The relationship between environmental turbulence, risk taking behavior and innovation types: A Historical Study of two service providers Dr. Jyoti Navare University of Middlesex, The Burroughs, London NW4 4BT United Kingdom. E-mail: [email protected] Dr. Zhongqi Jin* University of Middlesex, The Burroughs, London NW4 4BT United Kingdom. E-mail: [email protected] * Corresponding author Abstract: The research considers historical timelines of two large financials services organizations over a period of around 150 years. A conceptual framework (REI) is developed consisting of three components: risk taking behavior environmental conditions, and innovative types. The case studies demonstrate similar innovative behavior in similar environmental conditions irrespective of geographical differences. The findings indicate that it is the strength of the environmental conditions that is critical in how organizations adapt to managing turbulence. The timelines based nature of the cases demonstrate subtle shifts in innovative strategy and specific service solutions such as strengthening current portfolio in new markets, strengthening core of activities and developing strong partnerships or following an acquisitions strategy to enable access to market. It is the first research determining the interplay between risk-taking, environment and innovative behavior and provides an avenue to explore whether the concept could apply to firms in other markets and their service solutions. . Keywords: innovation, environment, risk management, timelines, solutions. 1 Introduction In a highly complex, changing and dynamic environment, innovation is seen as key for survival (Tushman & Anderson, 1986, Wind & Mahajan, 1997; Hamel, 1998; Pich, Loch & Meyer, 2002, Paladino, 2008). Organizations adapt by developing innovative strategic options by sourcing and utilizing new ideas to make strategic or structural changes that enable them to sustain the future of their business (Prabhu, 2010, Naman & Slevin, 1993). As early as 1977, Hannan & Freeman argued that organizations adapted as conditions changed. Although in 1984 they observed that this was not easily achievable because of organizational inertia effects. Organizations tend to change in parts more so than create a total change, for example, rebuilding and retrenching certain functional areas. Hodgson (2013) postulated that organizations changed by “evolving”. He argued that in order to respond to environmental changes organizations adapted by making strategic, structural and procedural changes even though the outcome may not result in improved performance (ibid. pg. 980). Earlier studies also identified that organizations evolved by reacting to environmental turbulence by way of improvisation strategies (Moorman & Miner, 1995; Eisenhardt & Tabrizi, 1995; Dickson, 1997). Hodgson (2013) and Quinn (1980, 1986) claimed that incremental adaptation was undertaken by way of replication and imitation and through information sharing. Cohen & Levinthal (1989) termed this as “absorptive capacity”. Research has manifested that in fast moving environments, organizations make different strategic choices: do little, undertake incremental adaptations or they make radical or creative changes (Weick, 1995; Mintzberg & McHugh, 1985; Brown & Eisenhardt, 1995; Eisenhardt & Tabrizi, 1995; Tushman & Anderson, 1986) 2 However, to observe organizations it is not only about understanding external drivers to change but also internal drivers that can either enable or restrict change (Hannan & Freeman, 1984). Research has demonstrated that large corporations are by nature complex and generally they seek to mitigate their innovation risks by following market or sector level practices in innovation (Moorman & Miner,1988; Spender, 1989; Weick & Sutcliffe, 2001; Chesbrough & Rosenbloom, 2002; Bond & Houston, 2003).Schumpeter, as early as 1942, had argued that large organizations in particular could survive the effects of environmental turbulence, where the environment of the organization was changing fast and was unstable and unpredictable (Emery & Trist,1965), as they had greater capacity and resources for innovative and imitative change. This capability was crucial in enabling a competitive advantage. Teece, Piscano & Shuen (1997) observed that successful companies demonstrated strong management capability that manifested the ability to respond timely with flexible product innovation by deploying their internal and external competences- in other words demonstrating strong dynamic capabilities. The Resource-based and Dynamic Capability (DC) theories (Barreto, 2010; Teece, et al., 1997) acknowledge that there are influences such as technological, organizational, procedural that firms leverage in undertaking their innovation strategies. The dynamic capabilities theory posits that through interrelated resource management strategies firms are enabled to develop organizational capabilities which in turn develops the dynamics for not only survival but for growth (Chandler, 1990). Eisenhardt & Martin (2000) considered the pattern of dynamic capabilities depended on the level of market dynamism. They observed that where markets were 3 dynamic, changes tended to be non linear and uncertain. The organization’s dynamic capabilities in such circumstances tended to be simple and non-complicated. However, innovation can be costly, complex, risky and uncertain. Over the decades economists have believed that organizations in general are risk-averse and do not take high risk innovative strategies unless the expected yield is proportionately significant (Armour & Teece, 1978; Fisher & Hall, 1969; Shepherd, 1979; Bowman, 1980, 1982). Further studies have demonstrated that organizations establish its risk tolerances and appetite for innovation based predominantly on its strategic drivers and environmental triggers (Berry-Stölzle & Altuntas, 2010). The level of risk appetite and environmental uncertainty enabling certain types of innovativeness has been considered (March & Shapira, 1987; Berglund & Hellström, 2002; Forlani, 2002; Berglund, 2007). However, the relationship between these three factors (organizational risk, environmental turbulence and innovativeness has not been developed (Floricel & Ibanescu, 2008; Jenkins, 2010). The changing environment over the years has brought about dynamic uncertainties (external) impacting the organization’s dynamic capability (internal) and determining innovation strategies and typologies. By applying a timeline approach, it will enable us to unveil complex patterns as well as pace and rhymes of organizational change (Ancona, Goodman, Lawrence, & Tushman, 2001; Jenkins, 2010). We are particularly interested in how the relationship between external and internal dynamics impacts