CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 INDIA’S FOREIGN POLICY-IDEALISM TO REALISM (REALPOLITIK) Dr. Tanushree Srivastava, Ph.D. (University of Lucknow, Lucknow), L.L.B (University of Mumbai, Mumbai) Abstract: The paper endeavors to selectively present some of the new stances and challenges that India’s foreign policy is likely to face in the next few decades. Section one examines the transformations that altered the content and trajectory of India’s foreign policy since independence. Section Two deals with the transformation of foreign policy from idealism to realism. The third section discusses the possibility of a paradigm shift from hard to soft power and discusses the viability of it as an option for the practitioners of foreign policy in India. Section Four assesses Re-invented foreign policy along with compilation of Prime Minister Modi’s diplomatic calendar. The last section ‘Moving Ahead” discusses some of significant recommendations Key words: India, foreign policy, China, USA, Asia, Canada, Russia, USA, Mongolia, Seychelles, Mauritius, South Korea, Japan. Introduction: ‘Emerging India’ is the most popular leitmotif informing a wide array of discourses among academics, policy-makers and the intelligent lay public. Most of these accounts of India’s newfound glory in the comity of nations allude to the attendant re-orientation of India’s foreign policy in the postliberalization era. The decade of the 1990s is seen as a watershed which not only ushered India into economic reforms but also brought about marked shifts in its foreign policy. India was no longer a prisoner to the historical legacy of non-alignment, socialism, and ‘third world solidarity’. In a way, the need for departing from its traditional core values in the domain of foreign policy was as much an outcome of pulls and pressures of the newly emerging global realities as of changes in the internal political dynamic. While negotiating numerous challenges since then, India’s foreign policy has to contend with the rising aspirations that epithets like ‘emerging power’, ‘rising power’, ‘great power’ necessarily give rise to. As a matter of fact, there are diverse ways of understanding the changes in orientations of India’s foreign policy. Scholars have perceived these changes in different ways. For instance, while discussing the ambiguities of its past, Subrata K. Mitra, comments: “The Gandhian legacy, nostalgia for the halcyon days of Nehru’s panchasheela and, most of all, the political anchor of foreign policy in the larger project of nation-building, explain the ambiguities that characterize India's foreign policy (....) closer inspection of ground reality reveals clear, effective and determined action that holds the potential to be woven into a coherent doctrine, on the lines of a ‘third way’ in international politics”.(1) Moreover, the existential realities of the region – its location in an insecure South Asian region, being surrounded on all sides by unstable democracies, conflict-ridden countries, militant activity, authoritarian leaders or weak governments persuaded India to move forward to imbibe historic changes in its foreign policy. India’s Look East policy, efforts at cooperation with specific individual and regional partners, pro-activeness at the various international foray, among others pressurized India to reinvent its foreign policy. In a nutshell, failures within the region alongside domestic and international compulsions led to the re-examination of India’s policy in international affairs. Reacting to India’s recent ‘proactive’ foreign policy behavior, C. Raja Mohan writes, “after more than a half century of false starts and unrealized potential, India is now emerging as the swing state in the global balance of 165 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 power.(2) Traditionally India’s foreign policy has been explained as India’s grand strategy that divides the world into three concentric circles. The first, which encompasses the immediate neighbor hood – where India has sought to consolidate its position and has attempted, though in a limited manner – to keep the ‘outside powers’ from direct influence or interference within region. The second encompasses the so-called extended neighbor hood stretching across Asia and the Indian Ocean littoral, India has sought to balance the influence of other powers and attempted to prevent them from undercutting its own national interests. The third, which includes the entire globe, India has endeavored to make its place as one of the great powers – a key player in international peace and security. It is in each of these concentric circles that a transformation is seen in terms of policy postures.(3) Idealism Versus Realpolitik: A Historical Overview: In 1947 India’s foreign policy makers had to deal with a host of challenges: the partition of the country, creation of Pakistan, extreme poverty, military weakness, underdevelopment, backwardness in the core sectors of Indian industries, simmering religious and regional tensions.