Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 181 Dispersal of white spruce seed in mature aspen stands James D. Stewart, Edward H. Hogg, Patrick A. Hurdle, Kenneth J. Stadt, Peter Tollestrup, and Victor J. Lieffers Abstract: The dispersal of white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) seed through trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) forests was investigated by releasing artificial seed (confetti) from different heights on a meteorological tower, and, secondly, by observing the distribution of spruce regeneration along transects radiating out from small isolated patches of mature spruce seed trees. Mean dispersal distance of confetti increased with height of release. Before leaf fall of the aspen canopy, most confetti landed close to and in all directions around the tower. After leaf fall, no confetti was observed upwind from the tower and the mean dispersal distance increased, with peak densities occurring at a distance of 15 m in the downwind direction. The rate of decrease in regeneration density with distance from patches of mature, seed-bearing white spruce was much less than that observed during confetti release experiments. Furthermore, regeneration densities were significantly greater in the prevailing downwind direction (toward the east). The results indicate that stronger than average winds, primarily from the northwest, west, and southwest, play a major role in the dispersal of white spruce seed. Simulation modelling of the observed distribution of regeneration suggests that long-distance (>250 m) dispersal may be an important mechanism for the persistence of white spruce in the fire-prone boreal forest of western Canada. Key words: seed dispersal, boreal forest, mixedwood, wind dispersal, artificial seed. Résumé : Les auteurs ont étudié la dispersion des graines de l’épinette blanche (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) dans des forêts de peupliers faux-trembles (Populus tremuloides Michx.) premièrement, en relâchant des graines artificielles (confetti) à diverses hauteurs à partir d’une tour météorologique, et deuxièmement, en observant la distribution de la régénération en épinettes le longs de transects s’irradiant à partir de petits groupes d’épinettes matures produisant des graines. La distance moyenne de dispersion des confetti augmente avec la hauteur de relâchement. Avant la chute des feuilles de la canopée des peupliers, la plupart des confetti atterrissent près et tout autour de la tour. Après la chute des feuilles, on ne trouve pas de confetti dans la direction d’où origine du vent, et dans la direction opposée, la distance moyenne de dispersion augmente avec un pic de densité à 15 m de la tour. Le taux de décroissance de la densité de régénération avec la distance à partir des groupes d’épinettes matures porteuses de graines est de beaucoup inférieur à celui observé dans les expériences de relâchement de confetti. De plus, les densités de régénération sont significativement plus élevées en aval du vent prédominant (vers l’est). Les résultats indiquent que des vents plus forts que la moyenne, venant surtout du nord-ouest, ouest et sud-ouest, jouent un rôle majeur dans la dispersion des graines d’épinette blanche dans cette région. Un modèle de simulation de la distribution de la régénération observée suggère que la dispersion sur de longues distances (>250 m) pourrait être un important mécanisme pour assurer la persistance de l’épinette blanche dans la forêt boréale susceptible au feu, dans l’ouest canadien. Mots clés : dispersion des graines, forêt boréale, forêt mixte, dispersion par le vent, graines artificielles. [Traduit par la rédaction] Introduction White spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss) is widespread across Canada and is one of the dominant trees in the mixedwood section of the western boreal forest (Rowe 1972). Dispersal of spruce seed, along with patterns of disturbance and establishment site quality, is likely one of the major factors in determining the pattern and composition of stands in the boreal landscape. Unlike most other major boreal tree species, white spruce has no mechanism for in situ regeneration following fire, such as cone serotiny or root suckering (Heinselman 1981). White spruce often establishes naturally under trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.) stands (e.g., Rowe 1955; Lieffers and Stadt 1994), and recruitment can continue for many decades after the canopy closure of the aspen (Lieffers et al. 1996). Since white spruce seed loses viability in Received May 26, 1997. J.D. Stewart,1 K.J. Stadt, P. Tollestrup,2 and V.J. Lieffers. Department of Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E3, Canada. E.H. Hogg and P.A. Hurdle. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, Edmonton, AB T6H 3S5, Canada. 