strategic choice and affects organizational solutions and sustainability (Geiger, 2005). Our paper considers three research questions: 4 Q1. How can firms have different innovation historical trajectory (timelines) and strategies when their environment and the risk that they confront are similar? Q2. What are the behavioral differences of these innovators in terms of risk management attitudes in different environmental conditions? Q3. How does the interrelationship between the organization’s innovative type and conditions of innovativeness affect its service solutions? In answering these questions, we use case studies to build a framework by analyzing two like-sized financial services companies over a period of 150 years. We draw on existing literature on innovation, dynamic capabilities and organizational risk taking to secure our conclusions. The paper is organized as follows. We first review the literature that informs our study. The following section develops our conceptual framework. We next describe our research design and methodology and present our results. The final section provides a discussion of the results. Literature Review and Conceptual Framework Notion of innovativeness Research into innovation has become a multidisciplinary and multiple approach effort (Tao, Probert & Phaal 2010). There are many perspectives of innovations such as, through customer and/or provider perspectives (Drucker 1999, Goldsmith & Newell 1997), levels of innovation in terms of individuals, teams/projects, organizations, industries and countries (Subramanian, 1996, Pich et al., 2002). A significant proportion of research in the last fifty years into innovation has been focused on establishing critical factors linked to the success and failure of new products or new services (Craig & Heart, 1992, Jin & Li, 2007, Unger & Eppinger, 2009). Hollenstein (1996) and Miller & Blais 5 (1993) observed different innovation modes from within different sectors, highlighting different influences on the content/variance of innovation. Risk and uncertainty has long been recognized as having an inevitable association with innovation (Freeman, 1982). However, different types of innovation carry different risks and uncertainties. Incremental or continuous innovations are innovations that provide new solutions at a rate consistent with the existing technical trajectory (Gatignon et al, 2002). Incremental innovations are considered exploitative in nature and less risky than radical or discontinuous innovations which involve more exploratory learning (March, 1991). Radical innovations are generally identified as more risky. For example, architectural innovations are considered disruptive or competence destroying (Christensen, 1997; Tushman & Anderson, 1986). The level of risks and uncertainties requires significant shifts in the thinking about strategies for sound risk-taking (Hsu 2009, Prabhu 2010). Traditionally, innovation research has focused largely on technological or technical innovations (Burgelman, Maidique & Wheelwright, 2008) which carry different risks and uncertainties than non-technological innovations (Birkinshaw, Hamel & Mol, 2008). In respect of non-technological innovations, Teece (2010) argued that the creation of new organizational forms and in particular new business models are of equal if not greater importance as innovations. Given that our unit of analysis is at the organization level, considering organizational strategies for growth, change and renewal over time (Tushman & O’Reilly, 2002, Damanpour, Walker & Avellaneda, 2009; Birkinshaw & Mol, 2006, Hamel, 2006), we clarify the type of innovation we intend to study below. 6 Jin, Hewitt-Dundas & Thompson (2004) addressed two types of organizational innovations: ‘Creative’ and ‘Adoptive’. Creative innovation refers to the capability of an organization to develop ‘hard’ output innovations as implemented and realized through the operating and technical systems of an organization, usually in the form of new products or production methods (Antoniou & Ansoff, 2004). Adoptive innovation refers to the capability of an organization to source and utilize new ideas from outside that organization or even the industry (Thompson et al., 1998), adapting these ideas to implement changes in the organization’s management system or the relationships between components of that system (Subramanian, 1996). Garcia & Calantone (2008: 112) considered ‘high innovativeness having a high degree of newness and low innovativeness have a low degree of newness’. By dividing each of the two dimensions into very limited innovative activities (low level newness) and innovative activities, (high level newness) we use the four category typology earlier developed by Jin et al. (2004): the creator (hard options oriented innovator), the adopter (soft options oriented innovator), the non-innovator ( neither hard or soft options oriented innovation), and the all-round innovator (both hard and soft options oriented innovation). The typology is shown in _________________________________ Insert Figure 1 about here ____________________________________ Dynamic capabilities and Adaptation 7 There has been increasing research which has considered dynamic capabilities key to firm’s strategy choice making and risk appetite (Teece et al., 1997; Eisenhardt and Martin, 2000; Winter, 2003, Teece, 2007, Helfat et al., 2007). Earlier, Selznick’s (1957) view was that organizations accumulate their resources that provide them with a competitive advantage, although this may be limiting as internal behaviors may prevent the adequate use of these resources to achieve effective change to meet the challenges of environmental turbulence(ibid.:18). Ghemawat (1991: 14) introduced the concept of persistency of strategic decisions over time. His key thinking was that commitment or persistency was the only factor that could manifest sustained performance differences over a period of time and that organizations overall tended to make early strategic choices that were good over a period of time. Selznick, too, had observed that organizations which demonstrated historical success tended to be on a sustainable path to success irrespective of environmental turbulence. Cyert & March (1963) also argued that the historically successful organizations tended to adapt and thrive irrespective of environmental turbulence. However, in the last decade there have been contradictions to this thinking with many organizations with large resource capacities and a competitive advantage losing all of this in a highly turbulent environment as seen during and in the aftermath of the financial crisis of 2008 (Bernanke, 2009). As Tushman & Anderson (1986) predicted, fast moving environments can destroy existing organizational competencies