(4) However, a deep belief in Third World solidarity and cooperation encouraged independent India to establish relations with all of its neighbours and the other newly independent countries of the developing world. Nehru and others believed that the countries of the Third World had a common destiny because of a common past. This belief motivated the Nehruvian policy which rapidly developed and India established diplomatic relations with almost all the countries around the world. Nehru’s and India’s deep rooted belief in Panchsheela guided India’s foreign policy in the early years of India’s independence. Amitabh Matto and Happymon Jacob in their book, Shaping India’s Foreign Policy: People, Politics and Places, state that “post-independence [relations with the world] grew rapidly and in somewhat exuberant manner”.(5) In fact, accordingly the success of independence movement was reflected in the buoyancy of Nehru’s interactions and India sought cooperation and friendship with the newly decolonized and independent countries of Asia and Africa. Nehru virtually single-handedly defined the main contours of India’s foreign policy in the first decades of independence. Nehru’s ideas had a lasting impact on the country’s foreign policy – the grand strategy rested on two pillars – self-reliance and nonalignment. In a real sense, non-alignment was far from neutrality – India was active in the movement for disarmament, in decolonization, in the campaign for more equitable international economic development, the UN peace-keeping forces, etc.(6) India’s post-independence foreign policy was viewed as a severe critic against colonialism and racism, undemocratic and unequal distribution of international power. India had also argued that nuclear weapons and excessive military spending were the prime source of global insecurities – all themes that curried favour with the newly emerging independent states of Asia and Africa.However, India’s shocking military defeat during Sino-India War of 1962 hauled Indian policymakers out of their Nehruvian “idealism”.(7) The absence of realpolitik in the policymaking as well as the limits of Nehruvian idealism was apparent. However, the Nehruvian legacy survived in many other ways despite the injection of power politics into Indian policymaking.(8) The visible change in India’s foreign policy was apparent from the early 1970s with Indira Gandhi coming to power. Dramatic changes like the first nu-clear tests in Pokhran in 1974, India’s role in East Pakistan and the creation of Bangladesh, close and friendly relations with the Soviet Union were the high-lights of this period’s foreign policy. The 1974 nuclear test ushered in a new phase in India’s foreign policy. The test was the first step towards beginning of a realist phase in Indian foreign policy and justifying the raison d'être. IttyAbraham wrote, “the rationale [that] reiterated India’s size, regional importance and new found military clout while sidelining the post-colonial considerations of earlier 166 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 times”.(9) The initiation of the period of liberalization from the early 1990s not only commenced a new period in India’s political and economic growth and development, but the foreign policy sector too witnessed extensive transformations. By the mid 1980s realpolitik became the defining feature of India’s foreign policy. The second round of nuclear tests in Pokhran in May 1998, in fact, could be the beginning of this pragmatism and proactive materialization of India’s foreign policy. Matto and Jacob state that the 1998 tests were, “defying traditional assumptions, analytical predictions, and international opinion… conducted a series of nuclear bomb tests… a new phase of Realism in India’s foreign policy”(10). Thus in an attempt to retain its autonomy in key areas of decision making and to continue its increased interface with the world, India persevered to avoid capitulating to international pressure and has been dealing dexterously with the pressures of globalization.(11) The Road Ahead: India’s Soft Power? Much of current foreign policy literature makes reference to the need to harness India’s potential as a soft power in the global arena. The idea of soft power is a concept developed by Joseph Nye where power is described as the ability to alter the behavior of others to achieve the set goals. Nye has described power in three ways: coercion (sticks), inducements (carrots), attraction (soft power).(12) Most contemporary scholars on foreign policy agree that hard power is no longer the only viable instrument for achieving the national interests of states today. They put forward the concept of soft power to be a very powerful instrument in influencing other states or people. Itty Abraham writes, “The apparent choice facing India today is covered in terms of greater or lesser autonomy from existing power structures (....) India’s foreign policy has not changed much. It continues to remain, primarily India’s search for security and stability in South Asia and quest for influence in international politics – beyond the immediate neighborhood – through growing ‘hand’ and ‘soft’ power that forms the main-stay of New Delhi’s foreign policy”.(13) Other scholars like Shashi Tharoor have stated, “If there is one independent India to which increasing attention should now be paid around the globe, its not economic or military or nuclear strength, but the quality that India is already displaying in ample measure today and that is its ‘soft power’”.