Time Use, Consumption Expenditures and Employment Status: Evidence from the LISS Panel Fabrizio Colella∗ , Arthur van Soest† Preliminary Version for the 7th MESS Workshop Den Haag - August, 2013 Abstract In this paper we analyze individual and household consumption expenditure patterns and time use patterns in the Netherlands using three waves of panel data collected in the LISS Panel, containing detailed retrospective information on time use in the past seven days and consumption expenditures in the past month. We discuss the extent to which variation in individuals’ work status leads to variation in time use profile and household and individual consumption patterns, controlling for observed and unobserved household and individual specific characteristics. Applying a Dynamic Random Effects Tobit model to the longitudinal data, we find changes in consumption expenditure allocation due to the improvement of income and occupation status of the subjects in the sample. More specifically, we point out that the non-employed tend to use both time and wealth in other productive activities that are not included in the computation of GDP. We revisit the retirement consumption puzzle proving both a decline in expenditures for food consumed away from home and an increase in time spent on home production for retired individuals and other non-workers. Furthermore we show that household consumption is strongly related to family characteristics but not much to employment status and earnings of its household head. Keywords: ∗ † Time use - Consumption expenditure - Retirement consumption puzzle - Home production - Household resources allocation Bocconi University Tilburg University 1 1 Introduction The most of the economic theory and policy requires a good understanding of household or individual consumer behavior. Moreover, the necessity to give empirical evidence supporting the theoretical framework on consumer behavior, together with the necessity to compare the different models applications to different countries according with their intrinsic characteristics, makes the analysis of the economic agents’ habits an interesting area for research (see Blundell, 1988). The attractiveness of this research framework increases the availability of data on consumer behavior, giving to economists different avenues for research. Among others, surveys about consumer expenditures and time use became very spread and popular. Using these categories of surveys, facts about how people spend their time and wealth in relation to the gender, whether they live with a partner or not and whether they are employed, unemployed or out of the labor force, are often analyzed for different purposes. The related topics concern: the use of resources and the time allocation between paid work and home production of the household components in relation to their personal income or employment status; the comparison of the work rhythms between the agents in different countries and their evolution over the last decades; changes in the individual expenditure upon retirement (the literature refers to such a finding as ”the retirement consumption puzzle”). In this paper we consider different subjects related to the individual and household behavior and, through empirical applications, we carry out evidences from a novel and unique dataset: the time use and consumption module of the Longitudinal Internet Studies for the Social sciences (LISS) panel, which is a regular survey representative for the Dutch population, gathered by the CentERdata of Tilburg University. The paper is structured as follows: section II contains a review of the different studies about similar topics and using similar surveys. Section III contains a description of the LISS panel, a brief evaluation of the time use and consumption module and some characteristics of the subsample used. Section IV illustrates the empirical model used for the investigation. In section V we report the main findings of our regressions dividing them in terms of both the time use and the consumption expenditure analysis. Finally, in section VI conclusions are drawn. 2 Literature Review The way in which individuals spend their time away from work, has been a theoretical issue faced by many economic studies over the past 50 years. Contextually, micro data measuring, in a consistent way, the daily individual time allocation became very useful for empirical researches (see Aguiar, Hurst, and Karabarbounis (2012) for a review of recent trends in a time use context). Since Becker (1965), with his general theory, provided an interesting framework to analyze the allocation of time between different activities, many economists started to modeling the individual and household behavior and to produce 2 empirical evidences about it. For example, Aguiar and Hurst (2007) and Aguiar, Hurst, and Karabarbounis (2012) examine the trends in allocation of time over the past five decades in the U.S. documenting a large increment in leisure time, hand in hand with a decline in market work hours and in home production hours - the largest increment in leisure time address the less educated portion of population, and the downfall of the no-market work (home production) is greater for females. In a research on seven European Industrialized Countries over the same period, Gimenez-Nadal and Sevilla (2012) find that the decrement in men’s market work is also driven by increments in men’s no-market work and childcare, while the decreases in women’s home production is accompanied by an increase in market work. Similar results are found by Ramey (2008) studying time allocation of Americans during the entire twentieth century. Focusing particularly on employment status in a household dimension in Italy, Pasqua and Mancini (2012) show a substantial reduction in care time, both quality and basic, that parents spend with their children, resulting