis management. 82 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ On the other hand the assertion of DG VI being ‘a state within the state’ might not be an overstatement. At that time DG VI had a couple hundred ‘Grade A’ officials, compared to the DG XXIV which at that time had 41 ‘Grade A’ officials. More revealing, is the fact that DG VI had a budget of 40 billion ECU and DG XXIV had only 19 million (European Parliament, 1997a:429). Even if a postcrisis comparison may be a bit misleading, DG VI has the largest portion of the current budget; about 50% of the resources are allocated to the agriculture. It may as well be a sign that other DGs did not want to involve themselves in the management of the BSE crisis considering its complexity and its lack of apparent gains for the participators. Another important resource was information. DG VI opened its committee meetings for participants from other DGs. DG III could for example keep themselves informed, and put to use their established personal contacts. This was certainly the case since some of the people in DG III had worked for DG VI in the past. The flow of information between the two was characterized by openness, but DG III did not have any influence on the formulation of proposals generated in DG VI regarding the embargo (Respondent C). So the importance of informal contacts played a considerable role in the exchange of information, not only between DG VI and III but also between the other DGs. It seems commonplace to circulate between positions in the various Commission services. Yet the notion of total transparency between the DGs was probably not completely achieved. Bonino commented on this, Our friends in DG VI keep producing all these documents and we do not even have the officials to read them. …we do not have the necessary structure to sort out every document. I am not saying they [DG VI] are doing this deliberately. I am simply saying that total transparency means having ten thousand pages and 41 officials (European Parliament, 1997a:429). It could well be that the other DGs who were interested in monitoring the issue were simply overloaded by the material from DG VI as DG XXIV was. Whether this can be regarded as a strategy to avoid involvement or simply the result of having an unequal distribution of resources among the various departments is unclear but it highlights the difficulties in cooperating in a crisis. In conclusion, it was shown that the perceptions of the actors within the Commission were guided by the well-established assumption that BSE was exclusively an animal disease with no apparent impact on human health. None of the actors could deny that on March 20 BSE became a problem for human health. After a few days of hesitation on behalf of the Commission, when responsibility for BSE was placed in the United Kingdom, the Commission involved itself and went into action. Within the Commission, the existing decision-making structures were utilized. The Agricultural DG kept its leadership role, which it strengthened 83 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ during the BSE era. Since no contingency plan for an unexpected event such as BSE existed, the normal time-consuming procedures were used. This illustrates the need for crisis specific systems. No other DG was either asked or invited to give their input into the drafting of the proposals voted on by the national delegates in the Standing Veterinary Committee. Bureaucratic-politics was shown as officials in the agricultural DG under burdensome stress were denied additional help from other DGs during the crisis. 6.2 Experts in the Decision-Making Process Problems associated with the relationship between experts and decision-makers in decision-making processes will be discussed below. In particular, the discussion will focus on two rather distinct phases of the BSE crisis. The first phase will be centered on the interaction between the experts and the decision-makers regarding the issue of what to do about British beef. The second phase concerns the decision process regarding the issue of gelatin, tallow and bull semen. The usage of experts in coping with uncertainty by decision-makers during crisis conditions is not a new phenomenon. Experts occupied the front stage during the Chernobyl accident, the outbreak of chicken flu in Hong Kong in 1997 and the recurring Ebola outbreaks, just to mention a few. Experts are utilized for several reasons: to legitimize decisions taken under grave uncertainty and thereby reassuring nervous citizens by upholding the posture of being in control supported by expert advice and to reduce uncertainty. Experts have a legitimating function when they are used in the decision-making process. It can be displayed to the public that the decisions taken have had rational and technical reasons behind them (Benveniste, 1977:55). It is not an uncommon opinion that an expert, in contrary to a politician, is rational and only concerned with the facts. As the public, often, cannot even explain the most mundane technological or biological feat, the trust in expert advice is considered to be high. But the question of acceptable risk seems to have a different meaning for experts than for citizens. Society seems to accept the expenditure of smoke-related illnesses or traffic fatalities more easily than those of food poisoning. So far the misuse of Viagra is responsible for more deaths than BSE; however, Viagra is regarded as a wonder-drug. The side that can bring forward the strongest evidence and expertise will have the upper hand in forming the public perception (Fowlkes and Miller, 1988:36). The decisionmaker can then use the advice (as legitimacy insurance) and relieve the pressure of responsibility from themselves. But this can also be the notion of that the expert is some sort of Messiahs who has all the answers; this is especially the case in the beginning of a crisis when the situation is is overcome by a fog of uncertainty (Lagadec, 1991:102). How does a policy-maker know what is good science? Often, the answer is that they do not. Decision-makers often lack the necessary skills to 84 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ know what ‘good’ advice is. Especially when a decision must be made rapidly which is usually the case in a crisis situation. Decision-makers may choose to satisfice or muddle through and select a policy that appears ‘good enough’. That type of behavior can of course expose the decision-making process to failures (Barker and Peters, 1993:9; Janis and Mann, 1977:33). When are experts to be incorporated into the decision-making process? Their role is supposedly more influential the earlier they come into the decision-making process since they can have an influence on how a problem is perceived by decisionmakers (Libertore, 1993:35). Since the outbreak of the BSE disease, experts had been used to advise the Commission decision-makers since they were unfamiliar with the disease. Experts and science have been utilized frequently to calm worried citizens. For example on February 23, 1996, Commissioner Fischler is asked by a MEP if there is any reason to be concerned about a possible spread of BSE to humans. The Commissioner answers in a way by minimizing the insecurity and emphasizing the role of the experts, “All the results of research and epidemiological information are available to the Commission and are reviewed regularly by the scientific veterinary committees… These committees consist of eminent scientists from all Member States” (European Parliament, 1997b:156). There were traces of evidence that BSE could spread to humans; in 1990 scientists succeeded in transferring the BSE agent to pigs. Even though that was achieved by injecting the agent straight into the brain and not by consuming beef, it should have been a wake-up call since pigs are closely related to humans (genetically speaking of course). For instance, pig organs have been transplanted into humans. It could be the case that the ‘cry wolf ’ syndrome was present. It is often unfavorable for an employee in an organization to blow the whistle and if information regarding a risk does not materialize, the effects will not be benevolent for the future career of the individual or the organization. Thereby there is often a tendency to wait-and-see even if suspicion is high, “…a crisis inspires those involved to reject responsibility up and down the line more often than it encourages anyone resolutely to take charge. This is how the development of the situation escapes the organization’s control. Outside players, such