SOCIAL NETWORKS ELSEVIER Social Networks 19 (1997) 1-7 It's about time: how, why, and when networks change J. Jill Suitor a.*, Barry Wellman b, David L. Morgan c a Department of Sociology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA b Centre for Urban and Community Studies, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont. M5S 2G8, Canada ¢ Institute on Aging, Portland State University, Portland, OR 97207, USA 1. Introduction During the past 20 years scholars have provided an increasingly complex image of individuals' social networks, using a variety of theoretical and methodological approaches to show that such networks are major providers of sociability, support, information, and a sense of belonging. One feature common to almost all of this work on 'personal communities' is that it has provided a picture of the ties that exist at only one time. Although the limitations of such a single snapshot approach have been recognized, financial and organizational constraints have limited efforts to study the inevitable changes that occur in networks over time. This special issue of Social N e t w o r k s brings together a groundbreaking set of studies that provides theoretical, methodological, and substantive contributions to the study of change in social networks. To this end, the authors use a variety of approaches to analyze different longitudinal data sets. Taken together, this set of papers provides us with the first concerted effort to understand: (a) the extent to which personal community networks change over time; and (b) the processes that underlie such changes. 2. The papers The first three papers in this issue are similar in their approach to analyzing changes in personal community networks. By collecting data at multiple measurement points across a year, Morgan et al. investigate the stability of the networks themselves. Next, * Correspondingauthor. 0378-8733/96/$15.00 Copyright © 1996 ElsevierScienceB.V. All rights reserved. PII S0378-8733(96)00287-0 2 J,J. Suitor et al./Social Networks 19 (1997) 1 - 7 the paper by Wellman et al. examines changes in personal communities across a decade, including an investigation of how changes in the Egos' social statuses affect their networks. Suitor and Keeton's paper has a similar time perspective, reporting on the effects of changes in homophily on social support networks of midlife women across a 10-year period following a return to school. The second group of three papers addresses a different set of theoretical and methodological issues involving network change. Leik and Chalkley's paper presents a theoretical framework for analyzing sources of instability in networks across time. Ruan et al.'s paper uses data collected in two separate surveys more than 5 years apart, to show differences in the networks reported by urban Chinese. Last, Feld's paper uses data from friendship ties within a bounded population to examine how the initial strength of ties, especially in terms of their embeddedness in shared social networks, affects the continuity of ties across time. 3. Methodological approaches Most of the prior work in this area has focused on assessing the reliability of repeated survey measurement of ego-centered networks. (See the paper by Morgan et al. for a partial review of this literature.) Typically, such studies collected data at two times, separated by a relatively brief interval. By contrast, many of the papers in this special issue depart from this tradition by presenting data collected over a much more lengthy period, or at multiple data points. The time-frames of these papers range from six months in Leik and Chalkley's and Feld's studies to 1 year in Morgan et al.'s project, 7 years in Ruan et al.'s investigation, and a full decade in both Suitor and Keeton's, and Wellman and colleagues' studies. All of the authors elicited information by repeatedly interviewing respondents about the members of their personal communities. There is significant variation in the frequency with which information has been gathered from respondents. Where WeUman et al., Leik and Chalkley, and Feld each interviewed respondents twice, at the beginning and end of their time-frames, Suitor and Keeton interviewed respondents three times, while Morgan et al. interviewed his respondents seven times in a year. All of these scholars obtained their information by comparing what the same respondents reported about their networks at different times. By contrast, Ruan et al. are the only authors who did not repeat interviews with the same respondents. They obtained their information about change in Chinese networks by comparing distributions in two separate random samples, with similar sampling criteria and stimulus questions. All of the articles in this issue present data from field studies of real populations, and not experimental laboratory situations. Most of the articles in this special issue use data collected to study particular populations within the United States, including university students (Feld), low SES parents (Leik and Chalkley), widows (Morgan et al.), and women who returned to school in midlife (Suitor and Keeton). Two studies use data from outside of the United States - the residents of the East York section of Toronto, Canada (Wellman et al.), and residents of Tianjin, China (Ruan et al.). ./.J. Suitor et al. / Social Networks 19 (1997) 1-7 3 All of the authors except Feld examine ego-centered networks. Although Feld studies a 'whole network' (all the classmates in a university cohort), he analyzes the data in ways similar to the other authors' ego-centered analyses, inquiring into such matters as the percentage of ties retained. Several authors adopt a broad definition of network membership, which includes relatives, friends, neighbors, and co-workers (Morgan et al.; Ruan et al.; Suitor and Keeton; Wellman et al.). Because people may have more than 1000 ties in their ego-centered networks, these studies restrict their view to only ties that were deemed 'strong' in some respect, typically resulting in networks of less than 20 members. By contrast, Feld examines only relations with other university classmates, while Leik and Chalkley examine only relations within family households. These authors' definitions allow them to take into account all the ties within these networks, not just the strong ones. All of the papers rely primarily on statistical analysis. However, both Suitor and Keeton and Wellman et al. complement their quantitative analysis with qualitative accounts by respondents of how and why their personal community networks changed. 