1 2 Author to whom all correspondence should be addressed. Present address: Alberta Research Council, Postal Bag 4000, Vegreville, AB T9C 1T4, Canada. e-mail: [email protected] Present address: Industrial Forestry Service Ltd., 1595 Fifth Avenue, Prince George, BC V2L 3L9, Canada. Can. J. Bot. 76: 181–188 (1998) B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:22:31 1998 © 1998 NRC Canada Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 182 the seedbank within a few years (Nienstadt and Zasada 1990), white spruce seed must have dispersed through the aspen canopy rather than into openings following disturbance. Seed dispersal has been studied most often by recording seed densities in seed traps placed at different distances from a natural seed source (e.g., Isaac 1930; Roe 1967; Ford et al. 1983; Greene and Johnson 1996). In these studies, it was possible to relate the distance of dispersal to average wind and stand conditions for the intervals between seed trap counts. To relate seed dispersal to particular wind conditions and heights of release, more controlled studies have been undertaken where natural or artificial seed is released from known heights on towers (Schlesinger 1970; Augspurger and Franson 1987; Greene and Johnson 1989, 1995) or from kites or balloons (Isaac 1930). Usually this has been done in clearings, which provided a less complex wind environment than within stands. An alternative approach was to visually follow the flights of individual seeds released from a spruce tree (Zasada and Lovig 1983). This method is impossible within a forest unless the seeds are large and brightly coloured, as was used in studies by Augspurger and Franson (1987) in a tropical forest. For white spruce, dispersal from natural seed sources has been studied only in clearings (e.g., Roe 1967; Dobbs 1976; Youngblood and Max 1992). However, we know that dispersal within stands differs from dispersal in clearings or into clearings from neighbouring stands, and that dispersal from point sources and area sources also differ (Greene and Johnson 1996). To our knowledge, dispersal of white spruce seed within stands has not been studied. We approached this study from three perspectives. First, we intended to release seed from various heights in an aspen forest, and observe their dispersal around and away from the point source. However, the wings of white spruce are very fragile and are easily damaged (Schlesinger 1970 and personal observation), and it was logistically impossible for us to obtain a large enough supply of undamaged seed. Fortunately, work by Greene and Johnson (1990) showed that seeds with different wing morphologies and autorotative characteristics behave similarly during wind dispersal; therefore, any heavy particle with a terminal descent velocity similar to that of spruce seed would serve as a model (e.g., paper confetti). Secondly, as a proxy for seed dispersal, we studied the distributions of white spruce regeneration surrounding isolated stands of seed trees growing in pure aspen stands. Thirdly, we developed simulation models as a means of interpreting both parts of the study. The modelling objectives were (i) to test the ability of wind data to predict the dispersal pattern of seed surrogates around the tower (point) source and (ii) develop and test a model of seed dispersal into pure aspen stands from isolated patch sources of white spruce. Materials and methods Dispersal of surrogate seeds We released surrogate “seeds” from a meteorological tower in a mature aspen-dominated stand near Spring Creek, Alberta (54°55′N, 117°43′W). The stand was 16.3 m tall with 2000 trees/ha, and 39 m2/ha basal area. The 30 m tall tower was erected in the midst of the stand without disturbing the canopy. We placed three wind measurement stations on the tower below the canopy (9.5 m), in midcanopy (15.0 m), and above the canopy (19.4 m). Horizontal wind Can. J. Bot. Vol. 76, 1998 velocity and direction were measured with RM Young model 05103 wind monitors, and vertical windspeeds were measured with RM Young model 27100 gill propeller anemometers (22 cm diameter, 30 cm pitch propeller). A Campbell Scientific CR–21X datalogger stored data from the sensors, averaged at 2-s intervals during each release of confetti. Steel pans, 80 × 80 × 1 cm deep, were attached to the downwind side of the tower within (14.5 m), at the top of (16.8 m), and above the canopy (19.5 m). The surrogate seed was ordinary circular paper confetti (7 mm diameter, 76 mg/100 pieces) dyed with fabric dyes. Different colours were used for different heights of release. We measured the descent velocity of the confetti by timing its fall 10 m in still air in an enclosed stairwell. Mean descent velocity was 0.887 ± 0.067 m/s (mean ± SD), compared with a mean of 0.54 ± 0.120 m/s for natural white spruce seed (Schlesinger 1970). The confetti was released by sprinkling a thin layer of it onto