as the media, take over” (Lagadec, 1991:53). This may be especially prevalent if there is an established esperit de corps, a camaraderie, within and or among the various expert groups. One example of this sort of behavior was displayed when a Commission accountant made serious allegations to the EP about the misuse of money within the Commission, and was later suspended and ridiculed. Later the allegations proved to be correct (Peters, 1995:299). Even though an individual or a group can recognize a risk, it is a strenuous task to make that view a generally sanctioned one. If one or more influential group(s) can dominate and hijack the opinion of a policy-area, they can influence how the risk is perceived and understood by others. The ScVC (which was DG VI major scientific committee on veterinary matters) had earlier formed a subcommittee on BSE. The subcommittee was to 85 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ a large extent populated with British citizens. Committee members were not appointed based on their nationality but on their scientific qualifications. The presence of many British experts in the subcommittee was because the knowledge of the disease and the availability of infected tissue to perform experiments was almost exclusively found in the United Kingdom according to the Commission. The SVC discussions can have been hijacked by the ScVC and the subgroup on the BSE disease (Baggott, 1998:70). The ScVC and its subgroup had been involved in the BSE matter for an extensive period and can be regarded as an epistemic community with a shared belief system regarding the BSE disease and its eventual influence on human health. The British way of defining this problem may have influenced the views of others. As the subgroup worked solely on the matter of BSE, its influence must have been considerable on the reasoning and perceptions of the ScVC. The phenomenon of groupthink can have been present as the conditions discussed earlier apply here. The ScVC subgroup on BSE had met over fifty times, it reconvened essentially every month to discuss the issue, and in that way the Commission was regularly informed of any new developments (European Parliament, 1997a:25). These two expert groups had never before expressed any great doubts in that BSE could pose a risk for human health. The experts seemed to have established a monopoly on expertise. That can be an explanation to why earlier indications and warnings were overlooked by the experts and the decision-makers. These expert groups were employed by the Commission during the BSE crisis. However, the subcommittee on BSE was not called in during the first days of the crisis since most of the members belonged to the ScVC. The usage of experts in crisis decision-making is not unproblematic. The experts’ non-partisan status can be questioned; they may themselves be beholden to one or another constituency and therefore give a biased opinion. When experts are asked for an opinion regarding a complex problem they utilize socially constructed models and concepts, which are dependent on the experts’ conceptualization of social reality. Decision-makers have to aware of this when they are given an answer from experts (Benveniste, 1977:3). That can result in conflicting views of science by experts, which puts the decision-maker in a bit of dilemma. Quarreling experts can in itself lead to a crisis, as this will delay an opinion and will enhance stress for decision-makers when hearing technical discussions that lead nowhere (Lagadec, 1991:98). In the BSE crisis, this problem was present, but not with the Commission’s own experts. The experts employed in the ScVC performed the first evaluation when DG VI was preparing a proposal on what to do about the beef from the United Kingdom. It did not result in any discussion, and a consensus document was reached. At the next stage in the process, the SVC did debate the issue twice. During the second meeting experts from the United Kingdom were granted permission to present their case, the debate quickly deteriorated into a scientific 86 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ discussion among experts which the more generalist national delegates had difficulties following. By then additional experts had been brought in from other member states as well. If there were any doubts of the most appropriate decision to take in the light, or perhaps darkness, of science, the expert communities heated discussions manifested at least that there was no certainty that BSE could not be spread to humans. The Commission’s own experts were not quarreling like the outside experts brought in from the member states. How a problem is defined by decision-makers is consequential, as it will have serious repercussions for which structures of experts and organizations are eventually consulted to have an opinion when a crisis is perceived. This kind of issue capturing can have many unforeseen consequences. For example when the AIDS crisis broke out, the problem was mainly defined by decisionmakers as one of involving virologists, which resulted in that other types of expertise were not employed as for example public health experts which could have altered the path of the crisis. Simple things such as education about safesex practices in the beginning of the crisis could have probably saved many lives (Perrow & Guillén, 1990:28). The definition of the problem may not only concern which experts are used, but also which solutions are considered. “That problem may be solved to some degree once the problem is defined; certain experts go with certain problem definitions” (Barker & Peters, 1993:8). Instead of decision-makers themselves being in charge of the definition of a situation, an alternative is to let the commonly used experts define the problem themselves. “There is a tendency for organizations to be colonized by a single perspective on a problem and therefore by a single set of experts” (Barker & Peters, 1993:8). That can result in a situation where not much new advice or perspectives are offered but the advantage is that the policy-makers are not meet with any surprises and no time is wasted in getting acquainted. If decision-makers are not familiar with an issue, which entails that there is no existing policy, there is a high probability that the experts themselves frame the issue and define the interests of the decision-makers (Baggott, 1998). If decisionmakers implement the expert advice that they have received without any changes, they themselves might become “…caught in the mistakes, modes and uncertainties of scientific knowledge” (Beck, 1998: 13). There is also the risk that by delegating the task of defining the problem to experts, they hand-over as well the assignment of clarifying which possible options and solutions are available for the emerging situation. “The definition of the alternatives is the supreme instrument of power” (E.E. Schattschneider quoted in Haas, 1992:16). As the BSE crisis erupted DG VI handed over the findings from the British experts to their own experts to conclude whether or not any action should be taken by the SVC after a proposal from DG VI. The task of defining the problem and solutions were therefore handed over to the experts. The spokesperson for Commissioner Fischler, Gerry Kiely, said, 87 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Clearly there is concern. If the veterinary committee decides something must be done, the Commission will react rapidly. The only way to restore trust and credibility over BSE and beef is not more assurances from ministers, but clear and firm advice, based on scientific evidence – evidence (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-03-22). Decision-makers have to decide which expert structures to make use of, inclusion versus exclusion. When asking for or taking advice, it is not an unbiased action. The question of who should be asked has an influence on the response (Street, 1993:151). But it is also a question of availability, especially in a novel situation, necessary expertise has to be located. There are several options available. One is the use of in-house experts, i.e. existing structures in the organizational sphere. But the legitimacy commanded by in-house experts are regularly not in parity with the kind of reputation that ‘outside’ expertise provide. In-house experts can be regarded as ‘pet-scientists’ of the organization and their objectivity can be questioned by outside actors. The other option is to search for outside expertise but that can be time-consuming. Regularly the need for outside