from the choice of the mothers to enter in the job market; this is partially compensated by a higher share of time devoted from the fathers to their children. According with their results, the mother, even if employed in market work, still remains the spouse more in charge for the childcare. The American Time Use Survey (ATUS) also reveals that even self-employed women spent less amount of time working and more on childcare activities, even after controlling for a variety of other demographic characteristics - this result is reported in a research developed by GurleyCalvez et al. (2009). On the other hand, Cherchye et al. (2010), in a study using the LISS Panel, do not find relevant differences in time spent in childcare among Dutch mothers and fathers. Moreover, exploiting data from national-time use surveys in France, Sweden, Italy and United States, a study by Anxo et al. (2011), highlights large gender discrepancies in allocation of time in each country at all life stage, motivated by different institutional contexts, family policies and employment regimes - consistent with the previous literature, Sweden results the country with the lowest gender gap. An important strand of research using different dataset on time use addresses changes in time devoted to different productive activities on different life stages, in particular in the life period just before and right after the retirement. In the book ”Time for Life: The Surprising Ways Americans Use Their Time”, Godbey and Robinson (1999) stressed, among others, also this interesting topic; according to them, the way in which Americans use their time at an advanced stage of their life varies as a function of their devotion to the paid job rather than their age. Similar conclusions are drawn by Krantz-Kent and Stewart (2007), in an investigation using the ATUS: they find that the time allocation to different activities changes dramatically with age and that what matters most for this is the lower employment rates at older ages, rather than age itself. With reference to the same issue, in a recent work on French population, Stancanelli and van Soest (2011) stressed the causal effect of retirement on time use of both partners in a couple. Exploiting data from a time use diary, they conclude that no-market work time increases with retirement, in particular semi-leisure activities increase most for the husbands and house chores and weekdays cooking for the wives. 3 The changes in individuals’ behavior upon retirement (i.e.: retirement consumption puzzle) have been handled by lifecycle models, as household transition into retirement. Moreover, different patterns have been tested exploiting also data collected from surveys on household and individuals consumption expenditures. Banks, Blundell, and Tanner (1998) have been the first to investigate on this topic with a study based on a panel data from the U.K. Family Expenditure Survey. They find that the retirement spending declined more rapidly than could be explained by a simple life-cycle model, motivating this drop as the result of ”unanticipated shocks occurring around the time of retirement” such as an over-estimate of pensions. Recently, Hurst (2008), in his paper ”The Retirement of a Consumption Puzzle”, summarizes different facts about consumption behavior during retirement, as emerged from the recent literature. The author stressed the issue about the inconsistence between the standard lifecycle model of consumption and the household behavior during retirement. Combining results from several researches, he shows that for most households the hasty decline in consumption at the exit of the labor force is due to the expenditure on food; the home production model could explain this - the retired has plenty of time and use it for ”food production”, which is less expensive -, thus there is no puzzle. A similar conclusion is drawn from an investigation carried out by Hurd and Rohwedder (2008): examining data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), they show that there is retirement consumption puzzle only in few subpopulations, and not in a population level; in addition, the explanation to these declines can be provided by conventional economic theory. Another issue related to the expenditures patterns is about the link between wage inequality and consumption inequality in a household context. Applying a lifecycle model that incorporates dynamics of consumption, hours, and earnings to the Panel Study of Income and Dynamics (PSID) for the period 1999-2009, Blundell et al. (2012), find strong evidence of consumption smoothing of male’s and female’s permanent shocks to wages. Remaining in the household context, a relevant focus in empirical studies during the last decades is related to the intrahousehold allocation of time and money (Lundberg and Pollak, 1996, Apps and Rees, 1997). Recently, Browning and Gørtz (2012), tested their own model, which assume efficiency in the household decisions about expenditures, to control whether the spouse with a relative higher wage (or income in general) has also a stronger power. The authors present results from the Danish Household Survey (DES) and the Danish Time Use Survey (DTUS), showing that Danish wives who spend more time in leisure compared to their husbands, also use to expend a relative higher share of their wealth in consumption goods. Furthermore, they also find that relative wages have an impact on family expenditure decisions. Browning et al. (2008) model the differences in standard living and consumption expenditure among people living alone and couples, taking into account economies of scale and bargaining power within the household. They estimate their model on the Canadian Survey of Family Expenditures (Famex) from 1974 to 1992, obtaining the following results: living in a couple generates saving of one third of the total expenditure through joint consumption, wives on average control almost two thirds of the household consumption expenditure. 