the pans, which were gently vibrated to keep the confetti above the boundary layer of the pans and accessible to be blown off by the wind. There was a pronounced relationship between the rate of confetti dispersal and the windspeed, providing an approximation of the “biased anemometer” effect of seed abscission noted by Greene and Johnson (1992). The layer of confetti was replaced as necessary, with pauses at intervals at the top two heights to maintain synchrony with the lowest height. During each drop event, 283.5 g (10 oz.), or about 373 000 pieces, were released from each height. The duration of the releases ranged from 21 to 52 min. The dispersed confetti of each colour were counted on traps laid out in radii around the tower. The traps were positioned at 30° intervals 2.5 m from the tower, and at 15° intervals at 5 and 10 m. In the downwind direction and 15° and 30° on either side of it, additional traps were laid out at distances of 15, 20, 30, and every 15 m beyond that to 210 m from the tower base. The traps were pieces of pulp sheet covered with a light coating of spray adhesive (Super 77, 3M Canada Inc., London, Ont.) to minimize the chances of confetti blowing off after landing on the trap. Although the size of trap increased from 0.16 to 2.56 m2 with distance it was not possible to maintain a constant area sampling rate, because of the geometric increase in area with distance, and practical constraints. The area sampling rate diminished from 1.6% nearest the tower, to 0.1% at 210 m distance. The drops were made during the seed-cast season, three before leaf fall (August 30 and 31 and September 6) and two after all the leaves had fallen (both on October 12). The dates selected had average windspeeds similar to the seasonal normals (Environment Canada 1982). Seed densities (counts divided by trap area) were used in all analyses. Wind direction during the releases of confetti was variable; therefore, the downwind dispersal of confetti was averaged over the two or three transects that showed the furthest evidence of dispersal. We calculated mean dispersal distances using a method similar to Augspurger and Franson (1987), except that we standardized trap counts to a square-metre basis to account for different trap sizes. We also weighted the resulting density values by the proportion of the area that the trap represented compared with the total area represented by the transect, to account for the increasing area with distance along the transect. Seed dispersal was also simulated using the wind data that was collected every 2 s during each of the five releases of confetti. First, vertical and horizontal windspeeds and directions were estimated for each 0.5-s time interval by linear interpolation of the wind data sets. During simulations, the number of seeds released in each time interval was assumed to be proportional to the square of measured horizontal windspeed (Greene and Johnson 1996). The wind data were then used to estimate seed trajectories, assuming a fall rate of either 0.887 m/s (for confetti) or 0.54 m/s (for white spruce seed). Every 0.5 s, the height, distance, and direction of the seed from the seed source was calculated. When simulated seed height was between the top and bottom anemometers, wind speed and direction (horizontal and vertical) for the next 0.5 s was estimated by linear interpolation of the observed wind data. For seed heights greater than the upper ane© 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:22:35 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 183 Stewart et al. mometer, we assumed that increases in both vertical and horizontal wind velocity (u) with height (z) are proportional to ln((z – d)/zo), based on a canopy height (H) of 16.5 m with a zero-plane displacement (d) of 0.78H and a roughness length (zo) of 0.075H (Jones 1992). For seed heights less than the lower anemometer, we assumed a linear reduction in horizontal and vertical wind velocities to zero at the soil surface. After each simulated seed reached the ground, its distance and direction from the seed source was recorded. Seed densities at different distances from the seed source (tower) were then estimated after normalizing the data so that the total number of seeds released was equal to that used in each confetti release experiment; i.e., 373 000 “seeds.” For purposes of comparison with field results, calculations of seed densities were based on the area within 15° of the prevailing downwind direction during each experiment. Distribution of naturally regenerated seedlings We examined the dispersal of white spruce seed indirectly, by determining the distribution of white spruce natural regeneration surrounding isolated stands of white spruce seed trees growing in relatively homogeneous pure aspen forests. High-quality seedbeds such as rotten wood or exposed mineral soil result from small-scale