EDUCATION ???? Feast turns to famine for mining graduates Five years ago, few would argue that mining engineering was one of the hottest tickets for new university students, with a skills-starved mining industry desperate for recruits. But now, all that may have changed, and the consequences could be severe in years to come, AJM’s Oliver Probert reports. M ining engineering graduates could be the hidden victims of the mining slowdown, and that could cause serious problems down the track for the industry as a whole, according to a number of pre-eminent mining educators. One of those educators, the head of the University of New South Wales’ School of Mining Engineering, Bruce Hebblewhite, says that up until the start of 2013, the industry was telling the education sector that not enough mining engineers were being produced. But since then, he says, there have been too many new graduates in the labour market. Statistics shown by Hebblewhite at a conference in the Hunter Valley in October 2013 suggest that after several years of demand exceeding supply of new labour in the mining engineering sector, that worm has now turned, and there is now an oversupply of labour in the Australian market. What that’s leading to, Hebblewhite explained, is a large number of qualified 6 JANUARY / FEBRUARY 2014 mining engineers – many of whom enrolled in their courses five years ago due to the allure of a near-certain, well-paid job at the end of their degree – who can’t find work. “All we know is that across the country, 2013 graduates are not being offered enough jobs, so demand has fallen below the supply level,” Hebblewhite said in his presentation. A large part of Hebblewhite’s frustration comes from the fact that, as the mining boom sounded, the industry struggled to find enough qualified engineers to suit its needs, and turned to the education sector for help. “During the period 2000-2006, the university sector was criticised for not delivering enough graduates, and not responding to the needs of the industry,” he said in October. Since that period, he said, “the providers, and MEA in particular, have kept their side of the bargain, in delivering what was asked for.” MEA is Mining Education Australia, a collaborative venture formed in 2004, following the 1998 paper Back from the Brink – Reshaping Minerals Tertiary Education. It comprises the University of Adelaide, the University of New South Wales, the University of Queensland, and Curtin University. It is supported by the Minerals Council of Australia, membership of which includes 48 of Australia’s mining and mining services companies. MEA was set up to address both the quality and quantity of mining engineering graduates, and claims responsibility for 85% of mining graduates since 2007. But after all the good work Hebblewhite said the MEA has done, his concern now is that as graduates struggle to find jobs, there will be less potential students willing to enter into mining degrees, and current graduates could seek work overseas, or in other sectors. “You cannot turn the graduate tap off, and expect to be able to turn it back on as soon as things pick up, and have an instant flow of graduates again,” Hebblewhite said. “In four years’ time, industry will be knocking our doors down demanding graduates, but where will they be?” AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF MINING EDUCATION Professor Peter Dowd is MEA’s executive director, as well as a professor of mining engineering at the University of Adelaide. He spoke with AJM, and suggested that the problem of an oversupply of graduates in the mining sector was perhaps being overplayed by his colleagues. “It’s difficult to tell … probably by around February, March [2014], we’d be able to do a reasonable census of who’s employed, and who’s unemployed in mining,” he explained. He said that in the most recent statistics, from 2012 graduates, mining courses resulted in the equal-highest employment rate for any discipline, along with medicine. “For the year ending 31st of December, 2012 … 93.9% [of graduates] were in full time employment, 5.1% were seeking full time employment and were not working, and 1% were seeking full time employment and working part time. “Now, I imagine, with what’s happened over the past 12 months since then the rates would go down,” he added. “But we won’t have official rates for another few months.” Dowd said it may be too early to suggest that a lower amount of graduates in future years would have a negative impact on the industry, should it return to a growth period. “Over the past eight, nine years, we’ve gone through unprecedented growth in mining,” he explained. “Nobody would have ever predicted that it would increase by this amount, so we were struggling to produce enough graduates to satisfy industry demand.” Because of this high, Dowd said, it’s hard to be sure that the boom was reflective of the amount of growth the industry would see in the future as part of a ‘cycle’, like the one Hebblewhite is suggesting. “You couldn’t actually say that it’s gone into a cycle again because it’s coming off an all-time high, so I think it’s a slowdown,” Dowd explained. “Every indication is that it’s going to pick up again, but how soon, nobody knows. I agree that it has in the past been cyclical, but we’ve been out of that cycle for getting on ten years.” One person, however, who shares Hebblewhite’s concerns about a cyclical return to an undersupply of graduate labour is Peter Knights, head of the mining division at the University of Queensland’s School of Mechanical & Mining Engineering. “We’ve seen a fundamental reversal of the supply and demand [in the graduate labour market],” Knights told AJM. “It’s driven by the reversal of the commodities market.” Knights estimates 30% of his graduates find graduate employment, while just 20% of his students find vocational employment (i.e. work experience). During the peak of the mining boom, he said, both of those figures would have been 100%. AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF MINING And the really scary thing, he said, is that of that 30% of graduates finding graduate work, more and more are not being kept on by their employer once their initial contract finishes. He said this could have a serious impact on mining’s labour market in the future. “There needs to be a commitment to developing young talent,” Knights said. “If the mining companies stick with all the old dogs through the down periods, they will struggle to find talent when the industry picks up again.” Knights urged Australian miners to ensure they continue to employ new graduates, even through leaner times. “The mining industry is cyclical,” he said. “When it takes off again we will all be in a worse off position.” u CONTINUES NEXT PAGE JANUARY / FEBRUARY 2014 7 EDUCATION t FROM PREVIOUS PAGE One key driver of concern for both Knights and Hebblewhite is a lack