4 In this section, we addressed different topics - retirement consumption, home production, childcare, gender differences, household allocation - and we revised how recent literature referred to these issues applying different models on different datasets, in particular on data exploited from surveys on time use or on consumption expenditures. The contribution to the literature of this paper is to revise similar issues using a new and unique dataset containing data on time use, consumption expenditures and employment status of single males, single females and household in The Netherlands, carrying out several evidences. 3 Data Our data come from a new Dutch panel, the Longitudinal Internet Studies for the Social Sciences (LISS) panel, administered by the CentERdata. A sample of households, representative of the Dutch population, is drawn from individuals registered by Statistics Netherlands who have been asked to join the panel by Internet interviewing. The LISS consists in a panel of 5000 households (8000 individuals). It is based on a true probability sample of individuals and it collects yearly information in order to capture changes in standard living conditions of its members.1 In 2009, the new module on time use and consumption has been added to the LISS panel. The availability of rich information on time use and a detailed list of different kinds of expenditure for the same individuals at different stages of their life, added to the detailed background variables collected each month, make the dataset new and unique. Data have been collected through surveys submitted to all household members registered older than sixteen years. To fill the time use module questions about ”normal” hours spent on a set of defined time use categories during the past seven days have been asked to the interviewees. This is consistent with the indications reported by Browning and Gørtz (2012) such questions are informative and avoid infrequency problems associated to diary-based surveys. The result is a detailed set of retrospective information on time use during the past seven days distinguished on thirteen exhaustive categories measured in hours/minutes. The consumption module is based on survey questions about an exhaustive list of highly disaggregated expenditure items in order to derive an accurate outline of the individual and household expenditures during the previous month. The questionnaire follows the recommendations suggested by Browning et al. (2003), underlining the useful indications on individual and household consumption, even taking into account the higher level of ”noise” implicit in this type of data than in diary measures. Information is grouped into three macro areas, corresponding to three sets of questions: expenditures on twelve categories of goods and services that can be argued to be publicly consumed by the household, private expenditures on own personal goods (nine categories), and expenditures on large durables - only for this category data are yearly instead of monthly. 1 See de Vos (2009) for an evaluation of the LISS panel and Scherpenzeel (2011) and Scherpenzeel and Das (2010) for further information on the design of the LISS panel. 5 In addition to the time use and consumption module, for this study we exploit also yearly information from the background variables and from the work and schooling form. We refer to three waves of data carried out in 2009, 2010, 2012. We drop individuals with no observations in both modules and individuals that are not always in the sample across the three waves. This restriction is because we estimate a dynamic model of order one, which requires, at least, three time observations per individual. After the application of these sample selection criteria, we are left with a balanced dataset containing 8,220 observations equally split among the three years. During the process, some other individuals, with missing values in the variables used in the econometric analysis, have been dropped and the dataset has been re-balanced. The result is a panel dataset with 2,681 individuals for a total of 8,043 observations on the three years. The additional information gathered from the other LISS modules refers to: the households composition, the age and the gender of the individuals in the subsample, their education level, their employment status and their income. At the end of this subsection, we report some summary statistics describing some general individual characteristics related to their work status to give a first overview of the subsample composition (the other variables will be analyzed in the following sections). As is clear from the tables 1 and 2, the presence of males is more or less equal to that of females. Concerning ages, almost 50% are older than 55, and the 35% has an age between 35 and 55 years; younger people are a very small part of the sample, but this is not an issue considering that we focus our investigation particularly on a household level. As expected, less than 10% of respondents has a university degree and only the 30% has the higher education diploma. In table 2 emerges that the majority performs a paid job (55%), followed by the retired (30%); It is also possible to observe that one third of the females declared to have as main productive activity ”taking care of the house”; this value is only the 0.5% between males. Considering only the workers: the 75% of the sample is employed in a permanent work and the rest is almost equally split between independent workers and performer of temporary activities. Here, there are no important differences related to the gender. Table 1: Age Variable From 15 to 24 From 25 to 34 From 35 to 44 From 45 to 54 From 55 to 64 More than 65 Total Mean 0.071 0.072 0.136 0.195 0.262 0.263 Male Std. Dev. 0.257 0.259 