disturbances, which were not obviously related to distance from the seed source trees. Therefore, we assumed that variation in seedbed quality would be randomly distributed at the scale we worked with. Thus, the effect of seed dispersal would be evident when data from many transects were averaged. From aerial reconnaissance, we selected isolated groups of at least 10 dominant or codominant spruce seed trees growing in relatively uniform, 30- to 60-year-old aspen stands in the Lac La Biche (54°45′–55°13′N, 111°46′–112°14′W) and Whitecourt (53°55′– 54°20′N, 115°35′–115°46′W) Forests. Some stands with heavy grass or shrub cover were eliminated, because there was insufficient spruce regeneration to give a useful distribution. In each surveyed stand, we ran out transects in each cardinal and subcardinal direction where there was at least 500 m to the next possible seed source. The number of transects surveyed varied from 2 to 8 in each of the 13 sites, averaging 5 in the 6 Lac La Biche sites, and 4 in the 7 Whitecourt sites. There were two to five replicates of each of the eight directions. Starting at 10 m from the edge of the seed tree island, we located stations at 20-m intervals, out to 250 m. Each station was composed of two circular plots, tangential to the transect line at the station point, and whose radii increased with distance from the seed source stand. The area sampled was 16% of the total area. In each plot the number of stems of naturally regenerated white spruce ≤10 m in height were counted. To characterize the white spruce seed source stands, we counted the number of seed trees, measured the heights of two representative seed trees, and estimated their ages from increment cores (Table 1). We used these data as a basis for the parameters used in the patch source model. We also measured the height and age of two representative aspen from the surrounding stand. As with the confetti data, densities (counts divided by plot area) were used in all our analyses. A simulation model of dispersal from patch sources was developed based on the following micrometeorological model of seed dispersal from a point source (Greene and Johnson 1989), which gives a lognormal distribution of seed frequency with respect to distance of dispersal (dQ/dx): 2 − Q dQ − 1 ln xF = exp dx xσu(2π)1/2 2σu2 Hu−g where Q is the total number of seeds dispersed, x is the distance (m) from the seed source, (u−g) is the abscission-weighted, mean geometric − wind speed, (σu) is the standard deviation of ln(u−g), F is the mean fall rate of spruce seed (0.54 m/s), and H is the height of seed release (20 m). The values of seed frequency (dQ/dx) from this equation were Table 1. The estimated number of spruce seed trees, heights and ages of the white spruce seed source stands and the surrounding aspen stands, and the mean height differences between the spruce and aspen stands. Whitecourt No. of spruce seed trees Spruce ages (years) Spruce heights (m) Aspen ages (years) Aspen heights (m) Height differences (m) Lac La Biche Mean SE Mean SE 30 89 24 43 18 6.3 10.0 7.0 0.9 3.4 0.9 0.8 36 94 23 46 18 5.3 8.9 6.1 2.8 1.6 1.4 1.6 divided by 0.5πx to give seed densities as a function of distance in either the upwind or downwind direction (90° quadrant). The patch model was then constructed by arranging 29 individual trees on a 4-m grid to approximate a circular patch source with a diameter of 24 m. A transect was then defined, starting at one of the outermost trees and extending away from the patch. During the simulations, the density of regeneration (i.e., “successful seeds”) was calculated at each point on the transect by summing the seed density contributions from each of the trees in the patch. The values of Q, u−g, and σu were determined by iteration to give optimum fit to the observed mean regeneration densities on the downwind transects. Results Dispersal of surrogate seeds Wind regimes The mean windspeeds above the canopy ranged from 1.7 m/s on September 6 to 3.6 m/s on October 12 during our confetti releases (Fig. 1). These were slightly lower than the 30-year mean windspeeds for August through October (3.9 m/s) measured at Grande Prairie, 80 km west of our Spring Creek tower (Table 2). However, the maximum gust speeds (6.4–10.9 m/s) were less than a third of the maximum indicated in the 30-year record (31 m/s; Fig. 1, Table 2). Horizontal windspeed increased with height, as expected (Fig. 1). During August and September when the aspen were in leaf, horizontal windspeeds within and below the canopy were 38 and 10%, respectively, of the windspeeds above the canopy. In October, after the leaves had fallen, windspeeds within and below the canopy were about 56 and 33%, respectively, of windspeed above the canopy. Winds were from the west on all release dates, except for September 6, when winds were easterly. There was a trend for a slightly