(14) Tharoor writes, the mantra should no longer be non-alignment but what he calls “MultiAlignment,” which constitutes an effective strategy to new transnational challenges of the 21st century where neither autonomy nor alliance offer adequate answers.(15) India’s Foreign Policy Re-Invented: The style and substance of Narendra Modi’s foreign policies have been very different from those of his predecessors. The contrast is most apparent in the energy and attention that has been invested in international relations, rather than in the direction. After all, while core national interests—such as border security and development—endure, the manner of pursuing them can indeed change. Modi’s articulation of his vision of the country has included new elements like the “Make in India” campaign; he has also brought a greater speed and intensity to the pursuit of foreign policy objectives such as attracting foreign direct investment to promote manufacturing in India. In pursuing the goal of industrialization, Modi has shed some of the ideological elements of “third-worldism” and non-alignment, which were the signature of the previous government.(16) Modi has not tried to craft a new foreign policy, but has infused a level of energy and confidence in his outreach which is a new development… the number of foreign visits have taken foreign policy to a new level, Modi has visited countries like Canada, Nepal or Sri Lanka, where no Indian prime minister had been for decades. His government’s decisive foreign engagements have already changed international perceptions. The agreement signed with Bangladesh to conclude the Land Boundary Agreement is very significant because, along with improved relations with Nepal and Sri Lanka, it is changing India’s positioning in its 167 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 own neighbourhood, even if Pakistan remains hostile.His visits to the U.S., Canada, Japan, Australia, these were in search of making an expansion of nuclear energy possible…getting the technology and also seeking Uranium supplies.(17) By inviting all the SAARC heads to his swearing-in ceremony, Modi signaled his intent to focus on the neighbourhood.The Modi-Sharif bonhomie at the swearing-in ceremony raised hopes that the quality of interaction between the two neighbours would change. But Pakistan is imploding, so India should direct its energies at strengthening ties with the other SAARC countries. Modi’s decision to make Nepal and Bhutan his first foreign policy stops must be followed up as both countries have massive hydropower potential. India should push through the Teesta water-sharing accord and the Land Boundary Agreement, as well as undo the damage caused by communal rhetoric on illegal immigrants from Bangladesh. The Sri Lanka government has made positive overtures by releasing Indian fishermen and sharing intelligence on LeT operatives. However, India must reiterate that the Thirteenth Amendment to the Sri Lankan constitution is the basis for ending the discrimination faced by Sri Lankan Tamils.(18) Russia In Delhi, President Vladimir Putin and Modi signed three key energy agreements, with nuclear coopearation at the centre. This re-established Russia as a trusted friend and partner for India in defence supplies and nuclear technology. Ten more nuclear power reactors will now be built in India with Russian assistance over the next 20 years. USA Modi made his maiden visit to the U.S. in September 2014, where he successfully repaired a bilateral that been suffering neglect and discord over intellectual property rights, trade disputes, diplomatic butts and business disengagement. Modi brought his domestic economic agenda to the fore— infrastructure development sanitation and smart cities—and into the joint vision statement, published as an unprecedented joint Op-Ed in The Washington Post. Demonstrating an understanding of American and Indian strengths, Modi and U.S. President Barack Obama made virtual not physical infrastructure -building and services the operating principle of the bilateral. The renewal of the 2005 Framework for the U.S.-India Defence Relationship for a further 10 years reflects this new technology driven narrative.In a dramatic meeting in New York, Modi urged the Indian Diaspora to invest in India and demonstrate success—much in the way the government of Deng Xiaoping lured overseas Chinese investment into the country in 1978.However there was little concrete progress on a number of crucial issues such as clean energy (export of American LNG) and climate change on which there were no concrete agreements. There was also no change on the visa issue which is of great importance to Indian IT companies. Later President Obama’s visit as the chief guest for India’s Republic Day celebration was laden with symbolism but also delivered tangible results.By signing the Joint Strategic Vision for Asia Pacific and Indian Ocean, India acknowledged a shared interest in acting as a counterweight to China in the U.S.’s policy of rebalancing Asia. The visit put the bilateral relationship on a higher trajectory and towards qualitatively closer cooperation in Asia. The renewal of the 10-year ‘2015 Framework for the U.S.