0.343 0.396 0.44 0.44 6 N 271 276 520 744 998 1003 3812 Mean 0.079 0.083 0.169 0.229 0.244 0.197 Female Std. Dev. 0.269 0.276 0.375 0.42 0.429 0.398 N 331 349 712 965 1027 829 4231 Table 2: Work Status Variable Worker Unemployed Student Homemaker Retired Disable Total Between ”Workers”: Independent Permanent Temporary Total 4 Mean 0.679 0.031 0.023 0.005 0.229 0.033 Male Std. Dev. 0.467 0.173 0.151 0.07 0.42 0.178 0.098 0.785 0.117 0.298 0.411 0.321 N 2588 117 89 19 874 125 3812 Mean 0.629 0.046 0.022 0.122 0.144 0.037 Female Std. Dev. 0.483 0.209 0.148 0.327 0.351 0.189 254 2032 302 2588 0.085 0.758 0.157 0.279 0.428 0.364 N 2649 192 94 514 608 156 4213 226 2008 415 2649 Empirical Method We are primarily interested in understanding how different profiles, mostly related to the employment status, can drive the individual and household behavior. We divide our analysis in three parts: time use, personal expenditure and household expenditure. Individual characteristics of the respondents are regressed on different observed dependent variables each time.2 As reported from Heckman and Macurdy (1980) and McDonald and Moffitt (1980), to analyze survey data as the one we use for this study - in which the observations often have values clustered at zero - the standard techniques used in the estimation of linear data model are inappropriate. The Tobit model is preferred over the other alternative techniques to deal with the censoring nature of our data. Moreover, the serial correlation in the error terms, due to the panel nature of the dataset, and the introduction of the lagged variables, complicate the estimation procedure of the Dynamic Tobit Model. Consequently, we apply to the standard Tobit model a random effects specification, which allows the evaluation of the unobserved heterogeneity and serial correlation of the error terms. We follow the Wooldridge approach to deal with the initial condition problem related to the dynamicity of the model. In a dynamic random effects framework, the model introduced by Tobin (1958) can be represented as follows: 2 See the Appendix for detailed lists of the time use categories, individual expenditure categories and household expenditure categories. 7 y∗it = βxit + δy∗i,t−1 + ξit , (1) ( yit = y∗it if 0 if ξit = αi + it ; y∗it > 0 , (2) y∗it = 0 t = 1, . . . , T, i = 1, . . . , N (3) ∗ is a latent dependent variable, x is a vector of exogenous variables, y where yit it it represents an observed dependent variable, and yi,t−1 is the lagged dependent variables. The exogenous variables include different individual characteristics of the respondents and the observed dependent variables, that incorporate time use and consumption expenditures categories, vary in each of the three specifications. The component αi is an unobserved individual specific random disturbance which is constant over time; it is an idiosyncratic error which varies across time and individuals: it ≈ N (0,σ2 ) independent of xi , Estimating the model through the maximum likelihood estimation, the theoretical and practical problem regarding the initial condition comes up. We face this issue following the method proposed by Wooldridge (2005) which is based on unobserved individual-effects as conditional on the initial values. This method uses the following auxiliary distribution of the unobserved individual effects, which is conditioned on the initial values, yi1 : ei αi = λyi1 + α 2 e i ≈ N (0,σ ) independent of xi , i and yi1 (4) α α e e i is the new unobserved individual effect. After this assumption we are able Where α to write the LogLikelyhood and to estimate consistently the parameters through the maximization as in standard static random-effect tobit model. Nevertheless, we are not interested on the vector of parameters β, but on the effects of the changes in the exogenous variables to the dependent variables. Consequently we compute the marginal effects as the conditional value of y given the latent variable y ∗ > 0. 8 5 5.1 Results Time Use In this section, we apply the theoretical dynamic random effects Tobit model on our data to analyze the ”use of time” by the panel components during the three waves. Due to missing, or no-reasonable, values in the time-use variables, we have been forced to drop some observations, keeping a balanced panel dataset with 2432 individuals. For this part, we use four time use categories, measuring (in hours per week) the amount of time spent by each individual doing a single activity; table 3 shows some summary statistics about these variables. In average, time spent in leisure is the most relevant, followed by marketworking time and then by time spent doing household chores. Helping others is the less relevant category with only 6 hours per week spent on it. Table 3: Time Use - summary statistics Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Work 20.526 21.783 0 90 Household Chores 17.064 14.046 0 88 Helping Others 6.077 10.12 0 72 Leisure 36.802 21.073 0 125.75 N 7296 7296 7296 7296 Time measured in hours per week In order to capture the differences in the time use profiles, we regress some dummy variables, regarding personal individual characteristics, on these four dependent variables. The results of the time use investigation are reported in table 4. Focusing on employment status, it is not surprising to observe that the less amount of time spent performing a job, from unemployed and retired, is compensated by time dedicated to the home production rather than the other categories. This result support the thesis that not-employed tend to use their time performing activities not included in the computation of the GDP. Moreover, the table shows a dramatic fall in the working time, hand in hand with an increase of leisure and household chores, for over-65 individuals. This is consistent with the result of Krantz-Kent and Stewart (2007): in fact, they find that the