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Authors requiring further information regarding Elsevier’s archiving and manuscript policies are encouraged to visit: http://www.elsevier.com/copyright Author's personal copy Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Social Science Research journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ssresearch The diversity dividends of a need-blind and color-blind affirmative action policy Sigal Alon Department of Sociology and Anthropology, Tel Aviv University, Ramat Aviv, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 14 October 2010 Revised 18 May 2011 Accepted 25 May 2011 Available online 6 June 2011 Keywords: Higher education Affirmative action Diversity Admission regimes Disadvantaged populations a b s t r a c t In the early to mid-2000s, four flagship Israeli selective universities incorporated a needblind and color-blind affirmative action policy into their admissions practices. The program, which gives an edge in admission to academically borderline applicants from disadvantaged backgrounds, emphasizes structural disadvantages, such as neighborhood socioeconomic status and high school rigor. The results of this study, based on administrative data from the four universities, demonstrate that having such a policy in place made the four institutions, especially the echelons at the most selective departments, more diverse than they otherwise would have been. The rise in geographic, economic and demographic diversity of a student population suggests that the plan’s focus on structural determinants of disadvantage yields broad diversity dividends. The paper discusses the relevance of the findings to the ongoing discussion of admission regimes, diversity and equality of opportunity in the US. Ó 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction The continuing public discontent with race-conscious admissions in the US – echoing similar claims in India, Brazil, South Africa and other countries – and the ban on such preferences in several states have motivated the search for race-neutral admission alternatives. The past decade brought the implementation of percent plans in Texas, California and Florida, alongside growing interest in propositions based on class preference. However, the shortcomings of these propounded alternatives (Bowen et al., 2005; Espenshade and Radford, 2009; Kane, 1998; Kurlaender and Grodsky, 2010; Tienda, 2010; The US Commission on Civil Rights, 2002), together with the rising class inequality in higher education in recent decades (Alon, 2009), suggest that the quest for innovative race-neutral ways to increase demographic, socioeconomic and geographical diversity at selective postsecondary institutions is not over. The current study contributes to the rich scholarship on admission regimes and preferences by evaluating a unique policy of class-based affirmative action used at four flagship Israeli universities since the early to mid-2000s. The program promotes preferential treatment of academically borderline applicants from disadvantaged backgrounds. The most theoretically attractive aspect of this policy, however, is its distinctive design: neither the students’ financial constraints nor their national or ethnic origins are considered. The emphasis, rather, is on students’ structural disadvantages, such as neighborhood socioeconomic status and high school rigor. In Israel, like in other countries, socioeconomic and national/ethnic origin inequalities are intertwined with spatial inequality. Consequently, this program serves as a natural experiment that tests the extent of this entanglement. Specifically, it demonstrates whether and how much a need-blind and color-blind affirmative action policy can increase geographic, economic and demographic diversity within a student population, and whether the diversification effects are uniform across E-mail address: [email protected] 0049-089X/$ - see front matter Ó 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2011.05.005 Author's personal copy S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 1495 different levels of selectivity. The conclusions reached here about the effectiveness of an existing program of class-based affirmative action, and the scope of its dividends in terms of diversity, have far-reaching significance for the design of preferential treatment policies, especially in light of the controversy concerning admission practices in the US. The universal relevance of these findings is considered, while taking into account the differences between the US and Israeli postsecondary systems, as well as in the judicial standing of preferential treatment policies. 2. Diversity and alternative admission models Diversification of selective colleges and universities is necessary because they are bastions of privilege (Alon, 2009; Alon and Tienda, 2007; Bowen and Bok, 1998; Bowen et al., 2005; Karabel, 2005; The National Association for College Admission Counseling (NACAC), 2006). US Justice Powell, the pivotal opinion in the Bakke case, outlined the educational foundation for the ‘‘diversity rationale.’’ He argued that a diverse student body broadens the range of viewpoints collectively held by those students and subsequently, allows a university to provide an atmosphere that is ‘‘conducive to speculation, experiment and creation – so essential to the quality of higher education.’’ Since then, ample research has demonstrated the educational benefits of campus diversity (see Milem et al., 2005). A rise in student body diversity is associated with better learning experiences for all students and more opportunities for interaction with students from different backgrounds. This increases students’ tolerance to a wide range of viewpoints and enhances their cognitive and identity development, preparing them for better participation in a democratic society. Justice Powell concluded that race-conscious admissions practices, when narrowly tailored, serve a compelling educational interest. The US Supreme Court ruling in 2003, in the two cases regarding the University of Michigan, enacted this rationale but made it clear that affirmative action should be a temporary remedy. The practice of affirmative action in higher education admissions was thus deemed permissible because it is believed to yield educational benefits by assembling a student body with diverse talents and perspectives (Gurin et al., 2002). Yet, despite evidence of the demographic diversification effects of race-conscious admissions on elite campuses (Alon and Tienda, 2005, 2007; Bowen and Bok, 1998), there is growing opposition to these practices. One of the main criticisms of the preferential treatment of racial and ethnic minorities in admissions is that they promote applicants who are ‘‘not deserving’’ because they take into account group identity rather than individual circumstances (Clayton and Tangri, 1989). The rising discontent has led to public referenda against the use