-India Defense Relationship’ is significant as it will activate technology transfer, codevelopment, and co-production. The operationalisation of the India-U.S. nuclear agreement was announced the technical details and legal safeguards of the political understanding are still unclear.(19) China The September (2014) month saw Chinese President Xi Jinping travel to India as well. The outcome was one of historic proportions in the economic arena. China promised to invest $20 billion in India over the next five years. Around 30 MoUs were signed across a spectrum of sectors including 168 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 industrial parks and railway modernization, and several agreements were signed between Indian and Chinese private entities as well as banks.Fundamental differences on the border were starkly highlighted by the face-offs between troops at Chumar and a “civilian confrontation” at Demchok in Ladakh while Xi was in India. Strangely, Xi himself chairs the Central Military Commission and has to approve any military action. During the May 2015 India and China signed 24 agreements during the visit, highlighting the eagerness of Chinese financial institutions to invest in India. The two countries also signed deals worth 22 $billion, mainly on infrastructure investment and renewable energy.Modi’s interaction with Chinese internet and telecom companies such as Alibaba, Huawei and Xiaomi are indicative of the role e-commerce is likely to play in the bilateral and the growing global presence of Chinese services companies, a space traditionally mastered by India. Important geoeconomic issues such as collaboration in AIIB, One Bel One Road (OBOR) and APEC received surprisingly little attention during the visit. Instead, the Chinese fervently pursued the Bangladesh-ChinaIndia-Myanmar corridor, likely due to their inclination to include it in OBOR in the near future.(20) Mongolia Modi’s visit to Mongolia was the first by an Indian prime minister. Situated between China and Russia, Mongolia is strategically important. The two countries signed 13 agreements, with India agreeing to extend a $1 billion credit line to Mongolia for development of infrastructure and dairy cooperatives.Mongolia, which has significant reserves of uranium, can potentially be a stable supplier of nuclear fuel for India. (21)However, Mongolia has not started mining uranium yet – it could be a few years until it is possible for the country to be a supplier. South Korea India and South Korea signed 7 agreements during Modi’s visit, mainly on security and infrastructure development. South Korea agreed to invest $10 billion to develop power generation capacities, railways and smart cities in India.Modi invited investments in ship building, including LNG tankers which India needs in order to scale-up imports of natural gas.(22) However, South Korean firms will need to share their shipbuilding knowhow, which they have been reluctant to do in the past. Japan Modi’s friendship with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was evident in Tokyo visit of August 2014. Optics apart, Modi had a job to do: secure investment from Japan. This came in the promise of $35 billion in manufacturing and infrastructure over the next five years. India will have to implement deep regulatory reforms to draw the maximum benefits from Japan’s assurance of public and private investment.Some hopes on the defence and strategic side remain are still incomplete, like the bilateral Agreement for Cooperation in the Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy, which were not completed during Modi’s visit.(23) Indian Ocean countries: Sri Lanka, Mauritius and Seychelles Modi’s visit to Sri Lanka in march 2015, highlighted the importance of the bilateral relationship and India’s enhanced focus on its maritime strategy, especially given the island nations’ strategic location. While the two countries signed numerous agreements in February, the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement is yet to be concluded.(24) In Mauritius and Seychelles, Modi signed bilateral agreements whereby India will develop sea and air transportation facilities in both countries. These facilities could become a major strategic asset for India in any future naval confrontation.(25) France Two major deals were signed during Prime Minister Modi’s visit in april 2015 to France – the purchase of Rafale jets and the set-up of six units of Areva’s Evolutionary Pressurized Water Reactors (EPR) in India. The decision to purchase 36 169 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 Rafale jets from France will strengthen the Indian Air Force’s squadron. Aspects of the strategic relationship such as counter-terrorism and exchanges within the armed forces will also be further bolstered by the deal.(26) Germany Make in India was the theme for Modi’s visit to Germany, where over 300 Indian companies participated in the Hannover Messe. Among the world’s largest industrial technology trade fairs, at this high-visibility event Modi demonstrated energetic salesmanship, pitching India as an attractive investment destination. Canada Modi’s visit to Canada in April 2015 was the first standalone bilateral visit to the country by an Indian prime minister in over 40 years. The key focus of the visit was nuclear energy – the two countries announced a $350 million deal for Canada’s Cameco Corp. to supply 3,220 metric tones of power to India’s reactors over the next 5 years. The deal with Canada is part of a larger approach that includes a deal with Australia, to secure stable supplies of nuclear fuel for India.