4. Questions addressed The common approaches taken in this set of papers allow them to address collectively a set of key questions. 4.1. To w h a t extent do ties persist? Just knowing the extent to which ties persist is an important piece of information. Remarkably, there is a great deal of similarity in persistence of ties across specific time-frames among some of these studies. For example, both Morgan and colleagues and Suitor and Keeton find that about two-thirds of the associates named at T1 were named again 1 year later. Further, both Suitor and Keeton and Wellman and colleagues report that between about one-quarter and one-third of the ties from T1 continue to be mentioned again a full decade later. These two sets of findings on persistence are especially interesting when taken in combination. Clearly these networks are not losing a third of their membership every year; if this were the case, there would be virtually no associates remaining over a 10-year span. Instead, this pattern fits the claim by Morgan and colleagues that networks are generally comprised of both a 'persistent core' of ties that is maintained across time, and a 'periphery' of ties that is regularly replaced. It is interesting to note how differently various authors interpret the persistence they found. For example, Suitor and Keeton interpret their degree of persistence as remarkable, considering the magnitude of changes in all of the women's lives across the decade, while Wellman and colleagues note how small a percentage persisted. Is the cup one-quarter full or three-quarters empty? As ties come and go, a person's cumulative inventory of relationships grows over 4 J.J. Suitor et al./Social Networks 19 (1997) 1 - 7 time, as Morgan and colleagues point out. The accumulation of ties can facilitate the building of bridges among social circles when individuals maintain ties from one focus of activity (Feld, 1981) to another. But to what extent do once-strong ties remain connected? Both Wellman and colleagues' and Suitor and Keeton's findings suggest that most former intimates drop out of the network over the course of a decade. 4.2. Why do some ties persist more than others? Several authors find that strong ties are more likely to persist than weaker ones. (We should note that the authors are actually talking about gradations of strength within a small subset of ties that are all relatively strong in comparison with the other thousand or so members of a personal community network.) Yet different studies emphasize various dimensions of tie strength: Feld, Suitor and Keeton, and Wellman et al. each show that supportive ties are the most likely to persist. Feld and Wellman et al. demonstrate that frequent contact between network members is also associated with the persistence of relationships. Other relational criteria are also associated with persistence: Feld, Morgan et al., Leik and Chalkley, Ruan et al., and Wellman et al. all find that kinship ties are more persistent than ties between friends, neighbors or workmates. Distinguishing among different types of networks, Suitor and Keeton find that kin tend to persist in emotionally supportive relationships but not as people with whom to socialize. Suitor and Keeton are also the only authors that identify a social characteristic of network members as contributing to the persistence of a tie: The greater the educational homophily between the associate and the respondent, the more likely the associate was to remain in the network. Two authors differ regarding the extent to which network structure fosters persistence: Where Feld finds that 'structural embeddedness' (interacting as part of a set of a ties that is more than a two-person relationship) is associated with the persistence of ties among university studenLs, Wellman et al. do not find that a network member's centrality or the social density of the overall network is associated with the persistence of ties among Toronto residents. 4.3. Which social characteristics of egos affect turnover in networks? As personal community networks in the Western world are primarily oriented toward providing sociability and support for domestic situations, it is not surprising that Wellman et al. identify changes in marital status (particularly the move into marriage) to be responsible for major turnover in networks. They also find that changes in Egos' neighborhood or employment status are not associated with changes in their personal community networks. Leik and Chalkley also point to the importance of domestic situations in understanding the extent of turnover in the networks of low-income parents. In contrast, Suitor and Keeton do not find that change in marital status is related to change in social networks; as they note, this is probably due to the fact that only women who remained in the same geographical area were included in the sample. Last, Ruan et J.J. Suitor et al. // Social Networks 19 (1997) 1-7 5 al. concentrate on the demographically central concerns of age and gender: As China has changed, young adults have had fewer ties to workmates than their age-mates reported 7 years earlier, while women have experienced an increase in their number of friends. 4.4. What causes o f change are analyzed? Are there inherently different types of changes in networks? Leik and Chalkley's paper focuses on teasing out four distinct potential causes o f change: the unreliability of data from time to time (background noise); inherent instability in systems (such as psychological ups and downs in intimacy); change due to normal system dynamics (such as childbearing); and external factors (such as economic depression in society or, on a more microscopic level). Other papers in this issue take somewhat different approaches. For example, Morgan et al. use their seven waves of interviews within a year to analyze the unreliability of data and the instability of systems. Feld has a similar focus in his whole network study. Suitor and Keeton and Wellman et al. analyze changes due to dyadic relations between Egos and network members. Wellman et al. focus on changes in the Egos' aging and marital situations; while Suitor and Keeton focus on changes in educational homophily between the respondents and members of their social networks. In contrast to the rather unchanging external dynamics of North American societies, Ruan et al. are able to analyze the effects of the massive external socioeconomic changes in China during the 7 years between interviews. 