of race-sensitive admissions, such as Proposition 209 in California, Initiative I-200 in Washington State, and, most recently, Proposal 2 in Michigan and Arizona Proposal 107. It has also resulted in judicial bans on racial preferences in higher education admissions in Texas and Florida, as well as numerous lawsuits against affirmative action practices in higher education (Gratz v. Bollinger (2003) and Grutter v. Bollinger (2003) are the most notable). States that have banned race-conscious admission practices have since undertaken alternative approaches. Texas, Florida and California, for example, have adopted various forms of percent plans, programs that admit a fixed percentage of each school’s class rank distribution. The percent plans were designed to broaden college access across economic, demographic, geographic and social groups in the absence of race-based preferences. The cumulative evidence from Texas, California, and Florida indicates that a uniform admission regime cannot increase ethno-racial diversity, even in predominantly minority and residentially segregated states, without race-sensitive outreach to students at high schools with low college-going rates and without generous financial support (Grodsky and Kurlaender, 2010; Tienda, 2010; The US Commission on Civil Rights, 2002). Under the Texas H.B. 588 law, for example, applicants who graduate in the top decile of their senior class are guaranteed admission to the public postsecondary school of their choice regardless of their standardized test scores. Although the enactment of this Plan in Texas was followed by an increase in racial and ethnic diversity in the state’s flagship institutions, Harris and Tienda (2010) show that the effect was the result of changes in the size and composition of high school graduation cohorts rather than the policy. Moreover, while the plan was successful in broadening geographic diversity (Long et al., 2010), it failed to augment socioeconomic diversity (Koffman and Tienda, 2008; Tienda et al., 2010).1 Another problem with the uniform admission regime that Texas put in place is that the University of Texas at Austin (UT-Austin) became saturated with applicants eligible for automatic admission, thus limiting the university’s ability to craft a class and achieve its institutional goals (Tienda, 2010).2 Moreover, critics of the law, mostly suburban whites, continue to argue that the plan gives unjust advantage to ‘‘undeserving’’ applicants, claiming that low-ranked students from academically rigorous high schools are often more qualified than those from low performing high schools who are guaranteed college admission. Thus, despite the initial appeal of a uniform admission regime, the Texas Top 10% policy has become just as controversial as the race-conscious system it replaced (Tienda, 2010). As the voices objecting to racial preferences became louder in recent years, another race-neutral alternative to diversifying the collective college student body has been proposed: preference plans based on socioeconomic class, either in addition 1 Likewise, the ban on the consideration of race in admissions in California resulted in a decline in minority enrollment at the most selective University of California campuses and at some of the more selective California State University schools (Grodsky and Kurlaender, 2010). The talented 20 plan in Florida did not produce racial and ethnic diversity at the two most selective campuses in the state’s university system, the University of Florida (UF) and Florida State University (FSU), since it benefitted white and Asian students more than blacks and Hispanics (The US Commission on Civil Rights, 2002). 2 After the Top 10% bill was revised by the Texas legislature in 2009, UT-Austin was required to fill only 75% of its freshman slots with eligible seniors. Author's personal copy 1496 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 to or as an alternative to race-conscious admissions (Bowen et al., 2005; Kahlenberg, 1996). Since the poor of all races are seen as more deserving than blacks (Skrentny, 1996) the concept of class-based preference is compelling and enjoy strong public support (Carnevale and Rose, 2004). Moreover, giving an edge in admission to applicants from modest backgrounds to the most selective institutions is expected to advance socioeconomic diversity and social mobility. Nonetheless, class-based preferential policies remain theoretical in the US. Since they have never been implemented (except for sporadic experiments), the evidence on their consequences is based on statistical simulations rather than real initiatives (Bowen et al., 2005; Espenshade and Radford, 2009; Kane, 1998). The statistical simulations suggest that class-based preferences cannot replace race-sensitive admissions because income and parental educational attainment are not good substitutes for race (Bowen et al., 2005; Espenshade and Radford, 2009; Kane, 1998). In addition, whereas policies based on racial preferences include the pool of socioeconomically strong minorities, class-based policies are limited, it is argued, by the small pool of qualified applicants from socioeconomically disadvantaged backgrounds. Noteworthy is the fact that these simulations use a narrow definition of ‘‘class,’’ based solely on parental education and income. Kahlenberg (1996), however, in his thorough conceptualization of class preferences, maintains that the fairest and most apt method for implementing class-based affirmative action should take into account household net worth, the quality of secondary education, neighborhood influences, and family structure; it is also the most reliable option because the abundance of information required lowers the chances of abusing the system.3 Yet it seems that this multidimensionality, however justified, complicates the implementation of class preferences tremendously. Administering such a comprehensive plan demands the taxing tasks of determining the relevant indicators, and then collecting, verifying and weighting a wide array of sensitive information.4 Consequently, such a design for class-based preferential policy may not prove practical. The Israeli affirmative action plan at elite institutions, however, takes a different route for determining class: it targets individuals from disadvantaged neighborhoods and high schools. The theoretical foundation of this design is rooted in the long sociological tradition that highlights the effects of social structures, such as neighborhoods and schools, on youth achievements and educational outcomes (Ainsworth, 2002; Brooks-Gunn et al., 1997; Massey and Denton, 1993; McLeod and Edwards, 1995; Pebley and Sastry, 2004; Sampson et al., 1997, 1999; South and Crowder, 1999; Wilson, 1987, 1996). This neighborhood/school-based need-blind and color-blind affirmative action policy capitalizes on the overlap between spatial boundaries and categorical inequality. That is, bad neighborhoods and failing schools are