expertise is not recognized and when it is, there is often hesitation acting on it because that would mean a loss of prestige for having to seek expertise from another organization or even another country. “In general, no organization and no country likes to admit defeat and may struggle along with inadequate advice rather than seek it externally” (Barker and Peters, 1993:9). This might not be regarded, as a problem for the Commission since it does not have any expertise of its own. Instead a technique to relieve great uncertainty before a complex issue can be used to avoid an eventual blame-game after the crisis by sharing the burden and the risk by, “Making sure that, at every stage of the policy process, the right chairs have been warmed at the right committee table by the appropriate institutions, everything possible has been done and no one could possibly be blamed if things go wrong” (Henderson, 1977 quoted in Richardson, 1996:15). In a crisis situation with high stress and uncertainty, the need for swiftness urges decision-makers to use their regularly consulted experts. There is no time to expand the circle of experts involved. The advantages are that it is probably a more rapid conduct since there is no time needed to get acquainted. But the risk is that the experts do not possess the qualifications called for and that legitimacy can be disputed (Lagadec, 1991:95). As the BSE problem was a novel situation, there were no standard operating procedures or routines on what action should be taken by the decision-makers. Since DG VI took the lead and defined it as mainly a veterinary question, albeit with public health implications, they reacted by making use of the standard operating procedures used when facing a scientific problem. The procedures had been to convene the ScVC to analyze new findings, and to evaluate and to conclude what should be considered regarding future action (European Parliament, 1997a:49).There is a tendency to use the normal procedures that have 88 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ functioned well in the past but which may not be appropriate in other situations, meaning using politics as usual when vigilant decision-making is called for, “…procedures tend to produce standard responses to non-standard problems.” (Baggott, 1998:204). A standard procedure was used,the DG VI gathered ScVC two days after the announcement, which was the first major action taken by DG VI after the crisis had broken out to evaluate the findings from the United Kingdom. This is a situation where we are talking about a totally new disease. It was a disease about which no one had any knowledge. It is a new phenomenon. Under those circumstances you do not jump into deep water and take a lot of decisions without any foundation (Hoelgaard in the European Parliament, 1997a:31). The experts did not offer any advice, which was later considered helpful by the decision-makers in the SVC. Although the ScVC met for several hours, the opinion reached during the meeting was a consensus document, which stated that the precautions taken thus far were adequate and only a few details had to be looked over. The role of the ScVC is to supply the DG VI officials with a risk assessment about further action when drafting a proposal that will be given to the SVC. It could be questioned why a matter that had been presented by experts in Britain had to be discussed by experts of the Commission. Valuable time could have been saved if a proposal had been put directly to the SVC that would have decided how to react to the British experts’ statement. Instead the national officials in the SVC who were about to vote, received an interpretation by the Commission’s own scientific experts. The argument from the Commission was that it needed a scientific risk assessment, which it was not legally bound by, from its experts in order for the arguments to be valid before the ECJ. Political decisions had to be based on expert opinions, otherwise that could cause further problems (European Parliament, 1997a:21). The officials are neither experts nor scientists and they had no competence in the area, so it was difficult for them to come to the conclusion that the British scientists were either right or wrong (European Parliament, 1997a:66). There were no clear communication lines between the ScVC and the SVC. The risk assessment was given to the Commission officials, who then designed a proposal, which was then given to the national officials in the SVC. They did not receive the complete minutes of the deliberations in the ScVC. One delegate in the SVC stated in front of the hearings that they were only partially aware of the information coming from the experts (Ammendrup in European Parliament, 1997a:15). The Commission can thus be said to have a powerful tool in setting the agenda in the scientific committees (Joerges and Neyer, 1997:617). But it may only be a superficial view that the national officials are not aware of what is debated among the experts. It may well be so that notes are given to ‘their’ national delegates. 89 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ DG VI did not in a decisive way open up the network of experts in the first phase of the crisis. A couple of experts on CJD research were included at the meeting of the ScVC. The group of experts who had been dealing with the matter, since it first appeared in the late 1980s, was given the task of defining the problem and, also in a way, the solution to the problem. Since DG VI had the leadership, no other expert group within the Commission was utilized in the first phase. The idea of additional expert sources was not regarded as an option. Hoelgaard at DG VI, We do not normally have competing scientific committees where one can correct the other. We have scientific committees which are composed of reputable scientist proposed by the Member States. It would be a strange situation if we were to institute a parallel scientific group which could contradict or criticize what the other scientific group has done. Then we would not be able to have any scientific advice on which we could act. There would then be the situation where scientific advice was going in all sorts of different directions (European Parliament, 1997a:271). Visibly there is a difference in the BSE crisis. In the first phase there was no time for experts from the other DGs to have an opinion regarding what to decide on the safety of British beef. But when the gelatin issue was debated in the Commission, it was different. A different procedure was used. This process was more extended in time and other DGs used their scientific committees to deliberate whether gelatin, tallow and bull semen should be allowed to be traded. This may have been the case since initially the problem of banning British beef was not thought of having any grave consequences at the European level and, hence the need for extensive evaluation was not present. What had been forgotten in the haste to decide on British beef when the crisis broke out was the chain of products. It was not the usual procedure to have several scientific committees evaluating the same material. Even though there were voices raised during the proceeding deliberations on British beef to allow gelatin be excluded, no exceptions were made. The officials in DG VI and some member states on the SVC commenced to push for the relaxation of the ban on gelatin soon after the Agricultural Council on April 1-3 had left the issue for the Commission to decide. Thereby several other committees had the issue of gelatin on their agenda. The ScVC was soon to convene on April 9 after the Council meeting. DG VI had in its possession reports from the WHO, an preliminary report from the Gelatin Manufacturers of Europe and other scientific reports, and it stated that gelatin was safe with certain restrictions which were given to the experts to evaluate. The fact that the Commission officials based themselves on scientific material from outside organizations such as the WHO and the Gelatin Manufacturers of Europe displays that the Commission is in fact dependent upon outside expertise. The Commission does not have its own research laboratories and is therefore vulnerable if the material they receive and use is inaccurate. After having met several times to discuss these issues and based on the material 90 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ from DG VI, the veterinary experts gave the clearance to ease the ban on gelatin, tallow and bull semen. This was done in a consensual fashion on April 26. But a member of