3 Universities Council on Water Resources Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education Issue 151, Pages 3-8, August 2013 Nutrient Management and the Chesapeake Bay Douglas Beegle Penn State University, University Park, PA Abstract: The Chesapeake Bay is the largest estuary in the United States with a very large and diverse watershed. The health of the Bay related to pollution from nutrients and sediment has been in decline for many years. Agriculture in the watershed is one of the major contributors of nutrient and sediment pollution to the Chesapeake. The cause of the nutrient pollution from agriculture has usually been thought to have been the result of mismanagement of nutrients on farms. Consequently, the approaches to solving the problem have focused almost exclusively on changing farm management. As a result, significant progress has been made in improving on-farm nutrient management but the health of the Bay remains a concern. An analysis of the structure of animal agriculture in the Bay watershed reveals that the problem is much deeper than simply mismanagement on farms. A major underlying cause is a regional nutrient imbalance resulting from an economically driven system of animal production based on importing from outside the watershed a large amount of the animal feed. Therefore, a long-term, sustainable solution will require much more than just changing on-farm management. To really solve this problem will require a restructuring of the animal production systems to internalize the environmental costs of this structural imbalance of nutrients in the watershed. The challenge that must be met is how to accomplish this in a way that is sustainable. Keywords: Chesapeake Bay, nutrient management, agriculture T he Chesapeake Bay is the largest estuary in the United States with a watershed that covers 64,000 square miles across six states. Over 17 million people currently live in the watershed and experts predict that the population will increase to nearly 20 million by 2030. The Bay watershed has a wide variety of land uses, including intensive urbanized areas and extensive suburban areas (9 percent), a large area of agricultural land (22 percent), and extensive forests (58 percent) (Chesapeake Bay Program 2012). As population has grown and undeveloped land has been converted to other land uses, there has been a decline in the health of the Bay. This first became a serious concern in the 1970’s. The causes of the decline are many and varied, ranging from industrial chemicals, air pollution, over harvesting of seafood, soil erosion and sedimentation, and nutrient pollution. Nutrients are coming from all land uses in the watershed and both from point sources, such as sewage treatment plants, and non-point sources, such as agricultural Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education fields. The nutrients of concern are nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P), both of which are essential for plants and animals. In fact, the main problem caused by nutrient pollution is too much of a good thing. This can result in excessive growth of algae, or accelerated eutrophication, which blocks sunlight thus reducing underwater grasses that are vital to the health of the Bay. Also, when these algae blooms die and decompose, they can dramatically lower dissolved oxygen in the water, making large areas of the Bay uninhabitable. In response to this decline in Bay health, the Chesapeake Bay Program was established in the 1980’s to restore the health of the Bay. While all of the major land uses contribute significant nutrient loads to the Bay, analysis of the nutrient and sediment contributions shows that agriculture is the main source of nitrogen (45 percent) and phosphorus (44 percent) in the total delivered load of these nutrients (ChesapeakeStat 2009). Consequently, a major effort has been undertaken to address this problem across the watershed. UCOWR 4 Beegle Underlying Causes of Nutrient Problems from Agriculture in the Chesapeake Bay It is important to understand the causes of nutrient pollution in the Bay from agriculture. There are two main issues that lie behind this problem. One is a strategic issue that has to do with the structure of contemporary animal agriculture. The second has to do with tactical management of nutrients on individual farms. Traditional animal agriculture has been organized around localized nutrient cycles (Figure 1A) because of the integration of the crop and animal production systems on individual farms. In most cases, the bulk of the feed required for the animals was produced on the farm where the animals were located. Animal utilization of feed nutrients is relatively low, with approximately one-fourth to one-third of the nutrients going into the animal products and two-thirds to three-fourths into the manure. In this integrated system the manure nutrients were returned to the land where the crops were produced. Some external sources of nutrients were required for the crops to offset the nutrients that left the farm in the animal products. In this system there was a very strong incentive to recycle the manure