populated with categorically disadvantaged groups, such as racial and ethnic minorities, recent immigrants, and the poor (Blau, 1977; Massey, 2007). Thus, to the extent that there is sufficient overlap between systems of inequality, this scheme has the potential to yield wide-ranging diversity dividends. The next section provides a description of the guidelines and operation of the plan. 3. A need- and color-blind affirmative action policy at selective Israeli universities The higher education system in Israel is mostly public. As of 2007/2008, there were 75 institutions in two tiers. In the first tier, there are six research universities. These universities generally rely on a formulaic selection process for bachelor’s admissions based entirely on an academic index, calculated by taking a weighted mean of an individual’s matriculation diploma grades and psychometric test score (similar to an SAT score).5 The admission cutoff points are not institution-wide but rather major-specific; thus, within each institution there are departments that vary in their selectivity level. Even after the spectacular expansion of the Israeli higher education system in 1995,6 underprivileged populations remained under-represented in most of the first-tier universities. In order to address the issues of diversity and access, the four most selective and internationally recognized universities – Tel-Aviv University, The Hebrew University, Ben-Gurion University and The Technion – incorporated a comprehensive and standardized program of class-based affirmative action into their admission practices in the early to mid-2000s.7 The implementation of the policy involves three stages. First, socioeconomic eligibility is established outside of the universities. Applicants to all four universities are given the option to complete and submit a standard application for preferential treatment (substantiated with documents). The form is examined by a centralized nonprofit organization that weights the information and creates an index of socioeconomic disadvantage, and in turn, reports each applicant’s score to the universities. The score ranges from 0 to 85 and the threshold for socioeconomic eligibility used by the universities is 30 points. Eligibility is determined according to three parameters, all of which are based on an applicant’s high school years: the structure of opportunity (neighborhood and high school attended); family socioeconomic status (parental education and family 3 Kahlenberg (1996) suggests three methods for implementing class-based affirmative action. The simplest is based on family income alone, while the second includes the three factors at the basis of the common definition of socioeconomic status: parental income, education, and occupation. The third, and most sophisticated, alternative takes into account individual as well as structural determinants of inequality. 4 This was demonstrated by the year-long experience of UCLA’s School of Law with class-based admission preferences in 1996 (Sander, 1997). 5 The second tier consists of degree-granting non-research academic colleges, and specialized institutions or branches of foreign universities. At the academic colleges, admission is based solely on the matriculation diploma, and is therefore substantially less selective than admission to the universities. 6 The total number of undergraduate students tripled from 58,000 in 1990/1991 to 168,000 in 2007/2008, mostly due to the addition of 2nd tier instiutions. The number of undergraduate students attending the six universities also rose (from 49,000 to 67,000, respectively). 7 The other two institutions, Bar-Ilan University and Haifa University, did not adopt such a program. Both schools are less selective than the other four universities. Author's personal copy S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 1497 size); and individual and/or family adverse circumstances.8 The weighting algorithm, not known to the applicants, makes it almost impossible to pass the 30-point threshold without a structural disadvantage since the two structural factors account for about 50% of the eligibility score. Thus, applicants from a poor community who attended the only high school in the vicinity automatically pass the threshold for socioeconomic eligibility. Notably, information about an applicant’s national or ethnic origin and financial situation is neither requested nor considered. In the second stage, academic eligibility is determined for those who passed the threshold for socioeconomic eligibility. The eligible pool consists of applicants with borderline achievements, those whose academic index score is around 0.5– 1.0 standard deviations below the major-specific cutoff point of admissibility. The third, and final, stage is the admission decision. It is important to note here that the admission process is non-mechanistic: that is, admission is not guaranteed to applicants that pass the first two stages of eligibility and, as such, the departments have the discretion to pick and choose their students.9 To prevent the saturation of certain majors with AA-eligible admits, the cap on the share of affirmative action admits in each department is 5% of each department’s entering class. The focus on structural inequality facilitates the administration and implementation of the program because an applicant’s place of residence and high school are easily available on public record. It also expands the pool of qualified applicants, which is one of the key problems cited in the literature of class-based affirmative action. Moreover, by eliminating the need to verify an applicant’s financial standing, the program is less invasive of privacy, more reliable, and reduces the likelihood of manipulation. Yet, feasibility is not a goal in itself; the main issue is whether targeting structural determinants of disadvantage yields geographic, demographic and economic diversity dividends. The answer to this question will depend on the level of overlap between spatial boundaries and categorical inequality in Israel. 