requiring the organizations to “compose new behavior” (Moorman & Miner, 1998). The need to adopt and adapt a firm’s competencies is what makes the understanding of dynamic capabilities different from other strategic frameworks. Internal 8 competences reflect the ability to accurately sense changes and risks in a firm’s competitive environment, such as the ability to forecast economic political, competitive, shifts that could result in opportunities and threats. Teece et al (1997:515) claimed that what was critical was the ability to adapt and adopt to conditions. We note that there are different understandings of what constitutes “adaptability”. Hodgson (2013) defines organizational adaptability “as the capacity of an organization to change its strategies, structures, procedures or other core attributes, in anticipation or response to a change in its environment, including changes in relations with other organizations”. Hodgson (ibid: 978) explains the definition of adaptability further “By definition they [individuals and organizations] face immediate scarce resources and struggle to survive, whether through conflict or cooperation [sic]. They adapt and may pass on information to others, through replication or imitation.” These explanations inform us that adaptability is in fact a strategy that is driven by a mix of internal/personal and external factors. We are also made aware that adaptability can be incremental, radical and non-innovative. We use these explanations of adaptability by considering strategic change that adapts by way of soft and/or hard options. This provides an additional insight to not only that change has occurred but to the types of change and how these types relate to the drivers of change. It may well be that different types of organizations behave differently as they are susceptible to variant innovation timelines. Environmental turbulence, risk taking behavior and innovation types Environmental unpredictability has meant that it is not sufficient simply to be innovating but also to be engaging in innovation strategies that reflect both the environment in which the organization operates and the emerging risks (Paladino, 2009). 9 Ansoff’s (1991) five-stage model indicates a continuum that ranges from low level market turbulence or a stable environment and low need to respond quickly to new product development, to fast incremental or discontinuous turbulence where survival becomes a critical consideration and the need to respond quickly and frequently with new product developments is crucial. Although, Ansoff’s model provides a guide to turbulence factors, it does not reflect the level of organization’s dynamic capability in dealing with environmental turbulence. As discussed, innovative behavior has much to do with the level of risk appetite of the organization (Dutton & Jackson 1987; March & Shapira, 1987; Busenitz & Barney, 1997; Sarasvathy, Simon & Lave, 1998; Berglund & Hellström, 2002; Forlani, 2002; Berglund, 2007). The risk appetite to innovate and take risks is influenced by a number of internal and external organizational factors or capabilities which have complex interrelated relationships. The degree of risk-taking is dependent on both internal and external environmental factors (Keizer & Halman, 2007; Tushman & Anderson, 1997) The orientation of an organization to survive the environment becomes a driver for higher levels of risk taking in managing new innovation. From this thinking, we have developed the risk, environment and innovation (REI) framework (see Table 1). ========================== Insert Table 1 about here The manifest triggers that enable the relationship between environment and innovation typology include strategies determining length of the product cycle, resource availability and capacity, the level of risk appetite and risk taking enabled by the firm’s risk perception of the environment. The external triggers manifest the relationship between environment and innovation typology, for example, the complexities of the 10 environment: level of competition and new players, the degree of consumer demand shifts and the subsequent time for response and the threat to firm survival. The framework operates linearly with the environmental five point scale as the benchmark. Each scale point represents the environment and the supportive innovation typology and associated risk factors for that environmental turbulence level. Research methods In this study, we used a case study approach (Yin, 1994) by looking at two organizations in historical lenses (Chandler, 2001). The rationale for such an approach rather than a structured survey is base on three premises: First, the relationship between environmental forces, risk factors, and innovator types are complex and had not been fully explored. By using a case study approach, we were able to collect rich data and insight to untangle the complex phenomenon. Second, each of the three components of REI framework: environmental forces, risk factors, and innovator types, takes time to evolve and to observe. Given that the change of environment takes time to observe and therefore the nature of this research requires longer term analysis, we did not think that a snap-shot cross sectional study approach was an option (Callinicos, 1995). Third, given the longitudinal nature of organizational change, we felt that it was appropriate to adopt a historical view of companies (Jenkins, 2010). As suggested by Ancona et al (2001), using the temporal lens not only we are able to think about “processes but also how fast they are moving, their trajectory over time, the cycles they align with, and the historical positions they take on the continuum of time (p.645)”. 11 For some well-known companies, such historical data is well documented and available from public resources. However, it is also well-known that such information is likely to bring publication bias inevitably. In the search for information for our case study, we followed guidelines in evaluating and accepting information as suggested by Goder & Tellis (1993): competence of the informant, objectivity of the source, reliability of the source, and corroboration from at least a different source. Both trade magazines and academic research papers into business history were being consulted. We chose two similar types of organizations operating in similar environmental conditions manage their dynamic capabilities, risks and shift their innovator typologies to gain more sustainable solutions. Our innovation timelines illustrate a progression of innovative behavior of these two firms over a period of around 150 years. The progress can be viewed as a series of phases driven by environmental conditions and by the individual organizational dynamic capability. In enabling the development of this study we, firstly, identified the timeline changes; secondly, we extracted main environmental factors and risk factors of the two companies using the REI framework; thirdly, we derived the association of the three components: type of innovators, environmental change, and risk taking behavior and finally, we identified the innovative positioning of the organization over the 150 years. Innovative positioning of the choice organization For the convenience of description, we divided the period from 1855 to 2009 into six periods: 1855-1900; 1901-1955; 1956-1980; 1981-2000; 2001-2005; 2005 to date. The rationale for these timeline categories are based on the acceleration of environmental conditions. Between 1901 and 1955, world wars took place with potential impact on 12 expanding businesses. The period 1956-1980 was one of consolidation and firming up of the markets. 