negative mean vertical windspeed, and gust maxima were generally greater downward than upward (Fig. 1). However, on each date, the maximum observed updraft windspeed was greater (1.8–2.2 m/s) than the confetti fall rate (0.887 m/s). Confetti dispersal Before leaf fall, confetti dispersed in all directions, although the majority of confetti moved downwind (Fig. 2). After leaf fall, this effect was less pronounced with very little confetti moving more than 90° away from the downwind direction. The pattern of radial dispersal of confetti measured at the 10-m ring of traps was irregular for all three heights of confetti release, © 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:22:40 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 184 Can. J. Bot. Vol. 76, 1998 Fig. 1. Horizontal, updraft, and downdraft windspeeds measured above (19.4 m, open bars), in the middle of (15.0 m, solid bars), and below (9.5 m, hatched bars) an aspen canopy during five releases of confetti. Means, SDs, and extrema are indicated by histogram bars, lines with crossbars, and lines without crossbars, respectively. There were two confetti releases on Oct. 12 (Oct. 12a and Oct. 12b). Fig. 2. Radial dispersal of confetti following release from a meteorological tower in a mature aspen stand. The three heights were 2 m above (19.5 m, solid line), at (16.8 m, broken line), and 2 m below (14.5 m, broken and dotted line) the top of the aspen canopy. Confetti densities were measured at 15° intervals at 10 m from the tower base. Three releases were made during the leaf-on period and two during the leaf-off period. Table 2. Average wind regimes for the seed dispersal months of August, September, and October for the three study areas. the leaves had fallen, dispersal distances increased. Confetti released at and above canopy height had distinct peaks of density at 15 m (Fig. 3). Mean dispersal distance on the downwind transects during the leaf-on period was 24.2, 14.2, and 10.8 m for confetti released from above, at, and below canopy height, respectively; whereas, after leaf-fall, the corresponding values increased to 37.9, 27.0, and 20.7 m, respectively. The results of the model simulations for seed (confetti) dispersal using the wind data from the tower are shown in Fig. 4. For the leaf-on period, the pattern and magnitude of modelled confetti densities were generally similar to those observed. However, the simulated fall rate for confetti (0.887 m/s) resulted in a maximum dispersal distance of 78 m, which was much less than that observed (>200 m). When the simulation was repeated using the slower fall rate for spruce seed (0.54 m/s), the modelled dispersal distances increased to a maximum of 356 m, giving a dispersal pattern similar to that observed for the confetti release experiment. For the leaf-off period, the peak in modelled densities occurred at a greater Maximum gust Maximum hourly Mean prevailing Mean Grande Prairie Whitecourt Lac La Biche 31.0 20.3 5.5 3.9 22.8 16.9 2.9 2.5 27.7 19.3 4.4 3.0 Note: Values (m/s) were derived from 30-year normals (1951–1980) from airport meteorological records (Environment Canada 1982). probably as a result of local microscale heterogeneity of the stand surrounding the tower. During the leaf-on period, most of the confetti from all release heights landed within 15 m of the tower, although confetti was found on the traps at very low densities as far as 210 m away (Fig. 3). Observation beyond the traplines indicated that some confetti was travelling at least 250 m. After © 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:23:07 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Stewart et al. 185 Fig. 3. Downwind confetti dispersal following release from positions 2 m above (d), at (j), and 2 m below (m) mean canopy height in a mature aspen stand. Data are averages from the two or three transects that exhibited the longest dispersal distances during each release. Three releases were made during the leaf-on period and two during the leaf-off period. Fig. 4. Simulation models for dispersal from a point source in an aspen canopy before and after leaf fall. Confetti data (d) is compared with models using the confetti fall rate of 0.887 m/s (broken and dotted line), and that for white spruce, 0.54 m/s (broken line). distance from the tower (ca. 20–40 m) than that observed (15 m), but modelled and observed densities were generally comparable at distances greater than 100 m. During the simulations, most seeds followed a continuously downward trajectory but updrafts during each simulation resulted in maximum seed heights of between 25 and 57 m, and generally much greater than average dispersal distances. 