nutrients as efficiently as possible into the cropping system. The more nutrients that could be recovered from the manure for crop production, the lower the Figure 1. Nutrient flow on A) a traditional integrated crop/livestock farm and B) a contemporary system with crops produced on one farm and animals produced on another farm. (Adapted from Lanyon and Beegle 1993). UCOWR Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education Nutrient Management in the Chesapeake Bay cost of purchased fertilizer; manure was thus an economic advantage to the farm. In this traditional system, the main focus was managing to overcome nutrient depletion as efficiently as possible. Nutrient excesses were rare and inefficient manure management was less common because of the direct economic penalty to the farm. Consequently, environmental problems from nutrients were not a widespread concern. However, after World War II fertilizer usage became an economical alternative to manure and legumes in crop production systems. The local nutrient cycle that was necessary to sustain the traditional integrated farm was no longer necessary (Lanyon 1994). Farmers in places like the Midwest realized that they could produce larger crops and do it more economically just with chemical fertilizer. At the same time, farmers in areas like the Mid-Atlantic U.S. realized that they could not really compete with corn belt farmers in crop production, but they could utilize these crops to increase animal production well beyond what was possible in the traditional system where they had to grow their own feed for the animals. This was a very synergistic relationship resulting in economic-driven specialization and concentration of crop and animal production in different areas. However, an unforeseen consequence of this shift in the organization of agricultural production was a major change in nutrient cycling. In the traditional system, the major nutrient flows were within the farm with relatively minor inputs and outputs to and from the farm (Figure 1A). As the more specialized organization evolved, major nutrient flows beyond the farm became very significant (Figure 1B). Large inputs of fertilizer nutrients were occurring on farms where crops are produced, but these inputs were balanced by large outputs of crops leaving the farm. Within this crop production system there is a strong economic driver for higher nutrient use efficiency that would directly result in increased profit from the crops produced. This higher nutrient use efficiency should also result in less potential for nutrient losses to the environment in this system. The crops from these farms are then marketed to farms in other areas where the animals are produced. Thus, the large output of nutrients in the crops from the crop farm then become large nutrient inputs on the farms where the animals Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education 5 are produced. On the animal production farm the output is the nutrients in the animal products produced which is again only a small proportion of the nutrient inputs. The remaining nutrients are now in the manure produced by the animals. In the traditional system, these manure nutrients would be recycled back to where the crops were produced. However, the crops now come from off the farm and often from a long distance. Thus, recycling of the nutrients back to where the crops were produced is not economically feasible. The most economical thing to do with the manure is to spread it, and the large amounts of nutrients it contains, on land near where the animals are produced. However, because the animal farm is not producing the feed for the animals, the land base on the animal farm may be very small relative to the number of animals on the farm producing manure. In fact, economics encourage the farmer to minimize the land base for the animal farm. Consequently, approximately 75 percent of the nutrients from a large acreage crop farm somewhere else is now being applied to a relatively small acreage on the animal farm. The bottom line is that the nutrients in this contemporary system no longer cycle. The economic drivers for this system are resulting in a one-way flow of nutrients from the fertilizer production to the crop farms, and finally to the animal farms where they are ultimately accumulating. There is a wide variety of evidence of this one way flow of nutrients. Maguire et al. (2007) provides a national picture of phosphorus balance that clearly shows the areas of phosphorus depletion and accumulations. Nutrient balance summaries for states of the Chesapeake Bay (Mid-Atlantic Water Program 2009), showed that the phosphorus balance for cropland in the Mid-Atlantic states was an excess of 90.2 million pounds of P in 2007. This is significantly less than it was in 1987 but still a very large excess. The cropland nitrogen balance for the Mid-Atlantic states in 2007 was an excess of 470.4 million pounds of N. This is less than it had been in recent years but similar to what it was in the 1980’s. The declines in N and P balance have largely been due to reduced fertilizer use and increased crop yields. Manure N and