1980s onward saw the impact of new technology. The new millennium saw the development of postmodern financial services era with new structures and services using web based solutions. From 2005, the drag effect with shocks and the credit crunch has special implications for the financial services market. The phases can vary by activity and dynamism of the organization which affect their innovation position. For example, Case Study I started as a creator innovator, changed quickly into an all round innovator, whereas in Case Study 2 is a long term creator innovator, only became an all round innovator since late 1990s. Their shifts of positioning of innovative behavior can be summarized as in Table 4. The TWO case studies are discussed below and findings tabulated in Tables 2 and 3. Research findings Case study 1 – Swedish financial services organization The company was founded in Scandinavia in mid-nineteenth century and in less than ten years became a listed company. At the turn of the 20th century, the company established operations in the United States (US) and became the first non-British foreign insurance company to set up business there. In early twenties, the company introduced lines of business and in 1953, set up operations in Latin America and India. At this stage the company restructured and became computerized. It used a computer for the first time: the IBM650 Magnetic Drum Calculator. In 1964 it reorganized by merging with five additional companies and unveiled its new umbrella logo. In the early nineties, the company became known for initiating the concept of emotional intelligence and valuation of human capital. These traditional measures of success were not the only ones by which 13 the organization measured itself: since 1994 the company supplemented its annual reports with accountings of its "intellectual capital" employee knowledge and expertise and other intangible assets, and was deemed a pioneer in the movement to quantify such assets. By 2000 the company had restructured into an asset management company and today, most of its business is international and its focus is financial services and risk management. In 2004 the company revisited its strategy, opening up the potential for bidders. On its 150th anniversary, there was a hostile bid made by a South African financial services giant who succeeded in their bid to acquire all the organization’s shares. The organization thrives today as a full scale subsidiary of a foreign parent. ========================== Insert Table 2 about here ========================== Case study 2: A Swiss Financial Services company The company was founded in Switzerland in 1872 and by the turn of the century became Switzerland’s key financial organization. In the early 20th century, the company established operations in the US at the close of the first year of business, the US business constituted about 9% of total business. In the early twenties, the company established further in Europe, including in the UK market. In the years between WW1 and WW2, it undertook a series of acquisitions in the UK and Europe and opened up new operations in the US. It further acquired the Ford scheme in the UK, resulting in the UK business constituting 50% of the total premium income. It also set up a new life insurance company. In 1930, it entered the electronic data era for incorporating accounting technology. The growth rate for the company was phenomenal, averaging over 13% per annum. In the mid-fifties it changed its name and also made further acquisition in Latin 14 America, Australia and in Europe. In the seventies it became the first European insurers to offer umbrella programs to its corporate customers worldwide. In 1978 it founded the Risk Engineering division. It continued to grow in strength and continued its expansion into the late eighties in acquiring companies in the US, Brazil, and Europe. It also acquired a minority stake in the largest Philippine company. In 1989, it acquired its largest takeover of an insurance company in the US. It continued its acquisition strategy in the nineties by acquiring companies in Switzerland, Mexico and the UK. In 1993, it opened an office in China. In 1998, it linked in with British American Tobacco to become one of the largest financial services companies worldwide. In 2005, it set up a global strategy and until today it has continued to demonstrate strong results. The Group became acquisitive once again in 2007, mainly in emerging markets. In March 2007 the company acquired a Spanish credit and surety insurer. A month later the Group became the first foreign insurance company to gain control of a leading Russian property and casualty insurance firm. The Group also purchased a minority stake and gained management control of a Chinese insurance-brokerage firm. In December 2007 the Group announced plans to create a new Hong Kong-based unit to expand its offerings to corporate customers in Japan, Greater China, Southeast Asia, and Australasia. That same month, the Group sought to capture a larger share of the growing life insurance market in southern Europe by reaching a deal to purchase an Italian life insurer. Through such initiatives, the Group sought to spark a new period of growth. ========================== Insert Table 3 about here ========================== 15 The risk and environmental implications of the shifts are summarized for the two case studies in Figures 2 and 3. ========================== Insert Figure 2 about here ========================== We conclude that all round innovators are more immune to the turbulence, have a higher level of risk acceptance, and are more sustainable than other types of innovators, whereas creator innovators are more vulnerable to uncertainties where competition is diverse, and therefore the creator will not sustain its growth without strategic change in its innovative