4. The overlap between systems of inequality in Israel Due to the ethnic and socioeconomic diversity of its population, Israel provides the perfect setting for studying categorical inequality. There are two main demographic cleavages in Israel. The first is along national lines, between Israeli Jews and Arabs. Seventy-six percent of Israel’s population is comprised of Jews whereas 20% consists of Arabs, the majority of which are Muslims. The second cleavage exists along ethnic lines within the Jewish population, between Jews of European and American origin and Jews of Asian and African origin. Immediately after the establishment of the State of Israel in 1948, the Jewish population of the state grew several folds from numerous and massive waves of immigration from both America and Europe (mostly Holocaust survivors), and Asia and Africa. In recent years, the most significant immigration wave totaled one million Jews, most of whom arrived from the Former Soviet Union between 1989 and 1995.10 Yet as time lapses from the major immigration waves of the 1940s and the 1950s, the share of first- and second-generation immigrants in the population is declining, especially among the college age population. Differences in national and ethnic origin shape Israel’s stratification system. There is a clear hierarchy, which has persisted over the past 50 years, in the levels of educational attainment, occupational status, and earnings: Jews of European and American descent are at the top of the socioeconomic ladder followed by Jews of Asian and African origin, while the Arab citizens of Israel occupy the bottom echelons of the socioeconomic hierarchy (Cohen and Haberfeld, 1998; Haberfeld and Cohen, 1998, 2007; Lewin-Epstein and Semyonov, 1986, 1992; Semyonov and Tyree, 1981; Yaish, 2001). In Israel, like in other countries, this categorical inequality is coupled with spatial inequality, creating an important contour of stratification. Israel’s development towns are the paragon of the overlap of systems of segregation (Alon, 2004a; Spilerman and Habib, 1976; Yiftachel, 2000). The Israeli government established these geographically peripheral towns in order to absorb, in particular, the massive influx of Jews from Asia and Africa during the 1950s (Khazzoom, 2005). In 2006, more than 90% of these localities ranked in the bottom half of the localities’ socioeconomic index (ICBS, 2006), a clear indication that the disadvantaged status of these towns has not changed much over the decades.11 Their unbalanced demography has also persisted: more than half of the residents in these towns in 1995 were of Asian/African origin (first and second generation) as opposed to about a third in the general population (ICBS, 1995). Such coupling also occurs in the Arab localities, deprived areas with high shares of poor, unskilled residents. In 2006, 80% of the independent Arab villages and towns ranked in the bottom third of the socioeconomic index (ICBS, 2006). Moreover, most of the Arab population lives in the geographical periphery (about half resides in the northern part of Israel), far from the main metropolitan areas of core economic activity. The spatial segregation of recent immigrants, who are mostly from the Former Soviet Union, is less pronounced because they, unlike the immigrants before them, were free to choose where to live. In fact, as of 1995, there is an overrepresentation of recent immigrants in strong localities (ICBS, 1995). Nevertheless, these new immigrants may still benefit from the affirmative action plan since it is likely that most 8 ‘Adverse circumstances’ applies if the applicant is an orphan, an immigrant, divorced, a single parent, suffers from a health disability, experienced the death of a sibling, or has divorced parents. The definition also includes any applicant that has a parent with a disability or chronic illness. 9 All the applicants are grouped into one pool; the only difference is that eligible students may have a small edge over non-eligible applicants who are similarly academically situated. Moreover, the exact socioeconomic eligibility score of applicants above the 30-point threshold has no bearing on the admission decision. 10 This wave represents 15% of the population. There were also two small waves of immigrants from Ethiopia during this period. 11 The index ranges from 1 to 10. Localities are classified according to the socioeconomic level of the population, which is determined by the financial resources of the residents, housing, standard of living, schooling and education, employment profile, various types of socio-economic distress, and demographic characteristics. Author's personal copy 1498 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 do not reside in the affluent parts of these localities, and because recent immigration status is also considered an indicator of socioeconomic eligibility. The implications of the spatial stratification of Israel for its postsecondary education system are blatant: in 2006, the share of university students from affluent localities (ranked in the top third of the socioeconomic index) was about 28%, but only 6% of students were from localities in the bottom third (ICBS, 2006). Consequently, a policy that spotlights spatial and school inequality should, theoretically, stretch the diversity dividends to economic status and national and ethnic origin. Thus, Arabs, Jews of Asian or African origin, and the poor are likely overrepresented in the affirmative action-eligible pool of students compared to the regular pool. Recent immigrants may also be overrepresented due to their incomplete economic and social assimilation in Israel. This hypothesis, however, demands empirical testing because even in the development towns and Arab localities where segregation is uttermost, not all residents are underprivileged or belong to an ethnic or national minority. This investigation sheds light on the effect of the Israeli affirmative action initiative on the contours of diversification in selective university campuses. Given that applications and admissions to the universities are major-specific, it is critical to not only examine the magnitude of the plan’s diversity dividends, but also their distribution across selectivity levels. Hence, the study asks: Where does the plan have its greatest diversifying influence? Is it on the more selective programs, where demand and academic requirements are high and, consequently, where disadvantaged groups are most under-represented? Or, alternatively, is the plan most effective among the least selective majors, where the under-representation of groups is smallest? 5. Data and methods 5.1. Database and sample I obtained institutional administrative data from four chief Israeli universities—Tel-Aviv University (TAU), The Hebrew University (HUJI), The Technion (TEC), and Ben-Gurion University (BGU)—for periods ranging from 10 to 12 consecutive years (ca. 1997–2008). During this period, the fields of study at the four universities received 1,135,286 applications from 348,869 applicants (each applicant can apply to multiple majors or apply in different years). Of the applicants, 60% were admitted to at least one of the fields they applied to. Ultimately, 163,610 students enrolled at the four institutions during this period. The preferential policy began in 2001 at HUJI; 2003 at TAU;12 2004 at TEC; and 2006 at BGU. Consequently, the data yields 8 years of admission observations under the AA regime at HUJI, six at TAU, five at TEC, and three at BGU.13 The analytical sample contains around 180,000 observations of applicants and 72,000 of students who enrolled in the above four universities after the affirmative action plan went into effect (AA regime). For the sake of parsimony, I report aggregated results and do not dwell on between-institution variations. 