250 m radius of the source stands were an order of magnitude lower (Fig. 5). The average densities tended to be lower in the Lac La Biche stands than in the Whitecourt stands, except for the northeastern (45°) transects (Fig. 5), although significant differences were found only in the north, east, south, and southwest directions (overall significance at p ≤ 0.05 for all tests, probabilities for individual directions corrected by the Bonferroni inequality to p ≤ 0.006 25). The seed source stands and their surrounding aspen stands were not different in heights or ages between the two regions (Table 1). The distribution of white spruce regeneration with distance from the seed source was different depending on whether the transect ran upwind toward the prevailing wind direction (i.e., northwest, west, and southwest), or downwind with the prevailing wind (i.e., northeast, east, and southeast) (Fig. 6). Mean regeneration densities of white spruce from upwind transects were less than 500 stems/ha adjacent to the seed source stand and tended to decline slightly, but erratically, as the distance increased. On downwind transects, regeneration densities averaged over 2500 stems/ha adjacent to the seed source and declined linearly to less than 500 stems/ha at 90 m. Past 90 m, the densities declined gradually and were not signifi- Distribution of naturally regenerated seedlings The radial distribution of white spruce regeneration in the aspen stands surrounding the seed sources showed that more white spruce have established downwind than upwind, relative to the prevailing westerly wind direction in both regions (Environment Canada 1982) (Fig. 5). The average regeneration density and the wind direction frequencies were positively correlated for Whitecourt (r = 0.80, p = 0.017). For Lac La Biche, the correlation was not significant (r = 0.39, p = 0.340) because of the northern and northeastern transect results; however, regeneration density and wind direction frequency were strongly correlated in the other six directions (r = 0.91, p = 0.012). We found regeneration densities as high as 12 000 stems/ha in individual plots in both regions, but average densities within the © 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:23:29 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 186 Fig. 5. Radial distribution of white spruce regeneration in mature aspen stands surrounding isolated spruce seed trees in two regions, Lac La Biche (open bars) and Whitecourt (hatched bars). Values are means and SEs from transects radiating out from the source trees. The frequency of occurrence of winds for different downwind directions is also presented for Lac La Biche (solid line) and Whitecourt (broken line). Can. J. Bot. Vol. 76, 1998 height of mature, seed-bearing spruce in source stands (Table 1). During initial simulations, however, it became apparent that the magnitude of observed regeneration densities was always much greater than expected at distances greater than 100 m. This was especially true on the transects located upwind from the source stand, where there was an actual increase in the estimated total number of spruce seedlings per 1-m increase in distance from the patch. This indicated that there was a “background density” of white spruce seedlings that had originated from dispersal over longer distances from other seed sources in the region. The magnitude of this background density could not be determined precisely but was probably about 100/ha, based on the minimum densities recorded on the transects (Fig. 6). When this was included in the patch source model, the best fit with the observed regeneration densities on the downwind transects (Fig. 6) was obtained using the following parameters: Q = 1725, u−g = 2.5 m/s and σu = 0.9, where Q is the total number of seedlings in the downwind quadrant that originated from the patch. For the upwind transects, the best fit to the observed regeneration densities was obtained by reducing the value of Q to 250 and using the same values of u−g and σu. Discussion Fig. 6. Distribution of white spruce regeneration with distance into and with the prevailing wind direction in mature aspen stands surrounding isolated spruce seed trees. Symbols represent means (with SEs) of field observations from transects in the easterly (northeast, east, southeast) directions against prevailing winds (j), and westerly directions (northwest, west, southwest) with prevailing winds (d). Lines represent the simulation model results described in the text (solid, downwind; broken, upwind). cantly different from those found on the westerly transects (p = 0.100). The model parameters describing dispersal from a patch source appeared to be realistic, in terms of the number and Factors affecting seed dispersal The results of our confetti release experiments have shown the importance of in-canopy wind regimes in determining the pattern of white spruce seed dispersal within aspen stands. The presence of aspen leaves results in strong reductions in horizontal wind speed, especially in the lower canopy, which leads to