behavior. This can be seen in our case studies. It must be noted that it is unlikely that as organizations grow in a highly competitive market, it is unlikely that they will be purely creative and therefore the profiles indicate most organizations become all round innovators. Non-innovators have a low tolerance to uncertainty and perceived risks and are more vulnerable to high speed and more turbulent environmental change, which lead to unsustainable behavior. Adopters have a high tolerance for managing uncertainty and appetite for risk taking in line with competitors. ========================== Insert Figure 3 about here ========================== Analysis and Discussion The history of the two cases studies indicate that they relate closely to changes in market, the socio-political landscape and economic growth of nations and free competitive system. The growth in industrialization and urbanization opened up the doors for insurance and for new innovation (Adams et al, 2009). The pattern is similar across countries where growth was accelerated and risks were increased enabling the emergence 16 of new risk organizations providing new products to cover these risk. Much of this research identifies the growth of modern insurance where the environment was generally stable and controllable. However, in recent times where shocks and consequent punitive liabilities have led to ineffective leveraging of resources and from this failure, increased regulation. The two cases studies are therefore similar in many ways but differentiated by their timelines. The markets are similar but their individual ability to manage their internal resources and dynamic capability varies. Regarding research question one (p.4) on how innovators with different innovation timelines and strategies vary, by risk and innovator typology in similar environments, the timeline framework provides a new perspective in support of considering environmental forces and risks in innovative process. As Stock, Noel & Fischer (2002) puts it, the interactions among the determining factors in either the internal or external environment of a company are not easily predictable as they may change over time. However in our two case studies, although operations in different countries were affected by similar environmental conditions, what became obvious in the two case studies that the environmental conditions were more dominant in how strategies were set out than the organizational strategies for innovation. The dynamic capabilities varies in that, in Case study 2, the organization was more leveraged in a managing shocks than the organization in Case Study 1. Irrespective of this, the timelines indicate that whether the organizations sought to be innovative with new lines of business and exploring new markets, they were strongly affected by environmental conditions which made it necessary to undertake both hard and soft innovative solutions. They not only created new products and service solutions (hard innovations) but mostly they had to 17 restructure and develop core strategy to ensure their sustainability (soft innovation). Both organizations display similar innovative behavior irrespective of their own risk appetite and internal capability. Question two demanded the exploration of the behavioral differences of these organizations as innovators. The REI framework elaborates a critical understanding of two interrelated dynamics: innovation and risk taking, and innovations and environmental turbulence. The review of the case studies identify critically that the external environmental analysis of the organization provides the meta-explanation about when organizations seek to innovate and what solutions they seek in reducing uncertainty. Zahra et al (2000) and O'Regan, Ghobadian, & Gallear (2006)’s studies highlight that empirical studies in this area evidence that high levels of environmental turbulence (Naman & Slevin, 1993) and environmental complexity (Zahra, 1991) are both positively correlated to innovative and risk-taking behavior of firms. However, the meta-explanation demonstrates that there is no real difference between the innovative solutions undertaken by organizations ,operating within the same sector, as they seemingly take on similar positions (all round innovator or adopter etc.) to manage the risks arising from environmental conditions. The difference is in their dynamic capability which affected their decision for hard and soft innovative solutions. The case studies also demonstrate that irrespective of shocks, organizations are able to risk manage or alternatively may be susceptible to a takeover as in Case Study 1. For example, taking environmental condition 3 (or timelines 1900-1980) where there is complexity in the market creeping in, with a number of players entering the market and demand cycles shortening the need to increase the risk appetite becomes prevalent. As 18 there is more external risk, we note that fast growing financial services organizations tend to increase their risk taking attitude as well as increase the organizational risk appetite (strong innovative profile). However, those that do undertake structural changes (soft innovation) become more risk taking and continue to innovate. Penrose (1959) and Kor & Mahoney (2000) consider that the firm’s competitive capability is based on it internal competencies and resource management. Amit & Schoemaker (1993, p35) consider resources are both physical resources and capabilities. The organization shift to leveraging its resources and its dynamic capability through recognizing intellectual capital demonstrates the dynamic fit between resources and environment and particularly an uncertain environment. In considering question three and the impact of the interrelationship between the organization’s innovative type, environment and risk on service solutions, we argue that it is the external triggers that impact on innovation strategies. The REI framework and the timelines phases demonstrate the implications of the environmental factors (based on Ansoff’s environmental conditions) on innovation conditions. This framework also enables the manifestation of inadequate typologies for particular environmental conditions. For example, where organizations are operating in Ansoff’s environmental condition 4 which is complex involving rapid change with high level of competitor threat and with increasing new soft and hard innovations taking place, none of the organizations can afford to have a pure creator profile with fast developments in innovations and requiring high levels of risk capital will not survive if internal efficiencies are not considered at the same time (soft innovations). The REI reinforces the framework conditions that, for organizations to survive, a strategic