allocation of time to different activities changes with age, and that the employment rate at older age matters for this alteration too. Consistent with previous theories, we observe a strict correlation between job responsibility and working time. In effect, there are no relevant differences among permanent and temporary workers, while the self-employed tend to work in average four hours more than the employees do, and to have less leisure time. Looking at the household composition part, the table 4 shows that individuals that use to live with parents and members of a couple can dedicate to their work a larger amount of time; this is probably due to the benefits of the household’s economies of scale Browning et al. (2008). It is also possible to point out a positive correlation between income level and working time, together with a decrease in home production, probably due to a greater use of external house work or food away from home. 9 Table 4: Time Use Dynamic Random Effect Tobit Model on Time Use - Marginal Effects Expected Value: E(y|y ∗ > 0) Working HH Chores Help Others dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx Work Status Worker — — — Unemployed (d) -10.507∗∗∗ 4.544∗∗∗ 1.345∗ Retired (d) -12.279∗∗∗ 3.012∗∗∗ 2.412∗∗∗ Disable (d) -12.677∗∗∗ 0.278 2.601∗∗∗ Student (d) -4.211∗∗∗ -0.244 0.034 Homemaker (d) -10.291∗∗∗ 6.069∗∗∗ 1.722∗∗ Between the ”Workers”: Permanent contract — — — Temporary contract (d) 0.064 -0.154 0.557 Independent worker (d) 3.815∗∗∗ -1.522∗∗ 0.659 No disability — — — Part-disable (d) -7.732∗∗∗ 2.902∗∗ 0.285 Household Status Living w/o parents — — — Living w/ parents (d) 4.198∗∗∗ -2.054∗∗ 2.897∗∗∗ Between the ”Living w/o parents”: Single — — — Couple (d) 1.064∗ -0.251 0.733∗∗ No children — — — One child (d) 1.590∗∗ 0.505 -0.138 Twochildren (d) 0.940 1.097∗∗ -0.135 Three or more (d) 0.508 1.963∗∗ -0.215 Gender Male — — — Female (d) -1.382∗∗∗ 3.493∗∗∗ 0.426 Age 15 - 24 years old (d) 3.872∗∗∗ -3.620∗∗∗ -0.702 25 - 34 years old (d) 1.369 -0.006 -0.047 35 - 44 years old — — — 45 - 54 years old (d) -0.798 1.691∗∗∗ 1.838∗∗∗ 55 - 64 years old (d) -5.719∗∗∗ 3.352∗∗∗ 4.112∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ more than 65 years (d) -14.514 4.667 3.029∗∗∗ Education Primary or No Educ. (d) 2.586∗∗∗ -0.066 -0.465 Intermediate Educ. — — — Higher Educ. (d) -0.810∗ -0.387 -0.645∗∗ University Educ. (d) 1.027 -0.280 -0.784 Income level Less than 500 E/m — — — From 501 to 1000 (d) 4.962∗∗∗ -1.791∗∗∗ -0.191 From 1001 to 1500 (d) 8.217∗∗∗ -2.757∗∗∗ 0.383 From 1501 to 2000 (d) 9.698∗∗∗ -3.499∗∗∗ -0.240 From 2001 to 2500 (d) 12.912∗∗∗ -3.917∗∗∗ 0.177 From 2501 to 3000 (d) 13.098∗∗∗ -2.690∗∗∗ 0.389 ∗∗∗ More than 3000 (d) 12.929 -4.389∗∗∗ -0.288 Unknown income (d) 8.710∗∗∗ -2.058∗∗ 0.145 lag work-time 0.212∗∗∗ work-time 0 0.145∗∗∗ lag hhchores-time 0.094∗∗∗ hhchores-time 0 0.248∗∗∗ lag help-time 0.103∗∗∗ help-time 0 0.237∗∗∗ lag leisure-time leisure-time 0 N 4864 4864 4864 ∗ p < 0.10, ∗∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗∗ p < 0.01 - (time measured in hours per week) Four different Dynamic RE Tobit Regressions on Time Use - Marginal Effects are reported Year dummies are included in each regression - Dynamic model using the Wooldridge approach 10 Leisure dy/dx — 3.324∗∗ 2.037∗ 3.294∗∗ 1.385 0.047 — 2.074∗ -2.700∗∗ — 1.207 — -2.764 — -1.337∗ — -3.431∗∗∗ -4.731∗∗∗ -5.645∗∗∗ — -3.006∗∗∗ 1.139 -2.166 — 2.070∗∗ 3.659∗∗∗ 6.539∗∗∗ -2.631∗∗ — 1.567∗∗ -1.233 — -0.666 -0.533 -0.567 -2.513∗ -1.262 -1.348 -3.133∗∗ 0.122∗∗∗ 0.194∗∗∗ 4864 5.2 Consumption Expenditure In order to investigate in detail the consumption patterns we perform two different analysis, respectively related to: individual consumption and household consumption. We are interested in capturing the variation in the allocation of wealth among different kinds of expenditure, so that, we decide to transform our dependent variables, from euros per month, to shares of total consumption expenditure. For the individual consumption part, we exclude individuals without information on consumption of assignable goods (five categories) and outliers - in terms of no-reasonable share of expenditure (100%) only on one item. The result is a subsample composed by 4185 observations. The five classes of expenditure for this sample are summarized in table 5. The item in which people tend, in average, to use the highest part of their consumption budget is the food at home (almost half of the whole consumption expenditure); it is also relevant the amount spent on personal care - it includes clothes and shoes as well. Expenditure on food out of home and on leisure is somewhat less considerable, amounting 7% of the total each. Even lower is the budget share consumed on medical products. Table 5: Individual Expenditure - summary statistics Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. Food at home (%) 44.579 17.081 0 95.238 Food out (%) 7.129 8.301 0 61.224 Personal (%) 21.355 11.794 0 79.439 Medical (%) 4.661 6.238 0 57.613 Leisure (%) 7.309 6.733 0 54.545 Other personal exp. (%) 14.968 12.052 0 89.13 N 4185 4185 4185 4185 4185 4185 Shares calculated on total individual consumption expenditure - data in percentages Regarding the aggregate household consumption expenditure, it is possible to identify two different branches of explanatory variables: the ones related to the household, and the others related to personal status of the respondents. We believe that the individual characteristics are crucial for this investigation; for this reason, we consider only the observations in which the interviewed is the ”household head”.3 Consequently, the household in which the respondent is not the household head have been dropped from the sample and 2736 observation left. Also for the household consumption we use five classes of expenditure, the table 6 shows some summary statistics about these categories. Most of the family expenses is connected to the house:4 on average, households spend about 40% of their budget on it. As expected, expenditure for food at home (with a share equal to the 20% of the total household’s consumption) is among the highest, immediately followed by the one for insurance fees. Relatively less relevant, compared with other items, are transport costs as well as holiday expenditures. 