5.2. Selectivity To understand the choices and destinations of the AA applicants and admits, it is critical to consider between-major and between-institution differences in the selectivity of admissions. Since Israeli applicants apply to specific majors within each institution and, thus, the admission decisions are major-institution-specific, the basic unit for the measure of selectivity is the department. Altogether, the four institutions contained about 170 departments, representing, approximately, 50 different general fields of study. For each department I calculated two selectivity indicators: first, competitiveness, defined as the department admission rate (44% on average for the period between 1997 and 2008); and, second, academic rigor, determined by the mean test score of admits (the overall 1997–2008 average is 636; to put this in perspective, the national average of all test-takers in 2009 was 564).14 Next, I created an index of selectivity by calculating the sum of the standardized scores of the admission rate and mean test score of each department (ranges from 4.26 to 3.44). The departments were then classified into selectivity quintiles. Table 1 presents general statistics regarding this classification. The results underscore the selective and competitive nature of most departments at the four flagship Israeli universities. Classified as most selective are departments that, on average, admitted 23% of applicants and whose mean test score was 698. The results in the bottom panel of Table 1 indicate that 43% of first-time applicants in 1997–2008 sent an application to these 12 TAU’s faculties of law and social sciences have experimented with the affirmative action program since 1997. However, due to the small scale of this local initiative (168 students), I deleted these observations and do not consider these years under the AA regime. 13 The analyses are limited to students under age 28 due to the different admissions criteria for older students and the fact that the affirmative action plan has the same age cap. Also excluded are 230 students who benefited from a relatively new program at TAU, which does not require the submission of test scores for applicants from disadvantaged schools who ranked at the top of their class. In addition, 290 students of Ethiopian origin who benefit from other types of preferential treatment are omitted from the analyses. International students and students enrolled in various programs that combine military service and academic studies are also not included in the sample. 14 These two measures do not completely overlap (correlation of 0.56). For instance, there are departments with very low admission rates but that draw from an applicant pool with relatively low academic credentials (e.g., nursing) and vice versa (e.g., physics). Author's personal copy 1499 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Table 1 The selectivity index for academic departments (1997–2008). Panel A. Admission rate and mean test scores Selectivity level Average admission rate Mean test scores Top quintile (33 departments) 2 quintile (33) 3 quintile (32) 4 quintile (33) Bottom quintile (33) 23 35 38 54 72 698 673 636 602 573 Total 44 636 Panel B. The distribution of first-time applicants, admits, and students across selectivity level Selectivity level Applicants Share of admits Students Top quintile 2 quintile 3 quintile 4 quintile Bottom quintile 43 25 16 12 4 19 24 23 23 11 20 24 23 23 10 N 370430 216632 158155 Note. Selectivity level is missing for about 1% of the applicants. majors.15 Among the most selective departments are the vocational/professional fields, many of which are in the medical sciences16 or in the engineering/computer sciences (but also architecture and psychology). It is important to note that these most selective professional programs are longer (between 4 and 6 years) than the typical 3-year bachelor’s programs. The bottom quintile has an admission rate of 72%, on average, and mean test score of 573 (similar to the national average test score); only 4% of applicants in 1997–2008 sought admission to these departments. All departments classified as least selective are the humanities. 5.3. Variables Appendix A provides definitions for all variables. AA eligibility. This is a dichotomous outcome that indicates whether a student applied for preferential treatment and passed the 30-point threshold. Locality. I identified several theoretically relevant indicators based on student locality of residence. They are: whether the locality is classified as a development town; its ranking on the localities socioeconomic index; and its geographic region.17 Origin. I created five mutually exclusive indicators for student origin: (a) second generation Asia–Africa: native-born Israeli Jews with at least one parent from Asia or Africa, making up 12% of the students in the AA regime; (b) second generation Europe–America: native-born Israeli Jews with both parents from Europe or America, or only one parent from Europe or America if the other parent is a native-born Israeli (15%); (c) Israel: third-generation immigrants, that is, native-born Israeli Jews with two native-born parents (36%); (d) first-generation Jewish immigrants from Asia–Africa or Europe–America (17%); and (e) Arab (8%). Twelve percent of the sample lacked information about their origin, mainly because applicants in one of the institutions were not asked about their parents’ place of birth. Yet, since I was able to identify Arabs and the origin of first-generation immigrants in this institution, I decided to include its observations in the analytical sample, but report the share of missing data in the origin variable. Consequently, the results may underestimate the share of second-generation students. Economic need. This indicator is based on students’ receipt of institutional need-based grants during their first year of university studies (there are no direct aid provisions by the state). This is a relative measure of pecuniary constraints: within each institution in a given year, the allocation of grants is solely need-based, and, as a result, distinguishes between the more and less needy students. About 18% of the students in the AA regime received need-based financial aid. Because this information comes from administrative records and is not self-reported, it is an attractive measure of student’s financial constraints. It is worth emphasizing that in Israel, unlike in the US, decisions regarding eligibility for affirmative action and financial aid are orthogonal: the former is strictly need-blind and made by an external non-profit organization, while the latter is made by universities only after a student has been admitted.18 Also noteworthy is the low and uniform tuition at 15 Since applicants can apply to multiple majors and students can have dual majors, each individual is classified according to the most selective major she applied to, was admitted to, and enrolled in. 16 Included are medicine, dentistry, pharmacology, occupational therapy, communication disabilities, and physiotherapy. 