4.5. How do changes in personal communities intersect with changes in society? Ruan et al.'s paper analyzing changing social networks in China is the only study conducted in a society that is rapidly changing in fundamental ways. The finding of a decrease in the number of co-workers in these networks is associated with the shift in China from a state bureaucratic to a market society. As part of this shift, work organizations are no longer claiming total control over people's lives. Concomitantly, the evidence from this paper suggests that workmates no longer play as important a role in people's social lives. They find more of their sociability and support with friends, as their society becomes socially liberated. Two other papers, while not addressing such large-scale issues, do attempt to consider how the nature of people's personal communities may change in response to social changes. Morgan et al. find a core-periphery structure following the transition to widowhood: a stable core populated principally by kin, plus a more transitory set of friendships. Morgan and colleagues' findings are consistent with Wellman et al.'s view of personal communities. They too, see a stable core of supportive friends and immediate kin, but they note that there is some change in this core over a decade. Wellman et al. suggest that changes in personal community networks have two dynamics. Both the core and periphery of the networks are usually slowly changing sets of ties. They adapt to external circumstances and they help the Egos at their centers to adapt, just as Ruan et al. find. Yet Wellman et al. point to the almost complete turnover 6 J.J. Suitor et al./Social Networks 19 (1997) 1-7 of relationships associated with change in marital status to propose that a second process was at work: rapid 'catastrophic' change that is associated with fundamental change in the social circumstances around which these networks are organized. In the case of the Torontonians, this was marital change, but in other societies it might well be political or economic change. 4.6. The future of studying change in ego-centered networks We believe that future work will broaden the study of changes in networks along three dimensions: (1) the type of longitudinal data; (2) the type of change; and (3) the type of network. With regard to the type of data, longitudinal research designs have historically distinguished between time-series data, panel data and trend data. Time series studies collect many measurements at regular intervals, and typically use curve-fitting procedures to track the course of key indicators. Given the cost and complexity of network studies, time-series analysis will probably be the rarest form of study of network change, although the paper by Morgan et al. shows some of the possibilities for such work. Panel studies follow a given sample across a discrete number of time points, and typically concentrate on changes between pairs of time points. The papers by Wellman et al., Suitor and Keeton, Leik and Chalkley, and Feld all fit this pattern - just as this is the common design among the studies presented here, it is also likely to be the dominant direction for future work on network change. Trend studies represent a third alternative, using separate samples to track key variables across a limited number of data collections, and typically concentrating on changes between pairs of variables at subsequent time points. Ruan et al.'s work on contemporary China demonstrates how comparisons of trend data on networks can give empirical definition to the nature of social change. The type of change that one investigates provides a further source of research designs for studies of network change. In particular, there is a distinction between changes that follow some well-defined focal event, versus broader studies of social change. Most of the studies in this special' issue use specific events as their starting points, including widowhood (Morgan et al.), returning to school (Suitor and Keeton), participation in an intervention program (Leik and Chalkley), and entering college (Feld). Although these studies follow individuals' networks, similar designs could apply to other units of analysis, such as examining networks at the community level following a major transformation such as a natural disaster; or at an organizational level following a major economic or regulatory change, etc. An example of this is provided by Ruan et al., who use their data on China to illustrate how studies at the community or national level can track network variables across time as key social indicators. A final way to think about future directions for the study of network change distinguishes between types of networks, especially bounded versus unbounded networks. With the partial exception of Feld's paper, all of the articles in this special issue deal with unbounded networks. This emphasis on change in unbounded networks differs from the majority of the work published in this journal which has dealt with bounded networks. Further, work on change in bounded networks has a relatively long history, J.J. Suitor et aL /Social Networks 19 (1997) 1 - 7 7 going back at least to the original sociometric analyses by Moreno in the 1930s (Moreno, 1934). It is our expectation that work on changes in bounded networks will continue to be a direction for future research. We hope that the papers presented in this special issue show how work on unbounded networks can also be fruitful. In sum, it is clear that there is a wide-ranging research agenda associated with changes in social networks. We hope that the articles in this special issue provoke additional interest in research that increases our understanding of social networks through investigations of changes in their structure and function. References Feld, S.L., 1981, The focusedorganizationof social ties, AmericanJournal of Sociology86, 1015-1035. Moreno,J.L., 1934, Who shall survive? Foundations of sociometry, group psychotherapy,and sociodrama. Nervous and mental disease monograph58 (Washington, DC).
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