P saw only small reductions and this source remains the dominant source of nutrients affecting the nutrient balance on cropland in the region. UCOWR 6 Beegle Current Approaches to Solving the Ag Nutrient Problem Unlike on the traditional farm, there is no real economic driver for high nutrient use efficiency for the manure nutrients on the animal farm because the total amount of nutrients in the manure is in excess of the crop needs (Beegle et al. 2002). The main economic driver on the animal farm is leastcost disposal of the manure. This encourages excess application on the minimum amount of land as near to the animal production facility as practical. The result is much greater potential for environmental losses of nutrients. However, the economic costs of this nutrient loss is borne by the environment, not the production system. Therefore, unlike in the traditional system, where economics provided an indirect but strong incentive for environmental protection, economics are not providing this incentive in the contemporary system. In fact, the economic incentive is to let the environment bear these costs. This systemic excess of nutrients in areas with significant animal production has resulted in a strategic conflict (Figure 2) between economic management and environmental protection that must be recognized if successful solutions are to be developed and implemented (Lanyon and Thompson 1996). The contemporary production system described above is driven by the economic forces from the Figure 2. Strategic conflict between economics and the environment in nutrient management. (Adapted from Lanyon 2000). UCOWR marketplace, both the economics of production and the economic decisions of the ultimate consumer of the animal products. At the same time, this system is causing an accumulation of excess nutrients on the animal production farms that results in a significant environmental output of the farm. However, this environmental output is not recognized in the market place, but rather it is an economic externality and has resulted in social pressure to reduce the environmental output of animal farms with little regard for addressing the real economic cost of the problem. However, as it became evident that nutrient pollution from agriculture was a major factor in the decline in Bay health, the common response was to assume that poor management by individual farmers was the cause of the problems. Thus, beginning with the first Chesapeake Bay initiatives in the 1980’s when the Bay states committed to reducing nutrient loading to the Bay by 40 percent (Shuyler 1993), to the present with the Chesapeake Bay TMDL (U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 2010), the primary focus for addressing the nutrient problems from agriculture was, and is, on responding to the social pressure for changing the management behavior of individual farmers. The issues with regional nutrient imbalances related to the organization of the animal production systems, which are beyond the control of the individual farmer, have not been a significant part of these efforts. Thus, farmers are being squeezed between the economic forces from the marketplace and the social forces from the non-market concerns (Figure 2). While this squeeze has presented challenges for many farmers, it has also had a significant impact on farm management over the years and has resulted in major progress toward meeting the goals for nutrient reduction in the Chesapeake Bay. Nitrogen and phosphorus input to the Bay have been reduced by over 25 percent (Figure 3). Best management practices to improve nutrient management have been widely adopted through major initiatives across the watershed to promote or require nutrient management plans on farms. For example, while manure P in Pennsylvania has remained relatively constant for many years due to relatively stable animal populations, fertilizer P has been declining since the beginning of the Chesapeake Bay Program (Mid-Atlantic Water Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education Nutrient Management in the Chesapeake Bay 7 Figure 3. Progress toward meeting the goals for nutrient reduction in the Chesapeake Bay. Loads simulated using 5.3.2 version of Watershed Model and wastewater discharge data reported by the Bay jurisdictions (Chesapeake Bay Program 2011). Program 2009) as farmers have adopted best management practices that take greater advantage of the manure P and thus reduce the need to add additional fertilizer P into the cropping systems. Many of the changes like this one were catalyzed by social pressure, but in the end were economical for the farmers and thus were widely adopted. Toward a Sustainable Solution to the Ag Nutrient Problems in the Bay However, this progress has not met the expectations of many and concerns have arisen that the progress toward meeting the environmental goals for the Chesapeake Bay has slowed. Many blame this on the lack of willingness of farmers to continue to adopt best management practices. However, a more logical explanation is that as the structure of agriculture has shifted based on economic incentives toward the more