(27) Moving Ahead • Finding a fine balance between China, Japan and the U.S India must remain balanced in the global rivalry between China and the U.S., as what happens in Asia affects us most. At a regional level, India should hedge Chinese expansion by cementing ties with Vietnam, Japan and Australia. • A full-time defence minister needed Continuing to leave Arun Jaitley with two important portfolios is baffling in a rapidly changing strategic scenario. Finance and defence are critical portfolios and both need a full-time minister. • Reorganize defense forces The most immediate threat to our borders comes from China and Pakistan that collude on strategic and nuclear matters. With the rise of the Islamic State taking the focus back to the Arab world, Pakistan is no longer under as much scrutiny and will increase the use of non-state actors to hurt India. India’s police and intelligence agencies need to be reorganized and upgraded as are the defence forces heavy on manpower, but inadequate in technology and training. Space and cyber defence call for greater attention. • Strengthening maritime security A concerted focus on the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC) and the Indian Ocean Rim Association of Regional Cooperation (IOR-ARC) is needed given China’s increasing presence in both regions. The India story has resumed, slowly but surely. References: *Realpolitik –A german term meaning the politics of real,it refers to the realist determination of politics to treat as they really are and not as the idealist would wish them to be. (1) See: Subrata K. Mitra, Novelty of Europe as seen from the Periphery: Indian Perceptions of the “New Europe” in a Multi-polar World, Heidelberg Papers in Comparative and South Asian Politics, 2005, available at http://www.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/archiv/6387 (accessed 24 July 2007). (2) C. Raja Mohan, India and the Balance of Power, “Foreign Affairs”, Vol. 85, No. 4, 2006, p. 17. (3) ibidem,p-18 (4) Panchasheela, a term derived from Buddhist scriptures, encapsulated the “five principles of peaceful coexistence” as enshrined in the 1954 agreement between India and China, which were supposed to frame Sino-Indian relations as well as India's foreign policy more generally. The five principles referred to: 1) mutual respect for each other's territorial integrity and sovereignty; 2) mutual non-aggression; 3) mutual non-interference in each other's internal affairs; 4) equality and mutual benefit; and 5) peaceful coexistence. 170 CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN INDIA (ISSN 2231-2137): VOL. 5: ISSUE: 2 (5) Amitabh Matto, Happymon Jacob, “Foreign Relations of India: The Federal Challenge”, in: eadem (eds), Shaping India’s Foreign Policy: People, Politics and Places, New Delhi, Har-Anand Publications, 2010, p. 26. (6) Ibidem, p. 24. (7) S K Mitra opcit (8) Itty Abraham, The Future of Indian Foreign Policy, “Economic and Political Weekly”, Vol. 42, No. 42, 20 October, 2007, p. 4209. (9) A. Matto, H. Jacob, op. cit., p. 25.It should be noted that India’s interest in Afghanistan is not just historical: lying as it does on Pakistan’s western border, close relations with Afghanistan which constitutes a significant strategic asset to India. (10) S.K. Mitra, op. cit. (11) D.S. Rajan, East Asia Integration – China’s Reservations on India Playing a Leading Role, South Asia Analysis Group, No. 4377, 14 March 2011, www.southasiaanalysis.org/%5Cpapers44%5Cpaper4377.html (accessed on 24 February 2012). (12) Shashi Tharoor, India as a Soft Power, “India International Centre Quarterly”, Vol. 35, No. 1, 2008, p. 35. (13) Abraham, op. cit., p. 4210. (14) S. Tharoor, India as a Soft Power, op. cit., p. 35. (15) S. Tharoor, PaxIndica: India and the World in the 21st Century, New Delhi, Allen Lane, 2012, p. 422. (16) Deo Neelam,”India’s Foreign Policy Re imagined”,The Diplomat, January 3,2015. (17) Sirohi Seema,”Modi:Charing a new foreign Policy Course”,GateWay Publicaions,June 18,2015. (18) Publicaion by Gateway House,Indian Council on Global Relaions, “Modi’s Foreign Policy;The Way Forward”.Sepember 2,2014. (19) Bhaumik Subhir,”Narendra Modi’s International Balancing Act”, February 12,2015.Indepth Features, AlZazeera. (20) M K Narayan,”The Chinese Fault Line in Foreign Policy”,The Hindu,May 29,2015. (21) Narayani Basu,”Modi in Mongolia:Cultural Crossroads in Far East”’The Diplomat,May 16,2015. (22) ”PM Modi Visits South Korea:Signs 7 agreements including DTAA revision.”The Indian Express,Press Trust Of india, May 18,2015. (23) Ramesh Thakur,”Modi’s Foreign Policy Agenda”,Opinion,The Japan Times,May 23,2014. (24) Smruti S Pattnaik,”Modi’s Visit will herald a new chapterin India-Sri Lanka Relations.”,IDSA Comment,March 12,2015. (25) C Raja Mohan,”Narendra Modi and The Ocean:Maritime Power and The Responsibility.March 12,2015. (26) Harsh V Pant,”In France,Germany and Canada Modi Impresses.”The Pulse in The Diplomat,April 20,2015. (27) Ibidem 171
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