the ScVC has testified that there were a pressure to conclude that gelatin was safe to use with certain restrictions. “When members or bureau staff on the SVC were present, our discussions [on gelatin] were never easy. They [DG VI and member state officials] tried to present their views in these other committees too…” (Somogyi in European Parliament, 1997a:151). Tension began to grow within the Commission as other scientific committees belonging to other DGs had drawn the conclusion that the ban on gelatin should not be lifted due to the fact that the safety of gelatin had not been thoroughly researched. Both the Scientific Committee on Cosmetics and the Scientific Committee on Food were against such a proposal. But DG VI did not regard these committees to be fully informed, since they had not been dealing with BSE for a long time. So they went ahead with the proposal and were therefore neglected when the proposal was drafted. The process of deciding on the gelatin proposal will be elaborated in the next section. It turned out that the material that was used as the foundation for the ScVC’s decision was found to be erroneous. When the Invernesk laboratory handed in the final report from the Gelatin Manufacturers of Europe, it was found to falsify the results of the preliminary report that the ScVC had used. The Commission and especially DG VI (who had strongly advocated that gelatin be allowed for export) were heavily criticized internally as well as from the member states that voted against the proposal. The officials tried to distance themselves from allegations of having sided with the British in the gelatin proposal. Hoelgaard at DG VI stated at the EP hearings, “I wish to state publicly that they [The Gelatin Manufacturers of Europe] deliberately withheld information from the Commission and from scientists which was the basis on which the Commission made its proposal [to ease the embargo on gelatin] to the Council” (European Parliament, 1997a:233). The Commission tried to avoid blame by displaying that several other sources had been used as a basis for the proposal and that other organizations like the WHO and OIE had stated that gelatin was safe with certain restrictions. In conclusion, the BSE issue demonstrates clearly how rapidly a ‘technical’ issue can transform into a question with far-reaching political repercussions for all member states. Committees composed of independent experts of Commission and national officials, and of veterinarians in the SVC (who were used to dealing with specific and technical issues) were given the responsibility of managing the complex situation. It was no longer a technical problem, i.e. non-political, but a highly political and sensitive one with delicate national feelings connected to the management and the final outcome. The committees (of both types; with experts and national officials) played an important role in several phases of the decisionmaking process, preparation, decision-making and implementation. Committee processes had a considerable impact since they were involved in the decisionmaking that was legally binding at the national level. 91 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Experts who had a leading role from the beginning of the BSE disease continued to be influential in the outcomes of the crisis decision-making. After DG VI had defined the crisis as a veterinary matter the ScVC was given the task of defining what actions, if any, were to be considered. The expert monopoly that the ScVC and its subgroup on BSE enjoyed continued to display itself during the decision process regarding gelatin. Even though other committees in the Commission gave voice to other opinions regarding gelatin, they were disregarded until the report (which claimed gelatin to be safe) that the DG VI experts had used turned out to be false. That incident exposed the vulnerability of the Commission without having its own research capabilities and having to use (among others) a source closely connected to the agricultural industry. 6.3 What Role does the European Commission Play in Crisis Decision-Making? It was initially asked what kind of system the European Union has become. Has a multi-level governance system developed where the member states have to yield their power to a supranational structure, namely the Commission? Both of the two streams of thought have a diametrical understanding of the Commission’s status in the decision-making process. Intergovernmentalists contend that the Commission should be regarded as an arena for the member states to solve their common problems, and insititionalists on the other hand claim that the Commission should be regarded as an actor influencing the member states with its own merits. The following discussion will focus on the role of the Commission in the various steps of the decision-making process in the BSE crisis. What also will be touched upon is the argument that the Commission’s influence might be even greater in times of great uncertainty (in terms of a specific issue) and no clear preferences are expressed by the member states on how to deal with the issue. When the crisis was triggered, the Commission did not initially react forcefully, since BSE was not believed to cause any dangerous consequences for the other member states. As discussed in 6.1, the Commission began to involve itself once the member states began to implement import bans which breached the EU legislation and intruded on the Commission’s competence. The decision-making triggered by the crisis began in the member states because most of them introduced their own measures before the Commission could react; thereby, causing a struggle over leadership. These national unilateral decisions were overstepping the member states competence, as a safeguard decision has to be first approved by the Commission. By doing this, the member states by-passed the one institution created for just the purpose, to manage problems that could not be effectively managed on the national level. The purpose for this action was stated publicly at least, as a reaction to the fear for public health and safety, but it could be that the stability of 92 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ their own beef markets and export markets could have been undermined by the presence of British beef on their domestic markets. Another speculation is that the crisis was used as an opportunity to increase national market shares in beef exports as the United Kingdom was a significant export country. Or perhaps the member states wanted to simply ‘teach’ the United Kingdom a lesson, since it had blocked many suggestions put forth by the other member states to speed up European integration. Several issues (such as the social chapter in the Union, the launch of the European Monetary Union and institutional reforms proposed to meet the challenge of enlargement) had been delayed or blocked by the United Kingdom. Irrespective of the reasons, the national actions did not facilitate a common approach to a problem, which effected all the member states. Earlier studies which have investigated the common approaches to international military crises taken by the EU member states (like Afghanistan in 1979, Poland in 1980-82 and Libya in 1986), found that even if cooperation had been desired, it had not been achievable, “When it comes to a crisis, every member government would like political cooperation to be more effective, more solid and faster-moving in its defense of vital concerns…” (Winn, 1986:68). One explanation for those difficulties has been that the member states have diverse, and sometimes even opposing, interests, which stands in the way of a collective stance when a crisis appears. However the United Kingdom was partly successful in gaining support for a common stance in the EU, when it introduced economic sanctions against Argentina during the conflict over the Falkland Islands in the early eighties (Martin, 1992). There are, of course, significant differences between that type of crisis and the BSE crisis. The BSE crisis did not have a military dimension and it was not an external problem, but rather an internal problem with repercussions for all of the EU member states. The Commission, employed its own expert committees, which were independent of the member states, to analyze the findings from one of the member states. The Commission has a great amount of influence on the discussions since it sets the agenda for the scientific committees. These committees are subordinate to the will of the Commission, e.g. used when thought to be relevant (Joerges and Neyer, 1997:617). From the results of the expert deliberations, the Commission proceeded to draft a proposal, which was to be given to the Councils delegated instrument of decision-making, the regulatory committees, which in this case was the Standing Veterinary Committee. The Commission was free to disregard the recommendations of the experts and had the opportunity to formulate its own preferences in the proposal. In addition, the Commission set the agenda and acted as the chair people in the SVC as well. Hence, the Commission had according to the treaties, the privilege of being the initiator of decision-making and it can be said that it had considerable influence on the proposals contents. The proposal for a ban on British beef that was given to the SVC by the Commission on March 25 was not limited but was left open-ended. The ScVC had 93 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ not been overly drastic when suggesting measures; the legislation in place was considered sufficient enough for protecting public health even though further measures would have been welcomed. It is difficult to conclude how much pressure the Commission officials felt to deliver a British beef ban proposal from the governments of the member states, the consumers and the agricultural lobby groups. But the conclusions made by the British experts and government officials that British beef was not dangerous did not obviously convince the EU officials. Since the Commission officials initiate policies at the European level, which are then implemented and observed nationally, the Commission is vulnerable to criticism and blame since the responsibility can be placed on the supranational level. The Commission has always had the difficulty that if it goes too far it will be criticized; if we do not go to far enough, we will be criticized. When you are criticized from both sides, it often means that you are somewhere in the middle and you have probably got it right (Marchant from the DG VI in European Parliament, 1997a:331). The Commission seems, in general, to avoid proposing legislation that does not have the support from the member states in the Council or committees, because the Commission would loose credibility without such support. Studies that have been performed on the voting behavior in the various EU committees display that 90 per cent of opinions were favorable to the Commissions standpoint (Demmke, 1998:16). When the decision was made by the SVC to implement a ban, President Santer was threatened by Prime Minister Major to abstain from such a decision, which Santer later did. A leader from one member state compelled the Commission to refrain from taking a decision which the other fourteen member states had agreed upon. But, what must be remembered is that a large, influential and sovereign country like the United Kingdom risked loosing a business worth £550 million per year because fourteen member state governments and the Commission thought its beef was a public health hazard which could have grave implications on the common market. This issue was greatly debated by the scientific community, and perhaps it could be that there was no risk involved with consuming beef (Ratzan, 1998:169). During this first phase, the Commission was pressured by the member states governments and can not be said to have had much influence on the outcome of the proposal to ban British beef exports. The Commission would have reached a certain dismissal of a proposal on any other action than a ban of beef in the SVC. The issue would then have gone directly to the Agricultural Council where the outcome would as well have been given as most of the member states had already implemented unilateral bans. But on the issue of gelatin, the uncertainty was as well great but several member states did not have a clear opinion about it at the 94 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ time of the Agricultural Council April 1-3. Nevertheless the Commission was given the task to decide. So the Commission had more room to maneuver on how to decide on gelatin after having consulted expertise on the subject. The Commission, DG VI, who in this case had the lead, forcefully advocated lifting the ban on gelatin after the ScVC had given its vindication. Before the proposal on gelatin was given to the SVC, a harsh exchange of letters between President Santer and Prime Minister Major had taken place. Major had kept threatening Santer with the objective to ease the ban that had been put in place or there would be retaliation in the form of sanctions against the Commission and the Union. Santer and the Commission responded by claiming such threats and blackmailing would not be effective and that the decision to ease the ban and allow gelatin to be exported would be based on scientific reasoning. When the proposal was debated by the SVC on May 15 great uncertainty was displayed by the fact that the meeting was adjourned without a conclusive vote. When a final vote was taken on May 20, the Union was divided, and a QMV was not achieved. Germany, Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands, Austria and Luxembourg had voted against the Commission’s proposal. The Council’s delegation of power to the regulatory Standing Veterinary Committee was then revoked. It was decided that the issue would be settled instead by the member states agricultural ministers in the Council. Since there was no definitive agreement on the issue of gelatin, the United Kingdom implemented its threat to introduce a non-cooperation policy. The United Kingdom introduced it on May 21 as a way of showing displeasure that no agreement had been attained on gelatin and as a way of blackmailing the other member states into accepting a relaxation of the ban. Normal cooperation would not be possible until tangible results had been achieved. In the first (common) pillar of the Union, the United Kingdom could not significantly disrupt business. For example UK officials did not show up or take part in the decision-making but it did not mean the end of the EU since voting is conducted by either a simple or qualified majority vote. In the second and third intergovernmental pillars (where unanimity is needed for decision-making), it would not be possible to achieve anything without the cooperation of the United Kingdom. The situation had changed. Earlier the United Kingdom had previously thought that it had been bullied and locked into a corner when the Commission and the other member states decided on the beef ban. But the Commission and the member states were at that time being held hostage to a degree by one member state. This came at a most disadvantageous time for most of the member states, although not for the United Kingdom. One important Inter-Governmental Conference (IGC) had already been hijacked by the BSE issue, (in Turin on March 29). The main task had then been to discuss a new treaty to follow the Maastricht Treaty and to lay the foundation for the upcoming IGC in Florence in June. That meeting would mainly focus on institutional reforms’, for example, to reform the voting rules to be able to manage an eventual eastward expansion. Other important subjects (like 95 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ a common foreign and defense policy, and programs to combat mounting unemployment) had also been on the agenda. When Major announced the noncooperation policy, he stated: Progress will not be possible in the Intergovernmental Government Conference or elsewhere until we have agreement on lifting the ban on beef derivatives and a clear framework in place leading to lifting of the wider ban. I expect an agreement on how to deal with these problems to be behind us by the time the European Council meets in Florence on 21/22 June. If they are not, the Florence meeting is bound to be dominated by this issue (John Major in UK House of Commons, 96-05-21). Major therefore had considerable leverage in trying to coerce the other member states to abolish the ban and if that was not possible, to at least accept a relaxation of the ban on gelatin, tallow and bull semen. The Commission responded by stating, A solution can only be achieved through the proper functioning of the Union’s institutions and procedures which it is in all member states’ interests to safeguard. The Commission will continue to work towards a progressive lifting of the export ban in the light of available scientific evidence and eradication measures (The Electronic Telegraph, 96-05-22). The Commission thus kept arguing for a relaxation of the ban on