of high school graduates putting mining engineering courses as their first preference for university placement. Hebblewhite said that first preferences for UNSW’s course in 2014 were 54% lower than they were a year earlier. The University of Adelaide’s were down 15%, as well, according to Dowd. “[High school students] read the media stories and are turned away in droves, under the impression that the mining boom is over, so there is no career in the mining industry,” Hebblewhite said. “They also hear about no industry scholarships available, so maybe the industry has no need for graduates.” The irony of this issue is that it was media stories and industry scholarships that led droves of high school students to put mining engineering courses as their top preference five years ago – the same students who are now, as graduates, struggling to find work in the sector. Matthew Aikins is just one of those students. Having enrolled in a double degree in Mining Engineering and Science at UNSW in 2008, he finished last year with first class honours. In his final semester he earned three high distinctions and two distinctions in his five subjects. But Aikins says he’s been unable to find any work in the industry since finishing his degree, and it’s not for a lack of trying. “I started applying for jobs [in 2012] at the end of my engineering degree – so I still had one year left in the science degree,” Aikins explains. He says he’s applied for just about every suitable job he’s seen, including those in other states, but hasn’t yet been successful. Aikins is not sure exactly how many jobs he’s applied for, but estimates that “it’d be easily 30 plus.” He won’t disclose which company he feels he came closest to being successful with, but says with “one of the really big Australian companies … I got to the video interview stage [of the recruitment process].” The next closest, he adds, was “one of the coal mining companies operating out of NSW … I got to the final interview stage there, where they were originally offering up to eight positions, and ended up cutting it down to offer only one position. “I think there were about 13 to 20 of us there, interviewing for the role. But it was just a fact that circumstances at that time dictated that the company wasn’t able to offer that many positions.” Aikins believes the limited number of roles available to graduates is making it hard for people like him to be successful in the recruitment process, and he thinks he has a 8 JANUARY / FEBRUARY 2014 The future mining engineer s part of his presentation in the Hunter Valley last October, Bruce Hebblewhite, head of the University of New South Wales’ School of Mining Engineering, gave an outline of the kind of mining engineer his school was trying to create. A “It is important to continually review education programs to ensure education curricula match desired industry graduate attributes,” his presentation said. In the future, he explained, these attributes could include: • good enabling scientific principles and engineering design skills • sound technical mining engineering knowledge • ability to deal with uncertainty and ambiguity in design and management • good communication skills at all levels • understanding of risk assessment principles and management • ability to live and work in remote, non-urban locations • capable of dealing with, and adaptive to, change • commitment to value-adding and continuous improvement • understanding the principles of remote control and automation, as applied to mining systems; and ability to manage specialist staff in these and related IT fields • thorough understanding of, and commitment to Health, Safety, Environment and Community principles; cultural responsibilities; and their implications for sustainable mining practices • global consciousness and awareness in terms of all of above attributes – including development of indigenous human resources and related cultural considerations; plus multi-lingual communication skills solid grasp on why graduate positions are so few and far between. “The minerals industry is driven by largescale investment,” he says. “When you get any sort of downturn, the immediate thing that mining companies look to do is to cut any non-essential personnel, as well as cut off any sort of acquisition, or hiring, of new personnel. “From last year, the impression I got was unless you were on a university scholarship [from a mining company], it was quite hard to get any graduate employment, and that was just a factor of companies taking on those they were contracted to take on, and nothing more.” Aikins is in agreement with Peter Knights when he said that mining companies need to continue to hire new graduates, not just retain older employees, but understands why older employees are getting the preference ahead of new graduates at times. “It depends on how quickly you want a return on your investment,” Aikins says. “Are you looking to get an operation up and running at a certain level instantly, or are you looking to staff for the longer term? “A lot of companies got rid of what they termed as ‘non-essential personnel’ during the last couple of years, and now that the financial markets have stabilised a bit, they’re re-evaluating the number of people that they cut initially. “In order to get back to any sort of profitable production, they tend towards re-hiring someone who doesn’t need a lot of training.” But he says for longer term projects, “it would make sense to hire someone who’s younger, just for the fact that you’re not looking to get a huge amount of production out of that operation now, you’re looking to set it up for some time in the future. “That would hold a graduate in incredibly good stead in the future, and ultimately hold the business in incredibly good stead in the long term.” Aikins says that if he continues to be unsuccessful in his attempts to find work in the Australian mining sector, he will be forced to look for work in a different sector, such as finance, or in the mining sector overseas. If more and more graduates start thinking the same way, that could be cause for even more concern for the future of the mining industry. Hebblewhite, under whom Aikins studied at UNSW, said late last year that the industry needs to work together to maintain a steady stream of new positions for mining graduates, and to avoid a lack of qualified labour in the future. “Unless there is a major change in real, tangible commitment, there is a real risk that the graduate supply, when the industry picks up again, will not be sufficient, and industry will once again be in trouble,” Hebblewhite said. “Unless industry adopts a long-term strategic view of education support and graduate recruitment, they will never solve the problem of adequate graduate supply.” n AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF MINING
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