17 The database does not contain neighborhood- and school-level information. 18 Racial preference policies in the US expand educational opportunities for under-represented minorities not only because of the edge that they provide in admissions, but also because they imply better financial aid packages for minorities (Alon, 2001, 2004b, 2010). Author's personal copy 1500 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Table 2 First-time applicants, admits and students at four Israeli universities by AA status, AA regime. Total N N N N applicants applicants: SES score P 30 admits students 178713 178713 101703 72191 AA status Share of AA request (%) Regular AA 167785 173105 98630 69540 10928 5608 3073 2651 Share of AA-eligible (%) 6.1 3.1 3.0 3.7 Note. The AA plan started in 2001 in HUJI; 2003 in TAU; 2004 in TEC; and 2006 in BGU. all Israeli public institutions,19 which renders a unique opportunity to measure the non-pecuniary effect of affirmative action initiatives on economic diversity. 5.4. Analytical strategy In order to estimate the program’s diversification effect on the overall composition of the student body, and the distribution of this effect across levels of selectivity, I compare the diversity of the AA-eligible and the regular student pools during the AA regime.20 The diversity in the regular pool captures the counterfactual diversity level, that is, the level of diversity that would exist if the affirmative action plan were not in place. The analyses take into account the two factors that determine the magnitude of the overall diversification effect on student body composition: first, the prevalence of AA-eligible students in the relevant student body; and second, the dissimilarity between the AA-eligible and regular pools in terms of key characteristics. 6. Results 6.1. The prevalence of AA-eligible students in the student body The results in Table 2 show that since the affirmative action plan began, there were 179,000 applicants to the four universities. Six percent of applicants sought preferential treatment (10,928 applicants had a score on the socioeconomic index), but only half of them met the 30-point threshold for eligibility (3% of applicants). About 55% of AA-eligible applicants were admitted compared to 57% of the regular applicants. Eventually, in the relevant years, 3.7% of the student body was AA-eligible (N = 2651). Yet the interesting question is: how do the two groups compare in their field of study preferences as applicants (in terms of department selectivity), and their ultimate destinations as students? An examination of the distribution of the two pools (AA-eligible and regular) across quintiles of departmental selectivity (Table 3) shows that the major choice sets of AA-eligible and regular applicants are quite similar. One in two of the AA-eligible applicants included a most selective department in their application (comprising 3.4% of the applicant pool in this tier), while less than 2% chose a least selective major (comprising 1.6% of the applicant pool in this tier). The widespread attempts of this group to access the more selective fields of study indicate its high ambition. However, more AA-eligible applicants are turned down from these departments than are regular ones. Eventually, the share of AA-eligible admits at the most (and least) selective departments is the smallest (only 2.4%) while their share is largest among admits to the second, third and fourth quintiles of selectivity (3.3–3.5%). Given a higher yield rate among the AA admits at the most selective departments compared to regular admits (plausibly another sign of their ambition), their final share at this tier rises to 3.2%. Their share is the highest at the forth quintile (4.4%). In sum, the preferential policy has the potential to enhance diversity in all selectivity echelons, depending, of course, on the dissimilarities in key attributes between students admitted without preferential treatment and those who received an edge. The following analysis assesses these dissimilarities. 6.2. Dissimilarity between pools in key characteristics and the plan’s diversity dividends Table 4 provides evidence regarding differences in spatial location, ethnic origin and economic status between the groups. The results capture a remarkable effect of spatial diversity, yet it should be noted that the real spatial diversity is probably larger since the data do not have neighborhood-level information, which is the level targeted by the plan. Nine percent of the AA-eligible students came from development towns, compared to only 2% in the regular pool. Overall, this represents an in19 The tuition in 2009, for example, was 9351 NIS, which is approximately $2500. Since longitudinal data is available, a before and after comparison seems theoretically attractive for assessing the plan’s diversity dividends. However, the temporal trends in group representation during the period of investigation undermine the feasibility of such a strategy. Most notable is the sharp decline in the share of first- and second-generation immigrants within the student body (either from Asia–Africa or Europe–America) and the increase in the share of students with native-born parents. This reflects a natural demographic trend, resulting from the lapsed time from the major immigration waves to Israel. 20 Author's personal copy 1501 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Table 3 The distribution of first-time applicants, admits, and students across selectivity level, by AA status, AA regime. Selectivity level AA (%) Regular (%) Share of AA-eligible Applicants Top quintile (33 majors) 2 quintile (33) 3 quintile (32) 4 quintile (33) Bottom quintile (33) 49.3 26.4 13.5 9.2 1.6 45.3 26.1 14 11.4 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.6 1.6 Admits Top quintile 2 quintile 3 quintile 4 quintile Bottom quintile 15.6 26.5 23.7 27.1 7.2 20.4 24.7 21.9 23.8 9.2 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 2.4 Students Top quintile 2 quintile 3 quintile 4 quintile Bottom quintile 19.1 26.2 21.1 27.4 6.2 21.9 25.1 21.4 22.9 8.8 3.2 3.8 3.6 4.4 2.6 Note. Selectivity level is missing for about 1% of the applicants. Table 4 Characteristics of students at the four institutions by status of AA-eligibility, AA regime. Entire student body Locality characteristicsa Development town Locality SES cluster Bottom Middle Top Geographic region Jerusalem North Haifa Center Tel-Aviv South Origin Asia–Africa 2nd gen.b Europe–America 2nd gen.b Israelb New immigrants – Total Asia–Africa 1st gen. Europe–America 1st gen. Missing Arab Missing Economic need Need-based financial aid recipient N AA (%) REG (%) Total (%) Growth ratec (percentage points) 9.1 2.3 2.5 9 12.3 73.8 13.9 100% 5.4 64.6 30 100% 5.6 64.9 29.5 100% 4 0 19 22.3 8.1 17.7 15 18.1 100% 14 9.5 12.2 29 22.8 12.5 100% 14.2 9.9 12.1 28.6 22.5 12.7 100% 1 4 21.3 6.8 23.7 19.7 4.6 13.7 1.4 25.2 3.4 100% 11.4 15.1 36.2 17 1.4 12.6 