gelatin, tallow and bull semen despite the non-cooperation policy from the United Kingdom. The Commission tried to free itself from suspicion that it had sided with any member state and especially the United Kingdom. Instead the Commission tried to manifest a sense of neutrality in retaliation to the pressures from the member states by claiming that science was the determining factor behind the gelatin proposal. Santer asserted, I did not allow myself to be swayed by political pressure, or submit to blackmail, but that I kept the ship headed on the basis of the scientific opinion we had available at the time, that we were able to resolve the crisis, at least in part (European Parliament, 1997a:437). A proposal from the Commission was presented to a special meeting of the Agricultural Council June 3-4. Negotiations regarding the Commission’s proposal at the Council did not turn out to be productive; neither a dismissal nor an approval had been achieved. The only member state to alter its position was Spain which decided to vote for a relaxation of the ban. The uncertainties of the status of the three products (gelatin, tallow and bull semen) were such that the member states could not come to an agreement. According to the treaties, it was now the task of the Commission (acting on 96 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ behalf of its own powers) to decide on the proposal which the member states had failed to dismiss or accept. The College of Commissioners decided to accept the proposal and to ease the embargo, which it had designed by itself. By exercising its decision privilege, the Commission acted like a government, which is not popularly elected. The popularly elected European Parliament could not involve itself since the matter was to be decided according to Article 43 of the Treaty. The Commission had overruled six member states, including Germany (which is often regarded as one of the most influential member states since it was one of the original members) and the third biggest economic power in the world. Through the acceptance of the proposal of the Commission, it supports the reasoning that the Commission’s power to promote its own line of thought is greater when the member states are unsure of their own preferences. In conclusion, the Commission’s role in the decision-making process throughout the BSE crisis can be described as being both an arena for the member states to negotiate out their differences and an actor in its own right. The process leading up to the beef ban was led by a few member states that wanted a specific decision to be taken. The Commission had no other conceivable possibility, but to facilitate the terms of a ban and to act as an ‘honest broker’ of the interests even though it had the right of initiative. On the other hand, regarding the issue of gelatin (where uncertainty was as well great but there seemed to be no clear preference on behalf of the member states neither in the SVC or in the Council), the Commission was able to advocate its own line of thought successfully. By doing so the Commission triumphed over six member states, including Germany, for the sake of three products. In the BSE case the presumption that the Commission as a supranational institution can have a decisive role when it comes to decision-making at the European level can be observed. 97 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 7. Conclusions This study set out with the ambition to perform an explorative and hypothesisgenerative single-case study by applying a process-tracing method directed at the decision-making process of the EU Commission during the BSE crisis. This was carried out with a cognitive-institutional framework, which combined psychological and organizational modes of explanation. It was hoped that such a study should be valuable in gaining insight into crisis decision-making at the European level. Furthermore, since a crisis is not regarded as an isolated event but rather as a reoccurring phenomenon, a single-case study with the goal of facilitating a comparison should be a promising contribution to the effort of theory development on crisis management at the European level. The BSE case demonstrated well how a national occurrence had significant effects on the developing multi-level European system (i.e. at the local, regional, national and supranational level). As an integrated community in many policy sectors, the EU is like a wind-chime or a nursery mobile; when there is a disturbance somewhere, consequences move up and down the different levels of the European Union. The BSE case adequately displayed the downsides of integration and internationalization. The European Union’s weakness of being vulnerable for one member state’s actions was shown and suggests the continued need for barriers (for the sake of public health) even if it means interfering with the fundamental idea of freedom of movement for goods within Europe. It was assumed that the crisis definition written by Sundelius et al., would be useful as a departure point for assessing if the BSE situation had been perceived as a crisis. The three criteria that define a crisis definition were satisfied. Decisionmakers in the Commission recognized that several values were at stake, that there was limited time available and that great uncertainty plagued the situation. The values found to be at stake were issues of public health and restoring consumer confidence. If beef originating from any member state was called into question it would have in turn affected the stability of the EU beef market and subsequently the financial situation. The Commission could be at risk of loosing its legitimacy and credibility by not successfully managing an internal problem within the Union. The United Kingdom exercised a non-cooperation policy during the BSE crisis just as an important Inter-Governmental Conference was approaching and several member states were giving voice to isolationistic and protectionistic ideas. There was a danger of loosing pace in the integration process and in the long run the whole idea of close cooperation in Europe. Besides the negative effects associated with the crisis (the death of innocent people, public panic, and economic, legitimacy and credibility losses for the involved actors), there is another side of the coin, crisis as an opportunity. The 98 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ idea of a crisis only having negative implications is common, but opportunities can arise. The notion of a crisis being a facilitator of change and learning in the European Union system should be entertained and studied further. The BSE crisis focused attention on the secretive committee system which was then radically changed in 1997 when many scientific committees were transferred to the Consumer DG, a multi-disciplinary committee was established to avoid having an issue being captured by a single expert group, attempts have been made to reconstruct decision-making in the Unions’ largest area agriculture (Article 43) and thereby increasing the role of the popular elected European Parliament and increasing transparency as the flow of documents from the Commission to the EP improved during the investigation of mismanagement of BSE. In section 6.1 the internal dynamics of decision-making in the Commission were scrutinized by assuming that the Commission was not to be regarded as a unit but rather composed of several actors and that it would be rewarding to apply a bureaucratic-politics perspective. The perception of the officials all converged into the notion that the BSE disease would not be harmful for public health, thereby no preparation for such a contingency was needed. In the beginning the Commission did not involve itself since the responsibility of managing the BSE issue was allocated to the United Kingdom. Nevertheless, when several member states began to implement unilateral bans (in violation of EU legislation and the Commission’s competence), the Commission went into action. It decreed that the bans were legitimate for protecting public health and for the sake of reaching a common approach to BSE. It could as well be a token that the Commission’s structure and system was not designed nor prepared, for crisis decision-making when time is limited. Within the Commission there was no overt struggle for leadership which could be expected given the fact that the BSE issue was multifaceted combining agricultural, veterinary, public health and industrial elements. The agricultural DG, which had a well-established leadership position and was in charge