shift will happen purely based on 19 the impact of their environmental drivers (See Table 4). The challenge for such organizations is implementing innovative solutions that can provide sustainability against strong environmental drivers (Tushman & Anderson, 1986). Three types of solution emerge from the timeline changes in strategy: strengthening current portfolio in new markets (as seen in the expansion and growth drives but both organizations); solution advantages through partnerships and mergers, particularly in new geographical areas; and strengthening the core of services provided in fast moving environments (4 or 5 on the Ansoff’s scale). ========================== Insert Table 4 about here ========================== Conclusions This paper has used historical timelines on two large financial services organizations to consider the interplay between environmental conditions and competitive performance over a 150 year period. The findings indicate that the strength of the environmental pull on organizations operating in similar markets, in our case the financial services market, and further suggest that such firms are often able to adapt to the impact of shocks. The timeline based nature of our cases allowed us to observe subtle but insignificant shifts in innovative strategy, and specific service solutions that can provide sustainability against strong environmental drivers (Ancona et al., 2001). These include strengthening the current portfolio in new markets, strengthening core activities and developing strong partnerships or following an acquisitions strategy to enable access to markets. However, the findings must be explained with caution. First, although we adopted a historical approach, we did not examine the two organizations from a multiple level 20 perspective which may provide further insights into organizational changes (Ancona et al, 2001). Secondly, given that the time period covered is relatively long (about 150 years) it is likely that some of the anecdotal evidence and details were not included. Therefore some potentially important factors may not be discovered. 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Workforce, Feb 2001, p. 32. 30 Soft Innovativeness Innovative Very limited Adopter (Soft activity oriented innovator) organization, which is characterized as high in the ‘soft’ innovativeness dimension and low in the ‘hard’ innovativeness dimension. The innovations can be administrative or relational. These companies break the rules of the game by strategically redefining their business and focusing on areas often overlooked by the big competitors (Markides, 1997). Non-innovator organizations which hardly produce anything new or fail to change the way things are done in the business. Non-innovators may not necessarily resist change, but rather lack the expertise or motivation to exploit opportunities as they arise All round innovator organization, characterised as high in both the ‘Hard’ and ‘Soft’ innovativeness dimensions, in other words, ambidextrous (O’Reilly & Tushman, 2004). for instance, they beat competition by introducing “Hard” innovations through superior products Not only do they change the rules of the game, often they change the entire game via different means”. Creator (Hard activity oriented innovator) organizations capable of engaging activities that are high in the hard innovativeness dimension and low in the soft innovativeness dimension. E.g capable of producing new products or processes, successfully replacing the old without introducing changes in the way a business is run (Damanpour, Szabat, & Evan, 1989). Very Limited Innovative Hard Innovativeness Figure 1 The organizational innovativeness (Source: Jin et al., 2004) 31 1901-1955 1981-2000 Fast incremental environment : market becoming more competitive More second than first movers Some new product or incrementally new products developed More marketing and innovation aggressiveness ADOPTER Innovation and Market Environment 185 5 to 190 0 CREATOR Fast incremental turbulence more first mover products product cycles revisited – more shorter cycles Non existent NON INNOVATOR 2001-2005 2005< Non-existent Highly Turbulent environments High frequency of new products Tendency towards “first mover” or low cost efficient “me too” products Market and innovative aggressiveness Stable with incremental turbulence Limited range of high quality /service products Long product cycles and innovation response cycles 1956 1980 ALL ROUND INNOVATOR Figure 2 Case Study 1 1901-1955 1956 1980 ALL ROUND INNOVATOR Fast incremental environment : market becoming more competitive More second than first movers Some new product or incrementally new products developed More marketing and innovation ADOPTER Highly Turbulent environments High frequency of new products Tendency towards “first mover” or low cost efficient “me too” products Market and innovative aggressiveness Innovation and Market Environment 18 55 to Stable with incremental turbulence Limited range of high quality /service products Long product cycles and innovation response cycles 2001- todate 198 1 to 2000 190 0 NON INNOVATOR Figure 3 Case Study Two 32 Non-existent CREATOR Fast incremental turbulence more first mover products product cycles revisited – more shorter cycles Non-existent Table 1: Risk, Environment and Innovation framework Organizational Risk appetite Ability to forecast environmental shifts Organizational Risk taking behavior. Low Demand for utilization of risky business Medium Fairly High High Acceptance of risks for a higher reward Very High Tolerance thresholds Low / Cautious risk averse Rejecting Change – working to a safe formula Medium Incremental ly adapting to change Medium/High Risk Taking Moving towards risk assessment in all operations Although seeking familiar change Low Stable and non ambitious Medium Reactive and working from past experiences Fairly High Anticipatory High Increased Risk Taking Moving towards risk assessment in all operations- greater level of embeddedness – change that is sought is related to current risk capability High Entrepreneurial and open to new ideas High Forced to be risk taking – although prudent Strong values sharing- embedding risk management in all operations as novel change is sought Very High Creative 1 2 3 4 5 Repetitive Slow and little or no change Hard Few players in the market Some incremental change Some complexity creeping in Complex Rapid change V. Complex V. Rapid and novel change Hard with few competitors Soft with market opening up to new players Soft Significant competition Turbulence Level of Threat Repetitive Low Expanding Low Discontinuous High Innovative Organization type NonInnovator Innovation Type Non innovat /Soft Product cycle Time to respond to new innovation. Degree