3.1 7.8 12.5 100% 11.8 14.8 35.7 17.1 1.5 12.6 3 8.4 12.2 100% 4 50.3 2651 18.2 69,540 19.4 72,191 7 Index of dissimilarity 0.28 2 0.23 1 1 1 2 0.27 2 1 1 7 0 8 a Information on locality SES cluster and geographic region is missing for 25% and 17% of the students, respectively, but there are no differences between AA-eligible and regular students. b Based on data from three institutions. c The growth rate is calculated as [(%group_x TOT %group_x REG)/%group_x REG] * 100. Author's personal copy 1502 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Table 5 The diversity dividends of the preferential policy by selectivity quintiles, AA regime. Departmental selectivity tiers Top tier (top quintile) Growth rate (percentage points) Development town Locality SES cluster Bottom Geographic region North South Origin Asia–Africa 2nd gen Asia–Africa 1st gen Arab Economic need Need-based financial aid recipient Index of dissimilarity 15 Second tier (2 + 3 quintiles) Bottom tier (4 + 5 quintiles) Growth rate (percentage points) Growth rate (percentage points) Index of dissimilarity 11 0.31 6 9 0.27 6 0.27 5 4 0.25 2 0.25 5 1 0.34 Index of dissimilarity 0.17 4 1 0.25 0.29 3 11 8 4 0 9 2 10 9 9 6 6 crease of 9 percentage points in the share of students from development towns in the student body.21 Similarly, the share of students from localities ranked in the bottom third of the localities SES index among the AA-eligible pool is more than double that in the regular pool (12% vs. 5%, respectively), indicating an increase of 4 percentage points. The comparisons of the other localities are less straightforward because not all the neighborhoods and schools in those localities are classified as disadvantaged. Even so, AA-eligible students were more likely to hail from localities in the middle third of the localities SES index, and less likely to be residents of strong localities (in the top third), than students admitted without preferences. I also calculated the index of dissimilarity, which measures the evenness of the distributions of the AA and regular students. The index of dissimilarity for the locality’s SES cluster is 0.28, implying that about a third of one of the two groups would have to move to different localities in order to produce a distribution that matches that of the other group. The index of dissimilarity for geographic areas is 0.23; most of the difference in geographic diversity stems from the high share of AA students from remote areas (most gains due to students from the northern part of Israel with some gains from the south). Table 4 also juxtaposes the ethnic composition of the two groups. The index of dissimilarity in origin is 0.27, most of which stems from the higher share of students classified as first- or second-generation Asia–Africa or Arabs in the AA-eligible pool. About 21% of the AA-eligible students are Israeli-born of Asian or African origin, while only 11% of the regular students are (growth rate of 4 percentage points). Conversely, the share of regular admission students of European or American descent is more than double the share among the AA-eligible students (15% vs. 7%). The program also infuses the student body with Arab students: 25% of the students who receive preferential treatment are Arabs, despite comprising only 8% of the general student body. Furthermore, the AA-eligible pool contains a higher share of new immigrants than the regular pool; most of this gain is due to immigrants of Asian or African origin. Given the color-blind nature of the preferential policy this diversification effect is quite remarkable. Finally, the strictly need-blind plan also taps into students with economic constraints: 50% of the AA-eligible students received need-based grants in their freshman year compared to just 18% of the regular students (growth rate of 7 percentage points). One of the most challenging aspects of any preferential policy is its ability to diversify bastions of privilege. To examine whether the diversification effect reaches the most selective departments, I replicated the analyses presented in Table 4 for different selectivity tiers. For the sake of parsimony, Table 5 only reports the two indices of diversification (the growth rate and the index of dissimilarity) for three tiers of selectivity: the top tier (top quintile), the second tier (second and third quintiles), and the bottom tier (fourth and bottom quintiles).22 The results demonstrate that the plan’s diversity dividends are the largest in the most selective departments because the baseline share of disadvantaged groups in the top tier is very low. For example, in the top tier, the share of students from development towns in the regular pool is lowest (1.3%, result not shown), as expected, but the growth rate of such students is the largest (15 percentage points compared to 11 and 9 in the middle and bottom tiers). Likewise, the indices of dissimilarity for the distributions of localities and origin are the largest in the top tier. The growth rate of students receiving financial aid is also higher in the top tier (9 percentage points compare to 6 points in the other selectivity tier). In sum, the Israeli color- and need-blind preferential policy infuses the student body of the four flagship universities, including the bastions of privilege within them, with under-represented and disadvantaged populations. 21 The growth rate of under-represented groups is calculated as follows: ((group share in the student body – group share without AA students)/group share without AA students) 100. 22 The detailed results are available from the author upon request. Author's personal copy S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 1503 7. Conclusions The Israeli policy for preferential treatment is a fascinating hybrid of race-conscious admissions, class-based preferences, and percent plans. It is class-based, but, like race-conscious admissions and percent plans, stresses group affiliation rather than individual traits. The Israeli design shares its focus on spatial segregation and school inequality with percent plans but targets these aspects more directly. Moreover, as in other forms of affirmative action, admission is not guaranteed; thus, institutions enjoy discretion in crafting a class and the issue of institutional saturation, a major weakness of some forms of percent plans, is circumvented. The results of this study demonstrate that a need- and color-blind affirmative action policy can increase the geographic, economic and demographic diversity of a student population. Having such a policy in place at four selective Israeli universities made the entire student body, even the echelons at the most selective departments, more diverse than they otherwise would have been. All in all, the plan’s focus on structural determinants of disadvantage, such as geographic and school segregation, yields broad diversity dividends. These insights can enrich the ongoing discussion of admission regimes and equality