of BSE since it had appeared, continued to be in the lead until July 1996. Even if attempts were made by the Secretariat-General to take over the issue to achieve a centralized Commission approach and the Consumer DG tried to obtain at a minimum a co-lead position, these were not successful. But the Consumer DG was at the time a small DG with limited resources and could not be said to be an equal partner to the large Agricultural DG. After having studied the internal dynamics of the decision-making during the crisis in the Commission, it can be suggested that the Commission should not be regarded as a single actor but is constituted of multiple actors advocating their individual views on how a problem should be dealt with. The Agricultural DG was strained by the pressures of the crisis and during the course of the crisis asked for reinforcements in the form of extra personnel, but the requests were denied by the other DGs. One possible reason for that could have been the concern for an already unfavorable 99 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ balance of bureaucratic power to get worse. It can therefore be suggested that during crises an eventual unity and a state of cooperation between the various DGs will not be present but replaced by turf-fighting, i.e. bureaucratic-politics over leadership and resources. In section 6.2 the experts’ role in the decision-making process was explored. Due to the complex and technical character of the crisis, the experts’ role was found to be very influential. As the agricultural DG VI held the lead, its experts on the Scientific Veterinary Committee and in the subgroup on BSE were given the task of defining the problem and suggesting solutions in accordance to the standard operating procedures that were utilized. These well-established committees were shown to inhibit a monopoly on the advice about BSE expressed in the Commission. The monopoly position was prominently displayed during the decision process on gelatin, tallow and bull semen. Expert committees belonging to other DGs did not approve of the idea that the ban on these three products should be lifted, but their views were not taken into account by DG VI since they were regarded as not knowledgeable enough on BSE. The vulnerability of the Commission, in being dependent upon external scientific material, was displayed when a report ordered by an organization with close ties to the Agricultural Industry proved to be inaccurate. This report, among others, had been decisive for the Commission’s experts when giving authorization to relax the ban on the three bovine products from the United Kingdom. It may therefore be suggested that the Commission’s capacity to manage crises is dependent upon how it receives access to information (which is needed by its experts to issue an opinion to the officials in charge of drafting proposals for the member states’ delegates). In section 6.3 the Commission’s role in the decision-making process during the BSE crisis was discussed. Could the Commission be described as being an arena for the member states to battle out their differences or as an actor displaying its autonomy from the member states? It was found that the Commission assumed both parts in various phases of the crisis. The process leading up to the British beef ban was led by member states, which demanded a specific decision to be taken. The Commission had no other conceivable possibility but to facilitate the terms of a ban and to act as an ‘honest broker’. On the other hand, when it came to the decision on gelatin, tallow and bull semen the Commission could advocate its line of thought successfully since there was a great sense of uncertainty and the member states had no clear stance in the SVC or in the Council. By exercising its autonomy the Commission neutralized six member states, including Germany, which did not want a relaxation of the ban. From the BSE, case the presumption can be made that the Commission as an supranational institution can have a decisive role when it comes to decision-making in crises at the European level. This may certainly be the case when there are uncertainties on behalf of the member states. That suggests that it is of interest and value to continue studying the Commission in crisis decision-making and not focus solely on crisis decison-making in the member states. 100 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Furthermore the vulnerability of the Commission and the European Union system as a whole was vividly shown when a member state concludes that it will not cooperate until its preferences are implemented. The Commission and the other member states were in a precarious situation since the Intergovernmental Conference was coming up where the future of the European Union was to be discussed. On the other hand, the BSE crisis may be an indicator that a single member state is just as vulnerable to the pressures of the other member states that have decided a certain course of action. The Commission can also be seen as being exposed to criticism from the member states. There are inspections on agricultural products at the local, regional, national levels but not at the supranational level. But, responsibility and blame can be allocated to that level. It is often said that in war the first victim is the truth. When it comes to managing internal EU crises at the European level the first victim could be suggested to be ‘the will to cooperate’. Several suggestions have been made that could be used in further studies on crisis decision-making at the European level. Objections that the BSE case is in itself a unique occurrence could probably be sustained due to its vast implications, but the inherent characteristics and processes of this case should be similar to other crises. This goes as well for the argument that the structure of the European Union changed after the BSE crisis, (for example, features such as decision-making in a crisis where important values are at stake, limited time is available, there is great uncertainty and the vast involvement of experts) are most likely to be present in other crises cases. It should therefore be possible to use the results of this study for comparisons with previous or future crisis management cases at the European level. Finally, the BSE crisis displayed that crises do not come and go; they often stay with decision-makers, but change configuration. A crisis can have effects for a long time after the acute period. The member states now in the year 2000 are having immense difficulties agreeing upon the status of British beef; now that the EU’s own experts have declared it to be safe. 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(1998) “Comparing Environmental Policy-Making in Transnational Institutions.” Journal of European Public Policy. 5(4)671:90. 111 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Appendix 1 List of Abbreviations BSE CAP CJD COPA DG ECJ EP DG I DG III DG V DG VI DG XI DG XV DG XXIV IGC LS MAT MEP NFU nv-CJD OIE QMV ScC ScFC ScVC SEA SEAC SVC SG WHO 112 Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy Common Agricultural Policy Creutzfeldt-Jakobs Disease European Farmers Organization Directorate-General of the EU Commission European Court of Justice European Parliament External Relations Industry Employment, Industrial Relations and Social Affairs Agricultural Council Environment, Nuclear Safety and Civil Protection Internal Market and Financial Services Consumer Policy and Consumer Health Protection Intergovernmental Conference Legal Service of the Commission Maastricht Treaty Member of the European Parliament National Farmers Union (UK) New Variant Creutzfeldt-Jakobs Disease Office International des Epizooties Qualified Majority Vote Scientific Committee for Cosmetics Scientific Food Committee Scientific Veterinary Committee Single European Act Spongiform Encephalopathy Advisory Committee (to the government of the United Kingdom) Standing Veterinary Committee Secretariat-General of the Commission World Health Organization Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Appendix 2 EU-kommissionens hantering av galna kokrisen 1996 I mars 1996 presenterade regeringen i Storbritannien en rapport som pekade på att människor kunde ha blivit drabbade av en mänsklig form av galna kosjukan. Rapporten visade att 10 ungdomar hade infekterats eller hade dött av något som man misstänkte var en mänsklig variant av djursjukdomen galna kosjukan (BSE). Vid den tidpunkten var redan 165 000 djur sjuka eller avlidna i BSE. EU-kommissionen övervägde möjligheten att