shorter dispersal distances during the leaf-on period than after leaf fall (Fig. 3). Greater variability in wind direction associated with lower windspeeds (Pasquill and Smith 1983) within and below the canopy may also have contributed to shorter dispersal distance and deposition upwind of the tower in the releases before leaf fall (Fig. 2). How well do our experimental confetti release results compare with the distribution of spruce regeneration from real seed sources? The curve for confetti dispersal differed from the distribution of regeneration in that a greater proportion of the confetti fell nearer to the source and less fell at the greater distances (Fig. 7). This difference remains even when considering the greater fall rate of the confetti compared with real spruce seed (Fig. 4). When making such comparisons, it is also important to consider the influence of source geometry on the shape of the distance–dispersal curves (Greene and Johnson 1996). In the present study, the confetti was released from a point source (the tower), whereas the white spruce regeneration originated from patch sources. However, the patches of mature white spruce were chosen to be small (<20 m radius) relative to the surrounding areas of pure aspen (500 m radius). Thus, the observed pattern of regeneration density should not deviate significantly from that expected around a point source, except at locations immediately adjacent to the mature spruce. Therefore, the difference in source geometry cannot explain the abundance of spruce seedlings at large (>100 m) distances from the seed source, relative to that expected from the confetti release experiments. The most likely explanation is that most white spruce seed © 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:23:44 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen Stewart et al. Fig. 7. Comparison of our confetti dispersal in leaf-on (s) and leaf-off (h) periods, and sapling regeneration with distance from seed source (m) with published models of white spruce seed dispersal into clearings in British Columbia (Dobbs 1976) and Alaska (Youngblood and Max 1992). is dispersed at windspeeds much higher than those observed during our confetti release experiments. This is consistent with the results of Greene and Johnson (1992), who found that the probability of abscission of Acer saccharinum L. samaras increased as a power function of windspeed, with an exponent >2. Furthermore, our application of the patch source model to the observed distribution of regeneration suggests that very strong wind events must be much more common from the west, northwest, and southwest than from the east, northeast, and southeast (by a factor of seven, based on the best fitting values of Q used above). Extreme wind events in the study areas are more common from the prevailing direction than from the opposite direction by at least this factor (Flesch and Wilson 1993). Our results suggest that simulation modelling of seed dispersal using tower-based wind data can be a useful means of exploring the dynamics of tree seed dispersal. However, it is apparent that an improved understanding of the factors controlling seed abscission is critical to the successful prediction of seed dispersal patterns, even over short time periods. In addition to the effect of horizontal wind speed, the direction and magnitude of vertical windspeeds may also be important. We do not know, for example, if white spruce seed is more likely to be dislodged from cones during strong updrafts. In the confetti release experiment, we observed that gusts of high vertical windspeeds were responsible for carrying off a disproportionately large part of the confetti, although this relationship was not quantified. The strongest vertical winds were downward (Fig. 1), and this may have contributed to the high rate of deposition close to the tower (Fig. 3), since such downward gusts move the confetti into lower air layers where horizontal windspeeds are less. Also, the pans used during the experiment may have obstructed updrafts from carrying off the confetti. Thus, future experiments of this type could greatly benefit from more carefully controlled conditions of seed re- 187 lease. A more intensive design for the sampling of wind regimes may also be necessary to accurately characterize seed trajectories within forest canopies. This could include measurements of three-dimensional wind velocity at a higher frequency (1–10 Hz), over a greater range of heights (e.g., from the understory shrub layer to at least one tree height above the canopy), and at more than one tower location within the stand. Most other studies of seed dispersal of Picea species have shown that, like our results, the bulk of the seed falls within a few tens of metres from the source stand and that densities drop rapidly to about 100 m (Alexander and Edminster 1983; Alexander 