3 4 When it is not explicitly declared, household head is considered the one with the higher income. This category includes rent, mortgages and other general expenditures for the house 11 Table 6: Aggregate Household Expenditure - summary statistics Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min. Max. N Housing (%) 40.971 14.562 0 85.333 2736 Transport (%) 7.136 5.254 0 37.736 2736 Insurance (%) 13.973 7.41 0 53.922 2736 Holiday (%) 7.118 7.67 0 57.112 2736 Eating at home (%) 19.015 8.672 0 62.5 2736 Other household exp. (%) 11.787 10.006 0 65.076 2736 Shares calculated on total household consumption expenditure - data in percentages Tables 7 and 8 show the results of the two estimations, respectively: the first one reports the marginal effects of the regression of some dummy variables regarding individual characteristics on five personal expenditure categories and the second one is about the household consumption analysis. Observing the table 7, the first result regards the unemployed, which have a higher share of expenditure in food at home compensated by a smaller amount spent on personal care and to eat outside the home; this is an index of a lower ”life status” compared with the workers and it is consistent with the results of the time use analysis. The retired follow, even with a lower magnitude, a similar pattern signaling, also in line with the time use review, changes in consumption allocation upon retirement; in particular, a sort of substitution effect between food at home and food outside the home. Further, we do not find noteworthy differences connected to different type of job contract. The outcome resulting from the household composition part is in line with the expectations: having children implies less expenditure on food at home; besides, living in couple means expend less on food and the possibility to use the wealth for personal care, consistently with the findings about the households’ economies of scale emphasized by Nelson (1988). While there are no gender differences in expenses for leisure and medical products, it is found out that women utilize, in average, their consumption budget mostly for items related to personal care and less for buying food (both eating at home and out of home), compared with what men use to do. From table 8, it results that the household consumption allocation is not heavily relied individual characteristics of its household head, while there is something more to say about the dependence from the household composition. Regarding insurances expenditure, for example, data reveals a sort of breaking point between one-member households and the ones with two or more members; the latter tend to spend, in average, more than the former do. Furthermore, we notice a direct positive correlation between household dimension and expenditure on food at home. There are two interesting evidences referred to the age of the household head. The younger (16 to 24 years old) have a smaller share of consumption spent on housing: this is probably due to house-sharing for young workers or university accommodation for students. The second result is about the over 65: their family rate of consumption allocated on housing is also lower than the average, therefore, they increment the expenditure on 12 Table 7: Individual Consumption Expenditure Dynamic Random Effect Tobit Model on Individual Cons. Exp. - Marginal Effects Expected Value: E(y|y ∗ > 0) Food at home Food out Personal Medical Leisure dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx Work Status Worker — — — — — Unemployed (d) 3.769∗∗ -2.243∗∗∗ -2.866∗∗∗ 1.293∗∗ -1.497∗∗∗ Retired (d) 1.872∗ -1.800∗∗∗ -0.853 0.128 -0.635 Disable (d) -2.682 -1.582∗∗ -1.625 1.869∗∗ -1.292∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ Homemaker (d) 3.533 -1.596 -1.636 -0.654 -2.410∗∗∗ Between the ”Workers”: Permanent contract — — — — — Temporary contract (d) 0.100 -0.411 -0.630 0.562 0.245 Independent worker (d) 0.224 -0.120 -1.673∗ 0.668 -0.266 No disability — — — — — Part-disable (d) 2.355 -0.963 -1.396 1.066 -0.856 Household Comp. Single — — — — — Couple (d) -1.408∗ -0.584∗ 2.723∗∗∗ 1.275∗∗∗ 0.175 No children — — — — — One child (d) -2.039∗ 0.149 0.790 -0.630 0.851∗ Two children (d) -1.981∗∗ 0.135 0.746 -0.051 0.433 Three or more (d) -3.173∗∗ 0.751 -0.489 0.203 0.589 Gender Male — — — — — Female (d) -2.792∗∗∗ -1.384∗∗∗ 4.825∗∗∗ 0.380 -0.460∗ Age 15 - 24 years old (d) -6.215∗∗ 2.893∗ 3.228 -1.149 1.131 25 - 34 years old (d) -0.781 0.232 -0.503 0.051 0.938 35 - 44 years old — — — — — 45 - 54 years old (d) 1.335 -0.925∗∗ -0.449 0.960∗∗ 0.132 55 - 64 years old (d) 1.779∗ -0.596 -1.560∗∗ 0.656 0.244 more than 65 (d) 1.787 -0.267 -1.111 1.631∗∗∗ -0.511 Total Expenditure ln(total exp) 65.014∗∗∗ -8.189∗∗ -22.466∗∗∗ 6.396∗∗ -7.264∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ ln(total exp) sq -6.014 0.872 1.916 -0.461 0.753∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ lag sh food home 0.113 0.248∗∗∗ sh food home 0 lag sh food out 0.010 sh food out 0 0.328∗∗∗ lag sh personal -0.003 sh personal 0 0.358∗∗∗ lag sh medical -0.050 sh medical 0 0.305∗∗∗ lag sh leisure -0.002 sh leisure 0 0.244∗∗∗ N 2790 2790 2790 2790 2790 ∗ p < 0.10, ∗∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗∗ p < 0.01 - (shares of the total expenditure - measured in euro per month %) Five different Dynamic RE Tobit Regressions on Individual Consumption - Marginal Effects are reported Year Dummies are included in each regression - Dynamic model using the Wooldridge