specialized agricultural production systems and the resulting systemic nutrient imbalances, the economic benefits of adoption of further best management practices have become much less. In fact, for many modern animal production systems the economics of improved nutrient management to protect water quality are decidedly negative. Further progress toward meeting water quality goals will require someone to shoulder the costs that have been an externality in the food production system, historically borne by the environment. Whether these costs can be integrated into the Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education market place or paid by public funding, it is critical in any strategy for the Bay if we are to successfully reduce the environmental impact of nutrients on the Bay. If these costs could be internalized into the market place (Figure 4) so that the changes desired to protect the environment could be integrated into the economic forces that drive management decisions, this would be a much more effective way to achieve change than trying to squeeze change out by applying social pressure with only minimal regard for the economics of the system (see Figure 2). This shifts the emphasis from trying to force change on one part of the system to address a problem that benefits the broader population, to society making strategic decisions Figure 4. Internalization of environmental costs into the marketplace would economically reinforce the changes needed to address concerns with nutrient pollution from agriculture. UCOWR 8 Beegle about the actual value, to this broader population, of protecting the environment. If everyone went to the grocery store and demanded food grown on farms that are not causing nutrient pollution, and if they were willing to pay more for food produced in this way, the economics would quickly drive management changes in agriculture to cash in on the economic opportunity and thus reduce the impact on the environment. It is similar to marketing of organically-produced food. Some consumers are willing to spend more for food produced in a way that fits with their values, and organic farmers have figured out how to economically meet that market demand. A similar outlook is needed with regard to protecting water quality. The challenge is how to integrate these environmental costs into the marketplace. However, when the potential of increasing food costs to protect the bay is proposed, it appears today that most people want a clean Chesapeake Bay, as long as someone else pays for it. Author Bio and Contact Information Douglas Beegle is a distinguished Professor of Agronomy in the Department of Plant Science at the Pennsylvania State University. His research and extension programs focus on whole farm nutrient management and approaches to implementing nutrient management policy. He can be reached by email at [email protected]. References Lanyon, L.E. and D.B. Beegle. 1993. A nutrient management approach for Pennsylvania: Plant nutrient stocks and flows. Penn State Agronomy Facts 38-B. Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA. Lanyon, L.E. and P.B. Thompson. 1996. Changes in Farm Production. In Proceedings of Animal Agriculture and the Environment Conference. Northeast Regional Agricultural Engineering Service, Ithaca, NY, 15-23. Maguire, R.O., D.A. Crouse, and S.C. Hodges. 2007. Diet modification to reduce phosphorus surpluses: A mass balance approach. Journal of Environmental Quality 36: 1235-1240. Mid-Atlantic Water Program. 2009. Nutrient Budgets for the Mid-Atlantic States. Available at: http:// www.mawaterquality.agecon.vt.edu/. Shuyler, L.R. 1993. Non-point source prograsm and progress in the Chesapeake Bay. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 46: 217-222. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 2010. Chesapeake Bay Total Maximum Daily Load for Nitrogen, Phosphorus and Sediment. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Washington, D.C. Available at: http://www.epa.gov/reg3wapd/ tmdl/ChesapeakeBay/tmdlexec.html. U.S. EPA Chesapeake Bay Program. 2011. Progress toward meeting the goals for nutrient reduction in the Chesapeake Bay. Available at: http://www. chesapeakebay.net/track/restoration. U.S. EPA Chesapeake Bay Program. 2012. Bay 101 Facts and Figures. Available at: http://www. chesapeakebay.net/discover/bay101/facts. Beegle, D.B., L.E. Lanyon, and J.T. Sims. 2002. Nutrient Balances. In Haygarth, P.M. and S.C. Jarvis (Eds.) Agriculture, Hydrology, and Water Quality. CABI Publishing, 171-192. ChesapeakeStat. 2009. Why is Agriculture Important to Clean Streams and a Healthy Bay? Water Quality: Agriculture. Available at: http://stat. chesapeakebay.net. Lanyon, L.E. 1994. Dairy manure and plant nutrient management issues affecting water wuality and the dairy industry. Journal of Dairy Science 77: 1999-2007. Lanyon, L.E. 2000. Nutrient Management: Regional Issues Affecting the Bay. In Sharpley, A.N. (Ed.) Agriculture and Phosphorus Management: The Chesapeake Bay. CRC Press, 145-158. UCOWR Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education
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