stoppa britternas export av nötkött. Men innan kommissionen hann fatta något beslut började medlemsstaterna agera på egen hand. Relationerna mellan länder i unionen försämrades snabbt. Beslutsfattarna i kommissionen behövde skyndsamt visa medborgarna i Europa att det inte var någon fara för människors hälsa, skydda den interna och den externa köttmarknaden och samtidigt visa handlingskraft och krishanteringsförmåga. Jesper Grönvall har skrivit en rapport om hur kommissionen hanterade denna kris. Sedan 1986 hade enskilda experter påpekat att galna kosjukan skulle kunna överföras till människor. Myndigheterna i Storbritannien förnekade detta tills den 20 mars 1996, då man alltså offentligt gick ut med en expertrapport som påvisade en eventuell koppling. Galna kosjukan är en neurologisk sjukdom som förstör hjärnan på djuren. Den mänskliga varianten (ny variant av Creutzfeldt-Jakobs sjukdom, nv-CJS) har en liknande effekt, människan dör när hjärnan slutar att fungera. Svåra val för kommissionen Stressiga situationer som kriser innebär ofta svåra val för de personer som måste fatta beslut. Jesper Grönvall skriver i sin studie ”Managing Crisis in the European Union, The Commission and ‘Mad Cow Disease’”, om vilka val och dilemman EU-kommissionen ställdes inför i och med galna kokrisen. Skulle man genast stoppa Storbritanniens export av nötkött? Ett sådant beslut kunde skapa panik bland medborgarna och ekonomisk katastrof för många bönder och industrier. Eller var det bättre att vänta tills brittiska experter kunde komma med mer information och klargöra situationen? Detta val kunde också få katastrofala konsekvenser om det sedan visade sig att galna kosjukan kunde överföras till människor. Politiskt var det mycket viktigt att situationen hanterades väl. En instabil politisk situation kunde bli ett svårt hinder för de kommande regeringsmötena i Turin och Florens samma år där bland annat utvidgningen av EU skulle diskuteras. 113 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ Beslut som påverkar krisen Jesper Grönvall har valt att fokusera sin studie på de beslut som institutionerna i EU fattade under perioden 20 mars – 26 juni 1996. Han har analyserat flera kritiska beslutstillfällen i galna kokrisen. Två av dem är särskilt intressanta och har påverkat utvecklingen av krisen mycket. Det första beslut som kommissionen tog var att kalla in oberoende veterinära experter för en bedömning. I övrigt avvaktade man. Men en panik för galna kosjukan hade redan fått fäste. Länder både i och utanför EU tog självständiga beslut om att stoppa importen av brittiskt nötkött. Initiativet kom från Frankrike, därefter valde också t ex Sverige, Tyskland, Holland och Italien att sluta importera kött från Storbritannien. EU-kommissionen varnade sina medlemsstater för att de bröt mot EU:s grundlag då de på egen hand stoppade handeln. Men utvecklingen gick inte att hindra och kommissionens enda utväg var att föreslå ett exportstopp, vilket också godkändes efter två omröstningar bland medlemsstaternas representanter i stående veterinärkommittén. Beslutet fattades den 26 mars. Ett annat problem som beslutsfattarna ställdes inför handlade om Storbritannien skulle få exportera gelatin. Varan är en biprodukt från nötkreatur vilken ingår i bl a läkemedel och kosmetika När medlemsstaterna i EU inte kunde enas om vilka regler som skulle gälla fick EU-kommissionen i uppgift att utreda om gelatinet var farligt. Flera Generaldirektorat (DG, departement inom Kommissionen) var inblandade i utredningsarbetet men de olika experterna kunde inte enas. Till sist vann jordbrukets DG diskussionen. Experterna där menade att gelatin från Storbritannien var säkert och borde få exporteras. Men även efter utredningen hade medlemsstaterna svårt att komma överens. Frågan lämnades över till Kommissionen som valde att gå på ”jordbrukets linje” och tillåta britterna att sälja gelatin till andra länder. Tre veckor senare, bara ett par dagar innan beslutet skulle träda i kraft, blev det känt att uppgifter som jordbrukets DG använt sig av var direkt felaktiga. Upptäckten gjorde att gelatinexporten kunde förhindras, men förtroendet för kommissionen skadades. Konsekvenser av krisen Galna kokrisen visar hur ett nationellt problem inom EU snabbt kan få effekter på flera nivåer, både inom ett land och mellan olika stater. Ingen stat i Europa undkom effekter som oroliga medborgare och ekonomiska förluster i jordbruks- och industrisektorn. Konsekvenserna på såväl individ-, nationell- och EU nivå har varit omfattande. Fram till våren år 2000 har åtminstone 50 människor avlidit av nv-CJS samtidigt som flera bönder har gått i konkurs. På nationell nivå har den brittiska regeringen varit tvungna att betala ut miljardbelopp i pund för att stödja sin jordbrukssektor då exportmöjligheterna har försvunnit. På EU nivå visar krisen att effekterna kan vara långlivade. Medlemsstaterna i EU har fortfarande år 114 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ 2000 svårt att samarbeta. Några stater, bland andra Frankrike, har svårt att acceptera att kommissionen är överens med majoriteten av staterna om att Storbritannien får börja exportera visst nötkött igen. En kris efter krisen verkar vara under uppsegling. Samtidigt menar Grönvall att kriser som denna inte enbart skall betraktas som negativa händelser. Utan galna kokrisen hade det idag varit svårare att omorganisera och tränga igenom det ”hemliga” systemet av kommittéer inom EU. Europaparlamentet har fått större inflytande inom jordbrukssektorn och diskussioner har inletts kring en europeisk livsmedelsmyndighet som skulle kunna medverka i skyddet av konsumenterna. Öppenheten från EU-kommissionens sida har ökat efter det att europaparlamentet undersökt hur EU hanterade galna kokrisen. Vilka praktiska lärdomar kan man dra av rapporten? Jesper Grönvalls studie utgår ifrån psykologiska och organisatoriska faktorer för att få insikt i europeiskt beslutsfattande i krissituationer. • Galna ko-krisen belyser behovet av ett fungerande varningssystem eller nätverk där det går att utbyta information och slå larm om sjukdomar som kan hota människor. Sjukdomen hade varit känd sedan 1986, forskare hade gett signaler om att den kanske kunde spridas till människor, men informationen negligerades. EU-området har ett särskilt behov av effektiva varningssystem då gränserna för den inre marknaden är borttagna. • Den vetenskapliga dimensionen och den stora osäkerheten i krisen gjorde att experter fick stort inflytande på beslutsfattandet. Expertgrupper har normalt en stark position i kommissionens arbete då de måste tillfrågas innan ett förslag ges till medlemsstaternas representanter. I galna kokrisen fick experterna från jordbrukets DG ett avgörande inflytande. De fick till uppgift att definiera problemet och därmed definierade de även lösningarna. De hade monopol på att ge råd till beslutsfattarna inom kommissionen. När andra experter (än de från jordbrukets DG) lade fram förslag mot gelatinexport användes de ej. Andra experter som småningom fick rätt blev inte hörda då de ansågs som icke insatta i ärendet och därmed ej tillförlitliga. Grönvall pekar på att tillgång till motexpertis är viktigt för att kunna utvärdera expertråd i krissituationer. • Krisen belyser brister i Unionen i och med att en stat, Storbritannien, kunde påverka hela det europeiska samarbetet och hindra avgörande diskussioner om EU:s framtid (t ex diskussioner om nya medlemmar från öst under regeringskonferenser). Samtidigt visar också krisen att ett enskilt medlemsland inte har mycket att säga till om när de övriga medlemmarna har bestämt sig för ett beslut. Det sägs ofta att i krig är det första offret sanningen. När det handlar om krishantering inom EU kan man kanske säga att det första offret är samarbetsviljan. 115 Managing Crisis in the European Union: THE COMMISSION AND ‘MAD COW DISEASE’ • De europeiska staterna är ömsesidigt beroende av varandra och graden av integrationen inom EU har fördjupats under senare år. Det medför att ett en stat som utsätts för olika typer av kriser påverkar även andra stater. Europa har på senare år ej varit förskonat från kriser där ett gemensamt tillvägagångssätt kunde ha medfört en effektivare krishantering. Exempel på sådana kriser är förlisningen av m/s Estonia 1994, flodöversvämningar i väst- och Centraleuropa 1993, 95 och 97 och Dioxinskandalen 1999. En kapacitet och beredskap för krishantering i den civila sektorn bör kunna stärkas inom ramverket för EU då det ger möjlighet till en effektivare hantering av svåra påfrestningar på regionen. 116
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