approach 13 Table 8: Household Consumption Expenditure Dynamic Random Effect Tobit Model on Household Cons. Exp. - Marginal Effects Expected Value: E(y|y ∗ > 0) Housing Transport Insurance Holiday Eating home dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx dy/dx Household Characteristics Household Comp. One members — — — — — Two members (d) -0.434 0.507 2.454∗∗∗ 0.940∗∗ 2.799∗∗∗ Three members (d) -0.540 -0.519 2.740∗∗∗ 0.835 2.552∗∗∗ Four members (d) -0.525 0.330 2.777∗∗∗ 0.336 3.844∗∗∗ ∗∗ Five or more (d) 1.126 -0.227 2.206 -0.600 4.145∗∗∗ Place of residence Urban place — — — — — Slightly or No Urban(d) -0.455 0.543∗∗ 0.465 0.040 -0.097 Total Expenditure ln(total exp) 38.136∗∗∗ -3.137 20.888∗∗ -17.775∗∗ 25.580∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗ ln(total exp) sq -2.918 0.234 -1.642 1.476∗∗ -1.877∗∗∗ Household Head Characteristics Work Status Worker — — — — — Unemployed (d) 0.855 -0.847 0.715 -1.520∗∗ 0.133 Retired (d) -0.038 -0.659∗ 0.650 -0.053 -0.322 Disable (d) -1.580 -1.405∗∗∗ 2.502∗∗∗ -1.891∗∗∗ -0.578 Homemaker (d) -0.186 -0.321 -1.951∗ -0.813 2.233∗ Between the ”Workers”: Permanent contract — — — — — Temporary contract (d) -0.593 -0.362 0.390 0.756 -0.031 Independent worker (d) -0.537 -0.924 -0.073 -0.344 0.911 No disability — — — — — Partdisable (d) 0.398 -0.263 2.999∗∗ -3.462∗∗∗ -1.313 Gender Male — — — — — Female (d) 1.060 -0.571∗ 0.537 -0.162 -0.456 Age 15 - 24 years old (d) -9.801∗∗∗ 2.603∗ -0.963 2.349 2.894 25 - 34 years old (d) 1.524 -0.008 -0.935 0.220 -0.633 35 - 44 years old — — — — — 45 - 54 years old (d) -2.001∗∗ 0.410 0.337 0.459 1.571∗∗ 55 - 64 years old(d) -1.497 0.569 0.717 1.185∗∗ 0.962 ∗∗∗ more than 65 (d) -3.172 0.625 0.889 1.086 3.001∗∗∗ ∗∗ lag sh fam housing 0.130 sh fam housing 0 0.573∗∗∗ lag sh fam transport -0.012 sh fam transport 0 0.549∗∗∗ lag sh fam insurance 0.044 sh fam insurance 0 0.317∗∗∗ lag sh fam holiday -0.015 sh fam holiday 0 0.397∗∗∗ lag sh fam eat home 0.137∗∗ sh fam eat home 0 0.319∗∗∗ N 1824 1824 1824 1824 1824 ∗ p < 0.10, ∗∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗∗ p < 0.01 - (shares of the total expenditure - measured in euro per month %) Five different Dynamic RE Tobit Regressions on Household Consumption - Marginal Effects are reported Year dummies are included in each regression - Dynamic model using the Wooldridge approach 14 food at home. This last remarkable result, together with the evidences of the previous section, supports the theory that imputes a higher level of home production to older and retired population, Hurst (2008). 6 Conclusion In the sections above, we have presented a general analysis concerning time use and consumption expenditure allocation at individual and household level. We applied a simple Dynamic Random Effects Tobit model to data exploited from the LISS panel, which is representative of the Dutch population. The paper contributes to the literature, giving some evidences about three different popular research topics, i.e. the retirement consumption puzzle, the home production and the resources allocation within the household. Our analysis reports a change in both time use and consumption patterns upon retirement. In particular, a decrease in time spent performing a job, compensated by time dedicated to household chores, and a higher share of expenditure in food at home offset by a lower consumption of food outside the house. Therefore, our data support the theory according to which there is a systematic alteration in consumption allocation at retirement inconsistent with the life cycle/permanent income hypothesis. However, the evidence that retired people use a part of their free time in home production can explain the shift in allocation of expenditures, partially clearing up the retirement consumption puzzle. For what concerns the productive activity not included in the GDP, as expected, our findings show a greater level of home production for non-employed together with a larger expenditure share on goods requiring more handling (e.g.: food at home instead of food outside home). Considering the household context, we find that people living alone are not able to devote the same amount of time to their work as the others do and that they tend to expend a higher share of their consumption budget on food. The results of the two analysis are consistent with each other and in line with the theory about the existence of households’ economies of scale. References Mark Aguiar and Erik Hurst. Measuring trends in leisure: The allocation of time over five decades. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(3):969–1006, 2007. Mark Aguiar, Erik Hurst, and Loukas Karabarbounis. Recent developments in the economics of time use. Annual Review of Economics, 4(1):373–397, 07 2012. 15 Dominique Anxo, Letizia Mencarini, Ariane Pailhe, Anne Solaz, Maria Letizia Tanturri, and Lennart Flood. Gender differences in time use over the life course in france, italy, sweden, and the us. Feminist Economics, 17(3):159–195, 2011. Patricia F. Apps and Ray Rees. 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Kaczmirek, eds., Social and Behavioral Research and the Internet: Advances in Applied Methods and Research Strategies, 2010. Elena G. F. Stancanelli and Arthur van Soest. Retirement and home production: A regression discontinuity approach. IZA Discussion Papers 6229, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), December 2011. James Tobin. Estimation of relationships for limited dependent variables. Econometrica, 26:24–36, 1958. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge. Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamic, nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20(1):39–54, 2005. 