1986; Dobbs 1976; McCaughey and Schmidt 1987; Roe 1967; Youngblood and Max 1992). Figure 7 shows two typical examples of seed dispersal from mature white spruce stands into adjacent clearings in central British Columbia (Dobbs 1976) and Alaska (Youngblood and Max 1992). It is interesting to note that the pattern of relative dispersal densities into the clearings were similar to our results for downwind, withinstand dispersal based on our observed distributions of white spruce regeneration. However, a more rigorous comparison would also need to include the influence of differences in source geometry (Greene and Johnson 1996), even after all other relevant factors such as tree height, seed fall rate, and wind regime have been considered. Ecological and forest management implications The results of our regeneration distribution surveys indicate that the influence of patches of white spruce seed trees becomes indistinguishable from background levels of seed dispersal at distances greater than about 100–150 m downwind, relative to the prevailing wind direction, and at much smaller distances upwind. This background seed rain can result in a potential minimum density of about 100 stems/ha of spruce regeneration in the normal forest floor conditions of an aspen understory, even at distances of 250 m or more from major seed sources (Fig. 6). In Alberta boreal forests, Eberhart and Woodard (1987) found that, even in the largest burns, only 14% of the burned area was located more than 500 m from residual unburned forest. This suggests that most sites in the boreal mixed-wood forest will experience some white spruce seed rain after fire. Other studies have observed low-density, long-distance dispersal in burns and clearings (MacArthur 1964; Greene and Johnson 1995; Galipeau et al. 1997). Such long-distance dispersal may also permit the recruitment of white spruce into pure aspen stands. If these trees survive to become seedbearers, Quaite (1956) suggested that as few as 15 stems/ha would be sufficient to produce a fully stocked spruce understory in the next generation. The success of natural seeding of white spruce in mixedwood stands depends on the number of seeds dispersed, the aerodynamic effect of the aspen canopy (Greene and Johnson 1996), and the quality of seedbeds (Roe 1967). Our data suggest that in typical mixed-wood sites, 500 or more seedlings per hectare will become established within about 80–100 m downwind and about 10 m upwind of a seed tree island. Given the relatively lower densities of seed rain upwind, we suggest that forest managers may wish to leave seed trees no more than 100 m apart if heavy stands of spruce are desired, unless there is a high coverage of more receptive seedbeds such as rotten wood or exposed mineral soil. To develop mixed-wood stands with lower densities of white spruce, patches of spruce seed © 1998 NRC Canada B97-179.CHP Mon Apr 20 09:23:52 1998 Color profile: Disabled Composite Default screen 188 trees several hundred metres apart may be adequate. The importance of seedbed quality cannot be ignored, however, as some of the seed tree islands that we visited had little regeneration, notably those with a dense cover of Calamagrostis canadensis (Michx.) Beauv., Alnus crispa (Ait.) Pursh, or Corylus cornuta Marsh. It is also clear that the height of seed release above the surrounding canopy plays a major role in determining the potential distances over which white spruce recruitment can occur. Dispersal distances will be enhanced if seed trees are tall or at elevated topographic locations relative to the surrounding vegetation. Thus, dominant trees contribute the most to dispersal not only by producing the most seed (Waldron 1965) but also because they release more of their seed above the canopy. In 10 years of observation of a southern boreal forest in Manitoba, Waldron (1965) recorded that the timing of peak seed rains varied from late August to early October. Leaf fall for aspen begins in early September, peaks in late September, and is nearly complete by early October (personal observations). From these data we can expect that some seed dispersal will occur before aspen leaf fall and some after. In those years with delayed spruce seed development and abscission, early aspen leaf fall, or insect defoliation of the forest canopy, wider dispersal of white spruce could be anticipated. Acknowledgments We thank Simon Landhäusser for discussions and suggestions on this study, Dan MacPherson for providing the confetti traps, Kim Krause and Simon Landhäusser for assistance in the field, the Alberta Forest Service for field accommodations, and Richard Rothwell and Robert Swanson for permitting us to use the Spring Creek tower. We also thank Dr. David Greene and an anonymous reviewer for their comments on an earlier draft of this paper. 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