of innov. Long Long NonInnovator with some adopter culture Soft/ some hard innovation Long Long Changing Medium With creeping uncertainties Creator Soft with significance competitors and threats of substitutes Surpriseful Significant With crippling outcomes All-round innovator Small/increm ental Medium/ incremental Organizational Risk State internal risk profile and dynamic capability Environ Turbulence Level Complexity of Environ and level of change Market Adopter hard innovation Soft innovation Medium Medium/Short Short Short V. Short V. Short High High High 33 Hard and soft innovation Table 2: Case Study 1 Model of REI* Timelines Changes in strategic management 1855-1900 INCEPTION Started as fire and life insurance office Open office in other Scandinavian and European countries for life and fire insurance Listed company Introduces accident and disability insurance Operations in the US established 1901-1955 EXPANSION AND GROWTH 1956-1980 GROWTH AND DIVERSIFICATI ON AWAY FROM HOME MARKET 1981-2000 GROWTH AND CONTINUED DIVERSIFICATI ON AWAY FROM HOME MARKET Hard /soft change Hard Soft Soft Hard Soft 1906 first company to start own newsletter 1920 Motor insurance established 1936 – took on married women workers 1938 Home insurance – comprehensive liability introduced 1953 –operations in Columbia established 1955 – India operations Soft 1957 Company computerizes 1963 – acquires five other companies and changes logo 1970 International Reinsurance Business opened in Australia 1974- child insurance introduced Soft 1987 US life operations opened 1987 Ideas for life project to support positive forces in society on behalf of children and youth Pioneered the multimanagement approach to fund management 1990 –listed on the London Stock Exchange Soft Hard Soft Hard Soft Soft Soft Soft Hard Hard Hard Soft Environmental influences Risk Low competition and high demand (Lindmark, Andersson & Adams, 2006) Increasing middle class and strong demand for life insurance Risk control-induced diversification strategy (Pearson, & Lönnborg, 2008) The cycles in the 19th century were disruptive following price wars and big city fires. reflecting large shifts of insuring capacity into and out of the insurance business Public concern led to a system of centralized price setting with controls over costs and underwriting. Reputation build and competition (Kimball ,1965; Skogh, 1982, Adams et al , 2009) Demographic change Insurance regulator in 1903 demanded tighter accounting information form composites WW1 enabled export led financial and risk management services (Hansson and Jonung , 1997) The growth in new technology Reconstruction of a new global economy Advent of floating exchange rates resulting in a huge opening of financial markets in the 1970s. The growth of multinationals Demographic trends favored Scandinavia Asian markets joined the expansion movement in 1996 when “Big Bang” financial reforms brought about deregulation. Since 1998, the financial services industry in the mature economies experienced rapid geographic expansion; customers Low = low level competition = Plenty of time to develop new products = easy entry into new areas = strong access to capital 34 Low as competition mainly by oligopolies = less competition in products and hence able to be first movers = easy access of entry Low- Medium = more companies entering the market = leveraging dynamic capability High = more competition as global markets open up = product cycles shortening and time for launching new products decreasing Innovation typology Creator to Adopter Adopter To All round innovator All round innovator 2000-2005 SHOCKS AND SURVIAL CONSIDERATIO NS 2005- to date ACQUISITION AND REBRANDING 1990 introduced unitlinked insurance in Sweden 1993 values company by way of intellectual capital 1994 on-line services opened 1995 – on-line extended to Europe – First in the field 2000 company restructured into a savings and asset management company The on-line banking expanded to Norway 1990- 2000 establishes operations in more than 20 locations around the globe including Chile, the United Arab Emirates, China and Poland. 2003 the US operations sold to Prudential Financial 2003 – internal fraud resulting in board level resignations 2004 – reorganizations to make the company more market oriented – created an integrated business model 2005 Large South African Company made a hostile bid 2006 Bid successful bought out Swedish company and delisted shares from the LSE and Stockholm Stock exchange 2007/8 rebranded logo 2008 decided to move away from localized sponsorships previously served by local financial institutions were now targeted at a global level.. US , European and Japanese management gurus focused on human capital Corporate governance came on the scene Hard Soft Hard Hard Soft Soft Soft Hard Corporate governance becoming predominant US financial markets in disarray with a technological shares bust in 2002 Soft V. High = corporate fraud and squeeze = capital markets tightening Adopter To Noninnovator Soft. Soft Soft Soft Hard Economic change – not dependant on state pensions Demographic change – longevity increasing Culture: less reliant on company based information Technological : advances significant High rate of M&As Credit crunch High =credit crunch implications -M&A makes the organization more secure and able to withstand turbulence Non-innovator to Adopter * Adapted from Bukowitz and Petrash (1997); Edvinsson and Malone (1997), Galagan, 1997, Economist ,18/1/1992, 18/4/1992, Moberg, G (1996),Roos et al(1998), Stewart and Losee (1994), Bests Review ,2/1997, Zimmerman,(2001) International Directory of CompanyHhistories, (2003), Sydedain (2001), Melymuka (2000), Hobday, 2002); BBC1/12/03;6/2/04;02/09/05;14/1/05 (ews.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4652406; Adams et al (2009). 35 Table 3: Case Study 2 Model of REI* Milestones Changes in strategic management 1855-1900 1872 Commenced as marine insurer and reinsurer 1875 Expanded line of business to accident insurer and involved a name change to include Accident insurance. 1875-1885 New offices in Germany, Austria, Scandinavia, Belgium, France, Spain and Italy 1880 High level liabilities in the marine business led to getting out of marine insurance 1880 Gross premium rose to above 1 million Swiss francs. 1886-1890 An expansion of accident and liability lines – to include homeowner, real estate, professional indemnity and other professional liability insurance 1894 Name change again to delete Marine and to was now a “General Accident and Liability” insurer 1898 Expanded into automobile insurance 1900 New CEO 1900 Initiated the development of strong reserves and robust financial management 1901 New building 1912 US business established 1915 continued expansion in the Spanish market by way of acquisition – creating significant reserve base and strong financials. 