17 Appendix Dataset Description In this paper use is made of data of the LISS (Longitudinal Internet Studies for the Social sciences) panel administered by CentERdata (Tilburg University, The Netherlands).See the website http://www.lissdata.nl for details. For this investigation, we made use of the following modules of the LISS data: 1. Background Variables 2. Work and Schooling 3. Time Use and Consumption. The data from these modules were merged by means of household and individual specifiÂc. Data were carried out in 2009, 2010, 2012. Individuals with observations only about one study, individuals that are not always in the sample across the three waves and other outliers have been dropped. The result is a balanced dataset contains 2681 individuals, so 8043 observations equally splitted among the 3 different years. Independent Dummy Variables The following variables are the ones used to ”describe” the individual profile in the three analysis: Time Use, Individual Consumption Expenditure and Household Consumption Expenditure. Work Status There are 6 different categories regarding the employment status. In addition, between people performing a stable work, other 3 different tipologies of contract have been analyzed. For people who gave several answers to the question about their work situation, the one that, according to them, better describes their situation has been used. The first variable costructed is ”worker” and it contains all the individuals who specify their labour contract (plus the ones that are performing a paid work and did not fill the other form). The not-workers are divided in other 5 different categories: 1. Unemployed (this category contains people that: are not working but performed a paid job in the past, or are retaining benefits and are performing an unpaid work or are looking for a new job following the loss of the previous one or after lengthy interruption or are the first-time job seeker), 2. Retired (pensioner, people that live off private means or have taken an early retirement or perform a voluntary job - this aggregation has been guided mostly looking at the age of people in the subcategory), 3. Disable (People that because of the disability do not perform any stable work), 4. Student. 5. Homemaker (the ones who affirm that the task that fits better with their status is ”taking care of the Household”). 18 Between the ”Workers”, five others subcategories: (a) Independent (Self-Employed / Freelancer / Independent professional / Director or major shareholder of a company), (b) Permanent contract (employee in permanent employement), (c) Temporary worker (employee in temporary employement). And: (a) No disability, (b) Partly Diable (People with a partial disability but with a stable work ). Household Status - Only for the Individual Sections 1. Living with parents, 2. Living without parents. Between the ”Living without parents”: (a) i) Single (with or without children), ii) Couple (with or without children, married or not, with a partner or with an housemate); (b) i) No children, ii) One child, iii) Two children, iv) Three or more children. Number of Household Components - Only for the Household Section 1. One member 2. Two members 3. Three members 4. Four members 5. Five or more members Gender 1. Male, 2. Female. 19 Age 1. 15 - 24 years old, 2. 25 - 34 years old, 3. 35 - 44 years old, 4. 45 - 54 years old, 5. 55 - 64 years old, 6. 65 years old or older. Education 1. Primary school or Not Education, 2. Intermediate education (secondary and vocational), 3. Higher education (secondary and vocational), 4. University education. Urban characteristics of the place of residence 1. Urban (extremely urban, very urban, moderate urban), 2. Slightly or not urban (slightly urban, not urban). Income (euro/month) - For the Time Use Section 1. Less than 500, 2. From 501 to 1000, 3. From 1001 to 1500, 4. From 1501 to 2000, 5. From 2001 to 2500, 6. From 2501 to 3000, 7. From 3001 to 3500, 8. More than 3500, 9. Unknown income. Income (euro/month) - For the Consumption Expenditure Sections 1. ln(total exp), 2. ln(total exp) squared. 20 Time Use Dependent Variables Four dependent variables about the amount of time (measured in hours per week) have been constructed using 7 of the 14 different classes of the Time Use and Consumption section. In particular, time spent traveling to and from work has been added to time spent performing a paid work, and time spent helping parents, time spent helping family members and time spent helping non-family members form the category helping others. The four category are the following: 1. Time spent performing a paid work, 2. Time spent doing household chores, 3. Time spent helping others, 4. Time spent doing leisure activities. Individual Consumption Expenditure Dependent Variables Five dependent variables regarding the individual expenditure (measured in euro per month) have been constructed using 6 different classes of the Time Use and Consumption section. In particular the variables clothes and personal care have been added togheter in the variable Personal. In order to capture the variation in the allocation of the total individual expenditure, the dependent variable are the shares of the total expenditure. The four category are the following: 1. Food at home, 2. Food out (restaurants, bars), 3. Personal (clothes, shoes, hairdresser, etc...), 4. Medical. 5. Leisure. Household Consumption Expenditure Dependent Variables Five dependent variables about the family expenditure (measured in euro per month) have been constructed using 7 different classes of the Time Use and Consumption section. In particular mortgages, rent and general expenditure for the house have been summed up togheter in the variable Housing. Also here, the dependent variable are the shares of the total expenditure.The four category are the following: 1. Housing, 2. Trasport (sum of expenditure of each household component), 3. Family Insurance, 4. Holiday (tickets, hotel, restaurant bills, etc...). 5. Eating at home. 21
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