of opportunity in other countries. Obviously, between-country differences in postsecondary systems preclude a straightforward duplication of this plan to other nations. Nonetheless, the concept of basing preferences on school/neighborhood affiliation is worth serious consideration, especially by elite postsecondary institutions in the US, which are struggling to find race-neutral ways to increase diversity. Class-based preferential treatment at these institutions is imperative in order to offset the widening class gaps (Alon, 2009; see also Bowen et al., 2005; Carnevale and Rose, 2004; Espenshade and Radford, 2009; Kahlenberg, 1996), and neighborhood/school-based preference plans seem the most practical and feasible alternative. Wideranging diversity dividends from such policies are likely not only because spatial segregation has a central role in the formation of life chances in the US, but also because it overlaps with other systems of inequality (Massey, 2007). Such a policy can replace the banned racial preference programs or supplement them in states where they are still permissible. (In the former case it should be noted that, by default, any race-neutral policy cannot produce the same level of demographic diversity as racial preferences, as the data from simulations and the implementation of percent plans can attest.23) Another issue to consider is the likely public reaction to such a policy in the US. Despite greatly facilitating the administration of such a plan, the focus on group indicators subjects it to the same criticisms often directed at race-conscious policies: reverse discrimination and creaming. Nonetheless, class-based preferences may stir less antagonism than plans that emphasize race because, similar to percent plans, they do not rely on ascribed traits. To illustrate, Skrentny (1996) contends that there is no opposition to group preferences per se, but rather to race-conscious admissions in particular because blacks, unlike, say, veterans, are perceived as undeserving of the preferences. Furthermore, since they apply to people of all races, such programs are probably in legally safe waters in states that have banned racial preferences. Bleich and Conrad (2010) reviewed several legal cases in these states and suggest that while quotas and mechanistic racial affirmative action methods are prohibited, more limited consideration of race that does not focus on individual characteristics is usually allowed. They argue (p. 32) that ‘‘Potentially permissible programs in these untested waters would include . . . admissions programs that promote diversity using other criteria, such as native language or neighborhood demographics, that ultimately will have an effect on the racial composition of the public work force or student body.’’ They conclude that significant opportunities exist for creative minds to promote under-represented groups while still respecting constitutional regimes that ban racial preferences. Implementing such plans in elite institutions in the US will require additional tailoring to ensure their feasibility and success. For example, the non-mechanistic nature of the admission process and the legality of such programs will be jeopardized if schools do not erect a wall between the stages of determining SES eligibility and the admission decisions, as is the case in the Israeli design. A possible solution would be to incorporate structural preferences into a comprehensive full-file review of applicants; that is, applicants’ academic achievements should be interpreted together with their background information, particularly place of residence and school quality. Furthermore, since class-based preferences will expand the share of low-income admits, financial aid budgets will have to be augmented in order to facilitate enrollment at elite and expensive institutions, and ensure persistence and attainment of a bachelor’s degree. Consequently, the actual diversity dividends of such programs will also depend on the magnitude of the financial resources dedicated to them. Nonetheless, given the appeal of a color-blind and need-blind affirmative action program, and its potential to diversify bastions of privilege, this is likely a worthwhile investment. Acknowledgments This research was supported by Grants #200800120 and #200900169 from the Spencer Foundation. I thank Erez Garnai for research assistance. 23 The US Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit recently reinforced this point when they ruled to allow the University of Texas (UT) to consider race in admissions in addition to the Top 10% plan in order to boost the level of diversity in its student body. The majority opinion supported UT’s contention that the percent plan is not a substitute for race-conscious admission policies. Author's personal copy 1504 S. Alon / Social Science Research 40 (2011) 1494–1505 Appendix A. Variables’ definitions Variable Definition AA-eligible Locality: Development town Whether a student applied for preferential treatment and passed the 30-point threshold The student’s locality is classified as a Development town. These towns were established in the 1950s to absorb the massive immigration waves of Jews from Asia and Africa The classification of local authorities by the socioeconomic level of the population is based on: financial resources of the residents; housing; standard of living; schooling and education; employment profile; various types of socio-economic distress; and demographic characteristics. The index ranges from 1 to 10 Locality ranked at the bottom of the index (ranks 1–3) Locality ranked at the middle of the index (ranks 4–7) Locality ranked at the top of the index (ranks 8–10) The classification of local authorities by their geographic location Locality: SES cluster Low-cluster Mid-cluster Top-cluster Locality: Geographic region Jerusalem North Haifa Center Tel-Aviv South Origin Asia–Africa 2nd gen. Europe–America 2nd gen. Israel New immigrants – Total 1st gen. – Asia–Africa 1st gen. – Europe–America Arab Need-based financial aid recipient The student’s most selective department Native-born Israeli Jews to at least one parent from Asia–Africa Native-born Israeli Jews to two parents from Europe–America or one parent of European–American origin the second native-born Israeli Native-born Jews to both native-born parents First generation immigrants First generation immigrants from Asia–Africa First generation immigrants from Europe–America Arab Student received need-based financial-aid in the first year. The department’s index of selectivity is the sum of the standardized scores of admission rate and admits’ mean test scores. Each applicant/admit/student is classified to the most selective major she applied to; admitted to; and enrolled in References Ainsworth, James W., 2002. Why does it take a village? The mediation of neighborhood effects on educational achievement. Social Forces 81 (1), 117–152. 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