1922 establishes in the UK market, buys into Life business in the home market of Switzerland and expands life business in Belgium, Netherlands, Spain, Germany and France 1923 –establishes branch in Canada 1924-1939 – initiates acquisitions in Czechoslovakia Germany; Austria, UK, France and UK (New York) 1925 – provided free medical check-ups 1926 introduction of the INCEPTION AND GROWTH 1901-1955 GROWTH AND DIVERSIFICAT ION AWAY FROM HOME MARKET Hard /soft change Hard Hard Soft Hard Hard Environmental influences Risk Low competition and high demand (Lindmark, Andersson & Adams, 2006) Increasing industrialization Risk control-induced diversification strategy was common (Pearson, & Lönnborg, 2008) Highly cyclical business demanding prudent financial management Growth in professions and hence insurance cover High level of internationalization and associated risk Low = low level competition = Plenty of time to develop new products = easy entry into new areas = strong access to capital Reputation build becomes part of the international competitive advantage(Kimball ,1965; Skogh, 1982) Demonstrating understanding of demographic change and the growth in the life insurance markets Insurance regulator in 1903 demanded tighter accounting information from composites WW1 enabled export led financial and risk management services (Hansson and Jonung , 1997) The growth in the automobile industry opened doors for new business Life insurance was catching on The beginning of Low as competition mainly by oligopolies = less competition in products and hence able to be first movers = easy access of entry Innovation typology Creator to Adopter Soft Hard Soft Soft Soft Soft Soft Hard Soft Soft Hard Hard Soft Soft 36 Adopter To All Round innovator 1956-1980 CONTINUED GROWTH AND DIVERSIFICAT ION AWAY FROM HOME MARKET Ford scheme in the UK 1930 computerization 1933 – won the tender to provide insurance for the world fair in Chicago 1950 – establishes in Portugal 1955 Simplifies name to substitute “General and liability” to “insurance company” 1960-70 initiates more acquisitions in Australia, Switzerland, Argentina and Germany 1976 – now offers comprehensive (umbrella) cover to businesses. 1978 Founded Risk Engineering Division 1979-88- more acquisitions in the US, Switzerland, Brazil and Italy 1980 Foot in the Philippine door Soft technology usage in business Soft Soft Hard Hard Soft 1981-2000 CONTINUED EXPANSION 1984 Service package for risk engineering includes training for corporate customers. 1989 largest takeover in the US of Casualty Group 1991-1998 Expansion strategy continues in to Chile, Mexico and also UK, US and China Hard Soft Soft 2000-2005 SHOCKS AND SURVIVAL ISSUES 2001 Restructuring 2001 sold off bulk of its Global Asset unit to a German Bank Net loss around $400m after Sept 11th attacks – CEO resigned 2002 New CEO 2002 – the focus is now on being a financial services provider 2002 – 4500 redundancies 2002 rid off its non-core Soft Soft Soft Soft Hard Soft 37 Continued growth in new technology Beginning of Reconstruction of a new global economy Collapse of Bretton Woods and the advent of floating exchange rates resulting in a huge opening of financial markets in the 1970s. The growth of multinationals began Demographic trends favored Scandinavia as more youthful states of Europe Asian markets becoming attractive for new business Asian markets joined the expansion movement in 1996 when “Big Bang” financial reforms brought about deregulation. Since 1998, the financial services industry in the mature economies experienced rapid geographic expansion; customers previously served by local financial institutions were now targeted at a global level.. Management gurus such as Drucker (2007), Peters & Waterman (1982), Kanter (1977), Ohmae (1990) focused on human capital Corporate governance came on the scene and risk management is becoming critical Corporate governance becoming predominant US financial markets in disarray with a technological shares bust in 2002 Low- Medium = more companies entering the market = leveraging dynamic capability = economic uncertainties - high level liabilities High = more competition as global markets open up = product cycles shortening and time for launching new products decreasing V. High = corporate fraud and squeeze = capital markets tightening All round innovator All round Innovator To Adopter Adopter To Noninnovator business 2005 – launches global brand campaign 2005- to date SHOCKS AND SURVIVAL ISSUES FOLLOWED BY CONTINUED EXPANSION 2006-2007 record results despite shocks from Hurricanes US and wildfires in Europe 2006 –delisted form LSE during to low trading volumes 2007 became acquisitive in emerging markets Russia and China 2008 introduced customer centric “help point” service 2009 –continued growth in premium income Soft Soft Soft sub prime mortgage backed securities scandal longevity increasing Culture: less reliant on company based information Technological : advances significant High rate of mergers and acquisitions Credit crunch and global uncertainty Bid rigging allegations Climate change and poverty of international public interest Soft Soft Hard Soft High =credit crunch implications -M&A makes the organization more secure and able to withstand turbulence NonInnovator to Adopter *Adapted from Wall Street Journal, 26/6/1992:B1, 11/4/1995: A3,12/4/1995:B4, 17/10/1997:B14, 8/10/2001:14, 24/11/2001, 23/4/2001:C1,15/5/2002:M, 17/6/2003:M6, 27/12/2006:19; 17/8/2007:17, 5/9/2007:23; Luond, (1998); Financial Times, 31/5/2003:8,16/8/2005:23,18/8/2006:22, 15/2/2007:23, 12/6/2007:24, Economist, 8/9/2001:80-8, 30/3/2002:66. Table 4 Shifts in positioning from 1850 to 2009 Company Timelines 1855-1900 Inception and Growth 1901-1955 Expansion and growth 1956-1980 Growth, innovation and diversification globally Case study 1 Creator to Adopter Adopter to All Round Innovator All round innovator Timelines Case Inception and Growth Growth and diversification away from home markets Highly innovative Adopter to All Round Innovator Continued Growth, Innovation and diversification globally Case study 1 Study 2 Case study 2 Creator Adopter to All round innovator 38 1981-2000 Growth and continued diversification away from home markets All round Innovator to Adopter Continued Expansion but slowing down in the latter part of the period 2001-2005 Shocks and Survival issues 2005 –to date Shocks followed by acquisition and rebranding Adopter to NonInnovator Shocks and Survival issues Non-Innovator to Adopter All round Innovator To Adopter Adopter To NonInnovator Non- Innovator to Adopter Shocks followed re strategizing by continued expansion
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